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Elinor Ostrom vs. Malthus and Hardin "How Inxorable Is The 'Tragedy of The Commons'?
Elinor Ostrom vs. Malthus and Hardin "How Inxorable Is The 'Tragedy of The Commons'?
5/1/86
HOW INEXORABLE IS THE "TRAGEDY OF THE COMMONS?" INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS FOR CHANGING THE STRUCTURE OF SOCIAL DILEMMAS
by
Elinor Ostrom Workshop in Political Theory and Policy Analysis Indiana University Bloomington, Indiana
Distinguished Faculty Research Lecture, Indiana University, April 3, 1986. I am appreciative of the support made available through the National Science Foundation Grant Number NSF SES 83-09829, and the helpful comments of Christi Barbour, Fikret Berkes, William Blomquist, David Feeny, Vincent Ostrom, Rick Wilson, and James Wunsch.
W86-8
HOW INEXORABLE IS THE "TRAGEDY OF THE COMMONS?" INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS FOR CHANGING THE STRUCTURE OF SOCIAL DILEMMAS by
5/1/86
Elinor Ostrom
He then examines
animals and suffers delayed costs from the deterioration of the commons when he and others overgraze. The herdsman is motivated to
add more and more animals because he receives the proceeds from the sale of his own animals and bears only a share of the costs resulting
Hardin was not the first to notice the tragedy of the commons. Aristotle had long ago observed that "what is common to the greatest
number has the least care bestowed upon it. Everyone thinks chiefly
of his own, hardly at all of the common interest" (Politics, Book II,
Ch. 3). Over 150 years ago, William Forster Lloyd (1833; reprinted
1977) sketched a theory of the commons, which predicted improvident use for property owned in common. More than a decade before Hardin's article, H. Scott Gordon, of our own faculty, clearly expounded "The
interest. This is not the case. Hardin himself used the grazing commons as a metaphor for the general problem of overpopulation. The
tragedy of the commons has been used to describe such diverse problems
as the Sahelian famine of the 1970s (Picardi and Seifert, 1977), the
problem of acid rain (R. Wilson, 1985), the organization of the Mormon
Church (Bullock and Baden, 1977), the inability of the U.S. Congress
cooperation (Snidal, 1985), and communal conflict in Cyprus (Lumsden, 1973).1 Analytically, the theory that Hardin sketched has been formalized
as a N-Person, Commons Dilemma Game (Dawes, 1973; 1975). When the
Recent historical work has challenged the validity of the presumption that there was a tragedy of the commons in the use of English open field grazing lands, but the metaphor of the commons is still quite useful in other settings.
temptation payoff) and to avoid the worst result (the sucker's payoff)
Player 1 Cooperate Second best result for both Worst result for 1 Best result for 2
Attributed to Merrill M. Flood and Melvin Dresher and formalized by Albert W. Tucker (Campbell, 1985: 3), the game is described as follows:
Two suspects are taken into custody and separated. The district attorney is certain that they are guilty of a specific crime, but he does not have adequate evidence to convict them at a trial. He points out to each prisoner that each has two alternatives: to confess to the crime the police are sure they have done, or not to confess. If they both do not confess, then the district attorney states he will book them on some very minor trumped-up charge such as petty larceny and illegal possession of a weapon, and they will both receive minor punishment; if they both confess they will be prosecuted, but he will recommend less than the most severe sentence; but if one confesses and the other does not, then the confessor will receive lenient treatment for turning state's evidence whereas the latter will get "the book" slapped at him. In terms of years in a penitentiary, the strategic problem might reduce to:
(Footnote continued)
Don't Cooperate
Quite simply, these paradoxes cast in doubt our understanding of rationality and, in the case of the Prisoner's Dilemma, suggest that it is impossible for rational creatures to cooperate. Thus, they bear directly on fundamental issues in ethics and political philosophy and threaten the foundations of the social sciences. It is the scope of these consequences that explains why these paradoxes have drawn so much attention and why they command a central place in philosophical discussion (Campbell, 1985: 3).
