Arizona Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted
Arizona Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted
The numbers on this page are estimates from exit polls conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool. These surveys interviewed voters outside of polling places or early voting sites, or by phone (to account for mail-in voters).
Results from interviews with 1,639 voters are shown below. These numbers have been adjusted to match the actual vote count.
While exit polls offer an initial indication of how groups voted on election night, they are not perfect. The polls are not precise enough to distinguish between, say, 53 percent support or 50 percent support from a certain group. Like any survey, they are subject to sampling error, and they rely on estimates of how many people voted in each group.
Demographic
 |  |
Are you male or female?
Male 48% of voters | 50% | 48% |
Female 52% | 48 | 51 |
What is your racial or ethnic heritage?
White 74% of voters | 52 | 46 |
Black 2% | — | — |
Hispanic/Latino 19% | 37 | 61 |
Asian 2% | — | — |
Other 4% | — | — |
| | |
How old are you?
18-29 16% of voters | 32 | 63 |
30-44 20% | 51 | 47 |
45-64 32% | 55 | 44 |
65 or over 31% | 50 | 49 |
What is your level of education?
College graduate 41% of voters | 46 | 53 |
No college degree 59% | 51 | 47 |
| | |
Are you gay, lesbian, bisexual or transgender?
Yes 8% of voters | — | — |
No 92% | 51 | 48 |
Compared to four years ago, is your family's financial situation:
Better today 44% of voters | 83 | 15 |
Worse today 15% | 8 | 91 |
About the same 41% | 27 | 71 |
| | |
Is this the first year you have ever voted?
Yes 8% of voters | — | — |
No 92% | 50 | 48 |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
Liberal 22% of voters | 6 | 93 |
Moderate 36% | 32 | 67 |
Conservative 42% | 87 | 11 |
| | |
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:
Democrat 26% of voters | 3 | 96 |
Republican 35% | 90 | 9 |
Independent or something else 39% | 44 | 53 |
What kind of place do you live in?
City of 50K or more 46% of voters | 42 | 56 |
Suburb 46% | 55 | 45 |
Small city or rural area 9% | 55 | 41 |
| | |
In which part of the state do you live?
Maricopa County 61% of voters | 48 | 50 |
Pima County 15% | 40 | 59 |
Rest of state 24% | 57 | 41 |
Are you white or nonwhite?
White 74% of voters | 52 | 46 |
Nonwhite 26% | 39 | 59 |
| | |
What is your gender and racial or ethnic heritage?
White men 34% of voters | 52 | 46 |
White women 40% | 52 | 46 |
Black men 1% | — | — |
Black women 1% | — | — |
Latino men 9% | 40 | 58 |
Latino women 9% | 34 | 65 |
All other races 5% | — | — |
What is your race and education level?
White college graduate 33% of voters | 46 | 53 |
White noncollege graduate 41% | 57 | 41 |
Nonwhite college graduate 8% | 41 | 58 |
Nonwhite noncollege graduate 18% | 38 | 60 |
Issues and attitudes
| | |
Which one of these five issues mattered most in deciding how you voted for president?
Racial inequality 12% of voters | 6 | 93 |
The coronavirus pandemic 21% | 4 | 95 |
The economy 34% | 91 | 8 |
Crime and safety 12% | 87 | 11 |
Health care policy 14% | 20 | 78 |
Which one of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted for president?
Can unite the country 19% of voters | 22 | 77 |
Is a strong leader 26% | 87 | 13 |
Cares about people like me 22% | 41 | 57 |
Has good judgment 28% | 38 | 60 |
| | |
Who would better handle the coronavirus pandemic?
Joe Biden 51% of voters | 4 | 95 |
Donald Trump 47% | 98 | 1 |
Who would better handle the economy?
Joe Biden 46% of voters | <1 | 99 |
Donald Trump 52% | 94 | 5 |
| | |
Which is more important?
