Surveys of professional forecasters assign low probabilities to extreme inflation and growth outcomes for the United States in 2024. We believe these forecasts are too narrow. Historical economic data remind us that the distribution of inflation outcomes is wide and suggest that the potential for robust growth in 2024 should not be written off. Read more in “Tunnel Vision” and subscribe to our Library here: https://lnkd.in/dFcTkZ6n #deshawgroup
Has the world entered high inflation vol regime in 2020?
Awesome analysis
Interesting insights from The D. E. Shaw Group on the potential for broader economic outcomes in 2024. It's crucial to consider historical data and the wider spectrum of possibilities when evaluating inflation and growth forecasts.