Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MPS Mid Term
MPS Mid Term
B A ZI
M
R E S RV E
BA
E
BW E
21 AUGUST 2020
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF FIGURES...................................................................................................................................... 3
Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................24
ANNEXURE: MACROECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS ....................................................26
2
TABLE OF FIGURES
Figure 10: Composition of the Banking Sector Assets as at 30 June 2020 ..............38
Figure 11: Trend in Banking Sector Loans & Advances ($m) ......................................39
Figure 15: DTMFIs Performance Indicators, Dec 2018 – June 2020 .......................43
3
List of Tables
Table 5: Foreign Payments by Sector in USD (01 Jan – 30 June 2020) ....................26
Table 10: Financial Inclusion Indicators – December 2016 to June 2020 ..............52
Table 11: NPS Transactional Values July 2019 –June 2020 ..........................................55
Table 12: NPS Transactional Volumes (in millions) July 2019 –June 2020 ...........56
4
SECTION 1: INTRODUCTION
1. This Monetary Policy Statement outlines the monetary policy stance being
pursued by the Bank in the second half of 2020. The Statement also reviews
the monetary policy measures implemented in the first half of the year, with
particular focus on measures to contain the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
on price and exchange rate stability. In addition, the Statement outlines the
current global and domestic economic developments and implications on the
economic outlook.
2. The national economy, like the rest of economies across the globe, is
experiencing economic and social turbulence induced by the outbreak of the
COVID-19 pandemic. The prolonged COVID-19 induced disruptions to
global production and trade have been more than initially anticipated and have
worsened the global economic outlook, with adverse effects on domestic
economic performance. Consequently, the global economy which was
initially anticipated to decline by 3.9% in 2020 is now expected to decline by
4.9%. These developments have seen central banks across the globe easing
monetary policies as well as taking deliberate measures to balance financial
stability while supporting economic recovery.
5
4. It is against the above context that the Bank’s monetary policy stance has been
reinvigorated to foster price and exchange rate stability through the
introduction of a transparent foreign exchange auction system on 23 June 2020
and strict adherence to the monetary targeting framework.
5. The introduction of the Dutch foreign exchange auction system has so far
achieved its key objective of price stability and has greatly assisted in creating
transparency in the management of foreign exchange and in price discovery
of the market exchange rate. This has restrained the speculative pass-through
effects of the exchange rate on the pricing of goods and services in the
economy. Sustaining the auction system is therefore crucial in fostering price
stability in the economy.
6. Whilst the Bank is encouraged by the fact that some business entities have
realigned their pricing models to the auction determined exchange rate, other
entities are not complying and charging for goods and services at rates higher
than the auction rate despite accessing foreign exchange from the auction.
Such practice of forward pricing of the exchange rate goes against the positive
outlook on the exchange rate that is showing consistent signs of convergence
as evidenced by the continued narrowing of the bands between the highest and
lowest foreign currency bids and the reduction in the parallel exchange rate
premium to below 15%.
6
agents for bulk transactions and improved monitoring of electronic
transactions have also started to bear fruit as evidenced by the muted activity
on the foreign exchange parallel market.
8. The stability and predictability of the exchange rate have been supported by
the buoyant external sector, which continues to exhibit resilience as evidenced
by a stable trend in performance of exports and international remittances,
notwithstanding the adverse impact of COVID-19. The country recorded a
positive foreign currency net position of US$1.3 billion for the six months
ending 30 June 2020, compared to a deficit of US$738.7 million for the same
period in 2019. Sustained export performance is critical for the steady supply
of foreign currency needed to sustain the economy.
10. This Statement, therefore, lays out additional measures to support price and
exchange rate stability in the economy. The rest of the Monetary Policy
Statement is organised as follows: Section 2 evaluates the recent monetary
policy measures, including decisions and policies made by the Bank’s MPC
and Section 3 outlines the additional measures to buttress and sustain the
auction system as well as supporting economic recovery. Section 4 discusses
the outlook and conclusions from the Statement. Finally, the Statement
contains an annexure discussing international and domestic macroeconomic
and financial developments underpinning monetary policy decisions.
7
SECTION 2: RECENT MONETARY POLICY MEASURES
11. Since the last Monetary Policy Statement issued in February 2020, the Bank,
through the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), implemented a number of
measures aimed at ensuring exchange rate, price and financial stability in the
economy, while supporting real economic activity. In particular, the Bank
implemented the following key policies:
13. Since its introduction on 23 June 2020, a total of US$137.4 million has been
allotted against bids for US$157.8 million at the end of 9th auction on 18
August 2020. Effectively the auction system has to date served 87.1% of the
formal foreign exchange market demand. Total foreign currency allotments
have ranged between US$10.3 million and US$18.8 million per auction.
