Data from 1967-2016 Normal Distribution Gumbel Distribution Log Normal Distributio

Years Annual Peaks (X)

1967 499.77
1968 544.646
1969 529.142

1970 237.07

1971 266.183

1972 182.68
1973 785.829

1974 133.588

1975 476.436

1976 765.392

1977 323.167

1978 710.739

1979 293.562

1980 253.857

1981 302.178

1982 219.661

1983 474.311

1984 348.893

1985 156.489

1986 471.369

1987 123

1988 649.594
1989 282.615

1990 274.84

1991 270.917

1992 673.809

1993 389.477

1994 817.749

1995 771.365

1996 384.462

1997 301.979

1998 263.998

1999 189.294

2000 40.872

2001 61.67

2002 84.263

2003 230.417

2004 9.035

2005 274.283

2006 356.516

2007 128.391

2008 103.139

2009 115.473

2010 939.442

2011 260.371
2012 138.811

2013 344.866

2014 110.345

2015 603.086

2016 136.903
Log Normal Distribution Log Pearson III Distribution Comparison
Data from 1967-2016 Normal Distribution Gumbel Distribution

Mean

Peak Discharge d/s

Years Kotri N N-1 x̄ x-x̄ (x-x̄)^2
(X)
1967 499.77 153.7 23608.66668
1968 544.646 198.5 39413.01738
1969 529.142 183.0 33497.46245
1970 237.07 -109.0 11891.65823
1971 266.183 -79.9 6389.74491
1972 182.68 -163.4 26712.26750
1973 785.829 439.7 193344.98963
1974 133.588 -212.5 45169.37495
1975 476.436 130.3 16982.55177
1976 765.392 419.3 175789.94915
1977 323.167 -23.0 526.78880
1978 710.739 364.6 132947.83191
1979 293.562 -52.6 2762.22564
1980 253.857 -92.3 8512.25450
1981 302.178 -43.9 1930.80094
1982 219.661 -126.5 15991.59541
1983 474.311 128.2 16433.21963
1984 348.893 2.8 7.69574
1985 156.489 -189.6 35959.49139
1986 471.369 125.3 15687.59256
1987 123 -223.1 49782.03461
1988 649.594 303.5 92097.14846
1989 282.615 -63.5 4032.74278
1990 274.84 -71.3 5080.67873
1991 270.917 50 49 346.1 -75.2 5655.32276
1992 673.809 327.7 107380.81475
1993 389.477 43.4 1879.92657
1994 817.749 471.6 222434.97009
1995 771.365 425.2 180834.26258
1996 384.462 38.3 1470.19485
1997 301.979 -44.1 1948.32901
1998 263.998 -82.1 6743.83893
1999 189.294 -156.8 24594.04299
2000 40.872 -305.2 93175.65775
2001 61.67 -284.4 80911.16533
2002 84.263 -261.9 68568.50189
2003 230.417 -115.7 13386.92504
2004 9.035 -337.1 113625.54216
2005 274.283 -71.8 5160.39366
2006 356.516 10.4 108.10010
2007 128.391 -217.7 47405.42973
2008 103.139 -243.0 59039.22208
2009 115.473 -230.6 53197.52196
2010 939.442 593.3 352032.32473
2011 260.371 -85.7 7352.69892
2012 138.811 -207.3 42976.55711
2013 344.866 -1.3 1.56971
2014 110.345 -235.8 55589.32249
2015 603.086 257.0 66032.10076
2016 136.903 -209.2 43771.28444
ution Log Normal Distribution Log Pearson III Distribution Comparison

Standard Deviation INTERPOLATIO

∑ (x-x̄)^2 √∑(x-x̄)^2/(N-1) T 1/T 1-1/T

5 0.200 0.800
10 0.100 0.900
15 0.067 0.933
20 0.050 0.950
25 0.040 0.960
50 0.020 0.980
75 0.013 0.987
100 0.010 0.990
1000 0.001 0.999

