Cruise Terminal Karnataka
Cruise Terminal Karnataka
Disclaimer
The information in this Report has been prepared based on information collected from primary and
secondary sources. Wherever information was not readily available, reasonable assumptions have been
made, in good faith to draw meaningful inferences and these have been mentioned in the respective
sections of the report. All such assumptions are subject to further corroboration based on availability of
information. The information and analysis presented in this Report is not and does not purport to be
comprehensive or to have been independently verified. This report has been prepared by Feedback
Infrastructure Services Private Limited (FISPL) for its client, Infrastructure Development Department
(IDD), Karnataka for its use for furthering the project development activity on PPP basis. No external
agency shall use any part of this report without prior permission from IDD.
The information contained in this Report is selective and is subject to updation, expansion, revision and
amendment. It does not, and does not purport to, contain all the information that may be required.
This Report includes certain statements, estimates, projections and forecasts. Such statements,
estimates, projections, targets and forecasts are based on reasonable assumptions made by the
management, officers and employees of FISPL. Assumptions and the base information on which they are
made may or may not prove to be correct. No representation or warranty is given as to the
reasonableness of forecasts or the assumptions on which they may be based and nothing in this Report
is, or should be relied on as, a promise, representation or warranty.
Table of Contents
LIST OF TABLES ...................................................................................................................................................... 1
LIST OF FIGURES..................................................................................................................................................... 1
1
INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................. 8
2.1
2.2
PROJECT ...................................................................................................................................................... 15
4.1
DESCRIPTION OF THE PROJECT ...........................................................................................................................15
4.2
LOCATION & CONNECTIVITY ..............................................................................................................................16
4.2.1 Old Mangalore Port ...............................................................................................................................16
4.2.2 Malpe .....................................................................................................................................................16
4.2.3 Karwar ...................................................................................................................................................17
4.3
SITE FEATURES................................................................................................................................................18
4.3.1 Old Mangalore .......................................................................................................................................18
4.3.2 Malpe .....................................................................................................................................................20
4.3.3 Karwar ...................................................................................................................................................21
4.4
KEY ISSUES.....................................................................................................................................................22
4.5
BEST CASE STUDIES FOR SIMILAR PROJECTS IN INDIA/ WORLD ..................................................................................22
4.5.1 Cruise terminal at Port Galveston, Texas ...............................................................................................22
4.5.2 Mormugao Cruise Terminal ...................................................................................................................24
10
11
RECOMMENDATIONS .......................................................................................................................................60
ANNEXURE .................................................................................................................................................. 61
11.1
11.2
List of Tables
Table 1: Cruise tourist and foreign tourist arrivals ..................................................................................... 26
Table 2: Cruise Liner Visits at Dubai Cruise Terminal.................................................................................. 34
Table 3: Growth in Cruise Traffic in Singapore ........................................................................................... 38
Table 8: Assumptions for average passenger per Cruise Vessel during initial years .................................. 41
Table 9: Projected International Cruise Passengers and Vessels at the Proposed Cruise Terminal ........... 42
Table 10: Projected Domestic Cruise Growth Rates .................................................................................. 42
Table 11:Area Plan for Terminal Building at the Proposed Cruise Terminal .............................................. 44
Table 12: Area Plan for the Proposed Karnataka Village ............................................................................ 44
Table 13: Area Summary for the proposed Cruise Terminal Project .......................................................... 45
Table 14: Cost Break-Up for the proposed Cruise Terminal ....................................................................... 47
Table 15: Financing Assumptions................................................................................................................ 47
Table 16: Depreciation Assumptions .......................................................................................................... 48
Table 17 Assumed Tariffs for Foreign Cruise Vessels.................................................................................. 48
Table 18: Operational Expenses Assumptions for Berth, Maintenance Dredging, Kerala Village and Resort
.................................................................................................................................................................... 49
Table 19: Assumptions for Staff .................................................................................................................. 51
Table 20: Key Project Returns ..................................................................................................................... 51
Table 21: Sensitivity of the Project to changes in Construction Cost ......................................................... 52
Table 22: Sensitivity of the Project to the Changes in Operational Costs .................................................. 52
Table 23: Sensitivity to Changes in Revenue .............................................................................................. 53
Table 24: Major Provisions of Indian Ports Act 1908 .................................................................................. 54
Table 25: Risk Mitigation Measures for the Project ................................................................................... 57
Table 26: Cashflow for the Cruise Terminal ................................................................................................ 63
List of Figures
Figure 1: Project Status ................................................................................................................................. 8
Figure 2: Methodology for the Study .......................................................................................................... 10
Figure 3: Commodity mix of cargo handled by minor ports ....................................................................... 13
Figure 4: State-wise capacity of non major ports in India .......................................................................... 13
Figure 5: State wise share of traffic handled by Non Major ports in India ................................................. 14
Figure 6: Location of Old Mangalore Port................................................................................................... 16
Figure 7: Location of Malpe Port ................................................................................................................ 17
Figure 8: Location of Karwar Port ............................................................................................................... 18
Figure 9: Old Mangalore Port Site Features................................................................................................ 19
Figure 10: Site Features-Malpe ................................................................................................................... 20
Figure 11: Site Features-Karwar.................................................................................................................. 21
Figure 12: Facilities at the Passenger Terminal at New Mangalore............................................................ 32
Figure 13: Impact of a World Class Terminal on Cruise Tourist Arrivals in Dubai ...................................... 35
1 Executive Summary
Background
Government of Karnataka (GoK) envisages development of infrastructure through Public Private
Partnership (PPP) and intends to attract investments in various sectors in Karnataka.
The current report details out the prefeasibility study undertaken for Development of a Cruise Terminal
in Karnataka. While during the workshop held under the chairmanship of Secretary, IDD Old
Mangalore port was identified for setting up of a cruise terminal, the Consultants feel that the
project can be replicable at other ports also, if adequate land and port infrastructure like
adequate depth and breakwaters are available. The Consultants propose the following possible
locations for the proposed cruise terminal.
While three alternative sites are suggested, the Consultants believe that the terminal should be
established only at one of these locations. This is because Karnataka already has a cruise terminal at
New Mangalore. While another terminal, with world class facilities, to compete with New Mangalore
may be feasible, having more than two cruise terminals in a single state is not practical.
The main project idea is to have a world class cruise terminal at any one of the proposed sites, along
with a Karnataka village within the terminal and a resort in the respective city - Mangalore, Udupi or
Karwar.
Sector Profile
Cruises have grown in popularity amongst tourists in the last few decades. Asia Pacific especially has
become a key growth market for the global cruise category. This region is expected to see increased
investment in port infrastructure in the coming years. India with its rapid economic development, huge
population and a 7,500 km long coastline is regarded as a market with immense potential for more
number of tourists and new destinations. Ports such as Mumbai, Goa, Mangalore and Kochi,on the
western coast of India, could be effective alternate locations for winter deployment of ships operating in
Northern Europe. Such ships are otherwise are restricted to Dubai and other ports in the Middle East.
Today, the cruise industry in India is mainly driven by international tourists, with most of the domestic
tourists flying to Singapore or Hong Kong to embark on cruises. International cruise tourist arrivals in the
country have increased five-fold in the past 15 years. However, this tourist traffic isheavily dependent
on economic and socio-political factors across the globe.
Presently, Mumbai and Kochi are the favoured ports of call in India for international cruise ships. It is
expected that the cruise tourism industry in the country would witness rapid growth once required
infrastructure is in place. This would lead to the development of three major regional cruise corridors 1
Market Assessment
As per the market assessment undertaken by the consultants, the existing cruise terminal at New
Mangalore is expected to be a major competitor for the proposed new terminal in attracting
international cruise ships. Hence, a three pronged strategy is suggested for the new cruise terminal to
compete with the New Mangalore port.
Hinging on successful execution of the strategy, passenger and vessel traffic at the new cruise terminal is
estimated till the year 2041-42. The cruise traffic in India has grown at a CAGR of 11.8% during 19972011. This growth was seen despite two major downturns in 2001 and 2008. Past growth trends are
used to estimate the future cruise tourist growth in India. The share of Karnatakas cruise tourists in
total is used to project growth rates for future.
The competition from the New Mangalore cruise terminal is also factored in while making the final
traffic estimates at the proposed site given below.
Year
Projected
Annual Growth
Rate of Cruise
Tourists in
India
Projected
Cruise Arrivals
in India (In
Millions)
Assumed
Share of
Mangalore in
Total Cruise
Arrivals
Projected
Cruise Arrivals
in
Mangalore(In
Millions)
Share of the
proposed
terminal
2011-12
2015-16
2019-20
2024-25
2029-30
2034-35
2041-42
11.34%
11.79%
11.00%
10.50%
10.00%
9.50%
8.50%
0.11
0.140
0.237
0.392
0.635
1.004
1.835
6%
6%
8%
8%
10%
15%
16%
0.007
0.008
0.019
0.031
0.063
0.151
0.294
0.00%
8.00%
15.00%
25.00%
30.00%
50.00%
0.0
1517.0
4708.0
15869.0
45172.0
146799.0
16
31
114
For estimating domestic cruise traffic, past growth rates of domestic tourists in Karnataka are used for
traffic projections. Further, it is assumed that one domestic cruise vessel carries an average of 175
passengers1, which gives the number of domestic vessels. It is important to note that given the current
tariffs of INR 0.60 per GRT and small size of the vessel, domestic cruises will not generate high revenues.
However, domestic cruises are important for higher footfalls, especially during the off season period of
April-October(for international cruise vessels)which would help attract commercial players likely to set
shop at the terminal.
