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BUSINESS CYCLES/TRADE CYCLES

The business cycle is the periodic but irregular up-and-down movements in economic
activity, measured by fluctuations in real GDP and other macroeconomic variables.
Four Phases of Business Cycle
Business Cycle (or Trade Cycle) is divided into the following four phases :1.

Prosperity: Expansion or Boom or Upswing of economy.

2.

Recession: from prosperity to recession (upper turning point).

3.

Depression: Contraction or Downswing of economy.

4.

Recovery: from depression to prosperity (lower turning Point).


Phases of Business Cycle
The four phases of business cycles are shown in the following diagram :-

The business cycle starts from a trough (lower point) and passes through a recovery
phase followed by a period of expansion (upper turning point) and prosperity. After the
peak point is reached there is a declining phase of recession followed by a depression.
Again the business cycle continues similarly with ups and downs.
1. Prosperity
When there is an expansion of output, income, employment, prices and profits, there is
also a rise in the standard of living. This period is termed as Prosperity phase. Due to

full employment of resources, the level of production is Maximum and there is a rise in
GNP (Gross National Product). Due to a high level of economic activity, it causes a rise
in prices and profits. There is an upswing in the economic activity and economy reaches
its Peak. This is also called as a Boom Period.
2. Recession
The turning point from prosperity to depression is termed as Recession Phase.
During a recession period, the economic activities slow down. When demand starts
falling, the overproduction and future investment plans are also given up. There is a
steady decline in the output, income, employment, prices and profits. The businessmen
lose confidence and become pessimistic (Negative). It reduces investment. The banks
and the people try to get greater liquidity, so credit also contracts. Expansion of
business stops, stock market falls. Orders are cancelled and people start losing their
jobs. The increase in unemployment causes a sharp decline in income and aggregate
demand. Generally, recession lasts for a short period.
3. Depression
When there is a continuous decrease of output, income, employment, prices and profits,
there is a fall in the standard of living and depression sets in
In depression, there is under-utilization of resources and fall in GNP (Gross National
Product). The aggregate economic activity is at the lowest, causing a decline in prices
and profits until the economy reaches its Trough (low point).
4. Recovery Phase
The turning point from depression to expansion is termed as Recovery or Revival Phase.
During the period of revival or recovery, there are expansions and rise in economic
activities. When demand starts rising, production increases and this causes an increase
in investment. There is a steady rise in output, income, employment, prices and profits.
The businessmen gain confidence and become optimistic (Positive). This increases
investments. The stimulation of investment brings about the revival or recovery of the
economy. The banks expand credit, business expansion takes place and stock markets
are activated. There is an increase in employment, production, income and aggregate
demand, prices and profits start rising, and business expands. Revival slowly emerges
into prosperity, and the business cycle is repeated.

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