Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 53

April 2016

Briefing Document

2015 CEO Success


study
Global findings

About the 2015 CEO Success study

Strategy&, PwCs strategy consulting business, annual study of worldwide CEO


succession patterns examines the degree, nature, and geographic distribution of
chief executive changes among the world's 2,500 largest public companies.
The Rise of the Outsider CEO
Hiring an executive from outside a company to serve as chief executive officer
used to be seen as a last resort something that typically happened when a
board of directors had to force out the incumbent CEO suddenly, or had failed to
groom a suitable successor, or both. Over the last several years, however, more
companies have deliberately chosen an outsider CEO, more often than not as
part of a planned succession. In this years report, we look at the data on
outsider CEOs and the circumstances in which outsiders are being hired. In
addition we have our annual analysis on CEO turnover, the 2015 incoming class
of CEOs, and women CEOs

Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

Outsider CEO summary

Companies are now making a deliberate choice in their succession planning to bring in outsider
CEOs. In the latest four-year period (201215 boards chose outsiders in 22 percent of planned
turnovers, up from 14 percent in 20042007. That represents a 50 percent increase in the rate of
outsider selection.
Industries experiencing the most disruption have brought in higher-than-average shares of
outsider CEOs. These industries include telecommunications (38% incoming outsider CEOs from 2012
to 2015), utilities (32%), healthcare (29%), and energy (28%).
Outsider CEOs were more likely to be hired if
the:

Outsider CEOs were less likely to be hired if


the:

Company was low performing

Chairman was hiring their first CEO at the


company

Chairman did not have CEO experience in the


same company
Former CEO was also an outsider

Former CEO had a long tenure


Company was large

Outsider CEOs have closed the performance gap with insiders. For the third straight year, outsider
CEOs have delivered higher median total shareholder returns than insiders.
Western European companies in general are hiring outsiders more reactively than proactively.
Western European companies hire almost double the share of outsider CEOs compared with
companies in the U.S./Canada. Additionally, outsider CEOs in Western Europe are significantly more
likely to be appointed to low-performing companies and more likely to be forced out.

Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

More outsider CEOs now come in via planned successions,


showing that hiring an outsider is more of a deliberate
choice than a necessity
Incoming outsider CEOs by turnover type
20042015
Forced turnover
Planned turnover

26%
42%
57%

74%
58%
43%

20042007

20082011

20122015

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

Outsiders now account for more than a fifth of all CEOs hired
via planned turnovers
Incoming CEOs via forced turnover
by insider/outsider pedigree

Incoming CEOs via planned turnover


by insider/outsider pedigree

20042015

20042015
Incoming insider CEO
Incoming outsider CEO

68%

32%

20042007

67%

33%

20082011

65%
86%

83%

78%

14%

17%

22%

20042007

20082011

20122015

35%

20122015

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

Western European companies hire outsider CEOs almost


twice as frequently as companies in the U.S./Canada
Percentage of incoming outsider CEOs by region
20042015

20042007

38%

36%

32%
27%

25%

21% 21%

20122015

35%

30%
24%

20082011

30%

30%
26%

23%
21% 20%

18%

17%

14% 14%
9%
3% 2% 4%
Global

Brazil,
Russia, India

Other Mature1)

Western Europe Other Emerging2)

U.S./Canada

China

Japan

1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

Industries experiencing the most disruption have brought in


higher-than-average shares of outsider CEOs
Percentage of incoming outsider CEOs by industry
20042015

20042007

20082011

20122015

38%

32%
29%
21%
21%

29%

25%

24%
22%

28%

23%

20%

Telecommunication
Services

Utilities

Healthcare

26% 26%

21%

25%

24%
21%

18%

Cross
Industry

26%

24%

Energy

19%

17%

Consumer
Staples

15%

Financial
Services

21%
19%

20%

23%

21%
19%

15% 15%

15%

Industrials

Consumer
Discretionary

Materials

Information
Technology

1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

Low-performing companies were more likely to hire outsider


CEOs than high-performing companies, except in forced
turnovers
Percentage of incoming outsider CEOs by company performance and turnover type
20042015

Low-performing companies1)

36%

38%

30%

High-performing companies

High-performing companies were more likely


to hire outsider CEOs in forced turnovers
because those forced turnovers were most
often due to board/shareholder struggles or
ethical lapses.