T kt XT
5 0.842 540
10 1.282 642
15 1.501 693
20 1.655 728
25 1.751 750
50 2.054 820
75 2.216 857
100 2.327 883
1000 3.080 1057

2609827.80412 230.785163996217 Normal Distribution

1000
Return Period (T)

100

10

1
500 600 700 800 9
Annual Flow (XT)
Retur
10

1
500 600 700 800 9
Annual Flow (XT)
 Comparison

INTERPOLATION

Y Y1 Y2 X1 X2 Kt

0.800 0.800 0.802 0.840 0.850 0.842

0.900 0.900 0.902 1.280 1.290 1.282
0.933 0.931 0.932 1.480 1.490 1.501
0.950 0.950 0.951 1.650 1.660 1.655
0.960 0.960 0.961 1.750 1.760 1.751
0.980 0.980 0.980 2.050 2.060 2.054
0.987 0.987 0.987 2.220 2.230 2.216
0.990 0.990 0.990 2.320 2.330 2.327
0.999 0.999 0.999 3.070 3.080 3.080

Normal Distribution

700 800 900 1000 1100

Annual Flow (XT)
700 800 900 1000 1100
Annual Flow (XT)
Data from 1967-2016 Normal Distribution Gumbel Distribution

Mean

Peak Discharge d/s

Years Kotri N N-1 x̄ x-x̄ (x-x̄)^2
(X)
1967 499.77 153.7 23608.66668
1968 544.646 198.5 39413.01738
1969 529.142 183.0 33497.46245
1970 237.07 -109.0 11891.65823
1971 266.183 -79.9 6389.74491
1972 182.68 -163.4 26712.26750
1973 785.829 439.7 193344.98963
1974 133.588 -212.5 45169.37495
1975 476.436 130.3 16982.55177
1976 765.392 419.3 175789.94915
1977 323.167 -23.0 526.78880
1978 710.739 364.6 132947.83191
1979 293.562 -52.6 2762.22564
1980 253.857 -92.3 8512.25450
1981 302.178 -43.9 1930.80094
1982 219.661 -126.5 15991.59541
1983 474.311 128.2 16433.21963
1984 348.893 2.8 7.69574
1985 156.489 -189.6 35959.49139
1986 471.369 125.3 15687.59256
1987 123 -223.1 49782.03461
1988 649.594 303.5 92097.14846
1989 282.615 -63.5 4032.74278
1990 274.84 -71.3 5080.67873
1991 270.917 -75.2 5655.32276
50 49 346.1
1992 673.809 327.7 107380.81475
1993 389.477 43.4 1879.92657
1994 817.749 471.6 222434.97009
1995 771.365 425.2 180834.26258
1996 384.462 38.3 1470.19485
1997 301.979 -44.1 1948.32901
1998 263.998 -82.1 6743.83893
1999 189.294 -156.8 24594.04299
2000 40.872 -305.2 93175.65775
2001 61.67 -284.4 80911.16533
2002 84.263 -261.9 68568.50189
2003 230.417 -115.7 13386.92504
2004 9.035 -337.1 113625.54216
2005 274.283 -71.8 5160.39366
2006 356.516 10.4 108.10010
2007 128.391 -217.7 47405.42973
2008 103.139 -243.0 59039.22208
2009 115.473 -230.6 53197.52196
2010 939.442 593.3 352032.32473
2011 260.371 -85.7 7352.69892
2012 138.811 -207.3 42976.55711
2013 344.866 -1.3 1.56971
2014 110.345 -235.8 55589.32249
2015 603.086 257.0 66032.10076
2016 136.903 -209.2 43771.28444
ution Log Normal Distribution Log Pearson III Distribution Comparison

Standard Deviation

∑ (x-x̄)^2 √∑(x-x̄)^2/(N-1) T T-1 (T)/(T-1)

