2019-20 NHL playoff chances and standings projections

2019-20 NHL playoff chances and standings projections
By Dom Luszczyszyn
Mar 12, 2020

Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team’s projected record, its probability of making the playoffs, its odds of advancing to each subsequent round, including winning the Stanley Cup, as well as win probabilities for every game each night.

The projections are based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, which factors in each team’s projected strength, current health, and their strength of schedule (which includes opponent strength, venue and rest). Each team’s projected strength is based on the projected value of the players on its roster based on Game Score Valued Added (GSVA), which can be found hereYou can read more about GSVA and the model here.

This page will be updated each morning. Click to expand any chart for a larger view.


Last updated: March 12, 1:45 a.m. ET.

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Dom Luszczyszyn

Dom Luszczyszyn is a national NHL writer for The Athletic who writes primarily about hockey analytics and new ways of looking at the game. Previously, he’s worked at The Hockey News, The Nation Network and Hockey Graphs. Follow Dom on Twitter @domluszczyszyn