The deep attraction of the dilemma is also illustrated by the number of articles written on it. At latest count --a decade ago -- more
(continued) Prisoner 2
Not Confess Confess
Prisoner 1
Not Confess Confess
1 year each
3 months for 1 10 years for 2
(Luce and Raiffa, 1957: 95). Richard Kimber (1981) challenges the appropriateness of using the PD game to represent Commons Dilemmas.
than 2,000 papers had been devoted to the Prisoner's Dilemma game
(Grofman and Pool, 1975). When viewed as a situation that will be repeated for a finite and known number of rounds, most theorists predict that players will
continue to select their dominant strategy in each round yielding a
Several predictions
are made for an iterated Commons Dilemma game when the number of
iterations is unknown. Many philosophers and formal theorists still
argue that a rational player should play the "don't cooperate" strategy in every round (see, for example, Sobel, 1985). Others argue
that rational players facing one another for an indefinite future
selecting cooperative strategies (see, for example, Braybrooke, 1985; R. Hardin, 1982) or Bayesian estimates of subjective probabilities to
resolve the dilemma (see J. Wilson, 1986). Still other models assume
strategies by all (see Lewis and Cowens, 1983; Cave, 1984; Bendor and Mookherjee, 1985). Taking an evolutionary approach, Axelrod (1981;
1984) has examined which strategies may be collectively stable under varying conditions of long-term play.
With few exceptions (R. Hardin, 1982; Braybrooke, 1985; Orbell and Wilson, 1978), analyses of the Commons Dilemma have focused on the 3 structure of the game as given. The "solution" is viewed as
immutable.
From within the game, participants are trapped in an Even when analysts have
the presumption is usually made that the participants themselves have no control over the structure of the situation in which they find 4 themselves. The prisoners in the story on which the FD game is based were indeed trapped. The physical constraints of separate cells in a prison and a resolute District Attorney impose an immutable structure
upon them. Is this immutability a temporary conceptual and Scholars
The inability
however.
(continued) factors which may affect the proportion of cooperative vs. noncooperative strategies (see, in particular, R. Wilson, 1985; van de Kragt, Orbell, and Dawes, 1983; Dawes, McTavish, and Shaklee, 1977).
In an important article that presumes that there may be different institutional solutions to such situations, Orbell and Wilson (1978) examine the effect of using a single dictator, majority rule, or unrestrained choice to determine who cooperates and who defects under different environmental conditions.
Anthony Giddons (1979: 5) has stressed this basic recursiveness of social life by pointing out that "structure is both medium and outcome of the reproduction of practices."
'Leviathan,' to use Hobbes's term" (1978: 314). The presumption that Leviathan is necessary to avoid tragedies of
opined that "iron governments," perhaps military governments, are necessary to achieve control over ecological problems. In a somewhat
Peter
Stillman (1975: 13) points out that those who see "a strong central government or a strong ruler" as a solution, implicitly assume that "the ruler will be a wise and ecologically aware altruist. . ." even
though these same theorists presume that the users of common-pool resources will be myopic, self-interested, and ecologically unaware
hedonists.
In a fascinating study of the unintended and perverse consequences of national governmental regulation of coastal fishery resources, Anthony Davis (1984) points out that officials of the (Footnote continued)
In contrast, other analysts call, in equally strong terms, for the imposition of private property rights whenever resources are owned
communally (Demsetz, 1967; Welch, 1983). "Both the economic analysis
the commons" leads Robert J. Smith (1981: 467) to suggest that "the
only way to avoid the tragedy of the commons in natural resources and
rights enhances efficiency in many situations (see, for example, Feeny, 1982). Similarly, I have no quarrel with the argument that administering some resources through central-government authority may
I do take issue
with the presumption that either central-government administration or private property rights is "the only way to avoid the tragedy of the
commons."
What is perplexing, as well as dangerous, is that scholars are willing to propose the imposition of sweeping institutional changes
(continued) Canadian Federal Department of Fisheries are firmly convinced that a "tragedy of the commons" will occur in all fisheries without a uniform imposition of central regulations. These national regulations ignore, and, in some cases, are contrary to local regulations for managing small boat fisheries that have been in practice for several generations. The national policies are generating substantial threats to the long-term viability of small boat fisheries which had been ecologically viable for a long time.
10
Limiting
situations than the simple game that is repeatedly used to "illustrate" the Commons Situation. Social scientists and
devoted to trying to prove that individual rationality in a perverse situation will somehow avoid an irrational outcome. Why should we expect perfectly rational individuals placed in highly irrational
structures, with no opportunity to change the structure, to achieve collective rationality? What is a more irrational way to structure any enduring situation than that represented by the FD game: no
communication among the participants, no previous ties among them, no anticipation of future interactions, and no capacity to promise, threaten, cajole, or retaliate. Would reasonable humans, trying to order their own long-term
relationships in a productive manner, structure a situation in such a
perverse way? Reasonable humans may, of course, structure situations in this manner when they wish to prevent the participants in a
Substantial work has been undertaken of much more complex situations than the standard PD or Commons game in modern game theoretical literature (see, for example, Selten, 1975; 1978; Shubik, 1982; and Guth, 1985).