14. The foreign exchange auction system has greatly assisted in improving
transparency in the foreign currency market and has facilitated the discovery
of a market-based exchange rate. In addition, the system has been critical in
fostering exchange rate and price convergence over time. The dispersion
between the highest and lowest bid rates on the auction system has been
converging towards the weighted average exchange rate, while the parallel
market premium has remained suppressed. The dispersion between the highest
and lowest bid rates, which was around 75 points at the beginning of the
auction had fallen to about 8 points after the ninth auction.
8
Figure 1: Exchange Rate Convergence Under the Auction System
125.
100.
Exchange Rate (USD:ZWL)
75.
50.
25.
0.
23 Jun 20 30 Jun 20 07 Jul 20 14 Jul 20 21 Jul 20 28 Jul 20 04 Aug 20 13 Aug 20 18 Aug 20
17. The same is true for the parallel market exchange rate that fell from the range
of ZW$95 to Z$W120 : US$ at the commencement of the auction system to
the current range of ZW$85 to ZW$110 : US$ as shown in Figure 1 above.
The parallel exchange rate premiums have thus plummeted from about 300%
before the introduction of the auction system to the international known levels
of between 5 to 15% as of the second week of August 2020.
18. The re-direction of the foreign currency demand pressure from the parallel
market to the auction, coupled with improved foreign currency supply and the
Bank’s contractionary monetary growth stance, will assist in fostering price
stability. The subsequent introduction of the auction system for SMEs, running
concurrently with the main auction, will further support current efforts to
improve the management of foreign exchange in the economy.
9
Measures to Support the Auction System
19. The Bank has also put in place the following supply side measures to support
the auction:
a. Allowing direct participation of exporters on the auction at their preferred
reserve prices;
b. Engagement of banks to participate on the auction;
c. Upward reviewing of the foreign exchange retention for gold producers to
70% for them to enhance production;
d. Arranging foreign lines of credit on behalf of Government to supplement
domestic-generated foreign exchange, and
e. Liberalisation of the use of free funds.
20. The above measures have continued to see a steady flow of funds to support
the auction.
10
liquidity and ease the exchange rate pressures in the economy. In the same
vein, the Bank has encouraged banking institutions to come up with similar
value preserving instruments for their customers.
Reserve Requirements
25. The Bank reviewed the reserve requirements from 5% to 2.5% to enable banks
to increase credit to the productive sectors of the economy.
11
ZW$300 to ZW$1000 per week to provide transactional convenience to the
public.
29. The banking sector has also implemented various strategies to cushion its
customers and maintain stability and these include moratoria on repayment of
loans and a freeze or reduction of service fees.
12
SECTION 3: NEW MONETARY POLICY MEASURES
33. In addition to this equity principle on export retention thresholds, the 30 day
liquidation period of unused funds has been reviewed upwards to 60 days
from the day of receipt of funds. This is essential to enable exporters to better
manage and plan their cashflows.
13
Supporting the Auction from Domestic Forex Resources
34. Following the decision to allow the use of free funds in the pricing of goods
and services in the economy, the Bank is encouraged by the growth of the
foreign exchange balances in the domestic foreign currency accounts, from
US$352.4 million in January 2020 to US$404.8 million as at end of July 2020.
36. For the avoidance of doubt, all existing balances in the Domestic FCAs will
not be affected by this policy.
37. This policy measure shall also not apply to recipients of free funds including
individuals, embassies, non-governmental organisations, tobacco and cotton
producers and Domestic FCAs for fuel companies.
14
on the auction to the detriment of the consumers. Such malpractices are
counter-productive and negate the objective of price stability.
40. In order to curb such delinquent behaviour and to enforce compliance, the
Bank is proceeding to establish a toll free line through which the
public/consumers will report to the Bank such malpractices and other foreign
currency related transgressions.
15
Table 2: Minimum Capital Requirements
Minimum Capital Requirements in ZW$
Type of Institution
Equivalent to :-
43. Banking institutions are also required to continue to assess the adequacy of
their economic capital levels against their risk profiles. Particular attention
should be given to credit risk, operational risk and business risk, which have
been significantly increased by the COVID-19 pandemic.
45. The critical weaknesses that cut across the four mobile payment platforms are:
i. Non-adherence to KYC principles, characterised by, among other
issues, creation of mobile money accounts using fictitious and
unverified identification particulars;
16
ii. Creation of money on the platforms (overdrafts and fraudulent /
fictitious credits) which is not backed by balances in the Mobile Money
Trust Accounts;
iii. System infrastructure inadequacies and weak Anti Money Laundering
controls;
iv. Failure to comply with, including willful disregard for, regulatory
directives;
v. Connivance between mobile money operator employees and customers
to delay or illegally bypass account freeze orders;
vi. Failure to deduct or remit statutory taxes; and
vii. Rampant abuse of agent, super-agent and bulk payment wallets for
purposes of trading on the foreign exchange parallel market.
