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Traders Psychology Megafx
Traders Psychology Megafx
What to expect
This course will give you comprehensive
understanding of trading basics and most
importantly will show you what works in trading
world and what don’t. We will show you how
precise steps on how to build solid trading
foundation – what are real trading “secrets’ and
how to apply them to make trading strategy that
actually works in real life.
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be one of the top traders who consistently
succeed in trading, avoid making the following
ten mistakes.
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stop/entry/exit parameters on to you.
3. Improper mindset.
Humans are emotional creatures by nature, but
being emotional in the uncertain environment of
trading can be calamitous. Almost every book on
the subject of trading psychology hammers home
the idea of more discipline and less emotion.
Emotions will inevitably come into play while you
are trading. It’s how you deal with those emotions
that will define you as a winner or a loser.
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5. Poor risk-to-reward ratio.
There are two reasons traders end up with a poor
risk-to-reward ratio:
a. They don’t have a trading plan and instead
simply react to the market.
b. They simply can’t hold their winners… but they
hold their losers.
04
trades is a surefire way to achieve it. In trading, it’s
much more important to be profitable than to be
right, and in order to be profitable, you need to cut
your losses early and let your winning trades keep
working for you.
8. Overtrading.
This one is simple. If you’re trading simply for the
sake of trading, you’re overtrading. Trade because
you see genuine opportunities in the market.
Trading is not like a 9-to-5 job where you are
rewarded for constant productivity. You don’t get
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paid to push buttons all day long; you get paid by
making good, winning trades. It’s that simple.
Movement in the markets doesn’t mean you must
trade. Trade when things line up for you. Be
patient, wait for setups to occur, and when they
do, take action. If you want to succeed at trading,
you need to act like a winning trader, and winning
traders are patient and wait for setups.
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10. Not having a successful mentor.
Any successful trader once had a mentor, coach or
service helps him to formulate a plan and strategy
and learn how to be successful. I am no exception
to this rule.
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Secret #2: Identify exactly WHAT
“Trading Secret” is, so you know exactly
how to use it!
The reality is that the very same fact that lures you
into trading is one of key reasons most people fail
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in it – there are so many things you can do that it
is very easy to start to trade on anything that you
see! Any news event, any flashy indicator or tip in a
trading forum will give you the urge to trade on
your emotions! This is gambling no trading, and
gambling is not the way to make money in
trading!
09
management. Forget about signals, forecasts,
entries, charts, fundamentals and any other
nonsense! If you want to make serious money in
trading then money management is the only
thing you will need to know! And you will have to
focus 90% of the time only on that! That is the
single best thing for you to improve your trading!
And if you haven’t traded before it’s even better –
you will know it from the start!
10
This article will cover five topics that every trader
should be keenly aware of in order to grow their
trading account as efficiently as possible. You
should use this article as a starting point to
understand Forex trading money management,
and refer back to as needed to solidify your
comprehension of each topic discussed.
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you should never risk any money in the markets
that is not truly disposable, and by truly disposable
I mean “fun money”, money you don’t need for any
other purpose besides entertainment. I am not
implying trading is entertainment, I am just trying
to convey the point that you should only trade
with money you truly do not need. Doing this will
start you on an “even” emotional playing field,
because you will have no emotional attachment to
your trading money.
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risk a set amount of risk percentage per trade,
rather than a set money, this approach works for
me because I have mastered my trading edge,
which is trend trading, and so I know exactly what
I am looking for in the markets. Also, because I
trade with purely disposable income, I have no
problem risking a set risk percentage on a trend
trading setup that I feel 100% confident in.
Risk reward
Risk reward should be thought of as the
“workhorse” of money management, the proper
implementation of risk reward is how professional
traders make money. Indeed, it is so powerful that
you can even enter the market essentially
randomly and not lose money over the long run,
and perhaps even turn a small profit, through the
proper execution of risk reward.
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the potential reward is based on multiples of your
dollar amount risked. So, if you risked 1 EUR on a
trade, you ideally want to aim for a reward of at
least 2 EUR or more; the R:R would be 1:2. The idea
is that if you can make at least 2 times your risk on
all your winning trades, you will, over a series of
trades, offset your losers to the point of turning a
decent profit. Obtaining a R:R of 1:2 or better even
gives you the potential to lose on the majority of
your trades and still make money. For more on the
topic of risk reward see this article: Secret 3#.