11
situation from cooperating with one another. Some cooperation among
participants may lead to harms externalized on others, such as in criminal conspiracies or economic cartels. Thus, cooperation is not
accept this limited view of choice, we are doomed to accept the imposition of structure by external authorities as the only way out of perverse situations such as the Commons Dilemma. 1 do not accept such
a limited view of choice and want now to turn from this critique to a more positive approach to the study of Commons Dilemmas.
Given the arid conditions of Southern California, the development and use of water resources has been crucial to the growth of the area
12
aquaducts to bring water from the Owens Valley, from the Colorado
Building surface
this peaking capacity at low cost, the value of the groundwater basins
for their storage potential (as contrasted to their flow of water) has become their most important function in a complex, conjunctive use system. The loss of one of the groundwater basins underlying
metropolitan Los Angeles would be a major economic disaster. The incentives facing producers of water from an underground
basin depend, in part, on the type of property rights system in force
water being withdrawn than was being replaced) occurred each year.
13
storage, but continued overdraft could destroy the groundwater basin itself through salt water intrusion.
problem.
production in order to establish a proportionately larger claim to future pumping rights. Water that was not used simply flowed to the
lowest water levels in the basin -- allowing sea water to flow into
the basin. The short run incentive was to pump as much as possible
the pumpers would cut back on production, they could jointly benefit
existed for them to come to agreement concerning Joint strategies. No governmental authority had boundaries coinciding with any of the
groundwater basins. Portions of 11 cities lay over West Basin, the The County of Los Angeles contained
many of the basins within it, but was larger than any one of them. By the end of the second World War, the problem facing water
producers in West Basin can be clearly represented as a Commons Dilemma. Given the large number of participants and the absence of any ways to communicate and develop enforceable joint production
strategies, one would predict from the theory of the commons that the basin would be destroyed by salt water intrusion within a few years.
14
condition than it was forty years ago. Local water producers found a
way to reduce their production from the basin and to create several
special districts that now enable them to manage West Basin in a
productive manner.
voluntary private association -- the West Basin Water Association -to provide a forum for face-to-face discussion about their common
problems. The producers used this forum to obtain the best available evidence about the current conditions of the basin and to discuss
alternative Joint production strategies. The association was supported by voluntary dues paid by producers based on the volume of
water produced. A decision was made within the Association to use equity court procedures in helping to solve the problems they faced.
Through discovery and reference procedures, the producers were able to obtain reliable information on past and current supply and demand conditions.
In the shadow of the court, producers were able to negotiate a
pursue temptation strategies. The choice for each producer in deciding whether to sign a contingent contract is between: (1)
15
(2) not cooperating in a situation where most others are also not cooperating. The contingent contract operated as an interim court
decree for several years before it became the final court decree and
was imposed on nonsignators as well as those who had signed the original agreement. In addition, the court decision assigned each
producer defined rights to the flow of water for the basin which could be purchased independently of land. Once rights were so defined, a market for groundwater could and did develop. A water master was
appointed to continue to monitor production and ensure that producers
remained within agreed limits. While utilizing court procedures, West Basin producers also initiated proceedings to create several special districts. The first special district enabled producers to supplement the underground supply with a surface supply. The second district enabled producers
to tax themselves on the amount of water they produced and to use that
as inland. Replenishment efforts involved several more local public districts which agreed to cooperate in a series of contractual
arrangements (see E. Ostrom, 1965, for details and Blomquist and E.
Cost-sharing
16
Alanya, Turkey
Our second case stands in marked contrast to the highly modernized political economy of the Los Angeles metropolitan area. The inshore fishery of Alanya in Turkey is a relatively small
operation.
University in Ontario, Canada, has provided an excellent description of the fishery and its institutional arrangements. Many of the 100 local fishermen operate in 2- or 3-man boats using various types of
17
a.
Each September, a list of eligible fishermen is prepared, consisting of all licensed fishermen in Alanya, regardless of co-op membership.
Within the area normally used by Alanya fishermen, all usable fishing locations are named and listed. These spots are spaced so that the net set in one does not block the fish that should be available at the adjacent spot.
b.
c. These named fishing locations are in effect from September to May. ...
d.
e.
