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IJDRS Main Document Template Articles
IJDRS Main Document Template Articles
[Note: Author name and corresponding author E-mail should be included in the Title Page in a separate document]
[Note: Author affiliation should be included in the Title Page in a separate document]
Abstract A serious gap exists between science and disaster decision making, so that many
scientific reports have little impact and fail to inform decision making. [Abstract should not
exceed 250 words]
Keywords decision making, disasters, risk assessment, science [46 keywords, in alphabetical order ]
1 Introduction
It is widely recognized that a serious gap exists between science and expert assessment on the
one hand and decision making on the other.
The notion that a linear process exists between science and policy still permeates the
thinking of many scientists and decision makers, and so it is scientists operating in the realm of t
raditional science who largely determine how problems of science are defined, framed, and
communicated to potential users.
2 Natural Disasters: A Continuing Toll
The International Strategy for Disaster Reduction was launched in 2000 as a global strategy to
build across the international system a culture of prevention in multiple societies as part of a
global effort to promote sustainable development i.
2.1 Increasing Vulnerability to Natural Disasters
Despite these laudable efforts, the track record continues to show unrelenting problems.
2.1.1 Disaster Losses
The Hyogo Framework for Action 20052015
(1) Develop a research framework that integrates global and local perspectives to shape a
place-based understanding between environment and society...
(2) Initiate focused research programs on a small set of understudied questions that are
central to a deeper understanding of interactions between science and the environment
Let A and B be two subsets of a set C and define conditional probabilities as follows:
prob ( A | B ) = prob ( A B) / prob ( B ) Eq. 1
Where A is
Table 1 shows that
Table 1. Natural disaster losses
(a) (b)
Figure 1. Models of decision processes in policy making: Command and control (a), Adaptive
management (b)
Source: After Morgan et al. 2007.
Figure 2. Schematic diagram of a spiderweb in decision processes and public policies
The current rush to embrace adaptive management often proceeds with the assumption that one
size fits all.
[Note: Acknowledgments should also be included in the Title Page to allow blind review of the manuscript]
Notes
i
International Strategy for Disaster Reduction
ii
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