Professional Documents
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Unlevered
Unlevered
7-1
a. We use the CAPM:
The Expected Return on the stock = 0.058 + 0.95(0.0876) = 0.1412 = 14.12%.
Since the investor is a short-term investor, we use the T-bill rate, and the arithmetic
mean. Since the focus is short-term, we don’t need to take compounding into account.
b. For a long-term investor, we would use the T-bond rate, and the geometric mean:
The expected return = 0.064 + 0.95(0.0561) = 0.1173 or 11.73%, where 5.61% is used as
the estimate of the market risk premium, since that is the geometric average of the market
premium using the long-term T-bond rate as the riskfree rate. If we use 5.5% as our
estimate of the market premium, the expected return would be 0.064 + 0.95(0.055) =
0.1163 or 11.63%.
c. The cost of equity for the company is more appropriately the long-term required rate of
return, since most projects for the company would be long-term.
7-2
a. The levered beta of the company is given by formula: L = u (1 + (1 − t )( D / E )) .
Solving, we get βunlevered = 0.95/(1+(1-0.36)(1.7/1.5)) = 0.55
b. The proportion of the risk of the firm’s equity that can be attributed to business risk is
0.55/0.95 = 58%, while the remainder is due to financial leverage risk.
7-3
a.The cost of equity equals 0.064 + 1.70(0.055) = 15.75%
b. If long term bond rates rise to 7.5%, the cost of equity will rise by a like amount to
16.85%.
c. Since Biogen had no debt, all of its risk is due to business risk.
7-4
a. The expected return on the stock, assuming that the marginal investor is a Malaysian
with primarily domestic holdings is 0.115 + 1.15(0.12) = 25.30%, using the risk premium
based on country risk provided by ratings agencies.
b. For an international investor, who has the ability to diversify globally, some of the risk
might be diversifiable, and hence the true beta might be lower. To take care of this
possible overstatement, it would be appropriate to compute a beta relative to a more
global index, such as the Morgan Stanley Capital Index.
7-5
a. Using the CAPM, we compute the expected return as 0.03 + 1.2(0.0876) = 13.51%.
We use a T-bill rate, because the focus is on the short-term expected return (the next
year). For the same reason, we use the market premium over bills.
b. The cum-dividend price, one year from now, would be $50 (1.1351) = 56.75. The ex-
dividend price, assuming that the stock price goes down by the amount of the dividend is
56.75 – 2.50 = $54.25.
c. Over last year, the expected return would have been 15.51%, based on the prevailing
T-bill rate then of 5%.
d. The actual returns were (-4+2)/54 = -3.70%
e. The unlevered beta based on the current capital structure would be 1.2/(1+(1-
0.4)(50/100)) = 0.92. There is no debt in the new capital structure. Hence the new beta
would be 0.92.
7-6
It’s current levered beta is 1.2. Using the formula for leveraging a beta
L = u (1 + (1 − t )( D / E )) , we find the unlevered beta = 1.2/(1+(1-0.4)(50/100)) = 0.92.
If the D/E ratio is increased to 8, we have the new levered beta equal to 0.92(1+(1-0.4)8)
= 5.35.
7-7
a. The combined beta for Novell after the acquisition equals
2 1
+ 1+ 2 1.3 = 1.43
1.5
1 + 2
b. If Novell borrowed the $1m., we would lever this beta to get 1.43(1+(1-0.4)(1/2)) =
1.86
7-8
a
Firm Value = $ 8 billion + $ 1 billion = $ 9 billion
We will assume that the debt is allocated to the divisions in proportion to the market
value of equity of the divisions.The unlevered for Hewlett Packard as a company can be
2.25 2.25 1.125 3.375
+ + + 9 1.0 = 1.275
computed as 1.1 1.5 2.0 . Using the debt
9 9 9
to equity ratio of 1/8, we can estimate HP’s levered beta to be
Levered Beta = 1.275 ( 1 + (1-.36) (1/8)) = 1.377
Since the divisional structure and leverage of Hewlett Packard has probably changed over
the years, the beta obtained by regressing past returns of HP against a market index will
not be the same as 1.377.
b. If the T. bond rate is 7.5%, the cost of equity for the divisions can be computed as
follows:
Business Group Beta and Cost of Equity
Mainframes Levered Beta = 1.1 (1+(1-.36) (1/8)) = 1.19
0.075+1.19(0.055) = 14.03%
Personal Groups Levered Beta = 1.5(1+(1-.36) (1/8)) = 1.62
0.075+1.5(0.055) = 16.41%
Software Levered Beta = 2.0(1+(1-.36) (1/8)) = 2.16
0.075+2.16(0.055) = 19.38%
Printers Levered Beta = 1.0 (1+(1-.36) (1/8)) = 1.08
0.075+1.0(0.055) = 13.44%
To value the printer division, we would use a cost of equity of 13.44%.
c. We will assume that the mainframe division is sold for its estimated value of $2.25
billion. The value of the remaining divisions is now $ 6.75 billion.
