Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Record On Appeal SCOTUS Format
Record On Appeal SCOTUS Format
Docket ························································································ 1
1 Conformed Complaint with Exhibits ·················································· 30
2 Motion for TRO and Exhibits ························································ 407
3 SUMMONS Submitted by Tyler Bowyer ·········································· 423
8 NOTICE of Errata re: 2 MOTION ·················································· 424
9 SUMMONS Submitted by Tyler Bowyer··········································· 427
10 Summons Issued as to Doug Ducey ··············································· 428
20 SERVICE EXECUTED filed by Tyler Bowyer ·································· 429
21SERVICE EXECUTED filed by Tyler Bowyer ·································· 430
22 SERVICE EXECUTED filed by Tyler Bowyer ································· 431
23 SERVICE EXECUTED filed by Tyler Bowyer ································· 432
26 ADP Motion to Intervene ··························································· 433
27 Maricopa County Motion to Intervene ············································ 444
29 Opposition to ADP's Motion to Intervene ········································ 453
31 ADPReply to Opposition to ADP's Motion to Intervene... ····················· 469
33 MOTION for Issuance of Pre-Hearing Order by Katie Hobbs ················· 474
34 PLAINTIFFS’ OPPOSITION TO REQUEST FOR PRE-HE... ··············· 477
35 ORDER PLAINTIFF WITNESS DISCLOSURE ······························· 481
36 Maricopa County's Motion to Dismiss ············································ 483
37 ADP's Motion to Dismiss ··························································· 492
38 Ducey's Motion to Dismiss ························································· 651
39 NOTICE re: Notice and Certification of Conferral Regarding Motion to
Dismiss ···················································································· 672
40 Hobbs Motion to Dismiss ··························································· 675
41 Hobbs supplemental authority ······················································ 730
42 NOTICE OF SERVICE ····························································· 753
44 Conformed Reply to Responses with exhibits ··································· 756
44 Reply to Motions to Dismiss ······················································· 756
45 Motion to Strike ADP's Motion to Dismiss ······································ 857
46 MOTION Modification of Hearing Schedule re: 28 Status Conference ······ 866
47 Notice of Service of Defendant ···················································· 872
48 NOTICE OF SERVICE OF MARICOPA COUNTY ··························· 875
49 NOTICE of Service of Discovery re: Rule 26 Expert Disclosures and Witness
······························································································ 877
50 NOTICE re: Service of Defendant Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs
Exhibit List and Providing Copies of Exhibits by Katie Hobbs ···················· 879
52 ADP's Reply in support of its Motion to Dismiss ······························· 881
53 Ducey Reply in Support of Motion to Dismiss ·································· 893
54 Maricopa County Reply in Support of Motion to Dismiss ······················ 902
55 Hobbs Reply in Support of Motion to Dismiss ·································· 908
56 MOTION for Hearing or Conference re: Hearing on Plaintiffs' Motion for
Preliminary ··············································································· 935
57 Hobbs Second Notice of Supplemental Authority... ···························· 941
58 Maricopa County Motion for Judicial Notice ···································· 981
61 ADP's Objection to Plaintiffs' Witnesses ········································ 1006
62 INTERVENERS MOTION TO STRIKE FACT WITNESS TESTIMONY
····························································································· 1026
63 OBJECTION to Plaintiffs Exhibit and Witness List for December 10 Hearing
····························································································· 1039
65 MOTION TO EXLUDE TESTIMONY OF PLAINTIFF ····················· 1059
66 MOTION in Limine re: Objections to Defense Experts by Tyler Bowyer ··· 1077
71 NOTICE OF SERVICE OF PLAINTIFF EXHIBIT LIST ···················· 1085
72 RESPONSE in Opposition to 58 County's MOTION for Judicial Notice by
Plaintiffs ················································································· 1088
73 *SUPPLEMENT to Governor Ducey's Objections to Plaintiff's Exhibit and
Witness List ············································································· 1138
75 NOTICE of Supplemental Authority by Tyler Bowyer ························ 1141
78 NOTICE of Errata re: 65 MOTION in Limine re ······························· 1300
79 NOTICE re: Notice of Exhibit Submission by Katie Hobbs ·················· 1563
81NOTICE re: of Supplemental Authority by Adrian Fontes, Maricopa County
Board of Supervisors. ·································································· 1608
84 ORDER: Defendants' Motion to Dismiss GRANTED ························· 1619
12/9/2020 CM/ECF - azd
CLOSED,STD
Brandon Johnson
Sidney Powell PC
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd., Ste. 300
Dallas, TX 75219
517-763-7499
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
Sidney Powell PC
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd., Ste. 300
Dallas, TX 75219
517-763-7499
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
Howard Kleinhenbdler Esq.
369 Lexington Ave., 12th Fl.
1
New York, NY 10017
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917-793-1188
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
Wood Hernacki & Evans LLC
1180 W Peachtree St., Ste. 2400
Atlanta, GA 30309
404-891-1402
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
2
LEAD ATTORNEY
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ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Plaintiff
Jake Hoffman represented by Alexander Michael Kolodin
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Plaintiff
Anthony Kern represented by Alexander Michael Kolodin
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
5 (See above for address)
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LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
6
LEAD ATTORNEY
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12/9/2020 CM/ECF - azd
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Plaintiff
Robert Montgomery represented by Alexander Michael Kolodin
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Plaintiff
Loraine Pellegrino represented by Alexander Michael Kolodin
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
9 (See above for address)
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LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
10
LEAD ATTORNEY
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ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Plaintiff
Michael Ward represented by Alexander Michael Kolodin
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Brandon Johnson
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Emily P Newman
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Howard Kleinhendler
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
L Lin Wood
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
V.
Defendant
Doug Ducey represented by Anni Lori Foster
in his official capacity as Governor of the Office of the Governor
State of Arizona 1700 W Washington St.
Phoenix, AZ 85007
602-542-1455
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Ian R Joyce
Snell & Wilmer LLP - Phoenix, AZ
1 Arizona Center
400 E Van Buren
Phoenix, AZ 85004-2202
602-382-6882
13
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Fax: 602-382-6070
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Defendant
Katie Hobbs represented by David Andrew Gaona
in her official capacity as the Arizona Coppersmith Brockelman PLC
Secretary of State 2800 N Central Ave., Ste. 1900
Phoenix, AZ 85004
602-381-5481
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Davida Brook
Susman Godfrey LLP - Los Angeles, CA
1901 Avenue of the Stars, Ste. 950
Los Angeles, CA 90067
310-789-3105
Fax: 310-789-3150
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Elizabeth B Hadaway
Susman Godfrey LLP
1000 Louisiana, Ste. 5100
Houston, TX 77002
713-653-7856
Fax: 713-654-6666
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Justin A Nelson
Susman Godfrey LLP
1000 Louisiana, Ste. 5100
Houston, TX 77002
713-653-7895
Fax: 713-654-6666
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Roopali H Desai
Coppersmith Brockelman PLC
2800 N Central Ave., Ste. 1900
Phoenix, AZ 85004
602-381-5478
Fax: 602-224-6020
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Intervenor
Arizona Democratic Party represented by Alexis Elizabeth Danneman
TERMINATED: 12/07/2020 Perkins Coie LLP - Phoenix, AZ
2901 N Central Ave., Ste. 2000
Phoenix, AZ 85012
602-351-8201
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
John M Devaney
Perkins Coie LLP - Washington, DC
700 13th St. NW, Ste. 600
Washington, DC 20005-3960
202-434-1624
Fax: 202-434-1690
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Laura C Hill
Perkins Coie LLP - Seattle, WA
1201 3rd Ave., Ste. 4800
Seattle, WA 98101-3099
206-359-8000
Fax: 206-359-9000
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Marc E Elias
Perkins Coie LLP - Washington, DC
700 13th St. NW, Ste. 600
Washington, DC 20005-3960
202-434-1609
Fax: 202-654-9126
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
PRO HAC VICE
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
16
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Intervenor
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors represented by Emily Mae Craiger
Maricopa County Attorneys Office - Civil
Services Division
222 N Central Ave., Ste. 1100
Phoenix, AZ 85004
602-506-8541
Fax: 602-506-8567
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Joseph I Vigil
Maricopa County Attorney Civil Services
Division
225 W Madison St.
Phoenix, AZ 85003
602-506-5841
Fax: 602-506-4317
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Thomas P Liddy
Maricopa County Attorneys Office - Civil
Services Division
222 N Central Ave., Ste. 1100
Phoenix, AZ 85004
602-506-8541
Fax: 602-506-8567
Email: [email protected]
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Intervenor
Adrian Fontes represented by Emily Mae Craiger
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Joseph I Vigil
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
Thomas P Liddy
(See above for address)
LEAD ATTORNEY
ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED
12/02/2020 19 NOTICE of Appearance by Roopali H Desai on behalf of Katie Hobbs. (Desai, Roopali)
(Entered: 12/02/2020)
12/02/2020 20 SERVICE EXECUTED filed by Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake
Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam
Moorhead, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward,
Michael Ward: Declaration of Service re: Complaint, Motion for TRO, Proposed Order
upon Anni Foster General Counsel for Doug Ducey on 12/02/2020. (Kolodin, Alexander)
(Entered: 12/02/2020)
12/02/2020 21 SERVICE EXECUTED filed by Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake
Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam
Moorhead, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward,
Michael Ward: Declaration of Service re: Complaint, Motion for TRO, Proposed Order
upon Ariel Morin for Katie Hobbs on 12/02/2020. (Kolodin, Alexander) (Entered:
12/02/2020)
12/02/2020 22 SERVICE EXECUTED filed by Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake
Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam
Moorhead, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward,
Michael Ward: Declaration of Service re: Summons and Order for 2pm Hearing for
12/3/2020 upon Anni Foster General Counsel for Doug Ducey on 12/02/2020. (Kolodin,
Alexander) (Entered: 12/02/2020)
12/02/2020 23 SERVICE EXECUTED filed by Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake
Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam
Moorhead, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward,
Michael Ward: Declaration of Service re: Summons and Order for 2pm Hearing for
12/3/2020 upon Maryn Herberg for Katie Hobbs on 12/02/2020. (Kolodin, Alexander)
(Entered: 12/02/2020)
12/03/2020 24 NOTICE of Appearance by Brett William Johnson on behalf of Doug Ducey. (Johnson,
Brett) (Entered: 12/03/2020)
12/03/2020 25 NOTICE of Appearance by Howard Kleinhendler on behalf of Tyler Bowyer.
(Kleinhendler, Howard) (Entered: 12/03/2020)
12/03/2020 26 MOTION to Intervene by Arizona Democratic Party. (Attachments: # 1 Text of Proposed
Order)(Danneman, Alexis) (Entered: 12/03/2020)
12/03/2020 Remark: Pro hac vice motion(s) granted for Justin A Nelson on behalf of Defendant Katie
Hobbs. This is a TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There is no PDF document associated with this
entry. (BAS) (Entered: 12/03/2020)
12/03/2020 Remark: Pro hac vice motion(s) granted for Stephen Edward Morrissey on behalf of
Defendant Katie Hobbs. This is a TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There is no PDF document
associated with this entry. (BAS) (Entered: 12/03/2020)
12/03/2020 Remark: Pro hac vice motion(s) granted for Sidney Katherine Powell on behalf of
Plaintiffs Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern,
Christopher M King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam Moorhead, Loraine
Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward, Michael Ward. This is a
TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There is no PDF document associated with this entry. (BAS)
(Entered: 12/03/2020)
12/03/2020 27 MOTION to Intervene by Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, Adrian Fontes. (Liddy,
Thomas) (Entered: 12/03/2020)
12/03/2020 28 MINUTE ENTRY for proceedings21held before Judge Diane J Humetewa: Telephonic
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12/9/2020 CM/ECF - azd
Status Conference held on December 3, 2020. As set forth on the record, Defendants shall
file their Response/Motion to Dismiss to Plaintiffs' Motion for Temporary Restraining
Order and Preliminary Injunction (Doc. 2 ) by 10:00 PM on December 4, 2020. A Reply to
the Motion (Doc. 2 ) and the Response to the Motion to Dismiss is due by 10:00 PM on
December 5, 2020. A Reply to the Motion to Dismiss is due by 10:00 PM on December 6,
2020.
LATER (off the record): IT IS ORDERED setting a Temporary Restraining Order Hearing
for Tuesday, December 8, 2020 at 9:15 AM in Courtroom 604, 401 West Washington
Street, Phoenix, AZ 85003 before Judge Diane J Humetewa. A maximum of two (2)
counsel are permitted in person for named Plaintiffs and Defendants. All other
participating counsel will appear telephonically and will receive dial-in instructions via
separate electronic communication. Each named party will have one (1) hour to present
their case. The parties are to meet and confer as to whether agreement can be reached as to
admissibility of witness affidavits and/or declarations. The named parties will have 20
minutes each to argue the Motion to Dismiss, and five (5) minutes for rebuttal. If
necessary, the Court may extend the time of hearing to Wednesday, December 9, 2020 at
9:00 AM. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that if any member of the public or the media
wishes to listen to the hearing, they shall email [email protected] to obtain
dialing instructions. Pursuant to Local Rule 43.1, participants and listeners are
reminded that audiotaping court proceedings is prohibited.
12/04/2020 Remark: Pro hac vice motion(s) granted for Davida Brook on behalf of Defendant Katie
Hobbs. This is a TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There is no PDF document associated with this
entry. (BAS) (Entered: 12/04/2020)
12/04/2020 Remark: Pro hac vice motion(s) granted for Howard Kleinhendler on behalf of Plaintiffs
Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern,
Christopher M King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam Moorhead, Loraine
Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward, Michael Ward. This is a
TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There is no PDF document associated with this entry. (BAS)
(Entered: 12/04/2020)
12/04/2020 Remark: Pro hac vice motion(s) granted for Marc E Elias, Bruce Van Spiva, Laura C Hill
on behalf of Intervenor Arizona Democratic Party. This is a TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There
is no PDF document associated with this entry. (BAS) (Entered: 12/04/2020)
12/04/2020 33 MOTION for Issuance of Pre-Hearing Order by Katie Hobbs. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit 1,
# 2 Text of Proposed Order)(Desai, Roopali) (Entered: 12/04/2020)
12/04/2020 Remark: Pro hac vice motion(s) granted for Stephen Lee Shackelford, Jr on behalf of
Defendant Katie Hobbs. This is a TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There is no PDF document
associated with this entry. (BAS) (Entered: 12/04/2020)
12/04/2020 Remark: Pro hac vice motion(s) granted for L Lin Wood on behalf of Plaintiffs Tyler
Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M
King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam Moorhead, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg
Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward, Michael Ward. This is a TEXT ENTRY
ONLY. There is no PDF document associated with this entry. (BAS) (Entered: 12/04/2020)
12/04/2020 Remark: Pro hac vice motion(s) granted for John M Devaney on behalf of Intervenor
Arizona Democratic Party. This is a TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There is no PDF document
associated with this entry. (BAS) (Entered: 12/04/2020)
12/04/2020 34 RESPONSE in Opposition re: 33 MOTION for Issuance of Pre-Hearing Order filed by
Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern,
Christopher M King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam Moorhead, Loraine
Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward, Michael Ward. (Kolodin,
Alexander) (Entered: 12/04/2020)
12/04/2020 35 ORDER: IT IS ORDERED that Plaintiffs shall provide full and complete witness
disclosures by Saturday, December 5, 2020, at 12:00 PM. Defendants and Intervenors shall
provide full and complete witness disclosures by Sunday, December 6, 2020, at 12:00 PM.
Witness admissibility issues should be resolved by stipulation. All parties must disclose
and exchange exhibits by Sunday, December 6, 2020 at 3:00 PM. The parties shall ensure
that copies of all exhibits must be produced to the Court by Monday, December 7, 2020 at
12:00 PM. Document admissibility issues should be resolved by stipulation. ORDERED
that the parties' objections to witnesses and exhibits shall be filed with the Court, as
described herein, by Monday, December 7, 2020 at 12:00 PM. IT IS FURTHER
ORDERED that any witness or exhibit not disclosed to the other party or to the Court will
not be admitted at the hearing. Signed by Judge Diane J Humetewa on 12/4/2020. (See
Order for details.) (LFIG) (Entered: 12/04/2020)
12/04/2020 36 * MOTION to Dismiss Case and RESPONSE in Opposition to 2 Plaintiffs' MOTION for
Temporary Restraining Order, MOTION for Preliminary Injunction by Adrian Fontes,
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors. (Liddy, Thomas) *Modified to add text and
document link on 12/7/2020 (SLQ). (Entered: 12/04/2020)
12/04/2020 37 *MOTION to Dismiss Case and RESPONSE to 2 Plaintiffs' MOTION for Temporary
Restraining Order, MOTION for Preliminary Injunction by Arizona Democratic Party.
23
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Case - Defendant Secretary of State Katie Hobbs' Combined Motion to Dismiss and
Opposition to Motion for TRO/Preliminary Injunction, 36 MOTION to Dismiss Case and
Response in Opposition to Plaintiffs' Motion for Temporary Restraining Order and
Preliminary Injunction filed by Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake
Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam
Moorhead, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward,
Michael Ward. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit Exhibits 1 - 5)(Kolodin, Alexander) (Entered:
12/05/2020)
12/05/2020 45 MOTION to Strike 37 MOTION to Dismiss Case and Response to Plaintiffs' Motion for a
Temporary Restraining Order and Preliminary Injunction by Tyler Bowyer, Michael John
Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M King, James R Lamon,
Robert Montgomery, Sam Moorhead, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke
Scarmardo, Kelli Ward, Michael Ward. (Attachments: # 1 Text of Proposed Order)
(Kolodin, Alexander) (Entered: 12/05/2020)
12/05/2020 46 MOTION Modification of Hearing Schedule re: 28 Status Conference, Set/Reset Hearings,
Set/Reset Motion and R&R Deadlines/Hearings, Common Prompts (Text Only) by Tyler
Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M
King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam Moorhead, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg
Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward, Michael Ward. (Attachments: # 1 Text of
Proposed Order)(Kolodin, Alexander) (Entered: 12/05/2020)
12/06/2020 47 NOTICE re: Service of Defendant Governor Duceys Combined Exhibit and Witness List
for December 10, 2020 Hearing by Doug Ducey . (Johnson, Brett) (Entered: 12/06/2020)
12/06/2020 48 Exhibit List and Witnesses and Providing Copies of Exhibits by Adrian Fontes, Maricopa
County Board of Supervisors. (Liddy, Thomas) (Entered: 12/06/2020)
12/06/2020 49 *NOTICE of Service of Discovery re: Rule 26 Expert Disclosures and Witness
Disclosures for December 10, 2020 Hearing by Katie Hobbs . (Brook, Davida) *Modified
to correct event; attorney noticed on 12/7/2020 (SLQ). (Entered: 12/06/2020)
12/06/2020 50 NOTICE re: Service of Defendant Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs Exhibit List
and Providing Copies of Exhibits by Katie Hobbs . (Brook, Davida) (Entered: 12/06/2020)
12/06/2020 51 ORDER: IT IS ORDERED that Plaintiffs' Motion for Modification of Hearing Schedule
(Doc. 46 ), in which they seek to have three hours to present expert witnesses during the
Oral Argument set for Tuesday, December 8, 2020 on Defendants' pending Motions to
Dismiss, is DENIED. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED the December 8, 2020 hearing will
solely be on the arguments presented in the Motions to Dismiss (See Doc. 43). ORDERED
by Judge Diane J Humetewa on 12/6/2020. This is a TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There is no
PDF document associated with this entry. (LFIG) (Entered: 12/06/2020)
12/06/2020 52 REPLY to Response to Motion re: 37 MOTION to Dismiss Case and Response to
Plaintiffs' Motion for a Temporary Restraining Order and Preliminary Injunction filed by
Arizona Democratic Party. (Danneman, Alexis) (Entered: 12/06/2020)
12/06/2020 53 *REPLY TO RESPONSE to Motion re: 38 MOTION to Dismiss for Failure to State a
Claim MOTION to Dismiss for Lack of Jurisdiction filed by Doug Ducey. (Johnson, Brett)
*Modified to correct event; attorney noticed on 12/7/2020 (SLQ). (Entered: 12/06/2020)
12/06/2020 54 *REPLY to RESPONSE to 36 MOTION to Dismiss by Intervenor Parties Adrian Fontes,
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors. (Liddy, Thomas) *Modified to correct event;
attorney noticed on 12/7/2020 (SLQ). (Entered: 12/06/2020)
12/06/2020 55 *REPLY to RESPONSE re: 40 MOTION to Dismiss Case by Defendant Katie Hobbs.
(Attachments: # 1 Exhibit Index and Exhibit A, # 2 Exhibit B)(Nelson, Justin) *Modified
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arguments on the motions to dismiss." (Doc. 56 ). Plaintiffs filed a Motion for TRO and
Preliminary Injunction as a single filing on December 2, 2020 (Doc. 2 ). As the parties are
aware, the Court originally set a hearing on that Motion (Doc. 2 ) for December 8, 2020,
later converting that hearing to an Oral Argument on the Motions to Dismiss (Doc. 43 ).
The Court reiterated this ruling (Doc. 51 ) in denying a Motion (Doc. 46 ) from Plaintiffs
requesting to present three hours of expert witness testimony related to the TRO at the
Oral Argument on the Motions to Dismiss. A hearing on the TRO is currently scheduled to
take place on Thursday, December 10, 2020 at 9:30 AM. The Court clarifies that the
Hearing on December 10, 2020 will encompass Plaintiffs' Motion for TRO and
Preliminary Injunction (Doc. 2 ), to the extent that Motion argues for a Preliminary
Injunction. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED the Court will not hear any witness
testimony at the hearing on the Motions to Dismiss. ORDERED by Judge Diane J
Humetewa on 12/7/2020. This is a TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There is no PDF document
associated with this entry. (LFIG) (Entered: 12/07/2020)
12/07/2020 69 ORDER: The Court being fully apprised of the briefing on the Motions to Dismiss in this
matter, and in the interest of judicial economy, IT IS ORDERED setting the following
argument schedule for the Oral Argument on the Motions to Dismiss set for December 8,
2020: Defendants shall collectively have 20 minutes to argue their Motions to Dismiss.
Defendants, including Intervenor Defendants (Ducey, Hobbs, Fontes, and Maricopa
County Board of Supervisors), shall confer and designate one attorney to present oral
argument on behalf of Defendants. Plaintiffs shall have 20 minutes in response, and shall
designate one attorney to make their oral argument. Defendants will be allowed a 5 minute
rebuttal, argued by a single attorney. Moreover, IT IS FURTHER ORDERED denying the
Motion to Intervene by the Arizona Democratic Party (Doc. 26 ), and likewise, the Court
will not consider its Motion to Dismiss (Doc. 37 ), with a written order to follow. IT IS
FURTHER ORDERED denying Plaintiffs' Motion to Strike (Doc. 45 ) as moot.
ORDERED by Judge Diane J Humetewa on 12/7/2020. This is a TEXT ENTRY ONLY.
There is no PDF document associated with this entry. (LFIG) (Entered: 12/07/2020)
12/07/2020 70 RESPONSE to Motion re: 14 MOTION to Seal Document filed by Katie Hobbs. (Desai,
Roopali) (Entered: 12/07/2020)
12/07/2020 71 NOTICE of Service of Discovery filed by Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy
Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M King, James R Lamon, Robert
Montgomery, Sam Moorhead, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke
Scarmardo, Kelli Ward, Michael Ward. (Kolodin, Alexander) (Entered: 12/07/2020)
12/07/2020 72 *RESPONSE in Opposition to 58 County's MOTION for Judicial Notice by Plaintiffs
Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern,
Christopher M King, James R Lamon, Robert Montgomery, Sam Moorhead, Loraine
Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward, Michael Ward.
(Attachments: # 1 Exhibit)(Kolodin, Alexander) *Modified to correct event; attorney
noticed on 12/8/2020 (SLQ). (Entered: 12/07/2020)
12/07/2020 73 *SUPPLEMENT to Governor Ducey's Objections to Plaintiff's Exhibit and Witness List
for December 10 Hearing re: 63 Objection by Defendant Doug Ducey. (Johnson, Brett)
*Modified text on 12/8/2020 (SLQ). (Entered: 12/07/2020)
12/08/2020 74 MINUTE ORDER: The Court has received inquiries from the public who wish to listen to
the December 8, 2020, hearing. Although the standard is that federal district courts may
not broadcast their proceedings, the Executive Committee of the Judicial Conference
recently issued a guidance document that "approve[s] a temporary exception to the policy
to allow a judge to authorize the use of teleconference technology to provide the public
and the media audio access to court proceedings while public access to federal courthouses
generally, or with respect to a particular district, is restricted due to health and safety
27
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Members of the public or of the media seeking access to the hearing set for Thursday,
December 10, 2020 at 9:30 AM are to call: 1-844-291-5495 and enter access code:
5609904 when prompted. Pursuant to Local Rule 43.1, participants and listeners are
reminded that recording court proceedings is prohibited. This is a TEXT ENTRY
ONLY. There is no PDF document associated with this entry. (LFIG) (Entered:
12/08/2020)
12/08/2020 81 NOTICE re: of Supplemental Authority by Adrian Fontes, Maricopa County Board of
Supervisors . (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit Ward v. Jackson Decision Order (Ariz. S. Ct.,
December 8, 2020))(LaRue, Joseph) (Entered: 12/08/2020)
28
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12/08/2020 82 NOTICE TO FILER OF DEFICIENCY re: 81 Notice (Other) filed by Maricopa County
Board of Supervisors, Adrian Fontes. Document not in compliance with LRCiv 5.5(g) -
Documents signed by an attorney shall be filed using that attorney's ECF log-in and
password and shall not be filed using a log-in and password belonging to another attorney.
Document(s) signed by attorney Thomas Liddy but submitted using the log-in and
password belonging to attorney Joseph LaRue. No further action is required. This is a
TEXT ENTRY ONLY. There is no PDF document associated with this entry. (SLQ)
(Entered: 12/09/2020)
12/08/2020 83 NOTICE OF FILING OF OFFICIAL TRANSCRIPT of VIDEO TELECONFERENCE -
ORAL ARGUMENTS proceedings held on 12/08/2020, before Judge DIANE J.
HUMETEWA. [Court Reporter: Elva Cruz-Lauer, RMR, CRR, Telephone number (602)
322-7261]. The ordering party will have electronic access to the transcript immediately.
All others may view the transcript at the court public terminal or it may be purchased
through the Court Reporter/Transcriber by filing a Transcript Order Form on the docket
before the deadline for Release of Transcript Restriction. After that date it may be obtained
through PACER. Redaction Request due 12/29/2020. Redacted Transcript Deadline set for
1/8/2021. Release of Transcript Restriction set for 3/8/2021. (RAP) (Entered: 12/09/2020)
12/09/2020 84 ORDER: IT IS HEREBY ORDERED that Defendants' Governor Doug Ducey, Secretary
of State Katie Hobbs, and Intervenor Defendants Maricopa County Board of Supervisors
and Adrian Fontes' Motions to Dismiss (Docs. 36 , 38 , and 40 ) are GRANTED.
ORDERED that all remaining pending motions (Docs. 14 , 62 , 65 and 66 ) are denied as
moot, and the hearing on Plaintiffs' TRO and Preliminary Injunction set for December 10,
2020 is vacated. IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that this matter is dismissed, and the Clerk
of Court is kindly directed to terminate this action. Signed by Judge Diane J Humetewa on
12/9/2020. (See Order for details.) (LFIG) (Entered: 12/09/2020)
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 1 of 53
30
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 2 of 53
2 1. This civil action brings to light a massive election fraud, of the Election and
3 Electors Clauses, and the Equal Protection and Due Process Clauses of the Fourteenth
4 Amendment, of the U.S. Constitution and multiple violations of the Arizona election laws.
5 These violations occurred during the 2020 General Election throughout the State of
6 Arizona, as set forth in the affidavits of eyewitnesses and the voter data cited, the statistical
8 2. The scheme and artifice to defraud was for the purpose of illegally and
10 President of the United States, and also of various down ballot democrat candidates in the
11 2020 election cycle. The fraud was executed by many means, but the most fundamentally
12 troubling, insidious, and egregious ploy was the systemic adaptation of old-fashioned
13 “ballot-stuffing.” It has now been amplified and rendered virtually invisible by computer
14 software created and run by domestic and foreign actors for that very purpose. This
15 Complaint details an especially egregious range of conduct in Maricopa County and other
16 Arizona counties using employing Dominion Systems, though this conduct occurred
21 State of Arizona, that collectively add up to multiples of Biden’s purported lead in the
23 4. While this Complaint, and the eyewitness and expert testimony incorporated
24 herein, identify with specificity sufficient ballots required to set aside the 2020 General
25 Election results, the entire process is so riddled with fraud, illegality, and statistical
26 impossibility that this Court, and Arizona’s voters, courts, and legislators, cannot rely on,
27 or certify, any numbers resulting from this election. Accordingly, this Court must set aside
28 the results of the 2020 General Election and grant the declaratory and injunctive relief
31 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 3 of 53
1 requested herein.
3 5. The fraud begins with the election software and hardware from Dominion
5 systems derive from the software designed by Smartmatic Corporation, which became
8 to ensure computerized ballot-stuffing and vote manipulation to whatever level was needed
9 to make certain Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez never lost another election. See Ex. 1,
32 -3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 4 of 53
of that voter’s identity. Smartmatic created and operated the entire system.
1 See Exh. 1. ¶¶ 10 & 14.
2
8. A core requirement of the Smartmatic software design ultimately adopted by
3
Dominion for Arizona’s elections was the software’s ability to hide its manipulation of
4
votes from any audit. As the whistleblower explains:
5
Chavez was most insistent that Smartmatic design the system in a way that
6 the system could change the vote of each voter without being detected. He
wanted the software itself to function in such a manner that if the voter
7 were to place their thumb print or fingerprint on a scanner, then the
8 thumbprint would be tied to a record of the voter’s name and identity as
having voted, but that voter would not tracked to the changed vote. He
9 made it clear that the system would have to be setup to not leave any
evidence of the changed vote for a specific voter and that there would be no
10
evidence to show and nothing to contradict that the name or the fingerprint
11 or thumb print was going with a changed vote. Smartmatic agreed to create
such a system and produced the software and hardware that accomplished
12 that result for President Chavez. Id. ¶15.
13
9. The design and features of the Dominion software do not permit a simple
14
audit to reveal its misallocation, redistribution, or deletion of votes. First, the system’s
15
central accumulator does not include a protected real-time audit log that maintains the date
16
and time stamps of all significant election events. Key components of the system utilize
17
unprotected logs. Essentially this allows an unauthorized user the opportunity to arbitrarily
18
add, modify, or remove log entries, causing the machine to log election events that do not
19
reflect actual voting tabulations—or more specifically, do not reflect the actual votes of or
20
the will of the people.2
21
10. This Complaint will show that Dominion violated physical security standards
22
by connecting voting machines to the Internet, allowing Dominion, domestic third parties
23
24
25
2
See Ex. 7, August 24, 2020 Declaration of Harri Hursti, ¶¶45-48 (expert testimony
in Case 1:17-cv-02989 in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Georgia).
26 The Texas Secretary of State refused to certify Dominion for similar reasons as those
27 cited by Mr. Hursti. See Ex. 11A, 11B, State of Texas Secretary of State, Elections
Division, Report of Review of Dominion Voting Systems Democracy Suite 5.5-A at 2
28 (Jan. 24, 2020).
33 -4-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 5 of 53
1 or hostile foreign actors to access the system and manipulate election results, and moreover
5 the Voting Rights Act record retention requirements through manipulation, alteration,
6 destruction and likely foreign exfiltration of voting records. See 52 U.S.C. § 20701.
7 11. These and other problems with Dominion’s software have been widely
8 reported in the press and been the subject of investigations. In using Dominion Voting
9 Systems Democracy Suite, Arizona officials disregarded all the concerns that caused
10 Dominion software to be rejected by the Texas Board of elections in 2020 because it was
12 Certification because of concerns that it was not safe from fraud or unauthorized
15 Science and Election Security Expert has recently observed, with reference to Dominion
16 Voting machines: “I figured out how to make a slightly different computer program that
17 just before the polls were closed, it switches some votes around from one candidate to
18 another. I wrote that computer program into a memory chip and now to hack a voting
21 foreign interference in the 2020 General Election. For example, in the accompanying
23 Intelligence with experience gathering SAM missile system electronic intelligence, the
24 Dominion software was accessed by agents acting on behalf of China and Iran in order to
25 monitor and manipulate elections, including the most recent US general election in 2020.
27 3
Andrew W. Appel, et al., “Ballot Marking Devices (BMDs) Cannot Assure the Will
28 of the Voters” at (Dec. 27, 2019),( attached hereto as Ex. 10 (“Appel Study”)).
34 -5-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 6 of 53
1 14. Because this Complaint concerns mainly federal questions, it was not styled
3 15. Nonetheless, the factual basis of this Complaint would also support an
4 election contest under Arizona law since A.R.S. § 16-672 allows for contests on the
5 grounds of misconduct, offenses against the elective franchise, on account of illegal votes,
7 16. Similarly, the relief sought is in accord with Arizona law. A.R.S. § 16-676
8 provides clear remedies in the event of a successful contest, providing that the results of an
9 election may either be annulled and set aside, A.R.S. § 16-676(B), or, if it appears that the
10 winner was other than the person certified, the erroneously declared winner's certificate of
12 17. In the event that the election is annulled and set aside, there would certainly
13 not be time to hold a new election, especially given the issues identified herein. However,
14 it would be eminently proper for the question of the choice of electors to then revert to the
15 legislature, for “[t]here is no doubt of the right of the legislature to resume the power [to
16 appoint electors] at any time, for it can neither be taken away nor abdicated.” Bush v. Gore,
17 531 U.S. 98, 104, 121 S. Ct. 525, 529-30, 148 L.Ed.2d 388, 398 (2000) (citing with
18 approval McPherson v. Blacker, 146 U.S. 1, 35, 13 S. Ct. 3, 10, 36 L.Ed. 869, 877 (1892)).
19 18. Furthermore, this Court need not be concerned with whether such weighty
20 questions can be addressed on an expedited timeline, because Arizona law provides very
21 aggressive deadlines for the resolution of elections challenges. Specifically, Arizona law
22 provides for election challenges to be resolved on the merits within 10 days of filing.
23 A.R.S. § 16-676(A).
35 -6-
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36 -7-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 8 of 53
1 Dominion had the specific intent to interfere, and change the results of, the 2020 General
2 Election.
4 22. This Court has subject matter under 28 U.S.C. § 1331 which provides, “The
5 district courts shall have original jurisdiction of all civil actions arising under the
7 23. This Court also has subject matter jurisdiction under 28 U.S.C. § 1343
8 because this action involves a federal election for President of the United States. “A
9 significant departure from the legislative scheme for appointing Presidential electors
10 presents a federal constitutional question.” Bush v. Gore, 531 U.S. 98, 113 (2000)
11 (Rehnquist, C.J., concurring); Smiley v. Holm, 285 U.S. 355, 365 (1932).
14 25. This Court has jurisdiction over the related Arizona constitutional claims and
16 26. Venue is proper because a substantial part of the events or omissions giving
17 rise to the claim occurred in the District of Arizona. 28 U.S.C. § 1391(b) & (c).
18 27. Because the United States Constitution reserves for state legislatures the
19 power to set the time, place, and manner of holding elections for Congress and the
20 President, state executive officers have no authority to unilaterally exercise that power,
22 THE PARTIES
23 28. Each of the following Plaintiffs is a registered Arizona voter and a nominee
24 of the Republican Party to be a Presidential Elector on behalf of the State of Arizona: Tyler
37 -8-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 9 of 53
1 resident of Maricopa County; Greg Safsten, a resident of Maricopa County; Kelli Ward, a
3 29. Plaintiff Michael John Burke is a registered Arizona voter residing in Pinal
4 County. Mr. Burke is the Republican Party Chairman for Pinal County.
6 County. Mr. Burke is the Republican Party Vice Chairman for Pima County.
8 Mohave County. Mr. Burke is the Republican Party Chairman for Mohave County.
9 32. Presidential Electors “have a cognizable interest in ensuring that the final
10 vote tally reflects the legally valid votes cast,” as “[a]n inaccurate vote tally is a concrete
11 and particularized injury to candidates such as the Electors.” Carson v. Simon, 978 F.3d
12 1051, 1057 (8th Cir. 2020) (affirming that Presidential Electors have Article III and
14 election laws); see also McPherson v. Blacker, 146 U.S. 1, 27 (1892); Bush v. Palm Beach
16 33. Plaintiffs bring this action to prohibit certification of the election results for
17 the Office of President of the United States in the State of Arizona and to obtain the other
18 declaratory and injunctive relief requested herein. Defendants certified those results on
19 November 30, 2020, indicating a plurality for Mr. Biden of 10,457 votes out of 3,420,565
20 cast.
21 34. The Defendants are Arizona Governor Doug Ducey, and Arizona Secretary
26 official capacity as Arizona Secretary of State, who serves as the chief election officer in
28 STATEMENT OF FACTS
38 -9-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 10 of 53
1 37. Plaintiffs bring this action under 42 U.S.C. §§ 1983 and 1988, to remedy
3 the United States and to contest the election results, and the corollary provisions under the
4 Arizona Constitution.
5 38. The United States Constitution sets forth the authority to regulate federal
7 39.
The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and
8 Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature
thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such
9 Regulations, except as to the Places of choosing Senators.
U.S. CONST. art. I, § 4 (“Elections Clause”).
10
40. With respect to the appointment of presidential electors, the Constitution
11
provides:
12 Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may
direct, a Number of Electors, equal to the whole Number of Senators and
13 Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress: but no
Senator or Representative, or Person holding an Office of Trust or Profit
14 under the United States, shall be appointed an Elector.
U.S. CONST. art. II, § 1 (“Electors Clause”).
15
41. None of Defendants is a “Legislature” as required under the Elections Clause
16
or Electors Clause to set the rules governing elections. The Legislature is “‘the
17
representative body which ma[kes] the laws of the people.’” Smiley, 285 U.S. 365.
18
Regulations of congressional and presidential elections, thus, “must be in accordance with
19
the method which the state has prescribed for legislative enactments.” Id. at 367; see also
20
Ariz. State Legislature v. Ariz. Indep. Redistricting Comm’n, 576 U.S. 787, 135 S. Ct. 2652,
21
2668 (U.S. 2015).
22
42. While the Elections Clause "was not adopted to diminish a State's authority
23
to determine its own lawmaking processes," Ariz. State Legislature, 135 S. Ct. at 2677, it
24
does hold states accountable to their chosen processes when it comes to regulating federal
25
elections, id. at 2668. "A significant departure from the legislative scheme for appointing
26
Presidential electors presents a federal constitutional question." Bush, 531 U.S. at 113
27
(Rehnquist, C.J., concurring); Smiley, 285 U.S. at 365.
28
39 - 10 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 11 of 53
1 43. Secretary Hobbs certified the Presidential Election results on November 30,
2 2020. The Presidential election results in Arizona show a difference of 10,457 “tallied”
4 44. The specific factual allegations of fraud and statutory and constitutional
5 violations are set forth in greater detail below. Section I describes specific violations of
6 Arizona law. Section II provides expert witness testimony quantifying the number of
7 illegal votes due to distinct categories of voting fraud and other unlawful conduct. Section
8 III provides fact and expert witness testimony, as well as summaries of other publicly
10 Dominion voting systems’ voting fraud in Arizona during the 2020 General Election, the
11 security flaws that allow election workers, or even hostile foreign actors, to manipulate
12 Arizona election results, and includes a summary of information relating to the motive and
13 opportunity, and a pattern of behavior to prove that Dominion and its executives
14 demonstrating that Dominion had the specific intent to interfere, and change the results of,
16 45. Based upon all the allegations of fraud, statutory violations, and other
17 misconduct, as stated herein and in the attached affidavits, it is necessary to enjoin the
22 charge of elections shall compare the signatures on the early ballot affidavit with the
23 signature of the elector on the elector’s registration record. If the signature is inconsistent,
24 the county recorder or other officer in charge of elections shall make reasonable efforts to
25 contact the voter and allow the voter to correct or confirm the inconsistent signature.
26 47. Pursuant to A.R.S. § 16-625, the officer in charge of elections shall ensure
27 that electronic data from and electronic or digital images of ballots are protected from
28 physical and electronic access, including unauthorized copying or transfer, and that all
40 - 11 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 12 of 53
1 security measures are at least as protective as those prescribed for paper ballots.
4 48. Affiant Burns stated that, while she was not permitted to be within viewing
5 range of computer screens or monitors, she did have an opportunity to view “High
6 Confidence” signatures following a brief power outage. Id. Upon seeing these, she was
7 “disturbed … that the signatures were not even close to the signatures that they were
8 ‘comparing’ the ballot signature to,” and because she was told by the one poll worker with
9 whom she was allowed to speak that “these signatures were counted.” (See Exh. 21)
11 49. Affiant Low expressed concern that “the two Maricopa County referees, who
12 [were] called upon to settle any unresolved disputes between the adjudicators, were
13 registered ‘Independent Party’ members.” (See Exh. 20, Low aff. ¶7) (emphasis in
14 original). When asked about that, they told Mr. Low that “this set up was laid out per
16 Due to the high likelihood of the Dominion machine rejecting ballots, a “set
17 up” like the one discussed above, impacts the outcome of the results of theelection. The
21 amongst the major parties per A.R.S. § 16-531(A). There should be zero tolerance of fraud
24 50. Affiant Low and fellow poll watcher Greg Wodynski repeatedly asked the
25 Dominion employee (named “Bruce”) at their polling location as to whether the Dominion
26 machines were connected to the internet and how data was backed up. The Dominion
27 employee repeatedly denied that the machines were connected to the Internet, id. ¶11, but
28 “admitted that he took a complete copy of the voter files, being stored in the Dominion
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1 system out of the building with him every night as a form of a ‘back up’ copy.” Id. ¶22.
2 51. Low’s fellow poll watcher, Affiant Gregory Wodynski, provides more detail
3 on these regularities. First, Dominion employees and supervisors informed Mr. Wodynski
4 “that about 12% of mail in ballots were being rejected and needed human intervention in
5 the adjudication process,” which “amounted to tens of thousands of ballots that required
6 intervention” in the days he was an observer. Ex. 22, Wodynski aff at ¶9. Mr. Wodynski
7 confirms that “Bruce” stated that “he would perform a manual daily system backup to an
8 external hard drive,” id. ¶10, and that “he made a daily second disk backup to a new spare
9 hard drive[] … [that] were being physically moved off site to another building outside the
10 MTEC building,” but would not say where. Id. ¶11. Bruce further stated “there was NO
11 CHAIN OF CUSTODY on data backup hard drives leaving the MTEC facility on a
14 Bruce of the “the specifics of a process where he was manually manipulating stored scanner
15 tabulation data files,” which “he described as a processing issue at the numerous
16 adjudication computer workstations.” Id. ¶12. Bruce claimed that this was to split large
17 files into small files for adjudication. Id. ¶13. Mr. Wydnoski was concerned because this
18 “was a human intervention process and therefore creating a potential for intention or
21 53. Affiant Linda Brickman, the 1st Vice-Chair of the Maricopa County
23 machines on November 18, 2020. Ex. 23, Brickman Aff at 1. Mr. Brickman observed the
24 following problems:
• Signature verification standards were constantly being lowered by
25
Supervisors in order to more quickly process that higher amount of early
26 and mail-in ballots (from approx. 15 points of similarities, to a minimum of
3, lowered to 1, and ultimately to none – “Just pass each signature
27 verification through”) …
28
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Id. at 5-6.
1
6 In Ballots.
7 54. The attached report of William M. Briggs, Ph.D. (“Dr. Briggs Report”)
8 summarizes the multi-state phone survey that includes a survey of Arizona voters collected
9 by Matt Braynard, which was conducted from November 15-17, 2020. See Ex., Dr. Briggs
10 Report at 1, and Att. 1 (“Briggs Survey”). The Briggs Survey identified two specific errors
11 involving unreturned mail-in ballots that are indicative of voter fraud, namely: “Error #1:
12 those who were recorded as receiving absentee ballots without requesting them;” and
13 “Error #2: those who returned absentee ballots but whose votes went missing (i.e., marked
15 estimate, within 95% confidence or prediction intervals, the number of ballots affected by
16 these errors are from a total population of 518,560 unreturned mail-in ballots for the State
17 of Arizona.
18 55. With respect to Error #1, Dr. Briggs’ analysis estimated that 208,333 to
19 229,337 ballots out of the total 518,560 unreturned ballots were recorded for voters who
20 had not requested them. Id. All of these absentee ballots were sent to someone besides
21 the registered voter named in the request, and thus could have been filled out by anyone
22 and then submitted in the name of another voter. Id. (Ballots ordered by third parties that
23 were voted, those would no longer be in the unreturned pool and therefore cannot be
25 56. With respect to Error #2, he found 78,714 to 94,975 ballots out of 518,560
26 unreturned ballots recorded for voters who did return their ballots, but were recorded
27 as being unreturned. Id. These absentee ballots were either lost or destroyed (consistent
28 with allegations of Trump ballot destruction) and/or were replaced with blank ballots filled
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2 57. Taking the average of the two types of errors together, 303,305 ballots, or
3 58% of the total, are disenfranchisement and unlawful.Id. These errors are not only
4 conclusive evidence of widespread fraud by the State of Arizona, but they are fully
5 consistent with the evidence about Dominion presented in Section III below insofar as
6 these unreturned absentee ballots represent a pool of blank ballots that could be filled
7 in by third parties to shift the election to Joe Biden, and also present the obvious
8 conclusion that there must be absentee ballots unlawfully ordered by third parties that were
9 returned.
10 58. Dr. Briggs’ finding that 58% of “unreturned ballots” suffer from one of the
11 two errors above is consistent with his findings in the four other States analyzed (Georgia
12 39%, Michigan 45%, Pennsylvania 37%, and Wisconsin 45%). His analysis also provides
13 further support that these widespread “irregularities” or anomalies were one part of a much
14 larger multi-state fraudulent scheme to rig the 2020 General Election for Joe Biden.
18 Address (“NCOA”) Database shows that 5,085 Arizona voters in the 2020
23 5,790 ineligible voters whose votes must be removed from the total for the
26 59. Expert witness Russell James Ramsland, Jr. identifies two types of statistical
27 anomalies that he concludes are the result of voting fraud. (See Ex. 17). First, as in other
28 States Mr. Ramsland has analyzed (Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin), Mr. Ramsland
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2 publicly available data, Mr. Ramsland determined that 66 percent of Pima County precincts
3 (164 of 248) had turn out above 80%, and at least 36 had turnout above 90%, and that 54
4 percent of Maricopa County precincts (300 of 558) had turnout of 80% or more, and at
5 least 30 over 90%. Id. ¶14. The report concludes that these extraordinary, and likely
7 certainty that the vote count in Arizona, in particular for Maricopa and Pima counties for
8 candidates for President contain at least 100,724 illegal votes that must be disregarded.
9 Id.¶14.
10 60. Mr. Ramsland also identifies an impossibility: “an improbable, and possibly
11 impossible spike in processed votes,” id. ¶16, like those also found in Georgia, Michigan
13 143,100 votes for Biden in Maricopa and Pima Counties. Id. Mr. Ramsland believes that
14 the spike in Arizona, like those in the other three States he analyzed could have been
21
• Unreturned mail ballots unlawfully ordered by third parties (average
22
for Briggs Error #1): 86,845.
23
26
• “Excess votes” to historically unprecedented, and likely fraudulent
27
turnout levels of 80% or more in over half of Maricopa and Pima
28
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2
62. In Conclusion, the Reports cited above show a total amount of illegal votes
3
identified that amount to 412,494 or over 40 times the margin by which candidate Biden
4
leads President Trump in the state of Arizona.
5
III. FACTUAL ALLEGATIONS REGARDING DOMINION VOTING SYSTEMS
6
5. The State of Arizona used Dominion Voting Systems in Maricopa County.
7
Dominion’s Results for 2020 General Election Demonstrate
8
Dominion Manipulated Election Results.
9
63. ]
10
64. Mr. Ramsland analyzed the Edison data reported to, and posted by, the New
11
York Times, and concludes that this data “strongly suggests” the use of an “additive
12
algorithm” (referred to as “ranked choice voting algorithm” (“RCV”) in Dominion’s user
13
guide), combined with blank ballots loaded by the election workers or system operators, to
14
manipulate votes in Arizona.6
15
65. Mr. Ramsland cites two specific examples from the Edison data
16
demonstrating Dominion’s algorithmic vote manipulation. The figure below, reproduced
17
from his testimony, graphs the Edison data on election night for Arizona, where the blue
18
bars “indicate the percentage of the batch that went for Biden,” while the red trend lines
19
and arrows “indicate the impossible consistencies” in that vote percentage. Id. ¶15. In
20
other words, the blue bars and the horizontal trend lines show that “the percentage of the
21
votes submitted in each batch that went towards candidate [Biden] remain unchanged for
22
a series of time and for a number of consecutive batches …” Id. Mr. Ramsland concludes
23
24 6
See Ex. 17, ¶15 (quoting Democracy Suite EMS Results Tally and Reporting User
25 Guide, Chapter 11, Settings 11.2.2, which reads in part, “RCV METHOD: This will
select the specific method of tabulating RCV votes to elect a winner.”) Using the
26 RCV method allows the operator to enter “blank ballots … into the system and treated as
27 ‘write-ins.’ Then the operator can enter an allocation of the write-ins among candidates
as he or she wishes. The result then awards the winner based on “points” that the
28 algorithm computes, not actual voter votes.” Id.
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3 percentage.” Id.
10
11
12
Impossible consistency in percentage of votes counted
13
14
66. The second example analyzed by Mr. Ramsland is “the improbable, and
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
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1 possibly impossible spike in processed votes” for Biden, namely, the insertion of 143,100
2 Biden votes in Maricopa and Pima Counties at 8:06:40 PM on November 3, 2020. See id.
3 ¶16.
4 This spike, cast largely for Biden, could easily be produced in the Dominion EMS
5
control system by pre-loading batches of blank ballots in files such as Write-Ins or other
6
adjudication-type files then casting them almost all for Biden using the Override
7
8 Procedure (to cast Write-In, Blank, or Error ballots) that is available to the operator of the
9 system. A few batches of blank ballots electronically pre-loaded into the adjudication
10
files could easily produce a processed ballot stream this extreme so that actual paper
11
ballots would not be needed until later to create “corroboration” for the electronic count.
12
13 Id.
14
6. Administrative and Judicial Decisions Regarding Dominion’s
15
Security Flaws.
16
67. Texas. Texas, through its by the Secretary of State, denied certification to
17
nearly the same Dominion Democracy Suite on January 24, 2020, specifically because the
18
“examiner reports raise concerns about whether Democracy Suite 5.5-A system … is safe
19
from fraudulent or unauthorized manipulation.”7
20
68. Wisconsin. In 2018, Jill Stein was in litigation with Dominion Voting
21
Systems (“DVS”) after her 2016 recount request pursuant to WISCONSIN
22
STAT.§5.905(4) wherein DVS obtained a Court Order requiring confidentiality on
23
information including voting counting source code, which Dominion claims is proprietary
24
– and must be kept secret from the public. (See unpublished decision, Wisconsin Court of
25
Appeals, No. 2019AP272 issued April 30, 2020). Rather than engaging in an open and
26
7
27 See attached hereto, as Exh. 11, State of Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division,
Report of Review of Dominion Voting Systems Democracy Suite 5.5-A at 2 (Jan. 24,
28 2020) (emphasis added).
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2 voting system, the processes were hidden during the receipt, review, opening, and
4 Federal law.
6 Amy Totenberg’s October 11, 2020 Order in the USDC N.D. Ga. case of Curling, et al. v.
7 Kemp, et. al, Case No. 1:17-cv-02989 Doc. No. 964. See, p. 22-23 (“This array of experts
8 and subject matter specialists provided a huge volume of significant evidence regarding
9 the security risks and deficits in the system as implemented in both witness declarations
10 and live testimony at the preliminary injunction hearing.”); p. 25 (“In particular, Dr.
11 Halderman’s testing indicated the practical feasibility through a cyber attack of causing the
12 swapping or deletion of specific votes cast and the compromise of the system through
13 different cyber attack strategies, including through access to and alteration or manipulation
14 of the QR barcode.”) The full order should be read, for it is eye-opening and refutes many
16 70. The Secretary of State appoints a committee of three people to test different
18 Secretary of state who then makes the final decision on which voting system(s) to adopt.
19 A.R.S. § 16-442(A) and (C)In explaining that “In summary, [the court] rejected the
20 Secretary's argument that her certification of voting machines for use in Arizona is a
21 political question that is inappropriate for judicial review.” In doing so, the court
22 explained the application of HAVA because Arizona requires that its voting systems are
24 222 Ariz. 309, 317, 214 P.3d 397, 405, 2009). During the subsequent four years, the
25 Arizona Legislature amended and enacted several statutes to effectuate HAVA. Among
26 these changes, the legislature amended Arizona Revised Statutes (A.R.S.) section 16-
27 442(A) to require that the secretary of state determine the voting machines that are
28 "certified for use" in elections. 2003 Ariz. Sess. Laws, ch. 260, § 9 (1st Reg. Sess.). The
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1 legislature also amended the process for selecting electronic voting machines by
2 requiring that the secretary of state certify only voting machines that "comply with
3 [HAVA]" and requiring that all election machines or devices be "tested and approved by
4 a laboratory that is accredited pursuant to [HAVA]." Id.; A.R.S. § 16-442(B) (2006). The
5 legislature also authorized the secretary of state to revoke the certification of any voting
6 system that fails to meet the new standards. 2003 Ariz. Sess. Laws, ch. 260, § 9; 2005
8 Chavez v. Brewer, 222 Ariz. 309, 312, 214 P.3d 397, 400, (App. 2009).
Dominion Voting Systems is not currently certified pursuant to the EAC Voting
9 Systems
10 71. A District Judge found that Dominion’s BMD ballots are not voter verifiable,
11 and they cannot be audited in a software independent way. The credibility of a BMD ballot
12 can be no greater than the credibility of Dominion’s systems, which copious expert analysis
13 has shown is deeply compromised. Similar to the issues in Arizona and Wisconsin, Judge
15
Georgia’s Election Code mandates the use of the BMD system as the
16 uniform mode of voting for all in-person voters in federal and statewide
17 elections. O.C.G.A. § 21-2-300(a)(2). The statutory provisions mandate
voting on “electronic ballot markers” that: (1) use “electronic technology to
18 independently and privately mark a paper ballot at the direction of an
elector, interpret ballot selections, ... such interpretation for elector
19
verification, and print an elector verifiable paper ballot;” and (2)
20 “produce paper ballots which are marked with the elector’s choices in a
format readable by the elector” O.C.G.A. § 21-2-2(7.1); O.C.G.A. § 21-
21 2-300(a)(2). Plaintiffs and other voters who wish to vote in-person are
22 required to vote on a system that does none of those things. Rather, the
evidence shows that the Dominion BMD system does not produce a voter-
23 verifiable paper ballot or a paper ballot marked with the voter’s
choices in a format readable by the voter because the votes are
24
tabulated solely from the unreadable QR code.
25
See Order, pp. 81-82. (Emphasis added).
26
72. This case was later affirmed in a related case, in the Eleventh Circuit in 2018
27
related to Georgia’s voting system in Common Cause Georgia v. Kemp, 347 F. Supp. 3d
28
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2
In summary, while further evidence will be necessary in the future, the
3 Court finds that the combination of the statistical evidence and witness
4 declarations in the record here (and the expert witness evidence in the
related Curling case which the Court takes notice of) persuasively
5 demonstrates the likelihood of Plaintiff succeeding on its claims. Plaintiff
has shown a substantial likelihood of proving that the Secretary’s failure to
6
properly maintain a reliable and secure voter registration system has and
7 will continue to result in the infringement of the rights of the voters to cast
their vote and have their votes counted. Id.at 1294-1295.
8
9 73. The expert witness in the above litigation in the United States District
10 Court of Georgia, Case 1:17-cv-02989-AT, Harri Hursti, specifically testified to
11 the acute security vulnerabilities, see Ex. 107, wherein he testified or found:
A. “The scanner and tabulation software settings being employed
12
to determine which votes to count on hand marked paper ballots
13 are likely causing clearly intentioned votes to be counted” “The
voting system is being operated in Fulton County in a manner
14 that escalates the security risk to an extreme level” “Votes are
15 not reviewing their BMD printed ballots, which causes BMD
generated results to be un-auditable due to the untrustworthy
16 audit trail.” 50% or more of voter selections in some counties
were visible to poll workers. Dominion employees maintain
17
near exclusive control over the EMS servers. “In my
18 professional opinion, the role played by Dominion personnel in
Fulton County, and other counties with similar arrangements,
19 should be considered an elevated risk factor when evaluating the
20 security risks of Georgia’s voting system.” Id. ¶26.
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17 75. Another Affiant witness testifies that in Venezuela, she was in official
18 position related to elections and witnessed manipulations of petitions to prevent a
19 removal of President Chavez and because she protested, she was summarily
20 dismissed. She explains the vulnerabilities of the electronic voting system and
21 Smartmatica to such manipulations. (See Ex. 17, Cardozo Aff. ¶8).
22 b. US Government Advisory on Vulnerability to Foreign
23 Hackers.
24 76. In October of 2020 The FBI and CISA issued a JOINT CYBERSECURITY
25 ADVISORY ON October 30, 2020 titled: Iranian Advanced Persistent Threat Actor
26 Identified Obtained Voter Registration Data
27 8
See Patents Assigned to Smartmatic Corp., available at:
28 https://patents.justia.com/assignee/smartmatic-corp
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 25 of 53
8
(See CISA and FBI Joint Cyber Security Advisory of October 30, 2020, a copy attached
9
hereto as Ex. 18.)
10
c. Expert Witness Testimony on Dominion Vulnerability to
11
Foreign Interference and Ties to Hostile Foreign
12
Governments
13
77. A PhD Declarant analyzed the cumulative vote percentages sorted by ward
14
or precinct sizes. This concept was previously used throughout the report on voter
15
irregularities in lulu Fries’dat and Anselmo Sampietro’s “An electoral system in crisis” at
16
http://www. electoralsystemincrisis.org/. In Fries’ dat’s report there was an anomalous
17
dependency on precinct size in many of the 2016 primary elections. The larger precincts
18
had introduced the use of voting machines. However, one could also theorize the
19
opportunity for cheaters to cheat in small precincts, where there may be less oversight.
20
Normally, we would expect the cumulative vote percentage to converge to an asymptote,
21
and bounce around the mean until convergence. An example of this can be found from the
22
2000 Florida Democratic presidential primary between Gore and Bradley. (See Exh. __, at
23
p. 8). This is shown in Figure 8, and is taken from Fries’ dat’s report:
24
25
26
27
28
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10
11
12
13
14
17 The Declarant then analyzed Maricopa county in Arizona, in addition to other swing
18 states. The data was obtained from the Maricopa county recorder website at
19 https://recorder.maricopa.gov/media/ArizonaExportByPrecinct_110320.txt
20 The Declarant sorted precincts by size and tallied the cumulative vote percentages. It
21 should rapidly approach an asymptote, but again in Figure 18 we see an anomaly. The
22 Biden percentage is higher in the smaller precincts, primarily at the expense of Trump,
23 again suggesting vote switching, since the 3rd party percentages immediately approach
24 the asymptote.
25
26
27
28
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10
11
12
15 are indeed independent of precinct size and converge quickly to the asymptote. This is
16 about what we would expect if the third-party candidates were counted fairly. It is in
17 sharp contrast to the precinct size dependency and slow convergence of the Trump and
18 Biden percentages.
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
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3 Intelligence expert subsequently found that the Dominion Voting system and software are
4 accessible - and was compromised by rogue actors, including foreign interference by Iran
5 and China. (See Ex. 12, Spider Declaration (redacted for security reasons).)
6 79. The expert does an analysis and explains how by using servers and
7 employees connected with rogue actors and hostile foreign influences combined with
10 monitor and manipulate elections, including the most recent one in 2020. Id. Several facts
11 are set forth related to foreign members of Dominion Voting Systems and foreign servers
13 80. Another Declarant first explains the foundations of her opinion and then
15 components from companies based in foreign countries with adverse interests. (See Ex.
16 13). She explains that Dominion Voting Systems works with SCYTL, and that votes on
17 route, before reporting, go to SCYTL in foreign countries. On the way, they get mixed and
19
The core software used by ALL SCYTL related Election Machine/Software
20
manufacturers ensures “anonymity” Algorithms within the area of this
21 “shuffling” to maintain anonymity allows for setting values to achieve a
22
desired goal under the guise of “encryption” in the trap-door… Id.
23
81. The Affiant goes on to explain the foreign relationships in the hardware used
24
by Dominion Voting Systems and its subsidiary Sequoia and explains specifically the port
25
that Dominion uses, which is called Edge Gateway and that is a part of Akamai
26
Technologies based in Germany and China.
27
82. This Declarant further explains the foundations of her opinion and then
28
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3
The concern is the HARDWARE and the NON – ACCREDITED VSTLs
4
as by their own admittance use COTS. The purpose of VSTL’s being
5 accredited and their importance is ensuring that there is no foreign
6
interference / bad actors accessing the tally data via backdoors in
equipment software. The core software used by ALL SCYTL related
7 Election Machine/Software manufacturers ensures “anonymity”.
8 Algorithms within the area of this “shuffling” to maintain anonymity
allows for setting values to achieve a desired goal under the guise of
9
“encryption” in the trap-door…
10
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1 84. The Affiant explains the use of an algorithm and how it presents throughout
3
The “Digital Fix” observed with an increased spike in VOTES for Joe
4
Biden can be determined as evidence of a pivot. Normally it would be
5
assumed that the algorithm had a Complete Pivot. Wilkinson’s
6
demonstrated the guarantee as:
7
10 Such a conjecture allows the growth factor the ability to be upper bound by
values closer to n. Therefore, complete pivoting can’t be observed because
11
there would be too many floating points. Nor can partial as the partial
12 pivoting would overwhelm after the “injection” of votes. Therefore,
13 external factors were used which is evident from the “DIGITAL FIX.”
(See Id. at pars. 67-69)
14
15 “The algorithm looks to have been set to give Joe Biden a 52% win even
with an initial 50K+ vote block allocation was provided initially as tallying
16 began (as in case of Arizona too). In the am of November 4, 2020 the
17 algorithm stopped working, therefore another “block allocation” to remedy
the failure of the algorithm. This was done manually as ALL the
18
SYSTEMS shut down NATIONWIDE to avoid detection.”
19
(See Id. at par. 73)
20
21 85. And Russ Ramsland can support that further by documenting the data feed
22 that came from Dominion Voting Systems to Scytl based on certain available data, that it
23
was reported with decimal points, which is contrary to one vote as one ballot: “The fact
24
that we observed raw vote data coming directly that includes decimal places
25
27 votes would be solely represented as whole numbers (votes cannot possibly be added
28
up and have decimal places reported).”
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3 mistake, Plaintiffs have since learned that the “glitches” in the Dominion system, that have
4 the uniform effect of hurting Trump and helping Biden, have been widely reported in the
5
press and confirmed by the analysis of independent experts.
6
1.Central Operator Can Remove, Discard or Manipulate Votes.
7
8 87. Mr. Watkins further explains that the central operator can remove or
9 discard batches of votes. “After all of the ballots loaded into the scanner’s feed tray have
10
been through the scanner, the “ImageCast Central” operator will remove the ballots from
11
the tray then have the option to either “Accept Batch” or “Discard Batch” on the scanning
12
14 88. Mr. Watkins further testifies that the user manual makes clear that the system
15
allows for threshold settings to be set to find all ballots get marked as “problem ballots”
16
for discretionary determinations on where the vote goes stating:
17
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5 89. The Voting Rights Act, 52 U.S.C. §10101(e), provides, in relevant part:
6 … When used in the subsection, the word “vote” includes all action necessary to make a
7 vote effective including, but not limited to, registration or other action required by State
8 law prerequisite to voting, casting a ballot, and having such ballot counted and included in
9 the appropriate totals of votes cast with respect to candidates for public office and
10 propositions for which votes are received in an election;
a. The VRA, 52 U.S.C. § 10307, also provides, in relevant part, that,
11
12 b. No person acting under color of law shall fail or refuse to permit any person
13 to vote who is entitled to vote under any provision of chapters 103 to 107 of
14
this title or is otherwise qualified to vote, or willfully fail or refuse to tabulate,
15
count, and report such person’s vote.
16
17 c. Federal law also requires the states to maintain uniform voting standards.
18 Section 301 of the Help America Vote Act of 2002 [HAVA], (Pub. L. 107–
19
252, 116 Stat. 1704, codified at 42 U.S.C. § 15481.
20
d. Each voting system used in an election for Federal office shall meet the
21
23 nondiscriminatory standards that define what constitutes a vote and what will
24
be counted as a vote for each category of voting system used in the State. 42
25
U.S.C. §15481(a)(6)
26
27 e. State laws define a “vote” as a “ballot” that clearly indicates the intent of the
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envelope on which votes are recorded. The term also includes a sheet or card,
1
8 inspectors. If cast as an absentee ballot, the ballot must bear the initials of the
10 originalFederal law also requires the states to maintain uniform voting standards.
11
Section 301 of the Help America Vote Act of 2002 [HAVA], (Pub. L. 107–252,
12
116 Stat. 1704, codified at 42 U.S.C. § 15481. Among other things, it provides that,
13
“Each voting system used in an election for Federal office shall meet the following
14
requirements: … (6) Each State shall adopt uniform and nondiscriminatory
15
16 standards that define what constitutes a vote and what will be counted as a vote for
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13 91. Plaintiffs have since learned that the “glitches” in the Dominion
14 system -- that have the uniform effect of hurting Trump and helping Biden -- have
15 been widely reported in the press and confirmed by the analysis of independent
17
(1) Users on the ground have full admin privileges to machines and
18 software. The Dominion system is designed to facilitate vulnerability
19 and allow a select few to determine which votes will be counted in any
election. Workers were responsible for moving ballot data from polling
20 place to the collector’s office and inputting it into the correct folder.
21 Any anomaly, such as pen drips or bleeds, is not counted and is handed
over to a poll worker to analyze and decide if it should count. This
22 creates massive opportunity for improper vote adjudication. (Ex. 14
23 Watkins aff. ¶¶8 & 11).
24 (2) Affiant witness (name redacted for security reasons), in his sworn
25 testimony explains he was selected for the national security guard
detail of the President of Venezuela, and that he witnessed the
26 creation of Smartmatic for the purpose of election vote
27 manipulation:
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has played a significant role in the U.S. market over the last decade.”9
1 Dominion entered into a 2009 contract with Smartmatic and provided
2 Smartmatic with the PCOS machines (optical scanners) that were used
in the 2010 Philippine election, the biggest automated election run by a
3 private company. The automation of that first election in the Philippines
4 was hailed by the international community and by the critics of the
automation. The results transmission reached 90% of votes four hours
5 after polls closed and Filipinos knew for the first time who would be
6 their new president on Election Day. In keeping with local Election law
requirements, Smartmatic and Dominion were required to provide the
7 source code of the voting machines prior to elections so that it could be
8 independently verified. Id.
24 9
Voting Technology Companies in the U.S. – Their Histories and Present
Contributions, Access Wire, (Aug. 10, 2017), available at:
25
https://www.accesswire.com/471912/Voting-Technology-Companies-in-the-US--Their-
26 Histories.
27
10
Smartmatic-TIM Running Out of Time to Fix Glitches, ABS-CBN News (May 4,
2010), available at: https://news.abs-cbn.com/nation/05/04/10/smartmatic-tim-running-
28 out-time-fix-glitches.
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26 11
Kim Zetter, Exclusive: Critical U.S. Election Systems Have Been Left Exposed
27 Online Despite Official Denials, VICE (Aug. 8, 2019) (“VICE Election Article”),
available at: https://www.vice.com/en/article/3kxzk9/exclusive-critical-us-election-
28 systems have-been-left-exposed-online-despite-official-denials.
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3 as Voting Systems Officer of Strategy and Director of Security for Dominion. Dr.
4 Coomer first joined Sequoia Voting Systems in 2005 as Chief Software Architect
7 into Dominion voting machines sold throughout the United States, including those
9 95. In 2016, Dr. Coomer admitted to the State of Illinois that Dominion
12 See Id.14
13
14
12
See “Patents by Inventor Eric Coomer,” available at:
https://patents.justia.com/inventor/eric-coomer. This page lists the following
15 patents issued to Dr. Coomer and his co-inventors: (1) U.S. Patent No. 9,202,113,
Ballot Adjudication in Voting Systems Utilizing Ballot Images (issued Dec. 1,
16
2015); (2) U.S. Patent No. 8,913,787, Ballot Adjudication in Voting Systems
17 Utilizing Ballot Images (issued Dec. 16, 2014); (3) U.S. Patent No. 8,910,865,
Ballot Level Security Features for Optical Scan Voting Machine Capable of
18 Ballot Image Processing, Secure Ballot Printing, and Ballot Layout
19 Authentication and Verification (issued Dec. 16, 2014); (4) U.S. Patent No.
8,876,002, Systems for Configuring Voting Machines, Docking Device for
20 Voting Machines, Warehouse Support and Asset Tracking of Voting Machines
(issued Nov. 4, 2014); (5) U.S. Patent No. 8,864,026, Ballot Image Processing
21
System and Method for Voting Machines (issued Oct. 21, 2014); (6) U.S. Patent
22 No. 8,714,450, Systems and Methods for Transactional Ballot Processing, and
Ballot Auditing (issued May 6, 2014), available at:
23 https://patents.justia.com/inventor/eric-coomer.
24 13
Jose Hermosa, Electoral Fraud: Dominion’s Vice President Warned in 2016 That
Vote-Counting Systems Are Manipulable, The BL (Nov. 13, 2020), available at:
25
https://thebl.com/us-news/electoral-fraud-dominions-vice-president-warned-in-2016-that-
26 vote-counting-systems-are-manipulable.html.
27
14
See, e.g., “Eric Coomer Explains How to Alter Votes in the Dominion Voting
System” (Nov. 24, 2020) (excerpt of presentation delivered in Chicago in 2017),
28 available at: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UtB3tLaXLJE.
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2 litigation alleging that Dominion rigged elections in Georgia and in the media. An
3 examination of his previous public statements has revealed that Dr. Coomer is
4 highly partisan and even more anti-Trump, precisely the opposite of what would
5 expect from the management of a company charged with fairly and impartially
6 counting votes (which is presumably why he tried to scrub his social media
8 97. Unfortunately for Dr. Coomer, however, a number of these posts have
9 been captured for perpetuity. Below are quotes from some of his greatest President
10 Trump and Trump voter hating hits to show proof of motive and opportunity. (See
11 Id).
If you are planning to vote for that autocratic, narcissistic, fascist ass-hat
12 blowhard and his Christian jihadist VP pic, UNFRIEND ME NOW! No,
13 I’m not joking. … Only an absolute F[**]KING IDIOT could ever vote
for that wind-bag fuck-tard FASCIST RACIST F[**]K! … I don’t give a
14 damn if you’re friend, family, or random acquaintance, pull the lever,
15 mark an oval, touch a screen for that carnival barker … UNFRIEND ME
NOW! I have no desire whatsoever to ever interact with you. You are
16 beyond hope, beyond reason. You are controlled by fear, reaction and
17 bullsh[*]t. Get your shit together. F[**]K YOU! Seriously, this f[**]king
ass-clown stands against everything that makes this country awesome!
18 You want in on that? You [Trump voters] deserve nothing but contempt.
19 Id. (July 21, 2016 Facebook post).15
20
98. In a rare moment of perhaps unintentional honesty, Dr. Coomer
21
anticipates this Complaint and many others, by slandering those seeking to hold
22
election riggers like Dominion to account and to prevent the United States’ descent
23
into Venezuelan levels of voting fraud and corruption out of which Dominion was
24
born:
25 Excerpts in stunning Trump-supporter logic, “I know there is a lot of voter
fraud. I don’t know who is doing it, or how much is happening, but I
26
27 15
In this and other quotations from Dr. Coomer’s social media, Plaintiffs have
28 redacted certain profane terms.
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know it is going on a lot.” This beautiful statement was followed by, “It
1 happens in third world countries, this the US, we can’t let it happen here.”
2 Id. (October 29, 2016 Facebook post); (See also Exh. 6)
3
1. Dr. Coomer, who invented the technology for Dominion’s voting
4
fraud and has publicly explained how it can be used to alter votes, seems to be
5
extremely hostile to those who would attempt to stop it and uphold the integrity of
6
elections that underpins the legitimacy of the United States government:
7 And in other news… There be some serious fuckery going on right here
fueled by our Cheeto-in-Chief stoking lie after lie on the flames of [Kris]
8
Kobach… [Linking Washington Post article discussing the Presidential
9 Advisory Commission on Election Integrity, of which former Kansas
Secretary of State Kris Kobach was a member, entitled, “The voting
10
commission is a fraud itself. Shut it down.”] Id. (September 14, 2017
11 Facebook post.] (Id.)
12
99. Dr. Coomer also keeps good company, supporting and reposting
13
ANTIFA statements slandering President Trump as a “fascist” and by extension his
14
supporters, voters and the United States military (which he claims, without
15
evidence, Trump will make into a “fascist tool”). Id. (June 2, 2020 Facebook post).
16
Lest someone claims that these are “isolated statements” “taken out of context”, Dr.
17
Coomer has affirmed that he shares ANTIFA’s taste in music and hatred of the United
18
States of America, id. (May 31, 2020 Facebook post linking “F[**]k the USA” by the
19
exploited), and the police. Id. (separate May 31, 2020 Facebook posts linking N.W.A.
20
“F[**]k the Police” and a post promoting phrase “Dead Cops”). Id. at 4-5.
21
100. Affiant and journalist Joseph Oltmann researched ANTIFA in
22
Colorado. Id. at 1. “On or about the week of September 27, 2020,” he attended an
23
Antifa meeting which appeared to be between Antifa members in Colorado
24
Springs and Denver Colorado,” where Dr. Coomer was present. In response to a
25
question as to what Antifa would do “if Trump wins this … election?”, Dr. Coomer
26
responded “Don’t worry about the election. Trump is not going to win. I made
27
f[**]king sure of that … Hahaha.” Id. at 2.
28
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2 “Security,” and using his technology for what should be impartial “ballot adjudication,”
3 Dominion has given the fox the keys to the hen house and has forfeited any presumption
4 of objectivity, fairness, or even propriety. It appears that Dominion does not care about
5 even an appearance of impropriety, as its most important officer has his fingerprints all
6 over a highly partisan, vindictive, and personal vendetta against the Republican nominee
7 both in 2016 and 2020, President Donald Trump. Dr. Coomer’s highly partisan anti-Trump
8 rages show clear motive on the part of Dominion to rig the election in favor of Biden, and
9 may well explain why for each of the so-called “glitches” uncovered, it is always Biden
10 receiving the most votes on the favorable end of such a “glitch.” (Id.)
11 102. In sum, as set forth above, for a host of independent reasons, the
12 Arizona election results concluding that Joe Biden received more votes that
14 COUNT I
15 Defendants Violated the Elections and Electors Clauses and 42 U.S.C. § 1983.
16 103. Plaintiffs reallege all preceding paragraphs as if fully set forth herein.
17 104. The Electors Clause states that “[e]ach State shall appoint, in such Manner
18 as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors” for President. U.S. Const. art.
19 II, §1, cl. 2 (emphasis added). Likewise, the Elections Clause of the U.S. Constitution
20 states that “[t]he Times, Places, and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and
21 Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof.” U.S. Const.
23 105. The Legislature is “‘the representative body which ma[kes] the laws of
24 the people.’” Smiley v. Holm, 285 U.S. 355, 365 (1932). Regulations of
26 method which the state has prescribed for legislative enactments.” Id. at 367; see
27 also Ariz. State Legislature v. Ariz. Indep. Redistricting Comm’n, 135 S. Ct. 2652,
28 2668 (2015).
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1 106. Defendants are not part of the Arizona Legislature and cannot exercise
2 legislative power. Because the United States Constitution reserves for the Arizona
3 Legislature the power to set the time, place, and manner of holding elections for
4 the President and Congress, county boards of elections and state executive officers
5 have no authority to unilaterally exercise that power, much less to hold them in
8 ii. No person acting under color of law shall fail or refuse to permit
12 vote.
13 iii. Federal law also requires the states to maintain uniform voting
16 15481.
17 iv. Each voting system used in an election for Federal office shall meet
18 the following requirements: (6) Each State shall adopt uniform and
22 107. With respect to unreturned ballots recorded for voters who did return
23 their ballot but were recorded as being unreturned, Plaintiffs have identified 78,714
24 to 94,975 ballots out of 518,560 absentee / mail ballots. Id. These absentee ballots
25 were either lost or destroyed (consistent with allegations of Trump ballot
26 destruction) and/or were replaced with blank ballots filled out by election workers,
27 Dominion or other third parties.
28 108. Taking the average of the two types of errors together, 303,305 ballots, or
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1 58% of the total, are defective. These errors are not only conclusive evidence of widespread
2 fraud by the State of Arizona, but they are fully consistent with the evidence about
3 Dominion presented in Section III below insofar as these unreturned absentee ballots
4 represent a pool of blank ballots that could be filled in by third parties to shift the election
5 to Joe Biden, and also present the obvious conclusion that there must be absentee ballots
7 109. There are also thousands of absentee ballots that Plaintiffs can show were
8 sent to someone besides the registered voter named in the request, and thus could have
9 been filled out by anyone and then submitted in the name of another voter specifically in
11 110. Plaintiffs have no adequate remedy at law and will suffer serious and
13 Defendants have acted and, unless enjoined, will act under color of state law to
15 111. Accordingly, the results for President in the November 3, 2020 election
16 must be set aside, the State of Arizona should be enjoined from transmitting the
17 certified the results thereof, and this Court should grant the other declaratory and
19 COUNT II
22 § 1983
23 112. Plaintiffs refer to and incorporate by reference each of the prior paragraphs
25 113. The Fourteenth Amendment of the United States Constitution provides “nor
26 shall any state deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process
27 of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the
28 laws. See also Bush v. Gore, 531 U.S. 98, 104 (2000) (having once granted the
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1 right to vote on equal terms, the State may not, by later arbitrary and disparate
2 treatment, value one person’s vote over the value of another’s). Harper v. Va. Bd.
3 of Elections, 383 U.S. 663, 665 (1966) (“Once the franchise is granted to the
4 electorate, lines may not be drawn which are inconsistent with the Equal Protection
5 Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment.”). The Court has held that to ensure equal
7 equal application. Bush, 531 U.S. at 106 (“The formulation of uniform rules to
9 conclude, necessary.”).
14 115. The disparate treatment of Arizona voters, in subjecting one class of voters
15 to greater burdens or scrutiny than another, violates Equal Protection guarantees because
16 “the right of suffrage can be denied by a debasement or dilution of the weight of a citizen’s
17 vote just as effectively as by wholly prohibiting the free exercise of the franchise.”
18 Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 555. Rice v. McAlister, 268 Ore. 125, 128, 519 P.2d 1263, 1265
19 (1975); Heitman v. Brown Grp., Inc., 638 S.W.2d 316, 319, 1982 Mo. App. LEXIS 3159,
20 at *4 (Mo. Ct. App. 1982); Prince v. Bear River Mut. Ins. Co., 2002 UT 68, ¶ 41, 56 P.3d
25 have an interest in having the election laws enforced fairly and uniformly.
117. Defendants failed to comply with the requirements of Arizona law and the
26
Equal Protection Clause and thereby diluted the lawful ballots of the Plaintiffs and of
27
28 other Arizona voters and electors in violation of the United States Constitution guarantee
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of Equal Protection. In Section II, Plaintiff experts provide testimony quantifying the
1
number of illegal votes resulting from Defendants’ statutory and constitutional violations.
2
3 Finally, Section III details the additional voting fraud and manipulation enabled by the
4 use Dominion voting machines, which had the intent and effect of favoring Biden and
5 Democratic voters and discriminating against Trump and Republican voters.
6
118. Defendants have acted and will continue to act under color of state
7
law to violate Plaintiffs’ right to be present and have actual observation and access
8
to the electoral process as secured by the Equal Protection Clause of the United
9
States Constitution and Arizona law. Defendants thus failed to conduct the general
10
election in a uniform manner as required by the Equal Protection Clause of the
11
Fourteenth Amendment, the corollary provisions of Arizona election law.
12
119. Plaintiffs seek declaratory and injunctive relief forbidding Defendants
13
from certifying a tally that includes any ballots that were not legally cast, or that
14
were switched from Trump to Biden through the unlawful use of Dominion
15
Democracy Suite software and devices.
16
120. In addition, Plaintiffs ask this Court to order that no ballot processed
17
by a counting board in Arizona can be included in the final vote tally unless a
18
challenger was allowed to meaningfully observe the process and handling and
19
counting of the ballot, or that were unlawfully switched from Trump to Biden.
20
121. Clearly the dilution of lawful votes violates the Equal Protection clause;
21
and the counting of unlawful votes violates the rights of lawful Citizens.
22
122. There are also thousands of absentee ballots that Plaintiffs can show were
23
sent to someone besides the registered voter named in the request, and thus could have
24
been filled out by anyone and then submitted in the name of another voter specifically in
25
violation of election law, one vote is one ballot. That is the dilution of lawful votes, while
26
78,714 to 94,975 ballots out of 518,560 unreturned ballots recorded for voters who did
27
return their ballot but were recorded as being unreturned, and their vote was taken from
28
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1 them.
2 123. Plaintiffs have no adequate remedy at law and will suffer serious and
3 irreparable harm unless the declaratory and injunctive relief requested herein is
4 granted. Indeed, the setting aside of an election in which the people have chosen
5 their representative is a drastic remedy that should not be undertaken lightly, but
6 instead should be reserved for cases in which a person challenging an election has
7 clearly established a violation of election procedures and has demonstrated that the
8 violation has placed the result of the election in doubt. Arizona law allows
12 COUNT III
16 paragraphs of this Complaint as though the same were repeated at length herein.
19 Amendment of the United States Constitution. Harper, 383 U.S. at 665. See
20 also Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 554 (The Fourteenth Amendment protects the “the right
22 ever since the Slaughter-House Cases, 83 U.S. 36 (1873), the United States
23 Supreme Court has held that the Privileges or Immunities Clause of the Fourteenth
25 including the right of citizens to directly elect members of Congress. See Twining
26 v. New Jersey, 211 U.S. 78, 97 (1908) (citing Ex parte Yarbrough, 110 U.S. 651,
27 663-64 (1884)). See also Oregon v. Mitchell, 400 U.S. 112, 148-49 (1970)
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2 is cherished in our nation because it “is preservative of other basic civil and
3 political rights.” Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 562. Voters have a “right to cast a ballot
4 in an election free from the taint of intimidation and fraud,” Burson v. Freeman,
5 504 U.S. 191, 211 (1992), and “[c]onfidence in the integrity of our electoral
9 Constitution, is the right of qualified voters within a state to cast their ballots and
10 have them counted” if they are validly cast. United States v. Classic, 313 U.S. 299,
11 315 (1941). “[T]he right to have the vote counted” means counted “at full value
12 without dilution or discount.” Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 555, n.29 (quoting South v.
15 with little chance of winning or for one with little chance of losing, has a right under
16 the Constitution to have his vote fairly counted, without its being distorted by
17 fraudulently cast votes.” Anderson v. United States, 417 U.S. 211, 227 (1974); see
18 also Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186, 208 (1962). Invalid or fraudulent votes
19 “debase[]” and “dilute” the weight of each validly cast vote. See Anderson, 417
20 U.S. at 227.
21 129. The right to vote includes not just the right to cast a ballot, but also the right
22 to have it fairly counted if it is legally cast. The right to vote is infringed if a vote is
24 single person votes multiple times. The Supreme Court of the United States has made this
25 clear in case after case. See, e.g., Gray v. Sanders, 372 U.S. 368, 380 (1963) (every vote
26 must be “protected from the diluting effect of illegal ballots.”); Crawford v. Marion Cnty.
27 Election Bd., 553 U.S. 181, 196 (2008) (plurality op. of Stevens, J.) (“There is no question
28 about the legitimacy or importance of the State’s interest in counting only the votes of
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1 eligible voters.”); accord Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533, 554-55 & n.29 (1964).
3 elector, and to the extent that the importance of his vote is nullified, wholly or in
4 part, he has been injured in the free exercise of a right or privilege secured to him
5 by the laws and Constitution of the United States.” Anderson, 417 U.S. at 226
6 (quoting Prichard v. United States, 181 F.2d 326, 331 (6th Cir.), aff’d due to
9 fail to contain basic minimum guarantees against such conduct, can violate the
11 Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 555 (“[T]he right of suffrage can be denied by a debasement
14 132. Arizona law makes clear with regard to the electronic voting systems, that
15 “[a]fter the close of the polls and after compliance with section 16-602 the members of the
16 election board shall prepare a report in duplicate of the number of voters who have voted,
17 as indicated on the poll list, and place this report in the ballot box or metal container, in
18 which the voted ballots have been placed, which thereupon shall be sealed with a numbered
19 seal and delivered promptly by two members of the election board of different political
20 parties to the central counting place or other receiving station designated by the board of
21 supervisors or officer in charge of elections, which shall not be more than fifty miles from
22 the polling place from which the ballots are delivered. The person in charge of receiving
23 ballots shall give a numbered receipt acknowledging receipt of such ballots to the person
24 in charge who delivers such ballots. B. The chairman of the county committee of each
25 political party represented on the ballot may designate a member of his party to accompany
26 the ballots from each polling place to the central counting place. A.R.S. § 16-608.
27 133. As Plaintiffs have shown the ballots processed by Dominion Voting Systems
28 reports to SCYTL, which is offshore, and uses an algorithm, that is secretive, and applies
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1 a cleansing of invalid versus valid ballots, before the votes get tallied for distribution.
3 from certifying the results of the General Election. This Court should enjoin
4 Defendants from certifying a tally that includes any ballots that were not legally
5 cast, or that were switched from Trump to Biden through the unlawful use of
7 COUNT IV
9 135. Plaintiffs reallege all preceding paragraphs as if fully set forth herein.
10 136. The scheme of civil fraud can be shown with the pattern of conduct that
11 includes motive and opportunity, as exhibited by the high level official at Dominion Voting
12 Systems, Eric Coomer, and his visceral and public rage against the current U.S. President.
13 137. Opportunity appears with the secretive nature of the voting source code, and
14 the feed of votes that make clear that an algorithm is applied, that reports in decimal points
16 138. The Supreme Court of Arizona set forth the standard of fraud for elections
17 when it that held in the State of Arizona, fraud in an election is based on ballots procured
18 in violation to the law: “We therefore hold that HN5 a showing of fraud is not a necessary
20 technical statute was violated, and ballots cast in violation of the statute affected the
21 election. Miller v. Picacho Elementary Sch. Dist. No. 33, 179 Ariz. 178, 180, 877 P.2d
23 “Contrary to Findley, election statutes are mandatory, not "advisory," or else they
would not be law at all. If a statute expressly provides that non-compliance
24
invalidates the vote, then the vote is invalid. If the statute does not have such a
25 provision, non-compliance may or may not invalidate the vote depending on its
effect. In the context of this case, "affect the result, or at least render it uncertain,"
26
id. at 269, 276 P. at 844, means ballots procured in violation of a non-technical
27 statute in sufficient numbers to alter the outcome of the election.
28 Id.
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139. This Complaint presents expert witness testimony demonstrating that several
1
2 hundred thousand illegal, ineligible, duplicate or purely fictitious votes must be thrown
3 out, in particular:
4
A. Unreturned mail ballots unlawfully ordered by third parties: 219,135
5
B. Returned ballots that were deemed unreturned by the state: 86,845
6
C. Votes by persons that moved out of state or subsequently registered to
7 vote in another state for the 2020 election: 5,790.
8
D. “Excess votes” to historically unprecedented, and likely fraudulent
9 turnout levels of 80% or more in over half of Maricopa and Pima
County precincts: 100,724.
10
E. And Plaintiffs can show Mr. Biden received a statistically significant
11
Advantage from the use of Dominion Machines in a nationwide Study,
12 which conservatively estimates Biden’s advantage at 62,282 Votes.
13
140. The right to vote includes not just the right to cast a ballot, but also the right
14
to have it fairly counted if it is legally cast. The right to vote is infringed if a vote is
15
cancelled or diluted by a fraudulent or illegal vote, including without limitation when a
16
single person votes multiple times. The Supreme Court of the United States has made this
17
clear in case after case. See, e.g., Gray v. Sanders, 372 U.S. 368, 380 (1963) (every vote
18
must be “protected from the diluting effect of illegal ballots.”); Crawford v. Marion Cnty.
19
Election Bd., 553 U.S. 181, 196 (2008) (plurality op. of Stevens, J.) (“There is no question
20
about the legitimacy or importance of the State’s interest in counting only the votes of
21
eligible voters.”); accord Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533, 554-55 & n.29 (1964).
22
141. Plaintiffs have no adequate remedy at law. Plaintiffs contest the results of
23
Arizona’s 2020 General Election because it is fundamentally corrupted by fraud.
24
Defendants should be enjoined from certifying an election where there were intentional
25
violations of multiple provisions of Arizona law to elect Biden and other Democratic
26
candidates and defeat President Trump and other Republican candidates.
27
28
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3 de-certify the results of the General Election for the Office of President.
5 from including in any certified results from the General Election the tabulation of absentee
7 144. Further, Plaintiffs ask this Court to order production of all registration data,
9 consider the harm of these uncounted votes, and ballots not ordered by the voters
10 themselves, and the potential that many of these unordered ballots may in fact have been
11 improperly voted and also prevented proper voting at the polls, the mail ballot system has
12 clearly failed in the state of Arizona and did so on a large scale and widespread basis. The
13 size of the voting failures, whether accidental or intentional, are multiples larger than the
14 margin in the state. For these reasons, Arizona cannot reasonably rely on the results of the
15 mail vote. Relief sought is the elimination of the mail ballots from counting in the 2020
16 election. Alternatively, the electors for the State of Arizona should be disqualified from
17 counting toward the 2020 election. Alternatively, the electors of the State of Arizona
19 145. For these reasons, Plaintiffs ask this Court to enter a judgment in their favor
21
1. An order directing Governor Ducey and Secretary Hobbs to de-certify the
22
election results;
23
26
3. An immediate emergency order to seize and impound all servers,
27
software, voting machines, tabulators, printers, portable media, logs,
28
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4
4. An order that no votes received or tabulated by machines that were not
5
certified as required by federal and state law be counted;
6
10
6. A declaratory judgment declaring that currently certified election results
11
violate the Due Process Clause, U.S. CONST. Amend. XIV;
12
19
8. A declaratory judgment declaring absentee ballot fraud occurred in
20
violation of Constitutional rights, Election laws and under state law;
21
25
10. Immediate production of 48 hours of security camera recording of all
26
rooms used in Maricopa County for November 3, 2020 and November
27
4, 2020.
28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 53 of 53
1 11. Plaintiffs further request the Court grant such other relief as is just and
2 proper, including but not limited to, the costs of this action and their
6
Respectfully submitted, this 1st day of December 2020.
7
8
/s Sidney Powell* /s Alexander Kolodin
9
Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
10 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
11
Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
12
*Application for admission pro hac vice
forthcoming
13 Of Counsel:
14
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
15
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
16
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd. Suite 300
Dallas, Texas 75219
17 *Application for admission pro hac vice Forthcoming
18 L. Lin Wood (Georgia Bar No. 774588)
19
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
P.O. Box 52584
20
Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
Telephone: (404) 891-1402
21 Howard Kleinhendler (New York Bar No. 2657120)
22
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
369 Lexington Ave. 12th Floor
23
New York, New York 10017
(917) 793-1188
24
[email protected]
25
26
27
28
82 - 53 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1-2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 1 of 52
1-12 EXH 5 Diane Serra Declaration (3 sep pdfs for pages 1-3)
1-18 EXH 10 Andrew W. Appel, et al., “Ballot Marking Devices (BMDs) Cannot
Assure the Will of the Voters” at (Dec. 27, 2019)
1-19 EXH 11 State of Texas Secretary of State Report of Review 20 //and 11B
84
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1-2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 3 of 52
/s Sidney Powell
___________________________________
Sidney Powell
Sidney Powell P.C.
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd.
#300
Dallas, TX 75219-4480
(214) 707-1775
[email protected]
Attorneys for Plaintiff
85
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EXHIBIT 1
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DECLARATION OF
1.
4. I want to alert the public and let the world know the truth about the
corruption, manipulation, and lies being committed by a conspiracy of
people and companies intent upon betraying the honest people of the
United States and their legally constituted institutions and fundamental
rights as citizens. This conspiracy began more than a decade ago in
Venezuela and has spread to countries all over the world. It is a conspiracy
to wrongfully gain and keep power and wealth. It involves political
leaders, powerful companies, and other persons whose purpose is to gain
and keep power by changing the free will of the people and subverting the
proper course of governing.
5.
Over the course of my career, I
specialized in the marines
- Page 1 of 8
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13. I arranged and attended three more meetings between President Chavez
and the representatives from Smartmatic at which details of the new
- Page 3 of 8
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voting system were discussed and agreed upon. For each of these
meetings, I communicated directly with on details of
where and when to meet, where the participants would be picked up and
delivered to the meetings, and what was to be accomplished. At these
meetings, the participants called their project the “Chavez revolution.”
From that point on, Chavez never lost any election. In fact, he was able
to ensure wins for himself, his party, Congress persons and mayors from
townships.
15. Chavez was most insistent that Smartmatic design the system in a way
that the system could change the vote of each voter without being
detected. He wanted the software itself to function in such a manner that
if the voter were to place their thumb print or fingerprint on a scanner,
then the thumbprint would be tied to a record of the voter’s name and
identity as having voted, but that voter would not tracked to the changed
vote. He made it clear that the system would have to be setup to not leave
any evidence of the changed vote for a specific voter and that there would
be no evidence to show and nothing to contradict that the name or the
fingerprint or thumb print was going with a changed vote. Smartmatic
agreed to create such a system and produced the software and hardware
that accomplished that result for President Chavez.
16. After the Smartmatic Electoral Management System was put in place, I
closely observed several elections where the results were manipulated
using Smartmatic software. One such election was in December 2006
when Chavez was running against Rosales. Chavez won with a landslide
over Manuel Rosales - a margin of nearly 6 million votes for Chavez versus
3.7 million for Rosales.
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18. By two o'clock in the afternoon on that election day Capriles Radonsky
was ahead of Nicolás Maduro by two million votes. When Maduro and his
supporters realized the size of Radonsky’s lead they were worried that
they were in a crisis mode and would lose the election. The Smartmatic
machines used for voting in each state were connected to the internet and
reported their information over the internet to the Caracas control center
in real-time. So, the decision was made to reset the entire system.
Maduro’s and his supporters ordered the network controllers to take the
internet itself offline in practically all parts in Venezuela and to change
the results.
19. It took the voting system operators approximately two hours to make the
adjustments in the vote from Radonsky to Maduro. Then, when they
turned the internet back on and the on-line reporting was up and running
again, they checked each screen state by state to be certain where they
could see that each vote was changed in favor of Nicholas Maduro. At that
moment the Smartmatic system changed votes that were for Capriles
Radonsky to Maduro. By the time the system operators finish, they had
achieved a convincing, but narrow victory of 200,000 votes for Maduro.
20. After Smartmatic created the voting system President Chavez wanted, he
exported the software and system all over Latin America. It was sent to
Bolivia, Nicaragua, Argentina, Ecuador, and Chile – countries that were
in alliance with President Chavez. This was a group of leaders who
wanted to be able to guarantee they maintained power in their countries.
When Chavez died, Smartmatic was in a position of being the only
- Page 5 of 8
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21. I want to point out that the software and fundamental design of the
electronic electoral system and software of Dominion and other election
tabulating companies relies upon software that is a descendant of the
Smartmatic Electoral Management System. In short, the Smartmatic
software is in the DNA of every vote tabulating company’s software and
system.
22. Dominion is one of three major companies that tabulates votes in the
United States. Dominion uses the same methods and fundamentally same
software design for the storage, transfer and computation of voter
identification data and voting data. Dominion and Smartmatic did
business together. The software, hardware and system have the same
fundamental flaws which allow multiple opportunities to corrupt the data
and mask the process in a way that the average person cannot detect any
fraud or manipulation. The fact that the voting machine displays a voting
result that the voter intends and then prints out a paper ballot which
reflects that change does not matter. It is the software that counts the
digitized vote and reports the results. The software itself is the one that
changes the information electronically to the result that the operator of
the software and vote counting system intends to produce that counts.
That’s how it is done. So the software, the software itself configures the
vote and voting result -- changing the selection made by the voter. The
software decides the result regardless of what the voter votes.
24. If one questions the reliability of my observations, they only have to read
the words of
a time period in
- Page 6 of 8
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which Smartmatic had possession of all the votes and the voting, the votes
themselves and the voting information at their disposition in Venezuela.
25. But later, in 2017 when there were elections where Maduro was running
and elections for legislators in Venezuela, and Smartmatic broke
their secrecy pact with the government of Venezuela. He made a public
announcement through the media in which he stated that all the
Smartmatic voting machines used during those elections were totally
manipulated and they were manipulated by the electoral council of
Venezuela back then. stated that all of the votes for Nicholas
Maduro and the other persons running for the legislature were
manipulated and they actually had lost. So I think that's the greatest
proof that the fraud can be carried out and will be denied by the software
company that admitted publicly that Smartmatic had created,
used and still uses vote counting software that can be manipulated or
altered.
26. I am alarmed because of what is occurring in plain sight during this 2020
election for President of the United States. The circumstances and events
are eerily reminiscent of what happened with Smartmatic software
electronically changing votes in the 2013 presidential election in
Venezuela. What happened in the United States was that the vote
counting was abruptly stopped in five states using Dominion software. At
the time that vote counting was stopped, Donald Trump was significantly
ahead in the votes. Then during the wee hours of the morning, when there
was no voting occurring and the vote count reporting was off-line,
something significantly changed. When the vote reporting resumed the
very next morning there was a very pronounced change in voting in favor
of the opposing candidate, Joe Biden.
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EXHIBIT 2
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1 Summary
Survey data was collected from individuals in several states, sampling those who the states listed as not returning absentee
ballots. The data was provided by Matt Braynard.
The survey asked respondents whether they (a) had ever requested an absentee ballot, and, if so, (b) whether they had
in fact returned this ballot. From this sample I produce predictions of the total numbers of: Error #1, those who were
recorded as receiving absentee ballots without requesting them; and Error #2, those who returned absentee ballots but
whose votes went missing (i.e. marked as unreturned).
The sizes of both errors were large in each state. The states were Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona where
ballots were across parties. Pennsylvania data was for Republicans only.
2 Analysis Description
Each analysis was carried out separately for each state. The analysis used (a) the number of absentee ballots recorded as
unreturned, (b) the total responding to the survey, (c) the total of those saying they did not request a ballot, (d) the total
of those saying they did request a ballot, and of these (e) the number saying they returned their ballots. I assume survery
respondents are representative and the data is accurate.
From these data a simple parameter-free predictive model was used to calculate the probability of all possible outcomes.
Pictures of these probabilities were derived, and the 95% prediction interval of the relevant numbers was calculated. The
pictures appear in the Appendix at the end. They are summarized here with their 95% prediction intervals.
Error #1: being recorded as sent an absentee ballot without requesting one.
Error #2: sending back an absentee ballot and having it recorded as not returned.
State Unreturned ballots Error #1 Error #2
Georgia 138,029 16,938–22,771 31,559–38,866
Michigan 139,190 29,611–36,529 27,928–34,710
Pennsylvania∗ 165,412 32,414–37,444 26,954–31,643
Wisconsin 96,771 16,316–19,273 13,991–16,757
Arizona 518,560 208,333–229,937 78,714–94,975
∗
Number for Pennsylvania represent Republican ballots only.
Ballots that were not requested, and ballots returned and marked as not returned were classed as troublesome. The
estimated average number of troublesome ballots for each state were then calculated using the table above and are presented
next.
State Unreturned ballots Estimated average Percent
troublesome ballots
Georgia 138,029 53,489 39%
Michigan 139,190 62,517 45%
Pennsylvania∗ 165,412 61,780 37%
Wisconsin 96,771 29,594 31%
Arizona 518,560 303,305 58%
∗
Number for Pennsylvania represent Republican ballots only.
3 Conclusion
There are clearly a large number of troublesome ballots in each state investigated. Ballots marked as not returned that were
never requested are clearly an error of some kind. The error is not small as a percent of the total recorded unreturned ballots.
96
1
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1-2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 15 of 52
Ballots sent back and unrecorded is a separate error. These represent votes that have gone missing, a serious mistake.
The number of these missing ballots is also large in each state.
Survey respondents were not asked if they received an unrequested ballot whether they sent these ballots back. This is
clearly a lively possibility, and represents a third possible source of error, including the potential of voting twice (once by
absentee and once at the polls). No estimates or likelihood can be calculated for this potential error due to absence of data.
23 November 2020
William M. Briggs
5 Appendix
The probability pictures for each state for each outcome as mentioned above.
Probability of numbers of un−requested absentee ballots listed as
not returned for Georgia
0.00025 There is a 95 % chance from
between 16938 and 22771
0.00020 absentee ballots were not
Probability
0.00005
0.00000
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000
Ballots Listed as Not Returned
97
2
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1-2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 16 of 52
0.00005
0.00000
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000
Ballots Listed as Not Returned
0.00015
returned but marked as not
0.00010 returned
0.00005
0.00000
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000
Ballots Listed as Not Returned
0.00020
requested but marked as not
0.00015 returned
0.00010
0.00005
0.00000
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000
Ballots Listed as Not Returned
98
3
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1-2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 17 of 52
0.0001
0.0000
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000
Ballots Listed as Not Returned
0.00006
returned but marked as not
0.00004 returned
0.00002
0.00000
0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000 500,000
Ballots Listed as Not Returned
99
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EXHIBIT 2 A
100
AZ Unreturned Live Agent - Mass Markets
101
81,708 Data Loads
102
14 0.66% Close A] 3 4 7
1,055 49.55% X = Refused 201 326 528
103
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EXHIBIT 2 B
104
AZ Unreturned Live Agent - Mass Markets
105
81,708 Data Loads
106
14 0.66% Close A] 3 4 7
1,055 49.55% X = Refused 201 326 528
107
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EXHIBIT 2 C
108
MI Unreturned Live Agent - Mass Markets
109
70,030 Data Loads
Q3 - Did you mail your ballot back? Response 11/15/2020 11/16/2020 11/17/2020
232 21.28% A-Yes [Go to Q4] - 41 191
472 43.30% B-No [Go to Close A] - 109 363
10 0.92% Member) [Go to Q4] - 2 8
28 2.57% Member) [Go to Close A] - 2 26
110
22 2.02% Close A] - 5 17
326 29.91% X = Refused - 60 266
-
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EXHIBIT 2 D
112
0270 PA Absentee Live ID Topline
113
Q1 - May I please speak to
Response 9-Nov 10-Nov 11-Nov
<lead on screen>?
2,262 75.86% 1. Reached Target [Go to Q2]. 593 1,669
422 14.15% Q2]. 102 320
298 9.99% X = Refused <Go to CLOSE A> 77 221
739 24.78% Q = Hangup <Go to CLOSE A> 160 579
2,982 100.00% Sum of All Responses 932 2789 0
114
11 0.97% confirmed “Yes” [Go to Q4] 1 10
11 0.97% confirmed “No” [Go to Close A] 4 7
15 1.32% 5. Unsure. [Go to Close A]. 6 9
2 0.18% moment. [Go to Close A] 0 2
14 1.23% X = Refused <Go to CLOSE A> 5 9
13 1.14% Q = Hangup <Go to CLOSE A> 8 5
1,137 100.00% Sum of All Responses 343 807 0
EXHIBIT 2 E
115
0276 GA Unreturned_Absentee Live ID Topline
11/16/2020 11/17/2020
15179 Completes 8143 7036
116
Q1 - May I please speak to <lead on
Response 16-Nov 17-Nov
screen>?
767 65.28% 1. Reached Target [Go to Q2]. 446 321
255 21.70% [Go to Q2]. 165 90
153 13.02% X = Refused <Go to CLOSE A> 104 49
385 32.77% Q = Hangup <Go to CLOSE A> 267 118
1,175 100.00% Sum of All Responses 982 578
117
member confirmed “No” [Go to
9 1.44%
Close A] 4 5
24 3.85% 5. Unsure. [Go to Close A]. 14 10
11 1.77% moment. [Go to Close A] 8 3
5 0.80% X = Refused <Go to CLOSE A> 5 0
7 1.12% Q = Hangup <Go to CLOSE A> 3 4
623 100.00% Sum of All Responses 367 263
118
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EXHIBIT 2 F
119
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1. Experience
(1) 2016: Author of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Sta-
tistics, a book which argues for a complete and fundamental change in the
philosophy and practice of probability and statistics. Eliminate hypothesis
testing and estimation, and move to verifiable predictions. This includes
AI and machine learning. Call this The Great Reset, but a good one.
(2) 2004-2016 Adjunct Professor of Statistical Science, Cornell
University, Ithaca, New York
I taught a yearly Masters course to people who (rightfully) hate statistics.
Interests: philosophy of science & probability, epistemology, epidemiology
(ask me about the all-too-common epidemiologist fallacy), Bayesian sta-
tistics, medicine, climatology & meteorology, goodness of forecasts, over-
confidence in science; public understanding of science, limitations of science,
scientism; scholastic metaphysics (as it relates to epistemology).
(3) 1998-present. Statistical consultant, Various companies
Most of my time is spent coaxing people out of their money to tell them
they are too sure of themselves. All manner of analyses cheerfully un-
dertaken. Example: Fraud analysis; I created the Wall Street Journal’s
College Rankings. I consultant regularly at Methodist and other hospitals,
start-ups, start-downs, and with any instition willing to fork it over.
(4) 2003-2010. Research Scientist, New York Methodist Hospital,
New York
Besides the usual, I sit/sat on the Institutional Review Committee to assess
the statistics of proposed research. I was an Associate Editor for Monthly
Weather Review (through 2011). Also a member of the American Meteoro-
logical Society’s Probability and Statistics Committee (through 2011). At
a hospital? Yes, sir; at a hospital. It rains there, too, you know.
(5) Fall 2007, Fall 2010 Visiting Professor of Statistics, Depart-
ment of Mathematics, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleas-
ant, MI
Who doesn’t love a visit from a statistician? Ask me about the difference
between “a degree” and “an education.”
(6) 2003-2007, Assistant Professor Statistics, Weill Medical Col-
lege of Cornell University, New York, New York
Working here gave me a sincere appreciation of the influences of government
money; grants galore.
(7) 2002-2003. Gotham Risk Management, New York
A start-up then, after Enron’s shenanigans, a start-down. We set future
weather derivative and weather insurance contract prices that incorporated
information from medium- and long-range weather and climate forecasts.
(8) 1998-2002. DoubleClick, New York
Lead statistician. Lot of computer this and thats; enormous datasets.
(9) 1993-1998. Graduate student, Cornell University
1
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2. Education
(1) Ph.D., 2004, Cornell University. Statistics.
(2) M.S., 1995, Cornell University. Atmospheric Science.
(3) B.S., Summa Cum Laude, 1992, Central Michigan University. Meteorology
and Math.
3. Publications
3.0.1. Popular.
(1) Op-eds in various newspapers; articles in Stream, Crisis Magazine, The
Remnant, Quadrant, Quirks; blog with ∼70,000 monthly readers. Various
briefs submitted to government agencies, such as California Air Resources
Board, Illinois Department of Natural Resources. Talks and holding-forths
of all kinds.
3.0.2. Books.
(1) Richards, JW, WM Briggs, and D Axe, 2020. UThe Price of Panic: How
the Tyranny of Experts Turned a Pandemic into a Catastrophe. Regnery.
Professors Jay Richards, William Briggs, and Douglas Axe take a deep dive
into the crucial questions on the minds of millions of Americans during one
of the most jarring and unprecedented global events in a generation.
(2) Briggs, WM., 2016. Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability &
Statistics. Springer. Philosophy of probability and statistics. A new (old)
way to view and to use statistics, a way that doesn’t lead to heartbreak
and pandemic over-certainty, like current methods do.
(3) Briggs, WM., 2008 Breaking the Law of Averages: Real Life Probability and
Statistics in Plain English. Lulu Press, New York. Free text for undergrad-
uates.
(4) Briggs, WM., 2006 So You Think You’re Psychic? Lulu Press, New York.
Hint: I’ll bet you’re not.
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3.0.3. Methods.
(1) Briggs, WM and J.C. Hanekamp, 2020. Uncertainty In The MAN Data
Calibration & Trend Estimates. Atmospheric Environment, In review.
(2) Briggs, WM and J.C. Hanekamp, 2020. Adjustments to the Ryden & Mc-
Neil Ammonia Flux Model. Soil Use and Management, In review.
(3) Briggs, William M., 2020. Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates
Certainty. In Data Science for Financial Econometrics, V Kreinovich, NN
Thach, ND Trung, DV Thanh (eds.), In press.
(4) Briggs, WM, HT Nguyen, D Trafimow, 2019. Don’t Test, Decide. In
Behavioral Predictive Modeling in Econometrics, Springer, V Kreinovich, S
Sriboonchitta (eds.). In press.
(5) Briggs, William M. and HT Nguyen, 2019. Clarifying ASA’s view on p-
values in hypothesis testing. Asian Journal of Business and Economics,
03(02), 1–16.
(6) Briggs, William M., 2019. Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Solv-
ing The Evidential Crisis (invited paper). Asian Journal of Business and
Economics, 03(01), 37–80.
(7) Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One
Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich,
NN Thach, ND Trung, DV Thanh (eds.), pp 22—44.
(8) Briggs, WM, HT Nguyen, D Trafimow, 2019. The Replacement for Hy-
pothesis Testing. In Structural Changes and Their Econometric Modeling,
Springer, V Kreinovich, S Sriboonchitta (eds.), pp 3—17.
(9) Trafimow, D, V Amrhein, CN Areshenkoff, C Barrera-Causil, ..., WM
Briggs, (45 others), 2018. Manipulating the alpha level cannot cure sig-
nificance testing. Frontiers in Psychology, 9, 699. doi.org/10.3389/ fp-
syg.2018.00699.
(10) Briggs, WM, 2018. Testing, Prediction, and Cause in Econometric Models.
In Econometrics for Financial Applications, ed. Anh, Dong, Kreinovich,
and Thach. Springer, New York, pp 3–19.
(11) Briggs, WM, 2017. The Substitute for p-Values. JASA, 112, 897–898.
(12) J.C. Hanekamp, M. Crok, M. Briggs, 2017. Ammoniak in Nederland.
Enkele kritische wetenschappelijke kanttekeningen. V-focus, Wageningen.
(13) Briggs, WM, 2017. Math: Old, New, and Equalitarian. Academic Ques-
tions, 30(4), 508–513.
(14) Monckton, C, W Soon, D Legates, ... (several others), WM Briggs 2018. On
an error in applying feedback theory to climate. In submission (currently
J. Climate).
(15) Briggs, WM, JC Hanekamp, M Crok, 2017. Comment on Goedhart and
Huijsmans. Soil Use and Management, 33(4), 603–604.
(16) Briggs, WM, JC Hanekamp, M Crok, 2017. Response to van Pul, van
Zanten and Wichink Kruit. Soil Use and Management, 33(4), 609–610.
(17) Jaap C. Hanekamp, William M. Briggs, and Marcel Crock, 2016. A volatile
discourse - reviewing aspects of ammonia emissions, models, and atmo-
spheric concentrations in The Netherlands. Soil Use and Management,
33(2), 276–287.
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(34) Briggs, WM, 2007. Changes in number and intensity of world-wide tropical
cyclones arxiv.org/physics/0702131.
(35) Briggs, WM, 2007. On the non-arbitrary assignment of equi-probable priors
arxiv.org/math.ST/0701331.
(36) Briggs, WM, 2007. On the changes in number and intensity of North
Atlantic tropical cyclones Journal of Climate. 21, 1387-1482.
(37) Briggs, WM, Positive evidence for non-arbitrary assignments of probability,
2007. Edited by Knuth et al. Proceedings 27th International Workshop on
Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engi-
neering. American Institute of Physics. 101-108.
(38) Briggs, WM, R Zaretzki, 2007. The Skill Plot: a graphical technique for
the evaluating the predictive usefulness of continuous diagnostic tests. With
Discussion. Biometrics. 64(1), 250-6; discussion 256-61. PMID: 18304288.
(39) Zaretzki R, Gilchrist MA, Briggs WM, 2010. MCMC Inference for a Model
with Sampling Bias: An Illustration using SAGE data. arxiv.org/abs/0711.3765
(40) Briggs, WM, and D Ruppert, 2006. Assessing the skill of yes/no forecasts
for Markov observations. Monthly Weather Review. 134, 2601-2611.
(41) Briggs, WM, 2007. Review of Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sci-
ences (second edition, 2006) by Wilks, D.S. Journal of the American Sta-
tistical Association, 102, 380.
(42) Briggs, WM, M Pocernich, and D Ruppert, 2005. Incorporating misclassi-
fication error in skill assessment. Monthly Weather Review, 133(11), 3382-
3392.
(43) Briggs, WM, 2005. A general method of incorporating forecast cost and
loss in value scores. Monthly Weather Review, 133(11), 3393-3397.
(44) Briggs, WM, and D Ruppert, 2005. Assessing the skill of Yes/No Predic-
tions. Biometrics. 61(3), 799-807. PMID: 16135031.
(45) Briggs, WM, 2004. Discussion to T Gneiting, LI Stanberry, EP Grimit, L
Held, NA Johnson, 2008. Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate
quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds.
Test. 17, 240-242.
(46) Briggs, WM, 2004. Discussion to Gel, Y, AE Raftery, T Gneiting, and V.J.
Berrocal, 2004. Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Weather Field Forecast-
ing: The Geostatistical Output Perturbation (GOP) Method. J. American
Statistical Association. 99 (467): 586-587.
(47) Mozer, JB, and Briggs, WM, 2003. Skill in real-time solar wind shock
forecasts. J. Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 108 (A6), SSH 9 p.
1-9, (DOI 10.1029/2003JA009827).
(48) Briggs, WM, 1999. Review of Forecasting: Methods and Applications (third
edition, 1998) by Makridakis, Wheelwright, and Hyndman; and Elements
of Forecasting (first edition, 1998) by Diebold. Journal of the American
Statistical Association, 94, 345-346.
(49) Briggs, W.M., and R.A. Levine, 1997. Wavelets and Field Forecast Verifi-
cation. Monthly Weather Review, 25 (6), 1329-1341.
(50) Briggs, WM, and DS Wilks, 1996. Estimating monthly and seasonal dis-
tributions of temperature and precipitation using the new CPC long-range
forecasts. Journal of Climate, 9, 818-826.
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(51) Briggs, WM, and DS Wilks, 1996. Extension of the CPC long-lead tem-
perature and precipitation outlooks to general weather statistics. Journal
of Climate, 9, 3496-3504.
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3.0.4. Applications.
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and the Medical Knowledge Core Competency. J Grad Med Educ. 2013
Sep;5(3):464-7. PMID: 24404311.
(11) Annika Krystyna, D Kumari, R Tenney, R Kosanovic, T Safi, WM Briggs,
K Hennessey, M Skelly, E Enriquez, J Lajeune, W Ghani and MD Schwalb,
2013. Hepatitis c antibody testing in African American and Hispanic men
in New York City with prostate biopsy. Oncology Discovery, Vol 1. DOI:
10.7243/2052-6199-1-1.
(12) Ziad Y. Fayad, Elie Semaan, Bashar Fahoum, W. Matt Briggs, Anthony
Tortolani, and Marcus D’Ayala, 2013. Aortic mural thrombus in the nor-
mal or minimally atherosclerotic aorta: A systematic review and meta-
analysis of the available literature. Ann Vasc Surg., Apr;27(3):282-90.
DOI:10.1016/j.avsg.2012.03.011.
(13) Elizabeth Haines, Gerardo Chiricolo, Kresimir Aralica, William Briggs,
Robert Van Amerongen, Andrew Laudenbach, Kevin O’Rourke, and Lawrence
Melniker MD, 2012. Derivation of a Pediatric Growth Curve for Inferior
Vena Caval Diameter in Healthy Pediatric Patients. Crit Ultrasound J.
2012 May 28;4(1):12. doi: 10.1186/2036-7902-4-12.
(14) Wei Li, Piotr Gorecki, Elie Semaan, William Briggs, Anthony J. Tortolani,
Marcus D’Ayala, 2011. Concurrent Prophylactic Placement of Inferior Vena
Cava Filter in gastric bypass and adjustable banding operations: An analy-
sis of the Bariatric Outcomes Longitudinal Database (BOLD). J. Vascular
Surg. 2012 Jun;55(6):1690-5. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2011.12.056.
(15) Krystyna A, Kosanovic R, Tenney R, Safi T, Briggs WM, et al. (2011)
Colonoscopy Findings in Men with Transrectal Ultrasound Guided Prostate
Biopsy: Association of Colonic Lipoma with Prostate Cancer. J Cancer Sci
Ther S4:002. doi:10.4172/1948-5956.S4-002
(16) Birkhahn RH, Wen W, Datillo PA, Briggs WM, Parekh A, Arkun A, Byrd
B, Gaeta TJ, 2012. Improving patient flow in acute coronary syndromes
in the face of hospital crowding. J Emerg Med. 2012 Aug;43(2):356-65.
PMID: 22015378.
(17) Birkhahn RH, Haines E, Wen W, Reddy L, Briggs WM, Datillo PA., 2011.
Estimating the clinical impact of bringing a multimarker cardiac panel to
the bedside in the ED. Am J Emerg Med. 2011 Mar;29(3):304-8.
(18) Krystyna A, Safi T, Briggs WM, Schwalb MD., 2011. Correlation of hep-
atitis C and prostate cancer, inverse correlation of basal cell hyperplasia
or prostatitis and epidemic syphilis of unknown duration. Int Braz J Urol.
2011 Mar-Apr;37(2):223-9; discussion 230.
(19) Muniyappa R, Briggs WM, 2010. Limited Predictive Ability of Surrogate
Indices of Insulin Sensitivity/Resistance in Asian Indian Men: A Calibra-
tion Model Analysis. AJP - Endocrinology and Metabolism. 299(6):E1106-
12. PMID: 20943755.
(20) Birkhahn RH, Blomkalns A, Klausner H, Nowak R, Raja AS, Summers
R, Weber JE, Briggs WM, Arkun A, Diercks D. The association between
money and opinion in academic emergency medicine. West J Emerg Med.
2010 May;11(2):126-32. PMID: 20823958.
(21) Loizzo JJ, Peterson JC, Charlson ME, Wolf EJ, Altemus M, Briggs WM,
Vahdat LT, Caputo TA, 2010. The effect of a contemplative self-healing
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10
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11
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12
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13
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EXHIBIT 3
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Matt Braynard on Twitter: "Update: -Residency Analysis of ABS/EV Voters These are the two indicators
of someone no longer eligible to vote due to residency: NCOA = Voters who filed change of address to
another state. SVR = Subsequent Voter Registration in another state Merged = NCOA+SVR Deduped" /
Twitter
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EXHIBIT 4
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Declaration of
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bias. Here, I posed the following question: “Do any voting machine
types appear to have unusual results?” The answer provided by the
statistical technique/algorithm was that machines from Dominion
Voting Systems (Dominion) produced abnormal results.
8. Subsequent graphical and statistical analysis shows the unusual
pattern involving machines from Dominion occurs in at least 100
counties and multiple States. Since machines from Dominion were
used in Maricopa County, it is possible the unusual pattern
continues there.
9. The results from most, if not all counties using the Dominion
machines is three to five point six percentage points higher in favor
of candidate Biden than the results should be. This pattern is seen
easily in graphical form when the results from “Dominion” counties
are overlaid against results from “non-Dominion” counties. The
results from “Dominion” counties do not match the results from the
rest of the counties in the United States. The results are certainly
statistically significant, with a p-value of < 0.00004. This translates
into a statistical impossibility that something unusual involving
Dominion machines is not occurring. This pattern appears in
multiple States and the margin of votes implied by the unusual
activity would easily sway the election results in those States. The
margin of votes implied by the unusual pattern would certainly sway
the election results in Arizona.
10. The following graph shows the pattern. The x-axis is our
predicted percentage candidate Biden should win. The y-axis is the
actual percentage Biden won. The green dots are counties in the
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EXHIBIT 5
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EXHIBIT 5 A
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EXHIBIT 5 B
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EXHIBIT 6
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EXHIBIT 7
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156
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EXHIBIT 8
204
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205
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207
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209
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EXHIBIT 9
210
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211
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212
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g. Mohave
h. Gila
i. Yavapai
15. These 4 counties show deviation from standard progression
associated with historic party registration trends:
a. Apache – shifted one point in favor of Republicans in
registration since 2016 but gave Trump a defeat margin 2,647
votes greater than in 2016, as Biden added a record number of
votes in one cycle despite registration trends.
b. Coconino – shifted three points in favor of Democrats but has a
heavier than expected margin in favor of Biden, particularly
since Republicans also gained in this county.
c. Navajo – trended four points in favor of Republican registration
since 2016, but Trump’s margin of victory remained all but
unchanged, save for 156 votes, even though Trump added
nearly 7,000 more votes to his total in a county heavily
trending Republican.
d. Cochise – trended four points in favor of Republican
registration since 2016, but Trump’s margin of victory is nearly
unchanged, up just 297 votes.
Seth Keshel
18 Nov. 2020
215
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Aledo, Texas
216
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EXHIBIT 9 A&B
217
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218
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219
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EXHIBIT 9 S
220
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221
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222
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223
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224
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g. Mohave
h. Gila
i. Yavapai
15. These 4 counties show deviation from standard progression
associated with historic party registration trends:
a. Apache – shifted one point in favor of Republicans in
registration since 2016 but gave Trump a defeat margin 2,647
votes greater than in 2016, as Biden added a record number of
votes in one cycle despite registration trends.
b. Coconino – shifted three points in favor of Democrats but has a
heavier than expected margin in favor of Biden, particularly
since Republicans also gained in this county.
c. Navajo – trended four points in favor of Republican registration
since 2016, but Trump’s margin of victory remained all but
unchanged, save for 156 votes, even though Trump added
nearly 7,000 more votes to his total in a county heavily
trending Republican.
d. Cochise – trended four points in favor of Republican
registration since 2016, but Trump’s margin of victory is nearly
unchanged, up just 297 votes.
Seth Keshel
18 Nov. 2020
225
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Aledo, Texas
226
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EXHIBIT 10
227
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228
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229
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230
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231
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232
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237
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242
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254
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255
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EXHIBIT 11 A
256
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257
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258
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259
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EXHIBIT 11 B
260
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261
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262
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263
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EXHIBIT 12
264
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Declaration of
Pursuant to 28 U.S.C Section 1746, make the following
declaration.
1. I am over the age of 21 years and I am under no legal disability, which would prevent me
from giving this declaration.
2. I was an electronic intelligence analyst under 305th Military Intelligence with experience
gathering SAM missile system electronic intelligence. I have extensive experience as a white
hat hacker used by some of the top election specialists in the world. The methodologies I
have employed represent industry standard cyber operation toolkits for digital forensics and
OSINT, which are commonly used to certify connections between servers, network nodes
and other digital properties and probe to network system vulnerabilities.
3. I am a US citizen and I reside location in the United States of America.
4. Whereas the Dominion and Edison Research systems exist in the internet of things, and
whereas this makes the network connections between the Dominion, Edison Research and
related network nodes available for scanning,
5. And whereas Edison Research’s primary job is to report the tabulation of the count of the
ballot information as received from the tabulation software, to provide to Decision HQ for
election results,
6. And whereas Spiderfoot and Robtex are industry standard digital forensic tools for evaluation
network security and infrastructure, these tools were used to conduct public security scans of
the aforementioned Dominion and Edison Research systems,
7. A public network scan of Dominionvoting.com on 2020-11-08 revealed the following inter-
relationships and revealed 13 unencrypted passwords for dominion employees, and 75
hashed passwords available in TOR nodes:
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266
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8. The same public scan also showed a direct connection to the group in Belgrade as
highlighted below:
267
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10. An additional search of Edison Research on 2020-11-08 showed that Edison Research has an
Iranian server seen here:
Inputting the Iranian IP into Robtex confirms the direct connection into the “edisonresearch”
host from the perspective of the Iranian domain also. This means that it is not possible that the
connection was a unidirectional reference.
268
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269
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270
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11. BMA Capital Management is known as a company that provides Iran access to capital
markets with direct links publicly discoverable on LinkedIn (found via google on
11/19/2020):
271
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272
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This Dominion partner domain “dvscorp” also includes an auto discovery feature, where new in-
network devices automatically connect to the system. The following diagram shows some of the
related dvscopr.com mappings, which mimic the infrastructure for Dominion and are an obvious
typo derivation of the name. Typo derivations are commonly purchased to catch redirect traffic
and sometimes are used as honeypots. The diagram shows that infrastructure spans multiple
different servers as a methodology.
273
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The above diagram shows how these domains also show the connection to Iran and other
places, including the following Chinese domain, highlighted below:
15. The auto discovery feature allows programmers to access any system while it is connected to
the internet once it’s a part of the constellation of devices (see original Spiderfoot graph).
16. Dominion Voting Systems Corporation in 2019 sold a number of their patents to China (via
HSBC Bank in Canada):
10
274
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11
275
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12
276
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Of particular interest is a section of the document showing aspects of the nature of the patents
dealing with authentication:
17. Smartmatic creates the backbone (like the cloud). SCYTL is responsible for the security
within the election system.
13
277
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18. In the GitHub account for Scytl, Scytl Jseats has some of the programming necessary to
support a much broader set of election types, including a decorator process where the data is
smoothed, see the following diagram provided in their source code:
14
278
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19. Unrelated, but also a point of interest is CTCL or Center for Tech and Civic Life funded by
Mark Zuckerberg. Within their github page (https://github.com/ctcl), one of the programmers
holds a government position. The Bipcoop repo shows tanderegg as one of the developers,
and he works at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau:
15
279
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16
280
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and intentionally provided access to their infrastructure in order to monitor and manipulate
elections, including the most recent one in 2020. This represents a complete failure of their
duty to provide basic cyber security. This is not a technological issue, but rather a
governance and basic security issue: if it is not corrected, future elections in the United States
and beyond will not be secure and citizens will not have confidence in the results.
I declare under penalty of perjury that the forgoing is true and correct to the best of my
knowledge. Executed this November 23th, 2020.
17
281
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EXHIBIT 13
282
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283
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Pro V & V and that expired on Feb 24, 2017. No other certification has been located.
9. Section 231(b) of the Help America Vote Act (HAVA) of 2002 (42 U.S.C. §15371(b))
requires that the EAC provide for the accreditation and revocation of accreditation of
independent, non-federal laboratories qualified to test voting systems to Federal standards.
Generally, the EAC considers for accreditation those laboratories evaluated and
recommended by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) pursuant to
HAVA Section 231(b)(1). However, consistent with HAVA Section 231(b)(2)(B), the
Commission may also vote to accredit laboratories outside of those recommended by NIST
upon publication of an explanation of the reason for any such accreditation.
284
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10.
11. VSTL’s are VERY important because equipment vulnerabilities allow for deployment of
algorithms and scripts to intercept, alter and adjust voting tallies.
12. There are only TWO accredited VSTLs (VOTING SYSTEM TEST LABORATORIES). In
order to meet its statutory requirements under HAVA §15371(b), the EAC has developed the EAC’s
Voting System Test Laboratory Accreditation Program. The procedural requirements of the program
are established in the proposed information collection, the EAC Voting System Test Laboratory
Accreditation Program Manual. Although participation in the program is voluntary, adherence to
the program’s procedural requirements is mandatory for participants. The procedural requirements of
this Manual will supersede any prior laboratory accreditation requirements issued by the EAC. This
manual shall be read in conjunction with the EAC’s Voting System Testing and Certification
Program Manual (OMB 3265-0019).
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13.
286
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14.
287
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15.
288
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16.
289
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17.
18. Pro V& V and SLI Gaming both lack evidence of EAC Accreditation as per the Voting System
Testing and Certification Manual.
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19. Pro V& V is owned and Operated by Jack Cobb. Real name is Ryan Jackson Cobb. The company
ProV&V was founded and run by Jack Cobb who formerly worked under the entity of Wyle
Laboratories which is an AEROSPACE DEFENSE CONTRACTING ENTITY. The address
information on the EAC, NIST and other entities for Pro V& V are different than that of what is on
ProV&V website. The EAC and NIST (ISO CERT) issuers all have another address.
291
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20. VSTLs are the most important component of the election machines as they examine the use
of COTS (Commercial Off–The-Shelf)
21. “Wyle became involved with the testing of electronic voting systems in the early 1990’s and
has tested over 150 separate voting systems. Wyle was the first company to obtain
accreditation by the National Association of State Election Directors (NASED). Wyle is
accredited by the Election Assistance Commission (EAC) as a Voting System Testing
Laboratory (VSTL). Our scope of accreditation as a VSTL encompasses all aspects of the
hardware and software of a voting machine. Wyle also received NVLAP accreditation to
ISO/IEC 17025:2005 from NIST.” Testimony of Jack Cobb 2009
22. COTS are preferred by many because they have been tried and tested in the open market and
are most economic and readily available. COTS are also the SOURCE of vulnerability
therefore VSTLs are VERY important. COTS components by voting system machine
manufacturers can be used as a “Black Box” and changes to their specs and hardware make
up change continuously. Some changes can be simple upgrades to make them more efficient
in operation, cost efficient for production, end of life (EOL) and even complete reworks to
meet new standards. They key issue in this is that MOST of the COTS used by Election
Machine Vendors like Dominion, ES&S, Hart Intercivic, Smartmatic and others is that such
manufacturing for COTS have been outsourced to China which if implemented in our
Election Machines make us vulnerable to BLACK BOX antics and backdoors due to
hardware changes that can go undetected. This is why VSTL’s are VERY important.
23. The proprietary voting system software is done so and created with cost efficiency in mind
and therefore relies on 3rd party software that is AVAILABLE and HOUSED on the
HARDWARE. This is a vulnerability. Exporting system reporting using software like
Crystal Reports, or PDF software allows for vulnerabilities with their constant updates.
24. As per the COTS hardware components that are fixed, and origin may be cloaked under
proprietary information a major vulnerability exists since once again third-party support
software is dynamic and requires FREQUENT updates. The hardware components of the
computer components, and election machines that are COTS may have slight updates that
can be overlooked as they may be like those designed that support the other third -party
software. COTS origin is important and the US Intelligence Community report in 2018
verifies that.
25. The Trump Administration made it clear that there is an absence of a major U.S. alternative
to foreign suppliers of networking equipment. This highlights the growing dominance of
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Chinese manufacturers like Huawei that are the world’s LARGEST supplier of telecom and
other equipment that endangers national security.
26. China, is not the only nation involved in COTS provided to election machines or the
networking but so is Germany via a LAOS founded Chinese linked cloud service company
that works with SCYTL named Akamai Technologies that have offices in China and are
linked to the server that Dominion Software.
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27.
28. L3 Level Communications is federal contractor that is partially owned by foreign lobbyist
George Soros. An article that AP ran in 2010 – spoke out about the controversy of this that
has been removed. (LINK) “As for the company’s other political connections, it also appears
that none other than George Soros, the billionaire funder of the country’s liberal political
infrastructure, owns 11,300 shares of OSI Systems Inc., the company that owns Rapiscan.
Not surprisingly, OSI’s stock has appreciated considerably over the course of the year. Soros
certainly is a savvy investor.” Washington Examiner re-write.
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29.
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30.
31. L-3 Communication Systems-East designs, develops, produces and integrates
communication systems and support equipment for space, air, ground, and naval
applications, including C4I systems and products; integrated Navy communication systems;
integrated space communications and RF payloads; recording systems; secure
communications, and information security systems. In addition, their site claims that
MARCOM is an integrated communications system and The Marcom® is the foundation of
the Navy’s newest digital integrated voice / data switching system for affordable command
and control equipment supporting communications and radio room automation. The
MarCom® uses the latest COTS digital technology and open systems standards to offer the
command and control user a low cost, user friendly, solution to the complex voice, video
and data communications needs of present and future joint / allied missions. Built in
reliability, rugged construction, and fail-safe circuits ensure your call and messages will go
through. Evidently a HUGE vulnerability.
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32. Michigan’s government site is thumped off Akamai Technologies servers which are housed
on TELIA AB a foreign server located in Germany.
33. Scytl, who is contracted with AP that receives the results tallied BY Scytl on behalf of
Dominion – During the elections the AP reporting site had a disclaimer.
AP – powered by SCYTL.
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34. “Scytl was selected by the Federal Voting Assistance Program of the U.S. Department of
Defense to provide a secure online ballot delivery and onscreen marking systems under a
program to support overseas military and civilian voters for the 2010 election cycle and
beyond. Scytl was awarded 9 of the 20 States that agreed to participate in the program (New
York, Washington, Missouri, Nebraska, Kansas, New Mexico, South Carolina, Mississippi
and Indiana), making it the provider with the highest number of participating States.” PDF
35. According to DOMINION : 1.4.1Software and Firmware The software and firmware
employed by Dominion D-Suite 5.5-Aconsists of 2 types, custom and commercial off the
shelf (COTS). COTS applications were verified to be pristine or were subjected to source
code review for analysis of any modifications and verification of meeting the pertinent
standards.
36. The concern is the HARDWARE and the NON – ACCREDITED VSTLs as by their own
admittance use COTS.
37. The purpose of VSTL’s being accredited and their importance in ensuring that there is no
foreign interference/ bad actors accessing the tally data via backdoors in equipment
software. The core software used by ALL SCYTL related Election Machine/Software
manufacturers ensures “anonymity” .
38. Algorithms within the area of this “shuffling” to maintain anonymity allows for setting
values to achieve a desired goal under the guise of “encryption” in the trap-door.
39. The actual use of trapdoor commitments in Bayer-Groth proofs demonstrate the implications
for the verifiability factor. This means that no one can SEE what is going on during the
process of the “shuffling” therefore even if you deploy an algorithms or manual scripts to
fractionalize or distribute pooled votes to achieve the outcome you wish – you cannot prove
they are doing it! See STUDY : “The use of trapdoor commitments in Bayer-Groth proofs
and the implications for the verifiability of the Scytl-SwissPost Internet voting system”
40. Key Terms
41. UNIVERSAL VERIFIABILITY: Votes cast are the votes counted and integrity of the vote is
verifiable (the vote was tallied for the candidate selected) . SCYTL FAILS UNIVERSAL
VERIFIABILITY because no mathematical proofs can determine if any votes have been
manipulated.
42. INDIVIDUAL VERIFIABILITY: Voter cannot verify if their ballot got correctly counted. Like, if
they cast a vote for ABC they want to verify it was ABC. That notion clearly discounts the need for
anonymity in the first place.
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43. To understand what I observed during the 2020 I will walk you through the process of one ballot cast
by a voter.
44. STEP 1 |Config Data | All non e-voting data is sent to Scytl (offshore) for configuration of data. All
e-voting is sent to CONFIGURATION OF DATA then back to the e-voting machine and then to the
next phase called CLEANSING. CONCERNS: Here we see an “OR PROOF” as coined by
mathematicians – an “or proof” is that votes that have been pre-tallied parked in the system and the
algorithm then goes back to set the outcome it is set for and seeks to make adjustments if there is a
partial pivot present causing it to fail demanding manual changes such as block allocation and
narrowing of parameters or self-adjusts to ensure the predetermined outcome is achieved.
45. STEP 2|CLEANSING | The Process is when all the votes come in from the software run by
Dominion and get “cleansed” and put into 2 categories: invalid votes and valid votes.
46. STEP 3|Shuffling /Mixing | This step is the most nefarious and exactly where the issues arise and
carry over into the decryption phase. Simply put, the software takes all the votes, literally mixes them
a and then re-encrypts them. This is where if ONE had the commitment key- TRAPDOOR KEY –
one would be able to see the parameters of the algorithm deployed as the votes go into this mixing
phase, and how algorithm redistributes the votes.
47. This published PAPER FROM University College London depicts how this shuffle works. In
essence, when this mixing/shuffling occurs, then one doesn’t have the ability to know that vote
coming out on the other end is actually their vote; therefore, ZERO integrity of the votes when
mixed.
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54. Scytl and Dominion have an agreement – only the two would know the parameters. This means that
access is able to occur through backdoors in hardware if the parameters of the commitments are
known in order to alter the range of the algorithm deployed to satisfy the outcome sought in the case
of algorithm failure.
55. Trapdoor is a cryptotech term that describes a state of a program that knows the commitment
parameters and therefore is able change the value of the commitments however it likes. In other
words, Scytl or anyone that knows the commitment parameters can take all the votes and give
them to any one they want. If they have a total of 1000 votes an algorithm can distribute them
among all races as it deems necessary to achieve the goals it wants. (Case Study: Estonia)
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56.
57. Within the trapdoor this is how the algorithm behaves to move the goal posts in elections without
being detected by this proof . During the mixing phase this is the algorithm you would use to
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58. STEP 4|Decryption would be the decryption phase and temporary parking of vote tallies before
reporting. In this final phase before public release the tallies are released from encrypted format into
plain text. As previously explained, those that know the trapdoor can easily change any votes that the
randomness is applied and used to generate the tally vote ciphertext. Thus in this case, Scytl who is
the mixer can collude with their vote company clients or an agency (-------) to change votes and get
away with it. This is because the receiver doesn’t have the decryption key so they rely solely on Scytl
to be honest or free from any foreign actors within their backdoor or the Election Company (like
Dominion) that can have access to the key.
59. In fact, a study from the University of Bristol made claim that interference can be seen when there is
a GREAT DELAY in reporting and finalizing numbers University of Bristol : How not to Prove
Yourself: Pitfalls of the Fiat-Shamir Heuristic and Applications to Helios
60. “Zero-knowledge proofs of knowledge allow a prover to convince a verifier that she holds
information satisfying some desirable properties without revealing anything else.” David Bernhard,
Olivier Pereira,and Bogdan Warinschi.
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61. Hence, you can’t prove anyone manipulated anything. The TRAP DOOR KEY HOLDERS can offer
you enough to verify to you what you need to see without revealing anything and once again
indicating the inability to detect manipulation. ZERO PROOF of INTEGRITY OF THE VOTE.
62. Therefore, if decryption is challenged, the administrator or software company that knows the trap
door key can provide you proof that would be able to pass verification (blind). This was proven to be
factually true in the case study by The University of Melbourne in March. White Hat Hackers
purposely altered votes by knowing the parameters set in the commitments and there was no way to
prove they did it – or any way to prove they didn’t.
63. IT’S THE PERFECT THREE CARD MONTY. That’s just how perfect it is. They fake a proof of
ciphertexts with KNOWN “RANDOMNESS” .This rolls back to the integrity of the VOTE. The
vote is not safe using these machines not only because of the method used for ballot “cleansing” to
maintain anonymity but the EXPOSURE to foreign interference and possible domestic bad actors.
64. In many circumstances, manipulation of the algorithm is NOT possible in an undetectable fashion.
This is because it is one point heavy. Observing the elections in 2020 confirm the deployment of an
algorithm due to the BEHAVIOR which is indicative of an algorithm in play that had no pivoting
parameters applied.
65. The behavior of the algorithm is that one point (B) is the greatest point within the allocated set. It is
the greatest number within the A B points given. Point A would be the smallest. Any points outside
the A B points are not necessarily factored in yet can still be applied.
66. The points outside the parameters can be utilized to a certain to degree such as in block allocation.
67. The algorithm geographically changed the parameters of the algorithm to force blue votes and
ostracize red.
68. Post block allocation of votes the two points of the algorithm were narrowed ensuring a BIDEN win
hence the observation of NO Trump Votes and some BIDEN votes for a period of time.
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69.
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70. Gaussian Elimination without pivoting explains how the algorithm would behave and the election
results and data from Michigan confirm FAILURE of algorithm.
71. The “Digital Fix” observed with an increased spike in VOTES for Joe Biden can be determined as
evidence of a pivot. Normally it would be assumed that the algorithm had a Complete Pivot.
Wilkinson’s demonstrated the guarantee as :
72.
73. Such a conjecture allows the growth factor the ability to be upper bound by values closer to n.
Therefore, complete pivoting can’t be observed because there would be too many floating points.
Nor can partial as the partial pivoting would overwhelm after the “injection” of votes. Therefore,
external factors were used which is evident from the “DIGITAL FIX”
74. Observing the elections, after a review of Michigan’s data a spike of 54,199 votes to Biden. Because
it is pushing and pulling and keeping a short distance between the 2 candidates; but then a spike,
which is how an algorithm presents; - and this spike means there was a pause and an insert was
made, where they insert an algorithm. Block spikes in votes for JOE BIDEN were NOT paper
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ballots being fed or THUMB DRIVES. The algorithm block adjusted itself and the PEOPLE were
creating the evidence to BACK UP the block allocation.
75. I have witnessed the same behavior of the election software in countries outside of the United States
and within the United States. In -------, the elections conducted behaved in the same manner by
allocating BLOCK votes to the candidate “chosen” to win.
76. Observing the data of the contested states (and others) the algorithm deployed is identical to that
which was deployed in 2012 providing Barack Hussein Obama a block allocation to win the 2012
Presidential Elections.
77. The algorithm looks to have been set to give Joe Biden a 52% win even with an initial 50K+ vote
block allocation was provided initially as tallying began (as in case of Arizona too). In the am of
November 4, 2020 the algorithm stopped working, therefore another “block allocation” to remedy
the failure of the algorithm. This was done manually as ALL the SYSTEMS shut down
NATIONWIDE to avoid detection.
78.
79. In Georgia during the 2016 Presidential Elections a failed attempt to deploy the scripts to block
allocate votes from a centralized location where the “trap-door” key lay an attempt by someone using
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the DHS servers was detected by the state of GA. The GA leadership assumed that it was “Russians”
but later they found out that the IP address was that of DHS.
80. In the state of Wisconsin, we observed a considerable BLOCK vote allocation by the algorithm at the
SAME TIME it happened across the nation. All systems shut down at around the same time.
81.
82. In Wisconsin there are also irregularities in respect to BALLOT requests. (names AND address
Hidden for privacy)
83.
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84.
85. I can personally attest that in 2013 discussions by the Obama / Biden administration were being had
with various agencies in the deployment of such election software to be deployed in ----- in 2013.
86. On or about April 2013 a one year plan was set to fund and usher elections in -----.
87. Joe Biden was designated by Barack Hussein Obama to ensure the ----- accepted assistance.
88. John Owen Brennan and James (Jim) Clapper were responsible for the ushering of the intelligence
surrounding the elections in -----.
89. Under the guise of Crisis support the US Federal Tax Payers funded the deployment of the election
software and machines in ------ signing on with Scytl.
90.
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91. Right before the ----- elections it was alleged that CyberBerkut a pro-Russia group infiltrated ---
central election computers and deleted key files. These actions supposedly rendered the vote-
tallying system inoperable.
92. In fact, the KEY FILES were the Commitment keys to allow Scytl to tally the votes rather than the
election machines. The group had disclosed emails and other documents proving that their election
was rigged and that they tried to avoid a fixed election.
93. The elections were held on May 25, 2014 but in the early AM hours the election results were
BLOCKED and the final tally was DELAYED flipping the election in favor of -----.
94. The claim was that there was a DDoS attack by Russians when in actual fact it was a mitigation of
the algorithm to inject block votes as we observed was done for Joe Biden because the KEYS were
unable to be deployed. In the case of -----, the trap-door key was “altered”/deleted/ rendered
ineffective. In the case of the US elections, representatives of Dominion/ ES&S/ Smartmatic/ Hart
Intercivic would have to manually deploy them since if the entry points into the systems seemed to
have failed.
95. The vote tallying of all states NATIONWIDE stalled and hung for days – as in the case of Alaska
that has about 300K registered voters but was stuck at 56% reporting for almost a week.
96. This “hanging” indicates a failed deployment of the scripts to block allocate remotely from one
location as observed in ------ on May 26, 2014.
97. This would justify the presence of the election machine software representatives making physical
appearances in the states where the election results are currently being contested.
98. A Dominion Executive appeared at the polling center in Detroit after midnight.
99. Considering that the hardware of the machines has NOT been examined in Michigan since 2017 by
Pro V& V according to Michigan’s own reporting. COTS are an avenue that hackers and bad actors
seek to penetrate in order to control operations. Their software updates are the reason vulnerabilities
to foreign interference in all operations exist.
100. The importance of VSTLs in underrated to protect up from foreign interference by way of open
access via COTS software. Pro V& V who’s EAC certification EXPIRED on 24 FEB 2017 was
contracted with the state of WISCONSIN.
101. In the United States each state is tasked to conduct and IV& V (Independent Verification and
Validation) to provide assurance of the integrity of the votes.
102. If the “accredited” non-federal entities have NOT received EAC accreditation this is a failure of
the states to uphold their own states standards that are federally regulated.
103. In addition, if the entities had NIST certificates they are NOT sufficing according the HAVA
ACT 2002 as the role of NIST is clear.
104. Curiously, both companies PRO V&V and SLI GAMING received NIST certifications
OUTSIDE the 24 month scope.
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105. PRO V& V received a NIST certification on 26MAR2020 for ONE YEAR. Normally the NIST
certification is good for two years to align with that of EAC certification that is good for two years.
106.
107. The last PRO V& V EAC accreditation certificate (Item 8) of this declaration expired in
February 2017 which means that the IV & V conducted by Michigan claiming that they were
accredited is false.
108. The significance of VSTLs being accredited and examining the HARDWARE is key. COTS
software updates are the avenues of entry.
109. As per DOMINION’S own petition, the modems they use are COTS therefore failure to have an
accredited VSTL examine the hardware for points of entry by their software is key.
311
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110.
111. For example and update of Verizon USB Modem Pantech undergoes multiple software updates a
year for it’s hardware. That is most likely the point of entry into the systems.
112. During the 2014 elections in ---- it was the modems that gave access to the systems where the
commitment keys were deleted.
113. SLI Gaming is the other VSTL “accredited” by the EAC BUT there is no record of their
accreditation. In fact, SLI was NIST ISO Certified 27 days before the election which means that PA
IV&V was conducted without NIST cert for SLI being valid.
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114.
115. In fact SLI was NIST ISO Certified for less than 90 days.
116. I can personally attest that high-level officials of the Obama/Biden administration and large
private contracting firms met with a software company called GEMS which is ultimately the
software ALL election machines run now running under the flag of DOMINION.
117. GEMS was manifested from SOE software purchased by SCYTL developers and US Federally
Funded persons to develop it.
118. The only way GEMS can be deployed across ALL machines is IF all counties across the nation
are housed under the same server networks.
119. GEMS was tasked in 2009 to a contractor in Tampa, Fl.
120. GEMS was also fine-tuned in Latvia, Belarus, Serbia and Spain to be localized for EU
deployment as observed during the Swissport election debacle.
121. John McCain’s campaign assisted in FUNDING the development of GEMS web monitoring via
WEB Services with 3EDC and Dynology.
313
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122.
123.
124. AKAMAI Technologies services SCYTL.
314
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125. AKAMAI Technologies Houses ALL foreign government sites. (Please see White Paper by
Akamai.)
126. AKAMAI Technologies houses ALL .gov state sites. (ref Item 123 Wisconsin.gov Example)
127.
128. Wisconsin has EDGE GATEWAY port which is AKAMAI TECHNOLOGIES based out of
GERMANY.
129. Using AKAMAI Technologies is allowing .gov sites to obfuscate and mask their systems by way
of HURRICANE ELECTRIC (he.net) Kicking it to anonymous (AKAMAI Technologies) offshore
servers.
130.
131. AKAMAI Technologies has locations around the world.
132. AKAMAI Technologies has locations in China (ref item 22)
133. AKAMAI Technologies has locations in Iran as of 2019.
134. AKAMAI Technologies merged with UNICOM (CHINESE TELECOMM) in 2018.
135. AKAMAI Technologies house all state .gov information in GERMANY via TELIA AB.
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316
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154. Based on my research of voter data – it appears that there are approximately 23,000 residents of
a Department of Corrections Prison with requests for absentee ballot in Wisconsin. We are currently
reviewing and verifying the data and will supplement.
317
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155.
318
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I declare under penalty of perjury that the forgoing is true and correct to the best of my knowledge.
Executed this November 29th, 2020.
319
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EXHIBIT 14
320
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1.Ā My name is Ronald Watkins. I am a United States citizen currently residing in Japan.
2.Ā I am an adult of sound mind. All statements in this declaration are based on my personal
knowledge and are true and correct. I am making this statement voluntarily and on my own
initiative. I have not been promised, nor do I expect to receive, anything in exchange for my
testimony and giving this statement. I have no expectation of any profit or reward and
understand that there are those who may seek to harm me for what I say in this statement.
3.Ā I make this declaration because I want to alert the public and let the world know the truth
about the insecurity of actual voting tabulation software used in various states for
administering the 2020 Presidential and other elections. The software is designed, whether
with malicious intent or through plain incompetence, in such a way so as to facilitate digital
ballot stuffing via simple vote result manipulation and abuse of the digital adjudication
manual review system. Specifically, the Dominion Democracy Suite both enables voter
fraud by unethical officials out to undermine the will of the people and facilitates tabulation
errors by honest officials making simple, nearly untraceable mistakes.
5.Ā I am a network and information security expert with nine years of experience as a network
and information defense analyst and a network security engineer. In my nine years of
network and information security experience, I have successfully defended large websites
and complex networks against powerful cyberattacks. I have engaged in extensive training
and education and learned through experience how to secure websites and networks.
6.Ā In preparation for making this declaration, I have reviewed extensive technical materials
relating to the Dominion Voting Democracy Suite, including those cited herein.
7.Ā The Dominion Voting Systems ImageCast Central system is a software and hardware
workstation system designed to work with just a common “Windows 10 Pro”12 computer
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1-6 Filed 12/02/20 Page 3 of 10
paired via data cable3 to an off- the-shelf document scanner4 “for high speed scanning and
counting of paper ballots.”5
8.Ā When bulk ballot scanning and tabulation begins, the “ImageCast Central” workstation
operator will load a batch of ballots into the scanner feed tray and then start the scanning
procedure within the software menu.6 The scanner then begins to scan the ballots which
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322
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1-6 Filed 12/02/20 Page 4 of 10
tabulates votes in real-time. Information about scanned ballots can be tracked inside the
“ImageCast Central” software application.7
9.Ā After all of the ballots loaded into the scanner's feed tray have been through the scanner,
the “ImageCast Central” operator will remove the ballots from the tray and then will have
the option to “Accept Batch” on the scanning menu.8 Accepting the batch saves the results
into the local file system within the “Windows 10 Pro” machine.9 Any “problem ballots”
that may need to be examined or adjudicated at a later time can be found as ballot scans
saved as image files into a standard Windows folder named “NotCastImages”.10 These
“problem ballots” are automatically detected during the scanning phase and digitally set
aside for manual review based on exception criteria.11 Examples of exceptions may include:
overvotes, undervotes, blank contests, blank ballots, write-in selections, and marginal
%
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]NV\&5DA$Ā
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ȀȀ
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Q]]Y\1&&```%VRLQRPJW%PX_&MXL^VNW]\&\X\&'.(3..''((.I5XVRWRXWI6aQ
RKR]I)I]XIALQI2IBNLQ
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Q]]Y\1&&`NK%J[LQR_N%X[P&`NK&)')'(((,'/+''+&Q]]Y\1&&```%VRLQRPJW
%PX_&MXL^VNW]\&\X\&'.(3..
''((.I5XVRWRXWI6aQRKR]I)I]XIALQI2IBNLQI@NZI,,,*,.I.%YMOĀGJ[LQR_
NH%Ā
*
323
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1-6 Filed 12/02/20 Page 5 of 10
marks.”12 Customizable outstack conditions and marginal mark detection lets [Dominion's
Customers] decide which ballots are sent for Adjudication.13
10.Ā During the ballot scanning process, the “ImageCast Central” software will detect how
much of a percent coverage of the oval was filled in by the voter.14 The Dominion customer
determines the thresholds of which the oval needs to be covered by a mark in order to
qualify as a valid vote.1516 If a ballot has a marginal mark which did not meet the specific
thresholds set by the customer, then the ballot is considered a “problem ballot” and may
be set aside into a folder named “NotCastImages.”17 “The ImageCast Central's advanced
Ȁ
ĀG((HĀ<2AB6@ĀA>;CB:>=Ā?C@492A6Ā2=5ĀA6@D:46AĀ28@66<6=BĀ3FĀ2=5Ā
36BE66=Ā5><:=:>=ĀD>B:=8ĀAFAB6<A#Ā:=4%ĀJ\Ā4XW][JL]X[#ĀJWMĀA64@6B
2@FĀ>7Ā
AB2B6Ā>7ĀB96ĀAB2B6Ā>7Ā86>@8:2ĀJ\ĀA]J]N#ĀY,)#Ā\(%*#ĀGXWURWNĀMXL^
VNW]H#Ā
Q]]Y\1&&PNX[PRJNUNL]RXW\%`NNKUb%LXV&^YUXJM\&(&'&/&,&('/,0('(,&L
XW][JL]%YMOĀ!2LLN\\NMĀ
=X_NVKN[Ā)*#Ā)')'"#Ā
Q]]Y\1&&`NK%J[LQR_N%X[P&`NK&)')'(()))(*.)/&Q]]Y\1&&PNX[PRJNUNL]
RXW\%`NNKUb%LXV&^YUXJM\&(&'&/
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Ā5XVRWRXWĀDX]RWP#Ā:VJPN4J\]Ā4NW][JU#ĀG`NK\R]NH#ĀQ]]Y\1&&```%MXV
Ȁ!
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Q]]Y\1&&`NK%J[LQR_N%X[P&`NK&)')'(('()'*+(/&Q]]Y\1&&```%MXVRWRXW
_X]RWP%LXV&RVJPNLJ\]$
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RKR]I)I]XIALQI2IBNLQ
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Q]]Y\1&&`NK%J[LQR_N%X[P&`NK&)')'(((,'/+''+&Q]]Y\1&&```%VRLQRPJW
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NH%Ā
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Ȁ)'@NPR
Ȁ)'LUN[TȀ)'[N\X^[LN\&,I,IRLLIXYN[J]RXW\IVJW^JU%YMOĀ!JLLN\\NMĀ=X
_NVKN[Ā)*#Ā)')'"#Ā
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IRLLIXYN[J]RXW\IVJW
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Ȁ$
Q]]Y\1&&```%NMLPX_%^\&8X_N[WVNW]&6UNL]RXW\&5XL^VNW]\&:VJPN4J\]Ȁ
)'4NW][JUȀ)'3[XLQ^[N
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Q]]Y\1&&`NK%J[LQR_N%X[P&`NK&)')'('(.(.,,'.&Q]]Y\1&&```%NMLPX_%^
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]NV\&5DA$Ā
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+
324
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 1-6 Filed 12/02/20 Page 6 of 10
settings allow for adjustment of the scanning properties to “[set] the clarity levels at which
the ballot should be scanned at.” Levels can be set as a combination of brightness and
contrast values, or as a gamma value.”18
11.Ā Based on my review of these materials, I conclude the system is designed in such a way that
it allows a dishonest or otherwise unethical election administrator to creatively tweak the
oval coverage threshold settings and advanced settings on the ImageCast Central scanners
to set thresholds in such a way that a non-trivial amount of properly-marked ballots are
marked as “problem ballots” and sent to the “NotCastImages” folder.
12.Ā The administrator of the ImageCast Central work-station may view all images of scanned
ballots which were deemed “problem ballots” by simply navigating via the standard
“Windows File Explorer” to the folder named “NotCastImages” which holds ballot scans
of “problem ballots.”1920 Under this system, it is possible for an administrator of the
“ImageCast Central” workstation to view and delete any individual ballot scans from the
“NotCastImages” folder by simply using the standard Windows delete and recycle bin
functions provided by the Windows 10 Pro operating system. Adjudication is “the process
of examining voted ballots to determine, and, in the judicial sense, adjudicate voter
intent.”21
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:44$C\N[8^RMN$Ā,$(($
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#ĀYY)'$)(#Ā\*%))#Ā
GXWURWNĀMXL^VNW]H#ĀQ]]Y\1&&```%\X\%\]J]N%LX%^\&Y^K\&NUNL]RXW\&D
X]RWPAb\]NV\&5DA$
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LLN\\NMĀ=X_NVKN[Ā)*#Ā
)')'"#ĀQ]]Y\1&&`NK%J[LQR_N%X[P&`NK&)')'('(0(.,/,+&Q]]Y\1&&```%\
X\%\]J]N%LX%^\&Y^K\&Ā
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.#ĀGXWURWNĀMXL^VNW]H#Ā
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,
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13.Ā Based on my review of these materials, I conclude that a biased poll worker without
sufficient and honest oversight could abuse the adjudication system to fraudulently switch
votes for a specific candidate.
14.Ā After the tabulation process, the ImageCast Central software saves a copy of the tabulation
results locally to the “Windows 10 Pro” machine's internal storage. The results data is
located in an easy-to-find path which is designed to easily facilitate the uploading of
tabulation results to flash memory cards. The upload process is just a simple copying of a
“Results” folder containing vote tallies to a flash memory card connected to the “Windows
10 Pro” machine. The copy process uses the standard drag-and-drop or copy/paste
mechanisms within “Windows File Explorer.”22 It is my conclusion that while this is a
simple procedure, the report results process is subject to user errors and is very vulnerable
to corrupt manipulation by a malicious administrator. It is my conclusion that, before
delivering final tabulation results to the county, it is possible for an administrator to
mistakenly copy the wrong “Results” folder or even maliciously copy a false “Results”
folder, which could contain a manipulated data set, to the flash memory card and deliver
those false “Results” as the outcome of the election.
I declare under penalty of perjury under the laws of the United States of America that the
foregoing is true and correct. Executed in Japan on November 24, 2020.
__________________________
Ronald Watkins
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IVJW^JU%YMOĀGJ[LQR_NH%Ā
-
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EXHIBIT 15
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EXHIBIT 19
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December 1, 2020
Pursuant to 28 U.S.C Section 1746, I, Matthew Bromberg, make the following declaration.
1. I am over the age of 21 years and I am under no legal disability, which would prevent me from
giving this declaration.
2. Matthew Bromberg has a Ph.D in Electrical Engineering from the University of California at
Davis and a Masters degree in Mathematics from the University of California at Berkeley. I
have been employed, for over 28 years, in the signal processing and wireless signal processing
domain, with an emphasis on statistical signal processing. I have published numerous journal
and conference articles. Additionally, I have held Top Secret and SAP clearances and I am
an inventor of nearly 30 patents, one of which has over 1000 citations in the field of MIMO
communications (Multiple Input Multiple Output).
Signature:
Supporting evidence for the assertions in (4) and 5 is provided in the following pages.
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2 Statistical Model
The simplest statistical model for computing the probabilities for an election outcome is a binomial
distribution, which assigns a probability p for a given person within the population to select a candidate.
If we assume that each person chooses their candidate independently, then we obtain the Binomial
distribution in the form,
N −k
P (k|N ) ≡ N Ck pk (1 − p) , (1)
where P (k|N ) is the probability that you observe k votes for a candidate in a population of N voters,
and where N Ck is the number of ways to choose k people out of a group of N people.
For larger N, the binomial distribution can be approximated by a Gaussian distribution, which is
used in the election fraud analysis in [1]. The chief reason for this is the difficulty of computing P (k|N )
for large N and k. However this problem can be overcome by computing the probabilities in the log
domain and using the log beta function to compute N Ck .
For this analysis it is more useful to compute the probabilities as a function of f the observed
fraction of the candidate’s votes. In this formulation we have k = N f, and N − k = N (1 − f ) , and
therefore we define the fractional probability as,
N (1−f )
BN (f ) ≡ N CN f pN f (1 − p) . (2)
2
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where pF is the prior probability of fraud. In our investigation we assume fraud is unlikely and set
pF = 0.01.
3
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As we can see there is not much change in the Biden statistics from the initial 601,714 absentee
ballots when compared with the 54,117 ballots that were added. This is further shown by the bar
chart in Figure 2.
Using our formula for the posterior probability of fraud in (3) we obtain the probability that the
fraud model is correct of 6.5%. This lends good support to the idea that the Illinois absentee ballots
were counted fairly.
4
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have,
B−x
=f
N1 − x
B − N1 f
x= . (4)
1−f
In the case that votes were actually switched from Trump to Biden, then the formula becomes,
B−x
=f
N1
x = B − N1 f
This would suggest that 104,107 ballots were fraudulently manufactured for Biden. If we presume
that actually those ballots were switched from Trump to Biden then as many as 19% of the new
absentee ballots for Biden were fraudulent, which totals around 51,110 ballots that should be removed
from Biden’s totals and added to Trump. We shall see in Section 6, that there is substantial evidence
that some Trump votes were actually switched to Biden votes.
5
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initial statistics were at 78%. This is a very large jump for such a large sample size and seems very
unlikely. Indeed the probability that the fraud model is correct is 100%, up to the precision of double
floating point arithmetic.
If we just examine the initial large batch of votes among the absentee ballots, we see an unexplained
jump of 5% for Biden. Although it is likely that most of the fraud, if any, occurred earlier in the vote
count, just this batch of ballots suggests that approximately 72668 Biden ballots are fraudulent. If we
presume that the votes were stolen from Trumps votes, then 15987 Biden ballots are fraudulent and
should be added to Trump’s total.
6
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7
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Assuming that there was fraud, we estimate that 105,639 fraudulent Biden ballots were added
between Wednesday and Thursday of 11/05/2020 in Milwaukee alone. However as we shall see below,
many of these votes may well have been switched from Trump to Biden, which would also give Trump
an additional 42365 votes and remove 42365 votes from Biden.
8
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almost uniformly have higher Democrat percentages. There is no obvious reason for this. It was
certainly not seen in the control case in Figure 8. Furthermore the third party percentages quickly
converge to their asymptote as would be expected in a fair election. One possible model for this would
be vote switching from Trump to Biden, which would show up more strongly in the smaller precincts.
9
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When we look at the total 3rd party percentages in Milwaukee, between Wednesday morning and
Thursday night, we see a significant drop from 1.9 percent to 1.4% for the newly added ballots. But
this is among 293,159 added ballots. This is illustrated in Figure 12. Again in this case the fraud
model has a posterior probability of 100% to machine precision.
10
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Figure 12: Milwaukee 3rd Party Percentages between Wednesday and Added
11
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A different story emerges when we plot the absentee vote percentages for Fulton county as a function
of precinct size, as can be seen in Figure 14. Here the trendlines for the Democrat and Republican
percentages are quite pronounced, amounting to a difference of 8 percent from the halfway mark.
We divide the Fulton county data into a group of smaller precincts and larger precincts. One group
has precincts less than 308 and another larger than 308. The total absentee ballots for the small group
is 24,575, and the large group is 120,029. The small group has a Democrat percentage of 85% and the
large group has a percentage of 77%, for a change of 8%. The fraud model is preferred in this scenario
again with probability of 100% to machine precision.
One might presume that small precincts generally favor Democrats over large precincts, biasing the
results. However take a closer look at the Libertarian party results in Fulton county in Figure 15. The
percentages are exactly what we would expect if there were no bias in precinct size. The percentages
bounce around a mean, not trending in any direction.
So if there were a bias favoring the democrats in small precincts, we would expect that to effect
both the Republican and Libertarian totals. However it appears to only effect Republican totals, as if
the Republican ballots were switched over to Democrat in a higher percentage in the smaller precincts.
Indeed if a fixed number of ballots are switched in each district, it would have a larger effect in the
smaller districts and then show up as trend lines in these percentage plots. At a minimum the data
suggests a statistical anomaly that is not normally present in a fair election.
7 Michigan Analysis
We now due a time series analysis for Michigan. The data was culled from Edison Research. We first
show, Trump, Biden and 3rd party voting percentages vs hours after the start of the election in Figure
16. The third party votes shows the proper convergence to an asymptote that we would expect from
12
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Figure 15: Fulton County Absentee Ballots: Libertarian Percentage vs Precinct Size
the law of large numbers. However the Trump and Biden percentages are vastly different You can see
large discrete jumps in the percentages as very large Biden ballot dumps occur over time. You also see
that the Biden percentages are mostly always increasing after hour 27, which is statistically unlikely
in a fair election.
Note also that almost a million of the ballots are received by hour 27, and we use this as our
starting point. At that point we have a total of 970,119 votes cast. At the end of 167 hours we have
5,531,222 votes cast. At our initial point the Biden percentage is 38%, but the new ballots have a
Biden percentage totaling 53% as seen in Figure 17. The fraud model has posterior likelihood of 100%
to machine precision.
13
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For Michigan we compute the estimated amount of fraudulent Biden ballots conservatively, assum-
ing that the 50.5 percent seen at the end of the count should have been the correct percentage among
the newly added ballots. From this and (4) we obtain an estimate of 237,140 fraudulent votes added
for Biden.
14
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In Figure 19 we focus on the third party percentages, which we see are indeed independent of
precinct size and converge quickly to it’s asymptote. This is about what we would expect if the third
party candidates were counted fairly. It is in sharp contrast to the precinct size dependency and slow
convergence of the Trump and Biden percentages.
References
[1] Peter Klimek, Yuri Yegorov, Rudolf Hanel, and Stefan Thurner. Statistical detection of systematic
election irregularities. 2, 2.1
[2] lulu Fries’dat and Anselmo Sampietro. An electoral system in crisis. http://www.
electoralsystemincrisis.org/. 4.2
15
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EXHIBIT 20
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EXHIBIT 21
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EXHIBIT 22
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EXHIBIT 23
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DECLARATION
DECEMBER 1, 2020
My name is Linda Brickman. Thank you for allowing me to come forward and
Effective November 12, 2020, as the 1st Vice-Chair of the Maricopa County
I was notified by Rey Valenzuela, Director of Elections, that the Logic & Accuracy
(L&A) Certification of the Dominion voting systems would take place on November 23rd.
With limited notice, I was later notified the date was moved to November 18, 2020 at 10:00
AM.
There will be around eleven (11) issues that I need to share with you. Starting with
I arrived at the Maricopa County Tabulations and Election Center (MCTEC) prior
to 10:00 AM, for what was supposed to be a morning turn around inspection of the
Dominion Software and equipment; however, it took some eight (8) hours before the two
There were about eight or 9 regular (vs high speed) machines set to tabulate all the
numbers from test ballots (pictures already sent to you) selected by staff from the Secretary
of State’s (SOS) Elections office as part of the SOS L&A Certification, and one main frame
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computer behind glass-like walls plugged into the wall, and a computer technicians work
station with a desktop computer to transfer results from the individual tabulators and into
the server. This main frame machine that I observed was to calculate all the test ballots
and add up the “0’s” to give a grand total of all 8 or 9 machine total ballots counted,
equaling “0.”
Problems occurred almost from the start with the SOS certification. For example, a
number of the ballots could not be read by the tabulator machines; at least one or more of
the tabulators broke down and portions had to be replaced; incorrect information had
been inputted into each tabulator earlier that morning; the “wrong files” were loaded up
into the main frame by the computer technician; and neither SOS staff nor the computer
technician were able to quickly resolve the problems. Instead, we were alerted it might
take an hour or more to work things out, so we adjourned until 2:00 PM, after lunch.
At approximately 2:00 PM I asked if the problem was resolved, and what had
happened. Instead, I was informed that the machines were not calculating correctly, and
all the machines were shut down during the break and reset; and they were going to start a
About an hour plus later, the ballots were run into the tabulators and printouts of
the results in the form of a “cashier’s tape” were reviewed by me and others. Then, the
memory sticks from each tabulator were removed and handed to the computer technician
for loading into the server along with other relevant files we were told.
Printouts were generated by the Dominion server, and County Chairs from the 3
County Political Parties, as well as other observers, began comparing the individual voting
totals tabulated for accuracy. Once completed, the County Chairs were asked to fill out
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and sign the “Certification” for the SOS L&A. And per Rey Valenzuela, Director of
Elections, other observers could sign if they insisted, but only in an “Observer Capacity”
Based on the issues described above with the SOS L&A test, and my familiarity with
reports from other State Secretary of States (for example, Texas), the December 2019
earlier elections, as well as reports from forensic experts including local Arizona ones, I
We then began the 2nd L&A test, but this one was conducted by Maricopa County
Elections Staff and on separate Dominion voting tabulator machines. This was a similar
process with results going to the server and reports printed out. But whatever problems or
irregularities surfaced during the first SOS test, they did not manifest this time.
And for the same reasons noted above, I denied certification, writing on the
I also have copies of each of those ballots counted, with copies available upon
request. Again, my reasons as noted above were my first-hand observations of the flaws
and irregularities in the SOS L&A tabulating and calculating of the Dominion software,
the unexplained turning off the computer system and doing a reset versus a correction, and
the over 5 hours for the SOS test and results review, plus my lack of faith in the 2nd L&A
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test – we could see the machines, but could not see or observe the software behind the
As a veteran County Elections Worker who actually worked the election both
during the August Primary, and the General from 10/19/20 to 11/11/20 working in the
Signature Verifications room, Duplication room, Adjudication room, ABC Room, and
Hand Count Audit, let me share just about 6 irregularities I PERSONALLY OBSERVED:
order to more quickly process that higher amount of early and mail-in ballots (from
none – “Just pass each signature verification through”) “There are too many
(2) Challenged signatures on envelopes where the signature was a completely different
person than the name of the listed voter, was let through and approved by
supervisors.
When I asked if the County Attorney would be alerted for possible ballot fraud, I
was told no, but supervisors would take care of it (I can supply one of the batches
(4) In the Duplication room, I observed with my Democratic partner the preparation of
a new ballot since the original may have been soiled, damaged, or ripped, and
soon as she entered it into the system the ballot defaulted on the screen to a
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commented that they had witnessed the same manipulation. We were never told
(5) Election Office Observers – when it became apparent that more and more early and
mail-in ballots would need to be processed, I mentioned that the current rule of the
number of observers per party was not adequate (1 per party, unless all parties
agreed to more). And since the Governor refused to call the Legislature into session
for any reason, and little incentive for the Democrats to agree to a higher adequate
number, there was no way 1 observer per Party, forced to the back of a room, or
workers were seeing in real time and doing, especially where up to 20 or more
observed most observers acting “clueless”, and do not believe any of them even
(6) And lastly, one of the most egregious incidents in both the Duplication and
Adjudication rooms which I worked, I observed the problem of Trump votes with
voters checking the bubble for a vote for Trump, but ALSO, writing in the name
“Donald Trump” and checking the bubble next to his hand written name again, as a
at all, despite the policy having been changed to allow these overvotes. Supervisors
contradicted their own policies where the intent was clear. Ray Valenzuela,
(November 18, 2020), that this was incorrect, the Supervisors were terribly mistaken
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and as an Adjudicator, I was instructed incorrectly, and these many votes SHOULD
The next day, I was called outside the room where I was working and
reprimanded for causing trouble over the weekend and was told to stop saying that
there were wrong doings going on in other rooms, so I was suppressed from
speaking the truth for fear of retaliation or pressure of being let go. So, the
supervisor kept me working ALONE in my corner of the room, not to circulate with
others.
the Dominion software, but as a voter in Maricopa County, who wants to hear the
truth and speak the truth and not feel suppressed to speak before you now.
There should be integrity in our voting electorate. Voting is not a right; voting is
American Citizen.
Thank you.
Linda Brickman
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1 COMES NOW Plaintiffs, Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake
2 Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M. King, James R. Lamon, Sam Moorhead, Robert
3 Montgomery, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward,
4 and Michael Ward, by and through their undersigned counsel, and move that this Court
5 grant them a temporary restraining order, with notice, pending adjudication of their request
7 FACTS
8 The facts relevant to this motion are set forth in the Complaint and its accompanying
9 exhibits, all of which are respectfully incorporated herein by reference. We present only a
10 summary.
11 After a general election and recount, Joe Biden has been declared the winner of
12 Arizona’s General Election for President by a difference of 10,457 votes. But the vote count
13 certified by defendants on November 30, 2020 fails to recognize the votes are steeped in
14 fraud. Hundreds of thousands of votes counted toward Mr. Biden’s final tally were the
15 product of fraudulent, illegal, ineligible and outright fictitious ballots. Plaintiffs support
16 this claim through the evidence laid out in the Complaint which includes the following
17 conclusions.
19 by Maricopa County election workers and Dominion employees that violated Arizona
21 A Dominion employee admitted to two Affiants that he was manually “backing up”
22 all voter data on a removable storage device, and removing the data every night to an
23 undisclosed off-site location without any supervision by election officials, where such data
24 could have been altered, and further expressly admitted to alteration of ballot adjudication
26 Even more damning is the testimony of an Affiant who is a member of the Maricopa
28 certification of Dominion voting machines at the MCETC on November 18, 2020. This
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1 Affiant attested to several Arizona election law violations and practices that discriminated
2 against voters for President Trump and other Republican candidates that she observed
3 there, including (1) arbitrarily low signature verification standards, that had the effect of
4 ignoring this requirement altogether; (2) accepting signatures on absentee ballot voter
5 envelopes that did not match the voter’s name; (3) entire batches of absentee ballot
6 envelopes to have the exact same handwriting; (4) Trump/Republican votes entered into
7 the system and being switched to Biden/Democratic votes; and (5) election workers
8 violating Maricopa County Election Department stated policy that it would permit
9 “overvotes” where voters filled in the bubble vote for President Trump and also filled in
12 analysis of voting results and technical analysis of voting machines and software that each
13 of several distinct categories of voting fraud or batches of fraudulent ballots were larger
15 Russell James Ramsland, Jr. is a member of the cybersecurity firm Allied Security
16 Operations Group, LLC. His firm’s study of the the publicly available data concerning
17 Arizona’s 2020 general elections results led him to conclude as follows: “we believe to a
19 manipulated within the ES&S and Dominion systems in Arizona.” (See Ex. 103) ¶9.
20 Mr. Ramsland further attests that “it is my professional opinion based on a reasonable
21 degree of certainty that in Maricopa Co. these systems may have switched votes from
23 The Declaration of Russell James Ramsland, Jr. also examines a number of “red
24 flags” in the voting data, in particular, the historically unprecedented turnout levels. (See
25 Ex. 103). Using publicly available data, Mr. Ramsland determined that 66 percent of Pima
26 County precincts (164 of 248) had turn out above 80%, and at least 36 had turnout above
27 90%, and that 54 percent of Maricopa County precincts (300 of 558) had turnout of 80%
28 or more, and at least 30 over 90%. Id. ¶14. The report concludes that these extraordinary,
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1 and likely fraudulent, turnout levels “compels the conclusion to a reasonable degree of
2 professional certainty that the vote count in Arizona, in particular for Maricopa and
3 Pima counties for candidates for President contain at least 100,724 illegal votes that
5 The Complaint provides testimony from several other experts who provided the
6 summary opinions for illegal votes that should be discarded due to other categories of
7 voting fraud:
• The report of William M. Briggs, Ph.D. estimating that absentee voters who
8
were recorded as receiving ballots without requesting them to be 219,135 (See
9 id., Ex 101 at 1).
10 • Dr. Briggs also estimate the number of absentee voters who returned ballots that
were recorded as unreturned was 86,845. (See id.).
11
12 • Matt Braynard used the National Change of Address database to identify votes
by persons that moved out of state or subsequently registered to vote in another
13 state for the 2020 election, and found a total of 5,790 ineligible votes. (See id.,
Ex. 102).
14
15 • And Plaintiffs can show Mr. Biden received a statistically significant Advantage
from the use of Dominion Machines in a nationwide Study, which
16 conservatively estimates Biden’s advantage at 62,282 votes.
17
Thus Mr. Ramsland, Dr. Briggs and statistician Brian Teasley identify distinct types of
18
errors resulting in illegal or fictitious votes that are several times larger than Biden’s margin
19
of 10,457 (with the exception of Mr. Braynard’s out-of-state or double voters that are still
20
more than half of Biden’s margin). If any of these categories of illegal voters were thrown
21
out, it would change the result of the election, and give President Trump the second term
22
that he actually won on Election Day.
23
Section III of the Complaint also provides testimony from experts regarding the
24
security flaws in Arizona voting machines, in particular, Dominion Voting Systems
25
(“Dominion”) that allow Dominion, as well domestic and foreign actors, to alter, destroy,
26
manipulate or exfiltrate ballot and other voting data, and potentially to do so without a trace
27
due to an algorithm that configures the data, cleanses it to determine which votes are invalid
28
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1 and which are valid before shuffling that results in a feed showing data with decimal points
2 and reflecting that the algorithm changes together with Dominion’s voluntary and
3 unprotected logs preventing a genuine audit possibility. For example, the Complaint
4 includes analyses of the Dominion software system, including one by a former US Military
5 Intelligence expert concludes that the system and software have been accessible and were
6 certainly compromised by rogue actors, such as Iran and China. (See Compl., Ex.105).
7 By using servers and employees connected with rogue actors and hostile foreign
9 allowed foreign adversaries to access data and intentionally provided access to their
10 infrastructure in order to monitor and manipulate elections, including the most recent one
11 in 2020. This constitutes a separate and independent ground to grant the declaratory and
13 DISCUSSION
15 Each Plaintiff has standing to bring the actions described in the Complaint, both as
16 voters, and in the case of the following Plaintiffs as a nominee of the Republican Party to
17 be a Presidential Elector on behalf of the State of Arizona: Tyler Bowyer, Nancy Cottle,
18 Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, James R. Lamon, Sam Moorhead, Robert Montgomery,
21 ensuring that the final vote tally reflects the legally valid votes cast,” as “[a]n inaccurate
22 vote tally is a concrete and particularized injury to candidates such as the Electors.” Carson
23 v. Simon, 978 F.3d 1051, 1057 (8th Cir. 2020) (affirming that Presidential Electors have
25 implementing or modifying State election laws); see also McPherson v. Blacker, 146 U.S.
