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MN Vulnerable Cities
MN Vulnerable Cities
VULNERABLE CITIES:
Reliance On State and Federal Sources Places Minnesota’s Cities And Towns At Risk
At Strong Towns, our focus is identifying ways communities can improve and
strengthen, and how local leaders can most effectively cultivate a secure, prosperous
future. As we’ve outlined in examples in Strong Towns Blog posts and in our
Placemaking Principles on the website, Strong Towns are financially durable.
Residents are able to reduce costs associated with inefficient land use, transportation
and development, and reinvest these savings to strengthen their long-term position
in the global marketplace.
Our latest analysis, “Minnesota’s Most Vulnerable Cities,” illustrates that many local
governments are exposed to a risky dependence on state and federal funding that
grows less sustainable – and less predictable – by the year. Many local governments
have developed a financial structure that’s highly exposed to the risk that state and
federal funding diminishes in the future. These communities rely on state and federal
funds to provide services that include streets and highways, parks and open spaces,
economic development and public safety.
With a growing,
structural state budget
shortfall, Minnesota is
likely to reduce aid to
local governments in
the 2010 legislative
session and beyond;
cuts passed this
legislative session will
reduce local
government aid
(LGA) to Minnesota
cities by $113 million
in the next three
years; this
compounds cuts
exceeding 30% in LGA between 2002 and 2007. 1 State funding of local government
activities has waned, placing intense pressure on cities to reduce services and raise
revenue using their primary source of local funding: Property taxes. All of this takes
place in the context of ongoing budget shortfalls, with significant deficits projected
for the 2012-13 biennium.
Consider with us the following question: If state and federal aids disappeared
tomorrow, and citizens wished to maintain the same level of services, how large a
property tax increase would be required? How vulnerable are communities to federal
and state revenue reductions?
• The 50 Minnesota cities most reliant on state and federal aids and grants are all
cities with population under 5,000.
• In Browns Valley, Minnesota (one of the state’s most reliant cities on state and
federal funds for its operations), a typical homeowner would have his or her
property taxes increase 170%, from roughly $3,560 to over $9,690. 2
• Minnesota’s two biggest cities – Minneapolis and St. Paul – are each less reliant
on state and federal revenues than the state median. The state median impact of
removing state and federal aids is a $813 property tax increase for a typical
household.
Some of our colleagues will respond that this is a spending problem, and others will
argue that local governments are forced to rely on state and federal sources because
their primary funding mechanism – property taxes – is insufficient to provide the
It’s a revenue problem because property taxes are clumsy, regressive mechanisms
that create a direct disincentive to more efficient land use. It’s a spending problem
because we as citizens are accustomed to consuming local police protection, clean
water and well-maintained streets which we do not fully fund through local property
taxation.
It’s also a productivity problem. The most vulnerable Minnesota places produce
local tax revenues that are less than what voters there demand. Using state and
federal subsidy to meet core public needs is a way of addressing inequities, perceived
or real. It also effectively tables discussion of how communities need to redesign
their physical layout, infrastructure, or human capital to fund a higher percentage of
total public services consumed.
How do cities manage the risk inherent to reliance on state and federal revenues?
Every community is unique. A sample of ideas that may strengthen many Minnesota
places includes this pair:
3
M.S. 473.859, Subd. 2-4.
most acute needs for thoughtful planning exist outside of the seven-county area.
Moreover, it is critical to raise our land use patterns and development goals as
part of a community discussion about the future. Strong Towns couple
development (and redevelopment) planning with detailed financial analysis, so
that liabilities in the long and short term are funded – without reliance on state
and federal aids.
We also may need to face the reality that some of our most vulnerable cities are not
viable in a 21st Century Minnesota. This is a difficult subject, but one that should be
examined in the face of rising budget constraints.
The primary challenge to fiscal health involves revenues, spending, and productivity.
Our level of economic growth, our system of state and federal support, have until
recently insulated us from this reality: Minnesota’s places need to become more
productive. Our land use must make the most of existing infrastructure. Our
expectations for what public services we consume must better reflect what we are
willing to fund locally.
The intent of programs that share state and federal revenue with local governments
is generally to address inequities across the state or its regions, and to ensure that
essential public services are provided to citizens in hamlets and large cities alike. This
is a critical element of a fair, productive system of taxation and public investment.
Still, communities’ reliance on state and federal revenues is a wanton gamble, both
for the cities themselves and for the state and federal taxpayers on the other end of
the bargain. As these revenues diminish due to political and budget pressure,
communities must be prepared to rely primarily on local revenues to fund their
activities.
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The mission of Strong Towns is to support a model for growth that allows America's towns
to become financially strong and self-sufficient. We’re a nonpartisan, nonprofit organization
advocating for a new model of development that allows America’s towns to become
financially strong and self-sufficient. Visit Strong Towns online, on Twitter, and on
Facebook.
TAX IMPACT ANALYSIS: FINANCING CITY BUDGETS WITHOUT LGA OR FEDERAL AIDS
Listed in Order of Rank of Impact
Strong Towns Strong Towns Strong Towns Strong Towns Strong Towns Strong Towns
Source LMC 2009 Report LMC 2009 Report LMC 2009 Report Analysis Analysis Analysis Analysis Analysis Analysis