Likely Electorate Cross-Tabs: October 2023 Times/Siena Poll of the 2024 Battlegrounds

Nov. 5, 2023

Responses from a survey of the likely electorate in six battleground states conducted by The New York Times and Siena College from Oct. 22 to Nov. 3, 2023.

(Split A) Do you think the United States is on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction? [IF NEEDED: Based on anything you may have seen or heard, if you had to pick, would you say right track or wrong direction?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Right track	23%	24%	22%	24%	21%	21%	24%	25%	21%	21%	18%	20%	29%	20%	33%	31%	20%	26%	21%	24%	18%	32%	28%	26%	24%	19%	21%	22%	26%	43%	5%	10%	43%	6%	22%	42%	6%	42%	4%	20%
Wrong direction	67%	68%	68%	61%	69%	67%	67%	68%	66%	67%	70%	71%	60%	70%	54%	59%	69%	62%	70%	64%	74%	56%	61%	62%	64%	73%	65%	67%	67%	42%	90%	73%	43%	89%	66%	43%	89%	44%	91%	65%
[VOLUNTEERED] Don't know/Refused	11%	8%	10%	15%	11%	11%	9%	8%	13%	12%	12%	9%	11%	10%	12%	10%	11%	12%	10%	12%	9%	11%	11%	12%	11%	9%	14%	11%	8%	15%	6%	17%	14%	5%	12%	15%	5%	14%	5%	15%
Number of respondents	1,838	292	325	326	282	307	306	894	917	321	411	638	413	1,231	216	235	111	808	1,022	579	648	203	357	456	753	629	417	593	707	807	897	134	558	565	550	834	879	759	704	280
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	17%	17%	15%	17%	17%	46%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	70%	11%	12%	5%	37%	62%	27%	43%	9%	19%	23%	42%	35%	22%	33%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	26%	46%	49%	44%	42%	9%

Thinking ahead to next year’s presidential general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, or not at all likely to vote?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Almost certain	59%	51%	59%	60%	47%	69%	65%	61%	57%	44%	54%	65%	62%	62%	52%	47%	48%	67%	54%	69%	58%	59%	44%	55%	59%	62%	53%	57%	66%	62%	57%	44%	62%	60%	55%	62%	58%	63%	62%	28%
Very likely	32%	40%	34%	29%	39%	23%	29%	30%	34%	40%	34%	28%	33%	31%	34%	39%	38%	28%	35%	26%	34%	34%	38%	33%	33%	31%	33%	35%	29%	31%	34%	30%	32%	34%	32%	31%	34%	32%	33%	35%
Somewhat likely	5%	5%	4%	6%	9%	5%	3%	5%	5%	11%	8%	3%	3%	4%	9%	8%	9%	3%	7%	3%	5%	4%	11%	8%	5%	4%	7%	6%	3%	4%	5%	12%	4%	4%	7%	5%	5%	4%	4%	19%
Not very likely	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	3%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	6%
Not at all likely	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	<.5%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	3%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	3%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	6%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	9%
[VOL] Already voted	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	5%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Includes leaners) Thinking about the upcoming presidential election in 2024, if the election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican? FOLLOW UP: Are you definitely or probably voting for them? [IF NEEDED: If you had to decide today...]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	45%	44%	44%	46%	41%	44%	47%	38%	50%	50%	45%	43%	46%	40%	77%	52%	37%	53%	40%	51%	33%	60%	58%	55%	49%	32%	48%	47%	43%	100%	0%	0%	90%	4%	45%	90%	5%	89%	2%	35%
Donald Trump	48%	49%	49%	46%	52%	49%	45%	55%	42%	44%	46%	52%	47%	54%	17%	40%	54%	39%	54%	41%	62%	32%	35%	37%	45%	61%	46%	48%	49%	0%	100%	0%	6%	92%	44%	6%	89%	6%	95%	49%
[VOL] Another candidate	2%	2%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	0%	29%	<1%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	1%	4%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	2%	2%	1%	3%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	0%	0%	33%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	7%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	5%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	1%	3%	0%	0%	37%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	5%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Without leaners) Thinking about the upcoming presidential election in 2024, if the election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican? FOLLOW UP: Are you definitely or probably voting for them? [IF NEEDED: If you had to decide today...]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Definitely Joe Biden	34%	35%	32%	35%	33%	35%	36%	29%	39%	32%	33%	33%	39%	32%	56%	33%	24%	43%	29%	43%	26%	46%	38%	41%	38%	25%	34%	36%	34%	77%	0%	0%	76%	2%	30%	72%	2%	72%	<1%	18%
Probably Joe Biden	6%	6%	7%	8%	5%	5%	8%	7%	6%	14%	8%	6%	3%	5%	13%	13%	8%	5%	7%	5%	4%	8%	14%	8%	7%	5%	9%	6%	6%	15%	0%	0%	9%	1%	9%	11%	2%	11%	1%	10%
Probably Donald Trump	7%	6%	7%	8%	7%	7%	6%	7%	7%	11%	7%	6%	5%	7%	5%	7%	10%	5%	8%	6%	7%	5%	8%	5%	7%	7%	7%	7%	6%	0%	14%	0%	2%	9%	8%	2%	11%	1%	10%	14%
Definitely Donald Trump	38%	40%	38%	33%	41%	38%	36%	43%	33%	27%	34%	43%	39%	43%	11%	30%	40%	30%	43%	31%	50%	25%	25%	29%	34%	48%	36%	36%	39%	0%	78%	0%	3%	78%	29%	2%	72%	3%	79%	28%
[VOL] Another candidate	5%	4%	6%	5%	2%	5%	5%	5%	5%	6%	6%	4%	4%	5%	3%	4%	6%	5%	4%	6%	4%	4%	4%	5%	4%	5%	5%	5%	5%	3%	3%	29%	2%	3%	8%	3%	4%	4%	3%	7%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	4%	4%	3%	5%	6%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	6%	4%	4%	4%	3%	3%	5%	6%	4%	6%	4%	5%	2%	5%	5%	4%	3%	4%	5%	2%	2%	33%	3%	2%	8%	3%	4%	4%	2%	13%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	5%	6%	6%	6%	6%	6%	6%	6%	7%	7%	4%	6%	4%	9%	8%	8%	5%	6%	4%	4%	7%	8%	7%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	4%	3%	37%	5%	3%	8%	5%	4%	5%	3%	11%
NET Biden	41%	41%	39%	42%	38%	40%	44%	35%	46%	46%	40%	39%	43%	37%	69%	47%	32%	49%	36%	48%	30%	54%	52%	49%	45%	30%	44%	42%	40%	91%	0%	0%	86%	4%	39%	83%	4%	83%	2%	28%
NET Trump	45%	46%	45%	41%	48%	45%	41%	50%	40%	38%	40%	49%	44%	49%	16%	37%	50%	35%	50%	37%	57%	29%	33%	34%	41%	56%	43%	43%	45%	0%	92%	0%	5%	87%	37%	5%	83%	4%	90%	42%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(If not supporting Trump or Biden) If you had to decide between the two today, would you lean more toward:
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat	26%	24%	34%	25%	23%	30%	22%	20%	32%	27%	26%	33%	24%	21%	53%	37%	31%	26%	26%	25%	18%	36%	44%	34%	30%	16%	29%	31%	24%	100%	0%	0%	50%	10%	26%	53%	8%	50%	6%	25%
Donald Trump, the Republican	27%	23%	22%	31%	30%	28%	26%	35%	19%	36%	30%	25%	20%	33%	9%	14%	23%	23%	30%	25%	39%	17%	14%	18%	26%	35%	23%	31%	27%	0%	100%	0%	7%	47%	29%	8%	49%	9%	56%	25%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	47%	53%	44%	44%	47%	42%	52%	45%	49%	37%	44%	42%	57%	46%	38%	49%	46%	51%	43%	51%	43%	47%	42%	48%	45%	49%	48%	38%	50%	0%	0%	100%	43%	43%	45%	38%	43%	42%	38%	51%
Number of respondents	626	88	126	122	99	100	91	311	305	125	180	182	114	392	76	84	48	285	332	191	200	79	125	169	255	202	149	192	227	160	169	297	100	120	297	216	264	196	127	186
Percent of total electorate	100%	15%	17%	19%	16%	17%	17%	46%	52%	14%	27%	28%	26%	66%	10%	12%	7%	41%	56%	28%	37%	10%	18%	27%	40%	33%	21%	30%	37%	26%	27%	47%	20%	21%	45%	37%	43%	36%	24%	19%

(If not supporting Biden) Would you say there’s some chance you will support Joe Biden or not really any chance?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Some chance	4%	5%	6%	5%	5%	3%	3%	4%	5%	9%	6%	3%	3%	3%	7%	7%	8%	3%	5%	3%	3%	4%	9%	5%	5%	3%	6%	4%	4%	0%	6%	24%	3%	3%	7%	4%	4%	4%	3%	12%
Not really any chance	49%	49%	48%	47%	52%	52%	48%	56%	43%	39%	47%	53%	49%	56%	14%	39%	52%	42%	54%	44%	63%	35%	31%	38%	44%	63%	45%	48%	51%	0%	93%	57%	5%	92%	46%	5%	89%	6%	95%	51%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	0%	<1%	19%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	2%
[PREVIOUSLY] Joe Biden	45%	44%	44%	46%	41%	44%	47%	38%	50%	50%	45%	43%	46%	40%	77%	52%	37%	53%	40%	51%	33%	60%	58%	55%	49%	32%	48%	47%	43%	100%	0%	0%	90%	4%	45%	90%	5%	89%	2%	35%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(If not supporting Trump) Would you say there’s some chance you will support Donald Trump or not really any chance?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Some chance	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	7%	5%	3%	1%	2%	7%	8%	6%	3%	3%	3%	1%	4%	8%	6%	3%	2%	5%	2%	4%	5%	<.5%	18%	3%	2%	5%	4%	3%	4%	2%	10%
Not really any chance	47%	46%	46%	48%	44%	47%	49%	39%	53%	48%	47%	44%	50%	43%	74%	51%	36%	57%	41%	55%	35%	62%	54%	55%	50%	36%	48%	48%	46%	94%	0%	64%	89%	6%	50%	89%	8%	89%	3%	40%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	4%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	0%	18%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	1%
[PREVIOUSLY] Donald Trump	48%	49%	49%	46%	52%	49%	45%	55%	42%	44%	46%	52%	47%	54%	17%	40%	54%	39%	54%	41%	62%	32%	35%	37%	45%	61%	46%	48%	49%	0%	100%	0%	6%	91%	44%	6%	89%	6%	95%	49%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Recoded to age) In what year were you born?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
18-29	13%	13%	14%	14%	15%	13%	10%	13%	12%	100%	0%	0%	0%	11%	12%	26%	20%	9%	15%	9%	12%	12%	24%	16%	14%	10%	17%	15%	9%	15%	12%	11%	14%	9%	16%	15%	11%	12%	8%	43%
30-44	21%	20%	21%	22%	21%	21%	21%	23%	20%	0%	100%	0%	0%	19%	25%	26%	35%	28%	17%	27%	14%	32%	25%	25%	21%	19%	14%	22%	27%	21%	20%	26%	21%	17%	25%	23%	19%	24%	18%	24%
45-64	33%	31%	34%	33%	32%	33%	35%	33%	33%	0%	0%	100%	0%	33%	34%	33%	30%	36%	31%	35%	31%	37%	30%	32%	34%	33%	27%	30%	43%	32%	36%	25%	32%	35%	34%	31%	36%	32%	38%	19%
65+	29%	31%	26%	29%	27%	30%	32%	27%	31%	0%	0%	0%	100%	34%	24%	13%	12%	23%	33%	26%	39%	14%	19%	22%	29%	35%	39%	31%	18%	30%	28%	32%	31%	35%	23%	29%	30%	30%	32%	12%
Refused	3%	5%	4%	2%	5%	3%	2%	3%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	5%	2%	5%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	7%	2%	4%	2%	2%	4%	2%	4%	2%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

What is the highest educational level that you have completed? [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Grade school	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	6%	6%	0%	3%	0%	2%	0%	7%	3%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%
High school	28%	23%	27%	30%	26%	31%	31%	29%	27%	40%	17%	24%	35%	28%	29%	32%	24%	0%	45%	0%	46%	0%	44%	25%	26%	33%	43%	26%	17%	23%	34%	20%	26%	35%	23%	24%	32%	21%	32%	44%
Vocational or trade school	5%	5%	2%	5%	5%	5%	7%	6%	4%	3%	5%	5%	5%	5%	2%	5%	5%	0%	8%	0%	8%	0%	6%	4%	4%	6%	6%	6%	3%	3%	6%	4%	3%	6%	4%	3%	6%	3%	6%	4%
Some college, no degree	17%	20%	16%	17%	19%	12%	17%	16%	18%	20%	17%	17%	17%	17%	20%	20%	15%	0%	27%	0%	27%	0%	29%	18%	16%	18%	20%	19%	14%	17%	17%	14%	18%	17%	16%	17%	17%	17%	17%	21%
Associate’s degree	10%	10%	12%	11%	10%	10%	10%	10%	11%	9%	9%	11%	10%	11%	13%	8%	6%	0%	17%	0%	17%	0%	14%	9%	10%	12%	9%	13%	9%	10%	10%	12%	9%	10%	11%	10%	11%	10%	11%	7%
Bachelor's degree	23%	23%	24%	22%	22%	24%	24%	23%	23%	23%	28%	26%	17%	23%	20%	19%	27%	62%	0%	61%	0%	63%	0%	24%	25%	20%	10%	23%	32%	26%	19%	26%	23%	20%	27%	26%	21%	28%	21%	12%
Graduate or professional degree	14%	16%	16%	13%	13%	16%	11%	13%	15%	4%	21%	15%	13%	15%	14%	9%	17%	38%	0%	39%	0%	37%	0%	16%	17%	10%	6%	12%	23%	18%	10%	19%	16%	10%	18%	17%	12%	19%	11%	8%
[VOL] Refused	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	3%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

If Joe Biden were not the Democratic nominee, do you think you would: [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Definitely vote for the Democratic candidate	32%	32%	31%	35%	30%	34%	30%	26%	38%	29%	32%	31%	36%	30%	54%	32%	23%	39%	28%	39%	24%	39%	39%	39%	35%	24%	34%	32%	33%	69%	1%	13%	72%	2%	27%	66%	3%	67%	1%	16%
Probably vote for the Democratic candidate	16%	17%	16%	15%	15%	15%	20%	16%	17%	29%	20%	14%	12%	14%	23%	24%	17%	18%	15%	17%	13%	23%	22%	20%	17%	14%	16%	17%	16%	25%	7%	28%	20%	5%	26%	25%	8%	24%	6%	26%
Probably vote for Donald Trump, the Republican	11%	11%	8%	13%	13%	13%	11%	14%	9%	14%	14%	11%	8%	12%	9%	11%	13%	11%	12%	12%	12%	9%	12%	10%	10%	14%	10%	11%	13%	1%	22%	4%	2%	19%	13%	2%	21%	2%	20%	19%
Definitely vote for Donald Trump, the Republican	30%	31%	31%	28%	31%	29%	28%	34%	26%	19%	23%	34%	34%	34%	6%	22%	30%	21%	35%	22%	42%	18%	17%	22%	26%	39%	30%	30%	28%	<.5%	61%	<1%	2%	67%	18%	1%	58%	2%	64%	20%
[VOL] Another candidate	2%	<1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	12%	<1%	2%	4%	1%	2%	1%	2%	4%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	14%	<.5%	1%	4%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	6%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	6%	8%	5%	5%	6%	5%	6%	6%	6%	7%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	11%	6%	6%	5%	6%	6%	6%	5%	7%	5%	5%	5%	5%	3%	6%	28%	3%	5%	9%	3%	6%	4%	5%	10%
NET Democratic candidate	49%	49%	47%	51%	45%	49%	51%	42%	55%	58%	52%	45%	48%	44%	78%	56%	41%	57%	43%	56%	37%	61%	61%	59%	52%	37%	51%	50%	49%	94%	8%	41%	92%	7%	53%	91%	11%	91%	7%	41%
NET Trump	41%	42%	39%	41%	44%	42%	39%	48%	35%	34%	36%	45%	43%	46%	14%	34%	43%	32%	47%	34%	54%	27%	29%	32%	37%	53%	40%	41%	42%	2%	83%	5%	4%	86%	31%	3%	78%	4%	84%	39%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