26 1, 27 (1892); Bush v. Palm Beach Cty. Canvassing Bd., 531 U.S. 70, 76 (2000) (per
27 curiam).
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2 show that ‘(1) [it] is likely to succeed on the merits, (2) [it] is likely to suffer irreparable
3 harm in the absence of preliminary relief, (3) the balance of equities tips in [its] favor, and
4 (4) an injunction is in the public interest.’” Garcia v. Google, Inc., 786 F.3d 733, 740 (9th
5 Cir. 2015) (citing Winter v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 555 U.S. 7, 20, 129 S. Ct. 365,
6 172 L. Ed. 2d 249 (2008)). Alternatively, “if a plaintiff can only show that there are ‘serious
7 questions going to the merits’—a lesser showing than likelihood of success on the merits—
8 then a preliminary injunction may still issue if the ‘balance of hardships tips sharply in the
9 plaintiff's favor,’ and the other two Winter factors are satisfied,” Shell Offshore, Inc. v.
10 Greenpeace, Inc., 709 F.3d 1281, 1291 (9th Cir. 2013) (quoting Alliance for the Wild
11 Rockies v. Cottrell, 632 F.3d 1127, 1135 (9th Cir. 2011)), i.e., if the injunctive relief is in
12 the public interest and failure to grant would result in irreparable harm to the plaintiff.
14 “When the state legislature vests the right to vote for President in its people, the
15 right to vote as the legislature has prescribed is fundamental; and one source of its
16 fundamental nature lies in the equal weight accorded to each vote and the equal dignity
17 owed to each voter.” Bush v. Gore, 531 U.S. 98, 104 (2000) (emphasis added). The
18 evidence shows not only that Defendants failed to administer the November 3, 2020
19 election in compliance with the manner prescribed by the Georgia legislature, but that
20 Defendants committed a scheme and artifice to fraudulently and illegally manipulate the
21 vote count to make certain the election of Joe Biden as President of the United States. This
22 conduct violated Plaintiffs’ constitutional rights under the Electors and Elections Clauses,
23 the Equal Protection and Due Process Clauses of the Fourteenth Amendment, as well as
26 The Plaintiff does not need to demonstrate a likelihood of absolute success on the
27 merits. “Instead, [it] must only show that [its] chances to succeed on his claims are ‘better
28 than negligible.’ Whitaker v. Kenosha Unified Sch. Dist. No. 1 Bd. of Educ., 858 F.3d 1034,
412 -6-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 7 of 12
1 1046 (7th Cir. 2017). (quoting Cooper v. Salazar, 196 F.3d 809, 813 (7th Cir. 1999)).
2 Alternatively, Plaintiffs may show that there is “a serious question going to the merits.”
3 Cottrell, 632 F.3d at 1135. Under either formulation, Plaintiffs have easily passed this bar.
5 contained in the Complaint and its exhibits, Plaintiffs have made a compelling showing
6 that Defendants’ intentional actions jeopardized the rights of Arizona citizens to select their
7 leaders under the process set out by the Arizona Legislature through the commission of
8 election frauds that violated state laws and the Equal Protection Clause in the United States
10 preponderance of the evidence that their constitutional rights to equal protection or due
11 process were violated. See, e.g., Jones v. Williams, 791 F.3d 1023, 1037 (9th Cir. 2015).
12 The tally of ballots certified by Defendants giving Mr. Biden the lead with 10,457
13 votes cannot possibly stand in light of the thousands of illegal mail-in ballots that were
14 improperly counted and the vote manipulation caused by the Dominion software.
17 under the Fourteenth Amendment of the United States Constitution. Harper v. Va. State
18 Bd. of Elections, 383 U.S. 663, 665 (1966). See also Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533, 554
19 (1964) (The Fourteenth Amendment protects the “the right of all qualified citizens to vote,
20 in state as well as in federal elections.”). Indeed, ever since the Slaughter-House Cases, 83
21 U.S. 36 (1873), the United States Supreme Court has held that the Privileges or Immunities
22 Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment protects certain rights of federal citizenship from
23 state interference, including the right of citizens to directly elect members of Congress.
24 See Twining v. New Jersey, 211 U.S. 78, 97 (1908) (citing Ex parte Yarbrough, 110 U.S.
25 651, 663-64 (1884)). See also Oregon v. Mitchell, 400 U.S. 112, 148-49 (1970) (Douglas,
28 in our nation because it “is preservative of other basic civil and political rights.” Reynolds,
413 -7-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 8 of 12
1 377 U.S. at 562; League of Women Voters of Ohio v. Brunner, 548 F.3d 463,476 (6th
2 Cir. 2008) (“The right to vote is a fundamental right, preservative of all rights.”).
3 Voters have a “right to cast a ballot in an election free from the taint of intimidation and
4 fraud,” Burson v. Freeman, 504 U.S. 191, 211 (1992), and “[c]onfidence in the integrity of
7 “Obviously included within the right to [vote], secured by the Constitution, is the
8 right of qualified voters within a state to cast their ballots and have them counted” if they
9 are validly cast. United States v. Classic, 313 U.S. 299, 315 (1941). “[T]he right to have
10 the vote counted” means counted “at full value without dilution or discount.” Reynolds,
11 377 U.S. at 555, n.29 (quoting South v. Peters, 339 U.S. 276, 279 (1950) (Douglas, J.,
12 dissenting)).
13 “Every voter in a federal . . . election, whether he votes for a candidate with little
14 chance of winning or for one with little chance of losing, has a right under the Constitution
15 to have his vote fairly counted, without its being distorted by fraudulently cast votes.”
16 Anderson v. United States, 417 U.S. 211, 227 (1974); see also Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186,
17 208 (1962). Invalid or fraudulent votes “debase[]” and “dilute” the weight of each validly
19 The right to an honest [count] is a right possessed by each voting elector, and to the
20 extent that the importance of his vote is nullified, wholly or in part, he has been injured in
21 the free exercise of a right or privilege secured to him by the laws and Constitution of the
22 United States.” Anderson, 417 U.S. at 226 (quoting Prichard v. United States, 181 F.2d
23 326, 331 (6th Cir.), aff'd due to absence of quorum, 339 U.S. 974 (1950)).
24 Practices that promote the casting of illegal or unreliable ballots or fail to contain
25 basic minimum guarantees against such conduct, can violate the Fourteenth Amendment
26 by leading to the dilution of validly cast ballots. See Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 555 (“[T]he
27 right of suffrage can be denied by a debasement or dilution of the weight of a citizen’s vote
28 just as effectively as by wholly prohibiting the free exercise of the franchise.”). States may
414 -8-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 9 of 12
1 not, by arbitrary action or other unreasonable impairment, burden a citizen’s right to vote.
2 See Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186, 208 (1962) (“citizen’s right to a vote free of arbitrary
3 impairment by state action has been judicially recognized as a right secured by the
4 Constitution”). “Having once granted the right to vote on equal terms, the state may not,
5 by later arbitrary and disparate treatment, value one person’s vote over that of another.”
6 Bush, 531 U.S. at 104-05. Among other things, this requires “specific rules designed to
7 ensure uniform treatment” in order to prevent “arbitrary and disparate treatment of voters.”
8 Id. at 106-07; see also Dunn v. Bloomstein, 405 U.S. 330, 336 (1972) (providing that each
10 with other citizens in the jurisdiction”). Similarly, equal protection needs to be recognized
11 in this case where many Arizona’s citizens’ lawful votes remained uncounted, and many
15 violations of the Fourteenth Amendment rights to Equal Protection and Due Process,
16 “‘unquestionably constitutes irreparable injury.’” Melendres v. Arpaio, 695 F.3d 990, 1002
17 (9th Cir. 2012) (quoting Elrod v. Burns, 427 U.S. 347, 373, 96 S.Ct. 2673, 49 L.Ed.2d 547
18 (1976) (where plaintiff had proven a probability of success on the merits, the threatened
20 also Preston v. Thompson, 589 F.2d 300, 303 n.4 (7th Cir. 1978) (“The existence of a
22 Moreover, courts have specifically held that infringement on the fundamental right
23 to vote constitutes irreparable injury. See Ariz. Democratic Party v. Ariz. Republican Party,
24 2016 WL 8669978, at *11 (D. Ariz. Nov. 4, 2016) (citing Obama for Am. v. Husted, 697
25 F.3d 423, 435 (6th Cir. 2012) (“A restriction on the fundamental right to vote ... constitutes
26 irreparable injury.”); Williams v. Salerno, 792 F.2d 323, 326 (2d Cir. 1986) (holding that
27 plaintiffs “would certainly suffer irreparable harm if their right to vote were impinged
28 upon”).”
415 -9-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 10 of 12
2 The remaining two factors – the balance of the equities and the public interest – are
3 frequently analyzed together, see, e.g., Arizona Dream Act Coal. v. Brewer, 818 F.3d 901,
4 920 (9th Cir. 2016), and both factors tip in favor Plaintiffs. Granting Plaintiffs’ primary
5 request for injunctive relief, enjoining certification of the 2020 General Election results, or
6 requiring Defendants to de-certify the results, would not only not impose a burden on
7 Defendants, but would instead relieve Defendants of the obligation to take any further
8 affirmative action. The result would be to place the decision regarding certification and
9 the selection of Presidential Electors back into the hands of the Arizona State Legislature,
10 which is the ultimate decision maker under the Elections and Electors Clause of the U.S.
11 Constitution.
13 and illegality that it would impose a certain and irreparable injury not only on Plaintiff, but
14 would also irreparably harm the public interest insofar as it would undermine “[c]onfidence
15 in the integrity of our electoral processes,” which “is essential to the functioning of our
18 addressed a claim in 2018 related to Georgia’s voting system and Dominion Voting
19 Systems that bears on the likelihood of Plaintiffs’ success on the merits and the balance of
416 - 10 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 11 of 12
1 Therefore, Plaintiffs ask that this court immediately enjoin Governor Ducey from
2 transmitting the currently certified election results to the Electoral College pending trial on
3 the merits. Plaintiffs also request that the Court immediately order that all servers, software,
4 voting machines, tabulators, printers, portable media, logs, ballot applications, ballot return
5 envelopes, ballot images, paper ballots, and all election materials related to the November
6 3, 2020 Arizona election sized and impounded for forensic audit and inspection by the
7 Plaintiffs and that the Court award such other relief as is set forth in the attached proposed
8 form of Order.
9
Respectfully submitted, this 1st day of December 2020.
10
11
/s Sidney Powell* /s Alexander Kolodin
12
Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
13 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
14
Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
15
*Application for admission pro hac vice
forthcoming
16 Of Counsel:
17
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
18
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
19
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd. Suite 300
Dallas, Texas 75219
20 *Application for admission pro hac vice Forthcoming
21 L. Lin Wood (Georgia Bar No. 774588)
22
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
P.O. Box 52584
23
Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
Telephone: (404) 891-1402
24 Howard Kleinhendler (New York Bar No. 2657120)
25
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
369 Lexington Ave. 12th Floor
26
New York, New York 10017
(917) 793-1188
27
[email protected]
28
417 - 11 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 2 Filed 12/02/20 Page 12 of 12
2 I Certify that a copy of Plaintiffs’ Complaint and this motion have been electronically
3 transmitted to:
5 Jennifer Wright
10 Attempts will be made to hand deliver copies of the same to the offices of Defendants.
11
12 s/Alexander Kolodin
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
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25
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28
418 - 12 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 2-1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 1 of 3
1
2
3
4
5
6
IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
7
FOR THE DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
8
9 TYLER BOWYER, MICHAEL JOHN BURKE,
NANCY COTTLE, JAKE HOFFMAN, Case No.
10 ANTHONY KERN, CHRISTOPHER M. KING,
JAMES R. LAMON, SAM MOORHEAD, PROPOSED ORDER
11 ROBERT MONTGOMERY, LORAINE
PELLEGRINO, GREG SAFSTEN, GRANTING EMERGENCY
12 SALVATORE LUKE SCARMARDO, KELLI INJUNCTION RELIEF
WARD, and MICHAEL WARD;
13
Plaintiffs,
14
v.
15
DOUG DUCEY, in his official capacity as
16 Governor of the State of Arizona, and KATIE
HOBBS, in her official capacity as the Arizona
17 Secretary of State;
18 Defendants.
19 THE COURT has before it Plaintiffs’ Motion for Temporary Restraining Order and
20 Preliminary Injunction filed December 2, 2020, seeking:
21
22 1. An order directing Governor Ducey and Secretary Hobbs to de-certify
419
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 2-1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 2 of 3
26 The Court has reviewed the terms and conditions of this Emergency Injunctive
27 Relief Order, and for good cause shown IT IS HEREBY ORDERED THAT:
28
420 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 2-1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 3 of 3
26
27 Honorable ________________________
28 United States District Judge
421 -3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 3-1 Filed 12/02/20 Page 1 of 1
Within 21 days after service of this summons on you (not counting the day you received it) — or 60 days if you
are the United States or a United States agency, or an officer or employee of the United States described in Fed. R. Civ.
P. 12 (a)(2) or (3) — you must serve on the plaintiff an answer to the attached complaint or a motion under Rule 12 of
the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. The answer or motion must be served on the plaintiff or plaintiff’s attorney,
whose name and address are:
If you fail to respond, judgment by default will be entered against you for the relief demanded in the complaint.
You also must file your answer or motion with the court.
CLERK OF COURT
Date:
Signature of Clerk or Deputy Clerk
422
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 3 Filed 12/02/20 Page 1 of 1
Within 21 days after service of this summons on you (not counting the day you received it) — or 60 days if you
are the United States or a United States agency, or an officer or employee of the United States described in Fed. R. Civ.
P. 12 (a)(2) or (3) — you must serve on the plaintiff an answer to the attached complaint or a motion under Rule 12 of
the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. The answer or motion must be served on the plaintiff or plaintiff’s attorney,
whose name and address are:
If you fail to respond, judgment by default will be entered against you for the relief demanded in the complaint.
You also must file your answer or motion with the court.
CLERK OF COURT
Date:
Signature of Clerk or Deputy Clerk
423
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 8 Filed 12/02/20 Page 1 of 3
424
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 8 Filed 12/02/20 Page 2 of 3
2 Injunction should not have appeared in the final version of that document. We regret the
3 error.
4
Respectfully submitted, this 2nd day of December 2020.
5
6
/s Alexander Kolodin
7
Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
8 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
9
Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
10
*Application for admission pro hac vice
forthcoming
11 Of Counsel:
12
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
13
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
14
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd. Suite 300
Dallas, Texas 75219
15 *Application for admission pro hac vice Forthcoming
16 L. Lin Wood (Georgia Bar No. 774588)
17
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
P.O. Box 52584
18
Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
Telephone: (404) 891-1402
19 Howard Kleinhendler (New York Bar No. 2657120)
20
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
369 Lexington Ave. 12th Floor
21
New York, New York 10017
(917) 793-1188
22
[email protected]
23
24
25
26
27
28
425 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 8 Filed 12/02/20 Page 3 of 3
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
1
I hereby certify that on December, 2nd , 2020, I electronically transmitted the
2 foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
3
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
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21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
426 -3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 9 Filed 12/02/20 Page 1 of 1
Within 21 days after service of this summons on you (not counting the day you received it) — or 60 days if you
are the United States or a United States agency, or an officer or employee of the United States described in Fed. R. Civ.
P. 12 (a)(2) or (3) — you must serve on the plaintiff an answer to the attached complaint or a motion under Rule 12 of
the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. The answer or motion must be served on the plaintiff or plaintiff’s attorney,
whose name and address are: Alexander Kolodin 3443 N. Central Ave. Ste. 1009 Phoenix, AZ 85012
If you fail to respond, judgment by default will be entered against you for the relief demanded in the complaint.
You also must file your answer or motion with the court.
CLERK OF COURT
Date:
Signature of Clerk or Deputy Clerk
427
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 10 Filed 12/02/20 Page 1 of 1
Within 21 days after service of this summons on you (not counting the day you received it) — or 60 days if you
are the United States or a United States agency, or an officer or employee of the United States described in Fed. R. Civ.
P. 12 (a)(2) or (3) — you must serve on the plaintiff an answer to the attached complaint or a motion under Rule 12 of
the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. The answer or motion must be served on the plaintiff or plaintiff’s attorney,
whose name and address are: Alexander Kolodin 3443 N. Central Ave. Ste. 1009 Phoenix, AZ 85012
If you fail to respond, judgment by default will be entered against you for the relief demanded in the complaint.
You also must file your answer or motion with the court.
CLERK OF COURT
Date:
Signature of Clerk or Deputy Clerk
428
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 20 Filed 12/02/20 Page 1 of 1
2:20-CY-02321-DlH
and
Respondent/Defendant.
IHE UNDERSIGNED CERTIFIES UNDER PENALTY: THAT I JOHNNY MOORE BEING FULLY QUALIFIED
THROUGH THE ARIZONA CODE OF JUDICIAL ADMINSTRATION UNDER ARCP 4(d) ,4(c), AND 45(d);
ARFLP 40(C) , TO SERVE PROCESS IN THIS ACTION WITHIN THE STATE IN WHICH IT WAS SERVED,
HAVING BEEN SO APPOINTED BY THE COURT.
TYPE OE DOCUMENT (S )
and
Respondent/Defendant.
I,HX UNDERSIGNED CERTIEIES I]}iDER PENALTY: THAT I JOHNNY MOORE Bi]fNG FULLY QUAL]FlED
THROUGH THE ARIZcNA CODE OI JUDICIAL ADMINSTRATICN UNDER ARCP 4{d),4(c)/ AliD 4ir(d);
ARF]-P 40 (C), TO SERVE PROCESS IN THIS ACTION WITHIN THE STATE ]N WHICH IT WAS SERVED,
HAVING BEEN SO APPCINTED BY THE COURT.
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Petitioner/Plaintiff,
and
6
15 THE UNDERSIGNED CERTIFIES TJNDER PENAITY: THAT I YESENIA FELICIANO BEING FULLY
QUALIFIED THROUGH THE ARIZONA CODE OF JUDICTAL ADMINISTRATION UNDER ARCP 4(d),
a(e), AND a5(d); ARFLP 40(C), To SERVE PROCESS lN THIS ACTION \I'ITHIN THE STATE IN
16
WHICH IT WAS SERVED, HAVING BEEN SO APPOINTED BY THE COURT.
L-t
DOCUMENT(S) SERVED
18
1. r\,f\,fn\Iq.
Ct
19
2. ORDER/EMAIL (BOWYER ET AT V. DUCEY ET AL ORDER). DATED 1210212020.
20
2t T}IE CLIENT IS RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL AGREED UPON COSTS AND FEES RELATED TO THE
ABOVE SERVTCE OF PROCESS, AS AUTHORIZED BY A.R.S. $12-3301(C).
22
SERVED ON:1210212020
23
24
TIME:4:13pm
25 FEE: $ 75.00
26
ANNI Fosrrn
GrNnner- Corrt'lsrr-
21 GovExNoE l)ouc I)ucEy OFrrcE: (602) S42-r455
l7O0 WEsr WASHTNGToN STREET [email protected]
28 PHoENtx,ARrzoN^85007-2883 www.azgovcrnor.gov
431
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 23 Filed 12/02/20 Page 1 of 1
9 Respondent/Defendant.
10
11
15 TTIE UNDERSIGNED CERTIFIES UNDER PENALTY: TTTAT I YESENIA FELICIANO BEING FULLY
QUAIIFIED THROUGH THE ANZONA CODE OF TDICIAL ADMINISTMTION T'NDER ARCP 4(d),
16 a(e), ANrD a5(d); ARFLP 40(C), To SERVE PROCESS IN THIS ACTION WITHIN THE STATE lN
WHICH IT WAS SERVED, HAVING BEEN SO APPOINTED BY THE COURT.
1,1
DOCUMENT($ SERVED
1B
79
1. SL\4MONS:
2. ORDER/EMAIL GOWYER ET AL V. DUCEY ET AL ORDER)" DATED 1210212020.
2A
27 TIIE CLIENT IS RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL AGREED UPON COSTS AND FEES RELATED TO TI{E
ABOVE SERVICE OF PROCESS, AS AUTHORIZED BY A.R.S. $12-330I(C).
22
SERVED ON:1210212020
23
TIME:4:29pm MARYN HERBERG
@
24
ADiIINISTRATIVE SERVICES OFFICER
432
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 26 Filed 12/03/20 Page 1 of 10
433
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 26 Filed 12/03/20 Page 2 of 10
434
-2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 26 Filed 12/03/20 Page 3 of 10
1 We have neither here.” Id. at *1 (3d Cir. Nov. 27, 2020). Instead, in support of their
2 unprecedented and fundamentally undemocratic request, Plaintiffs offer a fantastical
3 conspiracy theory more appropriate for the fact-free reaches of the Internet than a federal
4 court pleading. Their unfounded allegations include debunked conspiracy theories, wild
5 speculation, and unsupported allegations of procedural improprieties recycled from other
6 unsuccessful lawsuits. These are woefully insufficient to support the mass
7 disenfranchisement they propose and fail to meet basic federal pleading standards.
8 Proposed Intervenor ADP meets the requirements for intervention under Rule 24 of
9 the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. ADP is the official state party committee of the
10 Democratic Party in Arizona and is dedicated to electing Democratic candidates to office
11 and to protecting the right to vote, including the rights of the over 1.6 million Arizona voters
12 who cast their ballot for the Democratic ticket for President and Vice President in the
13 general election. If Plaintiffs are successful, all of those votes will be nullified and the
14 Democratic candidates denied their rights resulting from that election. As such, ADP has a
15 keen interest in the outcome of this litigation, both on its own behalf and on behalf of its
16 candidates and members. The current Defendants do not adequately represent ADP’s
17 interests in this litigation; ADP’s interests may diverge from the interests of the government
18 defendants who are representatives of the States’ interests in election administration rather
19 than active participants in the election contests on the ballot. ADP should be permitted to
20 intervene as of right, or, in the alternative should be granted permissive intervention.
21 Given the expedited nature of these proceedings and ADP’s plainly apparent interest
22 in this action, ADP has filed this motion to intervene without a pleading pursuant to Rule
23 24(c). See Westchester Fire Ins. Co. v. Mendez, 585 F.3d 1183, 1188 (9th Cir. 2009)
24 (“Courts, including this one, have approved intervention motions without a pleading where
25 the court was otherwise apprised of the grounds for the motion.”) (quoting Beckman Indus.,
26 Inc. v. International Ins. Co., 966 F.2d 470, 474 (9th Cir. 1992)). The grounds to dismiss
27 this Complaint are plainly apparent and numerous, and they should be considered before
28 any consideration of a request for emergency relief. Accordingly, should its intervention be
435
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 26 Filed 12/03/20 Page 4 of 10
1 granted, ADP intends to file a motion to dismiss tomorrow or on any schedule set by the
2 Court.
3 Counsel for ADP has conferred with the parties to this action. Defendants do not
4 take a position regarding ADP’s intervention. Plaintiffs object to ADP’s intervention.
5 PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND
6 Plaintiffs initiated this action on December 2, 2020, by filing their Complaint for
7 Declaratory, Emergency, and Permanent Injunctive Relief. (Doc. 1.) That same day they
8 filed a Motion for Temporary Restraining Order and Preliminary Injunction (Doc. 2.).
9 Plaintiffs subsequently filed a Notice of Errata, withdrawing certain portions of their Motion
10 for Temporary Restraining Order and Preliminary Injunction (Doc. 8).
11 STANDARD OF LAW
12 “Rule 24 traditionally receives liberal construction in favor of applicants for
13 intervention.” Arakaki v. Cayetano, 324 F.3d 1078, 1083 (9th Cir. 2003);
14 Arizonans for Fair Elections v. Hobbs, 335 F.R.D. 269, 273 (D. Ariz. 2020) (quoting
15 Wilderness Soc. v. U.S. Forest Serv., 630 F.3d 1173, 1177 (9th Cir. 2011))
16 (“[A] liberal policy in favor of intervention serves both efficient resolution of issues and
17 broadened access to the courts.” ).
18 “Courts in the Ninth Circuit employ a four-part test when analyzing intervention of
19 right:”
(1) the motion must be timely; (2) the applicant must claim a “significantly
20
protectable” interest relating to the property or transaction which is the subject
21 of the action; (3) the applicant must be so situated that the disposition of the
action may as a practical matter impair or impede its ability to protect that
22 interest; and (4) the applicant’s interest must be inadequately represented by
23 the parties to the action.
24 Arizonans for Fair Elections, 335 F.R.D. at 273 (quoting Wilderness Soc., 630 F.3d at
25 1177). Courts are “required to accept as true the non-conclusory allegations made in support
26 of an intervention motion.” Sw. Ctr. for Biological Diversity v. Berg, 268 F.3d 810, 819
28
436
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 26 Filed 12/03/20 Page 5 of 10
1 Alternatively, a court may grant permissive intervention to a party under Rule 24(b)
2 “where the applicant for intervention shows ‘(1) independent grounds for jurisdiction;
3 (2) the motion is timely; and (3) the applicant’s claim or defense, and the main action, have
4 a question of law or a question of fact in common.’” Arizonans for Fair Elections, 335
5 F.R.D. at 276 (quoting United States v. City of Los Angeles, 288 F.3d 391, 403 (9th Cir.
6 2002)).
7 ARGUMENT
8 I. Intervention is appropriate under Rule 24(a)(2).
9 ADP readily satisfies each of the four requirements of Rule 24(a)(2), and thus is
11 First, this motion is timely. Plaintiffs filed their Complaint just yesterday; this
12 motion follows as soon as possible thereafter, before any significant action in the case and
13 before any answer has been filed. There has been no delay, and there is no risk of prejudice
14 to the other parties. See League of United Latin Am. Citizens v. Wilson, 131 F.3d 1297, 1302
15 (9th Cir. 1997); see also Arizonans for Fair Elections, 335 F.R.D. at 273 (quoting United
16 States v. Alisal Water Corp., 370 F.3d 915, 921 (9th Cir. 2004)) (“Timeliness is a flexible
18 Second and third, ADP clearly has important rights at stake that would be impaired
19 if the Court were to grant Plaintiffs’ requested relief. “[A] prospective intervenor ‘has a
20 sufficient interest for intervention purposes if it will suffer a practical impairment of its
21 interests as a result of the pending litigation.’” Wilderness Soc., 630 F.3d at 1179 (quoting
22 California ex rel. Lockyer v. United States, 450 F.3d 436, 441 (9th Cir. 2006)). Further, “[i]t
23 is generally enough that the interest is protectable under some law, and that there is a
24 relationship between the legally protected interest and the claims at issue.” Wilderness Soc.,
25 630 F.3d at 1179 (quoting Sierra Club v. EPA, 995 F.2d 1478, 1484 (9th Cir. 1993)). In
27 24(a)(2), courts “look[] to the ‘practical consequences’ of denying intervention.” Nat. Res.
28 Def. Council v. Costle, 561 F.2d 904, 909 (D.C. Cir. 1977) (quoting Nuesse v. Camp, 385
437
-5-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 26 Filed 12/03/20 Page 6 of 10
12 to vote includes the right to have the ballot counted,” Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533, 555
13 n.29 (1964), and courts have repeatedly held that where proposed relief carries with it the
14 prospect of disenfranchising a political party’s members, the party has a legally cognizable
15 interest at stake. See, e.g., Crawford v. Marion Cnty. Election Bd., 553 U.S. 181, 189 n.7
16 (2008) (agreeing with unanimous view of Seventh Circuit that Indiana Democratic Party
17 had standing to challenge a voter identification law that risked disenfranchising its
18 members); Ne. Ohio Coal. for the Homeless v. Husted, 696 F.3d 580 (6th Cir. 2012) (Ohio
19 Democratic Party allowed to intervene in case where challenged practice would lead to
20 disenfranchisement of its voters); Stoddard v. Winfrey, No. 20-014604-cz (Mich. Cir. Ct.
21 Nov. 6, 2020) (granting intervention to Democratic National Committee in a lawsuit
22 seeking to stop counting ballots in Detroit); Order, Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v.
23 Boockvar, No. 20-cv-2078 (M.D. Pa. Nov. 12, 2020), ECF No. 72 (granting intervention to
24 Democratic National Committee in lawsuit seeking to invalidate ballots in Pennsylvania);
25 Order, Constantino v. City of Detroit, No. 20-014789-AW (Mich. Cir. Ct. Nov. 13, 2020)
26 (granting Michigan Democratic Party’s motion to intervene).
27 Fourth, ADP’s interests are not adequately represented by any existing party to this
28 case. Courts consider “three factors in determining the adequacy of representation”:
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1 (1) whether the interest of a present party is such that it will undoubtedly make all of a
2 proposed intervenor’s arguments; (2) whether the present party is capable and willing to
3 make such arguments; and (3) whether a proposed intervenor would offer any necessary
4 elements to the proceeding that other parties would neglect. Arakaki, 324 F.3d at 1086. “The
5 ‘most important factor’ in assessing the adequacy of representation is ‘how the interest
6 compares with the interests of existing parties.’” Citizens for Balanced Use v. Mont.
7 Wilderness Ass’n, 647 F.3d 893, 898 (9th Cir. 2011) (quoting Arakaki, 324 F.3d at 1086).
8 This fourth intervention element “requires a ‘minimal’ showing and is satisfied if existing
9 parties’ representation of its interest ‘may be’ inadequate.” Arizonans for Fair Elections,
10 335 F.R.D. at 275 (quoting Citizens, 647 F.3d at 898).
11 While Defendants have an interest in defending the actions of state officials, ADP
12 has different objectives: ensuring that the valid ballot of every Democratic voter in Arizona
13 is counted and safeguarding the election of the Democratic presidential and vice presidential
14 candidates. Courts have “often concluded that governmental entities do not adequately
15 represent the interests of aspiring intervenors.” Fund for Animals, Inc. v. Norton, 322 F.3d
16 728, 736 (D.C. Cir. 2003). Indeed, the Ninth Circuit has stated that “[t]he government’s
17 representation of the public interest may not be ‘identical to the individual parochial
18 interest’ of a particular group just because ‘both entities occupy the same posture in the
19 litigation.’” Citizens for Balanced Use v. Mont. Wilderness Ass’n, 647 F.3d 893, 899 (9th
20 Cir. 2011) (quoting WildEarth Guardians v. U.S. Forest Serv., 573 F.3d 992, 996 (10th Cir.
21 2009))). That is the case here. ADP has specific interests and concerns—from their
22 candidates’ electoral prospects to the counting of the votes of their members—that neither
23 Defendants nor any other party in this lawsuit share. See Paher v. Cegavske, No. 3:20-CV-
24 00243-MMD-WGC, 2020 WL 2042365, at *3 (D. Nev. April 28, 2020) (concluding that
25 “Proposed Intervenors . . . have demonstrated entitlement to intervene as a matter of right”
26 where they “may present arguments about the need to safeguard [the] right to vote that are
27 distinct from [state defendants’] arguments”).
28
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1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I hereby certify that on December 3, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
3 document to the Clerk’s Office using the ECF System for filing and transmittal of a Notice
4 of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
5
6 /s Indy Fitzgerald
7
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1
2
3
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6 UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
7 DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 27 Filed 12/03/20 Page 1 of 9
1 ALLISTER ADEL
MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
2
Thomas P. Liddy (019384)
3 Emily Craiger (021728)
Joseph I. Vigil (018677)
4 Joseph J. Branco (031474)
Joseph E. LaRue (031348)
5 Deputy County Attorneys
[email protected]
6 [email protected]
[email protected]
7 [email protected]
8
[email protected]
20 Plaintiffs,
21 v.
22 Doug Ducey, in his official capacity as
Governor of the State of Arizona, and
23 Katie Hobbs, in her official capacity as the
Arizona Secretary of State
24
Defendants.
25
26
27
28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 27 Filed 12/03/20 Page 2 of 9
1 Pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 24(a) and 24(b), the Maricopa County
2 Board of Supervisors and Maricopa County Recorder Adrian Fontes (“Proposed Maricopa
3 County Intervenors”) respectfully request that this Court grant the Proposed Maricopa
4 County Intervenors’ motion to intervene1 to defend the integrity of Proposed Maricopa
5 County Intervenors’ administration of the November 3, 2020, General Election and their
6 important interest in bringing closure to this election. The following Memorandum of
7 Points and Authorities supports this Motion.
8 Memorandum of Points and Authorities
9 Background
10 On December 2, 2020—nearly one month after the 2020 General Election held on
11 November 3, 2020—Plaintiffs filed this lawsuit against Arizona’s Secretary of State and
12 Arizona’s Governor, making baseless allegations about the Proposed Maricopa County
13 Intervenors’ administration of that election. (See, e.g., Doc. 1, ¶¶ 2, 5, 49–53, 59–66, 71,
14 83, 139). Plaintiffs’ wide-ranging—and frankly absurd—requests for relief include
15 numerous provisions that directly bear on property in the Proposed Maricopa County
16 Intervenors’ possession and implicate their interest in the finality of the election. (See,
17 e.g., Doc. 1, ¶¶ 145.3 (requesting “An immediate emergency order to seize and impound
18 all servers, software, voting machines, tabulators, printers, portable media, logs, ballot
19 applications, ballot return envelopes, ballot images, paper ballots, and all election
20 materials related to the November 3, 2020 Arizona election for forensic audit and
21 inspection by the Plaintiffs[.]”), 145.10 (“Immediate production of 48 hours of security
22
1
Having just learned about this recent lawsuit—and while litigating the claims of
23
these same Plaintiffs in state court—the Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors cannot
24 comply with Rule 24(c)’s pleading requirement to answer a 52-page, 145-paragraph
complaint at the time of filing this Motion. But the Ninth Circuit has been emphatic that
25
“failure to comply with the Rule 24(c) requirement for a pleading is a purely technical
26 defect which does not result in the disregard of any substantial right.” Westchester Fire Ins.
v. Mendez, 585 F.3d 1183, 1188 (9th Cir. 2009) (quotations omitted). “Courts . . . have
27
approved intervention motions without a pleading where the court was otherwise apprised
28 of the grounds for the motion.” Beckman Indus. Inc., v. Int’l Ins. Co., 966 F.2d 470, 474
(9th Cir. 1992).
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1 camera recording of all rooms used in Maricopa County for November 3, 2020 and
2 November 4, 2020.”); Doc. 2 at 11 (“Plaintiffs also request that the Court immediately
3 order that all servers, software, voting machines, tabulators, printers, portable media, logs,
4 ballot applications, ballot return envelopes, ballot images, paper ballots, and all election
5 materials related to the November 3, 2020 Arizona election sized and impounded for
6 forensic audit and inspection by the Plaintiffs[.]”); see also Doc.1, ¶ 145.7 (requesting a
7 “Full Manual Recount or a statistically valid sampling”)).
8 Given these important interests, Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors seek
9 intervention.
10 Argument
11 I. Intervention as of right under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 24(a)(2).
12 Under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 24(a)(2), a party may intervene as of right
13 if:
14
(1) it has a significant protectable interest relating to the subject of the action;
(2) the disposition of the action may, as a practical matter, impair or impede
15 its ability to protect its interest; (3) the application is timely; and (4) the
existing parties may not adequately represent its interest.
16
17 Day v. Apoliona, 505 F.3d 963 (9th Cir. 2007) (citation, internal quotation marks, and
18 alterations omitted); see also Fed. R. Civ. P. 24(a)(2).
19 Although the putative intervenor bears the burden of establishing these elements,
20 “the requirements for intervention are [to be] broadly interpreted in favor of intervention.”
21 United States v. Alisal Water Corp., 370 F.3d 915, 919 (9th Cir. 2004); see also Wilderness
22 Soc. v. U.S. Forest Serv., 630 F.3d 1173, 1179 (9th Cir. 2011) (en banc) (noting that “[a]
23 liberal policy in favor of intervention serves both efficient resolution of issues and
24 broadened access to the courts”) (quoting United States v. City of Los Angeles, 288 F.3d
25 391, 397–98 (9th Cir. 2002) (alteration in original)).
26 A. Significant protectable interest
27 “Whether an applicant for intervention as of right demonstrates sufficient interest
28 in an action is a ‘practical, threshold inquiry,’ and ‘[n]o specific legal or equitable interest
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1 need be established.’ ” Nw. Forest Res. Council v. Glickman, 82 F.3d 825, 837 (9th Cir.
2 1996) (quoting Greene v. United States, 996 F.2d 973, 976 (9th Cir. 1993), aff’d, 64 F.3d
3 1266 (9th Cir. 1995)). An applicant for intervention as of right must show a “significantly
4 protectable interest” in the lawsuit to merit intervention. Forest Conservation Council v.
5 U.S. Forest Serv., 66 F.3d 1489, 1493 (9th Cir. 1995). “To demonstrate this interest, a
6 prospective intervenor must establish that (1) ‘the interest [asserted] is protectable under
7 some law,” and (2) there is a ‘relationship between the legally protected interest and the
8 claims at issue.’ ” Nw. Forest Res. Council, 82 F.3d at 836 (quoting Forest Conservation
9 Council, 66 F.3d at 1493).
10 Here, there should be no doubt, based on Arizona’s elections laws obligating
11 counties and county recorders to conduct elections and count ballots, that the Proposed
12 Maricopa County Intervenors have a significant interest in the outcome of these
13 proceedings and an interest in the finality of the 2020 General Election that occurred one
14 month ago. See, e.g., A.R.S. § 16-411, § 16-621, § 16-642. Indeed, the allegations in the
15 Complaint are littered with references to the Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors’
16 administration of the 2020 General Election. (See, e.g., Doc. 1, ¶¶ 2, 5, 49–53, 59–66, 71,
17 83, 139). Further, the requested relief has a direct bearing on the rights and responsibilities
18 of the Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors because it seeks property in their
19 possession. (See, e.g., Doc. 1, ¶¶ 145.3, 145.10; Doc. 2 at 11; see also Doc.1, ¶ 145.7).
20 B. Practical Impairment
21 “[A] party has a sufficient interest for intervention purposes if it will suffer a
22 practical impairment of its interests as a result of the pending litigation.” City of Emeryville
23 v. Robinson, 621 F.3d 1251, 1259 (9th Cir. 2010) (quoting California ex rel. Lockyer v.
24 United States, 450 F.3d 436, 441 (9th Cir. 2006)); see also Alisal, 370 F.3d at 919.
25 “Although the intervenor cannot rely on an interest that is wholly remote and speculative,
26 the intervention may be based on an interest that is contingent upon the outcome of the
27 litigation.” City of Emeryville, 621 F.3d at 1259 (quoting United States v. Union Electric,
28 64 F.3d 1152, 1157–58, 1162 (8th Cir. 1995)). And putative intervenors’ interests “might
447
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1 not be impaired if they have ‘other means’ to protect them,” even if the lawsuit would
2 affect those interests. Lockyer, 450 F.3d at 442 (quoting Alisal, 370 F.3d at 921) (emphasis
3 in original).
4 Here, the Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors will suffer practical impairment
5 of their interest in the finality of the 2020 General Election and the disposition of property
6 in their control as a result of the pending litigation. In particular, any injunctive relief
7 ordered by this Court will necessarily require implementation by the Proposed Maricopa
8 County Intervenors. Providing the Proposed Maricopa County Intervernors a seat at the
9 table ensures their interests—and the interests of the general voting public—are not
10 impaired. Further, there is no alternative means for the Proposed Maricopa County
11 Intervenors to ensure that their interests are protected.
12 C. Timeliness
13 Timeliness of a putative intervenor’s motion is determined by “the totality of the
14 circumstances,” focusing on “three primary factors”: (a) “the stage of the proceeding at
15 which an applicant seeks to intervene”; (b) “the prejudice to other parties”; and (c) “the
16 reason for and length of the delay.” Smith v. L.A. Unified Sch. Dist., 830 F.3d 843, 854
17 (9th Cir. 2016) (quoting Alisal Water, 370 F.3d at 921).
18 Here, the Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors seek to participate in this lawsuit
19 at its earliest stage, one day after it was filed. There is no prejudice based on timing to the
20 Parties.
21 D. Adequate representation of interests
22 The Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors’ interest is not adequately represented
23 by the Secretary of State or Governor. Cf. Trbovich v. United Mine Workers of Am., 404
24 U.S. 528, 538 n.10 (1972) (noting the fourth element of Rule 24(a) intervention requires
25 only a “minimal” showing that existing parties’ representation “may be” inadequate). “[I]f
26 an absentee would be substantially affected in a practical sense by the determination made
27 in an action, he should, as a general rule, be entitled to intervene.” Arakaki v. Cayetano,
28 324 F.3d 1078, 1086 (9th Cir. 2003) (citations and internal quotation marks omitted).
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1 Three factors govern the adequacy of representation: (1) “whether the interest of a present
2 party is such that it will undoubtedly make all of a proposed intervenor's arguments”; (2)
3 “whether the present party is capable and willing to make such arguments”; and (3)
4 “whether a proposed intervenor would offer any necessary elements to the proceeding that
5 other parties would neglect.” Id. (citing California v. Tahoe Reg’l Planning Agency, 792
6 F.2d 775, 778 (9th Cir. 1986)).
7 The Ninth Circuit has stated that “[t]he most important factor in determining the
8 adequacy of representation is how the interest compares with the interests of existing
9 parties. . . . When an applicant for intervention and an existing party have the same
10 ultimate objective, a presumption of adequacy of representation arises.” Arakaki, 324 F.3d
11 at 1086. But even “[i]f the applicant's interest is identical to that of one of the present
12 parties,” the putative intervenor may demonstrate “a compelling showing” of inadequate
13 representation. Id.
14 Here, the requested relief directly bears on property in the Proposed Maricopa
15 County Intervenors’ possession. The Secretary of State and Governor cannot adequately
16 protect that interest. Further, to the extent the Court determines that the Proposed
17 Maricopa County Intervenors and the Secretary of State and Governor have the “same
18 ultimate objective,” the Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors have “a compelling
19 showing” of inadequate representation: unlike the Secretary of State and Governor, the
20 Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors will be required to implement any on-the-ground
21 remedies regarding the counting of ballots and the disposition of property in the Proposed
22 Maricopa County Intervenors’ possession, and it will need to implement those remedies
23 in short order.
24 II. Permissive intervention under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 24(b)(1)(B).
25 Under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 24(b)(1)(B), “On timely motion, the court
26 may permit anyone to intervene who . . . has a claim or defense that shares with the main
27 action a common question of law or fact.” Where a putative intervenor timely moves for
28 intervention, courts consider several factors in deciding whether to permit intervention,
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 27 Filed 12/03/20 Page 7 of 9
1 including:
2
the nature and extent of the intervenors' interest, their standing to raise
3 relevant legal issues, the legal position they seek to advance, and its probable
relation to the merits of the case[,] whether changes have occurred in the
4
litigation so that intervention that was once denied should be reexamined,
5 whether the intervenors' interests are adequately represented by other parties,
whether intervention will prolong or unduly delay the litigation, and whether
6
parties seeking intervention will significantly contribute to full development
7 of the underlying factual issues in the suit and to the just and equitable
adjudication of the legal questions presented.
8
9 Spangler v. Pasadena Bd. of Educ., 552 F.2d 1326, 1329 (9th Cir.1977) (footnotes
10 omitted).
11 Here, the same interests under Rule 24(a) for intervention as of right animate the
12 Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors’ interest in permissively intervening under Rule
13 24(b). The Complaint’s baseless allegations center on the Proposed Maricopa County
14 Intervenors’ administration of the 2020 General Election, and their requests for relief
15 directly implicate the Proposed Maricopa County Intervenors.
16 Conclusion
17 For these reasons, this Court should grant the Proposed Maricopa County
18 Intervenors’ Motion to Intervene as of right under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 24(a)
19 or alternatively with permission under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 24(b).
20
RESPECTFULLY submitted this 3rd day of December, 2020.
21
ALLISTER ADEL
22
MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
23
BY: /s/Thomas P. Liddy
24
Thomas P. Liddy
25 Emily Craiger
Joseph I. Vigil
26
Joseph J. Branco
27 Joseph E. LaRue
Attorneys for Maricopa County Defendants
28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 27 Filed 12/03/20 Page 8 of 9
1
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
8
Alexander Kolodin, AZ Bar No. 030826
Christopher Viskovic, AZ Bar No. 0358601
9 KOLODIN LAW GROUP PLLC
3443 N. Central Ave. Ste. 1009
10 Phoenix, AZ 85012
[email protected]
11 [email protected]
[email protected] (file copies)
12
Sidney Powell (Pro Hac Vice)
13 Emily P. Newman
Julia Z. Haller
14 Brandon Johnson
Sidney Powell PC
15 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Ste 300
Dallas, Texas 75219
16 [email protected]
17
L. Lin Wood
18
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
P.O. Box 52584
19 Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
20 Howard Kleinhendler
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
21 369 Lexington Ave. 12th Floor
New York, New York 10017
22 [email protected]
Attorneys for Plaintiff
23
24 Brett W. Johnson
Colin P. Ahler
25 Derek C. Flint
Ian R. Joyce
26 SNELL & WILMER L.L.P.
27
One Arizona Center
400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
28 Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
[email protected]
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 27 Filed 12/03/20 Page 9 of 9
[email protected]
1 [email protected]
[email protected]
2
3
Anni L. Foster
General Counsel
4 Office of Arizona Governor Douglas A. Ducey
1700 West Washington Street
5 Phoenix, Arizona 85007
[email protected]
6 Attorneys for Defendant Douglas A. Ducey,
Governor of the State of Arizona
7
28 /s/ J. Barksdale
S:\CIVIL\CIV\Matters\EC\2020\Bowyer v. Ducey EC20-0063\Pleadings\Bowyer_Motion to Intervene.docx
452
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 29 Filed 12/03/20 Page 1 of 7
16
Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy
17 Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Case No.: 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Christopher M. King, James R. Lamon, Sam
18 Moorhead, Robert Montgomery, Loraine
Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke
19 Scarmardo, Kelli Ward and Michael Ward; PLAINTIFFS’ OPPOSITION TO
20 ARIZONA DEMOCRATIC PARTY’S
Plaintiffs; MOTION TO INTERVENE
21
v.
22
Doug Ducey, in his official capacity as
23 Governor of the State of Arizona, and Katie
Hobbs, in her capacity as Secretary of State
24 of the State of Arizona;
25 Defendants.
26
27
28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 29 Filed 12/03/20 Page 2 of 7
1 Plaintiffs hereby respond to and oppose the Arizona Democratic Party’s (“ADP”)
2 Motion to Intervene (“Motion”), filed on Thursday, December 3, 2020.
3 INTRODUCTION
4 In the ADP’s Motion, it makes bold claims without providing any facts or
5 explanations for them. To start, ADP claims that Plaintiffs “have brought a fact-free
6 Complaint seeking extraordinary relief.” Arizona Democratic Party’s Mot. to Intervene
7 2:16, ECF No. 26. Ironically, ADP presents absolutely no facts or evidence to back up this
8 claim. As a matter of fact, it makes one question if ADP is aware of what Plaintiffs have
9 brought forward in this case. All the Court must do is combine every exhibit Plaintiffs have
10 presented to see that Plaintiffs have brought forward 324 pages of exhibits to back the
11 claims asserted. Among these exhibits are 16 declarations and affidavits, some of which are
12 from experts in their respective fields. How the ADP can review this mountain of factual
13 evidence and then say with a straight face that it is “fact-free” makes one wonder if any of
14 it was reviewed at all prior to the preparation and filing of ADP’s Motion.
15 Sadly, the sensationalism in ADP’s Motion does not stop there. ADP then goes on
16 to claim that “Plaintiffs offer a fantastical conspiracy theory more appropriate for the fact-
17 free reaches of the Internet than a federal court pleading.” Arizona Democratic Party’s Mot.
18 to Intervene 3:2-4, ECF No. 26. This has been a tactic from day one in most pieces of
19 litigation related to the 2020 General Election. Instead of presenting their own evidence, or
20 even a proposed pleading, as required by FRCP 24(c), where they would be required to
21 respond to specific claims and defenses, the ADP has tried to discredit Plaintiffs and their
22 counsel by claiming their case is simply a “conspiracy theory” not worthy of the Court’s
23 time. Plaintiffs are the Arizona Republican Party’s nominees for presidential electors. They
24 include members of the legislature, the Chairwoman of the Arizona Republican Party and
25 three county party chairs. Their concerns mirror those of many of our fellow Arizonans and
26 should be given a fair hearing, not cavalierly dismissed and belittled.
27 In what appears to be a very thinly veiled attempt to threaten lawyers to stop them
28 from representing Republicans with an implicit threat of sanctions, ADP then goes on to
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 29 Filed 12/03/20 Page 3 of 7
1 claim that Plaintiffs “fail to meet basic federal pleading standards.” Arizona Democratic
2 Party’s Mot. to Intervene 3:7, ECF No. 26. This is an interesting claim to make when ADP’s
3 own Motion does not point to any facts or evidence to support these wild and baseless
4 claims, which itself fails to meet the basic rules of federal pleading standards. Instead of
5 trying to argue facts, ADP appears to simply want to join in this lawsuit to throw baseless
6 allegations, make thinly veiled threats of sanctions, and try to paint the lawsuit as a
7 “conspiracy.” Furthermore, why would ADP try vigorously to intervene in a lawsuit which
8 they claim is “fact-free”? If this lawsuit was truly “fact-free”, a Court would not need a
9 proposed Intervener to help it discover that.
10 ARGUMENT
11 An intervenor must satisfy four criteria under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure
12 24(a)(2):
13
(1) the motion must be timely; (2) the applicant must claim a “significantly
14 protectable” interest relating to the property or transaction which is the subject
of the action; (3) the applicant must be so situated that the disposition of the
15
action may as a practical matter impair or impede its ability to protect that
16 interest; and (4) the applicant’s interest must be inadequately represented by
the parties to the action.
17
18 Arizonians for Fair Elections v. Hobbs, 335 F.R.D. 269, 273 (D. Ariz. 2020) (quoting
19 Wilderness Soc. V. U.S. Forest Serv., 630 F.3d 1173, 1177 (9th Cir. 2011)). However,
20 “[f]ailure to satisfy any one of the requirements is fatal to the application, and we need not
21 reach the remaining elements if one of the elements is not satisfied. Perry v. Proposition 8
22 Official Proponents, 587 F.3d 947, 950 (9th Cir. 2009).
23 I. Intervention as of right under Rule 24(a) is not warranted.
24 As outlined above, ADP must meet the four-part test laid out by the Ninth Circuit to
25 meet the standards of Rule 24(a).
26 ADP does not meet part 4 of the four-part test:
27 While ADP claims its interests are not adequately represented by any existing party
28 to this case, that is simply not the case. There are currently 12 lawyers representing the 2
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 29 Filed 12/03/20 Page 4 of 7
1 Defendants in this case, including some with notable Democratic Party ties:
2 • Justin A. Nelson, the 2018 Democratic Nominee for Texas Attorney General.
3 • Roopali Desai, Legal Counsel to Democratic Senator Kyrsten Sinema and her
4 United States Campaign Committee. Ms. Desai was also Legal Counsel to
5 Democratic Congressman Tom O’Halleran and his United States
6 Congressional Campaign Committee.
7 • David Andrew Gaona, known as Andy Gaona per his Coppersmith
8 Brockelman PLC Bio and Twitter, has numerous Twitter posts that undermine
9 any claim he will not adequately represent Democrats and Joe Biden. See
10 Exhibit 1.
11 ADP cites federal case law that states that Courts have “often concluded that
12 governmental entities do not adequately represent the interests of aspiring intervenors.”
13 Fund for Animals, Inc. v. Norton, 322 F.3d 728, 736 (D.C. Cir. 2003). In this case, it is very
14 clear that the interests of Democratic Secretary of State Katie Hobbs and her outside counsel
15 of prominent Democratic attorneys are perfectly aligned with ADP. To recap, members of
16 Hobbs’ legal team include a lawyer that was the Democratic nominee for Texas Attorney
17 General in 2018, a lawyer who has represented two other prominent Democratic politicians
18 during their respective campaigns, and another lawyer who could easily win a contest for
19 Joe Biden’s biggest cheerleader. Defendant Hobbs has clearly made a point of hiring fellow
20 partisans to help her in this case and ADP does not need an additional 8 attorneys to join
21 this case when it is clear that ADP’s interests will be well represented by Democrat Hobbs
22 and her team of high profile Democratic lawyers. It appears the intervention is merely a
23 way to dogpile Plaintiffs and Plaintiffs’ counsel. It should also be noted that ADP made a
24 point of citing case law holding that “after the primary election, a candidate steps into the
25 shoes of his party, and their interests are identical.” Texas Democratic Party v. Benkiser,
26 459 F.3d 582, 588 (5th Cir. 2006). Plaintiffs wholeheartedly agree and are surprised that
27 ADP feels that these interests somehow diverge once a candidate is in office like Defendant
28 Hobbs.
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1 For the reasons stated above, ADP clearly does not meet the fourth part of the test as
2 its “interests are identical” to Democrat Hobbs and her team of lawyers. Id.
3 II. ADP does not satisfy Rule 24(b)’s requirements for permissive
4 intervention as there would be clear prejudice Plaintiffs.
5 ADP points out that when a Court exercises “its discretion to grant or deny
6 permissive intervention, a court must consider whether the intervention will ‘unduly delay
7 or prejudice the adjudication of the’” original parties’ rights. Venegas v. Skaggs, 867 F.2d
8 527, 530 (9th Cir. 1989) (quoting Fed. R. Civ. P. 24(b)(3)). However, ADP somehow
9 neglects to see how adding an additional party, 8 additional lawyers, and additional briefing
10 will not prejudice Plaintiffs. Plaintiffs already have the burden of tackling 12 lawyers and
11 two different sets of briefs, how ADP does not feel that adding an additional 8 lawyers and
12 an additional brief (not including proposed intervenors County Defendants which would
13 add 5 additional lawyers and another brief) would not prejudice Plaintiffs is baffling to say
14 the least. This is especially true given the short timelines that all parties agree we are dealing
15 with in this matter.
16 CONCLUSION
17 For the reasons stated above, Plaintiffs respectfully requests that the Court deny
18 ADP’s motion to intervene both as a matter of right under Rule 24(a)(2) as it’s interests are
19 already adequately represented, and under Rule 24(b), as ADP’s intervention would cause
20 clear prejudice to Plaintiffs.
21 Respectfully submitted this 3rd day of December, 2020
22
/s Alexander Kolodin
23
Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
24 Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
25 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
26
*Application for admission pro hac vice
27 forthcoming
28 Of Counsel:
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1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I hereby certify that on December 2nd, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
3 foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
4 transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
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Exhibit 1
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1 can be available on the Intervenors’ behalf whenever proceedings are scheduled in this
2 matter and that the individual circumstances of counsel will not threaten to conflict with
3 “the short timelines that all parties agree we are dealing with in this matter.” Pls.’ Opp. to
4 Mot. to Intervene at 5.
5 For each of these reasons, as well as those set forth in its Motion to Intervene, ADP
6 respectfully requests that the Court order that it be permitted to intervene as a Defendant in
7 this matter as of right or, in the alternative, grant permissive intervention.
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1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I hereby certify that on December 4, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
3 document to the Clerk’s Office using the ECF System for filing and transmittal of a Notice
4 of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
5
6 /s Indy Fitzgerald
7
150395455.2
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 33 Filed 12/04/20 Page 1 of 3
20 v.
{00526067.2 }
474
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 33 Filed 12/04/20 Page 2 of 3
1 Counsel for Defendant Governor Doug Ducey, counsel for Defendant Secretary of
2 State Katie Hobbs, counsel for Intervenor Maricopa County, and counsel for Proposed
3 Intervenor Arizona Democratic Party met and conferred (“Participating Parties”)
4 respectfully request that the Court enter a pre-hearing order to facilitate the parties’
5 preparation for, and the efficient presentation of, evidence at the expedited TRO hearing
6 that has been scheduled for December 8, 2020.
7 On December 4, 2020, Participating Parties met and conferred about a proposed
8 pre-hearing order. Counsel for Plaintiffs was invited to attend, but after originally
9 indicating their availability for a morning call, refused to participate in the meet and
10 confer. See Ex. 1. Although Plaintiffs did not participate, the participating parties have
11 shown the substance of this motion to Plaintiffs’ and they have indicated they object.
12 The Participating Parties request that the Court include the following items in a
13 pre-hearing order.
14 1. Pretrial Disclosures
15 This Court allotted one hour per named party to present their case. The participating
16 parties’ understanding is that this allotment includes time for both direct and cross-
17 examination. In order to efficiently use this time and to provide proper notice to all other
18 parties, Participating Parties believe that all parties should disclose the identity of their
19 witnesses, a short description of testimony for each fact witness, and for each expert
20 witness, a summary of all opinions the expert may offer at the hearing, copies of all data
21 and supporting documents, and the proposed expert’s CV and qualifications. The
22 Participating Parties propose the following schedule:
23 • Plaintiffs’ disclosure due by Saturday, December 5 at 12:00 P.M.
24 • Defendants’ and Intervenor Disclosures by Sunday, December 5 at
25 12:00 P.M.
26 The Participating Parties also request that this disclosure include the names of each
27 witness the party actually intends to call as well the order in which they intend to call
28 each witnesses.
{00526067.2 }
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{00526067.2 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 34 Filed 12/04/20 Page 1 of 4
16
Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy
17 Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Case No.: 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Christopher M. King, James R. Lamon, Sam
18 Moorhead, Robert Montgomery, Loraine
Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke
19 Scarmardo, Kelli Ward and Michael Ward; PLAINTIFFS’ OPPOSITION TO
20 REQUEST FOR PRE-HEARING
Plaintiffs; ORDER
21
v.
22
Doug Ducey, in his official capacity as
23 Governor of the State of Arizona, and Katie
Hobbs, in her capacity as Secretary of State
24 of the State of Arizona;
25 Defendants.
26
27
28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
477
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 34 Filed 12/04/20 Page 2 of 4
1 Plaintiffs oppose the proposed order submitted by Defendants. The Court ordered
2 the parties to meet and confer “as to whether agreement can be reached as to
3 admissibility of witness affidavits and/or declaration.” Plaintiffs offered to meet and
4 confer with Defendants’ counsel on Sunday after it has had a chance to review Defendants’
5 submissions and its fact and expert witnesses. Apparently sensing some advantage,
6 Defendants held a meet and confer by themselves this morning, on the entirely separate
7 issue of a scheduling order, despite repeated protest from Plaintiffs’ counsel. This absurd,
8 “I’m the boss, you toe the line,” mentality is offensive not only to the undersigned, but to
9 the judicial process as well.
10 Plaintiffs are not in a position to provide any further documentation or discovery or
11 description of witnesses or anything else asked for by the Defendants until it has had a
12 reasonable time to evaluate the Defendants’ submission and meet with their experts and
13 witnesses. Plaintiffs have submitted extensive documentation to support their claim,
14 Defendants have to date produced no documents to support their defenses.
15 Accordingly, Plaintiffs believe that no scheduling order should be entered as the
16 Court did not order one. We are prepared to meet and confer regarding the items about
17 which the Court ordered a meet and confer, Sunday morning at 10:00 a.m., after briefs have
18 been filed by both sides.
19
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1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I hereby certify that on December 2nd, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
3 foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
4 transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
5
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 35 Filed 12/04/20 Page 1 of 2
1
2
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5
6 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
7 FOR THE DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
8
9 Tyler Bowyer, et al., No. CV-20-02321-PHX-DJH
10 Plaintiffs, ORDER
11 v.
12 Doug Ducey, et al.,
13 Defendants.
14
15 This matter is set for a hearing on Plaintiffs’ Application for Temporary Restraining
16 Order (Doc. 2) on Tuesday, December 8, 2020.
17 Accordingly,
18 IT IS HEREBY ORDERED that the Court issues the following Order setting
19 deadlines related to the proceedings:
20 I. Witness List
21 Each party shall separately list the names of witnesses, whether they are fact or
22 expert witnesses, a description of the proposed testimony of each witness (except witnesses
23 who may be called for impeachment), and the basis for such testimony. For expert
24 witnesses, the parties shall include a summary of all opinions the expert may offer at the
25 hearing, copies of all data and supporting documents, and the proposed expert’s CV and
26 qualifications. This disclosure will include the names of each witness the party actually
27 intends to call plus the order in which they intend to call the witnesses. Plaintiffs shall
28 provide full and complete witness disclosures by Saturday, December 5, 2020, at 12:00
481
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1 P.M. Defendants and Intervenors shall provide full and complete witness disclosures by
2 Sunday, December 6, 2020, at 12:00 P.M. Witness admissibility issues should be
3 resolved by stipulation. To the extent that they cannot all be resolved, each party shall
4 provide a numbered chart of exhibits with a short description of the objection (i.e.
5 “Objection: Rules 401 and 403”).
6 II. Exhibit List
7 Each party shall submit a list of numbered exhibits with a concise description of
8 each exhibit. In order to understand the evidence that the party intends to rely on and to
9 provide other parties the opportunity to object prior to the hearing, all parties must disclose
10 and exchange exhibits by Sunday, December 6, 2020 at 3:00 P.M. The parties shall
11 ensure that copies of all exhibits must be produced to the Court by Monday, December 7,
12 2020 at 12:00 P.M. Document admissibility issues should be resolved by stipulation. To
13 the extent that they cannot all be resolved, each party shall provide a numbered chart of
14 exhibits with a short description of the objection (i.e. “Objection: Rules 401 and 403”).
15 IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that the parties’ objections to witnesses and exhibits
16 shall be filed with the Court, as described herein, by Monday, December 7, 2020 at 12:00
17 P.M.
18 IT IS FINALLY ORDERED that any witness or exhibit not disclosed to the other
19 party or to the Court will not be admitted at the hearing.
20 Dated this 4th day of December, 2020.
21
22
23 Honorable Diane J. Humetewa
24 United States District Judge
25
26
27
28
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482
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 36 Filed 12/04/20 Page 1 of 9
1 ALLISTER ADEL
MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
2
Thomas P. Liddy (019384)
3 Emily Craiger (021728)
Joseph I. Vigil (018677)
4 Joseph J. Branco (031474)
Joseph E. LaRue (031348)
5 Deputy County Attorneys
[email protected]
6 [email protected]
[email protected]
7 [email protected]
8
[email protected]
20 Plaintiffs, AND
21 v. RESPONSE IN OPPOSITION TO
22 Doug Ducey, in his official capacity as PLAINTIFFS’ MOTION FOR
Governor of the State of Arizona, and TEMPORARY RESTRAINING
23 Katie Hobbs, in her official capacity as the ORDER AND PRELIMINARY
Arizona Secretary of State INJUNCTION
24
Defendants.
25
26
27
28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 36 Filed 12/04/20 Page 2 of 9
1 Pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 9(b), the Maricopa County Board of
2 Supervisors and Maricopa County Recorder Adrian Fontes (“Maricopa County
3 Intervenors”) respectfully request that this Court dismiss Plaintiffs’ Complaint with
4 prejudice because it utterly fails to “state with particularity the circumstances constituting
5 fraud.” Because Plaintiffs will not succeed on the merits and fail to raise “serious
6 questions” with their woefully deficient fraud Complaint, this Court should deny the
7 request for a temporary restraining order that would cause irreparable harm to the
8 Maricopa County Intervenors. See Winter v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 555 U.S. 7, 20
9 (2008) (discussing elements for preliminary equitable relief); All. for the Wild Rockies v.
10 Cottrell, 632 F.3d 1127, 1134–35 (9th Cir. 2011). The following Memorandum of Points
11 and Authorities supports this Motion.
12 Memorandum of Points and Authorities
13 Introduction
14 Plaintiffs’ Complaint is a textbook example of why Federal Rule of Civil Procedure
15 9(b) exists. Nearly one month after the November 3, 2020 General Election, this is the
16 best that Plaintiffs could put together: (1) declarations from partisan elections observers
17 that do not allege fraud and are demonstrably confused about Arizona’s voting laws and
18 Maricopa County’s practices, (2) “statistical” reports from “experts” who based their
19 analyses on their subjective expectations of voter behavior, and (3) conspiracy-theory
20 laden, unsigned, redacted declarations making wild accusations about Maricopa County’s
21 elections equipment vendor.
22 “When an entire complaint, or an entire claim within a complaint, is grounded in
23 fraud and its allegations fail to satisfy the heightened pleading requirements of Rule 9(b),
24 a district court may dismiss the complaint or claim.” Vess v. Ciba–Geigy Corp. USA, 317
25 F.3d 1097, 1107 (9th Cir. 2003). This Court should dismiss the Complaint under Rule 9(b)
26 to avoid “squander[ing] enormous judicial resources resolving complex (and arguably
27 novel) questions where nothing in Plaintiff[s’] submissions give the Court any assurances
28 that this is not a ‘fishing expedition for the discovery of unknown wrongs’ of the precise
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1 sort that Rule 9(b) is designed to smoke out.” California ex rel. Heryford v. Citigroup Inc.,
2 No. 216CV00469TLNEFB, 2018 WL 3197905, at *2 (E.D. Cal. June 26, 2018) (quoting
3 Verizon Delaware, Inc. v. Covad Commc’ns Co., 377 F.3d 1081, 1092 (9th Cir. 2004).
4 Argument
5 I. The Court should dismiss this Complaint under Rule 9(b).
6 “A motion to dismiss a complaint or claim ‘grounded in fraud’ under Rule 9(b) for
7 failure to plead with particularity is the functional equivalent of a motion to dismiss under
8 Rule 12(b)(6) for failure to state a claim.” Vess, 317 F.3d at 1107. Thus, as in the Rule
9 12(b)(6) context, this Court should assume the truth of well-pleaded factual allegations in
10 the Rule 9(b) context. See Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 556 U.S. 662, 678–79 (2009). That
11 assumption does not apply to “legal conclusions” or “conclusory statements.” Id. Even
12 under Rule 8(a)’s less-demanding standard, “only a complaint that states a plausible claim
13 for relief survives a motion to dismiss.” Id. at 679. And “where the well-pleaded facts do
14 not permit the court to infer more than the mere possibility of misconduct, the complaint
15 has alleged—but it has not ‘show[n]’—‘that the pleader is entitled to relief.’ ” Id. (quoting
16 Fed. Rule Civ. Proc. 8(a)(2)).
17 “But Rule 9(b) clearly imposes an additional obligation on plaintiffs: the statement
18 of the claim must also aver with particularity the circumstances constituting the fraud.” In
19 re GlenFed, Inc. Sec. Litig., 42 F.3d 1541, 1547 (9th Cir. 1994). “Rule 9(b) requires
20 particularized allegations of the circumstances constituting fraud.” Id. “To satisfy Rule
21 9(b), a pleading must identify the who, what, when, where, and how of the misconduct
22 charged[.]” Cafasso v. Gen. Dynamics C4 Sys., Inc., 637 F.3d 1047, 1055 (9th Cir. 2011);
23 see also Donohue v. Bd. of Elec. of State of N.Y., 435 F. Supp. 957, 966 (1976) (“It is
24 necessary, first of all, to plead and prove specific acts of misconduct, including the time,
25 place and circumstances of the alleged deprivation of the right to vote.” (Citing Fed. R.
26 Civ. P. 9(b)).
27 Rule 9(b) serves not only to give notice to defendants of the specific
28
fraudulent conduct against which they must defend, but also ‘to deter the
filing of complaints as a pretext for the discovery of unknown wrongs, to
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1
protect [defendants] from the harm that comes from being subject to fraud
charges, and to prohibit plaintiffs from unilaterally imposing upon the court,
2 the parties and society enormous social and economic costs absent some
factual basis.’
3
6 (Doc. 1, ¶¶ 48–53). Notably, none of Plaintiffs’ declarants allege fraud. (See id.; see also
7 Doc. 1-10 at 18–40 (Exhs. 20–23)). They are the only declarants offered by Plaintiffs with
9 that “[t]he [voting] machines make determinations on what ballots to invalidate or validate
10 based on an algorithm that operates offshore before tallying the votes locally,” does not
11 find support in the declaration. (Compare Doc. 1, ¶ 49 with Doc. 1-10 at 18–24). At most,
12 these declarants offer perceived irregularities with election administration. (Doc. 1-10 at
13 18–40).
15 54–62). These allegations do not plead with particularity the circumstances constituting
16 the alleged fraud. For example, the Briggs Report comes to the conclusion that over
18 to a multi-state phone survey—the “Braynard survey” with its own methodology that no
19 declarant explains and for which the Briggs Report does not vouch. (See Doc. 1-2 at 14–
20 17 (“I assume survey respondents are representative and the data is accurate.”); see also
21 Doc. 1-2 at 52 (providing tweets from Braynard instead of a signed declaration that does
22 not address the “survey,” but appears to address the alleged out-of-state voters)). Further,
23 the allegations in this section are filled with qualifiers—“indicative of voter fraud,”
24 “predictive model”—and fail to identify any defendant that commited the alleged fraud.
25 The allegations merely assert that certain ballots “could have been filled out by anyone
26 and then submitted in the name of another voter,” “could be filled in by third parties to
27 shift the election to Joe Biden,” “were either lost or destroyed (consistent with allegations
28
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1 of Trump ballot destruction)[1] and/or were replaced with blank ballots filled out by
2 election workers, Dominion or other third parties.” (Doc. 1, ¶¶ 54–58 (emphasis added);
3 see also Doc. 1-4 at 1–17 (analysis of “momentum” based on alleged voter registration
4 trends)).
5 Similarly, the allegations based on the Ramsland Report produce qualifiers instead
6 of particularity: “likely fraudulent”; “could have been manufactured,” and—the best of the
7 bunch—“possibly impossible.” (See Doc. 1, ¶¶ 59–60 (emphasis added)). And Ramsland’s
8 analysis is based on his subjective expectation of voter behavior at the precinct level, not
9 first-hand evidence of voter fraud.
10 Taken together, the Briggs Report, Ramsland Report, and Braynard tweetstorm
11 conjur a number of “illegal votes” out of thin air. These fantastic allegations have no
12 connection whatsoever to anyallegation made by the Arizona-based declarants. These
13 reports cannot satisfy Rule 9(b).
14 Finally, the bulk of Plaintiffs’ allegations attack the integrity of Dominion Voting
15 Systems, one of Maricopa County’s voting equipment vendors. (See Doc. 1, ¶¶ 63–102;
16 see also id. at ¶¶ 5–13)). These attacks are largely based on conspiracy theories in
17 unsigned,2 redacted declarations. (See, e.g., Doc. 1-2 at 5–12; Doc. 1-3 at 2–6; Doc. 1-5
18 at 1–56). They also draw on observations about Dominion voting equipment in other states
19 without any allegation that Maricopa County uses the same equipment or that the County’s
20 elections officials committed fraud in this or any other election. (See, e.g., Doc. 1-4 at 48–
21 50; Doc. 1-3 at 23–69). Plaintiffs brazenly attempt to justify their flouting of Rule 9’s
22
1
23 Note: the Complaint does not appear to substantiate this conclusory allegation about
ballot destruction at any point with a citation to any of the more than 300 pages of exhibits.
24
2
Courts routinely reject the sufficiency of unsigned declarations. See, e.g., West v.
25
Higgins, 346 F. App’x 423, 426 (11th Cir. 2009) (“Federal law does provide an alternative
26 to making a sworn statement, but requires that the statement include a handwritten
averment, signed and dated, that the statement is true under the penalties of perjury.”);
27
Alleva v. New York City Dep’t of Investigation, 696 F. Supp. 2d 273, 278 (E.D.N.Y. 2010)
28 (“[T]he lack of a signature renders [the declarations] invalid under 28 U.S.C. § 1746, which
requires the signature of the declarant.”).
487
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1 requirements by telling this Court that the system is set up to make fraud undetectable.
2 (See, e.g., Doc. 1, ¶ 8.) But that is not how Rule 9 works.
3 All told, Plaintiffs’ Complaint does not “state with particularity the circumstances
4 constituting fraud.” See Fed. R. Civ. P. 9(b). At most—and it is surely a stretch—the
5 Arizona-based declarants have alleged “garden variety election irregularities.” Griffin v.
6 Burns, 570 F.2d 1065, 1076 (1st Cir. 1978).
7
The federal court is not equipped nor empowered to supervise the
8 administration of a local election. If every election irregularity or contested
vote involved a federal violation, the court would be thrust into the details of
9
virtually every election, tinkering with the state’s election machinery,
10 reviewing petitions, registration cards, vote tallies, and certificates of
election for all manner of error and insufficiency under state and federal
11 law.”
12 Id. at 1077.
13 Here, Plaintiffs request the extraordinary relief of decertifying Arizona’s election
14 by claiming “fraud” but fail to offer any evidence to support their claims. Because “the
15 pleading could not possibly be cured by the allegation of other facts,” Bly–Magee, 236
16 F.3d at 1019, this Court should dismiss with prejudice.
17 II. The Court should deny the request for preliminary equitable relief.
18 A movant can obtain preliminary equitable relief as a temporary restraining order
19 or preliminary injunction by showing that (1) it is “likely to succeed on the merits,” (2) it
20 is “likely to suffer irreparable harm in the absence of preliminary relief,” (3) “the balance
21 of equities tips in [its] favor,” and (4) “an injunction is in the public interest.” Winter, 555
22 U.S. at 20. A preliminary injunction may also be appropriate if a movant raises “serious
23 questions going to the merits” and the “balance of hardships . . . tips sharply towards” it,
24 provided that the movant satisfies the second and third Winter factors. See All. for the Wild
25 Rockies, 632 F.3d at 1134–35.
26 Here, as explained above, Plaintiffs’ woefully deficient Complaint ensures that it
27 cannot succeed on the merits and does not raise “serious questions going to the merits.”
28 Further, given the purposes that animate Rule 9(a)—“to deter the filing of complaints as
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1 a pretext for the discovery of unknown wrongs, to protect [defendants] from the harm that
2 comes from being subject to fraud charges, and to prohibit plaintiffs from unilaterally
3 imposing upon the court, the parties and society enormous social and economic costs
4 absent some factual basis,” Bly-Magee, 236 F.3d at 1018—the balance of hardships under
5 these circumstances tips sharply in favor of the Maricopa County Intervenors, not
6 Plaintiffs. The Maricopa County Intervenors will suffer irreparable harm if the Court
7 grants Plaintiffs’ preliminary equitable relief and orders “all servers, software, voting
8 machines, tabulators, printers, portable media, logs, ballot applications, ballot return
9 envelopes, ballot images, paper ballots, and all election materials related to the November
10 3, 2020 Arizona election s[e]ized and impounded for forensic audit and inspection by the
11 Plaintiffs.” (Doc. 2 at 11).
12 First, the County will not be able to perform important post-election tasks,
13 including service and maintenance of the voting equipment and performing accounting
14 and inventory duties. Second, the Maricopa County Intervenors have an upcoming
15 election to administer in March, and the proposed fishing expedition threatens their
16 preparations. All of this together threatens the right of citizens of Maricopa County to
17 exercise their constitutional right to vote. In addition, members of the legislature,
18 including the chairman of the committee with jurisdiction over election procedures, have
19 requested the County to perform an “election day demonstration” of the County’s voting
20 equipment in early to mid-December in order to determine what changes to Arizona
21 election law, if any, should be considered when the time comes to file bills in early
22 January. The order the Plaintiffs request would frustrate the legislators’ important
23 objective to continue to improve elections and voting in Arizona.
24 Moreover, Plaintiffs’ request for access to the software is incongruent with their
25 absurd allegation about “the software’s ability to hide its manipulation of votes from any
26 audit,” underscoring their Rule 9(b) deficiencies. (See Doc. 1, ¶ 8 (emphasis added)).
27 Under these circumstances, Plaintiffs cannot satisfy Winter.
28 //
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1 Conclusion
2 For these reasons, this Court should dismiss this Complaint under Rule 9(b) and
3 deny Plaintiffs’ motion for preliminary equitable relief.
4 RESPECTFULLY submitted this 4th day of December, 2020.
5
ALLISTER ADEL
6 MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
7
BY: /s/Thomas P. Liddy
8 Thomas P. Liddy
Emily Craiger
9
Joseph I. Vigil
10 Joseph J. Branco
Joseph E. LaRue
11
Attorneys for Maricopa County Intervenors
12
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1
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
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18 Bowyer, et al.,
20 v. PROPOSED INTERVENOR-
DEFENDANT’S RESPONSE TO
21 Ducey, et al., PLAINTIFFS’ MOTION FOR A
TEMPORARY RESTRAINING
22 Defendants. ORDER AND PRELIMINARY
INJUNCTION AND MOTION TO
23 DISMISS
26
27
28
492
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 37 Filed 12/04/20 Page 2 of 22
1 I. INTRODUCTION
2 This is the fourth complaint filed nationwide in the last nine days by attorneys Sidney
3 Powell and L. Lin Wood and others in which they seek to baselessly undermine the
5 relying on the same discredited or unnamed “experts.” See Compl., Feehan v. Wis. Elections
6 Comm’n, No. 2:20-cv-1771 (E.D. Wis. Dec. 1, 2020); Compl., King v. Benson, No. 2:20-
7 cv-13134-LVP-RSW, ECF No. 1 (E.D. Mich. Nov. 25, 2020); Compl., Pearson v. Kemp,
8 No. 1:20-cv-4809, ECF No. 1 (N.D. Ga. Nov. 25, 2020). 1 But Plaintiffs’ counsel’s
9 willingness to propagate their fantastical allegations across multiple jurisdictions does not
10 make their claims actionable or meritorious. To the contrary, there are multiple bases to
11 dismiss this case outright, including lack of standing, laches, black letter Eleventh
12 Amendment jurisprudence, and a total failure to state a cognizable claim for relief. In
13 addition, basic principles of federalism and comity counsel abstention. But even if the Court
14 were to reach Plaintiffs’ claims, they can satisfy none of the factors that would justify the
15 injunctive relief that they seek: they are not likely to succeed on their claims, they have
16 failed to establish that they will suffer irreparable harm, and both the public interest and the
17 equities weigh heavily against them. The Arizona Democratic Party (“ADP”) respectfully
18 requests that the Court deny Plaintiffs’ request for temporary relief and dismiss this suit. 2
19 II. BACKGROUND
20 More than 3.4 million Arizonans cast ballots in the November presidential election.
21 The election is now over. President-elect Biden has won by more than 10,400 votes, the
22 results have been certified, and the Certificate of Ascertainment has been sent to the
23 Archivist of the United States. See Compl. ¶ 3. This case is only one in what has become a
24
1
The Court need look no further than Plaintiffs’ Motion for Temporary Restraining
25 Order and Preliminary Injunction here to see the cookie-cutter nature of this action. Dkt No.
2 at 6 (claiming entitlement to relief because Arizona officials failed to administer the
26 election “in compliance with the manner prescribed by the Georgia legislature”).
2
The ADP’s motion to intervene is pending before this court. Consistent with
27 discussion at the scheduling conference (Doc. 28), ADP submits a joint response to
Plaintiffs’ Motion for a Temporary Restraining Order and Preliminary Injunction, within
28 the combined limits of the briefs were they to have been filed individually.
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1 constant drumbeat of baseless attempts to use the judiciary to overturn the clearly expressed
2 will of the people. Since Election Day, the Trump Campaign and its supporters have filed a
3 series of lawsuits raising legally deficient and credulous challenges across at least seven
4 different states. In fact, this is the seventh such suit in Arizona alone, including a new case
5 filed just today. One by one, these cases have been thoroughly rejected. This suit should
6 promptly suffer the same fate.
7 Not only is this case meritless, it is far too late. Plaintiffs inexplicably waited until
8 December 2nd to file—two days after Arizona officials certified the results of the election,
9 and nearly a full month after the election itself. As evidenced by the Complaint, Plaintiffs’
10 claims did not get better with age. Instead, the Complaint relies on wild conspiracy theories,
11 the gist of which are that Arizona election officials “and their collaborators” are alleged to
12 have engaged in an elaborate international conspiracy to “illegally and fraudulently
13 manipulat[e] the vote” in President-elect Biden’s favor, purportedly resulting in “hundreds
14 of thousands” of invalid or illegal ballots being cast in Arizona. Compl. ¶¶ 2-3. As support,
15 Plaintiffs attach an unexecuted “declaration” from an unidentified witness and an
16 unexecuted expert witness report (Compl. Exs. 1, 14); reports from supposed experts who
17 have refused to disclose their identities, making it impossible for Plaintiffs to carry their
18 burden of proving admissibility (Compl. Exs. 4, 12, 13); a declaration from a witness who
19 complains, among other things, that she was made to “f[eel] very unwelcome” at a polling
20 location on October 23 because poll watchers were told they could not talk and who was
21 “concerned” because poll workers “correctly” advised voters about their options if they
22 over-voted (and voters generally chose an option the witness did not like) (Compl. Ex. 5);
23 a document from the Maricopa County Republican Committee Chairwoman that Plaintiffs
24 label a “declaration,” but which is not signed under penalty of perjury and that appears to
25 be a transcript from statements she made at a meeting with Republican State Representative
26 Mark Finchem and other officials (Compl. Ex. 23); exhibits that have nothing to do with
27 the 2020 presidential election in Arizona (e.g., Compl. Exs. 6-8, 10-11B, 15-16, 18); and
28 other documents that similarly lend no credence to Plaintiffs’ claims of fraud and
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1 election were materially the same as for the August primary election, and any objection to
2 them should have been brought at a time when any legal deficiencies could have been
3 cured.” Ward v. Jackson, No. CV2020-015285 (Maricopa Cty. Sup. Ct. Dec. 4. 2020)
4 (“Exhibit 4”). After a thorough review of the evidence regarding signature matching
5 presented by both sides and testimony by forensic document examiners, the Court found
6 that there was “no evidence that the manner in which signatures were reviewed was
7 designed to benefit one candidate or another, or that there was any misconduct, impropriety,
8 or violation of Arizona law with respect to the review of mail-in ballots. Id. at 7. Finally, as
9 to illegal votes, the Court concluded that “the evidence did not prove illegal votes, much
10 less enough to affect the outcome of the election.” Id. at 8. The Arizona Supreme Court has
11 advised that briefs in the matter will be due Monday before noon.
12 III. LEGAL STANDARD
13 Motion to Dismiss. In deciding a motion to dismiss, the Court presumes the veracity
14 of all well-pleaded material allegations in the Complaint, Arizona Students’ Ass’n v.
15 Arizona Bd. of Regents, 824 F.3d 858, 864 (9th Cir. 2016), but “a plaintiff’s obligation to
16 provide the ‘grounds’ of his ‘entitle[ment] to relief’ requires more than labels and
17 conclusions, and a formulaic recitation of the elements of a cause of action will not do.”
18 Bell Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 550 U.S. 544, 555 (2007) (alteration in original) (quoting Fed.
19 R. Civ. P. 8(a)). “[C]onclusory allegations of law and unwarranted inferences are
20 insufficient to defeat a motion to dismiss for failure to state a claim.” Epstein v. Wash.
21 Energy Co., 83 F.3d 1136, 1140 (9th Cir. 1996).
22 Motion for Preliminary Injunction. Plaintiffs bear the burden of showing they (1)
23 are “likely to succeed on the merits,” (2) are “likely to suffer irreparable harm in the absence
24 of preliminary relief,” (3) “the balance of equities tips in” their “favor,” (4) and “an
25 injunction is in the public interest.” Winter v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 555 U.S. 7, 20
26 (2008). This is a demanding standard in any case but, where, as here, Plaintiffs seek a
27 mandatory injunction, it is heightened. See, e.g., Garcia v. Google, Inc., 786 F.3d 733, 740
28 (9th Cir. 2015) (holding relief is not warranted “unless the facts and law clearly favor the
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1 moving party.” (quoting Stanley v. Univ. of S. Cal., 13 F.3d 1313, 1320 (9th Cir. 1994)).
2 IV. ARGUMENT
3 A. The Court should dismiss this case because Plaintiffs lack standing.
4 To avoid dismissal on Article III grounds, a “plaintiff must have (1) suffered an
5 injury in fact, (2) that is fairly traceable to the challenged conduct of the defendant, and (3)
6 that is likely to be redressed by a favorable judicial decision.” Spokeo, Inc. v. Robins, 136
7 S. Ct. 1540, 1547 (2016). Plaintiffs fail all three prongs.
8 No cognizable injury-in-fact. Plaintiffs have failed to establish that they have
9 suffered an injury fact sufficient to maintain any of their claims. As to their due process and
10 equal protection claims in Counts II and III (as well as their freestanding fraud claim in
11 Count IV, for which they cite neither a constitutional nor statutory basis), Plaintiffs do not
12 allege that they were deprived of the right to vote; instead, they allege they are harmed by
13 purported violations of Arizona law which “diluted” their votes. Compl. ¶¶ 117, 129, 140.
14 But this theory of vote-dilution-through-unlawful-voting has been thoroughly and
15 repeatedly rejected by federal courts as a viable basis for standing (including several in the
16 last few weeks alone). See, e.g., Bognet v. Sec’y of Commonwealth, No. 20-3214, 2020 WL
17 6686120, at *11-14 (3d Cir. Nov. 13, 2020) (rejecting identical theory and explaining “[t]his
18 conceptualization of vote dilution—state actors counting ballots in violation of state
19 election law—is not a concrete harm under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth
20 Amendment”); Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Cegavske, No. 2:20-CV-1445 JCM
21 (VCF), 2020 WL 5626974, at *4 (D. Nev. Sept. 18, 2020) (similar).
22 Thus, in Donald J. Trump for President v. Boockvar, the court rejected a challenge
23 to Pennsylvania’s restrictions on poll watchers and ballot challenges under the theory, like
24 here, that the state’s practices would lead to fraud and thus dilution of lawfully submitted
25 votes. The court found that the fears of voter fraud that animated the claims were “based on
26 a series of speculative events—which falls short of the requirement to establish a concrete
27 injury.” 2020 WL 5997680, at *33. Other cases have reached similar results. See, e.g.,
28 Martel v Condos, No. 5:20-cv-131, 2020 WL 5755289, at *3-5 (D. Vt. Sept. 16, 2020)
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1 here). 3 Neither of the additional cases Plaintiffs cite in their TRO motion fix this
2 fundamental flaw because they do not mention or address Article III standing to bring
3 claims under either Clause whatsoever, and Plaintiffs provides no explanation regarding
4 either case’s significance. See Dkt. 2 at 5 (citing McPherson v. Blacker, 146 U.S. 1, 27
5 (1892); Bush v. Palm Beach Cnty. Canvassing Bd., 531 U.S. 70, 76 (2000) (per curiam)).
6 No traceability. Plaintiffs have also failed to allege facts sufficient to established
7 that their injuries are traceable to Defendants. Taking Plaintiffs’ claims at face value, they
8 appear to involve two things. First, a widespread conspiracy plot by both foreign and state
9 nefarious actors to cast tens of thousands of “illegal” votes in Arizona. See generally Compl.
10 And, second, actions by local officials which Plaintiffs purport did not follow state law. Id.
11 ¶¶ 46-53. Neither conduct is traceable to Governor Ducey or Secretary Hobbs. As to
12 Plaintiffs’ outlandish claims of purported voter fraud by tens of thousands of persons
13 unknown, any purported injuries here would be the result of the actions of unidentified
14 criminal actors not before this Court. And, similarly, purported violations of state law by
15 local elections officials are not traceable to the Governor or the Secretary. This lack of
16 traceability dooms Plaintiffs’ standing. See Lujan v. Defs. of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 560–
17 61 (1992) (requiring causal connection between injury and defendant’s conduct).
18 No redressability. Finally, Plaintiffs’ injuries are also not redressable by these
19 Defendants.
20 First, Plaintiffs cite no authority for the proposition that a federal court has the power
21 to order Arizona state officials to “de-certify” an election they have already certified. This
22 claim relies entirely on provisions of Arizona law allowing a state court, following an
23 election contest duly filed in state court and in compliance with state law, to “se[t] aside the
24 election” or hold that a certificate of election “is of no further legal force or effect.” A.R.S.
25
26 3
Although separate constitutional provisions, the Electors and Elections Clauses
share “considerable similarity” and should be interpreted in the same manner. Ariz. State
27 Leg. v. Ariz. Indep. Redistricting Comm’n, 576 U.S. 787, 839 (2015) (Roberts, C.J.,
dissenting); see also Bognet, 2020 WL 6686120, at *7 (applying same test for standing
28 under both Elections and Electors Clauses).
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1 § 16-676; see Compl. ¶ 16 (stating “the relief sought is in accord with Arizona law” and
2 citing to A.R.S. § 16-676). But the fact that Arizona’s legislature has given Arizona courts
3 this power following an election contest does not mean that either the Secretary or
4 Governor—or a federal court for that matter—possess that power. To the contrary, as
5 required by the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision in Pennhurst State Sch. & Hosp. v.
6 Halderman, 465 U.S. 89, 106 (1984), the Eleventh Amendment prohibits a federal court
7 from issuing an injunction ordering a state official to comply with state law. Federal courts
8 also are prohibited from ordering state officials to take an action that they lack the ability
9 to do under state law. See, e.g., Okpalobi v. Foster, 244 F.3d 405, 427 (5th Cir. 2001) (“[A]
10 state official cannot be enjoined to act in any way that is beyond his authority to act in the
11 first place.”).
12 Second, Plaintiffs’ similar request that this Court order an injunction to prevent
13 Governor Ducey “from transmitting the currently certified electoral results [to] the Electoral
14 College” is a factual impossibility. Compl. ¶ 145. The Certificate of Ascertainment has
15 already been transmitted. See Nat’l Archives, 2020 Electoral College Results,
16 https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020 (linking to Arizona’s Certificate of
17 Ascertainment, indicating it has already been sent to and received by the Archivist of the
18 United States). Thus, one consequence of Plaintiffs’ delay in bringing suit is it has rendered
19 this Court unable to issue the relief they seek.
20 In sum, Plaintiffs meet none of the three requirements for Article III standing and
21 this Court should dismiss their Complaint on that basis alone.
22 B. The doctrine of laches bars Plaintiffs’ claims.
23 Even if Plaintiffs were able to establish that they have standing to pursue their claims
24 (and, for the reasons discussed above, they do not), the doctrine of laches independently
25 requires the dismissal of their Complaint. Laches bars a claim when plaintiff engaged in
26 unreasonable delay that prejudiced the defendant. See Danjaq LLC v. Sony Corp., 263 F.3d
27 942, 951 (9th Cir. 2001). Federal and state courts alike routinely apply laches to bar
28 untimely claims for injunctive relief in election cases. See, e.g., Soules v. Kauaians for
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1 Nukolii Campaign Comm., 849 F.2d 1176, 1181 (9th Cir. 1988) (upholding district court
2 decision barring equal protection claim in elections case on basis of laches because
3 “appellants knew the basis for their alleged equal protection challenge well in advance of
4 the proposed special election” and “appellants [] failed to explain adequately their failure
5 to press this claim before the election”); Ariz. Libertarian Party v. Reagan, 189 F. Supp. 3d
6 920, 922–23 (D. Ariz. 2016) (Campbell, J.) (“In the context of election matters, the laches
7 doctrine seeks to prevent dilatory conduct and will bar a claim if a party’s unreasonable
8 delay prejudices the opposing party or the administration of justice.” (citation omitted)); see
9 also Kistner v. Simon, No. A20-1486, slip op. at 3-4 (Minn. Dec. 4, 2020) (“Exhibit 5”)
10 (dismissing two counts of post-election challenge on basis of laches because procedures
11 plaintiffs complained of were publicly known well before election). Under this doctrine,
12 Plaintiffs’ extraordinary delay in bringing this case warrants outright dismissal of the
13 Complaint. But at the very least, it bars their request for preliminary injunctive relief.
14 Each element of laches is satisfied here. First, Plaintiffs “unreasonabl[y] delay[ed],”
15 in asserting these claims. Ariz. Libertarian Party, 189 F. Supp. 3d at 922. The general
16 election occurred on November 3, and much of Plaintiffs’ “evidence” relates to events that
17 purportedly occurred weeks, months, or even years before then. See, e.g., Compl. ¶ 7
18 (referencing events which occurred in 2009); id. ¶ 72 (relying on an 11th Circuit case from
19 2018); see also Kistner, No. A20-1486, slip op. at 3-4. Yet Plaintiffs waited nearly a month
20 after the election—and until after Arizona had certified its presidential election results—to
21 seek relief. Plaintiffs concede that if they are granted relief, there would now “certainly not
22 be time to hold a new election.” Compl. ¶ 17. Plaintiffs can offer no credible reason why
23 this Court should not find that they “could have, and should have,” brought this lawsuit
24 much earlier. Id.; see also Ariz. Pub. Integrity All. Inc. v. Bennett, No. CV-14-01044-PHX-
25 NVW, 2014 WL 3715130, at *2 (D. Ariz. June 23, 2014) (“Had Plaintiffs filed suit
26 promptly, a motion for preliminary injunction could have been briefed and decided without
27 unreasonable burden on the Defendant, the Court, and the election process.”).
28 Second, the other parties, the public, and the administration of justice would be
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1 prejudiced if the Court excused Plaintiffs’ delay in bring this suit. See Ariz. Libertarian
2 Party, 189 F. Supp. 3d at 922–23. Plaintiffs’ requested relief would disenfranchise some,
3 or all, of Arizona’s voters after voting has concluded and “erode [] confidence in the
4 electoral process.” Wood, 2020 WL 6817513, at *8. “Interference with impending elections
5 is extraordinary, and interference with an election after voting has begun is unprecedented.”
6 Sw. Voter Registration Educ. Project v. Shelley, 344 F.3d 914, 919 (9th Cir. 2003) (citing
7 Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533, 585 (1964)). Indeed, such relief would at a bare minimum
8 “cast an unacceptable degree of uncertainty over the election.” Kistner, No. A20-1486, slip
9 op. at 4 The doctrine of laches bars Plaintiff’s claims.
10 C. The Eleventh Amendment bars Plaintiffs’ claims.
11 In addition to the hurdles described above, the Eleventh Amendment also separately
12 and independently bars Plaintiffs’ claims. As noted supra, the Eleventh Amendment
13 prohibits federal courts from granting “relief against state officials on the basis of state law,
14 whether prospective or retroactive.” Pennhurst, 465 U.S. at 106; see also Students of Cal.
15 Sch. for the Blind v. Honig, 745 F.2d 582, 586 (9th Cir. 1984) (“The Supreme Court decided
16 in Pennhurst” that the Eleventh Amendment “stands as an absolute bar to actions in federal
17 court alleging that state officials have violated state law”). This is true even when state law
18 claims are styled as federal causes of action. See, e.g., Massey v. Coon, No. 87-3768, 1989
19 WL 884, at *2 (9th Cir. Jan. 3, 1989) (affirming dismissal where “on its face the complaint
20 states a claim under the due process and equal protection clauses of the Constitution, [but]
21 these constitutional claims are entirely based on the failure of defendants to conform to state
22 law”); Balsam v. Sec’y of State, 607 F. App’x 177, 183–84 (3d Cir. 2015) (finding Eleventh
23 Amendment bars state law claims even when “premised on violations of the federal
24 Constitution”).
25 None of Plaintiffs’ claims can reasonably be found to escape this bar. It most clearly
26 prohibits Plaintiffs’ free-standing fraud claim in Count IV, in which Plaintiffs’ assert that
27 the fraud alleged in the Complaint should result in the invalidation of ballots based on
28 binding Arizona law. Compl. ¶ 138. But it is also true of Plaintiffs’ other claims, each of
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1 which, although ostensibly cloaked in the garb of a federal cause of action, ultimately ask
2 the Court to determine that state officials violated state law and compel state officials to do
3 what Plaintiffs believe Arizona law requires. This is evidenced by even a cursory review of
4 Plaintiffs’ other three purported federal claims. Count I, Plaintiffs’ purported Elections and
5 Electors Clause claim, asserts (without stating exactly how) that Plaintiffs violated the U.S.
6 Constitution by exercising powers that are the province of the Arizona Legislature. Compl.
7 ¶ 106. To the extent this is a claim at all (or one that Plaintiffs could assert), it is one about
8 a violation of state separation of powers and is not a federal claim. Count II, Plaintiffs’
9 purported equal protection clause claim, relies on the assertion that Defendants should not
10 be allowed to count any ballots that a poll watcher (or challenger) was unable to observe.
11 See id. ¶ 120. But there is no constitutional right to poll watching or observation; any “right”
12 to do so is purely a creature of state law. See, e.g., Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v.
13 Boockvar, No. 20-cv-966, 2020 WL 5997680, at *67 (W.D. Pa., Oct. 10, 2020) (“[T]here
14 is no individual constitutional right to serve as a poll watcher.” (quoting Pa. Democratic
15 Party v. Boockvar, No. 133 MM 2020, 2020 WL 5554644, at *30 (Pa. Sept. 17, 2020)));
16 Republican Party of Pa. v. Cortés, 218 F. Supp. 3d 396, 413-414 (E.D. Pa. 2016) (similar).
17 This claim, too, is accordingly premised solely on state law. Next, Count III, Plaintiffs’
18 purported due process claim, relies on alleged violations of Arizona law regarding data
19 retention for electronic voting systems. See Compl. ¶¶ 132, 133 (citing to A.R.S. §§ 16-602,
20 16-608 regarding electronic voting system data retention and asserting that Dominion
21 voting systems violate these rights). The Constitution is not concerned with the minutiae of
22 state electronic voting process data retention requirements. See, e.g., Shipley v. Chi. Bd. of
23 Election Comm’rs, 947 F.3d 1056, 1062 (7th Cir. 2020) (“A violation of state law does not
24 . . . transgress against the Constitution.”); Martinez v. Colon, 54 F.3d 980, 989 (1st Cir.
25 1995) (“[T]he Constitution is not an empty ledger awaiting the entry of an aggrieved
26 litigant’s recitation of alleged state law violations….”).
27 Plaintiffs’ TRO motion only serves to underscore that their issues are truly state law
28 claims masquerading as a federal action. While the motion yet again contains accusations
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1 of unverified and illusory fraud, the only actual concrete violations of anything it alleges
2 are purported violations of Arizona law. See Dkt. 2 at 2-3. This Court cannot order
3 Defendants to de-certify the election or withhold transmission of certification to the
4 Electoral College based on alleged violations of Arizona law without running afoul of the
5 Eleventh Amendment. See, e.g., Ohio Republican Party v. Brunner, 543 F.3d 357, 360-61
6 (6th Cir. 2008) (holding Pennhurst bars claim that Secretary of State violated state election
7 law); Vulliet v. Oregon, No. 6:12-CV-492-AA, 2012 WL 4863710, at *6 (D. Or. Oct. 10,
8 2012), aff’d, 701 F. App’x 579 (9th Cir. 2017) (dismissing claims against Oregon Secretary
9 of State and Director of Elections for purported violations of Oregon Constitution under
10 Pennhurst).
11 D. Principles of federalism and comity strongly favor abstention.
12 Even if the Court were to conclude that each of the above hurdles did not
13 conclusively bar it from exercising jurisdiction, principles of federalism and comity
14 strongly favor that the Court decline to do so. The relief Plaintiffs seek calls for an
15 extraordinary intrusion on state sovereignty by a federal court. Under the Pullman
16 abstention doctrine, the claims Plaintiffs raise should be addressed in state court. See R.
17 Comm’n v. Pullman Co., 312 U.S. 496, 501 (1941). Pullman recognizes that “federal courts
18 should abstain from decisions when difficult and unsettled questions of state law must be
19 resolved before a substantial federal constitutional question,” and that abstention in such
20 circumstances “avoid[s] both unnecessary adjudication of federal questions and ‘needless
21 friction with state policies . . . .’” Columbia Basin Apartment Ass’n v. City of Pasco, 268
22 F.3d 791, 802 (9th Cir. 2001) (quoting Hawaii Hous. Auth. v. Midkiff, 467 U.S. 229, 236
23 (1984)). The Ninth Circuit looks to three factors to determine whether Pullman abstention
24 is appropriate, including (1) whether the case “touch[es] on a sensitive area of social policy
25 upon which federal courts ought not to enter unless no alternative to its adjudication is
26 open,” (2) whether it is “plain that the constitutional adjudication can be avoided if a definite
27 ruling on the state issue would terminate the controversy,” and (3) whether issue of state
28 law is “uncertain.” Id. Each factor weighs in favor of abstention here.
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1 accusation.” Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 556 U.S. 662, 678 (2009) (quoting Twombly, 550 U.S. at
2 555). The shortcomings in the Complaint are particularly stark considering Rule 9(b), which
3 applies to fraud allegations. “In alleging fraud or mistake, a party must state with
4 particularity the circumstances constituting fraud or mistake.” Fed. R. Civ. P. 9(b).
5 Plaintiffs fail to meet the standards of Rule 8, much less Rule 9(b). Plaintiffs’ theory
6 is that Arizona election officials—including the state’s Republican governor and “the State
7 of Arizona” as a whole—conspired with domestic and international actors to manipulate
8 election results throughout the state. Compl. ¶ 57. Local elections officials allegedly helped
9 advance a “massive election fraud,” id. ¶ 1, because they used voting machines made by
10 Dominion, id. ¶ 2, which is a company created exclusively to ensure election-rigging so that
11 “Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez never lost another election,” id. ¶ 6, which thereby
12 allowed Iran and China to manipulate the general election to ensure President-elect Biden’s
13 victory, id. ¶ 13, apparently in cahoots with Arizona elections officials who also supposedly
14 enabled mass voter fraud among mail-in voters, id. ¶¶ 54, 57.
15 The Supreme Court has instructed that “[d]etermining whether a complaint states a
16 plausible claim for relief” is “a context-specific task that requires the reviewing court to
17 draw on its judicial experience and common sense.” Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 679. It would defy
18 experience and common sense to accept Plaintiffs’ overarching theory that widespread
19 fraud occurred during the most scrutinized election in modern history, particularly based on
20 the allegations they make in the Complaint. Under federal pleading standards, this Court
21 need not credit Plaintiffs’ specious inferences and conclusory allegations. They are, quite
22 simply, not remotely plausible.
23 For these reasons alone, the Complaint should be dismissed. But, in addition to
24 relying on entirely implausible facts, Plaintiffs have failed to state cognizable legal claims.
25 Let us begin with Count II, which Plaintiffs have characterized as a claim brought under the
26 Equal Protection Clause of the U.S. Constitution. Plaintiffs allege that “Defendants[’]
27 fail[ure] to comply with the requirements of Arizona law . . . diluted the lawful ballots of
28 Plaintiffs and other Arizona voters . . . .” Compl. ¶ 117. This is not a cognizable equal
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1 protection injury. Vote dilution is a viable basis for federal claims only in certain contexts,
2 such as when laws structurally devalue one community’s votes over another’s. See, e.g.,
3 Bognet, 2020 WL 6686120, at *11 (“[V]ote dilution under the Equal Protection Clause is
4 concerned with votes being weighed differently.”). Courts have repeatedly found the
5 “conceptualization of vote dilution” that Plaintiffs urge here—that is, “state actors counting
6 ballots in violation of state election law,” is not a cognizable equal protection violation. Id.
7 For good reason: “if dilution of lawfully cast ballots by the ‘unlawful’ counting of invalidly
8 cast ballots ‘were a true equal-protection problem, then it would transform every violation
9 of state election law . . . into a potential federal equal-protection claim.’” Bognet, 2020 WL
10 6686120, at *11 (quoting Boockvar, 2020 WL 5997680 at *45-46). 4
11 Plaintiffs have also failed to plead a due process claim. In Count III, Plaintiffs appear
12 to allege that violations of law diluted their votes in violation of the Due Process Clause.
13 See Am. Compl. ¶¶ 131–33. But vote dilution is a context-specific theory of constitutional
14 harm premised on the Equal Protection Clause, not the Due Process Clause. And, as set
15 forth above, Plaintiffs have failed to plead a cognizable vote-dilution claim. Even were this
16 Court construed Plaintiffs’ allegations as attempting to state a substantive due process
17 claim, the Complaint would still fall short. This is because, “[i]n general, garden variety
18 election irregularities do not violate the Due Process Clause . . . .” Bennett v. Yoshina, 140
19 F.3d 1218, 1226 (9th Cir. 1998). Instead, to “strike down an election on substantive due
20 process grounds,” two elements must be met: “(1) likely reliance by voters on an established
21 election procedure and/or official pronouncements about what the procedure will be in the
22 coming election; and (2) significant disenfranchisement that results from a change in the
23 election procedures.” Bennett, 140 F.3d at 1226–27; see also Curry v. Baker, 802 F.2d 1302,
24 1315 (11th Cir. 1986) (for the due process clause to be implicated problems must “go well
25
4
Plaintiffs also claim an equal protection violation because Defendants “violate[d]
26 Plaintiffs’ right to be present and have actual observation and access to the electoral
process.” [Compl. ¶ 118] Plaintiffs, however, do little to explain this theory and are
27 incorrect. “[T]here is no individual constitutional right to serve as a poll watcher.”
Boockvar, 2020 WL 5997680, at *7 (quoting Pa. Democratic Party v. Boockvar, 238 A.3d
28 345, 385 (Pa. 2020)).
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1 beyond the ordinary dispute over the counting and marking of ballots”). In this case,
2 Plaintiffs’ complaints fall far short of a constitutional violation. Plaintiffs do not allege
3 disenfranchisement at all. To the contrary, it is Plaintiffs who seek to negate the votes cast
4 by millions of eligible Arizona voters. Count III therefore does not state a due process claim
5 and must be dismissed.
6 Plaintiffs’ Elections and Electors claims as alleged in Count I of the Complaint are
7 similarly unavailing. The Elections and Electors Clauses vest authority in “the Legislature”
8 of each state to regulate “[t]he Times, Places, and Manner of holding Elections for Senators
9 and Representatives”, U.S. Const. art. I, § 4, cl. 1, and to direct the selection of presidential
10 electors, U.S. Const. art. II, § 1, cl. 2, respectively. While far from a model of clarity,
11 Plaintiffs’ claim appears to be that Defendants’ failure to follow state law resulted in the
12 miscounting of various ballots violated the Elections and Electors Clauses. Compl. ¶¶ 106–
13 09. Plaintiffs, however, fail to tie these allegations to the Electors and Elections Clauses.
14 Indeed, Plaintiffs have not explained how any deviation from election procedures, or
15 anything else, automatically constitutes a violation of these Clauses. Nowhere do they
16 allege that Defendants, or any state law, violates the authority of the Legislature to direct
17 selection of the presidential elections, U.S. Const. art. II, § 1, cl. 2, or regulate elections,
18 U.S. Const. art. I, § 4, cl. 1; See, e.g., Ariz. State Legislature, 576 U.S. at 824 (evaluating
19 state law considering the meaning of “the Legislature” as used in the Elections Clause).
20 F. Plaintiffs are not entitled to a temporary or preliminary injunction.
21 For the reasons discussed above, Plaintiffs have failed to (and cannot establish) that
22 they are likely to succeed on their claims. As discussed further below, they also have failed
23 to carry their burden on any of the factors necessary to entitle them to preliminary relief,
24 much less the extraordinary, unprecedented, and mandatory relief that they seek. Rather
25 than remedying a constitutional violation, Plaintiffs’ requested relief would create one. No
26 court has ever done what Plaintiffs ask this Court to do—throw out the election results,
27 discard more than 3.4 million votes, and ordain the losing candidate the victor by judicial
28 proclamation. As another federal court put it last month when the Trump Campaign sought
508
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1 an order prohibiting Pennsylvania’s officials from certifying election results, “[t]his Court
2 has been unable to find any case in which a plaintiff has sought such a drastic remedy in the
3 contest of an election, in terms of the sheer volume of votes asked to be invalidated.”
4 Boockvar, 2020 WL 6821992, at *1. America is a democracy. “Voters, not lawyers, choose
5 the President. Ballots, not briefs, decide elections.” Id. at *9.
6 1. Plaintiffs have a remedy at law and cannot establish irreparable harm.
7 As a threshold matter, Plaintiffs concede that they have an adequate remedy at law,
8 see Compl. at ¶ 15, and hence are not likely to suffer “irreparable harm in the absence of
9 preliminary relief.” Winter, 555 U.S. at 20; see also Younger v. Harris, 401 U.S. 37, 43–44
10 (1971) (noting the “basic doctrine of equity jurisprudence [provides] that courts of equity
11 should not act . . . when the moving party has an adequate remedy at law and will not suffer
12 irreparable injury if denied equitable relief”). Plaintiffs have an adequate remedy at law
13 here which makes it impossible for them to establish irreparable harm.
14 As Plaintiffs acknowledge, “the factual basis of this Complaint would also support
15 an election contest under Arizona law since A.R.S. § 16-672 allows for contests on the
16 grounds of misconduct, offenses against the elective franchise, on account of illegal votes,
17 and by reason of erroneous count of votes.” Compl. ¶ 15. The availability of this remedy
18 makes their harm, by definition, not irreparable and precludes them from being entitled to
19 injunctive relief. See, e.g., Daniels Health Scis., LLC v. Vascular Health Scis., LLC, 710
20 F.3d 579, 585 (5th Cir. 2013) (stating that, “[t]o satisfy [the irreparable harm] prong of the
21 preliminary injunction test, [the moving party] must show that it is ‘likely to suffer
22 irreparable harm,’ that is, harm for which there is no adequate remedy at law”).
23 Further, because Plaintiffs have not shown a likelihood of success of the merits of
24 their constitutional claims, Plaintiffs’ assertion (Mot. at 9) that they will suffer irreparable
25 harm based on those violations are unfounded. There has been no “deprivation of
26 constitutional rights” and no irreparable injury. Melendres v. Arpaio, 695 F.3d 990, 1002
27 (9th Cir. 2012). Additionally, “Plaintiff’s long delay before seeking a preliminary injunction
28 implies a lack of urgency and irreparable harm.” Oakland Tribune, Inc. v. Chronicle Pub.
509
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1 Co., 762 F.2d 1374, 1377 (9th Cir. 1985); see also Wright & Miller, 11A Federal Practice
2 and Procedure, § 2948.1 (3d ed., Apr. 2017 update) (“A long delay by plaintiff after
3 learning of the threatened harm also may be taken as an indication that the harm would not
4 be serious enough to justify a preliminary injunction.”). As discussed above, Plaintiffs’
5 alleged injuries occurred (if they occurred at all), on or before election day. Yet Plaintiffs
6 waited until December 2—nearly four weeks after election day—to file this motion. This
7 Court should consider Plaintiffs’ inexcusable delay in determining whether they are now
8 entitled to the “emergency” injunctive relief they seek.
9 2. The balance of equities and public interest weigh against the issuance of
restraining order.
10
The balance of equities and public interest cut sharply against granting injunctive
11
relief. Plaintiffs’ request that this Court “enjoin Governor Ducey from transmitting the
12
currently certified election results to the Electoral College,” Mot. at 11, would wreak havoc
13
on Arizona’s elections processes and violate the constitutional rights of millions of
14
Arizonans, all while undermining public confidence and trust in the election’s results.
15
For these reasons, in the past several weeks, courts have rightly refused to issue
16
similar injunctions. See Boockvar, 2020 WL 6821992, at *1 (construing Trump Campaign’s
17
request to enjoin Pennsylvania’s certification of results as a request “to disenfranchise
18
almost seven million voters,” and refusing to do so); Wood v. Raffensperger, No. 1:20-cv-
19
04561-SDG, 2020 WL 6817513 (N.D. Ga. Nov. 20, 2020) (denying request to enjoin
20
Georgia from certifying its election results, concluding that “interfer[ing] with the result of
21
an election that has already concluded would be unprecedented and harm the public in
22
countless ways”). This Court should find the same.
23
V. CONCLUSION
24
For the foregoing reasons, Proposed Intervenor-Defendant respectfully requests that
25
the Court deny Plaintiffs’ request for injunctive relief and dismiss Plaintiffs’ Complaint.
26
27
28
510
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511
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512
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1
2 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
3 I hereby certify that on December 4, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
4 document to the Clerk’s Office using the ECF System for filing and transmittal of a Notice
5 of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
6
7 /s Indy Fitzgerald
8
150408008.1
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
513
-22-
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Exhibit 1
514
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 37-1 Filed 12/04/20 Page 2 of 43
Stephen Ansolabehere
December 4, 2020
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Statement of Inquiry
1. I have been asked to evaluate the report of Dr. William Briggs. I am compensated at
overall, based on my review, I find the estimates and analyses in Dr. Briggs’ report to be
unreliable and the analysis not up to scientific standards of survey research, data science, or
election analysis. There are substantial errors in the design of the survey and errors and
inconsistencies in the data used in the analysis that are of sufficient magnitude to invalidate any
calculations or estimates based on these data. The extremely low response rate, the high break
off rate, and the inconsistencies in data spreadsheets lead me to conclude that the survey should
not be assumed to be representative of the population studied, and the data should not be
assumed to be accurate. The interpretation of the data does not account for obvious and
important features of absentee voting, including permanent absentee voters who do not need to
request ballots to receive them, as well as late, rejected, invalid, and spoiled absentee ballots.
The errors in design, analysis, and interpretation of the data are so massive that there is no
foundation for drawing any conclusions or inferences from Dr. Briggs’ report.
Summary Assessment
3. In his report, Dr. Briggs evaluates survey data that was provided to him by a third
party and assumes that “the respondents [to the survey] are representative and the data are
accurate.” 1 There is no indication in his report that he conducted any analysis of the data or that
those who provided the data to him did anything to verify its correctness and integrity. Nor is
1
William M. Briggs, “An Analysis of Surveys Regarding Absentee Ballots Across Several States,” November 23,
2020, page 1.
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there any showing that he or anyone else analyzed the quality of the survey or the
representativeness of the sample on which he based his analysis. It is standard scientific practice
in the field of survey research to give careful scrutiny to data before conducting any statistical
analyses, including understanding the structure and wording of the survey questions, the
sampling method and response rate, and the characteristics of the sample, such as demographic
4. In his report, Dr. Briggs defines two types of purported errors. The first is that people
received an absentee ballot even though, according to the survey, they did not request one
(Alleged Error #1). The second is that people allegedly returned absentee ballots that election
offices did not record (Alleged Error #2). These two alleged errors, Dr. Briggs asserts, combine
to create a category of “troublesome ballots.” The estimates of Alleged Error #1 and Alleged
Error #2 that he presents are deeply flawed because of defects in the design of the survey, fatal
data errors evident in the survey toplines, calculation errors, and errors in the interpretation of the
data. It is my professional judgment that none of the estimates and projections in his report are
valid.
5. The design of the survey contaminates the data and any estimates, rendering them
invalid. Specifically, in Question 1 of the survey the surveyor asks to speak to a specific person.
Some of the respondents are flagged as “Reached Target,” while others are flagged as
“Uncertain” or “What is this about?” Both groups of people (Reached Target and Uncertain) are
then asked Question 2, “Did you request an absentee ballot?” This is a serious survey design
error, because some or perhaps all of the people flagged as “Uncertain” are not the target of the
interview. As a result, the structure of the very beginning of the survey allows people who were
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not the target to be treated as if they were in the remaining questions. This leads to the
6. The survey also suffers from ambiguously worded questions, which introduces
measurement errors in any estimates. Question 2 asks respondents whether they requested an
absentee ballot. The question does not follow up and clarify different ways that people obtain
absentee ballots, especially, whether the voter did not need to request a ballot in order to receive
one because they are permanent absentee voters. According to data reported by county election
offices in the State of Arizona to the U.S. Election Assistance Commission, there were 2,545,198
million permanent absentee or early voters (PEVs) in the state out of 2,672,384 absentee voters
in the 2018 election. The data are from 2018 because the 2020 data have not yet been reported.
In other words, 95 percent of all absentee voters in the state were automatically sent an
absentee ballot without needing to request one for a specific election. Dr. Briggs is
apparently unaware of this critical fact, which completely undermines his analysis.
7. The wording of Question 3 also is very problematic. First, the survey does not
ascertain whether a ballot was in fact received. According to figures from the U.S. Election
Assistance Commission, there were 102,896 undeliverable absentee ballots. Neither Question 2
nor Question 3 screens out people who did not receive a ballot. Second, Question 3 does not
ascertain whether the ballot was mailed back in a timely manner so as to be included in the
record of ballots cast. Third, Question 3 asks whether someone voted. As is well known among
political scientists and survey researchers, survey questions asking whether someone voted are
subject to substantial social desirability biases that lead to inflation in the estimated number of
voters.
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8. There are also errors and inconsistencies in the survey data. Appended to Dr. Briggs’
report is a series of tables, called Topline Tables (“toplines”), for the State of Arizona. Toplines
for other states are not disclosed. The toplines provide the basic statistics about the survey
reported for each question, as well as the questions themselves and the response categories for
each question. There are errors in the spreadsheet of toplines indicating data inconsistencies. For
example, in Arizona, there are more respondents to Question 2 than the survey instructions
indicate should have been asked Question 2. Generally, such errors indicate fundamental
problems with the management of the survey and the databases generated by the survey. It is
standard practice in survey research and analysis of survey data to conduct integrity checks to
ensure that there are not mistakes in the data. The presence of substantial discrepancies in these
topline tables, such as shown here, indicates flaws in the data. Dr. Briggs’ report makes no
mention of these inconsistencies and errors and assumes that the underlying data are accurate.
These errors and inconsistencies reveal that the data are not accurate.
9. In addition, the survey has extremely low response rates. Of the 518,560 absentee
voters who were the target of the study, 2,489 were asked and 2,129 people (one-half of one
percent) ultimately provided answers to Question 2. High non-response rates generally create
biases in survey because the samples are rarely representative of the population under study.
Surveys with such a low response rate are not accepted in scientific publications, except on rare
occasions and with proper analyses that ensure that the respondents are in fact representative.
When researchers have low response rates, they must offer affirmative proof of
11. The interpretation of the data as evidence of “errors” and “troublesome ballots” fails
to account for the rules and realities of absentee voting. First, Dr. Briggs calls Alleged Error #1
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absentee ballots that were received by voters but were not “requested.” This interpretation fails
to consider that 95 percent of absentee ballots sent by election offices are sent to permanent
absentee voters, who receive ballots without requesting them. All five states in his report allow
for permanent absentee voting for some or all registrants. Second, Dr. Briggs calls Alleged Error
#2 ballots that were sent by voters but not recorded at the county election offices. This
interpretation fails to account for late, undeliverable, rejected, and spoiled ballots. Most
jurisdictions, for example, do not record late ballots in the tally of returned absentee ballots. The
results in his analysis, if they are real, are likely the consequence of the normal practice of
absentee voting.
II. Qualifications
at the University of California, Los Angeles, and I was Professor of Political Science at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, where I held the Elting Morison Chair and served as
Associate Head of the Department of Political Science. I am the Principal Investigator of the
Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), a survey research consortium of over 250
faculty and student researchers at more than 50 universities, directed the Caltech/MIT Voting
Technology Project from its inception in 2000 through 2004, and served on the Board of
Overseers of the American National Election Study from 1999 to 2013. I am an election analyst
for and consultant to CBS News’ Election Night Decision Desk. I am a member of the American
Academy of Arts and Sciences (inducted in 2007). My curriculum vitae is attached to this
report as Appendix B.
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13. I have worked as a consultant to the Brennan Center in the case of McConnell v.
FEC, 540 U.S. 93 (2003). I have testified before the U.S. Senate Committee on Rules, the U.S.
Senate Committee on Commerce, the U.S. House Committee on Science, Space, and
Technology, the U.S. House Committee on House Administration, and the Congressional Black
Caucus on matters of election administration in the United States. I filed an amicus brief with
Professors Nathaniel Persily and Charles Stewart on behalf of neither party to the U.S. Supreme
Court in the case of Northwest Austin Municipal Utility District Number One v. Holder, 557 U.S.
193 (2009) and an amicus brief with Professor Nathaniel Persily and others in the case of
Evenwel v. Abbott, 138 S. Ct. 1120 (2015). I have served as a testifying expert for the Gonzales
intervenors in State of Texas v. United States before the U.S. District Court in the District of
Columbia (No. 1:11-cv-01303); the Rodriguez plaintiffs in Perez v. Perry, before the U.S.
District Court in the Western District of Texas (No. 5:11-cv-00360); for the San Antonio Water
District intervenor in LULAC v. Edwards Aquifer Authority in the U.S. District Court for the
Western District of Texas, San Antonio Division (No. 5:12cv620-OLG); for the Department of
Justice in State of Texas v. Holder, before the U.S. District Court in the District of Columbia
(No. 1:12-cv-00128); for the Guy plaintiffs in Guy v. Miller in the U.S. District Court for Nevada
(No. 11-OC-00042-1B); for the Florida Democratic Party in In re Senate Joint Resolution of
Legislative Apportionment in the Florida Supreme Court (Nos. 2012-CA-412, 2012-CA-490); for
the Romo plaintiffs in Romo v. Detzner in the Circuit Court of the Second Judicial Circuit in
Florida (No. 2012 CA 412); for the Department of Justice in Veasey v. Perry, before the U.S.
District Court for the Southern District of Texas, Corpus Christi Division (No. 2:13cv00193);
for the Harris plaintiffs in Harris v. McCrory in the U.S. District Court for the Middle District of
North Carolina (No. 1:2013cv00949); for the Bethune-Hill plaintiffs in Bethune-Hill v. Virginia
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State Board of Elections in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia (No. 3:
2014cv00852); for the Fish plaintiffs in Fish v. Kobach in the U.S. District Court for the District
of Kansas ( No. 2:16-cv-02105-JAR); and for intervenors in Voto Latino, et al. v. Hobbs, in the
U.S. District Court for the District of Arizona (No. 2:19-cv-05685-DWL). I served as an expert
witness and filed an affidavit in the North Carolina State Board of Elections hearings regarding
absentee ballot fraud in the 2018 election for Congressional District 9 in North Carolina.
electoral politics, representation, and public opinion, as well as statistical methods in social
sciences and survey research methods. I have authored numerous scholarly works on voting
behavior and elections, the application of statistical methods in social sciences, legislative
politics and representation, and distributive politics. This scholarship includes articles in such
academic journals as the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, American Political Science
Review, American Economic Review, the American Journal of Political Science, Legislative
Studies Quarterly, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Electoral Studies, and Political
Analysis. I have published articles on issues of election law in the Harvard Law Review, Texas
Law Review, Columbia Law Review, New York University Annual Survey of Law, and Election
Law Journal, for which I am a member of the editorial board. I am associate editor of the
Harvard Data Science Review, and have served as associate editor of the Public Opinion
Quarterly. I have coauthored three scholarly books on electoral politics in the United States, The
End of Inequality: Baker v. Carr and the Transformation of American Politics, Going Negative:
How Political Advertising Shrinks and Polarizes the Electorate, and The Media Game:
American Politics in the Media Age. I am coauthor with Benjamin Ginsberg and Ken Shepsle of
7
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III. Sources
15. I have relied on the report of Dr. William Briggs in this case.
16. I have relied on the Election Assistance Commission, “Election Administration and
I present data from 2018 because it is the most recent federal election for which data on absentee
and permanent absentee voting is available. The 2018 data are instructive about the magnitude
of permanent absentee voters and the magnitude of unreturned, late, rejected, and spoiled
17. I have relied on the report of Mr. Matthew Braynard in a pending lawsuit in Fulton
18. I have relied on the report of Dr. William Briggs in King v. Whitmer in the District
IV. Findings
19. In my professional judgment, there are fundamental flaws in the design of the survey
design and the survey data on which Dr. Briggs relied. These flaws created biases in the
estimates and analyses that are sufficiently large to completely explain the results that Dr. Briggs
presents as nothing more than errors in the data collection process. Perhaps most troubling, the
survey is likely highly unrepresentative because it has a response rate less than 1 percent; the
survey data are contaminated by respondents who should not have been included in the survey,
and the basic data in the Topline summaries of the data do not add up, indicating fatal flaws in
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20. The interpretations of the estimates in the survey as errors and troublesome ballots
fail to take into account the realities of absentee voting in the State of Arizona. Almost all
absentee voters in the State receive absentee ballots for each election without having to request
ballots for that election because they are Permanent Absentee and Early Voters (PEVs). In
addition, there are large numbers of undeliverable and late absentee ballots, which are typically
A. Critique of Interpretation
i. The survey data and its interpretation do not account for PEVs.
21. The analysis of Question 2 is used to estimate the number of people who received but
did not request an absentee ballot. Dr. Briggs calls this Alleged Error #1.
22. The interpretation of these data as an error in balloting does not account for the
presence of a large number of Permanent Absentee and Early Voters (PEVs) in Arizona,
Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Georgia automatically mails ballots for voters who
qualify for “rollover” ballots – people over 65, disabled, or in the military who sign up annually
to have ballots automatically sent to them. I consider rollover ballots to be a form of PEV, but
23. PEVs are automatically sent their absentee ballots. They do not need to request that
24. In the State of Arizona, nearly all absentee ballots sent are sent to PEVs. In 2018,
PEVs were 95 percent of absentee ballots sent by election offices to registered voters. In other
words, nearly all voters who received absentee ballots in the State did so without having to
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25. In the other states covered in Dr. Briggs’ report, there are substantial numbers of
PEVs. Table 1 presents data from the number of absentee ballots sent in 2018 and the number of
permanent absentee ballots sent to voters in Arizona, Georgia (rollover absentee voters),
Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The number of permanent absentee ballots sent in
Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin far exceeds the estimated Alleged Error #1 in the first table in
Dr. Briggs’ report. The EAC reports no data on permanent absentee ballots for Georgia in 2018.
Those data cover 2018 and are presented to indicate the likely magnitude of PEVs in the states in
2020. Preliminary reports from some of these states show very high numbers of PEVs and
rollover absentee voters. There were at least 582,000 “rollover” ballots in Georgia in 2020. 2
26. Based on the toplines, Mr. Braynard’s survey does not identify PEVS or distinguish
2
Stephen Fowler, “Nearly 800,000 Georgians Have Already Requested Absentee Ballots for November” GA Today
gpb.org, September 2, 2020. https://www.gpb.org/news/2020/09/02/nearly-800000-georgians-have-already-
requested-absentee-ballots-for-november
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ii. The interpretation of Question 3 fails to account for the proper handling
of late, invalid, and spoiled absentee ballots by Local Election Offices.
27. The analysis of Question 3 of Mr. Braynard’s survey is used to estimate the number
of people who stated that they returned an absentee ballot but for whom no vote was recorded.
28. The interpretation of such cases as errors does not account for absentee ballots that
are in fact not received or counted by election officers because the ballots are not returned by the
postal system, are returned late by the voter, are spoiled by the voter, or are rejected. Such
ballots are the obvious explanation for the data observed. No effort in the survey or the analysis
is made to ascertain the likelihood that a voter cast a late or invalid absentee ballot.
29. The number of absentee ballots that are not received or valid is substantial. Table 2
presents counts of rejected, late, undelivered, and voided absentee ballots in Arizona, Georgia,
Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin for 2018, the most recent federal election for which
systematic data on absentee voting are available. An undeliverable absentee ballot is one that
was returned to the election office as not being deliverable to the address on the voter registration
lists. The final column presents the number of sent absentee ballots for which the status of a
ballot sent by the election office to a voter was not received and its status is not known. These
are likely ballots that simply were not returned by voters or were lost or delayed in the US Postal
System. Delays in the postal system were a particular concern in 2020, as there were widespread
reports of staffing problems during COVID for USPS, delays in mail delivery, and declines in
the rate of on-time delivery. 3 Late, undelivered, rejected, and spoiled ballots are not counted
3
Hailey Fuchs, “Some Regions Still Experience Slow Delivery of Mail Ballots,” New York Times, November 3,
2020, Section A, Page 23. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/02/us/politics/mail-ballot-usps.html.
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under law, and they are comparable in magnitude to the estimates of the Alleged Error #2
30. Arizona election officials reported to EAC a total of 2,515 late absentee ballots,
27,804 void or spoiled ballots, 8,567 rejected ballots, and 102,896 ballots that were undeliverable
in the 2018 election. These figures are not definitive of the numbers for the 2020 election, which
have not yet been reported. Rather, they are demonstrative of the fact that there are sound,
documented administrative reasons that returned absentee ballots are not recorded as having been
voted, especially tardiness, spoilage, and rejection for lack of signatures, valid envelopes, and the
like.
Table 2. Rejected, Undelivered, Voided, and Late Absentees in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan,
Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in 2018
Rejected Undeliverable Spoiled/Voided Late Status
Absentee Absentee Absentee Absentee Unknown
Ballots Ballots Ballots Ballots
Arizona 8,567 102,896 27,804 2,515 642,210
Georgia 7,512 2,322 252 3,525 36,255
Michigan 6,013 791 19,679 2,207 41,120
Pennsylvania 8,714 * * 8,162 20,622
Wisconsin 2,517 1,718 2,794 1,445 12,407
Source: EAC, EAVS 2018.
Note: * no data reported.
31. Dr. Briggs offers no assessment of the design of the survey that generated the data
32. It is my understanding that Matthew Braynard designed and conducted these surveys.
There is no report of the survey design, questionnaire, or response rates, beyond the information
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33. The response rate to the survey is measured as the number of people who answered
the first substantive question (Q2) in the survey divided by the number of people who the
surveyor sought to contact. The response rate to the survey conducted by Mr. Braynard in the
State of Arizona is one-half of one percent. That is, of the 518,560 people who the survey
research project set out to interview, 99.5 percent of them could not be contacted or refused to
participate. That is an extremely low response rate, and it creates substantial doubt about
34. Dr. Briggs offered no calculation of a response rate to the surveys in his report.
35. My calculation of the response rate is offered in Table 1. For each phase of the
survey, I calculate the percent of people originally sought to be studied who remain in the survey
or are asked a given question. The initial phase of the survey consists of matching phone
numbers to the registration list and contacting those numbers. The number of cases for which an
interview could commence was 5,604, of the original 518,560 registration records (or 1 percent).
These 5,604 cases consist of all records for which a message was left, there was an early hang up
or refusal at some point during the survey (2,975), and cases that made it to the end of the survey
(684).
36. Once the survey commences, there is first a screener question to determine whether
the person interviewed should continue with the interview. That is Question 1. Question 2 is the
first question of interest in Dr. Briggs’ analysis. It asks, “Did you request an Absentee Ballot in
the State of <state name>?” People could answer “Yes”, “No”, some other answer, Refuse to
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37. The response rate to the survey items of interest is the percent of people who were
asked Question 2. 2,489 of the original 518,560 were asked Question 2, and 2,129 provided an
38. This is an extremely low response rate. In most disciplines of study that I am familiar
with, these would not be scientifically acceptable or reliable samples. For example, I am
associate editor of the Harvard Data Sciences Review, which broadly covers fields of statistics
and data sciences, and specialty fields such as political science, public opinion, survey
methodology, and economics. Papers with such high non-responses are rejected on their face for
39. In my work as an expert witness for the Department of Justice, courts in which I have
testified exclude as evidence phone surveys based on registration lists because they have
response rates of 2 percent. Specifically, in Texas v. Holder, Professor Daron Shaw offered
evidence based on phone surveys of registration lists. These surveys had response rates of 2
percent, and the court rejected the data because of serious questions about the representativeness
of samples in which 98 percent of respondents could not be contacted or would not respond, and
the effects of very low response rates on accuracy and reliability of estimates using surveys with
very low response rates. See Texas v. Holder in the United States District Court for the District
of Columbia No. 12-cv-128 (see pages 30 and 31). In evaluating the surveys conducted by Mr.
Maynard and reported by Dr. Briggs, I use the 2 percent threshold as a standard for an
40. Dr. Briggs’ assumption that those who responded to the question are representative of
the relevant population under study (i.e., the other 99 percent of people who could not or would
not participate in the survey) is highly unlikely to be correct. When surveys have high non-
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response rates, it is standard practice to analyze information about the sample and the target
confirm that the assumption of representativeness of a sample can be maintained. When the
response rates are very low, such an analysis is a necessity in order to determine whether there is
Table 3. Phone Survey Targets, Attempts and Completes in Mr. Braynard’s survey of Arizona
registered voters for whom records show no returned ballots
Percent of Targets for Survey
Number of Cases Remaining in the Survey
Process
People the Survey Sought to 518,560 100%
Reach (all Unreturned Ballots)
[Targets for Survey]
Data Loads (Phone Numbers 81,780 15.77%
Loaded into the Survey System)
“Completes”
No Answer 74,437
Numbers/Language 1,663
VM Message Left 1,945
Early Hang Up/Refused 2,975
Q4 = 01* 684
Subtotal: “Completes” 5,604 1.08%
*Note: This number is as reported. In table for Q4, 678 cases are Q4 = 01, and 684 is the
Sum of All Responses for Q5.
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ii. The screening question improperly allows people to take the survey who
should not.
41. A second substantial flaw in the survey is that the design of the questionnaire allows
people who are not affirmatively determined to be the correct person to take the survey.
42. Past research has documented that phone surveys using registered voter lists are
often answered by someone other than the person who was listed on the registered voter file.
The two most common problems are that the wrong number was matched to the voter list and
that someone other than the person the research sought to speak with answered the phone. The
43. Question 1 (Q1) of the survey asks, “May I please speak to <lead on screen>?”
“Lead on screen” is the name from the voter registration list that is linked to the phone number
that the survey has dialed. Responses to Q1 are listed as reached target, other/uncertain, refused,
and hang up. In the survey toplines for Arizona, the response categories for Question 1 do not
specifically describe the branching. I examined the toplines for other states as reported in the
appendix to Dr. Briggs’ report in King v. Whitmer. The other states show that the second
response category for Question 1 is assigned to Question 2. For example, in the first table
(Georgia), the responses are “Reached Target [Go to Q2]” and “[Go to Q2],” without further
44. This is an error in the branching design of the survey. People who are not
affirmatively identified as the correct person for the interview are allowed to answer the
remaining questions in the survey. For example, Reponses to Questions 2 and 3 show evidence
4
Pew Research Center, “Comparing Survey Sampling Strategies: Random-Digit Dialing vs. Voter Files,” 2018.
https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2018/10/09/comparing-survey-sampling-strategies-random-digit-dial-vs-
voter-files/, see pages 25-26.
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that spouses and other family members are asked Questions 2 and 3, even though they were not
45. A significant percent and number of respondents who are listed as not giving an
affirmative answer to Question 1 are in fact kept in the survey and asked Question 2. In the
Arizona survey, 335 respondents answered Uncertain, but were then asked Question 2. These
335 cases are 15.6 percent of cases who answered Question 1 and were then assigned to
Question 2 (i.e., 335/(335+1,812)). These respondents enter the pool for Questions 2 and 3 and
46. Questions 2 and 3 exhibit evidence of these cases. The response categories labeled
“Member” correspond to family members. Again, there is no codebook for deciphering the
response categories. I relied on the toplines for other states in Dr. Briggs’ report in King v.
Whitmer to clarify these categories. Family members answering on behalf of someone indicates
that the survey interviewers did not always speak with the specific person listed on the
registration list. The number of family members listed is a small percentage of all of the cases
47. I inspected the toplines for other states and discovered similar errors in the branching
in all of the states. People whose identity was not clearly identified in Question 1 are asked
Question 2. At this point in the branching protocol, my conclusion is that the data are not an
accurate reflection of the Target group (i.e., those people who are affirmatively identified as the
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48. Question 3 asks people whether they voted. Specifically, it asks people who said that
they requested an absentee ballot whether they returned an absentee ballot; that is, whether they
49. It has long been understood in political science that respondents to surveys over-
points. That is, if 65 percent of people in a sample actually voted, the reported vote rates in
surveys are usually around 75 to 85 percent. The most commonly identified sorts of biases are
memory errors and social desirability bias in questions asking people whether they voted. 5
When asked whether they voted or cast a ballot, people say “yes” either because they feel that is
the socially acceptable answer or because they forgot whether they actually voted in a given
election. Questions that ask people whether they voted or cast a ballot will overstate voting and
should not be taken on face value as ground truth. The particular form of Question 3 is likely to
lead to people saying that they voted a ballot when in fact they had not.
50. There are alternative ways to ask about voting in order to reduce social desirability
bias. 6 Those other ways of asking the question are in line with social science practice in research
in order to avoid social desirability biases. Question 3 should have been asked a different way so
5
See for example, Allyson L. Holbrook and Jon A. Krosnick, “Social Desirability Bias in Voter Turnout Reports:
Test Using the Item Count Technique,” Public Opinion Quarterly 74 (2010): 37-67. See also Stephen Ansolabehere
and Eitan Hersh, “Validation: What Big Data Reveal About Survey Misreporting and the Real Electorate,” Political
Analysis 20 (2012): 437-459
6
See, for example, Holbrook and Krosnick, op cit., and Michael J. Hanmer, Antoine J. Banks, and Ismail K. White,
“Experiments to Reduce the Over-Reporting of Voting: A Pipeline to the Truth,” Political Analysis 22 (2014): 130-
141.
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51. There are obvious data errors and inconsistencies revealed in the toplines that are
appended to Dr. Briggs’ report. Dr. Briggs states that he assumes that “the data is accurate.”
A routine analysis to check the consistency and integrity of data reported in the toplines is
standard practice in the survey research field. Such checks allow researchers to determine
whether the survey data and spreadsheet program are producing sensible numbers and, thus,
working correctly. Failures in even a small number of integrity checks indicate problems with
the survey systems and software, and raise deep concerns about data accuracy generally. I
routinely perform such checks on surveys that I conduct and supervise. I have performed such a
check, and it reveals that the data lack integrity. They should not be assumed to be accurate.
52. The data integrity checks that I implemented were of two sorts. First, I added up the
number of cases in each response category to verify that they sum to the number of cases
reported for each question in the row labeled “Sum of Responses.” Second, I added up the
number of cases at each phase of the survey that are indicated as cases to be asked the next
question. For example, I add up the cases in Question 1 that have the flag [Go to Q2] and then
check whether that number equals the number of cases for Question 2 in “Sum of Responses.” I
performed these integrity checks for the Arizona survey toplines appended to Dr. Briggs’ report
in this case and to the toplines for the surveys that Mr. Braynard conducted in other states and
53. The toplines for one of the surveys (Wisconsin) failed the first integrity check. The
response categories for Question 1 in that survey had 2,261 people listed as “A-Reached Target +
B-What Is This About?/Uncertain” and 1,677 cases listed as “X=Refused.” These numbers sum
to 3,938. However, the number of cases that the survey system reported under “Sum of All
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Responses” to Question 1 is 3,495. There is a discrepancy of 443 cases that are unaccounted for
at the outset of that survey. This indicates to me an error in the program that generated the
survey data. This finding means none of the Wisconsin data should be assumed to be reliable
and accurate.
54. The integrity checks failed for the Arizona data when I performed the second sort of
integrity check. The accounting for the second sort of integrity check is presented in Table 4.
The first panel of Table 4 (marked with lower case numerals) reproduces the accounting for
“Completes” shown in the toplines appended to Dr. Briggs’ report. The second panel reports the
number of cases in the Completes, including people who hung up or refused, that should have
been asked Question 1 (denoted “A”) and the number of cases who were asked Question 1
(denoted “B”). The third set of rows is the number of cases in Question 1 who were assigned to
Question 2 (denoted “C”) and the number of cases who were asked Question 2 (denoted “D”).
The fourth set of rows is the number of cases in Question 2 who were assigned to Question 3
(denoted “E”) and the number of cases who were asked Question 3 (denoted “F”).
55. The first integrity check in this table is whether the subtotal of Completes equals the
number of cases in which calls reached a response (even if an answering machine or refusal).
That is, do rows (i), (ii), and (iii) sum to row (iv)? They do. The difference between rows
56. The second integrity check in this table is whether the subtotal of Completes eligible
for Question 1 equals the number of people asked Question 1. That is, does Row A equal Row
B? They are not equal. Row A minus Row B is -866, meaning there are 866 more respondents
who were asked Question 2 than were indicated to be calls commenced in the survey. I
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Question or Hang ups at the Complete stage. I found no way to account for the excess number of
cases who were asked Question 1 but were not accounted for in the Completes portion of the
toplines. These respondents mysteriously show up in the interviews and are not accounted for.
57. The third integrity check in this table is whether the number of people who were
assigned in Question 1 to [Go to Q2] equals the number of people who answered Question 2.
That is, does Row C equal Row D? They are not equal. Row C minus Row D is -342, meaning
there are 342 more respondents in Question 2 than were assigned to Question 2 at the Question 1
58. The fourth integrity check in this table is whether the number of people who were
assigned in Question 2 to [Go to Q3] equals the number of people who answered Question 3.
That is, does Row E equal Row F? They are equal. Row E and Row F equal 2,129 each.
59. Inspection of the toplines for Arizona exposes failures of the integrity checks. The
number of cases affected by these failures is substantial: 1,208 (866+342). To put these
spreadsheet failures into perspective, the total number of cases in the survey that are listed as
either Error #1 or Error #2 is 1,229 (i.e., 885 Question 2 = No and 344 Question 3 = Yes). The
presence of integrity check failures leads me to conclude that there are errors in either the
program that generated the survey data or the spreadsheets and analysis used to analyze the data.
The number of errors is of a sufficiently large magnitude that there can be no confidence in any
60. I performed integrity checks for the other states using the toplines appended to Dr.
Briggs’ report in King v. Whitmer. I found similar sorts of spreadsheet inconsistencies and
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61. In my experience running, designing, and analyzing large scale surveys through the
Cooperative Congressional Election Study and serving on the board of the American National
Election Study, errors such as these usually have two sources. They are indicative of either: (i)
errors in the program that that assigns questions to people, or (ii) errors in the program that
generates the spreadsheet. Either sort of error is catastrophic for this analysis, and they render
the estimates, projections, and inferences in Dr. Briggs’ report entirely unreliable.
Table 4. Data Integrity Checks for Mr. Braynard’s survey of Arizona registered voters
C: Completed Q1 2,147
[Go to Q2]*
D: Asked Q2 2,489 C – D = -342
(Sum of All Responses)
* Based on Dr. Briggs’ report in Wood v. Raffensperger, the survey branching in other states
asks Question 2 of respondents who are identified as “Reached Target” or “Uncertain” in
Question 1. I assume that the branching is the same in the Arizona survey.
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D. Conclusion
62. The estimates and projections presented by Dr. Briggs are based on survey data
collected in Arizona and four other states (Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin).
My overall assessment of these surveys is that they were not properly designed. Specifically,
they have unacceptably low response rates, poorly designed questions that are known to over-
report voting, and errors in assigning cases to questions that allow people who should not have
been included in the survey to nonetheless answer the questions. These survey design and
implementation failures mean that, in hundreds of cases, the wrong people are allowed to answer
the surveys, and that the statistician must make implausible assumptions about the
million people. These survey design and implementation flaws are of sufficient magnitude and
63. The data are not accurate. The Topline summaries of the survey data appended to Dr.
Briggs’ report reveal fatal accounting errors in the data. No sound estimates or inferences can be
drawn based on these data. Dr. Briggs assumed at the outset that the respondents to the surveys
are representative and the data are accurate. Neither assumption is correct.
64. The interpretation of the survey responses ignores the realities of absentee voting in
the State of Arizona. In Arizona, 95 percent of people are permanent absentee and early voters
and are sent a ballot automatically without requesting one for a given election. Dr. Briggs
considers as errors all instances in which a voter who was sent an absentee ballot did not request
one. These occurrences are not errors, but instead are the normal workings of Arizona’s
absentee voting system. Also, ballots that voters say they returned but are not recorded are not
definitive evidence of “errors.” Arizona also has a substantial number of absentee ballots that
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are late, undeliverable, spoiled, or invalid. The evidence presented is not evidence of errors in
the election but of errors in the survey data presented by Dr. Briggs.
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_________________________________
Stephen Ansolabehere
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Department of Government
Harvard University
1737 Cambridge Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
[email protected]
EDUCATION
PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE
ACADEMIC POSITIONS
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PUBLICATIONS
Books
2019 American Government, 15th edition. With Ted Lowi, Benjamin Ginsberg
and Kenneth Shepsle. W.W. Norton.
2014 Cheap and Clean: How Americans Think About Energy in the Age of Global
Warming. With David Konisky. MIT Press.
Recipient of the Donald K. Price book award.
2008 The End of Inequality: One Person, One Vote and the Transformation of
American Politics. With James M. Snyder, Jr., W. W. Norton.
1996 Going Negative: How Political Advertising Divides and Shrinks the American
Electorate. With Shanto Iyengar. The Free Press. Recipient of the Goldsmith
book award.
1993 Media Game: American Politics in the Television Age. With Roy Behr and
Shanto Iyengar. Macmillan.
Journal Articles
2021 “The CPS Voting and Registration Supplement Overstates Turnout” Journal of
Politics Forthcoming (with Bernard Fraga and Brian Schaffner)
2019 “Backyard Voices: How Sense of Place Shapes Views of Large-Scale Energy
542
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2019 “Are All Electrons the Same? Evaluating support for local transmission lines
through an experiment”PLOS ONE 14 (7): e0219066
(with Carley Sanya and David Konisky)
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0219066
2018 “Learning from Recounts” Election Law Journal 17: 100-116 (with Barry C. Burden,
Kenneth R. Mayer, and Charles Stewart III)
https://doi.org/10.1089/elj.2017.0440
2018 “Policy, Politics, and Public Attitudes Toward the Supreme Court” American
Politics Research (with Ariel White and Nathaniel Persily).
https://doi.org/10.1177/1532673X18765189
2017 “ADGN: An Algorithm for Record Linkage Using Address, Date of Birth
Gender and Name,” Statistics and Public Policy (with Eitan Hersh)
2017 “Identity Politics” (with Socorro Puy) Public Choice. 168: 1-19.
DOI 10.1007/s11127-016-0371-2
2016 “A 200-Year Statistical History of the Gerrymander” (with Maxwell Palmer) The
Ohio State University Law Journal
2016 “Do Americans Prefer Co-Ethnic Representation? The Impact of Race on House
Incumbent Evaluations” (with Bernard Fraga) Stanford University Law Review
68: 1553-1594
2016 Revisiting Public Opinion on Voter Identification and Voter Fraud in an Era of
Increasing Partisan Polarization” (with Nathaniel Persily) Stanford Law Review
68: 1455-1489
2015 “The Perils of Cherry Picking Low Frequency Events in Large Sample Surveys”
(with Brian Schaffner and Samantha Luks) Electoral Studies 40 (December):
409-410.
543
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2015 “A Brief Yet Practical Guide to Reforming U.S. Voter Registration, Election Law
Journal, (with Daron Shaw and Charles Stewart) 14: 26-31.
2015 “Waiting to Vote,” Election Law Journal, (with Charles Stewart) 14: 47-53.
2014 “Does Survey Mode Still Matter?” Political Analysis (with Brian Schaffner) 22:
285-303
2013 “Race, Gender, Age, and Voting” Politics and Governance, vol. 1, issue 2.
(with Eitan Hersh)
http://www.librelloph.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/PaG-1.2.132
2013 “Social Sciences and the Alternative Energy Future” Daedalus (with Bob Fri)
2012 “Asking About Numbers: How and Why” Political Analysis (with Erik
Snowberg and Marc Meredith). doi:10.1093/pan/mps031
2012 “Validation: What Big Data Reveals About Survey Misreporting and the Real
Electorate” Political Analysis (with Eitan Hersh)
2012 “Arizona Free Enterprise v. Bennett and the Problem of Campaign Finance”
Supreme Court Review 2011(1):39-79
2012 “The American Public’s Energy Choice” Daedalus (with David Konisky)
544
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2011 “When Parties Are Not Teams: Party positions in single-member district and
proportional representation systems” Economic Theory 49 (March)
DOI: 10.1007/s00199-011-0610-1 (with James M. Snyder Jr. and William
Leblanc)
2011 “Profiling Originalism” Columbia Law Review (with Jamal Greene and Nathaniel
Persily).
2010 “Partisanship, Public Opinion, and Redistricting” Election Law Journal (with
Joshua Fougere and Nathaniel Persily).
2010 “Primary Elections and Party Polarization” Quarterly Journal of Political Science
(with Shigeo Hirano, James Snyder, and Mark Hansen)
2010 “Race, Region, and Vote Choice in the 2008 Election: Implications for
the Future of the Voting Rights Act” Harvard Law Review April, 2010. (with
Nathaniel Persily, and Charles H. Stewart III)
2010 “Residential Mobility and the Cell Only Population,” Public Opinion Quarterly
(with Brian Schaffner)
2009 “Explaining Attitudes Toward Power Plant Location,” Public Opinion Quarterly
(with David Konisky)
2008 “A Spatial Model of the Relationship Between Seats and Votes” (with William
Leblanc) Mathematical and Computer Modeling (November).
2008 “The Strength of Issues: Using Multiple Measures to Gauge Preference Stability,
Ideological Constraint, and Issue Voting” (with Jonathan Rodden and James M.
Snyder, Jr.) American Political Science Review (May).
2008 “Voter Fraud in the Eye of the Beholder” (with Nathaniel Persily) Harvard Law
Review (May)
545
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2007 “Television and the Incumbency Advantage” (with Erik C. Snowberg and
James M. Snyder, Jr). Legislative Studies Quarterly.
2006 “Voting Cues and the Incumbency Advantage: A Critical Test” (with Shigeo
Hirano, James M. Snyder, Jr., and Michiko Ueda) Quarterly Journal of
Political Science vol. 1, issue 2.
2006 “Purple America” (with Jonathan Rodden and James M. Snyder, Jr.) Journal
of Economic Perspectives (Winter).
2005 “Did the Introduction of Voter Registration Decrease Turnout?” (with David
Konisky). Political Analysis.
2005 “Studying Elections” Policy Studies Journal (with Charles H. Stewart III and R.
Michael Alvarez).
2004 “Using Term Limits to Estimate Incumbency Advantages When Office Holders
Retire Strategically” (with James M. Snyder, Jr.). Legislative Studies Quarterly
vol. 29, November 2004, pages 487-516.
546
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2004 “Did Firms Profit From Soft Money?” (with James M. Snyder, Jr., and Michiko
Ueda) Election Law Journal vol. 3, April 2004.
2003 “Bargaining in Bicameral Legislatures” (with James M. Snyder, Jr. and Mike
Ting) American Political Science Review, August, 2003.
2003 “Why Is There So Little Money in U.S. Politics?” (with James M. Snyder, Jr.)
Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter, 2003.
2002 “Equal Votes, Equal Money: Court-Ordered Redistricting and the Public
Spending in the American States” (with Alan Gerber and James M. Snyder, Jr.)
American Political Science Review, December, 2002.
Paper awarded the Heinz Eulau award for the best paper in the American Political
Science Review.
2002 “Are PAC Contributions and Lobbying Linked?” (with James M. Snyder, Jr. and
Micky Tripathi) Business and Politics 4, no. 2.
2002 “The Incumbency Advantage in U.S. Elections: An Analysis of State and Federal
Offices, 1942-2000” (with James Snyder) Election Law Journal, 1, no. 3.
2001 “Voting Machines, Race, and Equal Protection.” Election Law Journal, vol. 1,
no. 1
2001 “The Effects of Party and Preferences on Congressional Roll Call Voting.”
(with James Snyder and Charles Stewart) Legislative Studies Quarterly
(forthcoming).
Paper awarded the Jewell-Lowenberg Award for the best paper published on
legislative politics in 2001. Paper awarded the Jack Walker Award for the best
paper published on party politics in 2001.
2000 “Old Voters, New Voters, and the Personal Vote,” (with James Snyder and
Charles Stewart) American Journal of Political Science 44 (February).
2000 “Soft Money, Hard Money, Strong Parties,” (with James Snyder) Columbia Law
Review 100 (April):598 - 619.
2000 “Campaign War Chests and Congressional Elections,” (with James Snyder)
547
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1999 “Replicating Experiments Using Surveys and Aggregate Data: The Case of
Negative Advertising.” (with Shanto Iyengar and Adam Simon) American
Political Science Review 93 (December).
1999 “Valence Politics and Equilibrium in Spatial Models,” (with James Snyder),
Public Choice.
1999 “Money and Institutional Power,” (with James Snyder), Texas Law Review 77
(June, 1999): 1673-1704.
1996 “The Effects of Ballot Access Rules on U.S. House Elections,” (with Alan
Gerber), Legislative Studies Quarterly 21 (May 1996).
1994 “Riding the Wave and Issue Ownership: The Importance of Issues in Political
Advertising and News,” (with Shanto Iyengar) Public Opinion Quarterly 58:
335-357.
1994 “Does Attack Advertising Demobilize the Electorate?” (with Shanto Iyengar),
American Political Science Review 89 (December).
1994 “The Mismeasure of Campaign Spending: Evidence from the 1990 U.S. House
Elections,” (with Alan Gerber) Journal of Politics 56 (September).
1991 “The Vanishing Marginals and Electoral Responsiveness,” (with David Brady and
Morris Fiorina) British Journal of Political Science 22 (November): 21-38.
1991 “Mass Media and Elections: An Overview,” (with Roy Behr and Shanto Iyengar)
American Politics Quarterly 19/1 (January): 109-139.
548
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1989 “The Nature of Utility Functions in Mass Publics,” (with Henry Brady) American
Political Science Review 83: 143-164.
2006 The Future of Coal. MIT Press. Continued reliance on coal as a primary power
source will lead to very high concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere,
resulting in global warming. This cross-disciplinary study – drawing on faculty
from Physics, Economics, Chemistry, Nuclear Engineering, and Political Science
– develop a road map for technology research and development policy in order to
address the challenges of carbon emissions from expanding use of coal for
electricity and heating throughout the world.
2003 The Future of Nuclear Power. MIT Press. This cross-disciplinary study –
drawing on faculty from Physics, Economics, Chemistry, Nuclear Engineering,
and Political Science – examines the what contribution nuclear power can make to
meet growing electricity demand, especially in a world with increasing carbon
dioxide emissions from fossil fuel power plants.
2002 “Election Day Registration.” A report prepared for DEMOS. This report analyzes
the possible effects of Proposition 52 in California based on the experiences of 6
states with election day registration.
2001 Voting: What Is, What Could Be. A report of the Caltech/MIT Voting
Technology Project. This report examines the voting system, especially
technologies for casting and counting votes, registration systems, and polling
place operations, in the United States. It was widely used by state and national
governments in formulating election reforms following the 2000 election.
2016 “Taking the Study of Public Opinion Online” (with Brian Schaffner) Oxford
Handbook of Public Opinion, R. Michael Alvarez, ed. Oxford University Press:
New York, NY.
2014 “Voter Registration: The Process and Quality of Lists” The Measure of
549
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2012 “Using Recounts to Measure the Accuracy of Vote Tabulations: Evidence from
New Hampshire Elections, 1946-2002” in Confirming Elections, R. Michael
Alvarez, Lonna Atkeson, and Thad Hall, eds. New York: Palgrave, Macmillan.
2008 “Voting Technology and Election Law” in America Votes!, Benjamin Griffith,
editor, Washington, DC: American Bar Association.
2007 “What Did the Direct Primary Do to Party Loyalty in Congress” (with
Shigeo Hirano and James M. Snyder Jr.) in Process, Party and Policy
Making: Further New Perspectives on the History of Congress, David
Brady and Matthew D. McCubbins (eds.), Stanford University Press, 2007.
2006 “The Decline of Competition in Primary Elections,” (with John Mark Hansen,
Shigeo Hirano, and James M. Snyder, Jr.) The Marketplace of Democracy,
Michael P. McDonald and John Samples, eds. Washington, DC: Brookings.
2002 “Corruption and the Growth of Campaign Spending”(with Alan Gerber and James
Snyder). A User’s Guide to Campaign Finance, Jerry Lubenow, editor. Rowman
and Littlefield.
2001 “The Paradox of Minimal Effects,” in Henry Brady and Richard Johnston, eds.,
Do Campaigns Matter? University of Michigan Press.
2000 “Money and Office,” (with James Snyder) in David Brady and John Cogan, eds.,
Congressional Elections: Continuity and Change. Stanford University Press.
10
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1995 “The Effectiveness of Campaign Advertising: It’s All in the Context,” (with
Shanto Iyengar) in Campaigns and Elections American Style, Candice Nelson and
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2009 “Sociotropic Voting and the Media” (with Marc Meredith and Erik Snowberg),
American National Election Study Pilot Study Reports, John Aldrich editor.
2007 “Public Attitudes Toward America’s Energy Options: Report of the 2007 MIT
Energy Survey” CEEPR Working Paper 07-002 and CANES working paper.
2004 “Using Recounts to Measure the Accuracy of Vote Tabulations: Evidence from
New Hampshire Elections, 1946 to 2002” (with Andrew Reeves).
1999 “Why did a majority of Californians vote to lower their own power?” (with James
Snyder and Jonathan Woon). Paper presented at the annual meeting of the
American Political Science Association, Atlanta, GA, September, 1999.
Paper received the award for the best paper on Representation at the 1999 Annual
Meeting of the APSA.
1999 “Has Television Increased the Cost of Campaigns?” (with Alan Gerber and James
Snyder).
1996 “Party Platform Choice - Single- Member District and Party-List Systems,”(with
James Snyder).
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1991 “The Electoral Effects of Issues and Attacks in Campaign Advertising” (with
Shanto Iyengar). Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political
Science Association, Washington, DC.
1991 “Why Candidates Attack: Effects of Televised Advertising in the 1990 California
Gubernatorial Campaign,” (with Shanto Iyengar). Presented at the Annual
Meeting of the Western Political Science Association, Seattle, March.
1990 “Winning is Easy, But It Sure Ain’t Cheap.” Working Paper #90-4, Center for the
American Politics and Public Policy, UCLA. Presented at the Political Science
Departments at Rochester University and the University of Chicago.
Research Grants
1991-1993 NSF. “An Experimental Study of the Effects of Advertising in the 1992
California Senate Electoral.” Amount: $100,000
1994-1995 MIT Provost Fund. “Money in Elections: A Study of the Effects of Money on
Electoral Competition.” Amount: $40,000
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Professional Boards
Editor, Cambridge University Press Book Series, Political Economy of Institutions and
Decisions, 2006-2016
Member, Board of the Reuters International School of Journalism, Oxford University, 2007 to
present.
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Co-Organizer, MIT Seminar for Senior Congressional and Executive Staff, 1996-2007.
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Exhibit 2
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December 4, 2020
__________________________
Jonathan Rodden, PhD
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2020. I have been asked by Counsel to assess the validity of their claims.
Unfortunately, these reports do not meet basic standards for scientific inquiry. For
the most part, they are not based on discernable logical arguments, and they are
completely divorced from any existing social science literature. Without any
identify common and easily explained patterns in the 2020 election results, and
without explanation, assert that they are somehow “anomalous.” Each of these
reports lacks even a basic level of clarity or transparency about research methods
these reports is based on puzzling but serious mistakes and misunderstandings about
II. QUALIFICATIONS
and the founder and director of the Stanford Spatial Social Science Lab (“the
Lab”)—a center for research and teaching with a focus on the analysis of geo-spatial
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data in the social sciences. In my affiliation with the Lab, I am engaged in a variety
ballots and election results at the level of polling places, individual records of
registered voters, census data, and survey responses. I am also a senior fellow at the
Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and the Hoover Institution. Prior to
and my B.A. from the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, both in political science.
partisan groups, and the drawing of electoral districts. I have published papers using
Proceedings, the Journal of Economic Perspectives, the Virginia Law Review, the
American Journal of Political Science, the British Journal of Political Science, the
Annual Review of Political Science, and the Journal of Politics. One of these papers
was recently selected by the American Political Science Association as the winner
of the Michael Wallerstein Award for the best paper on political economy published
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in the last year, and another received an award from the American Political Science
been published in the Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Election Law Journal,
and Political Analysis, and it has been featured in more popular publications like the
Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and Boston Review. I have recently
between political districts, the residential geography of social groups, and their
political representation in the United States and other countries that use winner-take-
all electoral districts. The book was reviewed in The New York Times, The New York
Review of Books, Wall Street Journal, The Economist, and The Atlantic, among
others.
I have expertise in the use of large data sets and geographic information
systems (GIS), and conduct research and teaching in the area of applied statistics
related to elections. My PhD students frequently take academic and private sector
jobs as statisticians and data scientists. I frequently work with geo-coded voter files
and other large administrative data sets, including in recent papers published in the
Annals of Internal Medicine and The New England Journal of Medicine. I have
developed a national data set of geo-coded precinct-level election results that has
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representation.1
I have been accepted and testified as an expert witness in six recent election
law cases: Romo v. Detzner, No. 2012-CA-000412 (Fla. Cir. Ct. 2012); Mo. State
(E.D. Mo. 2014); Lee v. Va. State Bd. of Elections, No. 3:15-CV-00357 (E.D. Va.
(D. Ariz. 2016); Bethune-Hill v. Virginia State Board of Elections, No. 3:14-cv-
00852-REP-AWA-BMK (E.D. Va. 2014); and Jacobson et al. v. Lee, No. 4:18-cv-
00262 (N.D. Fla. 2018). I also worked with a coalition of academics to file Amicus
Briefs in the Supreme Court in Gill v. Whitford, No. 16-1161, and Rucho v. Common
Cause, No. 18-422. Much of the testimony in these cases had to do with geography,
I have collected county-level data on presidential elections for each year from
1974 to 2020 from the Arizona Secretary of State, along with yearly county-level
1
The dataset can be downloaded at http://projects.iq.harvard.edu/eda/home.
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results from Maricopa and Pima counties. I created a national county-level dataset
by the New York Times and Associated Press, along with demographic data from
the 2014-2018 American Community Survey (ACS), as well as the September 2020
described in detail below, data on voting technologies used in each U.S. jurisdiction
analysis suggesting that Joseph Biden received higher vote shares in counties that
use voting machines made by the manufacturer Dominion. The language of the
report indicates that the author posits a causal relationship, whereby certain types of
machines are responsible for boosting the Democratic vote share. The data, research
design, and analysis are not adequately explained. To the extent the research is
explained at all, the design and analyses are flawed in several crucial respects. First,
the author relies on idiosyncratic, non-standard statistical techniques that are not
suited for the analysis the author wishes to accomplish, and more importantly, the
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have created my own dataset of county-level votes from 2008 to 2020, merged with
(ACS),2 September 2020 county-level unemployment rate from the Bureau of Labor
exclusively on the critical role technology plays in election administration” that has
used around the country.”4 I accessed a dataset showing the various voting systems
that were in place for each jurisdiction in 2012, 2016, and 2020.
approach, but provides no details about the analysis or the dataset, and provides no
output. This is not a standard technique used in the analysis of election data, and the
author provides no explanation of why this unusual approach was selected. The
2
Demographic variables from the ACS include: the age distribution, sex distribution, percent
Black, percent Latino, the percent of renters, median household income, percent of the county
with a college degree, and percent under the poverty line.
3
In preparing this this data set and conducting the analysis set forth in this section of the report, I
received assitance from William Marble—a advanced PhD candidate in political science at
Stanford University. Mr. Marble has worked with me in a similar capacity in the past and it is
standard to utilize such assistants in my field of expertise.
4
https://verifiedvoting.org/about/
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author presents a scatterplot that seems to be based on a prediction from some kind
of statistical model, but the author does not explain anything about the model. The
author goes on to mention, in a single sentence, some type of matching analysis. The
author provides no details about how the matching analysis was set up, which
variation, and crucially, whether or not it was possible to achieve adequate balance
For each of these approaches, the author breezily mentions having conducted
some analysis without providing even the slightest details. The normal approach in
empirical model had been chosen and why, which variables were included, how the
model performed, and so on. The author also typically provides output for readers
that readers can form judgments about whether the results are sensible, credible, and
meaningful.
Since the author provides very few hints about research design, analysis, or
data, it is not possible to reconstruct the analysis. Nevertheless, since the relevant
data are available, it is worthwhile to assess the author’s claim that the introduction
of certain types of voting technology, via some unspecified form of fraud, actually
has a causal impact on vote shares. We would like to answer the following question:
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if there are two counties that are otherwise identical in every respect, including their
initial type of voting technology, and one switches from some other voting
technology to Dominion and the other stays the same, does the switching county
exhibit a change in voting behavior relative to the “control” county that stayed the
same? In the ideal world, we would conduct an experiment, much like a drug trial,
randomly assigning some counties but not others to either the “treatment
anticipate that there are no systematic differences between the treatment and control
counties. Above all, we would hope that this randomization would achieve a balance
between the two groups, such that prior Democratic or Republican voting would be
similar in the two groups, as would other correlates of voting behavior, such as
income, race, and education. We would then be able to isolate any possible impact
of voting equipment.
have adopted voting technology in a way that is far from random. Counties that
adopted Dominion systems between 2016 and 2020 are quite different from those
that did not. Counties that switched to Dominion systems between 2016 and 2020
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residents, and have lower median incomes. All of these variables are correlated with
political attitudes. Moreover, they are likely correlated with unobservable variables
Even worse, it is clearly the case that Democratic counties have been more
in Figure 1. The left-hand panel considers all counties in the country, and shows that
counties won by Clinton in 2016 were far more likely than counties won by Trump
counties that were not yet using Dominion technology in 2016, and shows that
counties won by Clinton were significantly more likely than counties won by Trump
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Seven states have adopted Dominion technology across all of their counties,
and 20 states have not adopted Dominion technology in any of their counties. The
former counties are predominately Democratic, and the latter lean Republican. This
can be seen in Figure 2, which plots Hillary Clinton’s 2016 statewide vote share on
the horizontal axis, and the share of counties using Dominion software in 2020 on
the vertical axis. It shows that Dominion software was mostly prominently in use in
By now it should be clear why the author of the report on Dominion software
like those in New England adopted a certain software in the past, and one examined
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a contemporary correlation between voting behavior and the use of that technology,
that correlation could not plausibly be interpreted as evidence that the technology
caused the voting outcomes, even if one attempted to control for potential observable
confounders like race and income. It is simply not plausible that Connecticut is more
no easy solution to this causal inference problem. At a minimum, we can try to draw
inferences from within the states where there is variation across counties in voting
be achieved by estimating a model with “fixed effects” for states. Inclusion of state-
level fixed effects allows us to control for a variety of common factors within states
that cause there to be a correlation in counties’ outcomes within the same state. This
does not “solve” the causal inference problem, but at least it allows for more valid
comparisons. For this reason, inclusion of fixed effects is standard practice in social
5
For example, see Angrist, J., and Pischke, S., Mostly Harmless Econometrics. 2009. Princeton,
NJ: Princeton University Press.
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Democratic vote share, and the main independent variable of interest is a binary
variable indicating whether the state used Dominion technology in 2020. The model
includes a set of demographic control variables, past election results, and state-level
fixed effects. The full results are presented in Appendix Table A1. The coefficient
evidence that election technology has an impact on vote shares. As mentioned, the
author provides no regression output or details about the analysis, but he or she
seems to have estimated some sort of regression model. The author makes no
mention of having included fixed effects. As one can see in Figure 2 above, it is clear
that a naïve empirical model without fixed effects for states would generate the
because Democratic states have been somewhat more likely to purchase Dominion
equipment.
Biden’s vote share in counties that did not use Dominion systems, but border a
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county that did use Dominion. If there is an impact of voting software on election
outcomes via fraud, it should most certainly not be detected in counties that border
the Dominion counties but use some other election technology system. If we see that
those counties have elevated Democratic vote shares mimicking the supposed
be very skeptical about claims that use of the software is associated with increased
Democratic voting. Rather, we would understand that the correlation reported by the
report’s author is driven by some features of the types of regions where Dominion
The result of this analysis is shown in Appendix Table A2. It shows results of
a linear regression of Biden vote share on an indicator variable for whether a county
borders a Dominion county. This regression is estimated among counties that did not
use Dominion systems, and includes a set of demographic control variables. It shows
that Biden received a higher vote share, of about .86 of a percentage point, in
counties that border a Dominion county than in those that do not. It would be
implausible to claim that voting technology in bordering counties has a causal impact
on Biden’s vote share. A more plausible interpretation is that there are some common
features of politics in the regions that have adopted the software, and the type of
research design that appears to have been used in the report is likely to turn up
spurious results.
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effect does exist, and its tendency not to detect an effect when an effect does
not exist. When a research design detects an effect when none exists, we say it
returned a false positive. Designs with a high false positive rate are not very
informative: an effect could be detected by the research design due to the existence
We can make a further evaluation of the propensity of the research design the
author appears to have used in his or her report to return false positives by seeing
whether it detects that future events have an “effect” on past outcomes. Of course,
this is logically impossible — we know that events happening in the future cannot
affect past outcomes. Thus, any effect detected on past outcomes is necessarily a
false positive.
In Appendix Table A3, I replicate the basic research design that I believe lies
behind the claims in the report. It uses linear regression models, without state fixed
economic control variables. Except, instead of predicting 2020 vote share, I predict
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2012 and 2016 vote share. I exclude counties that used Dominion systems at the time
The results indicate that in 2012, in counties that did not use Dominion in
2012 but did use them in 2020, Obama received about 5 to 6 percentage points higher
vote share, compared to counties that did not use Dominion machines in either 2012
or 2020. The next column shows a similar pattern for 2016. Future use of Dominion
predicts higher Clinton vote share in 2016, even in counties that did not use
Dominion in 2016.
These results are false positives: there is no logical way that future use of
Dominion voting machines could have affected past outcomes. Instead, these results
are due to the fact that counties that used Dominion voting systems in 2020 are
politically different than counties that did not, even after controlling for demographic
and economic variables. This test shows that the simple type of research design that
shares that are caused by use of particular voting systems. As such, the statistical
V. RAMSLAND REPORT
This report begins with some unsubstantiated claims about Antrim County,
Michigan and Dallas County, Texas. These claims are difficult to understand, and
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they do not seem to include any type of evidence. Next, Mr. Ramsland contends that
turnout figures in Pima County and Maricopa County, Arizona are a “red flag,”
evidently because Mr. Ramsland believes they are too high. Without explanation or
citations from the academic literature, he contends that any turnout number above
80 percent is suspicious.
Quite simply, high turnout is not a “red flag” indicating fraud. Turnout was
high around the United States in the 2020 election. It was especially high in suburbs
and rural areas. The numbers in Arizona are not atypical. In Figure 3 below, I present
data on turnout in each presidential election over the last decade in Arizona as a
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percent. This was driven, of course, by Maricopa County, which accounts for the
lion’s share of the Arizona electorate. As can be seen in Figure 3, Pima County
typically has higher turnout than Maricopa, or Arizona as a whole. Turnout in Pima
County in 2020 was comparable to that in 2004. In short, there is nothing anomalous
Mr. Ramsland.
of the rural precincts listed by Mr. Ramsland provided strong support to President
Trump, while the suburban precincts were, for the most part, hotly contested but
leaned toward Joseph Biden. A similar group of rural and suburban precincts with
very high turnout can be found in every state around the United States. It is not clear
Mr. Ramsland then goes on to claim that instead of counting votes in the
traditional way, code was activated to use ranked choice voting to tally votes in
Arizona’s 2020 presidential election. From this discussion, it seems likely that Mr.
Ramsland is not familiar with ranked choice voting. It involves a different type of
ballot, in which voters rank their preferences among candidates. This type of ballot
was not used in Arizona. Even if all of the ballots in Arizona were somehow counted
or processed using ranked choice voting, but using ballots that only allowed voters
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to select one candidate, the result would be the same. Ranked choice voting is a
system where in the first round of counting, if one candidate has a majority, the
process is over, and no votes are redistributed. If there were multiple candidates and
voters’ choices were ranked, there would then be a second round, where the lowest-
ranked candidate would be dropped, and those voters who ranked that candidate first
would then have their second-choice votes tallied. But clearly, nothing of the sort
number of votes, as did candidates from other parties and write-in candidates.
Finally, Mr. Ramsland concludes with some ideas about votes being
“injected” at various times during the counting process. It appears that while
watching election returns as they were released by a polling firm called Edison
Research, Mr. Ramsland became concerned that votes were reported in bunches
throughout the evening. It is not clear how the timing of data releases by Edison
Like Mr. Ramsland, Mr. Keshel also takes issue with Arizona’s election
and results regarding voting patterns in Arizona” (paragraph 4). He does not explain
what “statistical norms” he considers, and cites no literature about how one might
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go about identifying such a thing. Mr. Keshel’s concern, evidently, is that Mr.
Biden’s gains were too high. To the extent that he identifies a method of analysis,
he appears to claim that if a party has won frequently in a geographic place in the
past, as the Republican Party has in Maricopa County, it is suspicious if that party
outcomes in U.S. election, including the increase in support for the Republican Party
in the industrial Midwest in 2016, or the rather striking increase in votes for President
Trump in several Hispanic counties in Florida and Texas in 2020. Especially in the
particular geographic area are quite normal, and are not viewed by election analysts
as evidence of fraud.
Another claim made by Mr. Keshel is that a party should show “proper
does not explain his method for empirically measuring this “proper progression,”
but in Arizona, party registration numbers are not remotely useful for this purpose.
Figure 4 helps explain why. It plots Democrats as a share of total registrants (in
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registrants, as increasing numbers of voters decline to register with one of the two
major parties. But the two major parties continue to virtually monopolize votes for
president and other offices. In other words, neither party is “in keeping with historic
party registration trends.” Much of the battle in Maricopa County is over the large
simply plots Democratic and Republican votes over time in Maricopa County.
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The rapid growth in votes cast for both parties is a function of Maricopa County’s
rapid growth, fueled by in-migration from other states. Cross-state migrants to places
like Maricopa County are typically college-educated young people—a group that
has in recent years become a core constituency of the Democratic Party. As a result,
the most rapidly growing counties in the United States are also quickly becoming
more Democratic.6 As Maricopa County has become more educated and diverse, the
growth in the blue line has caught up with the growth of the red line in Figure 5.
Much of the gap had already been closed by 2016, and it is not surprising that,
through the continuation of the trend of in-migration and strong turnout, the blue
6
Jonathan Rodden, 2019, Why Cities Lose: The Deep Roots of the Urban-Rural Divide. New
York: Basic Books.
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Finally, Mr. Keshel believes that Maricopa County is an outlier in the extent
population and increased Democratic voting. This is not the case. Let us examine
changing the political complexion of the state: Texas, Georgia, and North Carolina.
In Figure 6, I plot the change in Trump vote margin from 2016 to 2020 on the
improved, and a negative number indicates that it declined. On the horizontal axis is
average yearly net in-migration, calculated by the census department, from the years
2010 to 2019. The observations are counties. I include identical graphs for Arizona,
Texas, Georgia, and North Carolina—all states that have thriving, growing metro
areas with strong labor markets and affordable suburbs that are attracting migrants
from around the United States. Note that the only thing different about the graphs
for each state is the horizontal axis. It goes all the way beyond 40,000 for Arizona.
For Texas, the scale stops at 20,0000, and the other states at even lower values. If I
did not allow the horizontal axis to vary for Arizona, it would be literally off the
charts. This graph clarifies that the population growth of Maricopa County, driven
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As we can see on the graph, in every one of these states, rapidly growing
counties like Maricopa moved toward the Democratic presidential candidate from
2016 to 2020. Every single county that experienced substantial growth can be found
in the lower right-hand corner of the graph for its state, where Biden out-performed
Maricopa is something of an outlier in that it did not swing further toward the
Texas and Georgia moved further in a Democratic direction than did Maricopa.
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It is also useful to note that Trump experienced large increases in vote share
in many of the counties where population growth is either stagnant or where out-
migration is occurring (on the left side of the graph). In some cases, these vote shifts
are substantial. In fact, in order to make the data fit on the graphs, some of the
gains had to be left off. If one adopts Mr. Keshel’s faulty logic—whereby large vote
gains are indicative of fraud—one would need to look at some of these declining
rural counties, where in several states, the shift in voting was more dramatic than in
the growing suburban counties. But to be clear, this argument is flawed: voting can
and does shift among social groups in response to policies and behavior or
VII. CONCLUSION
they address. They are completely disconnected from the wealth of knowledge about
elections and statistics that has been accumulated in the scholarly literature. They
feature vague and illogical stories about “anomalies” that, upon basic confrontation
with context, logic, and data, turn out not to be anomalies at all, but mere descriptions
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of patterns of historical and contemporary election results that are already well
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Appendix
Table A1: Fixed Effects Model, County-Level Democratic Vote Share in 2020
Dem vote
share, 2020
Dominion 2020 0.031
(0.25)
Hart 2020 -0.014
(0.08)
female -0.003
(0.18)
Black 0.022
(2.57)*
Latino -0.078
(9.43)**
College 0.086
(7.31)**
Age 25-34 0.014
(0.52)
Age 35-44 0.074
(2.56)*
Age 45-54 -0.028
(0.85)
Age 55-64 0.123
(4.16)**
Age 65 and over -0.030
(1.63)
Median income -0.016
(1.79)
Poverty rate -0.003
(0.16)
Unemployment rate -0.140
(3.73)**
Renter share -0.011
(0.88)
Share urban 0.019
(7.81)**
Log population density 0.240
(3.54)**
Dem. vote share 2016 1.047
(51.38)**
Dem. vote share 2012 -0.093
(3.76)**
Dem. vote share 2008 -0.026
(1.43)
Constant 0.465
(0.26)
R2 0.99
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N 3,110
* p<0.05; ** p<0.01
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Dem vote
share, 2020
Dominion 2020 0.855*
(1.96)
Hart 2020 -3.860
(6.97)**
female 0.067
(0.60)
Black 0.389
(16.44)**
Latino 0.148
(5.00)**
College 0.746
(13.81)**
Age 25-34 -0.238
(1.53)
Age 35-44 -0.504
(3.03)**
Age 45-54 0.060
(0.33)
Age 55-64 0.738
(3.70)**
Age 65 and over -0.231
(2.43)*
Median income 0.156
(3.05)**
Poverty rate 0.564
(5.58)**
Unemployment rate 0.901
(6.10)**
Renter share 0.274
(4.56)**
Share urban 0.014
(1.04)
Log population density 1.812
(7.04)**
Constant -25.082
(2.43)*
2
R 0.68
N 1,846
* p<0.05; ** p<0.01
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Jonathan Rodden
Stanford University
Department of Political Science Phone: (650) 723-5219
Encina Hall Central Fax: (650) 723-1808
616 Serra Street Email: [email protected]
Stanford, CA 94305
Personal
Born on August 18. 1971, St. Louis, MO.
United States Citizen.
Education
Ph.D. Political Science, Yale University, 2000.
Fulbright Scholar, University of Leipzig, Germany, 1993–1994.
B.A., Political Science, University of Michigan, 1993.
Academic Positions
Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, 2012–present.
Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, 2012–present.
Senior Fellow, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, 2020–present.
Director, Spatial Social Science Lab, Stanford University, 2012–present.
W. Glenn Campbell and Rita Ricardo-Campbell National Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford Univer-
sity, 2010–2012.
Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, 2007–2012.
