Simulation of Sediment and Streamflow in Dabus River Blue Nile Basin
Simulation of Sediment and Streamflow in Dabus River Blue Nile Basin
a
Hydraulic Engineering), Assosa, University Assosa, Ethiopia, P.O.BOX. 18
b
Hydraulic Engineering Assosa, University Assosa, Ethiopia, P.O.BOX. 18
a*
Corresponding Email: [email protected]
Abstract: Sediment yield and streamflow are depending on land use practice. The objective of this study to simulate
the sediment yield and streamflow in the Dabus river based on the available land use data, soil data, meteorological
data using the SWAT model. The initial soil conservation service runoff curve number is the most sensitive parameter
for the streamflow model in Dabus catchment, its alteration on the streamflow was measure by t-stat which is 7.86
and the significance of its factor indicate by p-value is 0.02. Whereas the average slope length of the sub-basins is the
sensitive parameter that affects the sediment model in this catchment, where t-stat is 2.65 and the p-value is 0.045.
The simulated streamflow and sediment were calibrated and validated at the outlet of the Dabus catchment. The
statistical value of model performances was evaluated by R2 = 0.97, 0.76, NS = 0.91, 0.82 and Pbais = -2.1, 17.9 for
streamflow calibration and validation. Whereas for sediment model calibration and validation R2 = 0.93, 0.94, NS =
0.88, 0.9 and Pbais = 12.46, 10.14 respectively. The sediment yield estimated from the agricultural area in Dabus
catchment 173.09 t/ha which is greater than 10 metric tons per hectare.
Where Qs is suspended sediment concentration (mg/l), Q is 1985mm and the ranges of annual maximum and minimum
discharge flow (m3/s), “a” and “b” are regression temperature are 20 c̊- 35 c̊ and 8.5 c̊ -20 c̊ respectively, see
coefficient. Figure 1.
The sediment yield and streamflow are depending on the
land-use practices in the entire watershed [6]. Agricultural 2.2 Material
practices in the Dabus watershed are dominated by cereal In this study, the digital elevation model (DEM 30x30m
crop cultivation, which necessities frequent plowing that resolutions) was used in the analysis of spatial topographic
leads to little ground cover during the rainy season that in parameters of the study area. Such parameters are including
turn renders the soil to be more susceptible to erosion [7]. watershed delineation (sub-basin areas, slopes, elevations).
The main objective of this study is to simulate the The Sentinel-2A satellite image of 0.3km resolution land
sediment yield and streamflow for the Dabus catchment. cover (2004-LULC) was used, see Table 1. Whereas the
And to understand the response hydrology components to spatial soil data of the 1km resolution map obtained from a
the existing watershed characteristics. soil map of the world was used together with the land cover,
and slope data of the Dabus watershed to obtain hydrologic
2 Material and Method response units (hru) parameters used in the SWAT model.
According to FAO soil classification, the dominant soil
2.1 Location of Study Area
group in the Dabus watershed are Ao63, Bh12, Je23, Ne12,
The Dabus River is a north-flowing tributary of the Blue- Ne13, Re59, Vc23, Vc30, see Table 2. For the simulation of
Nile basin in southwestern Ethiopia. It bound within soil water of this data, the time series of meteorological data
34°28′53.57″W, 10°45′09.69″ N, 35°38′21.64″ E, (daily precipitation, temperature, solar radiation, wind
8°52′16.34″ S, and it joins its parent stream at 10°36′38″N speed, relative humidity) obtain from Ethiopia national
35°8′58″E. Its watershed covers an area of about 14725.39 meteorology agency the selected gauging station in the
km2. The altitude of the Dabus watershed ranges Dabus watershed was used. The observed streamflow from
approximately between 485 and 3150 above mean sea level. 1997-2008 was used for simulated streamflow and sediment
The annual rainfalls in this sub-basin range from 970mm to load calibration and validation.