If Donald Trump were not the Republican nominee, do you think you would: [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Definitely vote for Joe Biden, the Democrat	21%	21%	23%	23%	22%	21%	18%	17%	25%	15%	19%	21%	26%	18%	47%	26%	14%	23%	20%	21%	16%	29%	33%	29%	23%	14%	27%	20%	19%	46%	<1%	2%	54%	<1%	12%	46%	<1%	44%	<.5%	12%
Probably vote for Joe Biden, the Democrat	15%	15%	13%	15%	14%	16%	20%	14%	17%	27%	18%	13%	12%	14%	21%	18%	17%	19%	13%	20%	11%	17%	20%	19%	17%	12%	15%	19%	15%	32%	2%	6%	29%	1%	19%	32%	2%	30%	1%	18%
Probably vote for the Republican candidate	18%	23%	14%	21%	18%	17%	16%	20%	16%	27%	23%	18%	11%	18%	14%	21%	23%	20%	18%	19%	18%	20%	18%	16%	20%	18%	15%	18%	22%	11%	24%	27%	7%	19%	29%	10%	26%	11%	22%	31%
Definitely vote for the Republican candidate	34%	32%	37%	29%	34%	35%	37%	39%	30%	20%	27%	39%	40%	40%	7%	23%	30%	28%	38%	30%	46%	20%	18%	24%	30%	46%	32%	33%	35%	2%	67%	16%	2%	75%	22%	2%	66%	3%	71%	24%
[VOL] Another candidate	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	11%	1%	<1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	2%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	14%	1%	<1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	1%	4%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	7%	6%	8%	8%	6%	7%	4%	6%	7%	7%	6%	5%	8%	6%	7%	7%	8%	7%	6%	5%	6%	8%	7%	7%	7%	6%	7%	5%	5%	7%	3%	25%	6%	2%	10%	7%	3%	7%	3%	9%
NET Republican candidate	52%	55%	51%	51%	53%	52%	53%	59%	47%	48%	50%	57%	51%	58%	21%	44%	53%	47%	56%	49%	64%	40%	36%	40%	50%	64%	47%	52%	57%	12%	91%	43%	9%	95%	51%	12%	91%	14%	93%	55%
NET Biden	37%	36%	35%	37%	36%	37%	38%	30%	42%	42%	37%	34%	38%	32%	68%	44%	31%	42%	34%	41%	26%	47%	52%	48%	39%	25%	42%	39%	34%	78%	3%	8%	83%	2%	31%	77%	2%	74%	2%	30%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

And who would you vote for if the candidates were: [READ LIST] [IF NEEDED: If you had to decide today, are you leaning toward one candidate?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat	43%	42%	44%	44%	41%	43%	44%	38%	48%	49%	44%	41%	44%	37%	79%	52%	38%	50%	39%	48%	30%	57%	61%	55%	47%	30%	48%	45%	41%	90%	4%	18%	90%	4%	42%	88%	5%	85%	2%	37%
Ron DeSantis [Duh-San-Tis], the Republican	46%	46%	45%	43%	45%	47%	48%	53%	39%	38%	45%	50%	45%	52%	14%	33%	46%	40%	49%	44%	58%	29%	29%	33%	41%	60%	39%	47%	50%	5%	85%	30%	5%	87%	44%	6%	84%	7%	89%	40%
[VOL] Another candidate	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	3%	8%	<.5%	2%	3%	<1%	3%	<1%	3%	3%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	3%	4%	3%	4%	6%	3%	1%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	2%	5%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	5%	3%	5%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	<1%	4%	15%	1%	3%	4%	1%	4%	2%	3%	8%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	7%	6%	7%	5%	6%	4%	5%	7%	9%	5%	4%	6%	5%	3%	8%	10%	5%	6%	4%	6%	6%	6%	5%	7%	5%	7%	4%	4%	4%	4%	30%	4%	4%	8%	4%	5%	5%	3%	13%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

And who would you vote for if the candidates were: [READ LIST] [IF NEEDED: If you had to decide today, are you leaning toward one candidate?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat	38%	37%	40%	36%	37%	39%	39%	32%	43%	45%	39%	35%	40%	32%	73%	51%	34%	43%	35%	41%	26%	51%	58%	48%	43%	25%	44%	40%	35%	80%	3%	12%	85%	2%	33%	79%	3%	76%	2%	34%
Nikki Haley, the Republican	47%	46%	45%	46%	46%	49%	53%	55%	41%	39%	44%	54%	46%	54%	18%	34%	46%	45%	49%	48%	58%	34%	29%	37%	42%	61%	43%	47%	52%	13%	81%	34%	8%	85%	48%	11%	82%	14%	85%	42%
[VOL] Another candidate	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	<.5%	3%	6%	<.5%	3%	2%	<1%	3%	<.5%	3%	3%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	4%	5%	4%	4%	7%	3%	1%	4%	4%	3%	5%	3%	4%	4%	4%	5%	6%	3%	4%	3%	4%	5%	5%	5%	4%	3%	4%	5%	3%	<1%	5%	16%	2%	5%	5%	2%	5%	2%	5%	7%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	9%	9%	8%	12%	8%	8%	6%	7%	10%	11%	9%	6%	8%	8%	5%	9%	13%	8%	9%	7%	9%	8%	8%	8%	9%	8%	8%	7%	8%	6%	7%	31%	5%	6%	12%	7%	7%	7%	6%	14%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

And who would you vote for if the candidates were: [READ LIST] [IF NEEDED: If you had to decide today, are you leaning toward one candidate?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Kamala [COMMA-luh] Harris, the Democrat	44%	43%	44%	48%	42%	44%	46%	36%	52%	53%	47%	42%	44%	39%	79%	53%	41%	52%	40%	50%	32%	61%	60%	56%	48%	32%	48%	46%	43%	91%	4%	29%	89%	4%	46%	88%	6%	87%	3%	37%
Donald Trump, the Republican	48%	48%	47%	46%	50%	48%	48%	56%	41%	41%	46%	52%	47%	54%	17%	39%	52%	39%	54%	41%	61%	32%	34%	36%	44%	61%	46%	48%	49%	3%	94%	15%	6%	91%	43%	6%	88%	6%	94%	47%
[VOL] Another candidate	2%	<1%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	14%	<1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	1%	4%	2%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	<1%	21%	2%	2%	5%	3%	2%	3%	<1%	9%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	4%	3%	1%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	1%	4%	2%	2%	4%	4%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	22%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	1%	6%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Thinking again about the 2024 presidential election, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [READ LIST] [IF NEEDED: If you had to decide today, are you leaning toward one candidate?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat	34%	34%	31%	34%	34%	36%	37%	32%	37%	35%	33%	32%	38%	31%	56%	39%	27%	43%	29%	43%	24%	43%	43%	43%	38%	24%	35%	35%	35%	75%	<1%	6%	75%	2%	30%	71%	3%	71%	1%	22%
Donald Trump, the Republican	36%	34%	38%	34%	40%	36%	35%	42%	31%	28%	30%	41%	38%	41%	10%	30%	39%	29%	41%	31%	47%	23%	25%	27%	33%	46%	35%	34%	38%	<1%	74%	3%	3%	76%	25%	3%	69%	3%	76%	31%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the independent	22%	24%	23%	25%	19%	21%	21%	20%	24%	30%	29%	19%	17%	21%	26%	24%	24%	21%	23%	19%	22%	26%	25%	21%	22%	23%	24%	24%	21%	19%	21%	49%	16%	15%	35%	20%	22%	20%	19%	36%
[VOL] Another candidate	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	7%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	2%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	12%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	6%	6%	5%	6%	6%	5%	4%	7%	6%	7%	5%	5%	5%	6%	5%	9%	5%	5%	5%	5%	6%	6%	6%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	4%	22%	4%	5%	6%	5%	5%	5%	3%	7%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly approve	18%	18%	18%	19%	20%	17%	18%	16%	21%	5%	13%	19%	28%	17%	32%	18%	12%	22%	16%	22%	14%	24%	21%	21%	21%	13%	18%	18%	18%	39%	1%	2%	44%	2%	13%	38%	2%	39%	<1%	6%
Somewhat approve	21%	20%	21%	23%	17%	24%	24%	19%	24%	28%	26%	20%	18%	19%	34%	24%	20%	25%	19%	25%	16%	26%	28%	27%	22%	16%	23%	22%	21%	43%	2%	16%	38%	4%	23%	40%	5%	40%	2%	21%
Somewhat disapprove	11%	10%	11%	11%	12%	10%	10%	10%	12%	27%	14%	8%	6%	9%	16%	17%	15%	10%	11%	9%	9%	13%	17%	12%	11%	10%	13%	12%	9%	12%	8%	25%	10%	8%	15%	12%	8%	11%	6%	31%
Strongly disapprove	47%	50%	47%	44%	50%	48%	46%	54%	42%	38%	46%	52%	46%	53%	17%	39%	49%	42%	51%	43%	59%	35%	32%	38%	43%	59%	42%	47%	50%	4%	87%	47%	7%	86%	46%	8%	84%	8%	90%	39%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	4%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	4%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	9%	1%	<1%	3%	1%	1%	2%	1%	4%
NET Approve	40%	38%	39%	42%	37%	41%	42%	34%	44%	33%	38%	39%	46%	36%	67%	42%	32%	47%	35%	46%	30%	50%	49%	48%	43%	29%	42%	39%	39%	82%	3%	18%	82%	5%	36%	78%	6%	79%	3%	27%
NET Disapprove	58%	60%	59%	55%	61%	58%	57%	64%	53%	64%	61%	60%	52%	62%	32%	55%	64%	52%	63%	52%	68%	48%	49%	51%	54%	69%	56%	59%	59%	16%	95%	72%	17%	94%	61%	20%	92%	19%	96%	69%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump.
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	23%	26%	22%	21%	24%	23%	19%	25%	20%	13%	16%	26%	28%	26%	5%	18%	21%	15%	27%	15%	33%	14%	13%	17%	19%	30%	24%	22%	21%	<1%	45%	2%	2%	52%	12%	2%	43%	2%	49%	14%
Somewhat favorable	19%	17%	21%	20%	20%	19%	19%	23%	16%	25%	22%	20%	13%	19%	15%	19%	29%	16%	22%	16%	22%	15%	21%	16%	18%	23%	18%	18%	20%	3%	36%	8%	5%	28%	22%	5%	33%	4%	33%	27%
Somewhat unfavorable	12%	8%	11%	14%	11%	12%	13%	13%	10%	18%	14%	11%	8%	11%	16%	12%	13%	12%	12%	12%	10%	10%	15%	12%	12%	11%	12%	12%	12%	8%	14%	21%	7%	11%	17%	8%	14%	8%	12%	25%
Very unfavorable	45%	46%	44%	44%	43%	45%	48%	38%	51%	43%	46%	42%	50%	43%	63%	48%	35%	57%	38%	57%	35%	59%	47%	52%	49%	35%	44%	47%	46%	87%	4%	60%	84%	8%	48%	84%	10%	85%	5%	31%
[VOL] Have not heard of	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	<.5%	1%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	10%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	3%
NET Favorable	42%	43%	42%	41%	44%	42%	38%	48%	36%	37%	38%	46%	41%	45%	20%	37%	50%	30%	49%	31%	54%	30%	35%	33%	38%	53%	43%	41%	41%	4%	81%	9%	8%	80%	34%	7%	75%	6%	82%	41%
NET Unfavorable	57%	54%	55%	58%	54%	57%	61%	51%	62%	61%	60%	54%	57%	54%	78%	60%	48%	68%	50%	69%	45%	69%	62%	65%	61%	46%	56%	58%	58%	95%	18%	81%	91%	19%	65%	92%	24%	93%	17%	56%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden.
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	18%	18%	17%	17%	19%	19%	18%	15%	21%	5%	12%	17%	28%	16%	32%	19%	11%	20%	16%	20%	14%	23%	22%	20%	21%	13%	19%	18%	17%	38%	2%	3%	43%	2%	12%	37%	2%	38%	1%	7%
Somewhat favorable	24%	22%	27%	27%	22%	22%	24%	21%	27%	35%	28%	23%	19%	21%	43%	28%	26%	28%	22%	27%	16%	31%	34%	32%	25%	17%	26%	24%	23%	47%	3%	19%	42%	4%	28%	45%	5%	44%	2%	29%
Somewhat unfavorable	13%	12%	11%	15%	10%	13%	14%	13%	12%	28%	19%	9%	5%	12%	12%	14%	19%	13%	13%	12%	12%	14%	15%	12%	13%	12%	13%	14%	12%	11%	12%	24%	9%	11%	18%	12%	12%	11%	10%	29%
Very unfavorable	44%	46%	44%	39%	47%	44%	44%	50%	38%	31%	40%	49%	45%	50%	12%	36%	43%	38%	48%	40%	56%	31%	27%	34%	39%	56%	39%	43%	46%	3%	82%	45%	5%	82%	40%	5%	80%	6%	86%	33%
[VOL] Have not heard of	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	<.5%	3%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	9%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	2%
NET Favorable	42%	40%	44%	44%	41%	42%	42%	35%	48%	39%	40%	41%	48%	37%	76%	47%	37%	48%	38%	47%	31%	54%	56%	52%	46%	30%	46%	42%	40%	86%	5%	22%	85%	6%	40%	82%	7%	82%	3%	36%
NET Unfavorable	56%	58%	54%	54%	57%	57%	57%	63%	50%	60%	59%	58%	50%	62%	24%	50%	61%	50%	60%	52%	68%	45%	42%	46%	52%	68%	52%	57%	59%	13%	94%	69%	14%	93%	58%	17%	92%	17%	96%	61%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

What types of issues are more important in deciding who to vote for in the upcoming 2024 election? [READ LIST] [IF NEEDED: If you had to choose one …]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Societal issues such as abortion, guns or democracy	31%	32%	23%	33%	29%	33%	36%	26%	35%	34%	31%	29%	34%	34%	26%	25%	24%	39%	26%	43%	28%	30%	23%	32%	33%	28%	26%	30%	36%	50%	15%	20%	50%	18%	29%	49%	17%	50%	16%	20%
Economic issues such as jobs, taxes or the cost of living	55%	56%	58%	53%	61%	54%	50%	60%	51%	57%	57%	57%	52%	53%	60%	63%	66%	49%	59%	46%	57%	59%	64%	57%	53%	57%	60%	57%	53%	38%	71%	57%	38%	68%	60%	38%	70%	38%	70%	71%
[VOL] Both equal	12%	9%	18%	12%	10%	11%	12%	12%	12%	8%	11%	13%	12%	12%	14%	10%	10%	10%	13%	10%	13%	10%	12%	10%	12%	14%	12%	12%	10%	11%	12%	15%	12%	12%	10%	12%	12%	11%	12%	8%
[VOL] Neither	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	3%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	2%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	4%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

