Professional Documents
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9-14-2021 DoubleLine Total Return Webcast With Jeffrey Gundlach - Slide Deck
9-14-2021 DoubleLine Total Return Webcast With Jeffrey Gundlach - Slide Deck
Jeffrey Gundlach
Chief Executive Officer
Andrew Hsu
Portfolio Manager
333 S. Grand Ave., 18th Floor || Los Angeles, CA 90071 || (213) 633-8200
Webcast Announcements
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DoubleLine Media Thought Leadership
DoubleLine’s Channel 11
Hosted by Portfolio Manager Ken Shinoda and available on
Twitter: @DLineChannel11
Email: [email protected]
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Fund Offerings
The Funds’ investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. The statutory
prospectus and summary prospectus (if available) contains this and other important information about the Funds, and it may
be obtained by calling (877) 354-6311/ (877) DLINE11, or visiting www.doublelinefunds.com. Read it carefully before
investing.
Mutual fund investing involves risk; Principal loss is possible. Investments in debt securities typically decrease in value when interest rates rise. This risk is usually greater for longer-term debt
securities. Investments in Asset-Backed and Mortgage-Backed Securities include additional risks that investors should be aware of such as credit risk, prepayment risk, possible illiquidity and default,
as well as increased susceptibility to adverse economic developments. Investments in lower-rated and non-rated securities present a greater risk of loss to principal and interest than higher-rated
securities. The Fund may use certain types of investment derivatives. Derivatives involve risks different from, and in certain cases, greater than the risks presented by higher-rate securities. The
DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund intends to invest more than 50% of its net assets in mortgage-backed securities of any maturity or type. The Fund therefore, potentially is more likely to react to
any volatility or changes in the mortgage-backed securities marketplace.
Diversification does not assure a profit, nor does it protect against a loss in a declining market.
Opinions expressed are subject to change at any time, are not forecasts and should not be considered investment advice.
DoubleLine Funds are distributed by Quasar Distributors, LLC.
While the Funds are no-load, management fees and other expenses still apply. Please refer to the prospectus for further details.
Fund holdings and sector allocations are subject to change and are not recommendations to buy or sell any security.
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DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund Performance
1 If a Fund invested in an affiliate Fund sponsored by the Adviser during the period covered by this report the Adviser agreed to not charge a management fee to the Fund in an amount equal to the
investment advisory fees paid by the affiliated Fund in respect of the Fund’s investment in the affiliated fund to avoid duplicate charge of the investment advisory fees to the investors.
Performance data quoted represents past performance; past performance does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment
will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than the original cost. Current performance of the fund may be lower or higher than
the performance quoted. Performance data current to the most recent month-end may be obtained by calling 213-633-8200 or by visiting www.doublelinefunds.com.
Benchmark: Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index. This index represents securities that are SEC-registered, taxable, and dollar denominated. The index covers the U.S. investment grade fixed rate bond
market, with index components for government and corporate securities, mortgage pass-through securities, and asset-backed securities. These major sectors are subdivided into more specific indices
that are calculated and reported on a regular basis. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
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Johnny 7
Jeffrey Gundlach
Chief Executive Officer
Andrew Hsu
Portfolio Manager
333 S. Grand Ave., 18th Floor || Los Angeles, CA 90071 || (213) 633-8200
U.S. Nominal GDP
$25,000
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
GDP = Gross Domestic Product is the amount of goods and services produced within a given country. DM = Developed Markets. EM = Emerging Markets.
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Change in U.S. Public Debt Outstanding:
Pandemic vs. GFC (% GDP)
Change in US Public Debt Oustanding Since Start of Recession (% GDP)
30%
GFC (2007-2009)
Pandemic (2020-2021)
25%
Change in Public Debt Outstanding
20%
(% GDP)
15%
10%
5%
0%
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80
Weeks After Start of Recession
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Change in Fed Balance Sheet: Pandemic vs. GFC
GFC (2007-2009)
$4,000,000
Pandemic (2020-2021)
$3,500,000
(millions)
$3,000,000
$2,500,000
$2,000,000
$1,500,000
$1,000,000
$500,000
$0
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80
Weeks After Start of Recession
Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine
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Real Fed Funds Rate
Effective Fed Funds Rate less CPI YoY
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Fed Funds Shadow Rate and Fed Balance Sheet
-5.3 mln
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90+ Day Mortgage Delinquency vs. Foreclosures
Customers’ inventories increased to 30.2 from 25.0 last month, an all-time record low.
