KPIT Technology
KPIT Technology
KPIT Technology
Template
(All numbers in INR Millions, except per share data)
(Red for Assumptions, Blue for Actuals and Black for Calculations)
Date Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14
Year 2008 - A 2009 - A 2010 - A 2011 - A 2012 - A 2013 - E 2014 - E
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
2015 - E 2016 - E 2017 - E
KPIT Cummins
Click on the name of Tab to go to the relevant sheet
No Name Of Tab
1 Company Overview
2 Income Statement
3 Balance Sheet
5 Revenue Metrics
6 Cost Metrics
7 Shedules
8 Debt Shedules
9 Valuation
10 Relative Valuation
o to the relevant sheet
Description
Cost Structure
Shedules
Debt Structure
DCF Valuation
Peer Valuation
KPIT Cummins
Company Overview
(All numbers in INR Millions, except per share data)
(Red for Assumptions, Blue for Actuals and Black for Calculations)
Company Information
Company Name KPIT Cummins Infosystems Ltd Investor Relations
Industry IT Services/Consulting Site :
Sector Information Technology
Current Market Price INR 123.00
Ticker KPITCUMM Management Team
Market Capitalization (MM) 20,500 Chairman:
Relative Index NSE CEO:
Year end 31-Mar
Reporting currency INR
Revenue Forecast
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
-
2012 - A 2013 - E 2014 - E 2015 - E 2016 - E
2011 - A 2012 - A 2013 - E 2014 - E 2015 - E 2016 - E
Revenue 10,230 15,000 19,683 23,923 29,074 35,229
Y/Y Growth % 47% 31% 22% 22% 21%
Reccomendation
www.kpitcummins.com Target Price 134.20
Current Market Price 123.00
Upside/Downside (%) 9%
Rating Sell
S. Pandit
Kishor Patil M Cap @ Target Price 22,366.97
14.75 18.14 22.20 26.99 KPIT Cummins Infosystems Limited provides technology solutions to
across domains such as advanced technology solutions, diversified fi
12% 12% 12% 12% services, manufacturing, and business information technology.It ope
10% 10% 11% 11% segments: integrated enterprise solutions (IES), auto and engineerin
21% 20% 20% 19% standard assessment procedure and semiconductor solutions group.
0.8 x 0.7 x 0.6 x 0.5 x
5.7 x 4.7 x 3.9 x 3.2 x
8.3 x 6.8 x 5.5 x 4.6 x
20% 40
37.20 37.20 37.20
15% 20
10% 0
5%
0%
2016 - E 2017 - E
2017 - E Explicit Forecast Perio 37.20
42,487 First Stage of Valuation 37.20 24.35
21% Terminal Year 37.20 24.35 69.56
Total Value 131.11
ovides technology solutions to global clients
hnology solutions, diversified financial
s information technology.It operates in four
tions (IES), auto and engineering (A&E),
semiconductor solutions group.
69.55807489 131.105126549
24.35
37.20
KPIT Cummins
Income Statement
(All numbers in INR Millions, except per share data)
(Red for Assumptions, Blue for Actuals and Black for Calculations)
Date Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11
Year 2008 - A 2009 - A 2010 - A 2011 - A
Interest Expense 75 45 27 13
Interest Income - - -
Other Income 199 (574) (253) 5
Exceptional Items - - - -
EBT 602 778 1,026 1,103
EPS
Basic 6.67 8.44 10.97 11.76
Diluted 6.55 8.41 10.80 11.35
Number of Shares
Basic 77 78 78 80
Diluted 78 78 79 83
Dividend - 47 55 62
Dividend Tax - 8 9 10
Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
2012 - A 2013 - E 2014 - E 2015 - E 2016 - E 2017 - E
78 - - - - -
-
(31)
1,418 1,994 2,459 3,024 3,700 4,498
35
1,454 1,994 2,459 3,024 3,700 4,498
- - - - - -
9 9 9 9 9 9