In September, the eligible fishermen draw lots and are assigned to named fishing locations.
From September to January, each day, each fisherman moves to the new location to the east. After January, the fishermen move west. This gives each fisherman an equal opportunity at the stocks which migrate east to west between September and January, and reverse their migration from January to May through the area (Berkes, 1985c: 14-15).
which incur are "dealt with by the fishing community at large, in the coffee house. Violators may come under social pressure and, on
occasion, threats of violence" (Berkes, 1985c: 15). If needed, the
production costs.
Trbel. Switzerland The third case is of Trbel, a village of about 600 people
18
located in the Vispertal of the Upper Valais region of Switzerland. Netting (1976: 133) identifies the most significant features of the
environment as: " ( 1 ) the steepness of its slope and the wide range of microclimates demarcated by altitude, (2) the prevailing paucity of
For centuries,
Swiss peasants have planted their privately owned plots with bread
grains, garden vegetables and fruit trees, and hay for winter fodder. Cheeses produced by a small group of herdsmen, who tended village
cattle pastured on the communally owned alpine meadows during the
forests, the "waste" lands, the irrigation systems, and the paths and roads connecting privately and communally owned properties. On February 1, 1483, TOrbel residents signed articles formally
establishing an association to achieve a better level of regulation
over the use of the alp, the forests, and the waste lands.
The law specifically forbade a foreigner (Fremde) who bought
or permission to fell timber. Ownership of a piece of land did not automatically confer any communal right
(genossenschaftliches Recht). The inhabitants currently possessing land and water rights reserved the power to decide whether an outsider should be admitted to community membership (Netting, 1976: 139). The boundaries of the communally owned lands were well established long ago as indicated in a 1507 inventory document.
19
Not only was access to well defined common property strictly limited to citizens, who were specifically extended communal rights, but written regulations specified in 1517 that "no citizen could send more cows to the alp than he could feed during the winter. . ."
(Netting, 1976: 139). This regulation, which Netting reports is still
enforced, imposed severe fines for any attempt by villagers to
appropriate a larger share of grazing rights. The rules regulating the use of irrigation water involved an intricate rotation system
based on sun and shadow movements on the surrounding mountains.
Timber for construction and wood for heating were marked by village officials and assigned by lot to groups of households who then were authorized to enter the forests and harvest the marked trees. Regulations also stated the obligations of those with use rights to provide labor inputs related to the cleaning of springs, the maintenance of an extensive irrigation system, the construction and maintenance of roads and paths, rebuilding avalanche-damaged fences, and redistributing manure on common pasture lands. A codification of these regulations signed in 1531 included 24 separate articles regulating such diverse activities as: "immigration to or emigration from the community, hunting on the alp, stock damage to private plots,
the spread of cattle disease, dispute settlement, participation in
village government, alp pasturate rights, and compulsory communal building" (Netting, 1976: 139-140). In addition to a detailed system of communal rights, private
rights to land are also well developed in Trbel and other Swiss villages. Most of the meadows, gardens, grainfields, and vineyards in
Trbel were owned by separate individuals, but complex condominium-like agreements were also worked out for the fractional
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Hirano, Nagaike, and Yamanoka Villages in Japan The last case study involves several villages located in a mountainous region of Japan. For centuries in that country, extensive
common lands have existed and been regulated primarily by local villagers. In an important study of traditional common lands in
Japan, Margaret A. McKean (1984) estimates that about 12 million hectares of forests and uncultivated mountain meadows were held and
managed in common by thousands of rural villages during the Tokugawa period (1600-1867) and that about 3 million hectares are so managed
today. While many villages have sold or divided their common lands in
recent times, McKean (1984: 2) indicates that she has "not yet turned up an example of a commons that suffered ecological destruction while
it was still a commons."
Three Japanese villages -- Hirano, Nagaike, and Yamanoka -- are similar in many respects to Trbel. The villages are also established
21
which had political standing in the village. The basis for political
status varied substantially by village. In some villages the standing
In some
the village. Boundary rules clearly demarked which lands were held in common and which in private ownership. Entry rules unambiguously specified who was authorized to use the communally owned land. Ownership of the uncultivated lands near a village devolved from the imperial court to the villages through several intermediate stages involving land stewards and locally based warriors. National
cadastral surveys were conducted late in the sixteenth century at a
time of land reform that assigned "most of the rights to arable land
that we today consider to be 'ownership' to peasants who lived on and cultivated that land" (McKean, 1984: 6). In the earlier systems the
owners of large estates had employed agents in each village and authorized these agents to regulate access to the uncultivated lands.