Fellow, Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Palo Alto, CA, 2006–2007.
Ford Career Development Associate Professor of Political Science, MIT, 2003–2006.
Visiting Scholar, Center for Basic Research in the Social Sciences, Harvard University, 2004.
Assistant Professor of Political Science, MIT, 1999–2003.
Instructor, Department of Political Science and School of Management, Yale University, 1997–1999.
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Publications
Books
Why Cities Lose: The Deep Roots of the Urban-Rural Divide. Basic Books, 2019.
Decentralized Governance and Accountability: Academic Research and the Future of Donor Programming. Co-
edited with Erik Wibbels, Cambridge University Press, 2019.
Hamilton‘s Paradox: The Promise and Peril of Fiscal Federalism, Cambridge University Press, 2006. Winner,
Gregory Luebbert Award for Best Book in Comparative Politics, 2007.
Fiscal Decentralization and the Challenge of Hard Budget Constraints, MIT Press, 2003. Co-edited with
Gunnar Eskeland and Jennie Litvack.
Why has U.S. Policy Uncertainty Risen Since 1960?, 2014, American Economic Review: Papers and Pro-
ceedings May 2014 (with Nicholas Bloom, Brandice Canes-Wrone, Scott Baker, and Steven Davis).
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Unintentional Gerrymandering: Political Geography and Electoral Bias in Legislatures, 2013, Quarterly
Journal of Political Science 8: 239-269 (with Jowei Chen).
How Should We Measure District-Level Public Opinion on Individual Issues?, 2012, Journal of Politics
74, 1: 203-219 (with Chris Warshaw).
Representation and Redistribution in Federations, 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
108, 21:8601-8604 (with Tiberiu Dragu).
Dual Accountability and the Nationalization of Party Competition: Evidence from Four Federatons,
2011, Party Politics 17, 5: 629-653 (with Erik Wibbels).
The Geographic Distribution of Political Preferences, 2010, Annual Review of Political Science 13: 297–340.
Fiscal Decentralization and the Business Cycle: An Empirical Study of Seven Federations, 2009, Eco-
nomics and Politics 22,1: 37–67 (with Erik Wibbels).
Getting into the Game: Legislative Bargaining, Distributive Politics, and EU Enlargement, 2009, Public
Finance and Management 9, 4 (with Deniz Aksoy).
The Strength of Issues: Using Multiple Measures to Gauge Preference Stability, Ideological Constraint,
and Issue Voting, 2008. American Political Science Review 102, 2: 215–232 (with Stephen Ansolabehere
and James Snyder).
Does Religion Distract the Poor? Income and Issue Voting Around the World, 2008, Comparative Political
Studies 41, 4: 437–476 (with Ana Lorena De La O).
Purple America, 2006, Journal of Economic Perspectives 20,2 (Spring): 97–118 (with Stephen Ansolabehere
and James Snyder).
Economic Geography and Economic Voting: Evidence from the U.S. States, 2006, British Journal of
Political Science 36, 3: 527–47 (with Michael Ebeid).
Distributive Politics in a Federation: Electoral Strategies, Legislative Bargaining, and Government
Coalitions, 2004, Dados 47, 3 (with Marta Arretche, in Portuguese).
Comparative Federalism and Decentralization: On Meaning and Measurement, 2004, Comparative Poli-
tics 36, 4: 481-500. (Portuguese version, 2005, in Revista de Sociologia e Politica 25).
Reviving Leviathan: Fiscal Federalism and the Growth of Government, 2003, International Organization
57 (Fall), 695–729.
Beyond the Fiction of Federalism: Macroeconomic Management in Multi-tiered Systems, 2003, World
Politics 54, 4 (July): 494–531 (with Erik Wibbels).
The Dilemma of Fiscal Federalism: Grants and Fiscal Performance around the World, 2002, American
Journal of Political Science 46(3): 670–687.
Strength in Numbers: Representation and Redistribution in the European Union, 2002, European Union
Politics 3, 2: 151–175.
Does Federalism Preserve Markets? Virginia Law Review 83, 7 (with Susan Rose-Ackerman). Spanish
version, 1999, in Quorum 68.
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Working Papers
Federalism and Inter-regional Redistribution, Working Paper 2009/3, Institut d’Economia de Barcelona.
Representation and Regional Redistribution in Federations, Working Paper 2010/16, Institut d’Economia
de Barcelona (with Tiberiu Dragu).
Chapters in Books
Political Geography and Representation: A Case Study of Districting in Pennsylvania (with Thomas
Weighill), forthcoming 2021.
Decentralized Rule and Revenue, 2019, in Jonathan Rodden and Erik Wibbels, eds., Decentralized Gov-
ernance and Accountability, Cambridge University Press.
Geography and Gridlock in the United States, 2014, in Nathaniel Persily, ed. Solutions to Political
Polarization in America, Cambridge University Press.
Can Market Discipline Survive in the U.S. Federation?, 2013, in Daniel Nadler and Paul Peterson, eds,
The Global Debt Crisis: Haunting U.S. and European Federalism, Brookings Press.
Market Discipline and U.S. Federalism, 2012, in Peter Conti-Brown and David A. Skeel, Jr., eds, When
States Go Broke: The Origins, Context, and Solutions for the American States in Fiscal Crisis, Cambridge
University Press.
Federalism and Inter-Regional Redistribution, 2010, in Nuria Bosch, Marta Espasa, and Albert Sole
Olle, eds., The Political Economy of Inter-Regional Fiscal Flows, Edward Elgar.
Back to the Future: Endogenous Institutions and Comparative Politics, 2009, in Mark Lichbach and
Alan Zuckerman, eds., Comparative Politics: Rationality, Culture, and Structure (Second Edition), Cam-
bridge University Press.
The Political Economy of Federalism, 2006, in Barry Weingast and Donald Wittman, eds., Oxford Hand-
book of Political Economy, Oxford University Press.
Fiscal Discipline in Federations: Germany and the EMU, 2006, in Peter Wierts, Servaas Deroose, Elena
Flores and Alessandro Turrini, eds., Fiscal Policy Surveillance in Europe, Palgrave MacMillan.
The Political Economy of Pro-cyclical Decentralised Finance (with Erik Wibbels), 2006, in Peter Wierts,
Servaas Deroose, Elena Flores and Alessandro Turrini, eds., Fiscal Policy Surveillance in Europe, Palgrave
MacMillan.
Globalization and Fiscal Decentralization, (with Geoffrey Garrett), 2003, in Miles Kahler and David
Lake, eds., Governance in a Global Economy: Political Authority in Transition, Princeton University Press:
87-109. (Updated version, 2007, in David Cameron, Gustav Ranis, and Annalisa Zinn, eds., Globalization
and Self-Determination: Is the Nation-State under Siege? Routledge.)
Introduction and Overview (Chapter 1), 2003, in Rodden et al., Fiscal Decentralization and the Challenge
of Hard Budget Constraints (see above).
Soft Budget Constraints and German Federalism (Chapter 5), 2003, in Rodden, et al, Fiscal Decentral-
ization and the Challenge of Hard Budget Constraints (see above).
Federalism and Bailouts in Brazil (Chapter 7), 2003, in Rodden, et al., Fiscal Decentralization and the
Challenge of Hard Budget Constraints (see above).
Lessons and Conclusions (Chapter 13), 2003, in Rodden, et al., Fiscal Decentralization and the Challenge
of Hard Budget Constraints (see above).
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Other Publications
How America’s Urban-Rural Divide has Shaped the Pandemic, 2020, Foreign Affairs, April 20, 2020.
An Evolutionary Path for the European Monetary Fund? A Comparative Perspective, 2017, Briefing
paper for the Economic and Financial Affairs Committee of the European Parliament.
Representation and Regional Redistribution in Federations: A Research Report, 2009, in World Report
on Fiscal Federalism, Institut d’Economia de Barcelona.
On the Migration of Fiscal Sovereignty, 2004, PS: Political Science and Politics July, 2004: 427–431.
Decentralization and the Challenge of Hard Budget Constraints, PREM Note 41, Poverty Reduction and
Economic Management Unit, World Bank, Washington, D.C. (July).
Decentralization and Hard Budget Constraints, APSA-CP (Newsletter of the Organized Section in
Comparative Politics, American Political Science Association) 11:1 (with Jennie Litvack).
Book Review of The Government of Money by Peter Johnson, Comparative Political Studies 32,7: 897-900.
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Courses
Undergraduate
Politics, Economics, and Democracy
Introduction to Comparative Politics
Introduction to Political Science
Political Science Scope and Methods
Institutional Economics
Spatial Approaches to Social Science
Graduate
Political Economy of Institutions
Federalism and Fiscal Decentralization
Politics and Geography
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Consulting
2017. Economic and Financial Affairs Committee of the European Parliament.
2016. Briefing paper for the World Bank on fiscal federalism in Brazil.
2013-2018: Principal Investigator, SMS for Better Governance (a collaborative project involving USAID,
Social Impact, and UNICEF in Arua, Uganda).
2019: Written expert testimony in McLemore, Holmes, Robinson, and Woullard v. Hosemann, United States
District Court, Mississippi.
2019: Expert witness in Nancy Corola Jacobson v. Detzner, United States District Court, Florida.
2018: Written expert testimony in League of Women Voters of Florida v. Detzner No. 4:18-cv-002510,
United States District Court, Florida.
2018: Written expert testimony in College Democrats of the University of Michigan, et al. v. Johnson, et al.,
United States District Court for the Eastern District of Michigan.
2017: Expert witness in Bethune-Hill v. Virginia Board of Elections, No. 3:14-CV-00852, United States
District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia.
2017: Expert witness in Arizona Democratic Party, et al. v. Reagan, et al., No. 2:16-CV-01065, United
States District Court for Arizona.
2016: Expert witness in Lee v. Virginia Board of Elections, 3:15-cv-357, United States District Court for
the Eastern District of Virginia, Richmond Division.
2016: Expert witness in Missouri NAACP v. Ferguson-Florissant School District, United States District
Court for the Eastern District of Missouri, Eastern Division.
2014-2015: Written expert testimony in League of Women Voters of Florida et al. v. Detzner, et al., 2012-CA-
002842 in Florida Circuit Court, Leon County (Florida Senate redistricting case).
2013-2014: Expert witness in Romo v Detzner, 2012-CA-000412 in Florida Curcuit Court, Leon County
(Florida Congressional redistricting case).
2011-2014: Consultation with investment groups and hedge funds on European debt crisis.
2011-2014: Lead Outcome Expert, Democracy and Governance, USAID and Social Impact.
2010: USAID, Review of USAID analysis of decentralization in Africa.
2006–2009: World Bank, Independent Evaluations Group. Undertook evaluations of World Bank de-
centralization and safety net programs.
2008–2011: International Monetary Fund Institute. Designed and taught course on fiscal federalism.
1998–2003: World Bank, Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Unit. Consultant for World De-
velopment Report, lecturer for training courses, participant in working group for assembly of decentral-
ization data, director of multi-country study of fiscal discipline in decentralized countries, collaborator
on review of subnational adjustment lending.
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Exhibit 3
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A Overview
2 The 2020 General Election took place on November 3, 2020. In the race in Arizona for the
office of President of the United States, the Arizona Secretary of State has certified that Democratic
candidate Joe Biden received 1,672,143 votes and Republican candidate Donald Trump, 1,661,686
votes. This constitutes a margin of 10,457 votes.1
3 As of the writing of this expert report, Matthew Bromberg, the author of the Bromberg
Declaration, has to the best of my knowledge disclosed neither the data not the computer code he
used in the process of producing his declaration. I accordingly reserve the right to supplement this
report in light of any disclosures that he puts forward in the future.
B Summary of conclusions
1
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II. There is no basis for the key theory in the Bromberg Declaration that voting precincts
in Maricopa County with relatively few voters were more susceptible to voter fraud than
precincts with greater numbers of voters. This theory does not appear in the literature on
voter fraud and there is no evidence presented in the Bromberg Declaration in support of
it. Lacking this theory, the Bromberg Declaration cannot say anything about voter fraud in
Maricopa County in the 2020 election.
III. The Bromberg Declaration misunderstands how in-person voters in Maricopa County cast
their ballots in the 2020 election. In this election, the county used voting centers on Election
Day. Each eligible voter in Maricopa County could use any of the county’s 175 centers
to cast an in-person ballot. Maricopa County’s in-person voters in this election, that is,
were not restricted to voting in the polling places associated with their precincts, of which
there were 744. The total number of presidential votes cast by the voters who belong to
any given precinct in Maricopa County thus has no implication for how many ballots were
physically cast in it on November 3, 2020. Therefore, the theory putatively offered in the
Bromberg Declaration about the susceptibility to voter fraud of Maricopa County precincts
with relatively few voters is of absolutely no relevance to the 2020 presidential race in the
county and in fact to any races contested in the 2020 election.
IV. When voters in Maricopa County are aggregated at the precinct level (which ignores the
matter of where these individuals cast their ballots in the 2020 election), the results of the
presidential race bear strong similarity to the results of the race for a seat in the United States
Senate. The precincts in which Joe Biden did well are also precincts in which Mark Kelly,
Democratic candidate for Senate, did well, and vice versa. This implies that the pattern in
Maricopa County precincts that was noted in the Bromberg Declaration—whereby precincts
with smaller numbers of voters tended to have more Biden votes than Trump votes—reflects
established political preferences in Maricopa County, not illegal vote switching.
V. Voter fraud is rare in the United States. Nonetheless, the Bromberg Declaration presents
2
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a model that purports to discover significant voter in Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Milwau-
kee, Wisconsin. The model assumes that when a ballot is counted is uncorrelated with the
presidential vote on it. This is known not to be the case. Thus, the claims in the Bromberg
Declaration about voter fraud beyond Arizona do not follow from the arguments made in it.
6 Next, I evaluate the analysis of Maricopa County presented in the Bromberg Declaration.
7 Finally, I briefly discuss claims about voter fraud made in the Bromberg Declaration that
extend beyond Arizona.
D Qualifications
8 I am the William Clinton Story Remsen 1943 Professor of Government at Dartmouth Col-
lege in Hanover, New Hampshire and from 2015 to 2020 was Chair of the Program in Quantitative
Social Science. I have taught at Dartmouth since 2003 and previously was on the faculty of North-
western University. I have served as a visiting professor at Harvard University (July 2008–January
2009), the University of Rochester (September 2006–December 2006), and the Hertie School of
Governance in Berlin (August 2011–August 2012). I have also served as a visiting scholar at the
Hertie School of Governance (August 2016–July 2017).
9 In January 1998, I received a doctorate in the field of Political Economy from the Grad-
uate School of Business at Stanford University. I also have a master’s degree in statistics from
3
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Stanford University (June 1995), a master’s degree in political science from the University of Day-
ton (August 1992), and a bachelor’s degree in mathematics and economics from Carnegie-Mellon
University (May 1989).
10 I have published many scholarly articles on election administration and American elections,
three such articles in 2019 and two in 2018. Among other subjects, I have written on the effects of
ballot formats, patterns in invalid votes, the availability of early voting, and polling place conges-
tion. My articles rely on statistical analyses, and my ongoing research agenda focuses heavily on
issues in election administration.
12 I have published two articles on voter fraud in American elections. Cottrell, Herron and
Westwood (2018) is a statistical study of the allegations made by Donald Trump about voter fraud
in the period surrounding the 2016 General Election. It concludes that there is no evidence in
support of these allegations. Herron (2019) is an analysis of allegations made after a 2018 election
in North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District. It concludes that patterns in absentee votes cast in
this district were consistent with allegations of absentee ballot fraud.
13 I was a testifying expert for defendants in Law et al. v. Whitmer et al. (Case No.: 20 OC
00163 1B) and in Jennings v. Elections Canvassing Commission of the state of Florida (2006 WL
4404531 (Fla.Cir.Ct.)) and a testifying expert for plaintiffs in Alliance for Retired American et al.
v. Matthew Dunlap et al. (DKT NO. CV-20-95), Michigan Alliance for Retired Americans et al.
v. Jocelyn Benson et al. (Civil Action No. 2020-000108-MM), League of Women Voters of New
Hampshire et al. v. William M. Gardner et al. (226-2017-CV-433), and Veasey et al. v. Abbott et al.
4
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(265 F. Supp. 3d 684 (S.D. Tex. 2017)). In addition, I have written expert reports in approximately
12 other cases relating to aspects of election law and election administration.
14 My written and oral testimony was credited by courts in their written opinions in Law et
al. v. Whitmer et al., Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Stephen Bullock et al. (Case No.:
6:20-cv-00066-DLC), League of Women Voters of New Hampshire et al. v. William M. Gardner et
al., and in Veasey et al. v. Abbott et al.. My opinions and testimony have never been found by a
court to be unreliable.
18 To provide context for the breadth of the Bromberg Declaration’s claims about fraud, I offer
a definition of voter fraud and then review the extensive academic literature on this subject, which
2
The Board’s decision, which invalidated the 2018 election in the 9th Congressional District, can be found at
https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/State_Board_Meeting_Docs/Congressional_
District_9_Portal/Order_03132019.pdf (last accessed November 13, 2020).
5
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19 The study of voter fraud in the United States is part of the field of election administration.
20 For the purposes of this report, I define an instance of voter fraud as an intentional act of
deception aimed at subverting electoral processes.3 Instances of voter fraud can include, but are
not necessarily limited to, the following behaviors:
Absentee or mail ballot fraud: improperly acquiring and then submitting an absentee or mail
ballot or ballots.
Double voting: voting more than once in an election in which this is not permitted.
Election official fraud: improper actions taken by election officials, actions intended to change
validly cast votes, or actions taken to affect voter registration records.
Non-citizen voting: participating in a federal election when one is not a citizen of the United
States.
Voter impersonation: voting in-person (as opposed to via mail) on an election day in someone
else’s name, either in the name of a properly registered voter or using the registration records
of a fictional individual.
3
The North Carolina State Board of Elections (NCSBE) is responsible for managing elections in North Carolina.
Since 2015, it has published a breakdown of voting irregularities that raise questions about election integrity.
Referring to instances of potential voter fraud in the 2016 General Election, the NCSBE wrote that, “[Voter] [f]raud,
in most cases, is an intent crime that requires prosecutors to show that the voter knowingly committed a crime.”
See p. 7 of “Post-Election Audit Report,” North Carolina State Board of Elections, April 21, 2017, available
at https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/sboe/Post-Election%20Audit%20Report_
2016%20General%20Election/Post-Election_Audit_Report.pdf (last accessed November 15,
2020).
6
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21 The above types of voter fraud can in principle be combined. A non-citizen of the United
States could during the course of participating in a federal election impersonate a properly regis-
tered voter. Or, an individual could vote twice in an election, once using the individual’s own (and
proper) registration and the second time using a fictional registration.
22 Moreover, each entry in the above list of behaviors should be understood as encompassing
a broad range of behaviors. An individual could, hypothetically, execute a double voting fraud by
voting twice in one state. Or, such an individual could, hypothetically, vote in more than one state.
24 I list the above types of behaviors because they describe the sorts of actions that, based on
my experience with academic literature on the subject, could in principle be characterized as voter
fraud. What a court in any state determines is illegal depends, however, on that state’s particular
laws.
26 Elections are regulated affairs subject to state laws and potentially local laws as well. A
voter can behave in a way that is illegal in his or her state but not intentionally deceptive and thus
not fraudulent.
4
Fraudulent actions of voters or intended voters are similar to what the United States Election Assistance Com-
mission (EAC) might call “acts of deception.” The EAC, a federal body established in the aftermath of the con-
tested 2000 presidential election, published a report, “Election Crimes: An Initial Review and Recommendations
for Future Study,” in December 2006, that categorizes in detail a variety of election-related crimes. The report is
available at https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/6/Initial_Review_
and_Recommendations_for_Further_Study.pdf (last accessed November 22, 2020).
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27 The examples of voter fraud I have offered above are hypothetical. Later in this report
I describe research that seeks to estimate the rates at which various forms of voter fraud have
occurred in recent American elections.
29 The literature on the prevalence of voter fraud in American elections incorporates a variety
of research methodologies. This exemplifies triangulation, wherein multiple research approaches
are brought to bear on a single problem. If voter fraud in the United States is widespread, one
would expect at least one of the methodologies in the literature to have detected evidence of it.
30 One methodology used in the study of voter fraud systematically tracks cases of alleged
voter fraud in media reports and in official government documents. Examples of this methodology
are Minnite and Callahan (2003), Minnite (2007), Levitt (2007), Minnite (2010), and Levitt (2014).
31 These studies conclude that rates of voter fraud in American elections are very low.
32 An illustrative example from Levitt (2014) is as follows. Between the years 2000 and 2014,
during which Levitt estimates that over one billion ballots were cast across general and primary
elections in the United States, there were approximately 31 documented “incidents” involving
voter fraud.5 The ratio of 31 to one billion is minuscule.
5
Levitt defines “incident” very broadly, and thus conservatively. A voter fraud incident is not necessarily a con-
viction for voter fraud. Levitt writes: “Some of these 31 incidents have been thoroughly investigated (including some
8
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33 Minnite (2010) is likewise instructive in its coverage of voter fraud cases at the federal
level (Chapter 3) and its analyses (Chapter 4) of fraud in four states (California, Minnesota, New
Hampshire, and Oregon), among other things. As noted above, Oregon’s elections are effectively
all-mail operations.
34 Using data from the United States Department of Justice (DOJ), Minnite finds very little
evidence of voter fraud. A September 2014 report published by the United States Government
Accountability Office similarly concluded that, “[T]here were no apparent cases of in-person voter
impersonation charged by DOJ’s Criminal Division or by U.S. Attorney’s offices anywhere in the
United States, from 2004 through July 3, 2014” (p. 70).6
35 With respect to California, which is the most populous state in the country, Minnite draws
a variety of conclusions. One is that state officials investigate claims of voter fraud when they
present themselves. While perhaps not surprising, this conclusion implies that findings of a lack of
fraud across California elections are meaningful and do not simply reflect state elections officials’
lack of interest in voter fraud.
9
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37 Minnite studied Oregon as well, which is notable insofar as this state relies heavily on
mail-in ballots. Based on her analysis, Minnite concludes that, “The evidence of voter fraud since
Oregon adopted vote-by-mail, however, is practically non existent.”
38 Another methodology in the study of fraud involves surveying election officials. In the
aftermath of the 2016 General Election, Famighetti, Keith and Pérez (2017) “interviewed a total of
44 administrators representing 42 jurisdictions in 12 states” (p. 1), inquiring about the prevalence
of non-citizen voting. Famighetti, Keith and Pérez write that 40 jurisdictions reported “no known
incidents of noncitizen voting in 2016” (p. 1). Moreover, they state that,
“In the jurisdictions we studied, very few noncitizens voted in the 2016 election.
Across 42 jurisdictions, election officials who oversaw the tabulation of 23.5 million
votes in the 2016 general election referred only an estimated 30 incidents of suspected
noncitizen voting for further investigation or prosecution. In other words, improper
noncitizen votes accounted for 0.0001 percent of the 2016 votes in those jurisdictions”
(p. 1).
39 The “30 incidents” noted above represent an upper bound on the number of times that
noncitizen voter fraud was committed in the jurisdictions studied by Famighetti, Keith and Pérez.
These incidents, according to the researchers, do not represent voter fraud convictions. They rep-
resent only referrals.
40 Famighetti, Keith and Pérez write as well that, “In California, Virginia and New Hampshire
– the states where [United States President Donald] Trump claimed the problem of noncitizen
voting was especially acute – no official we spoke with identified an incident of noncitizen voting
in 2016” (p. 2).
41 The study of voter fraud by Famighetti, Keith and Pérez is notable because it focused
solely on the 2016 General Election. Compared to preceding elections, it is well known that
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the 2016 election and its aftermath were awash in fraud allegations. By focusing on such an
election, Famighetti, Keith and Pérez’s study biases itself toward finding evidence of voter fraud.
Scientifically speaking, this is not what one would call a conservative bias; rather, the bias in
Famighetti, Keith and Pérez’s work pushes the study in the direction of finding evidence of a
phenomenon of interest, here, voter fraud. Despite this bias, the rate of potential voter fraud
described by Famighetti, Keith and Pérez is very small.
42 Huefner et al. (2007) constitutes another example of a study that involved efforts to reach
out to election officials. This wide-ranging study details the electoral environments of five states
(Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin), and the authors write as follows:
“On the whole, voting fraud is exceedingly rare. Although allegations of voting fraud
have been widely publicized in the media, most all of these have evaporated upon
closer investigation” (p. 120).
43 Still another approach in the voter fraud literature uses statistical tools in efforts to deter-
mine if patterns in election returns and voting records are consistent with public claims about the
prevalence of voter fraud (Christensen and Schultz, 2014; Goel et al., 2020). Goel et al. is a study
of double voting, and their analysis relies on an extensive database that contains approximately 104
million vote records. The particular question of interest to Goel et al. is whether the records show
evidence of duplicates, i.e., of people who voted more than once in the 2012 General Election.
This question is complicated because, when one has a database of millions of individuals, there
will with virtual certainty be many cases of people with the same names and birthdates.7
44 Goel et al. conclude that, “[D]ouble voting is not currently carried out in such a systematic
way that it presents a threat to the integrity of American elections” (p. 467). Goel et al. conclude
7
Such a duplicate name problem arose in the 2016 General Election in North Carolina. Four individuals in the state
were accused of having voted illegally, only to be exonerated when it was discovered that they had the same names
as incarcerated felons. This example illustrates how innocuous coincidences can present themselves as voter fraud.
See “Republicans claim 43 voters are ineligible felons. Many of them aren’t,” The News & Observer, November
23, 2016, available at http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/election/
article116789083.html (last accessed November 15, 2020).
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as well that measurement error in official election data could explain “a significant portion, if not
all” of the cases of double voting that they identify.
45 By “measurement error,” Goel et al. are referring to inaccuracies in turnout records. These
inaccuracies can be the result of human recording errors, for example, in which a voting jurisdic-
tion’s record of one individual is mistakenly associated with the record of another.
46 With two academics, I published an article on voter fraud in the 2016 General Elec-
tion. This article—Cottrell, Herron and Westwood (2018)—appears in Electoral Studies, a peer-
reviewed, academic journal that focuses on elections. The article assesses the voter fraud allega-
tions promulgated by Donald Trump and individuals associated with him.
47 My co-authors and I twice described some of our results in The Washington Post.8 The first
time was on December 2, 2016, and the second, on February 28, 2017.
48 In our article, my colleagues and I used statistical techniques to search for evidence of three
types of fraud. In particular, we looked for:
I. Evidence of widespread non-citizen voter fraud across counties in the United States.
II. Evidence that election officials in the United States conspired against Donald Trump.
III. Evidence that the 2016 General Election in New Hampshire was contaminated by resi-
dents of Massachusetts who, allegedly, traveled north on November 8, 2016, in order to cast
illegal votes.
8
Our short articles in The Washington Post are available at https://www.washingtonpost.com/
news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/12/02/we-checked-trumps-allegations-of-voter-fraud-
we-found-no-evidence-at-all and at https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-
cage/wp/2017/02/28/we-cant-find-any-evidence-of-voting-fraud-in-new-hampshire
(last accessed November 15, 2020).
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49 With respect to the first two points above, my co-authors and I uncovered no evidence
of widespread non-citizen voter fraud and no evidence that election officials in the United States
conspired against Trump. Our county-level consideration of three states mentioned post-election
by Donald Trump—California, New Hampshire, and Virginia—also did not turn up evidence of
widespread fraud (these states were also examined by the aforementioned Famighetti, Keith and
Pérez (2017)). With respect to the third point above, my co-authors and I found no evidence of
illegal voting in New Hampshire.
50 My research project on voter fraud was initiated during the summer of 2016, months before
the presidential election. My co-authors and I are cognizant of the fact that establishing a negative
is challenging, and we do not argue that our failure to uncover evidence of fraud surrounding the
2016 General Election conclusively proves that there was not voter fraud in that election. Rather,
what one can infer from my co-authored study on voter fraud is that its attempts to uncover evi-
dence of widespread and systematic fraud were not successful.
51 The literature on voter fraud reviewed here is peer-reviewed, in most cases in publicly
accessible journals and books, and in some cases is available online. It incorporates a variety
of different research designs and data sources. Despite these differences, the contributions to
the literature share a common finding: voter fraud in American elections is rare.9 While election
scholars do not assert that the fraud rate in American elections is literally zero, no credible scholars
working in this literature have concluded that voter fraud poses a threat to election integrity in the
United States.
9
One exception to the scholarly consensus about a lack of widespread voter fraud in the United States is Richman,
Chattha and Earnest (2014), who derive estimates of non-citizen voting rates from the 2008 and 2010 waves of the
Internet-based survey known as the Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES). Some CCES survey respon-
dents indicated that, although they were non-citizens, they had voted in the 2008 General Election or in the 2010
Midterm Election.
Richman, Chattha and Earnest’s (2014) claims about non-citizen voting would be dramatic if valid, and they would
contradict effectively all of the studies on voter fraud discussed in this report. However, Ansolabehere, Luks and
Schaffner (2015) show that it is virtually certain that Richman, Chattha and Earnest’s results on non-citizen voting
reflect survey measurement error, in particular, the incorrect classification of citizen CCES respondents as non-citizen
respondents.
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53 There is no evidence that voter fraud rates associated with mail-in voting are systemati-
cally higher than voter fraud rates associated with other forms of voting and with other aspects of
election administration.
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Maricopa County
55 The allegations in the Bromberg Declaration about Maricopa County appear on pp. 14-15,
in the Declaration’s section titled “Maricopa Precinct Analysis.”
56 In its analysis of Maricopa County, the Bromberg Declaration contains two figures, both
of which plot candidate vote shares (in percentages) against precinct size. These figures constitute
the entirety of the Declaration’s evidence of fraud in Maricopa County. In particular, Figure 18
in the Bromberg Declaration plots the vote percentages of Joe Biden, Donald Trump, and third
party presidential candidates against precinct size, and Figure 19 is similar except it focuses only
on aggregate third party presidential candidates.
57 Based on its Figure 18, the Bromberg Declaration asserts that, “The Biden percentage is
higher in the smaller precincts, primarily at the expense of Trump. . . ” (p. 14). As shown below, I
do not dispute this rough characterization.
58 The Bromberg Declaration goes on to posit that the existence of this relationship “sug-
gest[s] vote switching” (p. 14) and refers to the relationship between precinct size and Biden sup-
port as “an anomaly.” By “vote switching,” the Bromberg Declaration appears to mean a process
in which legal votes for Donald Trump were switched to Joe Biden. The Bromberg Declaration
implicitly claims that this happened in Maricopa County precincts with relatively few voters.
59 The basis in the Bromberg Declaration for the claim that a relationship between precinct
size and Biden support is evidence of vote switching can be found on p. 8: “But one could also
15
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theorize the opportunity for cheaters to cheat in small precincts, where there may be less oversight.”
In other words, the Bromberg Declaration offers the theory that small precincts “may” have less
oversight and that “cheaters” take advantage of this.
60 There is no evidence in Bromberg Declaration that Maricopa County precincts with fewer
voters do in fact have less oversight; no evidence that election official staffing levels per voter are
lower in smaller precincts than they are in larger precincts; no evidence that the physical layout of
small precincts is different than the physical layout of large precincts; and in fact no evidence that
small precincts in Maricopa County differ in any way whatsoever from the county’s large precincts
except for the fact that the former have fewer voters.
61 There is no evidence in the academic literature on voter fraud reviewed earlier in favor of
the Bromberg Declaration’s “theory” that small precincts are susceptible to voter fraud. Moreover,
there are no citations in the Bromberg Declaration to peer-reviewed studies of the relationship
between precinct size and voter fraud.
62 It is well known that the political affiliations of voters are not uniformly distributed across
jurisdictions like counties. Some areas of counties (in particular, urban areas) have more Demo-
cratic voters, and other areas (those less urban), more Republican voters (e.g., Rodden, 2019).
If precinct size measured by numbers of voters is correlated geographically with political pref-
erences, this will induce a spurious relationship between precinct size and candidate vote shares
within precincts. Spurious relationships are not evidence of voter fraud.
63 In its discussion of precinct size and the “theory” that small precincts are relatively prone to
fraud, the Bromberg Declaration cites “An Electoral System in Crisis,” a webpage dating to 2016
that claims to be an analysis of the Wisconsin recount that took place four years ago. The authors
of this webpage argue that a relationship between precinct size and candidate vote totals indicates
the presence of “irregularities” but provide no evidence at all in favor of this assertion outside of an
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offhand comment that such a relationship is a “complete violation of the Law of Large Numbers.”
64 This assertion is nonsensical. The Law of Large Numbers in its standard form is a result in
probability theory which states that independent samples from a common population converge to
true population parameters as the number of observations increases. It is not clear in the Wisconsin
recount webpage what units are being sampled and whether these units are drawn from the same
population. The webpage’s invocation of the Law of Large Numbers does not make any sense.
The webpage does not provide any calculation that support its “complete violation” allegation –
just rhetoric.
65 In short, Bromberg Declaration asserts that a relationship between precinct size and Biden
vote share is indicative of fraud, but there is no reason whatsoever to believe this and no evidence
to support such a “theory.”
66 Regardless of whether there is any evidence behind it, the “theory” in the Bromberg Dec-
laration about precinct size and voter fraud is applicable to the study of Maricopa County in the
2020 election only to the extent that in-person voters in the county actually voted in their precincts.
In fact, they did not do this.
67 In the 2020 election, Maricopa County offered in-person voting at what are known as voting
centers. A voting center is a location at which any eligible voter in the county may cast an in-
person ballot. In particular, there were 175 voting centers in Maricopa County for the purposes of
in-person voting during the 2020 General Election.14
14
I downloaded the set of Maricopa County voting centers from http://web.archive.
org/web/20201104002036/https://recorder.maricopa.gov/pollingplacefiles/
VotingSitesSchedule.xlsx (last accessed December 4, 2020).
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68 The Maricopa County elections department informed the county’s voters that, “There are
no assigned locations” (bold in original) for voting in the 2020 election. See Appendix B, which
displays text from the Maricopa County elections office webpage.
69 Consequently, the author of the Bromberg Declaration has literally no idea where any of
the ballots attributed to the county’s precincts were actually cast. To make matters worse, the
author appears not even to distinguish between in-person votes and ballots mailed in or submitted
via drop boxes (and this distinction is in principle important insofar as the “theory” of voter fraud
in the Bromberg Declaration that connects precinct size and fraud does not make sense when
applied to votes not cast in-person).15 In short, the number of votes associated with any given
precinct in Maricopa County—and this is what is displayed in Figures 18 and 19 in the Bromberg
Declaration—has no implications for how many ballots were actually cast in said precinct and
thus, per the “theory” in the Bromberg Declaration, were ostensibly vulnerable to fraud.
70 I downloaded precinct returns for the 2020 General Election from the Maricopa County
elections department webpage.16 There were 744 unique precinct names used in the 2020 election.
Insofar as there were in this election 175 voting centers in Maricopa County, I know for certain
that there is not a one-to-one match between the precincts and voting centers (not to mention the
fact that the county’s webpage was explicit that voters could cast in-person ballots in any voting
center that they wished).
71 Figure 1 displays the relationship between precinct size (horizontal axis) and support for
Democratic candidates (vertical axis). Each point in the figure denotes a single precinct in Mari-
copa County. The figure’s left panel is for the United States presidential contest, and in this panel
15
Because the author of Bromberg Declaration has not, to the best of my knowledge, disclosed his computer code,
I cannot be entirely what he did to produce his Figures 18 and 19. However, the text of Bromberg Declaration refers
generically to precinct “size,” which I take to mean, the number of votes cast in the precinct.
16
These returns are available at https://recorder.maricopa.gov/media/
ArizonaExportByPrecinct_110320.txt (last accessed December 3, 2020).
18
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Democratic vote share means, Joe Biden’s vote share. In Figure 1’s right panel, Democratic vote
share for the United State Senate race means, Mark Kelly’s vote share.
100
75
Democratic vote share
50
25
72 Both panels of Figure 1 have superimposed linear regression lines to ease interpretation.
These lines are sloped down, indicating that precincts in Maricopa County with greater voter
turnout had lower Biden vote share (left panel) and lower Kelly vote share (right panel).
73 The key implication of Figure 1 is the similarly between its two panels. They are, evidently,
virtually identical. This suggests that the relationship between turnout and Democratic vote share
across Maricopa County precincts reflects established political preference in the county—not vote
switching that affected the 2020 presidential contest.
74 More evidence to this effect is apparent in Figure 2, which plots Joe Biden and Mark Kelly
vote shares against each other. Each point in the figure is again a precinct where the size of each
19
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 37-3 Filed 12/04/20 Page 21 of 40
100
75
Kelly percent
50
25
0 25 50 75 100
Biden percent
75 Figure 2 has a dashed 45-degree line superimposed on it. Points above the line connote
precincts where Mark Kelly’s vote share was greater than Joe Biden’s; points below the line con-
note precincts where Joe Biden’s vote share was greater than Mark Kelly’s; and, points on the line
connote precincts where Joe Biden’s vote share was equal to Mark Kelly’s.
76 The points in Figure 2 show that precincts in Maricopa County where Joe Biden did well
(upper right of the figure) are also precincts where Mark Kelly did well. And, precincts in Mari-
copa County where Joe Biden did less well (lower left) are similarly precincts where Mark Kelly
did not do well. This clear regularity suggests that the relationship noted in the Bromberg Decla-
ration between precinct turnout and Biden vote share is spurious and has nothing to do with voter
fraud. Rather, the distribution of precincts across the county is such that smaller ones (namely,
those with lower turnout in the 2020 election) tended to be consistently Democratic. There is noth-
20
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 37-3 Filed 12/04/20 Page 22 of 40
ing anomalous about this correlation between political preferences and geography and nothing
irregular.
beyond Arizona
77 Most of claims in the Bromberg Declaration do not directly concern Arizona, instead speak-
ing to alleged voter fraud in Georgia (pp. 4-5), Pennsylvania (pp. 5-6) and Milwaukee, Wisconsin
(pp. 6-8).
78 The number of fraudulent votes claimed in Bromberg Declaration is extensive. For exam-
ple, the Declaration claims “that 105,639 fraudulent Biden ballots were added between Wednesday
and Thursday of 11/05/2020 in Milwaukee alone” (p. 8). Total turnout in Milwaukee was 315,483
voters,17 meaning that the Bromberg Declaration asserts that roughly one-third of Milwaukee’s
ballots were contaminated by fraud. There is nothing remotely close to a result like this in the
literature on voter fraud that I have surveyed above.
79 None of what follows bears directly on the Bromberg Declaration’s discussion of Maricopa
County. However, the material below is nonetheless notable insofar as it shows that literally all
of the claims in the Declaration about voter fraud—and not simply those concerning Arizona—do
not follow from the analysis in the Declaration.
80 The Bromberg Declaration offers what its author calls two models of candidate vote share.
One model assumes that there is no voter fraud (see equation (2) in the Declaration) and the second
17
“SUMMARY REPORT,” City of Milwaukee Election Commission, December 6, 2020, https://city.
milwaukee.gov/election/ElectionInformation/ElectionResults (last accessed December 4,
2020).
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that there is a form of voter fraud in which a some votes are switched from one candidate to another
(see equation (3)). Henceforth I refer to a singular model in the Bromberg Declaration, by which I
mean both the no-fraud and fraud-based models mentioned in this paragraph.
81 Two key assumptions render the model in the Bromberg Declaration of no use in the study
of voter fraud.
82 Key to the technical exposition of the model in Bromberg Declaration is a parameter called
pF that denotes what is called the “prior probability of fraud.” Intuitively, this prior probability of
fraud is the probability of fraud in a jurisdiction that one would have assumed before (i.e., prior
to) an election.
83 The Bromberg Declaration assumes that pF = 0.01, meaning that there is a one percent
chance of vote switching in a jurisdiction (p. 3).
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86 Underlying the model in Bromberg Declaration is the implicit assumption that there is
no correlation between the timing of when a set of ballots was counted in November 2020 and
the presidential votes on these ballots. The model, when it encounters temporal changes in a
jurisdiction’s presidential candidate support (i.e., ten hours after polls closed on November 3, Joe
Biden’s support changes from 42 percent to 44 percent) attributes these changes to fraud.
87 Intuitively speaking, this is because the model does not allow for the possibility that ballot
counting is not completed uniformly across a jurisdiction, like a state. For example, the model rules
out (with the exception of fraud) the possibility that ballots counted in the immediate aftermath of
an election are different than those counted 24 hours later.
89 The 2020 election was historic in its heavy use of mail-in ballots. However, Democrats
were more likely to vote via mail than Republicans, and this was known well before November
3.18 Give that some states counted absentee ballots in the days after November 3 (in particular
Pennsylvania), this feature of the 2020 election certainly exaggerated the blue shift compared to
what one would have expected had ballots been case in 2020 like they were in 2016.19
90 Ignoring the issue regarding the technical assumption about the prior fraud parameter noted
above, the results in the Bromberg Declaration about Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Milwaukee, Wis-
18
See “Huge Absentee Vote in Key States Favors Democrats So Far,” The New York Times, October 10, 2020, avail-
able at https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/10/us/politics/early-voting-swing-states.
html (last accessed December 4, 2020).
19
On Pennsylvania, see “Why Pennsylvania is still counting votes after Election Day,” ABCNews, Novem-
ber 3, 2020, available at https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/pennsylvania-counting-votes-
election-day/story?id=73993649 (last accessed December 4, 2020).
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consin are not examples of fraud. They can be easily rationalized by the blue shift.
91 Earlier I noted that the part of Bromberg Declaration that engages states other than Arizona
does not bear directly on the claims made in this litigation. Nonetheless, I have now explained
that all the Declaration’s claims about voter fraud rest on false assumptions, either an assumption
about a “theory” relating precinct size and presidential vote share (no such theory exists) or an
assumption that when a ballot is counted is orthogonal to the presidential vote on it (which is
known not to be the case).
92 None of the claims in Bromberg Declaration about voter fraud—and not simply those con-
cerning Arizona—follow from the arguments made in the Declaration.
H Conclusion
93 This report evaluates the contention in the Bromberg Declaration that there was voter fraud
in Maricopa County, Arizona in the 2020 presidential election.
94 The contention relies on a “theory” that does not exist and a misunderstanding of how in-
person voting proceeded in Maricopa County county this past November. Namely, the Bromberg
Declaration assumes that voters in the county cast in-person ballots in their precincts (of which
there were 744), but in reality they did not, voting in-person in voting centers (of which there
were 175). This misunderstanding of how Maricopa County voters cast ballots is a fatal flaw to
the Declaration’s analysis of the county, which was already flawed based on its reliance on a non-
existent theory. In short, Bromberg Declaration contains no evidence whatsoever that there were
any fraudulent ballots cast in Maricopa County in the 2020 General Election.
24
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95 The Bromberg Declaration also contains no evidence whatsoever that there were any fraud-
ulent ballots cast in Georgia, Pennsylvania, and the Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Its claims of voter
fraud in these locales rest on a faulty assumption that when a ballot is counted has no bearing on
the presidential candidate supported on it. In fact, it is known that ballots counted later in presiden-
tial elections tend to be Democratic, and this fact undermines the Bromberg Declaration’s analysis
of Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
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References
Ansolabehere, Stephen, Samantha Luks and Brian F. Schaffner. 2015. “The perils of cherry
picking low frequency events in large sample surveys.” Electoral Studies 40:409–410.
Christensen, Ray and Thomas J. Schultz. 2014. “Identifying Election Fraud Using Orphan and
Low Propensity Voters.” American Politics Research 42(2):311–337.
Cottrell, David, Michael C. Herron and Sean J. Westwood. 2018. “An Exploration of Donald
Trump’s Allegations of Massive Voter Fraud in the 2016 General Election.” Electoral Studies
51(1):123–142.
Famighetti, Christopher, Douglas Keith and Myrna Pérez. 2017. “NONCITIZEN VOTING: THE
MISSING MILLIONS.” Report published by the Brennan Center for Justice at New York
University School of Law.
Foley, Edward B. 2013. “A big blue shift: Measuring an asymmetrically increasing margin of
litigation.” Journal of Law and Politics 24:501–544.
Foley, Edward B. and Charles Stewart III. 2020. “Explaining the Blue Shift in Election
Canvassing.” Unpublished working paper.
URL: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3547734
Goel, Sharad, Marc Meredith, Michael Morse and David Rothschild. 2020. “One Person, One
Vote: Estimating the Prevalence of Double Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections.” American
Political Science Review 114(2):456–469.
Herron, Michael C. 2019. “Mail-In Absentee Ballot Anomalies in North Carolina’s 9th
Congressional District.” Election Law Journal 18(3):191–213.
Huefner, Steven F., Daniel P. Tokaji, Edward B. Foley and Nathan A. Cemenska. 2007. “From
Registration to Recounts: The Election Ecosystems of Five Midwestern States.” Report
published by Election Law@Moritz, The Ohio State University, Moritz College of Law.
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Levitt, Justin. 2007. “The truth about voter fraud.” Report published by the Brennan Center for
Justice at New York University School of Law.
Minnite, Lori and David Callahan. 2003. “Securing the Vote: An Analysis of Election Fraud.”
Report published by Demos.
Minnite, Lorraine. 2007. “Election Day Registration: A Study of Voter Fraud Allegations and
Findings on Voter Roll Security.” Report published by Demos.
URL: http://www.demos.org/sites/default/files/publications/edr fraud.pdf
Minnite, Lorraine C. 2010. The Myth of Voter Fraud. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University.
Richman, Jesse T., Gulshan A. Chattha and David C. Earnest. 2014. “Do non-citizens vote in
U.S. elections?” Electoral Studies 36:149–157.
Rodden, Jonathan. 2019. Why Cities Lose: The Deep Roots of the Urban-Rural Political Divide.
New York, NY: Basic Books.
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Michael C. Herron
Dartmouth College Phone: +1 (603) 646-2693
Department of Government Mobile: +1 (603) 359-9731
6108 Silsby Hall Email: [email protected]
Hanover, NH 03755-3547 Homepage: http://www.dartmouth.edu/˜herron
Academic appointments
William Clinton Story Remsen 1943 Professor, Department of Government, Dartmouth College. July
2013–present.
Chair, Program in Quantitative Social Science, Dartmouth College. July 2015–June 2020.
Visiting Scholar, Hertie School of Governance, Berlin, Germany. August 2016–July 2017.
Chair, Program in Mathematics and Social Sciences, Dartmouth College. July 2014– June 2015.
Professor, Department of Government, Dartmouth College. July 2009–June 2013.
Visiting Professor of Applied Methods, Hertie School of Governance, Berlin, Germany. August 2011–
August 2012.
Associate Professor, Department of Government, Dartmouth College. July 2004–June 2009.
Visiting Associate Professor, Department of Government, Harvard University. July 2008–January 2009.
Visiting Associate Professor, Wallis Institute of Political Economy, University of Rochester. September
2006–December 2006.
Visiting Assistant Professor, Department of Government, Dartmouth College. July 2003–June 2004.
Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Northwestern University. September 1997–June
2004.
Faculty Associate, Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University. September 2002–June 2004.
Education
PhD Business (Political Economics), Stanford University, January 1998.
Dissertation: Political Uncertainty and the Prices of Financial Assets
Committee: David Baron, Darrell Duffie, Douglas Rivers, and Barry Weingast
MS Statistics, Stanford University, June 1995.
28
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Michael C. Herron 2
Fellowships
Elizabeth R. and Robert A. Jeffe 1972 Fellowship, Dartmouth College. September 2010–June 2011.
Fulbright Scholar Program fellowship for research and teaching at the Heidelberg Center for American
Studies, Heidelberg University, September 2009 - February 2010 (declined).
Post–doctoral Research Fellow, Center for Basic Research in the Social Sciences, Harvard University.
September 2000–August 2001.
Publications
Journal articles
“Postal Delivery Disruptions and the Fragility of Voting by Mail: Lessons from Maine” (with Daniel
A. Smith). Forthcoming, Research & Politics.
“Voting lines, equal treatment, and early voting check-in times in Florida” (with David Cottrell and
Daniel A. Smith). Forthcoming, State Politics & Policy Quarterly, and available at https://journals.
sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1532440020943884.
“Voting by Mail and Ballot Rejection: Lessons from Florida for Elections in the Age of the Coronavirus”
(with Anna Baringer and Daniel A. Smith). Election Law Journal 19(3): 289-320. 2020.
“Early voting changes and voter turnout: North Carolina in the 2016 General Election” (with Hannah
L. Walker and Daniel A. Smith). Political Behavior 41(4): 841-869. 2019.
“Mail-in absentee ballot anomalies in North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District.” Election Law Journal
18(3): 191-213. 2019.
“Relative age effects in American professional football” (with Jack F. Heneghan). Journal of Quantitative
Analysis in Sports 15(3): 185-202. 2019.
“Mortality, Incarceration, and African-American Disenfranchisement in the Contemporary United
States” (with David Cottrell, Javier M. Rodriguez, and Daniel A. Smith). American Politics Research
47(2): 195-237. 2019.
“Pedagogical Value of Polling Place Observation By Students” (with 31 co-authors). PS: Political Science
& Politics 51(4): 831-847. 2018.
“All in the family: German twin finishing times in the 2016 women’s Olympic marathon” (with David
Cottrell). CHANCE 31(3): 20-28. 2018.
“An Exploration of Donald Trump’s Allegations of Massive Voter Fraud in the 2016 General Election”
(with David Cottrell and Sean J. Westwood). Electoral Studies 51(1): 123-142. 2018.
“Student Sorting and Implications for Grade Inflation (with Zachary D. Markovich). Rationality and
Society 29(3): 355-386. 2017.
“Race, Shelby County, and the Voter Information Verification Act in North Carolina” (with Daniel A.
Smith). Florida State University Law Review 43: 465-506. 2016.
“Precinct Resources and Voter Wait Times” (with Daniel A. Smith). Electoral Studies 42(2): 249-263.
2016.
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Michael C. Herron 3
“A Careful Look at Modern Case Selection Methods” (with Kevin M. Quinn). Sociological Methods &
Research 45(3): 458-492. 2016.
“Precinct Closing and Wait Times in Florida during the 2012 General Election” (with Daniel A. Smith).
Election Law Journal 14(3): 220-238. 2015.
“Race, Party, and the Consequences of Restricting Early Voting in Florida in the 2012 General Election”
(with Daniel A. Smith). Political Research Quarterly 67(3): 646-665. 2014.
“The Effects of House Bill 1355 on Voter Registration in Florida” (with Daniel A. Smith). State Politics
& Policy Quarterly 13(3): 279-305. 2013.
“Blacks, Hispanics, and Whites: A Study of Race-based Residual Vote Rates in Chicago.” American
Politics Research 41(2): 203-243. 2013.
“Alvin Greene? Who? How did he win the United States Senate nomination in South Carolina?” (with
Joseph Bafumi, Seth J. Hill, and Jeffrey B. Lewis). Election Law Journal 11(4): 358-379. 2012.
“Souls to the Polls: Early Voting in Florida in the Shadow of House Bill 1355” (with Daniel A. Smith).
Election Law Journal 11(3): 331-347. 2012.
“Leapfrog Representation and Extremism: A Study of American Voters and their Members in
Congress” (with Joseph Bafumi). American Political Science Review 104(3): 519-542. 2010.
“Economic Crisis, Iraq, and Race: A Study of the 2008 Presidential Election” (with Seth J. Hill and
Jeffrey B. Lewis). Election Law Journal 9(1): 41-62. 2010
“Prejudice, Black Threat, and the Racist Voter in the 2008 Presidential Election” (with Joseph Bafumi).
Journal of Political Marketing 8(4): 334-348. 2009.
“Voting Technology and the 2008 New Hampshire Primary” (with Walter R. Mebane, Jr., and Jonathan
N. Wand). William & Mary Bill of Rights Journal 17(2): 351-374. 2008.
“Ballot Formats, Touchscreens, and Undervotes: A Study of the 2006 Midterm Elections in Florida”
(with Laurin Frisina, James Honaker, and Jeffrey B. Lewis). Election Law Journal 7(1): 25-47. 2008.
“Gerrymanders and Theories of Lawmaking: A Study of Legislative Redistricting in Illinois” (with
Alan E. Wiseman). Journal of Politics 70(1): 151-167. 2008.
“Estimating the Effect of Redistricting on Minority Substantive Representation” (with David Epstein,
Sharyn O’Halloran, and David Park). Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 23(2): 499-518. 2007.
“Did Ralph Nader Spoil Al Gore’s Presidential Bid? A Ballot-Level Study of Green and Reform Party
Voters in the 2000 Presidential Election” (with Jeffrey B. Lewis). Quarterly Journal of Political Science
2(3): 205-226. 2007.
“Assessing Partisan Bias in Voting Technology: The Case of the 2004 New Hampshire Recount” (with
Jonathan N. Wand). Electoral Studies 26(2): 247-261. 2007.
“Term Limits and Pork” (with Kenneth W. Shotts). Legislative Studies Quarterly 31(3): 383-404. 2006.
“Black Candidates and Black Voters: Assessing the Impact of Candidate Race on Uncounted Vote
Rates” (with Jasjeet S. Sekhon). Journal of Politics 67(1): 154–177. 2005.
“Government Redistribution in the Shadow of Legislative Elections: A Study of the Illinois Member
Initiatives Grant Program” (with Brett A. Theodos). Legislative Studies Quarterly 24(2): 287–312. 2004.
“Studying Dynamics in Legislator Ideal Points: Scale Matters.” Political Analysis 12(2): 182–190. 2004.
30
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Michael C. Herron 4
“Logical Inconsistency in EI-based Second Stage Regressions” (with Kenneth W. Shotts). American
Journal of Political Science 48(1): 172–183. 2004.
“Overvoting and Representation: An examination of overvoted presidential ballots in Broward and
Miami-Dade Counties” (with Jasjeet S. Sekhon). Electoral Studies 22: 21–47. 2003.
“Using Ecological Inference Point Estimates as Dependent Variables in Second Stage Linear Regres-
sions” (with Kenneth W. Shotts). Political Analysis 11(1): 44–64. 2003.
“Cross-contamination in EI-R” (with Kenneth W. Shotts). Political Analysis 11(1): 77–85. 2003.
“A Consensus on Second Stage Analyses in Ecological Inference Models” (with Christopher Adolph,
Gary King, and Kenneth W. Shotts). Political Analysis 11(1): 86–94. 2003.
“The Butterfly Did It: The Aberrant Vote for Buchanan in Palm Beach County, Florida” (with Jonathan
N. Wand, Kenneth W. Shotts, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr., and Henry E. Brady). American
Political Science Review 95(4): 793–810. 2001.
“Interest Group Ratings and Regression Inconsistency.” Political Analysis 9(3): 260–274. 2001.
“Leadership and Pandering: A Theory of Executive Policymaking” (with Brandice Canes–Wrone and
Kenneth W. Shotts). American Journal of Political Science 45(3): 532–550. 2001.
“Law and Data: The Butterfly Ballot Episode” (with Henry E. Brady, Walter R. Mebane, Jr., Jasjeet S.
Sekhon, Kenneth W. Shotts, and Jonathan N. Wand). PS: Political Science & Politics 34(1): 59–69. 2001.
“Cutpoint–Adjusted Interest Group Ratings.” Political Analysis 8(4): 346–366. 2000.
“Estimating the Economic Impact of Political Party Competition in the 1992 British Election.” American
Journal of Political Science 44(2): 326–337. 2000.
“Artificial Extremism in Interest Group Ratings and the Preferences versus Party Debate.” Legislative
Studies Quarterly 24(4): 525–542. 1999.
“Post–Estimation Uncertainty in Limited Dependent Variable Models.” Political Analysis 8(1): 83–98.
1999.
“Measurement of Political Effects in the United States Economy: A Study of the 1992 Presidential
Election” (with James Lavin, Donald Cram, and Jay Silver). Economics & Politics 11(1): 51–81. 1999.
“The Influence of Family Regulation, Connection, and Psychological Autonomy on Six Measures of
Adolescent Functions” (with Melissa R. Herman, Sanford M. Dornbusch, and Jerald R. Herting). Jour-
nal of Adolescent Research 12(1): 34–67. 1997.
Book chapters
“Wait Times and Voter Confidence: A Study of the 2014 General Election in Miami-Dade County”
(with Daniel A. Smith, Wendy Serra, and Joseph Bafumi). In Races, Reforms, & Policy: Implications of the
2014 Midterm Elections, Christopher J. Galdieri, Tauna S. Sisco, and Jennifer C. Lucas, eds. Akron, OH:
University of Akron Press. 2017.
“A Dynamic Model of Multidimensional Collective Choice” (with David P. Baron). In Computational
Models in Political Economy, Ken Kollman, John H. Miller, and Scott E. Page, eds. Cambridge, MA: The
MIT Press. 2003.
“Law and Data: The Butterfly Ballot Episode” (with Henry E. Brady, Walter R. Mebane Jr., Jasjeet
Singh Sekhon, Kenneth W. Shotts, and Jonathan Wand). In The Longest Night: Polemics and Perspectives
on Election 2000, Arthur J. Jacobson and Michel Rosenfeld, eds. Berkeley: University of California Press.
2002.
31
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Michael C. Herron 5
Book reviews
The Timeline of Presidential Elections: How Campaigns Do (and Do Not) Matter, Robert S. Erikson and
Christopher Wlezien. Political Science Quarterly 128(3): 552-553. 2013.
Voting Technology: The Not-So-Simple Act of Casting a Ballot, Paul S. Herrnson, Richard G. Niemi, Michael
J. Hanmer, Benjamin B. Bederson, and Frederick C. Conrad. Review of Policy Research 25(4): 379-380.
2008.
Other publications
“In two political battlegrounds, thousands of mail-in ballots are on the verge of be-
ing rejected” (with Daniel A. Smith). The Conversation, October 23, 2020. Avail-
able at https://theconversation.com/in-two-political-battlegrounds-thousands-
of-mail-in-ballots-are-on-the-verge-of-being-rejected-148616.
“Rejected mail ballots pile up in Florida” (with Daniel A. Smith). Tampa Bay Times, October 16, 2020.
Available at https://www.tampabay.com/opinion/2020/10/16/rejected-mail-ballots-
pile-up-in-florida-column.
“Minor postal delays could disenfranchise thousands of Florida vote-by-mail voters” (with Daniel A.
Smith). Tampa Bay Times, August 14, 2020. Available at https://www.tampabay.com/opinion/
2020/08/14/minor-postal-delays-could-disenfranchise-thousands-of-florida-
vote-by-mail-voters-column.
“Want to know how many people have the coronavirus? Test randomly” (with Daniel N. Rockmore).
The Conversation, April 13, 2020. Available at https://theconversation.com/want-to-know-
how-many-people-have-the-coronavirus-test-randomly-135784.
“If more states start using Ohio’s system, how many voters will be purged?” (with Daniel A. Smith).
The Washington Post, Monkey Cage, June 17, 2018.
“Do we have a right not to vote? The Supreme Court suggests we don’t” (with Daniel A. Smith). New
York Daily News, June 12, 2018.
“Nearly 4 million black voters are missing. This is why” (with David Cottrell, Javier M. Rodriguez,
and Daniel A. Smith). The Washington Post, Monkey Cage, April 11, 2018.
“We can’t find any evidence of voting fraud in New Hampshire” (with David Cottrell and Sean West-
wood). The Washington Post, Monkey Cage, February 28, 2017.
“We checked Trump’s allegations of voter fraud. We found no evidence at all” (with David Cottrell
and Sean Westwood). The Washington Post, Monkey Cage, December 2, 2016.
“High ballot rejection rates should worry Florida voters” (with Daniel A. Smith). Tampa Bay Times,
October 28, 2012.
“Logistic Regression.” The Encyclopedia of Political Science, George Thomas Kurian, James E. Alt, Simone
Chambers, Geoffrey Garrett, Margaret Levi, and Paula D. McClain, eds., Washington, D.C.: CQ Press.
2010.
“Using XEmacs Macros to Process ASCII Data Files.” The Political Methodologist 13(2): 13–18. 2005.
“Ohio 2004 Election: Turnout, Residual Votes and Votes in Precincts and Wards” (with Walter R.
Mebane, Jr.), in “Democracy At Risk: The 2004 Election in Ohio,” report published by the Democratic
National Committee. 2005.
32
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Michael C. Herron 6
“Poisson Regression.” The Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods, Alan Bryman, Michael Lewis-
Beck, and Tim Futing Liao, eds. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 2003.
“Pork barrel race to the bottom” (with Brett A. Theodos). Illinois Issues 29(2): 22–23. 2003.
“Teaching Introductory Probability Theory.” The Political Methodologist 10(2): 2–4. 2002.
“Ballot cost Gore thousands of votes” (with Henry E. Brady and Jonathan N. Wand). The San Diego
Union–Tribune, p. G3, November 19, 2000.
Work in progress
“Residual votes in the 2020 election in Georgia” (with David Cottrell, Felix E. Herron, and Daniel A.
Smith).
“Vote-by-mail ballot rejection and experience with mail-in voting” (with David Cottrell and Daniel A.
Smith).
“Did ballot design oust an incumbent senator? A study of the 2018 midterm election in Florida” (with
Michael D. Martinez and Daniel A. Smith).
Awards
Best Paper Award, State Politics and Policy Section, 2013 Annual Meeting of the American Political
Science Association. Getting Your Souls to the Polls: The Racial Impact of Reducing Early In-Person Voting
in Florida (with Daniel A. Smith).
Grants
Committee for Scholarly Innovation and Advancement Awards, Dartmouth College, February, 2014.
Project title: “The Dynamics of Voting Lines in Miami-Dade County.” Financial support: $32,000.
The Rockefeller Center for Public Policy and the Social Sciences, Dartmouth College, May, 2006. Project
title: “Large Scale Survey of Americans in Multiple Congressional Districts.” Financial support: $8,500.
National Science Foundation, SES-041849, July, 2004. Project title: “A Ballot-Level Study of Intentional
and Unintentional Abstention in Presidential Election Voting.” Financial support: $65,749.
Nelson A. Rockefeller Center for the Social Sciences, Dartmouth College, January, 2004. Project title:
“Intentional Invalid Votes in Leon County, Florida.” Financial support: $1,115.
American Enterprise Institute, August, 1999. Project title: “Tenure in Office and Congressional Voting”
(with Kenneth W. Shotts). Financial support: $182,500.
University Research Grants Committee, Northwestern University, February, 1999. Project Title: “Rep-
resentation, Policy Uncertainty, and Divided Government.” Financial support: $4,087.
Stanford University Graduate School of Business, 1997–1998 Academic Year. Dissertation Research
Grant.
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Michael C. Herron 7
34
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Michael C. Herron 8
Invited seminars
Professional activities
Division Chair, Representation and Electoral Systems, 2017 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political
Science Association.
Associate Editor, Research & Politics. November, 2016–present.
Editorial Board, American Politics Research, September, 2015–present.
Editorial Board, Political Analysis, January, 2010–present.
Editorial Board, USENIX Journal of Election Technology and Systems, March 2013–June 2016.
Editorial Board, American Political Science Review, 2010–2012.
Editorial Board, American Journal of Political Science, 2006–2009.
“Race, Voting Procedures, and New Developments in Voting Rights,” panel organized for the 2013
Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association.
35
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Michael C. Herron 9
Division Chair, Formal Theory, 2007 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association.
Co-editor, The Political Methodologist, Fall 2004–Spring 2006.
Publications Committee, Society for Political Methodology, 2005–2006, 2015–present.
Teaching interests
Statistical methods: introductory and applied statistics, research design, computing in R.
American politics: representation, election irregularities, election administration.
Political economy: game theory.
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Michael C. Herron 10
Reviewer for
Foreign language
German: C1 (telc Prüfung, Ausstellung July 27, 2017).
Other employment
Intelligence Analyst and Military Officer, United States Air Force, Foreign Technology Division,
Wright–Patterson Air Force Base, 1989–1992.
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96 This appendix displays part of the Maricopa County elections department page that
explains to eligible voters that they can vote in any voting center in the county. The source of this
image is http://web.archive.org/web/20201104002036/https:
//recorder.maricopa.gov/pollingplace/ (last accessed December 4, 2020).
38
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39
634
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 37-4 Filed 12/04/20 Page 1 of 10
Exhibit 4
635
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 37-4 Filed 12/04/20 Page 2 of 10
Clerk of the Superior Court
*** Filed ***
12/4/2020 4:05 p.m.
SUPERIOR COURT OF ARIZONA
MARICOPA COUNTY
CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
v.
MINUTE ENTRY
9:15 a.m. This is the time set for a continued Evidentiary Hearing on Plaintiff’s
anticipated election contest petition via GoToMeeting.
636
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
• Intervenors Adrian Fontes (in his official capacity as Maricopa County Recorder) and
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors (collectively, “County Intervenors”) and are
represented by counsel, Thomas Liddy, Emily Craiger, and Joseph La Rue.
• Intervenor Katie Hobbs (in her official capacity as the Arizona Secretary of State) is
represented by counsel, Rooplai Desai and Kristen Yost. State Election Director Sambo
“Bo” Dul is also present.
Counsel for Biden Elector Defendants addresses the court as to the court’s ruling denying
any Rule 50 motion practice after the conclusion of Plaintiff’s case. Discussion is held thereon
and counsel for Biden Elector Defendants states his position on the record. The court affirms its
prior ruling denying the request for any Rule 50 motion practice.
637
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
LET THE RECORD REFLECT that the court notes its prior acquaintance with County
Intervenors’ witness, Reynaldo Valenzuela, due to election matters while serving previously as
the civil presiding judge.
10:41 a.m. Court reconvenes with the parties and respective counsel present.
Plaintiff’s Rebuttal:
638
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
Plaintiff rests.
11:36 a.m. Court reconvenes with the parties and respective counsel present.
IT IS ORDERED taking this matter under advisement with a written ruling to be issued
as a “LATER:” to this minute entry.
Pursuant to the orders entered, and there being no further need to retain the exhibits not
offered in evidence in the custody of the Clerk of Court,
LET THE RECORD FURTHER REFLECT counsel indicate on the record that the
courtroom clerk may dispose of Plaintiff’s exhibits 2 through 13 and 15; County Intervenors’
exhibit 21; and Intervenor Secretary of State’s exhibits 33 and 34 not offered or received in
evidence.
LATER:
Based on the evidence presented, the Court makes the following findings, conclusions,
and orders. For reasons that follow, the relief requested in the Petition is denied.
1. Background.
On November 30, 2020, Governor Ducey certified the results of Arizona’s 2020 general
election, and the Biden/Harris ticket was declared the winner of Arizona’s 11 electoral votes.
The same day, Plaintiff filed this election challenge under A.R.S. § 16-672. In order to permit
this matter to be heard and appealed (if necessary) to the Arizona Supreme Court before the
Electoral College meets on December 14, 2020, the Court held an accelerated evidentiary
hearing on December 3 and 4, 2020.
639
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
A.R.S. § 16-672 specifies five grounds on which an election may be contested, three of
which are alleged here:
A. Any elector of the state may contest the election of any person
declared elected to a state office, or declared nominated to a state
office at a primary election, or the declared result of an initiated or
referred measure, or a proposal to amend the Constitution of
Arizona, or other question or proposal submitted to vote of the
people, upon any of the following grounds:
...
A.R.S. § 16-672(A)(1). Arizona law provides two remedies for a successful election contest. One
is setting aside the election. A.R.S. § 16-676(B). The other is to declare the other candidate the
winner if “it appears that a person other than the contestee has the highest number of legal
votes.” A.R.S. § 16-676(C).
The Plaintiff in an election contest has a high burden of proof and the actions of election
officials are presumed to be free from fraud and misconduct. See Hunt v. Campbell, 19 Ariz.
254, 268, 169 P. 596, 602 (1917) (“the returns of the election officers are prima facie correct and
free from the imputation of fraud”); Moore v. City of Page, 148 Ariz. 151, 156, 713 P.2d 813,
818 (App. 1986) (“One who contests an election has the burden of proving that if illegal votes
were cast the illegal votes were sufficient to change the outcome of the election.”). A plaintiff
alleging misconduct must prove that the misconduct rose to the level of fraud, or that the result
would have been different had proper procedures been used. Moore, 148 Ariz. at 159, 713 P.2d
Docket Code 901 Form V000A Page 5
640
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
at 821. “[H]onest mistakes or mere omissions on the part of the election officers, or irregularities
in directory matters, even though gross, if not fraudulent, will not void an election, unless they
affect the result, or at least render it uncertain.” Findley v. Sorenson, 35 Ariz. 265, 269, 276 P.
843, 844 (1929).
Second, Plaintiff alleges that election officials overcounted mail-in ballots by not being
sufficiently skeptical in their comparison of signatures on the mail-in envelope/affidavits with
signatures on file. Under Arizona law, voters who vote by mail submit their ballot inside an
envelope that is also an affidavit signed by the voter. Election officials review all mail-in
envelope/affidavits to compare the signature on them with the signature in voter registration
records. If the official is “satisfied that the signatures correspond,” the unopened envelope is held
until the time for counting votes. If not, officials attempt to contact the voter to validate the
ballot. A.R.S. § 16-550(A).
641
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
safeguards include the fact that mail-in ballots are mailed to the voter’s address as listed in voter
registration records, and that voters can put their phone number on the envelope/affidavit, which
allows election officials to compare that number to the phone number on file from voter
registration records or prior ballots.
The Court ordered that counsel and their forensic document examiners could review 100
randomly selected envelope/affidavits to do a signature comparison. These were
envelope/affidavits as to which election officials had found a signature match, so the ballots were
long ago removed and tabulated. Because voter names are on the envelope/affidavits, the Court
ordered them sealed. But because the ballots were separated from the envelope/affidavits, there
is no way to know how any particular voter voted. The secrecy of their votes was preserved.
Two forensic document examiners testified, one for Plaintiff and one for Defendants. The
process forensic document examiners use to testify in court for purposes of criminal guilt or civil
liability is much different from the review Arizona election law requires. A document examiner
might take hours on a single signature to be able to provide a professional opinion to the required
degree of certainty.
Defendants’ expert testified that 11 of the 100 envelopes were inconclusive, mostly
because there were insufficient specimens to which to compare them. He too found no sign of
forgery or simulation, and found no basis for rejecting any of the signatures.
These ballots were admitted at trial and the Court heard testimony about them and
reviewed them. None of them shows an abuse of discretion on the part of the reviewer. Every
one of them listed a phone number that matched a phone number already on file, either through
voter registration records or from a prior ballot. The evidence does not show that these affidavits
are fraudulent, or that someone other than the voter signed them. There is no evidence that the
manner in which signatures were reviewed was designed to benefit one candidate or another, or
that there was any misconduct, impropriety, or violation of Arizona law with respect to the
review of mail-in ballots.
642
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
Third, Plaintiff alleges errors in the duplication of ballots. Arizona law requires election
officials to duplicate a ballot under a number of circumstances. One is where the voter is
overseas and submits a ballot under UOCAVA, the Uniformed And Overseas Citizens Absentee
Voting Act. Another is where the ballot is damaged or otherwise cannot be machine-tabulated.
When a duplicate is necessary, a bipartisan board creates a duplicate ballot based on the original.
A.R.S. § 16-621(A). In 2020, Maricopa County had 27,869 duplicate ballots out of more than 2
million total ballots. The vast majority of these were either mail-in ballots or UOCAVA ballots.
999 of them came from polling places.
The Court ordered that counsel could review 100 duplicate ballots. Maricopa County
voluntarily made another 1,526 duplicate ballots available for review. These ballots do not
identify the voter so, again, there is no way to know how any individual voter voted. Of the
1,626 ballots reviewed, 9 had an error in the duplication of the vote for president.
The duplication process prescribed by the Legislature necessarily requires manual action
and human judgment, which entail a risk of human error. Despite that, the duplication process for
the presidential election was 99.45% accurate. And there is no evidence that the inaccuracies
were intentional or part of a fraudulent scheme. They were mistakes. And given both the small
number of duplicate ballots and the low error rate, the evidence does not show any impact on the
outcome.
The Court finds no misconduct, no fraud, and no effect on the outcome of the election.
A.R.S. § 16-672(A)(2) permits an election contest “[o]n account of illegal votes.” Based
on the facts found above, the evidence did not prove illegal votes, much less enough to affect the
outcome of the election. As a matter of law, mistakes in the duplication of ballots that do not
affect the outcome of the election do not satisfy the burden of proof under Section 16-672(A)(2).
643
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
A.R.S. § 16-672(A)(5) permits an election contest on the ground that, “by reason of
erroneous count of votes” the candidate certified as the winner “did not in fact receive the
highest number of votes.” Plaintiff has not proven that the Biden/Harris ticket did not receive the
highest number of votes.
6. Orders.
IT IS FURTHER ORDERED denying the request to continue the hearing and permit
additional inspection of ballots.
IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that any request for costs and/or attorneys’ fees be filed,
and a form of final judgment be lodged, no later than January 5, 2020. If none of these is filed or
lodged, the Court will issue a minute entry with Rule 54(c) language dismissing all remaining
claims.
The Court finds no just reason for delay and enters this partial final judgment under Ariz.
R. Civ. P. 54(b). The Court makes this finding for purposes of permitting an immediate appeal to
the Arizona Supreme Court.
/ s / RANDALL H. WARNER
644
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 37-5 Filed 12/04/20 Page 1 of 6
Exhibit 5
645
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 37-5 Filed 12/04/20 Page 2 of 6
STATE OF MINNESOTA
December 4, 2020
IN SUPREME COURT
A20-1486
Petitioners,
vs.
Respondents.
ORDER
On November 24, 2020, petitioners Tyler Kistner, et al., filed a petition under Minn.
Stat. § 204B.44 (2018), asking this court to temporarily restrain the State Canvassing Board
from certifying the results of the general election held in Minnesota on November 3, 2020,
and to require a full recount of the federal and state offices on the ballot for the 2020 general
election, conducted with adequate public access and in compliance with Minnesota law.
That same day, we ordered the petitioners to file proof showing that the petition was served
on the named respondents and that they had complied with the service requirements set forth
in Minnesota Statutes§ 204B.44(b). We also directed the parties to file briefs addressing
the issues oflaches, mootness, and finality. On November 30, 2020, we granted the motion
proceeding.
1
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 37-5 Filed 12/04/20 Page 3 of 6
A petition may be filed to correct certain "errors, omissions, or wrongful acts which
have occurred or are about to occur," including "any wrongful act, omission, or error of
any election judge . . . or any other individual charged with any duty concerning an
election." Minn. Stat. § 204B.44(a)(4). The petitioners have the burden to show by a
preponderance of the evidence that relief under section 204B.44 is required. Weiler v.
Petitioners assert three claims: (1) under the First and Fourteenth Amendments to
the United States Constitution and Article I of the Minnesota Constitution, (2) under Article
III of the Minnesota Constitution, the Separation of Powers Clause; and (3) under the Due
Process Clauses of the United States and Minnesota Constitutions, U.S. Const. amend.
XIV, Minn. Const., art. I,§ 7. Counts I and II rest on challenges to consent decrees entered
by the district court that suspended the witness requirement for absentee and mail ballots
for the 2020 general election. See LaRose v. Simon, No. 62-CV-20-3149, Order (Ramsey
Cty. Dist. Ct. filed Aug. 3, 2020); NAACP-Minn. v. Simon, No. 62-CV-20-3625, Order
(Ramsey Cty. Dist. Ct. filed Aug. 3, 2020); see also Minn. Stat. § 203B.07, subd. 3 (2018)
(explaining the process for completing the ballot in the presence of another individual).
Count III challenges the processes used in some counties for conducting the postelection
Board-contend that petitioners' claims are barred by laches because they could have sued
or asserted these claims earlier in the election process. Similarly, the Minnesota DFL
argues that petitioners' delay is inexcusable because their challenges to the procedures that
2
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governed the 2020 general election in Minnesota, including the postelection reviews,
Petitioners disagree. They assert that they did not "slumber" in their rights, but
instead filed their petition within a matter of days after the last postelection review was
Laches is an equitable doctrine applied to " 'prevent one who has not been diligent
in asserting a lmown right from recovering at the expense of one who has been prejudiced
by the delay.' " Winters v. Kiffmeyer, 650 N.W.2d 167, 169 (Minn. 2012) (quoting
Aronovitch v. Levy, 56 N.W.2d 570, 574 (Minn. 1953)). "The first step in a laches analysis
Simon, 888 N.W.2d 324, 329 (Minn. 2016). We have insisted that petitioners move
expeditiously under section 204B.44 because the time constraints associated with elections
demand diligence in asserting lmown rights. See, e.g., Trooien v. Simon, 918 N.W.2d 560,
561 (Minn. 2018) ("The orderly administration of elections does not wait for
convenience.").
Although petitioners assert that the petition was filed shortly after the postelection
reviews were completed, their first two claims focus on events that pre-date those reviews,
including the suspension of the witness requirement for absentee ballots in the general
election or other events that occurred at early voting locations before November 3, 2020.
The suspension of the witness requirement was publicly announced in Minnesota well
before voting began on September 18, 2020. It was the subject of two proceedings in
Ramsey County District Court, followed by consolidated appeals in this court. LaRose &
3
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 37-5 Filed 12/04/20 Page 5 of 6
1040, A20-1041 (Aug. 10, 2020). Given the undisputed public record regarding the
suspension of the witness requirement for absentee and mail ballots, petitioners had a duty
to act well before November 3, 2020, to assert claims that challenged that procedure;
asserting these claims 2 months after voting started, 3 weeks after voting ended, and less
than 24 hours before the State Canvassing Board met to certify the election results is
unreasonable. We also must consider the impact of petitioners' requested relief on election
officials, candidates, and voters who participated in the 2020 general election knowing that
the witness requirement was suspended. Clark v. Pawlenty, 755 N.W.2d 293, 301 (Minn.
2008). Petitioners' proposed recount of the entirety of the 2020 general election results
would cast an unacceptable degree of uncertainty over the election, potentially leaving
regardless of the vote difference between candidates, see Minn. Stat.§ 204C.35, subd. l(b)
(2018) (mandating a recount only with certain margins of difference), would impose
unacceptable burdens on voters and election officials alike. Counts I and II must therefore
be dismissed.
Count III of the petition focuses almost exclusively on the postelection reviews that
were conducted after November 3, 2020. See Minn. Stat. § 206.89, subd. 2 (prohibiting
the start of these reviews "before the 11th day after the state general election"). The facts
available to us do not clearly establish that petitioners could have asserted this claim
the petitioner to serve the petition on the election official charged with a wrongful act. It
is the duty of county auditors or other county or local officials to conduct postelection
4
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reviews. See Minn. Stat. § 206.89, subds. 1-2, 3. Consistent with this statutory duty,
petitioners alleged in connection with their challenges to these reviews that wrongful acts
and errors were committed by "county officials." Thus, by their own allegations and under
the plain language of section 204B.44(b ), petitioners were required to serve county election
officials with a copy of the petition. Serving the Secretary of State, alone, does not suffice.
At the very least, petitioners should have served the petition on the specific county officials
named in their petition and supporting affidavits. These election officials, not the Secretary
of State, have direct knowledge of the facts regarding the postelection reviews conducted
after the November 3 election and, thus, are in the best position to respond to the allegations
in the petition.
We directed petitioners to ensure that the petition was served in compliance with
Minn. Stat. § 204B.44. They did not file proof that shows any county election officials
were served with the petition. Thus, Count III must be dismissed.
IT IS HEREBY ORDERED that the petition filed on November 24, 2020, be and
4~
Lorie S. Gildea
Chief Justice
CHUTICH, THISSEN, and MOORE, III, JJ., took no part in the consideration or
DIETZEN, Acting Justice, appointed pursuant to Minn. Const. art. VI, § 2, and Minn.
12
Attorneys for Defendant Douglas A. Ducey,
13
Snell & Wilmer
14
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602.382.6000
15
DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
16
17
Tyler Bowyer, et al.,
18 No. 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Plaintiffs,
19 Defendant Governor Ducey’s
v. Combined: (a) Motion to Dismiss and
20 (b) Response to Plaintiffs’ Motion for
Doug Ducey, et al., TRO and Preliminary Injunction
21
Defendants,
22 Assigned to: Hon. Diane Humetewa
and
23 Hearing set: December 8, 2020 at 9:15
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, et a.m.
24 al.,
25 Intervenor-Defendants
26
27
28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 38 Filed 12/04/20 Page 2 of 11
1 Introduction
2 Arizona has strong election laws that prioritize accountability and that clearly lay out
3 procedures for conducting, canvassing, and even contesting the results of an election. It is
4 managed by dedicated and professional election administrators, with support from
5 thousands of volunteer poll workers and poll observers that represent opposing political
6 parties, as mandated by law. See, e.g., A.R.S. §§ 16-531 (appointment of election board);
7 16-590(C) (appointment of poll observers); 16-615(B) (transporting the official returns
8 envelop); see also Elections Procedure Manual, Ariz. Secy. of State, at 86, 96, 105, 133,
9 157, 178, 184, 197, 203 (2019). 1 Arizona also has clear deadlines that the Governor’s
10 Office, in conjunction with the majority of the county recorders (from both parties), argued
11 to the Ninth Circuit needed to be maintained this year, despite COVID-19, in order to ensure
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12 the sanctity and security of the election process. See Mi Familia Vota v. Hobbs, 977 F.3d
13 948 (9th Cir. 2020).
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
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With this backdrop, Plaintiffs have brought suit alleging widespread fraud in
602.382.6000
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15 Arizona’s election. In their Complaint, Plaintiffs fail in any way to link Governor Ducey’s
16 ministerial duties in the elections process to their voter-fraud theories. The only allegations
17 in the Complaint that even mention Governor Ducey are completely unrelated to Plaintiffs’
18 theories and legal claims. (See Doc. 1 at ¶¶ 33-35, 145). Furthermore, Plaintiffs’ requests
19 for relief from the Governor are moot because Governor Ducey has already performed his
20 non-discretionary, ministerial acts in connection with this election: observing the final state-
21 wide canvass and transmitting a “certificate of ascertainment” to the National Archivist.
22 Accordingly, Governor Ducey moves for dismissal of all claims against him with
23 prejudice under Fed. R. Civ. P. 12(b)(1) and 12(b)(6). Dismissal is appropriate for several
24 reasons, including that: (1) the relief Plaintiffs seek against the Governor is moot; (2) the
25 Eleventh Amendment bars Plaintiffs’ claims against the Governor; (3) Plaintiffs have failed
26
27 1
The Secretary of State’s Election Procedures Manual has the force of law pursuant to
A.R.S. § 16-452 and is available at https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/
28 2019_ELECTIONS_PROCEDURES_MANUAL_APPROVED.pdf.
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1 to allege any facts to support a plausible claim that Governor Ducey violated their
2 constitutional rights or any other law; and (4) Plaintiffs lack Article III standing to sue the
3 Governor. For similar reasons, this Court should also deny Plaintiffs’ request for a TRO or
4 preliminary injunction as to Defendant Governor Ducey. (See Doc. 28). Plaintiffs will not
5 be harmed by the dismissal of Governor Ducey because the Maricopa County Board of
6 Supervisors—the party that has responsibility related to the conduct of elections,
7 certification of election results and that retains custody of the equipment in question—has
8 intervened in this case. In accordance with L.R. Civ. P 12.1(c), a Notice and Certification
9 of Conferral has been filed contemporaneously with this Motion.
10 Background
11 The U.S. Constitution provides that “[e]ach State shall appoint, in such Manner as
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12 the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors” for the Office of the President.
13 U.S. Const. Art. II § 1. The Arizona Legislature has established such procedures. See A.R.S.
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Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
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15 based on checks and balances, that is largely organized and conducted by the Secretary of
16 State, independent county boards of supervisors, and other local election officials. E.g.,
17 A.R.S. §§ 16-442(A) (requiring the Secretary of State to approve the “types, make, model,
18 or models” of vote tabulating equipment); 16-411(B) (requiring Board of Supervisors to
19 establish polling locations); 16-531(A) (requiring Board of Supervisors to appoint requisite
20 poll workers twenty days before a primary or general election).
21 After an election for a president, or any other federal, statewide, or legislative office,
22 the county board of supervisors canvass their results and report those results to the Secretary
23 of State. A.R.S §§ 16-642(A); 16-645(B). The Secretary of State must then canvass those
24 county results “[o]n the fourth Monday following” the general election. A.R.S. § 16-648(A).
25 After the completion of the statewide canvass, the Secretary of State issues a “Certification
26 of Election” to each legislative, statewide, and federal candidate who received the highest
27 number of votes for each office. A.R.S. § 16-650. Furthermore, “after the secretary of state
28 issues the statewide canvass containing the results of a presidential election, the presidential
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1 electors of this state shall cast their electoral college votes for the candidate for
2 present…[who] received the highest number of votes in this state…” A.R.S. § 16-212(B).
3 By statute, the Governor performs two non-discretionary, ministerial tasks in this
4 process. First, he (along with the Attorney General and the Chief Justice of the Arizona
5 Supreme Court) is required by state law to be “in the presence of” the Secretary of State
6 when she conducts the official statewide canvass. A.R.S. § 16-648. Second, he is required
7 by federal law to send a Certificate of Ascertainment (“Certificate”) that identifies the
8 names of Arizona’s electoral college electors to the Archivist of the United States. 3 U.S.C.
9 § 6. 2 These statutes do not confer discretion to the Governor.
10 On November 30, 2020, the Secretary of State conducted the statewide canvass and
11 certified the election in the presence of Governor Ducey. (Ex. A (excerpts from the
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12 statewide canvass)). That same day, Governor Ducey transmitted the Certificate to the
13 National Archivist. (Ex. B (copy of the Certificate of Ascertainment)). 3
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14 Argument
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15 This Court may grant a motion to dismiss under Rule 12(b) where a complaint does
16 not demonstrate that the plaintiff is entitled to relief against a particular defendant. To
17 survive a Rule 12(b)(6) motion to dismiss, “a complaint must contain sufficient factual
18 matter, accepted as true, to ‘state a claim to relief that is plausible on its face.’” Ashcroft v.
19 Iqbal, 556 U.S. 662, 678 (2009) (citing Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twombly, 550 U.S. 544, 570
20 (2007)). Those “[f]actual allegations must be enough to raise a right to relief above the
21 speculative level.” Twombly, 550 U.S. at 555.
22
23 2
In addition, for initiated and referred ballot measures (which are not at issue in this case),
24 the Governor must issue a proclamation “declaring the amendments or measures which are
approved by a majority of those voting thereon to be law.” A.R.S. § 16-651.
25 3
Governor Ducey’s attendance of the statewide canvass and his issuance of the Certificate
are all facts appropriate for judicial notice because they “can be accurately and readily
26 determined from sources whose accuracy cannot reasonably be questioned.” Fed. R. Evid.
201(b); see also Santa Monica Food Not Bombs v. Santa Monica, 450 F.3d 1022, 1025 n.2
27 (9th Cir. 2006) (taking judicial notice of public records that “can be accessed at Santa
Monica’s official website”). Courts may consider judicially noticeable facts in ruling on
28 motions to dismiss. Lee v. City of L.A., 250 F.3d 668, 688-89 (9th Cir. 2001).
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12 law due to: (1) mootness; (2) Eleventh Amendment immunity; (3) an inability to state any
13 plausible claim against Governor Ducey because their Complaint identifies no acts
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Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14 performed by the Governor other than the two ministerial acts described above; and (4) a
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15 lack of Article III standing. For these same reasons, Plaintiffs are highly unlikely to succeed
16 on the merits against Governor Ducey, and the Court should deny Plaintiffs’ requested
17 preliminary relief as to him.
18 I. Plaintiffs’ Claims Against Governor Ducey Are Moot.
19 Plaintiffs’ claims against Governor Ducey are moot because the action they seek to
20 enjoin has already occurred and cannot be undone. A case must be dismissed as moot
21 against a particular defendant when “the issues presented are no longer ‘live.’” L.A. Cty. v.
22 Davis, 440 U.S. 625, 631 (1979) (quoting Powell v. McCormack, 395 U.S. 486, 496 (1969)).
23 In the context of election matters, courts have consistently held that a case is moot when
24 the challenged procedure has already been performed. For example, in Jones v. Montague,
25 the plaintiffs sued the Virginia governor and the Secretary of the Commonwealth,
26
27 4
The standard for issuing a TRO is the same as the standard for issuing a preliminary
injunction. See New Motor Vehicle Bd. of Cal. v. Orrin W. Fox Co., 434 U.S. 1345, 1347
28 n.2 (1977).
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 38 Filed 12/04/20 Page 6 of 11
1 requesting an injunction of an election canvass. 194 U.S. 147, 153 (1904). The Court
2 rejected their challenge, holding that the case was moot because “the thing sought to be
3 prohibited has been done…” Id.
4 Here, after Governor Ducey attended the Secretary of State’s statewide canvass and
5 issued the Certificate to the National Archivist (both of which occurred on November 30),
6 his ministerial duties related to the General Election concluded. 5 Plaintiffs unfortunately
7 filed this lawsuit on December 2, 2020—two days after Governor Ducey observed the
8 canvass and issued the Certificate—and asked this Court to order Governor Ducey to “de-
9 certify” the election results and enjoin him “from transmitting the currently certified
10 election results to the Electoral College.” (Doc. 1 at ¶ 145). Governor Ducey does not have
11 the authority to do either of these things, and Plaintiffs cite no authority otherwise. Because
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12 Governor Ducey’s statutory duties related to the General Election have already been
13 performed, Plaintiffs’ claims against the Governor must be dismissed as moot. See
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
15 II. Plaintiffs’ Claims Against Governor Ducey Are Barred by the Eleventh
Amendment.
16
The Eleventh Amendment prevents a state from being sued in federal court without
17
its consent. Alabama v. Pugh, 438 U.S. 781, 782 (1978). This bar applies “regardless of
18
whether [the suit] seeks damages or injunctive relief.” Pennhurst State Sch. & Hosp. v.
19
Halderman, 465 U.S. 89, 102 (1984). The Eleventh Amendment’s protections are at their
20
apex where, as here, a plaintiff asks a federal court to “order state actors to comply with
21
state law.” Hale v. Arizona, 967 F.2d 1356, 1369 (9th Cir. 1992); see also Pennhurst, 465
22
U.S. at 106 (noting that “[i]t is difficult to think of a greater intrusion on state sovereignty
23
than when a federal court instructs state officials on how to conform their conduct to state
24
law”).
25
26
27 5
The National Archivist has already received and publicly posted the Certificate. 2020
Electoral College Results, National Archives, https://www.archives.gov/electoral-
28 college/2020 (last visited Dec. 4, 2020).
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1 To avoid the Eleventh Amendment, Plaintiffs here sued the Governor in his official
2 capacity, in an attempt to take advantage of the Ex Parte Young exception to the State’s
3 sovereign immunity. (Doc. 1). But, in order to use this exception, the state officer “must
4 have some connection with the enforcement of the act.” Ex Parte Young, 209 U.S. 123, 157
5 (1908); see also Pennhurst, 465 U.S. at 101 (noting that the Eleventh Amendment also “bars
6 a suit against state officials when ‘the state is the real, substantial party in interest.’”)
7 (quoting Ford Motor Co. v. Dep’t of Treasury, 323 U.S. 459, 464 (1945)). Here, the
8 Governor has no connection to the factual allegations in the Complaint, much less a
9 connection strong enough to invoke the Ex Parte Young exception.
10 Indeed, while the Complaint makes various allegations about the General Election—
11 including that the vote tabulation machines used in Arizona are susceptible to manipulation
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12 or are otherwise deficient, (Doc. 1 at ¶¶ 5-18, 67-102), that there were certain procedural
13 errors related to poll watching and vote counting, (id. at ¶¶ 48-62), and that there were
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14 irregular voter turnout levels, (id. at ¶¶ 63-66)—the Complaint does not contain any
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15 allegation that the Governor had any involvement in these alleged improprieties or had any
16 authority to oversee, correct, or prevent these issues. Instead, the Complaint only alleges
17 wrongdoing or errors by local county elections officials, poll workers, or the Secretary of
18 State.
19 Put simply, the Governor’s ministerial duties under A.R.S. § 16-648(A) and 3 U.S.C.
20 § 6 do not encompass investigating or rectifying assertions of election irregularities or fraud.
21 And, even if the Governor did have some generalized role in overseeing Arizona elections
22 (he does not), mere “[a]llegations of general oversight of State laws are insufficient to
23 establish the required nexus” under Ex Parte Young. Young v. Hawaii, 548 F. Supp. 2d
24 1151, 1164 (D. Haw. 2008), overruled on other grounds by Dist. of Columbia v. Heller, 554
25 U.S. 570 (2008); see also A.R.S. § 16-142(A)(1) (“The secretary of state or the secretary’s
26 designee is [t]he chief state election officer . . .”). As such, Plaintiffs’ claims against the
27 Governor must be dismissed.
28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 38 Filed 12/04/20 Page 8 of 11
1 III. Plaintiffs Fail to Plead any Plausible Claim for Relief Against Governor Ducey
2 under the Iqbal/Twombly Pleading Standard.
3
The claims against Governor Ducey should also be dismissed because Plaintiffs’
4
Complaint is devoid of any “factual content that allows the court to draw the reasonable
5
inference that the defendant” at issue—Governor Ducey—“is liable for the misconduct
6
alleged.” Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 678; see also Twombly, 550 U.S. at 556, 570. Indeed, the
7
Complaint does not contain any specific factual allegations against the Governor. The only
8
allegations in the Complaint that specifically reference Governor Ducey are Paragraphs 34
9
and 35, which simply identify him as a Defendant to this action, and Paragraph 145, which
10
asks this Court to direct an order requiring the Governor to “de-certify” the election (there
11
is no provision in Arizona law that allows this or federal authority that supports this remedy)
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12
and an injunction prohibiting him from “transmitting the currently certified election results
13
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Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
to the electoral college” (the results have already been “transmit[ed]” to the electoral
14
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college).
L.L.P.
15
Given this, the Complaint has failed to make any allegation that would support a
16
reasonable inference that the Governor violated Arizona law, deprived Plaintiffs of their
17
equal protection or due process rights, or violated some other constitutional provision.
18
Because the Complaint fails to state any claim against Governor Ducey that is “plausible
19
on its face,” all claims against the Governor should be dismissed. Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 678
20
(citing Twombly, 550 U.S. at 570).
21
IV. Plaintiffs Lack Standing to Bring Their Claims Against Governor Ducey.
22
Finally, Plaintiffs cannot establish two of the three elements of Article III standing
23
for purposes of their claims against Governor Ducey. To establish standing, Plaintiffs must
24
demonstrate (1) injury in fact; (2) that is “fairly traceable” to the conduct complained of;
25
and (3) that a favorable decision is “likely” to redress the injury-in-fact. Barnum Timber
26
Co. v. U.S. E.P.A., 633 F.3d 894, 897 (9th Cir. 2011); see also Maya, 658 F.3d at 1067
27
(motion to dismiss for lack of standing proper under Fed. R. Civ. P. 12(b)(1)). An injury is
28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 38 Filed 12/04/20 Page 9 of 11
1 not fairly traceable to a defendant’s conduct when that defendant did not cause the
2 plaintiff’s injury. See Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Boockvar, No. 4:20-CV-02078,
3 2020 WL 6821992, at *6-7 (M.D. Penn. Nov. 21, 2020).
4 Here, even assuming arguendo that Plaintiffs have met the injury-in-fact
5 requirement, they cannot establish that their injury is traceable to Governor Ducey or
6 redressable by any action he could take. With respect to traceability, Plaintiffs do not (and
7 cannot) claim that Governor Ducey played any part in the alleged election fraud that forms
8 the basis of their Complaint. Indeed, Plaintiffs barely mention Governor Ducey’s actions at
9 all, claiming only (and erroneously) that he and the Secretary of State “certified” the results
10 of the General Election. (See Doc. 1 at ¶ 33). As discussed above, election certification is
11 not one of Governor Ducey’s statutory duties. For all these reasons, Plaintiffs cannot
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12 establish that their injury is “fairly traceable” to Governor Ducey. See Barnum, 633 F.3d at
13 897; Boockvar, 2020 WL 6821992, at *6.
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Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14 Plaintiffs also cannot establish that their alleged injury is redressable by Governor
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15 Ducey. Plaintiffs ask this Court to order Governor Ducey to “de-certify” the election results
16 and enjoin him “from transmitting the currently certified election results to the Electoral
17 College.” (Doc. 1 at ¶ 145). Governor Ducey has already fulfilled his statutory duties related
18 to the General Election by attending the canvass, see A.R.S. § 16-648(A), and issuing the
19 Certificate to the Archivist of the United States, see 3 U.S.C. § 6. Governor Ducey does not
20 have the power to certify (or de-certify) election results. Tellingly, Plaintiffs do not cite any
21 authority explaining how (or under what authority) Governor Ducey would do take such
22 action. Accordingly, Plaintiffs’ claims should be dismissed because they lack Article III
23 standing as to Governor Ducey. 6
24
25
26 6
For the other Winter factors that balance the impact of the relief requested against the
merits of the claims, Governor Ducey defers to Defendant Secretary Hobbs and Intervenor-
27 Defendant Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, since the administration of the general
election at the State and local levels are within those parties’ purview.
28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 38 Filed 12/04/20 Page 10 of 11
1 Conclusion
2 Governor Ducey should be dismissed because the claims against him are moot,
3 barred by the Eleventh Amendment, unsupported by factual allegations, and Plaintiffs lack
4 standing to even bring them against the Governor. These defects are fatal and incurable as
5 to Governor Ducey. Accordingly, Plaintiffs’ claims against Governor Ducey should be
6 dismissed with prejudice under Rules 12(b)(1) and 12(b)(6), and their Motion for
7 Temporary Restraining Order and Preliminary Relief should be denied, as to Governor
8 Ducey.
9
DATED this 4th day of December, 2020.
10
SNELL & WILMER L.L.P.
11
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
Colin P. Ahler
Derek C. Flint
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Ian R. Joyce
L.L.P.
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 38 Filed 12/04/20 Page 11 of 11
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I certify that on December 4, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
3 document to the Clerk's Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and transmittal of a
4 Notice of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
5
6
7 s/ Richard Schaan
8
9
10
11
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12
13
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Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14
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EXHIBIT A
662
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663
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664
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665
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EXHIBIT B
666
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 38-1 Filed 12/04/20 Page 6 of 10
GOVERNOR DOUGLAS A. DUCEY
STATE OF ARIZONA
PROCLAMATION *
*CERTIFICATE OF ASCERTAINMENT FOR PRESIDENTIAL ELECTORS*
The Official Canvass of the General Election held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, shows
the followjng results for the office of Presidential Electors for President and Vice President
of the United States, as certified by the boards of supervisors of the several counties of
the state of Arizona. The Official Canvass indicates that the following group of eleven
individuals:
received the highest number of votes cast for any candidate for this office, and having
complied with all provisions required by law for candidates in general elections, they are
duly elected Presidential Electors.
I further certify that the following Presidential Electors received the number of votes
indicated:
STATE OF ARIZONA
PROCLAMATION *
REPUBLICAN PARTY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTORS
Presidential Candidate Donald J. Trump
Vice Presidential Candidate Michael R. Pence
NAME NUMBER OF VOTES
Bowyer, Tyler 1,661,686
Cottle, Nancy 1,661,686
Hoffman, Jake 1,661,686
Kern, Anthony T. 1,661,686
Lamon, James 1,661,686
Montgomery, Robert 1,661,686
Moorhead, Samuel I. 1,661,686
Pellegrino, Loraine B. 1,661,686
Safsten , Greg 1,661,686
Ward, Kelli 1,661,686
Ward, Michael 1,661,686
STATE OF ARIZONA
PROCLAMATION *
GREEN PARTY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTORS
Presidential Candidate Howie Hawkins
Vice Presidential Candidate Angela Walker
NAME NUMBER OF VOTES
Bissell, Cara 1,557
Castorena, Celeste M. 1,557
Castorena, Cesario C. 1,557
Dixon, Angela 1,557
Macias, Antonio 1,557
Macias, Linda 1,557
McMurrin, Betty J. 1,557
Olea, Elisa 1,557
Quintana, Eduardo 1,557
Scott, Richard 1,557
Torres, Angel 1,557
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTORS
Write-in Presidential Candidate Jade Simmons
Write-in Vice Presidential Candidate Claudeliah J. Roze
NAME NUMBER OF VOTES
Boyer, Celeslie L. 236
Curtis, Sydney 236
Ehmann, Maryann 236
Grapentine, Valerie 236
Korth, Jared 236
Langston, JoAnna 236
Martin, Erica 236
McMurray, Kia 236
McMurray Jr., Dennis 236
Sanchez, Brittany 236
Scheier, Veronica 236
ST ATE OF ARIZONA
PROCLAMATION *
PARTY FOR SOCIALISM AND LIBERATION PRESIDENTIAL ELECTORS
Write-in Presidential Candidate Gloria La Riva
Write-in Vice Presidential Candidate Sunil Freeman
STATE OF ARIZONA
PROCLAMATION *
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTORS
Write-in Presidential Candidate President R. Boddie
Write-in Vice Presidential Candidate Eric Stoneham
NAME NUMBER OF VOTES
Black, La Deysha 13
Dukes, Donshadre 13
Froman, Travis 13
Guevara, Maria 13
Lechaga, Maria Elena 13
Leyva, Omar 13
Maldonado, Ema 13
Martinez, Rebecca 13
Tucci, Lynette 13
Valenzuela, Stephanie 13
Varela, Andrea 13
DOUGLAS A. DUCEY
GOVERNOR
KATIE HOBBS
SECRETARY OF STATE
12
Attorneys for Defendant Douglas A. Ducey,
13
Snell & Wilmer
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15
DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
16
17
Tyler Bowyer, et al.,
18 No. 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Plaintiffs,
19 Notice and Certification of Conferral
v. Regarding Motion to Dismiss
20
Doug Ducey, et al.,
21 Assigned to: Hon. Diane Humetewa
Defendants,
22
and
23
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, et
24 al.,
25 Intervenor-Defendants
26
27
28
672
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 39 Filed 12/04/20 Page 2 of 3
Anni L. Foster
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DOUGLAS A. DUCEY
15 1700 West Washington Street
Phoenix, Arizona 85007
16
17 Attorneys for Defendant Douglas A.
Ducey, Governor of the State of
18 Arizona
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 39 Filed 12/04/20 Page 3 of 3
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I certify that on December 4, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
3 document to the Clerk's Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and transmittal of a
4 Notice of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
5
6
7 s/ Richard Schaan
8
9
10
11
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12
13
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Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
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1 I. INTRODUCTION
2 This case is the latest in a series of baseless attacks on the results of the 2020
3 election. The complaint spins together—in part, literally through what purports to be an
5 conspiracy that spanned the globe. Plaintiffs allege that this plan somehow originated in
6 Venezuela more than a decade ago, over the years enlisted “rogue actors” from various
7 “countries such as Serbia” and “foreign interference by Iran and China” [id. ¶¶ 13, 70,
8 74, 78], compromised voting machines and software in states across the country in this
9 election [id. ¶¶ 60, 63-102], and was ultimately executed with the assistance of thousands
11 observers for both parties in numerous states across the country, including Arizona [id.
12 ¶¶ 65-66].
13 The object of the dystopian fiction set forth in plaintiffs’ complaint is to overturn
14 the election results determined by the will of nearly 3.5 million Arizona voters.
15 At stake, in some measure, is faith in our system of free and fair elections, a feature
central to the enduring strength of our constitutional republic. It can be easy to
16 blithely move on to the next case with a petition so obviously lacking, but this is
sobering. The relief being sought by the petitioners is the most dramatic invocation
17 of judicial power I have ever seen. Judicial acquiescence to such entreaties built
on so flimsy a foundation would do indelible damage to every future election.
18
No. 2020AP1930-OA, Wisconsin Voters Alliance v. Wisconsin Elections Commission at
19
*3 (Wis. Sup. Ct. Dec. 4, 2020) (Hagedorn, J.) (concurring and joined by a majority of
20
Justices) (attached as Ex. A). Other courts have uniformly rejected similar baseless
21
attacks.2 This Court should do so as well.
22
23
1
[Doc. 1 (Compl.), Ex. 12].
24 2
See generally Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Boockvar, No 4:20-CV-02078,
25 2020 WL 6821992 (M.D. Pa. Nov. 21, 2020), aff’d, No. 20-3371, ECF No. 91 (3d Cir.
Nov. 27, 2020); Bognet v. Sec’y of Commonwealth, No. 20-3214, 2020 WL 6686120 (3d
26 Cir. Nov. 13, 2020) (affirming denial of preliminary injunction against counting
purported “illegal” absentee ballots on equal protection grounds); Wood v. Raffensperger,
27 No. 1:20-cv-04561-SDG, ECF No. 54 (N.D. Ga. 2020) (rejecting motion to enjoin
Georgia’s certification of election results based on equal protection arguments similar to
28 those made here).
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1 First, plaintiffs’ claims fall miles short of the standards under Twombly and Iqbal,
2 let alone the heightened pleading standards of Fed. R. Civ. P. 9(b). Second, plaintiffs’
3 claims must be brought in an election contest—a matter reserved exclusively for the
4 jurisdiction of the Arizona state courts. Third, as voters with a generalized grievance
5 regarding the election, plaintiffs lack standing. Recently, courts have rejected similar
6 claims for lack of standing in Pennsylvania and Georgia. Bognet v. Sec’y of the
7 Commonwealth of Pa., -- F.3d --, 2020 WL 6686120, at *19 (3d Cir. Nov. 13, 2020);
8 Wood v. Raffensperger, No. 1:20-cv-04651, 2020 WL 6817513, at *5 (N.D. Ga. Nov. 20,
9 2020). Fourth, plaintiffs’ claims are barred by laches. Finally, this Court should abstain
10 from adjudicating this matter in deference to ongoing state proceedings and respect for
11 the Secretary’s Eleventh Amendment immunity.
12 Even if plaintiffs’ claims could somehow overcome these many procedural
13 defects, they would just as assuredly fail on the merits for the reasons described below.3
14 Because plaintiffs’ claims lack merit, their motion for a temporary restraining order and
15 for preliminary injunctive relief also fail. Moreover, the balance of hardships tips strongly
16 against plaintiffs. Plaintiffs sat on their hands not just while the election was but for more
17 than a month afterwards. Plaintiffs’ requested relief would imperil Arizona’s participation
18 in the Electoral College and potentially disenfranchise nearly 3.4 million Arizonans,
19 thereby rendering it impossible for the Secretary to fulfill her primary responsibility of
20 operating an election that fulfills the will of Arizona voters, as she did. The Secretary
21 respectfully requests that the Court dismiss plaintiffs’ complaint and deny their motion
22 for a temporary restraining order and preliminary injunctive.
23 II. BACKGROUND
24 A. Arizona’s election was fair and secure by any measure.
25 In the face of a once-in-a-century pandemic and unprecedented misinformation,
26 Arizona election officials successfully administered a free, fair, and secure election on
27
28 3
A certificate of consultation required by Local Rule 12.1(c) is attached as Exhibit C.
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1 counting votes, supported by nary a shred of credible evidence. That these are little more
2 than shotgun form lawsuits is evidenced by their apparent inability to keep their states
3 straight. Here, for example, Plaintiffs’ motion argues that the evidence shows “that
4 Defendants failed to administer the November 3, 2020 election in compliance with the
5 manner prescribed by the Georgia legislature.” Doc. 2 (Pl.’s Mot. for TRO) at 6
6 (emphasis added).5
7 D. This case was filed on the heels of a strikingly similar election contest,
brought mere days ago in state court by one of the named Plaintiffs.
8
Just two days before filing this complaint seeking to “set aside the 2020 General
9
Election results,” one of the named Plaintiffs—Dr. Kelli Ward, Chair of the Arizona
10
Republican Party—brought an elections contest in Maricopa County Superior Court.
11
Ward v. Jackson, et al., CV 2020-015285 (filed Sup. Ct. Maricopa Cty. Nov. 24, 2020)
12
(attached as Ex. B).
13
The similarities between the two cases are numerous. In her state-court elections
14
contest, for example, Dr. Ward seeks to have the court (i) order “that the election [be]
15
annulled and set aside,” (ii) conclude “that the Trump Electors have the highest number
16
of legal votes[,] and [(iii)] declare those persons elected.” See Ward Complaint at 9
17
(Prayer for Relief). Similarly, Plaintiffs seek here that the election results be “annulled
18
and set aside.” Doc. 1, ¶ 16. The commonalities between these matters also extend to
19
many specific factual allegations. In her state-court elections contest, for example, Dr.
20
Ward contends that “election officials completely failed and/or refused to allow legal
21
observers to fully observe” proceedings. See Ward Complaint ¶¶ 21-23, 26. This, she
22
claims, amounts to statutory “misconduct” that warrants a declaration “that the election
23
is annulled and set aside.” Ward Complaint ¶ 37. Similarly, here, Plaintiffs (including Dr.
24
Ward) claim that election officials committed misconduct because they “acted and will
25
26
5
See also Zach Montellaro and Kyle Cheney, Pro-Trump Legal Crusade Peppered With
27 Bizarre Blunders, Politico, Dec. 3, 2020,
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/03/sidney-powell-trump-election-lawsuit-
28 442472.
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1 continue to act under color of state law to violate Plaintiffs’ right to be present and have
2 actual observation and access to the electoral process.” Doc. 1 ¶¶ 15, 118, 120. And
3 similarly, here, Plaintiffs seek as their first request “[a]n order directing Governor Ducey
4 and Secretary Hobbs to de-certify the election results.” Id. ¶¶ 145.1.
5 Earlier today, the Superior Court denied all relief requested by Dr. Ward. Prior to
6 today’s ruling, the Superior Court partially dismissed Dr. Ward’s case on the record based
7 on laches, to the extent she sought to raise an election contest on the basis of official
8 misconduct for failure to permit observers to view election proceedings. In addition to
9 this action, various other challenges to Arizona’s General Election have failed in state
10 court. See, e.g., Aguilera, et al v. Fontes, et al., No. 2020-014083, (Maricopa Sup. Ct.);
11 Trump, et al. v. Hobbs, et al., No. 2020-014248, (Maricopa Sup. Ct); Arizona Republican
12 Party v. Fontes, et al., No. 2020-014553, Maricopa Sup. Ct.); Aguilera, et al. v. Fontes,
13 et al., No. 2020-014562 (Maricopa Sup. Ct.); Ward v. Jackson, et al., No. 2020-015285,
14 Maricopa Sup. Ct.).
15 III. ARGUMENT
16 A. Legal Standard
17 This Court must first assure itself that it has jurisdiction to hear the present
18 controversy, by determining that Plaintiffs have standing. A case “brought by a plaintiff
19 without … standing is not a ‘case or controversy,’ and an Article III federal court therefore
20 lacks subject matter jurisdiction over the suit.” Cetacean Cmty. v. Bush, 386 F.3d 1169,
21 1174 (9th Cir. 2004) (citing Steel Co. v. Citizens for a Better Env’t, 523 U.S. 83, 101
22 (1998)). In addition, the Court must determine whether Plaintiffs have “prudential
23 standing”—that is, whether their claims “‘fall within the zone of interests to be protected
24 or regulated by the statute or constitutional guarantee in question.’” Yakima Valley Mem’l
25 Hosp. v. Washington State Dep’t of Health, 654 F.3d 919, 932 (9th Cir. 2011) (quoting
26 Valley Forge Christian Coll. v. Ams. United for Separation of Church & State, Inc., 454
27 U.S. 464, 474 (1982)).
28
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1 If the Court is satisfied that it has the power to hear the dispute, it may then evaluate
2 whether the factual allegations, taken as true, “nudge” the complaint “across the line from
3 conceivable,” Eclectic Properties E., LLC v. Marcus & Millichap Co., 751 F.3d 990, 997
4 (9th Cir. 2014), to “plausible on its face.” Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 556 U.S. 662, 678 (2008);
5 see also Bell Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 550 U.S. 544, 570 (2007). Allegations are not
6 plausible, however, where there exists an “obvious alternative explanation” for alleged
7 misconduct, Capp v. Cty. of San Diego, 940 F.3d 1046, 1055 (9th Cir. 2019) (quoting
8 Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 682; Twombly, 550 U.S. at 567), based on “judicial experience and
9 common sense.” Cafasso, U.S. ex rel. v. Gen. Dynamics C4 Sys., Inc., 637 F.3d 1047,
10 1056 (9th Cir. 2011) (quoting Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 679). And where, as here, Plaintiffs state
11 claims sounding in fraud, a court must additionally find that the allegations meet the
12 “heightened” pleading standard” for fraud claims required by Rule 9(b), and that they
13 have been raised “with particularity.” Cafasso, 637 F.3d at 1054-1055.
14 As discussed below, Plaintiffs fail to satisfy these standards.
15 B. The claims brought in this case must be brought in state court as part
of an elections contest.
16
17 Plaintiffs’ suit advances claims that, at bottom, must be brought in an elections
18 contest. And an elections contest in Arizona must be brought in state court, not federal
19 court. Indeed, Plaintiffs themselves acknowledge that the grounds for this lawsuit are
20 among the same grounds specifically envisioned by the Arizona elections contest statute:
21 alleged misconduct, illegal votes, offenses against the franchise, and erroneous counting.
22 Doc. 1, ¶ 15 (citing A.R.S. § 16-672). And Plaintiffs rely on both the remedies and the
23 timeline provided by the Arizona contest statute. Id. ¶¶ 16, 18; see also id. ¶ 123.
24 Plaintiffs’ attempt to have it both ways—relying on Arizona’s contest statute to their
25 benefit while simultaneously admitting that this is not actually an election contest (in
26 order to avoid state court)—should not be condoned by this Court.
27 Because of the “strong public policy favoring stability and finality of election
28 results,” the Arizona Supreme Court requires that election contests be made in “strict
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1 compliance” with the statutory requirements. Donaghey v. Ariz. Attorney Gen., 584 P.2d
2 557, 559 (Ariz. 1978). Those requirements include A.R.S. § 16-672(B)’s mandate that
3 contests be brought in state court.
4 To be clear: Plaintiffs are absolutely correct that this lawsuit is not an elections
5 contest under Arizona law. But that does not save them. Plaintiffs are not allowed to
6 circumvent Arizona’s strict rules for bringing challenges to election results by filing a
7 federal court lawsuit and calling it something different. They must follow the law.
8 Plaintiffs are forum shopping. That one Plaintiff here brought a state elections contest and
9 lost is not an excuse to bring an action in federal court seeking the same remedy.
10 C. Plaintiffs lack Article III and prudential standing.
11 Plaintiffs’ claims also fail for a further procedural reason that does not even require
12 the Court to reach the merits: they lack standing, under both Article III of the U.S.
13 Constitution and as a prudential matter. “The doctrine of standing asks whether a litigant
14 is entitled to have a federal court resolve his grievance. This inquiry involves ‘both
15 constitutional limitations on federal-court jurisdiction and prudential limitations on its
16 exercise.’” Kowalski v. Tesmer, 543 U.S. 125, 128-29 (2004) (quoting Warth v. Seldin,
17 422 U.S. 490, 498 (1975)). To establish standing, plaintiffs must show: (1) injury in fact;
18 (2) a causal connection between their claim and the alleged injury; and (3) redressability
19 of the claimed harm. Barnum Timber Co. v. U.S. Env’l Prot. Agency, 633 F.3d 894, 897
20 (9th Cir. 2011). As electors who voted in the recent election who can offer nothing but
21 speculation and conjecture as to how the scheme they implausibly allege might have
22 affected the outcome of the election, plaintiffs have no right to pursue a “generalized
23 grievance” regarding the procedures or outcome of the recent election.
24 1. Plaintiffs lack standing to pursue their Electors and Elections
Clause Claim (Count 1).
25
26 Plaintiffs claim that defendants failed to follow Arizona law in certifying voting
27 machines, verifying signatures, and restricting access to poll observers. Doc. 1, ¶¶ 43-53,
28 103-11. This is “precisely the kind of undifferentiated, generalized grievance about the
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1 conduct of government that [courts] have refused to countenance in the past.” Lance v.
2 Coffman, 549 U.S. 437, 442 (2007).
3 Plaintiffs do not gain standing by virtue of their roles as presidential electors. The
4 role of a presidential elector under Arizona law is purely ministerial: electors “shall cast
5 their electoral college votes for the candidate for president and the candidate for vice
6 president who jointly received the highest number of votes in this state as prescribed in
7 the canvass.” A.R.S. § 16-221(B). The Arizona legislature has further determined that
8 any elector who does not cast their vote in accordance with the results certified by the
9 Secretary “is no longer eligible to hold the office of presidential elector and that office is
10 deemed and declared vacant by operation of law.” Id. § 16-221.C. Thus, there can be no
11 claim that the State is depriving Plaintiffs of any individual right under the Electors and
12 Elections Clause by failing to administer the election in the manner plaintiffs desire.
13 Indeed, the Third Circuit recently held that plaintiffs—whether voters or candidates—
14 have no private right of action at all under the Electors and Elections Clause. Bognet,
15 2020 WL 6686120, at *19 (3d Cir. Nov. 13, 2020).
16 Prudential standing leads to the same result. Under the prudential standing
17 doctrine, even plaintiffs who can show some individual injury in fact—which Plaintiffs
18 here cannot—may nonetheless “assert only a violation of [their] own rights.” Virginia v.
19 Am. Booksellers Ass’n, 484 U.S. 383, 392 (1988). Here, Plaintiffs’ claims rest entirely on
20 the rights of third parties—the rights of non-parties whose votes allegedly were not
21 counted, and the right of the presidential candidates to have Arizona’s electors awarded
22 to the candidate who received the highest number of votes. Plaintiffs themselves have not
23 alleged and cannot claim to have suffered any individualized harm or violation of their
24 own rights, and thus lack standing to pursue their claim.
25 2. Plaintiffs’ Equal Protection, Due Process, and “Widespread
Fraud” Claims Likewise Fail for a Lack of Article III Standing
26 (Counts II-IV).
27 The standing principles that doom Plaintiffs’ lead claim for violations of the Elections
28 and Electors Clause also foreclose their claims in Counts II-IV for violations of the Equal
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1 Protection Clause, the Due Process Clause, and “Widespread Fraud” (presumably in
2 violation of Arizona common law, although the complaint is unclear on that point, among
3 others). The common thread in each of these claims is that Plaintiffs’ votes were diluted
4 because Arizona counties counted some votes Plaintiffs contend were “illegal” and failed
5 to count some votes Plaintiffs contend were “legal.” But courts have rejected the notion
6 that the generalized grievance of alleged vote dilution provides private plaintiffs like
7 those here with a right of action. Bognet, 2020 WL 6686120, at *11 (“This
8 conceptualization of vote dilution—state actors counting ballots in violation of state
9 election law—is not a concrete harm under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth
10 Amendment.”); Nolles v. State Comm. for Reorganization of Sch. Dists., 524 F.3d 892,
11 900 (8th Cir. 2008) (voters lacked standing to allege substantive due process claim
12 regarding implementation of new election law where they failed to allege particularized
13 injury); Wood v. Raffensperger, No. 1:20-cv-04651, 2020 WL 6817513, at *5 (N.D. Ga.
14 Nov. 20, 2020) (“This is a textbook generalized grievance.”); Moore v. Cicosta, No. 1:20-
15 cv-911, 2020 WL 6063332, at *14 (M.D.N.C. Oct. 14, 2020) (“[T]he notion that a single
16 person’s vote will be less valuable as a result of unlawful or illegal ballots being cast is
17 not a concrete and particularized injury in fact necessary for Article III standing.”).
18 There is a good reason for this standing principle that precludes private plaintiffs
19 from challenging governmental action or inaction that impacts the public generally:
20 otherwise, any enterprising conspiracy theorist with a Twitter following could run a
21 GoFundMe campaign to challenge the results of an election. Basic principles of standing
22 foreclose the notion that private plaintiffs such as those here can unilaterally choose to
23 pursue the extraordinary measure of putting the results of a presidential election in the
24 hands of the jury that would be responsible for adjudicating these claims if they somehow
25 were to proceed to a trial on the merits.
26 D. Laches bars Plaintiffs’ claims.
27 Even if they have standing (they don’t), the doctrine of laches bars Plaintiffs’
28 claims because they have unreasonably delayed bringing their claims to the detriment of
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1 not only the defendants, but also the millions of voters in Arizona who voted in this last
2 election. Danjaq LLC v. Sony Corp., 263 F.3d 942, 951 (9th Cir. 2001) (“To demonstrate
3 laches, the ‘defendant must prove both an unreasonable delay by the plaintiff and
4 prejudice to itself.’”).
5 In the election context, the Ninth Circuit has regularly dismissed claims brought
6 after elections based on laches, “lest the granting of post-election relief encourage
7 sandbagging on the part of wily plaintiffs.” Soules v. Kauaians for Nukolii Campaign
8 Comm., 849 F.2d 1176, 1180 (9th Cir. 1988). This is because of “the extremely disruptive
9 effect of election invalidation and the havoc it wreaks upon local political continuity.” Id.
10 Thus, “if aggrieved parties, without adequate explanation, do not come forward before
11 the election, they will be barred from the equitable relief of overturning the results of the
12 election.” Id. (emphasis added).
13 Even when plaintiffs bring pre-election claims, they must do so sufficiently before
14 the election. This Court has repeatedly dismissed pre-election claims based on laches
15 when plaintiffs did not promptly bring their claims upon discovery of those claims. See,
16 e.g., League of Women Voters of Arizona v. Reagan, No. CV-18-02620-PHX-JAT, 2018
17 WL 4467891, at *8 (D. Ariz. Sept. 18, 2018) (dismissing a claim brought “less than three
18 months” before the election); Arizona Libertarian Party v. Reagan, 189 F. Supp. 3d 920,
19 921 (D. Ariz. 2016) (dismissing an election claim brought 18 days before the relevant
20 deadline); Arizona Pub. Integrity All. Inc. v. Bennett, No. CV-14-01044-PHX-NVW,
21 2014 WL 3715130, at *2 (D. Ariz. June 23, 2014) (dismissing an election claim brought
22 two weeks before the relevant deadline); Arizona Minority Coal. for Fair Redistricting v.
23 Arizona Indep. Redistricting Comm’n, 366 F. Supp. 2d 887, 909 (D. Ariz. 2005)
24 (dismissing claim when plaintiffs had “ample opportunity” to bring the claim sooner).
25 Plaintiffs unreasonably delayed bringing their claims not only until after the
26 election, but almost a month after Election Day. This delay is manifestly unreasonable
27 and ample grounds for dismissal under Ninth Circuit precedent.
28
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1 In Count II, which purports to state a claim under the Equal Protection Clause and
2 28 U.S.C. § 1983, Plaintiffs argue that Arizona election officials improperly violated their
3 “right to be present and have actual observation and access to the electoral process as
4 secured by the Equal Protection Clause of the United States Constitution and Arizona
5 law.” Doc. 1, ¶¶ 118, 120. Paragraphs 43-53 of Plaintiffs’ complaint also parade through
6 a laundry list of grievances regarding alleged “Violations of Arizona Election Law,” Doc.
7 1, ¶¶ 43-53, all of which are incorporated by reference in each of plaintiffs’ claims. Id. ¶
8 103, 112, 124, 135. The allegations focus on the process used to match signatures on
9 absentee ballots during the election, id. ¶¶ 46-48, the role of poll watchers and poll
10 referees during the election, id. ¶¶ 48-49, alleged “irregularities” in the operation of
11 Dominion Voting Machines during the election, id. ¶¶ 50-52, and the certification of the
12 Dominion machines, id. ¶ 53. As Plaintiffs acknowledge, nearly all of these practices
13 were in place on or before Election Day, and even the one post-election practice Plaintiffs
14 challenge, the recent recertification of post-election logic and accuracy test of Maricopa
15 County’s Dominion machines on November 18, id. ¶ 53, occurred almost three weeks
16 ago.
17 Plaintiffs do not claim knowledge that any of these practices led to counting a
18 single illegal vote or discounting a single legal vote in Arizona. And they provide no
19 explanation why they are raising these issues now, more than a month after the election
20 was completed, when their own complaint reveals they were aware of their grievances on
21 or before Election Day.
22 Specifically, Plaintiffs have known about Dominion voting machines for months.
23 See Jarrow Formulas, Inc. v. Nutrition Now, Inc., 304 F.3d 829, 838 (9th Cir. 2002) (the
24 delay is “measured from the time the plaintiff knew or should have known about its
25 potential cause of action”). Throughout their Complaint, Plaintiffs allege that the
26 Dominion machines perpetuated errors and fraud based on “publicly available evidence,”
27 (Doc. 1, ¶ 21), including that (1) in 2018, an expert witness testified about Dominion’s
28 vulnerabilities, (see id. ¶ 72-73); (2) on January 24, 2020, Texas opted not to use
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1 Dominion due to the possibility of fraud, (see id. ¶ 67, Ex. 11); and (3) on October 22,
2 2020, the Northern District of Georgia issued an order as to Dominion voting machines,
3 (see id. ¶ 69). By Plaintiffs’ own repeated admission, they have long been on notice of
4 these alleged irregularities.
5 Similarly, regarding any issues Plaintiffs take with their “right to be present and
6 have actual observation and access to the electoral process as secured by the Equal
7 Protection Clause of the United States Constitution and Arizona law,” Doc. 1, ¶ 118, the
8 opportunity to observe the electoral process arose in October—when counties began to
9 tabulate early ballots—and continued through the canvass. See, e.g., A.R.S. § 16-550(B);
10 Jessica Suerth, “Arizona Early Ballots in [the] 2020 Election Are Being Counted”, KGW8
11 (Oct. 20, 2020).6
12 In sum, Plaintiffs have offered no justifiable explanation for their delay in pursuing
13 their claims. Nor could they. From the face of the Complaint, it is clear they were well
14 aware of many of these issues well before Election Day, and all the rest of them no later
15 than Election Day. Indeed, plaintiff Ward is the Chair of the Arizona Republican Party
16 and the Plaintiff in the separate, ongoing election contest proceeding in Arizona State
17 Court. Apart from their apparent tactical interest in scuttling the certified results of the
18 election in Arizona, plaintiffs simply have no defensible basis for their delay.
19 Nor can there be any doubt that plaintiffs’ delay—if it somehow resulted in their
20 desired relief of decertifying the Arizona election results and awarding Arizona’s electors
21 to the losing candidate instead of the winning candidate, as their proposed order asserts it
22 should—would prejudice both defendants and the nearly 3.4 million Arizonans who cast
23 their votes in the election. In assessing prejudice, courts in election cases consider
24 “prejudice to the courts, candidates, citizens who signed petitions, election officials, and
25 voters.” Reagan, 189 F. Supp. 3d at 923 (Sotomayor v. Burns, 199 Ariz. 81, 13 P.3d
26 1198, 1200 (2000); Mathieu v. Mahoney, 174 Ariz. 456, 851 P.2d 81, 85 (1993)). As the
27
6
https://www.kgw.com/article/news/politics/elections/arizona-ballots-counted-2020-
28 election-biden-trump-kelly-mcsally/75-96f7a64f-18d8-425d-91b0-c721f96fe6bb.
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1 State’s primary elections official, it is the Secretary’s duty to ensure that elections are
2 conducted in a manner that fulfills the will of Arizona voters. She did so, and plaintiffs
3 should not be permitted to challenge that reality by asserting these bogus claims well after
4 the election was completed. The Electoral College meets less than one week after the
5 hearing on this motion, on December 14, 2020. Because of plaintiffs’ delays, it is no
6 longer feasible that this case could proceed through a trial on the merits and any related
7 appeals before electors must cast their votes. Granting Plaintiffs’ requested preliminary
8 relief would thus effectively deprive defendants and Arizona voters of their right to
9 defend against these claims on the merits, while rewarding plaintiffs for their tactical
10 delay. Such a result would be untenable and cannot be squared with any conception of
11 the doctrine of laches.
12 E. Plaintiffs’ conspiracy theories fail to meet basic pleading standards.
13
Because Plaintiffs’ claims fail on procedural grounds for lack of jurisdiction, based
14
on the application of the doctrine of laches, and for lack of standing, the Court need not
15
reach the merits to dismiss the case with prejudice and deny the TRO application and
16
request for preliminary injunctive relief as moot. Nonetheless, should the Court address
17
the merits, the substance of Plaintiffs’ allegations provides even more reasons for
18
dismissing all their claims with prejudice. Distilled to their essence, Plaintiffs’ allegations
19
underlying each of their claims are grounded on the following theories, each of which has
20
fundamental and insurmountable flaws:
21
1. There Are No Plausible Allegations That Dominion Voting
22 Systems Machines Were Hacked in Arizona.
23 Plaintiffs offer the affidavit of an anonymous witness who claims to have had ties
25 that country. Doc. 1, Ex. 1. Plaintiffs’ lead (albeit anonymous) witness acknowledges
26
7
Hugo Chavez died on March 5, 2013. William Neuman, Chavez Dies, Leaving Sharp
27 Divisions in Venezuela, N.Y. Times Mar. 6, 2013, available at
https://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/06/world/americas/hugo-chavez-of-venezuela-
28 dies.html.
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1 having little knowledge of the electoral process in the United States: “I have not
2 participated in any political process in the United States, have not supported any candidate
3 for office in the United States, am not legally permitted to vote in the United States, and
4 have never attempted to vote in the United States.” Id. ¶ 3. The witness claims to have
5 witnessed the creation and operation of a voting systems company called “Smartmatic,”
6 and claims this system was used to manipulate elections in favor of Chavez and his
7 successor, Nicolas Maduro. Id. ¶¶ 7-19. The witness also claims this system was used to
8 rig elections throughout Latin America. Id. ¶ 20. This witness further claims that
9 descendants of this “Smartmatic” system are now “in the DNA” of voting software
10 systems used in the United States, including Dominion Voting Systems, such that they
11 could be exploited by unscrupulous persons seeking to manipulate election results. Id.
12 ¶¶ 21-22.
13 According to this supposed anonymous witness, on Election Day, “vote counting
14 was abruptly stopped in five states using Dominion software” when “Donald Trump was
15 significantly ahead in the votes.” Id. ¶ 26. Plaintiffs’ anonymous lead witness continues
16 by asserting that “during the wee hours of the morning … something significantly
17 changed,” such that “[w]hen the vote reporting resumed the very next morning there was
18 a very pronounced change in favor of the opposing candidate, Joe Biden.” Id.
19 This is a preposterous claim even in states where large batches of votes for
20 President-Elect Biden were reported in the days after Election Day. But plaintiffs have
21 no plausible basis for alleging this transpired in Arizona. On election night, President-
22 Elect Biden had a relatively substantial lead due to favorable results in early voting, and
23 was declared the victor in the state by Fox News and the Associated Press. Erik Wemple,
24 Arizona Calls Vindicate Fox Decision Desk, Wash. Post, Nov. 13, 2020, available at
25 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/11/13/arizona-calls-vindicate-fox-
26 news-decision-desk/. His lead narrowed in subsequent days due to President Trump’s
27 relatively favorable results among votes cast on Election Day, before the remaining
28 networks called the election in President-Elect Biden’s favor once it became clear the
{00526133.1 }
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1 margin exceeded 10,000 votes and was not subject to reasonable dispute. Id. The
2 professed “alarm[]” plaintiffs’ anonymous lead witness claims to have experienced with
3 respect to the Arizona election results, Cmplt. Exh. 1 ¶ 26, is utterly nonsensical.
4 With that, Plaintiffs’ allegations regarding Dominion Voting Systems machines in
5 Arizona fall apart. While Plaintiffs allege that such machines (like all computers) could
6 be hacked and manipulated, they make no plausible allegation that Dominion machines
7 in Arizona were hacked and manipulated. And while Plaintiffs devote twenty-three pages
8 of their complaint to allegations of potential vulnerabilities of Dominion machines and
9 software, id. ¶¶ 63-101, and six pages to the antipathy of a single Dominion employee
10 towards President Trump, id. ¶¶ 94-101, they offer no plausible connection whatsoever
11 between these allegations and any impact on the results of the election in Arizona.
12 2. Plaintiffs’ Allegations Regarding “Unreturned Absentee
Ballots” and Out-of-State Voters Provide No Basis for
13 Overturning the Election Results.
14 The primary statistical theory underlying Plaintiffs’ claim that there were a
15 sufficient number of illegal votes counted and legal votes uncounted to overturn the
16 results of the election is based on the analysis of two so-called experts, Dr. William M.
17 Briggs (a self-proclaimed “Statistician to the Stars!,” Cmplt. Exh. 2), who in turn states
18 that his opinions are based entirely on survey data provided by someone named Matt
19 Braynard. Compl. Ex. 2, at 1.
20 But who is Matt Braynard? Exhibit 3 to the complaint consists of a series of
21 printouts of Twitter posts from someone named Matt Braynard. Otherwise, neither
22 plaintiffs nor Dr. Briggs offer anything whatsoever about Braynard’s identify,
23 qualifications, the methodologies used in his surveys, whether those methodologies
24 comported with the standards required for considering a survey reliable, the steps taken
25 to ensure his samples were random and representative of the underlying population, or
26 the steps taken to account for possible inaccuracies or falsehoods provided in survey
27 responses. Dr. Briggs does not even cite any basis for his assumption that there were
28 518,860 “unreturned absentee ballots” in Arizona. Id. at 1.
{00526133.1 }
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{00526133.1 }
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1 Plaintiffs’ assertion that the Court could plausibly conclude that 5,790 absentee
2 votes were “illegal” based on voters filing notices of change of address in advance of the
3 election is equally ridiculous. Again, this assertion is based solely on a Twitter post by
4 someone named Matt Braynard—for whom Plaintiffs offer no evidence of any
5 qualifications or methodologies or anything else. Plaintiffs completely disregard the fact
6 that voters may change their mailing address for reasons wholly consistent with their right
7 to continue voting in Arizona—e.g., a 19 year old from Pima County attending college
8 out of state may have elected to retain their Arizona residence in voting status, while
9 receiving their personal mail at school; similarly, a service member from Maricopa
10 County may have been transferred from one deployment to another, while properly
11 remaining an Arizona voter throughout. Plaintiffs make no allegation that could provide
12 a plausible basis for concluding a single one of the address changes they characterize as
13 “illegal votes” was in fact “illegal.”
14 3. Plaintiffs’ Allegations Regarding “Statistical Impossibilities”
Provide No Basis for Overturning the Election Results.
15
16 Plaintiffs further ask the Court to cast aside more than 160,000 votes of Arizonans,
17 and thereby reverse the results of the election as determined by the will of nearly 3.4
18 million voters, based on what they describe as “historically unprecedented” turnout levels
19 and “statistically significant” results favoring President-Elect Biden in unspecified
20 counties using Dominion Voting Machines. Cmplt. ¶ 19 D-E. One of plaintiffs’ so-called
21 experts, Russell Ramsland, asserts there was “an improbable, and possibly impossible
22 spike in processed votes” in Maricopa and Pima Counties at 8:46 p.m. on November 3,
23 2020. Cmplt. ¶ 60 & Exh. 17. Mr. Ramsland’s affidavit indicates he has a business and
24 technical background that includes experience with election systems, but he does not
25 profess to have any expertise in political science, election operations and logistics, the
26 timing of election returns, or the manner in which ballots are processed in the State of
27 Arizona. Id. Ex. 17. He apparently was wholly ignorant of (or omitted) the fact that
28 Arizona begins processing early ballots before the election, such that the results of early
{00526133.1 }
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1 ballots in Pima and Maricopa Counties shortly after the polls closed was unsurprising.
2 Mr. Ramsland’s speculation that these results were the product of a multi-national
3 conspiracy, rather than the counting of validly cast ballots, is utterly implausible. And
4 while Plaintiffs submit affidavits from other witnesses who profess their surprise at the
5 election results, none of them offers any plausible basis for questioning the election
6 results.
7 4. Plaintiffs’ Allegations Regarding Alleged Violations of Arizona
Election Laws Provide No Basis for Overturning the Election.
8
9 Finally, plaintiffs allege various violations of Arizona election law at the county level
10 in connection with the administration of the Arizona election. Cmplt. ¶¶ 46-52. Plaintiffs
11 do not allege that the Secretary was responsible for any of these alleged violations, as
12 would be required to hold her responsible for “widespread fraud” (Count IV), or as
13 individually responsible for the constitutional violations alleged in counts I-III. Nor do
14 Plaintiffs allege any of these alleged violations resulted in counting a sufficient number
15 of illegal votes or discounting a sufficient number of legal votes to call into question the
16 results of the election.
17 In short, even if accepted as true solely for purposes of considering a motion to
18 dismiss, the allegations of Plaintiffs’ complaint do not provide any plausible basis for the
19 relief they seek, i.e., overturning the results of the 2020 presidential election in Arizona.
20 F. The Court Should Dismiss This Case on Preclusion Principles.
21
Plaintiffs are barred from re-adjudicating their issues here under the doctrine of
22
collateral estoppel, or issue preclusion. Issue preclusion “applies when an issue was [1]
23
actually litigated in a previous proceeding, there was [2] a full and fair opportunity to
24
litigate the issue, [3] resolution of the issue was essential to the decision, a [4] valid and
25
final decision on the merits was entered, and there is [5] common identity of the
26
parties.” Ludwig v. Arizona by & through Brnovich, 790 F. App’x 849, 851 (9th Cir.
27
2019) (quoting Hullett v. Cousin, 63 P.3d 1029, 1034 (Ariz. 2003)).
28
{00526133.1 }
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1 All of these requirements are satisfied here. As discussed, at issue in the Maricopa
2 County Superior Court elections contest was whether election officials engaged in
3 misconduct warranting that the election be annulled and set aside for failure to allow legal
4 observers to “fully observe” proceedings. See Ward Complaint ¶¶ 21-23, 26, 37; see also
5 Ward v. Jackson, Proposed Findings of Fact and Conclusions of Law ¶ 11. Plaintiffs raise
6 this same issue in their complaint. Compl. ¶¶ 15, 118, 120. The Maricopa County
7 Superior Court clearly denied relief on this theory on the record during an evidentiary
8 hearing, after briefing and argument. Under Arizona law, “a party precluded from
9 litigating an issue … is also precluded from doing so with another, provided there was
10 full and fair opportunity to litigate the issue in the first action.” Gilbert v. Ben-Asher, 900
11 F.2d 1407, 1410 (9th Cir. 1990); see also Campbell v. SZL Properties, Ltd., 62 P.3d 966,
12 968 (Ariz. Ct. App. 2003) (holding that if “the first four elements of collateral estoppel
13 are present, Arizona permits defensive … use of the doctrine”). Having fully availed
14 herself of the opportunity to litigate her “misconduct” claim in state court—and lost—Dr.
15 Ward cannot join with her fellow presidential electors in this suit to obtain a second bite
16 at the apple.8
17 G. The Eleventh Amendment Bars Plaintiffs’ claims.
18 Plaintiffs’ claims face yet another insurmountable hurdle: the Eleventh
19 Amendment. As the Supreme Court held in Pennhurst State School & Hospital v.
20 Halderman, the Eleventh Amendment bars federal courts from granting “relief against
21 state officials on the basis of state law, whether prospective or retroactive.” 465 U.S. 89,
22 106 (1984). This bar applies even where plaintiffs disguise their state law claims as
23 federal causes of action. See, e.g., Massey v. Coon, No. 87-
24 8
If the Court declines to dismiss the case outright on the grounds that the claims raised
25 by Plaintiffs can only be brought in state court in an election contest it should, at the very
least, abstain from hearing the case on federalism and comity grounds and dismiss on that
26 basis. See Quackenbush v. Allstate Ins. Co., 517 U.S. 706, 727–30 (1996) (affirming the
power of federal courts to dismiss under abstention doctrines absent a mandatory duty to
27 award relief). Plaintiffs ask for an unprecedented intrusion into state sovereignty by a
federal court. Under the Burford, Colorado River, and Pullman doctrines of abstention,
28 Plaintiffs’ claims should be resolved in a state forum.
{00526133.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40 Filed 12/04/20 Page 21 of 25
1 3768, 1989 WL 884, at *2 (9th Cir. Jan. 3, 1989) (affirming dismissal where “on its face
2 the complaint states a claim under the due process and equal protection clauses of the
3 Constitution, [but] these constitutional claims are entirely based on the failure of
4 defendants to conform to state law”); Balsam v. Sec'y of New Jersey, 607 F. App'x 177,
5 183 (3d Cir. 2015) (applying bar to state law claims “premised on violations of the federal
6 Constitution”); Thompson v. Alabama, No. 2:16-CV-783-WKW, 2017 WL 3223915, at
7 *8 (M.D. Ala. July 28, 2017) (bar applies where federal constitutional claims rest on
8 failure to enforce state law, as “[t]he true nature of this ‘remedy’ sounds in state law”).
9 Try though they might to disguise their claims as federal causes of action, Plaintiffs
10 cannot escape the Eleventh Amendment. Count IV, for example, is captioned merely as
11 “Wide-Spread Ballot Fraud.” But even a cursory review of Count IV’s allegations makes
12 clear that this count stems from violations of Arizona law, not federal constitutional or
13 statutory law. Plaintiffs allege that certification must be enjoined because “there were
14 intentional violations of multiple provisions of Arizona law,” Cmplt. ¶ 141, and (mis)cite
15 to an Arizona Supreme Court decision about Arizona remedies for violations of Arizona
16 election statutes, Cmplt. ¶ 138. Plaintiffs’ other counts fare little better. Count II claims
17 violations of the Equal Protection Clause—but those violations are premised on a failure
18 to comply with state elections law, such as the right to observe. Cmplt. ¶ 118. And,
19 perplexingly, Count II again relies on the ability to contest elections under Arizona law.
20 Compl. ¶ 123. Count I alleges that Defendants violated the Elections and Electors Clauses
21 by somehow exercising their powers in a way that “conflict[s] with existing legislation”
22 enacted by the Arizona legislature—again hinging on whether state law was violated.
23 Compl. ¶ 106.9 And Count III alleges a Due Process Clause violation premised on a
24 failure to comply with Arizona law on ballot security and transport and the resulting
25 “dilution” of Plaintiffs’ votes. Cmplt. ¶ 132 (citing A.R.S. § 16-608). The relief Plaintiffs
26
27 Count I, in what appears to be a botched cut-and-paste job, also cites to several
9
provisions of the VRA and HAVA, but does not allege violations of either statute.
28 See Cmplt. ¶ 106(i–iv).
{00526133.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40 Filed 12/04/20 Page 22 of 25
1 seek thus “conflicts directly with the principles of federalism that underlie the Eleventh
2 Amendment.” Pennhurst, 465 U.S. at 106.
3 H. Plaintiffs’ Requested TRO and Preliminary Injunction Should be
Denied as Moot and In Any Event Are Without Merit.
4
5 Plaintiffs’ requested TRO and motion for preliminary injunctive relief should be
6 denied for the same reasons the motion to dismiss should be granted, as well as on
7 separate and independent grounds that the Court need only consider if the motion to
8 dismiss is denied. As this Court has ruled, “‘the standard for issuing
9 a temporary restraining order is identical to that for issuing a preliminary
10 injunction.’” Compass Bank v. Lovell, No. CV-16-00538-PHX-DJH, 2016 WL 8738244,
11 at *4 (D. Ariz. Apr. 8, 2016) (quoting Taylor-Failor v. Cty. of Hawaii, 90 F. Supp. 3d
12 1095, 1098 (D. Haw. 2015)). In any case, a TRO and request for preliminary injunction
13 is “‘an extraordinary remedy never awarded as a matter of right.”” Id. (quoting Winter v.
14 Natural Res. Defense Council, 555 U.S. 7, 24 (2008)). That is all the more so here, where
15 Plaintiffs seek this to employ this always-extraordinary remedy to obtain sweeping and
16 unprecedented relief that would overturn the results of the Arizona election, award the
17 state’s electors to the certified loser of the election instead of the winner, and thereby
18 disenfranchise nearly 3.4 million Arizona voters.
19 “’To obtain a preliminary injunction, a party must show that ‘he is likely to succeed
20 on the merits, that he is likely to suffer irreparable harm in the absence of preliminary
21 relief, that the balance of equities tips in his favor, and that an injunction is in the public
22 interest.’” Id. (quoting Friends of the Wild Swan v. Weber, 767 F.3d 936, 942 (9th Cir.
23 2014)). Id. Plaintiffs fail to make any of the required showings.
24 1. Plaintiffs’ Claims Have No Likelihood of Success.
25 Here, Plaintiffs have no likelihood of success on their claims—as discussed above,
26 the claims should be dismissed. But even if any of Plaintiffs’ claims were adequately
27 alleged, Plaintiffs have not put forward any evidence to suggest they could ever prove (let
28 alone likely prove) their claim that the election results in Arizona were the product of a
{00526133.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40 Filed 12/04/20 Page 23 of 25
1 however, has not offered his own expert report, and Dr. Briggs has disclosed nothing
2 whatsoever about Mr. Braynard’s survey—he has not identified the methodologies that
3 were used, shown that he and other persons who conducted his survey had the
4 qualifications and experience required to conduct a survey in accordance with those
5 methodologies, or disclosed the data that was used in and produced by this supposed
6 survey. The report plaintiffs have submitted from Dr. Briggs thus, on its face, has no
7 conceivable evidentiary value. And Plaintiffs’ other experts likewise have failed to
8 provide the basic data and information needed to assess their opinions and whether they
9 are of any potential evidentiary value.
10 2. Plaintiffs’ Requested Relief Would Result in Enormous
Prejudice to Arizona Voters.
11
12 Any consideration of the relative harm and prejudice that would result from
13 Plaintiffs’ requested relief also must lead to denial of their motion. Because Plaintiffs
14 waited until more than a month after the November election to pursue their claims their
15 proclaimed emergency is of their own making. Moreover, denial of their requested relief
16 would, at most, result in the potential dilution of these Plaintiffs’ votes. As discussed
17 above, a claimed generalized grievance of “vote dilution” is not even a cognizable
18 individual injury that confers standing. Bognet, 2020 WL 668120, at *11-14 Wood v.
19 Raffensperger, No. 1:20-cv-04651, 2020 WL 6817513, at *5 (N.D. Ga. Nov. 20, 2020).
20 By contrast, the requested relief would cause enormous harm to Arizonans, supplanting
21 the will of nearly 3.4 million voters reflected in the certified election results and
22 potentially imperiling Arizona’s participation in the Electoral College. It would be
23 difficult to envision a case in which the balance of hardships would tip more strongly
24 against a plaintiff.
25 IV. CONCLUSION
26 Plaintiffs seek unprecedented relief: overturning a presidential election and
27 disenfranchising nearly 3.4 million Arizona voters—and doing so through a proposed
28 TRO and preliminary injunction no less. They do so based on anonymous affiants, facially
{00526133.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40 Filed 12/04/20 Page 25 of 25
1 unqualified so-called experts, and an implausible claimed conspiracy. For the reasons
2 stated herein, the Court should dismiss plaintiffs’ application for TRO and motion for
3 preliminary injunctive relief, and award the Secretary her attorneys’ fees and other
4 appropriate relief.
5 Respectfully submitted this 4th day of December, 2020.
6 SUSMAN GODFREY L.L.P.
7
By s/ Justin A. Nelson
8 Justin A. Nelson
Stephen E. Morrissey
9 Stephen Shackelford
10 Davida Brook
COPPERSMITH BROCKELMAN PLC
11
Roopali H. Desai
12 D. Andrew Gaona
Kristen Yost
13
Attorneys for Defendant Arizona Secretary of
14 State Katie Hobbs
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
{00526133.1 }
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INDEX OF EXHIBITS
700
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EXHIBIT A
701
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December 4, 2020
To:
You are hereby notified that the Court has entered the following order:
A petition for leave to commence an original action under Wis. Stat. § (Rule) 809.70 and
a supplement thereto, a supporting legal memorandum, and supporting expert reports have been
filed on behalf of petitioners, Wisconsin Voters Alliance, et al. A response to the petition has been
filed by respondents, Wisconsin Elections Commission, Ann S. Jacobs, Mark L. Thomsen, Marge
Bostelman, Julie M. Glancey, Dean Knudsen, and Robert F. Spindell, and a separate response has
been filed by respondent Governor Tony Evers. Amicus briefs regarding the issue of whether to
grant leave to commence an original action have been filed by (1) Christine Todd Whitman, et al;
(2) the City of Milwaukee; (3) Wisconsin State Conference NAACP, et al.; and (4) the Center for
Tech and Civic Life. In addition, a motion to intervene has been filed by proposed intervenor-
respondent, Democratic National Committee.
After considering all of the filings, we conclude that this petition does not satisfy our
standards for granting leave to commence an original action. Although the petition raises time-
702
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40-1 Filed 12/04/20 Page 4 of 8
Page 2
December 4, 2020
No. 2020AP1930-OA Wisconsin Voters Alliance v. Wisconsin Elections Commission
sensitive questions of statewide significance, “issues of material fact [would] prevent the court
from addressing the legal issues presented.” State ex rel. Ozanne v. Fitzgerald, 2011 WI 43, ¶19,
334 Wis. 2d 70, 798 N.W.2d 436 (Prosser, J., concurring). It is therefore not an appropriate case
in which to exercise our original jurisdiction. Accordingly,
IT IS ORDERED that the petition for leave to commence an original action is denied; and
BRIAN HAGEDORN, J., (concurring). The Wisconsin Voters Alliance and a group of
Wisconsin voters bring a petition for an original action raising a variety of questions about the
operation of the November 3, 2020 presidential election. Some of these legal issues may, under
other circumstances, be subject to further judicial consideration. But the real stunner here is the
sought-after remedy. We are invited to invalidate the entire presidential election in Wisconsin by
declaring it “null”—yes, the whole thing. And there’s more. We should, we are told, enjoin the
Wisconsin Elections Commission from certifying the election so that Wisconsin’s presidential
electors can be chosen by the legislature instead, and then compel the Governor to certify those
electors. At least no one can accuse the petitioners of timidity.
Such a move would appear to be unprecedented in American history. One might expect
that this solemn request would be paired with evidence of serious errors tied to a substantial and
demonstrated set of illegal votes. Instead, the evidentiary support rests almost entirely on the
unsworn expert report1 of a former campaign employee that offers statistical estimates based on
call center samples and social media research.
This petition falls far short of the kind of compelling evidence and legal support we would
undoubtedly need to countenance the court-ordered disenfranchisement of every Wisconsin voter.
The petition does not even justify the exercise of our original jurisdiction.
As an initial matter, the Wisconsin Supreme Court is not a fact-finding tribunal. Yet the
petition depends upon disputed factual claims. In other words, we couldn’t just accept one side’s
description of the facts or one side’s expert report even if we were inclined to believe them.2 That
alone means this case is not well-suited for an original action. The petition’s legal support is no
less wanting. For example, it does not explain why its challenge to various election processes
1
After filing their petition for original action, the Petitioners submitted a second expert
report. But the second report only provides additional computations based on the assumptions and
calculations in the initial expert report.
2
The Attorney General and Governor offer legitimate arguments that this report would not
even be admissible evidence under Wis. Stat. § 907.02 (2017-18).
All subsequent references to the Wisconsin Statutes are to the 2017-18 version.
703
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December 4, 2020
No. 2020AP1930-OA Wisconsin Voters Alliance v. Wisconsin Elections Commission
comes after the election, and not before. Nor does it grapple with how voiding the presidential
election results would impact every other race on the ballot, or consider the import of election
statutes that may provide the “exclusive remedy.”3 These are just a few of the glaring flaws that
render the petition woefully deficient. I therefore join the court’s order denying the original action.
I do not mean to suggest this court should look the other way no matter what. But if there
is a sufficient basis to invalidate an election, it must be established with evidence and arguments
commensurate with the scale of the claims and the relief sought. These petitioners have come
nowhere close. While the rough and tumble world of electoral politics may be the prism through
which many view this litigation, it cannot be so for us. In these hallowed halls, the law must rule.
Our disposal of this case should not be understood as a determination or comment on the
merits of the underlying legal issues; judicial review of certain Wisconsin election practices may
be appropriate. But this petition does not merit further consideration by this court, much less grant
us a license to invalidate every single vote cast in Wisconsin’s 2020 presidential election.
3
See Wis. Stat. § 9.01(11) (providing that § 9.01 “constitutes the exclusive judicial remedy
for testing the right to hold an elective office as the result of an alleged irregularity, defect or
mistake committed during the voting or canvassing process”); Wis. Stat. § 5.05(2m)(k) (describing
“[t]he commission’s power to initiate civil actions” under § 5.05(2m) as the “exclusive remedy for
alleged civil violations of chs. 5 to 10 or 12”).
704
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Page 4
December 4, 2020
No. 2020AP1930-OA Wisconsin Voters Alliance v. Wisconsin Elections Commission
2020, presidential election.4 This is the third time that a majority of this court has turned its back
on pleas from the public to address a matter of statewide concern that requires a declaration of
what the statutes require for absentee voting. I dissent and write separately because I have
concluded that the court has not meet its institutional responsibilities by repeatedly refusing to
address legal issues presented in all three cases.
I agree with Justice Hagedorn that we are not a circuit court, and therefore, generally, we
do not take cases for which fact-finding is required. Green for Wisconsin v. State Elections Bd.,
2006 WI 120, 297 Wis. 2d 300, 301, 723 N.W.2d 418. However, when the legal issue that we
wish to address requires it, we have taken cases that do require factual development, referring any
necessary factual determinations to a referee or to a circuit court. State ex rel. LeFebre v. Israel,
109 Wis. 2d 337, 339, 325 N.W.2d 899 (1982); State ex rel White v. Gray, 58 Wis. 2d 285, 286,
206 N.W.163 (1973).
We also have taken cases where the issues we wish to address are purely legal questions
for which no factual development is required in order to state what the law requires. Wisconsin
Legislature v. Palm, 2020 WI 42, 391 Wis. 2d 497, 942 N.W.2d 900. The statutory authority of
WEC is a purely legal question. There is no factual development required for us to declare what
the law requires in absentee voting.
Justice Hagedorn is concerned about some of the relief that Petitioners request. He begins
his concurrence saying, "the real stunner here is the sought after remedy." He next relates, "The
relief being sought by the petitioners is the most dramatic invocation of judicial power I have ever
seen." Then, he concludes with, "this petition does not merit further consideration by this court,
much less grant us a license to invalidate every single vote cast in Wisconsin’s 2020 presidential
election."5
Those are scary thoughts, but Justice Hagedorn has the cart before the horse in regard to
our consideration of this petition for an original action. We grant petitions to exercise our
jurisdiction based on whether the legal issues presented are of state wide concern, not based on the
remedies requested. Petition of Heil, 230 Wis. 428, 284 N.W.42 (1938).
Granting a petition does not carry with it the court's view that the remedy sought is
appropriate for the legal issues raised. Historically, we often do not provide all the relief requested.
Bartlett v. Evers, 2020 WI 68, ¶9, 393 Wis. 2d 172, 945 N.W.2d 685 (upholding some but not all
partial vetoes). There have been occasions when we have provided none of the relief requested by
the petitioner, but nevertheless declared the law. See Sands v. Menard, Inc., 2010 WI 96, ¶46, 328
Wis. 2d 647, 787 N.W.2d 384 (concluding that while reinstatement is the preferred remedy under
4
Trump v. Evers, No. 2020AP1971-OA, unpublished order (Wis. S. Ct. Dec. 3, 2020);
Mueller v. WEC, No. 2020AP1958-OA, unpublished order (Wis. S. Ct. Dec. 3, 2020) and
Wisconsin Voters Alliance v. WEC, No. 2020AP193-OA.
5
Justice Hagedorn forgets to mention that one form of relief sought by Petitioners is, "Any
other relief the Court deems appropriate."
705
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December 4, 2020
No. 2020AP1930-OA Wisconsin Voters Alliance v. Wisconsin Elections Commission
Title VII, it is an equitable remedy that may or may not be appropriate); Coleman v. Percy, 96
Wis. 2d 578, 588-89, 292 N.W.2d 615 (1980) (concluding that the remedy Coleman sought was
precluded).
We have broad subject matter jurisdiction that enables us to grant the petition for original
action pending before us. Our jurisdiction is grounded in the Wisconsin Constitution. Wis. Const.,
art. VII, Section 3(2); City of Eau Claire v. Booth, 2016 WI 65, ¶7, 370 Wis. 2d 595, 882 N.W.2d
738.
I dissent because I would grant the petition and address the people of Wisconsin's concerns
about whether WEC's conduct during the 2020 presidential election violated Wisconsin statutes.
As I said as I began, it is critical that voting in Wisconsin elections not only be fair, but that the
public also perceives voting as having been fairly conducted. The Wisconsin Supreme Court
should not walk away from its constitutional obligation to the people of Wisconsin for a third time.
Sheila T. Reiff
Clerk of Supreme Court
706
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707
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40-2 Filed 12/04/20 Page 1 of 20
EXHIBIT B
708
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40-2 Filed 12/04/20 Page 2 of 20
709
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40-2 Filed 12/04/20 Page 3 of 20
710
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40-2 Filed 12/04/20 Page 4 of 20
711
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40-2 Filed 12/04/20 Page 5 of 20
712
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 40-2 Filed 12/04/20 Page 6 of 20
713
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714
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EXHIBIT C
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1 CERTIFICATION OF CONSULTATION
2 Pursuant to Local Rule 12.1(c), undersigned counsel certifies that counsel for
3 Defendant Secretary of State Katie Hobbs conferred with Plaintiffs’ counsel via email on
4 December 4, 2020 regarding the deficiencies in Plaintiffs’ complaint. Counsel for the
5 Secretary notified Plaintiffs’ counsel regarding the grounds for the Secretary’s motion to
6 dismiss the complaint, but Plaintiffs’ counsel did not indicate that Plaintiffs would be
7 willing to amend the complaint.
8
9 s/
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{00513952.1 }
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20 v.
{00526140.2 }
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24
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{00526140.2 }
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Exhibit A
Exhibit A
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[PUBLISH]
No. 20-14418
________________________
Plaintiff-Appellant,
versus
Defendants-Appellees.
________________________
(December 5, 2020)
Before WILLIAM PRYOR, Chief Judge, JILL PRYOR and LAGOA, Circuit
Judges.
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 41-1 Filed 12/05/20 Page 3 of 21
appeal from the denial of a request for emergency relief in a post-election lawsuit.
Ten days after the presidential election, L. Lin Wood Jr., a Georgia voter, sued
secure a new recount under different rules, and to establish new rules for an
upcoming runoff election. Wood alleged that the extant absentee-ballot and recount
procedures violated Georgia law and, as a result, his federal constitutional rights.
After Wood moved for emergency relief, the district court denied his motion. We
agree with the district court that Wood lacks standing to sue because he fails to
allege a particularized injury. And because Georgia has already certified its
election results and its slate of presidential electors, Wood’s requests for
emergency relief are moot to the extent they concern the 2020 election. The
Constitution makes clear that federal courts are courts of limited jurisdiction, U.S.
Const. art. III; we may not entertain post-election contests about garden-variety
issues of vote counting and misconduct that may properly be filed in state courts.
We affirm.
I. BACKGROUND
Georgia. Ga. Code Ann. § 21-2-50(b). He manages the state system of elections
and chairs the State Election Board. Id. § 21-2-30(a), (d). The Board has the
2
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of county election officials and, “consistent with law,” to aid “the fair, legal, and
orderly conduct of primaries and elections.” Id. § 21-2-31(1)–(2). The Board may
election laws and regulations. Id. § 21-2-31(3). Many of these laws and regulations
Any voter in Georgia may vote by absentee ballot. Id. § 21-2-380(b). State
law prescribes the procedures by which a voter may request and submit an
absentee ballot. Id. §§ 21-2-381; 21-2-384; 21-2-385. The ballot comes with an
oath, which the voter must sign and return with his ballot. Id. § 21-2-385(a). State
law also prescribes the procedures for how county election officials must certify
and count absentee ballots. Id. § 21-2-386(a). It directs the official to “compare the
identifying information on the oath with the information on file” and “compare the
signature or mark on the oath with the signature or mark” on file. Id.
Id. But if there is a problem, such as a signature that does not match, the official is
to “write across the face of the envelope ‘Rejected.’” Id. § 21-2-386(a)(1)(C). The
government must then notify the voter of this rejection, and the voter may cure the
problem. Id.
3
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under the First and Fourteenth Amendments. They sued Secretary Raffensperger
and members of the Board for declaratory and injunctive relief. Secretary
Raffensperger and the Board maintained that the procedures were constitutional,
counties. In March 2020, the parties entered into a settlement agreement and
absentee ballots. The Bulletin instructed officials to review the voter’s signature
Secretary Raffensperger and the Board also agreed to train county election officials
4
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This procedure has been in place for at least three elections since March,
including the general election on November 3, 2020. Over one million Georgians
voted by absentee ballot in the general election. No one challenged the settlement
agreement until the filing of this action. By then, the general election returns had
been tallied and a statewide hand recount of the presidential election results was
underway.
On November 13, L. Lin Wood Jr. sued Secretary Raffensperger and the
members of the Board in the district court. Wood alleged that he sued “in his
alleged that the settlement agreement violates state law. As a result, he contends, it
violates the Election Clause of Article I; the Electors Clause of Article II; and the
Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. See U.S. Const. art. I, § 4,
cl. 1; id. art. II, § 1, cl. 2; id. amend. XIV, § 1. Wood also alleged that irregularities
in the hand recount violated his rights under the Due Process Clause of the
State law requires that such recounts be done in public view, and it permits
the Board to promulgate policies that facilitate recounting. Ga. Code Ann.
designate viewing areas for members of the public and the news media to observe
5
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the recount. He also permitted the Democratic and Republican Parties to designate
Wood alleged that officials ignored their own rules and denied Wood and
the electoral process.” Although Wood did not personally attempt to observe or
monitor the recount, he alleged that Secretary Raffensperger and the Board
violated his “vested interest in being present and having meaningful access to
observe and monitor the electoral process to ensure that it is properly administered
Wood submitted two affidavits from volunteer monitors. One monitor stated
that she was not allowed to enter the counting area because there were too many
monitors already present, and she could not be sure from a distance whether the
recount was accurate. The other explained that the counting was hard for her to
follow and described what she thought were possible tabulation errors.
Wood moved for extraordinary relief. He asked that the district court take
one of three steps: prohibit Georgia from certifying the results of the November
election; prevent it from certifying results that include “defective absentee ballots,
regardless of whether said ballots were cured”; or declare the entire election
defective and order the state to fix the problems caused by the settlement
agreement. He also sought greater access for Republican election monitors, both at
6
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a new hand recount of the November election and in a runoff election scheduled
the Secretary of State to certify its general election results by 5:00 p.m. on the
seventeenth day after Election Day. Ga. Code Ann. § 21-2-499(b). And it requires
the Governor to certify Georgia’s slate of presidential electors by 5:00 p.m. on the
eighteenth day after Election Day. Id. Secretary Raffensperger’s deadline was
November 20, and Governor Brian Kemp had a deadline of November 21.
To avoid these deadlines, Wood moved to bar officials from certifying the
election results until a court could consider his lawsuit. His emergency motion
reiterated many of the requests from his amended complaint, including requests for
changes to the procedures for the January runoff. He also submitted additional
should issue a temporary restraining order. It heard from Wood, state officials, and
two groups of intervenors. Wood also introduced testimony from Susan Voyles, a
poll manager who participated in the hand recount. Voyles described her
experience during the recount. She recalled that one batch of absentee ballots felt
different from the rest, and that that batch favored Joe Biden to an unusual extent.
At the end of the hearing, the district court orally denied Wood’s motion.
7
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On November 20, the district court issued a written opinion and order that
explained its denial. It first ruled that Wood lacked standing because he had
personal and individual way. It next explained that, even if Wood had standing, the
doctrine of laches prevented him from challenging the settlement agreement now:
he could have sued eight months earlier, yet he waited until two weeks after the
restraining order even if the district court could reach the merits of his claims. On
the same day, Secretary Raffensperger certified the results of the general election
“We are required to examine our jurisdiction sua sponte, and we review
jurisdictional issues de novo.” United States v. Lopez, 562 F.3d 1309, 1311 (11th
III. DISCUSSION
This appeal turns on one of the most fundamental principles of the federal
courts: our limited jurisdiction. Federal courts are not “constituted as free-wheeling
enforcers of the Constitution and laws.” Initiative & Referendum Inst. v. Walker,
450 F.3d 1082, 1087 (10th Cir. 2006) (en banc). As the Supreme Court “ha[s]
8
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U.S.A., Inc. v. Jackson, 139 S. Ct. 1743, 1746 (2019) (internal quotation marks
omitted). Article III of the Constitution establishes that our jurisdiction—that is,
our judicial power—reaches only “Cases” and “Controversies.” U.S. Const. art. III,
“power to declare the law.” Steel Co. v. Citizens for a Better Env’t, 523 U.S. 83, 94
(1998).
When someone sues in federal court, he bears the burden of proving that his
suit falls within our jurisdiction. Kokkonen v. Guardian Life Ins. Co. of Am., 511
U.S. 375, 377 (1994). Wood had the choice to sue in state or federal court. Georgia
law makes clear that post-election litigation may proceed in a state court. Ga. Code
doing so, he had to prove that his suit presents a justiciable controversy under
Article III of the Constitution. See Flast v. Cohen, 392 U.S. 83, 95 (1968) (listing
burden.
We divide our discussion in two parts. We first explain why Wood lacks
standing to sue. We then explain that, even if he had standing, his requests to
recount and delay certification of the November election results are moot. Because
this case is not justiciable, we lack jurisdiction. Id. And because we lack the power
to entertain this appeal, we will not address the other issues the parties raise.
9
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“an indispensable part of the plaintiff’s case.” Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 504
U.S. 555, 561 (1992). To prove standing, Wood “must prove (1) an injury in fact
that (2) is fairly traceable to the challenged action of the defendant and (3) is likely
1236, 1245 (11th Cir. 2020). If he cannot satisfy these requirements, then we may
not decide the merits of his appeal. Steel Co., 523 U.S. at 94.
Wood lacks standing because he fails to allege the “first and foremost of
standing’s three elements”: an injury in fact. Spokeo, Inc. v. Robins, 136 S. Ct.
injury in fact is “an invasion of a legally protected interest that is both concrete and
Midland Credit Mgmt., Inc., 964 F.3d 990, 996 (11th Cir. 2020) (internal quotation
that “affect[s] the plaintiff in a personal and individual way.” Spokeo, 136 S. Ct. at
1548 (internal quotation marks omitted). For example, if Wood were a political
could assert a personal, distinct injury. Cf. Roe v. Alabama ex rel. Evans, 43 F.3d
10
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574, 579 (11th Cir. 1995). But Wood bases his standing on his interest in
“ensur[ing that] . . . only lawful ballots are counted.” An injury to the right “to
grievance. Chiles v. Thornburgh, 865 F.2d 1197, 1205–06 (11th Cir. 1989)
(alteration adopted) (internal quotation marks omitted). And the Supreme Court
has made clear that a generalized grievance, “no matter how sincere,” cannot
the public.” Lujan, 504 U.S. at 575 (internal quotation marks omitted). Wood
cannot explain how his interest in compliance with state election laws is different
from that of any other person. Indeed, he admits that any Georgia voter could bring
an identical suit. But the logic of his argument sweeps past even that boundary. All
Americans, whether they voted in this election or whether they reside in Georgia,
is properly administered.”
Wood argues that he has two bases for standing, but neither satisfies the
unlawfully processed absentee ballots diluted the weight of his vote. To be sure,
vote dilution can be a basis for standing. Cf. Jacobson, 974 F.3d at 1247–48. But it
11
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malapportionment contexts, vote dilution occurs when voters are harmed compared
to “irrationally favored” voters from other districts. See Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S.
a vote is counted improperly, even if the error might have a “mathematical impact
on the final tally and thus on the proportional effect of every vote.” Bognet v. Sec’y
Commonwealth of Pa., __ F.3d __, 2020 WL 6686120, at *12 (3d Cir. Nov. 13,
Wood’s second theory—that Georgia “value[d] one person’s vote over that
that Georgia treats absentee voters as a “preferred class” compared to those who
vote in person, both by the terms of the settlement agreement and in practice. In his
view, all voters were bound by law before the settlement agreement, but the rules
for absentee voting now run afoul of the law, while in-person voters remain bound
by the law. And he asserts that in practice Georgia has favored absentee voters
absentee ballots. Setting aside the fact that “[i]t is an individual voter’s choice
complaints are generalized grievances. Even if we assume that absentee voters are
12
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favored over in-person voters, that harm does not affect Wood as an individual—it
Warth v. Seldin, 422 U.S. 490, 499 (1975). And irregularities in the tabulation of
election results do not affect Wood differently from any other person. His
allegation, at bottom, remains “that the law . . . has not been followed.” Dillard v.
Chilton Cnty. Comm’n, 495 F.3d 1324, 1332 (11th Cir. 2007) (quoting Lance v.
standing.” 554 F.3d 1340, 1351–52 (11th Cir. 2009). But the injury there was the
burden of producing photo identification, not the existence of separate rules for in-
person and absentee voters. Id. And the burden to produce photo identification
affected each voter in a personal way. For example, some plaintiffs in Common
Cause alleged that they “would be required to make a special trip” to obtain valid
passports.” Id. at 1351 (internal quotation marks omitted). By contrast, even Wood
13
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agrees that he is affected by Georgia’s alleged violations of the law in the same
way as every other Georgia voter. “This injury is precisely the kind of
undifferentiated, generalized grievance that the Supreme Court has warned must
omitted).
Roe v. Alabama ex rel. Evans, 43 F.3d 574, also does not support Wood’s
rights of Alabama voters and two political candidates. Id. at 579–81. But no party
raised and we did not address standing in Roe, so that precedent provides no basis
for Wood to establish standing. Cf. Lewis v. Casey, 518 U.S. 343, 352 n.2 (1996)
(noting that in cases where “standing was neither challenged nor discussed . . . the
Wood’s purported injury is far more general than the voters’ injury in Roe. The
applied uniform rules, established before the election, to all voters, who could
choose between voting in person or by absentee ballot, and Wood asserts that the
14
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effect of those rules harmed the electorate collectively. That alleged harm is not a
particularized injury.
contributed to standing and aligned his interests with those of the Georgia
Republican Party. But he forfeited this argument when he failed to raise it in his
opening brief. Access Now, Inc. v. Sw. Airlines Co., 385 F.3d 1324, 1335 (11th Cir.
2004); see also Nat’l All. for the Mentally Ill v. Bd. of Cnty. Comm’rs, 376 F.3d
1292, 1296 (11th Cir. 2004) (ruling standing claims forfeited for failure to comply
with the Federal Rules of Appellate Procedure). And the donor argument fails on
its own terms. True, a donor can establish standing based on injuries that flow from
his status as a donor. See, e.g., Wilding v. DNC Servs. Corp., 941 F.3d 1116, 1125
(11th Cir. 2019). But donors, like voters, “have no judicially enforceable interest in
the outcome of an election.” Jacobson, 974 F.3d at 1246. Nor does a donation give
Any injury to Wood based on election irregularities must flow from his status as a
voter, unrelated to his donations. And that fact returns him to the stumbling block
of particularization.
“[T]he ‘injury in fact’ test requires . . . that the party seeking review be
himself among the injured.” Lujan, 504 U.S. at 563 (internal quotation marks
15
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Or perhaps election monitors would have standing to sue if they were denied
access to the recount. But Wood cannot place himself in the stead of these groups,
even if he supports them. Cf. Glanton ex rel. ALCOA Prescription Drug Plan v.
AdvancePCS Inc., 465 F.3d 1123, 1127 (9th Cir. 2006) (explaining that
Casselberry, 392 F.3d 1302, 1305 (11th Cir. 2004) (internal quotation marks
omitted). So he is not “entitled to have the court[s] decide the merits of [his]
Even if Wood had standing, several of his requests for relief are barred by
questions.” North Carolina v. Rice, 404 U.S. 244, 246 (1971) (internal quotation
marks omitted). “An issue is moot when it no longer presents a live controversy
with respect to which the court can give meaningful relief.” Christian Coal. of
Fla., Inc. v. United States, 662 F.3d 1182, 1189 (11th Cir. 2011) (alteration
rejected) (internal quotation marks omitted). And an issue can become moot at any
16
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stage of litigation, even if there was a live case or controversy when the lawsuit
Wood asked for several kinds of relief in his emergency motion, but most of
his requests pertained to the 2020 election results. He moved the district court to
prohibit either the certification of the election results or certification that included
the disputed absentee ballots. He also asked the district court to order a new hand
recount and to grant Republican election monitors greater access during both the
recount and the January runoff election. But after the district court denied Wood’s
And Governor Kemp certified the slate of presidential electors later that day.
Because Georgia has already certified its results, Wood’s requests to delay
certification and commence a new recount are moot. “We cannot turn back the
clock and create a world in which” the 2020 election results are not certified.
Fleming v. Gutierrez, 785 F.3d 442, 445 (10th Cir. 2015). And it is not possible for
us to delay certification nor meaningful to order a new recount when the results are
already final and certified. Cf. Tropicana Prods. Sales, Inc. v. Phillips Brokerage
Co., 874 F.2d 1581, 1582 (11th Cir. 1989) (“[A]n appeal from the denial of a
motion for preliminary injunction is mooted when the requested effective end-date
for the preliminary injunction has passed.”). Nor can we reconstrue Wood’s
previous request that we temporarily prohibit certification into a new request that
17
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we undo the certification. A district court “must first have the opportunity to pass
upon [every] issue,” so we may not consider requests for relief made for the first
time on appeal. S.F. Residence Club, Inc. v. 7027 Old Madison Pike, LLC, 583
argues that the certification does not moot anything “because this litigation is
ongoing” and he remains injured. But mootness concerns the availability of relief,
not the existence of a lawsuit or an injury. Fla. Wildlife Fed’n, Inc. v. S. Fla. Water
Mgmt. Dist., 647 F.3d 1296, 1304 (11th Cir. 2011). So even if post-election
litigation is not always mooted by certification, see, e.g., Siegel v. LePore, 234
F.3d 1163, 1172–73 (11th Cir. 2000) (en banc), Wood’s particular requests are
moot. Wood is right that certification does not moot his requests for relief
concerning the 2021 runoff—although Wood’s lack of standing still forecloses our
consideration of those requests—but the pendency of other claims for relief cannot
rescue the otherwise moot claims. See, e.g., Adler v. Duval Cnty. Sch. Bd., 112
F.3d 1475, 1478–79, 1481 (11th Cir. 1997) (instructing the district court to dismiss
moot claims but resolving other claims on the merits). Wood finally tells us that
President Trump has also requested a recount, but that fact is irrelevant to whether
18
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Nor does any exception to mootness apply. True, we often review otherwise-
moot election appeals because they are “capable of repetition yet evading review.”
ACLU v. The Fla. Bar, 999 F.2d 1486, 1496 (11th Cir. 1993) (internal quotation
marks omitted). We may apply this exception when “(1) the challenged action was
in its duration too short to be fully litigated prior to its cessation or expiration, and
(2) there was a reasonable expectation that the same complaining party would be
subjected to the same action again.” Nat’l Broad. Co. v. Commc’ns Workers of
Am., 860 F.2d 1022, 1023 (11th Cir. 1988) (quoting Weinstein v. Bradford, 423
U.S. 147, 149 (1975)). But we will not apply this exception if there is “some
alternative vehicle through which a particular policy may effectively be subject to”
complete review. Bourgeois v. Peters, 387 F.3d 1303, 1308 (11th Cir. 2004).
The “capable of repetition yet evading review” exception does not save
Wood’s appeal because there is no “reasonable expectation” that Wood will again
face the issues in this appeal. Based on the posture of this appeal, the challenged
results. See Fleming, 785 F.3d at 446 (explaining that whether the issues in an
question from whether the issues in the overall lawsuit are capable of doing so).
That denial is the decision we would review but for the jurisdictional problems.
But Wood cannot satisfy the requirement that there be a “reasonable expectation”
19
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that he will again seek to delay certification. Wood does not suggest that this
situation might recur. Cf. FEC v. Wis. Right to Life, Inc., 551 U.S. 449, 463–64
possibility of a recurrence is purely theoretical. Cf. Hall v. Sec’y, Ala., 902 F.3d
IV. CONCLUSION
20
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 42 Filed 12/05/20 Page 1 of 3
16
Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy
17 Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Case No.: 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Christopher M. King, James R. Lamon, Sam
18 Moorhead, Robert Montgomery, Loraine
Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke
19 Scarmardo, Kelli Ward and Michael Ward; NOTICE OF SERVICE OF
20 PLAINTIFFS’ EXPERT AND FACT
Plaintiffs; WITNESS DISCLOSURE
21
v.
22
Doug Ducey, in his official capacity as
23 Governor of the State of Arizona, and Katie
Hobbs, in her capacity as Secretary of State
24 of the State of Arizona;
25 Defendants.
26
27
28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
753
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 42 Filed 12/05/20 Page 2 of 3
1 Pursuant to LRCiv 5.2, Plaintiffs hereby give notice that Plaintiffs’ Initial Expert and
2 Fact Witness Disclosure was served upon Defendant Doug Ducey, Defendant Katie Hobbs,
3 Maricopa County Intervenors, and Proposed Intervenor Arizona Democratic Party’s
4 counsel of record via email on December 5, 2020 at 11:58 a.m.
5 Respectfully submitted this 5th day of December, 2020
6
/s Alexander Kolodin
7
Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
8 Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
9 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
10
*Application for admission pro hac vice
11 forthcoming
12 Of Counsel:
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
13 Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
14
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd. Suite 300
15 Dallas, Texas 75219
16 *Application for admission pro hac vice Forthcoming
17 L. Lin Wood (Georgia Bar No. 774588)
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
18 P.O. Box 52584
Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
19 Telephone: (404) 891-1402
20 Howard Kleinhendler (New York Bar No. 2657120)
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
21 369 Lexington Ave. 12th Floor
New York, New York 10017
22 (917) 793-1188
[email protected]
23
.
24
25
26
27
28
754 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 42 Filed 12/05/20 Page 3 of 3
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I hereby certify that on December 5th, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
3 foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
4 transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
5
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
755 -3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 1 of 32
28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
756
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 2 of 32
1 COMES NOW Plaintiffs, Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake
2 Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M. King, James R. Lamon, Sam Moorhead, Robert
3 Montgomery, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward,
4 and Michael Ward, by and through their undersigned counsel, and file this Response, and
5 Memorandum of Law In Support Thereof, to Defendants’ and Intervenor-Defendants
6 Response in Plaintiffs’ November 29, 2020 Motion for Declaratory, Emergency and
7 Permanent Injunctive Relief (“TRO Motion”). ECF No. 7.
8 Arizona is in the midst of an election-integrity crisis. Earlier this year, the Arizona
9 Supreme Court had to step in to prevent Intervenor Maricopa County from conducting its
10 primary election in an illegal and unconstitutional manner. Ariz. Pub. Integrity All. v.