26%
22%
18%

Forced and planned turnovers

Forced turnovers

Planned turnovers

1) Low-performing companies are defined as companies whose annualized regionally adjusted total shareholder returns were in the bottom quartile over their outgoing CEO's
tenure. High-performing companies are defined as companies whose annualized regionally adjusted total shareholder returns were in the top quartile over their outgoing CEO's
tenure.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

Low-performing Western European companies were much


more likely to hire an outsider CEO in forced turnover
situations than companies in the U.S./Canada
Percentage of incoming outsider CEOs by company performance and turnover type
20042015

Low-performing companies1)

Forced and planned turnovers

Planned turnovers

High-performing companies

Forced turnovers
55%
51%
47%

42%

36%
32%

30%

32%

20%

34%

33%

31%

29%
26%

22%

40%

38%

18%

27%

26%

26%

25%

18%
13%

Global

Western
Europe

BRIC/Other U.S./Canada
Emerging2)

Global

Western
Europe

U.S./Canada BRIC/Other
Emerging

Global

Western
Europe

U.S./Canada BRIC/Other
Emerging

1) Low-performing companies are defined as companies whose annualized regionally adjusted total shareholder returns were in the bottom quartile over their outgoing CEO's
tenure. High-performing companies are defined as companies whose annualized regionally adjusted total shareholder returns were in the top quartile over their outgoing
CEO's tenure.
2) BRIC/Other Emerging" economies include Brazil, Russia, India, China, Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

Outsider CEOs were more likely to be hired if the chairman


did not have CEO experience in the same company or if the
former CEO was also an outsider
Incoming CEO pedigree by outgoing
CEO pedigree

Incoming CEO pedigree by chairman


pedigree

20042015

20092015
Incoming insider CEO
Incoming outsider CEO

If the outgoing CEO was also


an outsider, 36% of the time
they were replaced with
another outsider CEO.

82%

18%

Outgoing insider CEO

If the chairman did not have


CEO experience in the same
company, an outsider was
hired 28% of the time.

64%

84%

36%

Outgoing outsider CEO

72%

16%

28%

Chairman had previous


CEO experience in the
same company

Chairman did not have


previous CEO experience
in the same company

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

Chairmen who are hiring their first CEO at the company are
less likely to appoint an outsider CEO unless the former CEO
was also an outsider
Percentage of incoming outsider CEOs by whether it was the chairmans first CEO
appointment at the company and former CEO pedigree
20092015
Chairmans first CEO appointment at the company

Not chairmans first CEO appointment at the company

New chairmen are more likely to stick with


the pedigree of the former CEO while
experienced chairmen seem to ignore the
pedigree of the former CEO. They choose
perhaps more rationally as they know the
company and its leaders better.

27%

26%

38%

26%

20%
15%

Outgoing insider or outsider CEO

Outgoing insider CEO

Outgoing outsider CEO

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

10

The longer the tenure of the former CEO, the less likely an
outsider CEO was to be hired
Incoming CEO pedigree by tenure of former CEO
20042015

An outsider CEO was hired 28%


of the time if the former CEO
had a tenure of 0-4 years.

72%

28%

0-4 years

Incoming insider CEO


Incoming outsider CEO

79%

83%

21%

17%

4-8 years

8+ years

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

11

The larger the company, the less likely it was to hire an


outsider CEO
Incoming CEO pedigree by market
cap quartile

Incoming CEO pedigree by # of


employees quartile

20042015

20092015

Incoming insider CEO


Incoming outsider CEO

72%

72%

75%

28%

28%

25%

Smallest
market cap
quartile1)

Second
market cap
quartile

Third market
cap quartile

84%

16%

Largest
market cap
quartile

70%

75%

79%

83%

30%

25%

21%

17%

Smallest
employee
quartile2)

Second
employee
quartile

Third
employee
quartile

Largest
employee
quartile

1) Market cap quartile was based on company ranking in worlds 2,500 largest. Companies ranked 1,8762,500 were in the smallest quartile. Companies ranked 1625 were in the
largest quartile. Largest market cap quartile companies had a market cap value in 2015 of more than US$19.7 billion.
2) Smallest employee quartile companies had 126,109 employees. Companies in the largest employee quartile had 41,2782,200,000 employees.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

12

More recently, companies have been hiring outsider CEOs


with more industry and CEO experience
Incoming outsider CEO from same or
different prior industry1) compared with
current company industry, 20042015