Following table summarizes the projections for domestic cruises:
Projected Growth
Rates
for
Domestic
Domestic Cruise
Passengers
in
Karnataka
Number of Vessels
2012-13
2014-15
2019-20
2024-25
2029-30
2034-35
2040-41
8.10%
8.10%
8.00%
8.00%
7.50%
7.50%
7.50%
4540
26
5310
30
7860
45
11570
66
16640
95
23920
137
39720
227
Value
Unit
Berth
6600
sqm
Terminal Building
3750
sqm
Administrative Building
100
sqm
Karnataka Village
4000
sqm
Parking
980
sqm
Total Area
15430
sqm
3.81
acres
Port Area
City Area
Resort
25
acres
Project Financials
It is recommended that the capital dredging cost and cost of any other basic infrastructure like
breakwaters which benefit the port as a whole and not just a terminal, should be borne by the
government, to make the project attractive to the private investor. If the recommendation is followed,
the total project cost for the private investor with including interest during construction is estimated to
be ~INR 139 crore.
Further, a capital structure of 70% debt ~ INR 97 crore and a 30% equity equivalent to INR 41.5 crore is
assumed for the project.
Key project returns are summarized in the table given below.
Parameter
Total Project Cost
Upfront Payment
Project IRR to the Concessionaire
Project NPV
Equity IRR
Lease Rental per Year to the government
Value
138.5
0
12%
10.7
15%
50
5.55
79.11
Unit
INR crore
INR Crore
%
INR crore
%
INR lakh per annum with 5% p.a.
escalation
INR crore
The concessionaire is expected to earn a Project IRR of 12% and a positive Project NPV of INR 10.7 crore.
It can be seen that the project has a borderline viability. This hinges on the fact that the government
bears the cost of capital dredging and breakwaters and also maintenance dredging cost if it is over INR
80 lakh a year (at an escalation of 5% p.a.) This is because this is the highest annual cost of maintenance
dredging that the project can withstand so that it generates a positive NPV.
Environmental & Social Impacts
The cruise terminal would lie in the CRZ-II zone under the coastal regulatory norms. Hence the project
would require clearance from the state CZMA. Since the terminal area at the port would be less than
20000 square metres, there is no need for a clearance from the Union Ministry of Environment and
Forests.
The breakwater and the dredging operations to be undertaken at the port fall under Category B of the
EIA notifications,2006, since all the proposed sites are located at minor ports and handle a cargo
capacity of less than 5 million tonnes per annum. Hence, as per the EIA notification 2006, the
concessionaire would have to obtain EIA clearance from the State Level EIA Authority (SEIAA), duly
constituted by the Central Government for Category B activities, before any construction work, or
preparation of land is done.
The project proposed would have two major socio-economic impacts.
A boost for the local economy: The project is expected to boost tourism in the state and
contribute to its economic prosperity. A Cruise Passenger on an average spends more
than USD 100 per trip, which has a direct impact on the economy. Further it is expected
that a project of this scale will generate employment for people from all walks of life.
Two of the proposed sites have fishing harbours (Old Mangalore and Malpe). A project at
these sites can lead to disturbance to the livelihood of fishermen. Hence, it is to be
ensured that minimal disruption is caused to the fishermen community due to new
constructions. If such disruption is inevitable, the project proponent may need to involve
the community in the project by providing employment and other social benefits
Operating Framework
An indicated project implementation structure is outlined below.
Component
Description
The project is to be developed under BOT model of PPP
The berth cost and other terminal facilities cost are to be
borne by the concessionaire
The capital dredging costs and break-water costs are to be
borne by the government
The government also bears a portion of the maintenance
dredging cost if it is over a certain threshold (to ensure
Structure
viability of the project.
The private sector player recovers its investments over a
period of time from revenues from operation of the cruise
terminal and the Karnataka Village in the port premises. The
private player will also be leased out land for building a
resort, which will be a further source of revenue. The land for
resort can be given in the city, if not available at the port.
Concession Period
30 years including a construction period of 3 years
Annual Lease rental
For land in the port premises, to be calculated at the rate of
Payment to Concession
INR 0.5 per sq.mtr per month
Authority
For land in the city, an annual rental of INR 50 lakh is
suggested for 25 acres of land
Component
Role
of
Authority
Description
Provision of identified land for the project, free from all
encumbrances
Grant of lease hold rights of the project site to the developer
Concession
Provision of adequate rights to the developer for collection
of user charges, parking fees and rentals from property
development.
Recommendations
1. It is recommended that the project be taken up only after detailed technical studies to
assess the technical suitability of the suggested sites for setting up a cruise terminal that
can handle large vessels to the order of 90,000 GRT
2. Further, the project is feasible only if the state bears the cost of capital dredging and
breakwaters
3. No Upfront Fee is recommended for the project, as the project is viable as a borderline
case. An upfront fee can make the project unviable
4. Three potential locations are identified by the Consultants for the proposed cruise
terminal. It is recommended that the site is selected based on availability of the
following :
a. Close to 3.2 acres of land for berth, terminal and Karnataka Village. Another 25
acres of land for the resort.
b. A depth of at least 10 meters to allow large vessels to call on the berth
2 Introduction
2.1 Project Background
Government of Karnataka (GoK) envisages development of infrastructure through Public Private
Partnership (PPP) and intends to attract investments in various sectors in Karnataka.
For this, Infrastructure Development Department (IDD) has selected consultants for Sector Specific
Inventory & Institutional Strengthening for mainstreaming of PPP for various departments related to
infrastructure development in the state. Feedback Infrastructure Services Private Limited (FISPL) was
selected to assist Infrastructure Development Department (IDD) to fulfill the above objective.
For the same, the Inception Report, comprising the preliminary information on the various sectors
covered under IDD and the inventory of the projects finalized in consultation with IDD, was submitted by
the Consultants on February 22, 2012. The figure below summarizes the progress of the assignment, in
reference to the defined objectives.
Figure 1: Project Status
The current report details out the prefeasibility study done for Development of Cruise Terminal at three
alternate locations-Old Mangalore, Malpe and Karwar. Structure of the Report
This Project Report has been structured along the following in a chapter-wise format.
Chapter 2: Introduction
8
The chapter includes the background of the project and introduction about the study that is being
undertaken.
Chapter 3: Sector Profile
The chapter includes the industry overview of the Cruise Sector in India and abroad
Chapter 4: Project Detail
The chapter includes the details and description of the project and project components. The project also
includes the needs & considerations undertaken for the development of the project. The best case
studies will be reviewed in this chapter and the relevant points will be taken to apply in the specific
project and project design
Chapter 5: Market Assessment
Chapter 5 includes the market assessment for the project. The chapter describes the cruise industry
outlook of the region, opportunities in the sector & thus the demand projections have been made.
Chapter 6: Project Financials
Based on the market assessment and project details, this chapter describes the project financial analysis.
The chapter includes the cost & revenue assessment for the project facilities.
Chapter 7: Statutory & Legal Framework
Based on the above analysis a legal & regulatory framework has been developed for the project and a
proposed tariff structure has been prepared for the project.
Chapter 8: Indicative Environmental & Social Impacts
The chapter includes an indicative environmental & social impact assessment and the mitigation
measures for the project.
Chapter 9: Operating Framework
The chapter includes the risk assessment for the projects & appropriate mitigation measures. An
indicative project structure has been prepared.
Chapter 10: Way Ahead
The chapter includes the time line for the procurement plan for further development of the project.
Stage I: Input
The first stage involved the study of the project site to understand its suitability for the defined activity.
Various factors influencing the sites potential like accessibility, linkages, physical features, economic
activities and developments in proximity, etc were analyzed. This study helped us to assess the
environmental and social impact of the project.
Simultaneously, this stage also involved collection of data, both primary and secondary, to carry out the
requisite traffic assessment at later stages.
Stage II: Analysis
This stage involved the review and analysis of data, collected in previous stages, in order to determine
the feasibility of the project, both in terms of financials as well as environmental & social impacts. The
financial analysis encompassed various aspects as detailed below:
11
3 Sector Profile
3.1 Introduction
Ports play an important role in the economics of the coast and are generally centers of trade and
commerce. The seaports of India have played a historical role in the development of maritime
trade and economy in India. India has around 7,500 km of natural peninsular coastline
strategically located on the crucial East-West trade route, which links Europe and Far East. The
coastline has 13 major ports and about 187 other minor and intermediate ports. While the central
government has developed port infrastructure across the country, and in many cases through
private participation, states too now have become active in developing their coastlines.
Government of Karnataka intends to develop the coastline and minor ports through private sector
participation. The detailed profile of Karnataka is presented in the next section.
Karwar Port
Belekeri Port
Tadri Port
Honnavar Port
Bhatkal Port
Kundapur Port
Hangarkatta Port
Malpe Port
Padubidri Port
Old Mangalore Port
12
Total traffic handled by minor ports is 3 MTPA in year 2009-10. Major Commodities handled by
ports are Iron ore, Granite, Molasses, Salt, POL & Products and Edible Oil.
Figure 3: Commodity mix of cargo handled by minor ports
Karnataka is ranked 6th in capacity as compared to minor ports of other states of India. The
capacity of ports in Karnataka has seen very little growth in the recent years. The graph below
shows the comparison of total capacity of the minor ports of various states.
Source: IPA
Karnataka is ranked fifth in the total traffic handled by Minor ports of states. There has been a
decrease in total traffic share handled by Karnataka minor ports over the years. The share of
Karnataka decreased from 4.3% to 2% from 2008-2010. The figure below shows the state wise
traffic share of traffic handled by Non-Major Ports in India.
13
Figure 5: State wise share of traffic handled by Non Major ports in India
Source: IPA
3.2.1
Karwar port is under second stage development of Modern Deep Sea Port. The project is
undertaken under BOOST model and is already in progress. The project cost is
approximately INR 788 Cr. The entire funding for the project will have to be borne by
the concessionaire. The Government of Karnataka will hand over the available port land
and water front area required.
Tadri (Tadadi) Port is being developed on BOT with a total cost INR 2,230 Crore. The
total capacity of port is expected to be 14.06 MTPA. The port is leased for 30 years with
the Concessionaire having the flexibility to design, finance, construct, operate and
manage facilities.