And when it comes to the November 2024 election, would you say you’re very enthusiastic about voting, somewhat enthusiastic about voting, not very enthusiastic about voting or not at all enthusiastic about voting?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very enthusiastic	50%	55%	50%	43%	51%	50%	53%	53%	48%	31%	39%	53%	63%	54%	40%	46%	39%	51%	50%	53%	54%	48%	40%	49%	49%	52%	47%	51%	52%	48%	57%	18%	52%	63%	37%	48%	56%	48%	61%	20%
Somewhat enthusiastic	27%	26%	25%	28%	27%	29%	24%	25%	29%	34%	32%	25%	21%	25%	34%	29%	33%	26%	27%	25%	25%	26%	34%	28%	27%	25%	27%	26%	26%	29%	25%	26%	29%	23%	28%	28%	25%	28%	23%	36%
Not very enthusiastic	14%	14%	15%	17%	12%	13%	15%	14%	14%	20%	18%	13%	10%	14%	13%	16%	17%	15%	14%	14%	14%	15%	15%	13%	15%	14%	15%	15%	13%	16%	11%	26%	13%	9%	20%	16%	11%	16%	9%	22%
Not at all enthusiastic	8%	4%	9%	12%	9%	6%	7%	8%	8%	14%	10%	7%	4%	7%	13%	9%	10%	8%	8%	6%	7%	10%	11%	9%	8%	7%	10%	8%	8%	7%	6%	25%	5%	5%	14%	8%	7%	7%	5%	21%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<1%	5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%
NET Enthusiastic	77%	81%	75%	71%	78%	79%	77%	77%	77%	65%	71%	79%	84%	79%	74%	74%	73%	77%	77%	79%	79%	74%	74%	77%	76%	78%	74%	77%	78%	76%	82%	44%	81%	86%	65%	76%	81%	76%	84%	56%
NET Not enthusiastic	22%	18%	24%	29%	21%	20%	22%	22%	22%	35%	29%	21%	15%	20%	26%	26%	27%	22%	22%	20%	20%	26%	26%	22%	23%	21%	25%	23%	21%	23%	17%	50%	18%	13%	34%	24%	18%	23%	15%	43%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Thinking about the nation's economy, how would you rate economic conditions today? [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Excellent	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	5%	3%	2%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	5%	<.5%	0%	6%	<.5%	2%	5%	<.5%	5%	<.5%	1%
Good	18%	19%	15%	17%	18%	18%	22%	17%	19%	6%	12%	18%	28%	19%	21%	13%	6%	23%	15%	25%	16%	18%	13%	20%	20%	15%	16%	17%	20%	36%	3%	7%	37%	4%	16%	35%	3%	35%	2%	10%
Only fair	29%	25%	32%	29%	23%	31%	33%	28%	30%	34%	34%	28%	24%	27%	33%	35%	27%	32%	27%	32%	24%	32%	33%	30%	30%	27%	28%	29%	30%	37%	20%	37%	34%	20%	33%	35%	22%	36%	20%	32%
Poor	50%	53%	51%	50%	57%	49%	42%	52%	49%	57%	52%	52%	43%	51%	44%	48%	62%	42%	56%	39%	58%	46%	51%	48%	47%	56%	53%	51%	47%	21%	77%	54%	23%	76%	49%	24%	74%	23%	77%	57%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%
NET Excellent/good	21%	22%	17%	20%	20%	20%	24%	20%	21%	8%	13%	21%	32%	22%	23%	17%	11%	26%	17%	28%	18%	22%	16%	22%	23%	16%	19%	19%	22%	41%	3%	7%	43%	4%	18%	40%	4%	40%	3%	11%
NET Fair/poor	79%	78%	82%	80%	80%	80%	75%	80%	79%	92%	86%	79%	68%	78%	77%	83%	89%	74%	83%	72%	82%	78%	84%	77%	77%	83%	81%	80%	77%	58%	97%	91%	57%	96%	82%	59%	96%	59%	97%	89%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Do you think abortion should be always legal, mostly legal, mostly illegal or always illegal?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Always legal	35%	33%	35%	33%	39%	39%	32%	27%	42%	41%	40%	35%	30%	33%	51%	38%	33%	39%	32%	37%	29%	47%	40%	44%	37%	26%	34%	35%	36%	57%	15%	26%	60%	15%	32%	58%	15%	57%	14%	30%
Mostly legal	27%	26%	24%	29%	26%	26%	30%	31%	24%	31%	27%	26%	25%	28%	21%	23%	30%	29%	25%	31%	27%	24%	23%	27%	27%	26%	24%	30%	29%	29%	24%	27%	25%	23%	34%	28%	25%	30%	23%	32%
Mostly illegal	20%	22%	20%	17%	16%	23%	25%	23%	18%	17%	18%	21%	22%	22%	10%	20%	18%	19%	21%	20%	23%	16%	16%	15%	19%	26%	19%	20%	19%	6%	34%	21%	6%	36%	20%	6%	34%	5%	37%	19%
Always illegal	11%	12%	12%	13%	11%	8%	8%	11%	10%	7%	9%	11%	13%	10%	8%	14%	11%	7%	13%	6%	13%	7%	13%	8%	9%	14%	13%	9%	9%	4%	17%	7%	5%	19%	7%	4%	17%	4%	18%	12%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	7%	7%	10%	8%	9%	5%	5%	8%	6%	4%	6%	7%	9%	7%	9%	5%	8%	6%	8%	5%	8%	6%	8%	7%	7%	9%	9%	6%	6%	4%	9%	18%	4%	8%	7%	4%	9%	4%	9%	7%
NET Legal	62%	59%	59%	62%	65%	64%	62%	58%	65%	73%	67%	61%	56%	61%	73%	61%	63%	68%	58%	68%	56%	71%	63%	70%	64%	52%	58%	65%	65%	87%	40%	53%	85%	37%	66%	86%	40%	87%	36%	62%
NET Illegal	31%	34%	32%	30%	27%	31%	32%	34%	28%	24%	27%	32%	35%	32%	18%	34%	29%	26%	34%	27%	36%	23%	29%	23%	29%	39%	33%	29%	29%	9%	51%	28%	11%	55%	27%	10%	51%	9%	54%	31%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Split A) Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following:
(Split A) The economy [IF NEEDED: Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on...]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	38%	34%	34%	39%	38%	39%	44%	32%	43%	39%	36%	34%	45%	35%	64%	42%	20%	47%	33%	47%	28%	50%	45%	49%	40%	28%	42%	39%	38%	81%	<1%	13%	78%	3%	37%	77%	3%	78%	2%	24%
Donald Trump	58%	61%	58%	57%	60%	58%	52%	65%	52%	57%	59%	62%	51%	62%	27%	55%	74%	48%	63%	50%	69%	43%	50%	46%	55%	68%	51%	58%	59%	14%	99%	56%	17%	96%	56%	18%	95%	16%	97%	74%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	4%	5%	8%	4%	2%	4%	3%	3%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	9%	3%	7%	5%	4%	3%	3%	7%	5%	4%	5%	4%	7%	3%	3%	5%	<1%	31%	5%	<1%	7%	5%	1%	6%	<1%	3%
Number of respondents	1,838	292	325	326	282	307	306	894	917	321	411	638	413	1,231	216	235	111	808	1,022	579	648	203	357	456	753	629	417	593	707	807	897	134	558	565	550	834	879	759	704	280
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	17%	17%	15%	17%	17%	46%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	70%	11%	12%	5%	37%	62%	27%	43%	9%	19%	23%	42%	35%	22%	33%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	26%	46%	49%	44%	42%	9%

(Split A) Immigration [IF NEEDED: Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on...]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	42%	41%	41%	45%	41%	37%	44%	33%	49%	56%	42%	37%	42%	36%	74%	55%	25%	49%	37%	47%	29%	59%	55%	54%	44%	30%	46%	42%	41%	85%	4%	20%	84%	3%	43%	82%	5%	82%	2%	39%
Donald Trump	53%	54%	53%	49%	56%	56%	51%	62%	46%	42%	53%	58%	53%	60%	22%	39%	64%	45%	59%	48%	67%	35%	38%	41%	50%	66%	48%	53%	56%	10%	95%	46%	12%	95%	49%	13%	93%	12%	96%	57%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	5%	5%	6%	6%	3%	6%	5%	5%	5%	3%	6%	5%	5%	4%	4%	6%	10%	6%	5%	5%	4%	6%	6%	5%	6%	4%	6%	5%	4%	5%	2%	34%	4%	2%	8%	5%	2%	6%	2%	4%
Number of respondents	1,838	292	325	326	282	307	306	894	917	321	411	638	413	1,231	216	235	111	808	1,022	579	648	203	357	456	753	629	417	593	707	807	897	134	558	565	550	834	879	759	704	280
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	17%	17%	15%	17%	17%	46%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	70%	11%	12%	5%	37%	62%	27%	43%	9%	19%	23%	42%	35%	22%	33%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	26%	46%	49%	44%	42%	9%

(Split A) National security [IF NEEDED: Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on...]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	42%	39%	41%	45%	41%	40%	48%	35%	48%	41%	42%	41%	46%	38%	75%	48%	24%	50%	37%	49%	31%	56%	53%	55%	45%	31%	45%	42%	44%	88%	2%	20%	86%	4%	43%	83%	5%	84%	2%	29%
Donald Trump	53%	56%	53%	52%	54%	54%	48%	61%	45%	53%	52%	55%	50%	58%	20%	46%	67%	44%	58%	46%	65%	36%	42%	40%	49%	65%	49%	52%	54%	7%	97%	42%	10%	94%	50%	11%	93%	10%	96%	65%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	5%	6%	6%	3%	5%	6%	4%	4%	6%	5%	6%	5%	4%	4%	5%	6%	9%	6%	4%	5%	4%	8%	5%	5%	6%	4%	6%	5%	2%	5%	1%	39%	5%	2%	7%	6%	2%	6%	2%	6%
Number of respondents	1,838	292	325	326	282	307	306	894	917	321	411	638	413	1,231	216	235	111	808	1,022	579	648	203	357	456	753	629	417	593	707	807	897	134	558	565	550	834	879	759	704	280
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	17%	17%	15%	17%	17%	46%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	70%	11%	12%	5%	37%	62%	27%	43%	9%	19%	23%	42%	35%	22%	33%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	26%	46%	49%	44%	42%	9%

(Split A) The Israeli-Palestinian [pah-luh-stin-ian] conflict [IF NEEDED: Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on...]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	41%	41%	39%	42%	40%	39%	44%	34%	47%	45%	38%	40%	45%	38%	66%	46%	25%	51%	35%	50%	30%	56%	46%	52%	44%	30%	45%	41%	42%	85%	2%	16%	83%	4%	41%	81%	6%	82%	3%	26%
Donald Trump	50%	51%	47%	47%	52%	53%	47%	57%	43%	45%	49%	52%	49%	55%	22%	43%	59%	40%	56%	43%	62%	32%	41%	39%	45%	62%	43%	51%	51%	6%	92%	35%	9%	91%	46%	10%	88%	9%	92%	57%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	9%	7%	14%	11%	9%	8%	9%	9%	10%	10%	13%	9%	7%	8%	12%	11%	16%	9%	10%	7%	8%	12%	13%	9%	11%	8%	12%	9%	7%	8%	6%	49%	8%	5%	13%	9%	6%	10%	5%	17%
Number of respondents	1,838	292	325	326	282	307	306	894	917	321	411	638	413	1,231	216	235	111	808	1,022	579	648	203	357	456	753	629	417	593	707	807	897	134	558	565	550	834	879	759	704	280
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	17%	17%	15%	17%	17%	46%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	70%	11%	12%	5%	37%	62%	27%	43%	9%	19%	23%	42%	35%	22%	33%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	26%	46%	49%	44%	42%	9%

(Split A) Abortion [IF NEEDED: Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on...]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	50%	49%	49%	49%	52%	48%	53%	44%	55%	65%	52%	48%	47%	45%	80%	58%	40%	60%	44%	58%	37%	69%	60%	64%	52%	38%	50%	50%	54%	92%	13%	31%	89%	12%	56%	89%	15%	90%	10%	49%
Donald Trump	41%	42%	43%	39%	38%	45%	38%	45%	37%	29%	37%	43%	44%	46%	13%	32%	50%	31%	47%	34%	54%	23%	31%	27%	38%	53%	40%	42%	38%	3%	79%	22%	5%	82%	32%	5%	76%	4%	81%	41%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	9%	9%	8%	12%	10%	7%	9%	10%	8%	5%	12%	9%	8%	8%	7%	10%	10%	9%	9%	7%	9%	8%	10%	9%	9%	9%	9%	8%	8%	5%	8%	47%	5%	7%	12%	6%	9%	6%	9%	10%
Number of respondents	1,838	292	325	326	282	307	306	894	917	321	411	638	413	1,231	216	235	111	808	1,022	579	648	203	357	456	753	629	417	593	707	807	897	134	558	565	550	834	879	759	704	280
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	17%	17%	15%	17%	17%	46%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	70%	11%	12%	5%	37%	62%	27%	43%	9%	19%	23%	42%	35%	22%	33%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	26%	46%	49%	44%	42%	9%

(Split A) Democracy [IF NEEDED: Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on...]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	49%	45%	49%	51%	48%	48%	54%	42%	56%	60%	52%	47%	48%	44%	83%	57%	33%	60%	43%	56%	37%	70%	58%	62%	52%	38%	53%	50%	51%	96%	7%	38%	93%	7%	56%	92%	10%	93%	6%	42%
Donald Trump	45%	46%	45%	42%	47%	49%	41%	52%	39%	35%	41%	48%	47%	51%	13%	36%	57%	35%	51%	39%	58%	23%	35%	33%	42%	57%	41%	43%	46%	2%	88%	27%	4%	88%	38%	4%	85%	4%	89%	50%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	6%	8%	7%	6%	5%	3%	5%	6%	5%	5%	7%	5%	5%	5%	4%	8%	9%	5%	6%	5%	5%	7%	6%	6%	6%	5%	6%	7%	3%	2%	5%	35%	3%	5%	7%	3%	6%	3%	5%	8%
Number of respondents	1,838	292	325	326	282	307	306	894	917	321	411	638	413	1,231	216	235	111	808	1,022	579	648	203	357	456	753	629	417	593	707	807	897	134	558	565	550	834	879	759	704	280
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	17%	17%	15%	17%	17%	46%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	70%	11%	12%	5%	37%	62%	27%	43%	9%	19%	23%	42%	35%	22%	33%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	26%	46%	49%	44%	42%	9%