55 55 55 55 55 55
7,547 9,541 11,999 15,023 18,723 23,221
EOP - Cash
BOP - Cash
Cash and cash equivalents of In2soft GmbH as of date of acquisition
Cash and cash equivalents of CPG Solutions Inc. as of date of acquisition
Cash and cash equivalents of Sparta Consulting Inc. as of date of acquisition
(3) 10 18 2 - - - - -
255 436 308 411 445 572 696 848 1,031
94 74 67 42 78 - - - -
(19) (24) (40) (32) (128) (126) (198) (286) (395)
7 43 (0) 0 - - - - -
- - 4 8 - - - - -
- - 12 (8) - - - - -
- - 17 0 - - - - -
(1) - (12) (34) - - - - -
- (1) (1) (10) - - - - -
0 0 - - - - - - -
- (16) 37 (31) - - - - -
- - - - (31) - - - -
- - - - 35 - - - -
(59) (81) 23 19 - - - - -
876 1,219 1,459 1,471 2,285 2,895 3,519 4,277 5,182
2 - - - - -
-5 16 -37 31 - - - - -
114 720 -528 1,042 -1,580 0 0 0 0
- 198 39 - - - - - -
- 13 13 16 16 16 16 16 16
740 1,671 1,052 2,096 516 516 516 516 516
Mar-17
2017 - E
5,526
-
1,253
-
(529)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
6,249
-1,792
0
1,177
-615
5,634
-
-
-
(1,028)
4,607
(1,665)
-
-
(3,470)
529
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
(4,607)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
500
500
-
16
516
KPIT Cummins
Revenue Metrics
(All numbers in INR Millions, except per share data)
(Red for Assumptions, Blue for Actuals and Black for Calculations)
Date Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11
Year 2008 - A 2009 - A 2010 - A 2011 - A
Employee Data
Development (at Qtr end) 4,168 4,478 5,998
Gen Mgmt / Support (at Qtr end) 357 380 414
Marketing (Subsidiaries) (at Qtr end) 51 60 102
Total (at Qtr end) 4,576 4,918 6,514
Employee Addition
Development 310 1,520
Total 342 1,596
Development as % Total 91% 95%
8 8 8 8 8 8
22 22 22 22 22 22
1,573,440 1,952,259.18 2,280,405 2,663,243 3,100,771 3,592,990
8,380,416 10,731,573 12,535,394 14,639,851 17,044,945 19,750,676
45 45 45 45 45 45
3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
KPIT Cummins
(Red for Assumptions, Blue for Actuals and Black for Calculations)
Date Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13
Year 2008 - A 2009 - A 2010 - A 2011 - A 2012 - A 2013 - E
Efective Tax Rate (Provision for Tax 13% 15% 16% 14% 23% 18.6%
Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
2014 - E 2015 - E 2016 - E 2017 - E
Debt
Secured Loans 865 1,185 1,108 1,105 - -
Unsecured Loans - - - - - -
Other Debt - - - - - -
Total Debt 865 1,185 1,108 1,105 - -
Debt Repayment
Secured Loans (1,105) -
Unsecured Loans - -
Other Debt - -
Interest Expense 75 45 27 13 78 -
Interest Expense Rate % #DIV/0! 5% 2% 1% 7% 4%
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
4% 4% 4% 4%
Projection Year 1 2 3 4
Discount Factor 0.86 0.73 0.63 0.54
Present Value of FCF 1,061 1,217 1,261 1,308
17.00%
18.00%
19.00%
Debt Equity Weightage
We E/(D+E) 100.0%
123.00 Wd D/(D+E) 0.0%
167
20,500 Interest Rate (%) 7.1%
- Tax Rate (@) 23%
516
(516) WACC Calculation
19,984 WACC 16.80%
5 6 7 8 9
0.46 0.39 0.34 0.29 0.25
1,353 1,392 1,371 1,294 1,171
3.90%
20.60% 16.70% 12.80% 8.90% 5%
21% 17% 13% 9% 5%
20% 17% 13% 9% 5%
21% 17% 13% 9% 5%
Intrinsic Value
21,851 Equity Value 22,367
(516) Diluted Shares 167
22,367
Intrinsic Value 134.20
EV/Revenue P/S
FY12E FY13E FY14E FY12E FY13E FY14E
EV/EBITDA P/E
FY12E FY13E FY14E FY12E FY13E FY14E
30
29
151
143 21
120 52
88