Exaflood - Krems, Austria - 09.05.08 - by Bret Swanson
Exaflood - Krems, Austria - 09.05.08 - by Bret Swanson
Exaflood - Krems, Austria - 09.05.08 - by Bret Swanson
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talk.the.future.08
September.5.6 | Campus Krems | Austria
Bret Swanson
Center for Global Innovation
The Progress & Freedom Foundation | pff.org
[email protected]
Home of Innovation
Internet’s Three Phases
• Phase One – Arpanet in 1969
mega = 10 6
giga = 10 9
tera = 10 12
peta = 10 15
exa = 10 18
zetta = 10 21
What is an exabyte?
• http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wi5s4yP1Kpg
• call it Wiki-cinema
• Intel Larrabee
• “many core” “visual computing”
• http://www.intel.com/pressroom/archive/releases/20080804fact.htm
Neuromorphic Analog
– biological basis for more powerful and ubiquitous sensors that feed ever
more information back into the network
Dark Web
– John Chambers of Cisco writes that unconnected,
firewalled, quarantined data of the Dark Web could
be 500 times the size of the existing Internet
Remote Backup
–2 billion PCs
–50 GB per PC (in the near future)
–100 exabytes
2008
• Internet . . .
• U.S. traffic ~ 20 exabytes
• World traffic ~ 60 exabytes
• Digital storage . . . 1 terabyte = $177.99
• iPod memory . . . 4 GB = $25
• Biology . . . $0.001 per DNA base pair
• China . . . GDP ~ $3.6 trillion
• World economy . . . GWP ~ $55 trillion
• Internet . . .
1992
• U.S. traffic ~ 48 terabytes
• World traffic ~ 48 terabytes
• Digital storage . . . 1 terabyte ~ $5,000,000
• “iPod memory” . . . 4 GB ~ $500,000
• Biology . . . $10 per DNA base pair
• China . . . GDP ~ $328 billion . . . like
Greece or Denmark today
• World economy . . . GWP = $20.4 trillion
. . . like US+Germany+Japan today
2018
• Internet . . .
• U.S. Net ~ 3 zettabytes
• World Net ~ 10 zettabytes
• Digital storage . . . 10 petabytes ~ $177.99
• iPod memory . . . 85 years’ worth of video
• Biology . . . $0.000001 per DNA base pair
• China . . . GDP ~ $9.4 trillion
• World economy . . . GWP ~ $80 trillion
2024
• Internet . . . real-time photorealistic 3D
holographic virtual worlds
• Digital storage . . . All TV and radio on your
laptop
• Biology . . . One genome for $100 + a full
MRI body-scan for free!
• China . . . GDP ~ $16 trillion
• World economy . . . GWP ~ $100 trillion
1989
• the “most powerful
computer ever!”
• 20 MHz
• 2 MB RAM
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