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University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
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Wage Tracker by Age
Age 16-24
Age 22-54
Overall
Age 55+
55.0
50.0
45.0
40.0
35.0
More industries
reporting delays
30.0
Jul-01
Apr-03
Jul-08
Apr-10
Jul-15
Apr-17
Jun-04
Nov-10
Jun-11
Jun-18
May-00
Nov-03
May-07
May-14
Dec-14
Nov-17
Jan-19
May-21
Aug-98
Dec-00
Aug-05
Dec-07
Aug-12
Aug-19
Jan-98
Mar-99
Feb-02
Sep-02
Jan-05
Mar-06
Oct-06
Feb-09
Sep-09
Jan-12
Mar-13
Feb-16
Sep-16
Mar-20
Oct-99
Oct-13
Oct-20
Source: J.P. Morgan, DoubleLine
Diffusion Index - A diffusion index is a statistical measure often used to detect economic turning points. It aggregates multiple indicators by examining whether they are trending upward or downward,
but ignores the magnitude of the movement.
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Supply Chains Are a Mess, So Why Is Trade Booming?
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South Korea Exports (YoY)
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U.S. Trade Balance (Inverted)
As of March 31, 2021
-6%
-5%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
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Shanghai Shipping Containerized Freight Rate (Exports)
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Case Shiller Home Price Index (YoY)
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Existing Home Sales Median Price (YoY) Change
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Affordability: Monthly Payment as % of Income
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Renter Stampede
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Apartment List: Vacancy and Nationwide Median Rent
As of August 24, 2021
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Apartment List: Rents Are Rising Quickly, Everywhere
As of July 26, 2021
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U.S. Headline and Core PCE (YoY)
Data Source: S&P 500 Index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization. You cannot invest directly in an index.
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Inflation
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U.S. Breakevens
Source: Bloomberg
USGGBE05 Index = The rates are U.S. breakeven inflation rates calculated by subtracting the yield of the inflation linked maturity curve form the yield of the closest nominal Treasury maturity.
You cannot invest directly in an index.
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Bloomberg Commodity Index
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Gold vs. 10-Year TIPS (Inverted)
-1.5%
$2,000
Gold (LHS)
10yr TIPS Yield (Inverted, RHS) -1.0%
(April 30, 2018 - September 13, 2021)
$1,600
0.0%
$1,400
0.5%
$1,200 1.0%
$1,000 1.5%
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5-Year Treasury Yield
Source: Bloomberg
USGG5YR Index = Generic Government 5-year Treasury yield. You cannot invest directly in an index.
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10-Year Treasury Yield
Source: Bloomberg
USGG10YR Index = Generic Government 10-year Treasury yield. You cannot invest directly in an index.
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Copper/Gold Ratio vs. 10-Year UST Yield
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U.S. Rates: 30-Year UST Yield
Source: Bloomberg
USGG30YR Index = Generic Government 30-year Treasury yield. You cannot invest directly in an index.
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U.S. Yield Curves: UST 2s10s, 2s30s, 5s30s, 10s30s,
and 3m10s Spread
Source: Bloomberg
USYC3M10 Index = The rates are comprised of Market Matrix United States Generic spread rates by selling the 3-month T-Bill to buy current 2-year, 5-year, 10-year or 30-year Treasury bonds You
cannot invest directly in an index..
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10-Year UST Yield and FX Hedged Into EUR and JPY
Source: Bloomberg
USGG10YR Index = Generic Government 10-year Treasury yield. You cannot invest directly in an index. JPY = Spot Price in Japanese Yen, EUR = Spot price in Euro Dollars.