43%

57%

2012

37%

63%

2013

Incoming outsider CEO with prior public


CEO experience
20092015

Different industry

No public CEO experience

Same industry

Has public CEO experience

30%

70%

2014

35%

74%

71%

26%

29%

2009

2010

63%
77%

71%

65%

59%

65%

2015

37%
23%

2011

2012

29%

2013

35%

2014

41%

2015

1) Exhibit shows incoming CEOs who joined their company as CEO, broken down by whether they had worked in the same or a different industry immediately before joining the
current company.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

13

In 2015, in the largest companies, 60% of incoming outsider


CEOs had previous public CEO experience
Incoming outsider CEO prior public CEO experience by market cap quartile
2015

No public CEO experience


Has public CEO experience

50%
70%

70%

50%
30%

40%

60%

30%

Smallest market cap quartile Second market cap quartile

Third market cap quartile

Largest market cap quartile

1) Market cap quartile was based on company ranking in worlds 2,500 largest. Companies ranked 1,8762,500 were in the smallest quartile. Companies ranked 1625 were in the
largest quartile. Largest market cap quartile companies had a market cap value in 2015 of more than US$19.7 billion.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

14

Outsider CEOs were more likely than insiders both to have


international experience and be of different nationality than
their company HQ region
Incoming CEO experience1) in different
regions compared to company HQ region

Incoming CEO nationality compared with


company HQ region

20122015

20092015
Has not worked in other regions

Different country, different region

Has worked in other regions

Different country, same region


Same

10%

5%
68%

17%
10%

54%

86%

73%

46%
32%

Incoming insider CEO

Incoming outsider CEO

Incoming insider CEO

Incoming outsider CEO

1) Experience in different regions means incoming CEOs experience in regions other than company HQ region.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

15

The financials industry hired almost all its outsider CEOs


from its own industry
Incoming outsider CEO from same or different prior industry1) compared to current
company industry
20042015
Different prior industry
Same prior industry

8%
23%

25%

37%

30%

36%

42%

44%
56%

59%
72%

92%
77%

75%

63%

70%

64%

58%

56%
44%

41%
28%

Cross Industry

Financial Telecommunication Healthcare


Services
Services

Energy

Consumer
Staples

Information
Technology

Materials

Industrials

Consumer
Discretionary2)

Utilities

1) Exhibit shows incoming CEOs who joined their company as CEO, broken down by whether they had worked in the same or different industry immediately before joining the
current company.
2) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

16

Historically, outsider CEOs were much more likely to be


forced out than insiders, but the difference has narrowed
Outgoing outsider CEOs by turnover type

Outgoing insider CEOs by turnover type

20042015

20042015

Merger and acquisition


Forced turnover
Planned turnover

12%

39%

14%

10%

13%

21%

31%

21%

64%

59%

20122015

20042007

16%

32%

49%

52%

20042007

20082011

66%

20082011

11%
16%

73%

20122015

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.


Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

17

Outgoing outsider CEOs have had longer median tenures


than insider CEOs over the last two years
Outgoing CEO median tenure by pedigree
20042015
Outgoing insider CEO
Outgoing outsider CEO

Years
6.0

6.0

5.9

5.8

5.8

5.6
5.5
5.2

5.2

5.3

5.2
5.0

5.0

4.8

4.8

5.1

4.8

4.7

4.6

5.0

5.0
4.8

4.5
4.0

4.0

4.0
3.7
0.0
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

3.5
2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.


Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

18

For the third straight year, outsider CEOs have delivered


higher median total shareholder returns than insiders
Median total shareholder returns1) by outgoing CEO pedigree
20002015

Outgoing insider CEO


Outgoing outsider CEO
Regionally adjusted
annualized TSR

One reason we believe outsiders are performing better is that the


outgoing CEOs over the last three years include a higher number
who were hired in planned rather than forced turnovers, and fewer
of them were themselves forced out. Historically, most outsiders
had been hired following forced successions, more often than not
in situations where the company had not been performing well.