After the divestiture, we’d have the unlevered beta equal to
2.25 1.125 3.375
6.75 1.5 + 6.75 2.0 + 6.75 1.0 = 1.333
. If the proceeds are used to buy back
stock, the market value of equity will drop to $5.75 billion. Using the information that HP
had debt outstanding equal to $1.0 billion, the levered beta equals 1.333(1+(1-
0.36)(1/5.75))=1.48
7-9
a. The degree of operating leverage is computed as %∆ Operating Income/% ∆ Revenue.
Firm Degree of Operating Beta
Leverage
PharmaCorp 25/27 = 0.92 1.0
SynerCorp 32/25 = 1.28 1.15
BioMed 36/23 = 1.56 1.3
Safemed 40/21 = 1.90 1.4
b. There is a clear relationship between the degree of operating leverage and the beta.
The greater the degree of operating leverage, the more responsive income (and
presumably stock returns) will be to changes in revenue which are correlated with
changes in market movements.
7-10
It is possible that the service is adjusting the beta estimate towards the mean of 1.0
7-11
The volatility in commodity prices will be reflected in the beta only to the extent that
commodity price movements are correlated with market movements. Commodity prices
probably do not move closely with the rest of the market.
7-12
a. Here are the results of the regression of AD Corp. returns on the NYSE returns:
Coefficients Standard Error
Intercept -0.14706 6.59342
X Variable 0.735294 0.670845
R2 = 0.285948
The beta value of 0.735. The alpha is computed as –0.147.
b. Using the annualized 6-month T. bill rate as the riskfree rate, we get an expected return
of 0.06 + 0.735(0.0876) = 12.44%.
c. Comparing the alpha of -0.147 to (1-β)Rf = (1-0.735)0.06 = .0159, we see that AD did
worse than expected relative to the market.
dIf you were undiversified, you would be much more interested in the total standard
deviation in the stock, since you cannot eliminate the firm specific risk. 72% (1-0.28) of
this risk is diversifiable.
e. 0.735 = (0.2)(2x0.735) + (0.8)βrem, where βrem is the beta of the remaining firm.
Solving, we find βrem = 0.55.
7-13
a. The required rate of return is 0.06 + 0.46(0.055) = 8.53%
b. (1-R2) = 95% of this firm’s risk is diversifiable.
c. The current unlevered beta = 0.46/(1+(1-0.36)(20/40)) = 0.35. The total firm is worth
60 m. The average beta of the divisions that will be kept must equal
0.35 = (1 / 3)0.20 + (2 / 3) rem . Solving, βrem = 0.425. The new unlevered beta equals
40 50
+ 40 + 50 0.80 = 0.63
0.425
40 + 50
The new levered beta = 0.63(1+(1-0.36)(50 /90))=0.85.
7-14
a. (β2)(Var. of mkt)/Var. of stock = R2; hence the β = 1.41
b. Intercept – (1-β)Rf = 0.0039; the monthly riskfree rate is computed as (1.0484)1/12 – 1
= 0.0039465 or 0.39465%.
Intercept = 0.0039 – (1-1.141)(.0039465) = .45%
c. The two firms need not have the same beta, if the extents to which their relative stock
price movements covary with the market are different. If AMR has a higher beta, then it
will also have correspondingly a lower amount of diversifiable firm-specific risk.
7-15
a. The expected return over the next year = 0.048 + (1.65)(0.0876) = 19.25%.
b. In this case, we would use a geometric average estimate of the risk premium and a
long-term T. bond rate to get 0.064 + (1.65)(0.055) = 15.48%
c. The extent of the monthly overperformance = (1.511)1/12 – 1 = 3.5%.
Hence, Intercept – (1-β)Rf = 0.035, using a value of 0.0328 for the intercept, Rf = 4.14%,
after annualizing.
d. It’s current unlevered beta = 1.65/(1+(1-0.4)(.03)) = 1.62. Taking into account the new
leverage ratio of [2000+.03(265)(30)]/(265)(30) = 0.2816, the new levered beta becomes
1.62(1+(1-0.4)(.2816)) = 1.89.
7-16
a. The riskfree rate on a monthly basis equals 0.4868%. Hence the extent of
overperformance equals –0.0005 – (1-1.2)(0.00487) = 0.05% approximately.
b. After the sale of the division and the share repurchase, MAD had $40m. in debt and
$120 in equity. Hence, before these events, it would have had $160m. in equity and
$20m. in debt. Assuming, for convenience, that the beta before the restructuring is still
1.2, we can compute its unlevered beta as 1.2/(1+(1-0.4)(20/160)) = 1.116. The
unlevered beta of the leftover firm other than the magazine division, βrem, must satisfy
20 160
+ ; hence βrem = 1.1805.
180 rem = 1.116
0.6
180
The new levered beta equals 1.1805(1+(1-0.4)(40/120)) = 1.4166.