Position sizing
Many traders do not understand position sizing,
but it is a very simple concept that you must
understand if you want to effectively manage your
money. Position sizing allows you to risk the same
amount of money no matter what trading strategy
you trade or how large or small your stop loss
distance is. Some traders erroneously believe that
by having a wider stop loss on a trade they are
risking more money or that by having a smaller
stop loss on a trade they are risking less money.
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stop loss distance. So, you first should determine
the most logical place to put your stop on a trade
setup, you never want to determine your position
size first, this should always come AFTER you
determine the best and safest place for your stop.
After figuring out where to place your stop loss,
you THEN calculate the number of lots you can
trade to maintain your pre-determined risk
amount. This is the correct way to maintain your
risk on any trade; it is a basic but essential
component to an effective Forex money
management plan. For more on the topic of risk
reward see this article: Secret 3#.
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can go either way. For example, the better you
manage your risk and money in the Forex market,
the easier it becomes to manage your emotions,
simply because if you are effectively managing
your money you are unlikely to become emotional.
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discretionary approach to risk is because I am
100% confident in my knowledge and awareness
of my edge in the market; price action.
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Secret #3: The TWO ways you can get
yourself light years ahead of others... so
that you can turn your trading
PROFITABLE, for FREE!
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Winning traders view each trade setup as just
another execution of their trading edge, they then
think about how to minimize their risk on the
trade while simultaneously maximizing their
reward. Through the power of risk to reward
scenarios and position sizing, professional traders
know how to effectively manage their risk on each
trade and as a side-effect of this knowledge they
also manage their emotions. When you begin to
view each trade setup as just another execution of
your trading edge and effectively implement
position sizing and risk to reward scenarios, you
will also be managing your emotions because you
know your possible risk and possible reward
BEFORE you enter the trade, you then set and
forget the trade and therefore there is nothing to
become emotional about.
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One of the key principles for both trading and
investing success is to always have an exit point
when you enter a position. Trading without a pre-
determined exit point is like driving across town
and not stopping for red lights—you might get
away with it a few times but sooner or later
something nasty will happen.
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When the price hits your stop point, you exit the
market. A trailing stop, basically adjusts that stop
when the market moves in your favor, thus giving
you a profit-taking exit as well.
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buy-and-hold. You could be in a stock for a long
time, but if something fundamental changes, it
gets you out.
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this point because we want to get back to talking
about risk. Just remember, you need to know
when you are getting out of a position (your exit
point or stop) to determine your risk.
And cut your losses short and let your profits run.
Example 1:
You buy a stock at $50 and decide to sell it if it
drops to $40. What’s your initial risk?
Example 2:
You buy the same stock at $50, but decide that
you are wrong about the trade if it drops to $48.
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At $48 you’ll get out. What’s your initial risk?
Example 3:
You want to do a foreign exchange trade, buying
the dollar against the euro.
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because you might have multiple units.
Understanding R-multiples
The next key point for you to understand is that all
of your profits and losses should be related to your
initial risk. You want your losses to be 1R or less.
That means if you say you’ll get out of a stock
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when it drops $50 to $40, then you actually GET
OUT when it drops to $40. If you get out when it
drops to $30, then your loss is much bigger than
1R.
27
stock becomes worthless. What’s your loss as an
R-multiple?
You buy a stock at $50 and plan to sell it if it
drops to $49. However, the stock takes off and
jumps $20 in three weeks when you sell it.
What is your profit as an R-multiple?
Answers
1. A 1R loss is $5. Your profit per share is $10, so
you have a 2R profit.
2. A 1R loss is $5. Your loss per share is $60, so you
have a 12R loss. Hopefully, you can understand
why you never want to let this happen.
3. A 1R loss is $1. You profit per share is $20, so
you have a 20R profit. And hopefully, you
understand why you want this to happen all
the time.
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account and be a little more risky, you can design
a system that will produce a triple digit rate of
return as long as you have enough money to do so
and are willing to tolerate tremendous
drawdowns.