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S&P 500/ MSCI Europe (3 Years)
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Emerging Markets & DXY
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U.S. Corporate Credit Total Returns by Rating YTD
Bloomberg Corporate Indices
Investment Grade
High Yield
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U.S. Corporate High Yield Option Adjusted Spreads
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CLO Prices by Original Rating (Palmer Square Indices)
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Non-Agency CMBS Price by Rating
(Barclays CMBS Indices)
Based on Bloomberg Barclays CMBS Index. Please see appendix for definition. AAA – BBB are considered by the Rating Agencies to be Investment Grade rated. You cannot invest directly in an index.
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DBLTX
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Mortgage Origination By Credit Score
Source: New York Federal Reserve, Bianco Research as of June 30, 2021
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Transition Into Serious Delinquency (90+)
by Loan Type
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Conduit CMBS Delinquency Rates
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Commercial Bank Holdings of Agency MBS
Cumulative Change by Year
$500
2020
$400
$300
2021
Cumulative Change $bn
2019
$200
2014
2017
$100
2012
2016
2014
2018
$0
2013
-$100
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53
Week of Year
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Duration: DBLTX vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield
May 31, 2010 through August 31, 2021
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Sector Credit Enhancement vs. Serious Delinquency
Data as of 8/27/2021. Certain securities are excluded due to non-applicability. Weighted Average NA CMBS dollar price excludes IO securities.
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DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund Portfolio Statistics
As of August 31, 2021
Source: DoubleLine
Portfolio statistics based on market weighted averages. Subject to change without notice.
Average price: A measure of the weighted average price paid for the securities calculated by taking the prices and dividing by the number of securities and does not include cash. Average price should not be confused with net
asset value.
Average Duration: Duration is used as a risk measure. It measures the price volatility of a security given a change in interest rate movements.
Average Life: The average number of years that each dollar of unpaid principal due on the mortgage remains outstanding. Average life is computed as the weighted average time to the receipt of all future cash flows, using as
the weights the dollar amounts of the principal paydowns.
One cannot invest directly in an index. Please see index definition.
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DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund Portfolio Composition
As of August 31, 2021
Jeffrey Gundlach
Chief Executive Officer
Andrew Hsu
Portfolio Manager
333 S. Grand Ave., 18th Floor || Los Angeles, CA 90071 || (213) 633-8200
Definitions
Index Definitions
Amherst Non-Agency Index - Residential Mortgages Bond Securities are a type of bond backed by residential mortgages. Non-Agency means they were issued by a private issuer.
Barclays Capital US 30 Year TIPS Index - Barclays Capital 30-year TIPS on-the-run index quoted in US Dollars traded intraday
Bloomberg Baa Corporate Index - Measures the Baa-rated, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bond market. It includes USD denominated securities publicly issued by US and non-US industrial, utility and
financial issuers.
Bloomberg Commodities Total Return Index This index (formerly the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index) is calculated on an excess return basis and reflects the price movements of commodity
futures. It rebalances annually, weighted two-thirds by trading volume and one-third by world production, and weight caps are applied at the commodity, sector and group levels for diversification.
The roll period typically occurs from the sixth to 10th business day based on the roll schedule.
Bloomberg Global Emerging Markets Index - The Bloomberg Global Emerging Markets Index represents the union of the USD-denominated US Emerging Markets index and the predominately EUR-
denominated Pan Euro Emerging Markets Index, covering emerging markets in the following regions: Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia. As with other fixed income benchmarks
provided by Barclays Capital, the index is rules-based, which allows for an unbiased view of the marketplace and easy replicability.
Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Index - Is a subset of the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate index which is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, U.S. dollar-denominated, fixed
rate taxable bond market. IT includes Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, MBS, ABS and CMBS. This subset represents the investment grade portion of that index.
Bloomberg U.S. Credit Index - This index is the U.S. credit component of the US Government/Credit Index. It consists of publicly issued U.S. corporate and specified foreign debentures and secured
notes that meet the specified maturity, liquidity and quality requirements. To qualify, bonds must be SEC registered. The US Credit Index is the same as the former US Corporate Index.
Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index - Represents securities that are SEC-registered, taxable, and dollar denominated. The index covers the US investment grade fixed rate bond market,
with index components for government and corporate securities, mortgage pass-through securities, and asset-backed securities. These major sectors are subdivided into more specific indices that
are calculated and reported on a regular basis.
