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QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES

is the process of collecting and evaluating measurable and verifiable data such as revenues, market share,
and wages in order to understand the behavior and performance of a business.

USES:
-give managers a better grasp of the problems so that they can make the best decisions based on
the information available.
-used by managers in practically all aspects of a business.
1) Project Management
-are used for optimizing the allocation of resources.
2) Production Planning and Scheduling
-determining the size & location of new production facilities is a complex issue.
3) Purchasing and Inventory
4) Marketing
5) Financing
6) Research & Development

METHODS IN high-low
SEGREGATING scatter-graph
MIXED COSTS least-squares

COST PREDICTION TECHNIQUES


Regression Analysis
is a statistical technique used to find the relations between two or more variables.

Linear Regression
is a method that studies the relationship between continuous variables.

Basic Types:
1 Simple regression -there is only one dependent and independent variables
2 Multiple regression -there are many independent variables influencing one variable.

Correlation
-it shows the strength and direction of a relationship between two variables and is expressed numerically by
the correlation coefficient.
-used in determining the behavior of an investment's return with a market index.

Correlation coefficient's values


Perfect positive correlation =exactly 1.
ranges between -1.0 and 1.0 Perfect negative correlation
=two asset move in opposite directions
Zero Correlation
=implies no linear relationship at all.
r=0.9 r=0.2 r=0 r=-0.9

1. Strong, Positive 2. Weak, Positive 3. No Correlation 4. Strong, Negative

*Correlation play an important role in finance because they are used to forecaast future trends and to manage
the risks w/n a porfolio.
LEARNING CURVE
-Experience curve, cost curve, efficiency curve, or productivity curve.
-Provides measurement and insight into all the above aspects of a company.

Learning curve theory:


-as the quantity of a prouct produced doubles, the recurring cost per unit decreases at a fixed or constant
percentage.
-it is based on the simple idea that the time required to perform a task decreases as a worker gains
experience.

Probability
-is a measure of the likelihood of an event to occur.

Expected Value (EV)


-is an anticipated value for an investment some point in the future.

Forecasting-Exponential smoothing
-is a forecating technique that uses a weighted moving average of past data as the basis for a forecast.

DECISION TREE DIAGRAM


-is a diagrammatic representation of a problem and on it we show all possible courses of action that we can
take in a particular situation and all possible outcomes for each possible course of action.

Two Stages:
1 Construction stage
2 Evaluation and Recommendation stage

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