11.0%
11%
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
0.5%
1%
0%
0.3%
-1%
-2% -3.0%
-3%
-4% -4.6%
-5%
2000
2001

5.6%
4.6%
3.1%

4.1%

3.9%

3.9%
4.1%

2.4%

4.0%

4.6%

4.6%

4.6%

3.9%

2.9%
2.2%

3.7%

1.5%

0.7%

0.1%

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

0.9%

0.6%
-0.3%

-0.6%

-1.2%

2002

0.1%

2.6%
3.2%

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

1) Total shareholder returns are annualized over outgoing CEOs' tenure and are regionally adjusted, meaning that performance is measured relative to a regional index (S&P 500,
Brazil Bovespa, FTSE 100, CAC 40, etc.).
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

19

Most recently, outsider CEOs in Western Europe have been


significantly more likely to be forced out than outsiders in
any other region
Percentage of outgoing outsider CEOs via forced turnovers by region
20042015

20042007

20082011

20122015

67%
54%

39%

47%

43%

41%

37%

41%

40%

38%

36%

32%
21%

25%
20%

19%

18%

20%

22%

17%

14%

7%

5%

0%

Global

Western Europe Other Emerging1) Other Mature2)

Brazil,
Russia, India*

U.S./Canada

Japan*

China*

1) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
2) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
*Sample size in Japan and China not significant for all 12 years. Sample size in Brazil, Russia, India not significant from 20042007.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

20

Outsider CEOs in Western Europe consistently perform


worse than those in the U.S./Canada
Outgoing outsider CEO by quartile of annualized shareholder returns1)
20042015

U.S./Canada

Western Europe
In the last four years, 60% of outgoing
outsider CEOs in the U.S./Canada have been
in the two highest TSR quartiles compared to
only 44% of outgoing outsider CEOs in
Western Europe. Outsider CEOs in Western
Europe are more likely to be appointed to lowperforming companies and more likely to be
forced out than outsiders in the U.S./Canada.

34%

29%

Highest TSR Quartile


Third TSR Quartile
Second TSR Quartile

Lowest TSR Quartile

26%

30%

17%

28%

23%
16%

27%

28%

50%
14%

26%
29%
14%

20042007

32%

30%

20082011

21%

24%

20%

18%

20122015

20042007

33%

24%

27%

33%

20082011

20122015

50%

1) Total shareholder returns are annualized over outgoing CEOs' tenure and are regionally adjusted, meaning that performance is measured relative to a regional index (S&P 500,
Brazil Bovespa, FTSE 100, CAC 40, etc.).
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

21

CEO turnover summary

In 2015, the total CEO turnover rate at the worlds 2,500 largest companies was
16.6%, a study record high. 17% of all CEO turnovers in 2015 were due to M&A, the
highest since 2007.
Brazil, Russia, and India (BRI) lead the world again in CEO turnovers while Japan
and Western Europe reached five year highs.
In four out of the last five years, BRI has had the highest CEO turnover rate.
Japan went from the lowest CEO turnover rate in 2014 (12%) to the second highest in
2015 (19%) Western Europe went from 14% in 2014 to 18% in 2015.
Telecommunication services has the highest CEO turnover rate for the fifth straight
year; five other industries led by energy and materials reached five year highs.
With the falling price of oil and other commodities, CEO turnover jumped in the
following industries:
Energy: 18% in 2014 to 23% in 2015
Materials: 17% to 20%
Utilities: 13% to 17%
Financial services: 13% to 16%

Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

22

In 2015, the total CEO turnover rate of the worlds 2,500


largest public companies was 16.6%, a study record high
CEO turnover rate by succession reason
CEO turnover events as a percentage of top 2,500 public companies

M&A
Forced turnover
Planned turnover
Turnover rate

17%
16%

14.7%
(367)

15%
14%
13%
12%
11%

14.4%
(359)

2.6%

12.9%
(323)

10.9%
3.2% (272)

2.4%

10.8%
(270)

1.4%

9.8%
(244)

4.4%

14.3%
(359)

14.2%
(354)

2.2%

1.8%

2.2%

3.6%

11.6%
(290)

3.4%

1.8%

15.0%
(375)

1.4%

14.2%
(355)

14.3% 2.8%
(357)

1.5%

1.2%

2.8%

1.9%

2.2%

4.6%

4.2%

2.2%

3.2%

6%
5%

9.2%

4%
3%

6.0%

2%

5.0%

5.3%

2002

2003

9.8%

9.1%

7.8%
6.4%

3.0%

2.6%

5.1%

3.4%
2.4%

14.4%
(361)

2.9%

4.5%

1.3%

9%
7%

13.8%
(345)

2.4%

3.4%

10%
8%

15.4%
(386)

16.6%
(416)

6.3%

6.7%

7.2%

2006

2007

2008

10.8%

11.2%
10.1%

10.9%

7.7%

1%
0%
2000

2001

2004

2005

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.


Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

23

In 2015, 17% of all CEO turnovers were due to M&A, the


highest since 2007
CEO succession reasons as a percentage of turnover events
20002015
M&A
Forced turnover
Planned turnover

13%
25%

26%

49%

2000

14%

22%

22%

41%

32%

17%

31%

17%

24%

23%
32%

56%

54%
46%

2001

2002

2003

53%

2004

21%

30%

15%

15%

16%

10%

10%

18%

19%

9%

17%

13%

24%

19%

15%

64%

66%

69%

72%

71%

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

18%

35%

60%

2005

13%

44%

48%

50%

2006

2007

2008

78%
65%

2014

2015

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.


Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

24

Brazil, Russia, and India had the highest rate of CEO


turnovers followed by Japan and Western Europe
CEO turnover rate by region and succession reason
2015 CEO turnover events as a percentage of top 2,500 public companies in each region
M&A
Forced turnover
Planned turnover

16.6%
(416)
2.8%
3.0%

23.6%
(30)
3.1%
3.1%

17.3%

19.4%
(40)
1.0%

Brazil,
Russia, India

Region

Number of companies in region

16.7%
(33)

5.2%

16.9%
(58)
2.0%
3.2%

10.3%

11.7%

13.1%

2.5%

1.0%

16.1%
(42)
2.3%
3.1%

14.3%
(123)
4.4%
2.2%

18.4%

10.9%

Global

17.9%
(90)
2.4%

Japan

Western Europe

Other Mature1) Other Emerging2)

10.7%

China

7.7%

U.S./Canada

Brazil,
Russia,
India

China

Japan

Other
emerging

Other
mature

U.S./
Canada

Western
Europe

Total

127

261

206

198

343

861

504

2500

1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

25

Japan went from the lowest CEO turnover rate in 2014 to the
second highest in 2015
CEO turnover rate by region
20102015 CEO turnover events as a percentage of top 2,500 public companies in each region
U.S./Canada

Western Europe

Turnover rate

Japan

24%

Other Mature1)

22%

China

20%

Brazil, Russia, India

18%

Other Emerging2)

16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

26

The telecommunication services industry had the highest


CEO turnover rate followed by energy and materials
CEO turnover rate by industry and succession reason
2015 CEO turnover events as a percentage of top 2,500 public companies in each industry
M&A
Forced

Planned
24.7%
(23)
2.2%

23.2%
(42)
19.6%
(44)

2.8%
16.6%
(416)

6.5%

3.1%

6.6%

2.8%

16.8%
(64)

16.5%
(23)

2.4%

2.7%

0.7%

2.2%

16.3%
(34)

16.2%
(87)

3.4%

2.2%

2.9%

3.0%

3.4%
16.1%

3.4%

15.8%
(55)

3.2%

12.3%
(21)

10.5%
(23)

2.6%

2.3%
0.9%

5.8%
13.8%

13.8%

10.9%

13.7%

11.6%

9.6%

10.6%

10.1%

0.6%

7.3%

5.8%
Cross
Industry

Telecommunication
Services

Industry
Number of companies in
industry

Energy

Materials

Industrials

Consumer Consumer Energy


discretionary
staples
348

208

181

Utilities

Consumer
Staples

Financial Health Industrials


services
care
537

171

380

Financial
Services

Consumer
Discretionary

Healthcare

Information
Technology

Information
technology

Materials

Telecommunication
services

Utilities

Total

219

224

93

139

2500

1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

27

Six industries led by telecommunication services, energy,


and materials all reached five year high CEO turnover rates
CEO turnover rate by industry
20102015 CEO turnover events as a percentage of top 2,500 public companies in each industry

Consumer Discretionary1)
Consumer Staples

Turnover rate

Energy

25.0%

Financial Services
Healthcare
Industrials

20.0%

Information Technology
Materials
Telecommunications Services

15.0%

Utilities

10.0%

5.0%

0.0%
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

28

2015 incoming class of CEOs summary

In the 2015 incoming class of CEOs, new CEOs in Western Europe compared to the
U.S./Canada were more likely to:
Be outsiders (38% vs. 14%)
Be of foreign nationality (30% vs. 15%)
Have worked internationally (41% vs. 30%)
They were less likely to:
Spend their entire career at one company (9% to 16%)
Have an MBA (26% to 41%)
The global CEO is a myth. International work experience is decreasing, down to 28% in
2015.