Bloomberg US CMBS Non-Agency Index - Represents the Non-Agency CMBS component of the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Index including AAA-BBB.
Bloomberg US CMBS: ERISA Eligible Total Return Index - Measures the investment-grade market of US Agency and US Non-Agency conduit and fusion CMBS deals with a minimum current deal size
of $300mn that are ERISA eligible. Sub-indexes within this index are broken out by ratings such as the Bloomberg Barclays CMBS ERISA Eligible: AAA Total Return Index; Bloomberg Barclays CMBS
ERISA Eligible: AA Total Return Index; and the Bloomberg Barclays CMBS ERISA Eligible: BBB Total Return Index.
Bloomberg US Corporate High Yield (HY) Index - This index measures the U.S. dollar-denominated HY fixed-rate corporate bond market. Securities are classified as HY if the respective middle ratings
of Moody’s, Fitch and S&P are Ba1, BB+ or BB+ or below. The Bloomberg Barclays US HY Long Index, including bonds with maturities of 10 years or greater, and the Bloomberg Barclays US HY
Intermediate Index, including bonds with maturities of 1 to 9.999 years, are subindexes of the Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate HY Index.
Bloomberg US High Yield Index - Covers the universe of fixed rate, non-investment grade debt. Eurobonds and debt issuer from countries designated as emerging markets (e.g. Argentina, Brazil,
Venezuela, etc.) are excluded, but Canadian and global bonds (SEC registered) of issuers in non-EMG countries are included. Original issue zeroes, step-up coupon structures, 144-As and pay-in-kind
(PIK, as of October 1, 2009) are also included.
Bloomberg US MBS Index – Represents the MBS component of the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Index.
Bloomberg US Treasury 10 Year Index - This index is the 10 year component of the US Government index.
Bloomberg US Treasury 30 Year Index - This index is the 30 year component of the US Government index.
Bloomberg US Treasury Index - This index is the US Treasury component of the US Government index. Public obligations of the US Treasury with a remaining maturity of one year or more.
Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) - An index calculated on an excess return basis and reflects commodity futures price movements.
BofA Merrill Lynch Current 10 year UST Index - This index is the 10 year component of the US Government index.
BofA Merrill Lynch Current 30 year UST Index - This index is the 30 year component of the US Government index.
BofA Merrill Lynch International Government Index (NOGO) - The Merrill Lynch International Index tracks the performance of Australia, Canadian, French, German, Japan, Dutch, Swiss and UK
investment grade sovereign debt publicly issued and denominated in the issuer’s own domestic market and currency. Qualifying securities must have at least one year remaining term to final
maturity, a fixed coupon schedule and a minimum amount outstanding.
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Definitions
Index Definitions
BofA Merrill Lynch U.S. High Yield Index (H0A0) - The Merrill Lynch High Yield Index tracks the performance of US dollar denominated below investment grade corporate debt publicly issued in the
US domestic market. Qualifying securities must have a below investment grade rating (based on average of Moodys, S&P and Fitch) at least 18 months to final maturity at time of issue of issuance, a
final maturity, a fixed coupon schedule and a minimum amount outstanding of $100 MM.
BofA Merrill Lynch US Corporate Index (COAO) “Investment Grade”- The Merrill Lynch Corporate Index tracks the performance of US dollar denominated investment grade corporate debt publicly
issued in the US domestic market. Qualifying securities must have an investment grade rating (based on an average of Moody’s, S&P and Fitch) and an investment grade rated country of risk (based
on an average of Moody’s, S&P and Fitch foreign currency long term sovereign debt ratings). Securities must have at least one year remaining term to final maturity, a fixed coupon schedule and a
minimum amount outstanding of $250MM.
BofA Merrill Lynch US Dollar Emerging Markets Sovereign Plus Index (IGOV) - This index tracks the performance of US dollar denominated emerging market and cross-over sovereign debt publicly
issued in the eurobond or US domestic market. Qualifying countries must have a BB1 or lower foreign currency long-term sovereign debt rating (based on an average of Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch).
BofA Merrill Lynch US Government Index (GOAO) - The Merrill Lynch US Government Index tracks the performance of US government (i.e. securities in the Treasury and Agency indices.)