46. On the basis of the forensic audit findings and recommendations, the
following measures to address the shortcomings shall be implemented with
immediate effect:
Individuals
47. Transactions by individuals shall be pegged at ZW$5,000 per day. Individuals
shall be allowed to undertake Person to Person transfers, Person to Merchant
payments for goods and services, settlement of bills and purchase of airtime.
48. Following the suspension and freezing of agent and bulk-payer wallets on 27
June, 2020, mobile money operators have allowed illegal foreign currency
dealers to use multiple individual wallets as a means to bypass the transaction
limits and continue with their illicit transactions. Mobile money operators
shall, with immediate effect, close all multiple wallets, and allow just one
wallet per individual.
17
Merchants
49. Retailers and other service providers will be permitted to continue operating
merchant wallets to allow the public to pay for goods and services.
50. Merchants shall not be allowed to make payments from their wallets. E-value
held in merchant wallets shall be liquidated to the merchant’s bank account.
51. In this regard, mobile money operators shall have systems in place to ensure
automatic liquidations from the merchant wallets to the merchant bank
accounts. This measure shall ensure that mobile payment platforms are not
used for store of value but shall be restricted for transacting purposes in
furtherance of financial inclusion in the economy.
Agents
52. Agent wallets are no longer serving any legitimate purpose and were now
being used primarily for illegal foreign exchange transactions. Agents’ mobile
money wallets are therefore abolished, with immediate effect.
53. Agents currently holding value in suspended and frozen wallets shall be
allowed to liquidate the funds to their bank accounts, upon the Financial
Intelligence Unit (FIU) having satisfied itself of the legitimacy of the source
of funds.
18
55. Going forward, bulk payment wallets will be approved by regulatory
authorities for limited use, primarily for low value transactions and
humanitarian funds disbursements to vulnerable members of society.
56. Any other bulk payment transactions, such as payment of salaries and wages,
should be processed through normal banking channels.
Interoperability
59. On 27 March 2020, the Government passed the Banking (Money
Transmission, Mobile Banking and Mobile Money Interoperability)
Regulations, under Statutory Instrument 80 of 2020. The new law is intended
to facilitate integration of payment systems and promote efficiency of
payment services, for the convenience of the transacting public.
19
and required all payment service providers, including mobile payment
operators, to be connected thereto.
61. With all banks and some mobile payment operators already connected to
Zimswitch, connectivity by all payment service providers is expected to be
completed by 30 September 2020.
62. In view of the continuous challenges faced by the public sector employees to
access their COVID-19 allowances, the Bank is directing all banks to adhere
to the requirements to open domestic FCA accounts to enable the public sector
employees to access their US$ allowances in the manner and form as expected
by Government and the employees.
63. Banks should make it easy for these public servants to have access to foreign
exchange cards and to permit them to transact in the normal course of business
like any other ordinary customers of banks with adherence to the usual Know
Your Customer (KYC) principles.
64. Accordingly, banks are directed to submit returns to the Bank by 31 August
2020 on their banking programme(s) that they have put in place to address the
requirement for ease of access to COVID-19 allowance by the public sector
employees.
F. BUSINESS CONTINUITY
65. The COVID-19 pandemic has presented businesses with many unforeseen
challenges due to its rapid spreading and global reach, which necessitates
20
improvement and continuous review of banking institutions’ business
continuity plans to better prepare for the impact the pandemic.
66. In this regard, banking institutions are required to submit updated business
continuity plans (BCPs) by 30 October 2020. The revised BCPs should
include:
a) adequate measures for infection control in the workplace;
b) preparedness for large-scale remote working of staff;
c) customers prompt access to their funds;
d) critical systems, functions and staff;
e) continued compliance with regulatory reporting requirements
f) alternate business sites; and
g) data back-up and recovery.
G. CREDIT RISK
67. The COVID-19 pandemic and the attendant lockdowns to contain the spread
of the pandemic has impacted negatively on the cash flows of many
consumers and businesses. The identification of risk concentrations from an
overall portfolio perspective is therefore paramount during this pandemic. In
particular reviewing sectoral concentrations of loans is critical given that the
pandemic has affected various sectors differently.
68. Against this background, with effect from 30 September 2020, banking
institutions are required to submit monthly credit reports on the status of each
of their top twenty loans/exposure and a clear strategy for action where there
is deterioration in quality of the concerned loan.
21
H. CYBER RISK AND CONSUMER PROTECTION
69. The COVID-19 pandemic has made a compelling case for digital banking.
Accelerated digitisation by banking institutions in the wake of COVID-19 and
the remote working arrangements have expanded the attack surface of banks’
information technology networks. Critical business functions are more
exposed to opportunistic and targeted cyber-attacks by criminals and thus
increasing consumer protection risks.