7-17
a. The unlevered beta equals 1.61/(1+(1-0.4)(10/10))=1.01
b. If the debt ratio goes from 1 to .9 and then to 0.8, the levered beta would become
1.01(1+(1-0.4)(0.9)) = 1.5554 and 1.4948 respectively.
7-18
a. Unlevered Beta of the firm including cash can be computed by:
1.05/(1+(1-.36)(13000/355*50)) = 0.715
This beta is depressed by the fact that the firm has a substantial amount of cash on its
balance sheet.
Unlevered beta of non-cash assets = Unlevered Beta / ( 1- Cash/ Firm Value)
= 0.715/(1- 8000/(13000 + 355*50)) = 0.966
b. If some of the cash is paid out, the unlevered beta of the firm will decrease:
Value of Firm after cash dividend = 13000 + 355*50 – 5000 = 25750
New unlevered beta = 0.966 (22750/25750) + 0 (3000/25750) = 0.85
c. The debt ratio would be rise to 13000/(355x50-5000). The levered beta is 0.85(1+(1-
0.36)(13000/(355x50-5000))) = 1.41
7-19
Firm Beta debt equity d/e unlevered beta
Black and Decker 1.4 2500 3000 0.833333 0.933333
Fedders 1.2 5 200 0.025 1.182266
Maytag 1.2 540 2250 0.24 1.048951
National Presto 0.7 8 300 0.026667 0.688976
Whirlpool 1.5 2900 4000 0.725 1.045296
The average unlevered beta = 0.9798. Using the private firm’s leverage ratio of 25%, we
can compute a levered beta of 0.9798(1+(1-0.4)(0.25))= 1.1268. (If, instead of estimating
the unlevered beta for each of the comparable firms, you had used the average beta and
debt to equity ratio for the sector to compute an unlevered beta, you would have
estimated an unlevered beta of 0.9820)
b. Given the range of unlevered betas for these publicly traded firms, it might be that
there are differences amongst these firms and between these firms and the private firm
that are not averaged out in the numbers. For example, the degree of operating leverage
might be different. In addition, the private firm owner may not be diverisified, in which
case it may be inappropriate to use betas in the first place.
7-20
a. The unlevered beta for the comparable firms would be 0.95/(1+(1-0.36)(0.35))=
0.7761. The levered beta for the division would be 0.7761(1+(1-0.36)(0.25))=0.90
b. If RJR Nabisco had a much higher fixed cost structure than comparable firms, then the
division would probably have a higher unlevered beta as well.
7-21
The unlevered beta for the current business in 1995 would be 0.9/(1+(1-0.36)(1.0))=
0.5488. The unlevered beta of comparable media business firms is 1.2/(1+(1-0.36)(0.50))
= 0.9091. Hence the unlevered beta of the new business (including the media division) in
1999 can be estimated as 0.3(0.9091) + 0.7(0.5488) = 0.6569. Leveraging it up, we get
the levered beta estimate of 1.077.
Southwestern’s debt-to-capital ratio = _; if it decided to finance its media operations with
a debt equity ratio of 50%, then the media division’s debt-to-capital ratio would be 1/3.
Hence, Southwestern’s over-all debt-to-capital ratio would be 0.3(1/3) + 0.7(1/2) = 0.45;
hence it’s debt to equity ratio would be 9/11. Hence the levered beta would be
0.6569(1+(1-0.36)(9/11)) = 1.00
7-22
a., b. Not necessarily. A growing firm would expect its beta to decline, since it is
becoming a larger portion of the market portfolio. Presumably, in some ways, it is also
getting diversified.
The rate of decline would decrease eventually, and in any case, the beta shouldn’t drop
below 1.0, unless the firm sees other changes.
7-23
a. The levered beta using comparable firm data would be 1.15(1+(1-0.4)(0.2)) = 1.288.
b. Using the regression, a range estimate with a likelihood of 95% that the true beta lies
within it, is –0.25 to 1.75.
c. Using the comparable firm beta,
Cost of Equity = 6.5% + 1.29 (5.5%) = 13.60%
Cost of Capital = 13.60% (10/12) + 7.5% (1-.4) (2/12) = 11.34%
7-24
a. With a default spread of 1% over the treasury bond rate, we have a pre-tax cost of debt
600 1 10000
of 7%. Hence the estimated value of the debt would be 1− + , where
.07 1.07n 1.07n
n is the average maturity of the debt. This works out to $9.523 billion, using an average
maturity of 6 years
b. The pre-tax cost of debt would be 7%, given that BBB bonds earn 1% over the treasury
bond rate. The after-tax cost of debt would be
After tax cost of debt = 7% (1-.35) = 4.55%
c. Using the estimated market value of debt, the debt-to-capital ratio is 9.523/(25+9.523)
= 0.2759; the debt/equity ratio is 0.38. The levered beta estimate, using the average
unlevered beta of firms in the industry is 0.8[1+(1-0.35)0.38] = 0.998; hence the cost of
equity is 6+0.998(5.5) = 11.49. Hence, the cost of capital = (0.2759)(7)(1-0.35) + (1-
0.2759)(11.49) = 9.576%