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Period Data Naive Forecasts Abs. Error Error Abs. % Error
Period Data Naive Forecasts Abs. Error Error Abs. % Error
Naive Abs. %
Period Data Abs. Error Error2
Forecasts Error
January 32 - - - -
40∣40−32∣
February 40 32 ∣40−32∣=8 (40−32)2=64 =20%
42∣42−40∣
March 42 40 ∣42−40∣=2 (42−40)2=4 =4.76%
36∣36−42∣
April 36 42 ∣36−42∣=6 (36−42)2=36 =16.67%
40∣40−36∣
May 40 36 ∣40−36∣=4 (40−36)2=16 =10%
45∣45−40∣
June 45 40 ∣45−40∣=5 (45−40)2=25 =11.11%
38∣38−45∣
July 38 45 7∣38−45∣=7 (38−45)2=49 =18.42%
49∣49−38∣
August 49 38 ∣49−38∣=11 (49−38)2=121 =22.45%
39∣39−49∣
September 39 49 ∣39−49∣=10 (39−49)2=100 =25.64%
45∣45−39∣
October 45 39 ∣45−39∣=6 (45−39)2=36 =13.33%
52∣52−45∣
November 52 45 ∣52−45∣=7 (52−45)2=49 =13.46%
December - 52
3PMA
MA(3) Abs. %
Period Data Abs. Error Error2
Forecasts Error
January 32 - - - -
February 40 - - - -
March 42 - - - -
36∣36−38∣
April 36 38 ∣36−38∣=2 (36−38)2=4 =5.56%
∣40−39.3333∣=0.666 40∣40−39.3333
May 40 39.333 7
(40−39.3333)2=0.4444 ∣=1.67%
∣45−39.3333∣=5.666 45∣45−39.3333
June 45 39.333 7 (45−39.3333)2=32.1111 ∣=12.59%
∣38−40.3333∣=2.333 38∣38−40.3333
July 38 40.333 3
(38−40.3333)2=5.4444 ∣=6.14%
49∣49−41∣
August 49 41 ∣49−41∣=8 (49−41)2=64 =16.33%
39∣39−44∣
September 39 44 ∣39−44∣=5 (39−44)2=25 =12.82%
45∣45−42∣
October 45 42 ∣45−42∣=3 (45−42)2=9 =6.67%
∣52−44.3333∣=7.666 52∣52−44.3333
November 52 44.333 7
(52−44.3333)2=58.7778 ∣=14.74%
December - 45.333
3PWMA
MA(3) Abs. %
Period Data Abs. Error Error2
Forecasts Error
January 32 - - - -
February 40 - - - -
March 42 - - - -
∣36−39.1111∣=3.111 36∣36−39.1111
April 36 39.111 1 (36−39.1111)2=9.679 ∣=8.64%
∣40−38.8889∣=1.111 40∣40−38.8889
May 40 38.889 1
(40−38.8889)2=1.2346 ∣=2.78%
∣45−39.1111∣=5.888 45∣45−39.1111
June 45 39.111 9 (45−39.1111)2=34.679 ∣=13.09%
∣38−41.3333∣=3.333 38∣38−41.3333
July 38 41.333 3 (38−41.3333)2=11.1111 ∣=8.77%
∣49−40.7778∣=8.222 49∣49−40.7778
August 49 40.778 2
(49−40.7778)2=67.6049 ∣=16.78%
∣39−44.4444∣=5.444 39∣39−44.4444
September 39 44.444 4
(39−44.4444)2=29.642 ∣=13.96%
∣45−42.1111∣=2.888 45∣45−42.1111
October 45 42.111 9 (45−42.1111)2=8.3457 ∣=6.42%
∣52−43.8889∣=8.111 52∣52−43.8889
November 52 43.889 1 (52−43.8889)2=65.7901 ∣=15.6%
December - 46.778