How are recent venture capital funds performing? For fund managers and LPs, it's a question with multibillion-dollar implications. Unfortunately, it's also a question that can be difficult to answer with too much specificity. That's why Carta decided to begin publishing a new report series looking at VC fund performance, leveraging data from more than 1,800 individual funds to look at how key metrics like IRR and TVPI are tracking across different segments of the venture landscape. This below chart is I think indicative of some of the larger trends. As you'd probably expect (shoutout to J-curves), older fund vintages are more likely to have higher IRRs than the 2021 and 2022 vintages, which have had far less time to help their portfolio companies grow and eventually reach an exit. But the details of this data aren't the type of thing you can intuit. Among the 2017 vintage, for instance some 31% of all funds have an IRR higher than 20%. On the other end of the spectrum, about 39% of 2017 funds have an IRR in the single-digits or lower. Been wondering how your own venture fund's metrics compare to those of its peers? Well, now you can find out. In addition to J-curves, shoutouts to Peter Walker, Hamza S., Michael Young, and Alex Lester for their work on this one. Link in the comments!
Kevin Dowd are these calculations based on distributed proceeds or distributed funds and current portfolio on a mark-to-market basis?
Cool data! Would be interesting to see this in cohorts so you can compare where each vintage is in its lifecycle
Shout out to J curves indeed!
Senior writer at Carta
4wHere's the full VC Fund Performance report, with performance data up through the end of Q1: https://carta.com/blog/vc-fund-performance-q1-2024/