PWC Etude2015 Ceo Success Study
PWC Etude2015 Ceo Success Study
Briefing Document
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
Companies are now making a deliberate choice in their succession planning to bring in outsider
CEOs. In the latest four-year period (201215 boards chose outsiders in 22 percent of planned
turnovers, up from 14 percent in 20042007. That represents a 50 percent increase in the rate of
outsider selection.
Industries experiencing the most disruption have brought in higher-than-average shares of
outsider CEOs. These industries include telecommunications (38% incoming outsider CEOs from 2012
to 2015), utilities (32%), healthcare (29%), and energy (28%).
Outsider CEOs were more likely to be hired if
the:
Outsider CEOs have closed the performance gap with insiders. For the third straight year, outsider
CEOs have delivered higher median total shareholder returns than insiders.
Western European companies in general are hiring outsiders more reactively than proactively.
Western European companies hire almost double the share of outsider CEOs compared with
companies in the U.S./Canada. Additionally, outsider CEOs in Western Europe are significantly more
likely to be appointed to low-performing companies and more likely to be forced out.
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
26%
42%
57%
74%
58%
43%
20042007
20082011
20122015
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
Outsiders now account for more than a fifth of all CEOs hired
via planned turnovers
Incoming CEOs via forced turnover
by insider/outsider pedigree
20042015
20042015
Incoming insider CEO
Incoming outsider CEO
68%
32%
20042007
67%
33%
20082011
65%
86%
83%
78%
14%
17%
22%
20042007
20082011
20122015
35%
20122015
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
20042007
38%
36%
32%
27%
25%
21% 21%
20122015
35%
30%
24%
20082011
30%
30%
26%
23%
21% 20%
18%
17%
14% 14%
9%
3% 2% 4%
Global
Brazil,
Russia, India
Other Mature1)
U.S./Canada
China
Japan
1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
20042007
20082011
20122015
38%
32%
29%
21%
21%
29%
25%
24%
22%
28%
23%
20%
Telecommunication
Services
Utilities
Healthcare
26% 26%
21%
25%
24%
21%
18%
Cross
Industry
26%
24%
Energy
19%
17%
Consumer
Staples
15%
Financial
Services
21%
19%
20%
23%
21%
19%
15% 15%
15%
Industrials
Consumer
Discretionary
Materials
Information
Technology
1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
Low-performing companies1)
36%
38%
30%
High-performing companies
26%
22%
18%
Forced turnovers
Planned turnovers
1) Low-performing companies are defined as companies whose annualized regionally adjusted total shareholder returns were in the bottom quartile over their outgoing CEO's
tenure. High-performing companies are defined as companies whose annualized regionally adjusted total shareholder returns were in the top quartile over their outgoing CEO's
tenure.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
Low-performing companies1)
Planned turnovers
High-performing companies
Forced turnovers
55%
51%
47%
42%
36%
32%
30%
32%
20%
34%
33%
31%
29%
26%
22%
40%
38%
18%
27%
26%
26%
25%
18%
13%
Global
Western
Europe
BRIC/Other U.S./Canada
Emerging2)
Global
Western
Europe
U.S./Canada BRIC/Other
Emerging
Global
Western
Europe
U.S./Canada BRIC/Other
Emerging
1) Low-performing companies are defined as companies whose annualized regionally adjusted total shareholder returns were in the bottom quartile over their outgoing CEO's
tenure. High-performing companies are defined as companies whose annualized regionally adjusted total shareholder returns were in the top quartile over their outgoing
CEO's tenure.
2) BRIC/Other Emerging" economies include Brazil, Russia, India, China, Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
20042015
20092015
Incoming insider CEO
Incoming outsider CEO
82%
18%
64%
84%
36%
72%
16%
28%
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
Chairmen who are hiring their first CEO at the company are
less likely to appoint an outsider CEO unless the former CEO
was also an outsider
Percentage of incoming outsider CEOs by whether it was the chairmans first CEO
appointment at the company and former CEO pedigree
20092015
Chairmans first CEO appointment at the company
27%
26%
38%
26%
20%
15%
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
10
The longer the tenure of the former CEO, the less likely an
outsider CEO was to be hired
Incoming CEO pedigree by tenure of former CEO
20042015
72%
28%
0-4 years
79%
83%
21%
17%
4-8 years
8+ years
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
11
20042015
20092015
72%
72%
75%
28%
28%
25%
Smallest
market cap
quartile1)
Second
market cap
quartile
Third market
cap quartile
84%
16%
Largest
market cap
quartile
70%
75%
79%
83%
30%
25%
21%
17%
Smallest
employee
quartile2)
Second
employee
quartile
Third
employee
quartile
Largest
employee
quartile
1) Market cap quartile was based on company ranking in worlds 2,500 largest. Companies ranked 1,8762,500 were in the smallest quartile. Companies ranked 1625 were in the
largest quartile. Largest market cap quartile companies had a market cap value in 2015 of more than US$19.7 billion.