(Split B) For each of the following items, tell me whether you support or oppose the policy.
(Split B) A federal law banning abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy [IF NEEDED: Tell me whether you support or oppose the policy. FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly support	27%	24%	31%	28%	26%	22%	30%	27%	27%	17%	23%	32%	29%	28%	17%	26%	26%	23%	29%	22%	32%	23%	23%	21%	22%	37%	25%	28%	27%	10%	44%	15%	10%	47%	24%	10%	43%	10%	47%	24%
Somewhat support	15%	19%	11%	15%	12%	16%	19%	17%	14%	22%	11%	15%	16%	15%	14%	17%	18%	14%	17%	13%	17%	16%	16%	14%	17%	15%	16%	15%	17%	12%	18%	14%	12%	15%	20%	12%	18%	12%	18%	19%
Somewhat oppose	14%	9%	19%	13%	13%	16%	14%	14%	14%	19%	16%	12%	13%	13%	20%	13%	15%	14%	14%	13%	14%	17%	15%	15%	13%	14%	13%	15%	14%	14%	13%	22%	13%	14%	14%	13%	14%	13%	13%	17%
Strongly oppose	37%	41%	31%	38%	40%	42%	29%	35%	39%	35%	45%	36%	33%	37%	34%	39%	31%	44%	32%	47%	32%	36%	34%	43%	41%	27%	36%	36%	38%	58%	19%	31%	59%	17%	36%	59%	19%	59%	16%	29%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	7%	7%	8%	6%	9%	4%	7%	7%	6%	6%	5%	5%	8%	5%	12%	6%	10%	5%	7%	4%	6%	8%	10%	6%	8%	6%	10%	5%	4%	6%	6%	17%	6%	6%	6%	7%	5%	6%	6%	10%
NET Support	42%	43%	42%	43%	37%	38%	50%	44%	41%	39%	34%	47%	45%	44%	32%	43%	44%	36%	46%	35%	49%	40%	39%	35%	39%	52%	41%	43%	43%	22%	63%	29%	21%	62%	44%	21%	62%	22%	65%	42%
NET Oppose	51%	50%	50%	51%	53%	58%	43%	48%	53%	55%	60%	48%	46%	51%	55%	51%	46%	58%	46%	60%	45%	53%	50%	58%	54%	41%	49%	52%	52%	72%	31%	53%	72%	32%	50%	72%	33%	72%	29%	46%
Number of respondents	1,825	311	304	291	329	293	297	897	911	325	457	597	380	1,256	187	229	114	797	1,015	579	672	197	329	481	740	604	457	567	671	799	863	163	517	554	614	800	892	767	684	276
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	16%	18%	16%	16%	47%	52%	13%	23%	32%	29%	72%	9%	11%	5%	37%	62%	28%	45%	9%	16%	25%	41%	34%	26%	30%	36%	44%	48%	8%	30%	33%	30%	44%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Split B) Providing additional economic and military support to Ukraine [IF NEEDED: Tell me whether you support or oppose the policy. FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly support	31%	27%	26%	33%	28%	35%	36%	31%	31%	29%	24%	28%	41%	34%	24%	23%	28%	33%	30%	38%	31%	23%	25%	34%	33%	26%	29%	32%	29%	51%	15%	18%	48%	19%	30%	49%	16%	50%	13%	28%
Somewhat support	28%	29%	34%	31%	23%	25%	29%	27%	30%	26%	33%	27%	28%	28%	38%	28%	24%	30%	27%	29%	27%	32%	30%	25%	30%	29%	30%	28%	30%	29%	26%	41%	32%	24%	29%	30%	27%	29%	27%	32%
Somewhat oppose	15%	13%	12%	14%	17%	17%	14%	14%	15%	21%	16%	16%	9%	15%	9%	17%	19%	16%	14%	15%	15%	18%	13%	12%	14%	17%	13%	19%	14%	9%	20%	13%	8%	20%	17%	8%	20%	9%	22%	13%
Strongly oppose	23%	28%	24%	19%	26%	21%	17%	26%	19%	19%	23%	26%	19%	21%	26%	28%	28%	19%	25%	15%	23%	25%	29%	23%	20%	25%	25%	19%	25%	9%	36%	16%	10%	33%	22%	10%	34%	11%	35%	20%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	<1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	<1%	0%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	1%	1%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	1%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	4%	2%	4%	1%	3%	2%	4%	4%	3%	2%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	11%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	6%
NET Support	59%	56%	60%	64%	51%	61%	65%	58%	60%	55%	57%	56%	69%	61%	63%	51%	52%	64%	57%	67%	58%	55%	55%	59%	63%	55%	59%	59%	59%	80%	41%	59%	80%	43%	58%	79%	43%	78%	40%	59%
NET Oppose	37%	41%	36%	33%	43%	38%	31%	40%	34%	40%	39%	42%	28%	35%	35%	45%	47%	34%	39%	30%	38%	43%	41%	35%	34%	42%	38%	38%	39%	18%	56%	28%	18%	53%	39%	18%	54%	19%	57%	33%
Number of respondents	1,825	311	304	291	329	293	297	897	911	325	457	597	380	1,256	187	229	114	797	1,015	579	672	197	329	481	740	604	457	567	671	799	863	163	517	554	614	800	892	767	684	276
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	16%	18%	16%	16%	47%	52%	13%	23%	32%	29%	72%	9%	11%	5%	37%	62%	28%	45%	9%	16%	25%	41%	34%	26%	30%	36%	44%	48%	8%	30%	33%	30%	44%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Split B) Making it harder for migrants at the southern border to seek asylum in the United States [IF NEEDED: Tell me whether you support or oppose the policy. FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly support	33%	34%	31%	33%	34%	31%	34%	36%	30%	14%	20%	40%	43%	35%	19%	32%	21%	28%	35%	29%	40%	26%	25%	26%	29%	42%	34%	32%	33%	14%	52%	21%	14%	55%	30%	14%	51%	15%	55%	21%
Somewhat support	16%	14%	16%	18%	16%	14%	21%	16%	17%	17%	18%	17%	15%	16%	19%	15%	17%	14%	18%	14%	18%	13%	19%	16%	15%	19%	13%	18%	18%	18%	15%	20%	17%	15%	17%	16%	16%	17%	13%	20%
Somewhat oppose	19%	18%	22%	19%	20%	17%	15%	17%	20%	23%	28%	17%	11%	16%	29%	22%	28%	23%	16%	23%	12%	24%	26%	20%	20%	15%	17%	19%	19%	26%	11%	25%	27%	8%	21%	27%	11%	26%	10%	20%
Strongly oppose	27%	31%	26%	23%	25%	34%	25%	28%	27%	41%	30%	22%	26%	27%	29%	28%	30%	29%	27%	28%	26%	31%	27%	34%	30%	19%	32%	26%	26%	38%	18%	22%	40%	17%	26%	40%	17%	39%	17%	30%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	2%	5%	7%	4%	5%	5%	3%	6%	4%	4%	5%	5%	5%	4%	3%	4%	6%	4%	5%	4%	6%	2%	4%	5%	5%	4%	4%	4%	4%	5%	11%	2%	5%	6%	3%	5%	3%	5%	9%
NET Support	49%	48%	47%	51%	50%	44%	55%	52%	47%	32%	38%	56%	58%	52%	39%	47%	38%	42%	54%	43%	57%	39%	44%	42%	44%	61%	47%	50%	51%	32%	66%	41%	31%	69%	47%	30%	67%	32%	68%	41%
NET Oppose	46%	49%	48%	42%	46%	51%	40%	45%	47%	64%	58%	39%	37%	43%	57%	50%	58%	52%	42%	52%	38%	55%	54%	54%	51%	34%	49%	46%	45%	64%	29%	47%	67%	26%	47%	67%	28%	65%	27%	50%
Number of respondents	1,825	311	304	291	329	293	297	897	911	325	457	597	380	1,256	187	229	114	797	1,015	579	672	197	329	481	740	604	457	567	671	799	863	163	517	554	614	800	892	767	684	276
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	16%	18%	16%	16%	47%	52%	13%	23%	32%	29%	72%	9%	11%	5%	37%	62%	28%	45%	9%	16%	25%	41%	34%	26%	30%	36%	44%	48%	8%	30%	33%	30%	44%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Split B) The tariffs on China imposed by President Trump [IF NEEDED: Tell me whether you support or oppose the policy. FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly support	36%	34%	35%	34%	37%	35%	39%	43%	29%	21%	27%	42%	41%	40%	15%	24%	41%	33%	38%	31%	45%	35%	18%	29%	31%	46%	34%	33%	40%	9%	62%	22%	8%	66%	32%	9%	60%	10%	67%	22%
Somewhat support	21%	26%	19%	21%	15%	23%	24%	21%	21%	25%	28%	21%	15%	23%	15%	21%	16%	25%	19%	26%	21%	21%	16%	20%	22%	22%	15%	25%	25%	25%	18%	24%	24%	17%	23%	24%	19%	25%	17%	23%
Somewhat oppose	13%	12%	10%	13%	12%	16%	18%	12%	15%	22%	16%	12%	10%	13%	20%	12%	20%	16%	12%	16%	10%	16%	17%	18%	14%	9%	14%	16%	12%	23%	5%	10%	22%	4%	16%	22%	6%	21%	5%	17%
Strongly oppose	14%	13%	17%	16%	16%	13%	10%	15%	14%	12%	14%	15%	14%	10%	30%	26%	15%	13%	15%	12%	10%	17%	30%	18%	16%	10%	19%	13%	11%	26%	4%	12%	27%	5%	12%	26%	5%	25%	2%	18%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	4%	2%	6%	3%	4%	7%	<1%	2%	5%	4%	5%	2%	5%	3%	9%	7%	2%	4%	4%	3%	3%	6%	7%	3%	4%	4%	5%	4%	3%	4%	2%	13%	7%	2%	3%	5%	2%	5%	2%	6%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	12%	14%	12%	15%	15%	6%	9%	7%	15%	16%	11%	8%	15%	12%	11%	11%	7%	10%	12%	12%	12%	5%	12%	13%	13%	9%	13%	9%	9%	14%	8%	19%	12%	6%	13%	14%	7%	14%	6%	14%
NET Support	57%	59%	54%	55%	52%	59%	63%	64%	51%	46%	55%	64%	56%	63%	29%	44%	57%	57%	57%	57%	66%	56%	34%	48%	53%	68%	49%	57%	65%	34%	80%	46%	32%	83%	55%	33%	80%	35%	85%	45%
NET Oppose	28%	25%	28%	28%	29%	29%	28%	26%	29%	34%	30%	27%	24%	23%	51%	38%	35%	29%	27%	28%	20%	33%	46%	35%	30%	19%	32%	29%	24%	48%	10%	22%	49%	9%	29%	48%	11%	47%	7%	35%
Number of respondents	1,825	311	304	291	329	293	297	897	911	325	457	597	380	1,256	187	229	114	797	1,015	579	672	197	329	481	740	604	457	567	671	799	863	163	517	554	614	800	892	767	684	276
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	16%	18%	16%	16%	47%	52%	13%	23%	32%	29%	72%	9%	11%	5%	37%	62%	28%	45%	9%	16%	25%	41%	34%	26%	30%	36%	44%	48%	8%	30%	33%	30%	44%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Split B) Building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border [IF NEEDED: Tell me whether you support or oppose the policy. FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly support	42%	42%	47%	37%	43%	40%	42%	47%	37%	20%	27%	50%	53%	47%	27%	27%	26%	33%	48%	33%	56%	28%	26%	35%	37%	53%	44%	38%	43%	9%	75%	24%	12%	79%	34%	10%	71%	12%	79%	21%
Somewhat support	13%	15%	12%	15%	10%	15%	14%	15%	12%	16%	19%	11%	11%	13%	20%	9%	19%	16%	12%	16%	10%	15%	15%	10%	15%	14%	10%	17%	13%	12%	13%	27%	9%	11%	20%	11%	14%	12%	11%	20%
Somewhat oppose	13%	16%	10%	11%	12%	10%	16%	12%	13%	24%	14%	10%	10%	11%	12%	19%	17%	12%	13%	12%	11%	12%	18%	14%	13%	11%	10%	15%	13%	19%	6%	18%	18%	4%	15%	18%	7%	18%	5%	23%
Strongly oppose	29%	26%	26%	34%	31%	33%	27%	24%	35%	40%	37%	26%	23%	27%	37%	41%	31%	37%	25%	36%	21%	42%	34%	37%	33%	20%	33%	28%	29%	58%	5%	22%	58%	5%	28%	57%	6%	54%	3%	34%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	2%	4%	3%	5%	2%	1%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	4%	7%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	6%	4%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	9%	3%	1%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	3%
NET Support	55%	57%	59%	52%	53%	55%	56%	62%	49%	35%	46%	61%	64%	60%	46%	36%	45%	49%	59%	50%	66%	43%	41%	45%	52%	67%	54%	55%	55%	20%	87%	50%	21%	90%	53%	22%	86%	24%	90%	41%
NET Oppose	42%	42%	36%	45%	43%	43%	43%	36%	48%	63%	51%	36%	33%	38%	49%	60%	48%	49%	38%	48%	32%	54%	53%	52%	45%	31%	44%	43%	42%	77%	11%	40%	76%	9%	43%	76%	13%	72%	8%	57%
Number of respondents	1,825	311	304	291	329	293	297	897	911	325	457	597	380	1,256	187	229	114	797	1,015	579	672	197	329	481	740	604	457	567	671	799	863	163	517	554	614	800	892	767	684	276
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	16%	18%	16%	16%	47%	52%	13%	23%	32%	29%	72%	9%	11%	5%	37%	62%	28%	45%	9%	16%	25%	41%	34%	26%	30%	36%	44%	48%	8%	30%	33%	30%	44%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Do you think Donald Trump is good for democracy, bad for democracy, or neither good nor bad for democracy?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Good for democracy	33%	35%	34%	29%	33%	34%	31%	37%	29%	21%	23%	38%	37%	37%	8%	26%	37%	25%	38%	26%	44%	20%	22%	25%	30%	41%	32%	31%	32%	2%	65%	6%	4%	67%	24%	4%	61%	3%	69%	21%
Bad for democracy	43%	43%	44%	42%	38%	44%	47%	37%	48%	44%	45%	40%	45%	42%	62%	43%	31%	55%	35%	55%	33%	57%	42%	50%	47%	33%	39%	45%	46%	85%	4%	50%	81%	7%	46%	82%	8%	84%	4%	29%
Neither good nor bad for democracy	22%	20%	20%	25%	27%	22%	21%	24%	21%	33%	30%	20%	16%	20%	28%	28%	31%	19%	24%	18%	21%	21%	33%	23%	21%	24%	27%	22%	20%	13%	30%	34%	14%	24%	29%	13%	30%	13%	26%	45%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	10%	2%	1%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	5%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(If bad for democracy) Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right? [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Donald Trump poses a unique threat to democracy	39%	39%	38%	38%	34%	40%	43%	33%	44%	36%	40%	36%	42%	38%	56%	35%	26%	51%	31%	51%	30%	50%	36%	44%	43%	30%	35%	41%	42%	78%	2%	42%	75%	5%	41%	76%	6%	78%	2%	22%
Donald Trump is not much worse for democracy than typical politicians	4%	3%	5%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	4%	7%	4%	3%	3%	3%	6%	6%	4%	4%	3%	4%	3%	6%	5%	5%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	6%	2%	6%	5%	2%	4%	5%	2%	5%	2%	6%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	1%
[PREVIOUSLY] Good for democracy	33%	35%	34%	29%	33%	34%	31%	37%	29%	21%	23%	38%	37%	37%	8%	26%	37%	25%	38%	26%	44%	20%	22%	25%	30%	41%	32%	31%	32%	2%	65%	6%	4%	67%	24%	4%	61%	3%	69%	21%
[PREVIOUSLY] Neither good nor bad for democracy	22%	20%	20%	25%	27%	22%	21%	24%	21%	33%	30%	20%	16%	20%	28%	28%	31%	19%	24%	18%	21%	21%	33%	23%	21%	24%	27%	22%	20%	13%	30%	34%	14%	24%	29%	13%	30%	13%	26%	45%
[PREVIOUSLY] Don’t know/Refused	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	10%	2%	1%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	5%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Next, regardless of who you support for president, tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with each of the following statements.
Joe Biden is just too old to be an effective president. [IF NEEDED: Tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree...]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly agree	47%	46%	44%	45%	54%	45%	45%	50%	44%	49%	45%	48%	44%	50%	24%	45%	51%	40%	51%	41%	55%	37%	39%	39%	45%	53%	47%	46%	46%	18%	72%	54%	19%	73%	46%	20%	71%	20%	73%	51%
Somewhat agree	24%	23%	24%	24%	20%	23%	27%	23%	24%	31%	25%	23%	21%	22%	31%	27%	25%	27%	21%	27%	19%	28%	28%	29%	24%	20%	21%	24%	26%	35%	14%	23%	32%	14%	28%	34%	15%	34%	13%	25%
Somewhat disagree	14%	12%	13%	14%	13%	17%	15%	13%	15%	12%	19%	13%	14%	14%	19%	13%	13%	17%	12%	18%	11%	16%	15%	14%	15%	13%	13%	15%	15%	22%	7%	12%	22%	7%	14%	22%	7%	21%	7%	12%
Strongly disagree	14%	15%	15%	14%	12%	13%	13%	12%	15%	8%	8%	15%	19%	13%	23%	14%	7%	14%	14%	13%	13%	17%	15%	16%	14%	11%	16%	14%	12%	24%	5%	7%	26%	5%	11%	23%	5%	24%	5%	9%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	2%	3%	4%	3%	<1%	1%	<1%	3%	1%	<1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	5%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%
NET Agree	70%	70%	68%	69%	74%	68%	72%	73%	68%	79%	70%	71%	65%	72%	55%	72%	76%	68%	72%	68%	74%	65%	68%	68%	69%	73%	69%	70%	72%	53%	85%	76%	50%	86%	73%	53%	85%	54%	86%	76%
NET Disagree	28%	27%	28%	28%	25%	30%	28%	24%	31%	20%	28%	27%	33%	27%	42%	26%	21%	31%	26%	31%	24%	33%	30%	30%	29%	24%	29%	29%	27%	46%	13%	18%	48%	12%	25%	45%	13%	45%	12%	21%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Split 1) Donald Trump is just too old to be an effective president. [IF NEEDED: Tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree...]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly agree	18%	22%	21%	22%	16%	16%	11%	13%	23%	19%	19%	19%	17%	15%	29%	29%	27%	20%	17%	17%	13%	31%	27%	19%	21%	14%	22%	17%	18%	32%	4%	26%	34%	4%	18%	31%	6%	33%	4%	17%
Somewhat agree	21%	19%	22%	18%	20%	19%	29%	22%	20%	32%	20%	19%	19%	22%	18%	17%	21%	27%	18%	29%	18%	19%	18%	27%	20%	18%	14%	24%	23%	27%	15%	24%	26%	12%	27%	28%	15%	28%	15%	19%
Somewhat disagree	23%	20%	20%	24%	26%	23%	25%	23%	23%	23%	30%	19%	24%	22%	27%	26%	21%	24%	23%	25%	21%	20%	28%	23%	22%	24%	22%	23%	24%	24%	23%	23%	23%	22%	24%	23%	23%	22%	23%	27%
Strongly disagree	35%	33%	36%	33%	34%	41%	34%	40%	31%	25%	29%	41%	37%	39%	27%	27%	30%	27%	40%	27%	46%	28%	26%	29%	34%	40%	38%	35%	35%	14%	56%	22%	15%	61%	29%	15%	55%	15%	56%	36%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	2%	5%	<1%	3%	3%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	<.5%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	<.5%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	3%	1%	3%	4%	1%	1%	3%	1%	5%	2%	<1%	3%	3%	1%	3%	1%	<1%
NET Agree	39%	42%	43%	40%	37%	35%	40%	35%	44%	51%	40%	38%	36%	37%	47%	46%	48%	47%	35%	46%	31%	51%	45%	46%	42%	32%	36%	41%	41%	59%	20%	49%	60%	16%	44%	59%	21%	60%	20%	36%
NET Disagree	58%	53%	56%	57%	61%	64%	59%	63%	54%	48%	60%	60%	60%	61%	53%	53%	50%	51%	63%	52%	66%	48%	54%	52%	57%	65%	60%	58%	58%	38%	79%	45%	37%	83%	53%	38%	78%	37%	79%	63%
Number of respondents	1,203	195	219	225	190	179	195	616	573	223	273	415	253	808	131	152	78	527	666	382	424	130	228	302	505	396	282	389	451	516	575	112	346	367	382	525	584	490	462	178
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	18%	19%	16%	15%	16%	48%	51%	14%	20%	34%	28%	70%	10%	12%	5%	38%	61%	28%	43%	9%	17%	24%	42%	33%	23%	32%	37%	44%	48%	8%	30%	32%	30%	44%	49%	42%	42%	9%