As villages asserted their own rights to these lands, they shared a clear image of which lands were private and which were held in common,
and of how those lands held in common needed management in order to serve the long-term interests of the peasants dependent upon them. In traditional Japanese villages, the household was the smallest
unit of account. Each village contained a carefully recorded, defined
22
number of households. Households could not divide into multiple households without permission from the village. Rights of access to
the communally held lands were accorded on a pro rata basis to each household. Consequently, households with many members had no
commons.
Different villages arrived at different arrangements for guaranteeing an adequate supply of each of these products. For items that were needed regularly and that the commons yielded in abundance, a village might allow co-owners free and open entry as long as they abided by certain rules to make sure that a self-sustaining population of mature plants or animals was left behind. To enter the commons, one might need to go to village authorities to obtain an entry permit, carved on a little wooden ticket and marked 'entrance permit for one person.' The rules would probably restrict the villagers' choice of cutting tools or the size of the sack or container used to collect plants. Everyone would be expected to abide by the village headman's instructions about leaving so much height on a cut plant so that it could regenerate, or taking only a certain portion of a cluster of similar plants to make sure the parent plant could propagate itself, or collecting a certain species only after flowering and fruiting, and so on.
For items that had to be left undisturbed until maturity and harvested all at once at just the right time, or that the commons supplied only in adequate, not abundant, amount, villagers usually set aside closed reserves. . . . The village headman would be responsible for determining when the time had come to harvest thatch or winter fodder or other products, and would schedule the event. . . (McKean, 1984: 33).
23
The tailoring of village rules to the specific needs of each village and the ecological condition of a particular commons also required input from the villages to enhance and maintain the yield of the commons. For collective work to maintain the commons - - t o conduct the annual burning . . ., to report to harvest on mountain-opening days, or to do a specific cutting of timber or thatch -- there were written rules about the obligation of each household to contribute a share to this effort. Accounts were kept about who contributed what to make sure that no household evaded its responsibilities unnoticed. . . . [and] if there was no acceptable excuse, punishment was in order (McKean, 1984: 39). McKean's study is also strong testimony that it is possible for local communities to devise effective rules for managing their own common-property resources. The establishment of the rules, the
monitoring of behavior, the monitoring of the conditions in the commons, and the assignment of punishment were all conducted primarily in the village. McKean concludes that the long-term success of these
locally designed rules systems indicates "that it is not necessary for regulation of the commons to be imposed coercively from the outside" (McKean, 1984: 56).
Let me turn to the substantive lessons that can be learned from these four success stories. the methodological lessons. I will follow this with a discussion of
The Substantive Significance The most important substantive lesson to be learned from these four cases is that it is possible for individuals facing a Commons
24
designed new structures for themselves that have enabled them to use
in other groundwater basins have developed similar institutional arrangements to those of West Basin (Weschler, 1968; Rolph, 1982). While the designs are similar, each is tailored to meet particular circumstances. Besides Alanya, Berkes describes two other inshore
fisheries owned communally where local fishermen have developed effective institutions for regulating use. The rules used in these
Swiss
25
In Northern
1982). On the Turkish coast several inshore fisheries, not far from
Alanya, face resource depletion and severe user-group conflicts (Berkes, 1985c). Establishing a possibility is not the same as
establishing necessity. West Basin and Alanya illustrate how individuals can engage in
self-conscious design to change patterns of behavior within a relatively short period of time. These cases illustrate what I think
Giddons (1979: 56-57) means by the reflexive monitoring of action.
Giddons considered this reflexive monitoring to be related not only to the actions taken in a situation but also to the "monitoring of the setting of interaction" (his emphasis). The Swiss and Japanese villages illustrate how institutions which evolved in the distant past
can be well adapted to particular environmental and cultural circumstances. That the inhabitants of these extremely fragile mountain environments have been able to use them intensively for
26
the situation. This methodological device of placing some variables outside short-term control enables the analyst to understand the logic of the short-term situation and to predict likely patterns of behavior
Something must be
taken as given in any analysis. The variables which are considered exogenous may or may not be under the long-term control of participants. In some political systems, users of common-pool
resource and are like prisoners trapped in their cells. But our cases illustrate that, when users of a common-pool resource do have
long-term capacities to change their own institutional arrangements,
problem include Smith (1981: 465), who asserts that "it is by treating
a resource as a common property that we become locked in its inexorable destruction." Stillman pointed out a decade ago that the
"remorseless logic" was built into the assumptions of Hardin's theory. In his words:
But the search for a solution cannot be found within the parameters of the problem. Rather, the resolution can only be found by changing one or more of the parameters of the problem, by cutting the Gordian knot rather than untying it (Stillman, 1975: 1 4 ) .
