🔴🇺🇸🇨🇳 (Part 5 of 5) Yellen’s Mission in Beijing
Apr 09, 2024
Warwick Powell
Adjunct Professor, Queensland University of Technology,
Senior Fellow, Beijing Taihe Institute
The evidence simply does not support Yellen’s propositions. That’s one of the reasons why they won’t fly.
🔶Her argument is that Chinese output and exports are distortionary.
🔸If by distortionary she means ‘driving down prices’, then I guess she’s right.
🔸The issue is thus distributional. Incumbent legacy motor vehicle manufacturers will be impacted. That’s what competition does.
🔸Unsurprisingly, and perhaps not so coincidentally, as the U.S. becomes the most vocal critic of Chinese EVs,
🔸let it not be forgotten that the U.S. is also the world’s single largest producer of crude oil.
🔶If you’ve no incumbent motor vehicle manufacturing capacity,
🔸then lower costs to support electrification is a desirable outcome.
🔶Detroit-based manufacturers are no doubt at the forefront of Yellen’s mind,
🔸but that means much less to households and enterprises in developing countries seeking to
🔸reduce costs,
🔸electrify for green development
🔸and increase energy sovereignty.
Chinese EV manufacturers are investing in factories in other parts of the world to service markets. They are already establishing factories in Hungary, Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia, Mexico and Brazil.
🔶If the U.S. was concerned about ‘cheap imports’,
🔸Yellen may have been better advised to take a leaf out of Italian Prime Minister Georgia Meloni’s book and reach out to Chinese car makers to invite them to set up shop in the U.S..
❇️🇺🇸🇨🇳 (Part 1 of 5) Yellen’s Mission in Beijing
Apr 09, 2024
Warwick Powell
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https://lnkd.in/gUvxTw8P
❇️ APPENDICES
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Diplomat, U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration
3moGreat interview with our boss!