Figure 1 Location of the study area, source: generated from geographic shapefile
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Table 1. Land use or land cover data and classification of Dabus catchment
2004-LULC SWAT-code Covered Area (%)
Rain feed crop (Crested wheat, Maize, Sorghum) CWGR 0.03
Mosaic cropland (Agricultural land) AGRL 32.06
Grassland (Range grass) RNGE 11.04
Every green forest FRSE 3.43
Deciduous Forest FRSD 15.49
Shrub/bushland (Range bush) RNGB 37.66
Water bodies WATR 0.03
Barren land BARR 0.09
2.3 Methods
P − 0.2S
2
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NSE = 1 − i =1
n
(11)
Where
−2k + t (O − O) i
2
C1 = (7) i =1
2k (1 − ) + t n
2
C3 =
2k (1 − ) − t
(9)
(Oi − O)2 (Si − S )2
i =1 i =1
2k (1 − ) + t n
Where k is storage time constant for the reach (s), θ is
weighting factor (0-0.5), I2 is inflow at the end of time step
(O − S ) i i
Pbias = i =1
.100% (13)
(m3/s), I1 is inflow at the beginning of time step (m3/s), Q2 n
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Table 3 Selected parameters for sensitive analysis to streamflow model in Dabus river
Parameters Name Description of parameters Range Fitted Value
R__CN2.mgt Initial SCS runoff curve number for moisture condition-II -0.4 0.05
V__ALPHA_BF Baseflow alpha factor (days) 0.0 - 1 0.74
V__GW_DELAY Groundwater delay (days) 30– 450 42.35
V__GWQMN Threshold depth of water in the shallow aquifer (mm) 0.0 – 2 1.94
V__GW_REVAP Ground water "Revap” coefficient 0.0 – 0.2 0.03
V__ESCO. Soil evaporation compensation factor 0.8 – 1 0.98
V__CH_N2. Manning's "N" value for the main channel 0.0 – 0.3 0.13
V__CH_K2. Effective hydraulic conductivity (mm/hr) 5– 130 67.5
V__ALPHA_BNK. Baseflow alpha factor for bank storage (days) 0.0 – 1.0 0.85
R__SOL_AWC Available water capacity for soil layer -0.2 – 0.4 0.35
R__SOL_K Soil Conductivity (mm/hr) -0.8 – 0.8 0.09
R__SOL_BD Soil moisture bulk density -0.5 – 0.6 0.31
V__SFTMP Snowfall temperature -5 – 5 -2.94
Table 4 Selected parameter for sensitive analysis to sediment model in Dabus river
Parameters Name Description of parameters Range Fitted Value
R_HRU_SLP.hru Average slope steepness of sub-basin_1, 3, 7, 12, 15, 16, 20 0-0.2 0.088
Manning's "n" value for overland flow on sub-basin_1, 3, 7,
R_OV_N -0.2 -0.088
12, 15, 16, 20
R_SLSUBBSN Average slope length of sub-basin_1, 3, 7, 12, 15, 16,20 0-0.2 0.053
V_CH_N2 Manning's "n" value for the main channel 0-0.3 0.115
V_CH_K2 Effective hydraulic conductivity in main channel alluvium 5-130 8.676
Linear parameter for calculating the maximum amount of
SPCON sediment that can be re-entrained during channel sediment 0.0001-0.01 0.005
routing
Exponent parameter for calculating sediment re-entrained in
SPEXP 1-1.5 1.02
channel sediment routing
RSIDN Initial residue cover (kg/ha) 0-1000 0.05
CH_COV1 Channel erodibility factor 0.05-0.6 0.07
CH_COV2 Channel cover factor 0.001-1 0.009
Table 5 Analyzed sensitive parameters for streamflow and sediment model in Dabus river
Type of model Parameter Name t-Stat P-Value
R__CN2.mgt 7.86 0.02
V__GW_DELAY. 1.65 0.2
R__SOL_BD 1.59 0.21
V__ESCO 1.5 0.23
V__ALPHA_BF 0.86 0.45
Streamflow model V__ALPHA_BNK 0.85 0.46
V__CH_K2. 0.66 0.56
R__SOL_K -0.65 0.56
V__GWQMN -0.38 0.73
V__GW_REVAP 0.19 0.86
V__SFTMP 0.14 0.9
R__SOL_AWC 0.02 0.98
V__CH_N2 0.01 0.99
R_SLSUBBSN_1,3,7,12,15,16,20 2.657 0.045
R_OV_N_1,3,7,12,15,16,20 2.366 0.064
R_HRU_SLP.hru_1,3,7,12,15,16,20 2.262 0.073
V_CH_N2 -2.124 0.087
Sediment model V_CH_K2 -1.983 0.104
SPCON -1.847 0.124
SPEXP 1.329 0.241
RSIDN 1.166 0.296
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1500 400
Flow (m3/s)
400 20000
1000 15000 600
600
500 10000
800 800
5000
0 1000 0 1000
May-01
May-03
May-05
Jan-00
Jan-02
Jan-04
Sep-00
Sep-02
Sep-04
Figure 2 Calibrated streamflow at the Dabus outlet Figure 5 Validated sediment out at Dabus outlet
Dec-07
Nov-05
May-08
Jul-07
Jan-05
Jun-05
Oct-08
Sep-06
Feb-07
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This shows that the soil from cultivated lands is easily of sediment load data from measure flow rate, but it
detached by the overland flow during the rainy season requires enough or continuous measurement [16]–[18].