2) Smallest employee quartile companies had 126,109 employees. Companies in the largest employee quartile had 41,2782,200,000 employees.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
12
43%
57%
2012
37%
63%
2013
Different industry
Same industry
30%
70%
2014
35%
74%
71%
26%
29%
2009
2010
63%
77%
71%
65%
59%
65%
2015
37%
23%
2011
2012
29%
2013
35%
2014
41%
2015
1) Exhibit shows incoming CEOs who joined their company as CEO, broken down by whether they had worked in the same or a different industry immediately before joining the
current company.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
13
50%
70%
70%
50%
30%
40%
60%
30%
1) Market cap quartile was based on company ranking in worlds 2,500 largest. Companies ranked 1,8762,500 were in the smallest quartile. Companies ranked 1625 were in the
largest quartile. Largest market cap quartile companies had a market cap value in 2015 of more than US$19.7 billion.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
14
20122015
20092015
Has not worked in other regions
10%
5%
68%
17%
10%
54%
86%
73%
46%
32%
1) Experience in different regions means incoming CEOs experience in regions other than company HQ region.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
15
8%
23%
25%
37%
30%
36%
42%
44%
56%
59%
72%
92%
77%
75%
63%
70%
64%
58%
56%
44%
41%
28%
Cross Industry
Energy
Consumer
Staples
Information
Technology
Materials
Industrials
Consumer
Discretionary2)
Utilities
1) Exhibit shows incoming CEOs who joined their company as CEO, broken down by whether they had worked in the same or different industry immediately before joining the
current company.
2) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
16
20042015
20042015
12%
39%
14%
10%
13%
21%
31%
21%
64%
59%
20122015
20042007
16%
32%
49%
52%
20042007
20082011
66%
20082011
11%
16%
73%
20122015
April 2016
17
Years
6.0
6.0
5.9
5.8
5.8
5.6
5.5
5.2
5.2
5.3
5.2
5.0
5.0
4.8
4.8
5.1
4.8
4.7
4.6
5.0
5.0
4.8
4.5
4.0
4.0
4.0
3.7
0.0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
3.5
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
April 2016
18
11.0%
11%
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
0.5%
1%
0%
0.3%
-1%
-2% -3.0%
-3%
-4% -4.6%
-5%
2000
2001
5.6%
4.6%
3.1%
4.1%
3.9%
3.9%
4.1%
2.4%
4.0%
4.6%
4.6%
4.6%
3.9%
2.9%
2.2%
3.7%
1.5%
0.7%
0.1%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0.9%
0.6%
-0.3%
-0.6%
-1.2%
2002
0.1%
2.6%
3.2%
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
1) Total shareholder returns are annualized over outgoing CEOs' tenure and are regionally adjusted, meaning that performance is measured relative to a regional index (S&P 500,
Brazil Bovespa, FTSE 100, CAC 40, etc.).
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
19
20042007
20082011
20122015
67%
54%
39%
47%
43%
41%
37%
41%
40%
38%
36%
32%
21%
25%
20%
19%
18%
20%
22%
17%
14%
7%
5%
0%
Global
Brazil,
Russia, India*
U.S./Canada
Japan*
China*
1) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
2) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
*Sample size in Japan and China not significant for all 12 years. Sample size in Brazil, Russia, India not significant from 20042007.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
20
U.S./Canada
Western Europe
In the last four years, 60% of outgoing
outsider CEOs in the U.S./Canada have been
in the two highest TSR quartiles compared to
only 44% of outgoing outsider CEOs in
Western Europe. Outsider CEOs in Western
Europe are more likely to be appointed to lowperforming companies and more likely to be
forced out than outsiders in the U.S./Canada.
34%
29%
26%
30%
17%
28%
23%
16%
27%
28%
50%
14%
26%
29%
14%
20042007
32%
30%
20082011
21%
24%
20%
18%
20122015
20042007
33%
24%
27%
33%
20082011
20122015
50%
1) Total shareholder returns are annualized over outgoing CEOs' tenure and are regionally adjusted, meaning that performance is measured relative to a regional index (S&P 500,
Brazil Bovespa, FTSE 100, CAC 40, etc.).
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
21
In 2015, the total CEO turnover rate at the worlds 2,500 largest companies was
16.6%, a study record high. 17% of all CEO turnovers in 2015 were due to M&A, the
highest since 2007.