14
4 Project
4.1 Description of the Project
It is proposed that a cruise terminal be set up at one of Karnatakas minor ports. While during the
workshop held under the chairmanship of Secretary, IDD it was decided to select Old Mangalore
for setting up of a cruise terminal, the Consultants feel that the project can be replicable at other
ports also, if adequate land and facilities like the right depth, breakwaters are available.
Factors deciding the port of call for cruise vessels include good facilities including arrangements
for hassle-free movement within the terminal, commercial facilities to pamper tourists, good
connectivity to the city centre, proximity to the airport and presence of places of tourist interest
in the city where the liner calls. On this basis 3 destinations are proposedOld Mangalore,
Karwar and Malpe. Other minor ports in Karnataka are located in areas do not have any tourism
significance and hence are not suitable for setting up a cruise terminal, unless the state decides to
invest in developing those areas as tourist destinations.
Cruise tourism implies substantial benefits for the cities where the ports of call are located. As per
the Economic Impact Study conducted by Business Research and Advisors in 2007, an average
spend by a guest at the port of call is USD 104 and the crew is USD 73. So even if a 500 passenger
cruise vessel with ~ 125 crew member is considered, the average income in the city hosting the
cruise vessel will be as high as USD 3 million.
In India, major destinations for international cruise vessels are Mumbai, Goa, Cochin and Chennai.
Karnataka is also on the way to become a notable cruise destination with the New Mangalore
port inaugurating a passenger lounge for cruise visitors in 2009. Starting from just 4 cruise vessels
in 2009-10, New Mangalore now hosts close to 17 vessels annually. This indicates that a market
for cruise exists in Karnataka. The consultants have later, in the market assessment, analyzed the
extent to which the New Mangalore port can act as a competitor to another terminal in Karnataka
and how the proposed terminal can attract vessels despite having an existing terminal nearby.
It is to be noted that the consultants recommend that the cruise terminal project should be taken
up only in one of the proposed locationsOld Mangalore, Karwar and Malpe, depending on the
availability of land and technical suitability. This is because having multiple cruise terminals will
just result in creating over capacity, as cruise liners are not expected to call on multiple terminals
in the same state. Detailed technical studies will be required to assess the technical suitability of
the above mentioned port sites for creation of a port terminal. This report highlights the basic
requirements for a cruise terminal and assesses the feasibility for the same. On the basis of
financial analysis, the Consultants have recommended certain concessions and cost-sharing by the
government.
15
4.2.2
Malpe
Malpe, in Udupi district, is a natural port on the west coast of India, located about 60 Km north
of Mangalore and 220 Km south of Karwar.
Malpe is connected to the Udupi via State Highway 65, where it meets National Highway 66,
which runs parallel to the western coast from Goa to Kanyakumari. The port is connected to
Bangalore via NH 66 and NH 75 and to Hubli via NH 66 and NH 67.
The nearest airport is Mangalore Airport, which is approximately 60 Kms from Malpe.
16
4.2.3
Karwar
Karwar, the northernmost minor port of Karnataka, is situated on the banks of river Kali, 15 Km
south of the state border shared with Goa.
The town is mainly served by NH 66, which runs north-south on the western coast of India.
Hubli, located 150 km north-east of the town, is connected to Karwar via NH 66 and NH 67.
The nearest Airport to Karwar is Dabolim Airport in Goa, approximately 100 Km north of Karwar.
Further, there is a navy airport in Karwar where a civil enclave is being planned.
17
Old Mangalore
Old Mangalore port lies at the river estuary, where two riversGurupur and Netravati rivers
meet. Situated at the mouth of the river, the port witnesses high level of siltation and hence will
require substantial maintenance and capital dredging. Two breakwaters, of 375 m (north
breakwater) and 580 m (south breakwater) length were constructed in 1994 to protect vessels
entering the port against vessels. The port has fishing harbours and new developments will need
to consider impact on the fishing community in the area.
18
Currently, the Old Mangalore port has a draft of 3.5 m, which enables it to handle small vessels
only (a maximum capacity of 2000 tons and ~175 passengers). With inadequate facilities to
host large international cruise vessels, tourist visits are mainly from regional cruises destined
for Lakshadweep. To enable it to handle larger vessels, the draft needs to be deepened and
other passenger amenities provided.
It is evident that the New Mangalore port, with its dedicated berth for handling cruises, will be
the major competitor for the proposed cruise terminal in attracting cruise liners. With
Karnataka more or less established as a point on tour circuits of international cruises on the
western coast from Mumbai to Kochi, it is important that proposed site offers a cruise terminal
of international standards and adequate passenger handling capacity to utilize this potential.
Consequently, infrastructure and vessel and tourist services at the proposed cruise terminal
need to be at a comparable level to the services offered at terminals in Singapore and Dubai.
Only such a high quality international standard terminal will enable the port to compete with
the New Mangalore terminal and become a favoured port of call for regional and international
cruises.
19
4.3.2
Malpe
Malpe port is situated near the town of Udipi and is located at the confluence of Udayavara river
with Arabian Sea. Malpe is located 8 km south of Bhatkal Port. Malpe is a major fishing harbor
and the port has breakwaters to make it suitable for harboring purposes. However, being a major
fishing harbor, any development in the vicinity will need to ensure that least disturbance is caused
to fishing communities.
Figure 10: Site Features-Malpe
About 6 km from the shore, there is a row of rock outcrops running parallel to the coast offering
protection from monsoon waves. Rocky bottom exists at 9.9 meters, indicating a high cost of
capital dredging2 beyond this depth. The river mouth siltation is not expected to be very high;
hence the maintenance dredging requirements will be low.
However, detailed technical studies need to be undertaken to estimate the need for breakwaters
for large cruise ships and the extent of capital dredging required for setting up a cruise terminal.
Sediment Movement at Indian Ports, Madhav Manohar, Head Civil Engineering Department, Birla Instt. Of
Technology
20
Currently, apart from the fishing harbor, the port has basic facilities including a passenger jetty, 3
wooden jetties and cargo sheds. Udupi, the town near Malpe, is a tourist destination getting 1.1
lakh tourists a year3.
4.3.3
Karwar
Karwar port is located in North Karnataka, 64 km south of Marmugoa port and caters to 2 lakh
sqkm of hinterland. It is an all weather port, with a 355 meter berth that can simultaneously
accommodate two ships at a time. It has a 250 m breakwater.
Figure 11: Site Features-Karwar
While the port has a 9 m draft, it can cater to vessels with 8.25 m draft only due to rocky
bottom. Higher drafts will require high investment on capital dredging. Facilities at the port
include warehouses, liquid cargo storage tank terminals and berths. Main commodities handled
at the port include molasses, granite blocks, rock phosphate etc.
Karwar is also an important tourist destination attracting more than 9 lakh tourists every year.
21
contract with bridge loan terms to allow fast-track construction until a bond could be issued
by the Port.
The private sector provided up-front investment in exchange for commercial terms
regarding return on its investment. The public sector conserved its capital funds, while
receiving increased revenues from growth in related employment and commercial revenues,
and strengthening its ties with the business community.
The entire contract, financing structure, and partnering concepts used to deliver the project
was unique in the U.S. cruise market. Design-build delivery was used on the projects,
totaling USD 14 million (projects completed to date), to provide singular responsibility for
administration, design/construction quality, time savings, and early knowledge of
guaranteed construction costs for bonding.
The project development phase, completed within 50 days, illustrates execution of a PPP
that was bound by tight timelines.
2. Development Phase of the Galveston Terminal
In September 2002, the Port approved a cruise terminal agreement with Royal Caribbean
and Carnival. CH2M HILL was contracted to upgrade a dilapidated warehouse, modify 100
feet of wharf facilities, and construct access/circulation roads for passenger pickup and
drop-off to accommodate new service for Royal Caribbean's Splendour of the Seas scheduled to arrive in seven weeks. This was the first time the Port had used design-build
procurement for a project, but despite initial lack of project scope and definition, the
design-build team performed the originally anticipated scope, plus USD 100,000 of new
scope, within budget and was able to share over USD 100,000 in cost saving with the Port.
The initial phase of development was noted for a fast-track approach to design required
transforming a drab, neglected warehouse into a clean, colorful passenger terminal that
provided for quick, efficient flow of people and baggage, as well as facilities for security and
cruise operations. The new terminal added 80,000 sq. ft. to Galveston's cruise complex, and
the extended wharf facilities completed a 2,000-ft.-long berth capable of handling two
cruise ships at once. By November 2002, the wharf facilities and roadway improvements
were complete and the building was available for beneficial use. The ship, arriving with
1,600 passengers, docked in Galveston on November 11. The partnership among the skilled
local craftsmen, the Port, Royal Caribbean, and the design-build team successfully met the
challenge.
3. Innovative Aspects of the PPP arrangement
The proposal submitted by CH2M HLL featured two innovative aspects.
Creating a "third party" legal entity that would hold the cruise line contracts (Royal
Caribbean International and Carnival Cruise Lines) and the lease with the Port and
would allow operating profits to be held by the Port for future investment in other
port infrastructure expansion projects
Providing a fixed-price contract with bridge loan terms to allow fast-track construction
until a bond could be formed and placed by the Port
23
The contract, financing structure, and partnering concepts used to deliver the Galveston
cruise terminal development were unique in the U.S. cruise market. The Port delivered the
cruise facility on an extremely tight schedule at a fixed cost while meeting all of its
objectives which could only be achieved with a PPP model. This approach created an
innovative cruise terminal financing "template" that has since been proposed and used
elsewhere by CH2M HILL and the cruise lines.
4. Impact of the terminal
The success of the PPP helped the Port continue its phenomenal growth, accrue benefits to
the local and state economy, and take a leadership position in the cruise industry. With the
development of the terminal Galveston has become a popular cruise port and one to model
new cruise development after. The PPP's operation continued successfully for more than 2
years, spanning six major projects.