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Secret #4:Find exactly HOW top traders
are consistently making money...
Random Trading
Many traders have a propensity for random
trading. These kinds of traders seem to be fishing
for opportunities. They may take a trade or two
from someone else they saw on a forum or
newsletter, or they may just be entering trades
without a firm risk control procedures in place.
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They have a tendency to “wait and see what
happens.” Usually, what happens is a gut
wrenching period of indecision, loss and
frustration.
What is expectancy?
Expectancy is what it sounds like. It helps you
understand how winners, losers, gains and losses
relate to each other over the long term. This
process helps you understand what your trading
system profits should be, and helps validate your
backtesting.
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What does that mean?
By now you should know that in the game of
trading it is much more efficient to think of the
profits and losses of your trades as a ratio of the
initial risk taken (R).
But let’s just go over it again briefly:
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represent your total risk. If you bought 100 shares
of stock with a risk of $10 per share, then you
would have a total risk of $1,000.
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number one rule of investing is to not lose money.
However, contrary to popular belief, Warren Buffet
does have losses. Thus, a much better version of
Buffet’s number one rule would be to keep your
losses to 1R or less.
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trades. Put another way, expectancy tells you how
much you can expect to make on the average, per
dollar risked, over a number of trades.
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So this “system” has an expectancy of 2R, which
means you can “expect” to make two times what
you risk over the long term using this system,
based on the data that you have available.
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$99. However, if you had one winning trade of
$500, then you would have a net payoff of $401
($500 less $99)—despite the fact that only one of
your trades was a winner and 99% of your trades
were losers.
We’ll end our definition of expectancy here
because it is a subject that can become much
more complex.
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Secret #5: The BEST kind of strategy on
the planet! (And the #1 way to
SAFEGUARD your trading capital against
risks of any kind!)
What Is A Trend?
A trend is simply a sustained price movement in
one direction. This may occur in any financial
instrument. Trends occur in stocks, futures and
forex markets. They occur in all time frames,
however, the longer the time frame, the larger and
more rewarding trends can be.
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in stocks, futures and forex markets.
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Forex Trend Trading
A forex trend occurs when one currency
strengthens in comparison to another currency.
For example if the Australian dollar is
strengthening because Australian interest rates
are going up (making the currency more
attractive) and the US dollar is weakening because
interest rates are dropping in the US, then the
AUDUSD exchange rate would likely exhibit a
good trend.
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How Does Trend Trading Work?
Trend trading is simply an approach in which you
identify that a trend is in place, enter the market
in the direction of the trend and hold the position
until the trend reverses.
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a small loss and moves on to the next trade.
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Can A Trend Trading Strategy Fit In With A Day
Job?
YES! Trend following is a form of trading that can
be learned and can fit in easily with whatever else
you have in your life at the moment.
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system gets you in to ride the trend as long as it
remains in place. They are applied to a broad
range of securities or instruments and so need to
be simple and robust to work effectively.
44
What Does A Successful Trend Trade Look
Like?
As an example of how a trader may benefit from
one of these trades, lets say you entered Incitec
Pivot (IPL – Australian stock shown in the chart
above) on a 200 day breakout on 24 Dec 2006 at
$0.79 with a 3 ATR initial stop at $0.75 and risked
1% of your $100,000 account on the trade. You
then held the trade and used the 200 day moving
average as a trailing exit point which kept you in
the trade until 11 August 2008 at $6.23.
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is not typical. There are no guarantees you will get
trades like this. However, these monster trades
can come along every so often though, and this
strategy is a good way to profit from them.
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Secret #6: The invisible trade that
almost no one knows about. Only less
than 10% of total profits are made from
traditional ‘trades’! (The other 90% of
your potential profits is determined by
THIS…)
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Then there are those traders that think in terms of
not worrying to much about any one trade, but
has an understanding that over a longer period of
time, you only need a few winning trades to make
you profitable each year.
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key concepts, some of which are subjective in
nature, in order to make the big gains.
49
While everyone may have stop loss orders,
technical indicators, charts, access to news, etc.
there are some traders who are able to translate
all of this information into successful trading, a.k.a
money.