Brazil, Russia, and India (BRI) lead the world again in CEO turnovers while Japan
and Western Europe reached five year highs.
In four out of the last five years, BRI has had the highest CEO turnover rate.
Japan went from the lowest CEO turnover rate in 2014 (12%) to the second highest in
2015 (19%) Western Europe went from 14% in 2014 to 18% in 2015.
Telecommunication services has the highest CEO turnover rate for the fifth straight
year; five other industries led by energy and materials reached five year highs.
With the falling price of oil and other commodities, CEO turnover jumped in the
following industries:
Energy: 18% in 2014 to 23% in 2015
Materials: 17% to 20%
Utilities: 13% to 17%
Financial services: 13% to 16%
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
22
M&A
Forced turnover
Planned turnover
Turnover rate
17%
16%
14.7%
(367)
15%
14%
13%
12%
11%
14.4%
(359)
2.6%
12.9%
(323)
10.9%
3.2% (272)
2.4%
10.8%
(270)
1.4%
9.8%
(244)
4.4%
14.3%
(359)
14.2%
(354)
2.2%
1.8%
2.2%
3.6%
11.6%
(290)
3.4%
1.8%
15.0%
(375)
1.4%
14.2%
(355)
14.3% 2.8%
(357)
1.5%
1.2%
2.8%
1.9%
2.2%
4.6%
4.2%
2.2%
3.2%
6%
5%
9.2%
4%
3%
6.0%
2%
5.0%
5.3%
2002
2003
9.8%
9.1%
7.8%
6.4%
3.0%
2.6%
5.1%
3.4%
2.4%
14.4%
(361)
2.9%
4.5%
1.3%
9%
7%
13.8%
(345)
2.4%
3.4%
10%
8%
15.4%
(386)
16.6%
(416)
6.3%
6.7%
7.2%
2006
2007
2008
10.8%
11.2%
10.1%
10.9%
7.7%
1%
0%
2000
2001
2004
2005
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
April 2016
23
13%
25%
26%
49%
2000
14%
22%
22%
41%
32%
17%
31%
17%
24%
23%
32%
56%
54%
46%
2001
2002
2003
53%
2004
21%
30%
15%
15%
16%
10%
10%
18%
19%
9%
17%
13%
24%
19%
15%
64%
66%
69%
72%
71%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
18%
35%
60%
2005
13%
44%
48%
50%
2006
2007
2008
78%
65%
2014
2015
April 2016
24
16.6%
(416)
2.8%
3.0%
23.6%
(30)
3.1%
3.1%
17.3%
19.4%
(40)
1.0%
Brazil,
Russia, India
Region
16.7%
(33)
5.2%
16.9%
(58)
2.0%
3.2%
10.3%
11.7%
13.1%
2.5%
1.0%
16.1%
(42)
2.3%
3.1%
14.3%
(123)
4.4%
2.2%
18.4%
10.9%
Global
17.9%
(90)
2.4%
Japan
Western Europe
10.7%
China
7.7%
U.S./Canada
Brazil,
Russia,
India
China
Japan
Other
emerging
Other
mature
U.S./
Canada
Western
Europe
Total
127
261
206
198
343
861
504
2500
1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
25
Japan went from the lowest CEO turnover rate in 2014 to the
second highest in 2015
CEO turnover rate by region
20102015 CEO turnover events as a percentage of top 2,500 public companies in each region
U.S./Canada
Western Europe
Turnover rate
Japan
24%
Other Mature1)
22%
China
20%
18%
Other Emerging2)
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
26
Planned
24.7%
(23)
2.2%
23.2%
(42)
19.6%
(44)
2.8%
16.6%
(416)
6.5%
3.1%
6.6%
2.8%
16.8%
(64)
16.5%
(23)
2.4%
2.7%
0.7%
2.2%
16.3%
(34)
16.2%
(87)
3.4%
2.2%
2.9%
3.0%
3.4%
16.1%
3.4%
15.8%
(55)
3.2%
12.3%
(21)
10.5%
(23)
2.6%
2.3%
0.9%
5.8%
13.8%
13.8%
10.9%
13.7%
11.6%
9.6%
10.6%
10.1%
0.6%
7.3%
5.8%
Cross
Industry
Telecommunication
Services
Industry
Number of companies in
industry
Energy
Materials
Industrials
208
181
Utilities
Consumer
Staples
171
380
Financial
Services
Consumer
Discretionary
Healthcare
Information
Technology
Information
technology
Materials
Telecommunication
services
Utilities
Total
219
224
93
139
2500
1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
27
Consumer Discretionary1)
Consumer Staples
Turnover rate
Energy
25.0%
Financial Services
Healthcare
Industrials
20.0%
Information Technology
Materials
Telecommunications Services
15.0%
Utilities
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
28
In the 2015 incoming class of CEOs, new CEOs in Western Europe compared to the
U.S./Canada were more likely to:
Be outsiders (38% vs. 14%)
Be of foreign nationality (30% vs. 15%)
Have worked internationally (41% vs. 30%)
They were less likely to:
Spend their entire career at one company (9% to 16%)
Have an MBA (26% to 41%)
The global CEO is a myth. International work experience is decreasing, down to 28% in
2015.