Operation of the facilities designed, constructed and upgraded by the PPP along with higher
sailings, resulted in successfully serving hundreds of thousands of passengers. The terminal
entertained its millionth passenger within two years from the start of construction. These
projects contributed to a 200% increase in Galveston cruise passengers through the 2002-03
season and a 1,100% increase compared to 2000-01. Renovating and reusing an existing
building and wharf infrastructure saved time and money while enabling revenues to be
generated much sooner than if a new facility was designed and constructed.
5. Key Lessons
i.
ii.
Suitable project structure, budgeted costs savings and cooperation among all
stakeholders can achieve success in PPP
There is a need to develop tourism sector as a whole, for the cruise terminal to be
successful
24
5 Market Assessment
5.1 Industry overview
5.1.1
Background
Cruises have grown to be a major part of the tourism sector in the last few decades. The modern
cruise industry growth has been greatly aided by globalization, with an increasing number of
ports of call and destinations around the globe and a multinational clientele and onboard
personnel from every continent.
By continuously expanding its offer of products and services and developing new markets this
dynamic sector has globally witnessed an annual passenger compound annual growth rate
(CAGR) of 7.7% during 1990 2011. The fact that 60% of the 90 million people who have thus
far been on a cruise, have been on one in the past decade, illustrates the extent of rapid growth
seen by this sector in recent times. With over 19 million passengers carried worldwide in 2011,
cruise tourism is a USD 29.4 billion rapidly growing industry.
In terms of capacity too, the cruise industry has experienced unprecedented development.
During the 1980s, around 40 new cruise ships were built and put in service, followed by other 80
vessels along the 1990s. Since the turn of the century, the industry's rapid growth has seen nine
or more newly built ships catering to a North American clientele added every year, as well as
others servicing European clientele. Most of the cruise ships carry around 300-3000 passengers,
but ocean liners such as the Oasis ships of the Royal Caribbean International can carry up to
6000 passengers. The ships vary in size from about 70,000 gross tons to 225,000 gross tons.
5.1.2
Today, saturation in the traditional markets of North America and Europe and long-unchanged
routes make it urgent for international cruise operators to seek new clients as well as exploring
new destinations. In that context, India with its rapid economic development, huge population
and a 7500 km long coastline is regarded as a market with immense potential for both new
clients and new destinations. The western coast, comprising ports such as Mumbai, Goa,
Mangalore and Kochi could be effective alternate locations for winter deployment of ships
operating in Northern Europe, which otherwise are restricted to Dubai and other ports in the
Middle East.
5.1.3
Year
and 2010-11 on cruise tourist arrivals was even more pronounced. In fact, in both 2001 and
2008, there were dramatic slumps, with the number of cruise visitors going down by more than
50 % from the previous years.
5.1.4
Key Issues
Though the Cruise Shipping Policy of the Ministry of Shipping was approved by the Government
of India on 26th June, 2008 with the objective of making India an attractive cruise tourism
destination with the target of achieving a target of 6 lakh cruise passengers landing per year by
the end of 2010, a host of factors have worked against Indias ability to reach even close to half
the intended target. This can be mainly attributed to a lack of development of infrastructure like
cruise terminals, extension of the limits for the levy of service tax from 12 nautical miles to 200
nautical miles of the Indian coastline, the generally high service tax and luxury tax rates on
accommodation, car rentals and food and beverages and the failure to establish an institutional
framework for holistic development of cruise shipping.
Cruise tourism growth is closely related to growth in the tourism industry of a state. Cruise
passengers generally take day tours of the city where the cruise terminal is located and many
cases stay for 2-3 days if there are developed tourist circuits on land. However, for developing
attractive tourist circuits, Karnataka faces challenges on two fronts:
Infrastructure, maintenance and hinterland connectivity:
One of the major challenges is ensuring good quality and fast connectivity to important
tourist destinations from the international arrival gateway like Bangalore and other cities
such as Mangalore and Mysore. Further, lack of world class infrastructure and adequate
maintenance of government owned tourist bungalows, lack of clean toilet facilities at
places of tourist interest and the absence of professional multilingual guides affect
Karnatakas brand image as a tourist destination when compared to states like Kerala.
Marketing strategy:
Karnataka has a large potential for tourism, with host of heritage sites across the state.
However, there is a need for a good marketing strategy to build its brand image as a mustvisit tourist destination. It can learn from experiences of Kerala and Gujarat, which have
built excellent brands as tourist hot-spots through successful and aggressive marketing
and advertising strategies. In addition, the state needs to involve key players from the
travel trade for planning or even in terms of participating in overseas exhibitions in a big
way.
5.1.5
4
5
27
It is expected that once the three cruise terminals being planned at Mormugao, Mumbai and
Kochi are completed, cruise tourism will take off exponentially in India. These cruise terminals
would also lead to the development of three potentially important regional cruise corridors,
Mumbai-Lakshadweep-Mumbai; Goa-Lakshadweep-Kochi-Goa; Kochi-Maldives-Colombo-Kochi.
In the first two corridors mentioned, Karnataka is expected to have a port of call.
5.2.1.1 Mangalore
Mangalore, the administrative headquarters of Dakshina Kannada district in Karnataka, is a
major port city in the Arabian Sea. Dominated by distinctive coconut palms in the backdrop of
hills, Mangalore has several tourist spots of interest for cruise passengers.
Following are some of the popular tourist attractions in the city:
28
St Aloysius Church
Designed by Antonio Moscheni , built in 1899
Magnificient ceiling, fresco and oil canvas paintings.
Other places to visit in Mangalore include Sultan Battery, a watchtower built by Tippu Sultan to
prevent warships from entering Gurpur River, Shri Sharavu Mahaganapathi Temple, Light House
Hill-Garden and the Mangaladevi Temple.
Pilikula Nisagardhama, a sprawling 300-acre eco-educational and Tourism Park, 12km from
Mangalore, has boating facilities, wildlife safari, mini aquariums and an amusement park.
Pilikula also has a 9-hole Golf Course spread across 60 acres of land.
Besides, the coastline of the city is blessed with number of beaches like Someshwara beach,
Mukka beach, Surathkal beach, Panambur beach and the Tannirbavi beach.
For more adventurous tourists, there are options beyond 15 km radius of Mangalore city Centre,
which can be explored. These include:
Mudabidri (34 km) - It is referred to as Jain Varanasi and has 18 Jain monasteries, the
most famous being the 1000 pillared Chandranatha Basti built in 1429
Karkala( 20 km) - Karkala has a number of important temples and a 13m high statue of
Lord Bahubai, which was completed in 1432
Sringeri (100 km) - A beautiful town on the banks of river Tungabhadra, located amidst
the lush hills of Chikmagalur, it is one of the most important pilgrim centres of
Karnataka
It can be seen that ample tourist attractions exist in Mangalore and its vicinity for all kinds of
travellers. Further, for cruise tourists opting to fly out of Mangalore, the city also has an airport
20 km from the city centre catering to both domestic and international flights.
5.2.1.2 Malpe
Malpe is a suburb of Udupi city and is administered by the Udupi Municipality. Local languages
spoken here included Tulu, Kannada and Konkani.
29
In addition to being a port and a fishing hub, Malpe is also a beach town. The beach at Malpe is
scenic and is a popular attraction among tourists. Apart from the beach, there are four rocky
islands near the coast of Malpe, the details of which are given below. Regular ferry services
exist between Malpe and all the four islands.
Daria-Bahadurgad
Northern-most of the four islands.
Major tourist attraction - fort built by Basavappa Naik.
Kari-Illada-Kallu
Southern-most of the four islands.
Known for unique hexagonal shaped basalt rocks.
For the religious tourists, there are two temples in Malpe - those of Vadabhandeshwara and
Ananteshwara. There is a very famous temple of Lord Krishna in Udupi, 6 km west of Malpe.
Ananteshwara Temple
Dedicated to Lord Balrama
Customary to visit this temple before entering the Krishna Temple.
The following are other major tourist destinations, situated more than 20 km from Malpe.
Mudabidri (60 km): It is also referred to as Jain Varanasi and has 18 Jain monasteries,
the most famous being the 1000 pillared Chandranatha Basti built in 1429
30
Karkala (40 Km): Located about 20 km from Mudabidri, Karkala has a number of
important temples and a 13m high statue of Lord Bahubai, which was completed in
1432
Mangalore (60 Km): The major tourist attractions are the Seemanthini Bai Bejai
Museum, the hillock of Light house, number of temples including Mangaladevi temples,
chyrches and mosques. The coastline of the city is blessed with number of beaches like
Someshwara beach, Mukka beach, KREC beach, Panambur beach and beautiful silky
Tannirbavi beach
Sringeri (100 km): A beautiful town on the banks of river Tungabhadra, located amidst
the lush hills of Chikmanglur, it is one of the most important pilgrim centers of
Karnataka
Chikmanglur (180 Km): The prime attraction in Chikmagalur is the Mullain Giri, which is
the highest peak in Karnataka (6300 ft. above sea level). Other attractions of
Chikmagalur include the Kondadarama Temple, which is a symbolic blend of Hoysala
and Dravidian styles of architectures, the Jamia Mosque, St Joseph's Cathedral and the
ancient Siddheshwara and Lakshmi Kantha temples
Malpe is, hence, a tourism destination with a lot of potential, having both religious and scenic
tourist attractions.
5.2.1.3 Karwar
Administratively, Karwar is the headquarters of the Karwar Taluk as well as the Uttara Kannada
District of Karnataka State. It was the chief town of the North Kannada district in British India.
The place has beautiful beaches and clean areas; hence it attracts a lot of tourists. Among the
unspoilt beaches of Karwar, Devbagh Beach, outlined by casuarinas trees, offers good diving
and snorkeling opportunities for adventure seekers in the Arabian Sea. Other scenic beaches
include Koodi Bagh Beach and Kaju Bagh Beach.