70. Cyber and anti-fraud controls are critical for banking institutions during and
post COVID-19. Banking institutions are called upon to remain alert to such
threats and activate appropriate risk management responses and to conduct
ongoing consumer education campaigns.
71. Banking institutions should review the adequacy of their ICT systems.
Accordingly, banking institutions are required to submit to the Bank updated
cyber risk management policies by 30 October 2020, taking into account
COVID-19 experiences to date.
22
SECTION 4: OUTLOOK AND CONCLUSION
Economic Outlook
72. The measures contained in this Statement will foster stability in prices and
exchange rate consistent with the trend that has been witnessed since adoption
of the foreign exchange auction system in June 2020. The Bank is committed
to containing fluctuations in the exchange rate within a low band through
market-based means and monetary policy instruments under its purview,
notably, reserve money targeting.
73. The ensuing stability of the exchange rate will enhance the value of the
Zimbabwe dollar as a store of value in an environment where business and
consumers use the exchange rate as the nominal anchor. This will in turn help
reduce demand for foreign currency for store of value and thus enhancing
current measures to stabilise prices.
23
Figure 2: Inflation Development and Outlook
600.000
500.000
400.000 Impact of
Auction
300.000
200.000
100.000
0.000
Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20
Conclusion
75. The stability in prices and exchange rate witnessed since the adoption of the
auction system will go a long way in fostering stability and predictability in
price and exchange rate dynamics. This stability is necessary to support and
boost the country’s productivity levels that is critical to ensure self-sustenance
and increasing employment.
76. Concerted efforts are obviously required from all stakeholders to play their
part in avoiding some of the vices which have been driving the parallel market
exchange rate and propagating inflationary pressures in the economy. These
vices include the speculative and short-termism tendencies and indiscipline
particularly relating to the use of the mobile money platforms which
compelled Government to take drastic measures to suspend agent-based
mobile transactions and subsequent abolishment of agent mobile money
wallets in terms of this Statement.
24
77. The Bank remains committed to foster price stability through containing
money supply growth to anchor inflation expectations and contain
fluctuations in the market-based exchange rate within sustainable bands.
Fostering price stability is sine qua non to boost confidence within the
economy and for enhancing production and productivity.
I THANK YOU
JOHN P. MANGUDYA
GOVERNOR
25
ANNEXURE: MACROECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL
DEVELOPMENTS
Global Developments
1. The global economy is now projected to decline by 4.9% in 2020, as a result
of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has disruptive and negative implications
for global trade channels, business and tourism travel, capital flows and
commodity prices.
26
Domestic Developments
4. The economy was initially projected to grow by 3% in 2020, driven by
anticipated positive performances in the key sectors. However, due to COVID-
19 and another drought year, the economy is now projected to contract by
4.5%, with the declines cutting across all sectors of the economy.
Inflation
5. Following adoption of dual currency pricing, it became essential and
reasonable that inflation in Zimbabwe is measured on a blended or composite
basis to reflect changes in both local currency and USD prices. Accordingly,
the blended month-on-month inflation declined from 29.1% in June 2020 to
16.6% in July 2020 as shown in Figure 2 below. Foreign exchange transactions
in the economy have increased following Government’s policy to allow the use
of foreign exchange on domestic transactions at the onset of COVID-19
containment measures.
6. The decline in overall monthly blended inflation in July 2020 was mainly on
account of decreases in food inflation. Blended monthly food inflation
declined from 36.8% in June to 4.77%. The decline in food prices mainly
reflect stability in the foreign exchange market where the producers of
foodstuffs are accessing forex at the auction rate. The parallel exchange rate
has stabilised following adoption of the foreign exchange auction, thus
pointing to subdued inflationary pressures in the outlook.
27
Figure 2: Month-on-month Inflation
62.50
50.00
37.50
25.00
12.50
0.00
10/1/19
11/1/19
12/1/19
7/1/19
8/1/19
9/1/19
1/1/20
2/1/20
3/1/20
4/1/20
5/1/20
6/1/20
7/1/20
Food Non-Food All Items
8. The increase of 17.4% in total foreign currency receipts in the first quarter of
2020 as shown in Table 4 below was mainly driven by the increase in
international remittances, drawdowns on lines of credit and increase in
exports.
28
Table 4: Total Foreign Currency Receipts (USD millions)
Source: Exchange Control Records and Bank Supervision Application System (BSA)
29
Table 5: Foreign Payments by Sector in USD (Jan – June 2020)
30
Table 6: Monthly Inward Diaspora Remittances in USD (Jan - July)
MONETARY GROWTH
12. Growth in reserve money continues to be contained within the Bank’s
Monetary Targeting Framework, which is consistent with the Monetary
Policy Committee’s targeted reserve money growth of below 50 percent per
quarter in 2020. In line with this policy framework, reserve money declined
to ZW$11.81 billion as at week ending 14th August 2020, from ZW$16.66
billion recorded at the end of July 2020, largely reflecting decreases of banks’
liquidity positions (i.e. banks’ balances at RBZ).