5 4 1.25
10 9 1.1111111111111
15 14 1.0714285714286
20 19 1.0526315789474
25 24 1.0416666666667
50 49 1.0204081632653
75 74 1.0135135135135
100 99 1.010101010101
1000 999 1.001001001001

Gumbel Distribution
1000
Return Period (T)

100

10

1
400 600 800 1000 1
2609827.80412 230.785163996217
Annual Flow (XT)
mparison

Kt Xt

0.719 512
1.305 647
1.635 723
1.866 777
2.044 818
2.592 944
2.911 1018
3.137 1070
4.936 1485

mbel Distribution

00 1000 1200 1400 1600

Annual Flow (XT)
Data from 1967-2016 Normal Distribution Gumbel Distribution

Mean

Peak Discharge d/s

Years Kotri Log (X) N N-1 x̄ x-x̄
(X)
1967 499.77 2.69877018291189 0.3
1968 544.646 2.7361143184261 0.3
1969 529.142 2.72357223449429 0.3
1970 237.07 2.3748765997024 0.0
1971 266.183 2.42518031544388 0.0
1972 182.68 2.26169100293496 -0.2
1973 785.829 2.89532805184608 0.5
1974 133.588 2.12576744790114 -0.3
1975 476.436 2.67800456979363 0.3
1976 765.392 2.88388391859659 0.5
1977 323.167 2.50942700665201 0.1
1978 710.739 2.85171014690449 0.4
1979 293.562 2.4676998378299 0.0
1980 253.857 2.40458914339341 0.0
1981 302.178 2.48026284244378 0.1
1982 219.661 2.34175295638205 -0.1
1983 474.311 2.6760631967242 0.3
1984 348.893 2.54269225608649 0.1
1985 156.489 2.1944838153189 -0.2
1986 471.369 2.673361017366 0.3
1987 123 2.0899051114394 -0.3
1988 649.594 2.81264200487394 0.4
1989 282.615 2.45119520862488 0.0
1990 274.84 2.43907993986887 0.0
1991 270.917 2.43283625780004 0.0
50 49 2.4
1992 673.809 2.82853680751217 0.4
1993 389.477 2.59048181613435 0.2
1994 817.749 2.91262002171203 0.5
1995 771.365 2.88725992925168 0.5
1996 384.462 2.5848534208452 0.2
1997 301.979 2.47997674262196 0.1
1998 263.998 2.42160063674766 0.0
1999 189.294 2.27713684846888 -0.1
2000 40.872 1.61142588967421 -0.8
2001 61.67 1.7900739484263 -0.6
2002 84.263 1.92563691717218 -0.5
2003 230.417 2.36251451786675 -0.1
2004 9.035 0.955928156896951 -1.5
2005 274.283 2.43819889096222 0.0
2006 356.516 2.55207902522795 0.1
2007 128.391 2.10853458146392 -0.3
2008 103.139 2.01342291632232 -0.4
2009 115.473 2.06248044897456 -0.4
2010 939.442 2.9728699724541 0.6
2011 260.371 2.41559261107382 0.0
2012 138.811 2.14242388290566 -0.3
2013 344.866 2.53765037981174 0.1
2014 110.345 2.04275265900555 -0.4
2015 603.086 2.78037924690352 0.4
2016 136.903 2.13641296507461 -0.3
tribution Log Normal Distribution Log Pearson III Distribution Comparison

Standard Deviation

(x-x̄)^2 ∑ (x-x̄)^2 √∑(x-x̄)^2/(N-1) T

0.07769 5
0.09991 10
0.09214 15
0.00204 20
0.00003 25
0.02507 50
0.22590 75
0.08659 100
0.06655 1000
0.21516
0.00799
0.18634 T
0.00227 5
0.00024 10
0.00363 15
0.00613 20
0.06555 25
0.01504 50
0.05087 75
0.06417 100
0.10899 1000
0.15414
0.00097
0.00036
0.00016 6.86519 0.374307197727099
0.16687 Log Nor
0.02905 1000
0.24264
0.21830
0.02717
Return Period (T)