Karwar also accounts to a number of historic towns and sacred temples. Sadashivgad Hill Fort
on the outskirts of Karwar provides great picturesque views during sunset. The ancient Durga
and Venkataramana temple exhibit fine ochre paintings. The octagonal church and the dargah
of Peer Shan Shamsuddin Kharobat are other popular religious tourist attractions here.
Apart from the tourist attraction mentioned above, Karwar is also famous for its festivals and
cuisine. Some of the festivals celebrated in Karwar are Karavali Utsav and Ganesh Chaturthi.
Karavali Utsav: Every year, a 3 day festival Karavali Utsav is held on the Rabindranath
Tagore Beach at Karwar. Organized by the Uttara Kannada District Administration as
the cultural-social festival of the district, Karavali Utsav witnesses a huge turnout from
both tourists and the local population
Ganesh Chaturthi Festival: Ganesha Chaturthi Festival is one of the major festivals of
Karwar. Statues as tall as 25 feet are installed in temporarily erected structures that
are colourfully decorated with flowers and lights
Aided by its various religious and historical sites and popular festivals, tourism in Karwar is
poised to grow rapidly in the coming years.
31
5.2.2
Terminal Area
Passenger Lounge
Retail space
200
Immigration
&
Counters
Baggage Handling
Other Facilities
Remarks
Seating capacity for only 2025 people, lot of unutilized
space
100 sqm each, one duty free
liquor shop, another outlet
being set up
Custom 1000
300
KSRTC
Volvo
buses
transporting passengers from
cruise ship to the terminal
Source: Based on Visual inspection of the Cruise Terminal at Mangalore
While facilities available for passengers are adequate, there are still other facilities like internet
cafes, multi-cuisine restaurants, a shopping arcade etc that can be provided.
The consultants have examined case studies of world-class terminals at Dubai and Singapore to
get an idea of what does a world class terminal entails. This has been done to ensure that the
proposed terminal will have similar facilities, in order to attract vessels at its terminal.
6
7
Cruisecompete.com
NMPT Press Releases and News Articles
32
1. Introduction
A late entrant to cruise tourism, it was only in 2001 that a state-of-the-art international
cruise terminal was a set up at Port Rashid in Dubai. However, within a span of ten years,
the terminal, by utilising its geographical advantages and the excellent infrastructural
facilities has become a serious contender to Singapore as Asias cruise tourism hub.
A host of factors have contributed to the terminals phenomenal growth in the past decade:
Strategic Location: Dubais strategic location and its accessibility from Europe, Asia and
Africa give it a huge advantage
Ability to handle more than one cruise ship at a time: Dubai Cruise Terminal has
facilities to handle much as five mega ocean liners simultaneously. Its deep basin makes
it feasible for Cruise lines the option to bring in larger ships. The extra depth also makes
it possible for Dubai to be a destination other than Europe or the Mediterranean that is
perfect throughout the year and provides an extremely viable alternative to the
congested Caribbean islands, usually the most preferred choice for cruise tourists
World Class Facilities at the terminal: Coordination between various agencies to ensure
a seamless cruise experience: Management of DP World, UAE Region, which operates
Port Rashid, works closely with Dubai Tourism & Commerce Marketing (DTCM), Dubai
Customs, Dubai World Security, the Roads & Transport Authority, or RTA, and travel and
tour operators to organize cultural activities on arrival and help desks in different
languages, also ensuring minimum bureaucracy, easy immigration and issue of visas,
clearing of passengers by manifests, professional ground handling, and world-class ship
stores
33
Vessel Facilities
335m of Quay with a Quay apron of 35m.
11 m Draft for ships of all sizes.
Capable shipping agent and ship handlers
Excellent ship repair facilities and marine supplies and
services
Passenger Convenience
Spacious 3,300 square metre, ultra-modern cruise
terminal
Highly efficient reception check-in.
Competent information centre with concierge
service
Rest rooms with handicap access toilets.
Special facilities for the physically challenged (wheel
chairs, electric carts & ramps).
Personal & baggage security screening.
Covered baggage handling area.
Post office and other communication facilities
Concessions Extended
No passenger handling fees for maiden calls.
Recognition for its passenger-friendly nature was reiterated in January 2012 when the Dubai
Cruise Terminal was voted, for the fifth time, the Worlds Leading Cruise Port at the prestigious
World Travel Awards 2011, competing against 17 regional winners for the honour.
3.
Year
2001
2005
2009
34
Thousands
Foreign Cruise
Arrivals
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2001
2005
2009
Year
Even though the Emirate's overall tourism sector, along with other destinations worldwide, was
hurt by the global economic crisis in 2008-2009, with tourism demand falling and visitors
spending less on their stays, Dubai's cruise sector continued to grow rapidly, with a six fold
increase in the number of cruise liner visits during the four year period from 2005 to 2009.
In 2007, Italys Costa Cruises became the first international cruise company to make Dubai its
regional hub, which led to a dramatic increase in the number of passengers handled; the
exponential growth seen in the charts between 2005 and 2009 can be attributed to this factor.
In 2010, Costa Cruises alone carried 140,000 passengers and was estimated to have a direct
impact of USD 14m on Dubais economy. This included guest expenditure, food and beverage,
fuel and port fees alone. Furthermore, the terminal infrastructure has led to Dubai being an
important fly-in and fly-out destination for international cruise tourists, leading to increased
traffic at the port. When effects on the business of large Dubai-based airlines such as Emirates
airlines and the generated good-will, leading to repeat visits and positive recommendations to
friends are taken into consideration, the impact would be even bigger.
Presently, Dubai, apart from being a popular port of call, is one of the biggest home ports (ports
from which a cruise ship loads passengers and begins its itinerary, and to which it returns to
disembark passengers upon conclusion of voyage) in the world.
4. Key Lessons:
Key lessons for Karnataka (from the Dubai experience) when it embarks on a modern cruise
terminal would be:
Concurrent Development of Hinterland tourism (up to a radius of 50 km from the
coast) Within 20 kms from the coast, Dubai offers classic Golf on its carefully designed
golf courses, bird watching especially on the Dubai Creek , Arabian Experiences,
35
5.2.2.2
including desert safaris, dune driving, moonlight Arabian barbecues in the street
complete with traditional entertainment, camel racing and falconry, cruises exotic of
traditional wooden dhow or modern cabin cruiser on the Dubai Creek and into the Gulf,
the exotic sights and sounds of traditional commerce in the bustling souks and on the
Quays of the Creek, photographic opportunities galore, elegant mosques, sumptuous
palaces, brightly dressed children, majestic camels, ancient wind-towers, dusty villages
and dramatic sunsets historical Sites especially the Dubai Museum, Shoppers malls and
archaeological sites
While Karnataka has several tourist destinations, a brand needs to be developed selling
it as an ultimate coastal tourism destination of Karnataka. Further, a buzz is needed to
be created for various tourist destinations in the city. Cruise passengers a typically
luxury tourists and facilities to cater to this category needs to be developed by the state
government is co-ordination with the tourism department
Coordination between the department of ports, transport and tourism: Up to 4
agencies coordinate and work strongly with each other, integrating customs, visa
requirements, sight-seeing arrangements within the city etc. making the entire
experience an extremely pleasant one for foreign tourists
High port charges and taxes are major deterrents toward making a port a cruise
tourism hub. By keeping passenger and port charges low, at least for the initial visit of a
cruise, Dubai Cruise Terminal has successfully attracted repeat visits.
Having major cruise liners to make a terminal its regional hub or home port of call
contributes significantly to the cruise traffic at the terminal
attract 1.6 million cruise passengers by 2015. It can handle 6,800 passengers at any one time
and will double Singapore's berth capacity.
2. Facilities at the terminal:
Both the International Passenger Terminal (IPT) and the Regional Ferry Terminal (RFT) offer
excellent passenger amenities and ship berthing provisions, making the entire experience of
travelling to Singapore a pleasant one for cruise tourists and the crew.
37
Year
1991
2001
2011
Source: World Tourism Report Statistics and Singapore Cruise Centre official website
*Figures for 2001 include only International Port terminal arrivals
In the very first year after the terminal was opened to traffic, the impact was clearly visible.
Annual domestic and international cruise terminal visitors jumped by 46%; from 130,000 in
1991 to 190,000 in 1992. Also the annual growth rate for the past nine years has been 3.8%
(International cruise tourists alone). Even more impressive was the average annual growth
rate of 12% in the period 2004-2008 on a high base, despite Dubais rise as an alternative
home port and port of call for European cruise-liners. This steady growth of passenger
arrivals since 1991, making Singapore a cruise hub in Asia is due to the infrastructure at the
cruise centre.
An important factor crucial in Singapore Cruise Centres success has been the way it has
dealt with visa norms. By ensuring that most of the details be filled on-line by passengers
well before arrival in Singapore, SCC ensures passengers are subject to minimum hassles.
Further, its mutual understanding with Thailand means that visa requirements have been
done away with and seamless travel facilitated.
4. Key lessons
Key lessons and recommendations for India from the Singapore experience are
38
5.2.3
Passenger requirements
Air-conditioned lounge
Luggage Counter
Tourist Info Centre
Money exchange/ATM
Internet cafes
Medical clinics
Multi-cuisine restaurants
Duty-free shops
Shuttle services to railway
stations and airports
Taxi service
Escalators/Elevators
Aero-bridges from terminal
to ship
Shopping arcade
Terminal Map
Entertainment centre
Toilets and other facilities for
the physically challenged
Multi-lingual sign-boards
Karnataka
Village/Haat/Exhibition
Centre
Hotel accomodation for fly-in
guests- pre-cruise and postcruise
Port requirements
Administrative office
Navigation facility
Ship coordination centre
Single window immigration,
customs and health
clearance.
