Botswana Power Sector
Botswana Power Sector
Date: February 25, 2013
Presented by: Thema Molubi
PRESENTATION OVERVIEW
1. POWER SUPPLY PLAN
2. TRANSMISSION GRID DEVELOPMENT PLAN
POWER SUPPLY PLAN
POWER SUPPLY PLAN OVERVIEW
1. Electricity Demand Forecast
2. Power Supply Plan (2013 – 2020)
3. Demand – Supply Balance
4. Long Term Generation Projects
Botswana Electricity Demand Forecast
Energy Demand Forecast
7,000 Peak Demand (MW)
1000
6,000
900
5,000 800
Energy (GWh)
700
4,000
600
3,000 500
400
2,000
300
1,000 200
‐ 100
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Energy Demand (Revised) GWh Energy Demand (DF Low) GWh
Peak Demand MW
Energy Demand (DF Likely) GWh
YEAR UNIT 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Peak Demand MW 578 644 681 711 744 773 854 877 902
Energy Demand 3,676 3,890 4,038 4,177 4,320 4,468 5,547 5,660 5,801
GWh
(Revised)
Energy Demand 3,679 3,878 3,995 4,096 4,181 4,292 4,579 4,651 4,868
GWh
(D/Forecast Low)
Energy Demand 3,864 4,298 4,499 4,666 4,852 5,003 5,547 5,660 5,801
GWh
(D/Forecast Likely)
Power Supply Plan (2013 – 2020)
Sources 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW
Morupule B
Morupule A
0 60 60 116 116 116 116 116
APR Rental
70 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ORAPA 90MW
90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
SAPP Imports
100
+ 100 100 0 0 0 0 0
200
Capacity Balance (Best Case Scenario)
2012 ‐ 2020 Capacity Balance
1200
1000
Capacity (MW)
800
600
400
200
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Orapa 90MW 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
Emergency (70MW) 70 70 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Eskom (Imports) 350 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0
Moruple B (5&6) 0 0 0 0 132 264 264 264 264
Morupule B 0 528 528 528 528 528 528 528 528
Morupule A 0 0 60 60 116 116 116 116 116
Peak Demand 580 644 681 711 744 773 854 877 902
Total Supply
510 788 778 778 866 998 998 998 998
Peak Demand
580 644 681 711 744 773 854 877 902
Morupule B: In full commercial operation by August 2013;
70MW Rented Diesel: Contract up to December 2013;
Eskom Imports: 100MW (2013 – 2015);
New Generation Capacity: Morupule B Units 5&6 secured 2016/17.
Supply ‐ Demand Outlook (2012 ‐ 2020)
1200
1000
800
MW
600
400
200
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Orapa Facility 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
APR 70 70 70 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SNEL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Eskom 150 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0
Morupule B2 0 0 0 0 264 264 264 264 264
Morupule B 0 132 528 528 528 528 528 528 528
Morupule A 20 0 0 100 100 100 100 100 100
Demand 578 598 655 713 729 745 766 797 829
Long Term Generation Projects
Capacity Timing Remarks
Sources (MW)
Morupule B 5&6
300 2017 Bankable Feasibility Study in place
Call for Expression of Interest being prepared
IPP Green Field Green field coal fired project at planning stage
300 2019 Project linked to coal exports, long term coal
monetization strategy – Coal Road Map
Request for information to be released.
Solar Thermal
1.3MW Pilot project commissioned in August 2012
75MW TBA (Phakalane).
TRANSMISSION GRID DEVELOPMENT PLAN
GRID PLAN OVERVIEW
1. Tx Grid Development Constraints
2. Tx Grid Development Plan
2. Tx Grid Capital Outlay (2013 – 2018)
Transmission Grid Constrains
Main Challenges to be addressed
1. Lack of Grid Access in the
Northwest Region
2. Demand Growth Outstripping
Grid Capacity in the South
3. Inadequate Transmission
Impact of Challenges
capacity to support new
1. Suppression of Economic
generation investments (IPPs
development (mining)
and Public Sector)
2. Suppression of Coal Beneficiation
3. Unreliable Power Supply in the
South
Transmission Grid Expansion Plan
ZIZABONA
SOUTHERN
SYSTEM
ZIZABONA PROJECT
To Maun
SOUTHERN SYSTEM REINFORCEMENT & EXPANSION PLAN
From Morupule
ISANG
Jwaneng
Substation
Mochudi
Free Zone
Innovation Hub
Airport Road
Thamaga
Phakalane
Rakola Segoditshane
Spitzkop
Broadhurst
Mogoditshane
Molepolole
Government Enclave
Kanye
Mmakgodumo
Gaborone South
Kgale View
KEY SOUTH
Proposed Existing AFRICA
Substation
132kV Line
Lobatse Woodhall Ramotswa
220kV Line Dwaalboom
400kV Line
Securing Power Supply Objectives (Access and Reliability)
No Objective Deliverable