(Split 2) Do you think Joe Biden has the personality and temperament to be an effective president?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	47%	47%	48%	48%	41%	50%	47%	43%	51%	47%	43%	47%	54%	44%	74%	50%	31%	55%	42%	54%	38%	61%	53%	50%	51%	41%	45%	49%	49%	87%	11%	27%	85%	11%	50%	83%	14%	84%	9%	38%
No	51%	50%	49%	49%	57%	50%	52%	55%	47%	52%	55%	52%	44%	55%	22%	48%	67%	44%	55%	46%	61%	38%	44%	47%	47%	58%	53%	50%	50%	12%	88%	61%	13%	89%	48%	16%	85%	15%	90%	59%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	2%	3%	3%	3%	1%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	12%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	<1%	2%
Number of respondents	1,237	214	205	197	196	216	209	591	634	217	276	423	276	840	146	161	70	533	701	386	453	136	240	306	509	422	296	399	460	566	590	81	387	370	394	581	582	532	452	187
Percent of total electorate	100%	18%	16%	16%	16%	17%	18%	47%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	71%	10%	11%	6%	37%	63%	27%	44%	9%	18%	22%	41%	37%	23%	32%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	27%	47%	49%	45%	40%	9%

(Split 2) Do you think Joe Biden has the mental sharpness to be an effective president?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	36%	38%	36%	35%	36%	39%	35%	31%	41%	26%	32%	36%	47%	34%	59%	40%	27%	44%	32%	42%	28%	52%	41%	41%	41%	29%	34%	40%	36%	73%	4%	8%	75%	5%	33%	70%	6%	71%	3%	24%
No	61%	59%	59%	61%	64%	60%	63%	67%	56%	70%	67%	63%	49%	64%	37%	57%	71%	55%	65%	56%	69%	47%	55%	57%	57%	68%	61%	59%	62%	23%	95%	81%	21%	95%	64%	26%	94%	25%	97%	75%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	3%	2%	5%	4%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	4%	2%	4%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	3%	5%	<1%	2%	4%	<1%	11%	4%	<.5%	3%	4%	<1%	4%	<.5%	1%
Number of respondents	1,237	214	205	197	196	216	209	591	634	217	276	423	276	840	146	161	70	533	701	386	453	136	240	306	509	422	296	399	460	566	590	81	387	370	394	581	582	532	452	187
Percent of total electorate	100%	18%	16%	16%	16%	17%	18%	47%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	71%	10%	11%	6%	37%	63%	27%	44%	9%	18%	22%	41%	37%	23%	32%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	27%	47%	49%	45%	40%	9%

(Split 2) Do you think Donald Trump has the personality and temperament to be an effective president?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	43%	41%	39%	44%	48%	43%	40%	48%	38%	40%	40%	46%	39%	46%	20%	38%	52%	32%	49%	33%	54%	27%	37%	37%	37%	52%	42%	44%	40%	6%	81%	13%	9%	82%	36%	8%	76%	7%	84%	49%
No	55%	58%	53%	54%	51%	54%	59%	49%	60%	59%	57%	52%	58%	52%	73%	60%	42%	66%	48%	66%	44%	70%	57%	63%	60%	45%	56%	55%	58%	93%	16%	74%	89%	16%	61%	90%	21%	91%	14%	50%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	3%	<1%	8%	2%	1%	3%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	6%	2%	6%	2%	3%	1%	1%	3%	5%	<1%	3%	3%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	3%	12%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%
Number of respondents	1,237	214	205	197	196	216	209	591	634	217	276	423	276	840	146	161	70	533	701	386	453	136	240	306	509	422	296	399	460	566	590	81	387	370	394	581	582	532	452	187
Percent of total electorate	100%	18%	16%	16%	16%	17%	18%	47%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	71%	10%	11%	6%	37%	63%	27%	44%	9%	18%	22%	41%	37%	23%	32%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	27%	47%	49%	45%	40%	9%

(Split 2) Do you think Donald Trump has the mental sharpness to be an effective president?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	54%	50%	51%	54%	60%	57%	51%	60%	48%	56%	54%	58%	44%	57%	31%	44%	68%	44%	60%	47%	64%	34%	49%	50%	48%	62%	52%	54%	53%	15%	93%	30%	17%	92%	51%	18%	89%	16%	96%	58%
No	44%	47%	42%	44%	40%	43%	48%	38%	50%	42%	44%	41%	53%	42%	64%	53%	31%	55%	38%	52%	35%	65%	47%	49%	49%	36%	46%	46%	45%	83%	6%	57%	81%	7%	48%	80%	10%	82%	4%	38%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	2%	2%	6%	2%	0%	0%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	<1%	3%	1%	5%	3%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	4%	1%	3%	1%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	<1%	13%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	<.5%	4%
Number of respondents	1,237	214	205	197	196	216	209	591	634	217	276	423	276	840	146	161	70	533	701	386	453	136	240	306	509	422	296	399	460	566	590	81	387	370	394	581	582	532	452	187
Percent of total electorate	100%	18%	16%	16%	16%	17%	18%	47%	52%	13%	20%	34%	30%	71%	10%	11%	6%	37%	63%	27%	44%	9%	18%	22%	41%	37%	23%	32%	37%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	27%	47%	49%	45%	40%	9%

(Split 1) Do you think Joe Biden’s policies have helped you personally or hurt you personally?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Helped	36%	34%	37%	39%	30%	32%	41%	30%	41%	41%	37%	32%	38%	31%	64%	45%	28%	39%	34%	36%	28%	49%	48%	50%	38%	22%	39%	35%	36%	74%	4%	13%	77%	4%	31%	74%	4%	73%	3%	29%
Hurt	53%	56%	47%	52%	61%	50%	51%	60%	46%	47%	51%	56%	53%	59%	19%	46%	56%	48%	56%	52%	63%	38%	38%	40%	49%	67%	48%	55%	54%	12%	90%	59%	13%	89%	55%	14%	90%	13%	92%	57%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	11%	10%	15%	9%	9%	18%	8%	10%	13%	12%	12%	12%	9%	10%	17%	9%	16%	13%	10%	12%	8%	13%	14%	11%	12%	10%	12%	10%	10%	14%	6%	28%	9%	7%	13%	12%	6%	14%	6%	14%
Number of respondents	1,203	195	219	225	190	179	195	616	573	223	273	415	253	808	131	152	78	527	666	382	424	130	228	302	505	396	282	389	451	516	575	112	346	367	382	525	584	490	462	178
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	18%	19%	16%	15%	16%	48%	51%	14%	20%	34%	28%	70%	10%	12%	5%	38%	61%	28%	43%	9%	17%	24%	42%	33%	23%	32%	37%	44%	48%	8%	30%	32%	30%	44%	49%	42%	42%	9%

(Split 1) Do you think Donald Trump’s policies have helped you personally or hurt you personally?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Helped	51%	52%	49%	51%	51%	53%	48%	61%	41%	52%	47%	53%	52%	56%	26%	44%	55%	47%	54%	48%	61%	46%	37%	39%	50%	61%	48%	51%	54%	13%	89%	35%	13%	87%	53%	15%	87%	15%	88%	59%
Hurt	36%	37%	35%	33%	33%	33%	41%	28%	43%	36%	38%	34%	35%	32%	56%	41%	35%	41%	32%	39%	28%	46%	45%	46%	38%	25%	37%	35%	37%	72%	3%	31%	74%	3%	33%	72%	4%	71%	3%	26%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	13%	10%	15%	15%	16%	14%	10%	11%	16%	12%	15%	13%	13%	12%	18%	15%	10%	12%	14%	13%	12%	8%	19%	15%	12%	14%	15%	14%	9%	15%	9%	34%	13%	9%	14%	14%	9%	15%	9%	15%
Number of respondents	1,203	195	219	225	190	179	195	616	573	223	273	415	253	808	131	152	78	527	666	382	424	130	228	302	505	396	282	389	451	516	575	112	346	367	382	525	584	490	462	178
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	18%	19%	16%	15%	16%	48%	51%	14%	20%	34%	28%	70%	10%	12%	5%	38%	61%	28%	43%	9%	17%	24%	42%	33%	23%	32%	37%	44%	48%	8%	30%	32%	30%	44%	49%	42%	42%	9%

(Split 1) Do you think Donald Trump is too conservative, not conservative enough, or not too far either way?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Too conservative	27%	25%	28%	27%	22%	32%	29%	26%	28%	49%	34%	24%	18%	27%	27%	36%	15%	34%	23%	35%	22%	33%	26%	32%	29%	22%	25%	28%	30%	47%	10%	22%	48%	10%	26%	47%	11%	47%	9%	30%
Not conservative enough	8%	8%	8%	8%	8%	7%	8%	7%	9%	4%	6%	11%	7%	7%	14%	6%	11%	7%	8%	5%	9%	13%	8%	6%	9%	7%	8%	8%	7%	8%	8%	6%	7%	8%	8%	8%	8%	7%	9%	7%
Not too far either way	56%	56%	55%	55%	60%	52%	57%	61%	52%	46%	54%	55%	61%	57%	51%	49%	65%	50%	60%	51%	61%	44%	57%	54%	51%	63%	56%	58%	55%	33%	77%	53%	33%	76%	58%	32%	77%	34%	77%	60%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	9%	12%	8%	10%	10%	9%	6%	6%	11%	<1%	6%	10%	14%	8%	7%	10%	9%	10%	8%	8%	8%	9%	9%	8%	11%	7%	11%	6%	8%	12%	5%	19%	12%	5%	8%	12%	5%	12%	5%	3%
Number of respondents	1,203	195	219	225	190	179	195	616	573	223	273	415	253	808	131	152	78	527	666	382	424	130	228	302	505	396	282	389	451	516	575	112	346	367	382	525	584	490	462	178
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	18%	19%	16%	15%	16%	48%	51%	14%	20%	34%	28%	70%	10%	12%	5%	38%	61%	28%	43%	9%	17%	24%	42%	33%	23%	32%	37%	44%	48%	8%	30%	32%	30%	44%	49%	42%	42%	9%

