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Sarah Foster Sarah Foster is an Influencer

Principal U.S. Economy Reporter at Bankrate

Who's better for the economy: President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump? The past might be a guide. For the first time since Grover Cleveland ran for a nonconsecutive term in 1892, voters have records of how the two leading candidates managed the world’s largest financial system. To help Americans compare each president’s economic report card ahead of Biden and Trump's first head-to-head, my latest for Bankrate looks at data from Trump and Biden’s time in office on a sampling of economic measures, from hiring and unemployment, to stocks, growth, inflation and federal spending. I indexed those gauges to the start of each candidate's inauguration (January 2017 for Trump and January 2021 for Biden). Then, I took data over an equal timeframe. Since we only have data going up to May 2024 for Biden's term, I stopped my analysis in May 2020 for Trump's term. The findings: 📈 On inflation: Prices rose four times faster during Biden's term than Trump's. 📊 On the job market: The U.S. economy has created 15.6 million jobs. That compares with job losses totaling 12.6 million for Trump. 💵 Wages have boomed faster under Biden but lost more ground to inflation than they did under Trump. 💰 The S&P 500 stock index has risen 42.1% since Biden took office, compared with a 33.6% increase over the same time period for Trump Both presidents' economic outcomes greatly depend on who was in the White House during the economy’s plunge (Trump) and red-hot bounce back (Biden). “In a world where finger-pointing has become a contact sport, the quick answer is that virtually every stakeholder in the economy is responsible, to some degree, for inflation," as Mark Hamrick told me. Meanwhile, the economy was simply adding back the jobs that it lost to the pandemic for the first year and a half of Biden's presidency, helping Biden's score in the category. But even so, hiring boomed faster than its historic average and unemployment fell to even lower levels under the current chief executive. My question: Should presidents take the credit (or blame) for their economies, when it's often driven by broader, macro-level forces (cough: Federal Reserve)? Let me know what you think, and read our analysis:

Biden Versus Trump’s Economy: How The Candidates Compare On Jobs, Inflation and More | Bankrate

Biden Versus Trump’s Economy: How The Candidates Compare On Jobs, Inflation and More | Bankrate

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Adam Heng

Director & CSPO-A at FNBO l Product Development & Product Management I Deposits, Loans, Payments l Always Deliver Measurable Value

3w

Take credit when it’s good, blame when it’s bad. That’s how it works. 🤷🏻♂️

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Brian Beers

Managing Editor - Wealth (Banking and Investing) at Bankrate

3w

Perfect timing!

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