50
While everyone may have stop loss orders,
technical indicators, charts, access to news, etc.
there are some traders who are able to translate
all of this information into successful trading, a.k.a
money.
51
Do you have a winning attitude when trading or
are you thinking the market is out to get you?
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market, that the idea of giving back a decent gain
was unfathomable.
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view when a trade goes against you?
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ratio will continue to improve and what was once
50% probability will start to improve over time.
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The same way you approach a red light, this is an
indication to you to stop your car. Well with the
market, it will see the red light but it will decide
whether it will stop or not on its own.
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while this would happen. The problem was the
trade would get so far away from the average, I
would become obsessed with the idea of giving
back too much profit, so I would talk myself into
selling on the first correction.
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matter. The point is you should feel a sense that
the wind is to your back. Being in this position will
make you relax as the trade goes through the wild
back and forth swings towards your end target.
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fall into your account as the trade heads in your
desired direction.
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This sort of approach may work in the short-term,
but over time the market has a way of weeding
out risky traders.
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so you were never comfortable in the trade to
begin with.
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Secret #7: The key to get your trading
right not only to make lots of money,
but also to preserve your capital and
WIN in long run... you need THIS first!
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the market turns against you. Protective stops are
absolutely essential. Markets don’t go up forever
and they don’t go down forever. You need stops
to protect yourself. First five trading secrets
explained why this is critical! If you don’t have stop
loss everything else is useless!
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from right now. You don't make money when you
enter the market you make your money upon your
exit of the market. Far too many people focus only
on market entry, or what to buy, rather than when
to sell and our trading secrets explained this very
clearly!
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strategy should look like. Essentially it will put all
trading secrets in one manageable,
understandable system. In this way you will know
how you must structure your trading and what
rules to follow. These types of trading rules have
helped me a lot! And this is foundation on how we
learn to trade our new traders! It will take some
time for you to actually implement it to your
strategy, but it is definitely worth it! Otherwise you
will be overwhelmed by so many rules, tips,
indicators and other things that you simple won’t
be able to trade!
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Secret #8: How to use the biggest
financial markets on planet Earth to
your own advantage...
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Low Costs
Forex trading can have very low costs (brokerage
and commissions). There are no commissions in a
real sense–most forex brokers make profits from
the spreads between forex currencies. One does
not have to worry about including separate
brokerage charges, eliminating an overhead.
Compare that to equity or other securities trading
where the brokerage structure varies widely and
a trader must take such fees into account.
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developments specific to forex markets. Instead,
they attempt to make profits on relatively stable
low volatility duration and compensate with high
volume trades. Traders can also take long-term
positions, which can last from days to several
weeks. Forex trading is very accommodating in
this way.
High Liquidity
Compared with any other financial markets, the
forex market has the largest number of market
participants. This provides highest level of
liquidity, which means even large orders of
currency trades are easily filled efficiently without
any large price deviations. This eliminates the
possibility of price manipulation and
price anomalies, thereby enabling tighter spreads
that lead to more efficient pricing. One need not
worry about the high volatility during opening and
closing hours, or stagnant price ranges during the
afternoons, which are trademarks of equity
markets. Unless major events are expected, one
can observe similar price patterns (of high, mid or
low volatility) throughout the non-stop trading.
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No Central Exchange or Regulator
Being an over-the-counter market operating
across the globe, there is no central exchange or
regulator for the forex market. Various
countries’ central banks occasionally interfere as
needed but these are rare events, occurring under
extreme conditions. Most such developments are
already perceived and priced into the market.
Such a decentralized and deregulated market
helps avoid any sudden surprises. Compare that to
equity markets, where a company can suddenly
declare a dividend or report huge losses, leading
to huge price changes.
70
No Central Exchange or Regulator
Being an over-the-counter market operating
across the globe, there is no central exchange or
regulator for the forex market. Various
countries’ central banks occasionally interfere as
needed but these are rare events, occurring under
extreme conditions. Most such developments are
already perceived and priced into the market.
Such a decentralized and deregulated market
helps avoid any sudden surprises. Compare that to
equity markets, where a company can suddenly
declare a dividend or report huge losses, leading
to huge price changes.
