Session 2.2: Establishing Social Protection System For Inclusive Rural Development by Arup Chatterjee
Session 2.2: Establishing Social Protection System For Inclusive Rural Development by Arup Chatterjee
The Third ODA Roundtable Conference for Agricultural Development Cooperation in Asia
30 October-1 November 2019, Seoul, Republic of Korea
Arup Chatterjee
Principal Financial Sector Specialist
Sustainable Development And Climate Change Department
Asian Development Bank
The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank Institute
(ADBI), the Asian Development Bank (ADB), its Board of Directors, or the governments they represent. ADBI does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in
this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequences of their use. Terminology used may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.
DISCLAIMER: The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Asian Development Bank, its management, its Board of Directors, or its members.
Outline
I. The rural risk landscape
Source: https://www.khmertimeskh.com/540269/abandoned-by-banks-indonesias-poor-
farmers-turn-to-crowdfunding/
Source: https://www.thenational.ae/world/asia/flooded-residents-on-roofs-as-typhoon-koppu-pummels-philippines-1.59527
3
Extreme poverty remains highly
concentrated in rural areas
Source: https://blogs.adb.org/blog/do-we-know-what-inclusive-growth-really-means
Constraints for rural development
Source: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-of-the-labor-force-employed-in-
agriculture?tab=chart&time=1991..2017&country=South%20Asia+East%20Asia%20%26%20Pacific+Europe%2 Source: https://www.urdupoint.com/en/pakistan/rural-women-comprises-of-43-percent-of-
0%26%20Central%20Asia agricu-45331.html
Rural populations face contingencies during their
lifetime that have financial consequences
Sickness &
Maternity Accidents Disability
healthcare
Death of
Old age Seasonal Loss of
bread
income employment assets
winner
Source: https://blog.richmond.edu/geog250/files/2016/02/Geography1.png
More than half of Asia’s population is poorly
protected
9
Short-term coping strategies can
carry long-term costs
Micro (Household level)
• Draw down assets (e.g. skip meals, mine soil, not pay school fees).
• Use underemployed assets (e.g. off farm employment, child labor)
• Sell assets
• Encroach on assets of others
• Illegal activities
• Formal and informal credit
• Depend on charity
• Draw down community assets (e.g. reduce maintenance, harvest or mine natural
resources)
• Depend on charity or aid from outside community
Source: http://www.ugogentilini.net/?m=201811
Statutory
Intermediate contributory social
coverage Partially contributory
insurance
& linked schemes
Compulsory Voluntary
Old age pension Occupational schemes
Disability pension National Provident Funds
Income, consumption
Poverty traps
Source: https://www.joinuplift.org/why-the-ultra-poor/
18
Source: https://www.afi-global.org/sites/default/files/publications/2017-
11/AFI2017_Gender_full_AW_ISBN_digital.pdf
Financial sector not
adequately catering to
economic importance of
agriculture and rural
development
Source: http://www.fao.org/economic/ess/investment/credit/en/
Agriculture
Sector
Insurance
Forward Transport Drought Personal
Drought Typhoon cover & Death
selling delays policy injury
costs
Source: Weather and Climate Risk in Agriculture, Bureau of Meteorology, Australian Government (Adapted from J. Hay, WMO,
2006)
21
Source:
https://www.businesstoday.in/sectors/agriculture/nor
mal-monsoons-can-boost-farm-income-by-20-pc-in-
fy17/story/233157.html
Livelihood losses are left to the
governments and poor farmers
Agriculture
development
policy and Irrigation
interventions
Land reform
Technical change
Crop insurance
23
Opportunities to strategically link social protection
programs with financial inclusion interventions
• Promote synergies POVERTY LINE
Operationalizing requires
• Complex coordination
• Public and private buy-in
• Awareness raising
• Technical assistance
• Domain expertise
• Tailored financial products and services Critical for becoming
• Data "bankable" 24
Social
Empowerment
Investments Improved Standard of Living
Improved
Well-Being
25
Source: https://www.povertyactionlab.org/policy-insight/microcredit-impacts-and-limitations
Credit insurance
26
https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2015/05/india-shocking-farmer-