27
conceptual trap, they fail to address how participants in a Commons Dilemma can restructure their relationships to achieve mutually productive ways of relating to one another. Further, presuming the
helplessness of participants leads to recommendations to impose solutions upon them. If we had strong logical and empirical reasons
arrangement for efficiency's sake. But another lesson obtained from these cases is the futility of presuming there is "one best way." None of the four institutional
strict market arrangement or a central-government arrangement. While the West Basin "solution" does involve creating firm property rights
to the flow of water in West Basin, the basin itself is not privately owned. A "market" for water rights emerged subsequent to the court But that is not all that emerged.
Rights to the
28
assigned to family units and remain with family units from one generation to the next.
either. The participants themselves decided which rules are to apply for allocating use. The administrative structure in all four cases is
minimal. commons. The users of the commons are also the governors of the
The primary substantive lesson from these cases is that it is possible for humans to break out of the logic of the commons and to
restructure the situation itself. Thus, it is important for policy
analysts to recognize the difference between assuming a set of givens
We have also observed that there may not be "one best way" of organizing for the management of natural resource systems. At least
we are now aware of several systems which work quite well without
analysis is completely contained within the structure of a given situation. The problem in understanding institutions is that one must
29
collective choice, and constitutional choice (see Kiser and E. Ostrom, 1982) . The typical way of modeling a Commons Dilemma is at an
social welfare. An assertion that there are multiple levels of analysis in the social sciences is not revolutionary. But until we
separated.
In many
30
In a
to represent the chemical reaction rely on an assumption that the process under analysis can be isolated from its environment. P. J.
following way:
On the one hand, the environment is supposed to remain unaffected and is held constant; it is represented by a few parameters with fixed values. On the other hand, underlying processes, at finer scales in time or space, are hidden, Their dynamics are completely ignored. They are supposed to be in a state of equilibrium. . . . The success and the accuracy of these isolated analyses are, of course, to a great extent due to the large values of the differences in the time and size scales of the structures involved (Courtois, 1985: 591).
The vast differences in time and space between many levels of physical systems has enabled physical scientists to develop a technical
relatively independently of other levels. There are, however, physical systems where the macroscopic
behavior of the system emerges from the "independent behaviors of a
Prigogine
They
Problems of analysis
for physical and biological phenomena which are more tightly linked
across levels turn out to be far more difficult than analysis where levels can be kept separate. Social and political phenomena are
similar in structure to such tightly linked systems and present similar difficulties of analysis.
31
resemble one another closely, "we find it hard to avoid mixing levels
when we think about the system, and can easily get totally lost"
(1979: 287). Hofstadter illustrates the confusion which can result
of us who have taught a friend to use a micro-computer are all too familiar with the initial confusion of a novice when faced with the
multiple language systems he or she must learn to use. Since all
communication with the computer occurs on the same flat screen, the
novice interprets the symbols as all coming from the same level.
Sorting out what an operating language does from what other, higher
level, languages do is a major task for anyone who works with a
computer.
In a similar manner, many social scientists would view the various actions undertaken by participants in West Basin or in Alanya
as occurring at one level -- what we might refer to as "local level" phenomena. Social scientists tend to distinguish phenomena in terms
of space -- local, regional, national, or international -- and time -9 the Dark Ages, the Middle Ages, and the Enlightenment, for instance.
A glance at the curriculum for many social science "departments reveals some variant of the above spatial or temporal divisions. While these temporal and spatial classifications are useful for many (Footnote continued)
32
West Basin and the fishermen in Alanya are conceptualized as both being involved in a similar but multi-level series of activities.
They are attempting to solve a similar problem (the Commons Dilemma at
an operational level) by restructuring, at a collective choice level,
Where would biology be today if it were still organized primarily around the study of "the flora and fauna of X region?" Fortunately,
earlier generations of biologists recognized that biological systems could be analyzed at various levels. Both genotypes and phenotypes
analysis of a phenotype looks at the physical manifestations of the individual members of a species. The methods of analysis and
scientific language used to describe and explain phenomena at each of
(continued) purposes, they are not the only useful ways of examining the layers of interlinked systems of human action.
