Analysys Mason’s Post

I have been working on the service costing of mobile networks since the only technology of interest was 2G (i.e. a long time ago). This article I wrote earlier this year is a bit of a different topic, but uses many of the same ideas. The question is what sort of issues do you need to think about when splitting the costs of a shared mobile network between the parties involved? I hope it is an interesting read.

A crucial set of mobile network cost sharing considerations also for MVNOs: who pay for access but have less negotiating strength. For example, my team and I have recently worked between a host MNO and an MVNO to audit the sharing of relevant costs between parties.

Ofcom has published its approach and timetable for the Telecoms Access Review 2026, replacing the mouthful-acronym WFTMR 2021. The circumstances in the lead up to the WFTMR and those leading up to the TAR 2026 are remarkably different. In a twitchy and (in many cases) overstretched market, it will be the perceptions in the lead up to publication of the TAR 2026 that will be as important as the new review itself. Ofcom's proposals for changes will be consulted on in early 2025. The next months will be crucial. Well over half of Ofcom's publication is a review of how it undertook the WFTMR, noting controls over Openreach's wholesale pricing, non-intervention in Equinox and Equinox 2 (and Openreach's discounting processes), and picking out key features of the existing regulation, including price caps only for Openreach's entry-level products, the fibre premium, and the treatment of copper retirement. So much of that was expected. Looking forward, however, Ofcom notes that "there are likely to be over 100 altnets deploying fibre networks in the UK. A relatively small number of these altnets account for the majority of altnets built to date, with a long tail of small altnets… Consolidation is likely to be a feature of the market in the coming years.… We are alive to the possibility that this could help those consolidated providers become stronger competitors.… We will not only consider the presence of rival networks… but the level of competitive constraint they place on Openreach and their ability to compete sustainably". This is likely to be the most immediate consideration in the UK fixed telecom market, FTTH in particular. Ofcom has indicated that its mind is open to the need for consolidation.

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