suicide-epidemic-150513121717412.html
Linking insurance with credit
High Risk Level of risk to banks
above which banks are not
willing to lend or not
allowed to lend
Moral Risk
As risk
increases
interest
Moral Risk
rate rises Weather Risk Weather Risk
Miscellaneous Risk Miscellaneous Risk
Crop Disease Risk Crop Disease Risk
Normal
risk 28
Idiosyncratic risk Systemic risk Source: Study on risk management in European Agriculture, European Commission (2017)
A small portion of the risk is transferred through crop
insurance - typically covers agro inputs
29
Source: Comprehensive Disaster Risk Modeling for Agriculture Stojanovski, Pane, and
Muir-Wood, Robert planet@risk Vol 3, No.1 (2015)
Benefits of linking agriculture credit
with crop insurance
• Insures debt service exposure against catastrophe events & maintains creditworthiness
• Smoothens income over time
• Builds up remunerated savings & collateral
• Eventually optimizes earnings through a credit line (in addition to crop loans)
• Benefits from stabilized farmers' incomes through reduced emergency assistance outlays
• Can stabilize the risk management account with fixed ad valorem grant & thereby
efficiently and equitably enhance rural access to finance 30
How agriculture insurance works?
Financial support
Source: https://www.un.org/development/desa/dspd/wp-content/uploads/sites/22/2018/06/rwss2018-full-advanced-
copy.pdf
Older persons living in poverty are covered by means-
tested, tax-financed schemes
Source: https://www.theepochtimes.com/chinas-rural-poverty-line-far-below-international-
standard_1729013.html
BUT
financial support
Scaling up existing social
protection programs are not
enough…
Multiplier effects are
boosted significantly
when rural households
have greater linkages to
agricultural markets
Source: http://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2019/aug/08/asian-
development-bank-to-provide-usd-200-million-for-rural-road-project-in-
maharashtra-2016059.html
35
Source: https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-seafood-exports-dive-36-pct-in-
first-half-after-eu-ban-2364/
36
Source: https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-seafood-exports-dive-36-pct-in-first-half-
after-eu-ban-2364/
Fintech must collaborate with Agtech
to transform access to finance
Instant credit disbursal can be made in rural areas
Farmer’s data fed into Information collated with Risk scores are plotted
digital platform remote-sensing data using a machine-learning
algorithm
KYC, geo-coordinates of farms, Predicting a farmer's Assessing cost of input/output,
history of crops sown, crop size, productivity, estimates of the positive cash flow & profitability,
yield & potential earnings yield, and selling price.
After the loan has been issued, satellite imagery helps the bank
conduct remote monitoring and evaluation
Bank is alerted when Insurance companies
Provides periodic
the crop approaches alerted during pre-
data
the harvest stage harvest stage
•If farmer has used •Initiating the •For crop losses or
the disbursed loan repayment process. yield losses
for the intended
purpose
37
In the dairy sector, insurance firms are now able to finance cash flows and insure farmers for loss of
https://www.digitalnewsasia.com/insights/digital-
solution-towards-data-driven-agriculture-malaysia
income due to climatic factors by determining the amount of compensation payable to a farmer based on
both quantity and quality of milk produced
Embedding risk financing as a component of value chain financing can
enable better risk management
38
Source https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319204176_A_satellite-based_drought_impact_assessment_in_Eastern_Cape_South_Africa_Earth_Observation_capabilities_to_support_the_implementation_of_the_Sendai_Framework
https://blog.abodoo.com/smart-working/smart-villages-future/
39
Investing in expansion of rural social protection systems is critical
POVERTY INCLUSIVE
REDUCTION GROWTH
building the
boosting achieving food
enhancing the resilience of
economic security and
productivity poor rural
growth nutrition
families
40
Bridging information gaps between financial & agricultural sectors
42
Expanding access to financial services
Behavioral anomaly
Promoting welfare among farmers
Crowding out
Ex-post mechanisms like welfare crowd out ex-ante
instruments like insurance