13. The decrease in reserve money since the introduction of the auction system
has largely been attributable to purchases of foreign exchange at the new
auction rates; general increase in Government deposits which absorbs market
liquidity as a result of increased revenue collections; and tight liquidity
conditions which saw banks increasingly utilising their deposit balances at the
Bank. The Table below shows developments in reserve money since the
beginning of 2020.
31
Table 1: Reserve Money Developments (ZW$ Millions)
Week Week
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Ending Ending
7 Aug-20 14 Aug-20
Currency Issued by RBZ* 1,137 1,217 1,308 1,341 1,456 1,671 1,898 1,948 1,948
Banking Sector Deposits at RBZ 7,254 7,089 8,789 10,199 12,082 10,420+ 11,453 10,536 9,584
Statutory (Required) Reserves 1,041 1,083 1,205 1,214 1,387 890 1,050 1,041 1,136
Banks’ RTGS LiquidityΩ 6,213 6,006 7,584 8,895 10,696 9,529 10,403 9,495 8,447
Other Deposits@ 861 1,075 1,608 920 277 582 3,312 870 282
Reserve Moneyπ 9,251 9,381 11,705 12,460 13,815 12,673 16,662 13,354 11,814
Memorandum Items
Currency Issued/Reserve Money 12.3% 13.0% 11.2% 10.8% 10.5% 13.2% 11.4% 14.6% 16.5%
Currency in Circulation**/Deposits 2.7% 2.5% 2.2% 2.0% 1.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4%
Monthly Change in RTGS Balances -16.4% -3.3% 26.3% 18.5% 19.0% -16.8% -10.2% -8.7% -10.9%
Monthly Change in Reserve Money -10.4% 1.4% 24.8% 6.5% 10.9% -10.6% -2.0% -19.9% -11.5%
Government Deposits at RBZ )ψ 3,144 3,347 2,847 2,967 2,092 8,509 7,073 8,881 8,367
Monthly Inflation 2.2% 13.5% 26.59% 17.64% 15.13% 31.66% 35.53% N/A N/A
Inter-Bank Exchange Rate 17.35 17.95 25.00 25.00 25.00 57.36 76.76 80.47 82.56
Notes:
1. Amount also reflects re-classification of FPR’s foreign exchange deposit, which was previously included in reserve
money. This deposit has no effect on reserve money as previously advised.
* Currency Issued – refers to bank notes and coins issued by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe.
** Currency in Circulation – refers to the currency circulating outside the banking system. This excludes currency held
in the vaults of banks.
Ω These are deposits that banks place in the Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) System for purposes of meeting their
inter-bank transactions.
π Figures may reflect positions as at last Friday of the month. See Monthly Reviews for month-end positions.
@ Other Deposits are mainly proceeds of drawdowns from foreign currency loans which are advanced to Fidelity
Printers & Refiners (FPR) to purchase gold from the gold producers. The amounts are, therefore, purely accounting
entries which do not represent money creation. With effect from 7th August 2020, this foreign exchange deposit will
now appear as a memorandum item.
Ψ Provisional.
N/A - not yet available.
32
14. As at May 2020, broad money (M3) stood at ZW$59.5 billion, of which
ZW$33.16 billion (56.10%) was in local currency deposits and ZW$24.98
billion (42.01%) constituted foreign currency deposits. Growth in broad
money during the first five months of 2020 was significantly explained by the
impact of exchange rate depreciation on the foreign currency component of
the deposits (FCAs).
16. The adoption of the foreign exchange auction system, which has seen the
exchange rate re-aligning from ZW$25/USD in May 2020 to ZW$82.9/USD
on the auction of 18th August 2020, will lead to further increases in the foreign
currency component of broad money.
17. In addition, foreign currency deposits in the banking system have been
improving due to inflows from the tobacco selling season, as well as the
harnessing of foreign currency into formal channels, following the policy to
allow use of free funds in settling domestic transactions.
33
Figure 3: Composition of Money Supply
75,000
60,000
45,000
Z$ Million
30,000
15,000
0
Mar-18 Jun-18 Sept-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sept-19 Dec-19 Mar-20
NCDs Time Deposits LCY Transferable Deposits FCAs Currency in Circulation Annual Growth
19. Domestic credit grew by 36.73% from ZW$27.82 billion in December 2019
to ZW$39.06 billion in May 2020, largely due to an increase in credit to the
private sector, from ZW$11.1 billion to ZW$21.58 billion, over the same
period.
