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Mayur Vyas, CPA Mayur Vyas, CPA is an Influencer

CFO, Advisor, Investor, and Speaker #TheCFOGuy - LinkedIn Top Voice 2024

Are we due for another IPO boom in software? Taking a trip down memory lane here.. From 2014 to 2021, software-specific IPOs (not just general tech) were popping up like weeds in my neighbor’s unkempt lawn – 7 to 10 a year. By 2021, we were drowning in almost two dozen of them. But lately? It’s been deader than disco. We’re lucky if we get one a year. So, what’s the deal? Some folks are yammering that 2025 is gonna be the second coming, maybe even topping 2021. Why? Here’s the scoop: First off, we’ve got a ton of companies with over $500M in ARR and metrics tighter than my old jeans. The downturn gave them a good smack of financial discipline. No one’s impressed by your 100% growth if you’re setting money on fire. Now, a strong financial profile and high gross margins? That’s the new hotness. Free cash flow over 30%? Now we’re talking. Second, there’s this pent-up demand. Companies like CoreWeave and Anthropic are pulling in around a billion in revenue. They can keep cruising on private IPO financings, but Wall Street’s practically on its knees begging them to go public. Think Wiz and a whole army of other category winners north of $500M. But here’s what’s missing: deep tech and clean tech. Yeah, it’s a bummer, but those guys are nowhere to be found in the IPO pipeline. Also companies like Stripe are opting to stay private. Will be interesting to see if pivot and go for a massive raise and IPO once rates come down and their valuation goes over $100B+ And let’s not kid ourselves – a regime change in the US is on the horizon. Activist regulators like Lina Khan might be packing their bags soon, which means big M&A deals might finally get the green light. But hey, what do I know? I just read stuff on Twitter. Let’s see how this circus unfolds.

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Lisa Baker

Proud Marine | ENTJ-A | Certified Project Management Professional ➤ Management Analyst

1mo

Metrics tighter than my old jeans😂. I look forward to reading your commentary as things unfold.

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Kaushal J.

🤝 A Trusted Ally: Your Lifetime Partner Growing Your CPA Practice 📈 Global Marketing Consultant | Moonshot Thinker | Strategist | Thought Leader | Growth Catalyst

1mo

Great perspective!

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