Uncertain Activity Times
Uncertain Activity Times
ACN1 | CAED101
Most Expected
Optimistic Pessimistic
Activity Probable Time Variance
(a) (b)
(m) (days)
A 4 5.0 6 5 0.1111
B 8 9.0 10 9 0.1111
C 7 7.5 11 8 0.4444
D 7 9.0 10 8.83 or 9 0.25
E 6 7.0 9 7.17 or 7 0.25
F 5 6.0 7 6 0.1111
E(T) = tB + tD + tF
= 9 + 8.83 + 6
= 23.83 days or 24 days