BofA Merrill Lynch US Treasury Index (G0Q0) -The Merrill Lynch US Treasury Index tracks the performance of US dollar denominated sovereign debt publicly issued by the US government in its
domestic market. Qualifying securities must have at least one year remaining term to final maturity, a fixed coupon schedule and a minimum amount outstanding of $1 billion.
CAC 40 – This index the most widely-used indicator of the Paris market, reflects the performance of the 40 largest equities listed in France, measured by free-float market capitalization and liquidity.
Citigroup Economic Surprise Index - The Citigroup Economic Surprise Indices are objective and quantitative measures of economic news. They are defined as weighted historical standard deviations
of data surprises (actual releases vs Bloomberg survey median). A positive reading of the Economic Surprise Index suggests that economic releases have on balance beating consensus. The indices
are calculated daily in a rolling three-month window. The weights of economic indicators are derived from relative high-frequency spot FX impacts of 1 standard deviation data surprises. The indices
also employ a time decay function to replicate the limited memory of markets.
CRB Commodity Index (CRY) - An unweighted geometric average of some important commodities. It averages prices across 17 commodities and across time. The index tracks energy, grains,
industrials, livestock, precious metals, and agriculturals.
Credit Suisse High Yield Liquid Index - Tracks the performance of US dollar denominated below investment grade corporate debt publicly issued in the US domestic market.
Credit Suisse Investment Grade Index - Tracks the performance of US dollar denominated investment grade corporate debt publicly issued in the US domestic market.
DAX - This index is the German Stock Index is a total return index of 30 selected German blue chip stocks traded on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) - A widely-watched benchmark index in the U.S. for blue-chip stocks. The DJIA is a price-weighted index that tracks 30 large, publicly-owned companies trading
on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq.
Dow Jones UBS Commodity index - Composed of commodities traded on U.S. exchanges, with the exception of aluminum, nickel and zinc, which trade on the London Metal Exchange (LME).
DXY - U.S. dollar spot index indicates the general international value of the US dollar by averaging the exchange rates between the USD and major world currencies.
ESTX50 - EuroStoxx 50 index is Europe’s leading blue-chip index for the Eurozone, provides a blue-chip representation of supersector leaders in the Eurozone.
FTSE 100 - A capitalization-weighted index of the 100 most highly capitalized companies traded on the London Stock Exchange.
ICE Bank of America (BofA) MOVE Index - This index is a measure of U.S. interest-rate volatility that tracks the movement in U.S. Treasury yield volatility implied by current prices of one-month over-
the-counter options on two-, five-, 10- and 30-year Treasuries.
ISM Manufacturing PMI Index - ISM manufacturing index, also known as the purchasing managers' index (PMI), is a monthly indicator of U.S. economic activity based on a survey of purchasing
managers at more than 300 manufacturing firms. It is considered to be a key indicator of the state of the U.S. economy.
J.P. Morgan Collateralized Loan Obligation Index (CLOIE) - This market value-weighted index comprises U.S. dollar-denominated collateralized loan obligations (CLOs). Sub-indexes are divided by
ratings AAA through BB and further divide between pre-and post-crisis vintages. Examples of sub-indexes are the J.P. Morgan CLO AAA, J.P. Morgan CLO AA, J.P. Morgan CLO A, J.P. Morgan BBB, and
J.P Morgan BB Indexes.
J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) - This index tracks emerging markets (EM) bonds and comprises sovereign debt and EM corporate bonds.
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Definitions
Index Definitions
J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Currency Index (EMCI) - This index is a tradeable benchmark for emerging markets (EM) currencies vs the U.S. dollar.
KBW Nasdaq Bank Index - A benchmark stock index of the banking sector includes 24 stocks.
Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index - A benchmark made up of the Lehman Brothers Government/Corporate Bond Index, Mortgage-Backed Securities Index, and Asset-Backed Securities Index,
including securities that are of investment-grade quality or better, have at least one year to maturity, and have an outstanding par value of at least $100 million.
MSCI ACWI (ex U.S.) Index - A free-float weighted equity index that includes both emerging and developed worlds markets except the U.S.