11 Fontes, No. CV-20-0253-AP/EL, 2020 Ariz. LEXIS 309, at *13 (Nov. 5, 2020) (“Because
12 Plaintiffs have shown that the Recorder has acted unlawfully and exceeded his
13 constitutional and statutory authority, they need not satisfy the standard for injunctive
14 relief.”). In another such matter, Arizona v Fontes, Intervenor Maricopa County’s chief
15 elections official had to be restrained from unlawfully mailing every registered voter a
16 ballot, whether they had requested one or not.2 Before Defendants feign indignation at
17 Plaintiffs’ claims that they certified an election tainted by illegality, unconstitutionality,
18 and illegal ballots as a fever-dream, they should soberly consider that our courts have
19 already found such things to be all too real a problem in our state this election cycle. This
20 Court can help Arizona do better, not by dismissing the problem, but by confronting it.
21 Despite this procedural history, Defendants seek to have Plaintiffs’ claims dismissed
22 out-of-hand as nothing more than a conspiracy theory. Hobbs’ Motion to Dismiss and
23 Opposition to TRO (“Hobbs Motion”), ECF No. 40 at 1:1-5. Plaintiffs, and those who share
24 their concerns, know that their claims are bold. That is why two members of Arizona’s
25
26
2
See State of Arizona ex rel Brnovich v. Fontes, CV-20-0253-AP/EL, Temporary
27 Restraining Order (Sup. Ct. Ariz. Mar. 13, 2020) (“Fontes TRO Order”), available at:
https://www.azag.gov/sites/default/files/docs/press-
28
releases/2020/motions/State_v_Fontes_TRO_Certified_Signed.pdf.
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1 delegation to the United States Congress, Congressman Gossar and Congressman Biggs,
2 have taken the unusual step of putting out statements urging this Court to give Plaintiffs’
3 claims serious consideration and laying out their reasons for making that request.
4 Congressman Gosar, in his formal letter writes, in part:
5
22 Exhibit 1.3 Six additional members of Arizona’s legislature, including the Arizona House
23 of Representatives’ Majority Leader and the Chair of its Elections Committee, have issued
24 similar letters or declarations echoing these concerns and outlining their own investigative
25 steps which led to them. Exhibit 2.
26
27
28 3
This letter may be considered under FRE 803(8) and other applicable law.
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1 Few could be more knowledgeable about the poor state of election integrity in
2 Arizona than the members of Arizona’s congressional delegation and state legislature who
3 must operate in that system every day. Their concerns reflect the concerns of the scores of
4 average Arizona voters who are their constituents. Plaintiffs’ moving papers and
5 supporting documentation, including the evidence submitted with this reply, show that over
6 400,000 votes counted in the presidential election must be set aside. This compels the
7 conclusion that defendants’ certification of the 2020 election which finding plurality of
8 10,457 was wrong. Those results must be de-certified.
9 STATEMENT OF FACTS
10 The facts relevant to this Response are set forth in the December 1, 2020 Complaint
11 (“Complaint”), ECF No. 1, filed in the above-captioned proceeding, and its accompanying
12 exhibits, and the TRO Motion.
13 DISCUSSION
14 Defendants and Defendant Intervenor’s filings fail altogether to respond to
15 Plaintiffs’ fact and expert witness testimony presented in the Complaint. Instead, they have
16 chosen to simply dismiss Plaintiffs’ evidence and arguments as a piece of “dystopian
17 fiction.” ECF No. 40 at 1. Nor have they presented any facts or witness testimony that
18 could rebut Plaintiffs’ factual allegations and witnesses.4 Accordingly, Plaintiffs’
19 allegation and witness testimony remains unrebutted and unchallenged.
20 This brief will respond to, and dispose of, Defendants and Defendant-Intervenor
21 Maricopa County’s specious legal arguments for denial of Plaintiffs’ TRO Motion on
22 grounds of: (1) standing, (2) laches, (3) mootness, (4) Secretary Hobbs notice of
23 supplemental authority, (5) the Eleventh Amendment, (6) exclusive state jurisdiction, (7)
24
25
26
4
The closest that Defendants come to engaging the Plaintiffs’ factual allegations or
witnesses is Defendant Secretary Hobbs’ claim that Plaintiffs have provided
27 “anonymous” witness affidavits. ECF No. 40 at 22 n.10. This is incorrect. Plaintiffs filed
redacted affidavits for these witnesses, and have submitted the unredacted versions under
28
seal to this Court. See ECF Nos. 14-18.
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1 state proceedings and issue preclusion, (8) abstention, and (9) applicable pleading
2 standards for election fraud.
3 Plaintiffs will also respond to Defendant and Defendant Intervenor’s claims that
4 Plaintiffs have not met the requirements for injunctive relief, which are: (1) substantial
5 likelihood of success on the merits, and in particular that Plaintiffs have adequately pled
6 their Constitutional and statutory claims; (2) irreparable injury, (3) the balance of equities
7 tips in their favor, and (4) the requested relief is in the public interest.
8 I. PRELIMINARY MATTERS
9 A. Plaintiffs Have Standing
10 Each Plaintiff is a registered Arizona voter, and Plaintiffs include all nominees of
11 the Republican Party to be a Presidential Elector on behalf of the State of Arizona. See
12 ECF No. 1, “Parties”.
13 1. Plaintiff Electors Have Standing under Electors and Elections
14 Clause.
15 Defendant Secretary Hobbs’ arguments on standing rely on the Third Circuit’s
16 decision in Bognet v. Sec’y of Commonwealth, No. 20-2314, 2020 WL 6686120 (3d Cir.
17 Nov. 13, 2020). See ECF No. 40 at 1 & 9; see also ECF No. 37 at 6-9. There the court
18 found that electors lacked standing based on the particularities of a Pennsylvania law that
19 are not present here, but did not discuss the significance of State law provisions pursuant
20 to which Presidential Electors are candidates for office.
21 Plaintiff Arizona Electors have standing for the same reason that the Eighth Circuit
22 held that Minnesota Electors had standing in Carson v. Simon, 978 F.3d 1051 (8th Cir.
23 2020). The Carson court affirmed that Presidential Electors have both Article III and
24 Prudential standing under the Electors and Elections Clauses, “was rooted heavily in the
25 court’s interpretation of Minnesota law.” Defendants neglect to mention that the Carson
26 court relied on provisions of Minnesota law treating electors as candidates for office are
27 just like the corresponding provision of A.R.S. Title 16 because in both States an elector is
28 a candidate for office nominated by a political party, and a vote cast for a party’s candidate
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1 for President and Vice-President is cast for that party’s Electors. A.R.S. § 16-212(A)5 The
2 Carson court concluded that, “[b]ecause Minnesota law plainly treats presidential electors
3 as candidate, we do, too.” Carson, 978 F.3d at 1057.
4 In other words, a vote for President Trump and Vice-President Pence in Arizona is
5 a vote for each of Plaintiff Republican electors, and just as in Minnesota, illegal conduct
6 aimed at harming candidates for President similarly injures Presidential Electors. As such,
7 Plaintiff Elector candidates “have a cognizable interest in ensuring that the final vote tally
8 reflects the legally valid votes cast,” as “[a]n inaccurate vote tally is a concrete and
9 particularized injury to candidates such as the Electors.” See also McPherson v. Blacker,
10 146 U.S. 1, 27 (1892); Bush v. Palm Beach Cty. Canvassing Bd., 531 U.S. 70, 76 (2000)
11 (per curiam). Notably, Defendant and Defendant Intervenors have cited no Ninth Circuit
12 or Arizona precedent in support of their position, nor have they shown any relevant
13 similarity between Pennsylvania and Michigan law on election of electors.
14 2. Plaintiffs Have Standing for Equal Protection and Due Process
15 Claims as Registered Voters on their Own Behalf and on Behalf
16 Similarly Situated Voters for Republican Candidates.
17 Defendant and Defendant-Intervenors misrepresent Plaintiffs’ Equal Protection and
18 Due Process claims, both in terms of substance and for standing purposes, insofar as they
19 claim that Plaintiffs’ claims are based solely on a theory of vote dilution, and therefore is
20
21
22 5
See also A.R.S. § 16-344(A) (“The chairman of the state committee of a political party
that is qualified for representation on an official party ballot at the primary election and
23
accorded a column on the general election ballot shall appoint candidates for the office of
24 presidential elector equal to the number of United States senators and representatives in
Congress from this state”); A.R.S. § 16-212(A) (“On the first Tuesday after the first
25 Monday in November, 1956, and quadrennially thereafter, there shall be elected a
26 number of presidential electors equal to the number of United States senators and
representatives in Congress from this state”); A.R.S. § 16-212(B) (“the presidential
27 electors of this state shall cast their electoral college votes for the candidate for president
and the candidate for vice president who jointly received the highest number of votes in
28
this state as prescribed in the canvass.”).
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1 a “generalized grievance,” rather than the concrete and particularized injury required for
2 Article III standing. See ECF No. 40 at 8-9.6 This is incorrect.
3 Plaintiffs’, on behalf of themselves and other similarly situated voters, allege, first,
4 and with great particularity, that Defendants have both violated Arizona law and applied
5 Arizona law to dilute the votes of Arizona Republican voters (or voters for Republican
6 candidates) with illegal, ineligible, duplicate or fictitious that Defendants, in collaboration
7 with public employees, Dominion and Democratic poll watchers and activists, have caused
8 to be counted as votes for Democratic candidates. The fact and expert witness testimony
9 describes and quantifies the myriad means by which the vote tally for Biden and other
10 Democrats was illegally inflated in districts that were predominantly Democratic,
11 including: double voting, dead voting, double counting of same vote, forgery of ballot and
12 voter information, illegally completing or modifying ineligible ballots, ballot switching
13 (Trump to Biden), changing dates or backdating absentee ballots, failure to match
14 signatures, etc. See ECF No. 1, Section II and III. Thus, the vote dilution resulting from
15 this systemic and illegal conduct did not affect all Arizona voters equally; it had the intent
16 and effect of inflating the number of votes for Democratic candidates and reducing the
17 number of votes for Trump and Republican candidates.
18 Further, Plaintiffs have presented evidence that, not were the votes of Plaintiffs and
19 similarly-situated voters for Republican candidates diluted, but attempts were made to
20 actively disenfranchise such voters to reduce their voting power, in clear violation of “one
21 person, one vote.” See generally Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186 (1962); Reynolds v. Sims,
22 377 U.S. 533 (1964). There were several schemes to devalue Republican votes as detailed
23 in the Complaint, including Republican ballots being destroyed or discarded, or “1 person,
24
25 6
Defendant Governor Ducey also cites Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Boockvar,
26 No. 4:20-cv-02078, 2020 WL 6821992 (M.D. Penn. Nov. 21, 2020). See ECF at 8. This
case addressed a number of theories for standing – associational, organizational, and
27 standing of a political party based on harm to that party’s candidates – that are not present
here because each Plaintiff brings suit in their personal capacity as registered Arizona
28
voters and 11 of the Plaintiffs as Presidential Electors.
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1 0 votes,” vote switching “1 person, -1 votes,” (Dominion and election workers switching
2 votes from Trump/Republican to Biden/Democrat), and Dominion algorithmic
3 manipulation, or for Republicans, “1 person, 1/2 votes,” and for Democrats, “1 person, 1.5
4 votes.” See e.g., ECF No. 1, Section II.C (ballot destruction/discarding) Ex. 2 (Dr. Briggs
5 Testimony regarding potential ballot destruction), Ex. 17 (Ramsland testimony regarding
6 additive algorithm), Section IV (multiple witnesses regarding Dominion vote
7 manipulation).
8 Plaintiffs’ injury is that the relative values of their particular votes were devalued,
9 or eliminated altogether, and as such, it is not a “generalized grievance,” ECF No. 40 at 7,
10 as Defendant claims. Federal district courts have held that Arizona voters have standing
11 in cases involving constitutional challenges to Arizona’s absentee voting laws and
12 implementation thereof that invalidated their votes. See, e.g. Raetzel v. Parks/Bellemont
13 Absentee Election Bd, 762 F.Supp. 1354, 1356 (D. Az. 1990) (“plaintiffs suffered an actual,
14 legally cognizable injury, in that they were not afforded notice or the opportunity to contest
15 the loss of their vote.”). See also Ariz. Democratic Party v. Hobbs, No. CV-20-01143-
16 PHX-DLR, 2020 WL 5423898, at *5 (D. Az. Sept. 10, 2020) (political organization had
17 standing to sue on behalf of its members, who had standing in individual capacity to
18 challenge law that could invalidate their absentee ballots); Mi Familia v. Hobbs, No. CV-
19 20-01903-PHX-SPL, 2020 WL 5904952 (D. Az. Oct. 5, 2020) (holding plaintiffs had
20 standing in challenge to Arizona’s voter registration deadline). Plaintiffs have thus met the
21 requirements for standing: (1) the injuries of their rights under the Equal Protection and
22 Due Process clauses that concrete and particularized for themselves, and similarly situated
23 voters, whose votes have been devalued or disregarded altogether (2) that are actual or
24 imminent and (3) are causally connected to Defendants conduct because the debasement
25 of their votes is a direct and intended result of the conducts of the Defendants in certifying
26 an election tainted by fraud and the public employee election workers they supervise. See
27 generally Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 560-561 (1992).
28 B. Laches
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1 Defendant Secretary Hobbs asserts that Plaintiffs’ claims are barred by laches. See
2 ECF No. 40 at 9-13. To establish laches a defendant must prove both an unreasonable
3 delay by the plaintiff and prejudice to itself. Because the application of laches depends on
4 a close evaluation of all the particular facts in a case, it is seldom susceptible to resolution
5 by summary judgment." Cassirer v. Thyssen-Bornemisza Collection Found., 862 F.3d 951,
6 976, (9th Cir. 2017) (citing Couveau v. Am. Airlines, Inc., 218 F.3d 1078, 1083 (9th Cir.
7 2000) (per curiam) (citations omitted)(held that “[t]here is at least a genuine dispute of
8 material fact as to whether any delay was unreasonable. Id. at 976).
9 Defendant Secretary instead relies on Soules v. Kauians for Nukolii Campaign
10 Comm., 849 F.2d 1176, 1180 (9th Cir. 1988), ECF No. 40 at 10, a case with entirely
11 different facts. There, the Ninth Circuit held that plaintiff Equal Protection claim was
12 barred by laches because they “knew the basis of their equal claim well in advance” of the
13 election, months in advance in fact, Soules, 849 F.2d at 1181, and failed to provide any
14 explanation for their failure to press their claim before the election. Id. at 1182. Yet the
15 standard is that “[b]oth before and after the merger of law and equity in 1938, this Court
16 has cautioned against invoking laches to bar legal relief. Petrella v. MGM, 572 U.S. 663,
17 667 (2014) (citing e.g., Holmberg v. Armbrecht, 327 U.S. 392, 395-396 (1946)).
18 Here, by contrast to Defendants’ assertions, all of the unlawful conduct occurred
19 during the course of the election and in the post-election vote counting, manipulation, and
20 even fabrication. Plaintiffs could not have known the basis of their claim, or presented
21 evidence substantiating their claim, until after the election. Further, because Arizona
22 election officials and other third parties involved did not announce or publicize their
23 misconduct, and in fact prevented Republican poll watchers from observing the ballot
24 counting and handling, it took Plaintiffs additional time post-election to gather the fact and
25 expert witness testimony presented in the Complaint. Had they filed before the election,
26 as the Defendant Secretary asserts, it would have been dismissed as speculative--because
27 the injuries asserted had not occurred--and on ripeness grounds.
28
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1 Any “delay” in filing after Election Day is almost entirely due to Defendants failure
2 to promptly complete counting until weeks after November 3, 2020. Arizona did not
3 complete counting at the same time it certified results, which was not until November 30,
4 2020, a mere two days before Plaintiffs filed their initial complaint on December 2, 2020.
5 Defendants cannot now assert the equitable affirmative defense of laches when there is no
6 unreasonable delay nor is there any genuine prejudice to the Defendants.
7 Finally, it is instructive that Arizona law provides that similar challenges in state
8 court are not ripe until an election has been certified and are timely if brought within 5 days
9 thereafter. A.R.S. § 16-673. This suit was brought during the early portion of this period.
10 Although Arizona law is not dispositive in this Court on the issue of latches, this Court
11 may look to it as persuasive authority as to the reasonableness of the date of filing.
12 C. Mootness
13 Defendants’ mootness argument is similarly without merit. See ECF No. 38 at 4-5;
14 ECF No. 40 at 21. This argument is based on the false premise that this Court cannot order
15 any of the relief requested in the Complaint or the TRO Motion. Article III mootness is
16 "the doctrine of standing set in a time frame: The requisite personal interest that must exist
17 at the commencement of the litigation (standing) must continue throughout its existence
18 (mootness)." Sierra Club v. Babbitt, 69 F. Supp. 2d 1202, 1244, (9th Cir. 1999) (citing
19 Arizonans For Official English v. Arizona, 520 U.S. 43, 68, 117 S. Ct. 1055, 1069, 137 L.
20 Ed. 2d 170 (1997) (quoting Henry Monaghan, Constitutional Adjudication: The Who and
21 When, 82 Yale L.J. 1363, 1384 (1973)).
22 Without an immediate temporary injunction, electoral votes will be cast, electors
23 will be appointed, and this Court will lose any authority to provide relief to Plaintiffs.
24 There is no harm to Respondents by the potential relief fashioned by this Court. As recently
25 held by a court considering claims similar to those asserted here:
26
27 3 U.S.C §5 makes clear that the Safe Harbor does not expire until December
28 8, 2020, and the Electoral College does not vote for president and vice
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1 president until December 14, 2020. According to an October 22, 2020 white
2 paper from the Congressional Research Service titled “The Electoral
3 College: A 2020 Presidential Election Timeline,” the electors will meet and
4 vote on December 14, 2020. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/
5 IF11641. December 8, 2020—six days prior to the date the College of
6 Electors is scheduled to meet—is the “safe harbor” deadline under 3 U.S.C.
7 §5. That statute provides that if a state has provided, “by laws enacted prior
8 to the day fixed for the appointment of the electors, for its final determination
9 of any controversy or contest concerning the appointment of all or any of the
10 electors of such State,” and that final determination has been made “at least
11 six days before the time fixed for the meeting of the electors,” that
12 determination—if it is made under the state’s law at least six days prior to
13 the day the electors meet— “shall be conclusive, and shall govern in the
14 counting of the electoral votes as provided in the Constitution . . . .” It
15 appears, therefore, that December 8 is a critical date for resolution of any
16 state court litigation involving an aggrieved candidate who is contesting the
17 outcome of an election.
18 Feehan v. Wisconsin Board of Elections, (Case No. 20-cv-1771) (E.D. Wis. 12/4/20)
19 (December 4, 2020, Doc-29).
20 This Court can grant the primary relief requested by Plaintiffs – de-certification of
21 Arizona’s election results and an injunction prohibiting State Defendants from transmitting
22 the results – as discussed in Section I.E. on abstention below. There is also no question
23 that this Court can order other types of declaratory and injunctive relief requested by
24 Plaintiffs, in particular, impounding Dominion voting machines and software for
25 inspection, nor have State Defendants claimed otherwise.
26 In any case, the Ninth Circuit has recognized that election cases fall within the
27 “capable of repetition, yet evading review” exception to the mootness doctrine “because
28 the inherently brief duration of an election is almost invariably too short to enable full
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1 litigation on the merits.” Porter v. Jones, 319 F.3d 483, 490 (9th Cir. 2003) (citations
2 omitted). “If such cases were rendered moot by the occurrence of an election,” then the
3 unconstitutional actions of state officials like Secretary Hobbs “could never reach appellate
4 review.” Id.
5 D. Defendant Secretary Hobbs’ Notice of Supplemental Authority
6 Defendant Secretary Hobbs attempts to salvage her standing argument with today’s
7 notice of supplemental authority regarding the Eleventh Circuit’s decision in Wood v.
8 Raffensperger, No. 20-14418 (D.C. Cir. Dec. 5, 2020), see ECF No. 40 & 40-1, but fails
9 to acknowledge three crucial distinctions between these cases. First, she conflates
10 Plaintiffs with one of their attorneys, who is not a plaintiff or party to this case. ECF No.
11 40 at 2.
12 Second, she fails to recognize that the Eleventh Circuit’s decision in Wood supports
13 Plaintiffs’ standing argument and refutes hers. The court dismissed Plaintiff Wood’s claim
14 because he was not a candidate. “[I]f Wood were a political candidate,” like the Plaintiffs
15 here, “harmed by the recount, he would satisfy this requirement because he could assert a
16 personal, distinct injury.” ECF No. 40-1 at 10 (citations omitted).
17 Third, there are important differences between the particular relief sought in Wood
18 and those requested by Plaintiffs in the Complaint, and in the claims made. Unlike
19 Plaintiffs, Mr. Wood did not ask the district court to de-certify the election (instead asking
20 for a delay in certification), nor did he assert claims under the Elections and Electors
21 Clause. The Wood court held that Georgia’s certification of results mooted Mr. Wood’s
22 request to delay certification, so the court could not consider a request for de-certification
23 “made for the first time on appeal.” Id. at 18. Plaintiffs made their request for de-
24 certification and other injunctive relief in the Complaint, Compl. at PP 142-145, and this
25 request is not mooted by Defendants’ certification of the results. While the Wood court
26 found that the mootness exception for “capable of repetition yet evading review,” discussed
27 above with respect to the Ninth Circuit opinion in Porter, was not applicable, their denial
28
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1 was based on the specific “posture of [his] appeal” and the specific relief requested (delay
2 of certification), which are not applicable to Plaintiffs’ claims.
3 Further, Plaintiffs are not asserting a “garden variety” claim about election issues as
4 the court found was the case in Wood. The Complaint describes a massive and widespread
5 voting fraud scheme that affected hundreds of thousands of votes in Arizona, as well as
6 additional hundreds of thousands of votes in several other states. The Wood court
7 addressed a closed record of what had been submitted in the district court proceeding that
8 did not consider all of the evidence that has been gathered and submitted to date by
9 Plaintiffs in Arizona and separate Republican Elector candidates in other affected states.
10 In addition, unlike in Wood, Plaintiffs here are seeking declaratory relief.
11 E. Eleventh Amendment
12 Defendants assert that Plaintiffs’ claims are barred by the Eleventh Amendment, but
13 the cases address circumstances that are not present here. See ECF No. 38 at 5-6; ECF No.
14 40 at 19-21. While Governor Ducey’s Eleventh Amendment defense appears to be limited
15 to dismissal of the claims against the Governor himself, based on the purported
16 “ministerial” nature of his duties, he acknowledges that under A.R.S. § 16-142(A)(1),
17 Secretary Hobbs, “or the secretary’s designee is [the] chief state election officer …” ECF
18 No. 40 at 6. Governor Ducey argues that in order to take advantage of the Ex Parte Young
19 exception to the state’s sovereign immunity, the state officer must have some connection
20 to the enforcement of the act. Of course, the Governor is expressly given such a connection
21 under federal law. Under 3 USC § 6, the Governor is required to communicate to the
22 Archivist of the United States “under the seal of the State” the results of the final
23 determination of any election “controversy of contest” “as soon as practicable after such
24 determination.” This is to be thereafter transmitted to Congress. Id. Complete relief
25 therefore cannot be had without the Governor being subject to this Court’s order. If, as the
26 Governor claims, his act in transmitting the original certified results “cannot be undone”
27 Ducey Resp. 4:19-20, there would be no reason for 3 USC § 6 to contain a provision
28 allowing it to be undone.
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1 President of the United States. “A significant departure from the legislative scheme for
2 appointing Presidential electors presents a federal constitutional question.” Bush v. Gore,
3 531 U.S. 98, 113 (2000) (Rehnquist, C.J., concurring); Smiley v. Holm, 285 U.S. 355, 365
4 (1932). The jurisdiction of the Court to grant declaratory relief is conferred by 28 U.S.C.
5 §§ 2201 and 2202 and by Rule 57, Fed. R. Civ. P. “The right to vote is protected in more
6 than the initial allocation of the franchise. As the Supreme Court has made clear, it has
7 jurisdiction to address the right to vote, “Having once granted the right to vote on equal
8 terms, the State may not, by later arbitrary and disparate treatment, value one person's vote
9 over that of another.” See, e.g., Harper v. Virginia Bd. of Elections, 383 U.S. 663, 665, 16
10 L. Ed. 2d 169, 86 S. Ct. 1079 (1966) ("Once the franchise is granted to the electorate, lines
11 may not be drawn which are inconsistent with the Equal Protection Clause of the
12 Fourteenth Amendment"). It must be remembered that "the right of suffrage can be denied
13 by a debasement or dilution of the weight of a citizen's vote just as effectively as by wholly
14 prohibiting the free exercise of the franchise." (Bush v. Gore, 531 U.S. 98, 104-105, 121
15 S. Ct. 525, 530, 148 L. Ed. 2d 388, 398, (2000) (citing Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533,
16 555, 12 L. Ed. 2d 506, 84 S. Ct. 1362 (1964)).
17 To the extent the Complaint implicates Arizona statutory or constitutional law,
18 jurisdiction remains appropriate under 28 U.S.C. § 1367. As a threshold matter, the
19 supplemental jurisdiction statute, section 1367, says that district courts "shall have"
20 jurisdiction over the non-federal claims forming part of the same case or controversy, ... if
21 state law claims are asserted as part of the same case or controversy with a federal claim,
22 the district court has discretion to exercise supplemental jurisdiction over the remaining
23 state law claims and the mandatory remand provision of the procedure after removal statute
24 does not apply. Under the plain language of the statutes, logically it cannot "appear[] that
25 the district court lacks jurisdiction" under 1447(c) if it "shall have" jurisdiction under 1367.
26 Albingia Versicherungs A.G. v. Schenker Int'l Inc., 344 F.3d 931, 937-938, (9th Cir. 2003).
27 Even in removal cases, the court explained, “Section 1447(c) does not mean that if
28 a facially valid claim giving rise to federal jurisdiction is dismissed, then supplemental
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1 jurisdiction is vitiated, and the case must be remanded. Once supplemental jurisdiction
2 exists, it remains, subject to the discretionary provision for remand in section 1441. Id. at
3 938. Moreover, the Voting Rights Act, 52 U.S.C. §10101(e), further highlights federal
4 jurisdiction to govern federal elections, which provides, in relevant part:
5
6 … When used in the subsection, the word “vote” includes all action necessary
7 to make a vote effective including, but not limited to, registration or other
8 action required by State law prerequisite to voting, casting a ballot, and
9 having such ballot counted and included in the appropriate totals of votes cast
10 with respect to candidates for public office and propositions for which votes
11 are received in an election.
12 Id.
13 Federal law also requires the states to maintain uniform voting standards. See
14 Section 301 of the Help America Vote Act of 2002 [HAVA], (Pub. L. 107–252, 116 Stat.
15 1704, codified at 42 U.S.C. § 15481. Unlike the situation where a court is situated in
16 diversity jurisdiction and deciding an entirely state-law matter, as presented in Guaranty
17 Trust Co. v. York, 326 U.S. 99 (1945), in this action this Court has “no duty … to
18 approximate as closely as may be State law in order to vindicate without discrimination a
19 right derived solely from a State.” Holmberg, 327 U.S. at 395. Rather, the duty here is that
20 “of federal courts, sitting as national courts throughout the country, to apply their own
21 principles in enforcing an equitable right” created under the U.S. Constitution. Id.
22 G. State Proceedings & Issue Preclusion
23 Defendant Secretary Hobbs erroneously claims that the “Plaintiffs are barred from
24 re-adjudicating their issues here under the doctrine of collateral estoppel, or issue
25 preclusion,” ECF No. 40 at 18, because, in her view, the issues in the Complaint were fully
26 litigated in Ward v Jackson, et al., CV 2020-015285 (filed Sup. Ct. Maricopa Cty. Nov.
27 24, 2020). ECF No. 40-2. As an initial matter: “Some litigants -- those who never appeared
28 in a prior action -- may not be collaterally estopped without litigating the issue. They have
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1 never had a chance to present their evidence and arguments on the claim. Due process
2 prohibits estopping them despite one or more existing adjudications of the identical issue
3 which stand squarely against their position.” Blonder-Tongue Labs. v. Univ. of Ill. Found.,
4 402 U.S. 313, 329, 91 S. Ct. 1434, 1443, 28 L.Ed.2d 788, 800 (1971). There are fourteen
5 plaintiffs in this action, only one of whom was a Plaintiff in Ward v Jackson (and there not
6 in her capacity as nominee for presidential elector). At most, then, any preclusion argument
7 would result merely in the dismissal of Plaintiff Ward but would not otherwise impact the
8 adjudication of this case.
9 Further, issue preclusion applies “[w]hen an issue of fact or law is actually litigated
10 and determined by a valid and final judgment, and the determination is essential to the
11 judgment, the determination is conclusive in a subsequent action between the parties,
12 whether on the same or a different claim.” B&B Hardware, Inc. v. Hargis Industries, Inc.,
13 135 S.Ct 1293, 1303 (2015) (quoting Restatement (Second) of Judgments § 27, p. 250
14 (1980)). Parsing this definition, a party asserting issue preclusion must show that each of
15 the following four requirements have been met: (1) the disputed issue is identical to that in
16 the previous action, (2) the issue was actually litigated in the previous action, (3) resolution
17 of the issue was necessary to support a final judgment in the prior action, and (4) the party
18 against whom issue preclusion is sought had a full and fair opportunity to litigate the issue
19 in the prior proceeding. See Louisville Bedding Co. v. Perfect Fit Indus., 186 F. Supp. 2d
20 752, 753-754, 2001 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 9599 (citing Graco Children's Products, Inc. v.
21 Regalo International, LLC, 77 F. Supp. 2d 660, 662 (E.D. Pa. 1999). None of these
22 elements are satisfied with respect to Ward v. Jackson and the instant Complaint.
23 Elections challenges under Arizona state law may not be brought before the canvas
24 is completed, after which they must be brought within five days. A.R.S. § 16-673. Arizona
25 completed its canvas on November 30, 2020. Id. To Counsel’s knowledge, Ward v
26 Jackson is the only Contest that had been brought in state court to challenge the results of
27
28
772 - 17 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 18 of 32
1 the presidential election as of the date and time this suit was filed.7 Other election-related
2 matters this cycle such as Aguilera v. Fontes and Trump v. Hobbs were brought prior to the
3 challenge period and Plaintiffs in those matters expressly acknowledged that the outcome
4 would not impact the results of the presidential election.8
5 1. There is No Identity of Parties Between this Case and Ward v
6 Jackson.
7 This case is brought by fourteen distinct Plaintiffs representing the Arizona
8 Republican Party’s entire slate of nominees for Presidential Elector and three county party
9 chairs. The sole Plaintiff in Ward v Jackson was Keli Ward, who filed it in her capacity as
10 a voter and not in her capacity as a presidential elector. Statement of Elections Contest ¶
11 4.9 No other Plaintiffs in this case were Plaintiffs in Ward v Jackson in any capacity. Id. p
12 1 [caption]. No Defendants in this case were Defendants in Ward v Jackson in any capacity.
13 Id.
14 To this point, the Ninth Circuit has determined that, a private defendant was also
15 precluded from using collateral estoppel to bar a claim involving nonmutual collateral
16 estoppel, and the court explained that, “[n]onmutual collateral estoppel refers to use of
17 collateral estoppel by a nonparty to a previous action to preclude a party to that action from
18 relitigating a previously determined issue in a subsequent lawsuit against the nonparty.
19 Blonder-Tongue Lab. v. University of Illinois Found., 402 U.S. 313, 320-30, 28 L. Ed. 2d
20 788, 91 S. Ct. 1434 (1971). "Offensive" use of nonmutual collateral estoppel occurs when
21 a plaintiff seeks to prevent a defendant from relitigating an issue that the defendant
22
7
This Court may take judicial notice, based on the records of the Clerk of the Maricopa
23
County Superior Court, that Ward v. Jackson is the only case brough within the statutory
24 time period for an election challenge in Maricopa County as of the date and time this suit
was file. https://www.clerkofcourt.maricopa.gov/records/election-2020. FRE 201(b)(2).
25 Ward v. Jackson was assigned a case number prior to the commencement of Arizona’s
26 challenge period because Plaintiff made a request for pre-litigation discovery.
8
See e.g.¸Verified Complaint for a Special Action ¶ 1.4
27 https://www.clerkofcourt.maricopa.gov/Home/ShowDocument?id=1654 (Aguilera v.
Fontes); Notice of Partial Mootness (Trump v. Hobbs).
28 9
https://www.clerkofcourt.maricopa.gov/Home/ShowDocument?id=1836.
773 - 18 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 19 of 32
1 previously litigated unsuccessfully against a different party. Mendoza, 464 U.S. at 159 n.4.
2 "Defensive" use of nonmutual collateral estoppel involves a defendant attempting to
3 preclude a plaintiff from relitigating an issue that the plaintiff previously litigated
4 unsuccessfully against a different party. Id.
5 The Ninth Circuit, therefore, found that “Mendoza's rationale applies with equal
6 force to G&T's attempt to assert nonmutual defensive collateral estoppel against IPC (a
7 state agency). Idaho Potato Comm'n v. G&T Terminal Packaging, Inc., 425 F.3d 708, 714,
8 (9th Cir. 2005) (citing See Coeur D'Alene Tribe of Idaho v. Hammond, 384 F.3d 674, 689-
9 90 (9th Cir. 2004) (relying on Mendoza's reasoning to conclude, under Idaho state law
10 preclusion principles, that nonmutual offensive collateral estoppel did not preclude a state
11 agency from relitigating a legal issue that had previously been determined against the
12 agency by a state court); Hercules Carriers, Inc. v. Claimant State of Fla., 768 F.2d 1558,
13 1578-79 (11th Cir. 1985) (applying Mendoza to hold that nonmutual defensive collateral
14 estoppel did not operate against a state government). We therefore hold that issue
15 preclusion does not prevent IPC from challenging the district court's determination that the
16 no-challenge clause of IPC's licensing agreement is unenforceable.” Id. Similarly, the
17 Plaintiffs, who are all elected electors, should not be barred from challenging the issues
18 herein, especially where they were also not the same identical issues.
19 2. This Case Pleads Entirely Different Causes of Action from Ward
20 v. Jackson.
21 Ward v. Jackson raises only one cause of action, an elections contest under A.R.S.
22 § 16-673. Statement of Elections Contest 5:22-23. This case raises causes of action for
23 violations of 42 U.S.C. § 1983, the Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution, and
24 Election Fraud. Complaint 41:14-50:26.
25 3. Unlike Ward v Jackson, this Case is Part of National Litigation
26 Concerning a Pattern of Similar Problems Nationwide and Raises
27 Far Broader Factual Questions.
28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 20 of 32
1 The Statement of Elections Contest (i.e. Complaint) filed in Ward v. Jackson was
2 only nine pages long, including the caption. Statement of Elections Contest passim. As
3 such, it necessarily concerned a much narrower universe of facts than the Complaint in this
4 matter, which is over five-times as long. The trial court summarized Plaintiff’s claims as
5 follows:
6
25
26
10
Plaintiffs’ counsel briefly mentioned reports of “vote flipping” within the context of this
factual contention but chalked up reports of it to the software being “highly inaccurate[,]”
27 Statement of Elections Contest ¶ 27, not to it being part of a larger pattern of election
fraud as Plaintiffs here have claimed.
28 11
https://www.clerkofcourt.maricopa.gov/Home/ShowDocument?id=1930.
775 - 20 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 21 of 32
1 ● Unreturned mail ballots unlawfully ordered by third parties (average for Dr. Briggs
2 Error #1): 219,135.
3 ● Returned ballots that were deemed unreturned by the state (average for Dr. Briggs
4 Error #2): 86,845.
5 ● Votes by persons that moved out of state or subsequently registered to vote in
6 another state for the 2020 election: 5,790.
7 Complaint ¶ 19.
8 Further, Plaintiffs here have alleged that this is a part of a wider, national, pattern.
9 See e.g. Complaint ¶¶ 67-75. As Defendants have correctly noted, similar suits have been
10 brought in federal court in other states by Plaintiffs’ national counsel. Once these cases
11 have worked their way through various circuit courts, a petition for review can be expected
12 to be made to the US Supreme Court. A federal court is the right venue to adjudicate such
13 claims due to both the national scope of the claims as well as for the sake of consistency.
14 See also A.R.S. § 16-672(B) (election challenge “may” (not must) be brought in Superior
15 Court).
16 4. A third-party seeking to raise similar issues to the ones before this
17 court was denied leave to intervene in Ward v Jackson.
18 Members of the Arizona Election Integrity Association (“AEIA”) sought leave to
19 intervene in Ward v. Jackson. [Proposed] Pleading in Intervention 2:2-5 (Ward v.
20 Jackson).12 As Plaintiffs do here, the AEIA sought to raise the issues of the unlawful
21 ordering of ballots by third-parties, returned ballots not counted, and votes by out of state
22 persons. Id. 3:21-4:18. However, the motion to intervene was denied as being filed too late
23 in the litigation for its scope to be expended to this degree. December 3, 2020 Minute Entry
24 Order p 3.13
25 Of equal importance is the fact that the isolated claims in State court do not appear
26 to present evidence demonstrating that a sufficient number of illegal ballots were counted
27
12
https://www.clerkofcourt.maricopa.gov/Home/ShowDocument?id=1890.
28 13
https://www.clerkofcourt.maricopa.gov/Home/ShowDocument?id=1928.
776 - 21 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 22 of 32
1 to affect the result of the 2020 General Election. The fact and expert witnesses presented
2 in the Complaint do. The Complaint alleges and provides supporting evidence that the
3 number of illegal votes is potentially multiples of Biden’s 10,457 margin in Arizona,
4 particularly:
5
15 See generally Compl., Section II. No State case has been adjudicated with supporting
16 documentary and testimonial evidence like what has been submitted here, which is more
17 than sufficient to change the result of the election.
18
19 H. Abstention
20 Defendant Secretary Hobbs drops a footnote asserting that this Court “should
21 abstain from hearing the case on federalism and comity grounds.” ECF No. 40 at 19 n.8
22 (citing Quackenbush v. Allstate Ins. Co., 517 U.S. 706, 727-30 (1996)). The abstention
23 request is cursory, so it is difficult for Plaintiffs to determine what Secretary Hobbs’
24 argument is and to respond.
25 Accordingly, Plaintiffs would note that the case cited is inapposite. The standard
26 for federal abstention in the voting rights and state election law context, Harman v.
27 Forssenius, 380 U.S. 528, 534, (1965) is not favorable to their cause. In Harman, the
28 Supreme Court rejected the Defendant state’s argument that federal courts should dismiss
777 - 22 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 23 of 32
1 voting rights claims based on federal abstention, emphasizing that abstention may be
2 appropriate where “the federal constitutional question is dependent upon, or may be
3 materially altered by, the determination of an uncertain issue of state law,” and “deference
4 to state court adjudication only be made where the issue of state law is uncertain.” Harman,
5 380 U.S. at 534 (citations omitted). But if state law in question “is not fairly subject to an
6 interpretation which will render unnecessary or substantially modify the federal
7 constitutional question,” then “it is the duty of the federal court to exercise its properly
8 invoked jurisdiction.” Id. (citation omitted). Here, the complaint rests on federal
9 constitutional claims based on the Electors Clause and the Equal Protection Clause. These
10 claims are not dependent in any way on an interpretation of Arizona state law.
11 II. The Complaint Satisfies the Applicable Pleading Standard under Arizona Law
12 and the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure
13 Defendant Intervenor’s assertion that Plaintiffs’ Complaint must be dismissed
14 pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 9(b), ECF No. 36 at 2-6, is incorrect because
15 it misstates the standard for ballot fraud under controlling Arizona Supreme Court
16 precedent. In Miller v. Picacho Elementary Sch. Dist. No. 33, 179 Ariz. 178, 180, 877 P.2d
17 277, 279, (S. Ct.1994), the Supreme Court of Arizona explained that election fraud occurs
18 where there are “non-technical” violations of election law that affected the result of the
19 election: “We therefore hold that a showing of fraud is not a necessary condition to
20 invalidate absentee balloting. It is sufficient that an express non-technical statute was
21 violated, and ballots cast in violation of the statute affected the election.” Id. The Miller
22 Court went on to explain:
23
28
778 - 23 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 24 of 32
1 Id. (internal citations and quotation omitted). Like the violations at issue in Miller,
2 Plaintiffs’ are not alleging “mere technical violations,” id., but rather “substantive
3 irregularities” and systematic violations of procedural safeguards designed to prevent
4 “fraud” and “ballot tampering,” and like in Miller, “[t]hese tactics achieved the desired
5 result--they turned the election around” for Biden. Id. Plaintiffs’ Complaint alleges serious
6 violations of Arizona state law, as well as the U.S. Constitution and federal laws, as part
7 of a larger scheme of election fraud that affected the result. And, it sets forth these
8 allegations in great detail with substantial expert and fact affidavit support (which would
9 support a FRCP 9(b) analysis even if that standard were applied). As such, Plaintiffs’
10 Complaint meets the applicable pleading requirements under Arizona law and the Federal
11 Rules of Civil Procedure.
12 III. Plaintiffs are Entitled to Injunctive Relief
13 “A plaintiff seeking a preliminary injunction must establish that he is likely to
14 succeed on the merits, that he is likely to suffer irreparable harm in the absence of
15 preliminary relief, that the balance of equities tips in his favor, and that an injunction is in
16 the public interest.” Feldman v. Az. Sec. of State’s Office, 208 F.Supp.3d 1074, 1081 (D.
17 Ariz. 2016) (citing Winter v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, 555 U.S. 7, 24 (2008)). Alternatively,
18 “if a plaintiff can only show that there are ‘serious questions going to the merits’—a lesser
19 showing than likelihood of success on the merits—then a preliminary injunction may still
20 issue if the ‘balance of hardships tips sharply in the plaintiff's favor,’ and the other two
21 Winter factors are satisfied,” Shell Offshore, Inc. v. Greenpeace, Inc., 709 F.3d 1281, 1291
22 (9th Cir. 2013) (quoting Alliance for the Wild Rockies v. Cottrell, 632 F.3d 1127, 1135 (9th
23 Cir. 2011)), i.e., if the injunctive relief is in the public interest and failure to grant would
24 result in irreparable harm to the plaintiff.
25 All elements are met here, under either standard. Defendant and Defendant
26 Intervenor responses have not shown otherwise.
27 Of course, as an initial matter, “[w]hen the acts sought to be enjoined have been
28 declared unlawful or clearly are against the public interest, plaintiff need show neither
779 - 24 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 25 of 32
1 irreparable injury nor a balance of hardship in his favor.” Ariz. Pub. Integrity All. v. Fontes,
2 No. CV-20-0253-AP/EL, 2020 Ariz. LEXIS 309, at *13-14 (Nov. 5, 2020) (quoting 11
3 Wright & Miller, Federal Practice & Proc. ¶ 2948 (3d ed. 1998)) (internal quotation marks
4 omitted); See also Current-Jacks Fork Canoe Rental Ass'n v. Clark, 603 F. Supp. 421, 427
5 (E.D. Mo. 1985) (stating that "[i]n actions to enjoin continued violations of federal statutes,
6 once a movant establishes the likelihood of prevailing on the merits, irreparable harm to
7 the public is presumed."). Certifying election results tainted by election fraud and failing
8 to retract such a certification is clearly unlawful and against the public interest. Hence,
9 Plaintiffs discuss irreparable hardship and the public interest only in the alternative.
10 A. Plaintiffs have a substantial likelihood of success on the merits.
11 Through detailed fact and expert testimony including documentary evidence
12 contained in the Complaint and its exhibits, Plaintiffs have made a compelling showing
13 that Defendants’ intentional actions jeopardized the rights of Arizona citizens to select their
14 leaders under the process set out by the Arizona Legislature through the commission of
15 election frauds that violated laws, including multiple provisions of the Arizona election
16 laws. These acts also violated the Equal Protection and Due Process Clauses of the United
17 States Constitution. U.S. Const. Amend XIV.
18 Defendants and Defendant-Intervenors misrepresent Plaintiffs’ constitutional
19 claims. Plaintiffs allege both vote dilution and voter disenfranchisement, both of which
20 are claims under the Equal Protection and Due Process Clause, due to the actions of
21 Defendants in collusion with public employees and voting systems like Dominion. The
22 Complaint describes in great detail the actions taken to dilute the votes of Republican
23 voters through counting and even manufacturing hundreds of thousands of illegal,
24 ineligible, duplicative or outright fraudulent ballots.
25 While the U.S. Constitution itself accords no right to vote for presidential electors,
26 “[w]hen the state legislature vests the right to vote for President in its people, the right to
27 vote as the legislature has prescribed is fundamental; and one source of its fundamental
28 nature lies in the equal weight accorded to each vote and the equal dignity owed to each
780 - 25 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 26 of 32
1 voter.” Bush v. Gore, 531 U.S. 98, 104 (2000) (emphasis added). The evidence shows not
2 only that Defendants failed to administer the November 3, 2020 election in compliance
3 with the manner prescribed by the Arizona Legislature, but that those in collaboration with
4 Dominion and other third parties fraudulently and illegally manipulated the vote count to
5 make certain the election of Joe Biden as President of the United States. This conduct
6 violated Plaintiffs’ constitutional equal protection and due process rights as well their rights
7 under the Arizona election laws. ARS §§ 16-101, et seq.
8 But Defendants’ actions also disenfranchised Republican voters in violation of the
9 U.S. Constitution’s “one person, one vote” requirement by certifying an election where the
10 following occurred:
11 • Republican Ballot Destruction: “1 Person, 0 Votes.” Fact and witness expert
12 testimony alleges and provides strong evidence that tens or even hundreds of thousands of
13 Republican votes were destroyed, thus completely disenfranchising that voter.
14 • Republican Vote Switching: “1 Person, -1 Votes.” Plaintiffs’ fact and expert
15 witnesses further alleged and provided supporting evidence that in many cases,
16 Trump/Republican votes were switched or counted as Biden/Democrat votes. Here, the
17 Republican voter was not only disenfranchised by not having his vote counted for his
18 chosen candidates, but the constitutional injury is compounded by adding his or her vote
19 to the candidates he or she opposes.
20 • Dominion Algorithmic Manipulation: For Republicans, “1 Person, 0.5 Votes,”
21 while for Democrats “1 Person, 1.5 Votes. Plaintiffs presented evidence in the Complaint
22 regarding Dominion’s algorithmic manipulation of ballot tabulation, such that Republican
23 voters in a given geographic region, received less weight per person, than Democratic
24 voters in the same or other geographic regions. See ECF No. 6, Ex. 104. This unequal
25 treatment is the 21st century of the evil that the Supreme Court sought to remedy in the
26 apportionment cases beginning with Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186 (1962), and Reynolds v.
27 Sims, 377 U.S. 533 (1964). Further, Dominion appears to have done so in collusion with
28 State actors, so this form of discrimination is under color of law.
781 - 26 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 27 of 32
1 This Court should consider the totality of the circumstances in evaluating Plaintiffs’
2 constitutional and voting rights claims, see, e.g., Chisom v. Roemer, 111 S.Ct 2354, 2368
3 (1991), and thus the cumulative effect of the Defendants’ voter dilution,
4 disenfranchisement, fraud and manipulation, in addition to the effects of specific practices.
5 Taken together, these various forms of unlawful and unconstitutional conduct destroyed or
6 shifted tens or hundreds of thousands of Trump votes, and illegally added tens or hundreds
7 of thousands of Biden votes, changing the result of the election, and effectively
8 disenfranchising the majority of Arizona voters. And this is not the first time that
9 Defendant and Defendant Intervenor have enabled attempts to “vote ballots that are not
10 lawfully authorized.” See Fontes TRO Order at 2 (enjoining Defendant Intervenor
11 Maricopa County attempt to send absentee ballots to voters that have not requested them).
12 Dr. Briggs’ testimony demonstrates that Defendant and Defendant Intervenor likely
13 violated Arizona law and the express terms of the Fontes TRO Order.
14 While Plaintiffs allege several categories of traditional “voting fraud”, Plaintiffs
15 have also alleged new forms of voting dilution and disenfranchisement made possible by
16 new technology. The potential for voter fraud inherent in electronic voting was increased
17 as a direct result of Defendants’ and Defendant-Intervenors’ decision to transform
18 traditional in-person paper voting – for which there are significant protections from fraud
19 in place – to near universal absentee voting with electronic tabulation – while at the same
20 time eliminating through legislation or litigation – and when that failed by refusing to
21 enforce – traditional protections against voting fraud (voter ID, signature matching, witness
22 and address requirements, etc.).
23 Thus, while Plaintiffs’ claims include novel elements due to changes in technology
24 and voting practices, that does not nullify the Constitution or Plaintiffs’ rights thereunder.
25 Defendants and Defendant-Intervenors have certified an election tainted by likely the most
26 wide-ranging and comprehensive mechanism to facilitate voting fraud yet devised,
27 integrating new technology with old fashioned urban machine corruption and
28
782 - 27 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 28 of 32
1 skullduggery. The fact that this scheme is novel does not make it legal or prevent this Court
2 from fashioning appropriate injunctive relief to protect Plaintiffs’ rights.
3 William Briggs provides a rebuttal to Stephen Ansolabehere that fully defends and
4 even strengthens his findings of widespread voter fraud regarding tens of thousands of mail
5 in ballots that failed to arrive and others ordered by third parties. While specific matters
6 are discussed in the rebuttal, what cannot be ignored is the added confidence that results
7 when this pattern of this fraud is repeated across all five of the swing states where the
8 analysis was performed, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Wisconsin. To
9 see statistical significance found repeatedly -- in fact, five times in a row, should put any
10 doubts to rest.
11 Teasley also provides a rebuttal to Jonathan Rodden, a PhD in political science, and
12 fully defends his model that found statistical significance in the advantage that Biden
13 gained from Dominion machines relative to all others in a nationwide analysis. This
14 argument was soundly defended as Rodden failed to apply any meaningful evaluation and
15 made numerous basic errors in terms of inferring cause from correlation.
16 Further, as set forth in the rebuttal report of Russell Ramsland, attached hereto, Ex.
17 5, none of Defendants criticisms have any merit.
18 B. The Plaintiffs will suffer Irreparable Harm.
19 Plaintiffs will suffer an irreparable harm due to the Defendants’ myriad violations
20 of Plaintiffs’ rights under the U.S. Constitution, and Arizona Election Code, and Defendant
21 and Defendant Intervenors have not shown otherwise.
22 In this Response, Plaintiffs have refuted and rebutted their arguments in detail, in
23 particular, regarding standing, equitable defenses, and jurisdictional claims, as well as
24 establishing their substantial likelihood of success. Having disposed of those arguments,
25 and shown a substantial likelihood of success, this Court should presume that the
26 requirement to show irreparable injury has been satisfied.
27 “It is well established that the deprivation of constitutional rights,” such as
28 violations of the Fourteenth Amendment rights to Equal Protection and Due Process,
783 - 28 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 29 of 32
1 “‘unquestionably constitutes irreparable injury.’” Melendres v. Arpaio, 695 F.3d 990, 1002
2 (9th Cir. 2012) (quoting Elrod v. Burns, 427 U.S. 347, 373, 96 S.Ct. 2673, 49 L.Ed.2d 547
3 (1976) (where plaintiff had proven a probability of success on the merits, the threatened
4 loss of First Amendment freedoms “unquestionably constitutes irreparable injury”); see
5 also Preston v. Thompson, 589 F.2d 300, 303 n.4 (7th Cir. 1978) (“The existence of a
6 continuing constitutional violation constitutes proof of an irreparable harm.”). Moreover,
7 courts have specifically held that infringement on the fundamental right to vote constitutes
8 irreparable injury. See Ariz. Democratic Party v. Ariz. Republican Party, 2016 WL
9 8669978, at *11 (D. Ariz. Nov. 4, 2016) (citing Obama for Am. v. Husted, 697 F.3d 423,
10 435 (6th Cir. 2012) (“A restriction on the fundamental right to vote ... constitutes
11 irreparable injury.”); Williams v. Salerno, 792 F.2d 323, 326 (2d Cir. 1986) (holding that
12 plaintiffs “would certainly suffer irreparable harm if their right to vote were impinged
13 upon”).”
14 C. The Balance of Equities & The Public Interest
15 Defendant and Defendant Intervenors make a few half-hearted attempts on this
16 element but add nothing new or that merits a response.
17 The remaining two factors – the balance of the equities and the public interest – are
18 frequently analyzed together, see, e.g., Arizona Dream Act Coal. v. Brewer, 818 F.3d 901,
19 920 (9th Cir. 2016), and both factors tip in favor Plaintiffs. Granting Plaintiffs’ primary
20 request for injunctive relief, enjoining certification of the 2020 General Election results, or
21 requiring Defendants to de-certify the results, would not only not impose a burden on
22 Defendants, but would instead relieve Defendants of the obligation to take any further
23 affirmative action. The result would be to place the decision regarding certification and
24 the selection of Presidential Electors back into the hands of the Arizona State Legislature,
25 which is the ultimate decision maker under the Elections and Electors Clause of the U.S.
26 Constitution.
27 Conversely, permitting Defendants’ certification of an election so tainted by fraud
28 and unlawful conduct would impose a certain and irreparable injury not only on Plaintiff,
784 - 29 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 30 of 32
1 but would also irreparably harm the public interest insofar as it would undermine
2 “[c]onfidence in the integrity of our electoral processes,” which “is essential to the
3 functioning of our participatory democracy.” Purcell v. Gonzalez, 127 S.Ct. 5, 7 (2006)
4 (per curiam).
5 In this regard, Plaintiffs would highlight a recent Eleventh Circuit decision
6 addressed a claim in 2018 related to Georgia’s voting system and Dominion Voting
7 Systems that bears on the likelihood of Plaintiffs’ success on the merits and the balance of
8 harms in the absence of injunctive relief:
9 In summary, while further evidence will be necessary in the future, the Court finds
10 that the combination of the statistical evidence and witness declarations in the record here
11 (and the expert witness evidence in the related Curling case which the Court takes notice
12 of) persuasively demonstrates the likelihood of Plaintiff succeeding on its claims. Plaintiff
13 has shown a substantial likelihood of proving that the Secretary's failure to properly
14 maintain a reliable and secure voter registration system has and will continue to result in
15 the infringement of the rights of the voters to cast their vote and have their votes counted.
16 Common Cause Georgia v. Kemp, 347 F. Supp. 3d 1270, 1294-1295, (11th Cir. 2018).
17 D. Plaintiffs Reiterate Their Request for Emergency Injunctive Relief Prior
18 to December 14, 2020.
19 Plaintiffs urge this Court to grant the emergency injunctive relief requested in the
20 TRO motion immediately, and in no event, later than December 10, 2020. In this regard,
21 Plaintiffs bring to this Court’s attention the December 4, 2020 order in William Feehan v.
22 Wisconsin Elections Commission, et al., Case No. 20-cv-1771-pp (E.D. Wis. Dec. 4, 2020)
23 ("Feehan"). The Plaintiffs in Feehan raised largely identical federal claims as those
24 presented in the current in this Complaint, and they requested an expedited briefing
25 schedule, as "time was of the essence because the College of Electors was schedule to meet
26 December 8," which "is the 'safe harbor' deadline under 3 U.S.C. § 5." Id. at 7.
27 Of relevance here, the Feehan court held that, while December 8, 2020 is a critical
28 date for resolution of any state court litigation," or state law claims, it is not the deadline
785 - 30 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 31 of 32
1 for federal courts. Feehan at 8. The applicable date for resolution of federal claims is
2 December 14, 2020, the date on which the electors meet and vote. Id. The court then set
3 a "less truncated" briefing schedule in light of the additional time. Accordingly, Plaintiffs
4 request that this Court grant the TRO Motion not later than December 10, 2020.
5 IV. Relief Requested
6 Plaintiffs seek a de-certification of Arizona’s election results. They also seek stay
7 in the delivery of the certified results to the Electoral College to preserve the status quo
8 while this case proceeds, as well that the voting machines be impounded and made
9 available, and other equitable relief, on an emergency basis.
10
786 - 31 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44 Filed 12/05/20 Page 32 of 32
1 .
10
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
11
I hereby certify that on December 5th, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
12
foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
13
transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
14
15
By: /s/ Chris Viskovic
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
787 - 32 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44-1 Filed 12/05/20 Page 1 of 69
Exhibit 1
788
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44-1 Filed 12/05/20 Page 2 of 69
789
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December 5, 2020
Phoenix, Arizona—
On behalf of the millions of concerned citizens and Arizonans who have lost confidence in the
integrity of our election system, and on behalf of candidates for public office who campaign hard
with the expectation that every lawful vote will count—and every illegal ballot will be thrown
out—we write to share our support for the pending litigation.
Currently pending before the Court is Bowyer v. Ducey. We have seen various reports of
irregularities, variances, statistical improbabilities, and unorthodox measures occurring in the
general election for 2020. To date, in response to the numerous reports, we have received
platitudes and condescension “assuring” us, and Arizona voters, that there was no fraud, or now
they say that there was not enough fraud to matter. Indeed, those making the assurances, including
the Secretary of State, the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors and others, have proffered no
evidence that the election tabulation was not manipulated.
There has been no thorough investigation, no forensic audit, no signature verification and really
no substantive effort to rebut the many deficiencies reported on. There are the objective indicia of
manipulation that include: down ballot races all going in favor of the Republicans (with the notable
and expected loss of McSally). In counties that did not use Dominion software, the president easily
won. There is no voter registration imbalance that would make Maricopa County the outlier.
Immediately prior to the election, voters in Chandler and Mesa were solicited by community
organizers to turn over their ballots so they could “turn it in for them.” This is illegal ballot
harvesting yet it occurred and was reported on October 23, 2020. The eyewitness testimony of
actual voters is available for public review.
If every vote counts, and if the right to free and fair elections is as important as we always say,
then any such vote manipulation must be vetted thoroughly.
The massive fraud people are concerned about is the data shifting. Why trifle with hundreds of
ballots if you can change tens of thousands effortlessly? One insider whistleblower states that
35,000 votes were manipulated in Pima County. In a recent legislative hearing, evidence was
presented of voter anomalies that supposedly occurred notwithstanding the mathematical
improbability of such an occurrence.
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All this is to say that we need to restore the faith of the people. Early ballots. Mass mailing of
ballots. Computer algorithms. All have served to undermine voter confidence. When faced with
these discrepancies, the people are simply told that everything is fine and not to look into it
further.
In our view, elections need a zero tolerance for illegal balloting. This is not complicated. We are
merely counting. Whether it’s one to one hundred or one to four million, it is simple math.
We ask the court to support the request for fact finding, evidence gathering and any injunctive
relief necessary to prove that the vote was indeed fair and accurate. Without such an undertaking,
if Mr. Biden proceeds along, his presidency will be deemed illegitimate by millions. This is an
intolerable result.
Sincerely,
791
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"I write in support of Bowyer v Ducey. Arizonans deserve full clarity and complete
our elections - is the bedrock of our constitutional republic. While Arizona did not
experience allegations of voter fraud to the degree of other states, Arizonans have
been left with significant questions about the integrity of our state’s election
system, apparatus, and software. It is important for all branches of our government
to work in unison to ensure that these allegations are investigated and adjudicated.
792
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Exhibit 2
793
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Letters of Support
Compilation Bowyer v
Ducey
794
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Committee, and now Senator-Elect and Vice Chair of the Government committee which
oversees elections issues, I am writing this in an effort to further the sense of urgency to
address elections irregularities and claims brought forward by elections workers and
volunteers on November 30, 2020 regarding the recent General election. I have heard from
this hearing, along with statements from individuals to my office, that there is reason to
conclude a serious suspicion about fraud and irregularity in the election process. In
particular, the most pressing issue is that the Dominion machines in Maricopa County are
in need of a forensic audit. Beyond that, a close look at adherence to election law should
be examined, and the voter rolls regarding Federal only voters needs to be audited. The
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Voting Systems after a deep dive, having performed a security and technical
analysis which caused them to draw the conclusion that the system was not
secure. Because Arizona’s Board of Supervisors did no such due diligence
above and beyond the EAC review, there is no evidence that the concerns
brought forward by Texas have been resolved. Such a review should be
conducted to ensure that vulnerabilities no longer exist.
4. Each year the Def Con conference tests machines to see if they can be hacked.
The Maricopa County Recorder sent staff to more than one of these conferences,
and the resulting recommendation from their “voting village” was that due to the
extraordinary ease that a person could hack into the system, a full and
comprehensive audit should be performed after each election. Due to the
hackers themselves recommending a forensic audit of these machines, would it
not then be prudent to look closer at the vulnerabilities we have in our voting
systems?
5. A Dominion employee had said to one of the witnesses that he was removing
the machine’s hard drives and taking them offsite, with no chain of custody and
returning them the next day. This severely compromises the public’s confidence
in a secure election and should not have happened.
6. Arizona’s Federal Only voters have grown exponentially from approximately
1100 persons who could not prove citizenship in 2017, to over 36,000 in 2020.
At last check, in Maricopa over 4000 of those voters cast a ballot. An audit of
those Federal only voters should take place, since a fictitious name could be used
to obtain a ballot without any scrutiny.
7. We heard from many poll workers and volunteers who claimed that their ability
to observe the election, namely signature verification and adjudication of ballots,
was suppressed.
8. The Maricopa County Recorder sent instructions with ballots that directed the
voter to cross out any mistakes and mark the candidate they intended on the
ballot. The trial court stated that this was likely a violation of the law to state
such an instruction, but that it was too late to intercede. On appeal, the Supreme
Court overturned the state court decision and ordered the Maricopa County
Recorder to remove the instruction. On election day, it was told to me that there
were many ballots in the adjudication room that were a full Republican ballot,
but that one candidate was crossed out and another candidate was voted for. A
forensic check of the ink in these ballots would be time worthy due to the
potential of malfeasance by the adjudicators.
9. We heard testimony that many machines rejected a large number of ballots due
to extra marks caused by pens bleeding through to the other side on the day of
the election. Those ballots went to either duplication or adjudication, where
teams were attempting to revote the ballot based on what they thought the voter’s
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intention was. Testimony was given that there were not always a sufficient
number of Republicans present to assure that voter intent was honored. A wider
universe of ballots to be audited would be appropriate in this situation.
10. We were presented with an email by a person named Brian Watson, claiming
that in Pima County, 35,000 votes were front-loaded into the machines for
various democrat candidates. It is important to obtain the IP address of that
individual and follow up to gather more information about this.
11. In years’ past, the tabulation room was off-limits to anyone that did not have
clearance, however this year the tabulation room was open to 25 adjudication
teams, removing the security of the machines. If anyone with knowledge of the
system and had access to the machines, would that not be reason alone to do a
forensic audit of those machines?
12. Because the chain of custody of the SD results cards, hard drives, and the
machines themselves, which were left unattended for a week in at least on
Chandler voting center, it is incumbent to do a full forensic audit on the
Dominion voting system.
13. It has been disclosed to me by a 3rd year law student, who is willing to testify
under oath, that an acquaintance in Seattle contacted her to report that a shipment
of ballots arrived at the airport from a South Korean plane. She also has a taped
conversation of an individual admitting to being a part of the ballot operation
here in Phoenix and can provide such recording. It is my understanding that this
is currently under federal investigation.
CONCLUSION
regarding the 2020 General Election in Arizona, I believe it is urgent that the Court find
that a deep forensic audit is performed on the machinery and the ballots to determine if this
I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct to the best
797
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By ____________________________________
Senator-Elect Kelly Townsend
798
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RE: Statement of support for the US District Court Action Bowyer v. Ducey
Please transmit my remarks herein to The Court in the above mention matter. As the chairman of
an public hearing panel on Arizona 2020 election integrity, which was convened on November
30, 2020, and after hearing over 10-hours of testimony and inspecting reams of evidence in the
form of affidavits from those who testified, it is clear to me that the election of November 3,
2020 was plagued by pervasive voter and elections fraud and should be decertified.
The split between candidate Biden and Candidate Trump is less than 10,457 votes. The mathe-
matical modeling that explains actual voting records confirms the tabulation fraud. It is interest-
ing to note that but for the November 30th public hearing, virtually none of this testimony and
evidence would have come to light in a transparent forum. It would have been covered up by in-
action of the both the legislative and judicial branches in this state.
I know those who have brought this action personally, and I know how serious they are about
supporting the rule of law and protection of the individual voting franchise of every citizen. This
is not about one candidate or another, but rather stopping a fraud. Article IV, Section 4, known as
the “Guarantee Clause” guarantees each state a, “republican form of government,” the founda-
tion of which is self-governance through free and fair elections accurately reflecting the will of
the people.
With the mountain of evidence that was presented during the November 30 hearing, which sev-
eral of the complainants in this action were present to hear and observe, it is clear the "one per-
son, one vote" principle that was invoked in a series of cases by the Warren Court in the 1960s
—under the Equal Protection Clause— has been violated by this election to an extent sufficient
to alter the outcome of the election if properly scrutinized.
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I am personally shocked that the chief executive of this state knew or should have known of the
mountain of evidence showing that our election was irredeemably compromised, and likely a
fraud, and yet he signed the document. There was nothing magic about the 11:00 hour on No-
vember 30, he knew that the hearing was on-going and was likely to last into the evening. Fur-
thermore, the document should have been held after nine more hours of evidence and testimony
was presented supporting the assertion of illegitimacy.
Article I, Section 4, Clause 1 of the United States Constitution empowers state legislatures, in-
cluding the Legislature of the State of Arizona, to prescribe the “Times, Places, and Manner” of
conducting elections; and, Article II, Section 1, Clause 2 of the United States Constitution em-
powers state legislatures, including the Legislature of the State of Arizona, to direct the manner
of appointing electors for President and Vice President of the United States. At one of the com-
plainants in this case, Representative Anthony Kern, is currently a sitting member of the 54th
Arizona Legislature. If this is not credibility enough and demonstrable evidence that the com-
plainants are serious and dedicated, then I don’t know what could be.
It is said when you cannot stand the message, kill the messenger. The proceedings that the Court
is engaged in cannot be an exercise in politics but in law, an exercise to protect the individual
franchise of voting that is the embodiment of the consent of the governed. Arizonans, indeed all
Americans, have been subjected to a narrative that the complainants in this suit are somehow un-
serious, or worse western rubes. But I ask the Court to consider this, these people are determined,
they are committed and they are serious about their stand for the guarantee that this state shall
continue to enjoy a republican form of government, the foundation of free and fair elections ac-
curately reflecting the will of the people.
Kindest regards,
800
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NB NANCY K. BARTO
ARIZONA REPRESENTATIVE
| ARIZONA HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
Sincerely,
0BNancy K. Barto
Arizona Representative
801
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I was part of the Legislative panel that heard testimony on Monday, November
30 , in Phoenix, Arizona of the many irregularities that took place on the November
th
I will not list all the irregularities that I heard knowing that many are listed within
this lawsuit, but I am firm in my mind that our election has been compromised and
we cannot certify and state with certainty that that we know who the Presidential
winner is.
I feel strongly that we must decertify our election and not award Arizona’s eleven
Electoral votes to any candidate due to the failure of the integrity of Arizona General
election.
Most Sincerely,
802
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A significant number of voters believe that fraud occurred, and, with the number
made surrounding the vendor Dominion. It is imperative that the Court immediately
allow a forensic audit on the Dominion software and equipment to make sure the results
were accurate.
I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct to the best
By ____________________________________
Warren Petersen Arizona House Majority Leader
803
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804
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Exhibit 3
805
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1 Summary
The criticisms made by Stephen Ansolabehere in response to my original report on absentee ballots
are not relevant, make simple errors in logic, and even, in part, work against him to show my original
argument could be made even stronger.
Ansolabehere repeatedly charges that because I was brief in saying “I assume survey respondents are
representative and the data is accurate” that therefore the respondents were not representative and the
data not accurate. This is a silly error and a wholly unwarranted conclusion. Not only was this data
entirely typical of phone surveys, and therefore the data having all the usual strengths and weaknesses of
the genre, it was extraordinary in that calls with respondents were recorded. The designers of the survey
evidently knew its quality would be attacked—and were prepared for it.
There were no fatal errors in the survey data or calculations, as the well-paid Ansolabehere falsely
claims. (Five hundred fifty American dollars per hour for the many hours he spent on his comments? My
work is entirely pro bono.) Instead, I took pains to put forward the most conservative case, interpreting
the data in a way that actually reduced the number of troublesome ballots.
Although Ansolabehere made many mistakes, I thank him for the opportunity of allowing me to
make a point I neglected to emphasize in my original presentation. This is the striking unity of results
across several battleground states, including Arizona. The data shows either an amazing coincidence in
accumulated troublesome ballots in just those places they were needed most for Biden, or the data shows
something more interesting happened.
What follows are answers to specific criticisms.
2 Rebuttal
Ansolabehere pads his account with many extraneous words and arguments. I will be much briefer, while
also answering every substantial criticism he made.
806
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Finally, if they said yes to that, respondents were asked “Q3 - Did you mail back that ballot?”
Ansolabehere finds ambiguity in these three simple questions via a wonderful display of specious
argument, one he repeats in many places. He basically says that because the questions could have been
misinterpreted in the various ways he suggests, they therefore were misinterpreted by a sufficient number
of respondents, thus rendering the survey useless.
My answer is that this is a dumb argument. He has no evidence misinterpretations were made in the
way he suggests. He could have spent the same amount of (expensive) time and came up with reasons
why the survey was not misinterpreted.
For instance, the election was in the news and people were riled. They therefore welcomed the chance
to set the record straight, and to ensure their legal ballots were counted. They were thus even more
honest than they normally would be with telephone pollsters.
Of course, I have no evidence this, or other similar stories, are true. Just as Ansolabehere has no
evidence his charges are true. All we can do, then, is to treat this survey like we treat all surveys: analyze
the data as it is presented.
The wording of Question 3 also is very problematic. First, the survey does not ascertain
whether a ballot was in fact received. According to figures from the U.S. Election Assistance
Commission, there were 102,896 undeliverable absentee ballots. Neither Question 2 nor Ques-
tion 3 screens out people who did not receive a ballot. Second, Question 3 does not ascertain
whether the ballot was mailed back in a timely manner so as to be included in the record
of ballots cast. Third, Question 3 asks whether someone voted. As is well known among
political scientists and survey researchers, survey questions asking whether someone voted are
subject to substantial social desirability biases that lead to inflation in the estimated number
of voters.
Earlier, Ansolabehere says that just about evey voter was sent automatically an absentee ballot, and
here he says it’s possibly they didn’t. This is not consisent. And again, Ansolabehere uses the possibility
of a thing as proof the thing existed. There no evidence, not one bit, that ballots were sent back late.
Indeed, as all news reports indicate, certain late ballots were warmly accepted.
His second point is the same: because people lie on surveys, therefore they lied here in sufficient
number. Would Ansolabehere apply this same reasoning to his own words? It is clearly nonsense. If
accepted, his argument would toss out all surveys about voting.
807
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Response rate is not a problem, and has been fully accounted for.
3 Conclusion
The doubts cast on my original analysis by Ansolabehere either fail simple tests of logic, or are so small
as to make no practical difference in the conclusion.
All his logical errors can be dismissed. Suggesting, as he often does, that mistakes can be made or
that ambiguity might exist in the survey, is not proof that either does exist. I could have spent an equal
amount of (unremunerated in my case) time suggesting ways the survey was better than most political
polls. For instance, people are aware now more than ever of the importance of this election and they took
greater care with their answers. I did not do this in the original report because I, unlike Ansolabehere,
know the true value of such speculations.
808
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The various numerical quibbles Ansolabehere has with the survey numbers either strengthen my case,
or they are so small as to make no practical difference. Even with his own difficult-to-justify assumptions,
the analysis reveals there still exist very large numbers of troublesome ballots in each battleground state.
There are enough suspicious ballots left, even using his numbers, that could have changed the outcome
of the election.
Finally, I reemphasize the remarkable coincidence that the amount of troublesome ballots was impor-
tant to the election outcome in each state.
5 December 2020
William M. Briggs
809
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Exhibit 4
810
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811
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where the counties with higher likelihood, and higher actual Biden
results are located. Instead we see the unusually high pattern
scattered across the vast majority of counties.
The pattern we see is very evident in rural counties in Minnesota,
Michigan, and Wisconsin – these are all solid “Trump” areas; hence, the
impact is seen in “Trump” counties as well as Democrat counties. This
refutes the author’s attempt at an alternative explanation.
Also in conjunction with this, the author argues that counties that are
new to using Dominion machines “have larger shares of female
residents, Latino residents, and… have lower median incomes”. My
propensity analysis, mentioned earlier, specifically controlled for these
variables. The results of the analysis (output now included in appendix)
were significant at the 95% level - and show a “Dominion Effect” in
favor of candidate Biden. Since this analysis specifically controlled for
the variables about which the author is concerned, my analysis has
already refuted this argument.
False Positives
Rodden claims our results are erroneous due to probably being a “false
positive”. He then gives a select example showing that adoption of
Dominion machine use in 2020 (from not using Dominion in 2012) is
highly correlated with Obama’s winning vote percentage in 2012. He
provides that in those counties that have switched to Dominion
machines at some point between 2012 and 2020, “Obama received about
5 to 6 percentage points higher vote share”. He concludes, “there is no
logical way that future use of Dominion voting machines could have
affected past outcomes.”
He seems to have forgotten his earlier (likely true) statement that,
“Democratic counties have been more likely to adopt Dominion
machines than Republican counties”. Thus, with his own information,
the author gives the reason why counties that changed from other
machines to Dominion machines between 2012 and 2020 are more likely
to vote for Obama. The counties that have changed are more Democrat
counties, so of course they voted for Obama in 2012, apparently at a
812
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813
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814
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Exhibit 5
815
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Objective
Highly skilled and innovative security analyst seeking to work
collaboratively to develop and implement security policy, best
practices methodology, and timely incidence response/disaster
recovery reporting.
Competencies
Firewalls
816
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Experience
817
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818
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819
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820
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December 5, 2020
Bowyer v. Ducey, Case No. 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
________________________________________
Russell J. Ramsland, Jr.
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1) I have read the Dr. Reddon’s rebuttal to my affidavit dated December 4, 2020 and
find it unconvincing in a real world scenario for several reasons. The first of these
reasons is the broadly recognized importance of contextual factors in inferring
various analytical results from research data whether the considerations involve
ecological fallacies, corporate fallacies or individualistic fallacies. Simply put, an
over-reliance on inferred results without taking into consideration the events and
their time- sequencing, the parties of input and influence (corporate or individual)
and the historical and contemporary backdrop in which they exist (“spiraling
contextuality” in political science jargon) yields false assurances in the outcomes.
Dr. Reddon makes this very mistake in his arguments for his counter analysis that
essentially boils down to the notion that Dominion machines cannot be held
responsible for what our team found as highly anomalous reporting in favor of
Biden using 3 different metrics because they are placed in historically democratic
heavy areas to begin with. So we should expect this outcome. There are several
problems with his argument.
2) The first example of failing to recognize contextual matters is Dr. Reddon’s
apparent assumption that any such selection of Dominion Systems by a heavily
democratic area is divorced from Dominion’s history and alliances. It is absurd to
make such an assumption as the previous 4 affidavits of Spider and my own affidavit
make clear. Further, the new affidavit of Spider adds to the enormity of the
importance of viewing any anomaly in the context of Dominion’s history and
relationships. 1 Clearly Dominion’s history and alliances are of tremendous
importance to the decision makers who select these systems, and part of that
history includes its vulnerability to being tampered with by inside or outside actors.
For instance, in the real world of power politics it cannot be easily dismissed as a
potentially attractive feature in certain cases, and in this sense the relationship
between Dominion’s selection and the heavy bias of Dominion outcomes may
certainly be related. Hence no amount of correlation between Dominion selection
by more heavily democrat counties has anything useful to add to the question of
whether Dominion systems are innocent of fraud or tampering. That question is still
wide open and our three perspectives on anomalous behavior in our analysis of this
question is at least as valid as Dr. Reddons.
1 andy_huang_affidavit, Spider, 12.5.2020
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“Amid heightened concerns about the integrity of the voting process in the
run-up to the 2020 presidential election, two election security experts
recently quit Verified Voting, a respected election accountability group, in
protest. They claim that it has been downplaying security risks in popular
voting machines.
In his resignation letter, Stark accused the group of being on the “wrong side”
by approving pricey new voting systems that replace hand-marked ballots
with computer-printed ballot summary cards [BMD], the accuracy of which
he questions since they depend on potentially insecure software. . .
Since the election interference in 2016, many states and localities have been
moving to voting machines called ballot marking devices that record the
voter’s choices digitally and also print them on a paper ballot as a backup.
And there’s the disconnect. The findings of the RLA depend totally on the
assumption that the paper ballots accurately reflect the choices of the voter.
Stark and DeMillo warn against making that assumption.
“Because there is software between the voter and the paper, what the paper
shows might not be what the voter did or saw . . . on the device,” Stark told
me. That’s because the software could be hacked and caused to create a false
paper ballot. In close elections, it might take only a small number of these to
change the result.”
And then finally, lest anyone think the so-called audit in Georgia of it’s
Dominion machines (the same machines as in Maricopa, Co.) answered any
questions about Dominion, Stark says “In Georgia and particular, the kind of
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audit that was done is called a ballot polling audit, and a ballot polling and it
doesn’t even check the tabulation at all,” Stark told me. “It just checks whether
there is a sufficiently large majority to report a winner and a sufficiently
large sample that it’s implausible that somebody else won.” (italics and
underline is added)2.
4) These are but two examples of why no one should rely on merely a standalone
analysis without taking into account the real world background and facts. Yet this is
precisely the argument Dr. Reddon posits. Without context, it becomes merely an
analytical argument of whose facts, which data, what approach is the superior one.
While we are comfortable with our approach, which I will more thoroughly outline
later, we would not argue it alone is sufficient to eliminate all other context and
would say the same for Dr. Reddon’s thesis.
5) This leads me to the second problem which is that there are the many
documented vulnerabilities in Dominion and ES&S voting systems wherein the
votes are demonstrably switched, and many experts have testified and written
about the many ways this can be accomplished. These proven problems go more
directly to the real question at hand and have been extensively examined by experts
include Harri Hursti, Matt Blaze of Georgetown University and John Halderman of
Michigan, and there are many others.3 The State of Texas has refused to certify
Dominion for use in Texas due to it’s deficiencies, saying “Specifically, the examiner
reports raise concerns about whether the Democracy Suite 5.5-A system is suitable
for its intended purpose; operates efficiently and accurately; and it safe from
fraudulent or unauthorized manipulation”.4 .
6) Further, spot field testing of results in Antrim Co., MI. that uses the same
Dominion equipment as Maricopa Co., AZ, have now shown in Antrim Co. that as a
result of a hand recount, 6,000 votes were switched by the machines. Separately, a
re-tabulation on November 6th of the November 3rd tabulated results in Central
Lake Township yielded dramatically different results as well (see attached Antrim
Report V1.7). Then on December 3rd, from Ware Co., Georgia (that also uses the
2 https://www.fastcompany.com/90441559/two-experts-quit-election-accountability-group-over-
claims-it-has-been-endorsing-untrustworthy-machines
3 2006 Hacking Democracy video
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same Dominion equipment as Maricopa Co.) comes the report and sworn affidavit of
Garland Favorito that a hand recount, as reported in Voter/GA “confirmed the
Dominion Democracy Suite 5.5 system used throughout Georgia flipped dozens of
votes cast in at least one county for President Donald Trump to former Vice
President Joe Biden during the November 3, 2020 election. Dominion vote flipping
from Trump to Biden was previously believed to have occurred only in Antrim
County, Michigan where the system swapped 6,000 votes from Trump to Biden.
In Georgia, Ware County Elections Director confirmed that the recently completed
hand count audit totals showed the total electronic vote count shorted Donald
Trump 37 votes and added those 37 votes to totals for Joe Biden. The 74 affected
votes represents .52% of the 14,192 county votes cast, exactly double Biden’s total
statewide margin of .26%”. 5
And finally, as proof that the same sort of machine vote switching behavior is
happening in Maricopa there is the sworn affidavit of GOP chairwoman Linda
Brickman as reported in the Epoch Times saying “Maricopa County GOP chairwoman
Linda Brickman on Nov. 30 testified before members of the Arizona State Legislature
that she personally observed votes for President Donald Trump being tallied as votes
for Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden when input into Dominion machines.
Brickman, the GOP head of one of the country’s largest counties and a veteran county
elections worker, submitted her testimony in a sworn affidavit under penalty of
perjury. She testified that she and her Democratic partner witnessed “more than
once” Trump votes default and shift to Biden when they were entering votes into
Dominion machines from ballots that couldn’t be read by machines.”6
7) These sorts of problems simply should never occur in a secure voting system and
all of these are proof Dominion EMS system is not secure.
8) This leads me to the third problem in Dr. Reddon’s analysis that concerns actual
proof of illegal activities with respect to the actions of individuals operating the
election, be they Dominion personnel or county personnel. The ease and possibility
of this type of activity is most graphically laid out in video footage first presented at
the Subcommittee of Georgia Oversight Committee on December 3, 2020 wherein it
was made clear that observers of the Georgia count were mis-led into thinking that
counting had stopped and immediately after clearing the room boxes of ballots were
pulled from under tables and a mad dash for counting them ensued, including
5 https://voterga.files.wordpress.com/2020/12/press-release-dominion-flips-trump-votes-to-biden-
in-ga-county.pdf
6 https://www.theepochtimes.com/trump-ballots-defaulted-and-switched-to-biden-votes-on-
dominion-system-maricopa-gop-chairwoman_3599899.html
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10) Essentially ES&S has many of the same problems and vulnerabilities to operator
or outside tampering as proven in Dallas in the 2020 Election and as outlined in my
affidavit. Thus the results in Pima Co., AZ must likewise fall under suspicion since it
was equally vulnerable and the results are anomalous in our opinion, Dr. Reddon
nothwithstanding. I am surprised Dr. Reddon apparently did not understand my
explanation of what we found took place in Dallas, but for further explanation, in
Dallas County where ES&S is used, the voter records as published by Dallas County
each day during early voting were captured on each day for those voters who cast
ballots either in person or by mail-in and then catalogued in a database using the
hash totals to provide an absolute unique identifier for each vote as it was originally
cast and recorded. As required by state law, the Dallas County Elections Department
published the Daily Vote Roster for all voters who cast ballots during Absentee and
In-Person Early Voting. The Roster contained the VoterID, name, address, type of
vote, and various dates associated with every Early-Voting vote cast, hence the
record was complete enough to ensure a unique hash number. Dallas County claims
its source of roster data was the In-Person Electronic Poll Books, and the Absentee
Ballot scanners. DallasCounty has claimed that entry into the Vote Roster can only
be done by a registered Dallas County voter who either appeared In-Person or by
Absentee Ballot. The computer that generated the roster was apparently hacked
between October 7 and October 30. During that period tens of thousands of vote
records were purged, added, or edited from the ES&S generated Vote Roster.
Specifically, over this period, 53,485 voter records had their hash identifier changed,
meaning the vote was tampered with. In most cases, this tampering took the form of
purging the vote, and then re-constituting it in some form or fashion, but with a
change in the hash total meaning the vote was somehow changed. This translates
into approximately 107,000 hacked votes in Dallas County alone for ES&S. Ten
blocks of voters on Westminster Street in Highland Park had their votes purged and
then some of them were selectively re-instated at a later date with changes from the
vote intended by the voter. People who double voted were catalogued as well as
7 https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/1335027487357616128
8 “Legislative Leaders call for audit of Maricopa County election software and equipment”, Press
Release dated Friday, December 4, 2020, Arizona State Legislature, 1700 West Washington, Phoenix,
AZ 85007-2844
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dead people who voted, people with no VUID voted (800 of them), unregistered
university students voted, and people living abroad who claim a Dallas Residence
for voting purposes, but who in a spot check are unknown to the residences they list
in the ES&S system.9
11) With regards to most of the questions raised by Dr. Reddon as to ASOG’s
analysis of Voting irregularities in Arizona’s Maricopa and Pima counties, and it’s
sources, I list the following full report:
Search Methodology
2012
The 2012 data was sourced from the Arizona Secretary of State site:
https://apps.azsos.gov/results/2012/General/ . This site has an FTP (file transfer
protocol) list of files that include all Arizona counties. The files are all of type .txt. They
are in various formats:
• CSV- Comma Separated Value file.
• Fixed length file. Processing of the data
All of these text files are included in the file folder provided. All of the text files seem to
be complete and in good order with the exception of Conchise which consistently has
more voters than people registered. We believe that they mixed up those two terms but
we do not know. Conchise’s data was left as is in the text file.
2016
The 2016 data was also sourced from the Arizona Secretary of State site:
https://apps.azsos.gov/results/2016/General/ . This site has an FTP (file transfer
protocol) list of files that include all Arizona counties. The files are all of type .txt. They
are in various formats:
• CSV- Comma Separated Value file.
• Fixed length file. Processing of the data
All of these text files are included in the file folder and stored. Most of the text files are in
good order with the exception of Coconino, as well there were many counties which had
many precincts from 2012 which disappeared in 2016 (list of these counties: Mohave,
Navaho, Pima, and Yavapai. We think notably the county of Pima went from 288
precincts to 248 precincts. Since the precincts did not have names they could not be
matched up. Comparing 2012 precinct races to 2016 races would not be advised. In the
Coconino file the numbers do not make sense. The total voters does not equal the
addition of the votes garnered by each politician. There seems to be no relation between
the numbers. As such we left these numbers out.
2020
9 http://www.openrecords.org “For Foreign White Hats Only”, “Dallas County Early Vote Appears
Compromised”, “Dallas County Voting, What the HELL!”, “How to Purge Thy Neighbor”, “We Salute
Our Canadian Voters”.
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The 2020 data not available as a whole yet. The three counties that were available were
sourced from different places:
• Pima County was available from the Pima county recorder site
(https://webcms.pima.gov/UserFiles/Servers/Server_6/File/Government/electi
ons/Election%20Results/ENR.CSV)
• Pinal County was available from the Pinal county recorder site:
https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/AZ/Pinal/105207/web.264614/#/report
ing (click on the Detail XLS on the left hand box below voter turnout)
• Maricopa County was available from the Maricopa county recorder site:
https://recorder.maricopa.gov/electionresults/ (click on
ArizonaExportByPrecinct_110320.txt)
• Apache County was also included but it was copied from a PDF from the county
office and the results are not certified
Processing of the Data
The CSV files are processed by opening the file into excel and using the Text to Column
command to put each piece of data into its own cell.
The Fixed file length files are basically all the fields put together in one long string. A file
is provided in the Arizona Secretary of State site that provides the legend to break it into
the fields. We wrote a spreadsheet that imported each field from the string block into a
cell using the legend.
Using either method above, once all the fields were in a single sheet inside the
spreadsheet, we sorted the spreadsheet based on the contest or race field first, then on
the field with the politician’s name or id second, and finally the precinct. We could copy
from this list all the registered voters and ballots cast ordered by precinct. We put those
two groups of data into their own sheets inside the spreadsheet. We then pulled the
data from those two sheets into a final sheet.
Once that data was formatted properly, it was copied and pasted into the comprehensive
document.
Legal Background of Pima County
We found the following blog of a person who was irate at the lack of professionalism in
the 2012 election cycle. https://fatallyflawedelections.blogspot.com/2012/08/arizona-
election-fraud-pima-county.html . This blog post has the following line: “Facts are, Pima
County election process – a process involving election software the county has already
admitted and situated in early cases (we won) as “fatally flawed” in a county that
produced one of the most visibly hacked elections the country has ever seen.” The
author of the article seems to be John Brakey, co-founder of
https://www.auditelectionsusa.org/team/ and can be contacted on this page:
https://www.auditelectionsusa.org/contact/.
SOURCES OF DATA:
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Name URL
Arizona https://datascience-work-product.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com/Arizona-Package-
Precincts sleepingbeauty%237089/Report_of_AZ_precincts.xlsx
Report
Arizona Time Series Analysis By: ASOG
Summary:
Overall, based on the data examined, there is evidence of vote count manipulation,
strong statistical suggestion of fraud, and very strong statistical evidence that
algorithms were involved in the released vote counts.
Data source:
Edison Research via the New York Times website
Figure 1
The cumulative spread in percentage between Trump and Biden at any point in time during the vote
counting is shown in this graph, where Trump is positive percentage.
In other words, a point on the line in this graph represents which candidate is in the lead at any point in
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time, and by how much. Movement of the line in this graph indicates change in the magnitude a candidate
is winning by.
If the line slopes up, the votes are moving in a direction that favors Trump. If the line slopes down, the
votes are moving in a direction that favors Biden.
Figure 2
The total accumulated votes counted at any point in time for each candidate is represented in this graph.
Red is Trump. Blue is Biden.
Figure 3
Each bar on this graph represents what percentage of the votes submitted in each batch went towards a
candidate, where Trump is positive and Biden is negative.
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Analysis:
There are multiple highly anomalous features in these visualizations of the US 2020 General Election vote
count data.
Firstly, I will explain the context of the lower graphs and analyze. Every batch of vote counts released
represents various groups of people and their votes. These groups of people’s votes can be expected to
have variance, even if multiple batches were produced out of the same geographic area. There is also not a
defined order of geographic areas released, so we can expect to see variance there too. What we see in the
lower graphs instead of all expected noise are easily distinguishable trends, which are realistically
improbable.
When the apparent trends we see pervade through the entirety of a graph, the statistical probability of
that occurring approaches zero, and that is what we see in all five of these graphs. The observation of these
trends not only strongly suggests fraud, but also suggests automated and algorithmic tampering of vote
counts. The blue bars in Figure 3 indicate the probable algorithmically generated vote count releases.
The two spots labeled with the letter E show the vote counts being drastically changed up and down which
is clear evidence of manipulation unless sound explanations are given.
All five graphs show a pattern of events that strongly indicate fraud occurring at the areas labeled with A, C,
and D. There is a mechanical correlation between the suspected algorithmically generated vote count
releases and the relative difference between the line in the upper graphs and zero (an intersection with the
line at y=0 in the upper graph indicates a change in which candidate is leading). Furthermore, as soon as
the line in the upper graphs intersect with y=0, the algorithmically generated vote count releases switch to
the opposing side (D) - possibly to either maintain or eek in a Biden victory. The vertical lines at each place
labeled with the letter C help to show that correlation.
The places on these charts labeled with the letter B consistently show relatively enormous vote count
batches at the last minute in favor of Biden, which all almost exactly bring the difference in votes between
Trump and Biden to zero, following hefty Trump leads.
Lastly, and importantly, we will address the areas of the charts labeled with the letter D. Once the majority
of apparent real and organic votes ceased to be counted, we are left with large swaths of released vote
counts that repeatedly have the same exact percentage of votes in each release going to Biden. By exact,
we mean exact. That is until stray batches of apparent organic votes are released, and then the percentage
of votes in each release from the apparent algorithmically generated vote counts going to Biden seem to
adjust slightly to account for the change, which then continue to repeat in each release, until the next stray
organic batch, and the cycle repeats. It is difficult to come up with a realistic scenario where this described
phenomenon is not the result of an algorithm behind the scenes.
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A data set of six features was used. It includes the vote counts for the Republican and Democratic parties in
the presidential, senate, and congress races. Only vote percentages were used for clustering. We chose the
DBSCAN algorithm to cluster as it is able to detect outliers in the data set.
The clustering results are shown in Figure 1 (attached). The reachability plot at the top shows the "city
block" distance between each precinct in the feature space. And the middle and bottom rows show the
distribution of vote % for both Trump and Biden for cluster precincts and the outliers, respectively. On
comparison between the two, the outlier precincts contain an extraordinarily high vote percentages to the
Democrats in the Senate and Congress races.
An attempt was made to compare historical election results in Pima county. Unfortunately, gerrymandering
has occurred after the 2016 election which made a direct precinct to precinct comparison between the two
elections difficult. Furthermore, compared to other states, Arizona contain a very few number of precincts
which makes it difficult to infer on Pima county, see Figure 2.
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Figure 1
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Figure 2
12. The resumes of several key team members involved in the preparation of my
affidavit and my response to Dr. Reddon are attached. With the exception of
Professor Kevin M. Henson (deceased), I have shielded their names for their own
protection and to maintain their operational effectiveness.
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ATTACHMENTS:
1) Antrim Co. MI Report V 1.7
ASOG Forensics Report on Central Lake Township in Antrim Michigan
On 11/27/2020 the ASOG forensics team visited Central Lake Township in Antrim Michigan
on behalf of a local lawsuit filed by Michigan attorney Robert Marsh.
The clerk of Central Lake Township – at around 10:30am – Ms. Judith L. Kosloski, presented
to us “two separate paper totals tape” from Tabulator ID 2.
We were then told by her that on November 5, 2020, Ms. Kosloski was notified by Connie
Wing of the County Clerk’s Office and asked to bring the tabulator and ballots to the County
Clerk’s office for re-tabulation. They ran the ballots and printed “Roll 2”. She noticed a
difference in the votes and brought it up to the clerk, but canvasing still occurred, and her
objections were not addressed.
“Statement of Votes Cast from Antrim” shows that only 1,491 votes were counted, and the 3
ballots that were damaged were not entered into final results.
Ms. Kosloski stated that she and her assistant manually refilled out the three ballots, curing
them, and ran them through the ballot counting system - but the final numbers do not reflect
the inclusion of those 3 damaged ballots.
http://www.antrimcounty.org/downloads/official_results_2nd_amended.pdf
Source: http://www.antrimcounty.org/elections.asp
In comparing the numbers on both rolls, we estimate 1,474 votes changed across the two
rolls, between the first and the second time the exact same ballots were run through the
County Clerk’s vote counting machine - which is almost the same number of voters that voted
in total.
The five most significatn changes in vote totals are in the screenshots below:
• On Election night, Trump received 566 votes, Biden received 340. On the recount, Trump
had 1 less vote at 565 while Biden was unchanged at 340. This is particularly odd since 3
votes less were tabulated. So potentially Trump could have lost between 3 and 4 votes
overall on a very small sample – but that did not happen.
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• For the School Board Member for Central Lake Schools (3) there were 742 votes added to
this vote total. Since multiple people were elected, this did not change the result of both
candidates being elected, but you do see a change in who had more votes. If it were a single
person election, this would have changed the outcome, but this goes to the fact that votes
can be and were changed during the second machine counting.
• For the School Board Member for Ellsworth Schools (2) it shows 657 votes being
removed from this election. In this case, only 3 people who were eligible to vote actually
voted. Since there were 2 votes allowed for each voter to cast, the recount is correct to have
6 votes. But on election night, there is a major calculation issue:
• In State Proposal 20-1 (1), there is a major change in votes in this category.
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Process
Our team interviewed Ms. Kosloski on the process of tabulation and how the system works.
Essentially, the Township Clerk is given two Compact Flash Cards and a Security Key. One
CF card (also known as ISD Card) goes into the “ADMINISTRATOR” in the “CF CARD 2”
Slot and the other in the “POLL WORKER” in the “CF CARD 1” Slot. The security key is
used on the “SECURITY KEY” connector on top.
Pre-election, Ms. Kosloski was given the cards by the County Clerk’s office. The County
Clerk is Sheryl Guy.
Once the printed ballots are hand-marked by voters, they are run through the machine. At the
close of the polls, they run the totals on the print and bring the two CF Cards and security key
back to the County Clerk for loading into the server. The cards and keys are not given back
to the Township Clerk – these essential technical data sources for the Townships are
thereafter held by the County Clerk.
th
On November 6 , at the request of the County Clerk, and with no explanation, Ms. Kosloski
was told to bring the tabulator serial number AAFAJHX0226 and sealed ballots to the Country
Clerk’s office. There, she was presented with two CF Cards and a security key. Then, they
re-ran the original election day ballots. During this process, 3 ballots were damaged and not
tabulated on the “Roll 2” results. Again, under the oversight of the canvassing board, Ms.
Kowloski cured those ballots, and re-ran them, but they appear to have not been counted in
the final vote totals.
Conclusion
The ASOG forensics team believes that a software change loaded into Tabulator ID 2 on
November 6th did occur, and this caused the vote totals to change. The change happened
on the Tabulator unit, but did so using software configurations from the Country Clerk. The
Clear Lake Township Clerk Ms. Kosloski has never been told why they needed to re-tabulate
the ballots.
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The forensics team would like access to the CF Cards and Security Key for Roll 1 and the CF
Cards and Security Key for Roll 2. We also request unrestricted access to the machine that
programs the CF Cards, which we believe is called the “Election Event Designer” software of
Dominion Democracy Suite – or like-software that was used to program these CF Cards.
We do not believe that the Secretary of State report addresses this, and states the issue at
the time was not on the printed totals tape. The Secretary even states “Because the Clerk
correctly updated the media drives for the tabulators with changes to races, and because the
other tabulators did not have changes to races, all tabulators counted ballots correctly.” This
is not the case.
We believe this directly contradicts the Sectary of State fact check document. (Link below.)
November 7, 2020 Isolated User Error in Antrim County Does Not Affect Election Results,
Has no Impact on Other Counties or States - Jocelyn Benson – Secretary of State of
Michigan
https://www.michigan.gov/documents/sos/Antrim_Fact_Check_707197_7.pdf
Even if the error had not been noticed and quickly fixed, it would have been caught and
identified during the county canvass when printed totals tapes are reviewed. This was an
isolated error, there is no evidence this user error occurred elsewhere in the state, and if it did
it would be caught during county canvasses, which are conducted by bipartisan boards of
county canvassers.”
Summary
If this had been a user setup issue, then the test ballots they run to verify the results they get
by comparing them with the test matrix should have caught that. When they made the
software change that that used to tabulate the 11/6/20 re-run, there should be a log of the
test ballots run through the system and verified against the test matrix. This alone might not
show fraud, but it is a crucial part of the software configuration validation process and
apparently was not done.
We believe to a reasonable degree of professional certainty that this shows fraud and that
vote changing at the local tabulator level has occurred due to a software change. This small
sample amplified in a large population area would have major results. Without the
explanation of why there was a re-tabulation, why the issue of numbers being off to a
significant degree when a vote change was noted, and no further investigation occurred –
and when 3 ballots were removed from the totals that changed the final outcome of one
proposal, constitutes a definitive indication of fraud.
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840
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Classes Authored and Taught:
• ITNW 1313 - COMPUTER VIRTUALIZATION, hands on class teaching type 1
and 2 virtualization, cloud computing, Enterprise level security and related
topics taught in 15 weekly labs.
• ITSY 1342 - INFORMATION TECH SECURITY, introductory cryptography,
physical security, social engineering and related introductory topics in 15
hands on labs.
• ITSY 2300 - OPERATING SYSTEM SECURITY, a practical class in the
methods used to breach, Window, Linux, Mac and other operating systems,
both at the work station and network levels. Using the lates Hak5 Tools,
• ITSY 2301 - FIREWALLS AND NETWORK SECURITY, a comprehensive
class were student construct and deploy a variety of firewalls and IDS/IPS
systems
• ITSY 2330 - INTRUSION DETECTION, A competitive class were students
conduct Red/Blue Team operations in real time, in a CTF safe lab
environment.
• ITSY 2342 - INCIDENT RESPONSE AND HANDLING, Step by step work
through of realistic cyber disasters and how to respond to them with the
latest tools and techniques.
• ITSY 2343 - COMPUTER SYSTEM FORENSICS, An advanced class that
practices, Memory, Network, Mobil, Hard-drive and other areas of forensics
analysis with a variety of multi platform tools.
• ITSY 2359 - SECURITY ASSESSMENT AND AUDITING, This hands on class
prepares student sot do compliance auditing against a variety of frameworks.
• ITSY 2445 - NETWORK DEFENSE AND COUNTERMEASURE, This is the
capstone class that brings all practical areas of security together so student
can start walking the walk of a cyber security professional
Software: All versions and components of Microsoft Office, Project and Visio
Special: Developed, advanced, secure communication and collaboration
software
Security: Nessus, SAINT, and many other testing and penetration tools.
Cloud: Virtual Box, VMWare, HyperV, Xem, ESXI, Citrix, AWS, AZURE, G-
Sphere
Graphical: CAD/Modeling systems, TrueSpace, Adobe Photo Shop / Illustrator
Security Skills : Surveillance / Counter surveillance, physical security, network
security
Intrusion detection, secure channels, encrypted communications, network security
assessment methodology, information warfare, effects based operations
Awards
North Texas Crime Commission, Chairman Award Cyber Crime Fighter of the Year
2013
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842
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Conducted in-depth security analysis in large Natural Gas SCADA network and
designed detailed remediation plan. Worked on fraud detection, digital forensics,
data recovery and incident response.
Served as principal investigator on research projects for the US Army, DHS, AFRL,
MDA, ONR and others. Experienced in, cryptography / data security, image and data
compression, SCADA systems and RF. Significant experience in government
contracting and management of research projects. Invented new technology for
security/intelligence related problems.
Lead interdisciplinary team to develop security related technologies and
applications focusing on multi-level security and clandestine information sharing.
Used agile development methods to designed low powered security technologies for
embedded sensor, and network devices.
Served as principal investigator (Lead System Engineer) and overall manager on the
following R&D projects
• Office of the Secretary of Defense / Air Force Research Labs (OSD/AFRL)
o New Approaches to sharing data across multiple security domains.
o Produced a working roadmap for integration of multi-level security
collaboration technologies from 42 companies, and a road map for
technology insertion into CONOPS.
• Office of Naval research (ONR)
o Programmed multilevel security for collaboration tools, for web based
applications.
• Missile Defense Agency (MDA)
o Designed Authentication for Agent-Based Security Systems.
o Integrated Data Compression and Security Algorithms.
§ Achieved 50% increase in available telemetry bandwidth.
§ Real-time embedded system designed, built and tested ahead of schedule
§ Combined inputs for telemetry and video links into fast synchronous feed
§ Integrated with existing ground station infrastructure
• Department of Homeland Security Advance Research Projects Administration
(HS-ARPA)
o Advanced Secure, Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) and
Related Distributed Control Systems (DCS), for management of critical
infrastructure.
o Produced the first encrypted serial MODBUS communications for AGA-12
standard
843
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Internal Research and Development (IRAD) Asier Technology
• Multi Level Secure web based systems, incorporating biometrics
• Secure collaboration over ad-hoc wireless networks.
• Remote agent authentication for distributed networks.
• Researched secure communication for distributed, micro wireless sensors
• Networked low cost mobile radiation detectors and agent based reporting
systems for them
• Optical shared memory for processor interconnection.
University Of Texas at Dallas, 95-2002
Worked in physical measurements lab, electronics lab, optics lab and did proposal
and 3D visualization support for UTD Space Sciences Institute. Was also conducting
my own research into advanced cryptography which lead to the formation of Asier
Technology in 2000.
Investigator Special Optics Sept 1993 June 1995 University of Texas at Arlington
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Education:
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• “Corporate Espionage: Secrets for Sale”, North Texas Crime Commission Lecture
Series 2011
• “Hacking SCADA: Our Infrastructure at Risk”, InfraGard Dallas 2010
• “RFID Insecurity the next attack vector? “ UTD Home Stars Lecture Series 2008
• “Threat modeling”, SANS Institute 2007
• “Integrated Encrypted Security For Legacy SCADA Networks”. DHS
Publication 2006
• “Telemetry Bandwidth Management and Security”, 2006 International Missile
Defense Conference D.C.
• “Integrated Compression and Encryption”, MDA Press 2005
• “Message Authentication for Agent-Based Systems”, MDA Press 2005
• “Mobile Collaboration in Multi-Security-Level Domains”, Office of Naval
Research 2004
• “Non-Deterministic Cryptography, an Answer to quantum Cryptanalysis”. 2003
• “Cyber Terrorism, Enemy Unseen”, IEEE Sept 11, 2001
3. RESUME OF SOURCE 1
SOURCE 1 – Ex-VP of Cyber Operations - Member of Election Fraud Task Force -
ASOG
Pre-teen hack into Fort Sam Houston’s Main Frame in San Antonio, TX, received FBI
warning
Served in United State Marine Corps - 2 years
Worked as a CAD design engineer in San Antonio - 6 years
Served in United States Army - 6 years
17th Field Artillery Brigade with 2 combat tours, Iraq as a point gunner for a
convoy security operation and in Afghanistan as Point gunner, mechanic and
electronic technician in a Route Clearance package operating in RC East.
Cyber Security College 2014
While in the Army operated independently to penetrate Hacker groups hunting
cyber terrorists and gaining informants for passing intelligence up to the US IC.
Including:
• ISIS
• Anonymous,
• Red Cult,
• AnonGhost and
• others
8 reports that became part of the Presidential Intelligence briefing.
Assisted in gathering intel that lead to the take down of ISIS members including:
v Junaid Hussain,
v Fadel Ahmed Abdullah al-Hiyali AKA Abu Muslim Al-Turkmani
846
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847
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IBM 360/370
Unisys mainframes
• Microcode:
Intel
IBM
Unisys V
• Assembler
Intel
IBM
Unisys Main and V
• CICS: IBM
• Databases:
VSAM
IMS
DB2
Previous Employers (US) in no chronological order
• US Navy
• Sandia Labs (Honeywell)
• Department of Defense/USIC
• Sperry Univac
• Center of Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
• Communication Corporation of America
Education:
University of North Texas. BS, Cyber Security
North Central Texas College. Computer Science & Cyber Security
CCI Training Institute. Computer Science
US Navy TRADOC. Electronics
Continuing Adult & Professional Education:
Southern Methodist University. Lyle School of Engineering & Applied
Sciences
Southern Methodist University. Cox School of Business
5. RESUME OF SOURCE 3
SOURCE 3 – DIRECTOR OF PENETRATION TESTING OPERATIONS
Objective
Highly skilled and innovative security analyst seeking to work collaboratively to
develop and implement security policy, best practices methodology, and timely
incidence response/disaster recovery reporting.
848
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849
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6. RESUME OF SOURCE 4
SOURCE 4 - OPEN SOURCE INTELLIGENCE OFFICER – Allied Security
Operations Group
INTELLIGENCE ANALYST
Trained intelligence analyst with over 10 years professional experience conducting
civil and criminal investigations. Transform raw data into actionable intelligence by
utilizing modern reporting tools and data visualization techniques. Leverage
open/closed source intelligence to research, analyze and extract decision-useful
information to create comprehensive behavior, reputation and threat assessments
for individuals and entities.
AREAS OF EXPERTISE
Open/Closed Source Intelligence Intelligence
Systems/Databases
Threat Assessments Data Analysis and
Visualization
Due Diligence Analysis and Creating/Filing Court
Reporting Exhibits
Criminal Investigations Indexed/Non-Indexed
Web Queries
PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Previous to ASOG
The Akeeli Group, Houston1 TX I
SR, INTELLIGENCE ANALYST
Provide extensive behavior, lifestyle and reputation assessments for
corporate clients. Perform due diligence analysis and social link analysis
using open source collection methodologies.
• Conduct in-depth investigations of individuals, and corporations using
OSINT techniques, proprietary databases, analyst software, and data
visualization software; Utilize link analysis to provide actionable
intelligence analyses for clients.
• Develop and execute OSINT, digital vulnerability and cyber security
training for C-suite executives.
• Domestic and global investigations that gather unique data going beyond
traditional searches, exploiting
metadata, postings that are tangential to the ultimate subject of inquiry
and data sets not indexed by traditional
search engines.
• Utilize intelligence sources include the deep web, dark web, social
media sites, news organizations, proprietary databases, .and private
investigative databases.
850
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851
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• Provided Investigative and trial support for nine attorneys and three
paralegals; assembled briefs and exhibits for
filings in County Court, Court of Appeals, State Superior Court and Federal
Courts
• Developed presentation and facilitated training to over 500
employees on new electronic filing systems and implementation of
new processes and procedures
• Collaborated with attorneys and paralegals in all phases of
Sexually Violent Predator Commitment trial preparation,
from initial investigation to final disposition .
• Drafted subpoenas, declarations and correspondence ensured compliance
with Civil Rules of Procedure and
Local Court Rules; scheduled dispositions, court reporters and testimony
providers such as Expert Sex Offender Treatment Providers for availabilities
• Compiled thousands of pages of data and evidence (e.g. redacted,
enhanced and edited surveillance video, interviews and phones
calls) for relevant case and court file purposes
• Developed innovative ways to incorporate various media
platforms such as video, phone, maps and analytic software for
court exhibits and evidence
EDUCATION
Master of Science (MS) - Justice, Administration and Leadership
University of Texas,
Cumulative GPA: 3.9/4.0
Bachelor of Arts (BA) - Criminal Justice
University of Washington, Cumulative GPA:
3.9/ 4.0
Graduated with Honors, Dean's list (4 times)
TECHNICAL SKILLS
• Certifications (ICS 100, 200 and 700);
• Michael Bazzel Open Source Intelligence Systems Training Certificate.
• Thomson Reuters CLEAR investigative research and risk management
software
• Transunion TLOxp investigative research and risk management software
• Maltego and Analyst Software Packages (Analyze intelligence and construct
852
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 44-1 Filed 12/05/20 Page 66 of 69
criminal cases);
• Open Source Intelligence Analysis (Locate targets and build suspect target
packages from any location)
• Web-Based Applications (Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter);
• Microsoft Office (Microsoft Word, PowerPoint, Excel, Outlook)
7. RESUME OF SOURCE 5
SOURCE 5 – Consulting Internal Audit & Fraud Analysis
EDUCATION
Master of Science, Accounting & Information Mgmt, University of Texas at Dallas
§ High Distinction graduate
§ GPA: 4.00/4.00
Master of Science, Chemical Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, MD
§ GPA: 4.00/4.00
Bachelor of Science, U.S. Coast Guard Academy, New London, CT
§ With Honors
§ Commissioned, Ensign, U. S. Coast Guard
CAREER EXPERIENCE
Key Performance Initiatives, McKinney, TX
Owner, President & CEO
§ Management consulting – governance, risk management & compliance
o Internal Audit
o Data analytics and statistical analysis
o Implementation of systematic processes for risk management and
compliance
o Performance excellence and process improvement
o Quality Management training
o Management of natural resources
§ Provided coaching for chief audit executive for aerospace/defense
contractor
§ Audimation Integration Partner – implementation of IDEA data analytics
software
§ Assisted major client with preparing for Malcolm Baldrige National
Quality Award
§ Delivered 5S training and facilitated implementation workshop for
manufacturer
KBJ Holdings, LLC
Manager & Chairman
• Management of private natural resources holding company.
853
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854
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855
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856
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 45 Filed 12/05/20 Page 1 of 7
28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
857
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858 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 45 Filed 12/05/20 Page 3 of 7
1 required statements of facts.” LRCiv 7.2(e)(1). ADP’s Motion to Dismiss should be struck
2 pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(f).
3 ARGUMENT
4 A Rule 12(f) movant must demonstrate that the allegedly offending material is either
5 redundant, immaterial, impertinent, scandalous, or constitutes an insufficient defense. XY
6 Skin Care & Cosmetics, LLC v. Hugo Boss United States, Inc., No. CV-08-1467-PHX-
7 ROS, 2009 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 69866, 2009 WL 2382998, at *1 (D. Ariz. Aug. 4, 2009).
8 Courts often require a showing of prejudice by the moving party as well. SEC v. Sands,
9 902 F. Supp. 1149, 1166 (C.D. Cal. 1995).
10 As will be discussed below, ADP’s Motion to Dismiss is immaterial as the Court
11 has yet to grant them the right to intervene, is impertinent as ADP disregarded the Court’s
12 instructions, and because ADP’s Motion to Dismiss is redundant when compared to
13 Defendant Secretary of State Katie Hobbs’ Combined Motion to Dismiss and Opposition
14 to Motion for TRO/Preliminary Injunction, Defendant Governor Ducey’s Combined: (a)
15 Motion to Dismiss and (b) Response to Plaintiffs’ Motion for TRO and Preliminary
16 Injunction, and Maricopa County Intervenors’ Motion to Dismiss and Response in
17 Opposition to Plaintiffs’ Motion for Temporary Restraining Order and Preliminary
18 Injunction.
19 1. ADP’s Motion to Dismiss is Immaterial as the Court has yet to Grant ADP’s
20 Motion to Intervene.
21 As discussed earlier, the Court has yet to rule on ADP’s Motion to Intervene. As a
22 non-party, ADP’s Motion to Dismiss is immaterial. ADP has yet to become a party in this
23 matter and the filing of its Motion to Dismiss goes against the Court Order from December
24 4, 2020, ECF No. 32. In that Court order, the Court explicitly granted Maricopa County
25 the right to intervene and stated it “may respond to the TRO and/or file a Motion to Dismiss
26 with the same deadlines set by the Court for the other Defendants to respond (Doc. 28).”
27 Order, ECF No. 32. The Court also explicitly stated that it “is aware that a Motion to
28 Intervene has been filed by the Arizona Democratic Party (Doc. 26), but does not rule on
859 -3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 45 Filed 12/05/20 Page 4 of 7
1 that Motion herein.” Id. What is notably absent in the Court’s mention of ADP’s Motion
2 to Intervene is any permission to respond to Plaintiffs’ TRO and/or file a Motion to
3 Dismiss, which was explicitly granted to Maricopa County in the same order. Id.
4 As the Court has yet to rule on ADP’s Motion to Intervene, and did not explicitly
5 give permission to ADP to respond to Plaintiffs’ TRO and/or file a Motion to Dismiss as it
6 did to Maricopa County, ADP’s Motion to Dismiss should be struck for being immaterial
7 to the case.
8 2. ADP’s Motion to Dismiss is Impertinent as it clearly ignores the Court’s
9 instructions from the December 3, 2020 hearing.
10 At the December 3, 2020 hearing in this matter, the Court expressed its expectation
11 that any Intervenors would be limited to around five pages for their Motion to Dismiss if
12 they were given permission to intervene. Not only has ADP yet to receive the Court’s
13 permission to intervene, but ADP also completely disregarded the Court’s instruction to
14 limit pleadings for intervenors to around five pages. ADP apparently thinks it is above the
15 Court’s instruction as it not only filed without first being granted the right to intervene,
16 they also filed a pleading that adds up to nineteen pages, a whole fourteen pages more than
17 what the Court instructed intervenors.
18 Due to ADP’s blatant disregard for the Court’s instruction, the Court should find
19 that ADP’s Motion to Dismiss is impertinent and grant Plaintiffs’ Motion to Strike.
20 3. ADP’s Motion to Dismiss is Redundant as it mirrors the Motion’s filed by both
21 Defendants and Intervenor Maricopa County.
22 In addition, ADP’s motion would be redundant as its Motion to Dismiss does not
23 bring any new issues that have not already been address by Defendant Secretary of State
24 Katie Hobbs’ Combined Motion to Dismiss and Opposition to Motion for
25 TRO/Preliminary Injunction, Defendant Governor Ducey’s Combined: (a) Motion to
26 Dismiss and (b) Response to Plaintiffs’ Motion for TRO and Preliminary Injunction, and
27 Maricopa County Intervenors’ Motion to Dismiss and Response in Opposition to Plaintiffs’
28 Motion for Temporary Restraining Order and Preliminary Injunction.
860 -4-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 45 Filed 12/05/20 Page 5 of 7
1 ADP starts off its Motion to Dismiss by addressing that Plaintiffs lack standing,
2 exactly what is argued by Governor Ducey and Secretary of State Hobbs. ADP then
3 addresses laches, which was argued by Secretary of State Hobbs. Next, ADP addresses
4 how the Eleventh Amendment bars Plaintiffs’ claims, which again was argued by both
5 Governor Ducey and Secretary of State Hobbs. After this, ADP moves to federalism and
6 comity which was also mentioned by Secretary of State Hobbs. ADP goes on to claim that
7 Plaintiffs fail to state a claim on which relief can be granted, which is touched on by every
8 other party that filed a Motion to Dismiss. Finally, ADP states that Plaintiffs are not entitled
9 to a temporary or preliminary injunction which is covered by every other party that filed a
10 Motion to Dismiss as well.
11 As outlined above, ADP’s Motion to Dismiss brings nothing new to the table and
12 should be struck for being redundant.
13 4. There would be significant prejudice to Plaintiffs if ADP’s Motion to Dismiss
14 is not struck.
15 Finally, if Plaintiffs’ Motion to Strike is not granted, Plaintiffs will be subjected to
16 significant prejudice. Plaintiffs already have the burden of responding to a twenty-four-
17 page brief from Defendant Secretary Hobbs, a nine-page brief from Defendant Ducey, and
18 an eight-page brief from Maricopa County Intervenors. If the Motion to Strike is not
19 granted, Plaintiffs would have the burden of responding to an additional nineteen pages on
20 top of the forty-one pages it already has to respond to.
21 CONCLUSION
22 The Court should grant Plaintiffs’ Motion to Strike ADP’s Motion to Dismiss for
23 three reasons, (1) the Court has yet to rule on ADP’s Motion to Intervene, (2) the
24 expectation of the Court as expressed at the initial hearing on Thursday, December 3, 2020,
25 was that both proposed Intervenors would keep their pleadings to around five pages, and
26 (3) Plaintiffs meet the requirements of Rule 12(f) as discussed above. For these reasons the
27 pleading should be struck.
28 Respectfully submitted this 5th day of December, 2020
861 -5-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 45 Filed 12/05/20 Page 6 of 7
1
/s Alexander Kolodin
2
Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
3 Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
4 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
5
*Application for admission pro hac vice
6 forthcoming
7 Of Counsel:
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
8 Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
9
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd. Suite 300
10 Dallas, Texas 75219
11 *Application for admission pro hac vice Forthcoming
12 L. Lin Wood (Georgia Bar No. 774588)
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
13 P.O. Box 52584
Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
14 Telephone: (404) 891-1402
15 Howard Kleinhendler (New York Bar No. 2657120)
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
16 369 Lexington Ave. 12th Floor
New York, New York 10017
17 (917) 793-1188
[email protected]
18
.
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27
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862 -6-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 45 Filed 12/05/20 Page 7 of 7
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I hereby certify that on December 5th, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
3 foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
4 transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
5
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863 -7-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 45-1 Filed 12/05/20 Page 1 of 2
1
2
3
4
5
6
IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
7
FOR THE DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
8
9 Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle,
Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M. Case No. 2:20-cv-02321-JAT
10 King, James R. Lamon, Sam Moorhead, Robert
Montgomery, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, PROPOSED ORDER
11 Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward and
Michael Ward; GRANTING PLAINTIFFS’
12 MOTION TO STRIKE
Plaintiffs, PROPOSED-INTERVENOR
13 ARIZONA DEMOCRATIC
v.
PARTY’S MOTION TO
14 DISMISS CASE AND
Doug Ducey, in his official capacity as Governor
15 of the State of Arizona, and Katie Hobbs, in her RESPONSE TO PLAINTIFFS’
capacity as Secretary of State of the State of MOTION FOR A TEMPORARY
16 Arizona;
RESTRAINING ORDER AND
17 Defendants. PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION
20 Intervenors.
864
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 45-1 Filed 12/05/20 Page 2 of 2
6
DATED this _____ day of _________________, 2020.
7
9
Honorable ________________________
10
United States District Judge
11
12
13
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28
865 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 46 Filed 12/05/20 Page 1 of 4
28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
866
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 46 Filed 12/05/20 Page 2 of 4
1 Plaintiffs respectfully request a change to the Court’s minute entry concerning the
2 time allotted for parties to present their cases on December 8. The Court has provided one
3 hour to each side with a provision that the Court may extend the time for the hearing to
4 9:00 a.m. on December 9.
5 Plaintiffs have provided Defendants with their witness list and expert disclosure. It
6 has six experts and seventeen fact witnesses. We realize the Court cannot accommodate
7 such a large showing. We therefore have proposed to limit our presentation to three expert
8 witnesses whose testimony we believe will be beneficial to the Court. The remaining
9 witnesses would go in via declaration or by expert reports already provided in Plaintiffs’
10 filing with the Court. The experts we intend to call and who will appear at the hearing are:
11 Spider (his redacted name); Russell Ramsland and James Phillip Waldron. These experts
12 will testify to the vulnerability to outside infiltration of the Dominion and other voting
13 machines and software used by the elections officials in Arizona. They will also quantify
14 the amount of fraud into a tally of illegal votes that easily overturns the 2020 election
15 results.
16 In order to allow a complete presentation of their testimony and the exhibits
17 supporting their conclusions, we respectfully ask the Court to enlarge the time for
18 Plaintiffs’ case to three hours. We also agree to permit Defendants to have three hours on
19 their case should they so require. We reached out to all counsel about this matter at 7:42
20 p.m. on December 5, 2020 but have not received a response.
21 To the extent this interferes with the Court’s other scheduled matters, we propose
22 moving argument on the various motions to dismiss to Wednesday morning at 9:00 a.m.
23 Alternatively, because Plaintiffs feel so strongly about presenting their expert witnesses to
24 the Court, Plaintiffs are prepared to rest on their papers in connection with the pending
25 motions to dismiss and forego oral arguments.
26 Respectfully submitted this 5th day of December, 2020
27
28
867 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 46 Filed 12/05/20 Page 3 of 4
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868 -3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 46 Filed 12/05/20 Page 4 of 4
2 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
3
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869 -4-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 46-1 Filed 12/05/20 Page 1 of 2
1
2
3
4
5
6
IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
7
FOR THE DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
8
9 Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle,
Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M. Case No. 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
10 King, James R. Lamon, Sam Moorhead, Robert
Montgomery, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, PROPOSED ORDER
11 Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward and
Michael Ward; GRANTING PLAINTIFFS’
12 MOTION FOR MODIFICATION
Plaintiffs, OF HEARING SCHEDULE
13
v.
14
Doug Ducey, in his official capacity as Governor
15 of the State of Arizona, and Katie Hobbs, in her
capacity as Secretary of State of the State of
16 Arizona;
17 Defendants.
20 Intervenors.
21 THE COURT has before it Plaintiffs’ Motion for Modification of Hearing Schedule
22 filed December 5, 2020.
23 For the reasons set forth in Plaintiffs’ Motion for Modification of Hearing Schedule
24 and good cause appearing:
25
26 IT IS HEREBY ORDERED THAT:
27 1. Plaintiffs and Defendants shall have three hours each to present their cases.
28
870
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 46-1 Filed 12/05/20 Page 2 of 2
5 Honorable ________________________
6 United States District Judge
7
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871 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 47 Filed 12/06/20 Page 1 of 3
12
Attorneys for Defendant Douglas A. Ducey,
13
Snell & Wilmer
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
15
DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
16
17
Tyler Bowyer, et al.,
18 No. 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Plaintiffs,
19 Notice of Service of Defendant
v. Governor Ducey’s Combined Exhibit
20 and Witness List for December 10,
Doug Ducey, et al., 2020 Hearing
21
Defendants,
22 Assigned to: Hon. Diane Humetewa
and
23 TRO Hearing Set: December 10, 2020 at
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, et 9:30 a.m.
24 al.,
25 Intervenor-Defendants
26
27
28
872
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 47 Filed 12/06/20 Page 2 of 3
1 Pursuant to L.R. Civ. 5.2 and the Court’s Order, (Doc. 35), Defendant Douglas A.
2 Ducey, Governor of the State of Arizona, hereby gives notice that he served his Combined
3 Exhibit and Witness List for the December 10, 2020 evidentiary hearing on Plaintiffs;
4 Defendant Secretary of State Katie Hobbs; Intervenor-Defendants Maricopa County Board
5 of Supervisors and Maricopa County Recorder Adrian Fontes; and Proposed Intervenor-
6 Defendant Arizona Democratic Party, via email on December 6, 2020.
7
DATED this 6th day of December, 2020.
8
SNELL & WILMER L.L.P.
9
10 By: /s/ Brett W. Johnson
Brett W. Johnson
11 Colin P. Ahler
Derek C. Flint
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12 Ian R. Joyce
One Arizona Center
13
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
Anni L. Foster
15 OFFICE OF ARIZONA GOVERNOR
DOUGLAS A. DUCEY
16 1700 West Washington Street
Phoenix, Arizona 85007
17
18 Attorneys for Defendant Douglas A.
Ducey, Governor of the State of
19 Arizona
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
873 -1-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 47 Filed 12/06/20 Page 3 of 3
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I certify that on December 6, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
3 document to the Clerk's Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and transmittal of a
4 Notice of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
5
6
7 s/ Tracy Hobbs
8
9
10
11
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12
13
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
15
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874 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 48 Filed 12/06/20 Page 1 of 2
1 ALLISTER ADEL
MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
2
Thomas P. Liddy (019384)
3 Emily Craiger (021728)
Joseph I. Vigil (018677)
4 Joseph J. Branco (031474)
Joseph E. LaRue (031348)
5 Deputy County Attorneys
[email protected]
6 [email protected]
[email protected]
7 [email protected]
8
[email protected]
15
FOR THE DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
26
27
Pursuant to L.R.Civ.P. 5.2 and the Court’s Order at Doc. 35, the Maricopa County
28
Board of Supervisors and Maricopa County Recorder, Adrian Fontes, Intervenor-
875
-1-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 48 Filed 12/06/20 Page 2 of 2
1 Defendants hereby give notice that they served their List of Witnesses and Exhibits on all
2 parties in this matter via electronic mail on December 6, 2020 at 11:57 a.m.
3 Additionally, the Maricopa County Intervenor-Defendants have provided copies of
4 each exhibit listed in their List of Witnesses and Exhibits to all parties via electronic mail.
5 RESPECTFULLY submitted this 6th day of December, 2020.
6
ALLISTER ADEL
7 MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
8
BY: /s/Joseph I. Vigil
9 Thomas P. Liddy
Emily Craiger
10
Joseph I. Vigil
11 Joseph J. Branco
Joseph E. LaRue
12
Attorneys for Maricopa County Defendants
13
14
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
15
I hereby certify that on December 6th, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
16 foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
17
18 /s/Joseph I. Vigil
S:\CIVIL\CIV\Matters\EC\2020\Bowyer v. Ducey EC20-0063\Pleadings\Caption.docx
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876
-2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 49 Filed 12/06/20 Page 1 of 2
{00526133.1 }
877
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 49 Filed 12/06/20 Page 2 of 2
1 Pursuant to L.R. Civ. 5.2 and the Court’s Order, (Doc. 35), Defendant Arizona
2 Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, hereby gives notice that she served her Rule 26 Expert
3 Disclosures and Witness Disclosures for the December 10, 2020 evidentiary hearing on
4 Plaintiffs; Defendant Douglas A. Ducey, Governor of the State of Arizona Intervenor-
5 Defendants Maricopa County Board of Supervisors and Maricopa County Recorder
6 Adrian Fontes; and Proposed IntervenorDefendant Arizona Democratic Party, via email
7 on December 6, 2020.
8
9 Respectfully submitted this 6th day of December, 2020.
10 SUSMAN GODFREY L.L.P.
11
By s/ Davida Brook
12 Justin A. Nelson
13 Stephen E. Morrissey
Stephen Shackelford
14 Davida Brook
15 COPPERSMITH BROCKELMAN PLC
Roopali H. Desai
16 D. Andrew Gaona
Kristen Yost
17
18 Attorneys for Defendant Arizona Secretary of
State Katie Hobbs
19
20
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22
23
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27
28
{00526133.1 }
878
-1-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 50 Filed 12/06/20 Page 1 of 2
{00526133.1 }
879
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 50 Filed 12/06/20 Page 2 of 2
1 Pursuant to L.R. Civ. 5.2 and the Court’s Order, (Doc. 35), Defendant Arizona
2 Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, hereby gives notice that she served her Exhibit List and
3 Exhibits on all parties in this matter via electronic mail on December 6, 2020.
4 Additionally, Defendant Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs has provided
5 copies of each exhibit listed in her Exhibit List to all parties via electronic mail.
6 Respectfully submitted this 6th day of December, 2020.
7 SUSMAN GODFREY L.L.P.
8
By s/ Davida Brook
9 Justin A. Nelson
Stephen E. Morrissey
10 Stephen Shackelford
11 Davida Brook
COPPERSMITH BROCKELMAN PLC
12
Roopali H. Desai
13 D. Andrew Gaona
Kristen Yost
14
Attorneys for Defendant Arizona Secretary of
15 State Katie Hobbs
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{00526133.1 }
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1 I. INTRODUCTION
2 Like the best fiction writers, Plaintiffs do not let inconvenient facts get in the way of
3 their narrative. Arizona’s election is over, Governor Ducey and Secretary of State Hobbs
4 have signed the Certificate of Ascertainment, and the Certificate has been sent to the
5 Archivist of the United States. There is nothing left for this Court to enjoin, and Plaintiffs
6 never address this fairly elemental issue. In any event, Plaintiffs would have no standing to
7 seek the relief they request. The other flaws in Plaintiffs’ claims remain, and their latest
8 filing does nothing to remedy them. This charade must end. This Court should dismiss.
9 II. ARGUMENT
10 A. Plaintiffs do not have standing.
11 Plaintiffs’ opposition fails to demonstrate that they have met any of the three
12 elements of standing for their due process and equal protection claims, which include injury
13 in fact, traceability, and redressability. Spokeo, Inc. v. Robins, 136 S. Ct. 1540, 1547 (2016).
16 argument regarding redressability in their most recent filing. To briefly reiterate, there is no
17 authority for the proposition that a federal court has the power to order Arizona state
18 officials to “de-certify” an election they have already certified, and Plaintiffs’ claim to the
19 contrary in their Complaint relies entirely on provisions of Arizona law allowing a state
20 court, following an election contest duly filed in state court and in compliance with state
21 law, to “se[t] aside the election” or hold that a certificate of election “is of no further legal
22 force or effect.” A.R.S. § 16-676; see Compl. ¶ 16 (stating “the relief sought is in accord
23 with Arizona law” and citing to A.R.S. § 16-676). But the fact that Arizona’s legislature
24 has given Arizona courts this power following an election contest does not mean that either
25 the Secretary or Governor possess that power, and federal courts cannot order state officials
26 to take an action that they lack the ability to do under state law. See, e.g., Okpalobi v. Foster,
27 244 F.3d 405, 427 (5th Cir. 2001) (“[A] state official cannot be enjoined to act in any way
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1 Plaintiffs’ similar request that this Court order an injunction to prevent Governor
2 Ducey “from transmitting the currently certified electoral results [to] the Electoral College”
3 is a factual impossibility. Compl. ¶ 145. The Certificate of Ascertainment has already been
4 transmitted. See Nat’l Archives, 2020 Electoral College Results,
5 https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020 (linking to Arizona’s Certificate of
6 Ascertainment, indicating it has already been sent to and received by the Archivist of the
7 United States). Plaintiffs bizarrely claim that 3 U.S.C. § 6 allows the Governor to undo the
8 transmission of this certification, Opp. at 13, but the statute is entirely silent on that point.
9 Plaintiffs’ delay has made their requested remedy no longer possible.
10 2. None of Plaintiffs’ claims are traceable to these Defendants.
11 Plaintiffs do not offer any argument for the traceability problems readily apparent in
12 their Complaint. As detailed in ADP’s Motion to Dismiss, Plaintiffs’ claims focus on
13 actions by unnamed nefarious actors and local officials. Dkt. 37 at 8. Neither is traceable to
14 Governor Ducey or Secretary Hobbs. The lack of traceability is a second fatal flaw for
15 Plaintiffs’ standing here, and independently requires dismissal. See Lujan v. Defs. of
16 Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 560–61 (1992) (requiring causal connection between injury and
17 defendant’s conduct).
18
3. Plaintiffs do not allege an injury-in-fact for their equal protection and
19 due process claims.
20 Plaintiffs have failed to establish that they have suffered an injury in fact sufficient
21 to maintain their due process and equal protection claims. First, they claim they were injured
22 by violations of Arizona law. Opp. at 7. This does not provide them standing to bring either
23 of the constitutional claims they assert. See, e.g., Shipley v. Chi. Bd. of Election Comm’rs,
24 947 F.3d 1056, 1062 (7th Cir. 2020) (“A violation of state law does not . . . transgress
25 against the Constitution.”); Martinez v. Colon, 54 F.3d 980, 989 (1st Cir. 1995) (“[T]he
26 Constitution is not an empty ledger awaiting the entry of an aggrieved litigant’s recitation
27 of alleged state law violations….”).
28 Second, Plaintiffs assert that their vote-dilution theory is not a generalized grievance
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1 because they have alleged that their votes were diluted in a manner that made their preferred
2 candidate lose. Opp. at 7-8. But this assertion (which, like all of the asserted injuries in their
3 Complaint, is not supported by even a modicum of plausible factual allegations), still does
4 not rescue their standing. All of the cases Plaintiffs cite focus on the prospect of an
5 individual losing their individual opportunity to vote or an organization suffering an
6 organizational injury due to diversion of resources due to such a harm. See Mi Familia v.
7 Hobbs, No. CV20-01903-PHX-SPL, 2020 WL 5904952, at *2 (D. Az. Oct. 5, 2020)
8 (holding organization had standing to seek injunction against voter registration deadline due
9 to frustration of organizational mission and diversion of resources); Ariz. Democratic Party
10 v. Hobbs, No. CV-20-01143-PHX-DLR, 2020 WL 5423898, at *5 (D. Az. Sept. 10, 2020)
11 (holding organization had standing to seek injunction against deadline for curing missing
12 signatures under associational theory of standing due to threatened harm to its members);
13 Raetzel v. Parks/Bellemont Absentee Election Bd., 762 F. Supp. 1354, 1356 (D. Az. 1990)
14 (holding plaintiffs had standing to challenge lack of notice and a hearing prior to their
15 absentee voters being disqualified). Plaintiffs’ injury, by contrast, is not about their
16 individual votes, but rather about the fortunes of political parties, and courts have repeatedly
17 held that (for a voter) this is merely a generalized grievance insufficient for Article III
18 standing. See Jacobson v. Fla. Sec’y of State, 974 F.3d 1236, 1247 (11th Cir. 2020) (“[A]
19 citizen is not injured by the simple fact that a candidate for whom she votes loses or stands
20 to lose an election.”); Berg v. Obama, 586 F.3d 234, 240 (3d Cir. 2009) (“Berg’s wish that
21 the Democratic primary voters had chosen a different presidential candidate ... do[es] not
22 state a legal harm.”); Becker v. Fed. Election Comm’n, 230 F.3d 381, 390 (1st Cir. 2000)
23 (holding that a candidate's decreased “chance of being elected” was “hardly a restriction on
24 voters’ rights and by itself [was] not a legally cognizable injury sufficient for standing”).
25 Plaintiffs bring the paradigmatic case about “group political interests, not individual legal
26 rights,” and this cannot demonstrate Article III injury for individuals. Gill v. Whitford, 138
27 S. Ct. 1916, 1933 (2018). Losing hurts, but the fact that their preferred candidate lost does
28 not give these voters standing.
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3 Plaintiffs’ opposition makes no assertion that Plaintiffs have standing under the Elections
4 Clause, focusing solely on standing under the Electors Clause based on non-binding and
5 incorrect authority. Plaintiffs’ entire argument is premised on the Eighth Circuit’s decision
6 in Carson v. Simon, 978 F.3d 1051 (8th Cir. 2020). Plaintiffs’ claim that “the Carson court
7 affirmed that Presidential Electors have both Article III and Prudential standing under the
8 Electors and Elections Clauses” misstates the case. Opp. at 5. Carson did not address the
10 As to the Electors Clause, Carson is not binding on this Court and was incorrectly
11 decided. The Court in Bognet v. Sec’y of Commonwealth, No. 20-2314, 2020 WL 6686120
12 (3d Cir. Nov. 13, 2020), specifically detailed the Carson court’s error in rejecting its holding
13 concerning standing, explaining that “[t]he Carson court appears to have cited language
14 from [Bond v. U.S., 564 U.S. 211 (2011)] without considering the context—specifically,
15 the Tenth Amendment and the reserved police powers—in which the U.S. Supreme Court
16 employed that language. There is no precedent for expanding Bond beyond this context,
17 and the Carson court cited none.” Id. at *8 n.6. This is why multiple other courts to consider
18 the issue have rejected the conclusion embraced in Carson, finding correctly that the only
19 entity injured by a violation of the Elections and Electors Clauses is the legislature itself
20 and that, for anyone else, such a claim is simply a generalized grievance. See, e.g., Lance v.
21 Coffman, 549 U.S. 437, 442 (2007) (individuals lacked Article III standing to bring claim
22 under the Elections Clause); Bognet 2020 WL 6686120, at *6-7 (voters and candidate
23 lacked Article III standing to bring claims under Elections and Electors Clauses); Hotze v.
24 Hollins, No. 4:20-cv-03709, 2020 WL 6437668, at *2 (S.D. Tex. Nov. 2, 2020) (holding
25 candidate lacked standing under Elections Clause and concluding that Supreme Court’s
26 cases “stand for the proposition that only the state legislature (or a majority of the members
28 Even if Plaintiffs did have standing to assert an injury under either clause, they would
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1 still be unable to show either traceability or redressability for the reasons described above.
2 See supra Sections II.A.1 and II.A.2.
3 B. Plaintiffs’ claims are barred by laches.
4 Plaintiffs cannot overcome the doctrine of laches, which plainly bars the relief they
5 seek. See Danjaq LLC v. Sony Corp., 263 F.3d 942, 951 (9th Cir. 2001) (laches bars a claim
6 when plaintiff engaged in unreasonable delay that prejudiced the defendant). Plaintiffs do
7 not dispute that the election was held on November 3, 2020. They do not dispute that
8 Governor Ducey and Secretary Hobbs signed the Certificate of Ascertainment on November
9 30 and then transmitted it to the Archivist of the United States. They do not dispute that
10 they waited until after all these steps had occurred—when it was certain President Trump
11 had lost the election—to bring their lawsuit. And they do not dispute that the relief they
12 seek would deprive all Arizona voters of the right to vote. 1 In the election context, any delay
13 is prejudicial, but a month-long delay in bringing a post-election lawsuit is damning. See
14 Kelly v. Commonwealth, No. 68 MAP 2020, 2020 WL 7018314, at *1 (Pa. Nov. 28, 2020)
15 (“[I]t is beyond cavil that [Republican] Petitioners failed to act with due diligence in
16 presenting the instant claim” when they waited until November 21 to sue to invalidate
17 Pennsylvania’s election); Kistner v. Simon, No. A20-1486, slip op. at 3-4 (Minn. Dec. 4,
18 2020) (Dkt. 37-5); see also, e.g., Ariz. Libertarian Party v. Reagan, 189 F. Supp. 3d 920,
19 922-23 (D. Ariz. 2016).
20 Plaintiffs’ primary arguments against laches are (1) the application of laches is
21 frequently fact-specific, and (2) laches should be invoked cautiously. Neither argument
22 suggests that laches is inappropriate here. First, courts can and do dismiss claims due to
23 laches based on the pleadings or before trial, particularly when it is clear from the face of
24 the complaint that laches applies. See, e.g., Kelly, 2020 WL 7018314, at *1; Kistner, No.
25 A20-1486, slip op. at 3-4; see also Aguila Mgmt. LLC v. Int’l Fruit Genetics LLC, No. CV-
26
27
1
Plaintiffs waived the right to challenge ADP’s arguments on prejudice. See Opp. at
28 10 (stating without argument that Defendants have not suffered “genuine prejudice”).
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1 19-00173-PHX-DJH, 2020 WL 736303, at *3 (D. Ariz. Feb. 13, 2020) (Humetewa, J.)
2 (noting that “[c]ourts in this district have previously applied laches in a motion to dismiss”
3 because “where the elements of laches are apparent on the face of a complaint, it may be
4 asserted on a motion to dismiss” (citation omitted)). Second, even if laches should generally
5 be invoked with “caution[],” Opp. at 9, that does not affect its application here. Plaintiffs
6 try to justify their delay by linking the filing of their lawsuit to the date Arizona certified its
7 election results, November 30. Opp. at 10. But that date is irrelevant because Plaintiffs have
8 brought a constitutional challenge in federal court, not an election contest under state law.
9 Further, Plaintiffs concede that they knew the basis of their claims “during the course of the
10 election.” Opp. at 9. That is confirmed by the exhibits to their Complaint, many of which
11 involve events that allegedly occurred on or before Election Day.
12 In short, Plaintiffs unreasonably delayed in bringing suit, and that delay prejudiced
13 the other parties and the public. Laches applies, and the Complaint should be dismissed.
14 C. The Eleventh Amendment bars Plaintiffs’ claims.
15 Plaintiffs’ response regarding the Eleventh Amendment seems to misunderstand the
16 fundamental problem with their Complaint. It is not enough to escape the Eleventh
17 Amendment that Governor Ducey’s actions are more than ministerial or that Plaintiffs ask
18 for prospective relief. See Opp. at 13-14. The Eleventh Amendment prohibits federal courts
19 from granting “relief against state officials on the basis of state law, whether prospective
20 or retroactive.” Pennhurst State School & Hosp. v. Halderman, 465 U.S. 89, 106 (1984)
21 (emphasis added); see also Students of Cal. Sch. for the Blind v. Honig, 745 F.2d 582, 586
22 (9th Cir. 1984) (“The Supreme Court decided in Pennhurst” that the Eleventh Amendment
23 “stands as an absolute bar to actions in federal court alleging that state officials have
24 violated state law”). This is true even when state law claims are styled as federal causes of
25 action. See, e.g., Massey v. Coon, No. 87-3768, 1989 WL 884, at *2 (9th Cir. Jan. 3, 1989)
26 (affirming dismissal where “on its face the complaint states a claim under the due process
27 and equal protection clauses of the Constitution, [but] these constitutional claims are
28 entirely based on the failure of defendants to conform to state law”); Balsam v. Sec’y of
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1 State, 607 F. App’x 177, 183–84 (3d Cir. 2015) (finding Eleventh Amendment bars state
2 law claims even when “premised on violations of the federal Constitution”).
3 As detailed in ADP’s Motion to Dismiss, none of Plaintiffs’ claims escape this bar.
4 See Dkt. 37 at 11-13. It most clearly prohibits Plaintiffs’ free-standing fraud claim in Count
5 IV, in which Plaintiffs’ assert that the fraud alleged in the Complaint should result in the
6 invalidation of ballots based on binding Arizona law. Compl. ¶ 138. But it is also true of
7 Plaintiffs’ other claims, each of which, although ostensibly cloaked in the garb of a federal
8 cause of action, ultimately ask the Court to determine that state officials violated state law
9 and compel state officials to do what Plaintiffs believe Arizona law requires. Unfortunately
10 for Plaintiffs, the Eleventh Amendment prohibits this Court from issuing any such order.
11 D. Principles of federalism and comity strongly favor abstention.
12 Even if the Court were to conclude that each of the above hurdles did not bar it from
13 exercising jurisdiction, the Court should decline to do so in deference to the state of Arizona.
14 The relief Plaintiffs seek calls for an extraordinary intrusion on state sovereignty by a
15 federal court. Under the Pullman abstention doctrine, the claims Plaintiffs raise should be
16 addressed in state court. See R. Comm’n v. Pullman Co., 312 U.S. 496, 501 (1941). As
17 ADP’s Motion to Dismiss makes clear, all of the factors the Ninth Circuit looks to determine
18 whether Pullman abstention is appropriate are present here. See Dkt. 37 at 13-14.
19 Plaintiffs’ latest filing offers little argument to the contrary. Instead, Plaintiffs
20 acknowledge that if “the federal constitutional question[s] [are] dependent upon, or may be
21 materially altered by, the determination of an uncertain issue of state law” and “state law is
22 uncertain,” abstention may be appropriate. Opp. at 23 (quoting Harman v. Forssenius, 380
23 U.S. 528, 534 (1965)). Both are present here. Even putting aside their other arguments,
24 Plaintiffs assert that Arizona law allows for the invalidation of wide swaths of ballots on
25 the basis of purported fraud. Compl. ¶¶ 135-140. This is far from a certain interpretation of
26 Arizona law, but—if Plaintiffs’ interpretation of the law is correct—this alone might entitle
27 them to the relief they seek and avoid a court having to reach the purported constitutional
28 questions they raise. In these circumstances, abstention is the proper course.
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1 E. Plaintiffs do not argue they can survive a motion to dismiss for failure to state
a claim.
2
3 ADP’s motion to dismiss argues that the Complaint fails to state a claim on which
4 relief can be granted. See Fed. R. Civ. P. 12(b)(6). Plaintiffs do not even try to argue they
5 have stated a plausible claim or respond to ADP’s legal arguments. See Bell Atlantic Corp
6 v. Twombly, 550 U.S. 554, 570 (2007) (plaintiffs must allege “enough facts to state a claim
7 to relief that is plausible on its face”). The closest they come in their opposition are the
8 conclusory assertions that the “Complaint alleges serious violations of Arizona state law,
9 as well as the U.S. Constitution and federal laws, as part of a larger scheme of election fraud
10 that affected the result” and that the Complaint meets “applicable pleading requirements
11 under Arizona law and the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure.” Opp. at 24. But wishing a
13 Plaintiffs appear to confuse federal pleading standards with substantive law. Opp. at
14 23 (suggesting that Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 9(b) does not apply “because it [is not]
15 the standard for ballot fraud” under state law). Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 9(b) requires
16 allegations of fraud or mistake to be stated with particularity in all cases brought in federal
17 court. See Fed. R. Civ. P. 9(b). The Complaint mentions fraud, or some variation thereof,
18 six times on the first page alone; Count IV is even titled “Wide-Spread Ballot Fraud.” Yet
19 Plaintiffs seem to argue that they do not need to satisfy Rule 9(b)’s specificity requirements
20 because Arizona law invalidates some ballots even in the absence of fraud. Perhaps they are
21 conceding “this is not a fraud case.” Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Pennsylvania,
22 No. 20-3371, 2020 WL 7012522, at *1 (3d Cir. Nov. 27, 2020). If so, then it is precisely
23 the type of “post-election contest[] about garden-variety issues of vote counting and
24 misconduct” which federal courts “may not entertain.” Wood v. Raffensperger, No. 20-
25 14418, slip op. at 2 (11th Cir. Dec. 5, 2020) (Dkt. 41-1). Or perhaps they do not understand
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1 Plaintiffs acknowledge, the Court has not ruled on ADP’s motion to intervene. Intervenors
2 are typically required to file proposed pleadings in a timely manner so as not to delay the
3 proceedings or prejudice the other parties. See Fed. R. Civ. P. 24(a)-(b); United States v.
4 Alisal Water Corp., 370 F.3d 915, 921 (9th Cir. 2004). ADP has done just that. Indeed,
5 Plaintiffs themselves seek expedited review. Opp. at 30-31 (asking the Court to rule on the
6 TRO motion by December 10). Second, the Court did not set page limits specific to
7 intervenors at the hearing or in a written order, and ADP is unaware of any five-page limit.
8 Finally, as ADP noted in a footnote in its motion, it could have filed two separate 17-page
9 briefs: one a motion to dismiss, the other an opposition to Plaintiffs’ motion for TRO.
10 Instead, it combined those briefs into one shorter filing to help the Court efficiently resolve
11 these proceedings. There was no violation of the local rules. 2
12 III. CONCLUSION
13 For the foregoing reasons, ADP respectfully requests that the Court dismiss
14 Plaintiffs’ Complaint.
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It is also worth noting that Plaintiffs complain about a disregard for page limits
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 52 Filed 12/06/20 Page 12 of 12
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I hereby certify that on December 6, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
3 document to the Clerk’s Office using the ECF System for filing and transmittal of a Notice
4 of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
5
6 /s Indy Fitzgerald
7
150410054.1
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 53 Filed 12/06/20 Page 1 of 9
12
Attorneys for Defendant Douglas A. Ducey,
13
Snell & Wilmer
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
15
DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
16
17
Tyler Bowyer, et al.,
18 No. 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Plaintiffs,
19 Reply in Support of Governor Ducey’s
v. Motion to Dismiss
20
Doug Ducey, et al.,
21 Assigned to: Hon. Diane Humetewa
Defendants,
22 Oral argument set: December 8, 2020 at
and 9:15 a.m.
23
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, et
24 al.,
25 Intervenor-Defendants
26
27
28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 53 Filed 12/06/20 Page 2 of 9
1 Introduction
2 Plaintiffs have failed to fully address Defendant Governor Douglas A. Ducey’s
3 arguments for dismissal of the specific claims against him in their response. (Doc. 43). For
4 instance, Plaintiffs do not respond to Governor Ducey’s arguments that (1) they have failed
5 to allege any facts to support a plausible claim that he violated their constitutional rights or
6 any other law; or that (2) they cannot meet the traceability or redressability elements of
7 Article III standing for purposes of their claims against him. Having failed to respond,
8 Plaintiffs have essentially conceded that Governor Ducey should be dismissed from this
9 case. See L.R. Civ. 7.1(I).
10 To the extent Plaintiffs do respond, their rationales for including Governor Ducey as
11 a Defendant are misguided. Plaintiffs appear to raise a new form of relief that was not in
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12 the Complaint (which sought to enjoin the issuance of a Certificate of Ascertainment to the
13 National Archivist, even though that non-discretionary ministerial act had already been
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14 completed). (See Doc. 1 at ¶ 145). Now, Plaintiffs contend that under 3 U.S.C. § 6, Governor
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
15 Ducey is a necessary party in this litigation in order to send the National Archivist a separate
16 certificate concerning the eventual outcome of this litigation. But, this statute does not save
17 Plaintiffs’ claims against Governor Ducey because it was not part of their original
18 Complaint. Moreover, the “capable of repetition, yet evading review” exception to
19 mootness is not applicable here, particularly when Arizona statutes expressly allow for
20 expedited decisions of election contests. See A.R.S. § 16-671 et seq. Lastly, Plaintiffs fail
21 to distinguish Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Boockvar, No. 4:20-cv-02078, 2020
22 WL 6821992 (M.D. Penn. Nov. 21, 2020), on any relevant ground. It is settled that Article
23 III standing requires that an alleged injury be “fairly traceable” to a defendant’s conduct.
24 (Doc. 38 at 8). Boockvar’s references to other forms of standing do not grant Plaintiffs
25 standing to raise claims against Governor Ducey here.
26 All claims against Governor Ducey should be dismissed with prejudice.1
27
1
Governor Ducey has not requested oral argument on his Motion to Dismiss, and does not
28 object to the Court deciding that Motion on the papers.
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1 Argument
2 I. Plaintiffs’ Claims Against Governor Ducey Are Moot and Not Subject to any
3 Mootness Exception.
4 Plaintiffs do not dispute that Governor Ducey has two non-discretionary ministerial
5 roles in Arizona’s electoral process (observing the statewide canvass and transmitting a
6 Certificate of Ascertainment to the National Archivist), and that both of these duties have
7 been performed. Plaintiffs raise two arguments against the mootness doctrine, both of which
8 fail. First, Plaintiffs cite 3 U.S.C. § 6 for the proposition that the Court can somehow require
9 Governor Ducey to effectively undo the State’s transmission of the Certificate to the
10 National Archivist on November 30. (See Doc. 44 at 11, 13). More specifically, Plaintiffs
11 note that under 3 U.S.C. § 6:
if there shall have been any final determination in a State in the
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12
manner provided for by law of a controversy or contest
13 concerning the appointment of all or any of the electors of such
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
602.382.6000
16 At the outset, Plaintiffs did not request that Governor Ducey issue a “final determination”
17 certificate in their Complaint or their injunctive request. (See Doc. 1 at ¶ 145.) As such, this
18 request is not properly before the Court and cannot be granted. See Rental Dev. Corp. of
19 Am. v. Lavery, 304 F.2d 839, 842 (9th Cir. 1962).
20 Moreover, Plaintiffs’ reliance on 3 U.S.C. § 6 is misplaced because an order from
21 this Court order does not constitute a “determination” within the meaning of that statute.
22 The statutory text relied on by Plaintiffs instead concerns state court election contests
23 decided under state law. That is apparent from the text itself, which discusses a “final
24 determination in a State in the manner provided for by law of a controversy or contest
25 concerning the appointment of all or any of the electors of such State.” (Emphasis added).
26 The meaning of the phrase “controversy or contest” is further elucidated by 3 U.S.C.
27 § 5, which explains that such matters shall be decided in accordance with state law. See 3
28 U.S.C. § 5 (“If any State shall have provided, by laws enacted prior to the day fixed for the
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1 appointment of the electors, for its final determination of any controversy or contest
2 concerning the appointment of all or any of the electors of such State . . . .”). Reading these
3 statutes together, as the Court must, it is apparent that the “determination” of a “controversy
4 or contest” for purposes of 3 U.S.C. § 6 is one made pursuant to state law in a state forum.
5 See California v. Trump, 963 F.3d 926, 947 n.15 (9th Cir. 2020) (“[S]tatutes addressing the
6 same subject matter should be construed in pari materia.”) (internal quotations omitted).
7 Because 3 U.S.C. § 6 imposes no duty on Governor Ducey to issue another certificate to
8 the National Archivist, Plaintiffs have no live case or controversy claim against him. See
9 Wood v. Raffensperger, ---F.3d---, 2020 WL 7094866 (11th Cir. Dec. 5, 2020) (holding that
10 the plaintiffs’ claims were moot “[b]ecause Georgia has already certified its results” and
11 because the court “cannot turn back the clock and create a world in which the 2020 election
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
14
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the “capable of repetition, yet evading review” exception. (Doc. 44 at 11-12). But that
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
15 exception does not apply. A case is only “capable of repetition, yet evading review” when
16 (1) the challenged action is too short in duration to be fully litigated prior to its cessation or
17 expiration; and (2) there is a reasonable expectation that the same complaining party will
18 be subjected to the same action again. See Ill. State Bd. of Elections v. Socialist Workers
19 Party, 440 U.S. 173, 187 (1979); see also Hamamoto v. Ige, 881 F.3d 719, 723 (9th Cir.
20 2018) (explaining that the first factor applies when expedited review is unavailable).
21
2
Even if a federal court order could constitute a “determination” under 3 U.S.C. § 6 (it
22 cannot), that statute only allows Governor Ducey to send an alternative slate of electors in
the event that an election outcome is altered after the initial Certificate was sent. See Richard
23 D. Friedman, Trying to Make Peace with Bush v. Gore, 29 Fla. St. U. L. Rev. 811, 821
(2001) (noting that in 1960 Hawaii sent “two competing slates” to the electoral college
24 because it “first certified the Republican slate as the winners” but later “reversed itself after
. . . the completion of a recount ordered by a state court . . . .”). Here, Plaintiffs do not ask
25 the Court for mandamus relief requiring Governor Ducey to send an alternative slate of
electors to the National Archivist. Instead, they seek to enjoin him from sending any
26 certificate of ascertainment to the National Archivist. (See Doc. 1 at ¶ 145 (requesting an
“order enjoining Governor Ducey from transmitting the currently certified election results
27 to the Electoral College”). Indeed, Plaintiffs maintain that if their requested relief is granted,
“the question of the choice of electors” will be “revert[ed] to the legislature.” (Id. at ¶ 17
28 (emphasis added)).
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1 Plaintiffs have not identified how either factor is met here, and the allegations in their
2 Complaint focus on the 2020 General Election. (See, e.g., Doc 1 at ¶¶ 1-4, 48-62, 65-66,
3 79, 83, 97-102, 111, 116-23, 139-45); see also Wood, 2020 WL 7094866 (holding that the
4 mootness doctrine applied when a plaintiff did not have “a ‘reasonable expectation’ that he
5 will again seek to delay certification,” and that the “possibility of a recurrence is purely
6 theoretical”). Plaintiffs’ claims against the Governor should therefore be dismissed because
7 they are moot.3
8 II. Plaintiffs’ Claims Against Governor Ducey are Barred by the Eleventh
9 Amendment.
10 Plaintiffs do not dispute that the Eleventh Amendment bars their claims against
11 Governor Ducey unless Governor Ducey has a requisite Ex Parte Young connection to this
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12 action. Plaintiffs also do not dispute that Governor Ducey lacks a connection to any of the
13 allegations, speculative or otherwise, made in the Complaint or that he lacked authority to
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14 oversee, correct, or prevent these alleged issues. (See Doc. 38 at 7). Plaintiffs nevertheless
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15 assert that Ex Parte Young applies due to the provision in 3 U.S.C. § 6 requiring a state’s
16 chief executive to issue a certificate to the National Archivist regarding the determination
17 in a “controversy or contest concerning the appointment of all or any of the electors of such
18 State.” (Doc. 44. at 13.) This argument fails for the same reasons described above. Again,
19 the “controversy or contest” referenced in 3 U.S.C § 6 refers to a state law election contest
20 in a state forum, such as the type of election challenged authorized by A.R.S. § 16-672(B).
21 Moreover, because Plaintiffs did not raise this issue in their Complaint or provide any other
22 grounds for applying Ex Parte Young, all claims against the Governor should be dismissed
23 based on Eleventh Amendment immunity.
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Plaintiffs argue that their claims are not moot because they have asked for a court order
27 impounding Dominion voting machines. (Doc. 44 at 11). But Plaintiffs do not (and cannot)
allege that the impound of Dominion voting machines has anything to do with Governor
28 Ducey. (See id.).
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1 III. Plaintiffs Fail to Plead any Plausible Claim for Relief Against Governor Ducey
2 under the Iqbal/Twombly Pleading Standard.
3 Plaintiffs did not respond to Governor Ducey’s argument that he should “be
4 dismissed because Plaintiffs’ Complaint is devoid of any ‘factual content that allows the
5 court to draw the reasonable inference that the defendant’ at issue—Governor Ducey—‘is
6 liable for the misconduct alleged.’” (Doc. 38 at 7 (citing Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 556 U.S. 662,
7 678 (2009) and Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twombly, 550 U.S. 544, 570 (2007)). When a party
8 fails to respond to an argument in a motion to dismiss, a district court “may dispose of the
9 motion summarily.” See L.R. Civ. 7.2(I); see also Owner-Operator Independent Drivers
10 Assoc., Inc. v. Swift Transp. Co., Inc., No. CV 02-1059-PHX-PGR, 2004 WL 5376210, at
11 *5 (D. Ariz. July 28, 2004) (a party’s “failure in its response to set forth any argument in
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
14 they have no plausible claim for relief against Governor Ducey. Plaintiffs assert that the
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1 IV. Plaintiffs’ Lack Standing to Bring Claims Against Governor Ducey Because
2 They Cannot Show that Their Alleged Injuries Are Traceable to, or
Redressable by, the Governor.
3
4 As stated above, Plaintiffs do not address Governor Ducey’s argument that their
5 alleged injuries are not traceable to or redressable by him. Instead, they attempt (in a
6 footnote) to distinguish one of the cases cited regarding standing—Donald J. Trump for
7 President, Inc. v. Boockvar, ---F. Supp. 3d---, 2020 WL 6821992 (M.D. Penn. Nov. 21,
8 2020)—on the ground that Boockvar addressed certain standing theories “that are not
9 present here.” (Doc. 44 at 7 n.6). This argument misses the point. Boockvar is relevant here
10 because, as in that case, Plaintiffs’ injuries are neither traceable to nor redressable by the
11 government official they sued. (Doc. 38 at 9); see Boockvar, 2020 WL 6821992, at *6-7.
Critically, Plaintiffs do not explain how they meet either of these standing elements.
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
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13 Governor Ducey did not, under any factual scenario, “actually cause[] their [alleged]
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14 injuries” related to systemic election fraud and cannot redress those alleged injuries. See
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15 Boockvar, 2020 WL 6821992, at *6-7; see also Barnum Timber Co. v. U.S. E.P.A., 633
16 F.3d 894, 897 (9th Cir. 2011). Because Plaintiffs are unable to explain how their claims
17 against Governor Ducey satisfy two fundamental elements of standing, the Court should
19 Conclusion
20 Plaintiffs’ claims against Governor Ducey should be dismissed with prejudice under
21 Federal Rules of Civil Procedure 12(b)(1) and 12(b)(6) because those claims are moot,
22 barred by the Eleventh Amendment, unsupported by factual allegations, and Plaintiffs lack
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DATED this 6th day of December, 2020.
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3 SNELL & WILMER L.L.P.
4
By: /s/ Brett W. Johnson
5 Brett W. Johnson
Colin P. Ahler
6 Derek C. Flint
Ian R. Joyce
7 One Arizona Center
400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
8 Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
9 Anni L. Foster
OFFICE OF ARIZONA GOVERNOR
10 DOUGLAS A. DUCEY
1700 West Washington Street
11 Phoenix, Arizona 85007
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
Arizona
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1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I certify that on December 6, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
3 document to the Clerk's Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and transmittal of a
4 Notice of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
5
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7 s/ Tracy Hobbs
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One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
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Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 54 Filed 12/06/20 Page 1 of 6
1 ALLISTER ADEL
MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
2
Thomas P. Liddy (019384)
3 Emily Craiger (021728)
Joseph I. Vigil (018677)
4 Joseph J. Branco (031474)
Joseph E. LaRue (031348)
5 Deputy County Attorneys
[email protected]
6 [email protected]
[email protected]
7 [email protected]
8
[email protected]
26
27
Pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 9(b), the Intervenor-Defendants
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Maricopa County Board of Supervisors and Maricopa County Recorder Adrian Fontes
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1 fraud” the Arizona Supreme Court has ruled that “a showing of fraud is not necessary.”
2 (Doc. 44 at 23). The Arizona Supreme Court issued no such ruling. In Miller v. Picacho
3 Elementary School District Number 33, 179 Ariz. 178, 180 (Ariz. 1994), the only case
4 Plaintiffs cite, the court ruled that if one does not allege fraud in a challenge to ballot
5 procedures, one need not prove fraud to prevail. Id. Here, Plaintiff’s entire complaint is
6 based in allegations of fraud.
7 Moreover, the Response completely misrepresents long-standing Arizona
8 precedent with respect to claims of election fraud. In Hunt v. Campbell, the Arizona
9 Supreme Court held that claims of election fraud must be made with “sufficient proof to
10 establish (the) charge,” going on to state that “no court . . . is permitted to found its
11 judgment upon mere suspicion and conjecture of wrongdoing, but, unless there be
12 satisfactory evidence to the contrary, to look upon the acts of public officials with a
13 presumption of their rectitude and good faith.” 19 Ariz. 254, 264 (Ariz. 1917).
14 B. The Federal Rules of Civil Procedure apply in Federal Court.
15 To the extent Plaintiffs are asserting that the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure do
16 not apply to this election contest, they are mistaken. Although Plaintiffs sprinkle citations
17 to state law throughout their Complaint, it raises claims under § 1983 based on the U.S.
18 Constitution’s Fourteenth Amendment and the Elections and Electors Clauses. Plaintiffs
19 do not address why they think the federal rules do not apply to federal claims in federal
20 court.
21 Further, it is well-established that Rule 9(b)’s particularity requirement also applies
22 to state-law causes of action. “It is well-settled that the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure
23 apply in federal court, irrespective of the source of the subject matter jurisdiction, and
24 irrespective of whether the substantive law at issue is state or federal.” Kearns v. Ford
25 Motor Co., 567 F.3d 1120, 1125 (9th Cir. 2009) (internal quotation marks omitted).
26 “[W]hile a federal court will examine state law to determine whether the elements of fraud
27 have been pled sufficiently to state a cause of action, the Rule 9(b) requirement that the
28 circumstances of the fraud must be stated with particularity is a federally imposed rule.”
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1 Hayduk v. Lanna, 775 F.2d 441, 443 (1st Cir. 1985) (emphasis in original); see also
2 Jenkins v. Commonwealth Land Title Ins. Co., 95 F.3d 791, 796 (9th Cir.1996) (applying
3 Rule 9(b) to pleading of state-law cause of action); Minger v. Green, 239 F.3d 793, 800
4 (6th Cir.2001) (same); Roberts v. Francis, 128 F.3d 647, 650–51 (8th Cir.1997) (same).
5 Finally, even if the Arizona Rules of Civil Procedure apply,which they do not, the
6 same Rule 9(b) standard applies. Arizona Rule of Civil Procedure 9(b) states: “In all
7 averments of fraud or mistake, the circumstances constituting fraud or mistake shall be
8 stated with particularity.” This is the same whether fraud is claimed as a basis of an action
9 for damages or as a defense. Wilson v. Byrd, 79 Ariz. 302 (Ariz. 1955). Similar to the
10 Federal rules, bare allegations that a thing is “fraudulent” are insufficient to comply with
11 the rule. In re Cassidy’s Estate, 77 Ariz. 288 (1954); cf. Bender v. Bender, 123 Ariz. 90,
12 94 (Ariz. Ct. App. 1979) (“Fraud is never presumed, but must be alleged; therefore the
13 party who seeks fraud as a defense must plead it with particularity.”) (citing Hunt v.
14 Campbell, 19 Ariz. 254 (Ariz. 1917)).
15 II. Plaintiffs pled no facts to support a finding of election fraud.
16 As is the case here, and addressed at length in the Motion, “[w]hen an entire
17 complaint, or an entire claim within a complaint, is grounded in fraud and its allegations
18 fail to satisfy the heightened pleading requirements of Rule 9(b), a district court may
19 dismiss the complaint or claim.” Vess v. Ciba–Geigy Corp. USA, 317 F.3d 1097, 1107
20 (9th Cir. 2003). Plaintiffs’ Response does not cite a single fact alleged in the Complaint
21 to support their fraud claims and instead reasserts broad, conclusory statements with no
22 factual support.
23 Plaintiffs request the extraordinary relief of setting aside the results of the election
24 based on blanket assertions of fraud for which, more than a month after the election, they
25 have no factual basis. This is the sixth lawsuit in which Maricopa County’s elections
26 practices have been called into question; all six of these cases were either voluntarily
27 dismissed or dismissed by the courts, and yet Plaintiffs continue to assert claims of
28 wrongdoing with absolutely no factual support alleged. These repeated attacks continue
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1 to cause significant harm to the election process and to the dedicated election employees
2 who have worked tirelessly day after day in support of this Country’s vital electoral
3 process. Defendant is hard-pressed to find an instance where the requirements of Rule 9(b)
4 could be more necessary and consequential. As the Bly-McGee court aptly stated,
5 Rule 9(b) serves not only to give notice to defendants of the specific
6
fraudulent conduct against which they must defend, but also ‘to deter the
filing of complaints as a pretext for the discovery of unknown wrongs, to
7 protect [defendants] from the harm that comes from being subject to fraud
charges, and to prohibit plaintiffs from unilaterally imposing upon the court,
8
the parties and society enormous social and economic costs absent some
9 factual basis.’
10 Bly-Magee v. California, 236 F.3d 1014, 1018 (9th Cir. 2001).
11 For these reasons, this Court should dismiss this Complaint with prejudice under
12 Rule 9(b).
13 RESPECTFULLY submitted this 6th day of December, 2020.
14
ALLISTER ADEL
15 MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
16
BY: /s/Thomas P. Liddy
17 Thomas P. Liddy
18 Emily Craiger
Joseph I. Vigil
19 Joseph J. Branco
20
Joseph E. LaRue
Attorneys for Maricopa County Intervenors
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1 I. Introduction
2 Plaintiffs’ Response demonstrates the extreme disconnect between, on the one
3 hand, the profound and antidemocratic relief they are seeking, and on the other, their
4 failure on the facts and the law to support such extraordinary relief. Each of the arguments
5 below independently supports granting the Secretary’s Motion to Dismiss. Together, they
6 demonstrate the frivolity of this Complaint and the tremendous damage it would cause to
7 free and fair elections.
8 First, Plaintiffs fail completely to respond on the plausibility of their arguments.
9 In the face of the Defendants’ detailed arguments as to their failure to state a claim,
10 Plaintiffs do not even cite the federal standard. Instead, they cite to an Arizona state case
11 that only emphasizes why they should have brought a contest under Arizona law. They
12 do not attempt to argue how their Complaint satisfies Rule 9 or makes any coherent sense.
13 Instead, they repeat their same string of allegations about a wide-ranging global
14 conspiracy by thousands of election officials across the country that supposedly tricked
15 Arizona’s accuracy testing. Second, Plaintiffs’ claims are barred by laches. Plaintiffs
16 could have brought all these claims well before now. Third, Plaintiffs’ claims are rooted
17 in state law and should have been brought as an election contest. The Arizona legislature
18 crafted procedures for resolving election disputes, certifying election results, and
19 contesting elections in specific venues and on a specific timeline. Fourth, Plaintiffs lack
20 standing. They assert only generalized grievances and do not even meaningfully engage
21 on their vote dilution claims. On the Election Clause claim, they fare no better. Their
22 status as electors performing only ministerial duties does not provide the requisite
23 standing. Fifth, the Eleventh Amendment bars these claims, which by Plaintiffs’ own
24 admission stem from Arizona law. The Court should deny Plaintiffs’ requested relief and
25 summarily dismiss this transparent effort to override the will of Arizona voters. 1
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The Secretary urges this Court to decide the Defendants’ and Defendant Intervenor’s
27 Motions to Dismiss on their papers without argument, which will only provide Plaintiffs
28 with another platform to sow doubt in the election and perpetuate their unfounded claims.
Indeed, Plaintiffs themselves indicated their willingness to forgo argument. [See Doc. 46]
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1 II. Argument
2 A. Plaintiffs’ implausible claims are unsupported by their so-called “evidence”
and do not satisfy the heightened pleading standard.
3
4 Shockingly, Plaintiffs devote less than a page of their response to the argument
5 that their claims are utterly implausible. Doc. 44 at 23-24. Their brief makes no mention
6 whatsoever of the Rule 12 plausibility standard under Twombly or Iqbal, and no attempt
7 to argue they meet Fed. R. Civ. 9(b). Rather, Plaintiffs take aim at a strawman, arguing
8 about the circumstances under which non-compliance with state statutes can invalidate a
9 vote under Arizona pleading standards, and that they satisfy the standard for “ballot
10 fraud” under Miller v. Picacho Elementary Sch. Dist., No. 33, 877 P.2d 277, 279 (Ariz.
11 1994)). This misses the point entirely. State-court pleading standards, of course, are
12 simply irrelevant in federal court. Even more fundamentally, though, the Secretary’s
13 Iqbal/Twombly section was not based on some distinction between “technical” and more
14 “substantive” violations of Arizona law. Rather, the Secretary spent pages explaining all
15 the many independent reasons why Plaintiffs’ allegations were utterly implausible: the
16 “expert” allegations were attributed to people with no relevant expertise, suffered from
17 numerous fatal methodological flaws, and were untethered to any actual facts about the
18 election in Arizona, while the inferences Plaintiffs ask the Court to draw from both the
19 “expert” and “fact” allegations make no sense—and certainly are not plausible. See Doc.
20 40 at 13-18. Plaintiffs responded to these detailed arguments with precisely nothing.
21 Even if one were charitably to assume the “likelihood of success” portion of
22 Plaintiffs’ brief was also intended to demonstrate the plausibility of their claims, nothing
23 in that part provides any basis for avoiding dismissal either. Simply saying that allegations
24 are “compelling,” Doc. 44 at 25, and asserting that “Defendants’ actions disenfranchised
25 Republicans,” id. at 26, is not enough. Nor does the fact that the same unqualified expert,
26 Dr. Briggs, has made the same sham claims in five states in any way buttress his opinions.
27 Id. at 27. Plaintiffs cannot and do not dispute that the surveys on which Dr. Briggs bases
28 his opinions and that Plaintiffs offer as grounds for casting aside hundreds of thousands
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1 of votes and overturning the election are based entirely on a survey conducted by another
2 person: Matt Braynard. Doc. 1-2. Plaintiffs offer zero evidence of Braynard’s identity or
3 qualifications (apart from a printout of four tweets from someone apparently named Matt
4 Braynard, Doc. 1-9), let alone allege or offer any information regarding his experience
5 and qualifications as to political surveys and quantitative methods, or any steps he took
6 to ensure the reliability of his survey results.
7 And Plaintiffs offer nothing to support their core conspiracy theory that Dominion
8 voting machines and software manipulated the election results in Arizona. Instead,
9 Plaintiffs have merely taken the step of identifying one of their previously anonymous
10 experts, Mr. Teasley, the author of the report included as Exhibit 4 to their Complaint.
11 Doc. 1-11. Plaintiffs now offer another report from Teasley (this time belatedly served,
12 nine hours after the court-ordered deadline for expert disclosures), in which he asserts
13 that the results were higher for President-Elect Biden than he would have expected in
14 counties using Dominion machines. Doc. 44-1 at 24-34. But Teasley provides none of the
15 basic data and information required to validate his assumptions—he doesn’t disclose what
16 counties he studied, what data he used, how he determined those results were
17 exceptionally high, or how his experience in cybersecurity somehow qualifies him to
18 opine on election results. Apart from Teasley’s inadmissible and unreliable opinions,
19 Plaintiffs make no effort to connect the dots on their Dominion conspiracy theory that
20 somehow links the late Hugo Chavez to Election Day 2020 in Arizona, nor do they
21 plausibly explain how their assertion of “old fashioned vote stuffing” somehow caused
22 Biden’s lead in Arizona to diminish by tens of thousands of votes counted by those same
23 machines during the several days following Election Day.
24 Plaintiffs’ claims are even more implausible given that the election passed all of
25 Arizona’s statutorily-required post-election hand count audits and logic and accuracy
26 testing. Doc. 40 at 3; see A.R.S. §§ 16-449, 16-602. Indeed, the Complaint recognizes
27 this post-election logic and accuracy testing. Doc. 1 at ¶ 53. The only allegation in the
28 Complaint to impugn the accuracy of this testing is based on one Declarant, Linda
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1 Brickman, who testified in the state court election contest regarding various alleged
2 problems, but whose testimony was not given any weight by the superior court in its
3 ruling denying the contest. See Ex. A (Ruling in CV 2020-015285, Maricopa County,
4 Dec. 4, 2020); see also recording of Dec. 4, 2020 hearing, part 2, available at
5 https://superiorcourt.maricopa.gov/civil/2020-general-election-cases/. The Complaint
6 cites Ms. Brickman for supposed issues regarding signature verification and alleged vote
7 switching. Doc. 1 at ¶ 53. Those claims were rejected by the superior court. Ex. A at 8-9.
8 Regardless, even accepted as true, it is but one example of inference after inference tied
9 together with no sound connection—let alone one that states a claim.
10 Plaintiffs also now attempt to bolster their implausible claims by attaching letters
11 from Congressmen Gosar and Biggs and six members of the Arizona legislature, which
12 are dated December 5 and were presumably solicited for the purpose of attaching to
13 Plaintiffs’ Response. Doc. 44 at 2–3. In effect, Plaintiffs ask this Court to ignore the
14 standards of Twombly, Iqbal, and Rule 9(b) because a handful of elected officials ask it
15 to. In addition to being inappropriate, these letters further evince that Plaintiffs’ case is
16 built on nothing but falsehoods and conspiracies. Congressman Gosar’s letter, for
17 example, claims that evidence of anomalies was presented “in a recent legislative
18 hearing.” Doc. 44 at 3 (quoting Doc. 44-1 at 3). But there was no legislative hearing. A
19 “hearing” in a hotel conference room with participation from a handful of state legislators
20 is a press conference (or, as Arizona’s House Speaker Rusty Bowers put it, an “unofficial
21 public gathering”). See Ex. B at 1. In fact, despite repeated requests, Arizona’s legislative
22 leaders have refused to hold an actual legislative hearing on purported fraud; as Speaker
23 Bowers described, proponents of these claims have “presented only theories, not proof.”
24 Id. Now, having failed to get the Republican-controlled legislature to do their bidding,
25 Plaintiffs ask this Court to essentially appoint them as a private grand jury with free-
26 ranging authority, conferring upon them the right to make a federal case out of whatever
27 conspiracy theory they may dream up—no matter how implausible.
28 B. Plaintiffs’ claims are barred by laches.
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1 Plaintiffs argue (1) they could not have discovered the factual basis for any of their
2 claims earlier than when they did, and (2) they could only have filed their action after
3 vote-counting misconduct became apparent in the days following the election and
4 particularly the statewide canvass. Doc. 44 at 9-10. Neither argument is persuasive for
5 multiple independent reasons. First, many of plaintiffs’ alleged injuries arose—and were
6 ripe for challenge—as early as October, when counties began to tabulate early ballots and
7 early voting was underway. See, e.g., Doc. 1 ¶¶ 46-48 (taking issue with the process used
8 to match signatures on absentee ballots during the election); id. ¶¶ 48-49 (criticizing the
9 roles of poll watchers and poll referees); id. ¶¶ 118-120 (claiming violations of the right
10 to be present and have observation and access to the electoral process “as secured by the
11 Equal Protection Clause of the United States Constitution and Arizona law”).
12 Second, nothing—not even the Arizona election contest law that Plaintiffs cite—
13 requires that challenges to alleged errors in tabulation be saved until after the Secretary
14 certifies the official statewide canvass. Even accepting Plaintiffs’ allegations as true, their
15 Complaint makes plain that their purported reasons to suspect the accuracy of the
16 Dominion machines arose far in advance of the 2020 General Election. See Doc. 40 at 11;
17 see also Doc. 1 ¶¶ 67-69. And counties released their results within days after polls closed
18 on November 3, 2020. If, in fact, the returns were as suspect as Plaintiffs claim, they could
19 have brought suit once individual counties began to certify their canvasses throughout
20 mid-November. Plaintiffs have no good explanation for why they needed to wait until
21 days after the Secretary and Governor certified the statewide canvass.
22 Third, there is a reason why Arizona sets strict procedural requirements and a very
23 short window for filing and resolving election contests, and why federal law discourages
24 these post-hoc challenges, “lest the granting of post-election relief encourage
25 sandbagging on the part of wily plaintiffs.” Soules v. Kauaians for Nukolii Campaign
26 Comm., 849 F.2d 1176, 1180 (9th Cir. 1988); see also Donaghey, 584 P.2d at 559. Finality
27 and stability are cornerstones of our democratic process. Congress has made clear that
28 election disputes should be resolved quickly, and sets specified timeframes for the
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1 Electoral College, starting on “the Tuesday next after the first Monday in November”
2 through the meeting of the Electoral College in December through the meeting of
3 Congress that occurs by statute on January 6. See 3 U.S.C. §§ 1-15. The Court should
4 accordingly find that laches bars this suit.