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Variety of Pairs to Trade
There are 28 major currency pairs involving eight
major currencies. Criteria for choosing a pair can
be convenient timing, volatility patterns, or
economic developments. A forex trader who loves
volatility can easily switch from one currency pair
to another.
Ease of Entry
There are hundreds of forex technical indicators to
draw on for short-term trades, and
several fundamental analysis theories and tools for
long-term forex trading, creating enormous
choice for traders with varying levels of experience
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to make a swift entry into forex trading.
Self-Directed Learning
In the stock market, a trader can seek professional
assistance from portfolio managers, trade advisors,
and relationship managers. Forex traders are
completely on their own with little or no
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assistance. Disciplined and continuous self-
directed learning is a must throughout the trading
career. Most beginners quit during the initial
phase, primarily because of losses suffered due to
limited forex trading knowledge and improper
trading.
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Secret #9: How to get TONS of MONEY
from any kind of market without any
guesswork... and trade like a “Pro
Trader” STRAIGHT away!
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Predicting the market is challenging because
the future is inherently unpredictable.
Short-term traders are typically better served
by waiting for confirmation that a reversal is at
hand, rather than trying to predict a reversal
will happen in the future.
Viewing price action as a series of waves is an
alternative to predicting future price moves.
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Establishing significant points to buy and sell
should be based on what price is actually
doing, rather than what we expect it to do.
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months, or even years that defy the odds. During
these times, predicting can be especially
dangerous if expectations turn out incorrect. For
example, predicting that something will go up
when prices are falling can cripple a trader's
finances, especially since we can't know for sure
how the market will react to further news or
information that may become available. When
prices are falling, even good news may not push
prices substantially higher, and when prices are
rising, even bad news won't necessarily have a
long-term negative effect on price.
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trading in the direction of current cash flows, not
against them, whether it be in the overall market
or individual securities.
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Active traders trading on shorter time frames
should trade in the direction of price movements
given that volatility has increased, and even short-
term moves can
sustain overbought or oversold levels for extended
periods of time.
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Alternatives to Prediction
Given that we now understand trying to predict a
turning point in the market can be very costly, one
asks, "If I can't predict, how do I make money?"
What Is a Breakout?
A breakout is a market price moving outside a
defined support or resistance level with
increased volume. A breakout trader enters a long
position after the stock price breaks above
resistance or enters a short position after the
prices breaks below support. Once the prices go
beyond the price barrier, volatility tends to
increase and prices usually trend in the breakout's
direction. The reason breakouts are such an
important trading strategy is because these
setups are the starting point for future volatility
increases, large price swings and, in many
circumstances, major price trends.
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Breakouts occur in all types of market
environments. Typically, the most explosive price
movements are a result of channel breakouts and
price pattern breakouts such as triangles, flags,
or head and shoulders patterns. As volatility
contracts during these time frames, it will typically
expand after prices move beyond the identified
ranges.
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Breakouts occur in all types of market
environments. Typically, the most explosive price
movements are a result of channel breakouts and
price pattern breakouts such as triangles, flags,
or head and shoulders patterns. As volatility
contracts during these time frames, it will typically
expand after prices move beyond the identified
ranges.
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Secret #10: Get OFF the trading “roller-
coaster”, and get more CONSISTENCY in
your trading... while making streams of
income into your trading account!
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expressions and given clear examples. As a result,
you simply need to read the material carefully. Go
over it until you understand it thoroughly.
84
pace at which the account grows is controlled by
the size of the profits and by their
frequency (which should always be remembered
by forex trading system developers). While the
geometric equity growth can and should be
smooth (i.e. consistent), some traders try to
accelerate it by artificially inflating the size of their
profits by risking very high percentages of their
account. Because the actual sequence of the
winning and the losing trades can never be
predicted in advance, such practice results in very
erratic trading performance (i.e. sharp equity
fluctuations). Among other things this practice
betrays the trader's lack of confidence in his or her
trading system's long-term profit potential. As
long as the trader is confident about his trading
system he can risk small percentages (%1 to 3%) of
his account on every trade and simply watch the
system realize its potential. It should be noted that
only the geometric capital growth allows to make
regular profit withdrawals from an account (as a
certain percent of the equity) without seriously
affecting a trading system's money making ability.