20. Net credit to Government remained constant around Z$W14 billion over the
first 5 months of the year, reflecting reduced recourse by Government to
domestic bank sources of finance. Government recorded a budget surplus of
around ZW$800 million for the first half of 2020.
34
continue to support the real economy, while minimizing the impact of the
COVID-19 pandemic on the sector.
Commercial Banks 13
Building Societies 5
Savings Bank 1
Credit-only-MFIs 225
Deposit-taking MFIs* 8
*
Includes Lion Microfinance Limited (under Curatorship)
35
are yet to commence operations as they are putting in place the necessary
infrastructure for commencement of business.
36
Capitalisation
26. As at 30 June 2020, the banking sector aggregate core capital was ZW$20.99
billion, representing an increase of 180.99%, from ZW$7.47 billion as at 31
December 2019. The growth in banking sector aggregate capital was mainly
attributed to growth in retained earnings, buoyed by revaluation gains from
foreign exchange denominated assets, following movements in the foreign
exchange rate with the introduction of the foreign exchange auction in June
2020.
27. The banking sector average capital adequacy and tier 1 ratios of 61.72% and
34.35% as at 30 June 2020, respectively were above the regulatory minima of
12% and 8%, respectively. All banking institutions complied with the
minimum regulatory capital adequacy and tier 1 ratios.
37
Figure 6: Trend of Banking Sector Deposits (ZW$ billion)
125000.
100000.
75000.
Thousands
50000. 97,402.00
25000. 47,048.84
34,502.46
8,480.46 12,202.79 10,320.51 10,996.51 16,916.12
0.
31-Dec-17
30-Sept-18
30-Dec-18
31-Mar-19
30-Jun-19
31-Dec-19
31-Mar-20
30-Jun-20
29. The deposit base is dominated by FCA and local demand deposits, which
accounted for 52.59% and 40.66%, of total deposits, respectively, as shown in
Figure 7 below.
Figure 7: Composition of Deposits as at 30 June 2020
38
30. As at 30 June 2020, the commercial banking sub-sector deposits accounted for
91.54% of total deposits.
100.00%
38.62%
40.00%
20.00%
0.00%
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 sep-19 Dec-19 Jun-20
32. The average prudential liquidity ratio for the banking sector was 74.85% as at
30 June 2020. The high average prudential liquidity ratio was partly due to a
cautious lending approach being adopted by banking institutions.
39
central bank, and off-balance sheet items, which constituted 18.58%, 15.85%,
and 12.63% of total assets, respectively, as shown below:
40
Figure 10: Trend in Banking Sector Loans & Advances (ZW$m)
40,000 37,770.98
30,000
20,000
12,629.15
10,000 8,348.73
6,197.03
3,701.11 3,872.39 3,688.46 3,798.36 4,220.12
'-
Dec-13 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Jun-19 Sept-19 Dec-19 Jun-20
41
Loan Portfolio Quality
36. The quality of the banking sector loan portfolio continued to improve, as
reflected by an improvement in the non-performing loans (NPLs) to total loans
ratio, from 1.75% as at 31 December 2019 to 1.03% as at 30 June 2020. Figure
13 below shows the trend in the level of non-performing loans to total loans
ratio (NPLs ratio) from December 2015 to June 2020.
11.00%
8.39% 7.95% 8.63%
7.87%
8.25% 7.08% 7.06% 6.92%
6.22% 6.69%
5.50%
3.23%
2.75% 1.75% 1.42%
1.03%
0.00%
Earnings Performance
37. During the period under review, all banking institutions were profitable, with
aggregate profit of ZW$13.46 billion for the half year ended 30 June 2020, up
from ZW$79.40 million for the corresponding period in 2019. The key
revenue drivers were other non-interest income, mainly from revaluation gains
on foreign currency assets. The figure below shows the income mix as at 30
June 2020.
42
Figure 13: Income Mix – 30 June 2020
39. Submissions for the half year ended June 2020 revealed that complaints
received by banking and microfinance institutions largely related to failed
transactions (14%), delayed transfers (11.62%), and ZIPIT transfer challenges
(8.64%).
SUSTAINABILITY STANDARDS
40. The Bank is collaborating with the European Organization for Sustainable
Development (EOSD) in embedding sustainability standards in the financial
sector under the Sustainability Standards Certification Initiative (SSCI).
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41. Pursuant to a Memorandum of Understanding signed in July 2019 between the
EOSD and the Bank, six (6) banking institutions are participating and are
implementing the Standards. Participating banking institutions are now
working on their Purpose Statements and High Impact Goals, which are
aligned to the country’s developmental objectives.
42. As at 30 June 2020, there were eight (8) registered deposit-taking microfinance
institutions (DTMFIs), comprising of five operating institutions, two licenced
but yet to commence operations, as well as one under curatorship.