Vessel requirements
39
A Karnataka Village/Haat: The village will be designed keeping in mind the rich
cultural heritage of Karnataka, on the lines of Delhi Haat but at a smaller scale. The
Village can have heritage exhibition centre, shops selling ethnic wares, open air
theatre for events and festivals, eateries providing local cuisine. The idea is to
provide a rich and multicultural experience to all the tourists. The Village can have
an entry fee and can be a revenue earning source for the private operator
Resort in the city: Many tourists going for ground tours may also stay over at the
hotels to fly to other destinations. Though the share of such passengers is very low
at present, such facilities add to the attraction for a cruise tourist. Further, as the
hotel will be located in the city, this will also act as an additional source of income
for the concessionaire
Shopping arcade within the terminal: It is proposed that a shopping arcade
providing a world class shopping experience akin to that provided in airports be
offered for the new terminal
It is to be noted that additional revenue earning avenues have to be provided to
the concessionaire for feasibility of the project
2. Marketing & Networking with all stakeholders involved: The concessionaire will have to make
efforts at marketing the terminal to shipping agents handling cruise itineraries, domestic and
international tour operators, taxi and bus operators. The concessionaire will also need to create
a buzz around its terminal through adequate advertising measures.
Apart from marketing the terminal through media like TV, newspapers and internet, the
concessionaire also needs to put a lot of work in describing the USP of the cruise terminal.
Constantly updated brochures that give information on cultural shows and exhibitions arranged
in the region should be distributed to induce the cruise tourist to disembark.
Further, a new lucrative target group in the Indian market would be corporates, especially those
in the South. Tapping this market would require travel agents and tour operators to associate
with companies headquartered in Bangalore and Mysore so that conferences and board could
be held aboard cruise ships. Entering into tie-ups with cruise operators to provide packaged
cruise tours for such clients would pay rich dividends to both the concessionaire and cruise
operators.
3. Positioning as a facility complementary to New Mangalore in the long run: It can be seen from
the case studies of Dubai and Singapore that world class cruise terminals can handle more than
one vessel at a time indicating they have multiple berths. As cruise tourism in India grows over a
period of time and most of the international cruises coming in between December to April, it
will be difficult for New Mangalore to meet this traffic alone. Further, as New Mangalore is
essentially a cargo port; with industrial growth in Karnataka, it will increasingly be handling
more cargo over a period of time. Hence, adding another berth for handling cruise ships may not
be possible. Hence, the proposed cruise terminal can act as a complementary facility to the
cruise terminal at New Mangalore in the long run. However, the state needs to take care to not
build so many terminals that it may lead to overcapacity.
5.2.4
Traffic Projections
Traffic projections are done for domestic and international cruises. International cruises call on
Indian ports during October-March season, for utilizing the terminal all year round, growth of
40
domestic cruise market is important. Even the tourism department of Karnataka government
has come out with tenders inviting cruise operators for domestic cruises. However, due to lack
of terminal facilities the interest has been marginal. But if the new terminal comes up, not only
will domestic tourism pick up in Karnataka but the terminal will also have earning avenues
during the April-October season.
a. Examining the past trends during 1997-2011, the CAGR for cruise tourists in India
was found to be 11.8%. This growth was seen despite two major downturns during
this period.
b. For future growth, past growth rates for cruise tourists are taken, with the growth
figures assumed to progressively decline over the concession period to 8.5% by
2041-42
c. The current share of Karnataka in total cruise tourists is 6% and this is the share
assumed to project the cruise tourists that will be coming into the state during initial
years. It is assumed that with setting up of a world class cruise terminal in
Karnataka, the state over a period of time will become one of the 5 major cruise
destinations in India along with Chennai, Kochi, Mumbai and Goa. This, however,
hinges on the fact that the charges are competitive and the concessionaire does
adequate marketing. The share of Karnataka in total cruise passengers in India is
assumed to gradually go up to 16% in 2042
d. For projecting vessels, consultants have analyzed the vessel cruise itineraries calling
at Mangalore during next one year8, based on which assumptions for distribution of
vessels as per size is made for the proposed terminal during the initial years.
However, as the cruise ship sizes are increasing over time9, it is assumed that the
share of larger ships will increase gradually. Following table gives the assumptions
made for the vessel size:
Table 4: Assumptions for average passenger per Cruise Vessel during initial years
Vessel Size
(GRT)
13000
5%
250
30000
20%
10%
400
40000
20%
35%
700
90000
10%
50%
2000
Cruisecompete.com
Cruise Lines International Association
41
2011-12
2015-16
2019-20
2024-25
2029-30
2034-35
2041-42
11.34%
11.79%
11.00%
10.50%
10.00%
9.50%
8.50%
0.11
0.140
0.237
0.392
0.635
1.004
1.835
6%
6%
8%
8%
10%
15%
16%
0.007
0.008
0.019
0.031
0.063
0.151
0.294
0.00%
8.00%
15.00%
25.00%
30.00%
50.00%
0.0
1517.0
4708.0
15869.0
45172.0
146799.0
16
31
114
2. Forecast for Domestic Cruises: Old Mangalore port already receives 24 domestic passenger
vessels at present from Lakshwadeep. For the purpose of estimation, it is assumed that if
charges for the domestic passenger vessels is kept similar to what the schedule of rates
specify currently, these vessels will shift to new terminal (if the new terminal is at a location
other than Old Mangalore) due to better facilities provided. For future forecast, the past
growth trend of domestic tourists to Karnataka is analysed for the period of 2005-06 to
2011-12. The CAGR of domestic tourists to Karnataka during this period is ~8.1%. The future
growth rates for domestic cruises are based on the past trends with the rate assumed to be
8.1% initially tapering down to 7.5% by the end of the concession period. Further, it is
assumed that one domestic cruise vessel carries an average of 175 passengers10, which gives
the number of domestic vessels. Following table summarizes the projections for domestic
cruises:
Table 6: Projected Domestic Cruise Growth Rates
Projected Growth
Rates
for
10
2012-13
2014-15
2019-20
2024-25
2029-30
2034-35
2040-41
8.10%
8.10%
8.00%
8.00%
7.50%
7.50%
7.50%
42
4540
26
5310
30
7860
45
11570
66
16640
95
23920
137
39720
227
It is important to note that given the current tariffs of INR 0.60 per GRT and small size of the
vessel, the domestic cruises will not generate high revenues However, domestic cruises are
important for higher footfalls, especially during the off season period of April-October(for
international cruise vessels)which would help attract commercial players likely to set shop at the
terminal.
5.2.5
Project Design
The project is expected to have four major components:
1. Berth: A 220 m berth is proposed. It is expected that this length of berth can
accommodate more than 350 m long ship which is the size of the ultra large cruise ships
currently in the market. Following illustrates how even ultra large vessels can be
accommodated in a berth length of 220 m.
2. Terminal Area: The terminal area is where the passengers will wait while the formalities
are being completed at customs and immigration area. It is proposed that a high quality
terminal area be created on the lines of what exists in international airports. A 1.5 sqm per
passenger is assumed for Terminal area based on analysis done by American Association of
Port Authorities on average terminal sizes and the benchmarks recommended by Air
Transport Association (IATA) for airport terminals. The maximum number of passenger
expected at one time is 2,500 people and the terminal area is suggested keeping that in
mind, considering that the berth capacity is to accommodate 90,000 GRT vessel with a
~2,500 passenger capacity. Further, a 25% space is assumed for commercial areas like
shopping arcade, food courts, ATMs etc. It is proposed that the terminal will have wi-fi
connection to provide ready net connection facility to its passengers. Following table gives
the area plan of the Passenger Terminal:
Table 7:Area Plan for Terminal Building at the Proposed Cruise Terminal
Component
Area (sqm)
3750
2830
1500
1000
330
920
100
200
200
250
150
20
3. Karnataka Village: It is proposed that a Karnataka Village be built on the lines of Delhi Haat
showcasing Karnatakas rich cultural heritage and local as well as global cuisines.
Karnataka Village is expected to be located within the port premises, if the area is
available. Otherwise, the government may allocate land near the port for the same.
Following table gives the proposed area plan for the Karnataka Village:
Table 8: Area Plan for the Proposed Karnataka Village
Karnataka Village
4000
Components
Open Air Theater & Activity Area
Number
1
Circulation
Exhibition Centre
Curios Shops on Ethnic Theme
Food Shops
1000
400
1320
760
2
50
30
200
26
25
44
Area Summary
Value
Unit
Port Area
Berth
Terminal Building
Administrative Building
Karnataka Village
Parking
Total Area
Total Area in acres
6600
3750
100
4000
980
15430
3.81
Sqm
Sqm
Sqm
Sqm
Sqm
Sqm
Acres
City Area
Resort
25
Acres
6 Project Financials
Financial analysis is done for the 30 years concession period, including a 3 year construction period.
The base year is assumed to be 2012-13.
30000
12912
Units
Remarks
45
Resort
Dredging Cost
Capital
Dredging
Maintenance
Dredging
Major
Equipment
Tug barges
Other Costs
Site Survey
Site
Development
Roads
Electrical
System
Water
Fire Protection
Sewerage
Storm Water
Drainage
Landscaping
Pre-Operative
Expenses
6.1.2
50
INR
Lakh/room
500
INR/cubic m
500
INR /Cubic m
INR cr/tug
9.8
420.0
INR/sqm
INR/sqm
98.8
140.0
INR/sqm
INR/sqm
148.2
24.7
34.6
37.1
INR/sqm
INR/sqm
INR/sqm
INR/sqm
5.0
5%
Lakh
of
the
construction
cost
of the Total
Cost
Contingency
5%
Escalation
5%
p.a.