MSCI ACWI Index (ACWI) - A free-float weighted equity index that includes both emerging and developed worlds markets.
MSCI Europe Index - The MSCI Europe Index is a free-float weighted equity index designed to measure the equity market performance of the developed markets in Europe.
MSCI US Small Cap Index - A free float weighted index of U.S. small cap equity stocks.
MSCI USA Large Cap Index - A free float weighted large- cap equity index.
NASDAQ 100 Index - A basket of the 100 largest, most actively traded U.S. companies listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange.
Nikkei 225 (Tokyo Stocks) - The Nikkei-225 Stock average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
Palmer Square CLO Debt Index (CLODI) - A rules-based observable pricing and total return index for CLO debt for sale in the U.S.
Price-to-Earnings (P/E Ratio) - This ratio for valuing a company measures current share price relative to earnings per share (EPS). The P/E ratio is also sometimes known as the “price multiple” or the
“earnings multiple.” A high P/E ratio could mean that a company’s stock is overvalued, or investors are expecting high growth rates in the future.
Russell 2000 – Measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the US equity universe. Russell 2000 is a subset of the Russell 3000 index representing approximately 10% of the total market
capitalization of that index.
S&P 500 (SPX) - A free-float capitalization-weighted index published since 1957 of the prices of 500 large-cap common stocks actively traded in the United States.
S&P 500 High Beta Index - Measures the performance of 100 constituents in the S&P 500 that are most sensitive to changes in market returns.
S&P GSCI - A composite index of commodity sector return representing an unleveraged, long-only investment in commodity futures that is broadly diversified across the spectrum of commodities.
S&P U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Fixed Rate 1-10 year Index (MBS Fixed Rate 1-10 Year) – Is a rules-based, market-value-weighted index covering U.S. dollar denominated, fixed-rate mortgages
1-10 years.
S&P/Case-Shiller Composite Home Price Index - The Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, one comprised of price changes within all 20 metropolitan markets, and another comprised of price changes
within the following subset of 10 metropolitan markets: Boston, Chicago, Denver, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, San Diego, San Francisco and Washington DC. In addition: 10 markets, the
20-Home Price index reflects price changes for Atlanta, Charlotte, Dallas, Detroit, Minneapolis, Phoenix, Portland, Seattle and Tampa.
S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan 100 Index - This index tracks the market-weighted performance of the 100 largest institutional leveraged loans based on market weightings, spreads and interest
payments. Sub-indexes within this index are the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan B Index and the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan BB Index. These sub-indexes track loans in the B to BB rated categories.
S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index - This index tracks the market-weighted performance of institutional weighted loans based on market weightings, spreads and interest payments.
Shanghai Index - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite is a capitalization-weighted index tracking daily price performance of all A and B-shares listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. This index
was developed December 19, 1990 with a base value of 100.
Volatility Index (VIX) - The VIX shows the market's expectation of 30-day volatility. It is constructed using the implied volatilities of a wide range of S&P 500 index options. This volatility is meant to be
forward looking and is calculated from both calls and puts. The VIX is a widely used measure of market risk and is often referred to as the "investor fear gauge.”
Manheim Used Car Value Index - By applying statistical analysis to its database of more than 5 million used vehicle transactions annually, Manheim has developed a measurement of used vehicle
prices that is independent of underlying shifts in the characteristics of vehicles being sold.
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Definitions
Basis Point- A basis point is a unit that is equal to 1/100th of 1%, and is used to denote the change in a financial instrument.
Convexity- A measure of the curvature, or the degree of the curve, in the relationship between bond prices and bond yields. Convexity demonstrates how the duration of a bond changes as the
interest rate changes. Portfolio managers will use convexity as a risk-management tool, to measure and manage the portfolio’s exposure to interest rate risk.
“Copper”- Copper Spot Price (HGI) Copper is the world’s third most used metal behind iron and aluminum primarily used in highly cyclical industries including construction and industrial machinery
manufacturing. Spot price quoted in USD/lb.
Copper-Gold Ratio (CGR) - Calculated by dividing the market price of a pound of copper by the market price of an ounce of gold.
