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  • Uncertain Activity Times

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    Ira Grace De Castro
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    This document contains a table with activity data including optimistic, most probable, and pessimistic estimates, expected times, and variances. It then calculates the expected total time for activities B, D, and F as 23.83 days or 24 days. Finally, it finds the variance of activities A, D, F to be 0.47 by summing their individual variances.

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    This document contains a table with activity data including optimistic, most probable, and pessimistic estimates, expected times, and variances. It then calculates the expected total time for activities B, D, and F as 23.83 days or 24 days. Finally, it finds the variance of activities A, D, F to be 0.47 by summing their individual variances.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    14 views1 page

    Uncertain Activity Times

    Uploaded by

    Ira Grace De Castro
    This document contains a table with activity data including optimistic, most probable, and pessimistic estimates, expected times, and variances. It then calculates the expected total time for activities B, D, and F as 23.83 days or 24 days. Finally, it finds the variance of activities A, D, F to be 0.47 by summing their individual variances.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
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    of 1

    Ira Grace B. De Castro.

    ACN1 | CAED101

    Most Expected
    Optimistic Pessimistic
    Activity Probable Time Variance
    (a) (b)
    (m) (days)
    A 4 5.0 6 5 0.1111
    B 8 9.0 10 9 0.1111
    C 7 7.5 11 8 0.4444
    D 7 9.0 10 8.83 or 9 0.25
    E 6 7.0 9 7.17 or 7 0.25
    F 5 6.0 7 6 0.1111

    E(T) = tB + tD + tF
    = 9 + 8.83 + 6
    = 23.83 days or 24 days

    𝜎 2 = 𝜎2𝐴 + 𝜎2𝐷 + 𝜎2𝐹 + 𝜎2𝐻


    = 0.11 + 0.25 + 0.11
    = 0.47

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