Loyalty high in Japan and China. Three quarters of incoming CEOs in Japan and nearly
one half in China spent their entire career at one company.
Tech CEOs skip business school. Only 13% of incoming CEOs in the information
technology industry had an MBA compared to 44% in the consumer staples industry.

Good governance on the rise. Only 7% of incoming CEOs also held the position of
chairman, a study record low.

Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

29

In 2015, Western Europe hired more than double the share of


outsider CEOs than the U.S./Canada
Incoming CEO pedigree by region
2015

Incoming insider CEO


Incoming outsider CEO

62%

65%

77%

67%

75%

84%

86%
97%

38%

35%

23%

33%

25%

16%

14%

3%
Global

Western Europe

Other Mature1)

Brazil,
Russia, India

Other Emerging2)

China

U.S./Canada

Japan

1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A, interims, and events with incomplete information
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

30

Half of the incoming CEOs in the telecommunication services


industry were outsiders
Incoming CEO pedigree by industry
2015

Incoming insider CEO


Incoming outsider CEO

50%
68%

77%

69%

73%

73%

77%

82%

85%

86%

15%

14%

94%

50%
23%

Cross TelecommuniIndustry
cation
Services

32%

Utilities

31%

Energy

27%

Healthcare

27%

Industrials

23%

Financial
Services

18%

Materials

6%

Consumer Consumer Information


Staples Discretionary1) Technology

1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

31

The median age for an incoming CEO was 53 with CEOs in


Japan being the oldest (median age of 60)
Incoming CEO median age by region
2015
Global median
age in 2014
was 52.

60
55

53

Global

Japan

Other Mature1)

53

Brazil,
Russia, India

52

51

51

Western Europe

China

U.S./Canada

50

Other Emerging2)

1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

32

Companies in Western Europe were most likely to hire a


foreign CEO
Incoming CEO nationality compared with company headquarters region
2015
Different country, different region
Different country, same region
Same

12%
5%

3%

97%
83%

Global

Japan

6%

94%

China

10%

90%

Brazil,
Russia, India

14%
1%

84%

U.S./Canada

14%

5%

82%

20%

2%

78%

Other Emerging1) Other Mature2)

11%
19%

70%

Western Europe

1) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
2) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

33

The global CEO is a myth. International work experience is


decreasing, down to 28% in 2015
Incoming CEOs with experience1) in different regions compared to company HQ region
2015

Has not worked in other regions


Has worked in other regions

55%

45%

2012

65%

66%

72%

35%

34%

28%

2013

2014

2015

1)Experience in different regions means incoming CEOs experience in regions other than company HQ region.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

34

Incoming CEOs in Western European were most likely to


have international work experience
Incoming CEOs with experience1) in different regions compared to company HQ region
2015

Has not worked in other regions


Has worked in other regions

59%
72%

62%

70%

74%

82%

86%
97%

41%
28%

38%

30%

26%

18%

14%

3%
Global

Western Europe

Other Mature2)

U.S./Canada

Other Emerging3)

Japan

Brazil,
Russia, India

China

1) Experience in different regions means incoming CEOs experience in regions other than company HQ region.
2) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea..
3) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

35

More than a quarter of incoming CEOs spent their entire


career at one company
Incoming CEOs with previous experience1) in different companies
2015
Has previously worked in other companies
Has not previously worked in other companies

80%

78%

80%

20%

22%

20%

2012

2013

2014

74%

26%

2015

1) "Previous experience in different companies" means new CEO had worked at another company at any time before being named CEO at current company.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

36

a result of the high CEO turnover in Japan where three


quarters of incoming CEOs spent their entire career at
one company
Incoming CEOs with previous experience1) in different companies by region
2015
Has previously worked in other companies
Has not previously worked in other companies

24%
54%
71%

74%

79%

84%

87%

91%

21%

16%

13%

9%

Other Mature 2)

U.S./Canada

76%
46%
29%

26%

Global

Japan

China

Brazil,
Russia, India

Other Emerging3) Western Europe

1) "Previous experience in different companies" means new CEO had worked at another company at any time before being named CEO at current company.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims
2) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
3) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