This contrasts sharply with the fixed-dollar-bet
money management system (e.g. always risk $500
per trade) whose profits grow arithmetically and
85
where each withdrawal from the account puts the
system a fixed number of profitable trades back in
time.
86
percentages will now cut deep into your profits
when your trading system generates losing
signals. Now try to imagine how you would feel if
your car accelerates to a 500 miles per hour in a
few seconds then suddenly reverses and flies back
at the same speed. You would achieve similar
effect on your feelings or your investors' if you got
your account up to 100R in a few trades and then
lost all of the profits in the very next few trades.
87
the winning signals in the future. In other words,
the size of drawdowns is directly proportional to
the percent risked. In addition to being directly
proportional to the R risked, drawdowns
are inversely proportional to both the accuracy
and the payoff ratio (average win/average loss) of
a trading system.
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other words, because the probability of a few
losses happening in a row is very low it doesn't
mean this cannot happen in your trading.
Suppose you trade a system which generates 60
winning trades out of 100 on average. The
probability of a profitable trade is always 60%,
while the probability of a losing trade is always
40% with such a system. The chances of 5
consecutive losses can be calculated by
multiplying 0,4 five times by itself or
0,4*0,4*0,4*0,4*0,4 which results in 1,02%. Even if
the probability of roughly one percent does look
very remote this is not a zero probability and quite
likely to happen in real trading. Moreover, given
that the outcome of any single trade can be
considered random there is nothing in the world
that can guarantee that your system's next five
trades will not be all losses or all profits, for that
matter.
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can easily generate a string of 12 winning trades
on the forex trading simulator with the system
accuracy set to 60%. The probability of such an
event is equal to 0,6 raised to the 12'th power or
0,2% or 1 in 500. Despite such a low probability you
can expect to see 12 or more successive winners in
your trading when you trade long enough with a
system that has success rate equal to %60. Even if
the short-term effect on the equity (and trader
morale) of such a long series of successful trades
can be quite dramatic, it plays little role in the
long-term success as a currency trader. In other
words, the fact that your trading system has just
generated a long run of profitable trades doesn't
say very much about its long-term profit potential,
which should instead be measured by its
mathematical expectation.
90
long-term success in currency trading. Once you
decide on the percentage of equity that you will
risk per position you should never deviate from
this number and try to stay as close to it as
possible - no matter how bad or good your system
performance is. This question becomes especially
important when you decide on the type of
account that you open - if it will be a mini or a
standard trading account.
91
wouldn't need to avoid this signal or use smaller
stop-loss than the one suggested by your system
if you traded at half the leverage (which would
mean only $200 risk per trade) or if you traded on
a mini account altogether - as is shown by the
allocation efficiency calculator.
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Secret #11: These quick tips help you
keep score on your TRADING GOALS
(and give you constant edge over
others!)
93
where to exit, and how-to-handle different market
dynamics. The rest of the stuff is unknown and
complex. Ask any professional trader for advice on
forex trading success, and they will all say that to
survive and develop a successful trading career,
you must have immense mental fortitude. It is
important to have a solid mentality, so you can
overcome the various challenges in the market,
and deal with problems when they arrive. If you
have a breakdown or get flustered or frustrated
while trading, you have already lost.
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routine and sticking to it religiously. The main
difference between a professional trader and a
newbie is their trading mentality. This is one of the
truths of life because the only divide between
someone struggling in any field and successful
people is the mentality. To be completely blunt, if
you want to achieve success in trading, you must
develop the right mindset. Here is how you can go
about developing the right mental tools for forex
trading success:
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Learn to Love Your Losses
If your trading plan results in a loss and it was your
own strategy, then don’t get disheartened. It
doesn’t matter what the outcome was, what does
count is long-term discipline and not missing out
on profit or suffering a single loss. The forex
market is extremely competitive, and you will be
competing against traders with more experience,
more capital, and more knowledge of the market.
Therefore, you must be prepared to accept your
losses, since no one wins all their trades in the
market. So, how do you compete with them?