5 C. This Court should not condone Plaintiffs’ unprecedented attempt to make an
end-run around Arizona’s election contest procedures.
6
7 The Arizona legislature crafted procedures for resolving election disputes,
8 certifying election results, and contesting elections in specific venues and on a strict
9 timeline. A.R.S. § 16-672 et seq. These grounds include contesting an election
10 “misconduct on the part of election boards or any members thereof” or any officer who
11 participates in a state canvass, id. § 16-672(A), or “[o]n account of illegal votes,” id. §
12 16-672(A)(4). Plaintiffs’ suit attempts to circumvent those procedures and
13 inappropriately invoke federal jurisdiction. Plaintiffs concede that their Complaint alleges
14 “that Defendants have both violated Arizona law and applied Arizona law to dilute the
15 votes of Arizona Republicans.” Doc. 44 at 7 (emphasis added). This concession is fatal.
16 They cannot attempt to create federal court jurisdiction even while conceding that they
17 base their entire claim on “violat[ions]” and “appli[cations]” of Arizona law. The Arizona
18 Supreme Court has rejected the idea that election contests may depart from the stringent
19 statutory text—which allows contest claims in state court, not federal court. Donaghey v.
20 Ariz. Attorney Gen., 584 P.2d 557, 559 (Ariz. 1978).
21 Plaintiffs could have brought an election contest under Section 16-672. The
22 remedy sought there, like the remedy sought here, is to undo the election. Compare Doc.
23 1 at 51-52 (Plaintiffs’ Complaint here seeking to “de-certify the election results” with
24 Doc. 40 Exh. B at 19 (Plaintiff Ward’s state complaint seeking “[t]hat the Court declare
25 the certificate of election of the Biden Electors is of no further legal force or effect, and
26 that the election is annulled and set aside in accordance with A.R.S. § 16-676(B)). Indeed,
27 Plaintiffs’ own Complaint makes clear that it is about “specific violations of Arizona
28 law.” See Doc. 1 ¶ 21 (emphasis added); see also id. ¶¶ 46–53.
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1 Even while attempting to press their argument that this case differs from an
2 Arizona election contest, they simultaneously attempt to avail themselves of Arizona’s
3 contest statutes where it benefits them. They argue, for example, that rather than having
4 to satisfy Rule 9(b), they need only satisfy the lower threshold of “ballot fraud” as set
5 forth by Arizona law and the Arizona Supreme Court. Doc. 44 at 23-24. And incredibly,
6 they point to the Arizona contest provision stating that Arizona election contests may only
7 be brought in a 5-day window after the canvass. See id. at 10 (citing A.R.S. § 16-673).
8 Plaintiffs’ allegations here are precisely the sorts of claims captured by the Arizona
9 elections contest statute. They allege misconduct on the part of election officials and their
10 claims depend entirely on the presence of “illegal votes.” A.R.S. § 16-672(A)(4).
11 Plaintiffs cite no authority for the proposition that they may bring Arizona law-based
12 claims specifically covered by the Arizona contest statute under Arizona law-based
13 pleading standards and seek Arizona law-based remedies in federal court.
14 And contrary to Plaintiffs’ apparent contention in their response, see Doc. 44 at 6,
15 it is Plaintiffs’ burden to establish federal jurisdiction. Kokkonen v. Guardian Life Ins.
16 Co. of America, 511 U.S. 375, 377 (1994). This they have not done. Plaintiffs’ allegations
17 are ultimately state law claims repackaged as federal law claims. For example, Plaintiffs
18 cite to the federal Voting Rights Act and the Help America Vote Act. See Doc. 44 at 14–
19 15. But Plaintiffs do not allege a cause of action under either HAVA or the VRA, nor
20 would they have standing to bring such a claim. See also Part II.D.
21 Federal jurisdiction is not available to circumvent the Arizona legislature’s
22 designated forum for challenging an election simply by bootstrapping concerns about the
23 constitutional right to vote to any election-related cause of action. None of Plaintiffs’
24 authorities help them. Doc. 44 at 15-16. They at most supply a string of citations to
25 support non-controversial and high-level principles reaffirming that federal jurisdiction
26 exists for distinguishable voting-rights claims, or the well-known fact that federal laws
27 protect voting—none of which Plaintiffs advance here. Plaintiffs’ Equal Protection claim,
28 for example, alleges so-called “vote dilution” because of Defendants’ purported failure
{00526067.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 55 Filed 12/06/20 Page 9 of 13
1 to “comply with the requirements of Arizona law,” Doc. 1 ¶ 117 (emphasis added). But
2 “vote dilution” is not a viable legal theory in this context, see infra Part II.D, and what
3 Plaintiffs really take issue with is an alleged failure to follow state law, such as allowing
4 greater access to the observation of ballot counting, see Doc. 1 ¶¶ 118, 120.
5 Apart from citing repeatedly and misleadingly to cases about true vote dilution—
6 that is, cases about apportionment or redistricting—Plaintiffs’ star authority for their
7 argument that they need not bring their case as an election contest is Chief Justice
8 Rehnquist’s concurrence in Bush v. Gore. See Doc. 44 at 15 (citing 531 U.S. 98, 112–14
9 (2000)). That opinion, of course, is a non-controlling concurrence. But even the majority
10 opinion in Bush expressly disclaimed application outside its specific facts, id. at 109, and
11 those facts bear no resemblance to this case. Gore filed several election contests under
12 Florida law, which ultimately led to the Florida Supreme Court ordering that one county
13 conduct a large manual recount several days before the “safe harbor” deadline under 3
14 U.S.C. § 5. Id. at 101-03. Bush v. Gore was decided as an appeal from state-court
15 decisions, not from federal court proceedings. It thus in no way supports Plaintiffs’
16 argument that they can file directly in federal district court in violation of strict state
17 election law procedures for challenging an election outcome Moreover, it is especially
18 inappropriate to allow an end-run around the state court procedure here because a state
19 court already has rejected a contest provision filed by one of the named Plaintiffs. The
20 state court rejected the very remedy Plaintiffs seek. Instead, it “confirm[ed] the election.”
21 Ex. A at 9. It found “no misconduct, no fraud, and no effect on the outcome of the
22 election.” Id. at 8. And it found that “the evidence did not prove illegal votes.” Id.
23 Finally, if Plaintiffs are not required to avail themselves of Arizona’s strict
24 procedural and timing requirements for elections contests and instead may proceed in
25 federal court, what’s to stop other disappointed Republican voters or candidates from
26 filing lawsuit after lawsuit until January 20 (if not beyond)? Such a result would further
27 destabilize our democracy and undermine the will of Congress, the Arizona legislature
28 and, above all, the will of Arizona’s voters. See also supra Part II.B (laches).
{00526067.1 }
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1 Indeed, in Bognet, the Third Circuit rejected standing even though a plaintiff was a
2 candidate for Congress. 2020 WL 6686120 at *4, *6-8.
3 With respect to standing for their remaining claims, Plaintiffs insist that theirs are
4 not generalized grievances because they challenge the dilution of Republican votes. Doc.
5 44 at 7-8. Aside from the fact that their allegations of a “scheme” to selectively
6 undercount votes of one political party are fantastical, they cannot find support for their
7 novel brand of vote-dilution claim in federal law. Doc. 44 at 27. The Supreme Court has
8 long considered vote dilution claims to “involve challenges to methods of electing
9 representatives—like redistricting or at-large districts—as having the effect of
10 diminishing minorities’ voting strength.” Democratic Nat’l Comm. v. Hobbs, 948 F.3d
11 989, 1011 (9th Cir. 2020), cert. granted on other grounds sub nom. Arizona Republican
12 Party v. Democratic Nat’l Comm., No. 19-1258, 2020 WL 5847129 (U.S. Oct. 2, 2020)
13 (citation omitted). Plaintiffs’ claims are not that. As the Bognet case discussed in the
14 Secretary’s Motion to Dismiss (Doc. 40 at 9) held, Plaintiffs lack standing for these types
15 of vote dilution claims. 2020 WL 6686120, at *11. “Vote dilution in this context is a
16 paradigmatic generalized grievance that cannot support standing.” Wood v.
17 Raffensberger, — F.3d —, 2020 WL 7094866, at *12 (11th Cir., Dec. 5, 2020).
18 Accordingly, they are left with nothing more than a grievance shared by other
19 disappointed voters, and so cannot bring suit here.
20 E. The Eleventh Amendment bars Plaintiffs’ request for prospective relief
because their claims ultimately sound in state, not federal, law.
21
22 The Secretary does not dispute that the Eleventh Amendment permits prospective
23 injunctive relief against state officials on the basis of federal law. But Plaintiffs ignore
24 the requisite latter part of that sentence. Where claims are based on state law, the Eleventh
25 Amendment bars all relief, “whether prospective or retroactive.” Pennhurst State Sch. &
26
27 state’s new method of choosing electors. It has nothing to do with standing to challenge
28 the results of a presidential election. And Bush, of course, was brought by the presidential
candidate in the 2000 election, not an elector.
{00526067.1 }
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1 Hosp. v. Halderman, 465 U.S. 89, 106 (1984). That restriction applies even where, as
2 here, plaintiffs cloak their state-law claims in federal garb. Doc. 40 at 19–20 (citing cases).
3 As noted previously, Plaintiffs’ own Complaint alleges “specific violations of Arizona
4 law.” Doc. 1 ¶¶ 21, 46–53 (emphasis added). Their Elections and Electors Clause claim
5 is based on Defendants purportedly exercising electoral authority “in ways that conflict
6 with existing [state] legislation.” Doc. 1 ¶ 106. Likewise, their Equal Protection Clause
7 hinges on Defendants’ alleged failure to “enforce[] fairly and uniformly” Arizona’s
8 election laws, claiming that because “Defendants failed to comply with the requirements
9 of Arizona law,” their votes were diluted in violation of the Equal Protection Clause. Doc.
10 1 ¶ 116–17 (emphasis added). Count III alleges a Due Process Clause violation based on
11 so-called “vote dilution.” This, too, has no actual basis in federal law, for much the same
12 reasons Plaintiffs lack standing for this claim. See supra at 11; Doc. 40 at 8. Plaintiffs’
13 reliance on Porter v. Jones, 319 F.3d 483, 491 (9th Cir. 2003), is similarly unpersuasive.
14 That case involved violations of the First Amendment, not state law. In short, Plaintiffs
15 cannot escape the Eleventh Amendment’s bar by simply slapping a “federal claim” label
16 on what are ultimately questions of state law.
17 III. Conclusion
18 Plaintiffs seek to cast a cloud over the outcome of the 2020 election, and ask this
19 Court to facilitate their futile hunt for evidence supporting their sensational claim that
20 President-Elect Biden’s victory resulted from a global conspiracy, rather than from a
21 straightforward counting of votes. Plaintiffs offer only a mix of speculation, inadmissible
22 evidence, and failed legal theories—not the plausible theories, federal claims, and Article
23 III standing required to bring this case in federal court. In short, they have supplied no
24 reason to question a single vote, let alone a sufficient number of votes to overturn the
25 results of the election. This Court should dismiss their brazen effort to undermine the
26 collective will of Arizona voters expressed through a fair, free, and secure election.
27 Respectfully submitted this 6th day of December, 2020.
28
{00526067.1 }
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INDEX OF EXHIBITS
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Exhibit A
922
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Clerk of the Superior Court
*** Filed ***
12/4/2020 4:05 p.m.
SUPERIOR COURT OF ARIZONA
MARICOPA COUNTY
CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
v.
MINUTE ENTRY
9:15 a.m. This is the time set for a continued Evidentiary Hearing on Plaintiff’s
anticipated election contest petition via GoToMeeting.
923
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
x Intervenors Adrian Fontes (in his official capacity as Maricopa County Recorder) and
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors (collectively, “County Intervenors”) and are
represented by counsel, Thomas Liddy, Emily Craiger, and Joseph La Rue.
x Intervenor Katie Hobbs (in her official capacity as the Arizona Secretary of State) is
represented by counsel, Rooplai Desai and Kristen Yost. State Election Director Sambo
“Bo” Dul is also present.
Counsel for Biden Elector Defendants addresses the court as to the court’s ruling denying
any Rule 50 motion practice after the conclusion of Plaintiff’s case. Discussion is held thereon
and counsel for Biden Elector Defendants states his position on the record. The court affirms its
prior ruling denying the request for any Rule 50 motion practice.
924
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
LET THE RECORD REFLECT that the court notes its prior acquaintance with County
Intervenors’ witness, Reynaldo Valenzuela, due to election matters while serving previously as
the civil presiding judge.
10:41 a.m. Court reconvenes with the parties and respective counsel present.
Plaintiff’s Rebuttal:
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
Plaintiff rests.
11:36 a.m. Court reconvenes with the parties and respective counsel present.
IT IS ORDERED taking this matter under advisement with a written ruling to be issued
as a “LATER:” to this minute entry.
Pursuant to the orders entered, and there being no further need to retain the exhibits not
offered in evidence in the custody of the Clerk of Court,
LET THE RECORD FURTHER REFLECT counsel indicate on the record that the
courtroom clerk may dispose of Plaintiff’s exhibits 2 through 13 and 15; County Intervenors’
exhibit 21; and Intervenor Secretary of State’s exhibits 33 and 34 not offered or received in
evidence.
LATER:
Based on the evidence presented, the Court makes the following findings, conclusions,
and orders. For reasons that follow, the relief requested in the Petition is denied.
1. Background.
On November 30, 2020, Governor Ducey certified the results of Arizona’s 2020 general
election, and the Biden/Harris ticket was declared the winner of Arizona’s 11 electoral votes.
The same day, Plaintiff filed this election challenge under A.R.S. § 16-672. In order to permit
this matter to be heard and appealed (if necessary) to the Arizona Supreme Court before the
Electoral College meets on December 14, 2020, the Court held an accelerated evidentiary
hearing on December 3 and 4, 2020.
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
A.R.S. § 16-672 specifies five grounds on which an election may be contested, three of
which are alleged here:
A. Any elector of the state may contest the election of any person
declared elected to a state office, or declared nominated to a state
office at a primary election, or the declared result of an initiated or
referred measure, or a proposal to amend the Constitution of
Arizona, or other question or proposal submitted to vote of the
people, upon any of the following grounds:
...
A.R.S. § 16-672(A)(1). Arizona law provides two remedies for a successful election contest. One
is setting aside the election. A.R.S. § 16-676(B). The other is to declare the other candidate the
winner if “it appears that a person other than the contestee has the highest number of legal
votes.” A.R.S. § 16-676(C).
The Plaintiff in an election contest has a high burden of proof and the actions of election
officials are presumed to be free from fraud and misconduct. See Hunt v. Campbell, 19 Ariz.
254, 268, 169 P. 596, 602 (1917) (“the returns of the election officers are prima facie correct and
free from the imputation of fraud”); Moore v. City of Page, 148 Ariz. 151, 156, 713 P.2d 813,
818 (App. 1986) (“One who contests an election has the burden of proving that if illegal votes
were cast the illegal votes were sufficient to change the outcome of the election.”). A plaintiff
alleging misconduct must prove that the misconduct rose to the level of fraud, or that the result
would have been different had proper procedures been used. Moore, 148 Ariz. at 159, 713 P.2d
Docket Code 901 Form V000A Page 5
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
at 821. “[H]onest mistakes or mere omissions on the part of the election officers, or irregularities
in directory matters, even though gross, if not fraudulent, will not void an election, unless they
affect the result, or at least render it uncertain.” Findley v. Sorenson, 35 Ariz. 265, 269, 276 P.
843, 844 (1929).
Second, Plaintiff alleges that election officials overcounted mail-in ballots by not being
sufficiently skeptical in their comparison of signatures on the mail-in envelope/affidavits with
signatures on file. Under Arizona law, voters who vote by mail submit their ballot inside an
envelope that is also an affidavit signed by the voter. Election officials review all mail-in
envelope/affidavits to compare the signature on them with the signature in voter registration
records. If the official is “satisfied that the signatures correspond,” the unopened envelope is held
until the time for counting votes. If not, officials attempt to contact the voter to validate the
ballot. A.R.S. § 16-550(A).
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
safeguards include the fact that mail-in ballots are mailed to the voter’s address as listed in voter
registration records, and that voters can put their phone number on the envelope/affidavit, which
allows election officials to compare that number to the phone number on file from voter
registration records or prior ballots.
The Court ordered that counsel and their forensic document examiners could review 100
randomly selected envelope/affidavits to do a signature comparison. These were
envelope/affidavits as to which election officials had found a signature match, so the ballots were
long ago removed and tabulated. Because voter names are on the envelope/affidavits, the Court
ordered them sealed. But because the ballots were separated from the envelope/affidavits, there
is no way to know how any particular voter voted. The secrecy of their votes was preserved.
Two forensic document examiners testified, one for Plaintiff and one for Defendants. The
process forensic document examiners use to testify in court for purposes of criminal guilt or civil
liability is much different from the review Arizona election law requires. A document examiner
might take hours on a single signature to be able to provide a professional opinion to the required
degree of certainty.
Defendants’ expert testified that 11 of the 100 envelopes were inconclusive, mostly
because there were insufficient specimens to which to compare them. He too found no sign of
forgery or simulation, and found no basis for rejecting any of the signatures.
These ballots were admitted at trial and the Court heard testimony about them and
reviewed them. None of them shows an abuse of discretion on the part of the reviewer. Every
one of them listed a phone number that matched a phone number already on file, either through
voter registration records or from a prior ballot. The evidence does not show that these affidavits
are fraudulent, or that someone other than the voter signed them. There is no evidence that the
manner in which signatures were reviewed was designed to benefit one candidate or another, or
that there was any misconduct, impropriety, or violation of Arizona law with respect to the
review of mail-in ballots.
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
Third, Plaintiff alleges errors in the duplication of ballots. Arizona law requires election
officials to duplicate a ballot under a number of circumstances. One is where the voter is
overseas and submits a ballot under UOCAVA, the Uniformed And Overseas Citizens Absentee
Voting Act. Another is where the ballot is damaged or otherwise cannot be machine-tabulated.
When a duplicate is necessary, a bipartisan board creates a duplicate ballot based on the original.
A.R.S. § 16-621(A). In 2020, Maricopa County had 27,869 duplicate ballots out of more than 2
million total ballots. The vast majority of these were either mail-in ballots or UOCAVA ballots.
999 of them came from polling places.
The Court ordered that counsel could review 100 duplicate ballots. Maricopa County
voluntarily made another 1,526 duplicate ballots available for review. These ballots do not
identify the voter so, again, there is no way to know how any individual voter voted. Of the
1,626 ballots reviewed, 9 had an error in the duplication of the vote for president.
The duplication process prescribed by the Legislature necessarily requires manual action
and human judgment, which entail a risk of human error. Despite that, the duplication process for
the presidential election was 99.45% accurate. And there is no evidence that the inaccuracies
were intentional or part of a fraudulent scheme. They were mistakes. And given both the small
number of duplicate ballots and the low error rate, the evidence does not show any impact on the
outcome.
The Court finds no misconduct, no fraud, and no effect on the outcome of the election.
A.R.S. § 16-672(A)(2) permits an election contest “[o]n account of illegal votes.” Based
on the facts found above, the evidence did not prove illegal votes, much less enough to affect the
outcome of the election. As a matter of law, mistakes in the duplication of ballots that do not
affect the outcome of the election do not satisfy the burden of proof under Section 16-672(A)(2).
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
A.R.S. § 16-672(A)(5) permits an election contest on the ground that, “by reason of
erroneous count of votes” the candidate certified as the winner “did not in fact receive the
highest number of votes.” Plaintiff has not proven that the Biden/Harris ticket did not receive the
highest number of votes.
6. Orders.
IT IS FURTHER ORDERED denying the request to continue the hearing and permit
additional inspection of ballots.
IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that any request for costs and/or attorneys’ fees be filed,
and a form of final judgment be lodged, no later than January 5, 2020. If none of these is filed or
lodged, the Court will issue a minute entry with Rule 54(c) language dismissing all remaining
claims.
The Court finds no just reason for delay and enters this partial final judgment under Ariz.
R. Civ. P. 54(b). The Court makes this finding for purposes of permitting an immediate appeal to
the Arizona Supreme Court.
/ s / RANDALL H. WARNER
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Exhibit B
932
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NEWS RELEASE
Arizona House of Representatives
Speaker of the House Rusty Bowers (R-25)
1700 West Washington z Phoenix, Arizona z 85007
This week, Rudy Giuliani, Jenna Ellis, and others representing President Donald Trump came to
Arizona with a breathtaking request: that the Arizona Legislature overturn the certified results of
last month’s election and deliver the state’s electoral college votes to President Trump. The rule
of law forbids us to do that.
Mr. Giuliani and Ms. Ellis made their case here at least twice—on Monday, at an unofficial public
gathering hosted by a small group of legislators; and again on Tuesday, during a closed-door
meeting at the State Capitol with Republican leaders from both chambers of the Legislature. Both
times, the Trump team made claims that the election was tainted by fraud but presented only
theories, not proof. U.S. Attorney General William P. Barr said on Tuesday that he, too, has “not
seen fraud on a scale that could have effected a different outcome of the election.”
Even if such evidence existed, the Arizona Legislature simply couldn’t do what is being asked.
Under our state’s constitution, the Legislature can act only when it is in session, and the Legislature
could call itself into a special session only with the support of a bipartisan supermajority of its
members.
That won’t materialize, but even if did, the Legislature couldn’t provide the recourse the
President’s team seeks. The U.S. Constitution authorizes each state to appoint presidential electors
“in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct.” For decades, Arizona law has required
that the voters elect the state’s electors on Election Day—this year, on November 3rd. And under
a law the Republican-led Legislature passed just three years ago, the state’s electors are required
to cast their votes for the candidates who received the most votes in the official statewide election
canvass. Enacted after the 2016 presidential election, in which President Trump won the electoral
college but not the popular vote, the law was aimed at ensuring that Arizona’s electors would
remain faithful to the vote of the people.
Our state’s canvass was completed on Monday, and Joe Biden and Kamala Harris received the
most votes, so those are the candidates whom the state’s presidential electors must vote for.
Nothing in the U.S. Constitution or the decisions of the U.S. Supreme Court even suggests that the
Arizona Legislature could retroactively appoint different electors who would cast their ballots for
1
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different candidates. The Trump legal team has cited McPherson v. Blacker (1892), to claim that
the legislature can “resume the power [to appoint electors] at any time.” And it is true that the
Arizona Legislature could alter the method of appointing electors prospectively. But it cannot
undo the election of electors whom the voters already voted for. As the Supreme Court made clear
in Bush v. Gore (2000), “[w]hen the state legislature vests the right to vote for President in its
people, the right to vote as the legislature has prescribed is fundamental.”
No election is perfect, and if there were evidence of illegal votes or an improper count, then
Arizona law provides a process to contest the election: a lawsuit under state law. But the law does
not authorize the Legislature to reverse the results of an election.
As a conservative Republican, I don’t like the results of the presidential election. I voted for
President Trump and worked hard to reelect him. But I cannot and will not entertain a suggestion
that we violate current law to change the outcome of a certified election.
I and my fellow legislators swore an oath to support the U.S. Constitution and the constitution and
laws of the state of Arizona. It would violate that oath, the basic principles of republican
government, and the rule of law if we attempted to nullify the people’s vote based on unsupported
theories of fraud. Under the laws that we wrote and voted upon, Arizona voters choose who wins,
and our system requires that their choice be respected.
Forty years ago next month, President Ronald Reagan reminded us that while the “orderly transfer
of authority” is a “commonplace occurrence” for Americans, “[i]n the eyes of many in the world,
this every-4-year ceremony we accept as normal is nothing less than a miracle.” Now, Americans
are being reminded once again never to take for granted what President Reagan correctly described
as “the continuity which is the bulwark of our Republic.”
###
CONTACT:
Andrew Wilder
Director of Communications
Republican Majority Caucus
(602) 926-5299
[email protected]
934
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28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
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1 COMES NOW Plaintiffs, by and through undersigned counsel, and moves the Court
2 to schedule a hearing on Plaintiffs’ motion for a preliminary injunction on December 8,
3 2020 after oral arguments on the motions to dismiss per the court’s order dated December
4 5, 2020 [Dkt No. 43]. This Motion is brought pursuant to FRCP 65.
5 In support, Plaintiffs show:
6 1) Plaintiffs’ filed a Motion for Temporary Restraining Order, Motion for Preliminary
7 Injunction on December 2, 2020 to, among other things, decertify the 2020 elections
8 results. [Doc-2].
9 2) Plaintiffs also filed a Motion to Seal on December 2, 2020 [Doc-14].
10 3) On December 5, 2020, the Court issued a minute order rescheduling a scheduled
11 hearing: IT IS ORDERED the Hearing set for Tuesday, December 8, 2020 at 9:15 AM on
12 Plaintiffs' Motion for Temporary Restraining Order [Doc. 28] is hereby converted to Oral
13 Argument on the pending Motions to Dismiss [Docs. 36, 37, 38, 40.]
14 4) Each of Defendants’ Motions, 36, 37, 38 and 40, set for argument, constitute a
15 Motion to Dismiss and a Response to Plaintiffs' Motion for Temporary Restraining Order
16 and Preliminary Injunction.
17 5) The Court further issued the minute order to say: IT IS FURTHER ORDERED the
18 Hearing on Plaintiffs' Motion for Temporary Restraining Order [Doc. 2] is reset to
19 Thursday, December 10, 2020 at 9:30 AM.
20 6) The parties have fully briefed the Motion for Preliminary Injunction filed December
21 2, 2020.
22 7) Plaintiffs move, pursuant to FRCP 65, for a hearing on their motion for a preliminary
23 injunction which seeks, among other things, an order decertifying the 2020 Arizona
24 presidential election results. Plaintiffs are Arizona’s Republican Presidential electors.
25 Electors are seated and vote for President on December 14, 2020. If Plaintiffs’ preliminary
26 injunction motion is not set for a hearing immediately, there will be insufficient time for
27 this court to rule and for the parties to obtain appellate review before the claims asserted
28 become moot.
936 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 56 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 4
11
/s/ Howard Kleinhendler
12
Howard Kleinhendler (New York Bar No. 2657120)
13 Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
369 Lexington Ave. 12th Floor
14 New York, New York 10017
(917) 793-1188
15 [email protected]
Alexander Kolodin
16 Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
17
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
18 Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
19 *Application for admission pro hac vice
forthcoming
20
Of Counsel:
21 Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
22 Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
23 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd. Suite 300
Dallas, Texas 75219
24
*Application for admission pro hac vice Forthcoming
25
L. Lin Wood (Georgia Bar No. 774588)
26 L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
P.O. Box 52584
27 Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
Telephone: (404) 891-1402
28
937 -3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 56 Filed 12/07/20 Page 4 of 4
1 .
10
11
12
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
13
14
I hereby certify that on December 5th, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
15
foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
16
transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
17
18
By: /s/ Chris Viskovic
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
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1
2
3
4
5
6
IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
7
FOR THE DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
8
9 Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle,
Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M. Case No. 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
10 King, James R. Lamon, Sam Moorhead, Robert
Montgomery, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, PROPOSED ORDER
11 Salvatore Luke Scarmardo, Kelli Ward and
Michael Ward; GRANTING PLAINTIFFS’
12 MOTION FOR HEARING ON
Plaintiffs, MOTION FOR PRELIMINARY
13 INJUNCTION
v.
14
Doug Ducey, in his official capacity as Governor
15 of the State of Arizona, and Katie Hobbs, in her
capacity as Secretary of State of the State of
16 Arizona;
17 Defendants.
20 Intervenors.
21 THE COURT has before it Plaintiffs’ Motion for Hearing on Motion for Preliminary
22 Injunction filed December 7, 2020.
23 For the reasons set forth in Plaintiffs’ Motion for Hearing on Motion for Preliminary
24 Injunction and good cause appearing:
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1 Davida Brook
2 COPPERSMITH BROCKELMAN PLC
Roopali H. Desai
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EXHIBIT
A
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Plaintiffs,
Defendants,
and
Intervenor-Defendants.
___________________________________/
The right to vote is among the most sacred rights of our democracy and, in
turn, uniquely defines us as Americans. The struggle to achieve the right to vote is
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one that has been both hard fought and cherished throughout our country’s history.
Local, state, and federal elections give voice to this right through the ballot. And
elections that count each vote celebrate and secure this cherished right.
These principles are the bedrock of American democracy and are widely
revered as being woven into the fabric of this country. In Michigan, more than 5.5
during the 2020 General Election. Those votes were counted and, as of November
23, 2020, certified by the Michigan Board of State Canvassers (also “State
Board”). The Governor has sent the slate of Presidential Electors to the Archivist
of the United States to confirm the votes for the successful candidate.
Against this backdrop, Plaintiffs filed this lawsuit, bringing forth claims of
widespread voter irregularities and fraud in the processing and tabulation of votes
and absentee ballots. They seek relief that is stunning in its scope and breathtaking
in its reach. If granted, the relief would disenfranchise the votes of the more than
5.5 million Michigan citizens who, with dignity, hope, and a promise of a voice,
participated in the 2020 General Election. The Court declines to grant Plaintiffs
this relief.
I. Background
In the weeks leading up to, and on, November 3, 2020, a record 5.5 million
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No. 36-4 at Pg ID 2622.) Many of those votes were cast by absentee ballot. This
was due in part to the coronavirus pandemic and a ballot measure the Michigan
voters passed in 2018 allowing for no-reason absentee voting. When the polls
closed and the votes were counted, Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. had
secured over 150,000 more votes than President Donald J. Trump in Michigan.
(Id.)
results of the 2020 General Election by November 23, 2020. Mich. Comp. Laws
§ 168.842. The State Board did so by a 3-0 vote, certifying the results “for the
Electors of President and Vice President,” among other offices. (ECF No. 36-5 at
Pg ID 2624.) That same day, Governor Gretchen Whitmer signed the Certificates
of Ascertainment for the slate of electors for Vice President Biden and Senator
Federal law provides that if election results are contested in any state, and if
the state, prior to election day, has enacted procedures to decide controversies or
contests over electors and electoral votes, and if these procedures have been
applied, and the decisions are made at least six days before the electors’ meetings,
then the decisions are considered conclusive and will apply in counting the
electoral votes. 3 U.S.C. § 5. This date (the “Safe Harbor” deadline) falls on
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December 8, 2020. Under the federal statutory timetable for presidential elections,
the Electoral College must meet on “the first Monday after the second Wednesday
challengers and the manipulation of ballots through corrupt election machines and
software, Plaintiffs filed the current lawsuit against Defendants at 11:48 p.m. on
November 25, 2020—the eve of the Thanksgiving holiday. (ECF No. 1.)
Plaintiffs are registered Michigan voters and nominees of the Republican Party to
882.) They are suing Governor Whitmer and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson in
(ECF No. 6), “Emergency Motion for Declaratory, Emergency, and Permanent
Injunctive Relief and Memorandum in Support Thereof” (ECF No. 7), and
Emergency Motion to Seal (ECF No. 8). In their First Amended Complaint,
the Elections and Electors Clauses; (Count II) violation of the Fourteenth
Amendment Equal Protection Clause; and, (Count III) denial of the Fourteenth
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Amendment Due Process Clause. (ECF No. 6.) Plaintiffs also assert one count
(ECF No. 15), Robert Davis (ECF No. 12), and the Democratic National
Committee and Michigan Democratic Party (“DNC/MDP”) (ECF No. 14). On that
date, the Court entered a briefing schedule with respect to the motions. Plaintiffs
had not yet served Defendants with their pleading or emergency motions as of
hasten Plaintiffs’ actions to bring Defendants into the case and enable the Court to
address Plaintiffs’ pending motions. Later the same day, after Plaintiffs filed
on Defendants (ECF Nos. 21), the Court entered a briefing schedule with respect to
December 2, and reply briefs by 8:00 p.m. on December 3 (ECF No. 24).
On December 2, the Court granted the motions to intervene. (ECF No. 28.)
Response and reply briefs with respect to Plaintiffs’ emergency motions were
thereafter filed. (ECF Nos. 29, 31, 32, 34, 35, 36, 37, 39, 49, 50.) Amicus curiae
Michigan State Conference NAACP subsequently moved and was granted leave to
file a brief in support of Defendants’ position. (ECF Nos. 48, 55.) Supplemental
briefs also were filed by the parties. (ECF Nos. 57, 58.)
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In light of the limited time allotted for the Court to resolve Plaintiffs’
disposed of oral argument with respect to their motion pursuant to Eastern District
awarded upon a clear showing that the plaintiff is entitled to such relief.” Winter v.
Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 555 U.S. 7, 22 (2008) (citation omitted). The plaintiff
Leary v. Daeschner, 228 F.3d 729, 739 (6th Cir. 2000). Such relief will only be
granted where “the movant carries his or her burden of proving that the
Gov’t, 305 F.3d 566, 573 (6th Cir. 2002). “Evidence that goes beyond the
1
“‘[W]here material facts are not in dispute, or where facts in dispute are not
material to the preliminary injunction sought, district courts generally need not
hold an evidentiary hearing.’” Nexus Gas Transmission, LLC v. City of Green,
Ohio, 757 Fed. Appx. 489, 496-97 (6th Cir. 2018) (quoting Certified Restoration
Dry Cleaning Network, LLC v. Tenke Corp., 511 F.3d 535, 553 (6th Cir. 2007))
(citation omitted).
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support or oppose a motion for a preliminary injunction.” 11A Mary Kay Kane,
relief: “‘(1) whether the movant has a strong likelihood of success on the merits;
(2) whether the movant would suffer irreparable injury absent the injunction; (3)
whether the injunction would cause substantial harm to others; and (4) whether the
Benson, 956 F.3d 396, 406 (6th Cir. 2020) (quoting Bays v. City of Fairborn, 668
F.3d 814, 818-19 (6th Cir. 2012)). “At the preliminary injunction stage, ‘a plaintiff
must show more than a mere possibility of success,’ but need not ‘prove his case in
full.’” Ne. Ohio Coal. for Homeless v. Husted, 696 F.3d 580, 591 (6th Cir. 2012)
(quoting Certified Restoration Dry Cleaning Network, LLC v. Tenke Corp., 511
F.3d 535, 543 (6th Cir. 2007)). Yet, “the proof required for the plaintiff to obtain a
preliminary injunction is much more stringent than the proof required to survive a
III. Discussion
claims. While the Court finds that any of these issues, alone, indicate that
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U.S. Const. amend. XI. This immunity extends to suits brought by citizens against
their own states. See, e.g., Ladd v. Marchbanks, 971 F.3d 574, 578 (6th Cir. 2020)
(citing Hans v. Louisiana, 134 U.S. 1, 18-19 (1890)). It also extends to suits
against state agencies or departments, Pennhurst State Sch. & Hosp. v. Halderman,
465 U.S. 89, 100 (1984) (citations omitted), and “suit[s] against state officials
when ‘the state is the real, substantial party in interest[,]’” id. at 101 (quoting Ford
fact a suit against the State and is barred “regardless of the nature of the relief
sought.” Pennhurst State Sch. & Hosp., 465 U.S. at 100-02 (citations omitted).
“‘The general rule is that a suit is against the sovereign if the judgment sought
would expend itself on the public treasury or domain, or interfere with the public
Government from acting, or to compel it to act.’” Id. at 101 n.11 (quoting Dugan
v. Rank, 372 U.S. 609, 620 (1963)) (internal quotation marks omitted).
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congressional abrogation; (2) waiver by the State; and (3) “a suit against a state
federal law.” See Carten v. Kent State Univ., 282 F.3d 391, 398 (6th Cir. 2002)
(citations omitted). Congress did not abrogate the States’ sovereign immunity
when it enacted 42 U.S.C. § 1983. Will v. Mich. Dep’t of State Police, 491 U.S.
58, 66 (1989). “The State of Michigan has not consented to being sued in civil
rights actions in the federal courts.” Johnson v. Unknown Dellatifa, 357 F.3d 539,
545 (6th Cir. 2004) (citing Abick v. Michigan, 803 F.2d 874, 877 (6th Cir. 1986)).
The Eleventh Amendment therefore bars Plaintiffs’ claims against the Michigan
Board of State Canvassers. See McLeod v. Kelly, 7 N.W.2d 240, 242 (Mich. 1942)
(“The board of State canvassers is a State agency …”); see also Deleeuw v. State
Bd. of Canvassers, 688 N.W.2d 847, 850 (Mich. Ct. App. 2004). Plaintiffs’ claims
are barred against Governor Whitmer and Secretary Benson unless the third
exception applies.
The third exception arises from the Supreme Court’s decision in Ex parte
Young, 209 U.S. 123 (1908). But as the Supreme Court has advised:
Idaho v. Coeur d’Alene Tribe of Idaho, 521 U.S. 261, 270 (1997). Further, “the
State Sch. & Hosp., 465 U.S. at 102. “‘In determining whether the doctrine of Ex
parte Young avoids an Eleventh Amendment bar to suit, a court need only conduct
Md., Inc. v. Pub. Serv. Comm’n, 535 U.S. 635, 645 (2002) (quoting Coeur d’Alene
Ex parte Young does not apply, however, to state law claims against state
officials, regardless of the relief sought. Pennhurst State Sch. & Hosp., 465 U.S. at
106 (“A federal court’s grant of relief against state officials on the basis of state
law, whether prospective or retroactive, does not vindicate the supreme authority
sovereignty than when a federal court instructs state officials on how to conform
their conduct to state law.”); see also In re Ohio Execution Protocol Litig., 709 F.
App’x 779, 787 (6th Cir. 2017) (“If the plaintiff sues a state official under state law
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in federal court for actions taken within the scope of his authority, sovereign
immunity bars the lawsuit regardless of whether the action seeks monetary or
The Court then turns its attention to Plaintiffs’ § 1983 claims against
Defendants. Defendants and Intervenor DNC/MDP contend that these claims are
not in fact federal claims as they are premised entirely on alleged violations of
complaint—even Counts I, II, and III, which claim to raise violations of federal
fantastical conspiracy theories that belong more appropriately in the fact-free outer
reaches of the Internet[,] … what Plaintiffs assert at bottom are violations of the
Michigan Election Code.”) Defendants also argue that even if properly stated as
federal causes of action, “it is far from clear whether Plaintiffs’ requested
31 at Pg ID 2186.)
The latter argument convinces this Court that Ex parte Young does not
apply. As set forth earlier, “‘[i]n order to fall with the Ex parte Young exception, a
claim must seek prospective relief to end a continuing violation of federal law.’”
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Russell v. Lundergan-Grimes, 784 F.3d 1037, 1047 (6th Cir. 2015) (quoting Diaz
v. Mich. Dep’t of Corr., 703 F.3d 956, 964 (6th Cir. 2013)). Unlike Russell, which
Plaintiffs cite in their reply brief, this is not a case where a plaintiff is seeking to
See id. at 1044, 1047 (plaintiff claimed that Kentucky law creating a 300-foot no-
rights). Instead, Plaintiffs are seeking to undo what has already occurred, as their
requested relief reflects.2 (See ECF No. 7 at Pg ID 1847; see also ECF No. 6 at Pg
955-56.)
Before this lawsuit was filed, the Michigan Board of State Canvassers had
already certified the election results and Governor Whitmer had transmitted the
State’s slate of electors to the United States Archivist. (ECF Nos. 31-4, 31-5.)
848 (N.D. Ohio Feb. 7, 2006); see also King Lincoln Bronzeville Neighborhood
Ass’n v. Husted, No. 2:06-cv-00745, 2012 WL 395030, at *4-5 (S.D. Ohio Feb. 7,
2012); cf. League of Women Voters of Ohio v. Brunner, 548 F.3d 463, 475 (6th Cir.
2008) (finding that the plaintiff’s claims fell within the Ex parte Young doctrine
2
To the extent Plaintiffs ask the Court to certify the results in favor of President
Donald J. Trump, such relief is beyond its powers.
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where it alleged that the problems that plagued the election “are chronic and will
For these reasons, the Court concludes that the Eleventh Amendment bars
B. Mootness
This case represents well the phrase: “this ship has sailed.” The time has
passed to provide most of the relief Plaintiffs request in their Amended Complaint;
the remaining relief is beyond the power of any court. For those reasons, this
matter is moot.
“‘Under Article III of the Constitution, federal courts may adjudicate only
actual, ongoing cases or controversies.’” Kentucky v. U.S. ex rel. Hagel, 759 F.3d
588, 595 (6th Cir. 2014) (quoting Lewis v. Cont’l Bank Corp., 494 U.S. 472, 477
(1990)). A case may become moot “when the issues presented are no longer live
or the parties lack a legally cognizable interest in the outcome.” U.S. Parole
Comm’n v. Geraghty, 445 U.S. 388, 396, 410 (1980) (internal quotation marks and
citation omitted). Stated differently, a case is moot where the court lacks “the
ability to give meaningful relief[.]” Sullivan v. Benningfield, 920 F.3d 401, 410
(6th Cir. 2019). This lawsuit was moot well before it was filed on November 25.
In their prayer for relief, Plaintiffs ask the Court to: (a) order Defendants to
decertify the results of the election; (b) enjoin Secretary Benson and Governor
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Whitmer from transmitting the certified election results to the Electoral College;
(c) order Defendants “to transmit certified election results that state that President
Donald Trump is the winner of the election”; (d) impound all voting machines and
software in Michigan for expert inspection; (e) order that no votes received or
tabulated by machines not certified as required by federal and state law be counted;
and, (f) enter a declaratory judgment that mail-in and absentee ballot fraud must be
ID 955-56, ¶ 233.) What relief the Court could grant Plaintiffs is no longer
available.
Before this lawsuit was filed, all 83 counties in Michigan had finished
canvassing their results for all elections and reported their results for state office
races to the Secretary of State and the Michigan Board of State Canvassers in
accordance with Michigan law. See Mich. Comp. Laws § 168.843. The State
Board had certified the results of the 2020 General Election and Governor
Whitmer had submitted the slate of Presidential Electors to the Archivists. (ECF
3
Plaintiffs also seek an order requiring the impoundment of all voting machines
and software in Michigan for expert inspection and the production of security
camera footage from the TCF Center for November 3 and 4. (ECF No. 6 at Pg ID
956, ¶ 233.) This requested relief is not meaningful, however, where the remaining
requests are no longer available. In other words, the evidence Plaintiffs seek to
gather by inspecting voting machines and software and security camera footage
only would be useful if an avenue remained open for them to challenge the election
results.
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No. 31-4 at Pg ID 2257-58; ECF No. 31-5 at Pg ID 2260-63.) The time for
machines had expired. See Mich. Comp. Laws §§ 168.831, 168.832 (petitions for
later than 10 days after the date of the election”). And so had the time for
requesting a recount for the office of President. See Mich. Comp. Laws § 168.879.
The Michigan Election Code sets forth detailed procedures for challenging
an election, including deadlines for doing so. Plaintiffs did not avail themselves of
the remedies established by the Michigan legislature. The deadline for them to do
so has passed. Any avenue for this Court to provide meaningful relief has been
the many other post-election lawsuits brought to specifically overturn the results of
And as one Justice of the Supreme Court of Pennsylvania advised in another 2020
post-election lawsuit: “there is no basis in law by which the courts may grant
Petitioners’ request to ignore the results of an election and recommit the choice to
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the General Assembly to substitute its preferred slate of electors for the one chosen
2020, 2020 WL 7018314, at *3 (Pa. Nov. 28, 2020) (Wecht, J., concurring); see
Ga. Nov. 20, 2020) (concluding that “interfer[ing] with the result of an election
that has already concluded would be unprecedented and harm the public in
countless ways”).
moot.
C. Laches
because they waited too long to knock on the Court’s door. (ECF No. 31 at Pg ID
The doctrine of laches is rooted in the principle that “equity aids the vigilant,
not those who slumber on their rights.” Lucking v. Schram, 117 F.2d 160, 162 (6th
Cir. 1941); see also United States v. Clintwood Elkhorn Min. Co., 553 U.S. 1, 9
(2008) (“A constitutional claim can become time-barred just as any other claim
can.”). An action may be barred by the doctrine of laches if: (1) the plaintiff
delayed unreasonably in asserting his rights and (2) the defendant is prejudiced by
this delay. Brown-Graves Co. v. Central States, Se. and Sw. Areas Pension Fund,
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206 F.3d 680, 684 (6th Cir. 2000); Ottawa Tribe of Oklahoma v. Logan, 577 F.3d
634, 639 n.6 (6th Cir. 2009) (“Laches arises from an extended failure to exercise a
right to the detriment of another party.”). Courts apply laches in election cases.
Detroit Unity Fund v. Whitmer, 819 F. App’x 421, 422 (6th Cir. 2020) (holding
that the district court did not err in finding plaintiff’s claims regarding deadline for
local ballot initiatives “barred by laches, considering the unreasonable delay on the
Lamone, 138 S. Ct. 1942, 1944 (2018) (“[A] party requesting a preliminary
injunction must generally show reasonable diligence. That is as true in election law
cases as elsewhere.”).
filed the instant action on November 25—more than 21 days after the 2020
1. (ECF Nos. 1, 21.) If Plaintiffs had legitimate claims regarding whether the
treatment of election challengers complied with state law, they could have brought
their claims well in advance of or on Election Day—but they did not. Michigan’s
17 and, on November 23, both the Michigan Board of State Canvassers and
Governor Whitmer certified the election results. Mich. Comp. Laws §§ 168.822,
17
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ballots were processed and tabulated on or after Election Day, they could have
brought the instant action on Election Day or during the weeks of canvassing that
followed—yet they did not. Plaintiffs base the claims related to election machines
and software on “expert and fact witness” reports discussing “glitches” and other
alleged vulnerabilities that occurred as far back as 2010. (See e.g., ECF No. 6 at
concerns about the election machines and software, they could have filed this
lawsuit well before the 2020 General Election—yet they sat back and did nothing.
file this suit. Plaintiffs concede that they “would have preferred to file sooner, but
[] needed some time to gather statements from dozens of fact witnesses, retain and
engage expert witnesses, and gather other data supporting their Complaint.” (ECF
votes was apparent shortly after the polls closed on November 3, 2020.” (ECF No.
explanation, there can be no true justification. See Crookston v. Johnson, 841 F.3d
396, 398 (6th Cir. 2016) (identifying the “first and most essential” reason to issue a
explanation for waiting so long to file this action”). Defendants satisfy the first
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Second, Plaintiffs’ delay prejudices Defendants. See Kay v. Austin, 621 F.2d
809, 813 (6th Cir. 1980) (“As time passes, the state’s interest in proceeding with
decisions are made, and the candidate’s claim to be a serious candidate who has
received a serious injury becomes less credible by his having slept on his rights.”)
This is especially so considering that Plaintiffs’ claims for relief are not merely
last-minute—they are after the fact. While Plaintiffs delayed, the ballots were cast;
the votes were counted; and the results were certified. The rationale for
interposing the doctrine of laches is now at its peak. See McDonald v. Cnty. of San
Diego, 124 F. App’x 588 (9th Cir. 2005) (citing Soules v. Kauaians for Nukolii
Campaign Comm., 849 F.2d 1176, 1180 (9th Cir. 1988)); Soules, 849 F.2d at 1180
(quoting Hendon v. N.C. State Bd. Of Elections, 710 F.2d 177, 182 (4th Cir. 1983))
would, “permit, if not encourage, parties who could raise a claim to lay by and
gamble upon receiving a favorable decision of the electorate and then, upon losing,
Plaintiffs could have lodged their constitutional challenges much sooner than
they did, and certainly not three weeks after Election Day and one week after
certification of almost three million votes. The Court concludes that Plaintiffs’
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D. Abstention
November 25, 2020, there already were multiple lawsuits pending in Michigan
state courts raising the same or similar claims alleged in Plaintiffs’ Amended
Complaint. (See, e.g., ECF No. 31 at Pg ID 2193-98 (summarizing five state court
General Election).) Defendants and the City of Detroit urge the Court to abstain
Colorado River Water Conservation District v. United States, 424 U.S. 800 (1976).
The City of Detroit relies on the abstention doctrines outlined in Colorado River,
as well as those set forth in Railroad Commission of Texas v. Pullman Co., 312
U.S. 496, 500-01 (1941), and Burford v. Sun Oil Co., 319 U.S. 315 (1943). The
election disputes in light of the autonomy provided to state courts to initially settle
such disputes.
court proceedings. Colorado River, 424 U.S. at 813, 817. The exception is found
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Ins. Co., 517 U.S. 706, 716 (1996) (quoting Colorado River, 424 U.S. at 817). The
Sixth Circuit has identified two prerequisites for abstention under this doctrine.
Romine v. Compuserve Corp., 160 F.3d 337, 339-40 (6th Cir. 1998).
First, the court must determine that the concurrent state and federal actions
are parallel. Id. at 339. Second, the court must consider the factors outlined by the
Romine, 160 F.3d at 340-41 (internal citations omitted). “These factors, however,
of the important factors as they apply in a give[n] case’ depending on the particular
facts at hand.” Id. (quoting Moses H. Cone Mem’l Hosp. v. Mercury Constr.
(see ECF No. 31 at Pg ID 2193-97; see also ECF Nos. 31-7, 31-9, 31-11, 31-12,
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31-14), the allegations and claims in the state court proceedings and the pending
matter are, at the very least, substantially similar, Romine, 160 F.3d at 340 (“Exact
the factors set forth by the Supreme Court counsel in favor of deferring to the
The first and second factor weigh against abstention. Id. (indicating that the
more or less convenient). While the Supreme Court has stated that “‘the presence
(quoting Moses H. Cone, 460 U.S. at 26), this “‘factor has less significance where
concurrent with that of the state courts.’”4 Id. (quoting Moses H. Cone, 460 U.S. at
25). Moreover, the Michigan Election Code seems to dominate even Plaintiffs’
4
State courts have concurrent jurisdiction over § 1983 actions. Felder v. Casey,
487 U.S. 131, 139 (1988).
22
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results.” Id. at 341. The parallel proceedings are premised on similar factual
allegations and many of the same federal and state claims. The state court
proceedings were filed well before the present matter and at least three of those
matters are far more advanced than this case. Lastly, as Congress conferred
487 U.S. 131, 139 (1988), “[t]here can be no legitimate contention that the
[Michigan] state courts are incapable of safeguarding [the rights protected under
E. Standing
Under Article III of the United States Constitution, federal courts can
resolve only “cases” and “controversies.” U.S. Const. art. III § 2. The case-or-
suit. See Spokeo, Inc. v. Robins, 136 S. Ct. 1540, 1547 (2016), as revised (May 24,
2016). Each plaintiff must demonstrate standing for each claim he seeks to press.5
5
Plaintiffs assert a due process claim in their Amended Complaint and twice state
in their motion for injunctive relief that Defendants violated their due process
rights. (See ECF No. 7 at Pg ID 1840, 1844.) Plaintiffs do not pair either
statement with anything the Court could construe as a developed argument. (Id.)
The Court finds it unnecessary, therefore, to further discuss the due process claim.
23
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DaimlerChrysler Corp. v. Cuno, 547 U.S. 332, 352 (2006) (citation omitted) (“[A]
plaintiff must demonstrate standing separately for each form of relief sought.”).
To establish standing, a plaintiff must show that: (1) he has suffered an injury in
fact that is “concrete and particularized” and “actual or imminent”; (2) the injury is
favorable decision.” Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 560-62 (1992)
other things, “destroy,” “discard,” and “switch” votes for President Trump, thereby
votes. (ECF No. 49 at Pg ID 3079.) Plaintiffs contend that “the vote dilution
resulting from this systemic and illegal conduct did not affect all Michigan voters
equally; it had the intent and effect of inflating the number of votes for Democratic
candidates and reducing the number of votes for President Trump and Republican
McPherson v. Kelsey, 125 F.3d 989, 995 (6th Cir. 1997) (“Issues adverted to in a
perfunctory manner, unaccompanied by some effort at developed argumentation,
are deemed waived.”).
24
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injury-in-fact and causation under this theory,6 their constitutional claim cannot
stand because Plaintiffs fall flat when attempting to clear the hurdle of
redressability.
redressed by a favorable decision from this Court. Plaintiffs ask this Court to de-
certify the results of the 2020 General Election in Michigan. But an order de-
certifying the votes of approximately 2.8 million people would not reverse the
plaintiff’s remedy must be tailored to redress the plaintiff’s particular injury.” Gill,
138 S. Ct. at 1934 (citing Cuno, 547 U.S. at 353); Cuno, 547 U.S. at 353 (“The
remedy must of course be limited to the inadequacy that produced the injury in fact
that the plaintiff has established.” (quoting Lewis v. Casey, 518 U.S. 343, 357
(1996)). Plaintiffs’ alleged injury does not entitle them to seek their requested
remedy because the harm of having one’s vote invalidated or diluted is not
have failed to show that their injury can be redressed by the relief they seek and
6
To be clear, the Court does not find that Plaintiffs satisfy the first two elements of
the standing inquiry.
25
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Clause states in part: “The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for
thereof[.]” U.S. Const. art. I, § 4, cl. 1. “The Elections Clause effectively gives
elections, Foster v. Love, 522 U.S. 67, 69, 118 S. Ct. 464, 139 L.Ed.2d 369 (1997),
regulations, Colegrove v. Green, 328 U.S. 549, 554, 66 S. Ct. 1198, 90 L.Ed. 1432
Constitution states: “Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature
thereof may direct, a Number of Electors ….” U.S. Const. art. II, § 1, cl. 2.
Electors on behalf of the State of Michigan, they have standing to allege violations
of the Elections Clause and Electors Clause because “a vote for President Trump
and … illegal conduct aimed at harming candidates for President similarly injures
78.)
26
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But where, as here, the only injury Plaintiffs have alleged is that the
Elections Clause has not been followed, the United States Supreme Court has made
countenance.”7 Lance v. Coffman, 549 U.S. 437, 442 (2007). Because Plaintiffs
in-fact and thus standing to bring their Elections Clause and Electors Clause
claims. Id.; see also Johnson v. Bredesen, 356 F. App’x 781, 784 (6th Cir. 2009)
(citing Lance, 549 U.S. at 441-42) (affirming district court’s conclusion that
citizens did not allege injury-in-fact to support standing for claim that the state of
7
Although separate constitutional provisions, the Electors Clause and Elections
Clause share “considerable similarity,” Ariz. State Leg. v. Ariz. Indep. Redistricting
Comm’n, 576 U.S. 787, 839, (2015) (Roberts, C.J., dissenting), and Plaintiffs do
not at all distinguish the two clauses in their motion for injunctive relief or reply
brief (ECF No. 7; ECF No. 49 at Pg ID 3076-78). See also Bognet v. Sec’y
Commonwealth of Pa., No. 20-3214, 2020 WL 6686120, at *7 (3d Cir. Nov. 13,
2020) (applying same test for standing under both Elections Clause and Electors
Clause); Wood, 2020 WL 6817513, at *1 (same); Foster, 522 U.S. at 69
(characterizing Electors Clause as Elections Clauses’ “counterpart for the
Executive Branch”); U.S. Term Limits, Inc. v. Thornton, 514 U.S. 779, 804-05
(1995) (noting that state’s “duty” under Elections Clause “parallels the duty”
described by Electors Clause).
27
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“each State.” U.S. Const. art. I, § 4, cl. 1. The Supreme Court interprets the words
“the Legislature,” as used in that clause, to mean the lawmaking bodies of a state.
Ariz. State Legislature, 135 S.Ct. at 2673. The Elections Clause, therefore, grants
rights to state legislatures and to other entities to which a State may delegate
lawmaking authority. See id. at 2668. Plaintiffs’ Elections Clause claims thus
of Pa., -- F.3d. --, 2020 WL 6686120, *7 (3d Cir. Nov. 13, 2020). Plaintiffs here
are six presidential elector nominees; they are not a part of Michigan’s lawmaking
Carson v. Simon, 78 F.3d 1051 (8th Cir. 2020), a decision finding that electors had
standing to bring challenges under the Electors Clause. (ECF No. 7 at Pg ID 1839
(citing Carson, 978 F.3d at 1057).) In that case, which was based on the specific
content and contours of Minnesota state law, the Eighth Circuit Court of Appeals
concluded that because “the plain text of Minnesota law treats prospective electors
Plaintiffs contend that the Michigan Election Code and relevant Minnesota
law are similar. (See ECF No. 49 at Pg ID 3076-78.) Even if the Court were to
8
In addition, at least one Circuit Court, the Third Circuit Court of Appeals, has
distinguished Carson’s holding, noting:
29
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agree, it finds that Plaintiffs lack standing to sue under the Elections and Electors
Clauses.
The Court may deny Plaintiffs’ motion for injunctive relief for the reasons
discussed above. Nevertheless, the Court will proceed to analyze the merits of
their claims.
Plaintiffs allege that Defendants violated the Elections Clause and Electors
Clause by deviating from the requirements of the Michigan Election Code. (See,
Defendants did not follow the Michigan Election Code, Plaintiffs do not explain
violations of the clauses. In other words, it appears that Plaintiffs’ claims are in
conclusion. In Cook v. Gralike, the Supreme Court struck down a Missouri law
that required election officials to print warnings on the ballot next to the name of
any congressional candidate who refused to support term limits after concluding
30
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the Elections Clause. 531 U.S. 510, 525-26 (2001) (quoting U.S. Const. art. I, § 4,
concluding that “the Legislature,” as used in the Elections Clause, includes any
official body with authority to make laws for the state. 576 U.S. 787, 824 (2015).
In each of these cases, federal courts measured enacted state election laws against
the federal mandates established in the clauses—they did not measure violations of
By asking the Court to find that they have made out claims under the clauses
due to alleged violations of the Michigan Election Code, Plaintiffs ask the Court to
find that any alleged deviation from state election law amounts to a modification of
state election law and opens the door to federal review. Plaintiffs cite to no case—
Most election laws will “impose some burden upon individual voters.”
Burdick v. Takushi, 504 U.S. 428, 433 (1992). But “[o]ur Constitution leaves no
room for classification of people in a way that unnecessarily abridges this right [to
vote].” Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533, 559 (1964) (quoting Wesberry v. Sanders,
376 U.S. 1, 17-18 (1964)). Voting rights can be impermissibly burdened “by a
31
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wholly prohibiting the free exercise of the franchise.” Id. (quoting Reynolds, 377
U.S. at 555).
that Defendants engaged in “several schemes” to, among other things, “destroy,”
Republican votes” and “diluting” the influence of their individual votes. (ECF No.
49 at Pg ID 3079.)
by any allegation that Defendants’ alleged schemes caused votes for President
Trump to be changed to votes for Vice President Biden. For example, the closest
Plaintiffs get to alleging that physical ballots were altered in such a way is the
these workers were changing votes that had been cast for Donald Trump and other
9
Plaintiffs allege in several portions of the Amended Complaint that election
officials improperly tallied, counted, or marked ballots. But some of these
allegations equivocate with words such as “believe” and “may” and none of these
allegations identify which presidential candidate the ballots were allegedly altered
to favor. (See, e.g., ECF No. 6 at Pg ID 902, ¶ 91 (citing Aff. Articia Bomer, ECF
No. 6-3 at Pg ID 1008-10 (“I believe some of these ballots may not have been
properly counted.” (emphasis added))); Pg ID 902-03, ¶ 92 (citing Tyson Aff. ¶ 17)
(“At least one challenger observed poll workers adding marks to a ballot where
there was no mark for any candidate.”).
32
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Bomer, ECF No. 6-3 at Pg ID 1008-1010).) But of course, “[a] belief is not
evidence” and falls far short of what is required to obtain any relief, much less the
1997 WL 413594, at *1 (7th Cir. 1997); see Brown v. City of Franklin, 430 F.
App’x 382, 387 (6th Cir. 2011) (“Brown just submits his belief that Fox’s
unsubstantiated belief is not evidence of pretext.”); Booker v. City of St. Louis, 309
F.3d 464, 467 (8th Cir. 2002) (“Booker’s “belief” that he was singled out for
testing is not evidence that he was.”).10 The closest Plaintiffs get to alleging that
election machines and software changed votes for President Trump to Vice
10
As stated by the Circuit Court for the District of Columbia Circuit:
Magruder v. Schley, 18 App. D.C. 288, 292, 1901 WL 19131, at *2 (D.C. Cir.
1901).
33
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speculation that such alterations were possible. (See e.g., ECF No. 6 at ¶¶ 7-11,
17, 125, 129, 138-43, 147-48, 155-58, 160-63, 167, 171.) And Plaintiffs do not at
all explain how the question of whether the treatment of election challengers
complied with state law bears on the validity of votes, or otherwise establishes an
With nothing but speculation and conjecture that votes for President Trump
were destroyed, discarded or switched to votes for Vice President Biden, Plaintiffs’
equal protection claim fails.11 See Wood, 2020 WL 7094866 (quoting Bognet,
vote is counted improperly, even if the error might have a ‘mathematical impact on
the final tally and thus on the proportional effect of every vote.’”).
11
“[T]he Voter Plaintiffs cannot analogize their Equal Protection claim to
gerrymandering cases in which votes were weighted differently. Instead, Plaintiffs
advance an Equal Protection Clause argument based solely on state officials’
alleged violation of state law that does not cause unequal treatment. And if
dilution of lawfully cast ballots by the ‘unlawful’ counting of invalidly cast ballots
were a true equal-protection problem, then it would transform every violation of
state election law (and, actually, every violation of every law) into a potential
federal equal-protection claim requiring scrutiny of the government’s ‘interest’ in
failing to do more to stop the illegal activity. That is not how the Equal Protection
Clause works.” Bognet, 2020 WL 6686120, at *11.
34
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is usually fatal[,]” Gonzales v. Nat’l Bd. of Med. Examiners, 225 F.3d 620, 625
(6th Cir. 2000) (citing Mich. State AFL-CIO v. Miller, 103 F.3d 1240, 1249 (6th
Cir. 1997), the Court will not discuss the remaining preliminary injunction factors
extensively.
As discussed, Plaintiffs fail to show that a favorable decision from the Court
would redress their alleged injury. Moreover, granting Plaintiffs’ injunctive relief
would greatly harm the public interest. As Defendants aptly describe, Plaintiffs’
requested injunction would “upend the statutory process for election certification
who [are] disappointed with the official results.” (ECF No. 31 at Pg ID 2227.)
IV. Conclusion
For these reasons, the Court finds that Plaintiffs are far from likely to
succeed in this matter. In fact, this lawsuit seems to be less about achieving the
relief Plaintiffs seek—as much of that relief is beyond the power of this Court—
and more about the impact of their allegations on People’s faith in the democratic
35
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process and their trust in our government. Plaintiffs ask this Court to ignore the
orderly statutory scheme established to challenge elections and to ignore the will of
millions of voters. This, the Court cannot, and will not, do.
IT IS SO ORDERED.
s/ Linda V. Parker
LINDA V. PARKER
U.S. DISTRICT JUDGE
36
980
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1 ALLISTER ADEL
MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
2
Thomas P. Liddy (019384)
3 Emily Craiger (021728)
Joseph I. Vigil (018677)
4 Joseph J. Branco (031474)
Joseph E. LaRue (031348)
5 Deputy County Attorneys
[email protected]
6 [email protected]
[email protected]
7 [email protected]
8
[email protected]
20 Plaintiffs,
21 v.
22 Doug Ducey, in his official capacity as
Governor of the State of Arizona, and
23 Katie Hobbs, in her official capacity as the
Arizona Secretary of State
24
Defendants.
25
26
27 Pursuant to Rule 7, Fed. R. Civ. P., the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors and
28 Maricopa County Recorder Adrian Fontes (“Maricopa County Intervenors”) respectfully
981
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 58 Filed 12/07/20 Page 2 of 3
1 request that this Court take judicial notice of the following decisions issued by the
2 Maricopa County Superior Court.
3
• Exhibit A, Aguilera v. Fontes, CV2020-014562 (Case Dismissed,
4
November 29, 2020).
5
• Exhibit B, Ward v. Jackson, CV2020-015285 (Minute Entry Ruling,
6
December 4, 2020).
7
Each of these decisions involved a challenge to the November 3, 2020, General
8
Election results in Maricopa County. Their findings of fact and conclusions of law discuss
9
the County’s processes and procedures for conducting the election.
10
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
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1
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2
I hereby certify that on December 3rd, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
3 foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
4
5
/s/ V. Sisneros
S:\CIVIL\CIV\Matters\EC\2020\Bowyer v. Ducey EC20-0063\Pleadings\Caption.docx
6
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
983
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EXHIBIT A
984
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985
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986
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987
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988
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989
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990
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991
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 58-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 9 of 22
992
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 58-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 10 of 22
993
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 58-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 11 of 22
994
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 58-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 12 of 22
995
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 58-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 13 of 22
EXHIBIT B
996
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Clerk of the Superior Court
*** Filed ***
12/4/2020 4:05 p.m.
SUPERIOR COURT OF ARIZONA
MARICOPA COUNTY
CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
v.
MINUTE ENTRY
9:15 a.m. This is the time set for a continued Evidentiary Hearing on Plaintiff’s
anticipated election contest petition via GoToMeeting.
997
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
• Intervenors Adrian Fontes (in his official capacity as Maricopa County Recorder) and
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors (collectively, “County Intervenors”) and are
represented by counsel, Thomas Liddy, Emily Craiger, and Joseph La Rue.
• Intervenor Katie Hobbs (in her official capacity as the Arizona Secretary of State) is
represented by counsel, Rooplai Desai and Kristen Yost. State Election Director Sambo
“Bo” Dul is also present.
Counsel for Biden Elector Defendants addresses the court as to the court’s ruling denying
any Rule 50 motion practice after the conclusion of Plaintiff’s case. Discussion is held thereon
and counsel for Biden Elector Defendants states his position on the record. The court affirms its
prior ruling denying the request for any Rule 50 motion practice.
998
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
LET THE RECORD REFLECT that the court notes its prior acquaintance with County
Intervenors’ witness, Reynaldo Valenzuela, due to election matters while serving previously as
the civil presiding judge.
10:41 a.m. Court reconvenes with the parties and respective counsel present.
Plaintiff’s Rebuttal:
999
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
Plaintiff rests.
11:36 a.m. Court reconvenes with the parties and respective counsel present.
IT IS ORDERED taking this matter under advisement with a written ruling to be issued
as a “LATER:” to this minute entry.
Pursuant to the orders entered, and there being no further need to retain the exhibits not
offered in evidence in the custody of the Clerk of Court,
LET THE RECORD FURTHER REFLECT counsel indicate on the record that the
courtroom clerk may dispose of Plaintiff’s exhibits 2 through 13 and 15; County Intervenors’
exhibit 21; and Intervenor Secretary of State’s exhibits 33 and 34 not offered or received in
evidence.
LATER:
Based on the evidence presented, the Court makes the following findings, conclusions,
and orders. For reasons that follow, the relief requested in the Petition is denied.
1. Background.
On November 30, 2020, Governor Ducey certified the results of Arizona’s 2020 general
election, and the Biden/Harris ticket was declared the winner of Arizona’s 11 electoral votes.
The same day, Plaintiff filed this election challenge under A.R.S. § 16-672. In order to permit
this matter to be heard and appealed (if necessary) to the Arizona Supreme Court before the
Electoral College meets on December 14, 2020, the Court held an accelerated evidentiary
hearing on December 3 and 4, 2020.
1000
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
A.R.S. § 16-672 specifies five grounds on which an election may be contested, three of
which are alleged here:
A. Any elector of the state may contest the election of any person
declared elected to a state office, or declared nominated to a state
office at a primary election, or the declared result of an initiated or
referred measure, or a proposal to amend the Constitution of
Arizona, or other question or proposal submitted to vote of the
people, upon any of the following grounds:
...
A.R.S. § 16-672(A)(1). Arizona law provides two remedies for a successful election contest. One
is setting aside the election. A.R.S. § 16-676(B). The other is to declare the other candidate the
winner if “it appears that a person other than the contestee has the highest number of legal
votes.” A.R.S. § 16-676(C).
The Plaintiff in an election contest has a high burden of proof and the actions of election
officials are presumed to be free from fraud and misconduct. See Hunt v. Campbell, 19 Ariz.
254, 268, 169 P. 596, 602 (1917) (“the returns of the election officers are prima facie correct and
free from the imputation of fraud”); Moore v. City of Page, 148 Ariz. 151, 156, 713 P.2d 813,
818 (App. 1986) (“One who contests an election has the burden of proving that if illegal votes
were cast the illegal votes were sufficient to change the outcome of the election.”). A plaintiff
alleging misconduct must prove that the misconduct rose to the level of fraud, or that the result
would have been different had proper procedures been used. Moore, 148 Ariz. at 159, 713 P.2d
Docket Code 901 Form V000A Page 5
1001
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
at 821. “[H]onest mistakes or mere omissions on the part of the election officers, or irregularities
in directory matters, even though gross, if not fraudulent, will not void an election, unless they
affect the result, or at least render it uncertain.” Findley v. Sorenson, 35 Ariz. 265, 269, 276 P.
843, 844 (1929).
Second, Plaintiff alleges that election officials overcounted mail-in ballots by not being
sufficiently skeptical in their comparison of signatures on the mail-in envelope/affidavits with
signatures on file. Under Arizona law, voters who vote by mail submit their ballot inside an
envelope that is also an affidavit signed by the voter. Election officials review all mail-in
envelope/affidavits to compare the signature on them with the signature in voter registration
records. If the official is “satisfied that the signatures correspond,” the unopened envelope is held
until the time for counting votes. If not, officials attempt to contact the voter to validate the
ballot. A.R.S. § 16-550(A).
1002
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safeguards include the fact that mail-in ballots are mailed to the voter’s address as listed in voter
registration records, and that voters can put their phone number on the envelope/affidavit, which
allows election officials to compare that number to the phone number on file from voter
registration records or prior ballots.
The Court ordered that counsel and their forensic document examiners could review 100
randomly selected envelope/affidavits to do a signature comparison. These were
envelope/affidavits as to which election officials had found a signature match, so the ballots were
long ago removed and tabulated. Because voter names are on the envelope/affidavits, the Court
ordered them sealed. But because the ballots were separated from the envelope/affidavits, there
is no way to know how any particular voter voted. The secrecy of their votes was preserved.
Two forensic document examiners testified, one for Plaintiff and one for Defendants. The
process forensic document examiners use to testify in court for purposes of criminal guilt or civil
liability is much different from the review Arizona election law requires. A document examiner
might take hours on a single signature to be able to provide a professional opinion to the required
degree of certainty.
Defendants’ expert testified that 11 of the 100 envelopes were inconclusive, mostly
because there were insufficient specimens to which to compare them. He too found no sign of
forgery or simulation, and found no basis for rejecting any of the signatures.
These ballots were admitted at trial and the Court heard testimony about them and
reviewed them. None of them shows an abuse of discretion on the part of the reviewer. Every
one of them listed a phone number that matched a phone number already on file, either through
voter registration records or from a prior ballot. The evidence does not show that these affidavits
are fraudulent, or that someone other than the voter signed them. There is no evidence that the
manner in which signatures were reviewed was designed to benefit one candidate or another, or
that there was any misconduct, impropriety, or violation of Arizona law with respect to the
review of mail-in ballots.
1003
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CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
Third, Plaintiff alleges errors in the duplication of ballots. Arizona law requires election
officials to duplicate a ballot under a number of circumstances. One is where the voter is
overseas and submits a ballot under UOCAVA, the Uniformed And Overseas Citizens Absentee
Voting Act. Another is where the ballot is damaged or otherwise cannot be machine-tabulated.
When a duplicate is necessary, a bipartisan board creates a duplicate ballot based on the original.
A.R.S. § 16-621(A). In 2020, Maricopa County had 27,869 duplicate ballots out of more than 2
million total ballots. The vast majority of these were either mail-in ballots or UOCAVA ballots.
999 of them came from polling places.
The Court ordered that counsel could review 100 duplicate ballots. Maricopa County
voluntarily made another 1,526 duplicate ballots available for review. These ballots do not
identify the voter so, again, there is no way to know how any individual voter voted. Of the
1,626 ballots reviewed, 9 had an error in the duplication of the vote for president.
The duplication process prescribed by the Legislature necessarily requires manual action
and human judgment, which entail a risk of human error. Despite that, the duplication process for
the presidential election was 99.45% accurate. And there is no evidence that the inaccuracies
were intentional or part of a fraudulent scheme. They were mistakes. And given both the small
number of duplicate ballots and the low error rate, the evidence does not show any impact on the
outcome.
The Court finds no misconduct, no fraud, and no effect on the outcome of the election.
A.R.S. § 16-672(A)(2) permits an election contest “[o]n account of illegal votes.” Based
on the facts found above, the evidence did not prove illegal votes, much less enough to affect the
outcome of the election. As a matter of law, mistakes in the duplication of ballots that do not
affect the outcome of the election do not satisfy the burden of proof under Section 16-672(A)(2).
1004
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 58-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 22 of 22
CV 2020-015285 12/04/2020
A.R.S. § 16-672(A)(5) permits an election contest on the ground that, “by reason of
erroneous count of votes” the candidate certified as the winner “did not in fact receive the
highest number of votes.” Plaintiff has not proven that the Biden/Harris ticket did not receive the
highest number of votes.
6. Orders.
IT IS FURTHER ORDERED denying the request to continue the hearing and permit
additional inspection of ballots.
IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that any request for costs and/or attorneys’ fees be filed,
and a form of final judgment be lodged, no later than January 5, 2020. If none of these is filed or
lodged, the Court will issue a minute entry with Rule 54(c) language dismissing all remaining
claims.
The Court finds no just reason for delay and enters this partial final judgment under Ariz.
R. Civ. P. 54(b). The Court makes this finding for purposes of permitting an immediate appeal to
the Arizona Supreme Court.
/ s / RANDALL H. WARNER
1005
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61 Filed 12/07/20 Page 1 of 9
1006
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61 Filed 12/07/20 Page 2 of 9
16 The ADP objects to each of the Plaintiffs’ lay witnesses for the reasons set forth
17 below. The ADP objects to Plaintiffs calling any witness not disclosed as part of
18 Plaintiffs’ disclosure of “[f]act witnesses” (Exhibit 1 at 4–6). Further, to the extent that a
19 witness has not been identified by name (e.g., witnesses 10, 12, and 16), the ADP objects
20 to the Plaintiffs calling the witness at trial because they have not been timely disclosed. 2
21 No. Witness Name Objections
1 Anna Orth FRE 401, FRE 403, FRE 701
22
2 Janese “Jan” Bryant FRE 401, FRE 403, FRE 701
23 3 Greg Wodynski FRE 401, FRE 403, FRE 701
24 1
The ADP does not construe Plaintiffs’ expert disclosure (Exhibit 1 at 2–3), which
25 lists several documents, as purporting to disclose any of those documents as exhibits.
Among other things, such evidence would be inadmissible hearsay and the ADP would
26 object to their admission. See Fed. R. Evid. (“FRE”) 801.
2
The ADP does not construe Plaintiffs’ disclosure of “[f]act witnesses” (Exhibit 1
27
at 4–6), which lists several documents, as purporting to disclose any of those documents
28 as exhibits. Among other things, such evidence would be inadmissible hearsay and the
ADP would object to the admission of such documents.
1007
2
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 9
13 Plaintiffs’ Exhibits
14 The ADP objects to the Plaintiffs’ documentary evidence for the reasons set forth
15 below. Any exhibit not disclosed by Plaintiffs as part of their “Exhibit List for Witness
16 Disclosure” (Exhibit 2) should be excluded. See Doc. 35. 3
17 Plfs. Stipulate Stipulate
Ex. Auth. Admiss.
18
No. Description Y/N Y/N Objections
19 Redacted - N N FRE 401, FRE 403, FRE 802
Venezuela
20 Smartmatic
21 Affidavit
1 11.116.2020
22 Absentee N N FRE 401, FRE 403, FRE 802,
Survey FRE 702, FRE 703
23
Analysis -
24 2 Briggs Rpt.
25
26
3
Plaintiffs’ exhibit disclosures are confusing, to say the least, apparently consisting
27
of multiple attachments to emails that include CVs, declarations, and other inadmissible
28 information. For these reasons, the ADP reserves the right to object to exhibits that
plaintiffs have failed to identify clearly or that are identified after the disclosure deadline.
1008
3
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61 Filed 12/07/20 Page 4 of 9
28
1009
4
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61 Filed 12/07/20 Page 5 of 9
28
1010
5
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61 Filed 12/07/20 Page 6 of 9
28
1011
6
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61 Filed 12/07/20 Page 7 of 9
1012
7
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61 Filed 12/07/20 Page 8 of 9
1
2 Dated: December 7, 2020 /s/ Alexis E. Danneman
Alexis E. Danneman (Bar No. 030478)
3 Sarah R. Gonski (Bar No. 032567)
PERKINS COIE LLP
4 2901 North Central Avenue, Suite 2000
Phoenix, Arizona 85012-2788
5 Telephone: (602) 351-8000
Facsimile: (602) 648-7000
6 [email protected]
[email protected]
7
Marc E. Elias*
8 Bruce V. Spiva*
John Devaney*
9 John M. Geise**
PERKINS COIE LLP
10 700 Thirteenth Street NW, Suite 600
11 Washington, D.C. 20005-3960
Telephone: (202) 654-6200
12 Facsimile: (202) 654-6211
13 [email protected]
[email protected]
14 [email protected]
[email protected]
15
16 Laura Hill*
PERKINS COIE LLP
17 1201 Third Avenue, Suite 4900
Seattle, WA 98101-3099
18
Telephone: (206) 359-3349
19 Facsimile: (206) 359-4349
[email protected]
20
21 Roy Herrera (Bar No. 032901)
Daniel A. Arellano (Bar No. 032304)
22 BALLARD SPAHR LLP
1 East Washington Street, Suite 2300
23
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2555
24 Telephone: 602.798.5400
Facsimile: 602.798.5595
25 [email protected]
26 [email protected]
1013
8
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61 Filed 12/07/20 Page 9 of 9
1
2 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
3 I hereby certify that on December 7, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
4 document to the Clerk’s Office using the ECF System for filing and transmittal of a
5 Notice of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
6
7
/s/ Indy Fitzgerald
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15 150408712.1
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
1014
9
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 1 of 8
Exhibit 1
1015
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 2 of 8
DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
Plaintiffs.
v.
Defendants.
COMES NOW Plaintiffs, Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake
Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M. King, James R. Lamon, Sam Moorhead, Robert
Montgomery, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmado, Kelli Ward, and
Michael Ward, by and through their undersigned counsel, and file Expert and Fact Disclosure:
1016
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 8
analysis for the present matter. Attached is his expert report in the attached
i. Briggs’ original expert report includes the only charts that he may refer to
in live testimony.
ii. As stated in his expert report, the data relied on was created by Matt
Braynard, and the topline reports of those data were attached as pdfs and
submitted as part of his original report.
b. Dr. Briggs’ rebuttal report in another case. (See Exh. 1, attached hereto).
c. In his rebuttal report, Dr. Briggs states that his work is entirely pro bono.
d. Attached is Dr. Briggs’ CV, which includes a publications list. (See Exh.2F to the
Complaint).
a. Dr. Briggs has submitted declaration in the Northern District of Georgia 20-
2. Brian Teasley, is an expert witness that provided a declaration and statistical analysis
for the present matter.
e. Teasley’s’ original expert report, declaration includes the charts that he may refer
to in live testimony.
20-cv-02321.
1017
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 4 of 8
a. His testimony will be based on his report currently attached to the Complaint
20-cv-02321.
6. Phillip Waldron. Mr. Waldron’s background and the basis of his testimony is
1018
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 5 of 8
Fact witnesses
The following are fact witnesses that may be called at the hearing:
1. Anna Orth:
a. Poll Observer
b. Pima County
c. 520-979-8330
d. Anna Orth is anticipated testify to election violations she observed, including the
rights to equal protection of the law and should nullify any presumption that
election workers applied the law in a fair, impartial and objective manner.
rights to equal protection of the law and should nullify any presumption that
election workers applied the law in a fair, impartial and objective manner.
3. Greg Wodynski:
a. Digital Adjudication Observer
b. Maricopa County
c. 480-828-9425
d. His declaration is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 22.
4. Les Minkas:
a. Poll Observer
b. Maricopa County
c. 847-927-0856
5. Diane Serra:
1019
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 6 of 8
a. Poll Observer
b. Maricopa County
c. 602-402-5836
7. Kathleen Alvey:
a. Poll Observer
b. Pima County
c. 520-829-2117
d. Kathleen Alvey is anticipated to testify to election violations she observed,
voters of their rights to equal protection of the law and should nullify any
presumption that election workers applied the law in a fair, impartial and
objective manner.
8. Linda Brickman:
a. Maricopa County,
b. GOP Chair
c. 602-330-9422
d. Her Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Ex. 23.
9. Mark Low:
a. Poll Observer,
b. Maricopa County
c. 480-363-1154
d. His Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Ex. 20.
1020
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 7 of 8
Complaint.
13. Joe Oltmann, his Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 6.Anna Mercedes Diaz
Cardozo
14. Anna Mercedes Diaz Cardozo, her Affidavit is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 8.
15. Ronald Watkins, his Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 14.
16. Jane Doe. (name redacted) Will testify about illegal ballots being shipped around the
17. Ryan Hartwig. Present at Phoenix airport and will testify about a suspicious airplane and
/s Sidney Powell*
Sidney Powell PC
Texas Bar No. 16209700
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300
Dallas, Texas 75219
1021
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 8 of 8
Of Counsel:
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
L. Lin Wood
GA Bar No. 774588
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
P.O. Box 52584
Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
Telephone: (404) 891-1402
Howard Kleinhendler
New York Bar No. 2657120
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
369 Lexington Avenue, 12th Floor
New York, New York 10017
(917) 793-1188
[email protected]
1022
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-2 Filed 12/07/20 Page 1 of 3
Exhibit 2
1023
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-2 Filed 12/07/20 Page 2 of 3
EXH 2 F Briggs CV
EXH 3 Re Braynard
1024
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 61-2 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 3
1025
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 62 Filed 12/07/20 Page 1 of 13
1 Motion to Strike
2 Plaintiffs’ Complaint (Doc. 1) incorporates by reference affidavits from a
3 collection of fact witnesses, and those witnesses’ testimony is also incorporated by
4 reference into Plaintiffs’ TRO application and motion for preliminary objection. The
5 affidavits from Plaintiffs’ purported percipient witnesses are irrelevant, inadmissible, and
6 devoid of any evidentiary value for the drastic relief they seek by their motion. They do
7 not provide any plausible support for Plaintiffs’ complaint, for the unprecedented relief
8 they seek in this action, or for their motion.
9 In advance of the meet and confer the parties held on December 6, 2020 in
10 accordance with the Court’s minute order of December 4, 2020, Plaintiffs initially
11 identified 17 fact witnesses that they said they “may” call at the evidentiary hearing.
12 Defendants promptly pointed out the obvious impossibility of calling this many fact
13 witnesses (to say nothing of Plaintiffs’ six expert witnesses) during their one-hour portion
14 of the hearing. Plaintiffs responded that, if the evidentiary hearing proceeds as scheduled
15 on Thursday, December 10, 2020, they would offer no live fact witnesses, and instead
16 would submit any fact witness testimony through declarations of the ten proposed
17 witnesses from whom they had produced affidavits. During the meet and confer, Plaintiffs
18 also indicated that they would make any witness for whom testimony is presented by
19 affidavit available for live cross-examination, but given the limited time allocations
20 Defendants and Defendant Intervenors would be severely prejudiced if Plaintiffs
21 introduce all of their direct testimony through declarations and require Defendants and
22 Defendant Intervenors to use all of their time to cross them.
23 While Defendants and Defendant Intervenors do not believe there is any need to
24 consider testimony from any of Plaintiffs’ witnesses, they object to Plaintiffs’ demand to
25 introduce their witness testimony by declaration for the reasons stated below.
26 A. Dominion-Related Witnesses
27 1. “Venezuela Smartmatic Affidavit” (Doc. 1-2, Ex. 1). As their lead
28 witness, plaintiffs offer this redacted affidavit from an undisclosed person who claims to
{00526189.2 }
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1 have had some involvement in rigging elections in Venezuela who claims to be “of sound
2 mind.” Id. ¶ 1. The first nineteen paragraphs are focused on elections in Venezuela using
3 voting machines made by a company called “Smartmatic.” Id ¶¶ 2-19. After a brief foray
4 into other Latin American countries, id. ¶ 20, the affiant then asserts that “the Smartmatic
5 software is in the DNA of every vote tabulating company’s software and system,”
6 including Dominion. Id. ¶ 21. No foundation is offered for these conclusory assertions,
7 and the witness does not purport to have first-hand knowledge of what s/he says.
8 The witness then asserts that “Dominion and Smartmatic did business together,”
9 that Dominion software has “fundamental flaws” that provide “opportunities to corrupt
10 the data, and that “[t]he software decides the result regardless of what the voter votes.”
11 Id. ¶¶ 22-23. Again, the witness does not state anything that could support an inference
12 that s/he is qualified to assess Dominion’s software or that s/he has any first-hand
13 knowledge regarding Dominion software. The testimony appears to be pure speculation.
14 The affiant then returns to another discussion of events in Venezuela that bear no
15 logical connection to an election in the United States. Id. ¶¶ 24-25. And then, finally, the
16 affiant reaches the 2020 election in the United States, stating that s/he was “alarmed” as
17 election results were announced and somehow found them to be “eerily reminiscent” of
18 Venezuela. Id ¶ 26. According to the witness’s sworn testimony, “vote counting was
19 stopped,” and “[t]hen during the wee hours of the morning, when there was no voting
20 occurring and the vote count reporting was off-line, something significantly changed.”
21 Id. The witness asserts that “the very next morning there was a very pronounced change
22 in favor of the opposing candidate, Joe Biden.” Id. It’s unclear how the witness could
23 possibly have any foundation for this statement, let alone for making it under oath and
24 under penalty of perjury, if it is intended to pertain to the election results in Arizona—in
25 Arizona, Joe Biden of course was leading by more than 90,000 votes on election night,
26 and that lead diminished as additional votes were counted over the ensuing days.
27
28
{00526189.2 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 62 Filed 12/07/20 Page 4 of 13
1 None of this is conceivably relevant or admissible under FRE 401-403, and none
2 of it provides any basis to question the fairness and accuracy of the presidential election
3 results in Arizona and should be struck.
4 2. “TM” (Doc. 1-5, Exh 13).
5 In similarly opaque fashion, the TM declaration is anonymous and thus
6 inadmissible on its face. During the parties’ meet and confer, Counsel for the Secretary
7 asked for any caselaw supporting the admissibility of an anonymous fact witness and
8 Plaintiffs could provide none. That should be the end of the inquiry. Even if the Court
9 can somehow ignore this critical flaw, the substance of the declaration bears no
10 connection to the allegations in Plaintiffs’ Complaint. Its central thesis is that there are
11 backdoors in certain voting machines that allow people to change votes using
12 algorithms, and that this happened in Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin.
13 There is also testimony that President Obama and President-Elect Joe Biden colluded to
14 rig elections in an unnamed county. The declarant has no meaningful or discernable
15 qualifications to opine on any of the subjects of their report, nor do they employ any
16 accepted methodology. In fact, they lack any personal knowledge of the theories
17 disclosed.
18 None of this is conceivably relevant or admissible under FRE 401-403, and none
19 of it provides any basis to question the fairness and accuracy of the presidential election
20 results in Arizona and should be struck.
21 3. Joseph Oltmann (Doc. 1-3, Ex. 6). Mr. Oltmann lives in Colorado and
22 describes himself as the founder of an organization that seeks “to restore constitutional
23 integrity to our community and empower those in our community to stand up to state
24 and national leadership that intends to suppress the rights of individuals holistically.” Id.
25 at 1. He states that he seeks to “infiltrate Antifa meetings and de-mask those Antifa
26 members who are journalists in the mainstream media in Colorado specifically.” Id. Mr.
27 Oltmann than recounts several out-of-court statements he claims to have heard someone
28 named “Eric” who was allegedly affiliated with Dominion Voting Systems say at an
{00526189.2 }
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1 Antifa meeting he claims to have infiltrated, during which this person allegedly
2 expressed antipathy towards President Trump and skepticism as to his prospects in the
3 election. Id. at 2.
4 Mr. Oltmann claims that, after the election, he learned that a person named Eric
5 Coomer was affiliated with Dominion Voting Systems in some capacity, and that he
6 then conducted a review of Mr. Coomer’s social media, during which he found
7 additional out-of-court statements expressing antipathy towards President Trump. Id. at
8 4. The purported statements of Mr. Coomer that Mr. Oltmann recounts are hearsay, and
9 thus inadmissible under FRE 801-803. Further, Mr. Oltmann does not purport to have
10 any first-hand knowledge about Mr. Coomer’s role at Dominion, any alleged
11 manipulation of Dominion voting machines, or the impact of any such manipulation on
12 the election. He offers only vague speculation on those subjects. That speculation is
13 inadmissible and irrelevant under FRE 401-403. And Mr. Oltmann’s statement is
14 subject to FRE 403 for the further reason that he does not say anything at all about
15 Arizona.
16 4. Ana Mercedes Diaz Cardozo (Doc. 1-3, Ex. 8). This witness discusses
17 her involvement in elections and with election equipment in Venezuela, and elsewhere
18 in South and Central America, and her studies of elections in those parts of the world.
19 Based on her studies, the witness believes it is important that election systems have
20 “processes and mechanisms designed to prevent voting manipulation and fraud.” Id. ¶
21 17. She discusses her knowledge of Venezuela’s use of an election management system
22 called “Smartmatic” in 2004, id. ¶ 10, but she draws no connection between that system
23 and anything in the United States at any time, let alone currently. She does not mention
24 Arizona, and does not appear to have anything relevant to say pertaining to Plaintiffs’
25 claims or the relief Plaintiffs seek. Her testimony is irrelevant and inadmissible under
26 FRE 401-403.
27 5. Harri Hursti (Doc. 1-14, Ex. 7). This is a copy of a thirty-four-page
28 declaration, plus exhibits, that apparently was filed in a prior case in Georgia. It relates to
{00526189.2 }
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1 the configuration and operation of Dominion voting machines in Georgia, suggests the
2 machines and software were potentially vulnerable to manipulation or error in certain
3 respects, and suggests ways to improve them. The statement says nothing about Arizona,
4 and it draws no connection between the systems and software used in Georgia and that
5 used in Arizona. The statement is irrelevant and inadmissible under FRE 401-403.
6 6. Ronald Watkins (Doc. 1-6, Ex. 14). Mr. Watkins purports to walk through
7 the Dominion voting system with citation to various documents. But beside saying he
8 has “nine years of experience as a network and information defense analyst,” he provides
9 no information about his employment or background. Accordingly, he does not establish
10 any qualifications whatsoever for offering his opinion on the Dominon voting system,
11 and his declaration should not be permitted.
12 B. Arizona-Specific Witnesses
13 7. Greg Wodynski. (Doc. 1-10, Ex. 22). Mr. Wodynski claims to have been
14 a “Digital Adjudication Observer” in Maricopa County. Mr. Wodynski states that a
15 Dominion employee named “Bruce” told him that he could not validate the chain of
16 custody for a “daily second disk backup” (i.e., not the original ballots, the original
17 electronic case of the ballots, and not the first backup of that scan). Id. ¶¶ 11-12. Mr.
18 Wodynski also expressed concerns about “Bruce’s” handling of certain data files. Id. ¶
19 13. Mr. Wodynski does not claim to have knowledge of any illegal vote that was counted
20 or any lawful vote that was not, and he does not claim that the Dominion voting machines
21 and software actually were manipulated or compromised in any way. Thus, Mr.
22 Wodynski’s statement does not seem to have any relevance that would support its
23 admissibility under FRE 401-03. And the statements he attributes to “Bruce” are hearsay.
24 FRE 801-03. According, the testimony should not be permitted.
25 8. Diane Serra (Doc. 1-3, Ex. 5). Ms. Serra claims she was a poll observer
26 in Maricopa County. She expresses concern that she was able to provide only “less than
27 effective” oversight and “no meaningful oversight” in the signature verification room
28 and the envelope separation room on two separate days, and that she was physically
{00526189.2 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 62 Filed 12/07/20 Page 7 of 13
1 distanced from bi-partisan poll workers and election officials who were administering
2 the election. Id. She also states that she “felt unwelcome” at one polling location after
3 expressing her interest in “Big Band music,” while indicating that another polling site
4 she observed had a relatively “friendly atmosphere.” Id. at 3. At one polling location she
5 observed voters having issues with “over-votes” in an unspecified race and apparently
6 had some question in her mind as to whether the poll workers provided appropriate
7 guidance. Id. at 4. She had some involvement in identifying ballots to be included in the
8 “hand count” audit at a polling location, and further states the hand count in that
9 location was limited to ballots cast on election day.” Id. at 5. Finally, Ms. Serra
10 speculates that someone could have manipulated the Election Day votes if they had
11 known they would not be included in the audit. Id. at 5. The last statement is
12 objectionable under FRE 401-403 as Ms. Serra does not purport to have knowledge of
13 any vote manipulation and is merely speculating. Because Ms. Serra does not identify
14 any basis for concluding any illegal vote was counted or any lawful vote was not, her
15 statement does not have any relevance to the Complaint or the requested relief and
16 should not be permitted.
17 9. Judith Burns (Doc. 1-10, Ex. 21). Ms. Burns claims she was a poll
18 observer in Maricopa County on October 20-21 (at the Maricopa County Tabulation and
19 Election Center) and October 28, 2020 (in Surprise). Id. ¶ 1. Ms. Burns describes how
20 far away she was from the tables where poll workers were conducting signature
21 verifications, and states that she observed that there was one Republican and one
22 Democrat at each table that were verifying signatures. Id. ¶ 2. She indicates that poll
23 workers explained various aspects of their process. Id. And, when she worked at the
24 Surprise location, there was some difficulty sealing envelopes. Id. ¶ 3. Ms. Burns’
25 testimony is not relevant to the claims in the complaint or the relief Plaintiffs seek, and
26 it is thus inadmissible under FRE 401-403 and should not be permitted.
27 10. Linda Brickman (Doc. 1-10, Ex. 23). Ms. Brickman is the 1st Vice Chair
28 of the Maricopa County Republican Party. Doc. 1 at Ex. 23. Ms. Brickman attended the
{00526189.2 }
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{00526189.2 }
1033
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 62 Filed 12/07/20 Page 9 of 13
1 worker brought a “back up copy” of the “voter file” back to his hotel. Id. at 22. Mr. Low
2 also had various concerns about the handling of overseas ballots. Id. at 24-30. Mr. Low
3 does not claim any knowledge relating to Plaintiffs’ claim that the Dominion machines
4 were compromised; he does not identify any illegal votes that were cast; and he does not
5 claim that he observed anyone doing anything nefarious. His testimony does not support
6 Plaintiffs’ claims or the relief they seek, and so is inadmissible under FRE 401-403.
7 Evidentiary Objections
8 The Secretary and the Maricopa County Intervenor-Defendants hereby assert the
9 following, specific objections to Plaintiffs’ exhibits. The Secretary and County note that
10 as the majority of Plaintiffs’ exhibits are either purported expert reports or witness
11 affidavits, the Secretary has addressed the former via concurrently filed Daubert motions,
12 and the latter via concurrently filed motions in limine.
13 Exhibit Evidentiary Objections
14 No.
{00526189.2 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 62 Filed 12/07/20 Page 10 of 13
11 5 Diane Serra Declaration (3 sep pdfs The Secretary has enumerated her
12 for pages 1-3) objections to Plaintiffs’ fact witness
affidavits via motions to strike
13 submitted concurrently herewith.
14
6 Joseph Oltmann Affidavit The Secretary has enumerated her
15 objections to Plaintiffs’ fact witness
affidavits via motions to strike
16 submitted concurrently herewith.
17
7 Harri Hursti Declaration Doc 809 US The Secretary has enumerated her
18 DIST CT 3 8-24-20 objections to Plaintiffs’ fact witness
affidavits via motions to strike
19
submitted concurrently herewith.
20
8 Affidavit of Anna Mercedes Diaz The Secretary has enumerated her
21 Cardozo in ENGLISH objections to Plaintiffs’ fact witness
22 affidavits via motions to strike
submitted concurrently herewith.
23
9 Keshel Expert Affidavit The Secretary has enumerated her
24
objections to Plaintiffs’ fact witness
25 affidavits via motions to strike
submitted concurrently herewith.
26
27 9 A&B Keshel Expert attachment The Secretary has filed a Daubert
motion that addresses her objections
28 to this report.
{00526189.2 }
1035
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 62 Filed 12/07/20 Page 11 of 13
1
2 10 Andrew W. Appel, et al., “Ballot FRE 401, 403, 802
Marking Devices (BMDs) Cannot
3 Assure the Will of the Voters” at
(Dec. 27, 2019)
4
5 11 State of Texas Secretary of State FRE 401, 403, 802
Report of Review 20 //an 11B
6
7 12 “Spider” Affidavit Redacted The Secretary has filed a Daubert
motion that addresses her objections
8 to this report.
9
13 Declaration TPM 11 30 20 Redacted The Secretary has enumerated her
10 objections to Plaintiffs’ fact witness
affidavits via motions to strike
11 submitted concurrently herewith.
12
14 Declaration of Ronald Watkins 11 26 The Secretary has enumerated her
13 20 objections to Plaintiffs’ fact witness
affidavits via motions to strike
14
submitted concurrently herewith.
15
15 Congresswoman Maloney letter re FRE 401, 403, 802
16 Smartmatica
17
16 Senators Warren etc. letter re FRE 401, 403, 802
18 Dominion Voting Systems
19
17 Ramsland Declaration The Secretary has filed a Daubert
20 motion that addresses her objections
to this report.
21
22 18 Joint FBI CISSA Cyber Security FRE 401, 403, 802
Advisory Exhibit
23 [2305843009225631231]
24
19 Matthew Bromberg, PhD Declaration The Secretary has filed a Daubert
25 11 30 20 motion that addresses her objections
to this report.
26
27 20 Mark Low Declaration The Secretary has enumerated her
objections to Plaintiffs’ fact witness
28
{00526189.2 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 62 Filed 12/07/20 Page 12 of 13
28
{00526189.2 }
1037
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 62 Filed 12/07/20 Page 13 of 13
1 31 Staple street SEC Offering Form-D FRE 401, 403, 802, 901a, 1002
Report
2
3
4
Respectfully submitted this 7th day of December, 2020.
5
6
COPPERSMITH BROCKELMAN PLC
7 By s/ Roopali H. Desai
Roopali H. Desai
8 D. Andrew Gaona
Kristen Yost
9
10 SUSMAN GODFREY L.L.P.
11 Justin A. Nelson
Stephen E. Morrissey
12 Stephen Shackelford
Davida Brook
13
14 Attorneys for Defendant Arizona Secretary of
State Katie Hobbs
15
16 ALLISTER ADEL
MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
17
Thomas P. Liddy
18 Emily Craiger
Joseph I. Vigil
19 Joseph J. Branco
Joseph E. LaRue
20
Attorneys for Maricopa County
21 Defendants
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
{00526189.2 }
1038
-12-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 1 of 20
12
Attorneys for Defendant Douglas A. Ducey,
13
Snell & Wilmer
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
15
DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
16
17
Tyler Bowyer, et al.,
18 No. 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Plaintiffs,
19 Governor Ducey’s Objections to
v. Plaintiffs’ Exhibit and Witness List for
20 December 10 Hearing
Doug Ducey, et al.,
21
Defendants, Assigned to: Hon. Diane Humetewa
22
and TRO Hearing Set: December 10, 2020 at
23 9:30 a.m.
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, et
24 al.,
25 Intervenor-Defendants
26
27
28
1039
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 2 of 20
1 In accordance with the Court’s December 4, 2020 Order, (Doc. 35), Defendant
2 Douglas A. Ducey, Governor of the State of Arizona submits the following objections to
3 Plaintiffs’ witness and exhibit lists. In addition to the objections specifically stated below,
4 the Governor also joins in the objections made by Defendant Secretary of State Hobbs and
5 the Maricopa County Intervenor-Defendants.
6 Objections to Plaintiffs’ Witnesses
7 As a preliminary matter, the Governor objects to Plaintiffs’ use of declarations for
8 witnesses to the extent that any such witnesses made available for cross examination. The
9 Governor also objects to the sheer number of witnesses proposed by Plaintiffs, given the
10 limited amount of hearing time.
11
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
1. William Briggs, expert Objection. Mr. Briggs does not meet the
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
602.382.6000
1040 -1-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 20
1
Further, the Governor objects to the substance
2 of Mr. Ramsland’s expert report on the
grounds that it was not produced using
3
reliable methods. Daubert, 509 U.S. at 590,
4 600 (1993).
5 4. Spider, expert Objection. This witness was not properly
disclosed under the Court’s December 4, 2020
6 Order requiring Plaintiffs to provide a “full
and complete witness” disclosure. (Doc. 35).
7
Plaintiffs have not fulfilled this requirement
8 for “Spider” because they have redacted all
identifying information for this witness, thus
9 prejudicing Defendants’ ability to prepare for
10 the December 10 hearing.
602.382.6000
1041 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 4 of 20
602.382.6000
15
10. Les Minkas Objection. Mr. Minkas’ testimony was not
16 properly disclosed under the Court’s
December 4, 2020 Order requiring Plaintiffs
17
to provide a “full and complete witness”
18 disclosure, (Doc. 35), because Plaintiffs have
not provided any information regarding Mr.
19 Minkas’ expected testimony.
20 11. Diane Serra, by declaration Subject to this witness being made available
21 for cross-examination and the other
Defendants’ objections, the Governor does
22 not object to Ms. Serra’s declaration being
offered as direct testimony, and the Court
23 deciding what weight (if any) to give the
24 hearsay statements therein.
1042 -3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 5 of 20
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
15 Objection.
16. Redacted Fact Witness
16 “TM,” by declaration
This witness was not properly disclosed under
17 the Court’s December 4, 2020 Order
18 requiring Plaintiffs to provide a “full and
complete witness” disclosure. (Doc. 35).
19 Plaintiffs have not fulfilled this requirement
for “TM” because they have redacted all
20 identifying information for this witness.
21
The Governor further objects to “TM”’s
22 declaration because it contains unqualified
23 expert opinions regarding vote tabulation
machines and vote allocation patterns
24 unsupported by any expert disclosure or
report. Fed. R. Evid. 702; See Daubert v.
25 Merrell Dow Pharms., 516 U.S. 869 (1993).
26
The Governor also objects to “TM”’s
27 declaration on the ground that it contains
material outside of “TM”’s personal
28
1043 -4-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 6 of 20
11 Objection.
18. “Redacted-Venezuela
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12 Smartmatic Affidavit
This witness was not properly disclosed under
11.1116.20202,” by
13 the Court’s December 4, 2020 Order
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
affidavit
requiring Plaintiffs to provide a “full and
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
1044 -5-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 7 of 20
12 declaration
authenticated. Fed. R. Evid. 901; see also 28
13 U.S.C. § 1746. The declaration also contains
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
602.382.6000
23 No objection.
23. Ryan Hartwig
24
25
26
27
28
1045 -6-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 8 of 20
12
renewed objections to the “Dr. Briggs” exhibit,
13
Snell & Wilmer
10 Hearing.
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
1046 -7-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 9 of 20
1
2 2. “Brian Teasley” Objection.
3
This exhibit was not properly disclosed under the
4 Court’s December 4, 2020 Order requiring
Plaintiffs to disclose and exchange exhibits. (Doc.
5 35). Plaintiffs’ vague reference to “Brian Teasley”
6 does not reasonably identify any document—and
Plaintiffs did not produce any document titled
7 “Brian Teasley” to the Governor. As a result, the
8 Governor is left to guess what document this
disclosure references. Because of the vague nature
9 of this disclosure, the Governor reserves the right
to make renewed objections to the “Brian Teasley”
10 exhibit, should Plaintiffs seek to admit it at the
11 December 10 Hearing.
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
“Teasley CV-Bio.”
15
16 3. “Ramsland” Objection.
1047 -8-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 10 of 20
12
foundation. Fed. R. Evid. 901. There is no witness
13 with the personal knowledge necessary to testify
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
602.382.6000
602.
L.L.P.
15
5. “Phil Waldron” Objection.
16
This exhibit was not properly disclosed under the
17
Court’s December 4, 2020 Order requiring
18 Plaintiffs to disclose and exchange exhibits. (Doc.
35). Plaintiffs’ vague reference to “Phil Waldron”
19 does not reasonably identify any document—and
20 Plaintiffs did not produce any document titled
“Phil Waldron” to the Governor. As a result, the
21 Governor is left to guess what document this
disclosure references. Because of the vague nature
22
of this disclosure, the Governor reserves the right
23 to make renewed objections to the “Phil Waldron”
exhibit, should Plaintiffs seek to admit it at the
24 December 10 Hearing.
25
26
27
28
1048 -9-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 11 of 20
11.116.2020
witness with the personal knowledge necessary to
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
18 .
19 2. Absentee Survey Analysis Objection.
– Briggs Rpt
20
Document contains unqualified expert opinions
21 regarding vote tabulation machines unsupported by
22 any expert disclosure or report. Fed. R. Evid. 702.
Document is also irrelevant to this proceeding.
23 Fed. R. Evid. 401. Document contains hearsay
evidence, including but not limited to survey data.
24 Fed. R. Evid. 802.
25
Further, this exhibit was not properly disclosed
26 under the Court’s December 4, 2020 Order
requiring Plaintiffs to disclose and exchange
27
exhibits. (Doc. 35).
28
1049 - 10 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 12 of 20
12
regarding vote tabulation machines unsupported by
13 any expert disclosure or report. Fed. R. Evid. 702.
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
602.382.6000
1050 - 11 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 13 of 20
1
2 Brigs – Attachment WI Objection.
2D Unretruned Live Agent
3 Topline
Document contains unqualified expert opinions
4 regarding vote tabulation machines unsupported by
any expert disclosure or report. Fed. R. Evid. 702.
5 Document is also irrelevant to this proceeding.
6 Fed. R. Evid. 401. Document contains hearsay
evidence, including but not limited to survey data.
7 Fed. R. Evid. 802.
8
Further, this exhibit was not properly disclosed
9 under the Court’s December 4, 2020 Order
requiring Plaintiffs to disclose and exchange
10 exhibits. (Doc. 35).
11
Briggs – Attachment MI Objection.
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
1051 - 12 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 14 of 20
12
to any exceptions. Fed. R. Evid. 802. Document is
13 irrelevant to the claims in this case. Fed. R. Evid.
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
602.382.6000
15
7. Harri Hursti Declaration Objection. Document contains hearsay not subject
16 Doc 809 US Dist Ct 3 8- to any exceptions. Fed. R. Evid. 802. Document is
24-20
17 irrelevant to the claims in this case. Fed. R. Evid.
401. Document contains unqualified expert
18 opinions. Fed. R. Evid. 702. Document contains
material outside of the declarant’s personal
19
knowledge and lacking foundation. Fed. R. Evid.
20 602.
1052 - 13 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 15 of 20
12
Further, this exhibit was not disclosed under the
13 Court’s December 4, 2020 Order requiring
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
602.382.6000
1053 - 14 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 16 of 20
12
Plaintiffs to disclose and exchange exhibits. (Doc.
13 35).
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
1054 - 15 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 17 of 20
602.382.6000
1055 - 16 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 18 of 20
12 18. Joint FBI CISSA Cyber Objection. Document does not have any relevance
Security Advisory Exhibit to the administration of the November 3, 2020
13
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
1056 - 17 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 19 of 20
9
By: /s/ Brett W. Johnson
10 Brett W. Johnson
Colin P. Ahler
11 Derek C. Flint
Ian R. Joyce
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
14 Anni L. Foster
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
15 DOUGLAS A. DUCEY
1700 West Washington Street
16 Phoenix, Arizona 85007
1057 - 18 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 63 Filed 12/07/20 Page 20 of 20
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I certify that on December 7, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
3 document to the Clerk's Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and transmittal of a
4 Notice of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
5
6
7 s/ Tracy Hobbs
8
9
10
11
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12
13
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
1058 - 19 -
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 65 Filed 12/07/20 Page 1 of 18
{00526210.1 }
1059
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 65 Filed 12/07/20 Page 2 of 18
1 INTRODUCTION
2 In their effort to support baseless claims of a multi-national conspiracy to rig the
3 presidential election in favor of Joseph R. Biden, Jr., Plaintiffs have disclosed six
4 purported “experts” along with various declarations and reports. 1 But the individuals
5 identified by Plaintiffs as experts are wildly unqualified and their “expert” opinions, such
6 as they are, are unreliable and lacking in foundation. Indeed, these individuals range from
7 a statistician who was apparently fired from the last academic institution where he
11 “conclusively establish” the drastic and unprecedented relief they seek—decertifying the
12 certified election results in this State and ordering certification of President Trump as the
13 winner of the election. The opinions in fact only confirm the claims are doomed to
14 dismissal and that their requested preliminary relief should be denied. Other courts in
15 Michigan and Georgia have found these same experts to provide no basis for advancing
16 plaintiffs’ claims, and this Court should reach the same conclusion. None of these
17 experts’ testimony justify relief that would disenfranchise 3.4 million Arizona voters, and
19 I. LEGAL STANDARD
20 As a threshold matter, courts must ensure that a proposed expert has the requisite
22 Evid. 702. Courts may then only admit expert testimony if “(a) the expert’s scientific,
23 technical, or other specialized knowledge will help the trier of fact to understand the
24 evidence or to determine a fact in issue; (b) the testimony is based on sufficient facts or
25 data; (c) the testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods; and (d) the expert
26
1
Attached hereto as “Exhibit 1” is a true and correct copy of Plaintiffs’ Expert Rule
27 26(a)(2)(B) Expert Disclosures and Fact Witnesses. Plaintiffs’ disclosures refer to both
filed and newly disclosed documents. For ease of reference, Defendant attaches hereto
28 as “Exhibit 2” through “Exhibit 7” true and correct copies of the newly served documents.
{00526210.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 65 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 18
1 has reliably applied the principles and methods to the facts of the case.” Id. To be
2 admissible, expert testimony must be both relevant and reliable. Daubert v. Merrill Dow
3 Pharms., Inc., 509 U.S. 579, 589 (1993).
4 Even where the trial court is the fact-finder, there is no question that a “district
5 court must perform a ‘gatekeeping role’ to ensure that the testimony is both ‘relevant’
6 and reliable.’” United States v. Valencia-Lopez, 971 F.3d 891, 897–98 (9th Cir. 2020)
7 (alterations in original omitted); see Beech Aircraft Corp. v. United States, 51 F.3d 834,
8 842 (9th Cir. 1995) (holding expert opinion properly excluded from a bench trial).
9 When assessing reliability, courts consider “(1) whether the theory or technique
10 can be or has been tested, (2) whether the theory or technique has been subjected to peer
11 review, (3) whether the error rate is known and standards exist controlling the operation
12 of the technique, and (4) whether the theory or technique has gained general acceptance.”
13 Cooper v. Brown, 510 F.3d 870, 880 (9th Cir. 2007). Where expertise is “experience-
14 based,” there “is a strong argument that reliability becomes more, not less, important.”
15 Valencia-Lopez, 971 F.3d at 898. “The proponent of expert testimony bears the burden
16 of showing that the proposed testimony is admissible under Rule 702.” Krause v. Cty. of
17 Mohave, 459 F. Supp. 3d 1258, 1264 (D. Ariz. 2020). “When a party . . . fails to carry
18 this burden, their expert’s opinions are not admissible.” Id.
19 II. ARGUMENT
20 Plaintiffs cannot meet their burden to establish the admissibility of any of their six
21 experts’ proposed testimony. Courts have long held that the Federal Rules of Evidence
22 prohibit “junk” science from entering the courtroom and the Federal Rules of Civil
23 Procedure place additional procedural protections to keep out untrustworthy information
24 cloaked in the mantle of “expert” testimony.
25 A. Plaintiffs’ Experts are Unqualified, Unreliable, and Unhelpful.
26 Plaintiffs’ experts are remarkably unqualified. Their “reports” lack any indicia of
27 reliability. And their testimony will not be unhelpful to the finder of fact. Indeed, just
28 this morning, the Eastern District of Michigan denied relief in a virtually identical case
{00526210.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 65 Filed 12/07/20 Page 4 of 18
1 brought by the same “National Counsel” as part of their campaign to overturn the election
2 results determined by the will of voters around the country, questioning the post-election
3 emergence of these so-called experts who came out of the woodwork to claim serious
4 glitches and vulnerabilities in election machines and voting that allegedly occurred for
5 years prior to the 2020 elections, given that such concerns (if legitimate) could have been
6 raised much earlier. See, e.g., Opinion Order Denying Relief, King v. Whitmer, No. 2:20-
7 cv-13134-LVP-RSW, ECF No. 62 (E.D. Mich. Dec. 17, 2020), at 18.
8 1. William Briggs
9
Plaintiffs seek to have Dr. William M. Briggs (a self-proclaimed “Statistician to
10
the Stars!,” Compl. Exh. 2-F, at 1, Doc. 1-2) testify that there were a sufficient number
11
of “troublesome” ballots, allegedly illegal votes counted and legal votes uncounted, to
12
overturn Arizona’s election returns. 2 Exh. 1 at 2. Briggs in turn states that his statistical
13
analysis is based on survey data provided by an individual named Matt Braynard. Compl.
14
Exh. 2, at 1, Doc. 1-2 (“Briggs Rep.”). However, Briggs’s analysis is unreliable because
15
it rests on faulty data collected by a fatally flawed survey that fails to comport with
16
professional survey research standards and because of the cavernous analytical gap
17
between the data and his extrapolations. His analysis is also unhelpful to the trier of fact
18
because he does not offer evidence of an actual change in the result of the election.
19
a. Briggs’s Statistical Analysis is Unreliable Because It Rests
20 On a Faulty Foundation And Contains Unacceptable
Analytical Gaps.
21
Numerous flaws in Briggs’s statistical analysis render his report and testimony
22
unreliable.
23
The Braynard survey does not satisfy accepted survey principles. A central flaw
24
in Briggs’s analysis is that it is based entirely on an unreliable survey conducted by
25
2
26 Plaintiffs’ disclosures fail to describe the scope of Briggs’s proposed testimony, but
Briggs’s report includes information relating to multiple states. Defendant focuses only
27 on issues relating to the Arizona analysis, since information pertaining to other states is
irrelevant. But, to be sure, there are errors in Briggs’s survey methodology and data
28 analysis for the other states, as well.
{00526210.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 65 Filed 12/07/20 Page 5 of 18
1 someone else, Braynard, who has not disclosed the survey, its methodology, or his
2 qualifications for conducting it. Briggs admits that he only “assume[s] survey
3 respondents are representative and the data is accurate.” Briggs Rep., at 1, Doc. 1-2.
4 Briggs never explains why it is reasonable for him to assume the data is accurate and the
5 population is representative. “[T]he proffered expert must establish that reliable principles
6 and methods underlie the particular conclusions offered,” and failure to do so renders his
7 opinions inadmissible. United States v. Hermanek, 289 F.3d 1076, 1094 (9th Cir. 2002).
8 The core requirement for admissibility of survey results is that the survey is conducted
9 “according to accepted principles.” Fortune Dynamic, Inc. v. Victoria’s Secret Stores
10 Brand Mgmt., Inc., 618 F.3d 1025, 1036 (9th Cir. 2010) (citation omitted).
11 Here, Briggs cannot validate the principles underlying the survey upon which his
12 opinions are based because he is not and does purport to be an expert in survey
13 methodology. 3 Moreover, there is zero indication that Briggs conducted any verification
14 of Braynard’s survey data or validated its correctness or integrity. Briggs also fails to
15 provide even basic information about the survey research conducted by Braynard that is
16 needed to establish the survey’s reliability. Neither Plaintiffs nor Briggs offer anything
17 whatsoever about Braynard’s identity (other than a Twitter printout), qualifications,
18 methodologies used in his surveys, whether those methodologies comported with the
19 professional standards required for considering a survey reliable, the steps taken to ensure
20 his samples were random and representative of the underlying population, or the steps
21 taken to account for possible inaccuracies or falsehoods provided in survey responses.
22 As further described in the Report of Professor Gary King, Briggs’s failure to
23 provide information about Braynard’s survey methodology violates the accepted
24
3
25 Briggs also reports zero experience as an expert in elections or voting prior to the 2020
presidential election, he was fired from the last academic institution with which he was
26 involved, and he appears often to self-publish his writings. See William Briggs, “I’m No
Longer At Cornell,” William M. Briggs: Statistician to the Stars, Apr. 22, 2017,
27 https://wmbriggs.com/post/21473/ (“I got fired about a month ago.”); Compl. Exh. 2-F at
2, Doc. 1-2. Briggs’s writings touch on, among other subjects, denying the severity of
28 the Covid-19 pandemic, disputing climate change science, and attacking homosexuality.
{00526210.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 65 Filed 12/07/20 Page 6 of 18
1 professional standards in the field of survey research and renders the data insufficient to
2 support the stated conclusions in Briggs’s analysis. See Exh. 8, Report of Gary King.
3 Briggs’s report lacks crucial information about the survey that is required to
4 comport with accepted survey principles, including the following:
5 • a probability sample, which enumerates a list of the members of the target
6 population and identifies the known random mechanism of selecting members
7 of the population to be interviewed, id. at ¶ 2.a;
8 • the entire chain of evidence from the election to the quantitative information
9 in the dataset to the numerical results, id. at ¶ 2.b;
10 • an analysis of the survey response rate, including how the rate was computed
11 and how those who responded to the survey differed from those who refused
12 (which goes to the survey’s representativeness), id. at ¶ 2.c;
13 • assurance that the survey used carefully worded and validated survey
14 questions, id. at ¶2.d; and
15 • analysis about response bias, a concern of particular importance in a
16 retrospective survey, such as Braynard’s, which examined the outcome of an
17 election while the President was claiming election fraud, id. at ¶2.e.
18 As Professor King explains, not only should a researcher make sure to provide this
19 information, but any statistical analysis must “adjust” for these factors, since simply
20 applying “means or counts to the data without adapting them” to the above factors “can
21 yield highly misleading results.” Id. at ¶2.f. Complete information about how the data
22 was analyzed must be provided with sufficient detail so that a third party would be able
23 to replicate the results without talking to the original author. Id. at ¶2.g.
24 But here, there is zero evidence that Braynard’s survey was conducted in
25 accordance with accepted survey principles. Upon the current record, Braynard’s
26 methods (whatever they may have been) have not been tested, have not been subjected to
27 peer review or publication, have an unknown potential error rate, and have not been
28 established as accepted within the relevant scientific community. Therefore, Briggs’s
{00526210.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 65 Filed 12/07/20 Page 7 of 18
1 report, which relies upon the Braynard survey, cannot withstand any scrutiny under
2 Daubert. See Cooper, 510 F.3d at 880.
3 Briggs’s report is riddled with analytical gaps. A second major problem with
4 Briggs’s testimony is that his report is riddled with analytical gaps. The survey upon
5 which his analysis rests has numerous methodological flaws that Briggs fails to correct,
6 as explained by Dr. Stephen Ansolabehere in the Response Report of Report of Stephen
7 Ansolabehere. See Exh. 1 to Proposed Intervenor-Defendant’s Response to Plaintiffs’
8 Motion for Relief (“Ansolabehere Resp. Rep.”), Doc. 37-1. 4 First, the survey upon which
9 allowed individuals other than the survey “target,” the individual whose ballots were
10 marked as unreturned, to answer survey questions. See Ansolabehere Resp. Rep. at ¶¶ 41-
11 47. This error contaminates the data and along with other errors is “of sufficient
12 magnitude and severity as to make the estimates completely unreliable and
13 uninformative.” Id. at ¶ 62. Briggs fails to correct or account for this issue.
14 Second, Braynard’s survey had an unacceptably low response rate. Id. at ¶¶ 33-
15 40. Braynard was only able to reach 0.4% of the individuals he sought to interview. Id.
16 at ¶ 37. Put another way, 99.6% of the individuals targeted by the survey did not respond.
17 This is not an acceptable response rate, either in the academic field of survey methodology
18 or in the litigation context. Id. at ¶¶ 38-39. Further compounding this issue, without
19 information about the target population or the responding population, it is impossible to
20 know whether the responding population is representative and therefore whether there is
21 any scientific value to the survey. Id. at ¶ 40. Briggs fails to account for this flaw.
22 Third, Briggs’s report fails to account for unremarkable reasons, such as late
23 arriving ballots, missing or mismatched signature rejections, or spoiled or voided ballots,
24 for why returned absentee ballots might not be recorded or counted. See Ansolabehere
25 Resp. Rep. at ¶¶ 27-30. The failure to grapple with these obvious alternative causes
26 renders Briggs’s analysis unreliable. United States v. Artero, 121 F.3d 1256, 1262 (9th
27
28 4
A true and correct copy of Ansolabehere’s Report is attached hereto as “Exhibit 9.”
{00526210.1 }
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1 Cir. 1997 (quoting People Who Care v. Rockford Board of Education, 111 F.3d 528, 537–
2 538 (7th Cir. 1997)).
3 Briggs only further confirms the unreliability of his work in his Response Report,
4 filed as Exhibit 3 to Plaintiffs’ Reply to Defendant’s Response in Opposition to Plaintiff’s
5 Motion for Relief (“Briggs Resp. Rep.”), Doc. 44-1. 5 For example, Briggs addresses
6 response rate, but Briggs only provides the (non-responsive) response that if there had
7 been double the response rate, then the prediction interval would shrink, and “we become
8 more confident.” Briggs Resp. Rep. at 2. Briggs never explains how he has accounted
9 for the extremely low response rate in his analysis; he just says it is not a problem. But
10 “[n]othing in either Daubert or the Federal Rules of Evidence requires a district court to
11 admit opinion evidence that is connected to existing data only by the ipse dixit of the
12 expert.” Gen. Elec. Co. v. Joiner, 522 U.S. 136, 146 (1997). Rather, “[a] court may
13 conclude that there is simply too great an analytical gap between the data and the opinion
14 proffered.” Id.
15 b. Briggs’s testimony is otherwise unhelpful.
16 Briggs’s report is not relevant to the question presented to the Court regarding the
17 validity of the outcome of the election. Setting aside the problems with the data, Briggs
18 does not opine regarding whether any particular alleged error resulted in a ballot for Biden
19 that should have gone for Trump or how any error would or even could have changed the
20 outcome of the election. His report should therefore be discarded for lack of relevance.
21 See Fed. R. Evid. 702(a).
22 2. Brian Teasley
23
Plaintiffs offer a declaration by Brian Teasley and seek to have Teasley offer
24
opinions on whether there are “abnormal patterns” of voting data favoring Biden in
25
26
5
Plaintiffs filed Briggs’s Response Report after the deadline for expert disclosures on
27 December 5, 2020. They have not provided any indication that they intend for the
response report to be affirmative evidence. The report is untimely and should not be
28 considered within the Plaintiffs’ affirmative disclosures.
{00526210.1 }
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1 counties that used Dominion Voting Systems machines, based on publicly available data
2 on the 2020 presidential election. See Compl. Exh. 4, at ¶¶ 7, 16, Doc. 1-3. 6 Teasley’s
3 opinions should be excluded because they provide only a cursory explanation of his
4 credentials, lacks foundation, and reflect serious errors in its methodology.
5 a. Teasley is not qualified as an expert.
6 Teasley is a businessman who lacks the qualifications needed to offer expert
7 opinion testimony on the impact, if any, on Arizona’s 2020 presidential election from the
8 use of certain voting machines. Teasley states that he holds a Bachelor of Science degree
9 in Mathematics and a Master of Science degree in Statistics, he has conducted statistical
10 analyses for various companies, and that he spent 15 days studying publicly available data
11 on the 2020 presidential election. Compl. Exh. 4, at ¶¶ 3-5, Doc. 1-3. However, he does
12 not further describe his education, experience, or other credentials or explain how his
13 prior work is similar to or relates to, if at all, the work he performed in this matter. He
14 does not appear to have any experience with Arizona elections or analyzing Arizona
15 election data, nor with statistical methods appropriate for analyzing election data, or such
16 specialized topics as detection of voting anomalies or county pairings based on census
17 variables. His professional background appears to be in online marketing optimization.
18 This is patently insufficient to offer opinions on so important a topic as whether there are
19 “abnormal results” caused by Dominion voting machines and that “[s]ome external force
20 caused this anomaly” and swayed the results in Arizona’s elections. Id. at ¶¶ 7, 9, 10.
21 Courts routinely find that experts with such limited experience and knowledge in the
22 particular field at issue are “glaringly inadequate.” See Jinro Am. Inc., 266 F.3d at 1005.
23 b. Teasley’s report lacks foundation and is unreliable.
24 Even if the Court finds Teasley qualified, his declaration lacks any foundation and
25 is otherwise unreliable. Expert Dr. Jonathan Rodden, a Stanford professor who has
26
6
Plaintiffs filed Teasley’s Rebuttal Report after the deadline for expert disclosures on
27 December 5, 2020. They have not provided any indication that they intend for the rebuttal
report to be affirmative evidence. The report is untimely and should not be considered
28 within the Plaintiffs’ affirmative disclosures.
{00526210.1 }
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1 Indeed, because Teasley fails to provide any details whatsoever about the analysis
2 he purports to have conducted, “it is not possible to reconstruct the analysis.” Rodden
3 Rep. at 8. This is yet another reason to exclude his opinion. Cooper, 510 F.3d at 880.
4 Plaintiffs now offer another report from Teasley (this time belatedly served nine
5 hours after the court-ordered deadline for expert disclosures), in which he for the first
6 time purports to provide the “results of the analysis” as Exhibit 4 to Plaintiffs’ Reply to
7 Defendant’s Response in Opposition to Plaintiff’s Motion for Relief, (“Teasley Rebuttal
8 Rep.”), Doc. 44-1. 8 The results consist of two pages in an Appendix. Id. at 3-4.
9 But these so-called “results” are facially deficient. Teasley provides none of the
10 basic data and information required to validate his assumptions—he doesn’t disclose what
11 counties he studied, what data he used, or how he determined those results were
12 exceptionally high. Indeed, Teasley has not included any details to back up his most
13 central conclusions (like the estimated number of votes affected in Arizona, Teasley Rep.,
14 at ¶ 16, or the estimated percentages of affected votes in Maricopa, AZ or nationally, id.
15 at ¶ 15). Nor has Teasley provided any clarification about how he reached any numerical
16 results. The Appendix simply raises more questions. What dataset did Teasley analyze?
17 How did he match counties? What does “Other Dominion Voting Systems” refer to and
18 what are the numbers in the table he provides? Teasley’s complete failure to explain his
19 methodology or provide sufficient data to ascertain his work’s reliability precludes its
20 admission. Cooper, 510 F.3d at 880.
21 Furthermore, as Rodden explains, Teasley’s methodology, such as it is, wholly
22 lacks reliability. For example, Teasley’s report suffers from an obvious causal inference
23 problem. As shown in Rodden’s report, “Dominion software was most prominently in
24 use in 2020 in states that were already relatively Democratic in 2016.” Rodden Rep. at
25 11. Accordingly, “If extremely Democratic counties in states like those in New England
26
8
Plaintiffs filed Teasley’s Rebuttal Report after the deadline for expert disclosures on
27 December 5, 2020. They have not provided any indication that they intend for the rebuttal
report to be affirmative evidence. The report is untimely and should not be considered
28 within the Plaintiffs’ affirmative disclosures.
{00526210.1 }
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1 adopted a certain software in the past, and one examined a contemporary correlation
2 between voting behavior and the use of that technology, that correlation could not
3 plausibly be interpreted as evidence that the technology caused the voting outcomes . . .
4 .” Id. at 11-12. Teasley’s failure to employ the standard practices in the applicable social
5 science field and reliance upon a false causal inference nullify the value of his opinion
6 and demonstrate its lack of reliability. As such, the Court should not admit his testimony.
7 3. Russell James Ramsland, Jr.
8
Russell James Ramsland, Jr. offers opinions that the use of certain voting machines
9
influenced the outcome of the 2020 presidential election in Arizona and specifically
10
opines that 100,724 votes must be thrown out. See Ramsland Decl., Compl. Exh. 17 at
11
¶ 14, Doc. 1-9. Ramsland’s report should be excluded because Ramsland is not qualified
12
as an expert and fails to disclose the information relied on and the methodology he (or
13
others) utilized to reach his conclusions. His opinions are not reliable.
14
First, Ramsland is neither a statistician nor a computer scientist. Rather, he is a
15
businessman who lacks the qualifications necessary to offer expert opinion testimony on
16
the impact, if any, on the 2020 presidential election from the use of certain voting
17
machines. See id. at ¶¶ 1-2. In his declaration, Ramsland admits his lack of relevant
18
knowledge, education, and experience, stating that he “relied on [his employer’s] experts
19
and resources,” noting that his employer “provides a range of security services” and
20
employs a “wide variety of cyber and cyber forensic analysts.” Id. at ¶ 2. However,
21
Ramsland does not disclose who these unidentified “experts” are, which of them were
22
utilized, the sources of data they relied upon, the manner in which they performed
23
whatever work they did, and in what way Ramsland, in turn, relied on them. 9
24
25
9
26 Plaintiffs’ disclosures state that “Mr. Ramsland’s CV is attached hereto as Ex. 3.”
Exhibit 3 provided by Plaintiffs contains unidentified materials. One page states “Source
27 1” and another states “Source 4” at the top of the page. It is unclear if any of the pages
are Ramsland’s CV. Attached hereto please find a copy of this document, marked as
28 “Exhibit 4.”
{00526210.1 }
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1 Research” were “accessible” and “certainly compromised by rogue actors,” such as Iran
2 and China, and that Dominion and Edison Research “intentionally provided access to
3 their infrastructure in order to monitor and manipulate elections, including the most recent
4 one in 2020.” Spider. Decl. A, at ¶ 21, Doc. 1-5. Spider’s second declaration (which
5 actually appears to contain multiple declarations) does nothing more: providing a hodge-
6 podge of IP addresses allegedly showing that “SSL certificates” for Dominion were
7 connected to foreign systems; including purported screenshots from a site called
8 “offshoreleaks.icij.org”; averring that Smartmatic’s website is in the Philippines; and
9 including additional screenshots. Exh. 5, Spider Decl. B.
10 Spider appears to have applied no methodology other than a series of online and
11 other searches in reaching a conclusion that rests entirely on speculation. Cooper, 510
12 F.3d at 880. Spider’s declarations should not be considered.
13 5. Matthew Bromberg
14
Plaintiffs offer a declaration by Matthew Bromberg who purports to offer opinions
15
about statistical anomalies allegedly supportive of voter fraud. Compl. Exh. 19, Doc. 1-
16
10 (“Bromberg Decl.”).
17
To the extent Bromberg’s declaration refers to other states and cities outside of the
18
state of Arizona, Plaintiffs have not established the relevance of this information (and
19
cannot do so) to questions presented in this case regarding Arizona’s electoral system.
20
Bromberg’s opinions about other locations is therefore unhelpful to the trier of fact.
21
“Irrelevant evidence is not admissible.” Fed. R. Evid. 401.
22
The sole contention Bromberg raises concerning Arizona is that some sort of data
23
supports the idea that vote switching occurred in Maricopa, AZ. See Bromberg Decl.,
24
¶ 7. Bromberg points to voting precincts in Maricopa County with relatively few voters
25
and suggests that those precincts were more susceptible to voter fraud. But as Professor
26
Michael C. Herron explains in his expert report, Bromberg’s declaration is unreliable and
27
28
{00526210.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 65 Filed 12/07/20 Page 16 of 18
1 But even on its own terms, the disclosure makes it pure guesswork what Plaintiffs
2 intend to offer Waldron to testify about and therefore impossible to access Waldron’s
3 qualifications and the reliability of his expert testimony. On the record before the Court,
4 Waldron cannot qualify as an expert in anything. See Jinro Am. Inc., 266 F.3d at 1006.
5 B. Plaintiffs’ Export Reports Should be Excluded for Failure to Comply
with Federal Rule of Procedure 26(a)(2)(B).
6
7 Under Rule 26(a)(2) of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure, parties are required
8 to make certain disclosures relating to expert testimony and reports. First, parties are
9 required to disclose “the identity of any witness it may use at trial” to present expert
10 evidence. Fed. R. Civ. P. 26(a)(2)(A). The expert must provide a report containing “(i)
11 a complete statement of all opinions the witness will express and the basis and reasons
12 for them; (ii) the facts or data considered by the witness in forming them; (iii) any exhibits
13 that will be used to summarize or support them; (iv) the witness’s qualifications, including
14 a list of all publications authored in the previous 10 years; (v) a list of all other cases in
15 which, during the previous 4 years, the witness testified as an expert at trial or by
16 deposition; and (vi) a statement of the compensation to be paid for the study and testimony
17 in the case.” Fed. R. Civ. P. 26(a)(2)(B). “Rule 37(c)(1) gives teeth to these requirements
18 by forbidding the use at trial of any information required to be disclosed by Rule 26(a)
19 that is not properly disclosed.” Yeti, 259 F.3d at 1106.
20 Here, Plaintiffs’ expert disclosures related to their six so-called experts failed to
21 comply with the requirements of Federal Rule 26 and should therefore be excluded under
22 Rule 37(c)(1). “Bald conclusions, brief statements of ultimate conclusions with no
23 explanation of the basis and reasons therefore, or reports omitting a statement of how the
24 facts support the conclusions do not satisfy Rule 26(a)(2)(B).” Izzo, 2016 WL 593532,
25
26
27
28
{00526210.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 65 Filed 12/07/20 Page 18 of 18
1 at *2. 13 Exclusion is the only appropriate remedy here Ferreira v. Arpaio, No. CV-15-
2 01845-PHX-JAT, 2017 WL 5496135, at *1 (D. Ariz. Nov. 16, 2017) (citations omitted). 14
3 III. CONCLUSION
4 Plaintiffs’ proposed expert testimony and reports are based on anonymous affiants,
5 facially unqualified so-called experts, and an implausible claimed conspiracy
6 unsupported by reliable methods. Plaintiffs’ disclosures also flunk every requirement of
7 Rule 26(a)(2) of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. For the reasons stated herein, the
8 Court should exclude the testimony and reports of Plaintiffs’ six experts.
9 Respectfully submitted this 7th day of December, 2020.
10
11 COPPERSMITH BROCKELMAN PLC
By s/ Roopali H. Desai
12 Roopali H. Desai
13 D. Andrew Gaona
Kristen Yost
14 SUSMAN GODFREY L.L.P.
15 Justin A. Nelson
Stephen E. Morrissey
16 Stephen Shackelford
17 Davida Brook
28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
1077
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 66 Filed 12/07/20 Page 2 of 8
1 At the outset, Plaintiffs note that they believe making Daubert challenges is
2 inappropriate at the preliminary injunction stage of a case. The US Supreme Court has
3 recognized, due to the urgency of requests for preliminary injunctive relief "a preliminary
4 injunction is customarily granted on the basis of procedures that are less formal and
5 evidence that is less complete than in a trial on the merits." Univ. of Tex. v. Camenisch, 451
6 U.S. 390, 395, 101 S. Ct. 1830, 1834, 68 L.Ed.2d 175, 180. Not only may a preliminary
7 injunction be granted on the basis of declarations, but it may even be granted on the basis
8 of unsworn statements or hearsay. Flynt Distrib. Co. v. Harvey, 734 F.2d 1389, 1394 (9th
9 Cir. 1984). Hence, Plaintiffs’ position is that this Court should consider every piece of
10 evidence including every expert report submitted by all parties to this case and give them
11 the weight the court feels is due. On Sunday morning, counsel for Plaintiffs met and
12 conferred with counsel for Defendants and Intervenor, pursuant to this Court’s order, to
13 attempt to obtain stipulations as to the admissibility of witnesses and exhibits.
14 Unfortunately, an attorney for the Maricopa County Intervenor, derailed this meet and
15 confer with belligerent behavior and threats to “jack up” (i.e. beat up or stab)2 one of
16 Plaintiff’s attorneys and stipulations were unable to be obtained as to the admissibility of
17 any witness or exhibit.
18
However, if, notwithstanding, the Court feels that this is the appropriate time to
19
entertain Daubert-type challenges then Plaintiffs submit the following Objections to
20
Defendants’ designated expert witnesses:
21
22 I. LEGAL STANDARD
23
The Daubert standard for expert admissibility is codified at FRE 702. However,
24
"[T]he factors identified in Daubert may or may not be pertinent in assessing reliability,
25
depending on the nature of the issue, the expert's particular expertise, and the subject of his
26
27
2
Jack something up. (n.d.) McGRaw-Hill’s Dictionary of American Slang and Colloquial
28
Expressions. (2006). (“2. tv. to beat or stab someone. (Underworld.)”).
1078 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 66 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 8
1 testimony. Reliable expert testimony need only be relevant, and need not establish every
2 element that the plaintiff must prove, in order to be admissible.” Primiano v. Cook, 598
3 F.3d 558, 565 (9th Cir. 2010) (emphasis supplied). "Expert opinion testimony is relevant
4 if the knowledge underlying it has a valid connection to the pertinent inquiry. And it is
5 reliable if the knowledge underlying it has a reliable basis in the knowledge and experience
6 of the relevant discipline." Id. (emphasis supplied).
7
The experts Plaintiffs have designated have knowledge and experience in the fields
8
of either statistics or cyber-security. The expert reports Defendants have submitted3 take the
9
form of rebuttal reports to Plaintiffs’ experts.
10
11 However, as more fully set forth below, unlike the experts Plaintiffs have designated,
12 only one of the experts that Defendants have disclosed holds a degree in statistics or
13 mathematics4 and none has any sort of cybersecurity background whatsoever. Accordingly
14 they lack the knowledge or experience of the relevant disciplines necessary for their reports
15 and testimony to be considered, or, at the very least, the knowledge or experience of the
16 relevant disciplines necessary to provide rebuttal testimony.
17
1) Defendant Hobbs designated witness number 6, “Professor Rodden, Professor of
18
Political Science, Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and at the Stanford Institute for
19
Economic Policy Research, who is expected to provide expert testimony regarding the
20
information contained in the report he submitted with the Arizona Democratic Party’s
21
Motion to Dismiss this action, filed on 12/04/2020.
22
23
24
3
Defendant Hobbs attempts to incorporate the Arizona Democratic Party’s experts, and
25 presumably their reports, by reference. By filing this opposition, no admission is made
26 that this is in any way proper. Objection is additionally made to all witnesses and reports
submitted by the Arizona Democratic Party because the Arizona Democratic Party is not a
27 party to this case.
4
This expert did not provide his name in his report, nor did he sign his report, nor has any
28
party filed a motion to seal or a motion for a protective order pertaining to this expert.
1079 -3-
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28
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 66 Filed 12/07/20 Page 5 of 8
1081 -5-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 66 Filed 12/07/20 Page 6 of 8
1 and his opinions should be limited accordingly. This expert did not provide his name in his
2 report, nor did he sign his report, nor has any party filed a motion to seal or a motion for a
3 protective order pertaining to this expert. Plaintiffs do not see how, in fairness, his report or
4 testimony can be considered at the same time Defendants maintain their objection to a
5 handful of Plaintiffs’ witnesses keeping their identities. Even if this is a mere oversight and
6 this expert has been designated, the fact that his name is not linked with his report creates
7 prejudice to Plaintiffs in investigating and attempting to counter-this expert given the short
8 timeframes in this litigation.
9
Accordingly, the Plaintiffs respectfully request that the Court either admit the experts
10
and exhibits by every party as evidence and give them the weight they are due or prohibit
11
the above experts from testifying and their reports from being considered.
12
15
/s/ Howard Kleinhendler
16
Howard Kleinhendler (New York Bar No. 2657120)
17 Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
369 Lexington Ave. 12th Floor
18 New York, New York 10017
(917) 793-1188
19 [email protected]
Alexander Kolodin
20 Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
21
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
22 Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
23 *Application for admission pro hac vice
forthcoming
24
Of Counsel:
25 Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
26 Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
27 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd. Suite 300
Dallas, Texas 75219
28
1082 -6-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 66 Filed 12/07/20 Page 7 of 8
5 .
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1083 -7-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 66 Filed 12/07/20 Page 8 of 8
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2
10
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1084 -8-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 71 Filed 12/07/20 Page 1 of 3
16
Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy
17 Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Case No.: 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Christopher M. King, James R. Lamon, Sam
18 Moorhead, Robert Montgomery, Loraine
Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke
19 Scarmardo, Kelli Ward and Michael Ward; NOTICE OF SERVICE OF
20 PLAINTIFFS’ EXHIBIT LIST
Plaintiffs;
21
v.
22
Doug Ducey, in his official capacity as
23 Governor of the State of Arizona, and Katie
Hobbs, in her capacity as Secretary of State
24 of the State of Arizona;
25 Defendants.
26
27
28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
1085
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 71 Filed 12/07/20 Page 2 of 3
1 Pursuant to LRCiv 5.2, Plaintiffs hereby give notice that Plaintiffs’ Exhibit List was
2 served upon Defendant Doug Ducey, Defendant Katie Hobbs, and Maricopa County
3 Intervenors counsel of record via email on December 6, 2020 at 2:54 p.m.
4 Respectfully submitted this 7th day of December, 2020
5
/s Alexander Kolodin
6
Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
7 Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
8 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
9
*Application for admission pro hac vice
10 forthcoming
11 Of Counsel:
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
12 Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
13
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd. Suite 300
14 Dallas, Texas 75219
15 *Application for admission pro hac vice Forthcoming
16 L. Lin Wood (Georgia Bar No. 774588)
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
17 P.O. Box 52584
Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
18 Telephone: (404) 891-1402
19 Howard Kleinhendler (New York Bar No. 2657120)
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
20 369 Lexington Ave. 12th Floor
New York, New York 10017
21 (917) 793-1188
[email protected]
22
.
23
24
25
26
27
28
1086 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 71 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 3
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I hereby certify that on December 7th, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
3 foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
4 transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
5
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1087 -3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72 Filed 12/07/20 Page 1 of 4
28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
1088
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72 Filed 12/07/20 Page 2 of 4
19 /s/Alexander Kolodin
20 Alexander Kolodin
Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
21 Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
22 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
23
*Application for admission pro hac vice
24 forthcoming
25 Of Counsel:
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
26 Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
27
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd. Suite 300
28 Dallas, Texas 75219
1089 -2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 4
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1090 -3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72 Filed 12/07/20 Page 4 of 4
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I hereby certify that on December 7th, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
3 foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
4 transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
5
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1091 -4-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 1 of 46
Exhibit 1
1092
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 2 of 46
1093
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 46
1094
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 4 of 46
1095
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 5 of 46
1096
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 6 of 46
1097
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 7 of 46
1098
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 8 of 46
1099
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 9 of 46
1100
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 10 of 46
1101
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 11 of 46
1102
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 12 of 46
1103
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 13 of 46
1104
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 14 of 46
1105
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 15 of 46
1106
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 16 of 46
1107
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 17 of 46
1108
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 18 of 46
1109
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 72-1 Filed 12/07/20 Page 19 of 46
1110
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1111
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12
Attorneys for Defendant Douglas A. Ducey,
13
Snell & Wilmer
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
15
DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
16
17
Tyler Bowyer, et al.,
18 No. 2:20-cv-02321-DJH
Plaintiffs,
19 Supplement to Governor Ducey’s
v. Objections to Plaintiffs’ Exhibit and
20 Witness List for December 10 Hearing
Doug Ducey, et al.,
21
Defendants, Assigned to: Hon. Diane Humetewa
22
and TRO Hearing Set: December 10, 2020 at
23 9:30 a.m.
Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, et
24 al.,
25 Intervenor-Defendants
26
27
28
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1 Notice is hereby given that due to several different exhibit and witness lists disclosed
2 in this case on an expedited basis, Defendant Governor Douglas A. Ducey respectfully
3 supplements his objections to Plaintiffs’ exhibits (Doc. 63) in order to ensure that they
4 correspond with Plaintiffs’ final exhibit list. Specifically, the Governor states that his
5 objections concerning Plaintiffs’ Exhibits 1-23 are found at pages 10-18 of Doc. 63. 1 The
6 numbering of Exhibits 1-23 on these pages corresponds to Plaintiffs’ number of these same
7 proposed exhibits. Governor Ducey further clarifies that objections to Exhibit 24 can be
8 found at Page 7, Lines 15-25 of Doc. 63. Governor Ducey also withdraws the objections
9 that the following exhibits were not timely disclosed: Exhibit 2; Exhibit 2A; Exhibit 2B;
10 Exhibit 2C; Exhibit 2D; Exhibit 2E; Exhibit 7; Exhibit 9; Exhibit 9 A&B; Exhibit 10;
11 Exhibit 11; Exhibit 15; Exhibit 16; and Exhibit 18.
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12
13 DATED this 7th day of December, 2020.
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
26
27
1
The description of Exhibit 13 should also be revised from “Redacted Expert affidavit
28 statistician” to “Bryan Teasley-Statistician.”
1139 -1-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 73 Filed 12/07/20 Page 3 of 3
1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2
I certify that on December 7, 2020, I electronically transmitted the attached
3
document to the Clerk's Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and transmittal of a
4
Notice of Electronic Filing to the ECF registrants.
5
6
7
s/ Richard Schaan
8
9
10
11
One Arizona Center, 400 E. Van Buren, Suite 1900
12
13
Snell & Wilmer
Phoenix, Arizona 85004-2202
14
LAW OFFICES
602.382.6000
L.L.P.
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
1140 -2-
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28 1
District of Arizona admission scheduled for 12/9/2020.
1141
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9 /s/Alexander Kolodin
10 Alexander Kolodin
Sidney Powell PC Kolodin Law Group PLLC
11 Texas Bar No. 16209700 AZ Bar No. 030826
12 2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300 3443 N. Central Ave Ste 1009
Dallas, Texas 75219 Phoenix, AZ 85012
13
*Application for admission pro hac vice
14 forthcoming
15 Of Counsel:
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
16 Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
17
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd. Suite 300
18 Dallas, Texas 75219
19 *Application for admission pro hac vice Forthcoming
20 L. Lin Wood (Georgia Bar No. 774588)
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
21 P.O. Box 52584
Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
22 Telephone: (404) 891-1402
23 Howard Kleinhendler (New York Bar No. 2657120)
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
24 369 Lexington Ave. 12th Floor
New York, New York 10017
25 (917) 793-1188
[email protected]
26
.
27
28
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1143 -3-
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1 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
2 I hereby certify that on December 8th, 2020, I electronically transmitted the
3 foregoing document to the Clerk’s Office using the CM/ECF System for filing and
4 transmittal of a Notice of Electronic Filing to the CM/ECF registrants on record.
5
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
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1144 -4-
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Exhibit 1
1145
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STATE OF TEXAS,
Plaintiff,
v.
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA, STATE OF
GEORGIA, STATE OF MICHIGAN, AND STATE OF
WISCONSIN,
Defendants.
Ken Paxton*
Attorney General of Texas
Brent Webster
First Assistant Attorney
General of Texas
Lawrence Joseph
Special Counsel to the
Attorney General of Texas
1146
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i
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Pages
Motion for leave to File Bill of Complaint ................. 1
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STATE OF TEXAS,
Plaintiff,
v.
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA, STATE OF
GEORGIA, STATE OF MICHIGAN, AND STATE OF
WISCONSIN,
Defendants.
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1149
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Ken Paxton*
Attorney General of Texas
Brent Webster
First Assistant Attorney
General of Texas
Lawrence Joseph
Special Counsel to the
Attorney General of Texas
* Counsel of Record
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STATE OF TEXAS,
Plaintiff,
v.
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA, STATE OF
STATE OF GEORGIA, STATE OF MICHIGAN, AND
STATE OF WISCONSIN,
Defendants.
BILL OF COMPLAINT
Ken Paxton*
Attorney General of Texas
Brent Webster
First Assistant Attorney
General of Texas
Lawrence Joseph
Special Counsel to the
Attorney General of Texas
* Counsel of Record
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i
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Pages
Bill of Complaint ........................................................ 1
Nature of the Action ................................................... 3
Jurisdiction and Venue .............................................. 8
Parties ....................................................................... 10
Legal Background .................................................... 10
Facts.......................................................................... 12
Commonwealth of Pennsylvania ....................... 14
State of Georgia ................................................. 20
State of Michigan ............................................... 23
State of Wisconsin.............................................. 29
Count I: Electors Clause .......................................... 36
Count II: Equal Protection ....................................... 37
Count III: Due Process ............................................. 38
Prayer for Relief ....................................................... 39
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1
“[T]hat form of government which is best contrived to
secure an impartial and exact execution of the law, is
the best of republics.”
—John Adams
BILL OF COMPLAINT
Our Country stands at an important crossroads.
Either the Constitution matters and must be followed,
even when some officials consider it inconvenient or
out of date, or it is simply a piece of parchment on
display at the National Archives. We ask the Court to
choose the former.
Lawful elections are at the heart of our
constitutional democracy. The public, and indeed the
candidates themselves, have a compelling interest in
ensuring that the selection of a President—any
President—is legitimate. If that trust is lost, the
American Experiment will founder. A dark cloud
hangs over the 2020 Presidential election.
Here is what we know. Using the COVID-19
pandemic as a justification, government officials in
the defendant states of Georgia, Michigan, and
Wisconsin, and the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania
(collectively, “Defendant States”), usurped their
legislatures’ authority and unconstitutionally revised
their state’s election statutes. They accomplished
these statutory revisions through executive fiat or
friendly lawsuits, thereby weakening ballot integrity.
Finally, these same government officials flooded the
Defendant States with millions of ballots to be sent
through the mails, or placed in drop boxes, with little
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2
or no chain of custody1 and, at the same time,
weakened the strongest security measures protecting
the integrity of the vote—signature verification and
witness requirements.
Presently, evidence of material illegality in the
2020 general elections held in Defendant States grows
daily. And, to be sure, the two presidential candidates
who have garnered the most votes have an interest in
assuming the duties of the Office of President without
a taint of impropriety threatening the perceived
legitimacy of their election. However, 3 U.S.C. § 7
requires that presidential electors be appointed on
December 14, 2020. That deadline, however, should
not cement a potentially illegitimate election result in
the middle of this storm—a storm that is of the
Defendant States’ own making by virtue of their own
unconstitutional actions.
This Court is the only forum that can delay the
deadline for the appointment of presidential electors
under 3 U.S.C. §§ 5, 7. To safeguard public legitimacy
at this unprecedented moment and restore public
trust in the presidential election, this Court should
extend the December 14, 2020 deadline for Defendant
States’ certification of presidential electors to allow
these investigations to be completed. Should one of
the two leading candidates receive an absolute
majority of the presidential electors’ votes to be cast
on December 14, this would finalize the selection of
our President. The only date that is mandated under
1 See https://georgiastarnews.com/2020/12/05/dekalb-
county-cannot-find-chain-of-custody-records-for-absentee-
ballots-deposited-in-drop-boxes-it-has-not-been-determined-if-
responsive-records-to-your-request-exist/
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the Constitution, however, is January 20, 2021. U.S.
CONST. amend. XX.
Against that background, the State of Texas
(“Plaintiff State”) brings this action against
Defendant States based on the following allegations:
NATURE OF THE ACTION
1. Plaintiff State challenges Defendant
States’ administration of the 2020 election under the
Electors Clause of Article II, Section 1, Clause 2, and
the Fourteenth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution.
2. This case presents a question of law: Did
Defendant States violate the Electors Clause (or, in
the alternative, the Fourteenth Amendment) by
taking—or allowing—non-legislative actions to
change the election rules that would govern the
appointment of presidential electors?
3. Those unconstitutional changes opened
the door to election irregularities in various forms.
Plaintiff State alleges that each of the Defendant
States flagrantly violated constitutional rules
governing the appointment of presidential electors. In
doing so, seeds of deep distrust have been sown across
the country. In the spirit of Marbury v. Madison, this
Court’s attention is profoundly needed to declare what
the law is and to restore public trust in this election.
4. As Justice Gorsuch observed recently,
“Government is not free to disregard the
[Constitution] in times of crisis. … Yet recently,
during the COVID pandemic, certain States seem to
have ignored these long-settled principles.” Roman
Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn, New York v. Cuomo, 592
U.S. ____ (2020) (Gorsuch, J., concurring). This case is
no different.
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5. Each of Defendant States acted in a
common pattern. State officials, sometimes through
pending litigation (e.g., settling “friendly” suits) and
sometimes unilaterally by executive fiat, announced
new rules for the conduct of the 2020 election that
were inconsistent with existing state statutes defining
what constitutes a lawful vote.
6. Defendant States also failed to segregate
ballots in a manner that would permit accurate
analysis to determine which ballots were cast in
conformity with the legislatively set rules and which
were not. This is especially true of the mail-in ballots
in these States. By waiving, lowering, and otherwise
failing to follow the state statutory requirements for
signature validation and other processes for ballot
security, the entire body of such ballots is now
constitutionally suspect and may not be legitimately
used to determine allocation of the Defendant States’
presidential electors.
7. The rampant lawlessness arising out of
Defendant States’ unconstitutional acts is described
in a number of currently pending lawsuits in
Defendant States or in public view including:
• Dozens of witnesses testifying under oath about:
the physical blocking and kicking out of
Republican poll challengers; thousands of the
same ballots run multiple times through
tabulators; mysterious late night dumps of
thousands of ballots at tabulation centers;
illegally backdating thousands of ballots;
signature verification procedures ignored; more
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than 173,000 ballots in the Wayne County, MI
center that cannot be tied to a registered voter;2
• Videos of: poll workers erupting in cheers as poll
challengers are removed from vote counting
centers; poll watchers being blocked from entering
vote counting centers—despite even having a
court order to enter; suitcases full of ballots being
pulled out from underneath tables after poll
watchers were told to leave.
• Facts for which no independently verified
reasonable explanation yet exists: On October 1,
2020, in Pennsylvania a laptop and several USB
drives, used to program Pennsylvania’s Dominion
voting machines, were mysteriously stolen from a
warehouse in Philadelphia. The laptop and the
USB drives were the only items taken, and
potentially could be used to alter vote tallies; In
Michigan, which also employed the same
Dominion voting system, on November 4, 2020,
Michigan election officials have admitted that a
purported “glitch” caused 6,000 votes for
President Trump to be wrongly switched to
Democrat Candidate Biden. A flash drive
containing tens of thousands of votes was left
unattended in the Milwaukee tabulations center
in the early morning hours of Nov. 4, 2020,
without anyone aware it was not in a proper chain
of custody.
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8. Nor was this Court immune from the
blatant disregard for the rule of law. Pennsylvania
itself played fast and loose with its promise to this
Court. In a classic bait and switch, Pennsylvania used
guidance from its Secretary of State to argue that this
Court should not expedite review because the State
would segregate potentially unlawful ballots. A court
of law would reasonably rely on such a representation.
Remarkably, before the ink was dry on the Court’s 4-
4 decision, Pennsylvania changed that guidance,
breaking the State’s promise to this Court. Compare
Republican Party of Pa. v. Boockvar, No. 20-542, 2020
U.S. LEXIS 5188, at *5-6 (Oct. 28, 2020) (“we have
been informed by the Pennsylvania Attorney General
that the Secretary of the Commonwealth issued
guidance today directing county boards of elections to
segregate [late-arriving] ballots”) (Alito, J.,
concurring) with Republican Party v. Boockvar, No.
20A84, 2020 U.S. LEXIS 5345, at *1 (Nov. 6, 2020)
(“this Court was not informed that the guidance
issued on October 28, which had an important bearing
on the question whether to order special treatment of
the ballots in question, had been modified”) (Alito, J.,
Circuit Justice).
9. Expert analysis using a commonly
accepted statistical test further raises serious
questions as to the integrity of this election.
10. The probability of former Vice President
Biden winning the popular vote in the four Defendant
States—Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and
Wisconsin—independently given President Trump’s
early lead in those States as of 3 a.m. on November 4,
2020, is less than one in a quadrillion, or 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,000. For former Vice President
Biden to win these four States collectively, the odds of
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that event happening decrease to less than one in a
quadrillion to the fourth power (i.e., 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,0004). See Decl. of Charles J.
Cicchetti, Ph.D. (“Cicchetti Decl.”) at ¶¶ 14-21, 30-31.
See App. 4a-7a, 9a.
11. The same less than one in a quadrillion
statistical improbability of Mr. Biden winning the
popular vote in the four Defendant States—Georgia,
Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—
independently exists when Mr. Biden’s performance
in each of those Defendant States is compared to
former Secretary of State Hilary Clinton’s
performance in the 2016 general election and
President Trump’s performance in the 2016 and 2020
general elections. Again, the statistical improbability
of Mr. Biden winning the popular vote in these four
States collectively is 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,0005. Id.
10-13, 17-21, 30-31.
12. Put simply, there is substantial reason to
doubt the voting results in the Defendant States.
13. By purporting to waive or otherwise
modify the existing state law in a manner that was
wholly ultra vires and not adopted by each state’s
legislature, Defendant States violated not only the
Electors Clause, U.S. CONST. art. II, § 1, cl. 2, but also
the Elections Clause, id. art. I, § 4 (to the extent that
the Article I Elections Clause textually applies to the
Article II process of selecting presidential electors).
14. Plaintiff States and their voters are
entitled to a presidential election in which the votes
from each of the states are counted only if the ballots
are cast and counted in a manner that complies with
the pre-existing laws of each state. See Anderson v.
Celebrezze, 460 U.S. 780, 795 (1983) (“for the
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8
President and the Vice President of the United States
are the only elected officials who represent all the
voters in the Nation.”). Voters who cast lawful ballots
cannot have their votes diminished by states that
administered their 2020 presidential elections in a
manner where it is impossible to distinguish a lawful
ballot from an unlawful ballot.
15. The number of absentee and mail-in
ballots that have been handled unconstitutionally in
Defendant States greatly exceeds the difference
between the vote totals of the two candidates for
President of the United States in each Defendant
State.
16. In addition to injunctive relief for this
election, Plaintiff State seeks declaratory relief for all
presidential elections in the future. This problem is
clearly capable of repetition yet evading review. The
integrity of our constitutional democracy requires
that states conduct presidential elections in
accordance with the rule of law and federal
constitutional guarantees.
JURISDICTION AND VENUE
17. This Court has original and exclusive
jurisdiction over this action because it is a
“controvers[y] between two or more States” under
Article III, § 2, cl. 2 of the U.S. Constitution and 28
U.S.C. § 1251(a) (2018).
18. In a presidential election, “the impact of
the votes cast in each State is affected by the votes
cast for the various candidates in other States.”
Anderson, 460 U.S. at 795. The constitutional failures
of Defendant States injure Plaintiff States because
“‘the right of suffrage can be denied by a debasement
or dilution of the weight of a citizen’s vote just as
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effectively as by wholly prohibiting the free exercise of
the franchise.’” Bush v. Gore, 531 U.S. 98, 105 (2000)
(quoting Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U. S. 533, 555 (1964))
(Bush II). In other words, Plaintiff State is acting to
protect the interests of its respective citizens in the
fair and constitutional conduct of elections used to
appoint presidential electors.
19. This Court’s Article III decisions indicate
that only a state can bring certain claims. Lance v.
Coffman, 549 U.S. 437, 442 (2007) (distinguishing
citizen plaintiffs from citizen relators who sued in the
name of a state); cf. Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S.
497, 520 (2007) (courts owe states “special solicitude
in standing analysis”). Moreover, redressability likely
would undermine a suit against a single state officer
or State because no one State’s electoral votes will
make a difference in the election outcome. This action
against multiple State defendants is the only
adequate remedy for Plaintiff States, and this Court
is the only court that can accommodate such a suit.
20. Individual state courts do not—and
under the circumstance of contested elections in
multiple states, cannot—offer an adequate remedy to
resolve election disputes within the timeframe set by
the Constitution to resolve such disputes and to
appoint a President via the electoral college. No
court—other than this Court—can redress
constitutional injuries spanning multiple States with
the sufficient number of states joined as defendants or
respondents to make a difference in the Electoral
College.
21. This Court is the sole forum in which to
exercise the jurisdictional basis for this action.
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PARTIES
22. Plaintiff is the State of Texas, which is a
sovereign State of the United States.
23. Defendants are the Commonwealth of
Pennsylvania and the States of Georgia, Michigan,
and Wisconsin, which are sovereign States of the
United States.
LEGAL BACKGROUND
24. Under the Supremacy Clause, the “Con-
stitution, and the laws of the United States which
shall be made in pursuance thereof … shall be the
supreme law of the land.” U.S. CONST. Art. VI, cl. 2.
25. “The individual citizen has no federal
constitutional right to vote for electors for the
President of the United States unless and until the
state legislature chooses a statewide election as the
means to implement its power to appoint members of
the electoral college.” Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104 (citing
U.S. CONST. art. II, § 1).
26. State legislatures have plenary power to
set the process for appointing presidential electors:
“Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the
Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors.”
U.S. CONST. art. II, §1, cl. 2; see also Bush II, 531 U.S.
at 104 (“[T]he state legislature’s power to select the
manner for appointing electors is plenary.” (emphasis
added)).
27. At the time of the Founding, most States
did not appoint electors through popular statewide
elections. In the first presidential election, six of the
ten States that appointed electors did so by direct
legislative appointment. McPherson v. Blacker, 146
U.S. 1, 29-30 (1892).
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28. In the second presidential election, nine
of the fifteen States that appointed electors did so by
direct legislative appointment. Id. at 30.
29. In the third presidential election, nine of
sixteen States that appointed electors did so by direct
legislative appointment. Id. at 31. This practice
persisted in lesser degrees through the Election of
1860. Id. at 32.
30. Though “[h]istory has now favored the
voter,” Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104, “there is no doubt of
the right of the legislature to resume the power [of
appointing presidential electors] at any time, for it can
neither be taken away nor abdicated.” McPherson, 146
U.S. at 35 (emphasis added); cf. 3 U.S.C. § 2
(“Whenever any State has held an election for the
purpose of choosing electors, and has failed to make a
choice on the day prescribed by law, the electors may
be appointed on a subsequent day in such a manner
as the legislature of such State may direct.”).
31. Given the State legislatures’
constitutional primacy in selecting presidential
electors, the ability to set rules governing the casting
of ballots and counting of votes cannot be usurped by
other branches of state government.
32. The Framers of the Constitution decided
to select the President through the Electoral College
“to afford as little opportunity as possible to tumult
and disorder” and to place “every practicable obstacle
[to] cabal, intrigue, and corruption,” including “foreign
powers” that might try to insinuate themselves into
our elections. THE FEDERALIST NO. 68, at 410-11 (C.
Rossiter, ed. 1961) (Madison, J.).
33. Defendant States’ applicable laws are set
out under the facts for each Defendant State.
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FACTS
34. The use of absentee and mail-in ballots
skyrocketed in 2020, not only as a public-health
response to the COVID-19 pandemic but also at the
urging of mail-in voting’s proponents, and most
especially executive branch officials in Defendant
States. According to the Pew Research Center, in the
2020 general election, a record number of votes—
about 65 million—were cast via mail compared to 33.5
million mail-in ballots cast in the 2016 general
election—an increase of more than 94 percent.
35. In the wake of the contested 2000
election, the bipartisan Jimmy Carter-James Baker
commission identified absentee ballots as “the largest
source of potential voter fraud.” BUILDING
CONFIDENCE IN U.S. ELECTIONS: REPORT OF THE
COMMISSION ON FEDERAL ELECTION REFORM, at 46
(Sept. 2005).
36. Concern over the use of mail-in ballots is
not novel to the modern era, Dustin Waters, Mail-in
Ballots Were Part of a Plot to Deny Lincoln Reelection
in 1864, WASH. POST (Aug. 22, 2020),3 but it remains a
current concern. Crawford v. Marion Cty. Election
Bd., 553 U.S. 181, 194-96 & n.11 (2008); see also Texas
Office of the Attorney General, AG Paxton Announces
Joint Prosecution of Gregg County Organized Election
Fraud in Mail-In Balloting Scheme (Sept. 24, 2020);
Harriet Alexander & Ariel Zilber, Minneapolis police
opens investigation into reports that Ilhan Omar's
supporters illegally harvested Democrat ballots in
Minnesota, DAILY MAIL, Sept. 28, 2020.
3 https://www.washingtonpost.com/history/2020/08/22/mail-
in-voting-civil-war-election-conspiracy-lincoln/
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37. Absentee and mail-in voting are the
primary opportunities for unlawful ballots to be cast.
As a result of expanded absentee and mail-in voting
in Defendant States, combined with Defendant States’
unconstitutional modification of statutory protections
designed to ensure ballot integrity, Defendant States
created a massive opportunity for fraud. In addition,
the Defendant States have made it difficult or
impossible to separate the constitutionally tainted
mail-in ballots from all mail-in ballots.
38. Rather than augment safeguards
against illegal voting in anticipation of the millions of
additional mail-in ballots flooding their States,
Defendant States all materially weakened, or did
away with, security measures, such as witness or
signature verification procedures, required by their
respective legislatures. Their legislatures established
those commonsense safeguards to prevent—or at least
reduce—fraudulent mail-in ballots.
39. Significantly, in Defendant States,
Democrat voters voted by mail at two to three times
the rate of Republicans. Former Vice President Biden
thus greatly benefited from this unconstitutional
usurpation of legislative authority, and the
weakening of legislative mandated ballot security
measures.
40. The outcome of the Electoral College vote
is directly affected by the constitutional violations
committed by Defendant States. Plaintiff State
complied with the Constitution in the process of
appointing presidential electors for President Trump.
Defendant States violated the Constitution in the
process of appointing presidential electors by
unlawfully abrogating state election laws designed to
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protect the integrity of the ballots and the electoral
process, and those violations proximately caused the
appointment of presidential electors for former Vice
President Biden. Plaintiff State will therefore be
injured if Defendant States’ unlawfully certify these
presidential electors.
Commonwealth of Pennsylvania
41. Pennsylvania has 20 electoral votes,
with a statewide vote tally currently estimated at
3,363,951 for President Trump and 3,445,548 for
former Vice President Biden, a margin of 81,597 votes.
42. The number of votes affected by the
various constitutional violations exceeds the margin
of votes separating the candidates.
43. Pennsylvania’s Secretary of State, Kathy
Boockvar, without legislative approval, unilaterally
abrogated several Pennsylvania statutes requiring
signature verification for absentee or mail-in ballots.
Pennsylvania’s legislature has not ratified these
changes, and the legislation did not include a
severability clause.
44. On August 7, 2020, the League of Women
Voters of Pennsylvania and others filed a complaint
against Secretary Boockvar and other local election
officials, seeking “a declaratory judgment that
Pennsylvania existing signature verification
procedures for mail-in voting” were unlawful for a
number of reasons. League of Women Voters of
Pennsylvania v. Boockvar, No. 2:20-cv-03850-PBT,
(E.D. Pa. Aug. 7, 2020).
45. The Pennsylvania Department of State
quickly settled with the plaintiffs, issuing revised
guidance on September 11, 2020, stating in relevant
part: “The Pennsylvania Election Code does not
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authorize the county board of elections to set aside
returned absentee or mail-in ballots based solely on
signature analysis by the county board of elections.”
46. This guidance is contrary to
Pennsylvania law. First, Pennsylvania Election Code
mandates that, for non-disabled and non-military
voters, all applications for an absentee or mail-in
ballot “shall be signed by the applicant.” 25 PA. STAT.
§§ 3146.2(d) & 3150.12(c). Second, Pennsylvania’s
voter signature verification requirements are
expressly set forth at 25 PA. STAT. 350(a.3)(1)-(2) and
§ 3146.8(g)(3)-(7).
47. The Pennsylvania Department of State’s
guidance unconstitutionally did away with
Pennsylvania’s statutory signature verification
requirements. Approximately 70 percent of the
requests for absentee ballots were from Democrats
and 25 percent from Republicans. Thus, this
unconstitutional abrogation of state election law
greatly inured to former Vice President Biden’s
benefit.
48. In addition, in 2019, Pennsylvania’s
legislature enacted bipartisan election reforms, 2019
Pa. Legis. Serv. Act 2019-77, that set inter alia a
deadline of 8:00 p.m. on election day for a county
board of elections to receive a mail-in ballot. 25 PA.
STAT. §§ 3146.6(c), 3150.16(c). Acting under a
generally worded clause that “Elections shall be free
and equal,” PA. CONST. art. I, § 5, cl. 1, a 4-3 majority
of Pennsylvania’s Supreme Court in Pa. Democratic
Party v. Boockvar, 238 A.3d 345 (Pa. 2020), extended
that deadline to three days after Election Day and
adopted a presumption that even non-postmarked
ballots were presumptively timely.
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49. Pennsylvania’s election law also requires
that poll-watchers be granted access to the opening,
counting, and recording of absentee ballots: “Watchers
shall be permitted to be present when the envelopes
containing official absentee ballots and mail-in ballots
are opened and when such ballots are counted and
recorded.” 25 PA. STAT. § 3146.8(b). Local election
officials in Philadelphia and Allegheny Counties
decided not to follow 25 PA. STAT. § 3146.8(b) for the
opening, counting, and recording of absentee and
mail-in ballots.
50. Prior to the election, Secretary Boockvar
sent an email to local election officials urging them to
provide opportunities for various persons—including
political parties—to contact voters to “cure” defective
mail-in ballots. This process clearly violated several
provisions of the state election code.
• Section 3146.8(a) requires: “The county boards of
election, upon receipt of official absentee ballots in
sealed official absentee ballot envelopes as
provided under this article and mail-in ballots as
in sealed official mail-in ballot envelopes as
provided under Article XIII-D,1 shall safely keep
the ballots in sealed or locked containers until
they are to be canvassed by the county board of
elections.”
• Section 3146.8(g)(1)(ii) provides that mail-in
ballots shall be canvassed (if they are received by
eight o’clock p.m. on election day) in the manner
prescribed by this subsection.
• Section 3146.8(g)(1.1) provides that the first look
at the ballots shall be “no earlier than seven
o’clock a.m. on election day.” And the hour for this
“pre-canvas” must be publicly announced at least
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48 hours in advance. Then the votes are counted
on election day.
51. By removing the ballots for examination
prior to seven o’clock a.m. on election day, Secretary
Boockvar created a system whereby local officials
could review ballots without the proper
announcements, observation, and security. This
entire scheme, which was only followed in Democrat
majority counties, was blatantly illegal in that it
permitted the illegal removal of ballots from their
locked containers prematurely.
52. Statewide election officials and local
election officials in Philadelphia and Allegheny
Counties, aware of the historical Democrat advantage
in those counties, violated Pennsylvania’s election
code and adopted the differential standards favoring
voters in Philadelphia and Allegheny Counties with
the intent to favor former Vice President Biden. See
Verified Complaint (Doc. No. 1), Donald J. Trump for
President, Inc. v. Boockvar, 4:20-cv-02078-MWB (M.D.
Pa. Nov. 18, 2020) at ¶¶ 3-6, 9, 11, 100-143.
53. Absentee and mail-in ballots in
Pennsylvania were thus evaluated under an illegal
standard regarding signature verification. It is now
impossible to determine which ballots were properly
cast and which ballots were not.
54. The changed process allowing the curing
of absentee and mail-in ballots in Allegheny and
Philadelphia counties is a separate basis resulting in
an unknown number of ballots being treated in an
unconstitutional manner inconsistent with
Pennsylvania statute. Id.
55. In addition, a great number of ballots
were received after the statutory deadline and yet
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were counted by virtue of the fact that Pennsylvania
did not segregate all ballots received after 8:00 pm on
November 3, 2020. Boockvar’s claim that only about
10,000 ballots were received after this deadline has no
way of being proven since Pennsylvania broke its
promise to the Court to segregate ballots and co-
mingled perhaps tens, or even hundreds of thousands,
of illegal late ballots.
56. On December 4, 2020, fifteen members of
the Pennsylvania House of Representatives led by
Rep. Francis X. Ryan issued a report to Congressman
Scott Perry (the “Ryan Report,” App. 139a-144a)
stating that “[t]he general election of 2020 in
Pennsylvania was fraught with inconsistencies,
documented irregularities and improprieties
associated with mail-in balloting, pre-canvassing, and
canvassing that the reliability of the mail-in votes in
the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania is impossible to
rely upon.”
57. The Ryan Report’s findings are startling,
including:
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number of mail-in ballots distributed to the
populace—now with no longer subject to legislated
mandated signature verification requirements.
59. The Ryan Report also states as follows:
[I]n a data file received on November 4, 2020, the
Commonwealth’s PA Open Data sites reported over
3.1 million mail in ballots sent out. The CSV file
from the state on November 4 depicts 3.1 million
mail in ballots sent out but on November 2, the
information was provided that only 2.7 million
ballots had been sent out. This discrepancy of
approximately 400,000 ballots from November 2 to
November 4 has not been explained.
Id. at 143a-44a. (Emphasis added).
60. These stunning figures illustrate the
out-of-control nature of Pennsylvania’s mail-in
balloting scheme. Democrats submitted mail-in
ballots at more than two times the rate of
Republicans. This number of constitutionally tainted
ballots far exceeds the approximately 81,660 votes
separating the candidates.
61. This blatant disregard of statutory law
renders all mail-in ballots constitutionally tainted
and cannot form the basis for appointing or certifying
Pennsylvania’s presidential electors to the Electoral
College.
62. According to the U.S. Election
Assistance Commission’s report to Congress Election
Administration and Voting Survey: 2016
Comprehensive Report, in 2016 Pennsylvania received
266,208 mail-in ballots; 2,534 of them were rejected
(.95%). Id. at p. 24. However, in 2020, Pennsylvania
received more than 10 times the number of mail-in
ballots compared to 2016. As explained supra, this
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much larger volume of mail-in ballots was treated in
an unconstitutionally modified manner that included:
(1) doing away with the Pennsylvania’s signature
verification requirements; (2) extending that deadline
to three days after Election Day and adopting a
presumption that even non-postmarked ballots were
presumptively timely; and (3) blocking poll watchers
in Philadelphia and Allegheny Counties in violation of
State law.
63. These non-legislative modifications to
Pennsylvania’s election rules appear to have
generated an outcome-determinative number of
unlawful ballots that were cast in Pennsylvania.
Regardless of the number of such ballots, the non-
legislative changes to the election rules violated the
Electors Clause.
State of Georgia
64. Georgia has 16 electoral votes, with a
statewide vote tally currently estimated at 2,458,121
for President Trump and 2,472,098 for former Vice
President Biden, a margin of approximately 12,670
votes.
65. The number of votes affected by the
various constitutional violations exceeds the margin
of votes dividing the candidates.
66. Georgia’s Secretary of State, Brad
Raffensperger, without legislative approval,
unilaterally abrogated Georgia’s statute governing
the signature verification process for absentee ballots.
67. O.C.G.A. § 21-2-386(a)(2) prohibits the
opening of absentee ballots until after the polls open
on Election Day: In April 2020, however, the State
Election Board adopted Secretary of State Rule 183-1-
14-0.9-.15, Processing Ballots Prior to Election Day.
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That rule purports to authorize county election
officials to begin processing absentee ballots up to
three weeks before Election Day.
68. Georgia law authorizes and requires a
single registrar or clerk—after reviewing the outer
envelope—to reject an absentee ballot if the voter
failed to sign the required oath or to provide the
required information, the signature appears invalid,
or the required information does not conform with the
information on file, or if the voter is otherwise found
ineligible to vote. O.C.G.A. § 21-2-386(a)(1)(B)-(C).
69. Georgia law provides absentee voters the
chance to “cure a failure to sign the oath, an invalid
signature, or missing information” on a ballot’s outer
envelope by the deadline for verifying provisional
ballots (i.e., three days after the election). O.C.G.A. §§
21-2-386(a)(1)(C), 21-2-419(c)(2). To facilitate cures,
Georgia law requires the relevant election official to
notify the voter in writing: “The board of registrars or
absentee ballot clerk shall promptly notify the elector
of such rejection, a copy of which notification shall be
retained in the files of the board of registrars or
absentee ballot clerk for at least two years.” O.C.G.A.
§ 21-2-386(a)(1)(B).
70. On March 6, 2020, in Democratic Party
of Georgia v. Raffensperger, No. 1:19-cv-5028-WMR
(N.D. Ga.), Georgia’s Secretary of State entered a
Compromise Settlement Agreement and Release with
the Democratic Party of Georgia (the “Settlement”) to
materially change the statutory requirements for
reviewing signatures on absentee ballot envelopes to
confirm the voter’s identity by making it far more
difficult to challenge defective signatures beyond the
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express mandatory procedures set forth at GA. CODE §
21-2-386(a)(1)(B).
71. Among other things, before a ballot could
be rejected, the Settlement required a registrar who
found a defective signature to now seek a review by
two other registrars, and only if a majority of the
registrars agreed that the signature was defective
could the ballot be rejected but not before all three
registrars’ names were written on the ballot envelope
along with the reason for the rejection. These
cumbersome procedures are in direct conflict with
Georgia’s statutory requirements, as is the
Settlement’s requirement that notice be provided by
telephone (i.e., not in writing) if a telephone number
is available. Finally, the Settlement purports to
require State election officials to consider issuing
guidance and training materials drafted by an expert
retained by the Democratic Party of Georgia.
72. Georgia’s legislature has not ratified
these material changes to statutory law mandated by
the Compromise Settlement Agreement and Release,
including altered signature verification requirements
and early opening of ballots. The relevant legislation
that was violated by Compromise Settlement
Agreement and Release did not include a severability
clause.
73. This unconstitutional change in Georgia
law materially benefitted former Vice President
Biden. According to the Georgia Secretary of State’s
office, former Vice President Biden had almost double
the number of absentee votes (65.32%) as President
Trump (34.68%). See Cicchetti Decl. at ¶ 25, App. 7a-
8a.
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74. The effect of this unconstitutional
change in Georgia election law, which made it more
likely that ballots without matching signatures would
be counted, had a material impact on the outcome of
the election.
75. Specifically, there were 1,305,659
absentee mail-in ballots submitted in Georgia in 2020.
There were 4,786 absentee ballots rejected in 2020.
This is a rejection rate of .37%. In contrast, in 2016,
the 2016 rejection rate was 6.42% with 13,677
absentee mail-in ballots being rejected out of 213,033
submitted, which more than seventeen times greater
than in 2020. See Cicchetti Decl. at ¶ 24, App. 7a.