Dredging Costs
Most of the minor ports in Karnataka do not have an effective depth of more than 8 m. A cruise
vessel of 90,000 gross tonnes will require at least a 10 m draught. The draught at Old Mangalore
is just 3.5 m. Malpe has a rock bottom at 9 m depth. Similarly, Karwar has a 9 m depth but the
vessels are restricted to 8.25 m because of the rocks at the bottom. As a result it is expected
that capital dredging costs will be very high. A preliminary assessment was done for the
dredging cost for Old Mangalore to get an idea of the extent of capital dredging cost that can be
incurred. It is to be noted that this is a very preliminary assessment which assumes similar
average depth at all points. More detailed technical studies need to be done to get an exact
estimate.
The current depth at Old Mangalore is 3.5 m. There will be three parts to capital dredging
46
Wharf Dredging Requirements: The dredging at the berth. With a 220 m berth length
and the ~ 50 m width of the ship, an effective 10 m depth would require 97,500 cubic
meter of dredging
Turning Radius: A turning radius is required to veer the ship towards the shore. A
turning radius of 150 m would require 450,000 cubic meter of dredging
Channel Dredging: Length of the Old Mangalore Channel is 6000 m and the width is 100
m. For a 10m depth ~ 3.9 mn cubic meter of dredging is expected
It is evident that only capital dredging cost can be more than INR 200 crore for the port and can
double the cost of the project. For dredging in areas with rocky bottoms, the cost can be even
higher.
The consultants suggest that a detailed study be done for all the three suggested minor ports to
assess the dredging requirements.
It is recommended that the capital dredging cost and cost of any other basic infrastructure like
breakwaters which benefit the port as a whole and not just a terminal, should be borne by the
government, to make the project attractive to the private investor.
6.1.3
Project Cost
The total project cost with including interest during construction is estimated to be ~INR 139
crore provided that the dredging cost is borne by the government. The following table gives the
cost break-up:
Cost Component
Berth
Terminal Building
Administrative Building
Karnataka Village
Resort
Equipment
Pre-Operative Expenses
Contingency
IDC
Total Cost Inclusive of
IDC
Capital Structure
The financing assumptions are given below:
Table 11: Financing Assumptions
70%
47
Equity
30%
Cost of Debt
Cost of Equity
12%
18%
6.2.3
Depreciation Assumptions
Following table gives assumptions for depreciation rates used for analyzing project financials.
Table 12: Depreciation Assumptions
6.2.4
Rate
5%
15%
1.63%
4.75%
Revenue Assumptions
1. Assumed Tariffs for Vessels calling on the proposed terminal:
a. Following levels of tariffs are assumed for the proposed terminal. Tariffs charged by
New Mangalore and Mormagoa were considered while making the assumption:
Table 13 Assumed Tariffs for Foreign Cruise Vessels
Embarkation/Disembarkation
Passenger)
493
(INR
per
Transit (INR
passenger)
per
371
b. For domestic vessels, the rates being charged currently at the Old Mangalore port are
assumed
2. Rentals for commercial facilities inside the terminal are assumed at INR 45 per sq. ft. per
month based on commercial rentals for high quality showrooms in Mangalore and Karwar.
3. For revenues from Karnataka Village following assumptions are made:
a. Based on the trend seen at the New Mangalore Port, it is assumed that 60% of the
cruise passengers in international liners go for day tours. Of these, it is assumed that
25% will visit the Karnataka Village
b. 50% of domestic vessel passengers are assumed to visit the Karnataka Village
c. Further, based on daily visitors at Manasa Water Park in Mangalore, it is assumed that
the village will get 500 visitors from the city
48
d. The entry fee for the Village for the domestic tourists (based on entry fee of the
Manasa Water Park in Mangalore) is assumed to be INR 200 per person. For
International visitor the fee is assumed to be slightly higher at INR 500 per person
e. Based on rentals charged for small shops and kiosks in Mangalore, the rental is taken
as INR 35 per sqft per month
f. Average occupancy for commercial spaces to be given on rent is assumed to increase
from 30% in the first year of operation to 80% by the end of the concession period
4. Revenue Assumptions for the Resort are as follows:
a. Average Room rent per day is assumed at INR 7,000 per day, as per the rates charged
by similar resorts in coastal Karnataka
b. Food and Beverages revenue is assumed to be 30% of the room revenue
5. Escalation: Port charges escalation is assumed to be 5% per annum and for other revenue
components the escalation is assumed to be 8% per annum
6.2.5 Operational Expenses Assumptions
1. Following table gives the assumptions for operational expenses for berth, dredging, Karnataka
Village and the resort. For maintenance dredging an annual amount is assumed to ensure that
the project gives a Positive NPV to the private investor. If the technical studies done for dredging
points to higher annual maintenance dredging costs, it is proposed that the state bears the cost.
Table 14: Operational Expenses Assumptions for Berth, Maintenance Dredging, Kerala Village and Resort
Berth
Civil & Repair Maintenance
1%
Mechanical
2%
5%
2%
Maintenance Dredging
80
Karnataka Village
Operations and Administrative Costs
700.00 INR/Sqm/year
0.5
INR/sqm/month
30%
50
of total receivables
from the hotel
Lakh per year
The land in prime area is
of
Berth
Plus
Equipment Capex
of
Berth
Plus
Equipment Capex
of Equipment Capex
of
Berth
Plus
Equipment Capex
INR lakh per year
49
5%
2. Operational expenses of terminal building: As the terminal building is assumed to be built as per
the standards of an airport, the expenses are based on analysis of AAI annual reports for past 5
years
a. Repair and Maintenance assumed at 6% of the income from cruise vessels and terminal
operations
b. Electricity and Water assumed at 3% of the income from cruise vessels and terminal
operations
c. Other costs assumed at 6% of the income from cruise vessels and terminal operations
50
Post
MD
GM
Manager
HR
Accounts
Office Boys
Cleaning Staff
Guides
Ground Staff
Average Per Year
Number of people
1
2
3
2
4
4
5
5
10
Parameter
Value
Unit
Total Project Cost
138.5
INR crore
Upfront Payment
0
INR Crore
Project IRR to the Concessionaire
12%
%
Project NPV
10.7
INR crore
Equity IRR
15%
%
Lease Rental per Year to the 50
INR lakh per annum with 5%
government
p.a. escalation
NPV of receivables to the government
5.55
INR crore
VFM
79.11
The concessionaire is expected to earn a Project IRR of 12% and a positive Project NPV of INR
10.7 crore. It can be seen that the project has a borderline viability. This too hinges on the fact
that the government bears the cost of capital dredging and breakwaters and also
maintenance dredging cost if it is over INR 80 lakh a year (at an escalation of 5% p.a.). The
Value for Money value is positive, which means that the project will generate value for both
public and private sector.
51
Change
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
Equity IRR
12%
13%
13%
14%
14%
15%
15%
16%
17%
18%
18%
19%
20%
Change
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
Project NPV
(12.94)
(8.54)
(4.16)
(0.93)
3.43
7.79
10.72
15.05
19.36
23.65
26.18
30.48
34.74
Project IRR
10%
11%
11%
11%
11%
11%
12%
12%
12%
12%
12%
13%
13%
Equity IRR
13%
14%
14%
14%
15%
15%
15%
16%
16%
16%
17%
17%
17%
52
c. Changes in Revenue Flow: A lower than forecasted revenue can impact the
project viability substantially. Even a 10% lower than the projected revenue can
render the project unviable. Hence, the project proponent will have to ensure that
it takes adequate marketing measures to boost the traffic at its terminal
Table 19: Sensitivity to Changes in Revenue
Change
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
Project NPV
74.89
65.60
54.01
44.16
32.45
22.54
10.72
0.22
(10.65)
(21.84)
(33.24)
(44.83)
(56.68)
Project IRR
15%
14%
14%
13%
13%
12%
12%
11%
10%
10%
9%
8%
8%
Equity IRR
20%
20%
19%
18%
17%
16%
15%
14%
14%
13%
12%
11%
9%
53
Provisions
Details
Power
to
dictate
operational parameters
State can alter port limits and also merge two ports to
make one port
Powers
of
Central
Government in Minor Ports
The Act effectively gives the state control over major aspects of minor ports including regulation of
traffic and levy of charges in the port limits.
54
Environmental Clearances
From the Coastal Zone Management Program map of the coastline it can be inferred that
the proposed terminal will lie in the CRZ-II zone.
CRZ-II is defined as the areas that have already been development upto or close to the
shoreline. For this purpose, developed area is referred to as that area within the municipal
limits or in other legally designated urban areas which is already substantially built up and
which has been provided with drainage and approach roads and other infrastructure
facilities, such as water supply and sewerage mains.
1. CRZ Clearance
The project in CRZ II involves less than 20000 square metres of area and hence would
require CRZ clearance from the Karnataka CZMA according to the 2011 CRZ notification from
the Ministry of Environment and Forests.
1. EIA Clearance
The CRZ notification 2011 specifies that construction involving more than 20,000 sq metres
built-up area in CRZ-II will require environmental clearance from the centre. Projects less
than 20,000 sq mts built-up area shall be approved by the concerned State or Union territory
Planning authorities after obtaining recommendations from the concerned. Since, less than
20,000 sqm of area is proposed in the CRZ-II area for the cruise terminal, it will require
environmental clearance at the state level.
The breakwater and the dredging operations that need to be undertaken at the port fall
under Category B of the EIA notifications in 2006, since all the proposed minor ports and
handle a cargo capacity of less than 5 million tonnes per annum. Hence, as per the EIA
notification 2006, the concessionaire would also have to obtain EIA clearance from the State
Level EIA Authority (SEIAA), duly constituted by the Central Government for Category B
activities, before any construction work, or preparation of land is done.
Both the EIA certificate from the State Environmental Assessment Committee (SEAC) and the
CRZ clearance from the Karnataka or central Governments would be on the basis of
recommendations made by the CZMA only.
Further, the concessionaire would also have to submit compliance reports every six months
in respect of the terms and conditions stipulated for granting environmental clearance in
hard and soft copies to the concerned regulatory authority.
According to the CRZ notification 2011, in addition to this, the concessionaire would have to
renew CRZ and EIA clearances every five years.
