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    Estrada

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    Marco Estrada had great success in the first half of the season, but struggled after the All-Star break with a higher ERA. His strikeout rate decreased after the break, and he allowed more line drives and home runs. A key issue was that batters faced Estrada better the second and third time through the order, with higher batting averages and wOBAs, which hindered his ability to pitch deep into games. The combination of allowing more home runs and not getting outs in the middle innings contributed significantly to Estrada's poor second half performance and hurt the Blue Jays' chances of winning the AL East title.

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    Estrada

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    api-329467176
    46 views2 pages
    Marco Estrada had great success in the first half of the season, but struggled after the All-Star break with a higher ERA. His strikeout rate decreased after the break, and he allowed more line drives and home runs. A key issue was that batters faced Estrada better the second and third time through the order, with higher batting averages and wOBAs, which hindered his ability to pitch deep into games. The combination of allowing more home runs and not getting outs in the middle innings contributed significantly to Estrada's poor second half performance and hurt the Blue Jays' chances of winning the AL East title.

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    Marco Estrada had great success in the first half of the season, but struggled after the All-Star break with a higher ERA. His strikeout rate decreased after the break, and he allowed more line drives and home runs. A key issue was that batters faced Estrada better the second and third time through the order, with higher batting averages and wOBAs, which hindered his ability to pitch deep into games. The combination of allowing more home runs and not getting outs in the middle innings contributed significantly to Estrada's poor second half performance and hurt the Blue Jays' chances of winning the AL East title.

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    46 views2 pages

    Estrada

    Uploaded by

    api-329467176
    Marco Estrada had great success in the first half of the season, but struggled after the All-Star break with a higher ERA. His strikeout rate decreased after the break, and he allowed more line drives and home runs. A key issue was that batters faced Estrada better the second and third time through the order, with higher batting averages and wOBAs, which hindered his ability to pitch deep into games. The combination of allowing more home runs and not getting outs in the middle innings contributed significantly to Estrada's poor second half performance and hurt the Blue Jays' chances of winning the AL East title.

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    of 2

    THE REASON FOR MARCO ESTRADAS SECOND

    HALF STRUGGLES
    In the first half of the season, Marco Estrada was putting up remarkable
    numbers. Going into the all-star break, Estrada had recorded a 2.93 ERA and
    achieved a record 11 consecutive starts of at least 6 innings and 4 or fewer hits.
    However, since making the trip to San Diego, Estrada has struggled to a 5.32 ERA.
    So what has changed and resulted in the lesser results.
    One issue Estrada has had in the second half is his reduction in strikeouts. To
    this point, Estrada has managed to achieve a 18.6% strikeout rate since the midsummer classic, which represents a 5.5% decrease from his first half numbers. The
    reason for that is interesting, since his pitch usage and velocities have remained
    relatively similar over the course of the season.
    Another noticeable regression from an Estrada is a dramatic increase in
    WHIP (0.99 to 1.50) since the all-star break. This increase is in spite of a 2.1%
    decrease in BB%. The reason for this than, is a 6.9% increase in LD%, resulting in
    more base hits and thus an increased WHIP. Despite the regression, his struggles
    with strikeouts and line drives are not the only factors when discussing Estradas
    struggles.
    Estradas surprising struggles can be attributed is his reduction in infield fly
    balls and subsequent increase in home runs. Before the all-star break, Estrada
    managed to record a 17.6 IFFB%, but since the all-star break, that number has
    dropped slightly to 16.4%. These infield fly balls have subsequently become home
    runs per fly ball, as this rate has increased from 10.7% before the all-star break to
    16.2% in the last 30 days. This astounding increase in home runs is one of the
    biggest reasons for Estradas struggles.
    An additional weakness has been Estradas inability to pitch well to batters
    the second or third time through the order. In the first half, batters facing Estrada
    for the second or third in the game time hit .165 with a wOBA of .258. But in the
    second half, these numbers have risen to .300 and .339 respectively. This dramatic
    increase in batting average and wOBA as the game progresses is probably

    Estradas biggest issue of the second half, as this inability to get batters out during
    the middle innings is the biggest reason for his poor results.
    Marco Estrada was remarkably good in the first half, but his recent struggles
    have been detrimental during the Jays search for the AL East crown. His increased
    home runs, line drives, and batting average as the game goes on, have resulted in
    poor outings for the Jays righty, and have consequently cost the Jays a chance of
    the AL East title.

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