76. If the rejection rate of mailed-in absentee
ballots remained the same in 2020 as it was in 2016,
there would be 83,517 less tabulated ballots in 2020.
The statewide split of absentee ballots was 34.68% for
Trump and 65.2% for Biden. Rejecting at the higher
2016 rate with the 2020 split between Trump and
Biden would decrease Trump votes by 28,965 and
Biden votes by 54,552, which would be a net gain for
Trump of 25,587 votes. This would be more than
needed to overcome the Biden advantage of 12,670
votes, and Trump would win by 12,917 votes. Id.
Regardless of the number of ballots affected, however,
the non-legislative changes to the election rules
violated the Electors Clause.
State of Michigan
77. Michigan has 16 electoral votes, with a
statewide vote tally currently estimated at 2,650,695
for President Trump and 2,796,702 for former Vice
President Biden, a margin of 146,007 votes. In Wayne
County, Mr. Biden’s margin (322,925 votes)
significantly exceeds his statewide lead.
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78. The number of votes affected by the
various constitutional violations exceeds the margin
of votes dividing the candidates.
79. Michigan’s Secretary of State, Jocelyn
Benson, without legislative approval, unilaterally
abrogated Michigan election statutes related to
absentee ballot applications and signature
verification. Michigan’s legislature has not ratified
these changes, and its election laws do not include a
severability clause.
80. As amended in 2018, the Michigan
Constitution provides all registered voters the right to
request and vote by an absentee ballot without giving
a reason. MICH. CONST. art. 2, § 4.
81. On May 19, 2020, however, Secretary
Benson announced that her office would send
unsolicited absentee-voter ballot applications by mail
to all 7.7 million registered Michigan voters prior to
the primary and general elections. Although her office
repeatedly encouraged voters to vote absentee
because of the COVID-19 pandemic, it did not ensure
that Michigan’s election systems and procedures were
adequate to ensure the accuracy and legality of the
historic flood of mail-in votes. In fact, it did the
opposite and did away with protections designed to
deter voter fraud.
82. Secretary Benson’s flooding of Michigan
with millions of absentee ballot applications prior to
the 2020 general election violated M.C.L. § 168.759(3).
That statute limits the procedures for requesting an
absentee ballot to three specified ways:
An application for an absent voter ballot under this
section may be made in any of the following ways:
(a) By a written request signed by the voter.
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(b) On an absent voter ballot application form
provided for that purpose by the clerk of the city or
township.
(c) On a federal postcard application.
M.C.L. § 168.759(3) (emphasis added).
83. The Michigan Legislature thus declined
to include the Secretary of State as a means for
distributing absentee ballot applications. Id. §
168.759(3)(b). Under the statute’s plain language, the
Legislature explicitly gave only local clerks the power
to distribute absentee voter ballot applications. Id.
84. Because the Legislature declined to
explicitly include the Secretary of State as a vehicle
for distributing absentee ballots applications,
Secretary Benson lacked authority to distribute even
a single absentee voter ballot application—much less
the millions of absentee ballot applications Secretary
Benson chose to flood across Michigan.
85. Secretary Benson also violated Michigan
law when she launched a program in June 2020
allowing absentee ballots to be requested online,
without signature verification as expressly required
under Michigan law. The Michigan Legislature did
not approve or authorize Secretary Benson’s
unilateral actions.
86. MCL § 168.759(4) states in relevant part:
“An applicant for an absent voter ballot shall sign the
application. Subject to section 761(2), a clerk or
assistant clerk shall not deliver an absent voter ballot
to an applicant who does not sign the application.”
87. Further, MCL § 168.761(2) states in
relevant part: “The qualified voter file must be used to
determine the genuineness of a signature on an
application for an absent voter ballot”, and if “the
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signatures do not agree sufficiently or [if] the
signature is missing” the ballot must be rejected.
88. In 2016 only 587,618 Michigan voters
requested absentee ballots. In stark contrast, in 2020,
3.2 million votes were cast by absentee ballot, about
57% of total votes cast – and more than five times the
number of ballots even requested in 2016.
89. Secretary Benson’s unconstitutional
modifications of Michigan’s election rules resulted in
the distribution of millions of absentee ballot
applications without verifying voter signatures as
required by MCL §§ 168.759(4) and 168.761(2). This
means that millions of absentee ballots were
disseminated in violation of Michigan’s statutory
signature-verification requirements. Democrats in
Michigan voted by mail at a ratio of approximately
two to one compared to Republican voters. Thus,
former Vice President Biden materially benefited
from these unconstitutional changes to Michigan’s
election law.
90. Michigan also requires that poll
watchers and inspectors have access to vote counting
and canvassing. M.C.L. §§ 168.674-.675.
91. Local election officials in Wayne County
made a conscious and express policy decision not to
follow M.C.L. §§ 168.674-.675 for the opening,
counting, and recording of absentee ballots.
92. Michigan also has strict signature
verification requirements for absentee ballots,
including that the Elections Department place a
written statement or stamp on each ballot envelope
where the voter signature is placed, indicating that
the voter signature was in fact checked and verified
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with the signature on file with the State. See MCL §
168.765a(6).
93. However, Wayne County made the policy
decision to ignore Michigan’s statutory signature-
verification requirements for absentee ballots. Former
Vice President Biden received approximately 587,074,
or 68%, of the votes cast there compared to President
Trump’s receiving approximate 264,149, or 30.59%, of
the total vote. Thus, Mr. Biden materially benefited
from these unconstitutional changes to Michigan’s
election law.
94. Numerous poll challengers and an
Election Department employee whistleblower have
testified that the signature verification requirement
was ignored in Wayne County in a case currently
pending in the Michigan Supreme Court.4 For
example, Jesse Jacob, a decades-long City of Detroit
employee assigned to work in the Elections Department for
the 2020 election testified that:
Absentee ballots that were received in the mail would
have the voter’s signature on the envelope. While I
was at the TCF Center, I was instructed not to look at
any of the signatures on the absentee ballots, and I
was instructed not to compare the signature on the
absentee ballot with the signature on file.5
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95. The TCF was the only facility within
Wayne County authorized to count ballots for the City
of Detroit.
96. These non-legislative modifications to
Michigan’s election statutes resulted in a number of
constitutionally tainted votes that far exceeds the
margin of voters separating the candidates in
Michigan.
97. Additional public information confirms
the material adverse impact on the integrity of the
vote in Wayne County caused by these
unconstitutional changes to Michigan’s election law.
For example, the Wayne County Statement of Votes
Report lists 174,384 absentee ballots out of 566,694
absentee ballots tabulated (about 30.8%) as counted
without a registration number for precincts in the
City of Detroit. See Cicchetti Decl. at ¶ 27, App. 8a.
The number of votes not tied to a registered voter by
itself exceeds Vice President Biden’s margin of margin
of 146,007 votes by more than 28,377 votes.
98. The extra ballots cast most likely
resulted from the phenomenon of Wayne County
election workers running the same ballots through a
tabulator multiple times, with Republican poll
watchers obstructed or denied access, and election
officials ignoring poll watchers’ challenges, as
documented by numerous declarations. App. 25a-51a.
99. In addition, a member of the Wayne
County Board of Canvassers (“Canvassers Board”),
William Hartman, determined that 71% of Detroit’s
Absent Voter Counting Boards (“AVCBs”) were
unbalanced—i.e., the number of people who checked
in did not match the number of ballots cast—without
explanation. Id. at ¶ 29.
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100. On November 17, 2020, the Canvassers
Board deadlocked 2-2 over whether to certify the
results of the presidential election based on numerous
reports of fraud and unanswered material
discrepancies in the county-wide election results. A
few hours later, the Republican Board members
reversed their decision and voted to certify the results
after severe harassment, including threats of violence.
101. The following day, the two Republican
members of the Board rescinded their votes to certify
the vote and signed affidavits alleging they were
bullied and misled into approving election results and
do not believe the votes should be certified until
serious irregularities in Detroit votes are resolved. See
Cicchetti Decl. at ¶ 29, App. 8a.
102. Regardless of the number of votes that
were affected by the unconstitutional modification of
Michigan’s election rules, the non-legislative changes
to the election rules violated the Electors Clause.
State of Wisconsin
103. Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes, with a
statewide vote tally currently estimated at 1,610,151
for President Trump and 1,630,716 for former Vice
President Biden (i.e., a margin of 20,565 votes). In two
counties, Milwaukee and Dane, Mr. Biden’s margin
(364,298 votes) significantly exceeds his statewide
lead.
104. In the 2016 general election some
146,932 mail-in ballots were returned in Wisconsin
out of more than 3 million votes cast.6 In stark
contrast, 1,275,019 mail-in ballots, nearly a 900
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percent increase over 2016, were returned in the
November 3, 2020 election.7
105. Wisconsin statutes guard against fraud
in absentee ballots: “[V]oting by absentee ballot is a
privilege exercised wholly outside the traditional
safeguards of the polling place. The legislature finds
that the privilege of voting by absentee ballot must be
carefully regulated to prevent the potential for fraud
or abuse[.]” WISC. STAT. § 6.84(1).
106. In direct contravention of Wisconsin law,
leading up to the 2020 general election, the Wisconsin
Elections Commission (“WEC”) and other local
officials unconstitutionally modified Wisconsin
election laws—each time taking steps that weakened,
or did away with, established security procedures put
in place by the Wisconsin legislature to ensure
absentee ballot integrity.
107. For example, the WEC undertook a
campaign to position hundreds of drop boxes to collect
absentee ballots—including the use of unmanned drop
boxes.8
108. The mayors of Wisconsin’s five largest
cities—Green Bay, Kenosha, Madison, Milwaukee,
and Racine, which all have Democrat majorities—
joined in this effort, and together, developed a plan
use purportedly “secure drop-boxes to facilitate return
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of absentee ballots.” Wisconsin Safe Voting Plan 2020,
at 4 (June 15, 2020).9
109. It is alleged in an action recently filed in
the United States District Court for the Eastern
District of Wisconsin that over five hundred
unmanned, illegal, absentee ballot drop boxes were
used in the Presidential election in Wisconsin.10
110. However, the use of any drop box,
manned or unmanned, is directly prohibited by
Wisconsin statute. The Wisconsin legislature
specifically described in the Election Code “Alternate
absentee ballot site[s]” and detailed the procedure by
which the governing body of a municipality may
designate a site or sites for the delivery of absentee
ballots “other than the office of the municipal clerk or
board of election commissioners as the location from
which electors of the municipality may request and
vote absentee ballots and to which voted absentee
ballots shall be returned by electors for any election.”
Wis. Stat. 6.855(1).
111. Any alternate absentee ballot site “shall
be staffed by the municipal clerk or the executive
director of the board of election commissioners, or
employees of the clerk or the board of election
commissioners.” Wis. Stat. 6.855(3). Likewise, Wis.
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Stat. 7.15(2m) provides, “[i]n a municipality in which
the governing body has elected to an establish an
alternate absentee ballot sit under s. 6.855, the
municipal clerk shall operate such site as though it
were his or her office for absentee ballot purposes and
shall ensure that such site is adequately staffed.”
112. Thus, the unmanned absentee ballot
drop-off sites are prohibited by the Wisconsin
Legislature as they do not comply with Wisconsin law
expressly defining “[a]lternate absentee ballot site[s]”.
Wis. Stat. 6.855(1), (3).
113. In addition, the use of drop boxes for the
collection of absentee ballots, positioned
predominantly in Wisconsin’s largest cities, is directly
contrary to Wisconsin law providing that absentee
ballots may only be “mailed by the elector, or delivered
in person to the municipal clerk issuing the ballot or
ballots.” Wis. Stat. § 6.87(4)(b)1 (emphasis added).
114. The fact that other methods of delivering
absentee ballots, such as through unmanned drop
boxes, are not permitted is underscored by Wis. Stat.
§ 6.87(6) which mandates that, “[a]ny ballot not
mailed or delivered as provided in this subsection may
not be counted.” Likewise, Wis. Stat. § 6.84(2)
underscores this point, providing that Wis. Stat. §
6.87(6) “shall be construed as mandatory.” The
provision continues—“Ballots cast in contravention of
the procedures specified in those provisions may not
be counted. Ballots counted in contravention of the
procedures specified in those provisions may not be
included in the certified result of any election.” Wis.
Stat. § 6.84(2) (emphasis added).
115. These were not the only Wisconsin
election laws that the WEC violated in the 2020
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33
general election. The WEC and local election officials
also took it upon themselves to encourage voters to
unlawfully declare themselves “indefinitely
confined”—which under Wisconsin law allows the
voter to avoid security measures like signature
verification and photo ID requirements.
116. Specifically, registering to vote by
absentee ballot requires photo identification, except
for those who register as “indefinitely confined” or
“hospitalized.” WISC. STAT. § 6.86(2)(a), (3)(a).
Registering for indefinite confinement requires
certifying confinement “because of age, physical
illness or infirmity or [because the voter] is disabled
for an indefinite period.” Id. § 6.86(2)(a). Should
indefinite confinement cease, the voter must notify
the county clerk, id., who must remove the voter from
indefinite-confinement status. Id. § 6.86(2)(b).
117. Wisconsin election procedures for voting
absentee based on indefinite confinement enable the
voter to avoid the photo ID requirement and signature
requirement. Id. § 6.86(1)(ag)/(3)(a)(2).
118. On March 25, 2020, in clear violation of
Wisconsin law, Dane County Clerk Scott McDonnell
and Milwaukee County Clerk George Christensen
both issued guidance indicating that all voters should
mark themselves as “indefinitely confined” because of
the COVID-19 pandemic.
119. Believing this to be an attempt to
circumvent Wisconsin’s strict voter ID laws, the
Republican Party of Wisconsin petitioned the
Wisconsin Supreme Court to intervene. On March 31,
2020, the Wisconsin Supreme Court unanimously
confirmed that the clerks’ “advice was legally
incorrect” and potentially dangerous because “voters
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34
may be misled to exercise their right to vote in ways
that are inconsistent with WISC. STAT. § 6.86(2).”
120. On May 13, 2020, the Administrator of
WEC issued a directive to the Wisconsin clerks
prohibiting removal of voters from the registry for
indefinite-confinement status if the voter is no longer
“indefinitely confined.”
121. The WEC’s directive violated Wisconsin
law. Specifically, WISC. STAT. § 6.86(2)(a) specifically
provides that “any [indefinitely confined] elector [who]
is no longer indefinitely confined … shall so notify the
municipal clerk.” WISC. STAT. § 6.86(2)(b) further
provides that the municipal clerk “shall remove the
name of any other elector from the list upon request
of the elector or upon receipt of reliable information
that an elector no longer qualifies for the service.”
122. According to statistics kept by the WEC,
nearly 216,000 voters said they were indefinitely
confined in the 2020 election, nearly a fourfold
increase from nearly 57,000 voters in 2016. In Dane
and Milwaukee counties, more than 68,000 voters
said they were indefinitely confined in 2020, a fourfold
increase from the roughly 17,000 indefinitely confined
voters in those counties in 2016.
123. Under Wisconsin law, voting by absentee
ballot also requires voters to complete a certification,
including their address, and have the envelope
witnessed by an adult who also must sign and indicate
their address on the envelope. See WISC. STAT. § 6.87.
The sole remedy to cure an “improperly completed
certificate or [ballot] with no certificate” is for “the
clerk [to] return the ballot to the elector[.]” Id. §
6.87(9). “If a certificate is missing the address of a
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35
witness, the ballot may not be counted.” Id. § 6.87(6d)
(emphasis added).
124. However, in a training video issued April
1, 2020, the Administrator of the City of Milwaukee
Elections Commission unilaterally declared that a
“witness address may be written in red and that is
because we were able to locate the witnesses’ address
for the voter” to add an address missing from the
certifications on absentee ballots. The Administrator’s
instruction violated WISC. STAT. § 6.87(6d). The WEC
issued similar guidance on October 19, 2020, in
violation of this statute as well.
125. In the Wisconsin Trump Campaign
Complaint, it is alleged, supported by the sworn
affidavits of poll watchers, that canvas workers
carried out this unlawful policy, and acting pursuant
to this guidance, in Milwaukee used red-ink pens to
alter the certificates on the absentee envelope and
then cast and count the absentee ballot. These acts
violated WISC. STAT. § 6.87(6d) (“If a certificate is
missing the address of a witness, the ballot may not
be counted”). See also WISC. STAT. § 6.87(9) (“If a
municipal clerk receives an absentee ballot with an
improperly completed certificate or with no certificate,
the clerk may return the ballot to the elector . . .
whenever time permits the elector to correct the defect
and return the ballot within the period authorized.”).
126. Wisconsin’s legislature has not ratified
these changes, and its election laws do not include a
severability clause.
127. In addition, Ethan J. Pease, a box truck
delivery driver subcontracted to the U.S. Postal
Service (“USPS”) to deliver truckloads of mail-in
ballots to the sorting center in Madison, WI, testified
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that USPS employees were backdating ballots
received after November 3, 2020. Decl. of Ethan J.
Pease at ¶¶ 3-13. Further, Pease testified how a
senior USPS employee told him on November 4, 2020
that “[a]n order came down from the
Wisconsin/Illinois Chapter of the Postal Service that
100,000 ballots were missing” and how the USPS
dispatched employees to “find[] . . . the ballots.” Id. ¶¶
8-10. One hundred thousand ballots supposedly
“found” after election day would far exceed former
Vice President Biden margin of 20,565 votes over
President Trump.
COUNT I: ELECTORS CLAUSE
128. Plaintiff State repeats and re-alleges the
allegations above, as if fully set forth herein.
129. The Electors Clause of Article II, Section
1, Clause 2, of the Constitution makes clear that only
the legislatures of the States are permitted to
determine the rules for appointing presidential
electors. The pertinent rules here are the state
election statutes, specifically those relevant to the
presidential election.
130. Non-legislative actors lack authority to
amend or nullify election statutes. Bush II, 531 U.S.
at 104 (quoted supra).
131. Under Heckler v. Chaney, 470 U.S. 821,
833 n.4 (1985), conscious and express executive
policies—even if unwritten—to nullify statutes or to
abdicate statutory responsibilities are reviewable to
the same extent as if the policies had been written or
adopted. Thus, conscious and express actions by State
or local election officials to nullify or ignore
requirements of election statutes violate the Electors
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37
Clause to the same extent as formal modifications by
judicial officers or State executive officers.
132. The actions set out in Paragraphs 41-128
constitute non-legislative changes to State election
law by executive-branch State election officials, or by
judicial officials, in Defendant States Pennsylvania,
Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin, in violation of the
Electors Clause.
133. Electors appointed to Electoral College
in violation of the Electors Clause cannot cast
constitutionally valid votes for the office of President.
COUNT II: EQUAL PROTECTION
134. Plaintiff State repeats and re-alleges the
allegations above, as if fully set forth herein.
135. The Equal Protection Clause prohibits
the use of differential standards in the treatment and
tabulation of ballots within a State. Bush II, 531 U.S.
at 107.
136. The one-person, one-vote principle
requires counting valid votes and not counting invalid
votes. Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 554-55; Bush II, 531 U.S.
at 103 (“the votes eligible for inclusion in the
certification are the votes meeting the properly
established legal requirements”).
137. The actions set out in Paragraphs 66-73
(Georgia), 80-93 (Michigan), 44-55 (Pennsylvania),
and 106-24 (Wisconsin) created differential voting
standards in Defendant States Pennsylvania,
Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin in violation of the
Equal Protection Clause.
138. The actions set out in Paragraphs 66-73
(Georgia), 80-93 (Michigan), 44-55 (Pennsylvania),
and 106-24 (Wisconsin) violated the one-person, one-
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38
vote principle in Defendant States Pennsylvania,
Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
139. By the shared enterprise of the entire
nation electing the President and Vice President,
equal protection violations in one State can and do
adversely affect and diminish the weight of votes cast
in States that lawfully abide by the election structure
set forth in the Constitution. Plaintiff State is
therefore harmed by this unconstitutional conduct in
violation of the Equal Protection or Due Process
Clauses.
COUNT III: DUE PROCESS
140. Plaintiff State repeats and re-alleges the
allegations above, as if fully set forth herein.
141. When election practices reach “the point
of patent and fundamental unfairness,” the integrity
of the election itself violates substantive due process.
Griffin v. Burns, 570 F.2d 1065, 1077 (1st Cir. 1978);
Duncan v. Poythress, 657 F.2d 691, 702 (5th Cir.
1981); Florida State Conference of N.A.A.C.P. v.
Browning, 522 F.3d 1153, 1183-84 (11th Cir. 2008);
Roe v. State of Ala. By & Through Evans, 43 F.3d 574,
580-82 (11th Cir. 1995); Roe v. State of Ala., 68 F.3d
404, 407 (11th Cir. 1995); Marks v. Stinson, 19 F. 3d
873, 878 (3rd Cir. 1994).
142. Under this Court’s precedents on proced-
ural due process, not only intentional failure to follow
election law as enacted by a State’s legislature but
also random and unauthorized acts by state election
officials and their designees in local government can
violate the Due Process Clause. Parratt v. Taylor, 451
U.S. 527, 537-41 (1981), overruled in part on other
grounds by Daniels v. Williams, 474 U.S. 327, 330-31
(1986); Hudson v. Palmer, 468 U.S. 517, 532 (1984).
1190
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39
The difference between intentional acts and random
and unauthorized acts is the degree of pre-deprivation
review.
143. Defendant States acted
unconstitutionally to lower their election standards—
including to allow invalid ballots to be counted and
valid ballots to not be counted—with the express
intent to favor their candidate for President and to
alter the outcome of the 2020 election. In many
instances these actions occurred in areas having a
history of election fraud.
144. The actions set out in Paragraphs 66-73
(Georgia), 80-93 (Michigan), 44-55 (Pennsylvania),
and 106-24 (Wisconsin) constitute intentional
violations of State election law by State election
officials and their designees in Defendant States
Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin, in
violation of the Due Process Clause.
PRAYER FOR RELIEF
WHEREFORE, Plaintiff States respectfully
request that this Court issue the following relief:
A. Declare that Defendant States
Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin
administered the 2020 presidential election in
violation of the Electors Clause and the Fourteenth
Amendment of the U.S. Constitution.
B. Declare that any electoral college votes
cast by such presidential electors appointed in
Defendant States Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan,
and Wisconsin are in violation of the Electors Clause
and the Fourteenth Amendment of the U.S.
Constitution and cannot be counted.
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40
C. Enjoin Defendant States’ use of the 2020
election results for the Office of President to appoint
presidential electors to the Electoral College.
D. Enjoin Defendant States’ use of the 2020
election results for the Office of President to appoint
presidential electors to the Electoral College and
authorize, pursuant to the Court’s remedial authority,
the Defendant States to conduct a special election to
appoint presidential electors.
E. If any of Defendant States have already
appointed presidential electors to the Electoral
College using the 2020 election results, direct such
States’ legislatures, pursuant to 3 U.S.C. § 2 and U.S.
CONST. art. II, § 1, cl. 2, to appoint a new set of
presidential electors in a manner that does not violate
the Electors Clause and the Fourteenth Amendment,
or to appoint no presidential electors at all.
F. Enjoin the Defendant States from
certifying presidential electors or otherwise meeting
for purposes of the electoral college pursuant to 3
U.S.C. § 5, 3 U.S.C. § 7, or applicable law pending
further order of this Court.
G. Award costs to Plaintiff State.
H. Grant such other relief as the Court
deems just and proper.
1192
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41
December 7, 2020 Respectfully submitted,
Ken Paxton*
Attorney General of Texas
Brent Webster
First Assistant Attorney
General of Texas
Lawrence Joseph
Special Counsel to the
Attorney General of Texas
* Counsel of Record
1193
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i
No. ______, Original
STATE OF TEXAS,
Plaintiff,
v.
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA, STATE OF
STATE OF GEORGIA, STATE OF MICHIGAN, AND
STATE OF WISCONSIN,
Defendants.
Ken Paxton*
Attorney General of Texas
Brent Webster
First Assistant Attorney
General of Texas
Lawrence Joseph
Special Counsel to the
Attorney General of Texas
*Counsel of Record
1194
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ii
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Pages
Table of Authorities................................................... iv
Brief in Support of Motion for Leave to File ............. 1
Statement of the Case ................................................ 1
Constitutional Background ................................. 4
Non-Legislative Changes Made in Violation
of the Electors Clause .................................... 5
Standard of Review .................................................... 6
Argument .................................................................... 7
I. This Court has jurisdiction over Plaintiff
States’ claims. ...................................................... 7
A. The claims fall within this Court’s
constitutional and statutory subject-
matter jurisdiction......................................... 7
B. The claims arise under the Constitution. ..... 8
C. The claims raise a “case or controversy”
between the States. ..................................... 11
1. Plaintiff States suffer an injury in
fact. .................................................. 12
2. Defendant States caused the injuries. . 15
3. The requested relief would redress
the injuries. ........................................... 15
D. This action is not moot and will not
become moot................................................. 17
E. This matter is ripe for review. .................... 18
F. This action does not raise a non-
justiciable political question. ...................... 19
G. No adequate alternate remedy or forum
exists. ........................................................... 20
1195
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iii
II. This case presents constitutional questions of
immense national consequence that warrant
this Court’s discretionary review. ..................... 22
A. The 2020 election suffered from serious
irregularities that constitutionally
prohibit using the reported results. ............ 24
1. Defendant States violated the
Electors Clause by modifying their
legislatures’ election laws through
non-legislative action. ........................... 25
2. State and local administrator’s
systemic failure to follow State
election qualifies as an unlawful
amendment of State law. ...................... 28
3. Defendant States’ administration of
the 2020 election violated the
Fourteenth Amendment. ...................... 29
B. A ruling on the 2020 election would
preserve the Constitution and help
prevent irregularities in future elections. .. 33
III. Review is not discretionary. .............................. 34
IV. This case warrants summary disposition or
expedited briefing. ............................................. 34
Conclusion ................................................................ 35
1196
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iv
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES
Pages
Cases
Anderson v. Celebrezze, 460 U.S. 780 (1983) ........... 11
Anderson v. United States, 417 U.S. 211 (1974) . 4, 12
Baer v. Meyer, 728 F.2d 471 (10th Cir. 1984).......... 29
Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186 (1962) ......... 4, 12, 19-120
Barr v. Chatman, 397 F.2d 515 (7th Cir. 1968) ...... 29
Bell v. Hood, 327 U.S. 678 (1946) ............................ 10
Brown v. O’Brien, 469 F.2d 563 (D.C. Cir.) ............. 31
Burdick v. Takushi, 504 U.S. 428 (1992) ................ 26
Bush v. Gore, 531 U.S. 98 (2000) ...................... passim
Bush v. Palm Beach Cty. Canvassing Bd., 531
U.S. 70 (2000) ................................ 4, 10, 16, 21, 25
California v. United States, 457 U.S. 273 (1982) .... 35
City of Boerne v. Flores, 521 U.S. 507 (1997) .......... 16
City of Chicago v. Int’l Coll. of Surgeons, 522 U.S.
156 (1997) .............................................................. 9
Coleman v. Miller, 307 U.S. 433 (1939) ................... 14
Cook v. Gralike, 531 U.S. 510 (2001) ....................... 10
Crawford v. Marion County Election Bd.,
553 U.S. 181 (2008) ............................................... 6
DaimlerChrysler Corp. v. Cuno, 547 U.S. 332
(2006) ................................................................... 15
Dep’t of Homeland Sec. v. New York, 140 S. Ct.
599 (2020) ............................................................ 27
Duke Power Co. v. Carolina Envtl. Study Group,
Inc., 438 U.S. 59 (1978) ....................................... 15
Duncan v. Poythress, 657 F.2d 691
(5th Cir. 1981) ..................................................... 31
1197
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v
Dunn v. Blumstein, 405 U.S. 330 (1972) ................. 12
FEC v. Akins, 524 U.S. 11 (1998) ............................ 17
FEC v. Wisconsin Right to Life, Inc., 551 U.S.
449 (2007) ............................................................ 18
Florida State Conference of N.A.A.C.P. v.
Browning, 522 F.3d 1153 (11th Cir. 2008) ......... 31
Foman v. Davis, 371 U.S. 178 (1962) ........................ 7
Foster v. Chatman, 136 S.Ct. 1737 (2016) ................. 8
Fox Film Corp. v. Muller, 296 U.S. 207 (1935) ......... 9
Free Enter. Fund v. Pub. Co. Accounting
Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477 (2010) .................... 27
Gasser Chair Co. v. Infanti Chair Mfg. Corp.,
60 F.3d 770 (Fed. Cir. 1995) ............................... 19
Grayned v. City of Rockford,
408 U.S. 104 (1972) ............................................. 27
Griffin v. Burns, 570 F.2d 1065
(1st Cir. 1978) ...................................................... 31
Harris v. Conradi, 675 F.2d 1212
(11th Cir. 1982) ................................................... 29
Heckler v. Chaney, 470 U.S. 821 (1985)................... 28
Hernandez v. Mesa, 137 S.Ct. 2003 (2017) ................ 7
Hudson v. Palmer, 468 U.S. 517 (1984)................... 32
Hunter v. Hamilton Cty. Bd. of Elections,
635 F.3d 219 (6th Cir. 2011) ......................... 23, 32
Lance v. Coffman, 549 U.S. 437 (2007) ................... 13
Leser v. Garnett, 258 U.S. 130 (1922) ...................... 21
Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife,
504 U.S. 555 (1992) ............................................. 11
Lujan v. Nat’l Wildlife Fed’n,
497 U.S. 871 (1990) ............................................. 18
1198
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vi
Marbury v. Madison,
5 U.S. (1 Cranch) 137 (1803) .............................. 23
Marks v. Stinson, 19 F. 3d 873
(3rd Cir. 1994) ..................................................... 31
Maryland v. Louisiana,
451 U.S. 725 (1981) ............................................. 11
Massachusetts v. Environmental Protection
Agency, 549 U.S. 497 (2007) ............................... 13
McPherson v. Blacker, 146 U.S. 1 (1892)..... 16, 21, 25
Merrell Dow Pharm., Inc. v. Thompson,
478 U.S. 804 (1986) ............................................... 9
Mesa v. California, 489 U.S. 121 (1989) .................... 8
Mississippi v. Louisiana, 506 U.S. 73 (1992) ............ 7
Morton v. Ruiz, 415 U.S. 199 (1974) ................... 28-29
Mostyn v. Fabrigas, 98 Eng. Rep.
1021 (K.B. 1774) .................................................. 34
Nebraska v. Colorado,
136 S.Ct. 1034 (2016) .......................................... 34
New Jersey v. New York,
345 U.S. 369 (1953) ............................................. 14
New Mexico v. Colorado,
137 S.Ct. 2319 (2017) .......................................... 34
Norman v. Reed, 502 U.S. 279 (1992) ...................... 18
Parratt v. Taylor, 451 U.S. 527 (1981) ............... 31-32
Petrella v. MGM, 572 U.S. 663 (2014) ..................... 18
Profitness Physical Therapy Ctr. v. Pro-
Fit Orthopedic & Sports Physical Therapy
P.C., 314 F.3d 62 (2d Cir. 2002) ......................... 19
Purcell v. Gonzalez, 549 U.S. 1 (2006) ...... 5, 22, 27-28
1199
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vii
Republican Party of Pa. v. Boockvar,
No. 20-542, 2020 U.S. LEXIS 5188
(Oct. 28, 2020) ..................................................... 26
Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533
(1964) ............................................... 2, 4, 11, 15, 21
Roe v. State of Ala. By & Through Evans,
43 F.3d 574 (11th Cir. 1995) ............................... 31
Roe v. State of Ala., 68 F.3d 404
(11th Cir. 1995) ................................................... 31
Roman Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn, New York
v. Cuomo, 592 U.S. ___ (Nov. 25, 2020)........ 25, 31
Rosario v. Rockefeller, 410 U.S. 752 (1973) ............. 25
Service v. Dulles, 354 U.S. 363 (1957) ..................... 29
South Carolina v. Katzenbach,
383 U.S. 301 (1966) ............................................. 25
Steel Co. v. Citizens for a Better Env’t.,
523 U.S. 83 (1998) ................................................. 7
Tashjian v. Republican Party,
479 U.S. 208 (1986) ............................................. 24
Texas v. United States,
523 U.S. 296 (1998) ............................................. 18
United States Term Limits v. Thornton,
514 U.S. 779 (1995) ............................................. 21
United States v. Nevada,
412 U.S. 534 (1973) ............................................. 20
Wesberry v. Sanders, 376 U.S. 1 (1964) ......... 1, 12, 22
What-A-Burger of Va., Inc. v. Whataburger, Inc.,
357 F.3d 441 (4th Cir. 2004) ............................... 19
Wisconsin State Legis., No. 20A66, 2020 U.S.
LEXIS 5187 (Oct. 26, 2020) ................................ 27
Wyoming v. Oklahoma, 502 U.S. 437 (1992) ........... 23
1200
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viii
Yick Wo v. Hopkins, 118 U.S. 356 (1886) ................ 12
Statutes
U.S. CONST. art. I, § 4 .............................................. 3-4
U.S. CONST. art. I, § 4, cl. 1 ..................................... 3-4
U.S. CONST. art. II, § 1, cl. 2 ............................. passim
U.S. CONST. art. III.................................... 8, 11-13, 15
U.S. CONST. art. III, § 2 .......................................... 1, 7
U.S. CONST. art. V, cl. 3 ............................................ 13
U.S. CONST. amend. XII ............................................. 6
U.S. CONST. amend. XIV, § 1, cl. 3 ............ 4, 12, 29-30
U.S. CONST. amend. XIV, § 1, cl. 4 ............ 4, 12, 29-30
U.S. CONST. amend. XX, § 1 ....................................... 8
3 U.S.C. § 2 ................................................. 5, 8, 17, 25
3 U.S.C. § 5 ............................................................... 20
3 U.S.C. § 15 ......................................................... 8, 17
28 U.S.C. § 1251(a) ............................................... 7, 34
28 U.S.C. § 1331 ......................................................... 9
52 U.S.C. § 20501(b)(1)-(2) ......................................... 2
52 U.S.C. § 20501(b)(3)-(4) ......................................... 2
Rules, Regulations and Orders
S.Ct. Rule 17.2 ........................................................ 6, 8
S.Ct. Rule 17.3 ............................................................ 1
FED. R. CIV. P. 15(a)(1)(A) .......................................... 6
FED. R. CIV. P. 15(a)(1)(B) .......................................... 6
FED. R. CIV. P. 15(a)(2) ............................................... 6
Other Authorities
BUILDING CONFIDENCE IN U.S. ELECTIONS: REPORT
OF THE COMMISSION ON FEDERAL ELECTION
REFORM (Sept. 2005) ............................................. 5
1201
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ix
THE FEDERALIST NO. 57 (C. Rossiter, ed. 2003)
(J. Madison) ......................................................... 26
1202
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STATE OF TEXAS,
Plaintiff,
v.
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA, STATE OF
STATE OF GEORGIA, STATE OF MICHIGAN, AND
STATE OF WISCONSIN,
Defendants.
BRIEF IN SUPPORT OF
MOTION FOR LEAVE TO FILE
Pursuant to S.Ct. Rule 17.3 and U.S. CONST. art.
III, § 2, the State of Texas (“Plaintiff State”)
respectfully submits this brief in support of its Motion
for Leave to File a Bill of Complaint against the
Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the States of
Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin (collectively,
“Defendant States”).
STATEMENT OF THE CASE
Lawful elections are at the heart of our freedoms.
“No right is more precious in a free country than that
of having a voice in the election of those who make the
laws under which, as good citizens, we must live.
Other rights, even the most basic, are illusory if the
right to vote is undermined.” Wesberry v. Sanders, 376
U.S. 1, 10 (1964). Trust in the integrity of that process
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is the glue that binds our citizenry and the States in
this Union.
Elections face the competing goals of maximizing
and counting lawful votes but minimizing and
excluding unlawful ones. Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S.
533, 554-55 (1964); Bush v. Gore, 531 U.S. 98, 103
(2000) (“the votes eligible for inclusion in the
certification are the votes meeting the properly
established legal requirements”) (“Bush II”); compare
52 U.S.C. § 20501(b)(1)-(2) (2018) with id.
§ 20501(b)(3)-(4). Moreover, “the right of suffrage can
be denied by a debasement or dilution of the weight of
a citizen’s vote just as effectively as by wholly
prohibiting the free exercise of the franchise.”
Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 555. Reviewing election results
requires not only counting lawful votes but also
eliminating unlawful ones.
It is an understatement to say that 2020 was not
a good year. In addition to a divided and partisan
national mood, the country faced the COVID-19
pandemic. Certain officials in Defendant States
presented the pandemic as the justification for
ignoring state laws regarding absentee and mail-in
voting. Defendant States flooded their citizenry with
tens of millions of ballot applications and ballots
ignoring statutory controls as to how they were
received, evaluated, and counted. Whether well
intentioned or not, these unconstitutional and
unlawful changes had the same uniform effect—they
made the 2020 election less secure in Defendant
States. Those changes were made in violation of
relevant state laws and were made by non-legislative
entities, without any consent by the state legislatures.
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These unlawful acts thus directly violated the
Constitution. U.S. CONST. art. I, § 4; id. art. II, § 1, cl.
2.
This case presents a question of law: Did
Defendant States violate the Electors Clause by
taking non-legislative actions to change the election
rules that would govern the appointment of
presidential electors? Each of these States flagrantly
violated the statutes enacted by relevant State
legislatures, thereby violating the Electors Clause of
Article II, Section 1, Clause 2 of the Constitution. By
these unlawful acts, Defendant States have not only
tainted the integrity of their own citizens’ votes, but
their actions have also debased the votes of citizens in
the States that remained loyal to the Constitution.
Elections for federal office must comport with
federal constitutional standards, see Bush II, 531 U.S.
at 103-105, and executive branch government officials
cannot subvert these constitutional requirements, no
matter their stated intent. For presidential elections,
each State must appoint its electors to the electoral
college in a manner that complies with the
Constitution, specifically the Electors Clause
requirement that only state legislatures may set the
rules governing the appointment of electors and the
elections upon which such appointment is based.1
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Constitutional Background
The right to vote is protected by the by the Equal
Protection Clause and the Due Process Clause. U.S.
CONST. amend. XIV, § 1, cl. 3-4. Because “the right to
vote is personal,” Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 561-62 (alter-
ations omitted), “[e]very voter in a federal … election,
whether he votes for a candidate with little chance of
winning or for one with little chance of losing, has a
right under the Constitution to have his vote fairly
counted.” Anderson v. United States, 417 U.S. 211, 227
(1974); Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186, 208 (1962).
Invalid or fraudulent votes debase or dilute the weight
of each validly cast vote. Bush II, 531 U.S. at 105. The
unequal treatment of votes within a state, and
unequal standards for processing votes raise equal
protection concerns. Id. Though Bush II did not
involve an action between States, the concern that
illegal votes can cancel out lawful votes does not stop
at a State’s boundary in the context of a Presidential
election.
The Electors Clause requires that each State
“shall appoint” its presidential electors “in such
Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct.” U.S.
CONST. art. II, § 1, cl. 2 (emphasis added); cf. id. art. I,
§ 4, cl. 1 (similar for time, place, and manner of federal
legislative elections). “[T]he state legislature’s power
to select the manner for appointing electors is
plenary,” Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104 (emphasis added),
and sufficiently federal for this Court’s review. Bush
v. Palm Beach Cty. Canvassing Bd., 531 U.S. 70, 76
(2000) (“Bush I”). This textual feature of our
Constitution was adopted to ensure the integrity of
the presidential selection process: “Nothing was more
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to be desired than that every practicable obstacle
should be opposed to cabal, intrigue, and corruption.”
FEDERALIST NO. 68 (Alexander Hamilton). When a
State conducts a popular election to appoint electors,
the State must comply with all constitutional
requirements. Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104. When a State
fails to conduct a valid election—for any reason—”the
electors may be appointed on a subsequent day in such
a manner as the legislature of such State may direct.”
3 U.S.C. § 2 (emphasis added).
Non-Legislative Changes Made in Violation of
the Electors Clause
As set forth in the Complaint, executive and
judicial officials made significant changes to the
legislatively defined election rules in Defendant
States. See Compl. at ¶¶ 66-73 (Georgia), 80-93
(Michigan), 44-55 (Pennsylvania), 106-24 (Wisconsin).
Taken together, these non-legislative changes did
away with statutory ballot-security measures for
absentee and mail-in ballots such as signature
verification, witness requirements, and statutorily
authorized secure ballot drop-off locations.
Citing the COVID-19 pandemic, Defendant States
gutted the safeguards for absentee ballots through
non-legislative actions, despite knowledge that
absentee ballots are “the largest source of potential
voter fraud,” BUILDING CONFIDENCE IN U.S.
ELECTIONS: REPORT OF THE COMMISSION ON FEDERAL
ELECTION REFORM, at 46 (Sept. 2005) (hereinafter,
“CARTER-BAKER”), which is magnified when absentee
balloting is shorn of ballot-integrity measures such as
signature verification, witness requirements, or
outer-envelope protections, or when absentee ballots
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are processed and tabulated without bipartisan
observation by poll watchers.
Without Defendant States’ combined 62 electoral
votes, President Trump presumably has 232 electoral
votes, and former Vice President Biden presumably
has 244. Thus, Defendant States’ presidential electors
will determine the outcome of the election.
Alternatively, if Defendant States are unable to
certify 37 or more presidential electors, neither
candidate will have a majority in the electoral college,
in which case the election would devolve to the House
of Representatives under the Twelfth Amendment.
Defendant States experienced serious voting
irregularities. See Compl. at ¶¶ 75-76 (Georgia), 97-
101 (Michigan), 55-60 (Pennsylvania), 122-28
(Wisconsin). At the time of this filing, Plaintiff State
continues to investigate allegations of not only
unlawful votes being counted but also fraud. Plaintiff
State reserves the right to seek leave to amend the
complaint as those investigations resolve. See S.Ct.
Rule 17.2; FED. R. CIV. P. 15(a)(1)(A)-(B), (a)(2). But
even the appearance of fraud in a close election is
poisonous to democratic principles: “Voters who fear
their legitimate votes will be outweighed by
fraudulent ones will feel disenfranchised.” Purcell v.
Gonzalez, 549 U.S. 1, 4 (2006); Crawford v. Marion
County Election Bd., 553 U.S. 181, 189 (2008) (States
have an interest in preventing voter fraud and
ensuring voter confidence).
STANDARD OF REVIEW
This Court considers two primary factors when it
decides whether to grant a State leave to file a bill of
complaint against another State: (1) “the nature of the
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interest of the complaining State,” and (2) ”the
availability of an alternative forum in which the issue
tendered can be resolved.” Mississippi v. Louisiana,
506 U.S. 73, 77 (1992) (internal quotations omitted)
Because original proceedings in this Court follow the
Federal Rules of Civil Procedure, S.Ct. Rule 17.2, the
facts for purposes of a motion for leave to file are the
well-pleaded facts alleged in the complaint.
Hernandez v. Mesa, 137 S.Ct. 2003, 2005 (2017).
ARGUMENT
I. THIS COURT HAS JURISDICTION OVER
PLAINTIFF STATE’S CLAIMS.
In order to grant leave to file, this Court first must
assure itself of its jurisdiction, Steel Co. v. Citizens for
a Better Env’t., 523 U.S. 83, 95 (1998); cf. Foman v.
Davis, 371 U.S. 178, 182 (1962) (courts deny leave to
file amended pleadings that would be futile). That
standard is met here. Plaintiff State’s fundamental
rights and interests are at stake. This Court is the
only venue that can protect Plaintiff State’s electoral
college votes from being cancelled by the unlawful and
constitutionally tainted votes cast by electors
appointed and certified by Defendant States.
A. The claims fall within this Court’s
constitutional and statutory subject-
matter jurisdiction.
The federal judicial power extends to
“Controversies between two or more States.” U.S.
CONST. art. III, § 2, and Congress has placed the
jurisdiction for such suits exclusively with the
Supreme Court: “The Supreme Court shall have
original and exclusive jurisdiction of all controversies
between two or more States.” 28 U.S.C. § 1251(a)
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(emphasis added). This Court not only is a permissible
court for hearing this action; it is the only court that
can hear this action quickly enough to render relief
sufficient to avoid constitutionally tainted votes in the
electoral college and to place the appointment of
Defendant States’ electors before their legislatures
pursuant to 3 U.S.C. § 2 in time for a vote in the House
of Representatives on January 6, 2021. See 3 U.S.C. §
15. With that relief in place, the House can resolve the
election on January 6, 2021, in time for the president
to be selected by the constitutionally set date of
January 20. U.S. CONST. amend. XX, § 1.
B. The claims arise under the Constitution.
When States violate their own election laws, they
may argue that these violations are insufficiently
federal to allow review in this Court. Cf. Foster v.
Chatman, 136 S.Ct. 1737, 1745-46 (2016) (this Court
lacks jurisdiction to review state-court decisions that
“rest[] on an adequate and independent state law
ground”). That attempted evasion would fail for two
reasons.
First, in the election context, a state-court remedy
or a state executive’s administrative action purporting
to alter state election statutes implicates the Electors
Clause. See Bush II, 531 U.S. at 105. Even a plausible
federal-law defense to state action arises under
federal law within the meaning of Article III. Mesa v.
California, 489 U.S. 121, 136 (1989) (holding that “it
is the raising of a federal question in the officer’s
removal petition that constitutes the federal law
under which the action against the federal officer
arises for Art. III purposes”). Constitutional arising-
under jurisdiction exceeds statutory federal-question
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jurisdiction of federal district courts,2 and—indeed—
we did not even have federal-question jurisdiction
until 1875. Merrell Dow Pharm., 478 U.S. at 807.
Plaintiff States’ Electoral Clause claims arise under
the Constitution and so are federal, even if the only
claim is that Defendant States violated their own
state election statutes. Moreover, as is explained
below, Defendant States’ actions injure the interests
of Plaintiff State in the appointment of electors to the
electoral college in a manner that is inconsistent with
the Constitution.
Given this federal-law basis against these state
actions, the state actions are not “independent” of the
federal constitutional requirements that provide this
Court jurisdiction. Fox Film Corp. v. Muller, 296 U.S.
207, 210-11 (1935); cf. City of Chicago v. Int’l Coll. of
Surgeons, 522 U.S. 156, 164 (1997) (noting that “even
though state law creates a party’s causes of action, its
case might still ‘arise under’ the laws of the United
States if a well-pleaded complaint established that its
right to relief under state law requires resolution of a
substantial question of federal law” and collecting
cases) (internal quotations and alterations omitted).
Plaintiff State’s claims therefore fall within this
Court’s jurisdiction.
Second, state election law is not purely a matter
of state law because it applies “not only to elections to
state offices, but also to the election of Presidential
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electors,” meaning that state law operates, in part, “by
virtue of a direct grant of authority made under Art.
II, § 1, cl. 2, of the United States Constitution.” Bush
I, 531 U.S. at 76. Logically, “any state authority to
regulate election to [federal] offices could not precede
their very creation by the Constitution,” meaning that
any “such power had to be delegated to, rather than
reserved by, the States.” Cook v. Gralike, 531 U.S.
510, 522 (2001) (internal quotations omitted). “It is no
original prerogative of State power to appoint a
representative, a senator, or President for the Union.”
J. Story, 1 COMMENTARIES ON THE CONSTITUTION OF
THE UNITED STATES § 627 (3d ed. 1858). For these
reasons, any “significant departure from the
legislative scheme for appointing Presidential electors
presents a federal constitutional question.” Bush II,
531 U.S. at 113 (Rehnquist, C.J., concurring).
Under these circumstances, this Court has the
power both to review and to remedy a violation of the
Constitution. Significantly, parties do not need
winning hands to establish jurisdiction. Instead,
jurisdiction exists when “the right of the petitioners to
recover under their complaint will be sustained if the
Constitution and laws of the United States are given
one construction,” even if the right “will be defeated if
they are given another.” Bell v. Hood, 327 U.S. 678,
685 (1946). At least as to jurisdiction, a plaintiff need
survive only the low threshold that “the alleged claim
under the Constitution or federal statutes [not] … be
immaterial and made solely for the purpose of
obtaining jurisdiction or … wholly insubstantial and
frivolous.” Id. at 682. The bill of complaint meets that
test.
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C. The claims raise a “case or controversy”
between the States.
Like any other action, an original action must
meet the Article III criteria for a case or controversy:
“it must appear that the complaining State has
suffered a wrong through the action of the other State,
furnishing ground for judicial redress, or is asserting
a right against the other State which is susceptible of
judicial enforcement according to the accepted
principles of the common law or equity systems of
jurisprudence.” Maryland v. Louisiana, 451 U.S. 725,
735-36 (1981) (internal quotations omitted). Plaintiff
State has standing under those rules.3
With voting, “‘the right of suffrage can be denied
by a debasement or dilution of the weight of a citizen’s
vote just as effectively as by wholly prohibiting the
free exercise of the franchise.’” Bush II, 531 U.S. at
105 (quoting Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 555). In
presidential elections, “the impact of the votes cast in
each State is affected by the votes cast for the various
candidates in other States.” Anderson v. Celebrezze,
460 U.S. 780, 795 (1983). Thus, votes in Defendant
States affect the votes in Plaintiff State, as set forth
in more detail below.
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1. Plaintiff State suffers an injury in
fact.
The citizens of Plaintiff State have the right to
demand that all other States abide by the
constitutionally set rules in appointing presidential
electors to the electoral college. “No right is more
precious in a free country than that of having a voice
in the election of those who make the laws under
which, as good citizens, we must live. Other rights,
even the most basic, are illusory if the right to vote is
undermined.” Wesberry, 376 U.S. at 10; Yick Wo v.
Hopkins, 118 U.S. 356, 370 (1886) (“the political
franchise of voting” is “a fundamental political right,
because preservative of all rights”). “Every voter in a
federal … election, whether he votes for a candidate
with little chance of winning or for one with little
chance of losing, has a right under the Constitution to
have his vote fairly counted.” Anderson v. United
States, 417 U.S. at 227; Baker, 369 U.S. at 208. Put
differently, “a citizen has a constitutionally protected
right to participate in elections on an equal basis with
other citizens in the jurisdiction,” Dunn v. Blumstein,
405 U.S. 330, 336 (1972), and—unlike the residency
durations required in Dunn—the “jurisdiction” here is
the entire United States. In short, the rights at issue
are congeable under Article III.
Significantly, Plaintiff State presses its own form
of voting-rights injury as States. As with the one-
person, one-vote principle for congressional
redistricting in Wesberry, the equality of the States
arises from the structure of the Constitution, not from
the Equal Protection or Due Process Clauses. See
Wesberry, 376 U.S. at 7-8; id. n.10 (expressly not
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reaching claims under Fourteenth Amendment).
Whereas the House represents the People
proportionally, the Senate represents the States. See
U.S. CONST. art. V, cl. 3 (“no state, without its consent,
shall be deprived of its equal suffrage in the Senate”).
While Americans likely care more about who is elected
President, the States have a distinct interest in who
is elected Vice President and thus who can cast the tie-
breaking vote in the Senate. Through that interest,
States suffer an Article III injury when another State
violates federal law to affect the outcome of a
presidential election. This injury is particularly acute
in 2020, where a Senate majority often will hang on
the Vice President’s tie-breaking vote because of the
nearly equal—and, depending on the outcome of
Georgia run-off elections in January, possibly equal—
balance between political parties. Quite simply, it is
vitally important to the States who becomes Vice
President.
Because individual citizens may arguably suffer
only a generalized grievance from Electors Clause
violations, States have standing where their citizen
voters would not, Lance v. Coffman, 549 U.S. 437, 442
(2007) (distinguishing citizen plaintiffs from citizen
relators who sued in the name of a state). In
Massachusetts v. Environmental Protection Agency,
549 U.S. 497 (2007), this Court held that states
seeking to protect their sovereign interests are
“entitled to special solicitude in our standing
analysis.” Id. at 520. While Massachusetts arose in a
different context—the same principles of federalism
apply equally here to require special deference to the
sovereign states on standing questions.
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In addition to standing for their own injuries,
States can assert parens patriae standing for their
citizens who are presidential electors.4 Like
legislators, presidential electors assert “legislative
injury” whenever allegedly improper actions deny
them a working majority. Coleman v. Miller, 307 U.S.
433, 435 (1939). The electoral college is a zero-sum
game. If Defendant States’ unconstitutionally
appointed electors vote for a presidential candidate
opposed by the Plaintiff State’s electors, that operates
to defeat Plaintiff State’s interests.5 Indeed, even
without an electoral college majority, presidential
electors suffer the same voting-debasement injury as
voters generally: “It must be remembered that ‘the
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right of suffrage can be denied by a debasement or
dilution of the weight of a citizen’s vote just as
effectively as by wholly prohibiting the free exercise of
the franchise.’” Bush II, 531 U.S. at 105 (quoting
Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U. S. 533, 555 (1964)) (“Bush
II”). Finally, once Plaintiff State has standing to
challenge Defendant States’ unlawful actions,
Plaintiff State may do so on any legal theory that
undermines those actions. Duke Power Co. v. Carolina
Envtl. Study Group, Inc., 438 U.S. 59, 78-81 (1978);
DaimlerChrysler Corp. v. Cuno, 547 U.S. 332, 353 &
n.5 (2006). Injuries to Plaintiff State’s electors serve
as an Article III basis for a parens patriae action.
2. Defendant States caused the
injuries.
Non-legislative officials in Defendant States
either directly caused the challenged violations of the
Electors Clause or, in the case of Georgia, acquiesced
to them in settling a federal lawsuit. The Defendants
thus caused the Plaintiff’s injuries.
3. The requested relief would redress
the injuries.
This Court has authority to redress Plaintiff
State’s injuries, and the requested relief will do so.
First, while Defendant States are responsible for
their elections, this Court has authority to enjoin
reliance on unconstitutional elections:
When the state legislature vests the right to
vote for President in its people, the right to
vote as the legislature has prescribed is
fundamental; and one source of its funda-
mental nature lies in the equal weight
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accorded to each vote and the equal dignity
owed to each voter.
Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104; City of Boerne v. Flores, 521
U.S. 507, 524 (1997) (“power to interpret the
Constitution in a case or controversy remains in the
Judiciary”). Plaintiff State does not ask this Court to
decide who won the election; they only ask that the
Court enjoin the clear violations of the Electors Clause
of the Constitution.
Second, the relief that Plaintiff State requests—
namely, remand to the State legislatures to allocate
electors in a manner consistent with the
Constitution—does not violate Defendant States’
rights or exceed this Court’s power. The power to
select electors is a plenary power of the State
legislatures, and this remains so, without regard to
state law:
This power is conferred upon the legislatures
of the States by the Constitution of the United
States, and cannot be taken from them or
modified by their State constitutions….
Whatever provisions may be made by statute,
or by the state constitution, to choose electors
by the people, there is no doubt of the right of
the legislature to resume the power at any
time, for it can neither be taken away nor
abdicated.
McPherson v. Blacker, 146 U.S. 1, 35 (1892) (internal
quotations omitted); accord Bush I, 531 U.S. at 76-77;
Bush II, 531 U.S at 104.
Third, uncertainty of how Defendant States’
legislatures will allocate their electors is irrelevant to
the question of redressability:
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If a reviewing court agrees that the agency
misinterpreted the law, it will set aside the
agency’s action and remand the case – even
though the agency … might later, in the
exercise of its lawful discretion, reach the
same result for a different reason.
FEC v. Akins, 524 U.S. 11, 25 (1998). Defendant
States’ legislatures would remain free to exercise
their plenary authority under the Electors Clause in
any constitutional manner they wish. Under Akins,
the simple act of reconsideration under lawful means
is redress enough.
Fourth, the requested relief is consistent with
federal election law: “Whenever any State has held an
election for the purpose of choosing electors, and has
failed to make a choice on the day prescribed by law,
the electors may be appointed on a subsequent day in
such a manner as the legislature of such State may
direct.” 3 U.S.C. § 2. Regardless of the statutory
deadlines for the electoral college to vote, this Court
could enjoin reliance on the results from the
constitutionally tainted November 3 election, remand
the appointment of electors to Defendant States, and
order Defendant States’ legislatures to certify their
electors in a manner consistent with the Constitution,
which could be accomplished well in advance of the
statutory deadline of January 6 for House to count the
presidential electors’ votes. 3 U.S.C. § 15.
D. This action is not moot and will not
become moot.
None of the looming election deadlines are
constitutional, and they all are within this Court’s
power to enjoin. Indeed, if this Court vacated a State’s
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appointment of presidential electors, those electors
could not vote on December 14, 2020; if the Court
vacated their vote after the fact, the House of
Representatives could not count those votes on
January 6, 2021. Moreover, any remedial action can
be complete well before January 6, 2020. Indeed, even
the swearing in of the next President on January 20,
2021, will not moot this case because review could
outlast even the selection of the next President under
“the ‘capable of repetition, yet evading review’
doctrine,” which applies “in the context of election
cases … when there are ‘as applied’ challenges as well
as in the more typical case involving only facial
attacks.” FEC v. Wisconsin Right to Life, Inc., 551 U.S.
449, 463 (2007) (internal quotations omitted); accord
Norman v. Reed, 502 U.S. 279, 287-88 (1992).
Mootness is not, and will not become, an issue here.
E. This matter is ripe for review.
Plaintiff State’s claims are clearly ripe now, but
they were not ripe before the election: “A claim is not
ripe for adjudication if it rests upon contingent future
events that may not occur as anticipated, or indeed
may not occur at all.” Texas v. United States, 523 U.S.
296, 300 (1998) (internal quotations and citations
omitted). Prior to the election, there was no reason to
know who would win the vote in any given State.
Ripeness also raises the question of laches, which
Justice Blackmun called “precisely the opposite argu-
ment” from ripeness. Lujan v. Nat’l Wildlife Fed’n,
497 U.S. 871, 915 n.16 (1990) (Blackmun, J.,
dissenting). Laches is an equitable defense against
unreasonable delay in commencing suit. Petrella v.
MGM, 572 U.S. 663, 667 (2014). This action was
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neither unreasonably delayed nor is prejudicial to
Defendant States.
Before the election, Plaintiff States had no ripe
claim against a Defendant State:
“One cannot be guilty of laches until his right
ripens into one entitled to protection. For only
then can his torpor be deemed inexcusable.”
What-A-Burger of Va., Inc. v. Whataburger, Inc., 357
F.3d 441, 449-50 (4th Cir. 2004) (quoting 5 J. Thomas
McCarthy, MCCARTHY ON TRADEMARKS AND UNFAIR
COMPETITION § 31: 19 (4th ed. 2003); Gasser Chair Co.
v. Infanti Chair Mfg. Corp., 60 F.3d 770, 777 (Fed. Cir.
1995) (same); Profitness Physical Therapy Ctr. v. Pro-
Fit Orthopedic & Sports Physical Therapy P.C., 314
F.3d 62, 70 (2d Cir. 2002) (same). Plaintiff State could
not have brought this action before the election
results. The extent of the county-level deviations from
election statutes in Defendant States became evident
well after the election. Neither ripeness nor laches
presents a timing problem here.
F. This action does not raise a non-
justiciable political question.
The “political questions doctrine” does not apply
here. Under that doctrine, federal courts will decline
to review issues that the Constitution delegates to one
of the other branches—the “political branches”—of
government. While picking electors involves political
rights, the Supreme Court has ruled in a line of cases
beginning with Baker that constitutional claims
related to voting (other than claims brought under the
Guaranty Clause) are justiciable in the federal courts.
As the Court held in Baker, litigation over political
rights is not the same as a political question:
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We hold that this challenge to an
apportionment presents no nonjusticiable
“political question.” The mere fact that the
suit seeks protection of a political right does
not mean it presents a political question. Such
an objection “is little more than a play upon
words.”
Baker, 369 U.S. at 209. This is no political question; it
is a constitutional one that this Court should answer.
G. No adequate alternate remedy or forum
exists.
In determining whether to hear a case under this
Court’s original jurisdiction, the Court has considered
whether a plaintiff State “has another adequate forum
in which to settle [its] claim.” United States v. Nevada,
412 U.S. 534, 538 (1973). This equitable limit does not
apply here because Plaintiff State cannot sue
Defendant States in any other forum.
To the extent that Defendant States wish to avail
themselves of 3 U.S.C. § 5’s safe harbor, Bush I, 531
U.S. at 77-78, this action will not meaningfully stand
in their way:
The State, of course, after granting the
franchise in the special context of Article II,
can take back the power to appoint electors. …
There is no doubt of the right of the legislature
to resume the power at any time, for it can
neither be taken away nor abdicated[.]
Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104 (citations and internal
quotations omitted).6 Defendant States’ legislature
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21
will remain free under the Constitution to appoint
electors or vote in any constitutional manner they
wish. The only thing that they cannot do—and should
not wish to do—is to rely on an allocation conducted
in violation of the Constitution to determine the
appointment of presidential electors.
Moreover, if this Court agrees with Plaintiff State
that Defendant States’ appointment of presidential
electors under the recently conducted elections would
be unconstitutional, then the statutorily created safe
harbor cannot be used as a justification for a violation
of the Constitution. The safe-harbor framework
created by statute would have to yield in order to
ensure that the Constitution was not violated.
It is of no moment that Defendants’ state laws may
purport to tether state legislatures to popular votes.
Those state limits on a state legislature’s exercising
federal constitutional functions cannot block action
because the federal Constitution “transcends any
limitations sought to be imposed by the people of a
State” under this Court’s precedents. Leser v. Garnett,
258 U.S. 130, 137 (1922); see also Bush I, 531 U.S. at
77; United States Term Limits v. Thornton, 514 U.S.
779, 805 (1995) (“the power to regulate the incidents
of the federal system is not a reserved power of the
States, but rather is delegated by the Constitution”).
As this Court recognized in McPherson v. Blacker, the
authority to choose presidential electors:
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22
is conferred upon the legislatures of the states
by the Constitution of the United States, and
cannot be taken from them or modified by
their state constitutions. ... Whatever
provisions may be made by statute, or by the
state constitution, to choose electors by the
people, there is no doubt of the right of the
legislature to resume the power at any time, for
it can neither be taken away or abdicated.
146 U.S. 1, 35 (1892) (emphasis added) (internal
quotations omitted). Defendant States would suffer no
cognizable injury from this Court’s enjoining their
reliance on an unconstitutional vote.
II. THIS CASE PRESENTS CONSTITUTIONAL
QUESTIONS OF IMMENSE NATIONAL
CONSEQUENCE THAT WARRANT THIS
COURT’S DISCRETIONARY REVIEW.
Electoral integrity ensures the legitimacy of not
just our governmental institutions, but the Republic
itself. See Wesberry, 376 U.S. at 10. “Voters who fear
their legitimate votes will be outweighed by
fraudulent ones will feel disenfranchised.” Purcell,
549 U.S. at 4. Against that backdrop, few cases could
warrant this Court’s review more than this one. In
addition, the constitutionality of the process for
selecting the President is of extreme national
importance. If Defendant States are permitted to
violate the requirements of the Constitution in the
appointment of their electors, the resulting vote of the
electoral college not only lacks constitutional
legitimacy, but the Constitution itself will be forever
sullied.
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Though the Court claims “discretion when
accepting original cases, even as to actions between
States where [its] jurisdiction is exclusive,” Wyoming
v. Oklahoma, 502 U.S. 437, 450 (1992) (internal
quotations omitted), this is not a case where the Court
should apply that discretion “sparingly.” Id. While
Plaintiff State disputes that exercising this Court’s
original jurisdiction is discretionary, see Section III,
infra, the clear unlawful abrogation of Defendant
States’ election laws designed to ensure election
integrity by a few officials, and examples of material
irregularities in the 2020 election cumulatively
warrant this Court’s exercising jurisdiction as this
Court’s “unsought responsibility to resolve the federal
and constitutional issues the judicial system has been
forced to confront.” Bush II, 531 U.S. at 111; see also
Marbury v. Madison, 5 U.S. (1 Cranch) 137, 177 (1803)
(“It is emphatically the province and duty of the
judicial department to say what the law is.”). While
isolated irregularities could be “garden-variety”
election irregularities that do not raise a federal
question,7 the closeness of the presidential election
results, combined with the unconstitutional setting-
aside of state election laws by non-legislative actors
call both the result and the process into question.
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A. The 2020 election suffered from serious
irregularities that constitutionally
prohibit using the reported results.
Defendant States’ administration of the 2020
election violated several constitutional requirements
and, thus, violated the rights that Plaintiff State
seeks to protect. “When the state legislature vests the
right to vote for President in its people, the right to
vote as the legislature has prescribed is fundamental;
and one source of its fundamental nature lies in the
equal weight accorded to each vote and the equal
dignity owed to each voter.” Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104.8
Even a State legislature vested with authority to
regulate election procedures lacks authority to
“abridg[e …] fundamental rights, such as the right to
vote.” Tashjian v. Republican Party, 479 U.S. 208, 217
(1986). As demonstrated in this section, Defendant
States’ administration of the 2020 election violated
the Electors Clause, which renders invalid any
appointment of electors based upon those election
results, unless the relevant State legislatures review
and modify or expressly ratify those results as
sufficient to determine the appointment of electors.
For example, even without fraud or nefarious intent,
a mail-in vote not subjected to the State legislature’s
ballot-integrity measures cannot be counted.
It does not matter that a judicial or executive
officer sought to bypass that screening in response to
the COVID pandemic: the choice was not theirs to
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make. “Government is not free to disregard the [the
Constitution] in times of crisis.” Roman Catholic
Diocese of Brooklyn, New York v. Cuomo, 592 U.S. ___
(Nov. 25, 2020) (Gorsuch, J., concurring). With all
unlawful votes discounted, the election result is an
open question that this Court must address. Under 3
U.S.C. § 2, the State legislatures may answer the
question, but the question must be asked here.
1. Defendant States violated the
Electors Clause by modifying their
legislatures’ election laws through
non-legislative action.
The Electors Clause grants authority to state
legislatures under both horizontal and vertical
separation of powers. It provides authority to each
State—not to federal actors—the authority to dictate
the manner of selecting presidential electors. And
within each State, it explicitly allocates that authority
to a single branch of State government: to the
“Legislature thereof.” U.S. CONST. art. II, § 1, cl. 2.
State legislatures’ primacy vis-à-vis non-legislative
actors—whether State or federal—is even more
significant than congressional primacy vis-à-vis State
legislatures.
The State legislatures’ authority is plenary. Bush
II, 531 U.S. at 104. It “cannot be taken from them or
modified” even through “their state constitutions.”
McPherson, 146 U.S. at 35; Bush I, 531 U.S at 76-77;
Bush II, 531 U.S at 104. The Framers allocated
election authority to State legislatures as the branch
closest—and most accountable—to the People. See,
e.g., Robert G. Natelson, The Original Scope of the
Congressional Power to Regulate Elections, 13 U. PA.
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26
J. CONST. L. 1, 31 (2010) (collecting Founding-era
documents); cf. THE FEDERALIST NO. 57, at 350 (C.
Rossiter, ed. 2003) (J. Madison) (“House of
Representatives is so constituted as to support in its
members a habitual recollection of their dependence
on the people”). Thus, only the State legislatures are
permitted to create or modify the respective State’s
rules for the appointment of presidential electors. U.S.
CONST. art. II, § 1, cl. 2.
“[T]here must be a substantial regulation of
elections if they are to be fair and honest and if some
sort of order, rather than chaos, is to accompany the
democratic processes.” Burdick v. Takushi, 504 U.S.
428, 433 (1992) (interior quotations omitted). Thus,
for example, deadlines are necessary, even if some
votes sent via absentee ballot do not arrive timely.
Rosario v. Rockefeller, 410 U.S. 752, 758 (1973). Even
more importantly in this pandemic year with
expanded mail-in voting, ballot-integrity measures—
e.g., witness requirements, signature verification, and
the like—are an essential component of any
legislative expansion of mail-in voting. See CARTER-
BAKER, at 46 (absentee ballots are “the largest source
of potential voter fraud”). Though it may be tempting
to permit a breakdown of the constitutional order in
the face of a global pandemic, the rule of law demands
otherwise.
Specifically, because the Electors Clause makes
clear that state legislative authority is exclusive, non-
legislative actors lack authority to amend statutes.
Republican Party of Pa. v. Boockvar, No. 20-542, 2020
U.S. LEXIS 5188, at *4 (Oct. 28, 2020) (“there is a
strong likelihood that the State Supreme Court
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27
decision violates the Federal Constitution”) (Alito, J.,
concurring); Wisconsin State Legis., No. 20A66, 2020
U.S. LEXIS 5187, at *11-14 (Oct. 26, 2020)
(Kavanaugh, J., concurring in denial of application to
vacate stay); cf. Grayned v. City of Rockford, 408 U.S.
104, 110 (1972) (“it is not within our power to construe
and narrow state laws”); Free Enter. Fund v. Pub. Co.
Accounting Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477, 509-10 (2010)
(“editorial freedom … [to “blue-pencil” statutes]
belongs to the Legislature, not the Judiciary”). That
said, courts can enjoin elections or even enforcement
of unconstitutional election laws, but they cannot
rewrite the law in federal presidential elections.
For example, if a state court enjoins or modifies
ballot-integrity measures adopted to allow absentee
or mail-in voting, that invalidates ballots cast under
the relaxed standard unless the legislature has—prior
to the election—ratified the new procedure. Without
pre-election legislative ratification, results based on
the treatment and tabulation of votes done in
violation of state law cannot be used to appoint
presidential electors.
Elections must be lawful contests, but they should
not be mere litigation contests where the side with the
most lawyers wins. As with the explosion of nation-
wide injunctions, the explosion of challenges to State
election law for partisan advantage in the lead-up to
the 2020 election “is not normal.” Dep’t of Homeland
Sec. v. New York, 140 S. Ct. 599, 600 (2020) (Gorsuch,
J., concurring in the grant of stay). Nor is it healthy.
Under the “Purcell principle,” federal courts generally
avoid enjoining state election laws in the period close
to an election. Purcell, 549 U.S. at 4-5 (citing “voter
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28
confusion and consequent incentive to remain away
from the polls”). Purcell raises valid concerns about
confusion in the run-up to elections, but judicial
election-related injunctions also raise post-election
concerns. For example, if a state court enjoins ballot-
integrity measures adopted to secure absentee or
mail-in voting, that invalidates ballots cast under the
relaxed standard unless the State legislature has had
time to ratify the new procedure. Without either pre-
election legislative ratification or a severability clause
in the legislation that created the rules for absentee
voting by mail, the state court’s actions operate to
violate the Electors Clause.
2. State and local administrator’s
systemic failure to follow State
election qualifies as an unlawful
amendment of State law.
When non-legislative state and local executive
actors engage in systemic or intentional failure to
comply with their State’s duly enacted election laws,
they adopt by executive fiat a de facto equivalent of an
impermissible amendment of State election law by an
executive or judicial officer. See Section II.A.1, supra.
This Court recognizes an executive’s “consciously and
expressly adopt[ing] a general policy that is so
extreme as to amount to an abdication of its statutory
responsibilities” as another form of reviewable final
action, even if the policy is not a written policy.
Heckler v. Chaney, 470 U.S. 821, 833 n.4 (1985)
(interior quotations omitted); accord id. at 839
(Brennan, J., concurring). Without a bona fide
amendment to State election law by the legislature,
executive officers must follow state law. Cf. Morton v.
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29
Ruiz, 415 U.S. 199, 235 (1974); Service v. Dulles, 354
U.S. 363, 388-89 (1957). The wrinkle here is that the
non-legislative actors lack the authority under the
federal Constitution to enact a bona fide amendment,
regardless of whatever COVID-related emergency
power they may have.
This form of executive nullification of state law by
statewide, county, or city officers is a variant of
impermissible amendment by a non-legislative actor.
See Section II.A.1, supra. Such nullification is always
unconstitutional, but it is especially egregious when it
eliminates legislative safeguards for election integrity
(e.g., signature and witness requirements for absentee
ballots, poll watchers9). Systemic failure by statewide,
county, or city election officials to follow State election
law is no more permissible than formal amendments
by an executive or judicial actor.
3. Defendant States’ administration of
the 2020 election violated the
Fourteenth Amendment.
In each of Defendant States, important rules
governing the sending, receipt, validity, and counting
of ballots were modified in a manner that varied from
county to county. These variations from county to
county violated the Equal Protection Clause, as this
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Court explained at length in Bush II. Each vote must
be treated equally. “When the state legislature vests
the right to vote for President in its people, the right
to vote as the legislature has prescribed is
fundamental; and one source of its fundamental
nature lies in the equal weight accorded to each vote
and the equal dignity owed to each voter.” Bush II, 531
U.S. at 104. The Equal Protection Clause demands
uniform “statewide standards for determining what is
a legal vote.” Id. at 110.
Differential intrastate voting standards are
“hostile to the one man, one vote basis of our
representative government.” Bush II, 531 U.S. at 107
(internal quotations omitted). These variations from
county to county also appear to have operated to affect
the election result. For example, the obstruction of
poll-watcher requirements that occurred in
Michigan’s Wayne County may have contributed to
the unusually high number of more than 173,000
votes which are not tied to a registered voter and that
71 percent of the precincts are out of balance with no
explanation. Compl. ¶ 97.
Regardless of whether the modification of legal
standards in some counties in Defendant States tilted
the election outcome in those States, it is clear that
the standards for determining what is a legal vote
varied greatly from county to county. That constitutes
a clear violation of the Equal Protection Clause; and
it calls into question the constitutionality of any
Electors appointed by Defendant States based on such
an unconstitutional election.
The Fourteenth Amendment’s due process clause
protects the fundamental right to vote against “[t]he
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31
disenfranchisement of a state electorate.” Duncan v.
Poythress, 657 F.2d 691, 702 (5th Cir. 1981).
Weakening or eliminating signature-validating
requirements, then restricting poll watchers also
undermines the 2020 election’s integrity—especially
as practiced in urban centers with histories of
electoral fraud—also violates substantive due process.
Griffin v. Burns, 570 F.2d 1065, 1077 (1st Cir. 1978)
(“violation of the due process clause may be indicated”
if “election process itself reaches the point of patent
and fundamental unfairness”); see also Florida State
Conference of N.A.A.C.P. v. Browning, 522 F.3d 1153,
1183-84 (11th Cir. 2008); Roe v. State of Ala. By &
Through Evans, 43 F.3d 574, 580-82 (11th Cir. 1995);
Roe v. State of Ala., 68 F.3d 404, 407 (11th Cir. 1995);
Marks v. Stinson, 19 F. 3d 873, 878 (3rd Cir. 1994).
Defendant States made concerted efforts to weaken or
nullify their legislatures’ ballot-integrity measures for
the unprecedented deluge of mail-in ballots, citing the
COVID-19 pandemic as a rationale. But “Government
is not free to disregard the [the Constitution] in times
of crisis.” Roman Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn, 592
U.S. at ___ (Gorsuch, J., concurring).
Similarly, failing to follow procedural require-
ments for amending election standards violates
procedural due process. Brown v. O’Brien, 469 F.2d
563, 567 (D.C. Cir.), vacated as moot, 409 U.S. 816
(1972). Under this Court’s precedents on procedural
due process, not only intentional failure to follow
election law as enacted by a State’s legislature but
also random and unauthorized acts by state election
officials and their designees in local government can
violate the Due Process Clause. Parratt v. Taylor, 451
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32
U.S. 527, 537-41 (1981), overruled in part on other
grounds by Daniels v. Williams, 474 U.S. 327, 330-31
(1986); Hudson v. Palmer, 468 U.S. 517, 532 (1984).
Here, the violations all were intentional, even if done
for the reason of addressing the COVID-19 pandemic.
While Plaintiff State disputes that exercising this
Court’s original jurisdiction is discretionary, see
Section III, infra, the clear unlawful abrogation of
Defendant States’ election laws designed to ensure
election integrity by a few officials, and examples of
material irregularities in the 2020 election
cumulatively warrant exercising jurisdiction.
Although isolated irregularities could be “garden-
variety” election disputes that do not raise a federal
question,10 the closeness of election results in swing
states combines with unprecedented expansion in the
use of fraud-prone mail-in ballots—millions of which
were also mailed out—and received and counted—
without verification—often in violation of express
state laws by non-legislative actors, see Sections
II.A.1-II.A.2, supra, call both the result and the
process into question. For an office as important as the
presidency, these clear violations of the Constitution,
coupled with a reasonable inference of unconstit-
utional ballots being cast in numbers that far exceed
the margin of former Vice President Biden’s vote tally
over President Trump demands the attention of this
Court.
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33
While investigations into allegations of unlawful
votes being counted and fraud continue, even the
appearance of fraud in a close election would justify
exercising the Court’s discretion to grant the motion
for leave to file. Regardless, Defendant States’
violations of the Constitution would warrant this
Court’s review, even if no election fraud had resulted.
B. A ruling on the 2020 election would
preserve the Constitution and help
prevent irregularities in future
elections.
In addition to ensuring that the 2020 presidential
election is resolved in a manner consistent with the
Constitution, this Court must review the violations
that occurred in Defendant States to enable Congress
and State legislatures to avoid future chaos and
constitutional violations. Unless this Court acts to
review this presidential election, these
unconstitutional and unilateral violations of state
election laws will continue in the future.
Regardless of how the 2020 election resolves and
whatever this Court does with respect to the 2020
election, it is imperative for our system of government
that elections follow the clear constitutional mandates
for all future elections. Just as this Court in Bush II
provided constitutional guidance to all states
regarding the equal treatment of ballots from county
to county in 2000, this Court should now provide a
clear statement that non-legislative modification of
rules governing presidential elections violate the
Electors Clause. Such a ruling will discourage in the
future the kind of non-legislative election
modifications that proliferated in 2020.
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34
III. REVIEW IS NOT DISCRETIONARY.
Although this Court’s original jurisdiction prece-
dents would justify the Court’s hearing this matter
under the Court’s discretion, see Section II, supra,
Plaintiff State respectfully submits that the Court’s
review is not discretionary. To the contrary, the plain
text of § 1251(a) provides exclusive jurisdiction, not
discretionary jurisdiction. See 28 U.S.C. § 1251(a). In
addition, no other remedy exists for these interstate
challenges, see Section I.G, supra, and some court
must have jurisdiction for these weighty issues. See
Mostyn v. Fabrigas, 98 Eng. Rep. 1021, 1028 (K.B.
1774) (“if there is no other mode of trial, that alone
will give the King’s courts a jurisdiction”). As
individual Justices have concluded, the issue “bears
reconsideration.” Nebraska v. Colorado, 136 S.Ct.
1034, 1035 (2016) (Thomas, J., dissenting, joined by
Alito, J.); accord New Mexico v. Colorado, 137 S.Ct.
2319 (2017) (Thomas, J., dissenting) (same). Plaintiff
State respectfully submits that that reconsideration
would be warranted to the extent that the Court does
not elect to hear this matter in its discretion.
IV. THIS CASE WARRANTS SUMMARY
DISPOSITION OR EXPEDITED BRIEFING.
The issues presented here are neither fact-bound
nor complex, and their vital importance urgently
needs a resolution. Plaintiff State will move this Court
for expedited consideration but also suggest that this
case is a prime candidate for summary disposition
because the material facts—namely, that the COVID-
19 pandemic prompted non-legislative actors to
unlawfully modify Defendant States’ election laws,
and carry out an election in violation of basic voter
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35
integrity statutes—are not in serious dispute.
California v. United States, 457 U.S. 273, 278 (1982);
South Carolina v. Katzenbach, 383 U.S. 301, 307
(1966). This case presents a pure and straightforward
question of law that requires neither finding
additional facts nor briefing beyond the threshold
issues presented here.
CONCLUSION
Leave to file the Bill of Complaint should be
granted.
December 7, 2020 Respectfully submitted,
Ken Paxton*
Attorney General of Texas
Brent Webster
First Assistant Attorney
General of Texas
Lawrence Joseph
Special Counsel to the
Attorney General of Texas
* Counsel of Record
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STATE OF TEXAS,
Plaintiff,
v.
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA, STATE OF GEORGIA,
STATE OF MICHIGAN, AND STATE OF WISCONSIN,
Defendants.
___________________________________________
Court Rule 21, for expedited consideration of the motion for leave to file a bill of
(a) December 8 is the safe harbor for certifying presidential electors, 3 U.S.C. § 5;
(b) the electoral college votes on December 14, 3 U.S.C. § 7; and (c) the House of
Representatives counts votes on January 6, 3 U.S.C. § 15. Absent some form of relief,
the defendants will appoint electors based on unconstitutional and deeply uncertain
election results, and the House will count those votes on January 6, tainting the
1
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Expedited consideration of the motion for leave to file the bill of complaint is
needed to enable the Court to resolve this original action before the applicable
statutory deadlines, as well as the constitutional deadline of January 20, 2021, for
the next presidential term to commence. U.S. CONST. amend. XX, § 1, cl. 1. Texas
respectfully requests that the Court order Defendant States to respond to the motion
for leave to file by December 9. Texas waives the waiting period for reply briefs under
this Court’s Rule 17.5, so that the Court could consider the case on an expedited basis
Working in tandem with the merits briefing schedule proposed here, Texas also
will move for interim relief in the form of a temporary restraining order, preliminary
injunction, stay, and administrative stay to enjoin Defendant States from certifying
their presidential electors or having them vote in the electoral college. See S.Ct. Rule
17.2 (“The form of pleadings and motions prescribed by the Federal Rules of Civil
Procedure is followed.”); cf. S.Ct. Rule 23 (stays in this Court). Texas also asked in
their motion for leave to file that the Court summarily resolve this matter at that
threshold stage. Any relief that the Court grants under those two alternate motions
especially appropriate and efficient way to ensure that the eventual appointment and
vote of such electors reflects a constitutional and accurate tally of lawful votes and
time for the House to act on January 6. Accordingly, Texas respectfully requests
2
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expedition of this original action on one or more of these related motions. The degree
of expedition required depends, in part, on whether Congress reschedules the day set
for presidential electors to vote and the day set for the House to count the votes. See
STATEMENT
Like much else in 2020, the 2020 election was compromised by the COVID-19
pandemic. Even without Defendant States’ challenged actions here, the election
REFORM, at 46 (Sept. 2005) (absentee ballots are “the largest source of potential voter
fraud”). Combined with that increase, the election in Defendant States was also
and executive fiats via guidance to election officials—in ways that undermined state
casting ballots and poll-watcher requirements for counting them. State legislatures
have plenary authority to set the method for selecting presidential electors, Bush v.
Gore, 531 U.S. 98, 104 (2000) (“Bush II”), and “significant departure from the
constitutional question.” Id. at 113 (Rehnquist, C.J., concurring); accord Bush v. Palm
Beach Cty. Canvassing Bd., 531 U.S. 70, 76 (2000) (“Bush I”).
Plaintiff State has not had the benefit of formal discovery prior to submitting
this original action. Nonetheless, Plaintiff State has uncovered substantial evidence
3
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discussed below that raises serious doubts as to the integrity of the election processes
the following:
Elections Department for the 2020 election testified (App. 34a-36a) that she
was “instructed not to look at any of the signatures on the absentee ballots,
and I was instructed not to compare the signature on the absentee ballot with
• Ethan J. Pease, a box truck delivery driver subcontracted to the U.S. Postal
149a-51a). Further, Pease testified how a senior USPA employee told him on
November 4, 2020 that “An order came down from the Wisconsin/Illinois
Chapter of the Postal Service that 100,000 ballots” and how the USPSA
thousand ballots “found” after election day far exceeds former Vice President
4
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filed a complaint against Secretary Boockvar and other local election officials,
11, 2020, stating in relevant part: “The Pennsylvania Election Code does not
authorize the county board of elections to set aside returned absentee or mail-
App. 113a.
• Acting under a generally worded clause that “Elections shall be free and
equal,” PA. CONST. art. I, §5, cl. 1, a 4-3 majority of Pennsylvania’s Supreme
Court in Pa. Democratic Party v. Boockvar, 238 A.3d 345 (Pa. 2020), extended
the statutory deadline for mail-in ballots from Election Day to three days after
received after the statutory deadline. Because Pennsylvania misled this Court
1 Although the materials cited here are a complaint, that complaint is verified
(i.e., declared under penalty of perjury), App. 75a, which is evidence for purposes of a
motion for summary judgment. Neal v. Kelly, 963 F.2d 453, 457 (D.C. Cir. 1992)
(“allegations in [the] verified complaint should have been considered on the motion
for summary judgment as if in a new affidavit”).
5
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of ballots affected.
• Prior to the election, Secretary Boockvar sent an email to local election officials
clearly violated several provisions of the state election code. App. 122a-24a. By
removing the ballots for examination prior to seven o’clock a.m. on election day,
entire scheme, which was only followed in Democrat majority counties, was
blatantly illegal in that it permitted the illegal removal of ballots from their
stating that “[t]he general election of 2020 in Pennsylvania was fraught with
balloting … [and] that the reliability of the mail-in votes in the Commonwealth
6
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that more than 118,426 mail-in votes either had no mail date, were returned
before they were mailed, or returned one day after the mail date. The Report
also stated that, based on government reported data, the number of mail-in
Settlement Agreement and Release (App. 19a-24a) with the Democratic Party
beyond the express mandatory procedures set forth at GA. CODE § 21-2-
persons other than the voter to apply for an absentee ballot, GA. CODE § 21-2-
381(a)(1)(C), which means that the legislature likely was relying heavily on the
7
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• The probability of former Vice President Biden winning the popular vote in the
States collectively, the odds of that event happening decrease to less than one
9a).
• The same less than one in a quadrillion statistical improbability of Mr. Biden
President Trump’s performance in the 2016 and 2020 general elections. Again,
the statistical improbability of Mr. Biden winning the popular vote in these
counted in the 2020 election than if the statute had been properly applied. The
8
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2016 rejection rate was more than seventeen times greater than in 2020. See
2020 would result in a net gain for President Trump of 25,587 votes. This would
be more than needed to overcome the Biden advantage of 12,670 votes, and
• The two Republican members of the Board rescinded their votes to certify the
vote in Wayne County, and signed affidavits alleging they were bullied and
misled into approving election results and do not believe the votes should be
certified until serious irregularities in Detroit votes are resolved. See Cicchetti
• The Wayne County Statement of Votes Report lists 174,384 absentee ballots
registration number for precincts in the City of Detroit. See Cicchetti Decl. at
¶ 27 (App. 8a). The number of votes not tied to a registered voter by itself
exceeds Vice President Biden’s margin of margin of 146,007 votes by more than
28,377 votes. The extra ballots cast most likely resulted from the phenomenon
As a net result of these challenges, the close election result in Defendant States—on
9
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which the presidential election turns—is indeterminate. Put another way, Defendant
To remedy Texas’s claims and remove the cloud over the results of the 2020
election, expedited review and interim relief are required. December 8, 2020 is a
statutory safe harbor for States to appoint presidential electors, and by statute the
participating in the electoral college vote. As permanent relief, Texas asks this Court
to the statutory and constitutional backstop for this scenario: “Whenever any State
has held an election for the purpose of choosing electors, and has failed to make a
choice on the day prescribed by law, the electors may be appointed on a subsequent
day in such a manner as the legislature of such State may direct.” 3 U.S.C. § 2
the federal Electors Clause, even if state laws or constitutions provide otherwise.
McPherson v. Blacker, 146 U.S. 1, 35 (1892); accord Bush I, 531 U.S. at 76-77; Bush
II, 531 U.S at 104. For its part, Congress could move the December 14 date set for the
electoral college’s vote, as it has done before when faced with contested elections. Ch.
37, 19 Stat. 227 (1877). Alternatively, the electoral college could vote on December 14
10
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without Defendant States’ electors, with the presidential election going to the House
270-vote majority.
want (namely, the electoral college to proceed based on the unconstitutional election
in Defendant States):
Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104. Proceeding under the unconstitutional election is not an
option.
Pursuant to 28 U.S.C. 1251(a), Plaintiff State has filed a motion for leave to
file a bill of complaint today. As set forth in the complaint and outlined above, all
Defendant States ran their 2020 election process in noncompliance with the ballot-
the COVID-19 pandemic as a pretext or rationale for doing so. In so doing, Defendant
States disenfranchised not only their own voters, but also the voters of all other
States: “the impact of the votes cast in each State is affected by the votes cast for the
various candidates in other States.” Anderson v. Celebrezze, 460 U.S. 780, 795 (1983).
ARGUMENT
electors with State legislatures. McPherson, 146 U.S. at 35; Bush I, 531 U.S. at 76-
77; Bush II, 531 U.S at 104. While State legislatures need not proceed by popular
11
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vote, the Constitution requires protecting the fundamental right to vote when State
legislatures decide to proceed via elections. Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104. On the issue of
the constitutionality of an election, moreover, the Judiciary has the final say: “It is
emphatically the province and duty of the judicial department to say what the law
is.” Marbury v. Madison, 5 U.S. (1 Cranch) 137, 177 (1803); Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104.
For its part, Congress has the ability to set the time for the electoral college to vote.
U.S. CONST. art. II, § 1, cl. 3. To proceed constitutionally with the 2020 election, all
three actors potentially have a role, given the complications posed by Defendant
With this year’s election on November 3, and the electoral college’s vote set by
statute for December 14, 3 U.S.C. § 7, Congress has not allowed much time to
investigate irregularities like those in Defendant States before the electoral college
is statutorily set to act. But the time constraints are not constitutional in nature—
the Constitution’s only time-related provision is that the President’s term ends on
January 20, U.S. CONST. amend. XX, § 1, cl. 1—and Congress has both the obvious
authority and even a history of moving the date of the electoral college’s vote when
issues raised here, not only for the results of the 2020 presidential election but also
for the implications for our constitutional democracy going forward. If this Court does
not halt the Defendant States’ participation in the electoral college’s vote on
December 14, a grave cloud will hang over not only the presidency but also the
12
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Republic.
With ordinary briefing, Defendant States would not need to respond for 60
days, S.Ct. Rule 17.5, which is after the next presidential term commences on
January 20, 2021. Accordingly, this Court should adopt an expedited briefing
schedule on the motion for leave to file the bill of complaint, as well as the
or temporary restraining order pending further order of the Court. If this Court
declines to resolve this original action summarily, the Court should adopt an
expedited briefing schedule for plenary consideration, allowing the Court to resolve
this matter before the relevant deadline passes. The contours of that schedule depend
on whether the Court grants interim relief. Texas respectfully proposes two alternate
schedules.
If the Court has not yet granted administrative relief, Texas proposes that the
Court order Defendant States to respond to the motion for leave to file a bill of
complaint and motion for interim relief by December 9. See S.Ct. Rule 17.2 (adopting
Federal Rules of Civil Procedure); FED. R. CIV. P. 65; cf. S.Ct. Rule 23 (stays). Texas
waives the waiting period for reply briefs under this Court’s Rule 17.5 and would
reply by December 10, which would allow the Court to consider this case on an
With respect to the merits if the Court neither grants the requested interim
relief nor summarily resolves this matter in response to the motion for leave to file
the bill of complaint, thus requiring briefing of the merits, Texas respectfully proposes
13
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If the Court grants an administrative stay or other interim relief, but does not
summarily resolve this matter in response to the motion for leave to file the bill of
complaint, Texas respectfully proposes the following schedule for briefing and
In the event that Congress moves the date for the electoral college and the House to
vote or count votes, then the parties could propose an alternate schedule. If any
motions to intervene are granted by the applicable deadline, intervenors would file
14
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prospective intervenors file or seek leave to file an amicus brief in lieu of their still-
CONCLUSION
Texas respectfully requests that the Court expedite consideration of its motion
for leave to file a bill of complaint based on the proposed schedule and, if the Court
neither stays nor summarily resolves the matter and thus sets the case for plenary
consideration, that the Court expedite briefing and oral argument based on the
proposed schedule.
Brent Webster
First Assistant Attorney General of Texas
Lawrence Joseph
Special Counsel to the Attorney General of
Texas
* Counsel of Record
15
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CERTIFICATE AS TO FORM
Pursuant to Sup. Ct. Rules 22 and 33, I certify that the foregoing motion are
15 pages (and 3,550 words), excluding this Certificate as to Form, the Table of
Ken Paxton
Counsel of Record
Attorney General of Texas
Office of the Attorney General
P.O. Box 12548 (MC 059)
Austin, TX 78711-2548
[email protected]
(512) 936-1414
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CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
The undersigned certifies that, on this 7th day of December 2020, in addition
to filing the foregoing document via the Court’s electronic filing system, one true and
correct copy of the foregoing document was served by Federal Express, with a PDF
courtesy copy served via electronic mail on the following counsel and parties:
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STATE OF TEXAS,
Plaintiff,
v.
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA, STATE OF
GEORGIA, STATE OF MICHIGAN, AND STATE OF
WISCONSIN,
Defendants.
Ken Paxton*
Attorney General of Texas
Brent Webster
First Assistant Attorney
General of Texas
Lawrence Joseph
Special Counsel to the
Attorney General of Texas
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i
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Pages
Table of Authorities................................................... iii
Motion for Preliminary Injunction and
Temporary Restraining Order or,
Alternatively, for Stay and Administrative
Stay....................................................................... 1
Statement of the Case ................................................ 2
Constitutional Background ................................. 4
Defendant States’ Violations of Electors
Clause ............................................................ 5
Factual Background............................................. 5
Standard of Review .................................................... 6
Argument .................................................................... 7
I. This Court is likely to exercise its discretion
to hear this case. .................................................. 7
II. The Plaintiff State is likely to prevail. ................ 8
A. This Court has jurisdiction over Plaintiff
State's claims ................................................. 9
1. The claims fall within this Court’s
constitutional and statutory subject-
matter jurisdiction. ................................. 9
2. The claims arise under the
Constitution........................................... 10
3. The claims raise a “case or
controversy” between the States. ......... 12
4. Plaintiff State has prudential
standing. ................................................ 19
5. This action is not moot and will not
become moot. ......................................... 21
6. This matter is ripe for review. .............. 21
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ii
7. This action does not raise a non-
justiciable political question. ................ 23
8. No adequate alternate remedy or
forum exists. .......................................... 23
B. The Plaintiff State is likely to prevail on
the merits. .................................................... 26
1. Defendant States violated the
Electors Clause by modifying their
legislatures’ election laws through
non-legislative action. ........................... 26
2. State and local administrator’s
systemic failure to follow State
election qualifies as an unlawful
amendment of State law. ...................... 30
III. The other Winter-Hollingsworth factors
warrant interim relief. ....................................... 31
A. Plaintiff State will suffer irreparable
harm if the Defendant States’
unconstitutional electors vote in the
electoral college. .......................................... 32
B. The Defendant States would not suffer
cognizable irreparable harm, and the
balance of equities tips to the Plaintiff
State. ............................................................ 32
C. The public interest favors interim relief. ... 33
IV. Alternatively, this case warrants summary
disposition. ......................................................... 34
Conclusion ................................................................ 35
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iii
TABLE OF AUTHORITIES
Pages
Cases
Anderson v. Celebrezze, 460 U.S. 780 (1983) ........... 13
Anderson v. United States, 417 U.S. 211 (1974) ..... 14
Arizona Sect’y of State’s Office v. Feldman, 137
S.Ct. 446 (2016) ..................................................... 6
Ass’n of Data Processing Serv. Org., Inc. v. Camp,
397 U.S. 150 (1970) ............................................. 19
Baer v. Meyer, 728 F.2d 471 (10th Cir. 1984).......... 31
Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186 (1962) .............. 14, 23, 28
Barr v. Chatman, 397 F.2d 515 (7th Cir. 1968) ...... 31
Bell v. Hood, 327 U.S. 678 (1946) ............................ 12
Bognet v. Sec’y Pa., No. 20-3214, 2020 U.S. App.
LEXIS 35639 (3d Cir. Nov. 13, 2020) ................. 20
Brushaber v. Union Pac. R. Co.,
240 U.S. 1 (1916) ................................................. 31
Burdick v. Takushi, 504 U.S. 428 (1992) ................ 28
California v. Texas, 459 U.S. 1067 (1982) ................. 6
Caplin & Drysdale v. United States,
491 U.S. 617 (1989) ............................................. 14
City of Boerne v. Flores, 521 U.S. 507 (1997) .......... 17
City of Chicago v. Int’l Coll. of Surgeons,
522 U.S. 156 (1997) ............................................. 11
Coleman v. Miller, 307 U.S. 433 (1939) ................... 16
Cook v. Gralike, 531 U.S. 510 (2001) ............ 11-12, 31
Democratic Nat'l Comm. v. Wisconsin State
Legis., No. 20A66, 2020 U.S. LEXIS 5187
(Oct. 26, 2020) ....................................................... 6
Dep’t of Homeland Sec. v. New York, 140 S. Ct.
599 (2020) ............................................................ 29
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iv
Dunn v. Blumstein, 405 U.S. 330 (1972) ................. 14
FEC v. Akins, 524 U.S. 11 (1998) ............................ 18
FEC v. Wisconsin Right to Life, Inc.,
551 U.S. 449 (2007) ............................................. 21
Foman v. Davis, 371 U.S. 178 (1962) ........................ 9
Foster v. Chatman, 136 S.Ct. 1737 (2016) ............... 10
Fox Film Corp. v. Muller, 296 U.S. 207 (1935) ....... 11
Frank v. Walker, 135 S.Ct. 7 (2014) .......................... 6
Free Enter. Fund v. Pub. Co. Accounting
Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477 (2010) .................... 28
Gasser Chair Co. v. Infanti Chair Mfg. Corp., 60
F.3d 770 (Fed. Cir. 1995) .................................... 22
Grayned v. City of Rockford,
408 U.S. 104 (1972) ............................................. 28
Harris v. Conradi, 675 F.2d 1212
(11th Cir. 1982) ................................................... 31
Heckler v. Chaney, 470 U.S. 821 (1985)................... 30
Hollingsworth v. Perry, 558 U.S. 183 (2010) .... 7-8, 31
Hunter v. Hamilton Cty. Bd. of Elections, 635
F.3d 219 (6th Cir. 2011) ...................................... 34
Husted v. Ohio State Conf. of the NAACP, 135
S.Ct. 42 (2014) ....................................................... 6
Jacobson v. Massachusetts, 197 U.S. 11 (1905) ...... 30
Kentucky v. Indiana, 281 U.S. 163 (1930) ............... 15
Kowalski v. Tesmer, 543 U.S. 125 (2004) ................ 19
Lance v. Coffman, 549 U.S. 437 (2007) ................... 15
League of Women Voters of the United States v.
Newby, 838 F.3d 1 (D.C. Cir. 2016) .................... 33
Leser v. Garnett, 258 U.S. 130 (1922) ...................... 25
Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555
(1992) ................................................................... 13
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v
Lujan v. Nat’l Wildlife Fed’n, 497 U.S. 871 (1990) . 22
Marbury v. Madison, 5 U.S. (1 Cranch) 137 (1803) 34
Maryland v. Louisiana, 451 U.S. 725 (1981) .......... 13
Massachusetts v. Environmental Protection
Agency, 549 U.S. 497 (2007) ......................... 15, 20
McPherson v. Blacker, 146 U.S. 1 (1892)..... 18, 25, 27
Merrell Dow Pharm., Inc. v. Thompson, 478 U.S.
804 (1986) ............................................................ 10
Morton v. Ruiz, 415 U.S. 199 (1974) ........................ 30
Mostyn v. Fabrigas, 98 Eng. Rep. 1021 (K.B.
1774) ...................................................................... 8
Nebraska v. Colorado, 136 S.Ct. 1034 (2016) ............ 7
New Jersey v. New York, 345 U.S. 369 (1953) ......... 15
New Mexico v. Colorado, 137 S.Ct. 2319 (2017) ........ 7
Norman v. Reed, 502 U.S. 279 (1992) ...................... 21
North Carolina v. Covington,
138 S.Ct. 974 (2018) .............................................. 6
North Carolina v. League of Women Voters, 135
S.Ct. 6 (2014) ......................................................... 6
Oregon v. Mitchell, 400 U.S. 112 (1970) .................... 8
Petrella v. MGM, 572 U.S. 663 (2014) ..................... 22
Profitness Physical Therapy Ctr. v. Pro-Fit
Orthopedic & Sports Physical Therapy P.C.,
314 F.3d 62 (2d Cir. 2002) .................................. 22
Republican Nat’l Comm. v. Democratic Nat’l
Comm., 140 S.Ct. 1205 (2020) .............................. 6
Republican Party of Pa. v. Boockvar, No. 20-542,
2020 U.S. LEXIS 5188 (Oct. 28, 2020)
Republican Party v. Boockvar, No. 20A54, 2020
U.S. LEXIS 5181 (Oct. 19, 2020) .......................... 7
Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533 (1964) ................ 2, 13
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vi
Roman Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn, New York v.
Cuomo, 592 U.S. ___ (Nov. 25, 2020) ................. 26
Rosario v. Rockefeller, 410 U.S. 752 (1973) ............. 28
Service v. Dulles, 354 U.S. 363 (1957) ..................... 30
Steel Co. v. Citizens for a Better Env’t., 523 U.S.
83 (1998) ................................................................ 9
Texas v. United States, 523 U.S. 296 (1998)
United States Term Limits v. Thornton, 514 U.S.
779, 805 (1995) .................................................... 21
United States v. Louisiana, 351 U.S. 978 (1956) ...... 6
United States v. Nevada, 412 U.S. 534 (1973) ........ 24
Washington v. Reno, 35 F.3d 1093 (6th Cir. 1994) . 33
Wesberry v. Sanders, 376 U.S. 1 (1964) ... 2, 14, 20, 33
What-A-Burger of Va., Inc. v. Whataburger, Inc.,
357 F.3d 441 (4th Cir. 2004) ............................... 22
Winter v. Natural Resources Def. Council, Inc.,
555 U.S. 7 (2008) ................................................. 22
Wisconsin State Legis., No. 20A66, 2020 U.S.
LEXIS 5187 (Oct. 26, 2020) ............................ 8, 28
Yick Wo v. Hopkins, 118 U.S. 356 (1886) ................ 14
Statutes
U.S. CONST. art. I, § 4 .............................................. 3-4
U.S. CONST. art. II, § 1, cl. 2 .............................. passim
U.S. CONST. art. III............................. 10-13, 16, 19-20
U.S. CONST. art. III, § 2 .............................................. 9
U.S. CONST. art. V, cl. 3 ............................................ 14
U.S. CONST. amend. XII ........................................... 24
U.S. CONST. amend. XX, § 1 ..................................... 10
3 U.S.C. § 2 ......................................5, 9, 19, 26, 32, 35
3 U.S.C. § 5 ........................................................... 9, 24
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vii
3 U.S.C. § 7 ................................................................. 9
3 U.S.C. § 15 ......................................................... 9, 19
28 U.S.C. § 1251(a) ................................................. 7, 9
28 U.S.C. § 1331 ....................................................... 10
52 U.S.C. § 20501(b)(1)-(2) ......................................... 2
52 U.S.C. § 20501(b)(3)-(4) ......................................... 2
Rules, Regulations and Orders
S.Ct. Rule 17.2 ........................................................ 2, 6
S.Ct. Rule 17.5 .......................................................... 34
S.Ct. Rule 21 ............................................................... 1
S.Ct. Rule 23 ............................................................... 1
Fed. R. Civ. P. 65 ........................................................ 1
FED. R. CIV. P. 65(a)(2) ............................................. 34
Other Authorities
BUILDING CONFIDENCE IN U.S. ELECTIONS: REPORT
OF THE COMMISSION ON FEDERAL ELECTION
REFORM (Sept. 2005) ............................................. 5
FEDERALIST NO. 57 (James Madisn) ........................ 27
FEDERALIST NO. 68 (Alexander Hamilton) ................ 4
Robert G. Natelson, The Original Scope of the
Congressional Power to Regulate Elections, 13
U. PA. J. CONST. L. 1 (2010) ................................ 27
J. Story, 1 COMMENTARIES ON THE CONSTITUTION
OF THE UNITED STATES § 627 (3d ed. 1858) .. 12, 31
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STATE OF TEXAS,
Plaintiff,
v.
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA, STATE OF
GEORGIA, STATE OF MICHIGAN, AND STATE OF
WISCONSIN,
Defendants.
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2
and to stay such actions pending the final resolution
of this action on the merits.
STATEMENT OF THE CASE
Lawful elections are the heart of our freedoms.
“No right is more precious in a free country than that
of having a voice in the election of those who make the
laws under which, as good citizens, we must live.
Other rights, even the most basic, are illusory if the
right to vote is undermined.” Wesberry v. Sanders, 376
U.S. 1, 10 (1964). Trust in the integrity of that process
is the glue that binds our citizenry and the States in
this Union.
Elections face the competing goals of maximizing
and counting lawful votes but minimizing and
excluding unlawful ones. Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S.
533, 554-55 (1964); Bush v. Gore, 531 U.S. 98, 103
(2000) (“the votes eligible for inclusion in the
certification are the votes meeting the properly
established legal requirements”) (“Bush II”); compare
52 U.S.C. § 20501(b)(1)-(2) (2018) with id.
§ 20501(b)(3)-(4). Moreover, “the right of suffrage can
be denied by a debasement or dilution of the weight of
a citizen’s vote just as effectively as by wholly
prohibiting the free exercise of the franchise.”
Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 555. Reviewing election results
requires not only counting lawful votes but also
eliminating unlawful ones.
It is an understatement to say that 2020 was not
a good year. In addition to a divided and partisan
national mood, the country faced the COVID-19
pandemic. Certain officials in the Defendant States
presented the pandemic as the justification for
ignoring state laws regarding absentee and mail-in
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3
voting. The Defendant States flooded their citizenry
with tens of millions of ballot applications and ballots
in derogation of statutory controls as to how they are
lawfully received, evaluated, and counted. Whether
well intentioned or not, these unconstitutional acts
had the same uniform effect—they made the 2020
election less secure in the Defendant States. Those
changes are inconsistent with relevant state laws and
were made by non-legislative entities, without any
consent by the state legislatures. The acts of these
officials thus directly violated the Constitution. U.S.
CONST. art. I, § 4; id. art. II, § 1, cl. 2.
This case presents a question of law: Did the
Defendant States violate the Electors Clause by
taking non-legislative actions to change the election
rules that would govern the appointment of
presidential electors? These non-legislative changes
to the Defendant States’ election laws facilitated the
casting and counting of ballots in violation of state
law, which, in turn, violated the Electors Clause of
Article II, Section 1, Clause 2 of the U.S. Constitution.
By these unlawful acts, the Defendant States have not
only tainted the integrity of their own citizens’ vote,
but their actions have also debased the votes of
citizens in Plaintiff State and other States that
remained loyal to the Constitution.
Elections for federal office must comport with
federal constitutional standards, see Bush II, 531 U.S.
at 103-05, and executive branch government officials
cannot subvert these constitutional requirements, no
matter their stated intent. For presidential elections,
each State must appoint its Electors to the electoral
college in a manner that complies with the
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4
Constitution, specifically the Electors Clause
requirement that only state legislatures may set the
rules governing the appointment of electors and the
elections upon which such appointment is based.1
Constitutional Background
The Electors Clause requires that each State
“shall appoint” its Presidential Electors “in such
Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct.” U.S.
CONST. art. II, § 1, cl. 2 (emphasis added); cf. id. art. I,
§ 4 (similar for time, place, and manner of federal
legislative elections). “[T]he state legislature’s power
to select the manner for appointing electors is
plenary,” Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104 (emphasis added),
and sufficiently federal for this Court’s review. Bush
v. Palm Beach Cty. Canvassing Bd., 531 U.S. 70, 76
(2000) (“Bush I”). This textual feature of our
Constitution was adopted to ensure the integrity of
the presidential selection process: “Nothing was more
to be desired than that every practicable obstacle
should be opposed to cabal, intrigue, and corruption.”
FEDERALIST NO. 68 (Alexander Hamilton). When a
State conducts a popular election to appoint electors,
the State must comply with all constitutional
requirements. Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104. When a State
fails to conduct a valid election—for any reason—"the
electors may be appointed on a subsequent day in such
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5
a manner as the legislature of such State may direct.”
3 U.S.C. § 2 (emphasis added).
Defendant States’ Violations of Electors Clause
As set forth in the Complaint, executive and
judicial officials made significant changes to the
legislatively defined election laws in the Defendant
States. See Compl. at ¶¶ 29-134. Taken together,
these non-legislative changes did away with statutory
ballot-security measures for absentee and mail-in
ballots such as signature verification, witness
requirements, and statutorily authorized secure
ballot drop-off locations.
Citing the COVID-19 pandemic, Defendant States
gutted the safeguards for absentee ballots through
non-legislative actions, despite knowledge that
absentee ballots are “the largest source of potential
voter fraud,” BUILDING CONFIDENCE IN U.S.
ELECTIONS: REPORT OF THE COMMISSION ON FEDERAL
ELECTION REFORM, at 46 (Sept. 2005) (hereinafter,
“CARTER-BAKER”), which is magnified when absentee
balloting is shorn of ballot-integrity measures such as
signature verification, witness requirements, or
outer-envelope protections, or when absentee ballots
are processed and tabulated without bipartisan
observation by poll watchers.
Factual Background
Without Defendant States’ combined 72 electoral
votes, President Trump presumably has 232 electoral
votes, and former Vice President Biden presumably
has 234. Thus, Defendant States’ electors will
determine the outcome of the election. Alternatively,
if Defendant States are unable to certify 37 or more
electors, neither candidate will have a majority in the
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Electoral College, in which case the election would
devolve to the U.S. House of Representatives under
the Twelfth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.
STANDARD OF REVIEW
Original actions follow the motions practice of the
Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. S.Ct. 17.2. Plaintiffs
can obtain preliminary injunctions in original actions.
See California v. Texas, 459 U.S. 1067 (1982)
(“[m]otion of plaintiff for issuance of a preliminary
injunction granted”); United States v. Louisiana, 351
U.S. 978 (1956) (enjoining named state officers “and
others acting with them … from prosecuting any other
case or cases involving the controversy before this
Court until further order of the Court”). Similarly, a
moving party can seek a stay pending appeal under
this Court’s Rule 23.2
Plaintiffs who seek interim relief under Federal
Rule 65 must establish that they likely will succeed on
the merits and likely will suffer irreparable harm
without interim relief, that the balance of equities
between their harm in the absence of interim relief
and the defendants’ harm from interim relief favors
the movants, and that the public interest favors
interim relief. Winter v. Natural Resources Def.
Council, Inc., 555 U.S. 7, 20 (2008). To obtain a stay
pending appeal under this Court’s Rule 23, the
applicant must meet a similar test:
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(1) a reasonable probability that four Justices
will consider the issue sufficiently meritorious
to grant certiorari; (2) a fair prospect that a
majority of the Court will vote to reverse the
judgment below; and (3) a likelihood that
irreparable harm will result from the denial of
a stay. In close cases the Circuit Justice or the
Court will balance the equities and weigh the
relative harms to the applicant and to the
respondent.
Hollingsworth v. Perry, 558 U.S. 183, 190 (2010).
ARGUMENT
I. THIS COURT IS LIKELY TO EXERCISE ITS
DISCRETION TO HEAR THIS CASE.
Although Plaintiff State disputes that this Court
has discretion to decide not to hear this case instituted
by a sovereign State, see 28 U.S.C. § 1251(a) (this
Court’s jurisdiction is exclusive for actions between
States); Nebraska v. Colorado, 136 S.Ct. 1034, 1035
(2016) (Thomas, J., dissenting, joined by Alito, J.);
accord New Mexico v. Colorado, 137 S.Ct. 2319 (2017)
(Thomas, J., dissenting), this Court is nonetheless
likely to exercise its discretion to hear this case for two
reasons, which is analogous to the first Hollingsworth
factor for a stay.
First, in the analogous case of Republican Party v.
Boockvar, No. 20A54, 2020 U.S. LEXIS 5181 (Oct. 19,
2020), four justices voted to stay a decision by the
Pennsylvania Supreme Court that worked an example
of the type of non-legislative revision to State election
law that the Plaintiff State challenges here. In
addition, since then, a new Associate Justice joined
the Court, and the Chief Justice indicated a rationale
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for voting against a stay in Democratic Nat'l Comm.
v. Wisconsin State Legis., No. 20A66, 2020 U.S. LEXIS
5187, at *1 (Oct. 26, 2020) (Roberts, C.J., concurring
in denial of application to vacate stay) that either does
not apply to original actions or that was wrong for the
reasons set forth in Section II.A.2, supra (non-
legislative amendment of State election statutes poses
a question that arises under the federal Constitution,
see Bush II, 531 U.S. at 113 (Rehnquist, C.J.,
concurring).
Second, this Court has repeatedly acknowledged
the “uniquely important national interest” in elections
for president and the rules for them. Bush II, 531 U.S.
at 112 (interior quotations omitted); see also Oregon v.
Mitchell, 400 U.S. 112 (1970) (original jurisdiction in
voting-rights cases). Few cases on this Court’s docket
will be as important to our future as this case.
Third, no other remedy or forum exists for a State
to challenge multiple States’ maladministration of a
presidential election, see Section II.A.8, infra, and
some court must have jurisdiction for these
fundamental issues about the viability of our
democracy: “if there is no other mode of trial, that
alone will give the King’s courts a jurisdiction.”
Mostyn v. Fabrigas, 98 Eng. Rep. 1021, 1028 (K.B.
1774) (Lord Mansfield).
II. THE PLAINTIFF STATE IS LIKELY TO
PREVAIL.
Under the Winter-Hollingsworth test, the
plaintiff’s likelihood of prevailing is the primary factor
to assess the need for interim relief. Here, the Plaintiff
State will prevail because this Court has jurisdiction
and the Plaintiff State’s merit case is likely to prevail.
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A. This Court has jurisdiction over
Plaintiff State’s claims
In order to grant leave to file, this Court first must
assure itself of its jurisdiction, Steel Co. v. Citizens for
a Better Env’t., 523 U.S. 83, 95 (1998); cf. Foman v.
Davis, 371 U.S. 178, 182 (1962) (courts deny leave to
file amended pleadings that would be futile). That
standard is met here. The Plaintiff State’s
fundamental rights and interests are at stake. This
Court is the only venue that can protect the Plaintiff
State’s Electoral College votes from being cancelled by
the unlawful and constitutionally tainted votes cast
by Electors appointed by the Defendant States.
1. The claims fall within this Court’s
constitutional and statutory subject-
matter jurisdiction.
The federal judicial power extends to
“Controversies between two or more States.” U.S.
CONST. art. III, § 2, and Congress has placed the
jurisdiction for such suits exclusively with the
Supreme Court: “The Supreme Court shall have
original and exclusive jurisdiction of all controversies
between two or more States.” 28 U.S.C. § 1251(a)
(emphasis added). This Court not only is a permissible
court for hearing this action; it is the only court that
can hear this action quickly enough to render relief
sufficient to avoid constitutionally tainted votes in the
Electoral College and to place the appointment and
certification of the Defendant States’ presidential
electors before their legislatures pursuant to 3 U.S.C.
§§ 2, 5, and 7 in time for a vote in the House of
Representatives on January 6, 2021. See 3 U.S.C. § 15.
With that relief in place, the House can resolve the
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election on January 6, 2021, in time for the President
to be selected by the constitutionally set date of
January 20. U.S. CONST. amend. XX, § 1.
2. The claims arise under the
Constitution.
When States violate their own election laws, they
may argue that these violations are insufficiently
federal to allow review in this Court. Cf. Foster v.
Chatman, 136 S.Ct. 1737, 1745-46 (2016) (this Court
lacks jurisdiction to review state-court decisions that
“rest[] on an adequate and independent state law
ground”). That attempted evasion would fail for two
reasons.
First, in the election context, a state-court remedy
or a state executive’s administrative action purporting
to alter state election statutes implicates the Electors
Clause. See Bush II, 531 U.S. at 105. Even a plausible
federal-law defense to state action arises under
federal law within the meaning of Article III. Mesa v.
California, 489 U.S. 121, 136 (1989) (holding that “it
is the raising of a federal question in the officer’s
removal petition that constitutes the federal law
under which the action against the federal officer
arises for Art. III purposes”). Constitutional arising-
under jurisdiction exceeds statutory federal-question
jurisdiction of federal district courts,3 and—indeed—
we did not even have federal-question jurisdiction
until 1875. Merrell Dow Pharm., 478 U.S. at 807. The
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Plaintiff State’s Electoral Clause claims arise under
the Constitution and so are federal, even if the only
claim is that the Defendant States violated their own
state election statutes. Moreover, as is explained
below, the Defendant States’ actions injure the
interests of Plaintiff State in the appointment and
certification of presidential electors to the Electoral
College.
Given this federal-law basis against these state
actions, the state actions are not “independent” of the
federal constitutional requirements that provide this
Court jurisdiction. Fox Film Corp. v. Muller, 296 U.S.
207, 210-11 (1935); cf. City of Chicago v. Int’l Coll. of
Surgeons, 522 U.S. 156, 164 (1997) (noting that “even
though state law creates a party’s causes of action, its
case might still ‘arise under’ the laws of the United
States if a well-pleaded complaint established that its
right to relief under state law requires resolution of a
substantial question of federal law” and collecting
cases) (internal quotations and alterations omitted).
Plaintiff State’s claims therefore fall within this
Court’s arising-under jurisdiction.
Second, state election law is not purely a matter
of state law because it applies “not only to elections to
state offices, but also to the election of Presidential
electors,” meaning that state law operates, in part, “by
virtue of a direct grant of authority made under Art.
II, § 1, cl. 2, of the United States Constitution.” Bush
I, 531 U.S. at 76. Logically, “any state authority to
regulate election to [federal] offices could not precede
their very creation by the Constitution,” meaning that
any “such power had to be delegated to, rather than
reserved by, the States.” Cook v. Gralike, 531 U.S.
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12
510, 522 (2001) (internal quotations omitted). “It is no
original prerogative of State power to appoint a
representative, a senator, or President for the Union.”
J. Story, 1 COMMENTARIES ON THE CONSTITUTION OF
THE UNITED STATES § 627 (3d ed. 1858). For these
reasons, any “significant departure from the
legislative scheme for appointing Presidential electors
presents a federal constitutional question.” Bush II,
531 U.S. at 113 (Rehnquist, C.J., concurring).
Under these circumstances, this Court has the
power both to review and to remedy a violation of the
Constitution. Significantly, parties do not need
winning hands to establish jurisdiction. Instead,
jurisdiction exists when “the right of the petitioners to
recover under their complaint will be sustained if the
Constitution and laws of the United States are given
one construction,” even if the right “will be defeated if
they are given another.” Bell v. Hood, 327 U.S. 678,
685 (1946). At least as to jurisdiction, a plaintiff need
survive only the low threshold that “the alleged claim
under the Constitution or federal statutes [not] … be
immaterial and made solely for the purpose of
obtaining jurisdiction or … wholly insubstantial and
frivolous.” Id. at 682. The Bill of Complaint meets that
test.
3. The claims raise a “case or
controversy” between the States.
Like any other action, an original action must
meet the Article III criteria for a case or controversy:
“it must appear that the complaining State has
suffered a wrong through the action of the other State,
furnishing ground for judicial redress, or is asserting
a right against the other State which is susceptible of
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judicial enforcement according to the accepted
principles of the common law or equity systems of
jurisprudence.” Maryland v. Louisiana, 451 U.S. 725,
735-36 (1981) (internal quotations omitted). Plaintiff
State has standing under those rules.4
With voting, “‘the right of suffrage can be denied
by a debasement or dilution of the weight of a citizen’s
vote just as effectively as by wholly prohibiting the
free exercise of the franchise.’” Bush II, 531 U.S. at
105 (quoting Reynolds, 377 U.S. at 555). In
presidential elections, “the impact of the votes cast in
each State is affected by the votes cast for the various
candidates in other States.” Anderson v. Celebrezze,
460 U.S. 780, 795 (1983). Thus, votes in the Defendant
States affect the votes in the Plaintiff State, as set
forth in more detail below.
a. Plaintiff State suffers an injury
in fact.
The citizens of Plaintiff State have the right to
demand that all other States abide by the
constitutionally set rules in appointing Presidential
Electors to the Electoral College. “No right is more
precious in a free country than that of having a voice
in the election of those who make the laws under
which, as good citizens, we must live. Other rights,
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even the most basic, are illusory if the right to vote is
undermined.” Wesberry, 376 U.S. at 10; Yick Wo v.
Hopkins, 118 U.S. 356, 370 (1886) (“the political
franchise of voting” is “a fundamental political right,
because preservative of all rights”). “Every voter in a
federal … election, whether he votes for a candidate
with little chance of winning or for one with little
chance of losing, has a right under the Constitution to
have his vote fairly counted.” Anderson v. United
States, 417 U.S. 211, 227 (1974); Baker v. Carr, 369
U.S. 186, 208 (1962). Put differently, “a citizen has a
constitutionally protected right to participate in
elections on an equal basis with other citizens in the
jurisdiction,” Dunn v. Blumstein, 405 U.S. 330, 336
(1972), and—unlike the residency durations required
in Dunn—the “jurisdiction” here is the entire United
States. In short, the rights at issue are cognizable
under Article III.
Significantly, Plaintiff State presses its own form
of voting-rights injury as a State. As with the one-
person, one-vote principle for congressional
redistricting in Wesberry, the equality of the States
arises from the structure of the Constitution, not from
the Equal Protection or Due Process Clauses. See
Wesberry, 376 U.S. at 7-8; id. n.10 (expressly not
reaching claims under Fourteenth Amendment).
Whereas the House represents the People
proportionally, the Senate represents the States. See
U.S. CONST. art. V, cl. 3 (“no state, without its consent,
shall be deprived of its equal suffrage in the Senate”).
While Americans likely care more about who is elected
President, the States have a distinct interest in who
is elected Vice President and thus who can cast the tie-
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breaking vote in the Senate. Through that interest,
Plaintiff State suffers an Article III injury when
another State violates federal law to affect the
outcome of a presidential election. This injury is
particularly acute in 2020, where a Senate majority
often will hang on the Vice President’s tie-breaking
vote because of the nearly equal—and, depending on
the outcome of Georgia run-off elections in January,
possibly equal—balance between political parties.
Quite simply, it is vitally important to the States who
becomes Vice President.
Because individual citizens may arguably suffer
only a generalized grievance from Electors Clause
violations, Plaintiff State has standing where its
citizen voters would not, Lance v. Coffman, 549 U.S.
437, 442 (2007) (distinguishing citizen plaintiffs from
citizen relators who sued in the name of a state). In
Massachusetts v. Environmental Protection Agency,
549 U.S. 497 (2007), this Court held that states
seeking to protect their sovereign interests are
“entitled to special solicitude in our standing
analysis.” Id. at 520. While Massachusetts arose in a
different context—the same principles of federalism
apply equally here to require special deference to the
sovereign states on standing questions.
In addition to standing for their own injuries,
States can assert parens patriae standing for their
citizens who are Presidential Electors.5 Like
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legislators, Presidential Electors assert “legislative
injury” whenever allegedly improper actions deny
them a working majority. Coleman v. Miller, 307 U.S.
433, 435 (1939). The Electoral College is a zero-sum
game. If the Defendant States’ unconstitutionally
appointed Electors vote for a presidential candidate
opposed by the Plaintiff State’s presidential electors,
that operates to defeat the Plaintiff State’s interests.6
Indeed, even without an electoral college majority,
presidential electors suffer the same voting-debase-
ment injury as voters generally: “It must be
remembered that ‘the right of suffrage can be denied
by a debasement or dilution of the weight of a citizen’s
vote just as effectively as by wholly prohibiting the
free exercise of the franchise.’” Bush II, 531 U.S. at
105 (quoting Reynold, 377 U.S. at 555). Those injuries
to electors serve as an Article III basis for a parens
patriae action by their States.
b. The Defendant States caused the
injuries.
Non-legislative officials in the Defendant States
either directly caused the challenged violations of the
Electors Clause or, in the case of Georgia, acquiesced
to them in settling a federal lawsuit. The Defendants
thus caused the Plaintiff’s injuries.
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c. The requested relief would
redress the injuries.
This Court has authority to redress the Plaintiff
State’s injuries, and the requested relief will do so.
First, while the Defendant States are responsible
for their elections, this Court has authority to enjoin
reliance on unconstitutional elections:
When the state legislature vests the right to
vote for President in its people, the right to
vote as the legislature has prescribed is
fundamental; and one source of its funda-
mental nature lies in the equal weight
accorded to each vote and the equal dignity
owed to each voter.
Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104; City of Boerne v. Flores, 521
U.S. 507, 524 (1997) (“power to interpret the
Constitution in a case or controversy remains in the
Judiciary”). The Plaintiff State does not ask this Court
to decide who won the election; they only ask that the
Court enjoin the clear violations of the Electors Clause
of the Constitution.
Second, the relief that the Plaintiff State
requests—namely, remand to the State legislatures to
allocate presidential electors in a manner consistent
with the Constitution—does not violate the Defendant
States’ rights or exceed this Court’s power. The power
to select presidential electors is a plenary power of the
legislatures, and this remains so, without regard to
state law:
This power is conferred upon the legislatures
of the States by the Constitution of the United
States, and cannot be taken from them or
modified by their State constitutions….
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Whatever provisions may be made by statute,
or by the state constitution, to choose electors
by the people, there is no doubt of the right of
the legislature to resume the power at any
time, for it can neither be taken away nor
abdicated.
McPherson v. Blacker, 146 U.S. 1, 35 (1892) (internal
quotations omitted); accord Bush I, 531 U.S. at 76-77;
Bush II, 531 U.S at 104.
Third, uncertainty of how the Defendant States’
legislatures will allocate their electors is irrelevant to
the question of redressability:
If a reviewing court agrees that the agency
misinterpreted the law, it will set aside the
agency’s action and remand the case – even
though the agency … might later, in the
exercise of its lawful discretion, reach the
same result for a different reason.
FEC v. Akins, 524 U.S. 11, 25 (1998). The Defendant
States’ legislatures would remain free to exercise
their plenary authority under the Electors Clause in
any constitutional manner they wish. For example,
they may review the presidential election results in
their State and determine that winner would be the
same, notwithstanding the violations of state law in
the conduct of the election. Or they may appoint the
Electors themselves, either appointing all for one
presidential candidate or dividing the State’s Electors
and appointing some for one candidate and some for
another candidate. Or they may take any number of
actions that would be consistent with the
Constitution. Under Akins, the simple act of
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reconsideration under lawful means is redress
enough.
Fourth, the requested relief is consistent with
federal election law: “Whenever any State has held an
election for the purpose of choosing electors, and has
failed to make a choice on the day prescribed by law,
the electors may be appointed on a subsequent day in
such a manner as the legislature of such State may
direct.” 3 U.S.C. § 2. Regardless of the statutory
deadlines for the Electoral College to vote, this Court
could enjoin reliance on the results from the
constitutionally tainted November 3 election, remand
the appointment of Electors to the Defendant States,
and order the Defendant States’ legislatures to certify
their Electors in a manner consistent with the
Constitution, which could be accomplished well in
advance of the statutory deadline of January 6 for the
House to count the presidential electors’ votes. 3
U.S.C. § 15.
4. Plaintiff State has prudential
standing.
Beyond the constitutional baseline, standing
doctrine also poses prudential limits like the zone-of-
interests test, Ass’n of Data Processing Serv. Org., Inc.
v. Camp, 397 U.S. 150, 153 (1970), and the need for
those seeking to assert absent third parties’ rights to
have their own Article III standing and a close
relationship with the absent third parties, whom a
sufficient “hindrance” keeps from asserting their
rights. Kowalski v. Tesmer, 543 U.S. 125, 128-30
(2004). Prudential doctrines pose no barrier here.
First, the injuries asserted here are “arguably
within the zone of interests to be protected or
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regulated by the … constitutional guarantee in
question.” Camp, 397 U.S. at 153. The Court has
relied on the structure of the Constitution to provide
the one-person, one-vote standard, Wesberry, 376 U.S.
at 7-8 & n.10, and this case is no different. The
structure of the Electoral College provides that each
State is allocated a certain number of presidential
electors depending upon that State’s representation in
Congress and that each State must abide by
constitutional requirements in the appointment of its
Electors. When the elections in one State violate
those requirements in a presidential election, the
interests of the citizens in other States are harmed.
Second, even if parens patriae standing were not
available, States have their own injury, a close
relationship with their citizens, and citizens may
arguable lack standing to assert injuries under the
Electors Clause. See, e.g., Bognet v. Sec’y Pa., No. 20-
3214, 2020 U.S. App. LEXIS 35639, at *18-26 (3d Cir.
Nov. 13, 2020). States, by contrast, have standing to
assert such injuries. Lance, 549 U.S. at 442
(distinguishing citizen plaintiffs who suffer a
generalized grievance from citizen relators who sued
in the name of a state); cf. Massachusetts, 549 U.S. at
520 (federal courts owe “special solicitude in standing
analysis”). Moreover, anything beyond Article III is
merely prudential. Caplin & Drysdale v. United
States, 491 U.S. 617, 623 n.3 (1989). Thus, States also
have third-party standing to assert their citizens’
injuries.
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5. This action is not moot and will not
become moot.
None of the looming election deadlines are
constitutional, and they all are within this Court’s
power to enjoin. Indeed, if this Court vacated a State’s
appointment or certification of presidential electors,
those Electors could not vote on December 14, 2020; if
the Court vacated their vote after the fact, the House
of Representatives could not count those votes on
January 6, 2021. There would be ample time for the
Defendant States’ legislatures to appoint new
presidential electors in a manner consistent with the
Constitution. Any remedial action can be complete
well before January 6, 2020. Indeed, even the
swearing in of the next President on January 20, 2021,
will not moot this case because review could outlast
even the selection of the next President under “the
‘capable of repetition, yet evading review’ doctrine,”
which applies “in the context of election cases … when
there are ‘as applied’ challenges as well as in the more
typical case involving only facial attacks.” FEC v.
Wisconsin Right to Life, Inc., 551 U.S. 449, 463 (2007)
(internal quotations omitted); accord Norman v. Reed,
502 U.S. 279, 287-88 (1992). Mootness is not, and will
not become, an issue here.
6. This matter is ripe for review.
The Plaintiff State’s claims are clearly ripe now,
but they were not ripe before the election: “A claim is
not ripe for adjudication if it rests upon contingent
future events that may not occur as anticipated, or
indeed may not occur at all.” Texas v. United States,
523 U.S. 296, 300 (1998) (internal quotations and
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citations omitted).7 Prior to the election, there was no
reason to know who would win the vote in any given
State.
Ripeness also raises the question of laches, which
Justice Blackmun called “precisely the opposite argu-
ment” from ripeness. Lujan v. Nat’l Wildlife Fed’n,
497 U.S. 871, 915 n.16 (1990) (Blackmun, J.,
dissenting). Laches is an equitable defense against
unreasonable delay in commencing suit. Petrella v.
MGM, 572 U.S. 663, 667 (2014). This action was
neither unreasonably delayed nor is prejudicial to the
Defendant States.
Before the election, the Plaintiff State had no ripe
claim against a Defendant State:
“One cannot be guilty of laches until his right
ripens into one entitled to protection. For only
then can his torpor be deemed inexcusable.”
What-A-Burger of Va., Inc. v. Whataburger, Inc., 357
F.3d 441, 449-50 (4th Cir. 2004) (quoting 5 J. Thomas
McCarthy, MCCARTHY ON TRADEMARKS AND UNFAIR
COMPETITION § 31: 19 (4th ed. 2003); Gasser Chair Co.
v. Infanti Chair Mfg. Corp., 60 F.3d 770, 777 (Fed. Cir.
1995) (same); Profitness Physical Therapy Ctr. v. Pro-
Fit Orthopedic & Sports Physical Therapy P.C., 314
F.3d 62, 70 (2d Cir. 2002) (same). The Plaintiff State
could not have brought this action before the election
results. Nor did the full extent of the county-level
deviations from election statutes in the Defendant
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States become evident until days after the election.
Moreover, a State may reasonably assess the status of
litigation commenced by candidates to the
presidential election prior to commencing its own
litigation. Neither ripeness nor laches presents a
timing problem here.
7. This action does not raise a non-
justiciable political question.
The “political questions doctrine” does not apply
here. Under that doctrine, federal courts will decline
to review issues that the Constitution delegates to one
of the other branches—the “political branches”—of
government. While appointing presidential electors
involves political rights, this Court has ruled in a line
of cases beginning with Baker that constitutional
claims related to voting (other than claims brought
under the Guaranty Clause of Article IV, §4) are
justiciable in the federal courts. As the Court held in
Baker, litigation over political rights is not the same
as a political question:
We hold that this challenge to an
apportionment presents no nonjusticiable
“political question.” The mere fact that the
suit seeks protection of a political right does
not mean it presents a political question. Such
an objection “is little more than a play upon
words.”
Baker, 369 U.S. at 209. This is no political question; it
is a constitutional one that this Court should answer.
8. No adequate alternate remedy or
forum exists.
In determining whether to hear a case under this
Court’s original jurisdiction, the Court has considered
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24
whether a plaintiff State “has another adequate forum
in which to settle [its] claim.” United States v. Nevada,
412 U.S. 534, 538 (1973). This equitable limit does not
apply here because Plaintiff State cannot sue
Defendant States in any other forum.
To the extent that Defendant States wish to avail
themselves of 3 U.S.C. § 5’s safe harbor, Bush I, 531
U.S. at 77-78, this action will not meaningfully stand
in their way:
The State, of course, after granting the
franchise in the special context of Article II,
can take back the power to appoint electors. …
There is no doubt of the right of the legislature
to resume the power at any time, for it can
neither be taken away nor abdicated[.]
Bush II, 531 U.S. at 104 (citations and internal
quotations omitted).8 The Defendant States’ legisla-
ture will remain free under the Constitution to
appoint electors or vote in any constitutional manner
they wish. The only thing that they cannot do—and
should not wish to do—is to rely on an allocation
conducted in violation of the Constitution to
determine the appointment of presidential electors.
Moreover, if this Court agrees with the Plaintiff
State that the Defendant States’ appointment of
presidential electors under the recently conducted
elections would be unconstitutional, then the
statutorily created safe harbor cannot be used as a
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25
justification for a violation of the Constitution. The
safe-harbor framework created by statute would have
to yield in order to ensure that the Constitution was
not violated.
It is of no moment that Defendants’ state laws may
purport to tether state legislatures to popular votes.
Those state limits on a state legislature’s exercising
federal constitutional functions cannot block action
because the U.S. Constitution “transcends any
limitations sought to be imposed by the people of a
State” under this Court’s precedents. Leser v. Garnett,
258 U.S. 130, 137 (1922); see also Bush I, 531 U.S. at
77; United States Term Limits v. Thornton, 514 U.S.
779, 805 (1995) (“the power to regulate the incidents
of the federal system is not a reserved power of the
States, but rather is delegated by the Constitution”).
As this Court recognized in McPherson v. Blacker, the
authority to choose presidential electors:
is conferred upon the legislatures of the states
by the Constitution of the United States, and
cannot be taken from them or modified by
their state constitutions. ... Whatever
provisions may be made by statute, or by the
state constitution, to choose electors by the
people, there is no doubt of the right of the
legislature to resume the power at any time, for
it can neither be taken away or abdicated.
146 U.S. 1, 35 (1892) (emphasis added) (internal
quotations omitted). The Defendant States would
suffer no cognizable injury from this Court’s enjoining
their reliance on an unconstitutional vote.
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B. The Plaintiff State is likely to prevail on
the merits.
For interim relief, the most important factor is the
likelihood of movants’ prevailing. Winter, 555 U.S. at
20. The Defendant States’ administration of the 2020
election violated the Electors Clause, which renders
invalid any appointment of presidential electors based
upon those election results. For example, even
without fraud or nefarious intent, a mail-in vote not
subjected to the State legislature’s ballot-integrity
measures cannot be counted. It does not matter that a
judicial or executive officer sought to bypass that
screening in response to the COVID pandemic: the
choice was not theirs to make. “Government is not free
to disregard the [the Constitution] in times of crisis.”
Roman Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn, New York v.
Cuomo, 592 U.S. ___ (Nov. 25, 2020) (Gorsuch, J.,
concurring). With all unlawful votes discounted, the
election result is an open question that this Court
must address. Under 3 U.S.C. § 2, the State
legislatures may answer the question, but the
question must be asked here.
1. Defendant States violated the
Electors Clause by modifying their
legislatures’ election laws through
non-legislative action.
The Electors Clause grants authority to State
Legislatures under both horizontal and vertical
separation of powers. It provides authority to each
State—not to federal actors—the authority to dictate
the manner of selecting presidential electors. And
within each State, it explicitly allocates that authority
to a single branch of State government: to the
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“Legislature thereof.” U.S. Const. Art. II, § 1, cl. 2.
State legislatures’ primacy vis-à-vis non-legislative
actors—whether State or federal—is even more
significant than congressional primacy vis-à-vis State
legislatures.
The State legislatures’ authority is plenary. Bush
II, 531 U.S. at 104. It “cannot be taken from them or
modified” even through “their state constitutions.”
McPherson, 146 U.S. at 35; Bush I, 531 U.S at 76-77;
Bush II, 531 U.S at 104. The Framers allocated
election authority to State legislatures as the branch
closest—and most accountable—to the People. See,
e.g., Robert G. Natelson, The Original Scope of the
Congressional Power to Regulate Elections, 13 U. PA.
J. CONST. L. 1, 31 (2010) (collecting Founding-era
documents); cf. THE FEDERALIST NO. 57, at 350 (C.
Rossiter, ed. 2003) (Madison, J.) (“House of
Representatives is so constituted as to support in its
members an habitual recollection of their dependence
on the people”). Thus, only the State legislatures are
permitted to create or modify the respective State’s
rules for the appointment of presidential electors. U.S.
CONST. art. II, § 1, cl. 2.
Regulating election procedures is necessary both
to avoid chaos and to ensure fairness:
Common sense, as well as constitutional law,
compels the conclusion that government must
play an active role in structuring elections; as
a practical matter, there must be a substan-
tial regulation of elections if they are to be fair
and honest and if some sort of order, rather
than chaos, is to accompany the democratic
processes.
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28
Burdick v. Takushi, 504 U.S. 428, 433 (1992) (interior
quotations omitted). Thus, for example, deadlines are
necessary to avoid chaos, even if some votes sent via
absentee ballot do not arrive timely. Rosario v.
Rockefeller, 410 U.S. 752, 758 (1973). Even more
importantly in this pandemic year with expanded
mail-in voting, ballot-integrity measures—e.g.,
witness requirements, signature verification, and the
like—are an essential component of any legislative
expansion of mail-in voting. See CARTER-BAKER, at 46
(absentee ballots are “the largest source of potential
voter fraud”). Though it may be tempting to permit a
breakdown of the constitutional order in the face of a
global pandemic, the rule of law demands otherwise.
Specifically, because the Electors Clause makes
clear that state legislative authority is exclusive, non-
legislative actors lack authority to amend statutes.
Republican Party of Pa. v. Boockvar, No. 20-542, 2020
U.S. LEXIS 5188, at *4 (Oct. 28, 2020) (“there is a
strong likelihood that the State Supreme Court
decision violates the Federal Constitution”) (Alito, J.,
concurring); Wisconsin State Legis., No. 20A66, 2020
U.S. LEXIS 5187, at *11-14 (Oct. 26, 2020)
(Kavanaugh, J., concurring in denial of application to
vacate stay); cf. Grayned v. City of Rockford, 408 U.S.
104, 110 (1972) (“it is not within our power to construe
and narrow state laws”); Free Enter. Fund v. Pub. Co.
Accounting Oversight Bd., 561 U.S. 477, 509-10 (2010)
(“editorial freedom … [to “blue-pencil” statutes]
belongs to the Legislature, not the Judiciary”). That
said, courts can enjoin elections or even enforcement
of unconstitutional election laws, but they cannot
rewrite the law in federal presidential elections.
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29
For example, if a state court enjoins or modifies
ballot-integrity measures adopted to allow absentee
or mail-in voting, that invalidates ballots cast under
the relaxed standard unless the legislature has—prior
to the election—ratified the new procedure. Without
pre-election legislative ratification, results based on
the treatment and tabulation of votes done in
violation of state law cannot be used to appoint
presidential electors.
Elections must be lawful contests, but they should
not be mere litigation contests where the side with the
most lawyers wins. As with the explosion of nation-
wide injunctions, the explosion of challenges to State
election law for partisan advantage in the lead-up to
the 2020 election “is not normal.” Dep’t of Homeland
Sec. v. New York, 140 S. Ct. 599, 600 (2020) (Gorsuch,
J., concurring in the grant of stay). Nor is it healthy.
Under the “Purcell principle,” federal courts generally
avoid enjoining state election laws in the period close
to an election. Purcell, 549 U.S. at 4-5 (citing “voter
confusion and consequent incentive to remain away
from the polls”). Purcell raises valid concerns about
confusion in the run-up to elections, but judicial
election-related injunctions also raise post-election
concerns. For example, if a state court enjoins ballot-
integrity measures adopted to secure absentee or
mail-in voting, that invalidates ballots cast under the
relaxed standard unless the State legislature has had
time to ratify the new procedure. Without either pre-
election legislative ratification or a severability clause
in the legislation that created the rules for absentee
voting by mail, the state court’s actions operate to
violate the Electors Clause.
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30
2. State and local administrator’s
systemic failure to follow State
election law qualifies as an unlawful
amendment of State law.
When non-legislative state and local executive
actors engage in systemic or intentional failure to
comply with their State’s duly enacted election laws,
they adopt by executive fiat a de facto equivalent of an
impermissible amendment of State election law by an
executive or judicial officer. See Section II.B.1, supra.
This Court recognizes an executive’s “consciously and
expressly adopt[ing] a general policy that is so
extreme as to amount to an abdication of its statutory
responsibilities” as another form of reviewable final
action, even if the policy is not a written policy.
Heckler v. Chaney, 470 U.S. 821, 833 n.4 (1985)
(interior quotations omitted); accord id. at 839
(Brennan, J., concurring). Without a bona fide
amendment to State election law by the legislature,
executive officers must follow state law. Cf. Morton v.
Ruiz, 415 U.S. 199, 235 (1974); Service v. Dulles, 354
U.S. 363, 388-89 (1957). The wrinkle here is that the
non-legislative actors lack the authority under the
federal Constitution to enact a bona fide amendment,
regardless of whatever COVID-related emergency
power they may have.9
1293
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31
This form of executive nullification of State law by
statewide, county, or city officers is a variant of
impermissible amendment by a non-legislative actor.
See Section II.B.1, supra. Such nullification is always
unconstitutional, but it is especially egregious when it
eliminates legislative safeguards for election integrity
(e.g., signature and witness requirements for absentee
ballots, poll watchers10). Systemic failure by
statewide, county, or city election officials to follow
State election law is no more permissible than formal
amendments by an executive or judicial actor.
III. THE OTHER WINTER-HOLLINGSWORTH
FACTORS WARRANT INTERIM RELIEF.
Although Plaintiff State’s likelihood of prevailing
would alone justify granting interim relief, relief is
also warranted by the other Winter-Hollingsworth
factors.
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32
A. Plaintiff State will suffer irreparable
harm if the Defendant States’
unconstitutional presidential electors
vote in the Electoral College.
Allowing the unconstitutional election results in
Defendant States to proceed would irreparably harm
Plaintiff State and the Republic both by denying
representation in the presidency and in the Senate in
the near term and by permanently sowing distrust in
federal elections. This Court has found such threats to
constitute irreparable harm on numerous occasions.
See note 2, supra (collecting cases). The stakes in this
case are too high to ignore.
B. The balance of equities tips to the
Plaintiff State.
All State parties represent citizens who voted in
the 2020 presidential election. Because of their
unconstitutional actions, Defendant States represent
some citizens who cast ballots not in compliance with
the Electors Clause. It does not disenfranchise anyone
to require the State legislatures to attempt to resolve
this matter as 3 U.S.C. § 2, the Electors Clause, and
even the Twelfth Amendment provide. By contrast, it
would irreparably harm Plaintiff State if the Court
denied interim relief.
In addition to ensuring that the 2020 presidential
election is resolved in a manner consistent with the
Constitution, this Court must review the violations
that occurred in the Defendant States to enable
Congress and State legislatures to avoid future chaos
and constitutional violations. Unless this Court acts
to review this presidential election, these
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33
unconstitutional and unilateral violations of state
election laws will continue in the future.
C. The public interest favors interim relief.
The last Winter factor is the public interest. When
parties dispute the lawfulness of government action,
the public interest collapses into the merits. ACLU v.
Ashcroft, 322 F.3d 240, 247 (3d Cir. 2003); Washington
v. Reno, 35 F.3d 1093, 1103 (6th Cir. 1994); League of
Women Voters of the United States v. Newby, 838 F.3d
1, 12 (D.C. Cir. 2016). If the Court agrees with
Plaintiff State that non-legislative actors lack
authority to amend state statutes for selecting
presidential electors, the public interest requires
interim relief. Withholding relief would leave a taint
over the election, disenfranchise voters, and lead to
still more electoral legerdemain in future elections.
Electoral integrity ensures the legitimacy of not
just our governmental institutions, but the Republic
itself. See Wesberry, 376 U.S. at 10. “Voters who fear
their legitimate votes will be outweighed by
fraudulent ones will feel disenfranchised.” Purcell,
549 U.S. at 4. Against that backdrop, few cases could
warrant this Court’s review more than this
extraordinary case arising from a presidential
election. In addition, the constitutionality of the
process for selecting the President is of extreme
national importance. If the Defendant States are
permitted to violate the requirements of the
Constitution in the appointment of their presidential
electors, the resulting vote of the Electoral College not
only lacks constitutional legitimacy, but the
Constitution itself will be forever sullied.
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34
The nation needs this Court’s clarity: “It is
emphatically the province and duty of the judicial
department to say what the law is.” Marbury v.
Madison, 5 U.S. (1 Cranch) 137, 177 (1803). While
isolated irregularities could be “garden-variety”
election irregularities that do not raise a federal
question,11 the unconstitutional setting-aside of state
election statutes by non-legislative actors calls both
the result and the process into question, requiring this
Court’s “unsought responsibility to resolve the federal
and constitutional issues the judicial system has been
forced to confront.” Bush II, 531 U.S. at 111. The
public interest requires this Court’s action.
IV. ALTERNATIVELY, THIS CASE WARRANTS
SUMMARY DISPOSITION.
In lieu of granting interim relief, this Court could
simply reach the merits summarily. Cf. FED. R. CIV. P.
65(a)(2); S.Ct. Rule 17.5. Two things are clear from the
evidence presented at this initial phase: (1) non-
legislative actors modified the Defendant States’
election statutes; and (2) the resulting uncertainty
casts doubt on the lawful winner. Those two facts are
enough to decide the merits of the Electors Clause
claim. The Court should thus vacate the Defendant
States’ appointment and impending certifications of
presidential electors and remand to their State
legislatures to allocate presidential electors via any
constitutional means that does not rely on 2020
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35
election results that includes votes cast in violation of
State election statutes in place on Election Day.
CONCLUSION
This Court should first administratively stay or
temporarily restrain the Defendant States from
voting in the electoral college until further order of
this Court and then issue a preliminary injunction or
stay against their doing so until the conclusion of this
case on the merits. Alternatively, the Court should
reach the merits, vacate the Defendant States’ elector
certifications from the unconstitutional 2020 election
results, and remand to the Defendant States’
legislatures pursuant to 3 U.S.C. § 2 to appoint
electors.
Ken Paxton*
Attorney General of Texas
Brent Webster
First Assistant Attorney
General of Texas
Lawrence Joseph
Special Counsel to the Attorney
General of Texas
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36
Office of the Attorney General
P.O. Box 12548 (MC 059)
Austin, TX 78711-2548
[email protected]
(512) 936-1414
* Counsel of Record
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{00526538.1 }
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Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 78 Filed 12/08/20 Page 2 of 2
1 Defendant Secretary of State Katie Hobbs files this Notice of Errata submitting
2 Exhibits 1-11 inadvertently not filed with her Motion to Exclude the Testimony and
3 Reports of Plaintiffs’ Experts (Doc. 65).
4
5 Respectfully submitted this 8th day of December, 2020.
6 COPPERSMITH BROCKELMAN PLC
7
By s/ Roopali H. Desai
8 Roopali H. Desai
D. Andrew Gaona
9 Kristen Yost
{00526538.1 }
1301
-2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 78-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 1 of 261
EXHIBIT 1
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
1302
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DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
Plaintiffs.
v.
Defendants.
COMES NOW Plaintiffs, Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake
Hoffman, Anthony Kern, Christopher M. King, James R. Lamon, Sam Moorhead, Robert
Montgomery, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmado, Kelli Ward, and
Michael Ward, by and through their undersigned counsel, and file Expert and Fact Disclosure:
1303
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analysis for the present matter. Attached is his expert report in the attached
i. Briggs’ original expert report includes the only charts that he may refer to
in live testimony.
ii. As stated in his expert report, the data relied on was created by Matt
Braynard, and the topline reports of those data were attached as pdfs and
submitted as part of his original report.
b. Dr. Briggs’ rebuttal report in another case. (See Exh. 1, attached hereto).
c. In his rebuttal report, Dr. Briggs states that his work is entirely pro bono.
d. Attached is Dr. Briggs’ CV, which includes a publications list. (See Exh.2F to the
Complaint).
a. Dr. Briggs has submitted declaration in the Northern District of Georgia 20-
2. Brian Teasley, is an expert witness that provided a declaration and statistical analysis
for the present matter.
e. Teasley’s’ original expert report, declaration includes the charts that he may refer
to in live testimony.
20-cv-02321.
1304
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a. His testimony will be based on his report currently attached to the Complaint
20-cv-02321.
6. Phillip Waldron. Mr. Waldron’s background and the basis of his testimony is
1305
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Fact witnesses
The following are fact witnesses that may be called at the hearing:
1. Anna Orth:
a. Poll Observer
b. Pima County
c. 520-979-8330
d. Anna Orth is anticipated testify to election violations she observed, including the
rights to equal protection of the law and should nullify any presumption that
election workers applied the law in a fair, impartial and objective manner.
rights to equal protection of the law and should nullify any presumption that
election workers applied the law in a fair, impartial and objective manner.
3. Greg Wodynski:
a. Digital Adjudication Observer
b. Maricopa County
c. 480-828-9425
d. His declaration is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 22.
4. Les Minkas:
a. Poll Observer
b. Maricopa County
c. 847-927-0856
5. Diane Serra:
1306
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a. Poll Observer
b. Maricopa County
c. 602-402-5836
7. Kathleen Alvey:
a. Poll Observer
b. Pima County
c. 520-829-2117
d. Kathleen Alvey is anticipated to testify to election violations she observed,
voters of their rights to equal protection of the law and should nullify any
presumption that election workers applied the law in a fair, impartial and
objective manner.
8. Linda Brickman:
a. Maricopa County,
b. GOP Chair
c. 602-330-9422
d. Her Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Ex. 23.
9. Mark Low:
a. Poll Observer,
b. Maricopa County
c. 480-363-1154
d. His Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Ex. 20.
1307
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Complaint.
13. Joe Oltmann, his Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 6.Anna Mercedes Diaz
Cardozo
14. Anna Mercedes Diaz Cardozo, her Affidavit is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 8.
15. Ronald Watkins, his Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 14.
16. Jane Doe. (name redacted) Will testify about illegal ballots being shipped around the
17. Ryan Hartwig. Present at Phoenix airport and will testify about a suspicious airplane and
/s Sidney Powell*
Sidney Powell PC
Texas Bar No. 16209700
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300
Dallas, Texas 75219
1308
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Of Counsel:
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
L. Lin Wood
GA Bar No. 774588
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
P.O. Box 52584
Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
Telephone: (404) 891-1402
Howard Kleinhendler
New York Bar No. 2657120
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
369 Lexington Avenue, 12th Floor
New York, New York 10017
(917) 793-1188
[email protected]
1309
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EXHIBIT 2
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
1310
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1311
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1312
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1314
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EXHIBIT 3
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
1315
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Teasley
Using Data to Improve Your Marketing
Brian Teasley has over thirty years of experience solving problems in various industries.
His marketing experience includes work with numerous Fortune 100 companies.
Brian has worked for Sprint Integrated Marketing, Bronner, Slosberg and Humphrey
(now Digitas/Publicis), and USWeb/CKS/marchFIRST. Before starting Teasley, Brian
was SVP of Customer Analytics at Harmonic Communications (a Sequoia Capital
Company) in San Francisco.
Philip Morris, BASF, Sandvik Special Metals, Delco Batteries, Rosemount Aerospace
Engineering, FHP (California Healthcare), American Express, Business Week, Sears,
Federal Express, AT&T (local, long distance, wireless, Universal card), IBM, Kodak,
Enron, Braun, Cantel (Canadian Wireless), Mastercard, Walgreens, and Nabisco, the U.S.
Navy, HP, Prudential, Daimler/Chrysler and others
He has taught Business Statistics and Decision Science courses in the MBA programs of
Iowa State University, Baker University, and was a guest professor at American
University. He is a former adjunct faculty member at New York University (NYU).
He has a M.S. degree in Applied Statistics from Iowa State University and a BA in
Mathematics and Statistics from St. Olaf College. He is also a member of Phi Beta
Kappa.
© Teasley
www.teasley.net
1316
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EXHIBIT 4
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
1317
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Exhibit 3
1318
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Source 1
Worked for one of the Top 10 GSA consulting companies as a software developer and software security
contractor for a large government agency.
Contracted to a large government agency in visualization and processing real-time ground-based sensor data
and management of radio packet modem communication systems.
Selected, tested, managed, trained and deployed a software tool for insider threat monitoring, identification
and tracking in a large government agency.
Co-Founder
Cyber Security & Government Consulting and commercial technology provider concentrating on sensor data,
mobile applications, video, security, and data processing.
A media company focused on generating insight into complex markets using live video, real-time alerts, in
depth searching capabilities, and analysis.
An advertising agency and data analytics company that created a system to purchase, track, and optimize tv,
radio and online advertising.
A robotics company focused on autonomous navigation in secure and dangerous environments.
A political tools consulting company focusing on communication, call to action systems, social outreach tools,
and marketing services. Provide real-time and historic election data with custom insight and metrics.
A clean energy technology consulting, advising, and solutions company focused on devices and data
visualization.
Executive
Consulting company focused on creation of secure intranet and extranet portals for large telecom hardware
manufacture, venture capital firms, and large state agencies. And oversaw security audits and ISO
certifications.
1319
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DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
Plaintiffs.
v.
Defendants.
COMES NOW Plaintiffs, Tyler Bowyer, Michael John Burke, Nancy Cottle, Jake Hoffman, Anthony
Kern, Christopher M. King, James R. Lamon, Sam Moorhead, Robert Montgomery, Loraine Pellegrino, Greg
Safsten, Salvatore Luke Scarmado, Kelli Ward, and Michael Ward, by and through their undersigned counsel,
After a general election and recount, Joe Biden has been declared the winner of Arizona’s General
Election for President by a difference of 10,457 votes. But the vote count certified by defendants on November
30, 2020 fails to recognize the votes are steeped in fraud. Hundreds of thousands of votes counted toward Mr.
Biden’s final tally were the product of fraudulent, illegal, ineligible and outright fictitious ballots. Plaintiffs
support this claim through the evidence laid out in the Complaint which includes the following conclusions.
1320
a. William Briggs, is an expert witness that provided a declaration and statistical analysis for the
present matter. Attached is his expert report in the attached Declaration. (See Complaint Exh.
2 and 2A-F).
i. Briggs’ original expert report includes the only charts that he may refer to in live
testimony.
ii. As stated in his expert report, the data relied on was created by Matt Braynard, and the
topline reports of those data were attached as pdfs and submitted as part of his original
report.
b. Dr. Briggs’ rebuttal report, in this matter. (See Exh. 1, attached hereto).
c. In his rebuttal report, Dr. Briggs states that his work is entirely pro bono.
d. Attached is Dr. Briggs’ CV, which includes a publications list. (See Exh.2F to the Complaint).
a. Dr. Briggs has submitted declaration in the Northern District of Georgia 20-cv-04809, ED
2. Brian Teasley, is an expert witness that provided a declaration and statistical analysis for the present
matter.
e. Teasley’s’ original expert report, declaration includes the charts that he may refer to in live
testimony.
c. He has submitted declarations related to the claims in the Northern District of Gerogia 20-
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a. His report is currently attached to the Complaint as Exh. 12. And in the attached in the
attached declarations.
c. He has the following background: Education: Texas A&M associate degree in robotics and
d. He has submitted declarations related to the claims herein in the Northern District of
a. Matt Bromberg’s report is currently attached as a Declaration to the Complaint as Exh. 19,
02321.
Fact witnesses
1. Anna Orth:
a. Poll Observer
b. Pima County
c. 520-979-8330
d. Anna Orth is anticipated testify to election violations she observed, including the disparate
protection of the law and should nullify any presumption that election workers applied the law
c. 208-859-3394
d. Janese Jan Bryant will testify to election violations she observed, including the disparate
protection of the law and should nullify any presumption that election workers applied the law
3. Greg Wodynski:
a. Digital Adjudication Observer
b. Maricopa County
c. 480-828-9425
d. His declaration is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 22.
4. Les Minkas:
a. Poll Observer
b. Maricopa County
c. 847-927-0856
5. Diane Serra:
a. Poll Observer
b. Maricopa County
c. 602-402-5836
7. Kathleen Alvey:
a. Poll Observer
b. Pima County
c. 520-829-2117
d. Kathleen Alvey is anticipated to testify to election violations she observed, including the
disparate treatment of Republican observers deprived Republican voters of their rights to equal
protection of the law and should nullify any presumption that election workers applied the law
8. Linda Brickman:
a. Maricopa County,
b. GOP Chair
c. 602-330-9422 1323
d. Her Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Ex. 23.
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 78-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 23 of 261
9. Mark Low:
a. Poll Observer,
b. Maricopa County
c. 480-363-1154
d. His Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Ex. 20.
12. Redacted - Venezuela Smartmatic Affidavit 11.116.2020, attached as Ex. 1 to the Complaint.
13. Joe Oltmann, his Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 6.Anna Mercedes Diaz Cardozo
14. Anna Mercedes Diaz Cardozo, her Affidavit is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 8.
15. Ronald Watkins, his Declaration is attached to the Complaint as Exh. 14.
/s Sidney Powell*
Sidney Powell PC
Texas Bar No. 16209700
2911 Turtle Creek Blvd, Suite 300
Dallas, Texas 75219
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Of Counsel:
Emily P. Newman (Virginia Bar No. 84265)
Julia Z. Haller (D.C. Bar No. 466921)
Brandon Johnson (D.C. Bar No. 491730)
L. Lin Wood
GA Bar No. 774588
L. LIN WOOD, P.C.
P.O. Box 52584
Atlanta, GA 30305-0584
Telephone: (404) 891-1402
Howard Kleinhendler
New York Bar No. 2657120
Howard Kleinhendler Esquire
369 Lexington Avenue, 12th Floor
New York, New York 10017
(917) 793-1188
[email protected]
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CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
This is to certify that I have on this day e-filed the foregoing Plaintiffs’ Motion To File Affidavits
Under Seal and For In Camera Review with the Clerk of Court using the CM/ECF system, and that I have
delivered the filing to the Defendants by email and FedEx at the following addresses:
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SOURCE 4
OPEN SOURCE INTELLIGENCE OFFICER – Allied Security Operations Group
INTELLIGENCE ANALYST
Trained intelligence analyst with over 10 years professional experience conducting civil
and criminal investigations. Transform raw data into actionable intelligence by utilizing
modern reporting tools and data visualization techniques. Leverage open/closed source
intelligence to research, analyze and extract decision-useful information to create
comprehensive behavior, reputation and threat assessments for individuals and entities.
AREAS OF EXPERTISE
Open/Closed Source Intelligence Intelligence Systems/Databases
Threat Assessments Data Analysis and Visualization
Due Diligence Analysis and Reporting Creating/Filing Court Exhibits
Criminal Investigations Indexed/Non-Indexed Web Queries
Provide extensive behavior, lifestyle and reputation assessments for corporate clients.
Perform due diligence analysis and social link analysis using open source collection
methodologies.
• Conduct in-depth investigations of individuals, and corporations using OSINT techniques, proprietary databases, analyst
software, and data visualization software; Utilize link analysis to provide actionable intelligence analyses for clients.
• Develop and execute OSINT, digital vulnerability and cyber security training for C-suite executives.
• Domestic and global investigations that gatherunique data going beyond traditional searches, exploiting
metadata, postings that are tangential to the ultimate subject of inquiry and data sets
not indexed by traditional
search engines.
• Utilize intelligence sources include the deep web, dark web, social media sites, news organizations, proprietary databases,
.and private investigative databases.
Served as an Intelligence Analyst and supported the Collin County Sheriff’s Office
Crimes Against Children Taskforce with investigation and prosecution of sex crimes
and the planning and development of intelligence reports and products.
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• Developed instructions, guides, and manuals in line with dissemination standards and
methods dealing with conventional intelligence problems, questions, and situations.
• Evaluated and interpreted incoming intelligence reports and information related to terrorism,
actual or potential threats against critical infrastructure, counterterrorism, counterintelligence,
and other issues of strategic and tactical importance.
• Planned and conducted public meetings, briefings, and other activities in support of the Fusion
Center to provide the dissemination of key intelligence information to federal and local law
enforcement agencies.
EDUCATION
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Bachelor of Arts
(BA) - Criminal
Justice
University of
Washington,
2007 Cumulative
GPA: 3.9/ 4.0
Graduated with Honors, Dean's list (4 times)
TECHNICAL SKILLS
• Certifications (ICS 100, 200 and 700);
• Michael Bazzel Open Source Intelligence Systems Training Certificate.
• Thomson Reuters CLEAR investigative research and risk management software
• Transunion TLOxp investigative research and risk management software
• Maltego and Analyst Software Packages (Analyze intelligence and construct criminal cases);
• Open Source Intelligence Analysis (Locate targets and build suspect target packages from any location)
• Web-Based Applications (Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter);
• Microsoft Office (Microsoft Word, PowerPoint, Excel, Outlook)
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EXHIBIT 5
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
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Exhibit 4
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1. I am over the age of 21 years and I am under no legal disability, which would prevent me
from giving this declaration.
2. I was an electronic intelligence analyst under 305th Military Intelligence with experience
gathering SAM missile system electronic intelligence. I have extensive experience as a white
hat hacker used by some of the top election specialists in the world. The methodologies I
have employed represent industry standard cyber operation toolkits for digital forensics and
OSINT, which are commonly used to certify connections between servers, network nodes
and other digital properties and probe to network system vulnerabilities.
3. I am a US citizen and I reside at {redacted} location in the United States of America.
4. It can be seen using open source methodology that the SSL certificates from
*.dominionvoting.com were registered on the 24th of July 2019. This SSL certificate were
used multiple times from locations ranging from Canada, Serbia, and the United States.
These images verify that Dominion systems were connected to foreign systems across the
globe. Also seen is that the SSL certificate is used for the email server that was the same for
the secure HTTP connections.
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443.https.tls.certificate.parsed.fingerprint_sha256:
8f73a14d5f0fc10ebfa3086a99b9e7a550e822c71d762e627b73d12e5f1b8b9c
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All share:
443.https.tls.certificate.parsed.fingerprint_sha256:
8f73a14d5f0fc10ebfa3086a99b9e7a550e822c71d762e627b73d12e5f1b8b9
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Email ip address
206.223.168.94
Serbian ip address
82.117.198.54
Dominion site
204.132.219.214
Cloudflare link
104.18.91.9
Canadian ip address
206.223.190.85
Denver ip address
204.132.121.11
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I declare under penalty of perjury that the forgoing is true and correct to the best of my
knowledge. Executed this November 23th, 2020.
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5. I am over the age of 21 years and I am under no legal disability, which would prevent me
6. I was an electronic intelligence analyst under 305th Military Intelligence with experience
gathering SAM missile system electronic intelligence. I have extensive experience as a white
hat hacker used by some of the top election specialists in the world. The methodologies I
have employed represent industry standard cyber operation toolkits for digital forensics and
OSINT, which are commonly used to certify connections between servers, network nodes
8. The following link analysis was gathered through open source methodologies and are easily
verifiable.
9. As Dominion and Smartmatic makes claims that they are not connected in any way, not only
are they connected but their business registration was in the same building on a foreign island
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https://offshoreleaks.icij.org/nodes/101732449
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https://offshoreleaks.icij.org/nodes/101724285
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I declare under penalty of perjury that the forgoing is true and correct to the best of my
knowledge. Executed this November 23th, 2020.
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10. I am over the age of 21 years and I am under no legal disability, which would prevent me
from giving this declaration.
11. I was an electronic intelligence analyst under 305th Military Intelligence with experience
gathering SAM missile system electronic intelligence. I have extensive experience as a white
hat hacker used by some of the top election specialists in the world. The methodologies I
have employed represent industry standard cyber operation toolkits for digital forensics and
OSINT, which are commonly used to certify connections between servers, network nodes
and other digital properties and probe to network system vulnerabilities.
12. I am a US citizen and I reside at {redacted} location in the United States of America.
13. Researching Smartmatic’s website and reading their public manuals about the reuse of SSL
certificate’s, I started to investigate Smartmatic’s SSL certificates. Upon searching their
website is currently behind Cloudflare yet using the same SSL certificate it made it easy to
locate where Smartmatic’s website was located. Smartmatic’s website is in the Philippine’s
on their Election commission’s server (Comelec.gov.ph).
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14. As can be seen in the images above the SSL certificate used was registered by the email address
[email protected] on the 9th of April 2016.
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15. As seen from Jesus’ LinkedIn profile, he was employed by Smartmatic as their Master Information
Security Specialist from August 2008 – March 2017, within the time frame of the registered SSL
certificate for Smartmatic and within Venezuela.
16. This evidence shows that Smartmatic was indeed connected to Venezuela as well as shows that their
dealings with the Philippine’s is still on-going as their website is in their election commission servers
with matching and current SSL certificates.
I declare under penalty of perjury that the forgoing is true and correct to the best of my
knowledge. Executed this November 23th, 2020.
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EXHIBIT 6
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
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The scanners to process ballots and upload. So basically it's a signal of a potential anomaly
where we would want to go in and do forensic analysis on the ballots that were processed in
those batches to analyze the way that these systems work is that you can run votes and run
votes and run votes.
And if you get write in ballots or error ballots, it just accumulates them into a batch file. And
there may be, you know, 2000, 3000, 4000, [00:00:30] 5000 votes in this batch file. And then
the administrator or the tabulator can file and they they send it in and it records those votes in
the user's manual. There's, you know, ways that it shows that the administrator can vote that
batch, you know, 80 percent, 20 percent, 100 percent. However the the administrator chooses.
And that basically is a tool to to allow them to move votes through the system faster. [00:01:00]
So Arizona was was a little bit different. It had a pretty strong rise up right up at the front, the
first part of voting day. Whereas the other states and I can show you those have a gradual
increase in votes. And this may have been due to the fact that Arizona allowed early counting
and tabulation so those batch files could have been dropped in right away.
But this injection spike at eight six [00:01:30] forty eight p.m. and this is adjusted from Zulu
time. So this is one hundred and forty three thousand one hundred votes that were injected
that was in excess of what the machines could have processed. The real reason that we believe
that this spike was a little bit of an anomaly.
And I should show the email that was sent to the Arizona legislature forcer. [00:02:00]
Yes.
So this was an anonymous email that was sent to all members of the Arizona legislature. And it
was also sent to DOJ, this individual sent the email, wanted to remain anonymous, but had
enough [00:02:30] concern that he sent this to the criminal division at the U.S. Department of
Justice. He did not want to be included in the investigation, but the information that they
recorded was what we would like the opportunity to investigate on your behalf or a forensics
team of your choosing.
That doesn't matter to us, but says that please be advised that Pima County recorder located a
240 Norristown Avenue, Tucson, Arizona, in [00:03:00] Pima County, Arizona, and the
Democratic Party added fraud votes in the initial count to the vote by mail totals released at
8:00 p.m. on November 3rd, 2020. So this coincides with what we observed in the data
analytics at that date, that that spike. We weren't aware of this until this email, until after the
fact. So there were approximately 35000 fraud votes added to each Democratic candidates
vote totals. Candidates impacted [00:03:30] include county, state and federal election
candidates through the utilization of the automated ballot count machines and Pima County
elections, which were not dominion, but they had the same pretty much functionality. My
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understanding is that 35000 was embedded into each Democrat vote totals below where the
meeting notes in a meeting I was invited to by the Democrat Party in Pima County, Arizona, on
September 10th, 20 20 no phones or recording devices were allowed. A presentation was given,
including detailed plans to embed [00:04:00] 35000 in a spread configured distribution to each
Democrat candidates vote totals. When I ask how in the world that will 35000 votes be kept
hidden from being discovered, it was stated that spread distribution will be embedded across
the total registered voter range and will not exceed the registered vote count. And the 35000
was determined allowable for Pima County based on our county registered vote count. It was
also stated that total voter turnout versus total registered voters [00:04:30] determine how
many votes we can embed.
This embedding will auto adjust based on voter turnout. Because the embed votes are
distributed sporadically, all embedded votes will not be found if audited because the embeds
are in groups of approximately one thousand. This is so county report can declare an oversight
issue or error as groups of 1000 is a normal and acceptable error. So if you believe that you're
one vote counts for one vote, this is. Maricopa [00:05:00] County embed totals will be
substantially higher than Pima due to imbeds being calculated based on the total number of
registered voters. When I ask, has this ever been tested and how do we know it works? The
response was, yes, this has been tested and has shown significant success in Arizona, judicial
retention, elections since 2014, even undetectable, and post audit because no candidate will
spend the kind of funds needed to audit and contact voters to verify votes and [00:05:30] the
full potential of total registered voters, which is more than 500000 registered voters this year.
Our Secretary of state has removed precinct level detail for election night releases so
candidates can't see precinct overvotes. This is what I have for the meeting. Just thought I'd
report this. Not sure if you can do anything since I was unable to have a recording device in the
meeting. Again, we hope this individual would we come forward and issue this as an affidavit.
But this [00:06:00] is significant.
And we also noted that the reporting numbers from Pima and Maricopa County merged
Election Day votes with right. And votes with absentee ballots. So there's no way to in the
publicly available data to pass those votes into into the segments. And I believe we noted in the
piece of information that was provided view that Maricopa [00:06:30] County had a one point
nine million mail in ballot request. So and those there was a Maricopa County official on
videotape that did say that they did not validate the signatures on the right and ballots this
year.
So that's a one point nine million vote fraud potential, even if it's zero point one percent of the
vote. There's [00:07:00] a lot of room for error.
Can we just review that quickly for one second so we get it right? Ladies and gentlemen, please.
I know that you're passionate about this, but there are a lot of people in this world that want to
hear this. And if we can't hear the witnesses over remarks, that deprives people of hearing the
truth.
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So what I take from your testimony, Colonel, is that 35000 votes were embedded [00:07:30] for
each Democratic candidate in Pima County. Correct. That is that is the allegation of this email
allegation by the gentleman who hasn't given us an affidavit. Correct. That they were
distributed based on the voter turnout carefully so they wouldn't look suspicious. That's
correct. And that's essentially what the Dominion Smartmatic. And that's that's essentially their
modus operandi. Right, that that's there. They don't just put in 10000 [00:08:00] votes. They
put it in carefully.
So it's hard to detect. They move the algorithms around to different precincts until they get the,
uh, the aggregate number that they want and need. And then they shift the algorithms to, uh,
to other precincts.
Did the Democratic candidates who got the benefit of those 35000 false votes include Biden
and Harris?
According to this email, it was all local and federal races. [00:08:30]
So if that were true, then the result of the election is totally opposite the one that they're so
anxious to certify, correct?
Yes, sir.
Now and again, this is what you said to every Arizona legislature, that now we don't know if the
gentleman is telling the truth or not. Correct.
But would it be possible if you had the machines in [00:09:00] Pima County to be able to see if
there's evidence of this?
In order to do that, there would have to be a full forensic audit from the the USB that drives the
voting to the PCMCIA, CIA cars, to the tabulators, to the rooters.
I'm just asking, could it be done if you if you had the will to do it? Yes, sir. If you wanted to find
out if the vote in Pima County were honest or not, wouldn't you do it? Yes, sir. And without
doing it, you really have no idea. That's [00:09:30] correct. And the machines you used in in
Pima County are different. But are they that much more secure?
These systems, these they all have similar vulnerabilities. Our team focused on Dominion. The
are our partner team focused on S.A.S., and they're they're very similar as far as vulnerabilities.
Now, did he say anything that suggests the same thing happened in Maricopa County?
This gentleman [00:10:00] appeared to be a an I.T. specialist in Pima County, so he only wrote
allegedly to what he observed.
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And do we have any knowledge that anyone from the state of Arizona attempted to look for
him?
I believe the legislators, some of the legislators did try to to locate this gentleman.
Not [00:10:30] that I'm aware of, but again, I'm I'm not law enforcement, so I'm not sure, but
even if you can't find him, you could determine the validity of this or maybe determine the
validity of this by doing a forensic audit. Correct. There's a there's an available scientific tool
that would tell you I mean, did Biden get 35000 phony votes?
That's correct, and it's not being utilized, [00:11:00] as far as you know, by the state of Arizona,
Pima County, I believe that total vote total was less than less than a million and in Pima County,
so it would it would be possible and feasible to do a full audit about audit. And I also was
informed that your state, through the the Counterterrorism Information Center and the DPS
here in Arizona, [00:11:30] do have the capability to analyze and validate ballots for INQ
consistency. So if there were mass produced ballots in Maricopa County that were stuffed, your
DPS, I've been informed, has the capability to analyze those ballots for paper consistency and
inconsistency. So if there were mass produced ballots, you could determine that on your own.
Excuse me, Colonel. So I think what you're saying, and I'm going to repeat this back to you,
[00:12:00] these might be preprinted ballots to simply move through the system. Is that what
you're suggesting?
There are indications we have affidavits from Pennsylvania that there were ballots that were
prepositioned in a bobtail trailer, a tractor trailer truck, and that these ballots were the thought
was if this was a cache, that they could go and grab the amount of ballots they needed and take
them to the specific tabulation centers. And [00:12:30] that's an affidavit that's from from our
Pennsylvania, where currently a.
So repeat one more time the piece of information then I think people were shocked about
because it is hard to believe. Did you say that a Pima County official said that they didn't
validate any of the mail in votes?
That was Maricopa Maricopa. They didn't validate the signature. They didn't validate the
signatures [00:13:00] on the mail in ballots.
And that's one point nine million. Correct. And do we know who that is? I would have to get the
video. Well, could you get it for us? Oh, yes, sir. Now, you have to do it right now before the
end of the year.
That would render every one of the one point nine million votes that absolutely never checked
for fraud, deceit, mistake, and if their mailman votes, that can't be done. Now, [00:13:30]
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they've been separated from the envelope, correct? Would indicate. So those are basically one
point nine million votes that are illegal votes or that had the potential to be illegal votes that
weren't validated the signatures, what can we can we determine now if any of them are legal or
illegal?
If the envelopes were separated from the ballots, there would be no way to tell. A ballot
[00:14:00] for candidate, you could still go back and look at the envelopes to validate the
signatures, but you wouldn't know what the ballot and that's the reason you're supposed to
have an observer when you do that. That is that is part of the chain of custody procedures, I
believe, in Arizona.
And when they talk about chain of custody, after they're talking about. Right. Correct. Because
a lot of witnesses are going to talk about that . So let's just sum up a few of the things that you
also found. Tell us about the green button in Maricopa County [00:14:30] on the machine. And
there is one witness that's going to testify that all day she saw election officials constantly
pressing the green button when somebody was vot ing.
So what what that was when the voter wasn't sure. And I believe this was also linked to another
witness that's going to talk about with the differences in the pens and the sharpies that the
Maricopa elections division in early voting, [00:15:00] they specified that only use ballpoint
pens for voting. And on Election Day, they specified only use sharpies. And the idea is that as
the bleed through on the ballot, as the scanners would cause an error and an error ballot by
creating the error ballot, the election officials basically would slide those votes into a batch file
that could be adjudicated by the election administrator or the operator. [00:15:30] And the the
green button was to say, OK, there's an error, but go ahead and push cast ballot. And it punches
that into into an error file that can be adjudicated by the election administrator.
Now, you examined the voter database and your team did say or you examined the voter
database, you and your team, those were actually some local Arizona folks that examined that.
[00:16:00] So you took that from, I suppose, great data. Oh, I see. OK. He spoke directly to local
investigators here. And you have here voter database discrepancies, 6000 voters at least
entered into a database with no sex and default date of birth. And they're nonexistent in Lexis
Nexis.
Correct. And I believe there will be a witness to to discuss that later this morning.
So [00:16:30] unless those can be those can be discovered, those votes would have to be would
have to be eliminated.
Correct. And it was explained to me that the way that happens is that they you can register
online for a driver's license at the same time, you can register for voter registration. But the
driver's license doesn't require the same information as the voter rolls. And so those kind of go
into a queue that the secretary of state would approve for the voter rolls over time. But
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[00:17:00] there appear to be 6000 voters there on the voter rolls and the voter database with
no sex and a default date of birth.
So whenever they entered zero one zero one, you know, nineteen hundred or whatever that
date was, they also discovered over 2000 votes that used a false address and address of a
vacant lot. Correct.
You already told us about the 1915 487 mail in votes that [00:17:30] were not verified with
regard to signature in Pima County. In Maricopa County. Correct. Also in Pima and Maricopa
County, Republican poll watchers were very often forced to stay inside, outside and unable to
view the vote process.
Correct.
Is there an estimate of the number of illegal immigrants that voted in in the election? Has
anyone done an estimate [00:18:00] of that?
The American Immigration Council suggests that there are about three hundred thousand
ineligible voters. And then the, uh, one of the local newspaper reported that there were
another three hundred and.
12000, I believe, nine incarcerated felons and other illegal other ineligible voters as any attempt
being made to investigate that, to determine if they [00:18:30] can locate a sufficient number
of illegal immigrants voting illegally, that would have a bearing on the outcome of the election.
That would really be done by the, you know, the county election.
But has it been done or not? They're going to certify the vote apparently without doing it.
I'm not I'm not aware if it would be you'd have to be an idiot not to think that illegal aliens,
immigrants voted. Right. It's very possible. How many are there in [00:19:00] Arizona?
Approximately anybody's guess. But what's the lowest number?
Anybody help me with that and for the the local legislatures, five million, four million, I wish we
knew, sir. I wish we knew.
Mr. Chairman.
