Ahrend Sen 2012
Ahrend Sen 2012
www.emeraldinsight.com/0002-1466.htm
AFR
72,2 Financial ratio analysis using
ARMS data
Bruce L. Ahrendsen
262 Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness,
Division of Agriculture, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville,
Arkansas, USA, and
Ani L. Katchova
Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Kentucky,
Lexington, Kentucky, USA
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this research is to evaluate the financial performance measures calculated
and reported by the Economic Resource Service (ERS) from Agricultural Resource Management
Survey (ARMS) data. The evaluation includes the calculation method and the underlying assumptions
used in obtaining the reported values. Recommendations for improving the information reported are
proposed to ERS.
Design/methodology/approach – The financial measures calculated and reported are compared
with those recommended by the Farm Financial Standards Council (FFSC). The underlying
assumptions are identified by analyzing the software code used in calculating the values reported. The
values reported by ERS are duplicated and alternative methods for calculating the financial
performance measures are considered. The values obtained from the various calculation methods are
compared and contrasted.
Findings – Recommendations for ERS include: calculate and report the financial measures
recommended by FFSC, note values that are imputed, periodically update and validate assumptions
used in calculating imputed values, review its policy for flagging estimates as statistically unreliable,
report medians and other select percentiles, and consider reporting the percent of farm businesses that
have values within critical zones.
Originality/value – A total of four methods for calculating financial performance measures are
compared and contrasted. These are the aggregate mean, sample mean, sample median, and
percentage of farm businesses with values in critical zones.
Keywords Financial ratio, Performance measures, Farm business, Critical zone, Imputation, ARMS,
Financial performance, Farms
Paper type Research paper
Recent studies
A number of recent studies have relied on ARMS data to analyze farm financial
performance. Ahrendsen et al. (2007) used ARMS data at the farm business level to test if
there are significant differences in the financial characteristics, as measured by balance
sheet, income statement and financial ratio values, among groups of US farmers that are
likely eligible to receive USDA Farm Service Agency (FSA) direct farm loans. They
found beginning farmers had weaker financial characteristics than non-beginning
farmers. However, the same result was not found when they compared socially
disadvantaged farmers with non-socially disadvantaged farmers, since there were few
significant differences in financial characteristics and any differences that were found
were mixed. They concluded FSA direct farm loan borrowers had weaker financial
characteristics than eligible, non-FSA direct farm loan borrowers, implying FSA was
meeting its objective to serve farm businesses likely to be denied credit by commercial
creditors.
Chavez et al. (2009) analyzed the mean financial characteristics of 18 different types
of US crop and livestock farms sampled in the 2005 ARMS. They found significant,
two-way statistical differences in mean current ratio, debt-to-asset ratio, operating
expense ratio, and asset turnover ratio between various pairs of farm types. Their
results provide a general indication of the comparative liquidity, solvency,
profitability, and financial efficiency of different types of US crop and livestock farms.
Kropp and Katchova (2011) examined the effect of direct payments on the liquidity
and repayment capacity of beginning farmers relative to established farmers. Their
results indicated direct payments have the potential to impact the liquidity and
repayment capacity of payment recipients, particularly for experienced farmers.
AFR They suggest direct payments have the potential to alter farm business access to credit
72,2 and may alter current production decisions.
Other recent studies have relied on ARMS data to analyze farm financial
performance criteria as measured by financial ratios. The criteria have included
solvency (debt-to-asset ratio) and/or profitability (net farm income, rate of return on
assets) (D’Antoni et al., 2009; Adhikari et al., 2009; Mishra et al., 2009). Katchova (2010)
264 used 2005-2008 ARMS data to estimate the likelihood of farm businesses experiencing
financial stress. She considers farm businesses to have financial stress if measures of
liquidity (current ratio), solvency (debt-to-asset ratio), profitability (rate of return on
assets and operating profit margin ratio), repayment capacity (term debt coverage
ratio), or efficiency (operating expense ratio) are in their respective critical zones.
farm debt repayment capacity is calculated differently, where FFSC subtracts family
living expenses and income taxes but the USDA does not. The different formulas result
in higher debt repayment capacity measured by the USDA-calculated ratios.
Percent
Critical farms in
Aggregate 25th 75th zone critical
Ratio meana Meanb Medianb percentileb percentileb value zone
We realize some of these recommendations may take time to implement and may need to
be adjusted over time, such as reporting the percent of farm businesses in critical zones
and determining the appropriate critical zones. However, other recommendations, such
as flagging imputed values, may be implemented quickly and relatively easily.
AFR References
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on profitability of young and beginning farmers: a quantile regression approach”,
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