Correlation - A statistical measurement of the relationship between two variables. Possible correlations range from +1 to -1. A zero correlation indicates that there is no relationship between the
variables. A correlation of -1 indicates a perfect negative correlation and +1 indicates a perfect positive correlation.
Crude Oil - Crude oil varies greatly in appearance depending on its composition. West Texas intermediate (WTI )= Texas light sweet crude is used as a benchmark in oil pricing. It’s “light” because of
the low density and sweet because of low sulfur. Brent crude = Is a major trading classification of sweet light crude. Brent is the oil maker also known as Brent Blend.
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) Ratio - This ratio measures valuation by using real earnings per share (EPS) over a 10-year period to smooth out fluctuations in corporate profits that
occur over different periods of a business cycle. It is also known as the “Shiller P/E ratio” for Yale University professor Robert Shiller, who popularized its use.
Debt-Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) - A measurement of a firm's available cash flow to pay current debt obligations.
Drawdown- The peak-to-trough decline during a specific record period of an investment, fund or commodity. A drawdown is usually quoted as the percentage between the peak and the trough.
Duration – Duration is a commonly used measure of the potential volatility of the price of a debt security, or the aggregate market value of a portfolio of debt securities, prior to maturity.
Securities with a longer duration generally have more volatile prices than securities of comparable quality with a shorter duration.
FICO - This credit score, created by the Fair Isaac Corp., is used by lenders along with other details on a borrower’s credit report to assess credit risk and determine whether to extend credit.
“Gold”- Gold Spot Price (Golds) The Gold Spot price is quoted as US Dollar per Troy Ounce.
Investment Grade - Rating that signifies a municipal or corporate bond presents a relatively low risk of default. Bonds below this designation are considered to have a high risk of default and are
commonly referred to as “junk bonds.” The higher the bond rating the more likely the bond will return 100 cents on the U.S. dollar.
Market Capitalization – The market value of a company's outstanding shares. This figure is found by taking the stock price and multiplying it by the total number of shares outstanding.
Nasdaq - A computerized system that facilitates trading and provides price quotations on more than 5,000 of the more actively traded over the counter stocks. Created in 1971, the Nasdaq was the
world's first electronic stock market.
P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio - The ratio of valuing a company that measures its current share price relative to its per-share earnings.
R-Squared (R2) - A statistical measure that represents the proportion of the variance for a dependent variable that's explained by an independent variable or variables in a statistical measure that
represents the proportion of the variance for a dependent variable that's explained by an independent variable or variables in a regression model.
Smart Beta – A passive weighting scheme that deviates from market capitalization.
Spread – Spread is the percentage point difference between yields of various classes of bonds compared to treasury bonds.
Standard Deviation (or Sigma) - Shows how much variation there is from the “average” (mean, or expected/budgeted value). A low standard deviation indicated that the data point tend to be very
close to the mean, whereas high standard deviation indicated that the date is spread out over a large range of values.
U-3 Unemployment Rate - Officially recognized rate of unemployment, compiled and released monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, measuring the number of unemployed people as a
percentage of the labor force.
Upgrade-to-Downgrade Ratio - A ratio between bond upgrades (when a rating agency raises a bond’s rating) and bond downgrades (when a rating agency lowers a bond’s rating).
Yield Curve - Is a line that plots the interest rates, at a set point in time, of bonds having equal credit quality but differing maturity dates.
Yield-to-Worst (YTW) - The lowest yield of a bond that can be received short of default.
Z-Score - A Z-score is a numerical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. Z-score is measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean.
JOLTS - The job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) is a survey done by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) within the Department of Labor to help measure job vacancies.
