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EFFECTIVE AND SUSTAINED ENERGY

LOSS REDUCTION STRATEGIES


ROBERT F. B. MUBIRU
AMR PROJECT MANAGER, UMEME LTD
 Largest distribution
company in Uganda
 Operates a 20 year
Concession via a
single-buyer model
 Distributes 99% of the
electricity up to 33kV
 Cross-listed on two
stock exchanges
(Kenya, Uganda)
 Professionally
Regulated Energy
Sector
Energy Loss = [Dispatch – Sales] (GWh)
Two categories:

Technical Non–Technical
Energy Loss . . . ?
Technical: Non–Technical:
 A factor of network  Theft . . .
component (bottom line)
characteristics  Intervention to defraud
(Cable, Txs, etc) utility revenues
 Mainly economic impacts  Has moral, economic &
 Optimisation of Network political connotations
Configuration  Not as costly to address
 Relatively Costly to  Requires broad
address spectrum commitment
 Cannot be eliminated  Can be eliminated
UMEME Loss Reduction Strategy
1. Create Accountability Mechanisms :
(Administration)
TransparentReward Mechanisms
Business Unit Model (local accountability & knowledge)

2. Clarify Losses Profile (2012 Study):


Commercial – 17%,
Technical – 6%

3. Clarify Energy Balancing (Boundary Metering):


4. Implement Focused Initiatives :
Technical
Loss Reduction
Commercial Loss Reduction

5. Continuous Stakeholder Engagement:


EXTERNAL INFLUENCERS – Political, Social, Industry,
INTERNAL – Staff, Management and Board
COMMERCIAL LOSS REDUCTION STRATEGY
1. Segmentation of Customer Groups

2. Focussed Appropriate Initiatives:


o Mass market initiatives
o Large Power User

3. Clear Responsibility and Accountability for Results

4. Initiatives Clear Measures

5. Analysis – Fact Informing Initiatives


CUSTOMER SEGMENTATION

Energy Profile (June-2015)


No. of Av Sales Sales
Tariff Category A/cs (%)
Contracts (GWh) Cont (%)
1 ph – Post Paid 385,330 32,2
98% 26%
1 ph – Prepaid 294,394 20,1
3ph (Whole current) 11,300 19,0
3ph (CT Connected) 2,339 32,0 2% 74%
3ph (MU connected) 500 96,7
Total 693,863 200,1
Avg Monthly Dispatch: 255GWh, Loss: 18.0% as at July’15
Mass Market Commercial Loss Strategy
1. Domestic
Characteristics / Impact:
 Account for: Sales – 29%, Revenue – 33%
 Large Numbers, Endemic Theft Culture (hooking)
 Low Individual Consumption, Low Earnings, Low Returns
 Poor Networks: Quality
Approach
 Refurbish Networks (Inject Txs, Short LV spans, etc)
 Retrofit LV networks with ABC
 Roll Out Prepayment (1-phase & 3-phase up to 100A)
LPU Commercial Loss Strategy
2. Industrial & Commercial
Characteristics / Impact
 Account for: Sales – 71%, Revenue – 67%
 Non-Standard, Low Quality Installations
 Established Revenue Streams BUT High Theft Incentive
 Have: “A name to protect”

Approach “Secure: High Value Customer Revenues”


 Install AMR / AMI Systems
 Install Pre–wired SMART Meter boxes
 Closer Engagement: RM, DM, Customer Service Engineer
TECHNICAL LOSS REDUCTION STRATEGY
1. Disaggregation of Technical and Commercial
Losses

2. Identification / Prioritisation of High Loss Feeders

3. Scoping & Packaging of Initiatives


o MV Backbone Strengthening
o Distribution Transformer Zone Upgrade and Strengthening
o LV Reticulation Refurbishment and Strengthening

4. Monitoring and Evaluation of Implementation


Results
A HOLISTIC APPROACH . . !
NETWORK REFRUB + REDESIGN

PRE – PAYMENT SOLUTION

METER
INSTALLATIONS
Loss Target vs. Performance

35.0%

30.0%

25.0%

20.0%

15.0%

10.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Reg Tgt 32.0% 28.0% 25.5% 23.2% 20.7% 18.6% 17.0% 16.0% 15.0%
Actual Perf 30.0% 27.0% 26.1% 24.3% 21.3% 19.2%
The Challenge . . .
Challenges to Sustaining Acceptable Loss Levels

Technical
1. Growth – the I2R problem
2. Maintenance – budget vs. prudent practice
3. High Cost of reduction
4. Aged Networks
5. Optimisation of Networks
o Appropriate Voltages
o Future demand and growth forecast
Challenges to Sustaining Acceptable Loss Levels
Commercial
1. Metering Installation Security
2. Power Theft Culture - Affordability perceptions
o Utility Staff Collusion
o Customer Actions
o Illegal Operators

3. Energy Balancing Support infrastructure


4. Metering Philosophies
5. The ‘Theft Incentive’
o LPU
o Mass Market
Tz Power Loss Trajectories
Kenya Power Loss Trajectories
Current Loss Position

Kenya: 18.0%

Tanzania: 22.0%

Uganda: 23.1% (Umeme – 19.1%)

Rwanda: 23.0%
ASPIRATION . . . !

Cyprus: 4.0%

Egypt: 11.0%

Kazakhstan: 8.0%

Paraguay: 6.0%
Proposals

1. Factor in MV, LV Maintenance costs – prudent practice


2. Commitment to execute Tech Loss Reduction
3. Clear Measures to pro-actively track Losses
4. Direct Line Accountability for Loss Reduction
5. Clear Visibility of Energy Flows – Metering, Tech/Com
6. Continuous Analysis
7. Period Review and Alignment of Strategies
8. Appropriate Application of Technology

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