55
A boost for the local economy: The project is expected to boost tourism in the state
and contribute to its economic prosperity. A Cruise Passenger on an average spends
more than USD 100 per trip, which has a direct impact on the economy. Further it is
expected that a project of this scale will generate employment for people from all
walks of life.
Two of the proposed sites have fishing harbours (Old Mangalore and Malpe). A
project at these sites can lead to disturbance to the livelihood of fishermen. Hence, it
is to be ensured that minimal disruption is caused to the fishermen community due to
new constructions. If such disruption is inevitable, the project proponent may need to
involve the community in the project by providing employment and other social
benefits
56
9 Operating Framework
9.1 Risks & Mitigation
Risks are inherent in all Public Private Partnership projects. They arise due to uncertain future
outcomes which may have direct effect on the provision of services by the project, and/or the
commercial viability of the project. The risk allocation to parties in contract and the
management of risks are, are hence crucial for project structuring.
The risk analysis, allocation and management involve the following activities:
Risk Type
Construction Risk
Environmental
Social Risk
Factors
Mitigation Measures
Geo-technical risks
Robust
technical
and
engineering studies before the
Construction technology
start of project
Availability
of
Fixed time EPC contracts by the
construction materials
project proponent, with built-in
Delay by EPC Contractor
penalties for delays
selected by the project
A fixed concession period for
proponent
the project creates an in-built
penalty
on
the
project
proponent for delays in terms
of loss of revenue earning years
&
Site in environmentally
sensitive areas
Delay in land acquisition
and protests of locals
Required
environmental
clearances be obtained and
mitigation
measures
be
adopted
as
per
the
57
Risk Type
Traffic Risk
Competition
Political Risk
Force Majeure
Factors
Mitigation Measures
recommendations
of
the
authority
It is recommended that the
project proponent employs
locals to the maximum extent
possible to ensure participation
of the local community in the
economic growth of the region
due to the project
Less than anticipated Strategic tie-ups cruise liners,
traffic
tour operators
Aggressive marketing of the
terminal
Risk due to competitors
Charging competitive rates.
Consultants have kept in mind
the charges by competitors
while
making
revenue
projections
Change in law,
Revocation of licenses,
permits etc
Delays due to political
instability
Natural Calamity
58
Description
The project is to be developed under BOT model of PPP
The berth cost and other terminal facilities cost are to be
borne by the concessionaire
The capital dredging costs and break-water costs are to be
borne by the government
The government also bears a portion of the maintenance
dredging cost if it is over a certain threshold (to ensure
Structure
viability of the project.
The private sector player recovers its investments over a
period of time from revenues from operation of the cruise
terminal and the Karnataka Village in the port premises. The
private player will also be leased out land for building a
resort, which will be a further source of revenue. The land for
resort can be given in the city, if not available at the port.
Concession Period
30 years including a construction period of 3 years
Annual Lease rental
For land in the port premises, to be calculated at the rate of
Payment to Concession
INR 0.5 per sq.mtr per month
Authority
For land in the city, an annual rental of INR 50 lakh is
suggested for 25 acres of land
Provision of identified land for the project, free from all
encumbrances
Grant of lease hold rights of the project site to the developer
Role
of
Concession
Provision of adequate rights to the developer for collection
Authority
of user charges, parking fees and rentals from property
development.
59
10 Way Ahead
The way ahead for the project will be to first carry out detailed technical studies for assessing
the dredging and breakwater requirements for the proposed cruise terminal. Based on the
technical suitability, one of the three project sites can be selected for the cruise terminal.
Once the project site is finalized based on technical feasibility and land availability, the state can
go ahead with the procurement process. However, government will need to bear the capital
dredging costs, breakwater costs and a part of maintenance dredging costs (in areas like Old
Mangalore where the cost of maintenance dredging is very high) to attract private players.
The Consultants will provide IDD with Request for Proposals for appointment of Transaction
Advisors.
The Consultants will also hold Capacity Building workshops for officials identified as PPP cell
personnel. Three training sessions will be organised as a part of capacity building. Various
techniques of effective communication like audio-visual media in form of PowerPoint
presentations, videos, notes, interaction dialogues etc will be used for these capacity building
sessions.
10.1 Recommendations
1. It is recommended that the project be taken up only after detailed technical studies
to assess the technical suitability of the suggested sites for setting up a cruise
terminal that can handle large vessels to the order of 90,000 GRT
2. Further, the project is feasible only if the state bears the cost of capital dredging and
breakwaters
3. No Upfront Fee is recommended for the project, as the project is viable as a
borderline case. An upfront fee can make the project unviable
60
11 Annexure
11.1 Annexure 1: Value for Money Analysis
Value for Money (VFM) analysis is essentially a cost-benefit analysis, where it is examined if the
benefits of the project are positive as compared to alternative procurement method. A PPP
project is said to achieve value for money if it costs less than the best realistic public sector
project alternative which would deliver the same services.
The VFM analysis basically takes into account the Project NPV achieved by alternative means of
implementation and compares it with the NPV achieved through PPP. Private partnership brings
in several efficiencies in cost control, reining in operating expenses and ensuring adequate
marketing measures which makes the implementation of the project more efficient. A PPP project
typically allocates risks due to increases in costs and incidence of lower than forecasted revenue
onto the private partner.
For VFM analysis, the consultants have identified risks at construction and operation stage.
Risks at Project Construction Stage:
1. Higher Construction Cost: Risks due to higher construction costs substantially impact the Project
NPV adversely.
2. Time Overrun: Delays in projects lead to loss of revenue, as lesser number of operational years
are available during the concession period to earn revenues
Risks at Project Operation Stage:
1. Revenue Risk: Risk emanating due to lower than anticipated revenues, which can be due to
traffic shortfall
2. Operational Expenses Risk: Risk of higher than anticipated operational expenses
Following table illustrates the VFM calculation for the proposed cruise terminal. VFM for all other
sites are also calculated in a similar way.
61
Financial
Impact
Risks
1
Construction
Phase
Construction
Cost Overrun
Construction
Time Overrun
Operation
Phase
Revenue Risk
(Due to traffic
shortfall)
Opex risk
Total
79.11
Cost overrun
of 20%
Time overrun
by 50% of the
construction
period (Loss
of revenue of
6 quarters)
Decrease in
Revenue by
15%
Increase
in
O&M Cost by
15%
NPV
Risk
6
at
NPV of Risk to
be
added
back
7
NPV
of
retained
risks
8
4
Concession
aire
50%
50%
-46.5
-8.6
-8.6
100%
0%
-52.1
-22.7
0.0
100%
0%
-42.5
-13.2
0.0
80%
20%
-34.6
-4.2
-1.0
-48.7
-9.6
Authority
1. Column 2 defines the risks while the Column 3 defines the financial impact of the risks. The
average value of these risks and their probabilities are taken from PPP Toolkit for Ports
2. Column 4 & 5 gives the risk allocation to Concessionaire and Authority as per the PPP model that
has been selected. The construction and opex risks are shared between government and private
player, hence not all risk is loaded on to the private player
3. Column 6 or NPV at Risk gives the Project NPV if the state government had implemented the
project, and the project bears the financial impact described in Column 3.
4. Column 7 or NPV of Risk to be added is the change in the Project NPV of the government due to
financial impact of the specific risk weighted by the risk allocated to the private concessionaire.
Adding this to the Base Project NPV for the government gives a risk adjusted NPV for the
government.
5. Column 8 is the NPV of retained risks is the change in the Project NPV of the government due to
financial impact of the specified risks, weighted by the risk allocated to the government. Adding
this to the Base Project NPV of the private concessionaire gives Risk Adjusted NPV for PPP
project.
The difference between the Risk Adjusted NPV for the Private Player and Risk Adjusted NPV for the
government gives the Value for Money for the project.Annexure-2: Cashflow Statement
62
2013
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2042
0.00
INR Crore
Inflow
Equity
6.34
20.13
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
14.80
46.97
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Total Income
0.00
0.00
25.89
44.10
72.95
122.86
301.75
Total Inflow
21.14
67.10
25.89
44.10
72.95
122.86
301.75
Debt
1.00
Outflow
1.00
Capex
21.14
67.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Principal Repayment
0.00
0.00
9.69
9.69
0.00
0.00
0.00
Interest Repayment
0.00
0.00
7.56
1.74
(0.00)
(0.00)
(0.00)
Opex
0.00
0.00
11.46
17.05
25.02
37.43
71.83
Tax
0.00
0.00
0.93
4.72
12.17
26.99
74.10
21.14
67.10
29.64
33.21
37.19
64.43
145.93
Opening Balance
0.00
0.00
(31.36)
(21.11)
91.21
306.61
978.88
Net Surplus
0.00
0.00
(3.75)
10.90
35.75
58.43
155.82
Closing Balance
0.00
0.00
(35.11)
(10.22)
126.97
365.04
1134.70
Total Outflow
0.00
Project IRR
Capex
21.14
67.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
PBT
0.00
0.00
4.52
22.95
45.57
83.07
228.08
Depreciation
0.00
0.00
2.35
2.35
2.35
2.35
1.84
Interest
0.00
0.00
7.56
1.74
(0.00)
(0.00)
(0.00)
Tax
0.00
0.00
0.93
4.72
12.17
26.99
74.10
(21.14)
(67.10)
6.88
25.31
47.93
85.42
229.92
(21.14)
(67.10)
5.95
20.59
35.75
58.43
155.82
Equity
6.34
20.13
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
PAT
0.00
0.00
3.59
18.24
33.40
56.08
153.98
Book Depreciation
0.00
0.00
2.35
2.35
2.35
2.35
1.84
Principal Repayment
0.00
0.00
9.69
9.69
0.00
0.00
0.00
(6.34)
(20.13)
(3.75)
10.90
35.75
58.43
155.82
Project IRR
11.7%
Project NPV
10.72
15.3%
63