96
your targets before you enter the market and take
them according to your plan. Be happy and
content with what you have banked, and don’t
think about what you could have gotten. You
must leave the ego outside because you must
concentrate on reading the current market
situation. There is no point in letting ego take over
and try over trading to show off, compensating for
previous losses, greed, or revenge trading.
97
important tools for forex trading success, but
apart from that you must constantly fix and
improve your trading strategy. Don’t be content
with your strategy, because you need to
constantly want to improve and develop new skills
so that you can plan better trading strategies. This
requires long-term and short-term mental
preparations, but it will result in more focus and
adaptability when you are faced with unexpected
challenges.
98
team, group, or community where your trading
values are its foundation.
99
Secret #12: How to be able to find the
right conditions to PROFIT from best
MARKETS, instead of you chasing after
many useless trades!
101
compared to major pairs as they can exhibit lower
market liquidity. There are many minor pairs. Here
is the list of the most traded minor Forex currency
pairs from 10 of the top Forex brokers we have
spoken to:
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currency pairs. As a result, the spreads can be
higher when trading them. In the meantime,
volatility in these pairs can be much higher than
Majors and Minors. There are certain MT4
indicators for exotic pairs only.
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List of 10 Best Forex Pairs to Trade
There are around 200 nations in the world. Most of
these countries have their own currencies. While
most of the countries allow Forex trading, some
have strict regulations and some countries have
banned Forex trading. Additionally, religion plays a
strong role too.
104
#1 EURUSD
EURUSD is the most traded currency pair of the
Forex market. Over 24.0% of the daily Forex
volume derives from EURUSD trades. This pair is
very popular among the traders since it connects
the world’s two biggest economies:
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The currency with a higher interest rate often
creates a higher demand. But nowadays almost all
of the central banks are rallying towards negative
interest rates. The US FED so far is the only
exception. As a result, USD has been
strengthening in the recent past.
#2 GBPUSD
Brexit has shaken the GBPUSD market
significantly. However, this pair is still the second
most popular currency pair of the world.
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American economies. If the British economy
grows faster than America, it is likely that the
pound will be stronger against the Dollar.
However, any better results from the American
economy may reverse the scenario. Since the
Brexit uncertainty has shaken the British
economy, GBP has depreciated against USD in the
past couple of years.
#3 USDJPY
USDJPY pair is also known as ‘the
gopher’. USDJPY is one of the most-traded Forex
pairs on the market, which represents
approximately 13% of all daily Forex transactions in
2019.
107
Like EURUSD, traders also like USDJPY due to its
strong liquidity. Japanese yen is the most traded
currency in Asia and the US dollar is the most
common currency in the world. Thus, USDJPY
spread is often the lowest in the Forex market.
The Fed, BOE, and ECB, the Bank of Japan set the
interest rates for the Japanese economy are the
main fundamental market drivers.
#4 AUDUSD
Trades often call AUDUSD as ‘Aussie’. This pair
represents the Australian dollar against the US
dollar. In 2018 AUDUSD volume was 5% of the
global Forex volumes. Since Australia is an export
country, AUD as a currency fluctuates with the
commodities, such as iron ore and coal.
108
AUDUSD exchange rate is also affected by the
interest rate decisions between the Reserve Bank
of Australia (RBA) and the FED. If American
interest rates are low, USD will weaken against
AUD, and the AUDUSD price may go up.
#5 USDCAD
USDCAD is another commodity currency. Traders
often call USDCAD as the ‘loonie’ on account of
the loon bird that appears on Canadian dollar
coins.
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currencies to buy the same amount of oil.
However, expensive oil means that the Canadian
dollar may strengthen due to the close ties
between the Oil price and the Canadian dollar.
Moreover, traders should keep an eye on both
Brent crude and US crude when trading USDCAD
currency pair.
#6 USDCHF
USDCHF is the 6th most popular forex pair on our
list. CHF stands for Swiss Franc, the national
currency of Switzerland. This pair is popular for
the Swiss financial system, which is a safe haven
for investors and traders.
#7 EURGBP
EURGBP is the first Minor Forex Currency pair that
makes it to our list of top 10 most traded forex
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pairs. Many traders will often lose money trading
EURUSD. This is because of the historic link given
in the proximity of the UK to Europe.