37

A third of incoming CEOs had an MBA and a tenth had a PhD

Incoming CEOs with and without selected degrees


2015
No

Yes

1%

70%
91%

99%

30%
9%

Undergraduate

MBA

PhD

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

38

CEOs in the U.S./Canada were most likely to have an MBA

Incoming CEOs with an MBA by region


2015
No MBA
Yes MBA

70%

59%

65%

67%

68%

74%

75%
97%

30%

41%

35%

33%

32%

26%

25%

3%
Global

U.S./Canada

Other Mature1)

Brazil,
Russia, India

Other Emerging2) Western Europe

China

Japan

1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, South Korea, etc.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam etc.
Note 1: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note 2: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

39

CEOs in the information technology industry were least


likely to have an MBA
Incoming CEOs with an MBA by industry
2015
No MBA
Yes MBA

56%
70%

44%
30%

Cross
industry

Consumer
staples

63%

38%

Energy

65%

35%

Telecom
services

67%

33%

Industrials

69%

31%

Financials

71%

29%

Materials

73%

27%

Health care

74%

26%

Utilities

82%

88%

18%

13%

Consumer Information
discretionary1) technology

1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

40

Only 7% of incoming CEOs also held the position of


chairman, a record low
Percentage of incoming CEOs who hold the joint title of CEO and chairman
20002015

Joint title share

North America

China & Rest of Asia

Europe

Global Average

Japan

65%
60%
55%

48%

50%
45%
40%
35%

33% 33%

33%

31%

30%

29%

26%

25%

19%

20%

18%
12%

15%

13%

14%

12%

10%

9%

10%

2013

2014

7%

5%
0%

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2015

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

41

Women CEOs summary

Women CEOs take a step back. The share of incoming women CEOs fell to 2.8%, the
lowest percentage since 2011. Just 10 of 359 incoming CEOs (permanent and interim) in
the class of 2015 were women.
Women CEOs in the U.S./Canada slide to the bottom. The share of incoming women
CEOs in the U.S./Canada fell for the third year to the lowest in the studys history. There
was just 1 woman of the total 87 (1.1%) incoming CEOs in the U.S./Canada.
Women CEOs are more often hired from outside the company than men CEOs are.
32% of incoming and outgoing women CEOs were outsiders compared to just 23% of
men.
There is improvement. As of 2015, it is no longer statistically significant that women
CEOs are more often forced out of office than men. Over the last 12 years, 32% of
women CEOs have been forced out of office compared to 25% of men.

Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

42

In 2015, the share of incoming women CEOs fell to 2.8%, the


lowest since 2011
Share of incoming women CEOs
20042015

Incoming women CEOs

6%
5.2%
5%
4.3%
4.0%
4%

3.5%

3.4%

3.0%
3%

2.8%

2.6%

2.4%

2.1%
2%

1.1%

1.0%

2007

2008

1%

0%
2004

2005

2006

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Note: Exhibit includes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and excludes events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

43

While the share of incoming women CEOs in the U.S./Canada


fell for the third year to the lowest in the studys history
Share of incoming women CEOs in the U.S./Canada
20042015

Incoming women CEOs

8%

7.3%

7.1%
7%

6.2%
6%
5.2%

4.8%

5%

4.7%
4.0%

4%

2.7%

3%
2%

2.4%
2.0%

1.9%

1.1%
1%
0%
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Note: Exhibit includes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and excludes events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

44

However, over the last 12 years, the U.S./Canada has hired


the largest share of women CEOs
Percentage of incoming women CEOs by region
20042015

Women CEOs

4.0%

3.8%

3.7%
3.1%

3.0%

2.3%

1.9%
0.9%

Global

U.S./Canada

Other Mature1)

China

Brazil,
Russia, India

Western Europe Other Emerging2)

Japan

1) "Other Mature" economies include Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Chile, Czech Republic, Hong Kong, Hungary, New Zealand, Poland, Korea.
2) Other Emerging" economies include Egypt, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Nigeria, South Africa, Turkey, Vietnam.
Note: "Mature" countries are defined as per the U.N. Development Programme 2015 ranking of countries with "very high human development" (human development index >0.80);
all others are "emerging countries.
Note: Exhibit includes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and excludes events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

45

The consumer discretionary industry has hired the largest


share of women CEOs
Percentage of incoming women CEOs by industry
20042015

Women CEOs

4.9%

4.7%

4.5%
3.6%
3.3%

3.0%

3.0%

1.6%

1.6%

1.5%
1.0%

Cross
Consumer Consumer Telecommuni- Utilities
Industry Discretionary1) Staples
cation
Services

