New Heritage Dool
New Heritage Dool
Revenue
Revenue Growth
Production Costs
Fixed Production Expense (excl
depreciation)
Variable Production Costs
Depreciation
Total Production Costs
Selling, General & Administrative
2010
2011
$4,500
NA
575
0
1,250
2,035
152
2,762
1,155
$1,250
$3,917
Operating Profit
Working Capital Assumptions:
($1,250)
$583
NA
3.00%
NA
NA
59.2X
7.7X
0.0X
30.8X
$1,470
$952
-35.20%
2011
Cash
Accounts Receivable
Inventory
Account Payable
Net Working Capital
NWC
NWC/Sales
2010
800
135
730
359
318
906
106
0.202
2012
$6,860
52.40%
2013
$8,409
22.60%
2014
$9,082
8.00%
2015
$9,808
8.00%
2016
$10,593
8.00%
575
587
598
610
622
3,404
152
4,131
1,735
4,291
152
5,029
2,102
4,669
152
5,419
2,270
5,078
164
5,853
2,452
5,521
178
6,321
2,648
$5,866
$7,132
$7,690
$8,305
$8,969
$994
$1,277
$1,392
$1,503
$1,623
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
59.2X
8.3X
59.2X
12.7X
59.2X
12.7X
59.2X
12.7X
59.2X
12.7X
30.9X
31.0X
31.0X
31.0X
31.0X
$152
-84.00%
2012
$152
0.00%
2013
$334
119.30%
2014
$361
8.00%
2015
$389
8.00%
2016
206
1112
500
484
1334
427
0.195
252
1363
396
593
1418
84
0.169
272
1472
427
640
1531
113
0.169
294
1590
461
692
1653
122
0.169
318
1717
498
747
1786
132
0.169
2017
$11,440
8.00%
2018
$12,355
8.00%
2019
$13,344
8.00%
2020
$14,411
8.00%
635
648
660
674
6,000
192
6,827
2,860
6,519
207
7,373
3,089
7,079
224
7,963
3,336
7,685
242
8,600
3,603
$9,687
$10,462
$11,299
$12,203
$1,753
$1,893
$2,045
$2,209
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
59.2X
12.7X
59.2X
12.7X
59.2X
12.7X
59.2X
12.7X
31.0X
31.0X
31.0X
31.0X
$421
8.00%
2017
$454
8.00%
2018
$491
8.00%
2019
$530
8.00%
2020
343
1855
538
807
1929
143
0.169
371
2003
581
871
2083
154
0.169
400
2163
627
941
2250
167
0.169
432
2336
677
1016
2429
180
0.169
2010
2011
2012
2013
EBIT (1-t)
-750
350
596
766
plus depreciation
152
152
152
less NWC
-107
-427
-84
-952
-152
-152
-557
169
682
0.9225
0.851
0.7851
Present value
-3,020
-514
144
536
$7,150
($146)
2010
2011
2012
2013
Cash Flows
-3,020
-557
169
682
IRR
24.00%
2010
2011
2012
2013
Cash flows
-3,020
-557
169
682
-3,020
-3,577
-3,408
-2,726
-750
3.00 %
Initial Outlays
Net working capital
-800
-1470
Discount factor
IRR Analysis
Payback Analysis
8.40 %
Payback period
5-year Cumulative EBITDA
Profitability Index
NPV/Initial Investment
2.37
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
835
902
974
1,052
1,136
1,227
1,325
152
164
178
192
207
224
242
-113
-122
-132
-143
-154
-167
-180
-334
-361
-389
-421
-454
-491
-530
541
583
630
680
735
793
857
16,345
0.7242
0.6681
0.6163
0.5686
0.5245
0.4839
0.4464
392
390
388
387
385
384
7679
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
541
583
630
680
735
793
17,202
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
541
583
630
680
735
793
17,202
-2,185
-1,602
-972
-291
443
7.4
$6,522
years
DYOD
2010
Revenue
2011
2012
2013
2014
$0
$6,000
$14,360
$20,222
NA
139.30%
40.80%
1,650
1,683
1,717
Revenue Growth
Production Costs
Fixed Production Expense (excl
depreciation)
435
2,250
7,651
11,427
Depreciation
310
310
310
435
4,210
9,644
13,454
1,201
1,240
2,922
4,044
$1,201
$435
$5,450
$12,566
$17,498
Operating Profit
($1,201)
($435)
$550
$1,794
$2,724
NA
NA
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
NA
NA
59.2X
59.2X
59.2X
NA
NA
12.2X
12.3X
12.6X
NA
NA
33.7X
33.8X
33.9X
$4,610
$0
$310
$310
$2,192
0%
608%
Capital Expenditures
Growth in capex
Net Working Capital Accounts
2011
2012
2013
2014
180
431
607
Accounts Receivable
973
2328
3278
Inventory
346
786
1065
Account Payable
474
1135
1598
Cash
2010
1,000
1,024
2,410
3,352
NWC
1,000
24
1,386
942
0.171
0.168
0.166
NWC/Sales
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
$21,435
$22,721
$24,084
$25,529
$27,061
$28,685
6.00%
6.00%
6.00%
6.00%
6.00%
6.00%
1,751
1,786
1,822
1,858
1,895
1,933
12,182
12,983
13,833
14,736
15,694
16,712
436
462
490
520
551
584
14,369
15,231
16,145
17,113
18,140
19,229
4,287
4,544
4,817
5,106
5,412
5,737
$18,656
$19,775
$20,962
$22,219
$23,553
$24,966
$2,779
$2,946
$3,123
$3,310
$3,508
$3,719
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
59.2X
59.2X
59.2X
59.2X
59.2X
59.2X
12.7X
12.7X
12.7X
12.7X
12.7X
12.7X
33.9X
33.9X
33.9X
33.9X
33.9X
33.9X
$826
$875
$928
$983
$1,043
$1,105
-62%
6%
6%
6%
6%
6%
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
643
682
723
766
812
861
3475
3683
3904
4139
4387
4650
1130
1197
1269
1345
1426
1512
1694
1796
1904
2018
2139
2267
3,553
3,766
3,992
4,232
4,486
4,755
202
213
226
240
254
269
0.166
0.166
0.166
0.166
0.166
0.166
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
EBIT (1-t)
-721
-261
330
1,077
1,634
310
310
310
-1,000
-24
-1,386
-942
plus depreciation
less NWC
less capital expenditures
-4,610
-310
-310
-2,192
-5,331
-1,261
306
-309
-1,190
Terminal value
3.00 %
Discount factor
9.00 %
Present value
0.9174
0.8417
0.7722
0.7084
-5,331
-1,157
258
-239
-843
-1,261
306
-309
-1,190
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Cash flows
-5,331
-1,261
306
-309
-1,190
-5,331
-6,592
-6,286
-6,595
-7,784
$7,058
($3,391)
IRR Analysis
Cash Flows
-5,331
IRR
17.90%
Payback Analysis
Payback period
5-year Cumulative EBITDA
Profitability Index
NPV/Initial Investment
1.32
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
1,667
1,767
1,874
1,986
2,105
2,231
436
462
490
520
551
584
-202
-213
-226
-240
-254
-269
-826
-875
-928
-983
-1,043
-1,105
1,076
1,141
1,210
1,283
1,359
1,441
24,737
0.6499
0.5963
0.547
0.5019
0.4604
0.4224
700
681
662
644
626
11,058
1,076
1,141
1,210
1,283
1,359
26,178
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
1,076
1,141
1,210
1,283
1,359
26,178
-6,708
-5,566
-4,357
-3,074
-1,715
24,464
>10 years
$8,778