Clayton M. Christensen et al (2010). Innovation Killers: How Financial Tools Destroy Your Capacity to Do New Things (Boston: Harvard Business School Press), Harvard Business Review Classics Series, pp. 49, p/b, ISBN 978-1-4221-3655-3
Clayton M. Christensen et al (2010). Innovation Killers: How Financial Tools Destroy Your Capacity to Do New Things (Boston: Harvard Business School Press), Harvard Business Review Classics Series, pp. 49, p/b, ISBN 978-1-4221-3655-3
e-ISSN: 2278-487X, p-ISSN: 2319-7668. Volume 17, Issue 2.Ver. I (Feb. 2015), PP 07-12
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Abstract: This book argues that the better known financial tools invoked by analysts in evaluating the
performance of firms were designed years ago to enable sustaining innovations rather than disruptive
innovations.That is probably why firms have difficulty with innovation in practice even though they find the idea
appealing in theory. It is therefore important to integrate across the functions of strategy and finance so that the
financial tools used to evaluate a firms performance is adequate to the purpose and reflects the contemporary
reality of the financial markets. Likewise firms must be willing to acquire new strategic capabilities rather than
think only in terms of expanding capacities by not only restructuring their value chains when required to do so,
but by spinning-off disruptive innovations into separate units so that the criteria invoked to evaluate their
performance are relevant; and the differences between sustaining and disruptive forms of innovation are not
forgotten in both strategic theory and financial theory.
Keywords: Disruptive Innovation, Financial Metrics, Regulation, Sustaining Innovation, Value Chain
I. Introduction
This book is a reprint of an article that was originally published in the Harvard Business Review (HBR) in
January 2008. It is a part of a paperback series that brings together breakthrough articles from the HBR to a
much wider audience of readers in the world of business; it is itself, needless to say, an important instance of a
disruptive innovation in the context of business publishing on the part of Harvard Business School Press. It
successfully redefines the value proposition,of what a brief book for business readers should be like albeit
without any compromise in the quality of its theoretical offering. The intention of the three authors - Clayton M.
Christensen, Stephen P. Kaufman, and Willy C. Shih - is to find out why firms are enthusiastic about innovation
in theory but inhibited in practice. They point out that there are a number of reasons for this form of inhibition.
We may even go to the extent of saying that this important question addresses one of the most intractable
problems in the theory and practice of innovation within the emerging literature of strategy as innovation (as
opposed to the better-known form of strategy as competition). The main difference though between most
theorists who address this question and Christensen et al is the fact that they identify the main source of the
inhibition at the level of how financial tools are designed by either theorists or practitioners, and subsequently
invoked by financial analysts to make sense of the performance of particular firms.
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VII.
The fallacy of Parmenides canbe best understood by invoking the misunderstanding that results from
invoking the notion of discounted cash flow and net present valuewhere the reigning assumption is that it is
less risky to not innovate than to innovate; this, needless to say, is a huge theoretical assumption and is not
backed with any empirical data. This approach to risk, risk analysis, and the pricing of riskpresupposes that
nothing is changing in the markets, and that a firm will generate a higher cash flow by simply choosing not to
innovate and that the only sensible form of business is business as usual irrespective of how many opportunities
are lost in the attempt to do so.What is so obviously overlooked here is that the do-nothing scenario will not
necessarily guarantee cash flows; it might even lead, as it usually does in fast-changing scenarios, to a
nonlinear decline in performance that can be difficult to reverse for a firm. The assumption that nothing is
changing in the markets; and that a firm can safely keep doing more and more of the same, without any serious
attempts at innovation given the ever present risk to cash flows, is referred to as the fallacy of
Parmenides.Parmenides was a pre-Socratic philosopher who argued that there is no change in the real world,
and so there is no need to do anything that will demand a departure from the way things are at the present. The
risk, for Parmenides, is simply not worth it. Christensenet al however argue that it is important to compare the
value that a firm hopes to generate from an innovation within a range of scenarios in order to determine what it
must do or what it must not do. They are also worried about situations in which firms get their cash-flow
calculations wrong since the consequences of disruptive innovations cannot be modeled easily on a year-on-year
basis in the hope that terminal values at the end of a project period will facilitate a more accurate calculation.
This approach will not permit comparisons across scenarios since the cost of doing nothing (i.e. not innovating)
is assumed to be nothing, but this doesnt account for the possibility of a non-linear decline in performance as a
result of a simply-do-nothing scenario. It will not be possible to generate a single number in such a situation to
put it simply - that can be an effective stand-in for effective financial comparisons or pricing risk in a theory of
disruptive or even sustaining innovation.