Do you think Joe Biden is too liberal or progressive, not liberal or progressive enough, or not too far either way?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Too liberal or progressive	38%	42%	35%	36%	38%	38%	42%	46%	32%	26%	33%	44%	39%	43%	11%	30%	41%	37%	39%	40%	45%	28%	24%	31%	34%	49%	29%	38%	43%	8%	66%	36%	8%	70%	35%	8%	67%	9%	71%	31%
Not liberal or progressive enough	11%	9%	11%	12%	9%	10%	12%	9%	11%	20%	17%	6%	7%	10%	15%	10%	10%	11%	10%	11%	10%	12%	12%	15%	11%	8%	13%	12%	9%	17%	5%	11%	17%	4%	11%	18%	4%	16%	4%	14%
Not too far either way	46%	46%	45%	46%	48%	47%	42%	40%	51%	50%	44%	46%	47%	42%	69%	52%	45%	49%	44%	46%	39%	58%	57%	50%	49%	38%	50%	46%	44%	72%	22%	39%	71%	21%	49%	70%	23%	70%	19%	48%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	6%	4%	9%	7%	5%	5%	4%	5%	6%	3%	6%	5%	7%	5%	6%	8%	4%	3%	7%	2%	6%	3%	8%	4%	6%	6%	7%	4%	4%	3%	6%	14%	4%	5%	5%	4%	5%	4%	6%	6%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(If undecided or persuadable voter) Now I'm going to describe two hypothetical candidates for president. Tell me which of the two candidates you would be more likely to support in the 2024 presidential election.
(If undecided or persuadable voter) (Split A) Tell me which of the two candidates you would be more likely to support in the 2024 presidential election. [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
A Democratic candidate who says Donald Trump is a unique threat to democracy	54%	39%	54%	56%	51%	56%	66%	53%	55%	61%	55%	62%	37%	46%	81%	50%	60%	57%	52%	56%	38%	57%	66%	62%	57%	42%	51%	53%	63%	84%	34%	46%	78%	25%	60%	84%	29%	83%	28%	46%
A Republican candidate who tried to overturn the 2020 election	20%	19%	20%	22%	27%	21%	10%	21%	19%	25%	25%	18%	16%	23%	12%	23%	15%	19%	21%	20%	25%	19%	17%	14%	21%	22%	20%	22%	20%	7%	36%	16%	10%	34%	22%	7%	34%	7%	39%	30%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	26%	42%	26%	21%	23%	23%	24%	26%	27%	14%	20%	19%	47%	31%	7%	27%	26%	24%	27%	24%	37%	25%	17%	24%	22%	35%	29%	26%	17%	8%	31%	38%	12%	41%	18%	9%	36%	10%	33%	25%
Number of respondents	377	52	89	73	57	53	53	188	184	89	101	121	50	206	61	61	33	163	210	105	101	49	104	99	174	104	95	116	135	109	134	134	82	70	167	156	153	132	80	105
Percent of total electorate	100%	14%	20%	20%	15%	15%	17%	49%	51%	16%	26%	33%	18%	56%	16%	15%	8%	38%	60%	25%	31%	10%	28%	24%	46%	30%	23%	29%	36%	32%	34%	34%	26%	21%	40%	43%	41%	40%	25%	18%

(If undecided or persuadable voter) (Split B) Tell me which of the two candidates you would be more likely to support in the 2024 presidential election. [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
A Democratic candidate who says Donald Trump is a unique threat to democracy	21%	18%	25%	15%	21%	26%	22%	14%	29%	14%	22%	24%	23%	18%	41%	21%	27%	21%	21%	16%	19%	39%	26%	32%	18%	14%	27%	22%	19%	36%	6%	22%	49%	3%	20%	53%	3%	41%	2%	18%
A Republican candidate who says we should move on from the 2020 election	66%	62%	59%	78%	67%	63%	65%	77%	55%	77%	63%	66%	66%	73%	53%	58%	56%	72%	63%	79%	68%	50%	57%	49%	72%	75%	59%	70%	73%	59%	86%	55%	45%	85%	70%	41%	89%	45%	93%	68%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	13%	20%	16%	7%	13%	11%	12%	9%	17%	9%	14%	10%	11%	10%	7%	21%	17%	7%	15%	5%	13%	11%	17%	19%	10%	11%	14%	8%	9%	5%	8%	23%	6%	11%	10%	6%	8%	13%	5%	14%
Number of respondents	414	64	75	78	76	65	56	212	197	106	120	95	81	241	53	66	39	166	241	110	130	49	106	121	158	135	111	125	143	125	126	163	67	88	194	141	185	135	81	133
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	19%	17%	16%	15%	48%	50%	19%	30%	21%	28%	62%	11%	14%	8%	36%	62%	25%	37%	9%	24%	31%	37%	32%	26%	30%	35%	29%	31%	40%	19%	22%	45%	35%	46%	37%	23%	22%

(If undecided or persuadable voter) (Split A) Tell me which of the two candidates you would be more likely to support in the 2024 presidential election. [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
A Democratic candidate who supports a federal law ensuring access to abortion nationwide	47%	29%	47%	47%	55%	44%	56%	43%	50%	60%	51%	46%	35%	40%	74%	44%	49%	49%	44%	49%	33%	53%	57%	58%	53%	28%	42%	45%	53%	64%	43%	34%	64%	19%	51%	71%	25%	64%	27%	52%
A Republican candidate who supports a federal ban on abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy	35%	42%	42%	34%	25%	31%	35%	35%	36%	36%	38%	38%	31%	40%	19%	39%	35%	34%	37%	40%	40%	22%	34%	23%	33%	48%	46%	38%	32%	26%	49%	30%	21%	61%	35%	19%	58%	25%	54%	34%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	18%	30%	11%	19%	20%	25%	9%	22%	14%	4%	11%	16%	33%	20%	7%	17%	16%	16%	19%	11%	27%	26%	9%	19%	14%	25%	12%	17%	15%	10%	9%	36%	15%	20%	15%	11%	18%	10%	19%	14%
Number of respondents	377	52	89	73	57	53	53	188	184	89	101	121	50	206	61	61	33	163	210	105	101	49	104	99	174	104	95	116	135	109	134	134	82	70	167	156	153	132	80	105
Percent of total electorate	100%	14%	20%	20%	15%	15%	17%	49%	51%	16%	26%	33%	18%	56%	16%	15%	8%	38%	60%	25%	31%	10%	28%	24%	46%	30%	23%	29%	36%	32%	34%	34%	26%	21%	40%	43%	41%	40%	25%	18%

(If undecided or persuadable voter) (Split B) Tell me which of the two candidates you would be more likely to support in the 2024 presidential election. [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
A Democratic candidate who supports a federal law ensuring access to abortion nationwide	44%	42%	50%	40%	46%	58%	32%	35%	55%	62%	46%	43%	36%	40%	70%	54%	36%	44%	45%	37%	43%	67%	51%	52%	49%	32%	47%	43%	47%	68%	30%	39%	67%	23%	45%	72%	29%	59%	16%	56%
A Republican candidate who says abortion should be left to the states	44%	42%	33%	49%	39%	38%	62%	57%	31%	33%	44%	43%	50%	53%	23%	29%	36%	47%	42%	58%	49%	21%	31%	36%	41%	54%	42%	50%	43%	25%	65%	41%	20%	69%	46%	18%	67%	28%	83%	35%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	12%	16%	17%	11%	15%	4%	6%	9%	14%	4%	10%	15%	14%	7%	7%	16%	28%	9%	13%	5%	8%	12%	18%	12%	10%	14%	11%	8%	10%	7%	5%	20%	13%	8%	9%	9%	5%	13%	2%	9%
Number of respondents	414	64	75	78	76	65	56	212	197	106	120	95	81	241	53	66	39	166	241	110	130	49	106	121	158	135	111	125	143	125	126	163	67	88	194	141	185	135	81	133
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	19%	17%	16%	15%	48%	50%	19%	30%	21%	28%	62%	11%	14%	8%	36%	62%	25%	37%	9%	24%	31%	37%	32%	26%	30%	35%	29%	31%	40%	19%	22%	45%	35%	46%	37%	23%	22%

(If undecided or persuadable voter) If Joe Biden won the election, do you think it would be good for America or bad for America, or would it not make much difference either way? FOLLOW UP: Is that very or somewhat?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very good	4%	2%	4%	5%	2%	5%	2%	2%	5%	<1%	4%	4%	6%	2%	10%	5%	3%	2%	5%	<1%	3%	5%	7%	2%	4%	4%	4%	3%	2%	6%	3%	2%	11%	2%	<1%	7%	1%	6%	<1%	4%
Somewhat good	4%	2%	9%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	5%	3%	<1%	7%	5%	3%	3%	7%	2%	5%	3%	3%	3%	9%	3%	5%	4%	3%	3%	6%	3%	10%	<1%	3%	8%	3%	3%	7%	1%	7%	2%	4%
Somewhat bad	19%	12%	13%	22%	18%	21%	27%	19%	18%	23%	19%	19%	18%	24%	12%	13%	11%	20%	18%	26%	23%	10%	12%	16%	18%	22%	15%	22%	21%	12%	25%	19%	12%	24%	24%	15%	25%	13%	22%	20%
Very bad	28%	32%	23%	25%	30%	32%	26%	32%	24%	18%	30%	25%	33%	36%	8%	16%	25%	34%	25%	37%	35%	24%	12%	22%	25%	37%	23%	29%	28%	8%	36%	37%	13%	46%	27%	13%	40%	15%	47%	25%
Not make much difference either way	41%	45%	43%	40%	42%	36%	38%	41%	40%	54%	43%	42%	30%	31%	66%	47%	58%	36%	44%	31%	31%	50%	59%	49%	42%	31%	50%	37%	42%	61%	34%	30%	51%	24%	42%	54%	29%	57%	25%	44%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	5%	7%	8%	5%	4%	2%	4%	3%	6%	<1%	3%	4%	8%	4%	<1%	11%	1%	3%	6%	3%	4%	2%	7%	6%	7%	2%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	9%	6%	2%	2%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%
Number of respondents	791	116	164	151	133	118	109	400	381	195	221	216	131	447	114	127	72	329	451	215	231	98	210	220	332	239	206	241	278	234	260	297	149	158	361	297	338	267	161	238
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	18%	19%	16%	15%	16%	49%	50%	18%	28%	27%	24%	59%	13%	15%	8%	37%	61%	25%	34%	10%	26%	28%	41%	31%	25%	29%	36%	30%	32%	37%	22%	22%	43%	39%	44%	39%	24%	20%

(If undecided or persuadable voter) If Donald Trump won the election, do you think it would be good for America or bad for America, or would it not make much difference either way? FOLLOW UP: Is that very or somewhat?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very good	6%	6%	7%	8%	9%	3%	3%	6%	6%	7%	7%	5%	7%	5%	4%	12%	8%	4%	8%	3%	7%	6%	9%	4%	6%	8%	10%	5%	6%	2%	13%	3%	5%	13%	4%	4%	10%	2%	14%	8%
Somewhat good	12%	11%	12%	13%	9%	14%	11%	16%	7%	26%	8%	13%	4%	10%	12%	14%	20%	9%	13%	10%	11%	7%	17%	13%	10%	12%	11%	15%	9%	9%	20%	6%	9%	16%	12%	6%	18%	6%	20%	16%
Somewhat bad	17%	23%	14%	18%	12%	11%	26%	18%	16%	14%	20%	18%	15%	22%	11%	9%	12%	24%	13%	27%	19%	21%	5%	12%	21%	17%	10%	20%	22%	14%	16%	21%	11%	21%	22%	13%	21%	15%	23%	14%
Very bad	33%	28%	36%	30%	28%	43%	34%	26%	41%	16%	32%	38%	46%	36%	40%	23%	21%	41%	29%	42%	32%	41%	25%	35%	34%	31%	28%	32%	38%	51%	6%	42%	48%	22%	33%	49%	19%	52%	13%	24%
Not make much difference either way	27%	23%	25%	29%	35%	25%	23%	29%	24%	36%	30%	23%	21%	22%	34%	34%	33%	19%	32%	15%	26%	24%	38%	30%	24%	27%	39%	26%	20%	22%	40%	18%	24%	24%	28%	25%	28%	24%	26%	36%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	5%	9%	6%	2%	7%	5%	2%	4%	6%	1%	3%	3%	6%	4%	<.5%	8%	6%	3%	6%	3%	5%	2%	6%	6%	5%	5%	2%	3%	4%	<.5%	4%	10%	4%	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	4%	2%
Number of respondents	791	116	164	151	133	118	109	400	381	195	221	216	131	447	114	127	72	329	451	215	231	98	210	220	332	239	206	241	278	234	260	297	149	158	361	297	338	267	161	238
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	18%	19%	16%	15%	16%	49%	50%	18%	28%	27%	24%	59%	13%	15%	8%	37%	61%	25%	34%	10%	26%	28%	41%	31%	25%	29%	36%	30%	32%	37%	22%	22%	43%	39%	44%	39%	24%	20%

(Split 3) To the best of your knowledge, do you think Joe Biden personally profited from his son’s business dealings in Ukraine and China?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes, personally profited	49%	56%	50%	43%	48%	52%	46%	56%	43%	47%	44%	55%	48%	53%	20%	48%	52%	39%	56%	39%	62%	36%	39%	41%	46%	61%	48%	47%	53%	11%	85%	42%	15%	81%	45%	15%	80%	12%	87%	46%
No, did not personally profit	38%	32%	41%	39%	35%	38%	42%	33%	42%	31%	39%	37%	41%	36%	65%	33%	34%	48%	32%	47%	29%	54%	42%	44%	43%	26%	40%	36%	37%	74%	7%	32%	72%	11%	38%	70%	11%	73%	6%	27%
[VOL] Don’t know enough to say	9%	10%	6%	14%	7%	6%	9%	7%	10%	16%	12%	6%	7%	8%	10%	12%	8%	10%	8%	10%	7%	7%	12%	10%	7%	10%	8%	11%	7%	11%	6%	17%	9%	6%	11%	11%	6%	10%	5%	21%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	4%	2%	3%	3%	9%	3%	4%	4%	4%	7%	4%	3%	4%	3%	5%	8%	6%	4%	4%	4%	2%	2%	7%	5%	4%	3%	3%	5%	3%	4%	3%	9%	4%	3%	5%	4%	3%	5%	2%	6%
Number of respondents	1,222	194	205	194	225	205	199	584	620	206	319	396	264	839	126	150	77	545	669	390	443	134	217	329	479	414	296	372	466	524	594	104	342	381	388	528	604	504	473	191
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	16%	15%	18%	18%	16%	46%	53%	13%	23%	32%	30%	72%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	17%	26%	42%	32%	25%	29%	37%	43%	49%	7%	30%	35%	28%	44%	51%	44%	43%	9%

Thinking about the investigations into Donald Trump, do you think that Donald Trump has or has not committed any serious federal crimes?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Trump has committed serious federal crimes	54%	52%	58%	56%	51%	53%	57%	48%	60%	63%	56%	52%	55%	51%	82%	61%	44%	63%	49%	63%	43%	66%	65%	61%	60%	43%	55%	56%	55%	94%	17%	63%	92%	18%	59%	92%	21%	93%	15%	49%
Trump has not committed serious federal crimes	37%	39%	35%	33%	39%	39%	36%	44%	31%	27%	33%	41%	38%	41%	13%	29%	42%	29%	41%	30%	48%	26%	25%	29%	32%	47%	37%	37%	37%	4%	71%	10%	6%	71%	30%	5%	67%	4%	74%	32%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	9%	9%	8%	11%	10%	8%	7%	8%	9%	10%	11%	8%	7%	8%	5%	10%	14%	8%	9%	7%	9%	8%	10%	9%	8%	9%	9%	7%	8%	3%	12%	27%	3%	11%	11%	3%	12%	3%	11%	19%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