33
needs to understand both types of structure and how they are related.
Modern linguistics has also been well served by a conscious
separation of the level of sentence structure from the deeper transformational grammatical structure. This has represented a slow
development over time of the work of Humboldt (1836), Saussure (1960), Wittgenstein (1953), and Searle (1969). One of Chomsky's great
structure (see Chomsky, 1965; 1975; 1978). The analysis of institutional arrangements in the social world
needs a similar methodological severing of conceptually-close systems
social scientists for analytic purposes. The linkages among levels are so intimately intertwined that it is extraordinarily difficult to separate them for analysis. Modern formal theorists have not yet
recognized how important a firm foundation of multiple levels of
analysis is for work on the study of social institutions. One of the
most creative and thoughtful modern analytical scholars, Charles Plott, for example, defined the fundamental equation of modern social
choice theory to be a "one-level" equation. - Using * as an unspecified
abstract operation, Plott posed the following fundamental equation:
34
This two-equation system distinguishes between institutions viewed as the rules of a game and the game itself. While I do not agree with
would then provide the basis for rule modifications that may improve
35
of rules.
One of the problems facing scholars who have been interested in the rules used by people to order their relationships with one another
has been the extraordinary variety and form that particular rules take. Until a technical language is developed to express in a more generic form the particular rules found in practice, one rule configuration cannot be compared to another. . Rules in use are described either in everyday language or in the legal language of a particular legal system. The variety of rules, if one relies entirely on the specific wording of rules found in practice, is beyond our
capacity to analyze.
There are important exceptions. In particular, see Buchanan and Tullock (1962), Shepsle (1979a; 1979b), V. Ostrom (1982; 1980; 1987, forthcoming), North (1981), and Hayami and Ruttan (1985).
36
What positions participants may, must, or must not hold (position rules);
What characteristics participants may, must, or must not have to enter positions (boundary rules); The authorized actions participants may, must, or must not take independently (authority rules); The formula that participants may, must, or must not use for decision making when multiple persons must decide (aggregation rules); The information that participants may, must, or must not reveal to others (information rules);
The states of the world that participants may, must, or must not affect (scope rules); and
The rewards or penalties which may, must, or must not be assigned to actions or outcomes (payoff rules).
This is not the appropriate forum for a detailed examination of the methods we are developing for arraying generic rule
configurations. Let me illustrate this evolving methodology, however,
by concentrating on eight generic rules which were changed in West Basin; four of which were also changed in Alanya. While other rules
are also involved in both cases, these eight rules were the focus of attention in West Basin when the participants attempted to restructure the situation they faced. A generic formulation of each of these
11
See E. Ostrom (1986a; 1986b; 1986c) and Kiser and Ostrom (1982) for a discussion of the relationship of particular types of rules to the elements of an action situation. See Feeny, 1986, for a discussion of related methodological issues that arise in studying Commons Dilemmas.
37
Four rules were changed in the Alanya case: (1) local civil authorities became official monitors for the fishing agreement, (2) fishermen were limited in the number of days they were allowed to fish, (3) fishermen were limited in the location where they could fish, and (4) sanctions could be imposed on those who did not adhere to the restrictions placed on use patterns. In West Basin, all eight
of the rules listed on Table 1 were changed over a twenty year period.
By stating these rules in a generic, rather than specific form, it is now obvious that these eight rules were similar in Alanya and in West Basin in the "before" situation when participants were facing a
Commons Dilemma. Without such reformulation, the similarity in underlying structure is hidden in the complexity of a modified riparian-like water rights doctrine and an open-access fishery regime. In our current research, we are examining the. rule configurations
underlying a series of cases similar to those described above to ascertain how similar generic rules are related to Commons' Dilemmas.
From our early results, we know that the generic rule configurations underlying Commons Dilemmas are subject to greater variance than those that apply to Alanya and West Basin. But it will still be possible to
situations in a systematic manner. While the "before" rules are identical in their generic
structure, the "after" rules are not. Entry rights may be purchased in West Basin and not in Alanya. It is necessary to live in the local Further, payments for use as
Alanya.
38
simpler system that the one developed to regulate use in West Basin.
Further, in West Basin, users have organized themselves for the purpose of enhancing and regulating the supply of water to the basin as well as regulating the use patterns made of the basin. The Alanya rule configuration is quite similar to those which evolved in T6rbel and in Harano (to take one of the Japanese villages
as an example).