44
Table 13 : DTMFIs Performance Indicators, Dec 2018 – June 2020 (ZW$)
Dec-18 June 19 *Dec 19 *March *June 2020
Key Indicators
2020
45. Lion Microfinance Limited, which was placed under curatorship by the Bank
on 26 July 2019 due to critical undercapitalisation and weak corporate
governance systems, had its curatorship extended to 30 September 2020, to
allow for finalization of the recapitalisation process, audit verification of the
institution’s financial condition and rectification of corporate governance and
risk management systems.
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Capitalisation
46. All the five (5) operating DTMFIs were compliant with the minimum
regulatory capital requirement of ZW$5 million. The DTMFIs submitted
capitalisation plans to comply with revised capital requirements of an
equivalent of USD5 million for DTMFIs, which reflect a need for fresh capital
injections.
Asset Quality
47. Asset quality in the sub-sector deteriorated as evidenced by the increase in the
Portfolio at Risk (>30 days) ratio, from 11.02% as at 31 December 2020 to
16.97% as at 30 June 2020, mainly due to the COVID-19 pandemic-induced
restrictions, which affected borrowers’ businesses performance, ability of
DTMFIs’ loans officers to make collections, as well as failure by some clients
from the informal sector to resume operations following relaxation of national
lockdown regulations as they are unregistered.
Earnings performance
48. Aggregate net profit increased ten (10) times to ZW$119.79 million for the six
(6) months ended 30 June 2020, from ZW$10.32 million for the corresponding
period in 2019, largely driven by revaluation gains on investment properties.
However, three (3) DTMFIs reported losses during the six months ended 30
June 2020, due to the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, coupled
with the prevailing adverse operating environment.
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visits as most of the microfinance clients, in particular, the micro, small and
medium enterprises remain largely closed for business.
50. Most credit-only microfinance institutions did not have robust business
continuity plans and the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted
microfinance business operations. The situation was exacerbated by lack of
robust ICT systems and digital platforms, particularly among the credit-only
microfinance institutions which in turn has militated against effective and
efficient delivery of microfinance services.
52. In order to enhance support to the productive sector in light of the COVID-19
pandemic, the Bank, temporarily increased the single obligor limit from 25%
to 35%, subject to a banking institution meeting the requirements of the
Banking Act [Chapter 24:20], the Banking Regulations S.I. 205 of 2000 and
internal policies. The relaxation was with effective 21 May 2020.
53. Banking institutions are currently submitting quarterly reports on all facilities
granted in excess of the single obligor limits.
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Proposed Changes to the Legal Framework
54. In line with its mandate of promoting financial stability, the Bank continued to
strengthen the regulatory framework and direct its supervisory efforts towards
the promotion of a safe, stable and sound financial system in Zimbabwe.
55. The Bank is working with the Deposit Protection Corporation and Ministry of
Finance and Economic Development to consider further enhancing banking
laws on cross-border banking, bank resolution and crisis management to align
it with good practices.
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59. In further efforts to enhance financial stability, the Bank developed a
Framework for Domestic Systemically Important Banking Institutions, which
was issued in March 2020. The framework articulates relevant regulatory
measures for the identification, monitoring and management of systemic risks
arising from the distress of local systemically important institutions.
60. The Bank has developed a framework for the implementation of Basel III
Liquidity Standards, covering Liquidity Coverage and Net Stable Funding
ratios. The framework is designed to enhance local metrics for the management
of liquidity risk, aligning them with international best practice.
63. Following these national measures, the Bank implemented regulatory and
supervisory measures to maintain financial stability. These measures were
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aimed at ensuring that banking institutions are able to continue to support the
real economy, while minimizing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the
sector.
64. The Bank issued Circular 02/2020 providing guidance on enforcing social
distancing and enhanced hygiene practices to prevent spread of COVID-19.
Banking institutions were required to promote digital banking and ensure that
adequate business continuity measures were in place.
65. In addition, Circular 03/2020 was issued by the Bank providing further
guidance and measures including restructuring of facilities of customers
negatively affected by the pandemic. Banks were directed to ensure that
consideration is given only to facilities that were performing prior to the
challenges associated with the COVID-19.
66. The banking sector has also implemented various strategies to cushion its
customers and maintain stability and these include moratoria and/or reduction
in service fees. Despite restrictions on movement during the National
Lockdown, banks ensured that the banking public continued to access banking
services through the medium of digital platforms.
67. Banking institutions submitted their business continuity plans to the Bank and
activated their business continuity arrangements, which entailed banks
operating with minimum number of staff to ensure customers continue to
access selected banking services.
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COVID-19 lockdown effective 4 May 2020, banking institutions opened most
branches to ensure that customers continue to access banking services.