100
0.00359
0.00000
0.02042 10

1
0 500 1000 15
 100

Return Period (
10
0.65385
0.39685
0.24443
1
0.00331 0 500 1000 15
2.14361
0.00033
0.01744
0.09703
0.16533
0.12785
0.30563
0.00002
0.07707
0.01383
0.14234
0.12985
0.08044
 Comparison

INTERPOLATION

1/T 1-1/T Y Y1 Y2 X1 X2

0.200 0.800 0.800 0.7995 0.8023 0.840 0.850

0.100 0.900 0.900 0.8997 0.9015 1.280 1.290
0.067 0.933 0.933 0.9306 0.9319 1.480 1.490
0.050 0.950 0.950 0.9495 0.9505 1.650 1.660
0.040 0.960 0.960 0.9599 0.9608 1.750 1.760
0.020 0.980 0.980 0.9798 0.9803 2.050 2.060
0.013 0.987 0.987 0.9868 0.9871 2.220 2.230
0.010 0.990 0.990 0.9898 0.9901 2.320 2.330
0.001 0.999 0.999 0.9989 0.9990 3.070 3.080

kt XT ZT
0.842 2.735 543
1.282 2.900 794
1.501 2.982 959
1.655 3.040 1095
1.751 3.075 1190
2.054 3.189 1545
2.216 3.249 1776
2.327 3.291 1954
3.080 3.573 3740

Log Normal Distribution

1000
Return Period (T)

100

10

1
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000
 100

Return Period (

10

1
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000
Annual Flow (XT)
Kt

0.842
1.282
1.501
1.655
1.751
2.054
2.216
2.327
3.080
Data from 1967-2016 Normal Distribution Gumbel Distribution

Mean

Peak Discharge d/s

Years Kotri Log (X) N N-1 N-2 x̄
(X)
1967 499.77 2.69877018291189
1968 544.646 2.7361143184261
1969 529.142 2.72357223449429
1970 237.07 2.3748765997024
1971 266.183 2.42518031544388
1972 182.68 2.26169100293496
1973 785.829 2.89532805184608
1974 133.588 2.12576744790114
1975 476.436 2.67800456979363
1976 765.392 2.88388391859659
1977 323.167 2.50942700665201
1978 710.739 2.85171014690449
1979 293.562 2.4676998378299
1980 253.857 2.40458914339341
1981 302.178 2.48026284244378
1982 219.661 2.34175295638205
1983 474.311 2.6760631967242
1984 348.893 2.54269225608649
1985 156.489 2.1944838153189
1986 471.369 2.673361017366
1987 123 2.0899051114394
1988 649.594 2.81264200487394
1989 282.615 2.45119520862488
1990 274.84 2.43907993986887
1991 270.917 2.43283625780004
50 49 48 2.4
1992 673.809 2.82853680751217
1993 389.477 2.59048181613435
1994 817.749 2.91262002171203
1995 771.365 2.88725992925168
1996 384.462 2.5848534208452
1997 301.979 2.47997674262196
1998 263.998 2.42160063674766
1999 189.294 2.27713684846888
2000 40.872 1.61142588967421
2001 61.67 1.7900739484263
2002 84.263 1.92563691717218
2003 230.417 2.36251451786675
2004 9.035 0.955928156896951
2005 274.283 2.43819889096222
2006 356.516 2.55207902522795
2007 128.391 2.10853458146392
2008 103.139 2.01342291632232
2009 115.473 2.06248044897456
2010 939.442 2.9728699724541
2011 260.371 2.41559261107382
2012 138.811 2.14242388290566
2013 344.866 2.53765037981174
2014 110.345 2.04275265900555
2015 603.086 2.78037924690352
2016 136.903 2.13641296507461
tribution Log Normal Distribution Log Pearson III Distribution Comparison