Loyalty high in Japan and China. Three quarters of incoming CEOs in Japan and nearly
one half in China spent their entire career at one company.
Tech CEOs skip business school. Only 13% of incoming CEOs in the information
technology industry had an MBA compared to 44% in the consumer staples industry.
Good governance on the rise. Only 7% of incoming CEOs also held the position of
chairman, a study record low.
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
29
62%
65%
77%
67%
75%
84%
86%
97%
38%
35%
23%
33%
25%
16%
14%
3%
Global
Western Europe
Other Mature1)
Brazil,
Russia, India
Other Emerging2)
China
U.S./Canada
Japan
1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
30
50%
68%
77%
69%
73%
73%
77%
82%
85%
86%
15%
14%
94%
50%
23%
Cross TelecommuniIndustry
cation
Services
32%
Utilities
31%
Energy
27%
Healthcare
27%
Industrials
23%
Financial
Services
18%
Materials
6%
1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
31
60
55
53
Global
Japan
Other Mature1)
53
Brazil,
Russia, India
52
51
51
Western Europe
China
U.S./Canada
50
Other Emerging2)
1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
32
12%
5%
3%
97%
83%
Global
Japan
6%
94%
China
10%
90%
Brazil,
Russia, India
14%
1%
84%
U.S./Canada
14%
5%
82%
20%
2%
78%
11%
19%
70%
Western Europe
1) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
2) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
33
55%
45%
2012
65%
66%
72%
35%
34%
28%
2013
2014
2015
1)Experience in different regions means incoming CEOs experience in regions other than company HQ region.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
34
59%
72%
62%
70%
74%
82%
86%
97%
41%
28%
38%
30%
26%
18%
14%
3%
Global
Western Europe
Other Mature2)
U.S./Canada
Other Emerging3)
Japan
Brazil,
Russia, India
China
1) Experience in different regions means incoming CEOs experience in regions other than company HQ region.
2) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea..
3) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
35
80%
78%
80%
20%
22%
20%
2012
2013
2014
74%
26%
2015
1) "Previous experience in different companies" means new CEO had worked at another company at any time before being named CEO at current company.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
36
24%
54%
71%
74%
79%
84%
87%
91%
21%
16%
13%
9%
Other Mature 2)
U.S./Canada
76%
46%
29%
26%
Global
Japan
China
Brazil,
Russia, India
1) "Previous experience in different companies" means new CEO had worked at another company at any time before being named CEO at current company.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims
2) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
3) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
37
Yes
1%
70%
91%
99%
30%
9%
Undergraduate
MBA
PhD
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
38
70%
59%
65%
67%
68%
74%
75%
97%
30%
41%
35%
33%
32%
26%
25%
3%
Global
U.S./Canada
Other Mature1)
Brazil,
Russia, India
China
Japan
1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, South Korea, etc.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam etc.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
39
56%
70%
44%
30%
Cross
industry
Consumer
staples
63%
38%
Energy
65%
35%
Telecom
services
67%
33%
Industrials
69%
31%
Financials
71%
29%
Materials
73%
27%
Health care
74%
26%
Utilities
82%
88%
18%
13%
Consumer Information
discretionary1) technology
1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
40
North America
Europe
Global Average
Japan
65%
60%
55%
48%
50%
45%
40%
35%
33% 33%
33%
31%
30%
29%
26%
25%
19%
20%
18%
12%
15%
13%
14%
12%
10%
9%
10%
2013
2014
7%
5%
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2015
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
41
Women CEOs take a step back. The share of incoming women CEOs fell to 2.8%, the
lowest percentage since 2011. Just 10 of 359 incoming CEOs (permanent and interim) in
the class of 2015 were women.
Women CEOs in the U.S./Canada slide to the bottom. The share of incoming women
CEOs in the U.S./Canada fell for the third year to the lowest in the studys history. There
was just 1 woman of the total 87 (1.1%) incoming CEOs in the U.S./Canada.