P1
Trbel, Switzerland
Harano, Japan
Y Y Y Y
El Y Y Y
N
E2
N
Al Y Y Y Y
A2 Y Y Y Y
Rl Y Y Y Y
R2 N N N Y
R3 N N N Y
R4 Y Y N N
N N Y
The eight rules we compared above can also be compared for all four
success cases (the traditional systems which evolved in Tfirbel and in Harano and the "after" situations of Alanya and West Basin). I have
added a ninth rule to this analysis (here labeled R4) which relates to whether payments are assessed on a per capita basis. I added this
payoff rule, which was not changed in either the West Basin or the Alanya case, to make clear how participants in these two mountainous areas have been able to invest in improving the operation of their commons. While they do not have a use-tax (R2) or an assets tax (R3),
which are both used in West Basin to gain resources to invest in the commons, they do assess each family unit ( R 4 ) to gain resources to
39
improve their commons. The fishermen in Alanya do not now use any of
these forms of assessment. I predict, however, that if they do desire
to enhance the supply side of their commons, they will turn to one of
these three forms of assessment (R2, R3, or R4) to obtain the necessary resources for such efforts.
The similarity in the pattern for these nine rules for Trbel and
Harano is striking. This portion of the rule configuration is identical for two systems which evolved in widely separated, fragile mountain regions in Switzerland and Japan.12 Without transforming the
particularities of the actual rules used in each of these settings
into this more general form, this underlying similarity in structure would be difficult to establish. Although our work on generic rule formulation is still in progress, we can begin to see what it means to sort out multiple levels of analysis and develop technical languages appropriate to each of the levels. Analysis of rule configurations focuses on how particular patterns in rules being used affect the structure of the situations humans confront. Analysis of these situations, in turn, looks at how incentives so produced lead to particular types of behavior and aggregate outcomes. To develop a
cumulative and effective form of policy analysis, we need to pursue
both types of analysis as rigorously as we can. Without the analysis of rules, the analysis of given situations leads to a focus on the
12 Most of the other rules used in these two cases are also quite similar. They differ primarily in regard to how rights are transferred across generations and the freedom individuals have to leave their villages (see E. Ostrom, 1986, forthcoming, for a more thorough description of these cases).
situations, the analysis of rules does not tell us how people will behave once rules have been changed (see Majone, 1986: 70).
*****
There are several lessons that I hope you carry away from this
lecture. First, the usefulness of an analytical device such as the
V
situation facing participants, we can identify the situational similarities facing water producers in West Basin and fishermen in
Alanya before they were able to change the rules about how to act in those situations. The most important factors affecting their behavior were related to the structure of the Commons Dilemma and not such
factors as the type of resource (water versus fish) or the location (California versus Turkey).
Second, I hope that we have dispelled a commonly held presumption that whenever individuals find themselves in a Commons Dilemma they
are forever trapped in a tragedy of the commons. While many factors, such as the size of the group and existence within a single nation,
may enhance or detract from the capabilities of individuals to arrive at a way to restructure their own situations, we have examined four
ability "to step outside" the confines of a given situation, devise solutions, and implement them. This should fortify our faith in the
41
survive close scrutiny since vocal advocates simultaneously extol the benefits of entirely different institutional solutions. Given that
some analysts call for private market solutions as loudly as others call for central government solutions, considerable doubt is cast on the presumption that there is one best way to resolve a Commons Dilemma. The Swiss and Japanese villages, for instance, give us
firm evidence that individuals who have had long experience with private land ownership do not find that arrangement to be the only way to organize productive relationships effectively. In these two cases,
private ownership and communal ownership have existed side-by-side for centuries. Furthermore, none of our "success" stories have required strong central government intervention.
Finally, I have discussed the important methodological "lesson"
develop technical languages for work at these different levels. relationships among levels must then be examined, but with a full recognition that there are different types of phenomena to be
The
Our case studies reveal, in addition, that there are possibilities for resolution of the Commons Dilemma that entail neither the imposition of Leviathan nor the privatization of all common resources.
42
social dilemmas. Human beings not only face choices about how to act
people learn not only how to use a commons but how to govern a
commons, they are laying the foundation for developing and maintaining
Table 1
Rules Which Were Changed in the Alanya or West Basin Cases
"After" West
Alanya___Basin
Y N
Y N
Y N
E2. Hay purchase entry rights Authority Rules Al. Quantity of use restricted A2. Location of use restricted
Payoff Rules
N N
N N
Y
Y
Y Y
N N N
N N N N N Y Y
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