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Mr. Chairman, thank you. And Mr. Giuliani, Mayor Giuliani, I. I can't tell you how many people
are in this state that are potentially can vote illegally as an illegal alien. But I can tell you that
there is a way for them to vote under the federal only voter program, meaning that someone
here illegally or a fake [00:20:00] name, anybody that can put together a voter registration card
with a fake name or if they're not eligible to vote and are not in the lnvid system here in
Arizona when they register to vote. If they're not found in the MVD system, the DMV system,
they're not there, then they're contacted to see, do you have a birth certificate? You have
anything to prove your citizenship. When they don't answer, then their name is relegated to the
federal only voter list, which there's 36000 in the state of Arizona, [00:20:30] of people who
can't prove their citizenship, can't prove they exist other than when they show up to Election
Day. All they have to do is show their bank statements, their title to their car, anything you can
reproduce on your own computer with your fake name on there or whatever. And until a bank
statement and you get a ballot and you can vote for president and your congressperson and
senator. So up to 36000 plus people in Arizona could potentially vote. And I do have the
numbers of who [00:21:00] has voted in Maricopa County is 4100 of the true federal only and
another 4000 that are out supposedly out of state. So those alone haven't been researched
deeply enough to know does that name even exist as a person and are they here? Is that
someone here who's here illegally or not? So we don't know upwards of 8000 people in
Maricopa County alone who have cast a ballot who weren't able to.
Well, [00:21:30] that's pretty astonishing. So I will say I may be wrong, but let's say there were
five million illegal aliens in Arizona. It is it's beyond credulity that a few hundred thousand
didn't vote, particularly given Representative Townsend's explanation that there's an
encouragement that goes on to have them vote.
Now, every one of those votes would be an illegal [00:22:00] vote. Every one of those votes
denies a lawful voter of their franchise just wiped it out. Has there been any attempt to try and
investigate that after the election, even on a sample basis, like going to a district where there
are a large number of possible illegal aliens and go back, check the names and see where their
5000 were there, 10000 [00:22:30] or 20000? Has there been even an attempt to do that? Sure.
None that I'm aware of.
I mean, I think you can I can I speak to that mayor, please? Yes, please.
So we put in two years ago, we put in an election integrity unit in the attorney general's office.
And I've been on the phone with them, asking them, what are they going to be doing? How can
they look into this? And they told us that they don't have the authority to go out and look for
crime. They have to have it presented to [00:23:00] them so they can't go out and do an audit.
They can't go out and and actively research this. I also was told the same thing by the Board of
Supervisors, that they cannot perform an audit above and beyond what's already been done.
That's in statutes. So all we're really left with that I'm aware of is having and as much as I
appreciate this forum today and I'm very grateful for you, we need an actual committee hearing
like on the chair of the elections committee. If we were to hold an actual committee hearing,
we would have subpoena power [00:23:30] to go and look at the machines. So look at these
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things, you know, and inspect them and get down to it so we can do an audit. We just need to
conduct a committee hearing to give us that subpoena power to be able to do so.
Mr. Julian, so when when this vote is certified, if that's not done, there is no question, any
reasonable person's mind that the vote totals contain large numbers of illegal votes. From
[00:24:00] people who are not citizens of the United States, the question is how many? And the
officials certifying have made no effort to find out the truth, which seems to me gives the state
legislature a perfect reason to take over the conduct of this election because it's being
conducted irresponsibly and unfairly. Why [00:24:30] and why and why doesn't your state
legislature exercise its responsibility under the Constitution for.
Mr Giuliani, that that is the essential question that we are here to ask now any anything else,
Colonel, you did a great job.
If [00:25:00] you're done, Mr Giuliani. We do have a number of questions from the panel
members for you, sir. Good. Yes, sir. Right. The first thing I'd like to ask is you spoke on system
capability. And I know that much has been made of the excoriation of the state of Texas on the
Dominion equipment, software and all that. Can you provide just a very short comment on
what [00:25:30] why they said not only are we not recommending as we're prohibiting the use
of this equipment in our state of, in a nutshell, vulnerabilities that were issued, not addressed
or not fixed.
Ok, and you also referenced a comment about OHS, and I'm struggling. Why did OHS say
security for this election was the best? Did it ever been? Do [00:26:00] you have any insight into
that?
And my experience in life, there's generally two factors for individual. I mean, it's either
competence or commitment. So they were either incompetent or not committed to learning
the truth at the senior level, operative level.
And does OHS know about the information that you've shared with us so that you're sharing
with us in the process of this? Have you shared that with them [00:26:30] specifically and much
more so beyond what you're saying here? You've gone into much greater depth?
We have relations with our local OHS personnel in Texas, both the the intelligence agencies,
um, when I started working on this project in August, I called them up, said, you guys have you
guys have got to come out. Look at it. They [00:27:00] did. They spent an initial three hours
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going through this data. Uh, at the end of that, one of them said, I think I need to go outside
and throw up.
They had multiple follow ups. Um, they drove up to our Dallas counterpart team, received over
600 gigabytes [00:27:30] of data that had been accumulated over over time. Our team provided
them over 200 gigabytes of confirmatory data. And they analyzed that, um, after they. After
they analyzed, there was a scan, a passive scan done, they conducted a limited scan and
determined that there were vulnerabilities. They held numerous [00:28:00] meetings with their
folks, the cyber, the sister cyber side and the INR, which is the intelligence assessment division.
And I'm sorry, could you let the folks who were watching know what this is?
This is the the the agency in DHS is responsible for cyber infrastructure.
Ok, members, any other questions? Representative Besuki, one note that might be important.
Members of the elections division [00:28:30] of SECV, I was told, would never attend the
meetings or the briefings that were conducted internal to DHS on the material that we had
presented. And I'm sorry, who is that that did not participate in the election security division
with inside of DHS? OK, thank you. Represent BCG.
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you, Colonel. I just wanted to make sure I have this
correct. So when we're talking about Mr. Crepe Krebs, is that correct? Correct. OK, he stated
the [00:29:00] most secure election in history. He stated, we're not connected to the Internet.
He stated, no votes leave this country. This is all things you've stated. He stated publicly. So he
used his website. Right. So are you willing to say under oath that you have seen the connection
to the Internet, you have seen it go off shore to Germany, Frankfurt? Are these things that you
have personally seen and can say that is not true?
Our our white hat hackers? [00:29:30] Yes, they have that traffic in the packets, so.
Why would he why would he make that kind of comment? Do you think?
Thank you, Senator. Really? Yes, thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
Good morning, [00:30:00] Colonel. I've got a couple of questions on the Board of Supervisors
during one of their hearings had said that that the techs for equipment that's by the way, the
county doesn't own this equipment. It's leased by Dominion and Smartmatic. But is it irregular
or is it S.O.P for the tech reps to be there during the election process?
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Yeah, that that's been something we observed in Michigan, Pennsylvania, whether [00:30:30]
they're full time committee employees or contractors.
There are Dominion employees that are there to run the equipment because the Board of
Supervisors hearing they had they'd actually made comments that they actually provided them
an office space with in the county for them to handle this stuff. My question is, a couple of
weeks ago, they did a test just to show that how the system was secure. And he did it before
and then after test. So everybody can see that [00:31:00] the Board of Supervisors and county
elections that see this is this is not what you're hearing is false, obviously, or is it during that
test is can they find the anomalies in there during that, that basically what I always call a dog
and pony show that show up in one of these tests, in a forensic examination?
Come here. Look at this is how we certify the machines and calibrate the machine. Whatever
[00:31:30] zeroed out this that obviously these Bhanot anomalies would not be showing up at
that moment, correct?
Correct. And it's our understanding that Dominion had a software update, at least in a couple of
states. I'm not sure about Maricopa County, but like the day before the election.
And bartone questions. I did have one question, thank you and Colonel, excellent information,
you [00:32:00] described Web traffic increased during the elections as opposed to how do you
measure the increase?
Um, are you talking just in in in on the Dominion Network? Yes. They just look at volume,
volume of data that's moving through the pipes.
And I'm not of our hacker team is that's they're the experts. I just kind of the big picture know
how to dance. [00:32:30] But they do they do measure volume traffic. Matter of fact, on the
Frankfurt server on Election Day, there was a German cybersecurity professor that was noting
that the increase in traffic would you know, he related back to covid and said, you know, we
haven't even hit our indoors winter season yet and we've hit the highest traffic. And he
specifically noted that one of the reasons was the American elections was an exponential
[00:33:00] increase.
I don't think it's an exponential, but I think it went from seven seven point something terabytes
a second to 10 terabytes. So it went to a lot of, you know, a pretty big increase.
Not an exponential, though, to my unqualified mind. I don't know exactly what that means, but
it sounds big.
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The volume jumped up pretty significantly on November 3rd and 4th to that particular server in
the pipes. Thank you. Yes, ma'am.
But I mean, you're from seven to 10 ballpark. Yeah, that's big. I can't. Yeah. All right. Very good.
Senator, go. Do you have any questions? Yeah. Thank you, Mr. Chair.
Colonel, he talking about the NGO system and that was you said Hugo Chavez. [00:34:00] He
was a partial owner in that. Now, that's that's the beginning of Dominion.
Um, NGOs was a separate company, but Dominion acquired Sequoia Systems that were spun
off of Shugo. And they also acquired Premiere, which was spun off of Diebold, but they all have
in common the Common Core of the common code really goes back to Shugo. [00:34:30] And
that one or or chart that it put up there kind of showed the licensing agreements that go back
and forth between Shugo and Dominion. So it's the the licensing for the for the software in the
code.
So it still stems from the studio system. That's correct. So and then you're stating Dominion
owns the data.
So does that mean when they see the vote count that they [00:35:00] own, that not the
counties, the state, they process it, they retain it, it's in their backup servers?
So they have they have the votes themselves as well, when that's supposed to be property of
the state, they've got they've got the data, they've got the voter voter data, voter registrations.
And then you said Dominion sits on the board and Mr. Crap's. Is that right?
That [00:35:30] was on the, uh, the website there. When you say the board, what is the board?
It was their Election Security Advisory Council, OK.
Let's see, Representative Roberts, you're next. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Colonel Walton,
earlier you were talking about the methods via Internet and internal methods. As far as I
[00:36:00] think you use the term, I forgot exactly how you said it. There was basically methods
from the Internet and then also internally that there could be manipulation of votes. So my
question is, is there. Do you have any knowledge of where the machines in Arizona connected
to the Internet at any point in time? And if not, or if so, are there logs internally [00:36:30] in
these machines that if we were to be able to subpoena these machines and demand them so
they could be examined, could could we see all of those changes that were made?
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So when you watch. CBS, CNN, any of the the mainstream media where they got the live
updates, that data is passed live. I mean, it's it's as the votes are updated. So it's, [00:37:00] you
know, nobody's. Getting on a plane and flying the hard drive to New York. I mean, it's uploaded
and it's connected. So it's it is connected to to the Internet and whether it's locally, I mean, they
can move votes with the cards, the voter cards, those can be preloaded and laptops with with
the software that could be interdicted and upload fake votes is in the allegation from from Pima
County, you know, in [00:37:30] batches of a thousand, they can scan blank ballots and then
the administrator can allocate that batch of blank ballots to one candidate or another, either in
100 percent or any percentages that they they allocate in the, you know, according to the user's
manual.
So to that point, just indulge me just a moment. Would you say that that is what we saw in the
2008 election with Governor Beven, where we actually saw on television [00:38:00] real time
the movement of some 500 votes from one candidate to another?
I mean, it was so stark you saw them go down on one and up on the other. And the exact
number, would that be a manifestation of what you're talking about?
So the the the working hypothesis from our counterparts on that, because they've worked out
and watched it and they actually went to Kentucky to assist the team there. It was it that was a
server level interdiction. So they went up to the server, downloaded a case case we [00:38:30]
filed, change the votes and reloaded it.
So just to kind of tack on to what we were just discussing, it's my understanding because there
was an article here in Arizona from the Arizona Daily Independent, there was a quote unquote,
whistleblower that was talking about issues that they had observed. And so one of the things
they were talking about was that the data from the machines was being moved via the hard
drive. So what [00:39:00] you just described as far as the real time data being uploaded and all
of that stuff, just for the layman, that same type of manipulation, whether you plug into an
Ethernet cable or what have you or you're doing it on and a user interface, the same type of
malfeasance could could be accomplished in that method as well.
And I think in looking at these systems, we identified, you know, almost a dozen ways that you
could [00:39:30] inject or interdict to manipulate votes.
On that note, you said earlier that pretty much all of these machines have vulnerabilities. So is
there any system out there that you're aware of that is worth exploring or do we just need to
go back to the paper ballot?
There is a he developed a system with some capital infusions. It's a system called [00:40:00]
votes votes and it's a block change type system. Again, it's when I first became aware of this, I
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went and talked to some friends of mine who were bank presidents. And I said, OK, why can't
we apply banking principles? Because if you want anything done right, you go talk to the money
people.
That's that's that's supertaster stuff. And he said, oh, yeah, this is it. It's an app.
You can do it as an app with a tie it in with real I.D. and a block chain type solution or, you
[00:40:30] know, the next generation solution. But there are systems and I believe the voting
system is deployed right now, I believe and I know West Virginia is one that I remember reading
on on the website.
Any questions? Yes, thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Appreciate it. Thank you.
Here today, I'd like to go back to the Board of Supervisors [00:41:00] letter where they talk
about certifying the Maricopa County election. And they have five points that they make for the
reason why they call this a reliable election. And my concern is, of course, over the Dominion
tabulation equipment. They said it was vetted by Bipartisan Equipment Certification Advisory
Committee before the contract was finalized. And as required [00:41:30] by law, the committee
tested the functionality and accuracy of tabulation equipment before it was used in any Arizona
election. Well, after listening to your testimony, that does not give me any confidence because
the machines, of course, can perform very accurately. It is after it's after the fact after the
election starts, after the ballot is is starting to be put into the machine that that these problems
start arising. So is [00:42:00] that accurate to say that that this does not should not give us
confidence about this being a reliable election?
Ma'am, anything that is software based can be manipulated and changed with the click of a
button or, you know, you got two USB drives, plug one in and you get one algorithm, you pull it
out, you plug another one in, you get a different algorithm. And we also believe on the
connectedness, these can be pushed down from the top [00:42:30] and shift it down. So think
of it like a casino or a state lotto. Your whoever owns the eye in the sky, you can control the
margins, and that's really, I think, what what we're looking at.
Well, certainly from your testimony, I can see that. And I have one more question, if I could, Mr.
Chairman.
I believe Senator Braley has it to that point of view. All right. Go ahead. Are you all right? Please
proceed.
Well, [00:43:00] I was going to switch down to the one percent early ballots that they did, and I
had a question about that. So, Sunny, if you have something to what I said before. Go ahead.
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Thank you, Mr. Colonel. So basically what you're saying, for example, since the tax are already
there on site during this process. So if a machine jams up and naturally they call the tech over
there to go fix the unjam, they can literally without anybody noticing because they're the techie
people, they can stick a thumb drive in there and upload, change the [00:43:30] numbers,
manipulate whatever.
We there was an affidavit in in Pennsylvania from I think it was last week, a gentleman
supervisor had a Ziploc bags full of USB drives, and they noted that he was inserting the USB
drives into the machines at a much higher rate than would be necessary or that they had seen
in the past. So, yes, you know, it's [00:44:00] OK.
So now I have it to that point. Forgive me, but what I think you're saying is that they have just
created an electronic footprint. Either in the days to download that you're seeing real time that
you'd be seeing some kind of a spike, or is there something that's captured on the machine that
it's itself like a memory card that is resonant on the machine? Not that is actually talking to the
hard [00:44:30] drive.
The the machines, for the most part at the voting machines are just run by, you know,
removeable software and data cards to the cards that actually hold the votes. The the backup
servers is really where the true story would would reside. As far as the upload download, the
change, the the er warnings for the mismatch errors.
So would you be able to show [00:45:00] with specificity. A machine in Maricopa County going
all the way across the pond. Inserting data into a server or would it be an aggregate of all the
machines that were in Maricopa County, for example? Is it by individual tabulator or is it by the
server here that collects? Can you help me understand that piece? Let me I'll [00:45:30] put
that probably goes back to your headache graph.
The reason I ask the question is we're still looking for evidence and if that is in the evidence
package, that's certainly something that we would want to know about. If we don't have it
today, something that could be forwarded to the body [00:46:00] would be great.
So this is the many voting, the high level, it's a block diagram of how everything's connected
and I can print this off and provide it to you or whoever would do your your [00:46:30] audits.
But it's kind of hard to.
Kind of hard to see when it's blown up, but you've got the ballot boxes, ballots taken out. This
tracks all the way through the image gas central to ballot images. And this is really what's
voted. The ballots are scanned into these image casters and there's an electronic image
created. It goes into results files and then it goes into validation, adjudication, auditing,
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reporting and publishing and then to democracy [00:47:00] suite in Ms. The Democracy Suite
servers, the database servers, the document management servers, and kind of shows you how
this all goes out to to the world from from this whole system, election data. You know, this is
kind of the top feed to all these servers.
But this is really it's it's a network. I mean, it's a computer. Company itself is not networked, it
has to be.
So let me reframe the question, we probably [00:47:30] would not be able to identify any
specific tabulation machine showing up on the server because it's all aggregated.
Yeah, it's it's these tabulation machines go through this process, but the results files.
So if you work it backwards from the server, you would be able to go back to a ballot image.
An electronic ballot image. All right, thank you, Senator Allen. Yes, no question. [00:48:00]
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The other thing in this letter by the Board of Supervisors was they
commented again of what made this a reliable election, that the Election Day ballots from two
percent of vote centers and one percent of early ballots as required by Arizona law. And it
yielded a 100 percent match to the results produced by the tabulation equipment. So. That
should give us, you [00:48:30] know, and all the counties do this, they do this hand count, this
little audit of a small percent of the votes to see how it matches up to the machine. So could
you explain how we shouldn't have confidence in that particular? How can they how can they
make that match up to the machine then when they just arbitrarily pick out one percent? If
they're if there's vote dumps that are happening and things that are happening throughout the
process, I would just say [00:49:00] it's it's.
So we learned a long time ago, garbage in, garbage out. If you've got one point nine million
votes that aren't, signatures are verified and they're just reading bubbled in, you know, ballot,
then, yes, the ballot cards, when they run 1000 ballot cards through, are going to come out
with a thousand so that, you know, that small batch would represent what those particular
ballots say.
But there is again, there's [00:49:30] that's why there's a chain of custody requirements. That's
one of the verification requirements at each step along the way. So if each one of those if one
of those steps is broken, then the validity of the whole process is is in question. You know, you
just don't know.
Right. Thank you. I think we're we're definitely, sir, in a new day when it comes to what is taking
place across this country with voting. And we're going to have to probably really look at that.
Thank you. Representative Townsend, do you have any questions? Thank you, Mr. [00:50:00]
Chairman.
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Colonel, I just have a quick follow up to some of the stuff we've been talking about as far as the
security of the machines themselves. And as we know, like whether or not something happened
or didn't happen, I'm most concerned with voter confidence. And if there's all these holes, then
we're going to really deflate or collapse voter confidence. So I would like you to reassure me on
one particular item in the tabulation room at the Mixtec here in Phoenix. In years past,
[00:50:30] it was you had to have a special badge and only people that were certified to be in
that room with the machines in the tabulation and all that were allowed in there this year. I was
told yesterday we had teams of 25 adjudicators in that room, in the tabulation room with those
machines. Would it have been possible for someone in that scenario to wander over to the
machine and have a conversation and put in this thumb drive you're talking about? Or is it
deeper than that or [00:51:00] something that's happened from remotely? Or how secure are
these machines? Because we know that there's no chain of custody on the hard drives and on,
you know, the machines we saw in a video left alone for almost a week in one of the voting
centers, untended, unsecure. You know, how could somebody, a regular person with nefarious
intentions, walk up and change this whole election by putting in a thumb drive and changing an
algorithm? Is that something that could have happened?
An individual that has knowledge of the systems and have to. You know, operate in the system
could have an impact again from the server, but they could they could be sitting in Nigeria and,
you know, as long as they got an Internet connection, they could get to that particular server. If
they were had access to, you know, the data from the malware that's on the server, they could
get the login and password from [00:52:00] a Pima County operator or a Maricopa County
operator. So there are just so many places that they can be interdicted or penetrated. There's
just there's just too many to. You know, to describe it, there's a lot of a lot of ways it could be
interdicted, Mr. Chair and Colonel.
So I'm hearing you say is I can't be confident that a volunteer of a political party that, you know,
the [00:52:30] entire recorder's office and the elections director could everyone could have
been on the up and up. And this is the most secure election ever. But if one random volunteer
with the right information were to be in the tabulation room, could have been breached the
security of the of the machine. Correct. And therefore, we cannot stand here and say we are
confident with that kind of access to these machines, machines left in buildings for a week. We
cannot say with certainty that this is [00:53:00] a secure election and we have 100 percent
confidence that nothing went wrong.
And you just brought up that the chain of custody issue. And that's that's a critical vulnerability
path so that the chain of custody was broken, then you really you really don't know. You can't
you can't say with confidence that it was a fair.
Thank you, Mr. Chair. And, Colonel, last point, if you were in charge, would you want a recount?
Would you want an audit? Would you want a do over? [00:53:30] What would you do?
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A forensic audit will tell you what was processed. But to the mayor's point earlier, as soon as
those mail in ballots, which were one point nine million requested and I think.
A good a good roughly return, if those signatures weren't verified, then, you know, you can
count the same things over and over again. But, you know, it's you're starting with flawed.
Results already [00:54:00] an audit, a full audit would be able to tell you if those were, you
know, bad, bad ballots or preprinted ballots, you know, you could do a full forensic audit on the
actual ballots. But once the envelopes are separated from the ballot on that many mail in
ballots, it's it's it's almost it's almost impossible to go back without doing a forensic analysis of
each ballot paper.
Ok, and Mr. Sharon, Colonel, do you have any [00:54:30] information about potential
shipments of ballots to Arizona and other places from North Korea or something like do you
have any information like that?
There were several affidavits that were provided to the legal teams. I don't have those
affidavits with me now, but there were. Affidavits and suggestions, and I think more of those
are in it processed to to obtain more affidavits on those processes.
Mr. Mayor, thank you. Can [00:55:00] you tell us whether or not you have got the I don't know
if you heard the question or do you have affidavits that counterfeit ballots were somehow
shipped into Arizona?
All right, thank you, Representative Cook, any questions? Yes, yes, Mr. Chairman, thank you.
And I'll make it brief, but I do have some stuff that I'd like to say is that, Colonel, when I ran for
office in 2016, I got a phone call one day that one of our county recorder's office [00:55:30]
information had been breached and all of the voter information was for sale on the Dark Web.
That was my first instance of being as a becoming representative about this hacking and
computer stuff and was out there. I just went through my third election as the top vote getter.
And I would like to say that I continuously have been tried to be hacked on my personal or
ledger account or whatever is out there on the Internet. I later learned from people, [00:56:00]
Colonel, that the reason why this is done out of the country and according to your graph, is that
it is harder for us to track these people down and prosecute them when these computer
anomalies and things happen from outside the country, inside our country and state. Would
that be true?
We would not have the legal jurisdiction to go seize or search a server outside of the U.S..
Thank you, [00:56:30] Colonel. And would this make sense that if you had a simple phone
number and then you went on the Internet and then researched that phone number of where
you received a text message and it was from Ukraine, would that not be a red flag that your
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I've seen analysis that boil down national elections to zip codes.
Mr. Chairman, I get fired up when I [00:59:00] get into this stuff because I read and hear
everything that that these people have said, it has happened to me. And I just thank you again
for your information, confirmation. But when I go back to the 2016 hacking, what I see is a
pattern, Colonel, is that there is a plan, there is a larger plan, and it's not a conspiracy theory.
And I'm not nuts. But if I wanted to engage in a plan in 2016, Colonel, would I not start hacking
and getting the voter databases and information [00:59:30] projecting of why do we have what
is the number two thousand or twelve hundred voters, I believe in Maricopa County registered
that I believe have voted at a vacant lot. I mean, if I really wanted to go down the road, isn't
that the way you would target it?
Yeah.
And again, it's you can interdict this in multiple levels and multiple methods. And I think that's
what's happened.
It's a there's so much out there. And it's [01:00:00] it's to your point, you know, you're not a
conspiracy theorist, but it's really hard. They've made it so hard for the public to understand it.
And we call that in deception operations, ambiguity increasing.
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Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Colonel, I have the last question is, and what concerns me over what
I've read and seen is that could the data that you say could be traced back only to the scan
ballot at this point? So it can't go back to the individual voting machines? Could [01:00:30] that
be Bletch Bitz or whatever that stuff is? Could that be could could the tracks as long the longer
we take to actually get the machines and check these things out, could there be time to erase
that information and cover up? If there was a crime or.
Misdeal, there could be another batch. Files will go back to the precinct and the machines on
the tapes so you can track it all the way back to the machines in the precincts by the tapes. And
it's what we showed in the Antrim County, those [01:01:00] those printouts on the on the
precinct level so that you can go back.
But really, all that's necessary, there's not really a glitch, but it's just pulling the USB drive out of
the out of the voting machine and the tabulators.
So the the machines themselves, other than the servers, really don't have a lot of resident
information. The tabulation machines here, they can have some stored images. But the
[01:01:30] you know, where they you retain these you know, the federal election requirements
require and I can't remember the U.S. code title. Forty six rings a bell, but the 22 month
retention of federal elections records, it would be done in those the ballot images and, you
know, electronic backups. So the data is retained. And, you know, you can do forensics on it as
long as it's the actual the actual servers [01:02:00] and the actual machines.
Colonel, thank you for your time, your patriotism. And, Mr. Chairman, I yield any remaining
time I may have.
Thank you. I believe Senator Going has one more question, and I just need to remind the panel
time grows short . I think Mayor Giuliani has significant more witnesses and evidence that he'd
like to have heard.
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Colonel, I just want to get on come back to the Dominion situation
[01:02:30] here where the where the backup servers. I'm sorry, where are the backup servers?
I am not exactly sure I can try to get that information provided to you and this company.
I think the mayor said they were a foreign company. The Canadian is out.
So we know we know there are sites in Toronto. Their offices are in Canada. So we know that
we know that there were data there. [01:03:00] They also have servers in Serbia and other
other places. But as far as knowing for sure where the data from Maricopa County went and
resides, we don't know that. But they've got backup servers.
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So an audit because we talked about that a little earlier. First off, would that find where the
where the server is and where the information would be traced, tracing the flow of [01:03:30]
the information? Yes, sir. The audit would do that. Right.
And but it also tell us whether or not it's true or not, that the one point nine million signatures
were or were not verified. Right. So we would have an absolute no.
Colonel, could you get a little bit closer to the microphone? I'm getting a lot of people are
saying I can't hear the guy talk.
Thank you to the adjudication of the signatures on the the ballots that would [01:04:00] be
totally separate, wouldn't be necessarily a digital forensic process. But that audit would be, you
know, have to be conducted at the county level and all those on all the envelopes.
So if we did an audit, we were able to do that. Tell me the things that could come out of that.
Well, if the signatures on the envelopes were invalid, you could necessarily [01:04:30] get a
percentage of the votes that would be disqualified. But again, when when the ballots are
separated from the envelopes, you know, you can't tell which ballot came from which
envelope. So really, all that would tell you as a percentage of that, the percentage of those
mailing or absentee ballots that were not legitimate.
The server would basically tell [01:05:00] you all of the electronics of once the ballots are
processed, the batches and the the images that that will tell you where all those goes. And it'll
also tell you any changes to the software, any updates, algorithms that were in place. And
that's all present at the at the code level. And that's really what these companies have balked
at, providing access to the code because they said that that's their intellectual property and it's
they've been successful at preventing folks from [01:05:30] analyzing the code.
But it's their property. And in counties and states have signed up for that.
Thank you, Senator Berling, final question. Yes, Mr. Chairman. And Colonel, just for clarity, not
only can these machines be manipulated with a thumb drive and everything else, it [01:06:00]
can be changed remotely outside the voting center.
That's that's correct. And there are references in the user's manual that show how they get to
do that. Thank you, Mayor Giuliani.
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Anything else with your witness, sir? No, I think all right. I think we covered everything. Thank
you, sir. Do you have a next witness? I'm looking at the clock, and I know that we've got a time
management issue with one of our witnesses.
Yes, I think we should call and a fourth, OK, because she has an [01:06:30] appointment and
we'll call her first. OK, and then after that, Senator Colbeck, we need to make sure that we have
him at the airport by one o'clock. All right.
Thank you very much, Anna Horth. OK, OK. This is an author and a horse and a horse.
Anna [01:07:00] Horth. We'll check on her. And let's go back to. All right, Senator Colbeck.
Just so folks know that we've got folks in a separate room just so that we can bring them out
and have some kind of order here, Senator Colbeck.
Thank [01:07:30] you, sir, if you would, could you please introduce yourself?
Yes, my name is on Michigan, former Michigan State Senator Patrick Holbeck, and appreciate
the opportunity to speak with you. Mr. Chairman, the esteemed panel members for eight years,
I was sitting on the other side of this testimony. I was where you were sitting. And hopefully I'll
be able to provide that kind of a unique perspective and want to look out for in this election.
If you'll excuse me, I'm going to try to get my presentation up here and get that going. Kick
[01:08:00] it up.
The technology is great until you want to use it, it's more difficult when you can't see.
Nice job on the resolution of the screen here. By the. OK, and just for background purposes, as
[01:08:30] we're looking for to recognize my USB flash drive.
And [01:09:00] voila. OK, well, we still don't have it on the screen yet. There we go. All right,
and if you if you would please put it in play mode so we can see. Right. Please proceed.
All right. Thank you very much. It was a perfect compliment, I think, to Colonel [01:09:30]
Waldron's testimony here, because I kind of got a unique experience regarding this whole
election process. First of all, I am a former Michigan state senator. I served on the Senate,
Michigan Senate Elections and Government Reform Committee. I took those duties very
seriously to the point of diagramming out all of our election process, some pretty good
understanding of how elections are supposed to work from a book perspective. Um, but
another perspective that's useful to this discussion [01:10:00] is that something that I couldn't
do while I was running for office is actually I served as a poll challenger in Detroit at the ADA
County Board for the Election Day from five p.m. through the next day into the evening of the
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following day on November 4th. So I was actually at the Detroit the county boards. He may
have heard about all the things that happened there on the cardboard up on the windows. Yes,
I was there. I was one of the people blocked from returning back into the Detroit Avy County
Board [01:10:30] so I could resume my duties as poll challenger as a training our next batch of
poll challengers as to what they need to look out for and what we had been seeing.
And coincidentally, by the way, that was when they were counting the military ballots, which
just so you guys know, that's when they duplicate the ballots because the military ballots come
out in a format that's different from those that can be read by these tabulators. And if you
don't have a Republican and a Democrat watching that, it's right for malfeasance, [01:11:00] if
you will. And that's exactly what happened. So along with that background, I'm actually a
certified Microsoft small business specialist. In addition to being that I actually did cabling
design the International Space Station. So I have no problem working with technology. So it's
kind of a unique background. And, um, and just so happened that I was right there in the
Detroit area accounting board on the night of the election. So I'm going to focus in on just
highlight three areas of the diagram that Colonel Walton just showed you, because that's
[01:11:30] important for everybody.
Understand, for people on the ground. These are the key piece of technology you talked about.
Image can't control. That's the equipment that I witnessed out of the Detroit Accounting Board.
It features a high speed scanner and a workstation associated with that. These were networked
in turn with adjudicator machines, which anything that was rejected by the high speed scanner
would go over to this adjudicator machine that was part of the absentee ballot counting suite, if
you will, for Dominion.
In addition, they [01:12:00] had something that was called Local Data Center, where all the
election officials would work from a central computer workstation with a series of laptops, et
cetera, that that were connected to the rest of these computers won't get involved a little bit
later here. But that image cast central area is one of the key pieces of our key systems, if you
will, that are on the ground for the absentee ballots. In particular, if you're at an in-person
polling location, you'll have the image cast precinct set [01:12:30] up. And that's on the right
hand side of this diagram. Up on the top is kind of the local data center and the kind of the eye
in the sky, the overarching look at what's going on with the election. And we'll get into that a
little bit more detail later. And as you guys know, Dominion Voting Systems was used here in
Arizona, in Maricopa County, and they were using some of the same equipment we were just
talking about regarding cast precinct and also Mimecast Central that can do the scanner there.
So [01:13:00] I. I said that I was in your position before. Right. So if I were in your position,
these are kind of some of the key questions I would be asking in regards to all that we're
hearing about this testimony regarding this election. No one was a chain of custody for the
election. Artifacts broken up. Thank you very much, Senator elect Townsend, for bringing that
up. That is a key term for everybody to understand. Chain of custody. And we're going over
overrule diagram specifically where some of my comments are going to focus in on in that chain
of custody.
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All [01:13:30] right. And the key is to hit the right area.
All right. And was there evidence of election fraud? There can be fraud that happens that may
not even violate statute, but you know that the intent is there to defraud the election and they
take advantage of loopholes that we had in the law. For example, in Detroit, we know that
there was an ability for people to vote both at the poll and absentee. So some people's votes
were more important than others. Was there evidence that election statutes were violated?
Yeah, [01:14:00] in Michigan, we have evidence to suggest that's exactly what happened. Was
there evidence of foreign agents with the ability to manipulate the election data and third
parties getting access to that data? We believe that we've seen evidence of that as well. But the
other thing I need to ask is. Well, all right. What are we going to do about it if we see all this
happening and what options do you have as legislators? All right, so let's go to this chain of
custody and I could go into [01:14:30] a lot more detail on this chain of custody and all, but I'd
like to simplify it into just four key artifacts, qualified voter file, i.e., who's registered to go off
and vote in your st at e. Number two poll. But that's a precinct specific extract of the data from
your qualified voter file. The ballot itself, pretty important artifact, right? But then in the spirit
of the old Stalin quote, it's not he who votes that counts. It's the one who counts the vote that
counts. You got to look at the ballot tabulator and how the votes [01:15:00] are tallied. And
that was my focus when I went to the Detroit Avy County Board. I was one of those folks that
was not specifically assigned to any particular county and station. I was looking at the big
picture and we'll go over what I found here in a sec.
First of all, everybody hopefully has seen the idea that there's been a lot of voter anomalies.
This is our first clue that something's happened. When you're on the ground, you can see all the
things that are happening, you know, onesie, toussie style. He say, hey, wait a minute, that that
envelope with bacteria or you [01:15:30] can see that they adjudicated something in favor of
the Democrats or the Republican or something like that. That's easy to go off and see, but it's
very difficult to see the big picture that comes out afterwards with experts like Colonel
Waldron. And in this case, we first started seeing issues when people were talking about
benefits, law being violated. That's actually using criminal court cases to determine whether or
not fraud existed. So that was a first indicator that some of the analysis we've seen flagged that
that's not proof. I mean, it's getting them. It's telling you that it's [01:16:00] you've got
something off here that you got to investigate. Then we've seen linear regression analyses and
there's a lot of noise. And but it seemed to indicate a pattern of vote distribution that indicates
some data manipulation. Then most recently, we have actually seen folks who believe that
they've identified specifically what the algorithm that was used to switch some of the data. So
some other things that were kind of odd and you don't see while you're necessarily on the
ground, but in retrospect, you'll be able to get access [01:16:30] to it. This is actually
documented as part of the affidavit that was submitted in a lawsuit that's put in Michigan by
Sidney Pollen and in other states. And you guys have voted quite a bit. You guys are most of
you already served in office. Right. Do you remember any of your votes being tabulated with a
decimal point on the back of them?
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I, I don't remember any of my eight year serving in the Michigan Senate, anything, any time
where I actually had a decimal point after a vote tally.
Well, [01:17:00] sometimes, you know, there are people that tried to make you feel like a
partial person when you serve. But no, that wasn't the case here. And so you guys have
probably all heard about what I call the little switch, the Antrim County. We've heard testimony
on that already today.
And some of the things that could possibly happen, getting into the possible technical reasons
for that is maybe have an internal ballot bar, code switch on it where they have one bar code
style or ballot style that's flagged. [01:17:30] And then when they associate a specific scan of a
vote, they flip it over to a different bar code. So that may have the voters or the the candidates
flipped in it. Something else is something called a rank rank choice voting algorithm. That's one
of the modules inside of the Dominion Suite. And this is where you might see evidence of this is
the only place that I know of. At least I can start putting infractions, fractions into your vote,
because if you meet a certain vote threshold, it'll go off and switch that. It'll it'll [01:18:00]
prioritize the votes for the second choice, if you will, and give them 10 percent of the first
choice of whoever of the ten percent or whatever number you specify.
It'll actually get into the point of allocating percentage of the votes to one of the candidates.
Another thing is data manipulation via remote access. And another thing to look at as you guys
investigate what happened here didn't happen inside Arizona is take a look at your public
accuracy test.
And there are people that this [01:18:30] is usually in Michigan, at least it's specified what the
standards are for that by the secretary of state.
And if you don't run all the possible permutations of votes that might happen on a given ballot,
you may leave gaps that can be exploited. And I would submit we're going to show one of the
examples of where we believe one of those gaps is that you could maybe flip a vote from a
certain candidate to a write in candidate and preload this with. Right. Can't write in candidates.
And we think we have evidence [01:19:00] of that happening in Detroit.
So if you want to go off and check into this, one of the things you're going to need to do so.
Yeah, yep. As look into a compact flash cards, event logs and paper vote tallies. So these are
tabulated data card.
That's where the compact where that's where a lot of the election data would be wanted to
look at. It's going to be located. So please make sure you get your hands on that. Then we talk
about the big switch. Am I going to get a. A detail on this, suffice it to say, in Michigan, you
know, our current vote [01:19:30] deficit for President Trump is being projected as 154
thousand one hundred eighty eight votes.
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We got more than that that we can tie back to potential fraud. So in state of Michigan, I know a
lot of people have written us off in this context. But I tell you, Michigan is in play because of
what the level of fraud we've seen. So here's what our Detroit 80 county board looked like and
essentially it was set up.
So there's 503 precincts in the city of Detroit. They put in 134. These image cast Central Station
to all the way around. That's where the [01:20:00] poll books were located. And there are about
two to five precincts per image cast, central unit. We had five poll workers per station. Overall, I
would submit there's probably less than 10 Republican workers at the whole night sitting at
those. And by law, we're supposed to have a Republican, a Democrat adjudicating ballot. Here's
what I said, that I was looking at a big picture when I got in there. I was looking at the big
picture. First question I asked was one of these chief election officials. His [01:20:30] name was
Chris Thomas. I said who I worked with when I was serving in the Senate. I said, what? How are
you going to protect the chain of custody around the tallies of the individual tabulators and and
your report outs to the county and all points beyond that. So we talked about the idea of just
getting reported out to New York Times. You can see it on CNN and all that kind of stuff. Show
me how that chain of custody is protected. And this election official who is state elections
director of Michigan for two decades [01:21:00] said, I don't know. Now, this is kind of
important data point, don't you think so?
And I would imagine on the rest of the night I said, you know what? He finally acquiesced and
said, Tell you what, I'll let you know.
And then finally, the last statement he had on it, because I was pretty persistent, was saying,
you know, what am I going to tell you until after tomorrow? And I go, well, you know, the
primary duty of a poll challenger is to make sure that the election process are executed
effectively and efficiently and accurately and transparent manner. [01:21:30] He did not allow
that to be done. Now I can see physical transfer data. I can watch when somebody moves a
flash drive from a tabulator to a central station and I can go off and verify vote counts at that
hand. I can't get inside wires to go off and trace electrons through the Internet cables that I saw
a position. And that's the next point I want to highlight. And this is something important for you
to understand. Here's how these were connected. A lot of these election officials will square up
and down that none of these machines are connected to the Internet. And that's [01:22:00]
based on propaganda being pushed by companies like Dominion Voting Systems. They will say
that they have an air gap. They will say that they have firewalls in place. They have encryption
in place. And I hope to demonstrate here that that doesn't mean a heck of a lot. And any hacker
worth their salt knows that if one computer's connected the Internet, they're all connected to
the Internet firewall or not. And so here's a diagram that I put together based on and this is
literally midnight the next night before I forgot everything. I want to make sure I document
everything that was there. [01:22:30]
I went through and physically traced all the cables from all the tabulators and adjudicators to
the local data center at the big at the top. So it's that local data center that we have election
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officials that did confirm that that was connected to the Internet, but they said none of the
tabulated or anything else were connected to the Internet. I can show physical connection
between those tabulator tabulator machines, Internet cables to routers or magnets, which is
tough to tell from 12 feet away.
But [01:23:00] it's a router type of device connected to all the other devices on this network.
And as Colonel Walburn pointed out, it's designed to work as a network. And so all these
tabulators were connected to one another, all the adjudicated or connected to one another.
The local data center that they acknowledged was connected to the Internet were connected to
these tabulators and adjudicators. So and so if that wasn't enough, we went around to all the
different computers and observed on the bottom right hand corner of all the computers. I can't
do this because it defaults in a certain [01:23:30] slide presentation mode. If you have laptops
that are window enabled and you're connected to the Internet, you roll over that and you've
got a Windows 10 device, roll your mouse cursor over on the bottom right hand corner, you'll
see a land Internet connection icon and you roll over, it's going to pop up and say connected to
the Internet.
They wouldn't do that test for me to go off and demonstrate that. Yeah. So, guys, it's serious
stuff. And I also want to highlight I took a snapshot of what the Wi-Fi connections were at that
point in time. And one of them is called Avy, Underscore, [01:24:00] Connect.
I wonder what that was connecting part of their spec that they have in the contract with the
state of Michigan that are supposed to be connected to Ethernet cables, and they even have
cellular based modems that they can plug in to a lot of these items to transfer the data over the
Internet. They've got to Dominion Tech Support Manual that's connected to the Internet.
There's no denying that this was network connected. And by the way, even if they say a. Wasn't
connected to the Internet in the Detroit County, where I can [01:24:30] trace a physical
connection that says that the system that was used to tabulate 170, 2000 plus votes in the state
of Michigan with all network together. So even if it wasn't some guy sitting in an ice shanty in
Antarctica connected to the Internet, that one guy in the city of Detroit that had access to all
that information could modify the votes locally there.
So why does it matter? Well, we already talked about these man in the middle attacks we
talked about in the City Powell [01:25:00] lawsuit that's out there. There's additional exhibits
that highlight that these passwords are available on the Internet. And when you have a man in
the middle attack, you think you're getting the right data. You think you're talking to the right
person. But, yeah, you're talking to an in-between guy. We also got nasty left a key under the
mat. What I mean by that, all the specs on what files to look for, what their file size is,
everything else, or the voting system is left up on the Internet for everybody to go off into. I
went there myself. I could download this file, took that extract from it. You can find out
everything [01:25:30] you need to go off, manipulators, a hacker.
And we've got Challenger observations on the ground that attest to each and every one of
these. And I just want to highlight one of them, the poll worker observation that we actually he
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actually observed the fact that the printout of the tape said that there were a write in
candidates on it. Yet when you actually hear your test in his affidavit that there were no write in
ballots submitted, Senator Colbeck, we're out of time.
Yeah.
So thank you very much [01:26:00] for your testimony. We also appreciate the slide deck that
you presented. And if you are willing, would you please distribute it that to the members of this
panel? And I'm sure Mayor Giuliani would like to have it as well.
I will leave a comment for everyone. Any questions for this gentleman here or would you like to
move on to north? We can move on to. All right. Thank you very much. Senator North, would
you please come up to the witness stand?
I [01:26:30] guess at the table, not a stand, I was just corrected, the witness said.
Thank you for coming in. Thank you for having me.
Would you please give your name and Mayor closure's my name is Anna and I'm a resident and
registered voter in Pima County. I [01:27:00] volunteered as a poll observer .
Again, my name is Anna and I'm a resident and registered voter in Pima County. I volunteered
as a poll observer on October 16th, and then I signed up to work as a poll worker on November
3rd in a neighboring precinct.
Would [01:27:30] you like me to just give you an overview? Is that. Yes, please do.
Ok, well, I. I wrote in because I was aware of some irregularities that happened while I was a
poll observer and some different activity that I just felt uncomfortable with on Election Day. So
I'll go ahead and start with what happened on the [01:28:00] day that I was an observer. I was
certified prior to that to be able to watch the two people that would be correcting the the
problematic ballots, which I guess are called they were duplicates.
When I walked into the room, they said, I'm sorry, you're not you can't be in here. You're
[01:28:30] going to go into the another room. So I had to walk back to the front desk. I was
escorted from from that area back to this to one area where the ballots were being separated
from their envelope. And I I was there were 30 to 32 people doing this and there were probably
14 to 17 tables that where [01:29:00] they are sent to people. And it was supposed to be a
Democrat and a Republican. But not every table had a Democrat, but not every table had a
Republican. So many of those tables had either a libertarian or some. There was one table with
someone from the Green Party and then there were three or four tables that had a Pima
County worker at the at each of those tables. And they worked there at the elections office
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[01:29:30] because when people came in from the building, they talked to them. And their
conversations led me to believe things like, oh, did you leave your lunch? Did you bring lunch?
And they said, no, it's over at in my office. I'm going to go get it later. And she was back in five
minutes. So similar situation, conversations that went on with people who came in, with those
with those workers.
I found it difficult for me to be able [01:30:00] to oversee 32 people and what they were doing.
I was able to catch a few of the things that were mistakes or where ballots were just they were
taking them out of the envelopes and putting them on in a pile. And their job in this particular
building room was to watch, to make sure that the ballots were in [01:30:30] one direction and
then they would double check the count of the ballot to the envelope due to, I imagine, to
check it against the envelopes that came in.
Each table was given a bin to put these in, and these bins would then go to another area where
they were being stacked up to be tabulated starting on October 22nd. [01:31:00] Many of these
had mistakes or they were written in pencil. And the workers as I went around had questions.
You know, is this a good ballot? Is this not I was told by the gentleman that ushered me out of
the place where I was supposed to be and said, you aren't to talk to anyone. You do not
communicate with them. If you have an issue or you see an issue, you need to go to the
supervisor, which is at the front of the table [01:31:30] that burned the room. So as I saw
things, as I went around to each table, I would go to the supervisor and I let her know.
You know, they don't know what to do with this this ballot pencil or whatever, and she'd say,
no, it's fine, it's fine.
So as I went back to the tables where I saw these issues under my breath, I said, you need to go
tell her, you need to go talk to them about this. And so [01:32:00] many of them said, what do I
do with this ballot? It's in pencil. Oh, it's fine. It'll go through. Or it was some people wrote over
their ballot, over the little oval circle where they were supposed to mark and. Those were put
into a pile, a separate pile that would be called duplicates, those duplicates then went to
another table and were then taken to the room where I had been ushered out of. And there
was one person there [01:32:30] were supposed to be a second person. And I said, is there a
Republican at that table? Because I said, is there a Democrat and a Republican? And he said,
well, we hope so. They have to if they get here, but it'll just be, you know, just be me and
hopefully a second person. So I as I saw these ballots along this area, that was that they marked
as doop, which I understood to stand for duplicates that were going to be fixed. [01:33:00] They
would then be taken to the table, to the room where I could see a glass. It was a glass wall
between us and they were taken around to the other side to be dealt with. I didn't get to see
that at that point. So when I left and the other person took over for me at one o'clock, I was
there for five hours. I shared with her.
I said there's a lot of mistakes that are happening. They're just they're [01:33:30] not putting
them in the order that they need to be in. So when they get folded, they become a duplicate
because they can't be counted. The machine wasn't going to accept them. So it had to be then
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taken out of the pile and put in to a duplicate. So when I left, the man who had ushered me out
of the room, the first room. He came to get me at one o'clock and walked me straight over to
the front desk and he said, I hope everything [01:34:00] went well. And I said, well, my concern
is not necessarily where I was. It was hard for me to watch 32 people by myself. But more
concerning is when these ballots were opened in the other room. And so to give you kind of a
sense of how it worked as the ballots, however they were collected, were brought into an initial
area of the office of the elections in Pima County. And in that room, [01:34:30] they were then
the envelopes were then opened up and the signatures were checked.
So then they would go through a double door where they were then sent to the room that I
was in, where there were as many people as I explained before trying to put them in in order,
not necessarily of where they were from, but how they came in. So just let's just say there were
maybe 200, 250 per box, I'm not sure. But they they came from different [01:35:00] zip codes,
different areas. It was whatever was mailed in. And then those were then put aside to be
counted after the 22nd. It was my concern was the amount of ballots that were considered to
be problematic, that were then leaving the area that I was in, going to a room where there
were only supposed to be two people and yet not even sure there was two people. So that was
my experience as an observer [01:35:30] that I shared. I thought that was concerning. The other
thing is when I came back to drop off my ballot, I had to drop it off outside and there was no
longer a police officer. And we found out that it was because our mayor or not my I live in our
valley.
But the Tucson mayor had asked had wasn't allowing a police officer in front of the office
anymore because it was upsetting to [01:36:00] people to come and vote.
And so I asked the man so might have put my ballot out here and he said, yes. So I said, how
can I be sure someone isn't going to come and take this big box? And he said, no, we're you
know, we're watching it. And I said, Who's you? And it was him and an elderly woman who was
about 85. I don't know. I'm sorry. Meaning that she was she looked fragile and I don't know
how that could be protected, but I was a little concerned about that. It did make it in because
[01:36:30] when I checked my ballot, it was counted. But another question is how how do we
know who we voted for? That's a separate issue. But my point is, is that I don't know if my
ballot actually has the the people that I voted for. And, you know, as I said, that's something
separate from what I experienced there as an observer. I as a poll worker, I was assigned to be
a provisional [01:37:00] ballot clerk, and that was on Election Day. And on that day, I had
worked the primary in August. So I had an idea of who would come by, what the issues were.
But this time we had so many more people who needed a provisional ballot than we had been
allotted to have in this one precinct. So that was concerning. But the people [01:37:30] that
came to me were I had so many people who said I didn't ask for a mail in ballot. My wife isn't
listed as a as an early ballot person, but I am.
And that those are the kind of people that we had a lot of. But secondly, I had people who had
just moved here from other states and most of them were from two apartment [01:38:00]
complexes. It was it was concerning because as we counted them, we probably had over 40
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people who were in one apartment complex with one address who had moved here from other
states that I began to turn away a little. I'd say, I don't know. Within the hour we were so busy
that I took a break and went outside and a gentleman with a yellow shirt said, [01:38:30] hi, I'm
I'm with I'm with the Democratic Party. I'm here from California and I'm here at this precinct
specifically. I came from a Phoenix in Maricopa County, a precinct there. And we're here to help
turn. Arizona blue, and I don't know if we're just looking at me, he decided that he felt safe
saying that to me, maybe he assumed [01:39:00] that I would be OK with that. I was shocked.
And he and I said, oh, so what? He said, oh, I said, so what is what is your plan? What are you
doing? And you said, well, I have lawyers on call to contact immediat ely. If you if they don't
allow them to vote people to vote. And I said, well, there was a cutoff date and he said, no,
every count, every vote should count. So that made me nervous, of course, [01:39:30] because I
didn't know the law specifically and I didn't want to do something.
That would cause a problem, so I thought and he said, oh, I've only had to turn away. Now, just
a couple people were turned away and I was able to help.
One person to go back in. Well, that that was probably sent to me because I was the provisional
ballot [01:40:00] clerk, so of course, that was somebody that I had to take care of. So I went
back in and thought, well, this is unusual. I'm concerned that somebody outside is going to be
calling an attorney on something that I did because I said no. I sent somebody away and said,
I'm sorry. I mean, if you don't have any proof that you've lived here or proof of having
registered, I. I can't I can't give you a ball ot. So [01:40:30] I called the recorder's office and
explained this and she said, well, you have to let them. All votes will count, but it's on a case by
case basis . So at that point then I had to call in to the recorder's office every at every single
ballot. And you have to understand, we ran out of spaces. So, I mean, and we were at like 200.
I'm sure you can check on this, to be sure. But we were over the amount of ballots we had. But
[01:41:00] every time I called the recorder's office, they would ask me for their name and their
their birth date of birt h. And when they would look that up, she the person on the phone would
say, OK, well, you can go ahead and let them vote. And so I was trying to find a constant that I
could go by so that we could speed up the process. I mean, is it is it if they've moved here and
they have this and if they've moved here [01:41:30] in a certain date, what is it? And they
would not give me any consent.
They just said, you just have to call for every case is different. So my concern and why I wrote in
was that I had two people right after having a slew of people who came in from other states
wanting to vote without having been registered and allowed to vote per the recorder's
[01:42:00] office. I then had someone come in from Maricopa County and one from Pinal
County. It just happened right after. And each of them, when I called in, they said, nope, you're
going to have to have them go back to Maricopa County and the other will have to go back to
Pinal. And I said, well, how is that that this person from Wisconsin and this person from
Michigan and this person from Kentucky was able to do that, and she put me on hold for a
second and then came back and said, well, it's just that [01:42:30] we have their records more
accurately than we have for Maric opa. We just can't we don't have we're not able to process
the Maricopa County ballot. So I had to send them away. But then as the other people were
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coming through, it made me question why that was happening. So I. I asked them. Do you have
information that will prove that you are a resident, that I can I [01:43:00] can verify that you are
registered to vote here and they would pull out their card and it very clearly said that they were
Republican. They had a voter card. So to to test this theory out, I called the recorder's office.
And ask them and they were denied, I had to deny them, and so I was in a frenzy trying to
[01:43:30] take care of all of these people, but I found that the discrepancy between every.
Every vote counts, and only those that the recorder's office would allow was indicative.
Of how they chose who they wanted to, allowed to vote, and there was.
Voter preference that they chose and that. Concerned me, because by the end of the night,
which was at eight, 15. After [01:44:30] we counted all of the votes and they got put in the box
and we were waiting for. Someone to come get them. I'm in the car and the.
Outed for Arizona, which I found appalling. [01:45:00] First of all, after working 16 and a half
hours, taking in votes, but. The experience really led me to believe that it was not there should
have been a a system that we could have followed because I understood that registered voters
[01:45:30] ended on a certain date and you couldn't come in and vote. But I was having to allow
people to vote that literally had just moved here within two weeks, three weeks. And they were
all from two different. Not all that, I take it back. There was a large majority, a large percentage
of people who were had addresses from two apartment complexes. And the last thing is that I
had a homeless man who came in with the with the registration [01:46:00] and a reason I know
he's homeless because I said, where do you live? And he said he didn't speak English. And he
said, I don't have a home. But when I was at a shelter, they registered me at the recorder's
office. So when I called about it and they said, well, he was probably registered to be in this
precinct. And I said, but he doesn't live here. And they go, well, it's anybody who was registered
downtown can vote. And so I found that to be odd. And [01:46:30] last week for work, I was on
the other side of town and I saw this gentleman on this side, sun, with his shopping cart.
And I.
I swung into the parking space and called him and just said, hi, can I talk to you? And when he
saw me, she ran off. You know, who knows why? But my my point is, is these are the kind
[01:47:00] of people that that had apparently permission to vote in a precinct that was literally
25 miles away because they had a voting card that was given to them from downtown, that it
was a downtown precinct that allowed him to vote here. So my my point is, is that if somebody
from Pinal County in Maricopa County can't vote, how is it that, in my view in this precinct, how
is it that a homeless man from another area [01:47:30] of the town and also people from other
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state were able to get permission to vote? And that was concerning to me, and that's why I'm
here.
Mister, thank you very much. Mr. Giuliani, do you have any questions specific to this witness?
Sure. Please proceed. Try just just to give you a marker on time. It's 12 or two.
So you were there for 16 and a half hours on Election Day. [01:48:00] Yeah, yes. Wow. And you
were supposed to work with the ballots that were being that were being examined.
I was working with the voters, the ballots of voters who were not able to walk into the precinct
to vote normally on a ballots. So some of them came to me saying it says that I got an early
ballot.
And I never got it. Others [01:48:30] said it says it doesn't even say that I'm on their.
It says that I've already voted or I'm not allowed to vote here. Those are the kind of. So these
were ballots that had difficulties. Yes. And there were 20 or 30 to 35 people that were looking
at those ballots that you had to observe. No, that was OK. I know. And I just described to you
my experience as a poll worker on Election Day. Those 30 people that we mentioned earlier
were. [01:49:00] But were when I was a poll observer on the 16th of October.
Or at the elections office in your county and you were unable to see what they were doing.
It half the size of this banquet room, and I was an observer [01:49:30] watching.
And as far away as we are, I could walk behind them, I could walk behind them, but I couldn't
walk behind 35 people at the same time. And what were they doing? They were taking them
out of the envelope. They had already been they had been brought in from the recorder's office
where that where the ballot had been opened, the envelope had been opened. And according
to [01:50:00] what I was told, the signature had already been checked in another room.
No, I didn't get to see that they would take these out. And they what? Did you ask to see it?
Yes. And I was not allowed. Yes.
So they said and I wasn't allowed to talk to anybody. But I as I said before, I could talk to the
supervisor, these people who sat in each of these tables who [01:50:30] were representative of.
Mostly one party with Democrat Party, and they would take them out of the envelope and then
put them in a pile and then separate the on the inside envelope in Arizona. We have an
outsider both in the inside and then the ballot. Right. Right. So the ballot was then collected
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from the bin. So each table would get in a bin and they would separate [01:51:00] them, put
the ballots in in a pile, put the envelopes in a rubber band, put them to the side, and then mark
that they had so.
And they would separate [01:51:30] those, take the duplicates, mark them, put them at a table
which which were then taken to the original room where I had been ushered out of, not that I
was not to put them in a room that you were excluded from the exam and. The signatures, yes,
no, they started examining the signatures, then removed to this. Through and then from this
room, they were then piled to then tabulator examination of the signatures.
No, [01:52:00] not in this room. The only room there was nothing you observed no examination
of signatures. And they refused to let you do that.
Right. I was only allowed to watch these people put these in piles. So when I was not sure.
So how many how many ballots do you think? Just a rough estimate. How many ballots? 1100. I
2000.
I would say each box had between 200 and 250 ballots. And I was there for five hours. And
during that time that I was there, each table went [01:52:30] through six to seven to eight,
depending on how fast they were and how many mistakes they made, because many times the
ballots were clipped, were straight and they had to recount them.
All right. Well, let's see. Two hundred and fifty times eight. Somebody who's not nervous,
maybe you can say 2000. That's per table. And there were about 16 to 17 tables of two people
doing [01:53:00] this at the same time.
So. So as I best understand this, there were 2000 ballots on 17 tables. Yes. That you or anyone
else might know have got you got a chance? No Republican got a chance to observe that, as far
as you know.
I didn't at one time, so a gal took over for me at one o'clock when I left and I told her I'm
exhausted. I [01:53:30] don't know how you can watch all 17, but stand behind one of the
tables and you'll see that this particular table keeps folding them.
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And tearing them and once that happens, it has to become a duplicate. And when this becomes
a duplicate. It goes to that table and it goes to the room where we don't get to see what
happens to that. So. You can't talk to them, but you can do this and tell them, look, that's that's
that's Foldit or that's crooked or. [01:54:00]
And I said, if you see one again that has pencil on it, the supervisor is saying, yes. She told me
specifically that it could go through. I mean, told me that it it couldn't, but told them that it
could. So I said there's some discrepancy in what she's telling me and what she's telling the. So,
you know, just do your best to try to keep an eye on this particular cable is doing this. That
particular cable when I [01:54:30] walk by is. Doing that, that one over there has a Pima County
worker on it and she works here with them. And there's no Republican at that table, so it's it's
it's very concerning and and so when I was ushered out, they came specifically.
Twice to me and said, please don't talk to anybody and. You cannot live on your own, make
sure that [01:55:00] when it's time, what time you have to leave so we can walk you out when
they walk me out, the gentleman said, I hope everything went well.
And I said, well, I'm concerned because here they were. You know that my only concern is the
handling of the ballots, which makes them ineligible to go through the machine correctly. But
it's the room before me and the room after me that it's a concern I don't get to see.
Let me just let me ask you about that. So certain number of ballots were now put aside as
duplicates. [01:55:30] Yes. Duplicates means that they had a problem. Yes. That they have to be
duplicated. Right. So, I mean, there were two ballots, right? That's duplicates can sound like
two ballot. What I meant was there's something wrong with it and therefore we may have to
duplicate. Yes. And that's the room that I was originally. And they were put aside, put aside.
They were brought into another room and two people. You were not allowed to go in? No, I
was not allowed to go back there. So you you were cut off from that also? Yes, [01:56:00] I was.
We were cut off from observing the problem ballots.
Yes. I was specifically taken out of that room, ushered out and brought into this room, which
really was just the room, as I explained. And how many how many could you estimate that is on
each table would have an average of six. I would say maybe one sixteenth.
The [01:56:30] pile, so, you know, let's say an average of maybe 10 to 20 gallons, but by the
time I left, there were these bins were filled. They would fill them, they would go correct them
or whatever it is that they did and brought them back.
Best estimate, I would say my guess would be close to in the time, the day that I was there, just
five hours, maybe 2000 ballots, OK? Yes. [01:57:00]
And you had a sense. That when there was problems with ballots or.
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Whether someone should vote or not, the choices that were being made were to allow people
that appear to be voting for Biden and the Democrats to vote and declining those who
appeared to be people [01:57:30] who might be voting for Trump.
Well, the Republicans well, yes, I began to get that sense after I saw that people from other
states who weren't even registered in the state of Arizona were being allowed to to vote. I was
given direction that I had to give them a provisional ballot because as they walked out, there
was a gentleman out there who told me he was specifically there to make sure that every vote
[01:58:00] voter who wanted to vote could vote. And so that was on Election Day, though, Mr.
Giuliani. That's not on the observatory, the data on it and on that day that that happened. And
then when I would get a voter who was from another county and had some indication
sometimes they had a shirt that either said Trump on it or they they [01:58:30] showed me
their voter card and and said, I you know, they gave me some indication that they were a
Trump voter.
And I had to call on them like I did for every single person that came in to the recorder's office.
And I was told to send them away. And so it was at that point that I started to see that there
this isn't this isn't this can't be right. This can't be right. [01:59:00] So I tested this in and out.
And then especially as you recognize that, yeah, and so when I said they all you all live at this
apartment complex and you all live at this other one. And and they said, well, yeah, we have to,
you know, we're all coming in to vote. And so I said, well, are you ready? How long have you
lived here this year? The precinct here? Well, I've lived here. I've lived there. And they still were
allowed to vote, many of them.
Were [01:59:30] not residents for more than a month, other people said they were registered
in another state, but that they were here.
And and then, as I said, I think that the nail in the coffin for me was when this poor little old
homeless man and I speak Spanish. So I spoke to him and said, you know, how are you here?
And he said, I was told to come vote. I want to vote. And I said, OK, well, you know, do you
wear.
Do [02:00:00] you live and he goes, well, I lived in a shelter downtown. Well, downtown is 15
miles from where I live, so I'm sure that's not his precinct. He should be voting.
Roughly, I would say easily, just in the five hours that I was there on one specific day, and that
was on a Friday. They were going to be counted. They were being collected to be tabulated.
Last question. The gentleman who said he was there [02:00:30] to turn Arizona blue.
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He had he had a sign of specter of some kind. No, he was an observer, a poll observer that was
from California, from L.A. and in and on a break, I walked out there and and I said hello and just
walking. And he said hi. And I said, What are you doing? And he said, Well, I'm a poll observer
for the Democratic Party [02:01:00] and I'm here. I said, Oh, is he? Because the weather is hot
here. It's not as hot as it is at home. And I said, well, where are you from? And he said, I'm from
California. And he said, what do you do here?
And he said, Well, I'm here specifically to help turn this precinct blue.
But this is one of our problem ones, and I said, oh, and as I said to the panel over here, I don't
know why he felt comfortable telling me that, but he said, I [02:01:30] and I said, you came all
the way from L.A. because no, actually, my precinct in Maricopa, where it was another one that
we were we're focusing on and now I'm here.
What was he doing? Was he campaigning with you, encouraging people to vote for for Biden?
What was the what activities did he take part in to turn Arizona?
Well, as I understood, because I was inside working his job [02:02:00] was to make sure that
anybody who was turned away to vote, that he would have people he could call attorneys, in
his words, because I I have a couple of attorneys that I'm connected to right now that if
anybody is not allowed to vote, I can make sure that they're represented. And so anybody who
was not allowed to go in that polling place, I was the one that they would be talking to.
So, of course, that [02:02:30] was that was somewhat directed at me, since I'm the one who
would say, no, you can't vote. So I don't know what else he was doing. But he said there was a
group of them that were coming and they said there some time after you began doing that, he
was there.
Well, we started at five o'clock in the morning just getting ready. So when I went out for my
first break, I was maybe around 10 o'clock and he had been there and they were they I
[02:03:00] I'm sorry. I don't remember what he had on his shirt, but they were they were very
clear that they were they had T-shirts. They said that they match another person came in to
take over for him and it was a yellow shirt with something written on the front.
Right. Well, thank you very much for your service and courage to testify. I just make one point,
Mr. Chairman, of her testimony alone. And I see no reason why she isn't telling the truth.
[02:03:30] By the way, she is under oath in the sense that she submitted an affidavit under
penalty of perjury to what she just testified to. Thank you, sir. That 34000 vote on unobserved
change in election is not just any one witness.
Sir, thank you very much. Thank you, members. I know, I know everybody wants to ask a
question. We need. Well, [02:04:00] everybody has one. It is now 12, 15. I expect this hearing at
the rate that we're going, we will be here until late into the night. Please be brief with your
question, and I would appreciate it if there's no follow ups just so that we can have a lunch
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break and kind of set the expectation for the folks who are here and get back at it and we'll try
to make. The witnesses focus a little bit more. All right, thank you, Mr. Mayor.
Leo Suchi, [02:04:30] I'm sorry, Representative Suchi, your first and Mr. Birling.
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you for being here. Just a quick question about the voters that
you said were coming in that were from. At a town or they just move there, whatever their
reasoning was, did they have an Arizona?
With an address or anything to show you where they on the voter rolls or these, they were not
on the voter rolls, they had out-of-state driver's licenses. I don't know why, but. Have
[02:05:00] a either an electric bill or not.
Or some kind of a build that they showed me on their phone, showed me that they lived in this
particular precinct with that I would call the the recorder's office and you would verify through
them that they were indeed legal to vote. Right. And so then when I said, well, when did you
move here? Well, I moved here on such and such a date. But you had to have registered, I
think, in Arizona [02:05:30] by the 15th and then it was extended to the 22nd or the twenty or
so it was. It was just questionable that they were still allowed to vote. But I had a longtime
voter who wasn't allowed, who wasn't from another precinct, and yet someone could vote
from another state. Perfect.
Thank you, Senator Birling. Yes, sir. Thank you, ma'am. When the votes that needed to be
duplicated, the ones that need to be corrected, when they went to the end of the room, did
you notice anybody in there that was actually overseeing [02:06:00] that correction, a
Republican or a Democrat?
No. As I mentioned before, that's the first room I went into. And he explained to me that he this
is the room where that would happen, but that I was not allowed to be in there.
When you were in there before they sent you somewhere else, did you see a Republican and a
Democrat observed he was only one. You know how he was registered. Do you know if he's
registered Republican or Democrat?
But that would be the bottom line is we'd [02:06:30] appreciate no speculation. Thank you very
much. It's a violation of the law anyway, because you're supposed to have both. Well, thank
you. All right, members, one question and then we're going to break for lunch, Representative
Townsend.
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I just have a really quick question. We had our county recorder
in Maricopa County instruct voters to cross out mistakes on their ballots for the November
election. And we later had a judge say no, that was likely breaking the law. You can't do that.
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We've [02:07:00] also heard from adjudicators saying that they had seen a full Republican
ballot, but all the way down, but that President Trump's name was crossed out and. The other
candidates was circled in, is it possible, in your opinion, in that other room that you weren't
allowed to be in when there wasn't a second person watching the.
The adjudication. Were there pens allowed, were there were they would someone be able to
cross [02:07:30] out one candidate and vote for someone else?
Well, again, I wasn't in their. Or to be able to say this accurately, but there's only, you know,
can make an assumption if. If a room requires two people in an observer that a person by
themselves. It's possible of course, it's possible that that's what happened, but those are the
kind of ballots that I'd see that because [02:08:00] I was able to see the.
As it came through in this room, there was they were either all for.
Gop or all for the Democratic Party, but one of the president, little Oval, had been marked off
or no crossed, which makes it a problematic ballot [02:08:30] so that.
That would have to go into the other room that you're asking me about, and again, I wasn't in
there to be able to speak accurately about what this person could or could have done or didn't
do. And that, to me was the big problem in this whole issue. I I'm useless to be able to watch
people just putting them in order. I should have had an observer watching.
Ok, thank you. All right. Sir, thank you very much for your [02:09:00] testimony. Ladies and
gentlemen, here's how we're going to manage the lunch break as you leave. Please wait a
minute before you walk out the door or you won't get back in as you're walking out the door,
you'll be given an ar mband. And in order to come back in, you'll have to show that armband we
are going to break. It's now 12, 22. We will be back here at one o'clock. It's going to be a short
break. Thank you.
All [02:10:00] right, welcome, everybody. Again, this is live, as well as with Blake with Bright
Side Broadcasting [02:10:30] Network. We are live on the ground here in Phoenix, Arizona,
where Team Trump is doing their legal hearing regarding election irregularities in the state of
Arizona. We've heard from three witnesses already, and it looks like we're going to be going
late into the night. So we will be taking a lunch break and reconvening at 1:00. So don't go
anywhere. We'll bring you the live coverage right back. But. Before we go anywhere, we have a
couple things we just like to point out from what we've heard [02:11:00] already today. And I
think our partners over at my pillow, we know that getting a restful night's sleep is crucial to
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From ultra plush towels, dog beds, mattress toppers and keys. The dream sheets and so much
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more, including one of their biggest savings so far, which is the regular my pillows valued at
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[02:12:00] Arizpe and at checkout you can get up to 66 percent off your entire order. This is the
perfect time to support a conservative company right before the holidays go out and get your
shopping done. Now, you do not want to wait till it's too late.
That being said, I mean, what what do you. I think so far a lot has happened today, we've heard
a lot of information, there's there's been an awful lot of information presented.
And I think that Mayor Giuliani's remarks at the beginning [02:12:30] about how there's a
narrative out there that the election was the most secure ever. And I think he believe he said,
please don't interrupt that narrative with the truth. And that's really, really what I think. I mean,
I believe that we're in a situation where there's limited media coverage of this event, and it's
not because of the information being provided isn't newsworthy. It's not because there aren't
facts here that are being discovered or being given to the lawmakers of Arizona for
consideration.
It's because they're [02:13:00] exactly other networks are perhaps just not feeling that there's a
story here. And in fact, this would be the largest political. Story of this century and even last
century, I mean, it's a scandal of immense proportions. If, in fact, voter fraud can be proven,
they're not even looking for it, and I think that's that's disturbing, not in the slightest.
And we've been to Phoenix a lot. We know Fox five, [02:13:30] Phoenix is had all the rallies and
I thought that we'd at least see them here today. But like you said, they don't even care.
I mean, not even enough to give an ounce of oxygen to breathe on their nightly news routine.
So it's it's shocking. It's upsetting, but. We honestly don't need them, what we have around
200000 watching alone on YouTube, so thank you to everyone. For tuning in, this should not be
a polarizing topic, I think people on both sides of the [02:14:00] spectrum right now should be
worried about election integrity hearing these. Witnesses, factually, it just doesn't make sense,
Dominion Software is in Smartmatic.
Software Systems Huge, which is owned by Hugo Chavez and has been raised in so many
corrupt Central and South American countries like Venezuela, I mean, that alone should tell you
that's not something that we want to be utilizing here in the United States when it is our
[02:14:30] election integrity, the presidential election of the United States.
Yes, and both the army colonel and the former senator from Michigan presented pretty clear
evidence that these servers were connected to the Internet, that they weren't air gap, they
were not just, you know, not immune from tampering by some form of malicious actor who
went on to gain access to those totals. So saying that it's the most secure election ever. I think
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[02:15:00] that's been completely blown out of the water today. I think there's just no way that
anybody can look at the. Data and look at the information and and hold that to be true, I think
that that story should be dead in the water at this point.
Yeah. With having the Ethernet cord connected to. The server, this does allow for Internet
access and in turn it allows for communication.
Between these servers to the black, what do they call the [02:15:30] black box? No, no, no.
Dark deep web. Deep web. I mean, anyone anyone like he said, any hackers can get on and
change this, so. Quote, I want to take away from that is that your Venmo account is more
secure than your 2020 vote, and that is what a information warfare specialist said today.
Absolutely. I believe that, you know the compact. Flash cards that they are using to transfer
[02:16:00] votes and just really it's really I don't. But just the fact that some of the media
service run on Windows 10 alone is enough for me to speak. Really give pause to it, I mean, the
fact that these things are so easily manipulated. By operators and then even one one operator
with the correct permissions at a remote workstation through the network, as these machines
are designed to work, has the ability to change totals, [02:16:30] is completely off putting. You
know, Janet Ellis had a great quote, too. And that's that was that. We're not asking you to
overturn an election. We're asking you to ensure that corruption does not stand. And I think
that's the core of what all of these hearings are about, to educate the American public that.
This is the election took place, the results are there, but the results that we're looking at are
fraudulent, are are at the very least beset by [02:17:00] the allegations and the possibility of
fraud and the fingerprints of fraud. It's it's completely there and what she's tasking the
lawmakers is to do is basically admit that you're not overturning an election, you're taking back
your constitutional authority as a member of your state legislature to appoint the electors that
you feel are appropriate for your state.
Thank you. And we are about to wrap it up here. Great commentary, Blake. But [02:17:30] to
wrap it up here, we need to clear this room. But we do want to remind you guys that Rightside
Broadcasting Network is almost entirely viewer funded, meaning we rely on your donations to
go from rally to rally, hearing and hearing and to cover the White House and the march for
Trump, which is currently going on today. So it's a bus tour covering twenty three cities in two
weeks and we cover all of that. There's a lot going on right now. We're providing as much
content as possible. So if you've enjoyed seeing a little bit of different avenues. Here at our
then [02:18:00] keep those donations coming and we'll keep providing you some of the
greatest coverage that we possibly can. There's a number of ways you can support us. The first
one is by clicking that dollar sign in the bottom right hand corner of the YouTube Supachai. And
the second way is via our website, whether you donate or not. Check out our website. That's W
w w darris B network dot com forehead's donate the third way by sending a check and we love
to read these letters that come with the checks and that is send those to our SBN at fifty and
[02:18:30] 50. Opelika Road Suite six box three four for Auburn, Alabama, three six eight three
zero moderators. Thank you for being here today and drop those addresses down below. We
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are going to hop out of here for exactly thirty minutes and we will be right back. So don't go
anywhere. This is the stream you want to stay on.
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EXHIBIT 7
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
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PHIL WALDRON
PROFILE
Proven senior leader, with specific expertise in the federal operations, I conduct business development and
strategic planning to achieve annual revenue goals in a tremendously complex, highly regulated, and rapidly
changing field. I have a unique background with extensive industry experience enabling identification of business
opportunities from a customer’s perspective. I drive access through contracting, system-based electronic systems
integration. I work with matrixed teams to identify shared business goals and focus capabilities and resources on
specific business needs. I develop and build relationships with key internal and external decision-makers,
including executives and Key Opinion Leaders to expand the level and scope of my influence to develop
business-to-business opportunities. I have a proven track record of results-focused leadership and team building. I
have a current Military Retiree Identification and retain a Top Secret Clearance.
EXPERIENCE
COLONEL, UNITED STATES ARMY (Retired)
As a senior officer in the US Army Reserve, I was responsible for planning, coordinating, budgeting and
executing Unconventional Warfare, Strategic Communications, Strategic Influence Operations, and Psychological
Operations. I enabled decision-making for senior civilian and military officials at the Under-Secretary and Four-
Star level. I gained extensive global operational experience working with a wide range of highly matrixed Inter-
Agency Teams on problem solving and course of action development. I also worked with coalition, host-nation,
and tribal faction leadership to build ad-hoc organizations to enhance US and Allied Strategic Objectives. I was
specifically trained in Key Leader Engagement, Negotiation, and Cultural Adaptation, and worked alone or in
small indigenous teams to engage with influential personalities. I developed skills in analyzing all-source
intelligence to identify opportunities, develop unique concepts for operational execution, and produce negotiated
agreements.
FEDERAL ACCOUNT DIRECTOR, PFIZER INC, Aug 2018 to May 2019: (Retired)
• Responsible for Market Access, Pricing and Contracting initiatives in the Federal Business Channels:
Dept. of Defense (DoD), Dept. of Veteran’s Affairs (VA) and the Medicare Administrative Contractors
(MACs)
• Work directly with senior leaders at VA PBM as well as the Defense Health Agency and Defense Logistics
Agency to ensure formulary access for the BioSim Portfolio through value modeling and contracting.
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• Served as a member of the Pfizer Colleague Council for the Veterans In Pfizer and the Veteran Recruiting
Lead for Global Diversity and Inclusion Initiative
EDUCATION
• BS in Biomedical Science, Texas A&M University – Graduate 1986. Distinguished Military Graduate
• US Army Command and General Staff College, ILE, Graduate 2008
• US Army Information Operations Course, US Army Command and General Staff College, Honor Graduate
2008
• Masters of Business Administration, Jack Welch Management Institute, Strayer University – Graduate
2014
• Specific information on other DoD Training and Certifications available as required
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EXHIBIT 8
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
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1
2
3
4
5
6 UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
7 DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
8 Tyler Bowyer; Michael John Burke; Nancy Cottle; No. CV-20-02321-PHX-DJH
Jake Hoffman; Anthony Kern; Christopher M.
9 King; James R. Lamon; Sam Moorhead; Robert
Montgomery; Loraine Pellegrino; Greg Safsten; EXPERT REPORT OF
10 Salvatore Luke Scarmardo; Kelli Ward; and PROFESSOR GARY KING
11 Michael Ward,
12 Plaintiffs,
13 v.
16 Defendants.
17
MARICOPA COUNTY BOARD OF
18 SUPERVISORS; and ADRIAN FONTES, in his
official capacity as Maricopa County Recorder,
19
Intervenors.
20
21
22 Pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 1746, I hereby verify that the following statements are
23 true and correct to the best of my knowledge:
24 Report of Gary King
25 In this report, I evaluate evidence described and conclusions drawn in several Exhibits in this
26 case offered by the Plaintiffs. I conclude that the evidence is insufficient to support conclusions
about election fraud. Throughout, the authors break the chain of evidence repeatedly – from the
27 2020 election, to the data analyzed, to the quantitative results presented, to the conclusions
28 drawn – and as such cannot be relied on. In addition, the Exhibits make many crucial
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1 assumptions without justification, discussion, or even recognition – each of which can lead to
substantial bias, which was unrecognized and uncorrected. The data analytic and statistical
2
procedures used in the Exhibits for data providence, data analysis, replication information, and
3 statistical analysis all violate professional standards and should be disregarded.
4 Exhibit 2: “An Analysis of Surveys Regarding Absentee Ballots Across Several States” by
5 William M. Briggs
6 1. Summary: The conclusions of this Exhibit are not supported by the evidence provided.
The lack of crucial information provided about the survey violates professional
7
standards in this field and is insufficient to support the stated conclusions.
8 2. Proper survey research requires precise details about all of the following (among
others), none of which appear in the Exhibit:
9 a. A probability sample, which normally involves (a) an enumerated list of all
10 members of the target population of interest and (b) a known random mechanism
of selecting members of the population to be interviewed. (For example, we
11 could have a list of all voters and sample selection conducted by random lottery,
12 where each voter has an equal probability of selection.)
b. Detailed information about the entire chain of evidence from the election we are
13 studying to the quantitative information in the dataset to be analyzed to the
14 numerical results.
c. The response rate, including precisely how this rate was computed, and precise
15 information about how those who responded to the survey differed from those
16 who refused (which indicates how representative the survey respondents are and
whether adjustments need to be made during statistical analysis).
17 d. Carefully worded and validated survey questions. Surveys are well known to be
18 highly sensitive to the specific questions asked (for example, using the word
“baby” in a question about “attitudes toward abortion rights” can completely
19 change respondent answers) and so best practices in the field requires pretesting,
20 cognitive debriefing, and clear, measurable validation. Without these steps, we
cannot know whether the answer a respondent gives reflects the specific views
21 we seek to measure.
22 e. Detailed information about survey response biases. Retrospective surveys, such
as this, are well known to have substantial biases which must be studied, known,
23 and corrected. This retrospective survey, in particular, was conducted while the
24 President was claiming election fraud, and so we need to know whether
supporters and opponents of the President responded to this survey ways that
25 might bias the results toward their favored positions. Even in elections without
26 this behavior, retrospective studies are well known to give incorrect answers to
who each respondent voted for and whether they turned out to vote in the first
27 place. (For one of many examples, more survey respondents typically report
28 having voted than there were voters.) These and other types of biases can be
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1 large, but correcting them is impossible if – as in the present Exhibit – they are
not measured and reported, and proper statistical techniques are not used.
2
f. Statistical analysis methods must be developed to adjust for all the information
3 in items a-e. Applying simple means or counts to the data without adapting
them to all of the above – as was done in the Exhibit – can yield highly
4
misleading results.
5 g. Complete information must be provided about how the data was analyzed. The
standard of information reporting (now used widely in the academic literature) is
6
that it must be sufficiently detailed so that a third party would be able to
7 replicate the results in the Exhibit without talking to the original author. See
Gary King. 1995. “Replication, Replication.” PS: Political Science and Politics,
8
28, Pp. 444-452. Copy at https://j.mp/2oSOXJL.
9 3. The following two sentences is a summary of the information Exhibit 2 provides about
its sampling procedures: “Survey data was collected from individuals in several states,
10
sampling those who the states listed as not returning absentee ballots. The data was
11 provided by Matt Braynard.”
a. None of the terms in this sentence are defined. We do not know what “survey
12 data was collected”, who collected it, how it was collected, etc. The Exhibit
13 does not say which “individuals” were surveyed or who was approached to
answer a survey question. The terms “several states” is not defined. Where we
14 can find “those who the states listed” is not reported.
15 b. Thus, this Exhibit excludes information necessary for making valid scientific
inferences and drawing accurate conclusions. The Exhibit itself violates
16 academic standards, and cannot be relied on for the purposes claimed.
17 4. Exhibit 2A reports several undocumented and unexplained numerical tables apparently
from the survey. If this is correct, the first table indicates that the survey researcher
18 attempted to interview 81,704 people of which 684 completed the survey (“1-
19 Completed Survey”), for a response rate of 0.008 (8 tenths of one percent), far below
any professional standard for a modern survey.
20 5. The Exhibit does not measure or discuss how representative these 684 people are of the
21 target population and how the broader group was selected, and likely biases are not
addressed, corrected, quantified, or even noted.
22 6. To provide more information about the inadequacy of this report, I also list a few more
23 specific examples from the report indicating undefined procedures, unprofessional
methods, and unjustified analyses:
24 a. The Exhibit indicates that “The survey asked respondents whether they (a) had
25 ever requested an absentee ballot”. Unfortunately, the precise survey question
was withheld, which is sufficient to reject any conclusions based on this
26 question, but if we take the phrase literally it means a respondent could answer
27 yes if they requested an absentee ballot in any election, including those prior to
the 2020 Presidential election, which is obviously irrelevant to the present case.
28
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1 b. The Exhibit reads: “If so, (b) whether they had in fact returned the ballot”. The
Exhibit needs to provide evidence that the respondent is interpreting the word
2
“returned” in the same way as the Exhibit, which itself is not precisely defined.
3 Does it mean mailed, dropped off, received, counted, or something else?
Apparently small issues like this can greatly bias statistical conclusions if not
4
known and adjusted.
5 c. The Exhibit says “I produce predictions…” but does not indicate how these
predictions were made. No information is provided and so the claimed “errors”
6
have no relevance for drawing conclusions, since they could easily be errors in
7 the authors’ predictions, computed with secretive procedures.
d. Almost regardless of how the predictions were produced from survey data, it is
8
inconceivable that the author could reliably estimate what the Exhibit calls
9 “Error #1, those who were recorded as receiving absentee ballots without
requesting them” or “Error #2, those who returned absentee ballots but whose
10
votes went missing”. Methods do not exist that can do this without knowing
11 considerably more than the Exhibit provided.
e. “The size of the errors were large” – No metrics were provided for the errors
12 and so “large” is undefined.
13 f. The report also apparently references data about official records, such as the
number of absentee ballots and the number returned. The report does not give
14 the origin for this information. The chain of evidence for this information (just
15 as with the survey) must be made available. With any break in the chain – and
the links in the Exhibit are mostly missing – no reliable conclusions can be
16 drawn from the data.
17 g. The report fails to explain how the quantitative tables that appear in the body of
the report were constructed. As such, they cannot be interpreted and no reliable
18 conclusions can be drawn from them.
19 h. The report fails to provide information about how the figures in the Appendix
were constructed. As such, no conclusions can be drawn from them.
20
21 Exhibit 4: Declaration of [redacted]
22 1. Summary: The statistical methods used in this Exhibit do not represent best practice in
current scholarship and can easily induce bias. The methods themselves are used
23 incorrectly. No data is provided. Crucial information about how the analysis was
24 performed was withheld. The conclusions in this Exhibit are not supported by the
evidence provided.
25 2. The two statistical methods in this Exhibit are well known to be suboptimal and to
26 induce bias in conclusions. Neither should be used for the task at hand.
○ The Exhibit is correct in claiming that the statistical analysis method in Item 7
27 (known as “CHAID”) does not make modeling assumptions, but CHAID does
28 make a host of other assumptions that are not defended, discussed, or even
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1 listed; each can bias conclusions. For this reason, statisticians and data scientists
mostly do not use CHAID any longer and have turned to more modern
2
approaches.
3 ■ The Exhibit provides no information about how this method was used,
what assumptions were made, what the results look like, or how the
4
results from the method generated its conclusions.
5 ○ Matching is a popular method of statistical analysis, but current scholarship has
shown that “propensity score matching” should not be used. This point was first
6
described in this peer reviewed scholarly article: Gary King and Richard
7 Nielsen. 2019. “Why Propensity Scores Should Not Be Used for Matching.”
Political Analysis, 27, 4. Copy at https://j.mp/2oTKhnd.
8
■ The Exhibit clearly violates best practices even in the use of this
9 suboptimal method. It includes no diagnosis of whether the chosen
propensity score model accomplished its narrow goal of reducing
10 covariate balance. Often propensity scores makes imbalance worse,
11 hence increasing bias relative to not using it at all, and so this checking is
an essential step, without which no conclusions can be trusted.
12 ■ The Exhibit also violates best practices by not providing any sensitivity
13 analyses with alternative variables or alternative matching methods.
3. The Exhibit misrepresents the statistical concept of “p-values”. No analysis described
14 here can produce results that are a “statistical impossibility”. Even “improbable” results
15 are not “impossible”: In other words, in the US voters are allowed to vote however they
wish. Voters are sometimes predictable, but sometimes not. And even when they are
16 predictable by some methods on average, individuals go their own way and vote on
17 whatever basis they choose.
4. Item 10: the colors described in this Exhibit – for example, delineating which areas are
18 used by Dominion voting machines – do not appear, as the report was scanned in black
19 and white. This means that the central evidence claimed in this Exhibit does not appear
in the Exhibit and cannot be regarded as admissible evidence in this case.
20 5. Item 16: This Exhibit misleadingly cherry picks only the upper bound of a 95%
21 confidence interval without also mentioning the lower bound, which even under the
Exhibit’s assumptions are equally likely. In addition, even if the Exhibit’s logic were
22 correct, we would expect to see results outside the upper and lower bounds in 5% of
23 elections like this one, making claims about “impossibility” incorrect.
6. Item 12: if voters are predictable, as claimed here, then prior voting behavior should be
24 used as a predictor. This is standard practice in decades of scholarly literature, but it
25 was ignored here, hence biasing the conclusions.
○ The data to do this would have been easy to include. Typically, the lagged vote
26 share is the single best predictor of current vote share at the county level.
27 ○ The national correlation at the county level between Trump’s proportion of the
vote in 2016 and 2020 is very high. This is a strong and reliable pattern across
28 centuries of electoral data in thousands of elections; see Jonathan N. Katz, Gary
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17 1. Summary: The conclusions of this Exhibit do not follow from the evidence provided,
even assuming arguendo that the evidence is accurate.
18
2. For example, in Item 7: Just because Republicans outpace Democrats in post-primary
19 registration rates does not, in and of itself, indicate that Trump would win in 2020.
Voters are of course allowed to cast their ballots however they choose, including for
20
candidates of another party if they wish. In fact, “split ticket voting” – where a person
21 votes for different parties for different offices in the same election – has increased in
many areas of the country in this election, as it has at different times throughout
22
American history.
23 3. Item 11: Increases in Democratic votes in one county does not in and of itself indicate
anything nefarious; voters are permitted to vote however they choose. The Exhibit also
24
creates predictions in dubious ways, such as by choosing counties to compare to
25 Maricopa on the basis of an arbitrary margin of votes. These counties may differ from
Maricopa in myriad other ways, none of which are addressed in the Exhibit. The
26
Exhibit’s conclusion that the result is a “virtually impossible number” because the
27 author’s predictions were wrong does not follow from the evidence.
28
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1 an opportunity to consider these materials but, if asked to do so, may offer additional
opinions on these new expert reports if the Court allows them to be considered.
2
3 Qualifications
4 Detailed information about my qualifications, including my bio and cv, can be found at
5 GaryKing.org. My work on this report is pro bono.
6 I am the Albert J. Weatherhead III University Professor at Harvard University -- one of 25 with
Harvard's most distinguished faculty title -- and Director of the Institute for Quantitative Social
7
Science. I develop and apply empirical methods in many areas of social science, focusing on
8 innovations that span the range from statistical theory to practical application. I have published
widely in peer reviewed scholarly journals on elections, voting behavior, statistical analysis
9
methods, political science, and social science.
10
I am an Elected Fellow in 8 honorary societies (National Academy of Sciences, American
11 Statistical Association, American Association for the Advancement of Science, American
12 Academy of Arts and Sciences, Society for Political Methodology, National Academy of Social
Insurance, American Academy of Political and Social Science, and the Guggenheim
13 Foundation) and have won more than 55 prizes and awards for my work. I was elected
14 President of the Society for Political Methodology and Vice President of the American Political
Science Association; have been a member of the Senior Editorial Board at Science, Visiting
15 Fellow at Oxford, and have written more than 175 scholarly journal articles, 20 open source
16 software packages, 15 patents, and 8 books.
17 My publications are widely cited in academic publications across scholarly fields and beyond
18 academia. I was listed as the most cited political scientist of my cohort; among the group of
"political scientists who have made the most important theoretical contributions" to the
19 discipline "from its beginnings in the late-19th century to the present"; and on lists of the most
20 highly cited researchers across the social sciences.
21 I have served on more than 30 editorial, nonprofit, and corporate boards; as founding editor
of The Political Methodologist, and on the governing councils of the American Political
22
Science Association, Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research, Society for
23 Political Methodology, Midwest Political Science Association, Center for the Advanced Study
in the Behavioral Sciences at Stanford, and the Institute for Data, Science, and Society at MIT.
24
25 With my coauthors, I developed the methods used by courts and parties to detect partisan
gerrymandering. My “ecological inference” methods for inferring individual behavior from
26 aggregate data are used in most jurisdictions in applying the Voting Rights Act to detect racial
27 gerrymandering. I have consulted widely about these and other issues for both major political
parties, the courts, and others.
28
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1 I received a Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin-Madison (1984). I then taught at NYU for
three years before moving to Harvard in 1987.
2
3
4
Gary King, 6 December 2020
5
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Curriculum Vitae
Gary King
September 6, 2020
Contact 1 Articles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Education 1 Software . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Positions 1 Patents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Honorary Societies 2 Supreme Court Amici Briefs . . . 26
Prizes, Honors, Awards 2 Companies Founded 27
Research Grants 6 Corporate and Nonprofit Boards 27
Writings 9 Conference Activities 30
Books . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 University Service Activities 31
Contact
Institute for Quantitative Social Science
Harvard University
1737 Cambridge Street
Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138 GaryKing.org
Education
Positions
Albert J. Weatherhead III University Professor, Harvard University, 2009 to the present.
David Florence Professor of Government, Harvard University, 2002 to 2009.
Professor of Government, Department of Government, Harvard University, 1990 to 2002.
John L. Loeb Associate Professor of the Social Sciences, Department of Government,
Harvard University, 1989.
Associate Professor, Department of Government, Harvard University, 1987 to 1989.
Visiting Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Wisconsin,
Madison, Summer 1985.
Assistant Professor, Department of Politics, New York University, September, 1984 to
1987.
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Honorary Societies
Robert H. Durr Award, for “the best paper applying quantitative methods to a substan-
tive problem” at the previous year’s MPSA Conference, for “How to Measure Legislative
District Compactness If You Only Know it When You See it,” with Aaron Kaufman and
Mayya Komisarchik, 2019.
Dartmouth Ventures Entrepreneurship Competition, 2nd place, for Thresher, with Rebecca
Fair, 2015.
Warren E. Miller Award for Meritorious Service to the Social Sciences, Inter-University
Consortium for Political and Social Research, 2015.
Accelerator Award, Harvard University, Office of Technology Development, for “Let Ma-
chines Score so Teachers can Teach,” which became Perusall.com, with Eric Mazur, 2015.
MPSA Kellogg/Notre Dame Award, from the Midwest Political Science Association, for
the best paper in Comparative Politics, 2014, for “Reverse Engineering Chinese Censor-
ship through Randomized Experimentation and Participant Observation,” with Margaret
Roberts and Jennifer Pan.
Statistical Software Award, Society for Political Methodology, 2014, for Amelia II, by
James Honaker, Gary King, and Matthew Blackwell.
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Highly Cited Researcher, and listed in World’s Most Influential Scientific Minds, Thompson-
Reuters, 2014.
Elected Fellow, American Political Science Association, Information Technology & Politics
Section, 2011.
Honorary Doctorate of Humane Letters, State University of New York at New Paltz, 2010.
New Hot Paper, for the most-cited paper in Economics and Business in the last two months
among papers published in the last year, for “Misunderstandings among Experimentalists
and Observationalists about Causal Inference” by Kosuke Imai, Gary King, and Elizabeth
A. Stuart, named by Thomson Reuters’ ScienceWatch, 2009.
Miller-Converse Lecturer, Center for Political Studies, Institute for Social Research, Uni-
versity of Michigan, 2009.
Warren Miller Prize for the best article published in Political Analysis, for “Matching
as Nonparametric Preprocessing for Reducing Model Dependence in Parametric Causal
Inference” by Daniel E. Ho, Kosuke Imai, Gary King, and Elizabeth Stuart, awarded by
the Society for Political Methodology and Oxford University Press in 2008.
Fast Breaking Paper, for the article with the largest percentage increase in citations among
those in the top 1% of total citations across the social sciences in the last two years, for
“Matching as Nonparametric Preprocessing for Reducing Model Dependence in Parametric
Causal Inference” by Daniel E. Ho, Kosuke Imai, Gary King, and Elizabeth Stuart, named
by Thomson Reuters’ ScienceWatch, 2008.
APSA (ITP Section) Best Instructional Political Science Website Award, for Dataverse,
by Gary King, Merce Crosas, and the Dataverse team, 2008.
Elected to the Nominating Committee for the American Association for the Advancement
of Science, Section on Social, Economic, and Political Sciences, 2/20-2007–2/22/2010.
Named in 2006 to ISI’s list of the “most highly cited researchers in the social sciences,”
Thomson Reuters.
The McGraw-Hill Award for the best journal article on law and courts written by a political
scientist and published during the previous calendar year for “The Supreme Court During
Crisis: How War Affects only Non-War Cases” by Lee Epstein, Daniel E. Ho, Gary King,
and Jeffrey A. Segal, 2006.
Law and Society Association Prize, Runner up, to “recognize exceptional scholarship in
the field of sociolegal studies for an article published in the previous two years,” for “The
Supreme Court During Crisis: How War Affects only Non-War Cases” by Lee Epstein,
Daniel E. Ho, Gary King, and Jeffrey A. Segal, 2006.
Best Instructional Innovation in the Social Sciences or Social History, Honorable Mention,
2005 ICPSR Prize, for “Publication, Publication,” by Gary King.
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Pi Sigma Alpha Award, for the best paper delivered at the previous year’s MWPSA Con-
ference, for “The Supreme Court During Crisis: How War Affects only Non-War Cases”
by Lee Epstein, Daniel E. Ho, Gary King, and Jeffrey A. Segal, 2005.
Robert H. Durr Award, for “the best paper applying quantitative methods to a substantive
problem” at the previous year’s MWPSA Conference, for “The Supreme Court During
Crisis: How War Affects only Non-War Cases” by Lee Epstein, Daniel E. Ho, Gary King,
and Jeffrey A. Segal, 2005.
APSA Research Software Award, for The Virtual Data Center, by Micah Altman, Gary
King, and Sidney Verba, 2005.
American Judicature Society Award, Honorable Mention, for the best paper presented at
the previous year’s meetings of the American, Midwest, Northeastern, Southern, South-
west, or Western Political Science Associations, for “The Supreme Court During Crisis:
How War Affects only Non-War Cases” by Lee Epstein, Daniel E. Ho, Gary King, and
Jeffrey A. Segal, 2005.
Listed in American Political Scientists: A Dictionary (2002), giving the “consensus group
of 193 political scientists who have made the most important theoretical contributions” to
the discipline “from its beginnings in the late-19th century to the present”.
ISI Emerging Research Front Article, for authoring an article cited more often in the
fields of Psychiatry and Psychology than any other, October, 2002 (for Gary King, James
Honaker, Anne Joseph, and Kenneth Scheve’s “Analyzing Incomplete Political Science
Data: An Alternative Algorithm for Multiple Imputation,” American Political Science
Review ), Thomson Reuters’ ScienceWatch.
Clifford C. Clogg Memorial Lecturer in Sociology and Statistics, Pennsylvania State Uni-
versity, 2002.
The Gosnell Prize, for the best work in political methodology presented at any political
science conference in the preceding year, for “Improving Quantitative Studies of Interna-
tional Conflict: A Conjecture,” with Nathaniel Beck and Langche Zeng, 1999.
The Okidata Best Research Software Award, for “Clarify: Software for Interpreting and
Presenting Statistical Results,” with Michael Tomz and Jason Wittenberg, 1999, from the
American Political Science Association.
The Okidata Best Research Web Site Award, for the Record of American Democracy
project and the Harvard-MIT Data Center, 1999, from the American Political Science
Association.
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Pi Sigma Alpha Award for the best paper (“A Statistical Model for Multiparty Electoral
Data” with Jonathan Katz) at the previous year’s meetings of the Midwest Political Science
Association, 1998.
The Donald Campbell Award for the “outstanding methodological innovator in public
policy studies,” from the Policy Studies Organization, 1997.
The Gosnell Prize, for the best work in political methodology presented at any political
science conference in the preceding year, for the work published as A Solution to the
Ecological Inference Problem: Reconstructing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data
(Princeton University Press, 1997).
Elected President, Society for Political Methodology, 1997–1999.
Alumnus of the Year, State University of New York at New Paltz Alumni Association,
1997.
The APSA Research Software Award for “EzI: A(n Easy) Program for Ecological Infer-
ence” (with Kenneth Benoit) from the American Political Science Association, Computer
Section, 1997.
State University of New York Alumni Honor Roll (an award created to honor alumni who
demonstrate outstanding professional achievement and significant contributions to higher
education and/or public service), from the Chancellor of the State University of New York,
1997.
The Heinz Eulau Award, for the best article published in the American Political Sci-
ence Review, from the American Political Science Association, for “Enhancing Democracy
Through Legislative Redistricting,” (with Andrew Gelman) Vol. 88, No. 3 (September,
1994): Pp. 541–559.
Elected Vice President, Society for Political Methodology, 1995–1997.
Visiting Fellow, Nuffield College, Oxford University, Summer, 1994.
The APSA Research Software Award for “COUNT: A Program for Estimating Event
Count and Duration Regressions,” from the American Political Science Association, Com-
puter Section, 1994.
The Mills Award, for the “outstanding contributor in the field of public policy under age
35,” from the Policy Studies Organization, 1993.
Pi Sigma Alpha Award for the best paper (“Why Do U.S. Presidential Election Polls Vary
So Much When the Vote is So Predictable?” with Andrew Gelman) at the previous year’s
meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, 1993.
The APSA Research Software Award for “JudgeIt: A Program for Evaluating Electoral
Systems and Redistricting Plans,” (with Andrew Gelman), from the American Political
Science Association, Computer Section, 1992.
Curriculum Development Challenge Award, “Undergraduate Research Participation in Po-
litical Science,” New York University, 1987.
Research Challenge Award, “Public Opinion and Executive Behavior: Toward a New Pres-
idency Research Agenda,” New York University, 1986.
University Fellowship, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1983–84.
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Research Grants
“Preparing Social Science Research Infrastructure for the Potential Inversion of Its Largest
Successes and Failures,” Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, G-2015-14108, with Merce Crosas,
12/31/2015–5/31/2017, ($751,941).
“RAPID: Measuring the Intent of Chinese Leaders through Censorship Behavior,” Na-
tional Science Foundation, SES-1500086, With Jennifer Pan and Margaret Roberts, 3/01/2015–
2/29/2016 ($200,000).
“Causal Inference Methods for Estimating Long Term Health Effects of Air Quality Regu-
lations,” Health Effects Institute/Environmental Protection Agency, 4909-RFA11-1/12-3;
CR-83467701, with Corwin Zigler et al., 5/01/2012–10/31/15, ($1,033,958).
“Statistically Defensible Comparison of Similar but Disparate Tests,” Charles River Ana-
lytics Inc./Department of Defense SC1220801 EVIDENT; FA9550-13-C-0028, 2/15/2013–
11/14/2013, with Wayne Thornton et al. ($75,000).
“Privacy for Social Science Research,” National Science Foundation #CNS-1237235, 10/01/2012–
9/30/2017, with Salil Vadhan, Edoardo Airoldi, Phillip Malone, Latanya Sweeney, ($5,992,707).
“BetterBirth: A Trial of the WHO Safe Childbirth Checklist Program,” Gates Founda-
tion #OPP1017378, 5/12/2011–4/28/2015, with Atul Gawande, Jonathan Spector, Stuart
Lipsitz, Sue Goldie, and Stephen Resch, ($14,149,388).
“Center for Historical Information and Analysis (CHIA),” National Science Foundation
#BCS-1244667, 1/1/13–12/31/2015, with Patrick Manning, ($91,600).
Gary King 7
“Helping Journals to Upgrade Data Publication for Reusable Research,” 2012-3-2, Al-
fred P. Sloan Foundation #219264, 6/1/2012–1/1/2015, with Micah Altman and John
Willinsky ($1,058,994).
Institute for Museum and Library Services, “Simple Verified Distributed Preservation: A
Policy Based Archival Replication System for Libraries, Archives, and Museums using a
Virtual Private LOCKSS,” LG-05-09-0041-09, with Mark Abrahamson, Ken Bollen, and
Nancy McGovern, 10/1/2009–9/30/2012 ($823,016).
Library of Congress, “Extension to the Digital Social Science Acquisitions and Preservation
Partnership,” with Myron Gutmann, Mark Abrahamson, and Ken Bollen, 2009-2010,
($274,832).
Library of Congress, “Extension to the Digital Social Science Acquisitions and Preservation
Partnership,” with Myron Gutmann, Mark Abrahamson, and Ken Bollen, 2007-2009,
($710,000).
Initiative for Innovative Computing, “GenePattern and the Dataverse Network,” with Jill
Mesirov, 9/1/2006–8/31/2008, ($250,000).
Time Sharing Experiments for the Social Sciences, “Priming to Increase the Information
Content in Survey Responses,” with Daniel Hopkins (survey time).
Library of Congress, “The Digital Social Science Acquisitions and Preservation Partner-
ship,” PA#NDP03-1, 9/1/2004-3/30/2010, with Myron Gutmann, Ken Bollen, David
Weakliem, and Louise Richardson ($2,037,595).
Ministry of Health, Mexico, “Evaluation of the System for Social Protection in Health,”
8/1/2004–12/31/2006, ($1,049,981).
Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, “Scholars in Health Policy Research Program,” 9/2003–
8/2007, with Nicholas Christakis and Joe Newhouse ($4,564,391).
Swiss Peace Foundation grant, “International Relations Events Data and Methods Devel-
opment,” 9/2002-8/2003 (two research fellows).
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Robert Wood Johnson Foundation planning grant, “Scholars in Health Policy Research
Program,” 9/2002–8/2003, with Nicholas Christakis, Jennifer Hochschild, and Joe New-
house ($199,967).
National Science Foundation grant, “A Feasible Uniform Standard for Deep Citation of
Social Science Data,” grant SES-0112072, 9/1/2001–8/31/06, with Jim Alt and Micah
Altman ($805,102).
National Institutes of Health, National Institute on Aging grant, “The Global Burden of
Disease in Aging Populations: Adapting Statistical Methods for Public Health Research,”
with Christopher J.L. Murray et al., grant 1 P01 AG17625-01, 9/30/2000–8/31/2005
($8,656,009).
World Health Organization and the National Institutes of Aging grant, “Forecasting Death
by Age, Sex, Cause, and Country,” 1998–2001 ($529,040).
Digital Library Initiative grant (sponsored by the National Science Foundation, Defense
Advanced Research Projects Agency, National Library of Medicine, Library of Congress,
National Endowment for the Humanities, and the National Aeronautics & Space Admin-
istration) for the “Virtual Data Center Project” with Micah Altman and Sidney Verba et
al., grant IIS-9874747, 7/1/1999–6/31/2004 ($2,400,000).
National Science Foundation Grant, Co-PI, “Summer Meetings of the Society for Political
Methodology,” with Charles Franklin, SBR-9905798, ($68,976).
Intel Corporation, “Geospatial Liboratory Project,” with Micah Altman, Susan Lee, Paul
Bergen, David Cobb, Arlene Olivero, Thomas Parris, and William Wei, ($150,000).
ICPSR, Data Documentation Initiative Test, with Micah Altman, Michael McDonald, and
Michael Ting, ($1,750).
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Division of Diabetes Translation), 15 July
1998–14 July 1999, ($90,311).
Fairness for the 90s Foundation Grant, “The Record of American Democracy, 1984-1990.”
(≈$3,500,000).
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Books
King, Gary; Kay Schlozman; and Norman Nie, eds., The Future of Political Science: 100
Perspectives, New York: Routledge Press, 2009.
Girosi, Federico and Gary King. Demographic Forecasting, Princeton: Princeton Univer-
sity Press, 2008.
King, Gary; Ori Rosen; and Martin A. Tanner, eds., Ecological Inference: New Method-
ological Strategies, New York: Cambridge University Press, 2004.
King, Gary; Robert O. Keohane; and Sidney Verba. Designing Social Inquiry: Scientific
Inference in Qualitative Research. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1994.
King, Gary. Unifying Political Methodology: The Likelihood Theory of Statistical Infer-
ence. Cambridge, England and New York: Cambridge University Press, 1989. Reprinted,
Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1998.
King, Gary and Lyn Ragsdale. The Elusive Executive: Discovering Statistical Patterns in
the Presidency. Washington, D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Press, 1988.
Brace, Paul; Christine Harrington; and Gary King. The Presidency in American Politics.
New York and London: New York University Press, 1989. Paperback published in 1990.
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Articles
Allen, William E.; Han Altae-Tran; James Briggs; Xin Jin; Glen McGee; Andy Shi; Rumya
Raghavan; Mireille Kamariza; Nicole Nova; Albert Pereta; Chris Danford; Amine Kamel;
Patrik Gothe; Evrhet Milam; Jean Aurambault; Thorben Primke; Weijie Li; Josh Inken-
brandt; Tuan Huynh; Evan Chen; Christina Lee; Michael Croatto; Helen Bentley; Wendy
Lu; Robert Murray; Mark Travassos; Brent A. Coull; John Openshaw; Casey S. Greene;
Ophir Shalem; Gary King; Ryan Probasco; David R. Cheng; Ben Silbermann; Feng Zhang;
and Xihong Lin. 8/26/2020, “Population-scale Longitudinal Mapping of COVID-19 Symp-
toms, Behaviour and Testing,” Nature Human Behavior. Copy at https://j.mp/3h58z8j.
Wojcik, Stefan; Avleen Bijral; Richard Johnston; Juan Miguel Lavista; Gary King; Ryan
Kennedy; Alessandro Vespignani; and David Lazer. Forthcoming. “Survey Data and
Human Computation for Improved Flu Tracking,” Nature Communications. Copy at
https://j.mp/2X10j2U.
Segal, Eran; Feng Zhang; Xihong Lin; Gary King; Ophir Shalem; Smadar Shilo; William
E. Allen; Yonatan H. Grad; Casey S. Greene; Faisal Alquaddoomi; Simon Anders; Ran
Balicer; Tal Bauman; Ximena Bonilla; Gisel Booman; Andrew T. Chan; Ori Cohen; Sil-
vano Coletti; Natalie Davidson; Yuval Dor; David A. Drew; Olivier Elemento; Georgina
Evans; Phil Ewels; Joshua Gale; Amir Gavrieli; Benjamin Geiger; Iman Hajirasouliha;
Roman Jerala; Andre Kahles; Olli Kallioniemi; Ayya Keshet; Gregory Landua; Tomer
Meir; Aline Muller; Long H. Nguyen; Matej Oresic; Svetlana Ovchinnikova; Hedi Pe-
terson; Jay Rajagopal; Gunnar Rätsch; Hagai Rossman; Johan Rung; Andrea Sboner;
Alexandros Sigaras; Tim Spector; Ron Steinherz; Irene Stevens; Jaak Vilo; Paul Wilmes,
and CCC (Coronavirus Census Collective). 8/2020. “Building an International Consor-
tium for Tracking Coronavirus Health Status,” Nature Medicine, Vol. 26, Pp. 1161–1165.
Copy at https://j.mp/39ZbDPR.
Lazer, David M.J.; Alex Pentland; Duncan J. Watts; Sinan Aral; Susan Athey; Noshir
Contractor; Deen Freelon; Sandra Gonzalez-Bailon; Gary King; Helen Margetts; Alondra
Nelson; Matthew J. Salganik; Markus Strohmaier; Alessandro Vespignani; and Claudia
Wagner. 8/28/2020. “Computational Social Science: Obstacles and Opportunities,” Sci-
ence, Vol. 369, Issue 6507, Pp. 1060–1062. Copy at https://j.mp/2YIuWdh.
Coker, Beau; Cynthia Rudin; and Gary King. Forthcoming. “A Theory of Statistical
Inference for Ensuring the Robustness of Scientific Results,” Management Science. Copy
at https://j.mp/2HsaZAY.
Jerzak, Connor T.; Gary King; and Anton Strezhnev, Forthcoming, “An Improved Method
of Automated Nonparametric Content Analysis for Social Science,” Political Analysis,
Copy at http://j.mp/2DyLYxL.
King, Gary; Shiro Kuriwaki; and Yon Soo Park, Forthcoming. “The ‘Math Prefresher’
and The Collective Future of Political Science Graduate Training,” PS: Political Science
and Politics, Copy at http://j.mp/30UEjFy.
Katz, Jonathan N.; Gary King; and Elizabeth Rosenblatt, 2020. “Theoretical Foundations
and Empirical Evaluations of Partisan Fairness in District-Based Democracies” American
Political Science Review, Vol. 114, No. 1 (February): Pp. 164–178, Copy at http://j.mp/
2BkgYTP.
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King, Gary and Nathaniel Persily. Forthcoming. “A New Model for Industry-Academic
Partnerships,” PS: Political Science and Politics. Copy at http://j.mp/2q1IQpH.
King, Gary. Forthcoming. “So You’re a Grad Student Now? Maybe You Should Do
This,” In Sage Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science, edited by Jr. Robert J.
Franzese and Luigi Curini. London: Sage Publications. Copy at http://j.mp/2LcFgoY.
Jiang, Wenxin; Gary King; Allen Schmaltz; and Martin A. Tanner. Forthcoming. “Eco-
logical Regression with Partial Identification,” Political Analysis. Copy at http://j.mp/
2vh3O93.
King, Gary and Richard Nielsen. Forthcoming. “Why Propensity Scores Should Not Be
Used for Matching,” Political Analysis, Copy at http://j.mp/2ovYGsW.
Imai, Kosuke; Gary King; and Carlos Velasco Rivera. Forthcoming, 2020. “Do Non-
partisan Programmatic Policies Have Partisan Electoral Effects? Evidence from Two
Large Scale Experiments,” Journal of Politics, Vol. 81, No. 2, April. Copy at http:
//j.mp/2o3NZgO.
Kaufman, Aaron; Gary King; and Mayya Komisarchik. Forthcoming. “How to Mea-
sure Legislative District Compactness If You Only Know it When You See It,” American
Journal of Political Science. Copy at http://j.mp/2u9OWrG.
Iacus, Stefano M.; Gary King; and Giuseppe Porro. 2019. “A Theory of Statistical
Inference for Matching Methods in Causal Research,” Political Analysis, Vol. 27, No. 1,
Pp. 46-68. Copy at http://j.mp/2GFVqkx.
Miller, Kelly; Brian Lukoff; Gary King; and Eric Mazur. 2018. “Use of a Social An-
notation Platform for Pre-Class Reading Assignments in a Flipped Introductory Physics
Class,” Frontiers in Education, Vol. 3, Article 8, Pp. 1-12. Copy at http://j.mp/2Hhq7MV.
[Reprinted in Cassidy, R., Charles, E. S., Slotta, J. D., Lasry, N., eds. (2019). Ac-
tive Learning: Theoretical Perspectives, Empirical Studies and Design Profiles, Lausanne:
Frontiers Media. doi: 10.3389/978-2-88945-885-1.]
King, Gary and Robert X Browning. 12/26/2017. “How to conquer partisan gerryman-
dering,” Boston Globe (Op-Ed), 292, 179, Pp. A10. Copy at http://j.mp/2l6JZtC
King, Gary; Benjamin Schneer; and Ariel White. 2017. “How the News Media Activate
Public Expression and Influence National Agendas,” Science, Vol. 358, Pp. 776–780. http:
//GaryKing.org/media.
King, Gary; Jennifer Pan; and Margaret E. Roberts. In press, 2017. “How the Chi-
nese Government Fabricates Social Media Posts for Strategic Distraction, not Engaged
Argument,” American Political Science Review, 2017. GaryKing.org/50c. Reprinted in
Greenhaven, eds., 2018. Troll Factories-Russia’s Web Brigades, Greenhaven Publishing.
King, Gary; Patrick Lam; and Margaret E. Roberts. 2017. “Computer-Assisted Keyword
and Document Set Discovery from Unstructured Text,” American Journal of Political
Science, Vol. 61, Issue 4, Pp. 971-988, http://j.mp/1qdVqhx
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Schwab, Michail; Hendrik Strobelt; James Tompkin; Colin Fredericks; Connor Huff; Dana
Higgins; Anton Strezhnev; Mayya Komisarchik; Gary King; and Hanspeter Pfister. In
Press, 2017. “booc.io: An Education System with Hierarchical Concept Maps,” IEEE
Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics, PP(99).
King, Gary; Christopher Lucas; and Richard Nielsen. In press, 2016. “The Balance-
Sample Size Frontier in Matching Methods for Causal Inference,” American Journal of
Political Science, Copy at http://j.mp/1dRDMrE.
Gilbert, Daniel; Gary King; Stephen Pettigrew; and Timothy Wilson. 2016. “Comment
on ’Estimating the Reproducibility of Psychological Science’,” Science, 6277, 351: 1037a-
1038a. Copy at http://j.mp/21LW9c8.
King, Gary. 2016. “Preface: Big Data is Not About the Data!,” In Computational Social
Science: Discovery and Prediction, edited by R. Michael Alvarez, Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 2016. Copy at http://j.mp/1PP466V.
King, Gary. 2016. “The C-SPAN Archives as The Policymaking Record of American
Representative Democracy: A Foreword,” In Exploring the C-SPAN Archives: Advancing
the Research Agenda, edited by Robert X Browning, West Lafayette, IN: Purdue University
Press. Copy at http://j.mp/1PUq9No.
Crosas, Merce; Gary King; James Honaker; and Latanya Sweeney. 2015. “Automating
Open Science for Big Data,” ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social
Science, 659, 1, Pp. 260-273, Copy at http://j.mp/2owJE6O
Kashin, Konstantin; Gary King; and Samir Soneji. 2015. “Systematic Bias and Nontrans-
parency in US Social Security Administration Forecasts,” Journal of Economic Perspec-
tives, Vol. 29, No. 2 (Spring, 2015): Pp. 239–258, Copy at http://j.mp/1ITZ6Mw.
Kashin, Konstantin; Gary King; and Samir Soneji. 2015. “Explaining Systematic Bias
and Nontransparency in US Social Security Administration Forecasts,” Political Analysis,
Vol. 23, No. 3 (Summer, 2015): Pp. 336–362, Copy at http://j.mp/1GStulL.
Patrinos, Aristides A. N.; Hannah Bayer; Paul W. Glimcher; Steven Koonin; Miyoung
Chun; and Gary King. 3/19/2015. “Urban observatories: City data can inform decision
theory,” (correspondence) Nature, 519, Pp. 291. Copy at http://j.mp/2ovAjMu.
Blackwell, Matthew; James Honaker; and Gary King. “A Unified Approach to Measure-
ment Error and Missing Data: Overview,” Sociological Methods and Research, In press,
Copy at http://j.mp/jqdj72.
Blackwell, Matthew; James Honaker; and Gary King. “A Unified Approach to Measure-
ment Error and MissingData: Details and Extensions,” Sociological Methods and Research,
In press, Copy at http://j.mp/1iOvDUD.
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King, Gary, and Margaret Roberts. “How Robust Standard Errors Expose Methodological
Problems They Do Not Fix, and What to Do About It,” Political Analysis, Vol. 23, No. 2
(2015): Pp. 159–179, Copy at http://j.mp/InK5jU.
King, Gary; Jennifer Pan; and Margaret Roberts. “Reverse Engineering Chinese Censor-
ship: Randomized Experimentation and Participant Observation,” Science, Vol. 345, Issue
6199 (22 August 2014): 1–10, Copy at http://j.mp/16Nvzge.
Lazer, David; Ryan Kennedy; Gary King; and Alessandro Vespignani. 2014. “The Parable
of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis,” Science Vol. 343, No. 14 (March, 2014): Pp.
1203–1205, Copy at http://j.mp/1ii4ETo
King, Gary. “Restructuring the Social Sciences: Reflections from Harvard’s Institute for
Quantitative Social Science,” PS: Political Science and Politics, Vol. 47, No. 1 (2014):
Pp. 165–172, Copy at http://j.mp/17Cobeu, reprinted in Kent Worcester, ed. Navigat-
ing Political Science: Useful Readings from APSA Journals, Washington, DC: American
Political Science Association, 2018.
King, Gary; and Sen, Maya. “How Social Science Research Can Improve Teaching,”
PS: Political Science and Politics, Vol. 46, No. 3 (July, 2013): 671–679, Copy at http:
//j.mp/NFVja6
King, Gary; Jennifer Pan; and Molly Roberts. “How Censorship in China Allows Govern-
ment Criticism but Silences Collective Expression,” American Political Science Review,
Vol. 107, No. 2 (May, 2013): 326-343, Copy at http://j.mp/LdVXqN.
King, Gary; and Maya Sen. “The Troubled Future of Colleges and Universities,” PS:
Political Science and Politics, Vol., 46, no. 1 (2013): Pp. 81–113, Copy at http://j.mp/
U82gj2
Soneji, Samir; and Gary King. “Statistical Security for Social Security,” Demography
(2012), Vol. 49, No. 3: Pp. 1037-1060, copy at http://j.mp/oi27uz.
King, Gary, and Samir Soneji. “The Future of Death in America.” Demographic Research
Vol. 25, No. 1 (2011): Pp. 1–38, copy at http://j.mp/iXUpBv.
Iacus, Stefano M.; Gary King; and Giuseppe Porro. “Causal Inference Without Balance
Checking: Coarsened Exact Matching.” Political Analysis (2011), copy at http://j.mp/
iUUwyH.
King, Gary; Richard Nielsen; and Aaron Wells. “Letter to the Editor on the Medicare
Health Support Pilot Program’ (by McCall and Cromwell).” New England Journal of
Medicine 366, no. 7 (16 February 2012): 667, copy at http://j.mp/xECMXz.
Honaker, James; Gary King; and Matthew Blackwell. “Amelia II: A Program for Missing
Data,” Journal of Statistical Software, Vol. 45, No. 7 (December, 2011), http://www.
jstatsoft.org/v45/i07/.
Goldstein, Edward; Benjamin J. Cowling; Allison E. Aiello; Saki Takahashi; Gary King;
Ying Lu; and Marc Lipsitch. “Estimating Incidence Curves of Several Infections Using
Symptom Surveillance Data,” PLoS ONE, 6 (2011): e23380, copy at http://j.mp/rnFl0z.
Wand, Jonathan; Gary King; and Olivia Lau. “Anchors: Software for Anchoring Vignettes
Data.” Journal of Statistical Software 42 (2011): 1-25, copy at http://j.mp/m5tITE.
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King, Gary; Richard Nielsen; Carter Coberley; James E. Pope; and Aaron Wells. “Avoid-
ing Randomization Failure in Program Evaluation,” Population Health Management, Vol.,
14, No. 1 (2011): S11-S22.
King, Gary. “Ensuring the Data Rich Future of the Social Sciences,” Science, Vol. 331 (11
February 2011): 719-721.
Grimmer, Justin and Gary King. “General Purpose Computer-Assisted Clustering and
Conceptualization,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 3 February (2011).
Reprinted in Robert J. Franzese Jr., ed., 1997, Advances in Political Methodology, Edward
Elgar Publishing.
Iacus, Stefano M.; Gary King; and Giuseppe Porro. “Multivariate Matching Methods That
are Monotonic Imbalance Bounding,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol.
106 (2011): Pp. 345–361.
King, Gary and Langche Zeng. “Inference in Case-Control Studies,” in Shein-Chung Chow,
ed., Encyclopedia of Biopharmaceutical Statistics, 3rd edition. New York: Marcel Dekker,
2010.
King, Gary; Ying Lu; and Kenji Shibuya. “Designing Verbal Autopsy Studies,” Population
Health Metrics, (2010) 8:19.
Stevens, Gretchen; Gary King; and Kenji Shibuya. “Deaths From Heart Failure: Us-
ing Coarsened Exact Matching to Correct Cause of Death Statistics,” Population Health
Metrics, 2010 Vol. 8, No. 6.
Blackwell, Matthew; Stefano M. Iacus; Gary King; and Giuseppe Porro, “cem: Coarsened
Exact Matching in Stata,” The Stata Journal, Vol. 9, No. 4 (2009): Pp. 524–546.
Honaker, James and Gary King, “What to do About Missing Values in Time Series Cross-
Section Data,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 54, No. 2 (April, 2010): Pp.
561–581.
Hopkins, Daniel and Gary King “Improving Anchoring Vignettes: Designing Surveys
to Correct Interpersonal Incomparability,” Public Opinion Quarterly, (2010): Pp. 1-22,
doi:10.1093/poq/nfq011.
Imai, Kosuke; Gary King; and Clayton Nall. “Matched Pairs and the Future of Cluster-
Randomized Experiments: A Rejoinder,” Statistical Science, Vol. 24, No. 1 (2009): Pp.
64–72.
Hopkins, Daniel and Gary King. “A Method of Automated Nonparametric Content Anal-
ysis for Social Science,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 54, No. 1 (January
2010): Pp. 229–247.
Stefano M. Iacus, Gary King, and Giuseppe Porro, “CEM: Software for Coarsened Exact
Matching,” Journal of Statistical Software, Vol. 30, Issue 9 (June 2009).
Gutmann, Myron P.; Mark Abrahamson; Margaret O. Adams; Micah Altman; Caroline
Arms; Kenneth Bollen; Michael Carlson; Jonathan Crabtree; Darrell Donakowski; Gary
King; Jaret Lyle; Marc Maynard; Amy Pienta; Richard Rockwell; Lois Timms-Ferrara;
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and Copeland H. Young. “From Preserving the Past to Preserving the Future: The Data-
PASS Project and the Challenges of Preserving Digital Social Science Data,” Library
Trends, Vol. 57, No. 3 (Winter, 2009): Pp. 315–337.
King, Gary; Emmanuela Gakidou; Kosuke Imai; Jason Lakin; Ryan T. Moore; Clayton
Nall; Nirmala Ravishankar; Manett Vargas; Martha Marı́a Téllez-Rojo; Juan Eugenio
Hernández Ávila; Mauricio Hernández Ávila; and Héctor Hernández Llamas. “Public
Policy for the Poor? A Randomised Assessment of the Mexican Universal Health Insurance
Program,” The Lancet, Vol. 373 (25 April 2009): 1447–1454.
Lazer, David; Alex Pentland; Lada Adamic; Sinan Aral; Albert-László Barabási; Devon
Brewer; Nicholas Christakis; Noshir Contractor; James Fowler; Myron Gutmann; Tony
Jebara; Gary King; Michael Macy; Deb Roy; Marshall Van Alstyne, “Computational
Social Science,” Science Vol. 323, No. 5915 (6 February 2009): Pp. 721–723, copy at
http://j.mp/1AzJLs5.
Abrahamson, Mark; Kenneth A. Bollen; Myron Gutmann; Gary King; Amy M. Pienta
“Preserving Quantitative Research-Elicited Data for Longitudinal Analysis. New Devel-
opments in Archiving Survey Data in the U.S.,” Historical Social Research, Vol. 34, No. 3
(Summer, 2009): 51–59, copy at http://j.mp/kiI2TH.
Imai, Kosuke; Gary King; and Clayton Nall. “The Essential Role of Pair Matching in
Cluster-Randomized Experiments, with Application to the Mexican Universal Health In-
surance Evaluation,” [with discussion], Statistical Science, Vol. 24, No. 1 (2009): Pp.
29–53.
King, Gary and Langche Zeng. “Empirical versus Theoretical Claims about Extreme
Counterfactuals: A Response,” Political Analysis, Vol. 17 (2009): Pp. 107–112. [a response
to a discussion of Gary King and Langche Zeng. “The Dangers of Extreme Counterfactu-
als,” Political Analysis, Vol. 14, No. 2 (2006): Pp. 131-159.]
Murray, Megan and Gary King. “The Effects of International Monetary Fund Loans
on Health Outcomes,” PLoS Medicine, Vol. 5, No. 7 (2008), e162. [Reprinted in Azmal
Hussain, ed., Addressing Health Challenges: The Role of International Agencies, ICFAI
University Press, April, 2009.]
King, Gary. “The Changing Evidence Base of Social Science Research,” in Gary King,
Kay Schlozman, and Norman Nie, eds., The Future of Political Science: 100 Perspectives
New York: Routledge Press, 2009.
King, Gary; Kay Schlozman; and Norman Nie. “An Introduction to the Future of Political
Science,” in Gary King, Kay Schlozman, and Norman Nie, eds., The Future of Political
Science: 100 Perspectives New York: Routledge Press, 2009.
Imai, Kosuke; Gary King; and Olivia Lau. “Toward A Common Framework for Statistical
Analysis and Development,” Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, Vol. 17,
No. 4 (2008): Pp. 892–913.
King, Gary; Ori Rosen; Martin Tanner; and Alexander F. Wagner, “Ordinary Economic
Voting Behavior in the Extraordinary Election of Adolf Hitler,” Journal of Economic
History, Vol. 68, No. 4 (December, 2008): Pp. 951–996.
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Ho, Daniel; Kosuke Imai; Gary King; Elizabeth Stuart. “MatchIt: Nonparametric Pre-
processing for Parametric Causal Inference,” Journal of Statistical Software, Vol. 42, No.
8 (2011).
King, Gary and Ying Lu. “Verbal Autopsy Methods with Multiple Causes,” Statistical
Science, Vol. 23, No. 1 (February, 2008), Pp. 78–91.
Imai, Kosuke; Gary King; and Elizabeth Stuart, “Misunderstandings among Experimen-
talists and Observationalists about Causal Inference,” Journal of the Royal Statistical
Society, Series A, Vol. 171, Part 2 (2008): Pp. 1-22.
King, Gary. “An Introduction to the Dataverse Network as an Infrastructure for Data
Sharing,” [with discussion] Sociological Methods and Research, Vol. 32, No. 2 (November,
2007): Pp. 173–199.
King, Gary; Emmanuela Gakidou; Nirmala Ravishankar; Ryan T. Moore; Jason Lakin;
Manett Vargas; Martha Marı́a Téllez-Rojo; Juan Eugenio Hernández Ávila; Mauricio
Hernández Ávila; and Héctor Hernández Llamas. “A ‘Politically Robust’ Experimental
Design for Public Policy Evaluation, with Application to the Mexican Universal Health
Insurance Program,” Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Vol. 26, Issue 3 (2007):
Pp. 479–506.
Altman, Micah and Gary King. “A Proposed Standard for the Scholarly Citation of
Quantitative Data,” D-Lib Magazine, Vol. 13, No. 3/4 (March/April, 2007).
Ho, Daniel E.; Kosuke Imai; Gary King; and Elizabeth Stuart. “Matching as Nonpara-
metric Preprocessing for Reducing Model Dependence in Parametric Causal Inference,”
Political Analysis, Vol. 15 (2007): Pp. 199-236.
King, Gary and Langche Zeng. “Detecting Model Dependence in Statistical Inference: A
Response,” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 51 (March, 2007): Pp. 231–241.
King, Gary and Langche Zeng. “When Can History be Our Guide? The Pitfalls of Coun-
terfactual Inference,” [with discussion] International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 51 (March,
2007): Pp. 183–210.
Grofman, Bernard and Gary King. “The Future of Partisan Symmetry as a Judicial Test
for Partisan Gerrymandering after LULAC v. Perry,” Election Law Journal, Vol. 6, No.
1, (January, 2007), Pp. 2–35.
King, Gary and Jonathan Wand. “Comparing Incomparable Survey Responses: New Tools
for Anchoring Vignettes,” Political Analysis, Vol. 15, No. 1 (Winter, 2007): Pp. 46–66.
King, Gary; Ori Rosen; and Martin Tanner. “Ecological Inference,” in Larry Blume and
Steven N. Durlauf, eds., The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition, 2006.
Copy at http://j.mp/2oxutdx.
Gakidou, Emmanuela and Gary King, “Death by Survey: Estimating Adult Mortality
without Selection Bias from Sibling Survival Data” Demography, Vol. 43, No. 3 (August,
2006): Pp. 569–585. [Reprinted in W. Paul Vogt, ed., Selecting Research Methods, London:
Sage Publications, 2008.]
Stoll, Heather; Gary King; and Langche Zeng, 2005. “WhatIf: Software for Evaluat-
ing Counterfactuals,” Journal of Statistical Software, Vol. 15, Issue 4 (2005): Pp. 1–18,
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abstract published in Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, Vol. 15, No. 1
(March 2006): P. 264.
Epstein, Lee; Daniel E. Ho; Gary King; and Jeffrey A. Segal “The Effect of War on the
Supreme Court,” in Samuel Kernell and Steven S. Smith, eds.(3rd ed). Principles and
Practice in American Politics: Classic and Contemporary Readings. Washington, D.C.:
Congressional Quarterly Press, 2006.
King, Gary and Langche Zeng. “The Dangers of Extreme Counterfactuals,” Political
Analysis, Vol. 14, No. 2 (2006): Pp. 131-159.
King, Gary. “Publication, Publication,” PS: Political Science and Politics, Vol. XXXIX,
No. 1 (January, 2006), 119–125.
Epstein, Lee; Daniel E. Ho; Gary King; and Jeffrey A. Segal, “The Supreme Court During
Crisis: How War Affects only Non-War Cases,” New York University Law Review, Vol. 80,
No. 1 (April, 2005): 1-116.
King, Gary. “EI: A Program for Ecological Inference” Journal of Statistical Software, Vol.
11, Issue 7 (September, 2004): Pp. 1–41. Abstract published in Journal of Computational
and Graphical Statistics.
King, Gary; Ori Rosen; and Martin Tanner. “Information in Ecological Inference: An
Introduction” in King, Rosen, and Tanner, eds., Ecological Inference: New Methodological
Strategies, New York: Cambridge University Press, 2004.
Imai, Kosuke and Gary King. “Did Illegally Counted Overseas Absentee Ballots Decide
the 2000 U.S. Presidential Election?,” Perspectives on Politics, Vol. 2, No. 3 (September,
2004): Pp. 537–549.
Gill, Jeff and Gary King. “What to do When Your Hessian is Not Invertible: Alternatives
to Model Respecification in Nonlinear Estimation,” Sociological Methods and Research,
Vol. 33, No. 1 (2004): Pp. 54–87.
Gill, Jeff and Gary King. “Numerical Issues Involved in Inverting Hessian Matrices,”
Pp. 143–176 (Chapter 6) in Micah Altman, Jeff Gill, and Michael P. McDonald, eds.,
Numerical Issues in Statistical Computing for the Social Scientist, Hoboken, NJ: John
Wiley and Sons, Inc., 2003.
King, Gary. “Finding New Information for Ecological Inference Models: A Comment on
Jon Wakefield, ‘Ecological Inference in 2 × 2 Tables’,” Journal of the Royal Statistical
Society, Series A, Vol. 167 (2004): P. 437.
Beck, Nathaniel; Gary King; and Langche Zeng. “Theory and Evidence in International
Conflict: A Response to de Marchi, Gelpi, and Grynaviski,” American Political Science
Review, Vol. 98, No. 2 (May, 2004): Pp. 379–389. [A response to a discussion of Nathaniel
Beck; Gary King; and Langche Zeng. “Improving Quantitative Studies of International
Conflict: A Conjecture,” American Political Science Review, Vol. 94, No. 1 (March, 2000):
21–36.]
King, Gary and Langche Zeng. “Inference in Case-Control Studies,” in Shein-Chung Chow,
ed., Encyclopedia of Biopharmaceutical Statistics, 2nd edition. New York: Marcel Dekker,
2004.
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King, Gary; Christopher J.L. Murray; Joshua A. Salomon; and Ajay Tandon. “Enhanc-
ing the Validity and Cross-cultural Comparability of Measurement in Survey Research,”
American Political Science Review, Vol. 97, No. 4 (December, 2003), 567–584; reprinted,
with printing errors corrected, Vol. 98, No. 1 (February, 2004): 191–207. [Reprinted in:
(1) David J Bartholomew, ed., Measurement, Los Angeles: Sage Publications, 2006; (2)
Susanne Pickel, Gert Pickel, Hans-Joachim Lauth, and Detlef Jahn. 2007 Methoden der
vergleichenden Politikwissenschaft. Neuere Entwicklungen und Anwendungen (Methods of
Comparative Political Science. Latest Developments and Applications), Wiesbaden: VS-
Verlag; (3) W. Paul Vogt, ed., Selecting Research Methods, London: Sage Publications,
2008. (4) Robert J. Franzese, ed., Quantitative Research in Political Science, London:
Sage Publications.]
Gelman, Andrew; Jonathan Katz; and Gary King. “Empirically Evaluating the Electoral
College,” Chapter 5, Pp. 75–88, in Ann N. Crigler, Marion R. Just, and Edward J. McCaf-
fery, eds., Rethinking the Vote: The Politics and Prospects of American Electoral Reform,
New York: Oxford University Press, 2004.
Epstein, Lee and Gary King. “Building An Infrastructure for Empirical Research in the
Law” [with comments from four law school deans], Journal of Legal Education, Vol. 53,
No. 311, (2003): Pp. 311–320.
Lowe, Will and Gary King. “Some Statistical Methods for Evaluating Information Extrac-
tion Systems,” in K. Pastra, ed. Proceedings of the Workshop on Evaluation Initiatives in
Natural Language Processing. 10th Conference of the European Association for Computa-
tional Linguistics, Budapest, Hungary (2003): Pp. 19–26.
King, Gary and Will Lowe. “An Automated Information Extraction Tool For International
Conflict Data with Performance as Good as Human Coders: A Rare Events Evaluation
Design” International Organization, Vol. 57, No. 03 (July, 2003): pp. 617–642.
King, Gary. “The Future of Replication,” International Studies Perspectives, Vol. 4, No.
1 (February, 2003): Pp. 100–105. [in “Symposium on Replication in International Studies
Research,” following up on Gary King, “Replication, Replication” PS: Political Science
and Politics, Vol. XXVIII, No. 3 (September, 1995): Pp. 443–499.]
Tomz, Michael; Gary King; and Langche Zeng. “ReLogit: Rare Events Logistic Regres-
sion,” Journal of Statistical Software, Vol. 8, Issue 2 (2003): Pp. 1–27. Abstract published
in Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, Vol. 12, No. 1 (March, 2003): 246–
247.
Tomz, Michael; Jason Wittenberg; and Gary King. “CLARIFY: Software for Interpreting
and Presenting Statistical Results,” Journal of Statistical Software, Vol. 8, Issue 1 (2003):
Pp. 1–30. Abstract published in Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, Vol.
12, No. 1 (March, 2003): 245–246.
Adolph, Christopher and Gary King, with Michael C. Herron and Kenneth W. Shotts. “A
Consensus on Second Stage Analyses in Ecological Inference Models,” Political Analysis,
Vol. 11, No. 1 (Winter, 2003): Pp. 86–94.
Adolph, Christopher and Gary King. “Analyzing Second Stage Ecological Regressions,”
Political Analysis, Vol. 11, (Winter, 2003): Pp. 65–76.
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Gakidou, Emmanuela and Gary King. “Measuring Total Health Inequality: Adding Indi-
vidual Variation to Group-Level Differences” BioMed Central: International Journal for
Equity in Health, Vol. 1, No. 3 (2002). [Reprinted in Christopher Murray and David B.
Evans, eds., Health Systems Performance Assessment: Debates, Methods, and Empiricism,
Geneva: World Health Organization, 2003, Chapter 35, Pp. 485–496.]
King, Gary and Langche Zeng. “Estimating Risk and Rate Levels, Ratios, and Differences
in Case-Control Studies,” Statistics in Medicine, Vol. 21 (2002): Pp. 1409–1427.
King, Gary. “Isolating Spatial Autocorrelation, Aggregation Bias, and Distributional Vi-
olations in Ecological Inference,” Political Analysis, Vol. 10, No. 3, (Summer, 2002): 298–
300.
Murray, Christopher J.L.; Gary King; Alan D. Lopez; Niels Tomijima; and Etienne Krug,
“Armed Conflict as a Public Health Problem,” BMJ, Vol. 324, (9 February 2002): 346–349.
(The BMJ was once called the British Medical Journal.)
King, Gary and Christopher J.L. Murray. “Rethinking Human Security,” Political Science
Quarterly, Vol. 116, No. 4 (Winter, 2002): 585–610.
Epstein, Lee and Gary King. “The Rules of Inference,” with comments from six schol-
ars and a rejoinder by us, “Empirical Research and The Goals of Legal Scholarship: A
Response,” University of Chicago Law Review, Vol. 69, No. 1 (Winter, 2002): Pp. 1–209.
A Chinese translation is forthcoming in the Journal of Legal Methods, and a Portugese
translation in the Revista da Faculdade de Direito da UFRGS.
Honaker, James; Gary King; and Jonathan N. Katz. “A Fast, Easy, and Efficient Estimator
for Multiparty Electoral Data,” Political Analysis, Vol. 10, No. 1, (Winter, 2002): 84–100.
King, Gary and Langche Zeng. “Improving Forecasts of State Failure,” World Politics,
Vol. 53, No. 4 (July, 2001): 623-58.
Rosen, Ori and Wenxin Jiang, Gary King, and Martin A. Tanner, “Bayesian and Frequen-
tist Inference for Ecological Inference: The RxC Case,” Statistica Neerlandica, Vol. 55,
No. 2 (2001): Pp. 134–156.
Altman, Micah; Leonid Andreev; Mark Diggory; Gary King; Daniel L. Kiskis; Eliza-
beth Kolster; M. Krot; and Sidney Verba. “A Digital Library for the Dissemination and
Replication of Quantitative Social Science Research: The Virtual Data Center,” in Social
Science Computer Review, Vol. 19, No. 4 (Winter, 2001): Pp. 458–470.
Altman, Micah; Leonid Andreev; Mark Diggory; Gary King; Daniel L. Kiskis; Elizabeth
Kolster; M. Krot; and Sidney Verba. “An Introduction to the Virtual Data Center Project
and Software,” in Proceedings of The First ACM+IEEE Joint Conference on Digital Li-
braries, ACM Press (2001): Pp. 203–204.
King, Gary; James Honaker, Anne Joseph, and Kenneth Scheve. “Analyzing Incomplete
Political Science Data: An Alternative Algorithm for Multiple Imputation,” American
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Political Science Review, Vol. 95, No. 1 (March, 2001): Pp. 49–69. [Reprinted in (1) Mar-
tin Bulmer, Patrick J Sturgis, and Nick Allum, eds., The Secondary Analysis of Survey
Data, Vol. 2, Sage Publications, 2009. (2) Salvatore Babones, ed., Fundamentals of Regres-
sion Modeling, Los Angeles: Sage Publications. (3) Robert J. Franzese, ed., Quantitative
Research in Political Science, London: Sage Publications.]
King, Gary and Langche Zeng. “Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data,” Political
Analysis, Vol. 9, No. 2 (Spring, 2001): Pp. 137–163.
King, Gary and Langche Zeng. “Explaining Rare Events in International Relations,”
International Organization, Vol. 55, No. 3 (Summer, 2001): Pp. 693–715.
King, Gary. “Proper Nouns and Methodological Propriety: Pooling Dyads in Interna-
tional Relations Data,” [concluding comment in a symposium on the analysis of dyadic
international conflict data], International Organization, Vol. 55, No. 2 (Fall, 2001): Pp.
497–507.
Alt, James E.; Gary King; and Curtis Signorino. “Aggregation Among Binary, Count,
and Duration Models: Estimating the Same Quantities from Different Levels of Data,”
Political Analysis, Vol. 9, No. 1 (Winter, 2001): Pp. 21–44.
Beck, Nathaniel; Gary King; and Langche Zeng. “Improving Quantitative Studies of
International Conflict: A Conjecture,” American Political Science Review, Vol. 94, No. 1
(March, 2000): 21–36.
King, Gary; Michael Tomz; and Jason Wittenberg. “Making the Most of Statistical Anal-
yses: Improving Interpretation and Presentation,” American Journal of Political Science,
Vol. 44, No. 2 (April, 2000): 341–355. (replication dataset: ICPSR 1255). [Reprinted in
Jacqueline Scott and Yu Xie, eds., Quantitative Social Science, Vol. 3, Sage Publications,
2005.]
King, Gary. “Geography, Statistics, and Ecological Inference,” Annals of the Association
of American Geographers, Vol. 90, No. 3 (September, 2000): Pp. 601–606.[Response to a
symposium on Gary King A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Reconstructing
Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1997.]
Lewis, Jeffrey and Gary King, “No Evidence on Directional vs. Proximity Voting,” Political
Analysis, Vol. 8, No. 1 (August, 1999): Pp. 21–33.
Katz, Jonathan and Gary King. “A Statistical Model for Multiparty Electoral Data,”
American Political Science Review, Vol. 93, No. 1 (March, 1999): 15-32 (replication
dataset: ICPSR 1190).
King, Gary; Ori Rosen; and Martin Tanner. “Binomial-Beta Hierarchical Models for
Ecological Inference,” Sociological Methods and Research, Vol. 28, No. 1 (August, 1999):
61–90.
King, Gary, “The Future of Ecological Inference Research: A Reply to Freedman et al.,”
Journal of the American Statistical Association, March, 1999.
King, Gary and Bradley Palmquist, “The Record of American Democracy, 1984–1990,”
Sociological Methods and Research, Vol. 26, No. 3 (February, 1998): 424–427; and PS:
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Political Science and Politics, Vol. XXX, No. 4 (December, 1997): 746–747; and ICPSR
Bulletin, Vol. XVIII, No. 4 (May, 1998): 1–3.
Gelman, Andrew; Gary King; and Chuanhai Liu. “Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple
Imputation for Multiple Surveys,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol.
93, No. 443 (September, 1999): Pp. 846–857. “Rejoinder,” Pp. 869–874
King, Gary and Michael Laver. “Many Publications, but Still No Evidence,” Electoral
Studies, Vol. 18, No. 4, (December, 1999): Pp. 597–598.
Gelman, Andrew; Gary King; and John Boscardin. “Estimating the Probability of Events
that Have Never Occurred: When Is Your Vote Decisive?” Journal of the American
Statistical Association, Vol. 93, No. 441 (March, 1998): Pp. 1–9.
King, Gary. “Why Context Should Not Count,” Political Geography Vol. 15, No. 2 (Febru-
ary, 1996): Pp. 159–164.
Benoit, Kenneth and Gary King. “A Preview of EI and EzI: Programs for Ecological
Inference,” Social Science Computer Review, Vol. 14, No. 4 (Winter, 1996): Pp. 433–438.
Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. “Advantages of Conflictual Redistricting,” Pp. 207–218
in Iain McLean and David Butler, eds., Fixing the Boundary: Defining and Redefining
Single-Member Electoral Districts, Aldershot, England: Dartmouth Publishing Company,
1996.
King, Gary; John Bruce; and Andrew Gelman. “Racial Fairness in Legislative Redistrict-
ing,” in Paul E. Peterson, ed., Classifying by Race, Princeton: Princeton University Press,
1996.
King, Gary and Curtis S. Signorino. “The Generalization in the Generalized Event Count
Model, With Comments on Achen, Amato, and Londregan,” [a response to three authors
in a symposium on “Gary King’s Generalized Event Count Model”] Political Analysis, Vol.
6 (1996): Pp. 225–252.
King, Gary. “Replication, Replication,” PS: Political Science and Politics, with comments
from nineteen authors and a response, “A Revised Proposal, Proposal,” Vol. XXVIII, No.
3 (September, 1995): Pp. 443–499. [Reprinted in Martin Bulmer, Patrick J Sturgis, and
Nick Allum, eds., The Secondary Analysis of Survey Data, Vol. 1, Sage Publications, 2009.]
King, Gary; Robert O. Keohane; and Sidney Verba. “The Importance of Research De-
sign in Political Science,” a response to five authors in the symposium “The Qualitative-
Quantitative Disputation: Gary King, Robert O. Keohane, and Sidney Verba’s Designing
Social Inquiry: Scientific Inference in Qualitiative Research”, in American Political Sci-
ence Review, Vol. 89, No. 2 (June, 1995): Pp. 454–481
Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. “Enhancing Democracy Through Legislative Redistrict-
ing,” American Political Science Review, Vol. 88, No. 3 (September, 1994): Pp. 541–559,
(replication dataset: ICPSR s1101). [Parts reprinted in California Policy Studies Brief, a
publication of the California Policy Seminar, Vol. 7, No. 5 (April, 1995).]
Voss, D. Steven; Andrew Gelman; and Gary King. “Pre-Election Survey Methodology:
Details From Nine Polling Organizations, 1988 and 1992,” Public Opinion Quarterly, Vol.
59 (1995): Pp. 98–132.
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Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. “A Unified Method of Evaluating Electoral Systems and
Redistricting Plans,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 38, No. 2 (May, 1994):
Pp. 514–554, (replication dataset: ICPSR s1054).
Alt, James E. and Gary King. “Transfers of Governmental Power: The Meaning of Time
Dependence,” Comparative Political Studies, Vol. 27, No. 2 (July, 1994): Pp. 190–210.
(dataset: ICPSR s1115).
Winkelmann, Rainer; Curtis Signorino; and Gary King. “A Correction for an Underdis-
persed Event Count Probability Distribution,” Political Analysis, (1995): Pp. 215–228.
Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. “Party Competition and Media Messages in U.S. Pres-
idential Election Campaigns,” in L. Sandy Maisel, ed., The Parties Respond: Changes in
the American Party System, 2nd edition, Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press, 1994, Pp.
255-295.
Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. “Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign
Polls So Variable When Votes are So Predictable?” British Journal of Political Science,
Vol. 23, No. 1 (October, 1993): Pp. 409–451. [Reprinted in (1) Philip Seib, ed., Political
Communication, Vol. 3, Sage Publications, 2007, and (2) Kai Arzheimer and Jocelyn
Evans, eds., Electoral Behaviour, Vol. 3, Sage Publications, 2008.]
King, Gary; John M. Bruce; and Michael Gilligan. “The Science of Political Science
Graduate Admissions,” PS: Political Science and Politics, Vol. XXVI, No. 4, (December,
1993): Pp. 772–778.
King, Gary and Michael Laver. “On Party Platforms, Mandates, and Government Spend-
ing,” American Political Science Review, Vol. 87, No. 3 (September, 1993): Pp. 744–750,
(replication dataset: ICPSR s1109).
King, Gary. “The Methodology of Presidential Research,” in George Edwards, III, John
H. Kessel, and Bert A. Rockman, eds., Researching the Presidency: Vital Questions, New
Approaches, Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh, 1993: Pp. 387–412.
King, Gary and Daniel J. Walsh. “Good Research and Bad Research: Extending Zimile’s
Criticism,” Early Childhood Research Quarterly, Vol. 8, No. 3 (September, 1993): Pp.
397–401.
King, Gary. “ ‘Truth’ is Stranger than Prediction, More Questionable Than Causal In-
ference,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 35, No. 4 (November, 1991): Pp.
1047–1053. [A response to a discussion of Gary King “How Not to Lie With Statistics:
Avoiding Common Mistakes in Quantitative Political Science,” American Journal of Po-
litical Science, Vol. 30, No. 3 (August, 1986): Pp. 666–687.]
King, Gary. “Constituency Service and Incumbency Advantage,” British Journal of Po-
litical Science, Vol. 21, No. 1 (January, 1991): Pp. 119–128, (replication dataset: ICPSR
s1108).
King, Gary. “On Political Methodology,” Political Analysis, Vol. 2 (1991): Pp. 1–30.
(replication dataset: ICPSR s1053).
Gary King 23
Gary King “How Not to Lie With Statistics: Avoiding Common Mistakes in Quantitative
Political Science,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 30, No. 3 (August, 1986):
Pp. 666–687.]
King, Gary. “Calculating Standard Errors of Predicted Values based on Nonlinear Func-
tional Forms,” The Political Methodologist, Vol. 4, No. 2 (Fall, 1991).
Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. “Estimating Incumbency Advantage Without Bias,”
American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 34, No. 4 (November, 1990): Pp. 1142–1164,
(dataset: ICPSR 06311).
King, Gary; James Alt; Nancy Burns; and Michael Laver. “A Unified Model of Cabinet
Dissolution in Parliamentary Democracies,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol.
34, No. 3 (August, 1990): Pp. 846–871; Errata Vol. 34, No. 4 (November, 1990): P. 1168.
(replication dataset: ICPSR s1115).
Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. “Estimating the Electoral Consequences of Legislative
Redistricting,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 85, No. 410 (June,
1990): Pp. 274–282.
Ansolabehere, Stephen and Gary King. “Measuring the Consequences of Delegate Selec-
tion Rules in Presidential Nominations,” Journal of Politics, Vol. 52, No. 2 (May, 1990):
Pp. 609–621.
King, Gary. “Event Count Models for International Relations: Generalizations and Ap-
plications,” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 33, No. 2 (June, 1989): Pp. 123–147.
King, Gary. “Variance Specification in Event Count Models: From Restrictive Assump-
tions to a Generalized Estimator,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 33, No. 3
(August, 1989): Pp. 762–784.
Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. “Electoral Responsiveness in U.S. Congressional Elec-
tions, 1946–1986,” abstract, Proceedings of the Social Statistics Section, American Statis-
tical Association, 1989: P. 208.
King, Gary. “Statistical Models for Political Science Event Counts: Bias in Conventional
Procedures and Evidence for The Exponential Poisson Regression Model,” American Jour-
nal of Political Science, Vol. 32, No. 3 (August, 1988): Pp. 838–863.
King, Gary and Robert X Browning. “Democratic Representation and Partisan Bias in
Congressional Elections,” American Political Science Review, Vol. 81, No. 4 (December,
1987): 1252–1273.
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Gary King 24
King, Gary. “Presidential Appointments to the Supreme Court: Adding Systematic Ex-
planation to Probabilistic Description,” American Politics Quarterly, Vol. 15, No. 3 (July,
1987): Pp. 373–386.
Browning, Robert X and Gary King. “Seats, Votes, and Gerrymandering: Measuring
Bias and Representation in Legislative Redistricting” Law and Policy, Vol. 9, No. 3 (July,
1987): Pp. 305–322.
King, Gary. “How Not to Lie With Statistics: Avoiding Common Mistakes in Quantitative
Political Science,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 30, No. 3 (August, 1986):
Pp. 666–687. [Reprinted in Martin Bulmer, Patrick J Sturgis, and Nick Allum, eds., The
Secondary Analysis of Survey Data, Vol. 3, Sage Publications, 2009.]
King, Gary. “The Significance of Roll Calls in Voting Bodies: A Model and Statistical
Estimation,” Social Science Research, Vol. 15 (June, 1986): Pp. 135–152.
King, Gary. “Political Parties and Foreign Policy: A Structuralist Approach,” Political
Psychology, Vol. 7., No. 1 (March, 1986): Pp. 83–101.
King, Gary and Richard Merelman. “The Development of Political Activists: A Model of
Early Learning,” Social Science Quarterly, Vol. 67, No. 3 (September, 1986): Pp. 473–490.
Software
Jerzak, Connor T.; Gary King; and Anton Strezhnev. Readme2: An R Package for
Improved Automated Nonparametric Content Analysis for Social Science, 2018–.
Kaufman, Aaron; Gary King; and Mayya Komisarchik. Compactness: An R Package for
Measuring Legislative District Compactness If You Only Know it When You See It 2018–.
Gaboardi, Marco; James Honaker; Gary King; Jack Murtagh; Kobbi Nissim; Jonathan
Ullman; and Salil Vadhan, PSI (Ψ): A Private Data Sharing Interface, 2016–.
King, Gary; Christopher Lucas; and Richard Nielsen, Matching Frontier: R Package for
Calculating the Balance-Sample Size Frontier , 2014–,
Iacus, Stefano M.; Gary King; and Giuseppe Porro. CEM: Coarsened Exact Matching,
2008–.
Honaker, James; Gary King; and Matthew Blackwell. Amelia II: A Program for Missing
Data, 2008–.
Gelman, Andrew; Gary King; and Andrew C. Thomas. JudgeIt II: A Program for Evalu-
ating Electoral Systems and Redistricting Plans, 2008–.
Hopkins, Daniel; Gary King; Matthew Knowles; and Steven Melendez. ReadMe: Software
for Automated Content Analysis, 2008–.
King, Gary and Ying Lu. VA: Software for Analyzing Verbal Autopsy Data, 2008–.
Girosi, Federico and Gary King. YourCast: Time-Series Cross-Sectional Forecasting with
Your Assumptions, 2006–.
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Gary King 25
King, Gary; Merce Crosas; and the Dataverse team. Dataverse, 2006–.
Altman, Micah; Gary King; and Sidney Verba. Virtual Data Center Software, 1996–2005.
Ho, Daniel; Kosuke Imai; Gary King; and Elizabeth Stuart, MatchIt: Nonparametric
Preprocessing for Parametric Causal Inference, 2004–.
Imai, Kosuke; Gary King; and Olivia Lau. Zelig: Everyone’s Statistical Software, 2004–.
Wand, Jonathan, Gary King, and Olivia Lau. Anchors: Software for Anchoring Vignettes
Data, 2002–.
Tomz, Michael; Gary King; and Langche Zeng. ReLogit: Rare Events Logistic Regression,
2000–2002.
Honaker, James; Anne Joseph; Gary King; Kenneth Scheve; and Naunihal Singh. AMELIA:
A Program for Missing Data, versions 1998–2007.
Tomz, Michael; Jason Wittenberg; and Gary King. CLARIFY: Software for Interpreting
and Presenting Statistical Results, Stata macros, versions 1998–2002.
King, Gary. EI: A Program for Ecological Inference, (Versions 1996–2003). Published as
part of the Gauss Package by Aptech Systems, Kent, Washington, and as a stand-alone
program called EzI: A(n Easy) Program for Ecological Inference, by Kenneth Benoit and
Gary King.
Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. JudgeIt: A Program for Evaluating Electoral Systems
and Redistricting Plans, Version 1.0, 2.0 (1992–2002), (ICPSR s1047).
King, Gary. COUNT: A Program for Estimating Event Count and Duration Regressions,
Versions 1988–2002, published as a stand-alone program and as part of the Gauss Package
by Aptech Systems, Kent, Washington.
King, Gary. MAXLIK , a set of Gauss programs, annotated for pedagogical purposes,
to implement the maximum likelihood models in Unifying Political Methodology: The
Likelihood Theory of Statistical Inference.
Patents
King, Gary; Eric Mazur; Kelly Miller; and Brian Lukoff. “Instructional Support Platform
for Interactive Learning Platforms,” U.S Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No. US
10,692,391 B2, Issued 6/23/2020. Copy at https://j.mp/30cyPab.
King, Gary; Eric Mazur; Kelly Miller; and Brian Lukoff. “Instructional Support Platform
for Interactive Learning Platforms,” U.S Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No. US
10,438,498 B2, Issued 10/8/2019. Copy at http://j.mp/32vmgWB.
King, Gary; Brian Lukoff; and Eric Mazur. 2019. “Cluster Analysis of Participant Re-
sponses for Test Generation or Teaching,” U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No.
US 10,388,177 B2, Issued 8/20/2019. Copy at http://j.mp/30wgvYC.
King, Gary; and Patrick Lam; and Margaret Roberts. 2019. “Systems and Methods
for Keyword Determination and Document Classification from Unstructured Text,” U.S.
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Gary King 26
Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No. US 10,275,516 B2, Issued 4/30/2019. Copy at
http://j.mp/2Jz53pp.
King, Gary; Eric Mazur; and Brian Lukoff. 2019. “Participant Grouping for Enhanced
Interactive Experience,” U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No. US 10,216,827 B2,
Issued 2/26/2019. Copy at http://j.mp/2tFYhVX
King, Gary; Eric Mazur; Kelly Miller; and Brian Lukoff. 2019. “Stimulating Online
Discussion in Interactive Learning Environments,” U.S. Patent and Trademark Office,
Patent No. US 10,192,456 B2, Issued 1/29/2019. Copy at http://j.mp/2CQrIIT.
King, Gary; Brian Lukoff; and Eric Mazur. 2018. “Management of Off-Task Time in a
Participatory Environment,” U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No. US 9,965,972
B2, Issued 5/8/2018. Copy at http://j.mp/2I6IKEj.
King, Gary and Justin Grimmer. 2016. “Method and Apparatus for Selecting Clusterings
to Classify a Data Set.” U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No. US 9,519,705 B2,
Issued 12/13/2016. Copy at http://j.mp/2hSsNnl.
King, Gary; Brian Lukoff; and Eric Mazur. 2016. “Cross-Classroom and Cross-Institution
Item Validation.” U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No. US 9,508,266, Issued
11/29/2016. Copy at http://j.mp/2gG9Dkk.
Firat, Aykut; Mitchell Brooks; Christopher Bingham; Amac Herdagdelen; and Gary King.
2016. “Systems and methods for calculating category proportions,” U.S. Patent and Trade-
mark Office, Patent No. US 9,483,544, Issued 11/1/2016. Copy at http://j.mp/2mqwX8f.
King, Gary; Brian Lukoff; and Eric Mazur. 2015. “Participant Grouping For Enhanced
Interactive Experience,” U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No. US 9,219,998 B2,
Issued 12/22/2015. Copy at http://j.mp/2IEZJSV.
King, Gary; Daniel Hopkins; and Ying Lu. 11/17/2015. “System for Estimating a Distri-
bution of Message Content Categories in Source Data (2nd),” United States of America
US 9,189,538 B2 (U.S Patent and Trademark Office). Copy at http://j.mp/2CeNXs5.
King, Gary; Brian Lukoff; and Eric Mazur. 2014. “Participant Grouping For Enhanced
Interactive Experience,” U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No. US 8,914,373 B2,
Issued 12/16/2014. Copy at http://j.mp/1EkBPSZ.
King, Gary and Justin Grimmer. 2013. “Method and Apparatus for Selecting Clusterings
to Classify A Predetermined Data Set,” U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, Patent No.
US 8,438,162 B2, Issued 5/7/2013, Copy at http://j.mp/12cmMDZ.
Hopkins, Daniel; Gary King; and Ying Lu. 2012. “System for Estimating a Distribution of
Message Content Categories in Source Data,” U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, Patent
No. US 8,180,717 B2, Issued 5/15/2012, Copy at http://j.mp/14SQsbp.
Gerken, Heather K.; Jonathan N. Katz; Gary King; Larry J. Sabato; and Samuel S.-H.
Wang. 2017. “Brief of Heather K. Gerken, Jonathan N. Katz, Gary King, Larry J. Sabato,
and Samuel S.-H. Wang as Amici Curiae in Support of Appellees,” Filed with the Supreme
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Gary King 27
Court of the United States in Beverly R. Gill et al. v. William Whitford et al. No. 16-1161.
Copy at http://j.mp/2iJAMZl.
Imbens, Guido; Donald B Rubin; Gary King; Richard A Berk; Daniel E Ho; Kevin M
Quinn; James D Greiner; Ian Ayres; Richard Brooks; Paul Oyer; and Richard Lempert.
2012. “Brief of Empirical Scholars as Amici Curiae,” Filed with the Supreme Court of the
United States in Abigail Noel Fisher v. University of Texas at Austin, et al. No. 11-345,
Copy at http://j.mp/2ox5M0U.
Gary King, Bernard Grofman, Andrew Gelman, and Jonathan Katz. 2005. “Brief of Amici
Curiae Professors Gary King, Bernard Grofman, Andrew Gelman, and Jonathan Katz in
Support of Neither Party,” Filed with the U.S. Supreme Court in Jackson v. Perry. Copy
at http://j.mp/2gw1W1R.
Companies Founded
Perusall (Perusall.com), founded by Gary King, Brian Lukoff, Eric Mazur, and Kelly
Miller, 2015–.
Board of Directors, Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, 9/1/2011–2020.
Gary King 28
Scientific Oversight Group, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of
Washington, 2008–.
Advisory Board Member, Political Methods: Quantitative Methods, Social Science Re-
search Network, 2007–.
Editorial Advisory Board, The Annals, American Academy of Political and Social Science,
2006–.
Editorial Board Member, Concepts and Methods Working Paper Series of the International
Political Science Association, 2005–2007.
Member, U.S. National Committee on Data for Science and Technology (USNC/CODATA),
National Research Council, 12/2001–6/2004.
Member, Privacy in the Information Age Committee, National Research Council (Com-
puter Science and Telecommunications Board), 2/2002–.
Gary King 29
Governing Council member, Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research,
1998–2000. Chair, Director Search Comittee.
American Political Science Association liaison to the American Association for the Ad-
vancement of Science, Section K, 2002.
Editorial Board member, Sage Publications, Quantitative Applications in the Social Sci-
ences, monograph series, 1994–.
Chair, National Science Foundation, Committee of Visitors review panel for the political
science program, 1994.
Editorial board member, American Politics Research (formerly American Politics Quar-
terly), 1992–2010.
Founding Editor, The Political Methodologist, Newsletter of The Society for Political
Methodology and the Methodology Section of The American Political Science Associa-
tion, 1988–1990.
Program Committee Co-chair, Political Methodology Section and Organized Section Head
of the Political Methodology Group, American Political Science Association annual meet-
ing, 1990.
Member, Richard F. Fenno, Jr. Prize Committee, Legislative Studies Section, American
Political Science Association, 1990.
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[Needs updating!]
Invited Address, “The Dataverse Network,” UseR! The R User Conference, Technische
Universität Dortmund, Germany, 12-14 August 2008.
Invited Address, American Association for Public Opinion Research, Nashville, May, 2003.
Short Courses (3-6 hours) offered on A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Re-
constructing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data at the American Political Science
Association (August, 1997), the Boston Chapter of the American Statistical Association
(November, 1997), the Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research (July
1998), and the Social Science History Association (November 1998).
“Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys,” the Journal
of the American Statistical Association (by Andrew Gelman, Gary King, and Chuanhai
Liu), Applications Invited Discussion Paper at the American Statistical Association annual
meetings in Dallas, Texas, August, 1998.
“Meet the Author: Gary King’s A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Recon-
structing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data,” panels at the annual meetings of
the Midwest Political Science Association, 10–12 April 1997, and the American Political
Science Association, 28–31 August 1997.
“Meet the Authors: King, Keohane, and Verba’s Designing Social Inquiry: Scientific
Inference in Qualitative Research,” annual meetings of the American Political Science
Association, 2–4 September 1994.
“The State of Political Methodology: Looking Back at Achen (1983), King (1990), and
Bartels and Brady (1993),” at the annual meetings of the American Political Science
Association, 2–5 September, 1993.
“On Political Methodology,” presented to a panel about this paper at the annual meetings
of the American Political Science Association, Atlanta, 31 August to 3 September 1989.
“Maximum Likelihood: Costs and Benefits,” (on Unifying Political Methodology: The
Likelihood Theory of Statistical Inference) at the annual meetings of the Southern Political
Science Association, Memphis, Tennessee, 2–4 November 1989.
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[Needs updating!]
Steering Committee, Political Economy and Government Ph.D. program, FAS and JFK
School of Government, Harvard, 1991–94.
Chair, James Phelps Stokes Lecture Committee, Department of Politics, NYU, 1986–87.
Gary King 32
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EXHIBIT 9
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
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Exhibit 1
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Stephen Ansolabehere
December 4, 2020
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Statement of Inquiry
1. I have been asked to evaluate the report of Dr. William Briggs. I am compensated at
overall, based on my review, I find the estimates and analyses in Dr. Briggs’ report to be
unreliable and the analysis not up to scientific standards of survey research, data science, or
election analysis. There are substantial errors in the design of the survey and errors and
inconsistencies in the data used in the analysis that are of sufficient magnitude to invalidate any
calculations or estimates based on these data. The extremely low response rate, the high break
off rate, and the inconsistencies in data spreadsheets lead me to conclude that the survey should
not be assumed to be representative of the population studied, and the data should not be
assumed to be accurate. The interpretation of the data does not account for obvious and
important features of absentee voting, including permanent absentee voters who do not need to
request ballots to receive them, as well as late, rejected, invalid, and spoiled absentee ballots.
The errors in design, analysis, and interpretation of the data are so massive that there is no
foundation for drawing any conclusions or inferences from Dr. Briggs’ report.
Summary Assessment
3. In his report, Dr. Briggs evaluates survey data that was provided to him by a third
party and assumes that “the respondents [to the survey] are representative and the data are
accurate.” 1 There is no indication in his report that he conducted any analysis of the data or that
those who provided the data to him did anything to verify its correctness and integrity. Nor is
1
William M. Briggs, “An Analysis of Surveys Regarding Absentee Ballots Across Several States,” November 23,
2020, page 1.
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there any showing that he or anyone else analyzed the quality of the survey or the
representativeness of the sample on which he based his analysis. It is standard scientific practice
in the field of survey research to give careful scrutiny to data before conducting any statistical
analyses, including understanding the structure and wording of the survey questions, the
sampling method and response rate, and the characteristics of the sample, such as demographic
4. In his report, Dr. Briggs defines two types of purported errors. The first is that people
received an absentee ballot even though, according to the survey, they did not request one
(Alleged Error #1). The second is that people allegedly returned absentee ballots that election
offices did not record (Alleged Error #2). These two alleged errors, Dr. Briggs asserts, combine
to create a category of “troublesome ballots.” The estimates of Alleged Error #1 and Alleged
Error #2 that he presents are deeply flawed because of defects in the design of the survey, fatal
data errors evident in the survey toplines, calculation errors, and errors in the interpretation of the
data. It is my professional judgment that none of the estimates and projections in his report are
valid.
5. The design of the survey contaminates the data and any estimates, rendering them
invalid. Specifically, in Question 1 of the survey the surveyor asks to speak to a specific person.
Some of the respondents are flagged as “Reached Target,” while others are flagged as
“Uncertain” or “What is this about?” Both groups of people (Reached Target and Uncertain) are
then asked Question 2, “Did you request an absentee ballot?” This is a serious survey design
error, because some or perhaps all of the people flagged as “Uncertain” are not the target of the
interview. As a result, the structure of the very beginning of the survey allows people who were
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not the target to be treated as if they were in the remaining questions. This leads to the
6. The survey also suffers from ambiguously worded questions, which introduces
measurement errors in any estimates. Question 2 asks respondents whether they requested an
absentee ballot. The question does not follow up and clarify different ways that people obtain
absentee ballots, especially, whether the voter did not need to request a ballot in order to receive
one because they are permanent absentee voters. According to data reported by county election
offices in the State of Arizona to the U.S. Election Assistance Commission, there were 2,545,198
million permanent absentee or early voters (PEVs) in the state out of 2,672,384 absentee voters
in the 2018 election. The data are from 2018 because the 2020 data have not yet been reported.
In other words, 95 percent of all absentee voters in the state were automatically sent an
absentee ballot without needing to request one for a specific election. Dr. Briggs is
apparently unaware of this critical fact, which completely undermines his analysis.
7. The wording of Question 3 also is very problematic. First, the survey does not
ascertain whether a ballot was in fact received. According to figures from the U.S. Election
Assistance Commission, there were 102,896 undeliverable absentee ballots. Neither Question 2
nor Question 3 screens out people who did not receive a ballot. Second, Question 3 does not
ascertain whether the ballot was mailed back in a timely manner so as to be included in the
record of ballots cast. Third, Question 3 asks whether someone voted. As is well known among
political scientists and survey researchers, survey questions asking whether someone voted are
subject to substantial social desirability biases that lead to inflation in the estimated number of
voters.
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8. There are also errors and inconsistencies in the survey data. Appended to Dr. Briggs’
report is a series of tables, called Topline Tables (“toplines”), for the State of Arizona. Toplines
for other states are not disclosed. The toplines provide the basic statistics about the survey
reported for each question, as well as the questions themselves and the response categories for
each question. There are errors in the spreadsheet of toplines indicating data inconsistencies. For
example, in Arizona, there are more respondents to Question 2 than the survey instructions
indicate should have been asked Question 2. Generally, such errors indicate fundamental
problems with the management of the survey and the databases generated by the survey. It is
standard practice in survey research and analysis of survey data to conduct integrity checks to
ensure that there are not mistakes in the data. The presence of substantial discrepancies in these
topline tables, such as shown here, indicates flaws in the data. Dr. Briggs’ report makes no
mention of these inconsistencies and errors and assumes that the underlying data are accurate.
These errors and inconsistencies reveal that the data are not accurate.
9. In addition, the survey has extremely low response rates. Of the 518,560 absentee
voters who were the target of the study, 2,489 were asked and 2,129 people (one-half of one
percent) ultimately provided answers to Question 2. High non-response rates generally create
biases in survey because the samples are rarely representative of the population under study.
Surveys with such a low response rate are not accepted in scientific publications, except on rare
occasions and with proper analyses that ensure that the respondents are in fact representative.
When researchers have low response rates, they must offer affirmative proof of
11. The interpretation of the data as evidence of “errors” and “troublesome ballots” fails
to account for the rules and realities of absentee voting. First, Dr. Briggs calls Alleged Error #1
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absentee ballots that were received by voters but were not “requested.” This interpretation fails
to consider that 95 percent of absentee ballots sent by election offices are sent to permanent
absentee voters, who receive ballots without requesting them. All five states in his report allow
for permanent absentee voting for some or all registrants. Second, Dr. Briggs calls Alleged Error
#2 ballots that were sent by voters but not recorded at the county election offices. This
interpretation fails to account for late, undeliverable, rejected, and spoiled ballots. Most
jurisdictions, for example, do not record late ballots in the tally of returned absentee ballots. The
results in his analysis, if they are real, are likely the consequence of the normal practice of
absentee voting.
II. Qualifications
at the University of California, Los Angeles, and I was Professor of Political Science at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, where I held the Elting Morison Chair and served as
Associate Head of the Department of Political Science. I am the Principal Investigator of the
Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), a survey research consortium of over 250
faculty and student researchers at more than 50 universities, directed the Caltech/MIT Voting
Technology Project from its inception in 2000 through 2004, and served on the Board of
Overseers of the American National Election Study from 1999 to 2013. I am an election analyst
for and consultant to CBS News’ Election Night Decision Desk. I am a member of the American
Academy of Arts and Sciences (inducted in 2007). My curriculum vitae is attached to this
report as Appendix B.
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13. I have worked as a consultant to the Brennan Center in the case of McConnell v.
FEC, 540 U.S. 93 (2003). I have testified before the U.S. Senate Committee on Rules, the U.S.
Senate Committee on Commerce, the U.S. House Committee on Science, Space, and
Technology, the U.S. House Committee on House Administration, and the Congressional Black
Caucus on matters of election administration in the United States. I filed an amicus brief with
Professors Nathaniel Persily and Charles Stewart on behalf of neither party to the U.S. Supreme
Court in the case of Northwest Austin Municipal Utility District Number One v. Holder, 557 U.S.
193 (2009) and an amicus brief with Professor Nathaniel Persily and others in the case of
Evenwel v. Abbott, 138 S. Ct. 1120 (2015). I have served as a testifying expert for the Gonzales
intervenors in State of Texas v. United States before the U.S. District Court in the District of
Columbia (No. 1:11-cv-01303); the Rodriguez plaintiffs in Perez v. Perry, before the U.S.
District Court in the Western District of Texas (No. 5:11-cv-00360); for the San Antonio Water
District intervenor in LULAC v. Edwards Aquifer Authority in the U.S. District Court for the
Western District of Texas, San Antonio Division (No. 5:12cv620-OLG); for the Department of
Justice in State of Texas v. Holder, before the U.S. District Court in the District of Columbia
(No. 1:12-cv-00128); for the Guy plaintiffs in Guy v. Miller in the U.S. District Court for Nevada
(No. 11-OC-00042-1B); for the Florida Democratic Party in In re Senate Joint Resolution of
Legislative Apportionment in the Florida Supreme Court (Nos. 2012-CA-412, 2012-CA-490); for
the Romo plaintiffs in Romo v. Detzner in the Circuit Court of the Second Judicial Circuit in
Florida (No. 2012 CA 412); for the Department of Justice in Veasey v. Perry, before the U.S.
District Court for the Southern District of Texas, Corpus Christi Division (No. 2:13cv00193);
for the Harris plaintiffs in Harris v. McCrory in the U.S. District Court for the Middle District of
North Carolina (No. 1:2013cv00949); for the Bethune-Hill plaintiffs in Bethune-Hill v. Virginia
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State Board of Elections in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia (No. 3:
2014cv00852); for the Fish plaintiffs in Fish v. Kobach in the U.S. District Court for the District
of Kansas ( No. 2:16-cv-02105-JAR); and for intervenors in Voto Latino, et al. v. Hobbs, in the
U.S. District Court for the District of Arizona (No. 2:19-cv-05685-DWL). I served as an expert
witness and filed an affidavit in the North Carolina State Board of Elections hearings regarding
absentee ballot fraud in the 2018 election for Congressional District 9 in North Carolina.
electoral politics, representation, and public opinion, as well as statistical methods in social
sciences and survey research methods. I have authored numerous scholarly works on voting
behavior and elections, the application of statistical methods in social sciences, legislative
politics and representation, and distributive politics. This scholarship includes articles in such
academic journals as the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, American Political Science
Review, American Economic Review, the American Journal of Political Science, Legislative
Studies Quarterly, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Electoral Studies, and Political
Analysis. I have published articles on issues of election law in the Harvard Law Review, Texas
Law Review, Columbia Law Review, New York University Annual Survey of Law, and Election
Law Journal, for which I am a member of the editorial board. I am associate editor of the
Harvard Data Science Review, and have served as associate editor of the Public Opinion
Quarterly. I have coauthored three scholarly books on electoral politics in the United States, The
End of Inequality: Baker v. Carr and the Transformation of American Politics, Going Negative:
How Political Advertising Shrinks and Polarizes the Electorate, and The Media Game:
American Politics in the Media Age. I am coauthor with Benjamin Ginsberg and Ken Shepsle of
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III. Sources
15. I have relied on the report of Dr. William Briggs in this case.
16. I have relied on the Election Assistance Commission, “Election Administration and
I present data from 2018 because it is the most recent federal election for which data on absentee
and permanent absentee voting is available. The 2018 data are instructive about the magnitude
of permanent absentee voters and the magnitude of unreturned, late, rejected, and spoiled
17. I have relied on the report of Mr. Matthew Braynard in a pending lawsuit in Fulton
18. I have relied on the report of Dr. William Briggs in King v. Whitmer in the District
IV. Findings
19. In my professional judgment, there are fundamental flaws in the design of the survey
design and the survey data on which Dr. Briggs relied. These flaws created biases in the
estimates and analyses that are sufficiently large to completely explain the results that Dr. Briggs
presents as nothing more than errors in the data collection process. Perhaps most troubling, the
survey is likely highly unrepresentative because it has a response rate less than 1 percent; the
survey data are contaminated by respondents who should not have been included in the survey,
and the basic data in the Topline summaries of the data do not add up, indicating fatal flaws in
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20. The interpretations of the estimates in the survey as errors and troublesome ballots
fail to take into account the realities of absentee voting in the State of Arizona. Almost all
absentee voters in the State receive absentee ballots for each election without having to request
ballots for that election because they are Permanent Absentee and Early Voters (PEVs). In
addition, there are large numbers of undeliverable and late absentee ballots, which are typically
A. Critique of Interpretation
i. The survey data and its interpretation do not account for PEVs.
21. The analysis of Question 2 is used to estimate the number of people who received but
did not request an absentee ballot. Dr. Briggs calls this Alleged Error #1.