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Disclosures
Important Information Regarding This Material Important Information Regarding DoubleLine’s Investment Style
Issue selection processes and tools illustrated throughout this presentation are samples and DoubleLine seeks to maximize investment results consistent with our interpretation of client
may be modified periodically. Such tools are not the only tools used by the investment teams, guidelines and investment mandate. While DoubleLine seeks to maximize returns for our
are extremely sophisticated, may not always produce the intended results and are not clients consistent with guidelines, DoubleLine cannot guarantee that DoubleLine will
intended for use by non-professionals. outperform a client's specified benchmark or the market or that DoubleLine’s risk management
techniques will successfully mitigate losses. Additionally, the nature of portfolio diversification
DoubleLine has no obligation to provide revised assessments in the event of changed
implies that certain holdings and sectors in a client's portfolio may be rising in price while
circumstances. While we have gathered this information from sources believed to be reliable,
others are falling or that some issues and sectors are outperforming while others are
DoubleLine cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided. Securities discussed
underperforming. Such out or underperformance can be the result of many factors, such as,
are not recommendations and are presented as examples of issue selection or portfolio
but not limited to, duration/interest rate exposure, yield curve exposure, bond sector
management processes. They have been picked for comparison or illustration purposes only.
exposure, or news or rumors specific to a single name.
No security presented within is either offered for sale or purchase. DoubleLine reserves the
right to change its investment perspective and outlook without notice as market conditions DoubleLine is an active manager and will adjust the composition of clients’ portfolios
dictate or as additional information becomes available. This material may include statements consistent with our investment team’s judgment concerning market conditions and any
that constitute “forward-looking statements” under the U.S. securities laws. Forward-looking particular sector or security. The construction of DoubleLine portfolios may differ substantially
statements include, among other things, projections, estimates, and information about from the construction of any of a variety of market indices. As such, a DoubleLine portfolio has
possible or future results related to a client’s account, or market or regulatory developments. the potential to underperform or outperform a bond market index. Since markets can remain
inefficiently priced for long periods, DoubleLine’s performance is properly assessed over a full
Important Information Regarding Risk Factors
multi-year market cycle.
Investment strategies may not achieve the desired results due to implementation lag, other
timing factors, portfolio management decision-making, economic or market conditions or Important Information Regarding Client Responsibilities
other unanticipated factors. The views and forecasts expressed in this material are as of the Clients are requested to carefully review all portfolio holdings and strategies, including by
date indicated, are subject to change without notice, may not come to pass and do not comparison of the custodial statement to any statements received from DoubleLine. Clients
represent a recommendation or offer of any particular security, strategy, or investment. All should promptly inform DoubleLine of any potential or perceived policy or guideline
investments involve risks. Please request a copy of DoubleLine’s Form ADV Part 2A to review inconsistencies. In particular, DoubleLine understands that guideline enabling language is
the material risks involved in DoubleLine’s strategies. Past performance is no guarantee of subject to interpretation and DoubleLine strongly encourages clients to express any contrasting
future results. interpretation as soon as practical. Clients are also requested to notify DoubleLine of any
updates to client’s information, such as, but not limited to, adding affiliates (including broker
Important Information Regarding DoubleLine
dealer affiliates), issuing additional securities, name changes, mergers or other alterations to
In preparing the client reports (and in managing the portfolios), DoubleLine and its vendors
Client’s legal structure.
price separate account portfolio securities using various sources, including independent
pricing services and fair value processes such as benchmarking. CFA® is a registered trademark owned by CFA Institute.
To receive a copy of DoubleLine’s current Form ADV (which contains important additional DoubleLine Group is not an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange
disclosure information, including risk disclosures), a copy of DoubleLine’s proxy voting policies Commission (SEC).
and procedures, or to obtain additional information on DoubleLine’s proxy voting decisions,
DoubleLine® is a registered trademark of DoubleLine Capital LP.
please contact DoubleLine’s Client Services.
© 2021 DoubleLine Capital LP
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Johnny 7
Jeffrey Gundlach
Chief Executive Officer
Andrew Hsu
Portfolio Manager
333 S. Grand Ave., 18th Floor || Los Angeles, CA 90071 || (213) 633-8200
Webcast Announcements
2021 Webcast Schedule available on www.doublelinefunds.com
Asset Allocation Webcast – October 12, 2021
Deputy CIO, Jeffrey Sherman will discuss DoubleLine’s Low Duration, Core and Flexible Income Funds
Go to www.doublelinefunds.com/webcast-schedule/
1:15 pm PDT/4:15 pm EDT
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DoubleLine Media Thought Leadership
DoubleLine’s Channel 11
Hosted by Portfolio Manager Ken Shinoda and available on
Twitter: @DLineChannel11
Email: [email protected]
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