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy 49% of voters | 13 | 86 |
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus 45% | 87 | 11 |
Was your vote for president mainly:
For your candidate 61% of voters | 60 | 38 |
Against his opponent 31% | 26 | 72 |
| | |
How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Approve 49% of voters | 97 | 2 |
Disapprove 50% | 2 | 96 |
Is your opinion of Donald Trump:
Favorable 48% of voters | 97 | 2 |
Unfavorable 51% | 3 | 95 |
| | |
Is your opinion of Joe Biden:
Favorable 49% of voters | 5 | 95 |
Unfavorable 50% | 92 | 6 |
Do you think U.S. efforts to contain the coronavirus pandemic are going:
Very well 20% of voters | 97 | 2 |
Somewhat well 28% | 90 | 9 |
Somewhat badly 14% | 17 | 78 |
Very badly 37% | 3 | 97 |
| | |
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
Excellent or good 47% of voters | 87 | 12 |
Not so good or poor 51% | 14 | 84 |
Is racism in the U.S.:
Most important problem or one of many important problems 68% of voters | 32 | 66 |
A minor problem or not a problem at all 30% | 87 | 12 |
| | |
Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:
Legal 53% of voters | 24 | 74 |
Illegal 41% | 79 | 20 |
How confident are you that votes in your state will be counted accurately?
Very confident 45% of voters | 39 | 58 |
Somewhat confident 41% | 55 | 44 |
Not very confident 8% | 65 | 35 |
Not at all confident 4% | — | — |
| | |
When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the presidential election?
In the last month 12% of voters | 47 | 51 |
Before that 85% | 48 | 50 |
When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the presidential election?
In the last week — of voters | — | — |
Before that 97% | 48 | 50 |
| | |
For which of the presidential candidates do you have a favorable opinion?
Both 3% of voters | — | — |
Only Biden 46% | 1 | 99 |
Only Trump 45% | 99 | 1 |
Neither 5% | — | — |
More breakdowns
| | |
How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Strongly approve 39% of voters | 99 | 1 |
Somewhat approve 11% | 89 | 8 |
Somewhat disapprove 6% | — | — |
Strongly disapprove 44% | 1 | 98 |
Do you think U.S. efforts to contain the coronavirus pandemic are going:
Very well or somewhat well 48% of voters | 93 | 6 |
Very badly or somewhat badly 50% | 7 | 92 |
| | |
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
Excellent 13% of voters | 95 | 4 |
Good 34% | 84 | 15 |
Not so good 28% | 21 | 76 |
Poor 23% | 5 | 93 |
Is racism in the U.S.:
The most important problem 9% of voters | 23 | 76 |
One of many important problems 60% | 34 | 65 |
A minor problem 20% | 86 | 12 |
Not a problem at all 10% | 87 | 11 |
| | |
Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:
Legal in all cases 18% of voters | 7 | 93 |
Legal in most cases 35% | 32 | 65 |
Illegal in most cases 29% | 80 | 19 |
Illegal in all cases 11% | 76 | 22 |
How confident are you that votes in your state will be counted accurately?
Very or somewhat confident 86% of voters | 47 | 52 |
Not very or not at all confident 13% | 64 | 36 |
| | |
When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the presidential election?
In the last few days — of voters | — | — |
In the last week — | — | — |
In October 12% | 47 | 51 |
In September 8% | 41 | 52 |
Before that 76% | 49 | 50 |
What best describes your level of education?
Never attended college 16% of voters | 51 | 49 |
Attended college but received no degree 28% | 51 | 46 |
Associate’s degree 14% | 52 | 46 |
Bachelor’s degree 25% | 50 | 49 |
Graduate degree 16% | 40 | 60 |
| | |
How old are you?
18-24 11% of voters | — | — |
25-29 5% | — | — |
30-39 13% | 46 | 51 |
40-49 14% | 58 | 40 |
50-64 26% | 55 | 45 |
65 or over 31% | 50 | 49 |
How old are you?
18-44 36% of voters | 43 | 54 |
45+ 64% | 53 | 47 |
| | |
Are you:
White female college graduate 17% of voters | 44 | 56 |
White female not a college graduate 24% | 59 | 40 |
White male college graduate 16% | 49 | 50 |
White male not a college graduate 18% | 54 | 43 |
Not any of these 26% | 39 | 59 |
These estimates are subject to sampling error. The potential error is greater for smaller subgroups, or for characteristics that are concentrated in a few polling places. They are also subject to other types of errors, such as those that would arise if certain types of people were unwilling to talk to exit poll workers.
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