Women CEOs are more often hired from outside the company than men CEOs are.
32% of incoming and outgoing women CEOs were outsiders compared to just 23% of
men.
There is improvement. As of 2015, it is no longer statistically significant that women
CEOs are more often forced out of office than men. Over the last 12 years, 32% of
women CEOs have been forced out of office compared to 25% of men.
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
42
6%
5.2%
5%
4.3%
4.0%
4%
3.5%
3.4%
3.0%
3%
2.8%
2.6%
2.4%
2.1%
2%
1.1%
1.0%
2007
2008
1%
0%
2004
2005
2006
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Note: Exhibit includes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and excludes events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
43
8%
7.3%
7.1%
7%
6.2%
6%
5.2%
4.8%
5%
4.7%
4.0%
4%
2.7%
3%
2%
2.4%
2.0%
1.9%
1.1%
1%
0%
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Note: Exhibit includes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and excludes events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
44
Women CEOs
4.0%
3.8%
3.7%
3.1%
3.0%
2.3%
1.9%
0.9%
Global
U.S./Canada
Other Mature1)
China
Brazil,
Russia, India
Japan
1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note: Exhibit includes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and excludes events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
45
Women CEOs
4.9%
4.7%
4.5%
3.6%
3.3%
3.0%
3.0%
1.6%
1.6%
1.5%
1.0%
Cross
Consumer Consumer Telecommuni- Utilities
Industry Discretionary1) Staples
cation
Services
Financial
Services
Information Healthcare
Technology
Energy
Industrials
Materials
1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit includes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and excludes events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
46
Women CEOs
10.0%
8.5%
6.8%
5.6%
4.1%
4.0%
3.2%
3.1%
2.3%
1.7%
1.1%
Utilities
Healthcare
Materials
Energy
Financial
Services
1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit includes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and excludes events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
47
Women CEOs are more often hired from outside the company
than men CEOs are*
Incoming and outgoing CEOs by gender and pedigree
20042015
Insider CEOs
Outsider CEOs
68%
32%
Female CEOs
77%
23%
Male CEOs
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A for incoming CEOs, interims for incoming and outgoing CEOs, as well as turnover events with incomplete information.
*The chi-square statistic is 7.5107. The p-value is.006133. The result is significant at p <.05.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC
April 2016
48
M&A
Forced turnover
11%
13%
32%
25%
57%
62%
Planned turnover
April 2016
49
Definition of terms
Succession: A succession event is defined as when a CEO leaves office, regardless of whether or not
a new CEO is selected to take his or her place, or when the companys leadership structure changes to
add CEOs.
We group the succession reasons into three categories:
M&A
Forced
Planned (successions that are the result of neither M&A nor a forced removal)
We determine whether a succession is forced or planned using reports in the press, analyst reports,
and the knowledge of Strategy& consultants from around the world.
Insider versus outsider CEO:
Insider: A CEO is considered an insider if he or she worked at his or her current company at least
one day before becoming CEO.
Outsider: A CEO is considered an outsider if he or she was hired directly from a company other than
the one he currently leads.
TSR: All total shareholder return figures we use are annualized TSR over the total tenure of outgoing
CEOs and are regionally adjusted, meaning that performance is measured relative to a regional index
(S&P 500, Brazil Bovespa, FTSE 100, CAC 40, etc.)
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April 2016
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Methodol0gy
The CEO Success study identified the worlds 2,500 largest public companies, defined by their market
capitalization (from Bloomberg) on January1, 2015. We then identified the companies among the top
2,500 that had experienced a chief executive succession event between January 1, 2015, and
December 31, 2015, and cross-checked data using a wide variety of printed and electronic sources in
many languages. For a listing of companies that had been acquired or merged in 2015, we also
used Bloomberg.
Each company that appeared to have changed its CEO was investigated for confirmation that a change
occurred in 2015, and additional details title, tenure, chairmanship, nationality, professional
experience, and so on were sought on both the outgoing and incoming chief executives (as well as
any interim chief executives). Company-provided information was acceptable for most data elements
except the reason for the succession. Outside press reports and other independent sources were used
to conrm the reason for an executives departure.
Finally, Strategy& consultants worldwide separately validated each succession event as part of the
eort to learn the reason for specic CEO changes in their region. To distinguish between mature and
emerging economies, Strategy& followed the United Nations Development Programme 2015 ranking.
Total shareholder return data over a CEOs tenure was sourced from Bloomberg and includes
reinvestment of dividends (if any). Total shareholder return data was then regionally market adjusted
(measured as the dierence between the companys return and the return of the main regional index
over the same time period) and annualized.
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