Financial
Services

Information Healthcare
Technology

Energy

Industrials

Materials

1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit includes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and excludes events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

46

In the U.S./Canada, the financials industry has hired the


smallest share of women CEOs
Percentage of incoming women CEOs in the U.S./Canada by industry
20042015

Women CEOs

10.0%

8.5%
6.8%

5.6%
4.1%

4.0%

3.2%

3.1%

2.3%
1.7%
1.1%

Cross Telecommuni- Consumer


Industry
Staples
cation
Services

Utilities

Consumer Information Industrials


Discretionary1) Technology

Healthcare

Materials

Energy

Financial
Services

1) "Consumer Discretionary" includes automobiles and components, consumer durables and apparel, consumer services, media, and retailing.
Note: Exhibit includes turnover events resulting from M&A and interims and excludes events with incomplete information.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

47

Women CEOs are more often hired from outside the company
than men CEOs are*
Incoming and outgoing CEOs by gender and pedigree
20042015
Insider CEOs
Outsider CEOs

68%

32%

Female CEOs

77%

23%

Male CEOs

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events resulting from M&A for incoming CEOs, interims for incoming and outgoing CEOs, as well as turnover events with incomplete information.
*The chi-square statistic is 7.5107. The p-value is.006133. The result is significant at p <.05.
Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

48

From 2004 to 2015, women were 27 percent more likely to be


forced out, but in 2015, for the first time, the difference was
not statistically significant
Outgoing CEO by gender and pedigree
20042015

M&A

Forced turnover

11%

13%

32%

25%

57%

62%

Outgoing female CEOs

Ougoing male CEOs

Planned turnover

Note: Exhibit excludes turnover events with incomplete information.


Source: Strategy& 2015 CEO Success study
Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

49

Definition of terms

Succession: A succession event is defined as when a CEO leaves office, regardless of whether or not
a new CEO is selected to take his or her place, or when the companys leadership structure changes to
add CEOs.
We group the succession reasons into three categories:
M&A
Forced

Planned (successions that are the result of neither M&A nor a forced removal)
We determine whether a succession is forced or planned using reports in the press, analyst reports,
and the knowledge of Strategy& consultants from around the world.
Insider versus outsider CEO:
Insider: A CEO is considered an insider if he or she worked at his or her current company at least
one day before becoming CEO.
Outsider: A CEO is considered an outsider if he or she was hired directly from a company other than
the one he currently leads.
TSR: All total shareholder return figures we use are annualized TSR over the total tenure of outgoing
CEOs and are regionally adjusted, meaning that performance is measured relative to a regional index
(S&P 500, Brazil Bovespa, FTSE 100, CAC 40, etc.)

Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

50

Methodol0gy

The CEO Success study identified the worlds 2,500 largest public companies, defined by their market
capitalization (from Bloomberg) on January1, 2015. We then identified the companies among the top
2,500 that had experienced a chief executive succession event between January 1, 2015, and
December 31, 2015, and cross-checked data using a wide variety of printed and electronic sources in
many languages. For a listing of companies that had been acquired or merged in 2015, we also
used Bloomberg.
Each company that appeared to have changed its CEO was investigated for confirmation that a change
occurred in 2015, and additional details title, tenure, chairmanship, nationality, professional
experience, and so on were sought on both the outgoing and incoming chief executives (as well as
any interim chief executives). Company-provided information was acceptable for most data elements
except the reason for the succession. Outside press reports and other independent sources were used
to conrm the reason for an executives departure.
Finally, Strategy& consultants worldwide separately validated each succession event as part of the
eort to learn the reason for specic CEO changes in their region. To distinguish between mature and
emerging economies, Strategy& followed the United Nations Development Programme 2015 ranking.
Total shareholder return data over a CEOs tenure was sourced from Bloomberg and includes
reinvestment of dividends (if any). Total shareholder return data was then regionally market adjusted
(measured as the dierence between the companys return and the return of the main regional index
over the same time period) and annualized.

Strategy& | PwC

April 2016

51

2016 PwC. All rights reserved.


PwC refers to the PwC network and/or one or more of its member firms, each of which is a separate legal entity. Please see
www.pwc.com/structure for further details.
This content is for general information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for consultation with professional advisors.

You might also like