What comes closer to your view about Donald Trump's actions after the 2020 election? [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
He was just exercising his right to contest the election	43%	45%	43%	40%	43%	44%	41%	50%	36%	39%	40%	48%	41%	47%	13%	38%	48%	34%	48%	36%	55%	27%	33%	33%	39%	54%	40%	44%	43%	5%	81%	21%	7%	80%	39%	6%	77%	5%	84%	44%
He went so far that he threatened American democracy	52%	50%	52%	54%	49%	51%	55%	45%	58%	58%	55%	48%	53%	48%	82%	56%	43%	61%	46%	61%	40%	66%	61%	60%	57%	40%	55%	52%	52%	94%	12%	60%	91%	14%	56%	92%	16%	93%	10%	46%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	5%	5%	6%	8%	5%	4%	4%	6%	4%	6%	4%	6%	5%	5%	6%	9%	5%	6%	4%	5%	7%	6%	7%	4%	6%	5%	4%	4%	2%	7%	19%	3%	6%	5%	2%	7%	2%	6%	10%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Split 3) As you may know, Donald Trump will face a federal criminal trial in March for his actions after the 2020 election. Do you think it is likely or unlikely that he will be convicted at the end of the trial? FOLLOW UP: Is that very or somewhat?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very likely	20%	22%	22%	18%	24%	19%	18%	20%	21%	14%	20%	20%	24%	19%	33%	24%	17%	23%	19%	22%	17%	29%	25%	27%	22%	14%	23%	20%	19%	37%	7%	14%	37%	8%	21%	36%	7%	35%	7%	17%
Somewhat likely	19%	18%	13%	18%	16%	23%	25%	17%	21%	25%	19%	17%	17%	20%	15%	16%	12%	24%	16%	26%	17%	16%	14%	14%	22%	19%	20%	21%	18%	26%	13%	18%	22%	13%	23%	23%	15%	23%	13%	24%
Somewhat unlikely	24%	22%	23%	27%	24%	29%	21%	25%	24%	31%	27%	23%	21%	25%	19%	21%	33%	20%	26%	20%	28%	22%	23%	22%	26%	24%	26%	23%	25%	19%	28%	32%	19%	30%	24%	20%	29%	22%	26%	25%
Very unlikely	28%	31%	35%	25%	28%	24%	28%	32%	25%	23%	28%	32%	27%	27%	28%	34%	32%	23%	31%	21%	30%	28%	33%	31%	24%	32%	24%	28%	31%	12%	44%	16%	16%	43%	21%	15%	40%	14%	45%	23%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	8%	6%	8%	12%	9%	5%	8%	6%	10%	6%	6%	7%	10%	9%	4%	5%	6%	10%	7%	11%	8%	5%	5%	6%	7%	11%	6%	8%	7%	6%	8%	20%	6%	7%	11%	6%	9%	6%	8%	10%
Number of respondents	1,222	194	205	194	225	205	199	584	620	206	319	396	264	839	126	150	77	545	669	390	443	134	217	329	479	414	296	372	466	524	594	104	342	381	388	528	604	504	473	191
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	16%	15%	18%	18%	16%	46%	53%	13%	23%	32%	30%	72%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	17%	26%	42%	32%	25%	29%	37%	43%	49%	7%	30%	35%	28%	44%	51%	44%	43%	9%

(Split 3) (If not voting for Joe Biden earlier) And if Donald Trump were convicted and sentenced to prison but were still the Republican nominee, would you vote for … [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	5%	6%	5%	2%	7%	7%	4%	5%	6%	9%	7%	5%	3%	5%	7%	4%	9%	6%	5%	7%	4%	5%	6%	8%	5%	4%	4%	6%	7%	0%	5%	36%	4%	4%	9%	6%	4%	5%	3%	12%
Donald Trump	40%	44%	39%	36%	39%	46%	37%	46%	35%	31%	39%	43%	42%	44%	11%	35%	48%	30%	47%	29%	54%	32%	28%	31%	35%	55%	37%	38%	43%	0%	80%	9%	6%	75%	33%	4%	72%	4%	81%	31%
[VOL] Another candidate	4%	4%	6%	3%	2%	4%	6%	5%	4%	2%	5%	6%	3%	5%	3%	2%	7%	5%	4%	4%	5%	5%	2%	4%	5%	5%	4%	3%	5%	0%	6%	19%	1%	7%	5%	1%	7%	2%	6%	4%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	4%	4%	3%	2%	5%	2%	5%	3%	4%	1%	3%	4%	4%	4%	2%	2%	4%	4%	3%	5%	4%	2%	2%	2%	3%	5%	3%	6%	3%	0%	4%	23%	<.5%	4%	6%	<1%	6%	1%	4%	12%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	1%	5%	5%	5%	<1%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	4%	3%	<.5%	5%	<1%	3%	3%	3%	3%	<1%	3%	4%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	0%	4%	14%	<1%	5%	3%	<1%	5%	1%	4%	5%
[PREVIOUSLY] Joe Biden	43%	40%	43%	50%	41%	41%	45%	37%	48%	55%	43%	39%	44%	39%	76%	52%	32%	52%	38%	52%	30%	55%	58%	51%	49%	29%	50%	45%	39%	100%	0%	0%	88%	6%	44%	87%	7%	86%	2%	37%
NET Biden	49%	47%	48%	52%	48%	48%	50%	42%	54%	64%	50%	44%	47%	44%	84%	56%	40%	58%	43%	59%	34%	60%	65%	59%	54%	33%	54%	50%	46%	100%	5%	36%	92%	9%	53%	93%	11%	91%	6%	48%
NET Trump	40%	44%	39%	36%	39%	46%	37%	46%	35%	31%	39%	43%	42%	44%	11%	35%	48%	30%	47%	29%	54%	32%	28%	31%	35%	55%	37%	38%	43%	0%	80%	9%	6%	75%	33%	4%	72%	4%	81%	31%
Number of respondents	1,222	194	205	194	225	205	199	584	620	206	319	396	264	839	126	150	77	545	669	390	443	134	217	329	479	414	296	372	466	524	594	104	342	381	388	528	604	504	473	191
Percent of total electorate	100%	16%	16%	15%	18%	18%	16%	46%	53%	13%	23%	32%	30%	72%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	17%	26%	42%	32%	25%	29%	37%	43%	49%	7%	30%	35%	28%	44%	51%	44%	43%	9%

Are you, or is any member of your household, a member of a labor union? [IF YES: Is that you, another household member, or both you and another household member?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes, you are a member	6%	3%	5%	8%	6%	8%	7%	8%	4%	4%	8%	7%	5%	6%	7%	7%	8%	5%	7%	4%	7%	6%	7%	5%	6%	7%	6%	6%	6%	6%	7%	4%	7%	6%	6%	6%	6%	6%	7%	4%
Yes, another member of your household is a member	6%	5%	2%	9%	7%	6%	6%	4%	7%	8%	6%	5%	5%	6%	4%	7%	8%	7%	5%	6%	5%	7%	6%	6%	5%	7%	4%	7%	7%	6%	5%	6%	6%	5%	8%	6%	6%	6%	6%	5%
Yes, you and another member of your household are members	2%	<1%	<.5%	4%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%
No	85%	90%	92%	79%	84%	83%	85%	85%	86%	83%	83%	86%	88%	87%	86%	82%	80%	87%	85%	88%	86%	84%	83%	86%	87%	84%	87%	85%	86%	85%	86%	87%	85%	87%	84%	85%	86%	85%	86%	88%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	3%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	1%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	3%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Are you currently personally paying off any student loans for yourself or your family?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	20%	19%	21%	24%	16%	24%	16%	18%	21%	28%	33%	21%	7%	19%	32%	19%	19%	28%	15%	26%	14%	36%	18%	22%	22%	16%	16%	21%	24%	22%	18%	21%	21%	16%	24%	23%	18%	23%	16%	25%
No	79%	80%	77%	76%	84%	75%	83%	81%	78%	71%	66%	78%	93%	81%	66%	81%	80%	71%	84%	73%	86%	63%	81%	77%	77%	83%	84%	78%	75%	77%	82%	76%	78%	83%	75%	76%	82%	76%	83%	75%
[VOL] Not paying loans but spouse is paying loans	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Not paying loans but child is paying loans	<.5%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
[VOL] Don’t know/Refused	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Now just a few questions for demographic purposes... Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, such as Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or some other Spanish background?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	11%	20%	8%	7%	23%	5%	5%	12%	10%	23%	14%	11%	5%	0%	0%	100%	0%	8%	13%	0%	0%	35%	45%	19%	12%	6%	15%	12%	8%	13%	9%	13%	15%	8%	11%	14%	9%	13%	8%	22%
No	87%	78%	90%	92%	75%	95%	95%	86%	89%	77%	86%	88%	94%	100%	99%	<.5%	99%	90%	86%	100%	100%	64%	54%	80%	87%	93%	84%	88%	91%	86%	90%	82%	84%	91%	88%	86%	90%	87%	91%	77%
[VOL] Refused	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	5%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Would you consider yourself: [IF biracial or multi-racial ask: What races would that be?]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
White	76%	78%	61%	78%	67%	83%	90%	77%	76%	71%	72%	75%	85%	99%	0%	55%	0%	77%	76%	99%	98%	19%	25%	65%	73%	88%	72%	78%	79%	70%	83%	68%	67%	89%	74%	69%	84%	69%	88%	61%
Black or African American	11%	5%	28%	12%	9%	9%	3%	10%	11%	11%	13%	11%	9%	0%	100%	7%	0%	10%	12%	0%	0%	40%	41%	16%	13%	5%	15%	10%	9%	19%	4%	10%	21%	2%	10%	19%	3%	19%	2%	16%
Asian or Asian American	2%	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	6%	4%	2%	<.5%	0%	0%	2%	40%	3%	2%	0%	0%	15%	6%	4%	3%	<1%	1%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	1%	6%
Native American	2%	4%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	<1%	0%	0%	6%	32%	2%	3%	0%	0%	7%	10%	3%	1%	3%	4%	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	5%
[VOL] Some other race (specify)	4%	5%	2%	3%	8%	3%	2%	4%	3%	4%	4%	4%	2%	1%	0%	17%	13%	3%	4%	1%	2%	9%	10%	6%	4%	1%	5%	3%	4%	3%	4%	6%	4%	3%	5%	3%	4%	4%	3%	5%
[VOL] More than one race	1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%	3%	15%	2%	<1%	0%	0%	7%	3%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	2%
[VOL] Refused	3%	5%	4%	2%	6%	1%	1%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	0%	0%	10%	0%	4%	2%	0%	0%	4%	4%	4%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	9%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	6%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Do you consider yourself politically liberal, moderate, or conservative? FOLLOW UP: (If liberal or conservative) Is that very or somewhat?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very liberal	11%	11%	9%	11%	9%	13%	11%	8%	13%	20%	15%	8%	8%	11%	11%	12%	6%	13%	9%	14%	9%	10%	10%	13%	12%	8%	13%	11%	10%	21%	2%	6%	25%	2%	7%	22%	1%	21%	2%	7%
Somewhat liberal	11%	9%	9%	12%	12%	10%	13%	9%	12%	14%	10%	9%	12%	10%	16%	12%	8%	12%	10%	11%	9%	14%	13%	14%	11%	8%	12%	12%	11%	21%	3%	2%	24%	3%	7%	21%	3%	20%	2%	10%
Moderate	38%	35%	36%	40%	40%	39%	36%	38%	37%	40%	44%	37%	33%	37%	45%	33%	45%	43%	34%	41%	34%	49%	35%	38%	40%	33%	30%	39%	42%	44%	29%	50%	36%	22%	58%	43%	31%	44%	26%	47%
Somewhat conservative	19%	19%	19%	18%	17%	19%	19%	20%	17%	12%	17%	22%	18%	19%	12%	21%	20%	17%	20%	17%	20%	14%	19%	16%	17%	23%	21%	17%	18%	7%	29%	23%	8%	31%	16%	7%	29%	7%	30%	18%
Very conservative	19%	23%	21%	14%	17%	18%	18%	21%	17%	10%	10%	21%	25%	21%	9%	16%	15%	13%	22%	14%	25%	9%	15%	13%	17%	24%	20%	19%	17%	3%	35%	7%	4%	41%	9%	4%	33%	3%	38%	10%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	3%	6%	5%	5%	2%	3%	3%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	2%	7%	6%	6%	2%	5%	2%	3%	4%	8%	5%	4%	3%	5%	2%	2%	3%	3%	12%	4%	2%	4%	3%	2%	4%	2%	7%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Which of the following general income categories is your total household income before taxes? [IF NEEDED: I just want to remind you that you are completely anonymous. We only use this information in aggregate form to ensure we have a representative group of people.]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Under $25,000	9%	9%	6%	10%	10%	10%	8%	6%	12%	11%	5%	8%	12%	8%	13%	12%	8%	3%	13%	3%	11%	2%	17%	11%	8%	9%	37%	0%	0%	9%	8%	11%	10%	8%	9%	10%	7%	8%	7%	18%
At least $25,000 but under $50,000	15%	12%	14%	15%	16%	16%	16%	14%	16%	21%	10%	12%	20%	14%	20%	20%	13%	8%	19%	7%	18%	11%	23%	16%	14%	16%	63%	0%	0%	16%	14%	11%	18%	14%	13%	17%	13%	15%	13%	20%
At least $50,000 but under $100,000	31%	34%	31%	28%	28%	31%	34%	32%	31%	35%	33%	28%	33%	32%	30%	32%	32%	29%	33%	28%	34%	33%	31%	31%	30%	33%	0%	100%	0%	33%	31%	24%	31%	30%	35%	32%	31%	33%	32%	27%
At least $100,000 but under $200,000	25%	24%	25%	26%	27%	23%	27%	29%	23%	22%	32%	32%	17%	27%	23%	19%	29%	34%	20%	35%	22%	33%	17%	24%	27%	24%	0%	0%	69%	24%	26%	29%	24%	27%	26%	24%	28%	25%	27%	19%
$200,000 or more	11%	13%	13%	12%	9%	12%	10%	14%	9%	5%	16%	15%	6%	12%	7%	8%	14%	21%	6%	22%	6%	16%	5%	10%	14%	10%	0%	0%	31%	12%	11%	10%	10%	12%	11%	10%	12%	12%	12%	8%
[VOL] Refused	8%	7%	11%	8%	10%	8%	6%	6%	10%	7%	4%	5%	12%	8%	7%	8%	5%	6%	9%	5%	9%	5%	8%	9%	9%	8%	0%	0%	0%	6%	9%	15%	7%	9%	6%	6%	9%	6%	8%	9%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or a member of another party?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Democrat	31%	28%	32%	28%	32%	38%	30%	24%	38%	33%	32%	30%	33%	26%	61%	42%	24%	33%	30%	31%	23%	40%	48%	41%	34%	21%	37%	31%	29%	63%	4%	18%	100%	0%	0%	70%	0%	63%	2%	20%
Republican	34%	36%	35%	28%	33%	38%	33%	35%	33%	24%	27%	35%	40%	40%	6%	24%	28%	27%	38%	30%	46%	20%	17%	24%	29%	46%	31%	33%	36%	3%	64%	19%	0%	100%	0%	0%	68%	4%	69%	27%
Independent	28%	31%	26%	34%	26%	20%	31%	33%	24%	34%	32%	29%	22%	28%	27%	26%	37%	33%	25%	33%	24%	34%	26%	27%	30%	26%	25%	31%	28%	28%	25%	43%	0%	0%	100%	26%	26%	28%	23%	41%
Another party	3%	3%	3%	4%	5%	2%	3%	4%	2%	6%	5%	3%	1%	3%	1%	3%	7%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	5%	2%	4%	5%	0%	0%	0%	2%	4%	2%	3%	6%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	3%	5%	5%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	3%	4%	5%	4%	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%	5%	4%	3%	3%	4%	2%	2%	3%	3%	15%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	2%	2%	7%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(If independent, another party, or don't know on partisanship) And as of today, do you lean more to: [READ LIST]
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The Democratic Party	39%	40%	40%	38%	34%	44%	43%	34%	46%	46%	40%	34%	43%	40%	55%	37%	31%	47%	34%	47%	34%	50%	36%	44%	41%	34%	43%	43%	38%	82%	5%	19%	-	-	42%	100%	0%	76%	3%	36%
The Republican Party	45%	48%	41%	46%	49%	39%	45%	53%	37%	40%	45%	52%	40%	47%	30%	41%	51%	40%	50%	40%	53%	35%	43%	38%	44%	52%	37%	44%	51%	8%	84%	32%	-	-	46%	0%	100%	12%	89%	43%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	16%	12%	19%	16%	17%	17%	12%	13%	17%	14%	15%	14%	17%	13%	14%	22%	18%	14%	16%	13%	13%	15%	20%	18%	15%	15%	19%	13%	12%	10%	11%	49%	-	-	11%	0%	0%	12%	8%	21%
Number of respondents	1,469	243	265	296	258	174	233	808	626	312	401	470	237	939	154	195	121	672	788	462	475	180	288	373	634	462	357	470	530	594	670	205			1,164	559	652	542	445	336
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	21%	17%	11%	18%	54%	44%	16%	25%	33%	22%	68%	9%	11%	7%	42%	57%	30%	38%	10%	17%	24%	45%	32%	22%	32%	37%	43%	45%	12%			80%	39%	45%	42%	34%	14%