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Christensen et al also argue that financial decision making can be marred by making unwise use of
fixed costs and marginal costs without understanding the strategic or financial implications of doing so. Here
what decision makers in a firm overlook is the problem of strategic capabilities: what capabilities are required
to succeed in the future will not be the same as those on which fixed costs and marginal costs were incurred in
the past in a given firm. Not understanding this may make it difficult to leverage the potential returns to existing
capabilities in the future. It was the unwillingness to acquire new capabilities and the preoccupation with
leveraging fixed costs and sunk costs that made it difficult for companies like US Steel to respond dynamically
to the disruptions created in the steel market by mini-mills like Nucor. Large integrated steel plants are then
highly unlikely to attempt any Greenfield ventures since that will make it difficult for them to leverage on
marginal costs which is a more attractive proposition in the short term than the need to think carefully about the
need to minimize long-term average costs. What is convenient from the marginal cost form of thinking will
turn out to be inconvenient both in terms of long-term costs and of what is strategically required to respond to
the process of disruption in any market. This will almost invariably lead to a situation when the incumbent firm
will be disrupted at almost every level of its product hierarchy as the disruptor firm eventually decides to move
upmarket. The fallacious assumption in such forms of thinking on the part of incumbents is in not understanding
the difference between expanding capacity (where it makes sense to leverage marginal costs on existing
capacity by doing more of the same) andin actually acquiring new capabilities where the relevant marginal
cost is actually the full cost of creating the new capability.Likewise, there is another interesting problem
relating to the depreciation of assets in the firm. In this situation, the usable lifetime and the competitive
lifetime of a capital asset are not the same. It is easy to make the obvious error of trying to depreciate the
former - rather than think in terms of the latter since the former lasts longer. This error will make it necessary to
often face massive write-offs when those assets become competitively obsolete and need to be replaced with
newer technology assets. The preoccupation with quarterly results will also delay the adoption of new
technology that is required to respond dynamically to disruptive forces. The solution that is suggested here is
that managers must move from a preoccupation with projects to thinking in terms of strategy in order to remain
competitive. The reason that they hesitate to do this is their preoccupation with how the equity markets will
respond to asset write-downs.
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XII.
And, finally, we need to rethink the structure of project financing as well since funds are usually
released for the feasibility, development, and launch of a project in stages. The transition from one stage to
another of the project is structured through the mechanism of stage-gates. This stage-gate mechanism was
originally meant to ensure that funds were used carefully and stem wasteif there is an instance of misuse. It
would also ensure that the release of funds corresponded in an ideal scenario to the scheduling of a linear
sequence of activities. While this approach is sensible to ensure that funds are not misappropriated or wasted,
this model of funding did not envisage the analytic distinction between sustainable innovations (for which it was
designed) and disruptive innovations since both the criteria of evaluation and the burden of risk are not the same
for both forms of innovation. It is much more likely that sustainable innovation will be funded than disruptive
innovation though the long term financial health of a company depends on disruptive innovation.This model of
project financing for sustainable innovation will ensure that an incumbent will not be able to summon a strategic
response to a disruptor not because he lacks strategic agility, but because his model of project financing will not
allow him to spend his resources in way that will make the incumbent truly competitive in a disruptive scenario.
That is why it might be a good idea to spin-off projects into new firms rather than destroy funding for disruptive
innovations using the criteria of evaluation for sustaining innovations. This model of project financing is
probably why incumbent companies cannot fund lower-end products to stall the disruptor in the first place. That
is also why incumbent firms are forced to flee upmarketendlessly to delay disruption to the extent possible until
it is too late for them to respond strategically. An important mechanism thatwill solve this problem in the
context of project financing is known as the reverse income statement; this mechanism works with the
minimum set of numbers that are acceptable if a project is to go ahead. Here there is a greater level of financial
integrity since assumptions are not endlessly tweaked to make the project look good; but, instead, a discovery
driven planning approach is invoked that works with an assumptions checklist. The idea is to ensure that
planners understand what the crucial assumptions are in their projects, and are also willing to make them
explicit so that the assumptions that constitute the key uncertainties in a given project are made known to
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XIII.
Conclusion
Unless these three financial metrics are analyzed and the differences in assumptions between sustaining
and disruptive innovations brought out into the open for all stakeholders to make sense of, incumbent firms will
continue to struggle to understand the role of disruptive innovation in the financial and product markets.That is
the danger that Christensen et al set out to diagnose and cure in this book. The urgency of their intervention is
also related to the fact that the time required to pull the macro-economy out of a recession has repeatedly
increased in the United States since neither incumbent firms nor policy makers have fully understood the
differences between the policies required for sustaining innovations as opposed to disruptive innovations. This
book, if read in the spirit of its strategic intent, will help them to do so. I couldnt recommend it more highly for
both first time readers of strategy as innovation and for those doing courses in strategy.
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