We're now in year 2 of the AI (based on large language models) revolution and a few things are already clear: 1) they produce grammatically correct text better than most native speakers, 2) they excel at search and summarization, 3) their reliability is directly correlated to how much data they have been trained on (specifically on the topic they're being asked to analyze). 4) they don't originate radically new breakthroughs, but do excel at identifying "weak signals" or "subtle correlations" to make incremental insights. Many white collar tasks (if not jobs) will be largely (or at least partly) automated. But the same breakthroughs are also coming for blue-collar tasks (and jobs). Tony Seba's RethinkX has posted several blog posts on what I think is the next big breakthrough area: humanoid robots. The same breakthroughs in multimodal AI (the ability to understand not only text, but also audio & video) will power dramatic breakthroughs in robotics. In particular, humanoid robots. Why do they need to look like us? It's because these new robots won't be programmed, they'll learn to do tasks by watching people do them. As the robots will also have (similarly sized) fingers, hands, arms, and legs, they can then transpose what they've observed and map that onto digital neural instructions to move their limbs (and themselves) to replicate those tasks. YouTube will provide a ready repository of "how to" videos for them to start.
Slightly scary, but most probably, inevitable…I hope that only for repetitive tasks in factories, for example, and nothing more. I am concerned about authoritarian powers using such robots not in the interests of humanity.
Thanks for sharing--very interesting. And bonus points for sharing an article that includes mention of horses, video rentals, travel, and ... meth.
Wow! fascinating insight into the evolving landscape of AI at the crossroads to robotics. The potential for humanoid robots to learn tasks by observation (ie expert in the loop, human in the loop) marks a significant leap forward. It’s exciting to envision a future where AI and robotics not only enhance productivity but also transform the nature of work across all sectors. The comparison to horses highlights the profound impact this technology will have on the workforce. Thank you for sharing these thought-provoking ideas Guido Jouret Tony Seba
Soon the AI will be teaching the new AI etc etc
Guido, thanks for sharing!
Intelligent Enterprise, AI, and Digital/Cognitive Innovation Executive. Coined/Published the Cognitive Digital (Twins, Threads & Swarms) in 2016 #Recruitable
1moWell Said Guido! I think the major disruption happening far from many non-expert people is in the area of cyber physical systems. Using all available knowledge to train those system on hybrid architectures powered by LLM will soon produce “intelligent” machines I’m dreaming if since many decades. I just was at MIT conference and I do believe this is going to happen sooner than anyone expected