2024 Presidential Election Polls

RacetotheWH is tracking the latest polling for the 2024 Presidential Election, and now includes polling for both Kamala Harris against Donald Trump. It also features a polling-driven Electoral College Map, which shows the current leader based on the polling average in each state. 

In the polling average, more weight is given to polls:
1. Published by Pollsters that have a Strong Track Record of Accuracy
2. That Interviewed a Large Sample of Voters
3. Were Released Recently - Especially as we Get Closer to the Election

We correct for pollsters' historic partisan bias, and we give less weight to polls released by campaigns. For the older version of the polling average, which includes polling for alternative nominees like DeSantis and Haley, click here.

In 2022, RacetotheWH ranked first in calling the highest percentage of Senate and Governor races correctly and came within one seat of predicting the exact number of seats the GOP would finish within the House.

Update August 18th: The RacetotheWH Forecast is now live for the 2024 Presidential Election.

Additionally, we introduced a new type of polling average that tracks all Harris vs. Trump polls. This is the new default option. When a pollster releases both a head to head version and one with third party candidates, we include both, and give them each half weight so that they don’t overpower the average. For those that prefer Head to Head and Third Party Polling to be separated, we are still tracking those polling types, which you can select under “Choose your Matchup and Location”. For comparison sake, you can also explore Joe Biden’s polling against Donald Trump.