69. Further, with the recent surge in the number of COVID-19 cases, a number of
banking institutions are temporarily closing some branches to facilitate deep
cleaning and disinfecting of branches and testing of staff members. Banking
clients are being encouraged to make use of digital platforms.
FINANCIAL INCLUSION
72. Implementation of the National Financial Inclusion Strategy (2016 – 2020),
through various initiatives targeting previously marginalized segments is now
in its final year. The Bank is in the process of conducting a review of the first
phase of the National Financial Inclusion Strategy (NFIS). The report, together
with the results of pending formal independent reviews will inform the
development of the NFIS Phase II.
73. The first phase of the Strategy implementation has come to an end at a time
when the world is gripped with the COVID-19 pandemic, which is threatening
to reverse the financial inclusion gains that had been registered particularly for
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vulnerable low-income groups. Targeted priority segments under the Strategy
are experiencing cash flow challenges as a result of lock-down measures
imposed to prevent the uncontrollable spread of the virus.
74. The pandemic has necessitated new business models, which call for intensive
training on the required new skills, including online marketing. Further, the
unavoidable job losses are likely to result in growth of the informal sector.
Relevant policy actors and stakeholders are urged to optimally coordinate
efforts and render appropriate targeted support to minimise suffering of those
affected.
76. Financial inclusion has proven to be a powerful solution in times of health and
economic crises hence NFIS implementing stakeholders are urged to continue
to strengthen their efforts to financially include the vulnerable segments of our
population.
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Table 14: Financial Inclusion Indicators – December 2016 to June 2020
Indicator June 2019 March June
Dec 2016 Dec 2017 Dec 2018 Dec 2019
2020 2020
MSMEs
Value of loans to MSMEs (ZW) $131.69m $146.22m $169.96m $178.92m $462.98m $1,457.47b $2,899.69b
MSMEs loans as % of total loans 3.57% 3.75% 3.94% 2.99% 3.92% 4.66% 7.65%
Women
$446.40m
Value of Loans to Women (ZW) $277.30m $310.78m $432.36m $586.74m $841.19m
$1,183.16m
Youth
Number of Loans to Youth 38,400 61,529 69,421 154,091 189,658 144,676 126,002
Value of Loans to Youth (ZW) $58.41m $138.93m $104.43m 120.68m $188.71m $669.51m $964.86m
78. There was, however, a notable drop in the number of loans to youth (12.91%)
during the quarter ending 30 June 2020, which is attributable to the COVID-
19 induced lockdown.
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CREDIT INFRASTRUCTURE
Credit Registry
79. The Bank and credit bureaus continued to improve the credit referencing
environment during the period under review. Credit reporting systems have
been increasingly embraced by banks, microfinance institutions (MFIs) and
other non-financial institutions. The Bank has successfully tested a monitoring
module, which is expected to further promote credit risk management in the
sector as lenders are automatically notified about significant changes or
updates on selected customers such as new facilities or repayments to other
lenders.
80. Banks and MFIs continued to utilise the Credit Registry for loan application
screening purposes and ongoing credit risk management during the period
under review, albeit with a notable decline during the month of April as the
national lockdown commenced. The utilisation trend for the past two years is
indicated in Figure 14 below:
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81. The Reserve Bank is continuously encouraging the banks to make use of
technology when assessing credit worthiness of borrowers. One such
technology is the use of Application Programming Interfaces.
Collateral Registry
82. The implementation of the Collateral Registry awaits completion of the
procurement process, which was delayed as a result of the COVID-19
pandemic.
FINANCIAL TECHNOLOGY
84. As part of measures to promote the adoption of financial technologies, the
Bank is set to operationalise the Regulatory Sandbox Framework after a
consultative process with major stakeholders. The framework will be issued to
the market for comments before being finalised and rolled out later in the year.
85. The framework will outline the qualification, application and evaluation
criterion for entities to be admitted into the sandbox. The sandbox provides an
opportunity for innovators to connect to banks and other financial system
players.
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NATIONAL PAYMENT SYSTEMS DEVELOPMENTS
86. Aggregate values and volumes of national payment systems transactions for
the year to date ending June 2020 amounted to ZW$1 trillion and 2.5 billion,
respectively.
87. RTGS system transactions values and volumes increased by 54% to ZW$91.3
billion from ZW$59.3 billion and 36% to 0.9 million from 0.6 million in June
2020, respectively from the previous month.
88. Tables 15 and 16 below show the monthly transactional activities in the
respective payment streams for the preceding twelve months ending June 2020:
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Table 15: NPS Transactional Values July 2019 –June 2020
Values Total
RTGS Card ATM POS Mobile Internet Total Change
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Table 16: NPS Transactional Volumes (in millions) July 2019 –June 2020
Total
Total Chang
MONTH RTGS Card ATM POS Mobile Internet Volumes e
*The cheque has not been a preferred payment instrument during the COVID-
19 lockdown period.
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