Harris leads Trump in our election poll tracker

Harris leads Trump in our election poll tracker

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America’s pollsters would rather forget the past two presidential elections. In 2016 they accurately predicted Hillary Clinton’s margin in the popular vote, but failed to account for a Republican surge in swing states across the Midwest, which were crucial to Donald Trump’s victory. And in 2020 pollsters expected Joe Biden to win with an 8.4-point margin in the popular vote; it turned out to be about half that. This year Mr Biden was trailing Mr Trump by three points in the national vote before the Democrats switched horses.

The gambit seems to have worked, for now: our daily updated poll tracker puts Kamala Harris three points ahead of Mr Trump nationally. Democrats will pray that pollsters have got it right this time. Even if they have, such a margin may not be enough to overcome a big electoral-college disadvantage in November. After all, Republicans have won three of the past six elections, but led the popular vote in only one.

Bo Franklin, senior digital editor


Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in our nationwide poll tracker

It is the first lead for a Democratic contender since October 2023

Donald Trump v Kamala Harris: who’s ahead in the polls?

Tracking the contest to be America's next president

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ILLUSTRATION: DAVID SIMONDS

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Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are trying to make Democrats normal again

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In Michigan, Republicans are selling a kinder, gentler Trumpism to college-educated voters; it isn’t sticking yet

Is Kamala Harris “brat”?

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Asanda Mbewu

My passion is in socio-economic development and research. I have been involved in many strategic programmes like urban renewal, urban farming, livelihood research & NPO support. For me, it's the STRATEGY, then the rest.

1w

The biasness, watch the BBC to see the total alignment. I was watching some expert singing praises on how a certain candidate improved in dealing with a RECORDED interview

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Christopher Stanley

Real Estate Consultant | Sustainability Strategy, Sustainability Management

2w

Kamala Harris will be President.

Fran Álvarez Martínez

Asesor Financiero en Occident- Grado en Turismo/Grado en Administración de Empresas.

3w

Democrats.... they are not. They are the weirdest ever. They are bodies without brains. They insult everyone who dares to speak the truth.

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Too Far Gone: A Nation in Piled Sin Sin brings about deadly consequences which Adam and Eve experienced when they fell out of the prefect relationship with God. They were in his presence and they allowed the devil to place sin upon their lives and changed the course of living. Our nation is too far gone. Sin has piled up and people don’t know heaven from hell. They don’t know Jesus from Satan. They don’t know life from death. We will experience hardship that we never have experienced before. A nation too far gone in sin, leading to death from not serving the Lord. While the nation would never be the same, can you change your life before it’s too late? Can you think about your soul? Are you thinking about your children and your loved ones getting to heaven? The time is right now to stop putting attention in this world, and begin living for the Lord. I wait for the Lord, my whole being waits, and in his word I put my hope. Psalm 130:5 #mentalhealth #motivation #inspiration #faith #hope #salvation #future #life #heaven #love #god #jesus #bible #soul #eternity #christ #lord #savior

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