which leads to a large amount of sediment yield occurring Because a lack of enough measured sediment data will
in this catchment. In other, the rate of erosion from prompt to use of the sediment rating curve method for
cultivated land is high in this catchment. Due to this, the estimating the suspended sediment load from measured
detached soil fragment is transported overland flow into discharge flow [15], [19]. In this study, the sediment
the stream channel and deposited in the main channel rating curve was plotted for measured suspended
where the slope in the river is low. As a result, it is sediment concentration and the flow rate at the outlet of
possible to say that poor land use practice in this the Dabus river basin, see Figure 7a. The fitting line for
catchment is the factor for severity erosion risk that leads power regression was indicated with R2 is 0.88. The
to high sediment problems in the Blue Nile basin. rating curve for the estimated suspended sediment
In this study the SWAT model simultaneously, hydrology concentration from the measured flow rate at the outlet
components such as water flow in the streams and point of the basin is plotted, see Figure 7b. Then the
sediment as well with help routing methods available in fitting line for the power regression function is indicated
the model. As a result of sensitive parameters analyzed with R2 is 0.98. The correlation of estimated sediment
for both streamflow and sediment model indicate that the value from the measured flow rate and simulated
land use practice has an impact on the streamflow model, sediment value using the SWAT model at the outlet of
see Figure 6. Therefore, to reduce the impact of land use the Dabus river basin was strongly fitted such as R2 is
practice for both streamflow and sediment yield 0.99 Figure 8. This shows that applying power regression
problems in this catchment the best management practice to estimate the sediment load from the measure flow rate
is necessary [1]. was a successful method of calculating sediment load for
Table 7.Average sediment yield in Dabus catchment the required purpose in this study.
SWAT-code Area (%) Sediment Yield(t/ha)
AGRL 32.06 173.09
FRSD 11.04 0.72 Sediment Rating Curve
Concentration (mg/l)
450
FRSE 3.43 0.55 Measured Sediment
FRST 15.49 0.21 400
RNGB 37.66 16.2 350
RNGE 0.03 11.06
300
1000 25
150
Water flow (m3/s)
800 20
600 15 100
0 500 1000 1500
400 10
Measured Flow Rate(Cumes)
200 5
0 0 (a)
Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov
Sediment Rating Curve for Dabus river
concentration (mg/L)
suspended Sediment
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200.09
R² = 0.99
[4] E. Garzanti, S. Andò, G. Vezzoli, A. Ali Abdel
100.09 Megid, and A. El Kammar, “Petrology of Nile
River sands (Ethiopia and Sudan): Sediment
0.09
budgets and erosion patterns,” Earth Planet. Sci.
0.09 100.09 200.09 300.09 400.09 Lett., vol. 252, no. 3–4, pp. 327–341, 2006.
Observed sediment load (mg/l)
[5] L. Tamene, S. J. Park, R. Dikau, and P. L. G.
Figure 8 Sediment Rating Curve for Dabus river Vlek, “Analysis of factors determining sediment
yield variability in the highlands of northern
4 Conclusion Ethiopia,” vol. 76, pp. 76–91, 2006.
Based on the available spatial land use data, soil data, [6] G. T. Ayele, E. Z. Teshale, B. Yu, I. D.
meteorological data on Dabus catchment, the SWAT Rutherfurd, and J. Jeong, “Streamflow and
model was used to simulate the sediment and streamflow Sediment Yield Prediction for Watershed
for the Dabus river, Blue Nile basin. SWAT CUP (SUFI- Prioritization in the Upper Blue Nile River
2 algorithm) is the computer program that was used to Basin , Ethiopia,” pp. 1–28, 2017.
assess the sensitive parameter, calibration, and validation
of streamflow and sediment model in the Dabus river [7] P. Asrat and B. Simane, “Household ‑ and plot ‑
basin. The runoff curve number (R_CN.mgt.) in the only level impacts of sustainable land management
parameter was the most sensitive parameter that affects practices in the face of climate variability and
the streamflow model. R_SLSUBBSN_1,3,7,12,15,16,- change : empirical evidence from Dabus Sub ‑
20 were the most sensitive to sediment model in the basin , Blue Nile River , Ethiopia,” Agric. Food
basin. Secur., pp. 1–12, 2017.
The measured time series flow data was used in
streamflow, but estimated sediment value from measured [8] J. G. Arnold et al., “SWAT: Model use,
flow by sediment rating curve was used in sediment calibration, and validation,” Trans. ASABE, vol.
model calibration and validation. In this study, the 55, no. 4, pp. 1491–1508, 2012.
maximum sediment yield was estimated from [9] S. Naqshband, J. S. Ribberink, S. J. M. H.
agricultural land, which equals 173.09 t/ha. This implies Hulscher, and ., “Using Both Free Surface
the bad practices of land use are the major factor that the Effect and Sediment Transport Mode
sediment yield in the Dabus watershed. The sediment Parameters in Defining the Morphology of
rating curve is the alternative way to obtain sediment load River Dunes and Their Evolution to Upper
data for the required purpose unless the measured data Stage Plane Beds,” vol. 140, no. 1996, pp. 1–6,
are available. 2014.
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