22. The interpretation of these data as an error in balloting does not account for the
presence of a large number of Permanent Absentee and Early Voters (PEVs) in Arizona,
Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Georgia automatically mails ballots for voters who
qualify for “rollover” ballots – people over 65, disabled, or in the military who sign up annually
to have ballots automatically sent to them. I consider rollover ballots to be a form of PEV, but
23. PEVs are automatically sent their absentee ballots. They do not need to request that
24. In the State of Arizona, nearly all absentee ballots sent are sent to PEVs. In 2018,
PEVs were 95 percent of absentee ballots sent by election offices to registered voters. In other
words, nearly all voters who received absentee ballots in the State did so without having to
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25. In the other states covered in Dr. Briggs’ report, there are substantial numbers of
PEVs. Table 1 presents data from the number of absentee ballots sent in 2018 and the number of
permanent absentee ballots sent to voters in Arizona, Georgia (rollover absentee voters),
Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The number of permanent absentee ballots sent in
Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin far exceeds the estimated Alleged Error #1 in the first table in
Dr. Briggs’ report. The EAC reports no data on permanent absentee ballots for Georgia in 2018.
Those data cover 2018 and are presented to indicate the likely magnitude of PEVs in the states in
2020. Preliminary reports from some of these states show very high numbers of PEVs and
rollover absentee voters. There were at least 582,000 “rollover” ballots in Georgia in 2020. 2
26. Based on the toplines, Mr. Braynard’s survey does not identify PEVS or distinguish
2
Stephen Fowler, “Nearly 800,000 Georgians Have Already Requested Absentee Ballots for November” GA Today
gpb.org, September 2, 2020. https://www.gpb.org/news/2020/09/02/nearly-800000-georgians-have-already-
requested-absentee-ballots-for-november
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ii. The interpretation of Question 3 fails to account for the proper handling
of late, invalid, and spoiled absentee ballots by Local Election Offices.
27. The analysis of Question 3 of Mr. Braynard’s survey is used to estimate the number
of people who stated that they returned an absentee ballot but for whom no vote was recorded.
28. The interpretation of such cases as errors does not account for absentee ballots that
are in fact not received or counted by election officers because the ballots are not returned by the
postal system, are returned late by the voter, are spoiled by the voter, or are rejected. Such
ballots are the obvious explanation for the data observed. No effort in the survey or the analysis
is made to ascertain the likelihood that a voter cast a late or invalid absentee ballot.
29. The number of absentee ballots that are not received or valid is substantial. Table 2
presents counts of rejected, late, undelivered, and voided absentee ballots in Arizona, Georgia,
Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin for 2018, the most recent federal election for which
systematic data on absentee voting are available. An undeliverable absentee ballot is one that
was returned to the election office as not being deliverable to the address on the voter registration
lists. The final column presents the number of sent absentee ballots for which the status of a
ballot sent by the election office to a voter was not received and its status is not known. These
are likely ballots that simply were not returned by voters or were lost or delayed in the US Postal
System. Delays in the postal system were a particular concern in 2020, as there were widespread
reports of staffing problems during COVID for USPS, delays in mail delivery, and declines in
the rate of on-time delivery. 3 Late, undelivered, rejected, and spoiled ballots are not counted
3
Hailey Fuchs, “Some Regions Still Experience Slow Delivery of Mail Ballots,” New York Times, November 3,
2020, Section A, Page 23. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/02/us/politics/mail-ballot-usps.html.
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under law, and they are comparable in magnitude to the estimates of the Alleged Error #2
30. Arizona election officials reported to EAC a total of 2,515 late absentee ballots,
27,804 void or spoiled ballots, 8,567 rejected ballots, and 102,896 ballots that were undeliverable
in the 2018 election. These figures are not definitive of the numbers for the 2020 election, which
have not yet been reported. Rather, they are demonstrative of the fact that there are sound,
documented administrative reasons that returned absentee ballots are not recorded as having been
voted, especially tardiness, spoilage, and rejection for lack of signatures, valid envelopes, and the
like.
Table 2. Rejected, Undelivered, Voided, and Late Absentees in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan,
Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in 2018
Rejected Undeliverable Spoiled/Voided Late Status
Absentee Absentee Absentee Absentee Unknown
Ballots Ballots Ballots Ballots
Arizona 8,567 102,896 27,804 2,515 642,210
Georgia 7,512 2,322 252 3,525 36,255
Michigan 6,013 791 19,679 2,207 41,120
Pennsylvania 8,714 * * 8,162 20,622
Wisconsin 2,517 1,718 2,794 1,445 12,407
Source: EAC, EAVS 2018.
Note: * no data reported.
31. Dr. Briggs offers no assessment of the design of the survey that generated the data
32. It is my understanding that Matthew Braynard designed and conducted these surveys.
There is no report of the survey design, questionnaire, or response rates, beyond the information
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33. The response rate to the survey is measured as the number of people who answered
the first substantive question (Q2) in the survey divided by the number of people who the
surveyor sought to contact. The response rate to the survey conducted by Mr. Braynard in the
State of Arizona is one-half of one percent. That is, of the 518,560 people who the survey
research project set out to interview, 99.5 percent of them could not be contacted or refused to
participate. That is an extremely low response rate, and it creates substantial doubt about
34. Dr. Briggs offered no calculation of a response rate to the surveys in his report.
35. My calculation of the response rate is offered in Table 1. For each phase of the
survey, I calculate the percent of people originally sought to be studied who remain in the survey
or are asked a given question. The initial phase of the survey consists of matching phone
numbers to the registration list and contacting those numbers. The number of cases for which an
interview could commence was 5,604, of the original 518,560 registration records (or 1 percent).
These 5,604 cases consist of all records for which a message was left, there was an early hang up
or refusal at some point during the survey (2,975), and cases that made it to the end of the survey
(684).
36. Once the survey commences, there is first a screener question to determine whether
the person interviewed should continue with the interview. That is Question 1. Question 2 is the
first question of interest in Dr. Briggs’ analysis. It asks, “Did you request an Absentee Ballot in
the State of <state name>?” People could answer “Yes”, “No”, some other answer, Refuse to
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37. The response rate to the survey items of interest is the percent of people who were
asked Question 2. 2,489 of the original 518,560 were asked Question 2, and 2,129 provided an
38. This is an extremely low response rate. In most disciplines of study that I am familiar
with, these would not be scientifically acceptable or reliable samples. For example, I am
associate editor of the Harvard Data Sciences Review, which broadly covers fields of statistics
and data sciences, and specialty fields such as political science, public opinion, survey
methodology, and economics. Papers with such high non-responses are rejected on their face for
39. In my work as an expert witness for the Department of Justice, courts in which I have
testified exclude as evidence phone surveys based on registration lists because they have
response rates of 2 percent. Specifically, in Texas v. Holder, Professor Daron Shaw offered
evidence based on phone surveys of registration lists. These surveys had response rates of 2
percent, and the court rejected the data because of serious questions about the representativeness
of samples in which 98 percent of respondents could not be contacted or would not respond, and
the effects of very low response rates on accuracy and reliability of estimates using surveys with
very low response rates. See Texas v. Holder in the United States District Court for the District
of Columbia No. 12-cv-128 (see pages 30 and 31). In evaluating the surveys conducted by Mr.
Maynard and reported by Dr. Briggs, I use the 2 percent threshold as a standard for an
40. Dr. Briggs’ assumption that those who responded to the question are representative of
the relevant population under study (i.e., the other 99 percent of people who could not or would
not participate in the survey) is highly unlikely to be correct. When surveys have high non-
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response rates, it is standard practice to analyze information about the sample and the target
confirm that the assumption of representativeness of a sample can be maintained. When the
response rates are very low, such an analysis is a necessity in order to determine whether there is
Table 3. Phone Survey Targets, Attempts and Completes in Mr. Braynard’s survey of Arizona
registered voters for whom records show no returned ballots
Percent of Targets for Survey
Number of Cases Remaining in the Survey
Process
People the Survey Sought to 518,560 100%
Reach (all Unreturned Ballots)
[Targets for Survey]
Data Loads (Phone Numbers 81,780 15.77%
Loaded into the Survey System)
“Completes”
No Answer 74,437
Numbers/Language 1,663
VM Message Left 1,945
Early Hang Up/Refused 2,975
Q4 = 01* 684
Subtotal: “Completes” 5,604 1.08%
*Note: This number is as reported. In table for Q4, 678 cases are Q4 = 01, and 684 is the
Sum of All Responses for Q5.
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ii. The screening question improperly allows people to take the survey who
should not.
41. A second substantial flaw in the survey is that the design of the questionnaire allows
people who are not affirmatively determined to be the correct person to take the survey.
42. Past research has documented that phone surveys using registered voter lists are
often answered by someone other than the person who was listed on the registered voter file.
The two most common problems are that the wrong number was matched to the voter list and
that someone other than the person the research sought to speak with answered the phone. The
43. Question 1 (Q1) of the survey asks, “May I please speak to <lead on screen>?”
“Lead on screen” is the name from the voter registration list that is linked to the phone number
that the survey has dialed. Responses to Q1 are listed as reached target, other/uncertain, refused,
and hang up. In the survey toplines for Arizona, the response categories for Question 1 do not
specifically describe the branching. I examined the toplines for other states as reported in the
appendix to Dr. Briggs’ report in King v. Whitmer. The other states show that the second
response category for Question 1 is assigned to Question 2. For example, in the first table
(Georgia), the responses are “Reached Target [Go to Q2]” and “[Go to Q2],” without further
44. This is an error in the branching design of the survey. People who are not
affirmatively identified as the correct person for the interview are allowed to answer the
remaining questions in the survey. For example, Reponses to Questions 2 and 3 show evidence
4
Pew Research Center, “Comparing Survey Sampling Strategies: Random-Digit Dialing vs. Voter Files,” 2018.
https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2018/10/09/comparing-survey-sampling-strategies-random-digit-dial-vs-
voter-files/, see pages 25-26.
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that spouses and other family members are asked Questions 2 and 3, even though they were not
45. A significant percent and number of respondents who are listed as not giving an
affirmative answer to Question 1 are in fact kept in the survey and asked Question 2. In the
Arizona survey, 335 respondents answered Uncertain, but were then asked Question 2. These
335 cases are 15.6 percent of cases who answered Question 1 and were then assigned to
Question 2 (i.e., 335/(335+1,812)). These respondents enter the pool for Questions 2 and 3 and
46. Questions 2 and 3 exhibit evidence of these cases. The response categories labeled
“Member” correspond to family members. Again, there is no codebook for deciphering the
response categories. I relied on the toplines for other states in Dr. Briggs’ report in King v.
Whitmer to clarify these categories. Family members answering on behalf of someone indicates
that the survey interviewers did not always speak with the specific person listed on the
registration list. The number of family members listed is a small percentage of all of the cases
47. I inspected the toplines for other states and discovered similar errors in the branching
in all of the states. People whose identity was not clearly identified in Question 1 are asked
Question 2. At this point in the branching protocol, my conclusion is that the data are not an
accurate reflection of the Target group (i.e., those people who are affirmatively identified as the
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48. Question 3 asks people whether they voted. Specifically, it asks people who said that
they requested an absentee ballot whether they returned an absentee ballot; that is, whether they
49. It has long been understood in political science that respondents to surveys over-
points. That is, if 65 percent of people in a sample actually voted, the reported vote rates in
surveys are usually around 75 to 85 percent. The most commonly identified sorts of biases are
memory errors and social desirability bias in questions asking people whether they voted. 5
When asked whether they voted or cast a ballot, people say “yes” either because they feel that is
the socially acceptable answer or because they forgot whether they actually voted in a given
election. Questions that ask people whether they voted or cast a ballot will overstate voting and
should not be taken on face value as ground truth. The particular form of Question 3 is likely to
lead to people saying that they voted a ballot when in fact they had not.
50. There are alternative ways to ask about voting in order to reduce social desirability
bias. 6 Those other ways of asking the question are in line with social science practice in research
in order to avoid social desirability biases. Question 3 should have been asked a different way so
5
See for example, Allyson L. Holbrook and Jon A. Krosnick, “Social Desirability Bias in Voter Turnout Reports:
Test Using the Item Count Technique,” Public Opinion Quarterly 74 (2010): 37-67. See also Stephen Ansolabehere
and Eitan Hersh, “Validation: What Big Data Reveal About Survey Misreporting and the Real Electorate,” Political
Analysis 20 (2012): 437-459
6
See, for example, Holbrook and Krosnick, op cit., and Michael J. Hanmer, Antoine J. Banks, and Ismail K. White,
“Experiments to Reduce the Over-Reporting of Voting: A Pipeline to the Truth,” Political Analysis 22 (2014): 130-
141.
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51. There are obvious data errors and inconsistencies revealed in the toplines that are
appended to Dr. Briggs’ report. Dr. Briggs states that he assumes that “the data is accurate.”
A routine analysis to check the consistency and integrity of data reported in the toplines is
standard practice in the survey research field. Such checks allow researchers to determine
whether the survey data and spreadsheet program are producing sensible numbers and, thus,
working correctly. Failures in even a small number of integrity checks indicate problems with
the survey systems and software, and raise deep concerns about data accuracy generally. I
routinely perform such checks on surveys that I conduct and supervise. I have performed such a
check, and it reveals that the data lack integrity. They should not be assumed to be accurate.
52. The data integrity checks that I implemented were of two sorts. First, I added up the
number of cases in each response category to verify that they sum to the number of cases
reported for each question in the row labeled “Sum of Responses.” Second, I added up the
number of cases at each phase of the survey that are indicated as cases to be asked the next
question. For example, I add up the cases in Question 1 that have the flag [Go to Q2] and then
check whether that number equals the number of cases for Question 2 in “Sum of Responses.” I
performed these integrity checks for the Arizona survey toplines appended to Dr. Briggs’ report
in this case and to the toplines for the surveys that Mr. Braynard conducted in other states and
53. The toplines for one of the surveys (Wisconsin) failed the first integrity check. The
response categories for Question 1 in that survey had 2,261 people listed as “A-Reached Target +
B-What Is This About?/Uncertain” and 1,677 cases listed as “X=Refused.” These numbers sum
to 3,938. However, the number of cases that the survey system reported under “Sum of All
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Responses” to Question 1 is 3,495. There is a discrepancy of 443 cases that are unaccounted for
at the outset of that survey. This indicates to me an error in the program that generated the
survey data. This finding means none of the Wisconsin data should be assumed to be reliable
and accurate.
54. The integrity checks failed for the Arizona data when I performed the second sort of
integrity check. The accounting for the second sort of integrity check is presented in Table 4.
The first panel of Table 4 (marked with lower case numerals) reproduces the accounting for
“Completes” shown in the toplines appended to Dr. Briggs’ report. The second panel reports the
number of cases in the Completes, including people who hung up or refused, that should have
been asked Question 1 (denoted “A”) and the number of cases who were asked Question 1
(denoted “B”). The third set of rows is the number of cases in Question 1 who were assigned to
Question 2 (denoted “C”) and the number of cases who were asked Question 2 (denoted “D”).
The fourth set of rows is the number of cases in Question 2 who were assigned to Question 3
(denoted “E”) and the number of cases who were asked Question 3 (denoted “F”).
55. The first integrity check in this table is whether the subtotal of Completes equals the
number of cases in which calls reached a response (even if an answering machine or refusal).
That is, do rows (i), (ii), and (iii) sum to row (iv)? They do. The difference between rows
56. The second integrity check in this table is whether the subtotal of Completes eligible
for Question 1 equals the number of people asked Question 1. That is, does Row A equal Row
B? They are not equal. Row A minus Row B is -866, meaning there are 866 more respondents
who were asked Question 2 than were indicated to be calls commenced in the survey. I
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Question or Hang ups at the Complete stage. I found no way to account for the excess number of
cases who were asked Question 1 but were not accounted for in the Completes portion of the
toplines. These respondents mysteriously show up in the interviews and are not accounted for.
57. The third integrity check in this table is whether the number of people who were
assigned in Question 1 to [Go to Q2] equals the number of people who answered Question 2.
That is, does Row C equal Row D? They are not equal. Row C minus Row D is -342, meaning
there are 342 more respondents in Question 2 than were assigned to Question 2 at the Question 1
58. The fourth integrity check in this table is whether the number of people who were
assigned in Question 2 to [Go to Q3] equals the number of people who answered Question 3.
That is, does Row E equal Row F? They are equal. Row E and Row F equal 2,129 each.
59. Inspection of the toplines for Arizona exposes failures of the integrity checks. The
number of cases affected by these failures is substantial: 1,208 (866+342). To put these
spreadsheet failures into perspective, the total number of cases in the survey that are listed as
either Error #1 or Error #2 is 1,229 (i.e., 885 Question 2 = No and 344 Question 3 = Yes). The
presence of integrity check failures leads me to conclude that there are errors in either the
program that generated the survey data or the spreadsheets and analysis used to analyze the data.
The number of errors is of a sufficiently large magnitude that there can be no confidence in any
60. I performed integrity checks for the other states using the toplines appended to Dr.
Briggs’ report in King v. Whitmer. I found similar sorts of spreadsheet inconsistencies and
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61. In my experience running, designing, and analyzing large scale surveys through the
Cooperative Congressional Election Study and serving on the board of the American National
Election Study, errors such as these usually have two sources. They are indicative of either: (i)
errors in the program that that assigns questions to people, or (ii) errors in the program that
generates the spreadsheet. Either sort of error is catastrophic for this analysis, and they render
the estimates, projections, and inferences in Dr. Briggs’ report entirely unreliable.
Table 4. Data Integrity Checks for Mr. Braynard’s survey of Arizona registered voters
C: Completed Q1 2,147
[Go to Q2]*
D: Asked Q2 2,489 C – D = -342
(Sum of All Responses)
* Based on Dr. Briggs’ report in Wood v. Raffensperger, the survey branching in other states
asks Question 2 of respondents who are identified as “Reached Target” or “Uncertain” in
Question 1. I assume that the branching is the same in the Arizona survey.
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D. Conclusion
62. The estimates and projections presented by Dr. Briggs are based on survey data
collected in Arizona and four other states (Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin).
My overall assessment of these surveys is that they were not properly designed. Specifically,
they have unacceptably low response rates, poorly designed questions that are known to over-
report voting, and errors in assigning cases to questions that allow people who should not have
been included in the survey to nonetheless answer the questions. These survey design and
implementation failures mean that, in hundreds of cases, the wrong people are allowed to answer
the surveys, and that the statistician must make implausible assumptions about the
million people. These survey design and implementation flaws are of sufficient magnitude and
63. The data are not accurate. The Topline summaries of the survey data appended to Dr.
Briggs’ report reveal fatal accounting errors in the data. No sound estimates or inferences can be
drawn based on these data. Dr. Briggs assumed at the outset that the respondents to the surveys
are representative and the data are accurate. Neither assumption is correct.
64. The interpretation of the survey responses ignores the realities of absentee voting in
the State of Arizona. In Arizona, 95 percent of people are permanent absentee and early voters
and are sent a ballot automatically without requesting one for a given election. Dr. Briggs
considers as errors all instances in which a voter who was sent an absentee ballot did not request
one. These occurrences are not errors, but instead are the normal workings of Arizona’s
absentee voting system. Also, ballots that voters say they returned but are not recorded are not
definitive evidence of “errors.” Arizona also has a substantial number of absentee ballots that
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are late, undeliverable, spoiled, or invalid. The evidence presented is not evidence of errors in
the election but of errors in the survey data presented by Dr. Briggs.
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_________________________________
Stephen Ansolabehere
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Department of Government
Harvard University
1737 Cambridge Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
[email protected]
EDUCATION
PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE
ACADEMIC POSITIONS
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PUBLICATIONS
Books
2019 American Government, 15th edition. With Ted Lowi, Benjamin Ginsberg
and Kenneth Shepsle. W.W. Norton.
2014 Cheap and Clean: How Americans Think About Energy in the Age of Global
Warming. With David Konisky. MIT Press.
Recipient of the Donald K. Price book award.
2008 The End of Inequality: One Person, One Vote and the Transformation of
American Politics. With James M. Snyder, Jr., W. W. Norton.
1996 Going Negative: How Political Advertising Divides and Shrinks the American
Electorate. With Shanto Iyengar. The Free Press. Recipient of the Goldsmith
book award.
1993 Media Game: American Politics in the Television Age. With Roy Behr and
Shanto Iyengar. Macmillan.
Journal Articles
2021 “The CPS Voting and Registration Supplement Overstates Turnout” Journal of
Politics Forthcoming (with Bernard Fraga and Brian Schaffner)
2019 “Backyard Voices: How Sense of Place Shapes Views of Large-Scale Energy
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2019 “Are All Electrons the Same? Evaluating support for local transmission lines
through an experiment”PLOS ONE 14 (7): e0219066
(with Carley Sanya and David Konisky)
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0219066
2018 “Learning from Recounts” Election Law Journal 17: 100-116 (with Barry C. Burden,
Kenneth R. Mayer, and Charles Stewart III)
https://doi.org/10.1089/elj.2017.0440
2018 “Policy, Politics, and Public Attitudes Toward the Supreme Court” American
Politics Research (with Ariel White and Nathaniel Persily).
https://doi.org/10.1177/1532673X18765189
2017 “ADGN: An Algorithm for Record Linkage Using Address, Date of Birth
Gender and Name,” Statistics and Public Policy (with Eitan Hersh)
2017 “Identity Politics” (with Socorro Puy) Public Choice. 168: 1-19.
DOI 10.1007/s11127-016-0371-2
2016 “A 200-Year Statistical History of the Gerrymander” (with Maxwell Palmer) The
Ohio State University Law Journal
2016 “Do Americans Prefer Co-Ethnic Representation? The Impact of Race on House
Incumbent Evaluations” (with Bernard Fraga) Stanford University Law Review
68: 1553-1594
2016 Revisiting Public Opinion on Voter Identification and Voter Fraud in an Era of
Increasing Partisan Polarization” (with Nathaniel Persily) Stanford Law Review
68: 1455-1489
2015 “The Perils of Cherry Picking Low Frequency Events in Large Sample Surveys”
(with Brian Schaffner and Samantha Luks) Electoral Studies 40 (December):
409-410.
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2015 “A Brief Yet Practical Guide to Reforming U.S. Voter Registration, Election Law
Journal, (with Daron Shaw and Charles Stewart) 14: 26-31.
2015 “Waiting to Vote,” Election Law Journal, (with Charles Stewart) 14: 47-53.
2014 “Does Survey Mode Still Matter?” Political Analysis (with Brian Schaffner) 22:
285-303
2013 “Race, Gender, Age, and Voting” Politics and Governance, vol. 1, issue 2.
(with Eitan Hersh)
http://www.librelloph.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/PaG-1.2.132
2013 “Social Sciences and the Alternative Energy Future” Daedalus (with Bob Fri)
2012 “Asking About Numbers: How and Why” Political Analysis (with Erik
Snowberg and Marc Meredith). doi:10.1093/pan/mps031
2012 “Validation: What Big Data Reveals About Survey Misreporting and the Real
Electorate” Political Analysis (with Eitan Hersh)
2012 “Arizona Free Enterprise v. Bennett and the Problem of Campaign Finance”
Supreme Court Review 2011(1):39-79
2012 “The American Public’s Energy Choice” Daedalus (with David Konisky)
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2011 “When Parties Are Not Teams: Party positions in single-member district and
proportional representation systems” Economic Theory 49 (March)
DOI: 10.1007/s00199-011-0610-1 (with James M. Snyder Jr. and William
Leblanc)
2011 “Profiling Originalism” Columbia Law Review (with Jamal Greene and Nathaniel
Persily).
2010 “Partisanship, Public Opinion, and Redistricting” Election Law Journal (with
Joshua Fougere and Nathaniel Persily).
2010 “Primary Elections and Party Polarization” Quarterly Journal of Political Science
(with Shigeo Hirano, James Snyder, and Mark Hansen)
2010 “Race, Region, and Vote Choice in the 2008 Election: Implications for
the Future of the Voting Rights Act” Harvard Law Review April, 2010. (with
Nathaniel Persily, and Charles H. Stewart III)
2010 “Residential Mobility and the Cell Only Population,” Public Opinion Quarterly
(with Brian Schaffner)
2009 “Explaining Attitudes Toward Power Plant Location,” Public Opinion Quarterly
(with David Konisky)
2008 “A Spatial Model of the Relationship Between Seats and Votes” (with William
Leblanc) Mathematical and Computer Modeling (November).
2008 “The Strength of Issues: Using Multiple Measures to Gauge Preference Stability,
Ideological Constraint, and Issue Voting” (with Jonathan Rodden and James M.
Snyder, Jr.) American Political Science Review (May).
2008 “Voter Fraud in the Eye of the Beholder” (with Nathaniel Persily) Harvard Law
Review (May)
1471
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2007 “Television and the Incumbency Advantage” (with Erik C. Snowberg and
James M. Snyder, Jr). Legislative Studies Quarterly.
2006 “Voting Cues and the Incumbency Advantage: A Critical Test” (with Shigeo
Hirano, James M. Snyder, Jr., and Michiko Ueda) Quarterly Journal of
Political Science vol. 1, issue 2.
2006 “Purple America” (with Jonathan Rodden and James M. Snyder, Jr.) Journal
of Economic Perspectives (Winter).
2005 “Did the Introduction of Voter Registration Decrease Turnout?” (with David
Konisky). Political Analysis.
2005 “Studying Elections” Policy Studies Journal (with Charles H. Stewart III and R.
Michael Alvarez).
2004 “Using Term Limits to Estimate Incumbency Advantages When Office Holders
Retire Strategically” (with James M. Snyder, Jr.). Legislative Studies Quarterly
vol. 29, November 2004, pages 487-516.
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2004 “Did Firms Profit From Soft Money?” (with James M. Snyder, Jr., and Michiko
Ueda) Election Law Journal vol. 3, April 2004.
2003 “Bargaining in Bicameral Legislatures” (with James M. Snyder, Jr. and Mike
Ting) American Political Science Review, August, 2003.
2003 “Why Is There So Little Money in U.S. Politics?” (with James M. Snyder, Jr.)
Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter, 2003.
2002 “Equal Votes, Equal Money: Court-Ordered Redistricting and the Public
Spending in the American States” (with Alan Gerber and James M. Snyder, Jr.)
American Political Science Review, December, 2002.
Paper awarded the Heinz Eulau award for the best paper in the American Political
Science Review.
2002 “Are PAC Contributions and Lobbying Linked?” (with James M. Snyder, Jr. and
Micky Tripathi) Business and Politics 4, no. 2.
2002 “The Incumbency Advantage in U.S. Elections: An Analysis of State and Federal
Offices, 1942-2000” (with James Snyder) Election Law Journal, 1, no. 3.
2001 “Voting Machines, Race, and Equal Protection.” Election Law Journal, vol. 1,
no. 1
2001 “The Effects of Party and Preferences on Congressional Roll Call Voting.”
(with James Snyder and Charles Stewart) Legislative Studies Quarterly
(forthcoming).
Paper awarded the Jewell-Lowenberg Award for the best paper published on
legislative politics in 2001. Paper awarded the Jack Walker Award for the best
paper published on party politics in 2001.
2000 “Old Voters, New Voters, and the Personal Vote,” (with James Snyder and
Charles Stewart) American Journal of Political Science 44 (February).
2000 “Soft Money, Hard Money, Strong Parties,” (with James Snyder) Columbia Law
Review 100 (April):598 - 619.
2000 “Campaign War Chests and Congressional Elections,” (with James Snyder)
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1999 “Replicating Experiments Using Surveys and Aggregate Data: The Case of
Negative Advertising.” (with Shanto Iyengar and Adam Simon) American
Political Science Review 93 (December).
1999 “Valence Politics and Equilibrium in Spatial Models,” (with James Snyder),
Public Choice.
1999 “Money and Institutional Power,” (with James Snyder), Texas Law Review 77
(June, 1999): 1673-1704.
1996 “The Effects of Ballot Access Rules on U.S. House Elections,” (with Alan
Gerber), Legislative Studies Quarterly 21 (May 1996).
1994 “Riding the Wave and Issue Ownership: The Importance of Issues in Political
Advertising and News,” (with Shanto Iyengar) Public Opinion Quarterly 58:
335-357.
1994 “Does Attack Advertising Demobilize the Electorate?” (with Shanto Iyengar),
American Political Science Review 89 (December).
1994 “The Mismeasure of Campaign Spending: Evidence from the 1990 U.S. House
Elections,” (with Alan Gerber) Journal of Politics 56 (September).
1991 “The Vanishing Marginals and Electoral Responsiveness,” (with David Brady and
Morris Fiorina) British Journal of Political Science 22 (November): 21-38.
1991 “Mass Media and Elections: An Overview,” (with Roy Behr and Shanto Iyengar)
American Politics Quarterly 19/1 (January): 109-139.
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1989 “The Nature of Utility Functions in Mass Publics,” (with Henry Brady) American
Political Science Review 83: 143-164.
2006 The Future of Coal. MIT Press. Continued reliance on coal as a primary power
source will lead to very high concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere,
resulting in global warming. This cross-disciplinary study – drawing on faculty
from Physics, Economics, Chemistry, Nuclear Engineering, and Political Science
– develop a road map for technology research and development policy in order to
address the challenges of carbon emissions from expanding use of coal for
electricity and heating throughout the world.
2003 The Future of Nuclear Power. MIT Press. This cross-disciplinary study –
drawing on faculty from Physics, Economics, Chemistry, Nuclear Engineering,
and Political Science – examines the what contribution nuclear power can make to
meet growing electricity demand, especially in a world with increasing carbon
dioxide emissions from fossil fuel power plants.
2002 “Election Day Registration.” A report prepared for DEMOS. This report analyzes
the possible effects of Proposition 52 in California based on the experiences of 6
states with election day registration.
2001 Voting: What Is, What Could Be. A report of the Caltech/MIT Voting
Technology Project. This report examines the voting system, especially
technologies for casting and counting votes, registration systems, and polling
place operations, in the United States. It was widely used by state and national
governments in formulating election reforms following the 2000 election.
2016 “Taking the Study of Public Opinion Online” (with Brian Schaffner) Oxford
Handbook of Public Opinion, R. Michael Alvarez, ed. Oxford University Press:
New York, NY.
2014 “Voter Registration: The Process and Quality of Lists” The Measure of
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2012 “Using Recounts to Measure the Accuracy of Vote Tabulations: Evidence from
New Hampshire Elections, 1946-2002” in Confirming Elections, R. Michael
Alvarez, Lonna Atkeson, and Thad Hall, eds. New York: Palgrave, Macmillan.
2008 “Voting Technology and Election Law” in America Votes!, Benjamin Griffith,
editor, Washington, DC: American Bar Association.
2007 “What Did the Direct Primary Do to Party Loyalty in Congress” (with
Shigeo Hirano and James M. Snyder Jr.) in Process, Party and Policy
Making: Further New Perspectives on the History of Congress, David
Brady and Matthew D. McCubbins (eds.), Stanford University Press, 2007.
2006 “The Decline of Competition in Primary Elections,” (with John Mark Hansen,
Shigeo Hirano, and James M. Snyder, Jr.) The Marketplace of Democracy,
Michael P. McDonald and John Samples, eds. Washington, DC: Brookings.
2002 “Corruption and the Growth of Campaign Spending”(with Alan Gerber and James
Snyder). A User’s Guide to Campaign Finance, Jerry Lubenow, editor. Rowman
and Littlefield.
2001 “The Paradox of Minimal Effects,” in Henry Brady and Richard Johnston, eds.,
Do Campaigns Matter? University of Michigan Press.
2000 “Money and Office,” (with James Snyder) in David Brady and John Cogan, eds.,
Congressional Elections: Continuity and Change. Stanford University Press.
10
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1995 “The Effectiveness of Campaign Advertising: It’s All in the Context,” (with
Shanto Iyengar) in Campaigns and Elections American Style, Candice Nelson and
James A. Thurber, eds. Westview Press.
Working Papers
2009 “Sociotropic Voting and the Media” (with Marc Meredith and Erik Snowberg),
American National Election Study Pilot Study Reports, John Aldrich editor.
2007 “Public Attitudes Toward America’s Energy Options: Report of the 2007 MIT
Energy Survey” CEEPR Working Paper 07-002 and CANES working paper.
2004 “Using Recounts to Measure the Accuracy of Vote Tabulations: Evidence from
New Hampshire Elections, 1946 to 2002” (with Andrew Reeves).
1999 “Why did a majority of Californians vote to lower their own power?” (with James
Snyder and Jonathan Woon). Paper presented at the annual meeting of the
American Political Science Association, Atlanta, GA, September, 1999.
Paper received the award for the best paper on Representation at the 1999 Annual
Meeting of the APSA.
1999 “Has Television Increased the Cost of Campaigns?” (with Alan Gerber and James
Snyder).
1996 “Party Platform Choice - Single- Member District and Party-List Systems,”(with
James Snyder).
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1991 “The Electoral Effects of Issues and Attacks in Campaign Advertising” (with
Shanto Iyengar). Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political
Science Association, Washington, DC.
1991 “Why Candidates Attack: Effects of Televised Advertising in the 1990 California
Gubernatorial Campaign,” (with Shanto Iyengar). Presented at the Annual
Meeting of the Western Political Science Association, Seattle, March.
1990 “Winning is Easy, But It Sure Ain’t Cheap.” Working Paper #90-4, Center for the
American Politics and Public Policy, UCLA. Presented at the Political Science
Departments at Rochester University and the University of Chicago.
Research Grants
1991-1993 NSF. “An Experimental Study of the Effects of Advertising in the 1992
California Senate Electoral.” Amount: $100,000
1994-1995 MIT Provost Fund. “Money in Elections: A Study of the Effects of Money on
Electoral Competition.” Amount: $40,000
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Professional Boards
Editor, Cambridge University Press Book Series, Political Economy of Institutions and
Decisions, 2006-2016
Member, Board of the Reuters International School of Journalism, Oxford University, 2007 to
present.
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Co-Organizer, MIT Seminar for Senior Congressional and Executive Staff, 1996-2007.
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EXHIBIT 10
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
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Exhibit 2
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December 4, 2020
__________________________
Jonathan Rodden, PhD
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2020. I have been asked by Counsel to assess the validity of their claims.
Unfortunately, these reports do not meet basic standards for scientific inquiry. For
the most part, they are not based on discernable logical arguments, and they are
completely divorced from any existing social science literature. Without any
identify common and easily explained patterns in the 2020 election results, and
without explanation, assert that they are somehow “anomalous.” Each of these
reports lacks even a basic level of clarity or transparency about research methods
these reports is based on puzzling but serious mistakes and misunderstandings about
II. QUALIFICATIONS
and the founder and director of the Stanford Spatial Social Science Lab (“the
Lab”)—a center for research and teaching with a focus on the analysis of geo-spatial
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data in the social sciences. In my affiliation with the Lab, I am engaged in a variety
ballots and election results at the level of polling places, individual records of
registered voters, census data, and survey responses. I am also a senior fellow at the
Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and the Hoover Institution. Prior to
and my B.A. from the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, both in political science.
partisan groups, and the drawing of electoral districts. I have published papers using
Proceedings, the Journal of Economic Perspectives, the Virginia Law Review, the
American Journal of Political Science, the British Journal of Political Science, the
Annual Review of Political Science, and the Journal of Politics. One of these papers
was recently selected by the American Political Science Association as the winner
of the Michael Wallerstein Award for the best paper on political economy published
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in the last year, and another received an award from the American Political Science
been published in the Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Election Law Journal,
and Political Analysis, and it has been featured in more popular publications like the
Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and Boston Review. I have recently
between political districts, the residential geography of social groups, and their
political representation in the United States and other countries that use winner-take-
all electoral districts. The book was reviewed in The New York Times, The New York
Review of Books, Wall Street Journal, The Economist, and The Atlantic, among
others.
I have expertise in the use of large data sets and geographic information
systems (GIS), and conduct research and teaching in the area of applied statistics
related to elections. My PhD students frequently take academic and private sector
jobs as statisticians and data scientists. I frequently work with geo-coded voter files
and other large administrative data sets, including in recent papers published in the
Annals of Internal Medicine and The New England Journal of Medicine. I have
developed a national data set of geo-coded precinct-level election results that has
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representation.1
I have been accepted and testified as an expert witness in six recent election
law cases: Romo v. Detzner, No. 2012-CA-000412 (Fla. Cir. Ct. 2012); Mo. State
(E.D. Mo. 2014); Lee v. Va. State Bd. of Elections, No. 3:15-CV-00357 (E.D. Va.
(D. Ariz. 2016); Bethune-Hill v. Virginia State Board of Elections, No. 3:14-cv-
00852-REP-AWA-BMK (E.D. Va. 2014); and Jacobson et al. v. Lee, No. 4:18-cv-
00262 (N.D. Fla. 2018). I also worked with a coalition of academics to file Amicus
Briefs in the Supreme Court in Gill v. Whitford, No. 16-1161, and Rucho v. Common
Cause, No. 18-422. Much of the testimony in these cases had to do with geography,
I have collected county-level data on presidential elections for each year from
1974 to 2020 from the Arizona Secretary of State, along with yearly county-level
1
The dataset can be downloaded at http://projects.iq.harvard.edu/eda/home.
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results from Maricopa and Pima counties. I created a national county-level dataset
by the New York Times and Associated Press, along with demographic data from
the 2014-2018 American Community Survey (ACS), as well as the September 2020
described in detail below, data on voting technologies used in each U.S. jurisdiction
analysis suggesting that Joseph Biden received higher vote shares in counties that
use voting machines made by the manufacturer Dominion. The language of the
report indicates that the author posits a causal relationship, whereby certain types of
machines are responsible for boosting the Democratic vote share. The data, research
design, and analysis are not adequately explained. To the extent the research is
explained at all, the design and analyses are flawed in several crucial respects. First,
the author relies on idiosyncratic, non-standard statistical techniques that are not
suited for the analysis the author wishes to accomplish, and more importantly, the
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have created my own dataset of county-level votes from 2008 to 2020, merged with
(ACS),2 September 2020 county-level unemployment rate from the Bureau of Labor
exclusively on the critical role technology plays in election administration” that has
used around the country.”4 I accessed a dataset showing the various voting systems
that were in place for each jurisdiction in 2012, 2016, and 2020.
approach, but provides no details about the analysis or the dataset, and provides no
output. This is not a standard technique used in the analysis of election data, and the
author provides no explanation of why this unusual approach was selected. The
2
Demographic variables from the ACS include: the age distribution, sex distribution, percent
Black, percent Latino, the percent of renters, median household income, percent of the county
with a college degree, and percent under the poverty line.
3
In preparing this this data set and conducting the analysis set forth in this section of the report, I
received assitance from William Marble—a advanced PhD candidate in political science at
Stanford University. Mr. Marble has worked with me in a similar capacity in the past and it is
standard to utilize such assistants in my field of expertise.
4
https://verifiedvoting.org/about/
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author presents a scatterplot that seems to be based on a prediction from some kind
of statistical model, but the author does not explain anything about the model. The
author goes on to mention, in a single sentence, some type of matching analysis. The
author provides no details about how the matching analysis was set up, which
variation, and crucially, whether or not it was possible to achieve adequate balance
For each of these approaches, the author breezily mentions having conducted
some analysis without providing even the slightest details. The normal approach in
empirical model had been chosen and why, which variables were included, how the
model performed, and so on. The author also typically provides output for readers
that readers can form judgments about whether the results are sensible, credible, and
meaningful.
Since the author provides very few hints about research design, analysis, or
data, it is not possible to reconstruct the analysis. Nevertheless, since the relevant
data are available, it is worthwhile to assess the author’s claim that the introduction
of certain types of voting technology, via some unspecified form of fraud, actually
has a causal impact on vote shares. We would like to answer the following question:
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if there are two counties that are otherwise identical in every respect, including their
initial type of voting technology, and one switches from some other voting
technology to Dominion and the other stays the same, does the switching county
exhibit a change in voting behavior relative to the “control” county that stayed the
same? In the ideal world, we would conduct an experiment, much like a drug trial,
randomly assigning some counties but not others to either the “treatment
anticipate that there are no systematic differences between the treatment and control
counties. Above all, we would hope that this randomization would achieve a balance
between the two groups, such that prior Democratic or Republican voting would be
similar in the two groups, as would other correlates of voting behavior, such as
income, race, and education. We would then be able to isolate any possible impact
of voting equipment.
have adopted voting technology in a way that is far from random. Counties that
adopted Dominion systems between 2016 and 2020 are quite different from those
that did not. Counties that switched to Dominion systems between 2016 and 2020
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residents, and have lower median incomes. All of these variables are correlated with
political attitudes. Moreover, they are likely correlated with unobservable variables
Even worse, it is clearly the case that Democratic counties have been more
in Figure 1. The left-hand panel considers all counties in the country, and shows that
counties won by Clinton in 2016 were far more likely than counties won by Trump
counties that were not yet using Dominion technology in 2016, and shows that
counties won by Clinton were significantly more likely than counties won by Trump
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Seven states have adopted Dominion technology across all of their counties,
and 20 states have not adopted Dominion technology in any of their counties. The
former counties are predominately Democratic, and the latter lean Republican. This
can be seen in Figure 2, which plots Hillary Clinton’s 2016 statewide vote share on
the horizontal axis, and the share of counties using Dominion software in 2020 on
the vertical axis. It shows that Dominion software was mostly prominently in use in
By now it should be clear why the author of the report on Dominion software
like those in New England adopted a certain software in the past, and one examined
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a contemporary correlation between voting behavior and the use of that technology,
that correlation could not plausibly be interpreted as evidence that the technology
caused the voting outcomes, even if one attempted to control for potential observable
confounders like race and income. It is simply not plausible that Connecticut is more
no easy solution to this causal inference problem. At a minimum, we can try to draw
inferences from within the states where there is variation across counties in voting
be achieved by estimating a model with “fixed effects” for states. Inclusion of state-
level fixed effects allows us to control for a variety of common factors within states
that cause there to be a correlation in counties’ outcomes within the same state. This
does not “solve” the causal inference problem, but at least it allows for more valid
comparisons. For this reason, inclusion of fixed effects is standard practice in social
5
For example, see Angrist, J., and Pischke, S., Mostly Harmless Econometrics. 2009. Princeton,
NJ: Princeton University Press.
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Democratic vote share, and the main independent variable of interest is a binary
variable indicating whether the state used Dominion technology in 2020. The model
includes a set of demographic control variables, past election results, and state-level
fixed effects. The full results are presented in Appendix Table A1. The coefficient
evidence that election technology has an impact on vote shares. As mentioned, the
author provides no regression output or details about the analysis, but he or she
seems to have estimated some sort of regression model. The author makes no
mention of having included fixed effects. As one can see in Figure 2 above, it is clear
that a naïve empirical model without fixed effects for states would generate the
because Democratic states have been somewhat more likely to purchase Dominion
equipment.
Biden’s vote share in counties that did not use Dominion systems, but border a
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county that did use Dominion. If there is an impact of voting software on election
outcomes via fraud, it should most certainly not be detected in counties that border
the Dominion counties but use some other election technology system. If we see that
those counties have elevated Democratic vote shares mimicking the supposed
be very skeptical about claims that use of the software is associated with increased
Democratic voting. Rather, we would understand that the correlation reported by the
report’s author is driven by some features of the types of regions where Dominion
The result of this analysis is shown in Appendix Table A2. It shows results of
a linear regression of Biden vote share on an indicator variable for whether a county
borders a Dominion county. This regression is estimated among counties that did not
use Dominion systems, and includes a set of demographic control variables. It shows
that Biden received a higher vote share, of about .86 of a percentage point, in
counties that border a Dominion county than in those that do not. It would be
implausible to claim that voting technology in bordering counties has a causal impact
on Biden’s vote share. A more plausible interpretation is that there are some common
features of politics in the regions that have adopted the software, and the type of
research design that appears to have been used in the report is likely to turn up
spurious results.
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effect does exist, and its tendency not to detect an effect when an effect does
not exist. When a research design detects an effect when none exists, we say it
returned a false positive. Designs with a high false positive rate are not very
informative: an effect could be detected by the research design due to the existence
We can make a further evaluation of the propensity of the research design the
author appears to have used in his or her report to return false positives by seeing
whether it detects that future events have an “effect” on past outcomes. Of course,
this is logically impossible — we know that events happening in the future cannot
affect past outcomes. Thus, any effect detected on past outcomes is necessarily a
false positive.
In Appendix Table A3, I replicate the basic research design that I believe lies
behind the claims in the report. It uses linear regression models, without state fixed
economic control variables. Except, instead of predicting 2020 vote share, I predict
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2012 and 2016 vote share. I exclude counties that used Dominion systems at the time
The results indicate that in 2012, in counties that did not use Dominion in
2012 but did use them in 2020, Obama received about 5 to 6 percentage points higher
vote share, compared to counties that did not use Dominion machines in either 2012
or 2020. The next column shows a similar pattern for 2016. Future use of Dominion
predicts higher Clinton vote share in 2016, even in counties that did not use
Dominion in 2016.
These results are false positives: there is no logical way that future use of
Dominion voting machines could have affected past outcomes. Instead, these results
are due to the fact that counties that used Dominion voting systems in 2020 are
politically different than counties that did not, even after controlling for demographic
and economic variables. This test shows that the simple type of research design that
shares that are caused by use of particular voting systems. As such, the statistical
V. RAMSLAND REPORT
This report begins with some unsubstantiated claims about Antrim County,
Michigan and Dallas County, Texas. These claims are difficult to understand, and
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they do not seem to include any type of evidence. Next, Mr. Ramsland contends that
turnout figures in Pima County and Maricopa County, Arizona are a “red flag,”
evidently because Mr. Ramsland believes they are too high. Without explanation or
citations from the academic literature, he contends that any turnout number above
80 percent is suspicious.
Quite simply, high turnout is not a “red flag” indicating fraud. Turnout was
high around the United States in the 2020 election. It was especially high in suburbs
and rural areas. The numbers in Arizona are not atypical. In Figure 3 below, I present
data on turnout in each presidential election over the last decade in Arizona as a
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percent. This was driven, of course, by Maricopa County, which accounts for the
lion’s share of the Arizona electorate. As can be seen in Figure 3, Pima County
typically has higher turnout than Maricopa, or Arizona as a whole. Turnout in Pima
County in 2020 was comparable to that in 2004. In short, there is nothing anomalous
Mr. Ramsland.
of the rural precincts listed by Mr. Ramsland provided strong support to President
Trump, while the suburban precincts were, for the most part, hotly contested but
leaned toward Joseph Biden. A similar group of rural and suburban precincts with
very high turnout can be found in every state around the United States. It is not clear
Mr. Ramsland then goes on to claim that instead of counting votes in the
traditional way, code was activated to use ranked choice voting to tally votes in
Arizona’s 2020 presidential election. From this discussion, it seems likely that Mr.
Ramsland is not familiar with ranked choice voting. It involves a different type of
ballot, in which voters rank their preferences among candidates. This type of ballot
was not used in Arizona. Even if all of the ballots in Arizona were somehow counted
or processed using ranked choice voting, but using ballots that only allowed voters
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to select one candidate, the result would be the same. Ranked choice voting is a
system where in the first round of counting, if one candidate has a majority, the
process is over, and no votes are redistributed. If there were multiple candidates and
voters’ choices were ranked, there would then be a second round, where the lowest-
ranked candidate would be dropped, and those voters who ranked that candidate first
would then have their second-choice votes tallied. But clearly, nothing of the sort
number of votes, as did candidates from other parties and write-in candidates.
Finally, Mr. Ramsland concludes with some ideas about votes being
“injected” at various times during the counting process. It appears that while
watching election returns as they were released by a polling firm called Edison
Research, Mr. Ramsland became concerned that votes were reported in bunches
throughout the evening. It is not clear how the timing of data releases by Edison
Like Mr. Ramsland, Mr. Keshel also takes issue with Arizona’s election
and results regarding voting patterns in Arizona” (paragraph 4). He does not explain
what “statistical norms” he considers, and cites no literature about how one might
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go about identifying such a thing. Mr. Keshel’s concern, evidently, is that Mr.
Biden’s gains were too high. To the extent that he identifies a method of analysis,
he appears to claim that if a party has won frequently in a geographic place in the
past, as the Republican Party has in Maricopa County, it is suspicious if that party
outcomes in U.S. election, including the increase in support for the Republican Party
in the industrial Midwest in 2016, or the rather striking increase in votes for President
Trump in several Hispanic counties in Florida and Texas in 2020. Especially in the
particular geographic area are quite normal, and are not viewed by election analysts
as evidence of fraud.
Another claim made by Mr. Keshel is that a party should show “proper
does not explain his method for empirically measuring this “proper progression,”
but in Arizona, party registration numbers are not remotely useful for this purpose.
Figure 4 helps explain why. It plots Democrats as a share of total registrants (in
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registrants, as increasing numbers of voters decline to register with one of the two
major parties. But the two major parties continue to virtually monopolize votes for
president and other offices. In other words, neither party is “in keeping with historic
party registration trends.” Much of the battle in Maricopa County is over the large
simply plots Democratic and Republican votes over time in Maricopa County.
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The rapid growth in votes cast for both parties is a function of Maricopa County’s
rapid growth, fueled by in-migration from other states. Cross-state migrants to places
like Maricopa County are typically college-educated young people—a group that
has in recent years become a core constituency of the Democratic Party. As a result,
the most rapidly growing counties in the United States are also quickly becoming
more Democratic.6 As Maricopa County has become more educated and diverse, the
growth in the blue line has caught up with the growth of the red line in Figure 5.
Much of the gap had already been closed by 2016, and it is not surprising that,
through the continuation of the trend of in-migration and strong turnout, the blue
6
Jonathan Rodden, 2019, Why Cities Lose: The Deep Roots of the Urban-Rural Divide. New
York: Basic Books.
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Finally, Mr. Keshel believes that Maricopa County is an outlier in the extent
population and increased Democratic voting. This is not the case. Let us examine
changing the political complexion of the state: Texas, Georgia, and North Carolina.
In Figure 6, I plot the change in Trump vote margin from 2016 to 2020 on the
improved, and a negative number indicates that it declined. On the horizontal axis is
average yearly net in-migration, calculated by the census department, from the years
2010 to 2019. The observations are counties. I include identical graphs for Arizona,
Texas, Georgia, and North Carolina—all states that have thriving, growing metro
areas with strong labor markets and affordable suburbs that are attracting migrants
from around the United States. Note that the only thing different about the graphs
for each state is the horizontal axis. It goes all the way beyond 40,000 for Arizona.
For Texas, the scale stops at 20,0000, and the other states at even lower values. If I
did not allow the horizontal axis to vary for Arizona, it would be literally off the
charts. This graph clarifies that the population growth of Maricopa County, driven
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As we can see on the graph, in every one of these states, rapidly growing
counties like Maricopa moved toward the Democratic presidential candidate from
2016 to 2020. Every single county that experienced substantial growth can be found
in the lower right-hand corner of the graph for its state, where Biden out-performed
Maricopa is something of an outlier in that it did not swing further toward the
Texas and Georgia moved further in a Democratic direction than did Maricopa.
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It is also useful to note that Trump experienced large increases in vote share
in many of the counties where population growth is either stagnant or where out-
migration is occurring (on the left side of the graph). In some cases, these vote shifts
are substantial. In fact, in order to make the data fit on the graphs, some of the
gains had to be left off. If one adopts Mr. Keshel’s faulty logic—whereby large vote
gains are indicative of fraud—one would need to look at some of these declining
rural counties, where in several states, the shift in voting was more dramatic than in
the growing suburban counties. But to be clear, this argument is flawed: voting can
and does shift among social groups in response to policies and behavior or
VII. CONCLUSION
they address. They are completely disconnected from the wealth of knowledge about
elections and statistics that has been accumulated in the scholarly literature. They
feature vague and illogical stories about “anomalies” that, upon basic confrontation
with context, logic, and data, turn out not to be anomalies at all, but mere descriptions
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of patterns of historical and contemporary election results that are already well
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Appendix
Table A1: Fixed Effects Model, County-Level Democratic Vote Share in 2020
Dem vote
share, 2020
Dominion 2020 0.031
(0.25)
Hart 2020 -0.014
(0.08)
female -0.003
(0.18)
Black 0.022
(2.57)*
Latino -0.078
(9.43)**
College 0.086
(7.31)**
Age 25-34 0.014
(0.52)
Age 35-44 0.074
(2.56)*
Age 45-54 -0.028
(0.85)
Age 55-64 0.123
(4.16)**
Age 65 and over -0.030
(1.63)
Median income -0.016
(1.79)
Poverty rate -0.003
(0.16)
Unemployment rate -0.140
(3.73)**
Renter share -0.011
(0.88)
Share urban 0.019
(7.81)**
Log population density 0.240
(3.54)**
Dem. vote share 2016 1.047
(51.38)**
Dem. vote share 2012 -0.093
(3.76)**
Dem. vote share 2008 -0.026
(1.43)
Constant 0.465
(0.26)
R2 0.99
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N 3,110
* p<0.05; ** p<0.01
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Dem vote
share, 2020
Dominion 2020 0.855*
(1.96)
Hart 2020 -3.860
(6.97)**
female 0.067
(0.60)
Black 0.389
(16.44)**
Latino 0.148
(5.00)**
College 0.746
(13.81)**
Age 25-34 -0.238
(1.53)
Age 35-44 -0.504
(3.03)**
Age 45-54 0.060
(0.33)
Age 55-64 0.738
(3.70)**
Age 65 and over -0.231
(2.43)*
Median income 0.156
(3.05)**
Poverty rate 0.564
(5.58)**
Unemployment rate 0.901
(6.10)**
Renter share 0.274
(4.56)**
Share urban 0.014
(1.04)
Log population density 1.812
(7.04)**
Constant -25.082
(2.43)*
2
R 0.68
N 1,846
* p<0.05; ** p<0.01
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Jonathan Rodden
Stanford University
Department of Political Science Phone: (650) 723-5219
Encina Hall Central Fax: (650) 723-1808
616 Serra Street Email: [email protected]
Stanford, CA 94305
Personal
Born on August 18. 1971, St. Louis, MO.
United States Citizen.
Education
Ph.D. Political Science, Yale University, 2000.
Fulbright Scholar, University of Leipzig, Germany, 1993–1994.
B.A., Political Science, University of Michigan, 1993.
Academic Positions
Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, 2012–present.
Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, 2012–present.
Senior Fellow, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, 2020–present.
Director, Spatial Social Science Lab, Stanford University, 2012–present.
W. Glenn Campbell and Rita Ricardo-Campbell National Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford Univer-
sity, 2010–2012.
Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, 2007–2012.
Fellow, Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Palo Alto, CA, 2006–2007.
Ford Career Development Associate Professor of Political Science, MIT, 2003–2006.
Visiting Scholar, Center for Basic Research in the Social Sciences, Harvard University, 2004.
Assistant Professor of Political Science, MIT, 1999–2003.
Instructor, Department of Political Science and School of Management, Yale University, 1997–1999.
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Publications
Books
Why Cities Lose: The Deep Roots of the Urban-Rural Divide. Basic Books, 2019.
Decentralized Governance and Accountability: Academic Research and the Future of Donor Programming. Co-
edited with Erik Wibbels, Cambridge University Press, 2019.
Hamilton‘s Paradox: The Promise and Peril of Fiscal Federalism, Cambridge University Press, 2006. Winner,
Gregory Luebbert Award for Best Book in Comparative Politics, 2007.
Fiscal Decentralization and the Challenge of Hard Budget Constraints, MIT Press, 2003. Co-edited with
Gunnar Eskeland and Jennie Litvack.
Why has U.S. Policy Uncertainty Risen Since 1960?, 2014, American Economic Review: Papers and Pro-
ceedings May 2014 (with Nicholas Bloom, Brandice Canes-Wrone, Scott Baker, and Steven Davis).
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Unintentional Gerrymandering: Political Geography and Electoral Bias in Legislatures, 2013, Quarterly
Journal of Political Science 8: 239-269 (with Jowei Chen).
How Should We Measure District-Level Public Opinion on Individual Issues?, 2012, Journal of Politics
74, 1: 203-219 (with Chris Warshaw).
Representation and Redistribution in Federations, 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
108, 21:8601-8604 (with Tiberiu Dragu).
Dual Accountability and the Nationalization of Party Competition: Evidence from Four Federatons,
2011, Party Politics 17, 5: 629-653 (with Erik Wibbels).
The Geographic Distribution of Political Preferences, 2010, Annual Review of Political Science 13: 297–340.
Fiscal Decentralization and the Business Cycle: An Empirical Study of Seven Federations, 2009, Eco-
nomics and Politics 22,1: 37–67 (with Erik Wibbels).
Getting into the Game: Legislative Bargaining, Distributive Politics, and EU Enlargement, 2009, Public
Finance and Management 9, 4 (with Deniz Aksoy).
The Strength of Issues: Using Multiple Measures to Gauge Preference Stability, Ideological Constraint,
and Issue Voting, 2008. American Political Science Review 102, 2: 215–232 (with Stephen Ansolabehere
and James Snyder).
Does Religion Distract the Poor? Income and Issue Voting Around the World, 2008, Comparative Political
Studies 41, 4: 437–476 (with Ana Lorena De La O).
Purple America, 2006, Journal of Economic Perspectives 20,2 (Spring): 97–118 (with Stephen Ansolabehere
and James Snyder).
Economic Geography and Economic Voting: Evidence from the U.S. States, 2006, British Journal of
Political Science 36, 3: 527–47 (with Michael Ebeid).
Distributive Politics in a Federation: Electoral Strategies, Legislative Bargaining, and Government
Coalitions, 2004, Dados 47, 3 (with Marta Arretche, in Portuguese).
Comparative Federalism and Decentralization: On Meaning and Measurement, 2004, Comparative Poli-
tics 36, 4: 481-500. (Portuguese version, 2005, in Revista de Sociologia e Politica 25).
Reviving Leviathan: Fiscal Federalism and the Growth of Government, 2003, International Organization
57 (Fall), 695–729.
Beyond the Fiction of Federalism: Macroeconomic Management in Multi-tiered Systems, 2003, World
Politics 54, 4 (July): 494–531 (with Erik Wibbels).
The Dilemma of Fiscal Federalism: Grants and Fiscal Performance around the World, 2002, American
Journal of Political Science 46(3): 670–687.
Strength in Numbers: Representation and Redistribution in the European Union, 2002, European Union
Politics 3, 2: 151–175.
Does Federalism Preserve Markets? Virginia Law Review 83, 7 (with Susan Rose-Ackerman). Spanish
version, 1999, in Quorum 68.
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Working Papers
Federalism and Inter-regional Redistribution, Working Paper 2009/3, Institut d’Economia de Barcelona.
Representation and Regional Redistribution in Federations, Working Paper 2010/16, Institut d’Economia
de Barcelona (with Tiberiu Dragu).
Chapters in Books
Political Geography and Representation: A Case Study of Districting in Pennsylvania (with Thomas
Weighill), forthcoming 2021.
Decentralized Rule and Revenue, 2019, in Jonathan Rodden and Erik Wibbels, eds., Decentralized Gov-
ernance and Accountability, Cambridge University Press.
Geography and Gridlock in the United States, 2014, in Nathaniel Persily, ed. Solutions to Political
Polarization in America, Cambridge University Press.
Can Market Discipline Survive in the U.S. Federation?, 2013, in Daniel Nadler and Paul Peterson, eds,
The Global Debt Crisis: Haunting U.S. and European Federalism, Brookings Press.
Market Discipline and U.S. Federalism, 2012, in Peter Conti-Brown and David A. Skeel, Jr., eds, When
States Go Broke: The Origins, Context, and Solutions for the American States in Fiscal Crisis, Cambridge
University Press.
Federalism and Inter-Regional Redistribution, 2010, in Nuria Bosch, Marta Espasa, and Albert Sole
Olle, eds., The Political Economy of Inter-Regional Fiscal Flows, Edward Elgar.
Back to the Future: Endogenous Institutions and Comparative Politics, 2009, in Mark Lichbach and
Alan Zuckerman, eds., Comparative Politics: Rationality, Culture, and Structure (Second Edition), Cam-
bridge University Press.
The Political Economy of Federalism, 2006, in Barry Weingast and Donald Wittman, eds., Oxford Hand-
book of Political Economy, Oxford University Press.
Fiscal Discipline in Federations: Germany and the EMU, 2006, in Peter Wierts, Servaas Deroose, Elena
Flores and Alessandro Turrini, eds., Fiscal Policy Surveillance in Europe, Palgrave MacMillan.
The Political Economy of Pro-cyclical Decentralised Finance (with Erik Wibbels), 2006, in Peter Wierts,
Servaas Deroose, Elena Flores and Alessandro Turrini, eds., Fiscal Policy Surveillance in Europe, Palgrave
MacMillan.
Globalization and Fiscal Decentralization, (with Geoffrey Garrett), 2003, in Miles Kahler and David
Lake, eds., Governance in a Global Economy: Political Authority in Transition, Princeton University Press:
87-109. (Updated version, 2007, in David Cameron, Gustav Ranis, and Annalisa Zinn, eds., Globalization
and Self-Determination: Is the Nation-State under Siege? Routledge.)
Introduction and Overview (Chapter 1), 2003, in Rodden et al., Fiscal Decentralization and the Challenge
of Hard Budget Constraints (see above).
Soft Budget Constraints and German Federalism (Chapter 5), 2003, in Rodden, et al, Fiscal Decentral-
ization and the Challenge of Hard Budget Constraints (see above).
Federalism and Bailouts in Brazil (Chapter 7), 2003, in Rodden, et al., Fiscal Decentralization and the
Challenge of Hard Budget Constraints (see above).
Lessons and Conclusions (Chapter 13), 2003, in Rodden, et al., Fiscal Decentralization and the Challenge
of Hard Budget Constraints (see above).
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Other Publications
How America’s Urban-Rural Divide has Shaped the Pandemic, 2020, Foreign Affairs, April 20, 2020.
An Evolutionary Path for the European Monetary Fund? A Comparative Perspective, 2017, Briefing
paper for the Economic and Financial Affairs Committee of the European Parliament.
Representation and Regional Redistribution in Federations: A Research Report, 2009, in World Report
on Fiscal Federalism, Institut d’Economia de Barcelona.
On the Migration of Fiscal Sovereignty, 2004, PS: Political Science and Politics July, 2004: 427–431.
Decentralization and the Challenge of Hard Budget Constraints, PREM Note 41, Poverty Reduction and
Economic Management Unit, World Bank, Washington, D.C. (July).
Decentralization and Hard Budget Constraints, APSA-CP (Newsletter of the Organized Section in
Comparative Politics, American Political Science Association) 11:1 (with Jennie Litvack).
Book Review of The Government of Money by Peter Johnson, Comparative Political Studies 32,7: 897-900.
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Courses
Undergraduate
Politics, Economics, and Democracy
Introduction to Comparative Politics
Introduction to Political Science
Political Science Scope and Methods
Institutional Economics
Spatial Approaches to Social Science
Graduate
Political Economy of Institutions
Federalism and Fiscal Decentralization
Politics and Geography
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Consulting
2017. Economic and Financial Affairs Committee of the European Parliament.
2016. Briefing paper for the World Bank on fiscal federalism in Brazil.
2013-2018: Principal Investigator, SMS for Better Governance (a collaborative project involving USAID,
Social Impact, and UNICEF in Arua, Uganda).
2019: Written expert testimony in McLemore, Holmes, Robinson, and Woullard v. Hosemann, United States
District Court, Mississippi.
2019: Expert witness in Nancy Corola Jacobson v. Detzner, United States District Court, Florida.
2018: Written expert testimony in League of Women Voters of Florida v. Detzner No. 4:18-cv-002510,
United States District Court, Florida.
2018: Written expert testimony in College Democrats of the University of Michigan, et al. v. Johnson, et al.,
United States District Court for the Eastern District of Michigan.
2017: Expert witness in Bethune-Hill v. Virginia Board of Elections, No. 3:14-CV-00852, United States
District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia.
2017: Expert witness in Arizona Democratic Party, et al. v. Reagan, et al., No. 2:16-CV-01065, United
States District Court for Arizona.
2016: Expert witness in Lee v. Virginia Board of Elections, 3:15-cv-357, United States District Court for
the Eastern District of Virginia, Richmond Division.
2016: Expert witness in Missouri NAACP v. Ferguson-Florissant School District, United States District
Court for the Eastern District of Missouri, Eastern Division.
2014-2015: Written expert testimony in League of Women Voters of Florida et al. v. Detzner, et al., 2012-CA-
002842 in Florida Circuit Court, Leon County (Florida Senate redistricting case).
2013-2014: Expert witness in Romo v Detzner, 2012-CA-000412 in Florida Curcuit Court, Leon County
(Florida Congressional redistricting case).
2011-2014: Consultation with investment groups and hedge funds on European debt crisis.
2011-2014: Lead Outcome Expert, Democracy and Governance, USAID and Social Impact.
2010: USAID, Review of USAID analysis of decentralization in Africa.
2006–2009: World Bank, Independent Evaluations Group. Undertook evaluations of World Bank de-
centralization and safety net programs.
2008–2011: International Monetary Fund Institute. Designed and taught course on fiscal federalism.
1998–2003: World Bank, Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Unit. Consultant for World De-
velopment Report, lecturer for training courses, participant in working group for assembly of decentral-
ization data, director of multi-country study of fiscal discipline in decentralized countries, collaborator
on review of subnational adjustment lending.
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EXHIBIT 11
Defendant’s Motion to Exclude Plaintiffs’ Expert Witnesses
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Exhibit 3
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A Overview
2 The 2020 General Election took place on November 3, 2020. In the race in Arizona for the
office of President of the United States, the Arizona Secretary of State has certified that Democratic
candidate Joe Biden received 1,672,143 votes and Republican candidate Donald Trump, 1,661,686
votes. This constitutes a margin of 10,457 votes.1
3 As of the writing of this expert report, Matthew Bromberg, the author of the Bromberg
Declaration, has to the best of my knowledge disclosed neither the data not the computer code he
used in the process of producing his declaration. I accordingly reserve the right to supplement this
report in light of any disclosures that he puts forward in the future.
B Summary of conclusions
1
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II. There is no basis for the key theory in the Bromberg Declaration that voting precincts
in Maricopa County with relatively few voters were more susceptible to voter fraud than
precincts with greater numbers of voters. This theory does not appear in the literature on
voter fraud and there is no evidence presented in the Bromberg Declaration in support of
it. Lacking this theory, the Bromberg Declaration cannot say anything about voter fraud in
Maricopa County in the 2020 election.
III. The Bromberg Declaration misunderstands how in-person voters in Maricopa County cast
their ballots in the 2020 election. In this election, the county used voting centers on Election
Day. Each eligible voter in Maricopa County could use any of the county’s 175 centers
to cast an in-person ballot. Maricopa County’s in-person voters in this election, that is,
were not restricted to voting in the polling places associated with their precincts, of which
there were 744. The total number of presidential votes cast by the voters who belong to
any given precinct in Maricopa County thus has no implication for how many ballots were
physically cast in it on November 3, 2020. Therefore, the theory putatively offered in the
Bromberg Declaration about the susceptibility to voter fraud of Maricopa County precincts
with relatively few voters is of absolutely no relevance to the 2020 presidential race in the
county and in fact to any races contested in the 2020 election.
IV. When voters in Maricopa County are aggregated at the precinct level (which ignores the
matter of where these individuals cast their ballots in the 2020 election), the results of the
presidential race bear strong similarity to the results of the race for a seat in the United States
Senate. The precincts in which Joe Biden did well are also precincts in which Mark Kelly,
Democratic candidate for Senate, did well, and vice versa. This implies that the pattern in
Maricopa County precincts that was noted in the Bromberg Declaration—whereby precincts
with smaller numbers of voters tended to have more Biden votes than Trump votes—reflects
established political preferences in Maricopa County, not illegal vote switching.
V. Voter fraud is rare in the United States. Nonetheless, the Bromberg Declaration presents
2
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a model that purports to discover significant voter in Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Milwau-
kee, Wisconsin. The model assumes that when a ballot is counted is uncorrelated with the
presidential vote on it. This is known not to be the case. Thus, the claims in the Bromberg
Declaration about voter fraud beyond Arizona do not follow from the arguments made in it.
6 Next, I evaluate the analysis of Maricopa County presented in the Bromberg Declaration.
7 Finally, I briefly discuss claims about voter fraud made in the Bromberg Declaration that
extend beyond Arizona.
D Qualifications
8 I am the William Clinton Story Remsen 1943 Professor of Government at Dartmouth Col-
lege in Hanover, New Hampshire and from 2015 to 2020 was Chair of the Program in Quantitative
Social Science. I have taught at Dartmouth since 2003 and previously was on the faculty of North-
western University. I have served as a visiting professor at Harvard University (July 2008–January
2009), the University of Rochester (September 2006–December 2006), and the Hertie School of
Governance in Berlin (August 2011–August 2012). I have also served as a visiting scholar at the
Hertie School of Governance (August 2016–July 2017).
9 In January 1998, I received a doctorate in the field of Political Economy from the Grad-
uate School of Business at Stanford University. I also have a master’s degree in statistics from
3
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Stanford University (June 1995), a master’s degree in political science from the University of Day-
ton (August 1992), and a bachelor’s degree in mathematics and economics from Carnegie-Mellon
University (May 1989).
10 I have published many scholarly articles on election administration and American elections,
three such articles in 2019 and two in 2018. Among other subjects, I have written on the effects of
ballot formats, patterns in invalid votes, the availability of early voting, and polling place conges-
tion. My articles rely on statistical analyses, and my ongoing research agenda focuses heavily on
issues in election administration.
12 I have published two articles on voter fraud in American elections. Cottrell, Herron and
Westwood (2018) is a statistical study of the allegations made by Donald Trump about voter fraud
in the period surrounding the 2016 General Election. It concludes that there is no evidence in
support of these allegations. Herron (2019) is an analysis of allegations made after a 2018 election
in North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District. It concludes that patterns in absentee votes cast in
this district were consistent with allegations of absentee ballot fraud.
13 I was a testifying expert for defendants in Law et al. v. Whitmer et al. (Case No.: 20 OC
00163 1B) and in Jennings v. Elections Canvassing Commission of the state of Florida (2006 WL
4404531 (Fla.Cir.Ct.)) and a testifying expert for plaintiffs in Alliance for Retired American et al.
v. Matthew Dunlap et al. (DKT NO. CV-20-95), Michigan Alliance for Retired Americans et al.
v. Jocelyn Benson et al. (Civil Action No. 2020-000108-MM), League of Women Voters of New
Hampshire et al. v. William M. Gardner et al. (226-2017-CV-433), and Veasey et al. v. Abbott et al.
4
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(265 F. Supp. 3d 684 (S.D. Tex. 2017)). In addition, I have written expert reports in approximately
12 other cases relating to aspects of election law and election administration.
14 My written and oral testimony was credited by courts in their written opinions in Law et
al. v. Whitmer et al., Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Stephen Bullock et al. (Case No.:
6:20-cv-00066-DLC), League of Women Voters of New Hampshire et al. v. William M. Gardner et
al., and in Veasey et al. v. Abbott et al.. My opinions and testimony have never been found by a
court to be unreliable.
18 To provide context for the breadth of the Bromberg Declaration’s claims about fraud, I offer
a definition of voter fraud and then review the extensive academic literature on this subject, which
2
The Board’s decision, which invalidated the 2018 election in the 9th Congressional District, can be found at
https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/State_Board_Meeting_Docs/Congressional_
District_9_Portal/Order_03132019.pdf (last accessed November 13, 2020).
5
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19 The study of voter fraud in the United States is part of the field of election administration.
20 For the purposes of this report, I define an instance of voter fraud as an intentional act of
deception aimed at subverting electoral processes.3 Instances of voter fraud can include, but are
not necessarily limited to, the following behaviors:
Absentee or mail ballot fraud: improperly acquiring and then submitting an absentee or mail
ballot or ballots.
Double voting: voting more than once in an election in which this is not permitted.
Election official fraud: improper actions taken by election officials, actions intended to change
validly cast votes, or actions taken to affect voter registration records.
Non-citizen voting: participating in a federal election when one is not a citizen of the United
States.
Voter impersonation: voting in-person (as opposed to via mail) on an election day in someone
else’s name, either in the name of a properly registered voter or using the registration records
of a fictional individual.
3
The North Carolina State Board of Elections (NCSBE) is responsible for managing elections in North Carolina.
Since 2015, it has published a breakdown of voting irregularities that raise questions about election integrity.
Referring to instances of potential voter fraud in the 2016 General Election, the NCSBE wrote that, “[Voter] [f]raud,
in most cases, is an intent crime that requires prosecutors to show that the voter knowingly committed a crime.”
See p. 7 of “Post-Election Audit Report,” North Carolina State Board of Elections, April 21, 2017, available
at https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/sboe/Post-Election%20Audit%20Report_
2016%20General%20Election/Post-Election_Audit_Report.pdf (last accessed November 15,
2020).
6
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21 The above types of voter fraud can in principle be combined. A non-citizen of the United
States could during the course of participating in a federal election impersonate a properly regis-
tered voter. Or, an individual could vote twice in an election, once using the individual’s own (and
proper) registration and the second time using a fictional registration.
22 Moreover, each entry in the above list of behaviors should be understood as encompassing
a broad range of behaviors. An individual could, hypothetically, execute a double voting fraud by
voting twice in one state. Or, such an individual could, hypothetically, vote in more than one state.
24 I list the above types of behaviors because they describe the sorts of actions that, based on
my experience with academic literature on the subject, could in principle be characterized as voter
fraud. What a court in any state determines is illegal depends, however, on that state’s particular
laws.
26 Elections are regulated affairs subject to state laws and potentially local laws as well. A
voter can behave in a way that is illegal in his or her state but not intentionally deceptive and thus
not fraudulent.
4
Fraudulent actions of voters or intended voters are similar to what the United States Election Assistance Com-
mission (EAC) might call “acts of deception.” The EAC, a federal body established in the aftermath of the con-
tested 2000 presidential election, published a report, “Election Crimes: An Initial Review and Recommendations
for Future Study,” in December 2006, that categorizes in detail a variety of election-related crimes. The report is
available at https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/6/Initial_Review_
and_Recommendations_for_Further_Study.pdf (last accessed November 22, 2020).
7
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27 The examples of voter fraud I have offered above are hypothetical. Later in this report
I describe research that seeks to estimate the rates at which various forms of voter fraud have
occurred in recent American elections.
29 The literature on the prevalence of voter fraud in American elections incorporates a variety
of research methodologies. This exemplifies triangulation, wherein multiple research approaches
are brought to bear on a single problem. If voter fraud in the United States is widespread, one
would expect at least one of the methodologies in the literature to have detected evidence of it.
30 One methodology used in the study of voter fraud systematically tracks cases of alleged
voter fraud in media reports and in official government documents. Examples of this methodology
are Minnite and Callahan (2003), Minnite (2007), Levitt (2007), Minnite (2010), and Levitt (2014).
31 These studies conclude that rates of voter fraud in American elections are very low.
32 An illustrative example from Levitt (2014) is as follows. Between the years 2000 and 2014,
during which Levitt estimates that over one billion ballots were cast across general and primary
elections in the United States, there were approximately 31 documented “incidents” involving
voter fraud.5 The ratio of 31 to one billion is minuscule.
5
Levitt defines “incident” very broadly, and thus conservatively. A voter fraud incident is not necessarily a con-
viction for voter fraud. Levitt writes: “Some of these 31 incidents have been thoroughly investigated (including some
8
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33 Minnite (2010) is likewise instructive in its coverage of voter fraud cases at the federal
level (Chapter 3) and its analyses (Chapter 4) of fraud in four states (California, Minnesota, New
Hampshire, and Oregon), among other things. As noted above, Oregon’s elections are effectively
all-mail operations.
34 Using data from the United States Department of Justice (DOJ), Minnite finds very little
evidence of voter fraud. A September 2014 report published by the United States Government
Accountability Office similarly concluded that, “[T]here were no apparent cases of in-person voter
impersonation charged by DOJ’s Criminal Division or by U.S. Attorney’s offices anywhere in the
United States, from 2004 through July 3, 2014” (p. 70).6
35 With respect to California, which is the most populous state in the country, Minnite draws
a variety of conclusions. One is that state officials investigate claims of voter fraud when they
present themselves. While perhaps not surprising, this conclusion implies that findings of a lack of
fraud across California elections are meaningful and do not simply reflect state elections officials’
lack of interest in voter fraud.
9
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37 Minnite studied Oregon as well, which is notable insofar as this state relies heavily on
mail-in ballots. Based on her analysis, Minnite concludes that, “The evidence of voter fraud since
Oregon adopted vote-by-mail, however, is practically non existent.”
38 Another methodology in the study of fraud involves surveying election officials. In the
aftermath of the 2016 General Election, Famighetti, Keith and Pérez (2017) “interviewed a total of
44 administrators representing 42 jurisdictions in 12 states” (p. 1), inquiring about the prevalence
of non-citizen voting. Famighetti, Keith and Pérez write that 40 jurisdictions reported “no known
incidents of noncitizen voting in 2016” (p. 1). Moreover, they state that,
“In the jurisdictions we studied, very few noncitizens voted in the 2016 election.
Across 42 jurisdictions, election officials who oversaw the tabulation of 23.5 million
votes in the 2016 general election referred only an estimated 30 incidents of suspected
noncitizen voting for further investigation or prosecution. In other words, improper
noncitizen votes accounted for 0.0001 percent of the 2016 votes in those jurisdictions”
(p. 1).
39 The “30 incidents” noted above represent an upper bound on the number of times that
noncitizen voter fraud was committed in the jurisdictions studied by Famighetti, Keith and Pérez.
These incidents, according to the researchers, do not represent voter fraud convictions. They rep-
resent only referrals.
40 Famighetti, Keith and Pérez write as well that, “In California, Virginia and New Hampshire
– the states where [United States President Donald] Trump claimed the problem of noncitizen
voting was especially acute – no official we spoke with identified an incident of noncitizen voting
in 2016” (p. 2).
41 The study of voter fraud by Famighetti, Keith and Pérez is notable because it focused
solely on the 2016 General Election. Compared to preceding elections, it is well known that
10
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the 2016 election and its aftermath were awash in fraud allegations. By focusing on such an
election, Famighetti, Keith and Pérez’s study biases itself toward finding evidence of voter fraud.
Scientifically speaking, this is not what one would call a conservative bias; rather, the bias in
Famighetti, Keith and Pérez’s work pushes the study in the direction of finding evidence of a
phenomenon of interest, here, voter fraud. Despite this bias, the rate of potential voter fraud
described by Famighetti, Keith and Pérez is very small.
42 Huefner et al. (2007) constitutes another example of a study that involved efforts to reach
out to election officials. This wide-ranging study details the electoral environments of five states
(Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin), and the authors write as follows:
“On the whole, voting fraud is exceedingly rare. Although allegations of voting fraud
have been widely publicized in the media, most all of these have evaporated upon
closer investigation” (p. 120).
43 Still another approach in the voter fraud literature uses statistical tools in efforts to deter-
mine if patterns in election returns and voting records are consistent with public claims about the
prevalence of voter fraud (Christensen and Schultz, 2014; Goel et al., 2020). Goel et al. is a study
of double voting, and their analysis relies on an extensive database that contains approximately 104
million vote records. The particular question of interest to Goel et al. is whether the records show
evidence of duplicates, i.e., of people who voted more than once in the 2012 General Election.
This question is complicated because, when one has a database of millions of individuals, there
will with virtual certainty be many cases of people with the same names and birthdates.7
44 Goel et al. conclude that, “[D]ouble voting is not currently carried out in such a systematic
way that it presents a threat to the integrity of American elections” (p. 467). Goel et al. conclude
7
Such a duplicate name problem arose in the 2016 General Election in North Carolina. Four individuals in the state
were accused of having voted illegally, only to be exonerated when it was discovered that they had the same names
as incarcerated felons. This example illustrates how innocuous coincidences can present themselves as voter fraud.
See “Republicans claim 43 voters are ineligible felons. Many of them aren’t,” The News & Observer, November
23, 2016, available at http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/election/
article116789083.html (last accessed November 15, 2020).
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as well that measurement error in official election data could explain “a significant portion, if not
all” of the cases of double voting that they identify.
45 By “measurement error,” Goel et al. are referring to inaccuracies in turnout records. These
inaccuracies can be the result of human recording errors, for example, in which a voting jurisdic-
tion’s record of one individual is mistakenly associated with the record of another.
46 With two academics, I published an article on voter fraud in the 2016 General Elec-
tion. This article—Cottrell, Herron and Westwood (2018)—appears in Electoral Studies, a peer-
reviewed, academic journal that focuses on elections. The article assesses the voter fraud allega-
tions promulgated by Donald Trump and individuals associated with him.
47 My co-authors and I twice described some of our results in The Washington Post.8 The first
time was on December 2, 2016, and the second, on February 28, 2017.
48 In our article, my colleagues and I used statistical techniques to search for evidence of three
types of fraud. In particular, we looked for:
I. Evidence of widespread non-citizen voter fraud across counties in the United States.
II. Evidence that election officials in the United States conspired against Donald Trump.
III. Evidence that the 2016 General Election in New Hampshire was contaminated by resi-
dents of Massachusetts who, allegedly, traveled north on November 8, 2016, in order to cast
illegal votes.
8
Our short articles in The Washington Post are available at https://www.washingtonpost.com/
news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/12/02/we-checked-trumps-allegations-of-voter-fraud-
we-found-no-evidence-at-all and at https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-
cage/wp/2017/02/28/we-cant-find-any-evidence-of-voting-fraud-in-new-hampshire
(last accessed November 15, 2020).
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49 With respect to the first two points above, my co-authors and I uncovered no evidence
of widespread non-citizen voter fraud and no evidence that election officials in the United States
conspired against Trump. Our county-level consideration of three states mentioned post-election
by Donald Trump—California, New Hampshire, and Virginia—also did not turn up evidence of
widespread fraud (these states were also examined by the aforementioned Famighetti, Keith and
Pérez (2017)). With respect to the third point above, my co-authors and I found no evidence of
illegal voting in New Hampshire.
50 My research project on voter fraud was initiated during the summer of 2016, months before
the presidential election. My co-authors and I are cognizant of the fact that establishing a negative
is challenging, and we do not argue that our failure to uncover evidence of fraud surrounding the
2016 General Election conclusively proves that there was not voter fraud in that election. Rather,
what one can infer from my co-authored study on voter fraud is that its attempts to uncover evi-
dence of widespread and systematic fraud were not successful.
51 The literature on voter fraud reviewed here is peer-reviewed, in most cases in publicly
accessible journals and books, and in some cases is available online. It incorporates a variety
of different research designs and data sources. Despite these differences, the contributions to
the literature share a common finding: voter fraud in American elections is rare.9 While election
scholars do not assert that the fraud rate in American elections is literally zero, no credible scholars
working in this literature have concluded that voter fraud poses a threat to election integrity in the
United States.
9
One exception to the scholarly consensus about a lack of widespread voter fraud in the United States is Richman,
Chattha and Earnest (2014), who derive estimates of non-citizen voting rates from the 2008 and 2010 waves of the
Internet-based survey known as the Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES). Some CCES survey respon-
dents indicated that, although they were non-citizens, they had voted in the 2008 General Election or in the 2010
Midterm Election.
Richman, Chattha and Earnest’s (2014) claims about non-citizen voting would be dramatic if valid, and they would
contradict effectively all of the studies on voter fraud discussed in this report. However, Ansolabehere, Luks and
Schaffner (2015) show that it is virtually certain that Richman, Chattha and Earnest’s results on non-citizen voting
reflect survey measurement error, in particular, the incorrect classification of citizen CCES respondents as non-citizen
respondents.
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53 There is no evidence that voter fraud rates associated with mail-in voting are systemati-
cally higher than voter fraud rates associated with other forms of voting and with other aspects of
election administration.
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Maricopa County
55 The allegations in the Bromberg Declaration about Maricopa County appear on pp. 14-15,
in the Declaration’s section titled “Maricopa Precinct Analysis.”
56 In its analysis of Maricopa County, the Bromberg Declaration contains two figures, both
of which plot candidate vote shares (in percentages) against precinct size. These figures constitute
the entirety of the Declaration’s evidence of fraud in Maricopa County. In particular, Figure 18
in the Bromberg Declaration plots the vote percentages of Joe Biden, Donald Trump, and third
party presidential candidates against precinct size, and Figure 19 is similar except it focuses only
on aggregate third party presidential candidates.
57 Based on its Figure 18, the Bromberg Declaration asserts that, “The Biden percentage is
higher in the smaller precincts, primarily at the expense of Trump. . . ” (p. 14). As shown below, I
do not dispute this rough characterization.
58 The Bromberg Declaration goes on to posit that the existence of this relationship “sug-
gest[s] vote switching” (p. 14) and refers to the relationship between precinct size and Biden sup-
port as “an anomaly.” By “vote switching,” the Bromberg Declaration appears to mean a process
in which legal votes for Donald Trump were switched to Joe Biden. The Bromberg Declaration
implicitly claims that this happened in Maricopa County precincts with relatively few voters.
59 The basis in the Bromberg Declaration for the claim that a relationship between precinct
size and Biden support is evidence of vote switching can be found on p. 8: “But one could also
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theorize the opportunity for cheaters to cheat in small precincts, where there may be less oversight.”
In other words, the Bromberg Declaration offers the theory that small precincts “may” have less
oversight and that “cheaters” take advantage of this.
60 There is no evidence in Bromberg Declaration that Maricopa County precincts with fewer
voters do in fact have less oversight; no evidence that election official staffing levels per voter are
lower in smaller precincts than they are in larger precincts; no evidence that the physical layout of
small precincts is different than the physical layout of large precincts; and in fact no evidence that
small precincts in Maricopa County differ in any way whatsoever from the county’s large precincts
except for the fact that the former have fewer voters.
61 There is no evidence in the academic literature on voter fraud reviewed earlier in favor of
the Bromberg Declaration’s “theory” that small precincts are susceptible to voter fraud. Moreover,
there are no citations in the Bromberg Declaration to peer-reviewed studies of the relationship
between precinct size and voter fraud.
62 It is well known that the political affiliations of voters are not uniformly distributed across
jurisdictions like counties. Some areas of counties (in particular, urban areas) have more Demo-
cratic voters, and other areas (those less urban), more Republican voters (e.g., Rodden, 2019).
If precinct size measured by numbers of voters is correlated geographically with political pref-
erences, this will induce a spurious relationship between precinct size and candidate vote shares
within precincts. Spurious relationships are not evidence of voter fraud.
63 In its discussion of precinct size and the “theory” that small precincts are relatively prone to
fraud, the Bromberg Declaration cites “An Electoral System in Crisis,” a webpage dating to 2016
that claims to be an analysis of the Wisconsin recount that took place four years ago. The authors
of this webpage argue that a relationship between precinct size and candidate vote totals indicates
the presence of “irregularities” but provide no evidence at all in favor of this assertion outside of an
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offhand comment that such a relationship is a “complete violation of the Law of Large Numbers.”
64 This assertion is nonsensical. The Law of Large Numbers in its standard form is a result in
probability theory which states that independent samples from a common population converge to
true population parameters as the number of observations increases. It is not clear in the Wisconsin
recount webpage what units are being sampled and whether these units are drawn from the same
population. The webpage’s invocation of the Law of Large Numbers does not make any sense.
The webpage does not provide any calculation that support its “complete violation” allegation –
just rhetoric.
65 In short, Bromberg Declaration asserts that a relationship between precinct size and Biden
vote share is indicative of fraud, but there is no reason whatsoever to believe this and no evidence
to support such a “theory.”
66 Regardless of whether there is any evidence behind it, the “theory” in the Bromberg Dec-
laration about precinct size and voter fraud is applicable to the study of Maricopa County in the
2020 election only to the extent that in-person voters in the county actually voted in their precincts.
In fact, they did not do this.
67 In the 2020 election, Maricopa County offered in-person voting at what are known as voting
centers. A voting center is a location at which any eligible voter in the county may cast an in-
person ballot. In particular, there were 175 voting centers in Maricopa County for the purposes of
in-person voting during the 2020 General Election.14
14
I downloaded the set of Maricopa County voting centers from http://web.archive.
org/web/20201104002036/https://recorder.maricopa.gov/pollingplacefiles/
VotingSitesSchedule.xlsx (last accessed December 4, 2020).
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68 The Maricopa County elections department informed the county’s voters that, “There are
no assigned locations” (bold in original) for voting in the 2020 election. See Appendix B, which
displays text from the Maricopa County elections office webpage.
69 Consequently, the author of the Bromberg Declaration has literally no idea where any of
the ballots attributed to the county’s precincts were actually cast. To make matters worse, the
author appears not even to distinguish between in-person votes and ballots mailed in or submitted
via drop boxes (and this distinction is in principle important insofar as the “theory” of voter fraud
in the Bromberg Declaration that connects precinct size and fraud does not make sense when
applied to votes not cast in-person).15 In short, the number of votes associated with any given
precinct in Maricopa County—and this is what is displayed in Figures 18 and 19 in the Bromberg
Declaration—has no implications for how many ballots were actually cast in said precinct and
thus, per the “theory” in the Bromberg Declaration, were ostensibly vulnerable to fraud.
70 I downloaded precinct returns for the 2020 General Election from the Maricopa County
elections department webpage.16 There were 744 unique precinct names used in the 2020 election.
Insofar as there were in this election 175 voting centers in Maricopa County, I know for certain
that there is not a one-to-one match between the precincts and voting centers (not to mention the
fact that the county’s webpage was explicit that voters could cast in-person ballots in any voting
center that they wished).
71 Figure 1 displays the relationship between precinct size (horizontal axis) and support for
Democratic candidates (vertical axis). Each point in the figure denotes a single precinct in Mari-
copa County. The figure’s left panel is for the United States presidential contest, and in this panel
15
Because the author of Bromberg Declaration has not, to the best of my knowledge, disclosed his computer code,
I cannot be entirely what he did to produce his Figures 18 and 19. However, the text of Bromberg Declaration refers
generically to precinct “size,” which I take to mean, the number of votes cast in the precinct.
16
These returns are available at https://recorder.maricopa.gov/media/
ArizonaExportByPrecinct_110320.txt (last accessed December 3, 2020).
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Democratic vote share means, Joe Biden’s vote share. In Figure 1’s right panel, Democratic vote
share for the United State Senate race means, Mark Kelly’s vote share.
100
75
Democratic vote share
50
25
72 Both panels of Figure 1 have superimposed linear regression lines to ease interpretation.
These lines are sloped down, indicating that precincts in Maricopa County with greater voter
turnout had lower Biden vote share (left panel) and lower Kelly vote share (right panel).
73 The key implication of Figure 1 is the similarly between its two panels. They are, evidently,
virtually identical. This suggests that the relationship between turnout and Democratic vote share
across Maricopa County precincts reflects established political preference in the county—not vote
switching that affected the 2020 presidential contest.
74 More evidence to this effect is apparent in Figure 2, which plots Joe Biden and Mark Kelly
vote shares against each other. Each point in the figure is again a precinct where the size of each
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100
75
Kelly percent
50
25
0 25 50 75 100
Biden percent
75 Figure 2 has a dashed 45-degree line superimposed on it. Points above the line connote
precincts where Mark Kelly’s vote share was greater than Joe Biden’s; points below the line con-
note precincts where Joe Biden’s vote share was greater than Mark Kelly’s; and, points on the line
connote precincts where Joe Biden’s vote share was equal to Mark Kelly’s.
76 The points in Figure 2 show that precincts in Maricopa County where Joe Biden did well
(upper right of the figure) are also precincts where Mark Kelly did well. And, precincts in Mari-
copa County where Joe Biden did less well (lower left) are similarly precincts where Mark Kelly
did not do well. This clear regularity suggests that the relationship noted in the Bromberg Decla-
ration between precinct turnout and Biden vote share is spurious and has nothing to do with voter
fraud. Rather, the distribution of precincts across the county is such that smaller ones (namely,
those with lower turnout in the 2020 election) tended to be consistently Democratic. There is noth-
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ing anomalous about this correlation between political preferences and geography and nothing
irregular.
beyond Arizona
77 Most of claims in the Bromberg Declaration do not directly concern Arizona, instead speak-
ing to alleged voter fraud in Georgia (pp. 4-5), Pennsylvania (pp. 5-6) and Milwaukee, Wisconsin
(pp. 6-8).
78 The number of fraudulent votes claimed in Bromberg Declaration is extensive. For exam-
ple, the Declaration claims “that 105,639 fraudulent Biden ballots were added between Wednesday
and Thursday of 11/05/2020 in Milwaukee alone” (p. 8). Total turnout in Milwaukee was 315,483
voters,17 meaning that the Bromberg Declaration asserts that roughly one-third of Milwaukee’s
ballots were contaminated by fraud. There is nothing remotely close to a result like this in the
literature on voter fraud that I have surveyed above.
79 None of what follows bears directly on the Bromberg Declaration’s discussion of Maricopa
County. However, the material below is nonetheless notable insofar as it shows that literally all
of the claims in the Declaration about voter fraud—and not simply those concerning Arizona—do
not follow from the analysis in the Declaration.
80 The Bromberg Declaration offers what its author calls two models of candidate vote share.
One model assumes that there is no voter fraud (see equation (2) in the Declaration) and the second
17
“SUMMARY REPORT,” City of Milwaukee Election Commission, December 6, 2020, https://city.
milwaukee.gov/election/ElectionInformation/ElectionResults (last accessed December 4,
2020).
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that there is a form of voter fraud in which a some votes are switched from one candidate to another
(see equation (3)). Henceforth I refer to a singular model in the Bromberg Declaration, by which I
mean both the no-fraud and fraud-based models mentioned in this paragraph.
81 Two key assumptions render the model in the Bromberg Declaration of no use in the study
of voter fraud.
82 Key to the technical exposition of the model in Bromberg Declaration is a parameter called
pF that denotes what is called the “prior probability of fraud.” Intuitively, this prior probability of
fraud is the probability of fraud in a jurisdiction that one would have assumed before (i.e., prior
to) an election.
83 The Bromberg Declaration assumes that pF = 0.01, meaning that there is a one percent
chance of vote switching in a jurisdiction (p. 3).
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86 Underlying the model in Bromberg Declaration is the implicit assumption that there is
no correlation between the timing of when a set of ballots was counted in November 2020 and
the presidential votes on these ballots. The model, when it encounters temporal changes in a
jurisdiction’s presidential candidate support (i.e., ten hours after polls closed on November 3, Joe
Biden’s support changes from 42 percent to 44 percent) attributes these changes to fraud.
87 Intuitively speaking, this is because the model does not allow for the possibility that ballot
counting is not completed uniformly across a jurisdiction, like a state. For example, the model rules
out (with the exception of fraud) the possibility that ballots counted in the immediate aftermath of
an election are different than those counted 24 hours later.
89 The 2020 election was historic in its heavy use of mail-in ballots. However, Democrats
were more likely to vote via mail than Republicans, and this was known well before November
3.18 Give that some states counted absentee ballots in the days after November 3 (in particular
Pennsylvania), this feature of the 2020 election certainly exaggerated the blue shift compared to
what one would have expected had ballots been case in 2020 like they were in 2016.19
90 Ignoring the issue regarding the technical assumption about the prior fraud parameter noted
above, the results in the Bromberg Declaration about Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Milwaukee, Wis-
18
See “Huge Absentee Vote in Key States Favors Democrats So Far,” The New York Times, October 10, 2020, avail-
able at https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/10/us/politics/early-voting-swing-states.
html (last accessed December 4, 2020).
19
On Pennsylvania, see “Why Pennsylvania is still counting votes after Election Day,” ABCNews, Novem-
ber 3, 2020, available at https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/pennsylvania-counting-votes-
election-day/story?id=73993649 (last accessed December 4, 2020).
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consin are not examples of fraud. They can be easily rationalized by the blue shift.
91 Earlier I noted that the part of Bromberg Declaration that engages states other than Arizona
does not bear directly on the claims made in this litigation. Nonetheless, I have now explained
that all the Declaration’s claims about voter fraud rest on false assumptions, either an assumption
about a “theory” relating precinct size and presidential vote share (no such theory exists) or an
assumption that when a ballot is counted is orthogonal to the presidential vote on it (which is
known not to be the case).
92 None of the claims in Bromberg Declaration about voter fraud—and not simply those con-
cerning Arizona—follow from the arguments made in the Declaration.
H Conclusion
93 This report evaluates the contention in the Bromberg Declaration that there was voter fraud
in Maricopa County, Arizona in the 2020 presidential election.
94 The contention relies on a “theory” that does not exist and a misunderstanding of how in-
person voting proceeded in Maricopa County county this past November. Namely, the Bromberg
Declaration assumes that voters in the county cast in-person ballots in their precincts (of which
there were 744), but in reality they did not, voting in-person in voting centers (of which there
were 175). This misunderstanding of how Maricopa County voters cast ballots is a fatal flaw to
the Declaration’s analysis of the county, which was already flawed based on its reliance on a non-
existent theory. In short, Bromberg Declaration contains no evidence whatsoever that there were
any fraudulent ballots cast in Maricopa County in the 2020 General Election.
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95 The Bromberg Declaration also contains no evidence whatsoever that there were any fraud-
ulent ballots cast in Georgia, Pennsylvania, and the Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Its claims of voter
fraud in these locales rest on a faulty assumption that when a ballot is counted has no bearing on
the presidential candidate supported on it. In fact, it is known that ballots counted later in presiden-
tial elections tend to be Democratic, and this fact undermines the Bromberg Declaration’s analysis
of Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
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References
Ansolabehere, Stephen, Samantha Luks and Brian F. Schaffner. 2015. “The perils of cherry
picking low frequency events in large sample surveys.” Electoral Studies 40:409–410.
Christensen, Ray and Thomas J. Schultz. 2014. “Identifying Election Fraud Using Orphan and
Low Propensity Voters.” American Politics Research 42(2):311–337.
Cottrell, David, Michael C. Herron and Sean J. Westwood. 2018. “An Exploration of Donald
Trump’s Allegations of Massive Voter Fraud in the 2016 General Election.” Electoral Studies
51(1):123–142.
Famighetti, Christopher, Douglas Keith and Myrna Pérez. 2017. “NONCITIZEN VOTING: THE
MISSING MILLIONS.” Report published by the Brennan Center for Justice at New York
University School of Law.
Foley, Edward B. 2013. “A big blue shift: Measuring an asymmetrically increasing margin of
litigation.” Journal of Law and Politics 24:501–544.
Foley, Edward B. and Charles Stewart III. 2020. “Explaining the Blue Shift in Election
Canvassing.” Unpublished working paper.
URL: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3547734
Goel, Sharad, Marc Meredith, Michael Morse and David Rothschild. 2020. “One Person, One
Vote: Estimating the Prevalence of Double Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections.” American
Political Science Review 114(2):456–469.
Herron, Michael C. 2019. “Mail-In Absentee Ballot Anomalies in North Carolina’s 9th
Congressional District.” Election Law Journal 18(3):191–213.
Huefner, Steven F., Daniel P. Tokaji, Edward B. Foley and Nathan A. Cemenska. 2007. “From
Registration to Recounts: The Election Ecosystems of Five Midwestern States.” Report
published by Election Law@Moritz, The Ohio State University, Moritz College of Law.
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Levitt, Justin. 2007. “The truth about voter fraud.” Report published by the Brennan Center for
Justice at New York University School of Law.
Minnite, Lori and David Callahan. 2003. “Securing the Vote: An Analysis of Election Fraud.”
Report published by Demos.
Minnite, Lorraine. 2007. “Election Day Registration: A Study of Voter Fraud Allegations and
Findings on Voter Roll Security.” Report published by Demos.
URL: http://www.demos.org/sites/default/files/publications/edr fraud.pdf
Minnite, Lorraine C. 2010. The Myth of Voter Fraud. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University.
Richman, Jesse T., Gulshan A. Chattha and David C. Earnest. 2014. “Do non-citizens vote in
U.S. elections?” Electoral Studies 36:149–157.
Rodden, Jonathan. 2019. Why Cities Lose: The Deep Roots of the Urban-Rural Political Divide.
New York, NY: Basic Books.
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Michael C. Herron
Dartmouth College Phone: +1 (603) 646-2693
Department of Government Mobile: +1 (603) 359-9731
6108 Silsby Hall Email: [email protected]
Hanover, NH 03755-3547 Homepage: http://www.dartmouth.edu/˜herron
Academic appointments
William Clinton Story Remsen 1943 Professor, Department of Government, Dartmouth College. July
2013–present.
Chair, Program in Quantitative Social Science, Dartmouth College. July 2015–June 2020.
Visiting Scholar, Hertie School of Governance, Berlin, Germany. August 2016–July 2017.
Chair, Program in Mathematics and Social Sciences, Dartmouth College. July 2014– June 2015.
Professor, Department of Government, Dartmouth College. July 2009–June 2013.
Visiting Professor of Applied Methods, Hertie School of Governance, Berlin, Germany. August 2011–
August 2012.
Associate Professor, Department of Government, Dartmouth College. July 2004–June 2009.
Visiting Associate Professor, Department of Government, Harvard University. July 2008–January 2009.
Visiting Associate Professor, Wallis Institute of Political Economy, University of Rochester. September
2006–December 2006.
Visiting Assistant Professor, Department of Government, Dartmouth College. July 2003–June 2004.
Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Northwestern University. September 1997–June
2004.
Faculty Associate, Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University. September 2002–June 2004.
Education
PhD Business (Political Economics), Stanford University, January 1998.
Dissertation: Political Uncertainty and the Prices of Financial Assets
Committee: David Baron, Darrell Duffie, Douglas Rivers, and Barry Weingast
MS Statistics, Stanford University, June 1995.
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Michael C. Herron 2
Fellowships
Elizabeth R. and Robert A. Jeffe 1972 Fellowship, Dartmouth College. September 2010–June 2011.
Fulbright Scholar Program fellowship for research and teaching at the Heidelberg Center for American
Studies, Heidelberg University, September 2009 - February 2010 (declined).
Post–doctoral Research Fellow, Center for Basic Research in the Social Sciences, Harvard University.
September 2000–August 2001.
Publications
Journal articles
“Postal Delivery Disruptions and the Fragility of Voting by Mail: Lessons from Maine” (with Daniel
A. Smith). Forthcoming, Research & Politics.
“Voting lines, equal treatment, and early voting check-in times in Florida” (with David Cottrell and
Daniel A. Smith). Forthcoming, State Politics & Policy Quarterly, and available at https://journals.
sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1532440020943884.
“Voting by Mail and Ballot Rejection: Lessons from Florida for Elections in the Age of the Coronavirus”
(with Anna Baringer and Daniel A. Smith). Election Law Journal 19(3): 289-320. 2020.
“Early voting changes and voter turnout: North Carolina in the 2016 General Election” (with Hannah
L. Walker and Daniel A. Smith). Political Behavior 41(4): 841-869. 2019.
“Mail-in absentee ballot anomalies in North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District.” Election Law Journal
18(3): 191-213. 2019.
“Relative age effects in American professional football” (with Jack F. Heneghan). Journal of Quantitative
Analysis in Sports 15(3): 185-202. 2019.
“Mortality, Incarceration, and African-American Disenfranchisement in the Contemporary United
States” (with David Cottrell, Javier M. Rodriguez, and Daniel A. Smith). American Politics Research
47(2): 195-237. 2019.
“Pedagogical Value of Polling Place Observation By Students” (with 31 co-authors). PS: Political Science
& Politics 51(4): 831-847. 2018.
“All in the family: German twin finishing times in the 2016 women’s Olympic marathon” (with David
Cottrell). CHANCE 31(3): 20-28. 2018.
“An Exploration of Donald Trump’s Allegations of Massive Voter Fraud in the 2016 General Election”
(with David Cottrell and Sean J. Westwood). Electoral Studies 51(1): 123-142. 2018.
“Student Sorting and Implications for Grade Inflation (with Zachary D. Markovich). Rationality and
Society 29(3): 355-386. 2017.
“Race, Shelby County, and the Voter Information Verification Act in North Carolina” (with Daniel A.
Smith). Florida State University Law Review 43: 465-506. 2016.
“Precinct Resources and Voter Wait Times” (with Daniel A. Smith). Electoral Studies 42(2): 249-263.
2016.
29
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Michael C. Herron 3
“A Careful Look at Modern Case Selection Methods” (with Kevin M. Quinn). Sociological Methods &
Research 45(3): 458-492. 2016.
“Precinct Closing and Wait Times in Florida during the 2012 General Election” (with Daniel A. Smith).
Election Law Journal 14(3): 220-238. 2015.
“Race, Party, and the Consequences of Restricting Early Voting in Florida in the 2012 General Election”
(with Daniel A. Smith). Political Research Quarterly 67(3): 646-665. 2014.
“The Effects of House Bill 1355 on Voter Registration in Florida” (with Daniel A. Smith). State Politics
& Policy Quarterly 13(3): 279-305. 2013.
“Blacks, Hispanics, and Whites: A Study of Race-based Residual Vote Rates in Chicago.” American
Politics Research 41(2): 203-243. 2013.
“Alvin Greene? Who? How did he win the United States Senate nomination in South Carolina?” (with
Joseph Bafumi, Seth J. Hill, and Jeffrey B. Lewis). Election Law Journal 11(4): 358-379. 2012.
“Souls to the Polls: Early Voting in Florida in the Shadow of House Bill 1355” (with Daniel A. Smith).
Election Law Journal 11(3): 331-347. 2012.
“Leapfrog Representation and Extremism: A Study of American Voters and their Members in
Congress” (with Joseph Bafumi). American Political Science Review 104(3): 519-542. 2010.
“Economic Crisis, Iraq, and Race: A Study of the 2008 Presidential Election” (with Seth J. Hill and
Jeffrey B. Lewis). Election Law Journal 9(1): 41-62. 2010
“Prejudice, Black Threat, and the Racist Voter in the 2008 Presidential Election” (with Joseph Bafumi).
Journal of Political Marketing 8(4): 334-348. 2009.
“Voting Technology and the 2008 New Hampshire Primary” (with Walter R. Mebane, Jr., and Jonathan
N. Wand). William & Mary Bill of Rights Journal 17(2): 351-374. 2008.
“Ballot Formats, Touchscreens, and Undervotes: A Study of the 2006 Midterm Elections in Florida”
(with Laurin Frisina, James Honaker, and Jeffrey B. Lewis). Election Law Journal 7(1): 25-47. 2008.
“Gerrymanders and Theories of Lawmaking: A Study of Legislative Redistricting in Illinois” (with
Alan E. Wiseman). Journal of Politics 70(1): 151-167. 2008.
“Estimating the Effect of Redistricting on Minority Substantive Representation” (with David Epstein,
Sharyn O’Halloran, and David Park). Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 23(2): 499-518. 2007.
“Did Ralph Nader Spoil Al Gore’s Presidential Bid? A Ballot-Level Study of Green and Reform Party
Voters in the 2000 Presidential Election” (with Jeffrey B. Lewis). Quarterly Journal of Political Science
2(3): 205-226. 2007.
“Assessing Partisan Bias in Voting Technology: The Case of the 2004 New Hampshire Recount” (with
Jonathan N. Wand). Electoral Studies 26(2): 247-261. 2007.
“Term Limits and Pork” (with Kenneth W. Shotts). Legislative Studies Quarterly 31(3): 383-404. 2006.
“Black Candidates and Black Voters: Assessing the Impact of Candidate Race on Uncounted Vote
Rates” (with Jasjeet S. Sekhon). Journal of Politics 67(1): 154–177. 2005.
“Government Redistribution in the Shadow of Legislative Elections: A Study of the Illinois Member
Initiatives Grant Program” (with Brett A. Theodos). Legislative Studies Quarterly 24(2): 287–312. 2004.
“Studying Dynamics in Legislator Ideal Points: Scale Matters.” Political Analysis 12(2): 182–190. 2004.
30
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Michael C. Herron 4
“Logical Inconsistency in EI-based Second Stage Regressions” (with Kenneth W. Shotts). American
Journal of Political Science 48(1): 172–183. 2004.
“Overvoting and Representation: An examination of overvoted presidential ballots in Broward and
Miami-Dade Counties” (with Jasjeet S. Sekhon). Electoral Studies 22: 21–47. 2003.
“Using Ecological Inference Point Estimates as Dependent Variables in Second Stage Linear Regres-
sions” (with Kenneth W. Shotts). Political Analysis 11(1): 44–64. 2003.
“Cross-contamination in EI-R” (with Kenneth W. Shotts). Political Analysis 11(1): 77–85. 2003.
“A Consensus on Second Stage Analyses in Ecological Inference Models” (with Christopher Adolph,
Gary King, and Kenneth W. Shotts). Political Analysis 11(1): 86–94. 2003.
“The Butterfly Did It: The Aberrant Vote for Buchanan in Palm Beach County, Florida” (with Jonathan
N. Wand, Kenneth W. Shotts, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr., and Henry E. Brady). American
Political Science Review 95(4): 793–810. 2001.
“Interest Group Ratings and Regression Inconsistency.” Political Analysis 9(3): 260–274. 2001.
“Leadership and Pandering: A Theory of Executive Policymaking” (with Brandice Canes–Wrone and
Kenneth W. Shotts). American Journal of Political Science 45(3): 532–550. 2001.
“Law and Data: The Butterfly Ballot Episode” (with Henry E. Brady, Walter R. Mebane, Jr., Jasjeet S.
Sekhon, Kenneth W. Shotts, and Jonathan N. Wand). PS: Political Science & Politics 34(1): 59–69. 2001.
“Cutpoint–Adjusted Interest Group Ratings.” Political Analysis 8(4): 346–366. 2000.
“Estimating the Economic Impact of Political Party Competition in the 1992 British Election.” American
Journal of Political Science 44(2): 326–337. 2000.
“Artificial Extremism in Interest Group Ratings and the Preferences versus Party Debate.” Legislative
Studies Quarterly 24(4): 525–542. 1999.
“Post–Estimation Uncertainty in Limited Dependent Variable Models.” Political Analysis 8(1): 83–98.
1999.
“Measurement of Political Effects in the United States Economy: A Study of the 1992 Presidential
Election” (with James Lavin, Donald Cram, and Jay Silver). Economics & Politics 11(1): 51–81. 1999.
“The Influence of Family Regulation, Connection, and Psychological Autonomy on Six Measures of
Adolescent Functions” (with Melissa R. Herman, Sanford M. Dornbusch, and Jerald R. Herting). Jour-
nal of Adolescent Research 12(1): 34–67. 1997.
Book chapters
“Wait Times and Voter Confidence: A Study of the 2014 General Election in Miami-Dade County”
(with Daniel A. Smith, Wendy Serra, and Joseph Bafumi). In Races, Reforms, & Policy: Implications of the
2014 Midterm Elections, Christopher J. Galdieri, Tauna S. Sisco, and Jennifer C. Lucas, eds. Akron, OH:
University of Akron Press. 2017.
“A Dynamic Model of Multidimensional Collective Choice” (with David P. Baron). In Computational
Models in Political Economy, Ken Kollman, John H. Miller, and Scott E. Page, eds. Cambridge, MA: The
MIT Press. 2003.
“Law and Data: The Butterfly Ballot Episode” (with Henry E. Brady, Walter R. Mebane Jr., Jasjeet
Singh Sekhon, Kenneth W. Shotts, and Jonathan Wand). In The Longest Night: Polemics and Perspectives
on Election 2000, Arthur J. Jacobson and Michel Rosenfeld, eds. Berkeley: University of California Press.
2002.
31
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Book reviews
The Timeline of Presidential Elections: How Campaigns Do (and Do Not) Matter, Robert S. Erikson and
Christopher Wlezien. Political Science Quarterly 128(3): 552-553. 2013.
Voting Technology: The Not-So-Simple Act of Casting a Ballot, Paul S. Herrnson, Richard G. Niemi, Michael
J. Hanmer, Benjamin B. Bederson, and Frederick C. Conrad. Review of Policy Research 25(4): 379-380.
2008.
Other publications
“In two political battlegrounds, thousands of mail-in ballots are on the verge of be-
ing rejected” (with Daniel A. Smith). The Conversation, October 23, 2020. Avail-
able at https://theconversation.com/in-two-political-battlegrounds-thousands-
of-mail-in-ballots-are-on-the-verge-of-being-rejected-148616.
“Rejected mail ballots pile up in Florida” (with Daniel A. Smith). Tampa Bay Times, October 16, 2020.
Available at https://www.tampabay.com/opinion/2020/10/16/rejected-mail-ballots-
pile-up-in-florida-column.
“Minor postal delays could disenfranchise thousands of Florida vote-by-mail voters” (with Daniel A.
Smith). Tampa Bay Times, August 14, 2020. Available at https://www.tampabay.com/opinion/
2020/08/14/minor-postal-delays-could-disenfranchise-thousands-of-florida-
vote-by-mail-voters-column.
“Want to know how many people have the coronavirus? Test randomly” (with Daniel N. Rockmore).
The Conversation, April 13, 2020. Available at https://theconversation.com/want-to-know-
how-many-people-have-the-coronavirus-test-randomly-135784.
“If more states start using Ohio’s system, how many voters will be purged?” (with Daniel A. Smith).
The Washington Post, Monkey Cage, June 17, 2018.
“Do we have a right not to vote? The Supreme Court suggests we don’t” (with Daniel A. Smith). New
York Daily News, June 12, 2018.
“Nearly 4 million black voters are missing. This is why” (with David Cottrell, Javier M. Rodriguez,
and Daniel A. Smith). The Washington Post, Monkey Cage, April 11, 2018.
“We can’t find any evidence of voting fraud in New Hampshire” (with David Cottrell and Sean West-
wood). The Washington Post, Monkey Cage, February 28, 2017.
“We checked Trump’s allegations of voter fraud. We found no evidence at all” (with David Cottrell
and Sean Westwood). The Washington Post, Monkey Cage, December 2, 2016.
“High ballot rejection rates should worry Florida voters” (with Daniel A. Smith). Tampa Bay Times,
October 28, 2012.
“Logistic Regression.” The Encyclopedia of Political Science, George Thomas Kurian, James E. Alt, Simone
Chambers, Geoffrey Garrett, Margaret Levi, and Paula D. McClain, eds., Washington, D.C.: CQ Press.
2010.
“Using XEmacs Macros to Process ASCII Data Files.” The Political Methodologist 13(2): 13–18. 2005.
“Ohio 2004 Election: Turnout, Residual Votes and Votes in Precincts and Wards” (with Walter R.
Mebane, Jr.), in “Democracy At Risk: The 2004 Election in Ohio,” report published by the Democratic
National Committee. 2005.
32
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Michael C. Herron 6
“Poisson Regression.” The Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods, Alan Bryman, Michael Lewis-
Beck, and Tim Futing Liao, eds. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 2003.
“Pork barrel race to the bottom” (with Brett A. Theodos). Illinois Issues 29(2): 22–23. 2003.
“Teaching Introductory Probability Theory.” The Political Methodologist 10(2): 2–4. 2002.
“Ballot cost Gore thousands of votes” (with Henry E. Brady and Jonathan N. Wand). The San Diego
Union–Tribune, p. G3, November 19, 2000.
Work in progress
“Residual votes in the 2020 election in Georgia” (with David Cottrell, Felix E. Herron, and Daniel A.
Smith).
“Vote-by-mail ballot rejection and experience with mail-in voting” (with David Cottrell and Daniel A.
Smith).
“Did ballot design oust an incumbent senator? A study of the 2018 midterm election in Florida” (with
Michael D. Martinez and Daniel A. Smith).
Awards
Best Paper Award, State Politics and Policy Section, 2013 Annual Meeting of the American Political
Science Association. Getting Your Souls to the Polls: The Racial Impact of Reducing Early In-Person Voting
in Florida (with Daniel A. Smith).
Grants
Committee for Scholarly Innovation and Advancement Awards, Dartmouth College, February, 2014.
Project title: “The Dynamics of Voting Lines in Miami-Dade County.” Financial support: $32,000.
The Rockefeller Center for Public Policy and the Social Sciences, Dartmouth College, May, 2006. Project
title: “Large Scale Survey of Americans in Multiple Congressional Districts.” Financial support: $8,500.
National Science Foundation, SES-041849, July, 2004. Project title: “A Ballot-Level Study of Intentional
and Unintentional Abstention in Presidential Election Voting.” Financial support: $65,749.
Nelson A. Rockefeller Center for the Social Sciences, Dartmouth College, January, 2004. Project title:
“Intentional Invalid Votes in Leon County, Florida.” Financial support: $1,115.
American Enterprise Institute, August, 1999. Project title: “Tenure in Office and Congressional Voting”
(with Kenneth W. Shotts). Financial support: $182,500.
University Research Grants Committee, Northwestern University, February, 1999. Project Title: “Rep-
resentation, Policy Uncertainty, and Divided Government.” Financial support: $4,087.
Stanford University Graduate School of Business, 1997–1998 Academic Year. Dissertation Research
Grant.
33
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Michael C. Herron 8
Invited seminars
Professional activities
Division Chair, Representation and Electoral Systems, 2017 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political
Science Association.
Associate Editor, Research & Politics. November, 2016–present.
Editorial Board, American Politics Research, September, 2015–present.
Editorial Board, Political Analysis, January, 2010–present.
Editorial Board, USENIX Journal of Election Technology and Systems, March 2013–June 2016.
Editorial Board, American Political Science Review, 2010–2012.
Editorial Board, American Journal of Political Science, 2006–2009.
“Race, Voting Procedures, and New Developments in Voting Rights,” panel organized for the 2013
Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association.
35
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Division Chair, Formal Theory, 2007 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association.
Co-editor, The Political Methodologist, Fall 2004–Spring 2006.
Publications Committee, Society for Political Methodology, 2005–2006, 2015–present.
Teaching interests
Statistical methods: introductory and applied statistics, research design, computing in R.
American politics: representation, election irregularities, election administration.
Political economy: game theory.
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Reviewer for
Foreign language
German: C1 (telc Prüfung, Ausstellung July 27, 2017).
Other employment
Intelligence Analyst and Military Officer, United States Air Force, Foreign Technology Division,
Wright–Patterson Air Force Base, 1989–1992.
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96 This appendix displays part of the Maricopa County elections department page that
explains to eligible voters that they can vote in any voting center in the county. The source of this
image is http://web.archive.org/web/20201104002036/https:
//recorder.maricopa.gov/pollingplace/ (last accessed December 4, 2020).
38
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39
1562
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79 Filed 12/08/20 Page 1 of 2
20 v.
{00526200.2 }
1563
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79 Filed 12/08/20 Page 2 of 2
1 Secretary Katie Hobbs submits as Exhibit A to this Notice the presentation used at
2 the hearing on December 8, 2020. With two minor typographical corrections, the attached
3 Exhibit represents the presentation as shown to the Court.
4
5 Respectfully submitted this 8th day of December, 2020.
6
7 SUSMAN GODFREY L.L.P.
8
By s/ Justin A. Nelson
9
Justin A. Nelson
10 Stephen E. Morrissey
Stephen Shackelford
11 Davida Brook
12 COPPERSMITH BROCKELMAN PLC
13 Roopali H. Desai
D. Andrew Gaona
14 Kristen Yost
15
16 Attorneys for Defendant Arizona Secretary of
State Katie Hobbs
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
{00526200.2 }
1564
-2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 1 of 43
EXHIBIT
A
1565
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 2 of 43
Bowyer et al
v.
Ducey et al
1566
1
Arizona Official Canvass Certification
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 3 of 43
2
Gov. Ducey and Sec. Hobbs Sign Cert. of Ascertainment
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 4 of 43
Gov.1568
Ducey Ex. 2
3
A Free and Fair Election
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 5 of 43
1569
4
Nearly-Identical Cases Filed
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 6 of 43
• Georgia
Pearson v. Kemp, No.
1:20-cv-04809-TCB
(N.D. Ga.)
• Michigan
King v. Whitmer, No.
2:20-cv-13134 (E.D.
Mich.)
• Wisconsin
Feehan v. Wis.
Elections Comm’n,
No. 20-cv-1771-pp
(E.D. Wis.) 1570
5
Michigan: King v. Whitmer
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 7 of 43
Page 2
1571
6
Georgia: Pearson v. Kemp
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 8 of 43
1572
7
Georgia: Pearson v. Kemp
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 9 of 43
• “The relief that the plaintiffs seek this court cannot grant. They ask the court to
order the secretary of state to decertify the election results as if such a mechanism
even exists, and I find that it does not.”
• “Federal courts don’t entertain post-election conduct, excuse me, contests about
vote-counting misconduct.”
• “In their Complaint, the Plaintiffs essentially ask the court for perhaps the most
extraordinary relief ever sought in any federal court in connection with an election.
They want this court to substitute its judgment for that of two and a half million
Georgia voters who voted for Joe Biden - and this I am unwilling to do.”
Source: https://twitter.com/TheInsiderPaper/status/1335988370980352003,
1573
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/07/judge-dismisses-sidney-powell-lawsuit-challenging-trump-georgia-loss.html 8
Breathtaking Scope of Relief
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 10 of 43
9
“At Stake Is Faith in Our System of Free and Fair Elections”
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 11 of 43
Ex. A 1575
10
This Court Should Dismiss the Case
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 12 of 43
11
This Court Should Dismiss the Case
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 13 of 43
12
The Complaint Admits It Is Based on Arizona Law
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 14 of 43
13
Violations of Arizona Election Law
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 15 of 43
14
The Claims Here Belong In An Election Contest
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 16 of 43
15
Count 1 – Electors/Elections Clause
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 17 of 43
* * *
16
Same Plaintiff
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 18 of 43
17
Relief Sought is The Same
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 19 of 43
18
State Court Decision in Ward v. Jackson
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 20 of 43
19
Collateral Estoppel Applies Here
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 21 of 43
1585
20
This Court Should Dismiss the Case
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 22 of 43
21
Eleventh Amendment
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 23 of 43
1587
22
This Court Should Dismiss the Case
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 24 of 43
23
No Standing Under Election/Electors Clause
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 25 of 43
1589
24
Counts 2-4 – Vote Dilution and “Ballot Fraud”
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 26 of 43
25
No Standing for Vote Dilution Claims
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 27 of 43
1591
26
No Traceability or Redressability
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 28 of 43
• No Traceability:
Neither Plaintiffs’ “Conspiracy” Allegations Nor
Allegations of State Law Violations Traceable to Gov.
Ducey or Sec. Hobbs.
• No Redressability:
A Federal Court Has No Power to Order a “De-
Certification.”
1592
27
This Court Should Dismiss the Case
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 29 of 43
28
Plaintiffs’ Claims Are Moot
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 30 of 43
29
This Court Should Dismiss the Case
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 31 of 43
30
Laches Bars Plaintiffs’ Claims
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 32 of 43
31
This Court Should Dismiss the Case
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 33 of 43
32
Pullman Abstention Applies
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 34 of 43
33
This Court Should Dismiss the Case
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 35 of 43
34
Plaintiffs Allege An Utterly Implausible “Fraud”
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 36 of 43
35
Plaintiffs’ Claims Not Plausible
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 37 of 43
compromised
voting
thousands
“foreign machines
of election
interference
officials
by Iran and
China”
Spider
“countries
Venezuela such as
Serbia”
compromised Arizona
“rogue software
actors”
1601
36
Allegations Not Remotely Plausible Under Rule 12
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 38 of 43
1602
37
Federal Pleading Standards Apply in Federal Court
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 39 of 43
1603
38
Plaintiffs’ Claims Not Plausible
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 40 of 43
1604
39
Plaintiffs Cannot Satisfy Rule 9(b)
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 41 of 43
40
“At Stake Is Faith in Our System of Free and Fair Elections”
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 42 of 43
Ex. A 1606
41
Gov. Ducey and Sec. Hobbs Sign Cert. of Ascertainment
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 79-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 43 of 43
Gov.1607
Ducey Ex. 2
42
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 81 Filed 12/08/20 Page 1 of 3
1 ALLISTER ADEL
MARICOPA COUNTY ATTORNEY
2
Thomas P. Liddy (019384)
3 Emily Craiger (021728)
Joseph I. Vigil (018677)
4 Joseph J. Branco (031474)
Joseph E. LaRue (031348)
5 Deputy County Attorneys
[email protected]
6 [email protected]
[email protected]
7 [email protected]
8
[email protected]
26
27
The Maricopa County Intervenor-Defendants file this notice of supplemental
28
authority concerning the Arizona Supreme Court’s Decision Order in Ward v. Jackson,
1608
-1-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 81 Filed 12/08/20 Page 2 of 3
1 No. CV-20-0343-AP/EL, which the court issued this evening. A copy of the Decision
2 Order is attached as Exhibit A.
3 On page 7 of the Decision Order, the Arizona Supreme Court affirmed the trial
4 court’s decision, which was previously provided to this Court, and which held that there
5 was no misconduct or illegal votes in Maricopa County’s November 3, 2020, general
6 election. (Doc. 58). On the same page, the Arizona Supreme Court confirmed the
7 election of the Biden Electors under A.R.S. § 16-676(B), and also noted that the plaintiff
8 Kelli Ward (who is one of the Plaintiffs in the instant matter) failed to “establish any
9 degree of fraud.”
10
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
1609
-2-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 81 Filed 12/08/20 Page 3 of 3
1
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
1610
-3-
Case 2:20-cv-02321-DJH Document 81-1 Filed 12/08/20 Page 1 of 8
Exhibit A
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DECISION ORDER
appeal and en banc has considered the record, the trial court’s
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Arizona Supreme Court No. CV-20-0343-AP/EL
Page 2 of 7
November 30, 2020, she and the Governor signed the certificate of
the Biden Electors received 1,672,143 votes and the Trump Electors
margin was outside the one-tenth of one percent of the total number
in this case the November 9, 2020 Maricopa County hand count included
5000 early ballots and a hand count of Election Day Ballots from two-
the tabulation of the votes between hand count totals and machine
1
https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/2020_General_Maricopa_Hand_Count.pdf
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Arizona Supreme Court No. CV-20-0343-AP/EL
Page 3 of 7
person declared elected ... did not in fact receive the highest
Under Arizona law, “If any ballot, including any ballot received
A.R.S. § 16-621(A).
votes for more than one candidate; overseas ballots; and ballots that
credible testimony that they saw errors in which the duplicate ballot
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Arizona Supreme Court No. CV-20-0343-AP/EL
Page 4 of 7
chosen sample ballots. The first review was of 100 ballots and the
second was of 1526 ballots, and of the 1626 total, there were nine
given the Trump Electors an additional seven votes and the Biden
Appellant argues that the error rate was 0.55%, and the trial court
661.
duplication process, the mistakes were few, and when brought to the
error rate to all 27,869 duplicate ballots in the county would result
in a net increase of only 103 votes based on the 0.37% error rate or
153 votes using the 0.55% error rate, neither of which is sufficient
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Arizona Supreme Court No. CV-20-0343-AP/EL
Page 5 of 7
signatures.
App. 602 (1966). Elections will not be held invalid for mere
Procedures Manual or “EPM,” has the force of law. The Court recently
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Arizona Supreme Court No. CV-20-0343-AP/EL
Page 6 of 7
Arizona Pub. Integrity All. v. Fontes, ___ Ariz. ___, 475 P.3d 303,
Intervenor Maricopa County argues that the trial court could not
The Court concludes, unanimously, that the trial judge did not
votes” or that the Biden Electors “did not in fact receive the
highest number of votes for office,” let alone establish any degree
certainty of the election results, the Court need not decide if the
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Arizona Supreme Court No. CV-20-0343-AP/EL
Page 7 of 7
_____/S/_________________
ROBERT BRUTINEL
Chief Justice
TO:
Dennis I Wilenchik
N L Miller Jr
John D Wilenchik
Sarah R Gonski
Daniel A Arellano
Roy Herrera
Joseph I Vigil
Joseph Branco
Thomas P Liddy
Emily M Craiger
Joseph Eugene La Rue
Roopali H Desai
Kristen M Yost
Susan M Freeman
Bruce E Samuels
Hon. Randall H Warner
Hon. Jeff Fine
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1 WO
2
3
4
5
6 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
7 FOR THE DISTRICT OF ARIZONA
8
9 Tyler Bowyer, et al., No. CV-20-02321-PHX-DJH
10 Plaintiffs, ORDER
11 v.
12 Doug Ducey, et al.,
13 Defendants.
14
15 Plaintiffs bring their Complaint seeking injunctive relief from this Court,
16 specifically, to “set aside the results of the 2020 General Election,” because they claim the
17 election process and results were “so riddled with fraud, illegality and statistical
18 impossibility . . . that Arizona voters, courts and legislators cannot rely on or certify” its
19 results. (Doc. 1 at 2). By any measure, the relief Plaintiffs seek is extraordinary. If granted,
20 millions of Arizonans who exercised their individual right to vote in the 2020 General
21 Election would be utterly disenfranchised. Such a request should then be accompanied by
22 clear and conclusive facts to support the alleged “egregious range of conduct in Maricopa
23 County and other Arizona counties . . . at the direction of Arizona state election officials.”
24 (Id.) Yet the Complaint’s allegations are sorely wanting of relevant or reliable evidence,
26 Therefore, for the reasons stated herein, the Complaint shall be dismissed.
27 I. Background
28 In Arizona, more than 3.4 million voters participated in the November 3, 2020,
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1 Of the fourteen named Plaintiffs, three are registered voters and GOP Chairs for
2 various Arizona counties. (Id. at ¶¶ 29–31). The remaining eleven are Republican
3 nominees for Arizona’s presidential electors. (Id. at ¶ 28). One of the eleven, Dr. Kelli
4 Ward, filed suit in state-court over allegations of fraud in this election. See Ward v.
5 Jackson, Case No. CV2020-015285, slip. op. (Ariz. Super. Ct. Dec. 4, 2020) (finding no
6 evidence of alleged fraud and dismissing claims of election misconduct); (Doc. 55-1). In
7 that case, on December 8, 2020, the Arizona Supreme Court affirmed the Maricopa County
8 Superior Court’s findings that there was no evidence of fraud or misconduct in Arizona’s
9 election. (Ward v. Jackson, CV2020-015285 (Ariz. 2020); (Doc. 81-1).
10 Plaintiffs’ Complaint contains four counts, three of which assert 42 U.S.C. § 1983
11 claims for violations of the Constitution’s Elections and Electors Clauses, as well as the
12 Fourteenth Amendment’s Due Process and Equal Protection guarantees. (Doc. 1 ¶¶ 103–
13 34). The final count, which does not specify a cause of action, is for “Wide-Spread Ballot
14 Fraud.” (Id. at ¶¶ 135–41).
15 On December 3, the day after Plaintiffs filed their Complaint, the Court received a
16 Motion to Intervene from the Arizona Democratic Party, which was subsequently denied.4
17 (Docs. 26 and 69). The Court also received a Motion to Intervene from the Maricopa
18 County Board of Supervisors and Maricopa County Recorder Adrian Fontes, which was
19 granted. (Docs. 27 and 32). The Court held a status conference on the same day, in which
20 it scheduled a December 8 hearing on the TRO. (Doc. 28). By subsequent Order (Doc.
21 43), the Court converted that hearing to oral argument on the Motions to Dismiss filed on
22 December 4. (Docs. 36, 38, and 40). Plaintiffs have filed their Response to the Motions
23 (Doc. 44), and Defendants have filed their Replies. (Docs. 53, 54, and 55). On December
24 8, 2020, the Court held oral argument on the Motions to Dismiss and took this matter under
25 advisement. Being fully briefed on the matter, the Court now issues its ruling.
26 …
27
4
The Arizona Democratic Party sought intervention under theories of permissive joinder.
28 While the Court did not believe the Motion was inappropriate, the Court did not find their
presence necessary to this lawsuit and therefore denied the Motion to Intervene.
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1 II. Analysis
2 Given the import of the overarching subject—a United States Presidential
3 Election—to the citizens of Arizona, and to the named Plaintiffs, the Court is compelled to
4 make clear why it finds it inappropriate to reach the merits of Plaintiffs’ Complaint and
5 why it must grant the Motions to Dismiss this matter in its entirety. The Court will
6 endeavor to lay bare the independent reasons for its conclusions, including those related to
7 Article III standing, abstention, laches, mootness, and the federal pleading standards, which
8 govern its review.
9 A. Article III Standing
10 “To ensure that the Federal Judiciary respects the proper—and properly limited—
11 role of the courts in a democratic society, a plaintiff may not invoke federal-court
12 jurisdiction unless he can show a personal stake in the outcome of the controversy.” Gill
13 v. Whitford, 138 S. Ct. 1916, 1929 (2018) (internal citations omitted). Article III provides
14 that federal courts may only exercise judicial power in the context of “cases” and
15 “controversies.” U.S. Const. art. III, § 2, cl. 1; Lujan v. Defs. of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555,
16 559 (1992). For there to be a case or controversy, the plaintiff must have standing to sue.
17 Spokeo, Inc. v. Robins, 136 S. Ct. 1540, 1547 (2016) (“Spokeo II”). Whether a plaintiff
18 has standing presents a “threshold question in every federal case [because it determines]
19 the power of the court to entertain the suit.” Warth v. Seldin, 422 U.S. 490, 498 (1975).
20 “No principle is more fundamental to the judiciary’s proper role in our system of
21 government than the constitutional limitation of federal-court jurisdiction to actual cases
22 or controversies.” DaimlerChrysler Corp. v. Cuno, 547 U.S. 332, 341 (2006). A suit
23 brought by a plaintiff without Article III standing is not a “case or controversy,” and an
24 Article III federal court therefore lacks subject matter jurisdiction. Steel Co. v. Citizens for
25 a Better Environment, 523 U.S. 83, 101 (1998).
26 “[A] plaintiff seeking relief in federal court must first demonstrate . . . a personal
27 stake in the outcome,” Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186, 204 (1962), distinct from a “generally
28 available grievance about government,” Lance v. Coffman, 549 U.S. 437, 439 (2007) (per
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1 curiam). “That threshold requirement ensures that we act as judges, and do not engage in
2 policymaking properly left to elected representatives.” Gill, 138 S. Ct. at 1923. To
3 establish standing, a plaintiff has the burden of clearly demonstrating that she has: “(1)
4 suffered an injury in fact, (2) that is fairly traceable to the challenged conduct of the
5 defendant, and (3) that is likely to be redressed by a favorable judicial decision.” Spokeo
6 II, 136 S. Ct. at 1547 (quoting Warth, 422 U.S. at 518); accord Kokkonen v. Guardian Life
7 Ins. Co. of Am., 511 U.S. 375, 377 (1994) (noting the party asserting jurisdiction bears the
8 burden of establishing subject matter jurisdiction on a Rule 12(b)(1) motion to dismiss).
9 To establish an injury in fact, “a plaintiff must show that he or she suffered ‘an
10 invasion of a legally protected interest’ that is ‘concrete and particularized’ and ‘actual or
11 imminent, not conjectural or hypothetical.’” Spokeo, 136 S. Ct. at 1548 (quoting Lujan,
12 504 U.S. at 560). “When we have used the adjective ‘concrete, we have meant to convey
13 the usual meaning of the term—‘real,’ and not ‘abstract.’” Id. The plaintiff must establish
14 a “particularized” injury, which means that “the injury must affect the plaintiff in a personal
15 and individual way.” Raines v. Byrd, 521 U.S. 811, 819 (1997). Moreover, “[a]lthough
16 imminence is concededly a somewhat elastic concept, it cannot be stretched beyond its
17 purpose, which is to ensure that the alleged injury is not too speculative for Article III
18 purposes—that the injury is certainly impending.” Clapper v. Amnesty Int’l USA, 568 U.S.
19 398, 409 (2013). Where a plaintiff has not established the elements of standing, the case
20 must be dismissed pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(1).
21 Rule 12(b)(1) authorizes a court to dismiss claims over which it lacks subject-matter
22 jurisdiction. A Rule 12(b)(1) challenge may be either facial or factual. Safe Air for
23 Everyone v. Meyer, 373 F.3d 1035, 1039 (9th Cir. 2004). In a facial attack, the court may
24 dismiss a complaint when the allegations of and documents attached to the complaint are
25 insufficient to confer subject-matter jurisdiction. See Savage v. Glendale Union High Sch.
26 Dist. No. 205, 343 F.3d 1036, 1039 n.2 (9th Cir. 2003). In this context, all allegations of
27 material fact are taken as true and construed in the light most favorable to the nonmoving
28 party. Fed’n of African Am. Contractors v. City of Oakland, 96 F.3d 1204, 1207 (9th Cir.
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1 counsel stated that eleven of the Plaintiffs were Republican Party nominees to be electors,
2 and the other three were county GOP Chairs. As an initial matter, Plaintiffs’ briefing does
3 not contain any arguments that the GOP Chairs have standing to assert this claim and the
4 Court will dismiss the claim as to the GOP Chairs outright.
5 Plaintiffs argue that the Plaintiff Electors should be considered “candidates,” and
6 thus that they have standing under the Electors and Elections Clause pursuant to an Eighth
7 Circuit case, Carson v. Simon, 978 F.3d 1051 (8th Cir. 2020). (Doc. 44 at 5). That case,
8 which is based on the operation of Minnesota state election law, allowed electors to bring
9 claims under the Elections Clause because electors were treated as candidates for office
10 under Minnesota law and thus would be injured by the governor’s failure to seat them if
11 chosen as the state’s electors. See Carson, 978 F.3d at 1057.
12 Plaintiff Electors likewise assert that under Arizona law they should also be
13 considered “candidates.” (Doc. 44 at 5–6) (citing A.R.S. § 16-344). However, the Electors
14 are not candidates for office as the term is generally understood. Arizona law makes clear
15 that the duty of an Elector is to fulfill a ministerial function, which is extremely limited in
16 scope and duration, and that they have no discretion to deviate at all from the duties
17 imposed by the statute. See A.R.S. § 16-212(C) (“After the secretary of state issues the
18 statewide canvass containing the results of a presidential election, the presidential electors
19 of this state shall cast their electoral college votes for the candidate for president and the
20 candidate for vice president who jointly received the highest number of votes in this state
21 as prescribed in the canvass.”) (emphasis added). Arizona voters do not show up to vote
22 for any single Electors listed next to the presidential candidates’ names; they vote for their
23 preferred presidential candidate. By specifying that the electors “shall be enclosed in a
24 bracketed list” next to “the surname of the presidential candidate and vice-presidential
25 candidate,” A.R.S. § 16-507(B) clarifies and distinguishes the Electors’ ministerial status
26 from that of the presidential candidate running for office, the latter who unquestionably
27 suffers the discrete injury required for standing.6 Notably, the Republican candidate whose
28 6
A.R.S. § 16-507(B) in its entirety reads: “Presidential electors, which, shall be enclosed
in a bracketed list and next to the bracketed list shall be printed in bold type the surname
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1 One.
2 2. Vote Dilution – Count Two
3 In Count Two, Plaintiffs allege Equal Protection violations based on Defendants’
4 failure to comply with Arizona law by permitting “illegal votes,” allowing “voting fraud
5 and manipulation,” and in preventing “actual observation and access to the elector
6 process,” which allegedly resulted in “the dilution of lawful votes . . . and the counting of
7 unlawful votes.” (Doc. 1 at 45). Plaintiffs ask the Court to order that “no ballot processed
8 by a counting board in Arizona can be included in the final vote tally unless a challenger
9 [i]s allowed to meaningfully observe the process.” (Doc 1 ¶ 120). Absent from the
10 Complaint is an allegation that Plaintiffs (or any registered Arizona voter for that matter)
11 were deprived of their right to vote. Instead, they bring baseless claims of “disparate
12 treatment of Arizona voters, in subjecting one class of voters to greater burdens or scrutiny
13 than another.” (Doc. 1 ¶ 115). They do not allege what “class” of voters were treated
14 disparately. Nor do the Elector Plaintiffs cite to any authority that they, as “elector
15 delegates,” are a class of protected voters. Defendants contend that Plaintiffs do not have
16 standing to assert these claims and point out that these allegations are nothing more than
17 generalized grievances that any one of the 3.4 million Arizonans who voted could make if
18 they were so allowed. The Court agrees.
19 Here, Plaintiffs have not alleged a concrete harm that would allow the Court to find
20 Article III Standing for their vote dilution claim. As courts have routinely explained, vote
21 dilution is a very specific claim that involves votes being weighed differently and cannot
22 be used generally to allege voter fraud. “Contrary to the Voter Plaintiffs’
23 conceptualization, vote dilution under the Equal Protection Clause is concerned with votes
24 being weighed differently.” Bognet, 980 F.3d at 355; see also Rucho v. Common Cause, –
25 –– U.S. ––––, 139 S. Ct. 2484, 2501 (2019) (“[V]ote dilution in the one-person, one-vote
26 cases refers to the idea that each vote must carry equal weight.”). “This conceptualization
27 of vote dilution—state actors counting ballots in violation of state election law—is not a
28 concrete harm under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. Violation
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1 of state election laws by state officials or other unidentified third parties is not always
2 amenable to a federal constitutional claim.” Bognet, 980 F.3d at 355; see also Shipley v.
3 Chicago Bd. of Election Comm’rs, 947 F.3d 1056, 1062 (7th Cir. 2020) (“A deliberate
4 violation of state election laws by state election officials does not transgress against the
5 Constitution.”); Powell v. Power, 436 F.2d 84, 88 (2d Cir. 1970) (rejecting Equal
6 Protection claim where allegations of state’s erroneous counting of votes cast by voters
7 unqualified to participate).
8 Additionally, Plaintiffs cannot sustain their Equal Protection Clause claim on a vote
9 dilution theory. See Bognet, 980 F.3d at 355 (rejecting Equal Protection theory and
10 explaining “[t]his conceptualization of vote dilution—state actors counting ballots in
11 violation of state election law—is not a concrete harm under the Equal Protection Clause
12 of the Fourteenth Amendment”); see also Shipley, 947 F.3d at 1062 (“A deliberate violation
13 of state election laws by state election officials does not transgress against the
14 Constitution”) (internal citations omitted); Am. Civil Rights Union v. Martinez-Rivera, 166
15 F. Supp. 3d 779, 789 (W.D. Tex. 2015) (holding that allegations of “vote dilution” as a
16 result of alleged voting process irregulates “[are] speculative and, as such, are more akin
17 to a generalized grievance about the government than an injury in fact.”); Powell, 436 F.2d
18 at 88 (rejecting Equal Protection Clause claim arising from state’s erroneous counting of
19 votes cast by voters unqualified to participate in closed primary); Snowden v. Hughes, 321
20 U.S. 1, 11 (1944) (“It was not intended by the Fourteenth Amendment . . . that all matters
21 formerly within the exclusive cognizance of the states should become matters of national
22 concern.”).
23 Setting aside that Plaintiffs’ claims regarding the election are not viable vote
24 dilution claims, Plaintiffs also have not requested relief that is redressable in a tailored way
25 as is required. See Gill, 138 S. Ct. at 1934 (“A plaintiff’s remedy must be tailored to redress
26 the plaintiff’s particular injury.”); see also Lewis v. Casey, 518 U.S. 343, 357 (1996) (“The
27 remedy must of course be limited to the inadequacy that produced the injury in fact that
28 the plaintiff has established.”). Therefore, even if Plaintiffs could somehow establish that
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1 their vote dilution claim was more than a generalized grievance to the point of asserting an
2 injury, Plaintiffs have not established that the Court can redress this grievance. To give
3 Plaintiffs the relief they desire would disenfranchise the nearly 3.4 million Arizonans that
4 voted in the 2020 General Election. Under Plaintiffs’ theory of dilution, this would
5 transform all of the alleged diluted votes from being “diluted” to being destroyed. As
6 Plaintiffs raise “only a generally available grievance about government—claiming only
7 harm to his and every citizen’s interest in proper application of the Constitution and laws,
8 and seeking relief that no more directly and tangibly benefits him than it does the public at
9 large,” the Court finds that Plaintiffs’ Count Two “does not state an Article III case or
10 controversy.” See Lance, 549 U.S. 437 at 439. Therefore, Plaintiffs do not have standing
11 to bring suit in this forum.9
12 B. Abstention
13 Defendants also argue the Court should abstain from reaching Plaintiffs’ claims
14 based on their similarities with ongoing state court cases. Yesterday, the Arizona Supreme
15 Court ruled on one such case—filed by Dr. Kelli Ward—seeking to “set aside the 2020
16 General Election results.” See Ward, CV 2020-015285 (Ariz. 2020); (Doc. 81-1). That
17 case was filed pursuant to A.R.S. § 16-672 and was also filed after Governor Ducey
18 certified the election results on November 30, 2020. (Doc. 58-1 at 17). The Ward plaintiffs
19 alleged an insufficient opportunity to observe election officials, an overcounting of mail-
20 in ballots by not adequately comparing signatures on the ballot envelopes, and errors in the
21 ballot duplication process. (Id. at 17–21). After an evidentiary hearing, the Maricopa
22 County Superior Court issued a ruling on December 4, 2020, finding that there was no
23 misconduct, fraud, or effect on the outcome of the election. 10 (Id.) This ruling was
24 9
Having established that the Court does not have jurisdiction over Plaintiffs’ Counts One
25 through Three, the Court will decline to exercise supplemental jurisdiction over Count
Four, which pleads no federal cause of action and is entirely based on alleged fraud under
26 Arizona law.
10
27 Judge Randall H. Warner of the Maricopa County Superior Court addressed Ward’s
allegations of election misconduct. First, Ward argued that there was an insufficient
opportunity to observe the actions of election officials. The State Court dismissed that
28 claim as untimely, holding that “[t]he observation procedures for the November general
election were materially the same as for the August primary election, and any objection to
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1 Co., 517 U.S. 706, 716 (1996) (citing County of Allegheny v. Frank Mashuda Co., 360 U.S.
2 185, 189 (1959)). Abstention may be “warranted by considerations of proper constitutional
3 adjudication, regard for federal-state relations, or wise judicial administration.” Id.
4 Colorado River abstention permits a federal court to abstain from exercising jurisdiction
5 over a matter in deference to a state court suit regarding similar claims and allegations.
6 Colorado River Water Conservation District v. United States, 424 U.S. 800, 813, 817
7 (1976).
8 The Ninth Circuit has enumerated an eight-part test for whether Colorado River
9 abstention is warranted, stressing that the factors are “not a mechanical checklist,” with
10 some factors that “may not have any applicability to a case.” Seneca Ins. Co., Inc. v.
11 Strange Land, Inc., 862 F.3d 835, 841–42 (9th Cir. 2017). The factors are: (1) which court
12 first assumed jurisdiction over any property at stake; (2) the inconvenience of the federal
13 forum; (3) the desire to avoid piecemeal litigation; (4) the order in which the forums
14 obtained jurisdiction; (5) whether federal law or state law provides the rule of decision on
15 the merits; (6) whether the state court proceedings can adequately protect the rights of the
16 federal litigants; (7) the desire to avoid forum shopping; and (8) whether the state court
17 proceedings will resolve all issues before the federal court. Id.
18 Factors two through seven all support abstaining from this case.12 To begin, this
19 federal forum is less convenient than the state forum, considering the state election law
20 violations alleged, the claims are brought against state actors, and the interplay of state
21 election law. Moreover, the present suit reflects the very essence of “piecemeal litigation,”
22 with many of the same parties and attorneys litigating related matters in both forums. As
23 to the primacy of cases, this case was the last filed case. All of the state court litigation
24 filed related to the election preceded this action. As to the nature of the claims, while
25 Plaintiffs bring their claims under federal laws, the crux of their arguments, and the statutes
26 upon which they rely, involve Arizona election law and the election procedures carried out
27 at the county and state level by state officials. The state courts are adequately equipped to
28
12
The Court finds that the first factor is not relevant to the facts alleged herein.
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1 protect the rights of the named Plaintiffs, especially considering that Plaintiff Ward already
2 pursued her grievances there. Moreover, as Congress has conferred concurrent jurisdiction
3 on state courts to adjudicate Section 1983 claims, there is no concern that the state is unable
4 to adjudicate Plaintiffs’ Section 1983 claims. Felder v. Casey, 487 U.S. 131, 139 (1988).
5 Lastly, abstention would alleviate the necessity to consider whether this matter was filed
6 in this Court as a form of forum shopping, especially considering that a number of other
7 related state court lawsuits have already been disposed of. The eighth factor is the only
8 factor that weighs against abstention, as it does not appear that Plaintiffs’ allegations of
9 widespread fraud in relation to the tabulation systems and software were before the state
10 court. However, as discussed infra, the Court finds that claim lacks Rule 9(b) particularity
11 and plausibility.
12 Moreover, when considering abstention, “proper constitutional adjudication, regard
13 for federal-state relations, or wise judicial administration,” also inform this Court.
14 Quackenbush, 517 U.S. at 716. If the Court were to reach the merits of Plaintiffs’ claims,
15 it would be entirely possible today for it to reach a different legal determination, or the
16 same conclusion but with a different analysis, than the Arizona Supreme Court reached in
17 Ward v. Jackson. The Court cannot think of a more troubling affront to “federal-state
18 relations” than this. See Quackenbush, 517 U.S. at 716. Therefore, the Court finds that
19 abstention of these parallel issues is appropriate and indeed necessary.
20 C. Eleventh Amendment
21 Defendants also argue that the Eleventh Amendment bars Plaintiffs’ demands for
22 relief because they, as state officials who have not consented to being sued, are immune
23 from suit. Further, they argue that no exception applies, that the relief Plaintiffs seek is not
24 prospective, and that the claims are barred.
25 The Eleventh Amendment to the Constitution provides:
26
The Judicial power of the United States shall not be construed to
27 extend to any suit in law or equity, commenced or prosecuted against
one of the United States by Citizens of another State, or by Citizens
28
or Subjects of any Foreign State.
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1 U.S. Const. amend. XI. Such immunity applies when a citizen brings a claim against their
2 own state. See Hans v. Louisiana, 134 U.S. 1, 19 (1890). The immunity extends to “suit[s]
3 against state officials when the state is the real, substantial party in interest.” Pennhurst
4 State Sch. & Hosp. v. Halderman, 465 U.S. 89, 100 (1984). “This jurisdictional bar applies
5 regardless of the nature of the relief sought.” Id. “When the suit is brought only against
6 state officials, a question arises as to whether that suit is a suit against the State itself.” Id.
7 at 101. “The general rule is that a suit is against the sovereign . . . if the effect of the
8 judgment would be to restrain the Government from acting, or to compel it to act.” Dugan
9 v. Rank, 372 U.S. 609, 620 (1963).
10 There are three recognized exceptions to the above: (1) Congress has abrogated the
11 immunity within a federal statute; (2) the State has waived immunity and allowed
12 individuals to sue it pursuant to specific state statutes; and (3) in “claims seeking
13 prospective injunctive relief against state officials to remedy a state’s ongoing violation of
14 federal law.” Ariz. Students’ Ass’n v. Ariz. Bd. of Regents, 824 F.3d 858, 865 (9th Cir.
15 2016) (citing Ex parte Young, 209 U.S. 123 (1908)) (emphasis added).
16 None of these exceptions are present here. As for Plaintiffs’ 42 U.S.C. § 1983
17 claims, Congress did not abrogate the states’ immunity from suit in the enacting language
18 of Section 1983, and therefore, the Eleventh Amendment bars those claims. See Will v.
19 Michigan Dep’t of State Police, 491 U.S. 58, 66 (1989) (holding that Section 1983 “does
20 not provide a federal forum for litigants who seek a remedy against a State for alleged
21 deprivations of civil liberties”). Plaintiffs provided no argument or authority that the state
22 has explicitly waived its immunity for elections challenges. Therefore, the second
23 exception does not apply. As for the remaining claims, the Court must determine whether
24 Plaintiffs are seeking prospective relief to cure an ongoing violation of federal law.
25 “In determining whether the doctrine of Ex parte Young avoids an Eleventh
26 Amendment bar to suit, a court need only conduct a straightforward inquiry into whether
27 [the] complaint alleges an ongoing violation of federal law and seeks relief properly
28 characterized as prospective.” Verizon Md., Inc. v. Pub. Serv. Comm’n, 535 U.S. 635, 645
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1 (2002) (internal citations omitted). However, where the claims are state law claims,
2 masked as federal law claims, Ex parte Young is inapplicable and the Eleventh Amendment
3 clearly bars the suit. See Massey v. Coon, 865 F.2d 264 (9th Cir. 1989) (affirming dismissal
4 where “on its face the complaint states a claim under the due process and equal protection
5 clauses of the Constitution, [but] these constitutional claims are entirely based on the
6 failure of defendants to conform to state law”); see also Pennhurst, 465 U.S. at 90 (“[W]hen
7 a plaintiff alleges that a state official has violated state law” and “when a federal court
8 instructs state officials on how to conform their conduct to state law, this conflicts directly
9 with the principles of federalism that underlie the Eleventh Amendment.”). This is true
10 whether the relief requested is “prospective or retroactive” in nature. Pennhurst, 465 U.S.
11 at 106.
12 Here, Plaintiffs face a number of difficulties in their attempt to pierce Defendants’
13 sovereign immunity. Defendants argue that all of Plaintiffs’ allegations are actually state
14 law allegations masked under federal law. Defendants point to numerous instances in
15 Plaintiffs’ Complaint where Arizona state election law is relied on, including their catch-
16 all fraud claims, which are entirely based on state law. The Eleventh Amendment clearly
17 bars such claims. See Pennhurst, 465 U.S. at 106 (“On the contrary, it is difficult to think
18 of a greater intrusion on state sovereignty than when a federal court instructs state officials
19 on how to conform their conduct to state law.”).
20 However, even assuming that Plaintiffs established that their claims are indeed
21 independent federal claims, it is unclear what ongoing violation of federal law is being
22 asserted. Plaintiffs allege Due Process and Equal Protection claims, along with a catch-all
23 fraud claim, that arise from Defendants’ alleged failure to follow Arizona state election
24 laws. (Doc. 1 at ¶¶ 106–120). These numerous alleged violations—related to alleged
25 issues with signature verification, ballot duplication, and poll observation—concern past
26 conduct.13 The relief requested—compelling the Governor to decertify the election—
27 13
These include objections regarding poll watchers’ ability to observe ballot counting,
issues related to the manner and process by which Arizona election officials matched
28 signatures on absentee ballots (Doc. 1 at ¶¶ 46–48); issues related to the process and role
assigned to poll referees in settling unresolved disputes between adjudicators (Id. at ¶ 49);
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1 similarly seeks to alter past conduct. Plaintiffs have not identified an ongoing violation to
2 enjoin. In short, “Plaintiffs are seeking to undo what has already occurred, as their
3 requested relief reflects.” See King v. Whitmer, 2020 WL 7134198, at *5 (E.D. Mich. Dec.
4 7, 2020).
5 The Eleventh Amendment bars the injunctive relief sought.
6 D. Laches
7 Defendants also argue that the doctrine of laches bars Plaintiffs’ claims. Laches
8 will bar a claim when the party asserting it shows the plaintiff unreasonably delayed in
9 filing the action and the delay caused prejudice to the defendant or the administration of
10 justice. Danjaq LLC v. Sony Corp., 263 F.3d 942, 951–52 (9th Cir. 2001) (noting that
11 laches requires a “defendant [] prove both an unreasonable delay by the plaintiff and
12 prejudice to itself”). Laches can bar untimely claims for relief in election cases, even when
13 the claims are framed as constitutional challenges. Soules v. Kauaians for Nukolii
14 Campaign Comm., 849 F.2d 1176, 1181 (9th Cir. 1988); U.S. v. Clintwood Elkhorn Min.
15 Co., 553 U.S. 1, 9 (2008) (“[A] ‘constitutional claim can become time-barred just as any
16 other claim can.’”) (quoting Block v. North Dakota ex rel. Board of Univ. and School
17 Lands, 461 U.S. 273, 292 (1983)).
18 Plaintiffs filed their Complaint and request for TRO seeking to “de-certify” the
19 election results on December 2, 2020, nearly a month after the General Election on
20 November 3, 2020. Plaintiffs conclusively argue that they waited this long because they
21 “could not have known the basis of their claim, or presented evidence substantiating their
22 claim, until after the election.” (Doc. 44 at 9). They further state that, because “Arizona
23 election officials and other third parties did not announce or publicize their misconduct,
24 and in fact prevented Republican poll watchers from observing the ballot counting and
25 handling, it took Plaintiffs additional time post-election to gather the fact and expert
26 witness testimony presented in the Complaint.” (Id.) During oral argument, Plaintiffs’
27 counsel repeatedly stated that the alleged fraud related to the Dominion voting machines
28 “irregularities” with the voting machines (Id. at ¶¶ 50–52); and certification of the
Dominion voting system on November 18, 2020 (Id. at ¶ 53).
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1 was not known until election night, when their experts noted a “blip” in their reporting data
2 that showed an increase in votes for Joe Biden around 8:00 p.m. Plaintiffs also argue that
3 A.R.S. §16-673 supports the timeliness of their Complaint because it requires an elector to
4 file a challenge to the election in state court within five days of certification of the election.
5 Plaintiffs’ Complaint includes a hodge-podge of alleged misconduct by Arizona
6 elections officials, occurring on various dates over the past weeks, months, and even years.
7 In addition to the objections regarding poll watchers’ inability to observe ballot counting
8 and handling, Plaintiffs also object to the manner and process by which Arizona election
9 officials matched signatures on absentee ballots (Doc. 1 ¶¶ 46–48); to the process and role
10 assigned to poll referees in settling unresolved disputes between adjudicators (Id. at ¶ 49);
11 to “irregularities” with the voting machines on Election Day and before (Id. at ¶¶ 50–52);
12 and to the certification of the Dominion voting system on November 18, 2020 (Id. at ¶ 53).
13 The affidavits or declarations upon which Plaintiffs rely clearly shows that the basis
14 for each of these claims was either known well before Election Day or soon thereafter, and
15 thus cannot be excused by a lack of knowledge nor an inability to substantiate their claims
16 through December 2. For example, Plaintiffs’ Complaint cites to documents showing that
17 Plaintiffs were in possession of information about suspected irregularities with the
18 Dominion voting machines as early as 2018. (Id. at ¶¶ 21, 69, 71–73) (referencing
19 “publicly available evidence (including judicial and administrative proceedings)” that
20 discuss concerns with security flaws in Dominion voting machines dating back to 2018);
21 (Doc. 1-10 at 19, Ex. 20, Declaration of Mark Paul Law dated November 24, 2020
22 (describing his concerns over Maricopa County Dominion voting machine security and
23 observations while poll watching on October 25, 2020 and November 1, 2020); id. at 30,
24 Ex. 22, Declaration of Gregory Wodynski dated November 23, 2020 (describing his
25 concerns over Maricopa County Dominion voting machine security and his perception that
26 “Bruce,” a Dominion employee, could manually manipulate voter data files while poll
27 watching on October 24, 2020 and November 1, 2020).
28 Plaintiffs also include documents showing that the facts underlying their allegations
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1 of ballot counting and verification misconduct occurred weeks before Election Day.
2 Canvassing in Arizona began in October, and the poll watcher declarations and affidavits
3 attached to the Complaint object to the signature verification and ballot process during this
4 time. (See Doc. 1-3 at 7, Ex. 5) (containing unsigned Declaration dated October 25, 2020
5 from poll watcher objecting to “NO EFFECTIVE oversight” in signature verification
6 rooms); id. at 9, Ex. 5A (document listing poll watcher objections made on 10/7/20,
7 10/23/20, 10/24/20, 10/29/20); (Doc. 1-10 at 25, Ex. 21) (containing a Declaration of poll
8 watcher Judith Burns dated November 16, 2020 and noting her objections in observing the
9 signature verification and ballot processing on October 17, 2020 and October 21, 2020).
10 In a statement from Ms. Linda Brickman, the First Vice-Chair of the Maricopa County
11 Republican Committee, she represents that she had ongoing concerns regarding the
12 signature verification for early and mail-in ballots during her time as an elections worker
13 “from 10/19/20 to 11/11/20” (Doc. 1-10 at 38, Ex. 23) and had objections to the Logic and
14 Accuracy Certification of the Dominion voting systems that occurred on November 18,
15 2020. (Id. at 35). Indeed, at least one Plaintiff has already raised some of these complaints
16 in state court.14 Ward, CV2020-015285 (Super. Ct. of Ariz. Dec. 4, 2020) (dismissing the
17 Petition with prejudice); (Doc. 58-1 at 14, Ex. B). Dr. Ward clearly knew the basis of her
18 claim before December 2, 2020 but offers no reasonable explanation for the delay in
19 bringing this suit in federal court. When contesting an election, any delay is prejudicial,
20 but waiting until a month after Election Day and two days after certification of the election
21 is inexcusable. See Kelly v. Penn., 2020 WL 7018314, at *1 (Pa. Nov. 28, 2020)
22 (“Petitioners failed to act with due diligence in presenting the instant claim” when they
23 waited until November 21 to sue to invalidate Pennsylvania’s election); Kistner v. Simon,
24 No. A20-1486, slip op. at 3–4 (Minn. Dec. 4, 2020); see also, e.g., Ariz. Libertarian Party
25
14
As she does here, Ms. Ward’s state court action claimed that poll watchers were given
26 insufficient opportunity to observe the actions of election officials. Notably, the state court
judge found this claim barred by the doctrine of laches, as Ms. Ward had failed to assert it
27 during a time when it could have been corrected. (Doc. 1-10 at 19 (“The observation
procedures for the November general election were materially the same as for the August
28 primary election, and any objection to them should have been brought at a time when any
legal deficiencies could have been cured.”).
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1 Libertarian Party, 189 F. Supp. 3d at 923 (quotation marks and citations omitted).
2 Plaintiffs offer no reasonable explanation why their claims were brought in federal court
3 at this late date. Their delay and the resulting prejudice bars their claims by laches.
4 E. Mootness
5 Defendants also argue that this case is moot. (Docs. 38 at 5; 40 at 22). The Court
6 agrees. “Mootness is a jurisdictional issue, and ‘federal courts have no jurisdiction to hear
7 a case that is moot, that is, where no actual or live controversy exists.’” Foster v. Carson,
8 347 F.3d 742, 745 (9th Cir. 2003) (quoting Cook Inlet Treaty Tribes v. Shalala, 166 F.3d
9 986, 989 (9th Cir. 1999)). In addition, a case is moot when a party cannot obtain relief for
10 its claim. Id.; see also Ruvalcaba v. City of L.A., 167 F.3d 514, 521 (9th Cir. 1999).
11 Plaintiffs request an injunction that (a) enjoins Governor Ducey from transmitting
12 the certified results, (b) orders Defendants to “de-certify” the election results, (c) nullifies
13 votes tabulated by uncertified machines, (d) declares that illegal ballot fraud occurred in
14 violation of the Electors and Elections Clauses and the Fourteenth Amendment’s Due
15 Process and Equal Protections Clauses, (e) mandates a manual recount or statistical
16 sampling of all mail-in and absentee ballots, and (f) allows Plaintiffs to seize and inspect
17 voting hardware and software as well as security camera recordings “of all rooms used in
18 Maricopa County” from November 3 to 4. (Doc. 1 at ¶ 145).
19 Obviously, the Court cannot enjoin the transmission of the certified results because
20 they have already been transmitted. (Doc. 40 at 4). Plaintiffs’ counsel orally argued that
21 Defendants had the power to de-certify the election under 3 U.S.C. § 6. Nothing in that
22 statute authorizes this Court to de-certify the results. The manner provided to contest
23 elections under Arizona law requires election contest claims to be brought, “in the superior
24 court of the county in which the person contesting resides or in the superior court of
25 Maricopa County.” A.R.S. § 16-672. Therefore, if de-certification were possible, it would
26 only be possible through an action brought in Arizona superior court. In other words, this
27 Court has no power to de-certify the results. But even assuming the Court were able to
28 grant the extraordinary relief requested, ordering Governor Ducey to de-certify the
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1 election, such relief would necessarily run afoul of 3 U.S.C. § 6 by ignoring Arizona law.
2 In this instance, the Court cannot allow Plaintiffs to circumvent both federal and Arizona
3 law.
4 Because this Court cannot de-certify the results, it would be meaningless to grant
5 Plaintiffs any of the remaining relief they seek. See Wood v. Raffensperger, 2020 WL
6 7094866, at *6 (11th Cir. Dec. 5, 2020) (“[I]t is not possible for us to delay certification
7 nor meaningful to order a new recount when the results are already final and certified.”);
8 King, 2020 WL 7134198, at *5 n.3 (“[T]he evidence Plaintiffs seek to gather by inspecting
9 voting machines and software and security camera footage only would be useful if an
10 avenue remained open for them to challenge the election results.”). Plaintiffs’ claims are
11 moot.
12 F. Failure to State a Claim
13 “A motion to dismiss a complaint or claim ‘grounded in fraud’ under Rule 9(b)15
14 for failure to plead with particularity is the functional equivalent of a motion to dismiss
15 under Rule 12(b)(6) for failure to state a claim.” Vess v. Ciba-Geigy Corp. USA, 317 F.3d
16 1097, 1107 (9th Cir. 2003). In a Rule 12(b)(6) context, courts must consider all well-
17 pleaded factual allegations as true and interpret them in the light most favorable to the
18 plaintiff. Schlegal v. Wells Fargo Bank, NA, 720 F.3d 1204, 1207 (9th Cir. 2013).
19 Dismissal is proper when there is either (1) a lack of a cognizable legal theory or (2)
20 insufficient facts to support a cognizable legal claim. Conservation Force v. Salazar, 646
21 F.3d 1240, 1242 (9th Cir. 2011), cert. denied, Blasquez v. Salazar, 565 U.S. 1261 (2012).
22 When pleading allegations concerning fraudulent conduct, Rule 9(b) requires
23 something more than Rule 8: particularity. Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 556 U.S. 662, 686 (2009);
24
15
25 Although Plaintiffs strenuously argue that they can bring their Arizona election law-
based claims in federal court because of the presence of federal allegations, they also boldly
26 assert in their Reply that they need not follow the heightened pleading standard of Federal
Rule of Civil Procedure 9(b) in pleading their fraud claims with particularity, because the
27 federal rules are somehow abrogated by “controlling Arizona Supreme Court precedent.15”
(Doc. 44 at 23). Plaintiffs cannot have it both ways. Plaintiffs have not provided any
authority that a state court decision can alter the pleading requirements in federal court
28 established by United States Supreme Court precedent and the Federal Rules of Civil
Procedure.
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1 see also Fed. R. Civ. P. 9(b) (“In alleging fraud or mistake, a party must state with
2 particularity the circumstances constituting fraud or mistake.”). “This particularity
3 requirement demands a higher degree of notice than that required for other claims. The
4 claim must identify who, what, where, when, and how.” U.S. ex rel. Costner v. United
5 States, 317 F.3d 883, 888 (8th Cir. 2003).
6 Moreover, “claims of fraud or mistake . . . must, in addition to pleading with
7 particularity, also plead plausible allegations. That is, the pleading must state enough facts
8 to raise a reasonable expectation that discovery will reveal evidence of the misconduct
9 alleged.” Cafasso, U.S. ex rel. v. Gen. Dynamics C4 Sys., Inc., 637 F.3d 1047, 1055 (9th
10 Cir. 2011) (internal citations omitted). Indeed, “Rule 9(b) serves not only to give notice to
11 defendants of the specific fraudulent conduct against which they must defend, but also ‘to
12 deter the filing of complaints as a pretext for the discovery of unknown wrongs, to protect
13 [defendants] from the harm that comes from being subject to fraud charges, and to prohibit
14 plaintiffs from unilaterally imposing upon the court, the parties and society enormous
15 social and economic costs absent some factual basis.’” Bly-Magee v. California, 236 F.3d
16 1014, 1018 (9th Cir. 2001) (citing In re Stac Elec. Sec. Litig., 89 F.3d 1399, 1405 (9th Cir.
17 1996)).
18 Establishing the plausibility of a complaint’s allegations is a two-step process that
19 is “context-specific” and “requires the reviewing court to draw on its judicial experience
20 and common sense.” Iqbal, 556 U.S. 679. First, a court must “identif[y] pleadings that,
21 because they are no more than conclusions, are not entitled to the assumption of truth.” Id.
22 Then, assuming the truth only of well-pleaded factual allegations, a court must “determine
23 whether they plausibly give rise to an entitlement to relief.” Id.; see also Eclectic Props.
24 E., LLC v. Marcus & Millichap Co., 751 F.3d 990, 996 (9th Cir. 2014) (identifying the
25 two-step process for evaluating pleadings). Although a plaintiff’s specific factual
26 allegations may be consistent with a plaintiff’s claim, a district court must assess whether
27 there are other “more likely explanations” for a defendant’s conduct such that a plaintiff’s
28 claims cannot cross the line “‘from conceivable to plausible.’” Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 680
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1 (quoting Bell Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 550 U.S. 544, 570 (2007)). This standard represents
2 a balance between Rule 8’s roots in relatively liberal notice pleading and the need to
3 prevent “a plaintiff with a largely groundless claim” from “‘tak[ing] up the time of a
4 number of other people, with the right to do so representing an in terrorem increment of
5 settlement value.’” Twombly, 550 U.S. at 557–58 (quoting Dura Pharmaceuticals, Inc. v.
6 Broudo, 544 U.S. 336, 347 (2005)).
7 Advancing several different theories, Plaintiffs allege that Arizona’s Secretary of
8 State and Governor conspired with various domestic and international actors to manipulate
9 Arizona’s 2020 General Election results allowing Joseph Biden to defeat Donald Trump in
10 the presidential race. The allegations they put forth to support their claims of fraud fail in
11 their particularity and plausibility. Plaintiffs append over three hundred pages of
12 attachments, which are only impressive for their volume. The various affidavits and expert
13 reports are largely based on anonymous witnesses, hearsay, and irrelevant analysis of
14 unrelated elections. Because the Complaint is grounded in these fraud allegations, the
15 Complaint shall be dismissed. Vess, 317 F.3d at 1107 (“When an entire complaint, or an
16 entire claim within a complaint, is grounded in fraud and its allegations fail to satisfy the
17 heightened pleadings requirements of Rule 9(b), a district court may dismiss the complaint
18 or claim.”).
19 Plaintiffs first “describe specific violations of Arizona law” to support their fraud
20 claims.16 In doing so, they attach declarations from poll watchers that observed election
21 officials during the November General Election. (Doc. 1 ¶¶ 46–53). As Intervenor-
22 Defendant Maricopa County points out, these are the only declarants offered by Plaintiffs
23 with first-hand observation of the election administration. (Doc. 36 at 4). But these four
24 declarants do not allege fraud at all. (See Doc. 1-10 at 18–24). Instead, they raise
25 objections to the manner and process by which Arizona election officials matched
26 signatures on absentee ballots (Doc. 1 ¶¶ 46–48); to the process and role assigned to poll
27 16
Plaintiffs’ often scattershot pleadings allege that “Defendants failed to administer the
November 3, 2020 election in compliance with the manner prescribed by the Georgia
28 legislature.” (Doc 2 at 6) (emphasis added). Plaintiffs also nonsensically include
references to Wisconsin state statutes. (Doc. 1 at 33).
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1 Ex. 3). Apart from a screenshot of Mr. Braynard’s tweets that day, Plaintiffs offer nothing
2 further about Mr. Braynard’s identity, qualifications, or methodologies used in conducting
3 his telephone “survey.” But according to the Briggs’ report, Mr. Braynard conducted his
4 survey of unknown size and to unknown persons in Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin,
5 Arizona, and Pennsylvania regarding absentee ballots, and his “findings” were conveyed
6 to Mr. Briggs. (Id.) In concluding that there were “clearly a large number of troublesome
7 ballots in each state,” Mr. Briggs assumed Mr. Braynard’s “survery [sic] respondents
8 [were] representative and the data [was] accurate.” (Id.) This cavalier approach to
9 establishing that hundreds of thousands of Arizona votes were somehow cast in error is
10 itself troublesome. The sheer unreliability of the information underlying Mr. Briggs’
11 “analysis” of Mr. Braynard’s “data” cannot plausibly serve as a basis to overturn a
12 presidential election, much less support plausible fraud claims against these Defendants.
13 The Complaint is equally void of plausible allegations that Dominion voting
14 machines were actually hacked or compromised in Arizona during the 2020 General
15 Election. Plaintiffs are clearly concerned about the vulnerabilities of voting machines used
16 in some counties across Arizona and in other states. They cite sources that attest to
17 knowledge of “well-known” vulnerabilities, have included letters from concerned citizens,
18 Arizona elected officials, and United States senators. Plaintiffs even attach an affidavit of
19 an anonymous witness with connections to the late Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez
20 claiming to be privy as to how officials in Venezuela rigged their elections with the help
21 of a voting systems company whose software “DNA” is now used in voting machines in
22 the United States. (Doc. 1-1, Ex. 1). These concerns and stated vulnerabilities, however,
23 do not sufficiently allege that any voting machine used in Arizona was in fact hacked or
24 compromised in the 2020 General Election. Rather, what is present is a lengthy collection
25 of phrases beginning with the words “could have, possibly, might,” and “may have.”
26 (Doc. 1 ¶¶ 8, 53, 55, 57, 60, 66, 77, 88, 91, 108, 109, 122). To lend support to this theory,
27 Plaintiffs offer expert Russell Ramsland, Jr., who asserts there was “an improbable, and
28 possibly impossible spike in processed votes” in Maricopa and Pima Counties at 8:46 p.m.
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1 on November 3, 2020. (Doc. 1 ¶ 60); (Doc. 1-9, Ex. 17) (emphasis added). He suggests
2 that this spike “could easily be explained” by presuming that Dominion “pre-load[ed]
3 batches of blank ballots in files such as Write-Ins or other adjudication-type files then
4 casting them almost all for Biden using the Override Procedure . . . .” (Doc. 1-9 at 9, Ex.
5 17). This scenario is conceivable. However, Defendant Hobbs points to a much more
6 likely plausible explanation: because Arizona begins processing early ballots before the
7 election, the spike represented a normal accounting of the early ballot totals from Maricopa
8 and Pima Counties, which were reported shortly after in-person voting closed. (Doc. 40 at
9 17–18). Thus, the Court finds that while this “spike” could be explained by an illicit
10 hacking of voting machinery in Arizona, the spike is “not only compatible with, but indeed
11 was more likely explained by, lawful, unchoreographed” reporting of early ballot
12 tabulation in those counties. See Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 680. Plaintiffs have not moved the
13 needle for their fraud theory from conceivable to plausible, which they must do to state a
14 claim under Federal pleading standards. Id.
15 Because Plaintiffs have failed to plead their fraud claims with particularity and
16 because the Complaint is grounded in these claims, it must be dismissed.17
17 G. Motion for TRO and Preliminary Injunction
18 There are multiple independent grounds upon which to dismiss Plaintiffs’
19 Complaint. Accordingly, it is not necessary to reach the merits of Plaintiffs’ requests for a
20 temporary restraining order and preliminary injunction and the Court will therefore only
21 briefly addresses those Motions here.
22 “The standard for issuing a temporary restraining order is identical to that for issuing
23 a preliminary injunction.” Taylor-Failor v. Cty of Hawaii, 90 F. Supp. 3d 1095, 1098 (D.
24 Haw. 2015). Under normal circumstances, both are extraordinary and drastic remedies,
25
17
Throughout their pleadings, Plaintiffs allege that there were “spikes” of votes for Joe
26 Biden that occurred in Arizona, which also occurred in other states that certified the
election for Joe Biden, including Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
27 Regardless of whether these “spikes” shifting the vote majorities from President Trump to
Vice President Biden occurred in other states, Plaintiffs have presented nothing to support
28 the claim that these same “spikes” occurred in Arizona, where Biden never trailed Trump
in the vote tally.
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1 and “should not be granted unless the movant, by a clear showing, carries the burden of
2 persuasion.’” Lopez v. Brewer, 680 F.3d 1068, 1072 (9th Cir. 2012) (quoting Mazurek v.
3 Armstrong, 520 U.S. 968, 972 (1997) (per curiam)); see also Winter v. Natural Res. Def.
4 Council, Inc., 555 U.S. 7, 24 (2008) (“A preliminary injunction is an extraordinary remedy
5 never awarded as of right.”) (citation omitted). A plaintiff seeking a temporary restraining
6 order or preliminary injunction must show that (1) he or she is likely to succeed on the
7 merits, (2) is likely to suffer irreparable harm without an injunction, (3) the balance of
8 equities tips in his or her favor, and (4) an injunction is in the public interest. Winter, 555
9 U.S. at 20.
10 Plaintiffs simply cannot establish they have a likelihood of success on their claims.
11 Plaintiffs face serious jurisdictional impediments in bringing their claims to federal court
12 at the eleventh hour. These insurmountable legal hurdles are exacerbated by insufficiently
13 plead allegations of fraud, rendered implausible by the multiple inadmissible affidavits,
14 declarations, and expert reports upon which their Complaint relies.
15 Furthermore, granting Plaintiffs the injunctive relief they seek would greatly harm
16 the public interest. As stated by Defendant Hobbs, “the requested relief would cause
17 enormous harm to Arizonans, supplanting the will of nearly 3.4 million voters reflected in
18 the certified election results and potentially imperiling Arizona’s participation in the
19 Electoral College. It would be more difficult to envision a case in which the balance of
20 hardships would tip more strongly against a plaintiff.” (Doc. 40 at 24). The Court agrees.
21 The significant weight of these two Winters factors requires that the Court deny Plaintiffs’
22 requests for injunctive relief. 18
23 III. Conclusion
24 Not only have Plaintiffs failed to provide the Court with factual support for their
25 extraordinary claims, but they have wholly failed to establish that they have standing for
26 the Court to consider them. Allegations that find favor in the public sphere of gossip and
27 innuendo cannot be a substitute for earnest pleadings and procedure in federal court. They
28 18
The Court will vacate the hearing on Plaintiffs’ TRO and Request for Preliminary
Injunction scheduled for December 10, 2020.
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1 most certainly cannot be the basis for upending Arizona’s 2020 General Election. The
2 Court is left with no alternative but to dismiss this matter in its entirety.
3 Accordingly,
4 IT IS HEREBY ORDERED that Defendants’ Governor Doug Ducey, Secretary
5 of State Katie Hobbs, and Intervenor Defendants Maricopa County Board of Supervisors
6 and Adrian Fontes’ Motions to Dismiss the Complaint (Docs. 36, 38, and 40) are
7 GRANTED for the reasons stated herein.
8 IT IS FURTHER ORDERED that all remaining pending motions (Docs. 14, 62,
9 65 and 66) are denied as moot, and the hearing on Plaintiffs’ TRO and Preliminary
10 Injunction set for December 10, 2020 is vacated.
11 IT IS FINALLY ORDERED that this matter is dismissed, and the Clerk of Court
12 is kindly directed to terminate this action.
13 Dated this 9th day of December, 2020.
14
15
16 Honorable Diane J. Humetewa
17 United States District Judge
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