x-x̄ (x-x̄)^2 ∑ (x-x̄)^2 (x-x̄)^3 ∑ (x-x̄)^3

0.3 0.07769 0.02166

0.3 0.09991 0.03158
0.3 0.09214 0.02797
0.0 0.00204 -0.00009
0.0 0.00003 0.00000
-0.2 0.02507 -0.00397
0.5 0.22590 0.10737
-0.3 0.08659 -0.02548
0.3 0.06655 0.01717
0.5 0.21516 0.09980
0.1 0.00799 0.00071
0.4 0.18634 0.08044
0.0 0.00227 0.00011
0.0 0.00024 0.00000
0.1 0.00363 0.00022
-0.1 0.00613 -0.00048
0.3 0.06555 0.01678
0.1 0.01504 0.00185
-0.2 0.05087 -0.01147
0.3 0.06417 0.01626
-0.3 0.10899 -0.03598
0.4 0.15414 0.06052
0.0 0.00097 0.00003
0.0 0.00036 0.00001
0.0 0.00016 0.00000
6.86519 -3.35821
0.4 0.16687 0.06817
0.2 0.02905 0.00495
0.5 0.24264 0.11952
0.5 0.21830 0.10200
0.2 0.02717 0.00448
0.1 0.00359 0.00022
0.0 0.00000 0.00000
-0.1 0.02042 -0.00292
-0.8 0.65385 -0.52871
-0.6 0.39685 -0.25000
-0.5 0.24443 -0.12085
-0.1 0.00331 -0.00019
-1.5 2.14361 -3.13847
0.0 0.00033 0.00001
0.1 0.01744 0.00230
-0.3 0.09703 -0.03023
-0.4 0.16533 -0.06723
-0.4 0.12785 -0.04571
0.6 0.30563 0.16896
0.0 0.00002 0.00000
-0.3 0.07707 -0.02139
0.1 0.01383 0.00163
-0.4 0.14234 -0.05370
0.4 0.12985 0.04679
-0.3 0.08044 -0.02281
Comparison

Standard Deviation INTERPOLAT

√∑(x-x̄)^2/(N-1) Cs T Y

2 -1.361
5
10
25
50
100
200
1000

T KT
2 0.219
5 0.834
10 1.050
25 1.214
50 1.291
100 1.343
200 1.379
1000 1.505

0.37431 -1.361307 Log Pearson-III Distributi

1000
Return Period (T)

100

10

1
200 300 400 500 600 700
Annual Flow (XT)
Return Pe
10

1
200 300 400 500 600 700
Annual Flow (XT)
 INTERPOLATION

Y1 Y2 X1 X2 X=Kt

-1.300 -1.400 0.210 0.225 0.219

-1.300 -1.400 0.838 0.832 0.834
-1.300 -1.400 1.064 1.041 1.050
-1.300 -1.400 1.240 1.198 1.214
-1.300 -1.400 1.324 1.270 1.291
-1.300 -1.400 1.383 1.318 1.343
-1.300 -1.400 1.424 1.351 1.379
-1.000 -1.400 1.880 1.465 1.505

XT ZT
2.502 318
2.732 540
2.813 650
2.875 749
2.903 800
2.923 837
2.936 864
2.983 963

Log Pearson-III Distribution

400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100

Annual Flow (XT)
 30
663.1704
400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100
Annual Flow (XT)
Data from 1967-2016 Normal Distribution Gumbel Distribution

T Xt
Normal Gumbel Log Normal GEV
2 299

5 540 512 543 509

10 642 647 794 656

15 693 723 959 741
20 728 777 1095 803
25 750 818 1190 851
50 820 944 1545 1003
75 857 1018 1776 1094
100 883 1070 1954 1160

1000 1057 1485 3740 1730

umbel Distribution Log Normal Distribution Log Pearson III Distribution Comparison

Log Pearson
318

540

650

749
800

837
864

963
omparison