Combined: Party identification and leaners
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The Democratic Party	45%	42%	45%	45%	44%	49%	45%	38%	51%	53%	48%	42%	45%	40%	79%	55%	39%	52%	41%	49%	34%	60%	61%	56%	49%	32%	51%	46%	42%	91%	5%	30%	100%	0%	42%	100%	0%	88%	3%	38%
The Republican Party	50%	53%	48%	48%	50%	47%	50%	56%	44%	41%	46%	53%	51%	56%	16%	38%	53%	43%	54%	46%	62%	34%	32%	38%	45%	63%	43%	49%	54%	6%	91%	39%	0%	100%	46%	0%	100%	8%	94%	50%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	4%	6%	7%	6%	4%	4%	5%	5%	6%	6%	5%	4%	4%	5%	8%	8%	5%	5%	5%	4%	6%	7%	6%	6%	5%	6%	5%	4%	3%	4%	31%	0%	0%	11%	0%	0%	4%	2%	11%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

† Do you consider yourself Catholic, Protestant, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or do you have no religious affiliation?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Catholic	21%	19%	10%	20%	23%	27%	26%	22%	20%	16%	14%	24%	25%	20%	11%	38%	16%	19%	22%	19%	21%	20%	25%	20%	21%	21%	23%	19%	20%	19%	23%	19%	22%	23%	18%	19%	22%	19%	23%	21%
Protestant (Christian)	31%	29%	40%	33%	22%	34%	31%	28%	35%	22%	28%	29%	41%	34%	31%	18%	23%	31%	32%	32%	36%	28%	22%	24%	30%	39%	32%	30%	32%	23%	39%	33%	23%	43%	28%	23%	40%	23%	42%	26%
Mormon (LDS)	2%	4%	<.5%	1%	3%	<.5%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	0%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	3%
Jewish	1%	3%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	2%	1%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	1%
Muslim	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	3%	1%	2%	1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	3%	1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	<1%
[VOL] Christian (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)	10%	7%	18%	8%	10%	6%	9%	10%	9%	6%	8%	10%	11%	8%	23%	6%	9%	7%	11%	6%	10%	11%	14%	10%	9%	10%	11%	11%	8%	9%	10%	8%	9%	12%	7%	9%	11%	9%	10%	10%
[VOL] Greek/Russian Orthodox	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%
Some other religion (specify)	2%	3%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	4%	2%	<.5%	2%	3%	<1%	13%	2%	2%	1%	2%	4%	4%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	3%
No religious affiliation	30%	33%	25%	31%	36%	26%	28%	32%	28%	47%	40%	28%	18%	30%	26%	32%	33%	33%	28%	35%	27%	30%	30%	35%	32%	24%	25%	34%	32%	40%	21%	28%	37%	17%	37%	41%	20%	40%	19%	33%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	2%	2%	4%	1%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%
Number of respondents	3,453	584	585	563	602	554	565	1,687	1,725	608	822	1,167	745	2,345	383	440	210	1,507	1,929	1,090	1,247	373	655	904	1,398	1,151	831	1,087	1,300	1,521	1,656	276	1,020	1,051	1,096	1,549	1,666	1,441	1,305	528
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	16%	17%	16%	16%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	25%	41%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	49%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

† (If Protestant, Christian, Mormon, Greek/Russian Orthodox or some other religion) Do you consider yourself an evangelical or born-again Christian?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	25%	22%	41%	26%	19%	23%	17%	24%	26%	15%	20%	26%	30%	25%	38%	16%	23%	20%	28%	17%	29%	25%	25%	20%	22%	32%	27%	25%	24%	15%	34%	23%	16%	37%	21%	15%	35%	15%	37%	20%
No	20%	21%	18%	18%	18%	20%	25%	18%	22%	18%	21%	18%	22%	22%	18%	11%	23%	23%	18%	25%	20%	18%	15%	20%	19%	21%	21%	20%	21%	22%	18%	23%	21%	19%	21%	21%	19%	21%	18%	20%
[VOL] Refused	2%	2%	2%	4%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	2%	3%
[PREVIOUSLY] Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, no religious affiliation or refused	54%	55%	39%	52%	63%	57%	56%	57%	50%	65%	57%	55%	46%	52%	42%	73%	51%	56%	52%	56%	49%	55%	58%	59%	57%	46%	51%	53%	55%	63%	46%	51%	62%	42%	58%	63%	44%	62%	44%	57%
Number of respondents	3,453	584	585	563	602	554	565	1,687	1,725	608	822	1,167	745	2,345	383	440	210	1,507	1,929	1,090	1,247	373	655	904	1,398	1,151	831	1,087	1,300	1,521	1,656	276	1,020	1,051	1,096	1,549	1,666	1,441	1,305	528
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	16%	16%	17%	16%	16%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	25%	41%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	49%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Donald Trump	42%	41%	41%	38%	41%	44%	44%	48%	37%	24%	35%	48%	46%	49%	7%	30%	34%	36%	45%	40%	55%	24%	21%	29%	38%	55%	37%	43%	44%	2%	81%	19%	3%	85%	34%	3%	79%	0%	100%	0%
Joe Biden	44%	45%	44%	45%	40%	44%	46%	37%	51%	40%	49%	43%	46%	39%	76%	49%	38%	55%	38%	53%	31%	62%	55%	54%	49%	31%	44%	46%	45%	88%	5%	32%	89%	5%	45%	86%	7%	100%	0%	0%
I did not vote	9%	8%	9%	10%	14%	8%	5%	10%	8%	30%	10%	5%	4%	7%	13%	17%	18%	5%	12%	3%	8%	9%	20%	11%	8%	9%	15%	8%	7%	7%	9%	20%	6%	7%	13%	8%	9%	0%	0%	100%
[VOL] Someone else	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	4%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	8%	<.5%	1%	3%	<1%	2%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	5%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	20%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

(Excluding "I did not vote") Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Donald Trump	46%	45%	46%	43%	47%	48%	47%	53%	40%	35%	39%	51%	48%	53%	8%	36%	42%	37%	52%	41%	60%	26%	26%	32%	42%	60%	43%	46%	47%	2%	90%	24%	3%	92%	39%	3%	87%	0%	100%	-
Joe Biden	48%	49%	49%	50%	46%	47%	49%	41%	55%	58%	55%	45%	47%	42%	88%	60%	46%	57%	43%	55%	34%	68%	68%	61%	53%	34%	52%	50%	48%	95%	6%	41%	94%	5%	52%	94%	8%	100%	0%	-
[VOL] Someone else	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	5%	4%	2%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	5%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	10%	<.5%	1%	4%	<1%	3%	0%	0%	-
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	7%	3%	3%	2%	3%	5%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	25%	2%	2%	5%	2%	2%	0%	0%	-
Number of respondents	3,106	518	501	510	476	534	567	1,483	1,587	414	710	1,121	750	2,235	303	335	161	1,476	1,613	1,090	1,137	342	453	770	1,267	1,069	663	1,007	1,228	1,417	1,488	201	980	993	914	1,433	1,499	1,526	1,387
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	16%	16%	17%	17%	46%	53%	10%	21%	34%	31%	73%	10%	10%	5%	39%	60%	29%	44%	9%	16%	23%	42%	34%	22%	32%	38%	46%	48%	6%	33%	34%	27%	46%	49%	48%	46%

The Siena College Research Institute will guarantee your anonymity [an-a-nim-a-tee]. However, if you would be open to commenting on the issues in this survey, would you like to be contacted by a reporter?
	Likely Voters	State						Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				City Type			Income			2024 Vote Choice			Party I.D.			Party I.D. + Leaners		2020 Vote
	Likely Voters	AZ	GA	MI	NV	PA	WI	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	City	Suburb	Rural	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Biden	Trump	Oth.	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	28%	29%	28%	25%	30%	29%	24%	34%	21%	29%	29%	30%	24%	26%	33%	32%	34%	30%	26%	29%	24%	37%	31%	32%	27%	26%	25%	30%	31%	29%	27%	20%	28%	26%	30%	30%	27%	30%	26%	23%
No	72%	71%	72%	75%	70%	71%	76%	66%	79%	71%	71%	70%	76%	74%	67%	68%	66%	70%	74%	71%	76%	63%	69%	68%	73%	74%	75%	70%	69%	71%	73%	80%	72%	74%	70%	70%	73%	70%	74%	77%
Number of respondents	3,662	603	629	616	611	600	603	1,791	1,827	646	868	1,234	793	2,487	403	463	225	1,605	2,036	1,158	1,320	400	685	937	1,493	1,232	874	1,160	1,377	1,606	1,759	297	1,075	1,118	1,164	1,634	1,770	1,526	1,387	556
Percent of total electorate	100%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	47%	52%	13%	21%	33%	29%	71%	10%	11%	5%	37%	62%	27%	44%	9%	18%	24%	42%	34%	24%	31%	37%	45%	48%	7%	31%	34%	28%	45%	50%	44%	42%	9%

Party I.D. is self-identified party, without leaners; independents include only self-identified independents. Party registration is the respondent’s party as listed on the voter file. † Asked of respondents starting Oct. 23.

Methodology

The New York Times/Siena College polls of 3,662 registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin were conducted in English and Spanish on cellular and landline telephones from Oct. 22 to Nov. 3, 2023. When all states are joined together, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points for all registered voters and plus or minus 2 percentage points for the likely electorate. The margin of sampling error for each state poll is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points in Arizona, Michigan and Nevada, plus or minus 4.5 points in Georgia, plus or minus 4.6 points in Pennsylvania and plus or minus 4.8 points in Wisconsin.

Sample

The survey is a response rate-adjusted stratified sample of registered voters on the L2 voter file. The sample was selected by The New York Times in multiple steps to account for differential telephone coverage, nonresponse and significant variation in the productivity of telephone numbers by state.

The L2 voter file for each state was stratified by statehouse district, party, race, gender, marital status, household size, turnout history, age and home ownership. The proportion of registrants with a telephone number and the mean expected response rate, based on prior Times/Siena polls, were calculated for each stratum. The initial selection weight was equal to the reciprocal of a stratum’s mean telephone coverage and modeled response rate. For respondents with multiple telephone numbers on the L2 file, the number with the highest modeled response rate was selected.

Fielding

The samples for each state were stratified by party, race and region and fielded by the Siena College Research Institute, with additional field work by ReconMR, the Public Opinion Research Laboratory at the University of North Florida and the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College. Interviewers asked for the person named on the voter file and ended the interview if the intended respondent was not available. Overall, 94 percent of respondents were reached on a cellular telephone.

The instrument was translated into Spanish by ReconMR, and Spanish-speaking interviewers were assigned to the modeled Hispanic sample. Bilingual interviewers began the interview in English and were instructed to follow the lead of the respondent in determining whether to conduct the survey in English or Spanish. Monolingual Spanish-speaking respondents who were initially contacted by English-speaking interviewers were recontacted by Spanish-speaking interviewers. Overall, 12 percent of interviews among self-reported Hispanics were conducted in Spanish, including 19 percent in Nevada and 13 percent in Arizona.

Weighting — registered voters

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the six state samples were weighted separately to match voter file-based parameters for the characteristics of registered voters by state.

The following targets were used:

• Party (party registration if available, else classification based on a model of vote choice in prior Times/Siena polls)

• Age (Self-reported age, or voter file age if the respondent refuses)

• Gender (L2 data)

• Race or ethnicity (L2 model)

• Education (four categories of self-reported education, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• Marital status (L2 model)

• Home ownership (L2 model)

• State regions (NYT classifications by county or city)

• Turnout history (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Vote method in the 2020 elections (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Census block group density (A.C.S. 5-Year Census Block Group data)

• City type (Nevada only, added based on a post-hoc analysis of the difference between the weighted sample and voter file parameters. The weight had no meaningful effect on the topline result.)

• Census tract educational attainment (Georgia only, added based on a post-hoc analysis of the difference between the weighted sample and voter file parameters. The weight had no meaningful effect on the topline result.)

Finally, the six state samples were balanced to each represent one-sixth of the sum of the weights.

Weighting — likely electorate

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps.

First, the samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the first-stage weight was adjusted to account for the probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election, based on a model of turnout in the 2020 election.

Third, the six state samples were weighted separately to match targets for the composition of the likely electorate. The targets for the composition of the likely electorate were derived by aggregating the individual-level turnout estimates described in the previous step for registrants on the L2 voter file. The categories used in weighting were the same as those previously mentioned for registered voters.

Fourth, the initial likely electorate weight was adjusted to incorporate self-reported vote intention. The final probability that a registrant would vote in the 2024 election was four-fifths based on their ex ante modeled turnout score and one-fifth based on their self-reported intention, based on prior Times/Siena polls, including a penalty to account for the tendency of survey respondents to turn out at higher rates than nonrespondents. The final likely electorate weight was equal to the modeled electorate rake weight, multiplied by the final turnout probability and divided by the ex ante modeled turnout probability.

Finally, the six state samples were balanced to each represent one-sixth of the sum of the weights.

The margin of error accounts for the survey’s design effect, a measure of the loss of statistical power due to survey design and weighting. The design effect for the full battleground sample of registered voters is 1.29. The design effect for the likely electorate is 1.46, which includes the added variance due to incorporating the probability that a respondent will participate in the 2024 election.

Correction:

Nov. 14, 2023

An earlier version of the methodology statement, using language intended for a previous poll, inaccurately described the weighting process as it related to the sample selection process. As correctly detailed in the sampling section, all registered voters in each state had an equal probability of being selected, controlling for each stratum’s expected response rate and telephone coverage on the voter file. The polls did not oversample Republican voters, and the weighting process did not account for any such oversample.