#8 AUDJPY
AUDJPY is another minor pair making to our top
10 list. This cross pair has its main volatility during
the Asian session.
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put an impact on the AUDJPY pair. Like other
currencies, any interest rate decisions from RBA or
BOJ put an impact on the AUDJPY price.
#9 NZDUSD
Many traders love NZDUSD. Statistically, NZDUSD
is the most trader friendly currency pair.
#10 GBPJPY
In 2018 GBPJPY was the most predictable
currency pair according to the AtoZMarkets trader
survey.
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Almost any global news will move the GBPJPY
price. Many long term traders favor this pair as it
moves with long legs with lots of pips. However,
small traders with small investments may struggle
to make a profit from this pair. This pair is also one
of the best scalper friendly minor forex currency
pairs too.
Conclusion
The dynamics of foreign exchange trading is very
interesting, and it can provide a boost to the
global economy. However, since is highly volatile
you should never invest any funds that are vital for
your livelihood. You should only trade with brokers
that you trust, and trade live after you test your
strategy with demo accounts.
113
Secret #13: The 16-steps I use to create
incredible strategies that serve me for
the REST of my trading career and
beyond…
114
Second, determine your objectives for
trading.
Trading experts know that understanding your
objectives thoroughly is half the battle in
developing a system, yet most people have never
taken the time to even consider what their
objectives might be. Thus, you need to determine
exactly what you want out of your trading system.
115
probably help you prevent a disaster.
116
Sixth, develop a worst-case contingency
plan.
They key to a successful business plan is to be able
to overcome disaster. Most people don’t even
consider this until it’s too late. Learn how to
generate an extensive worst-case contingency
plan with strategies of how to deal with each
disaster so that they minimize the effect on your
trading business. Learn the key areas around
which your worst-case contingency plan should
revolve and get a good start on creating them.
117
Eight, prepare to develop a strategy.
This involves doing an extensive study of the
primary markets that you wish to trade. It also
involves developing realistic, but challenging
goals, about your performance. And you must
determine your current beliefs about the market
you wish to trade and the strategies that must
work.
118
Eleventh, get to know your system well
without a lot of cost.
The best way to do this is to trade at a low position
size to determine if your initial testing was
accurate. Through this testing, you’ll be able to
develop a simple position sizing model to fit your
objectives.
119
How your personality type impacts your trading.
How to develop the personal responsibility that
you must have as a trader and assess yourself on
it.
How to assess your beliefs and values.
And you must understand some of the key issues
that might really interfere with your trading.
120
discipline with regular self-work, you’ll be amazed
at the difference in your trading.
121
Secret #14: The key to ‘weathering the
storm’ and getting in FRONT of trends...
this is the exact BLUEPRINT we use as
we look at every new trading
opportunity!
122
demonstration this concept please visit the
currency diversification simulator. It should be
noted that this calculator assumes zero correlation
between the pairs or systems (more on correlation
below).
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which results in %16. This is the %60 decrease
(24/40=0,6) in the probability of a losing trade
achieved when you trade both pairs
simultaneously. If your system has %70 success
rate you can reduce the probability of a loss by
%70 if you trade two unrelated pairs instead of
one. The probability of a losing trade occurring for
both pairs at the same time is %9 (%30*%30) which
is a %70 decrease in the likelihood of a loss if you
traded only one pair (21/30=0,7). I will note that
even if you diversify into two or more weakly
correlated currencies/trading systems, this won't
eliminate the drawdowns completely. However
weak is the correlation between the pairs or
trading systems, they are likely to go through the
losing streak all at once, at some point in the
trading. You can see this by modelling the
performance of two similar trading systems with
the help of the currency diversification simulator
(e.g. set accuracy to 40 and payoff ratio to 2 for
both A and B) and checking if the yellow curve on
the DRADOWN chart is moving in sync with the
other two curves.
124
(usually denoted by r) doesn't exceed 0,3 (i.e. it can
be anything from -0,3 to +0,3). A medium strength
relationship exists when the absolute value of the
coefficient is greater than 0,3 but less than 0,5.
There is a strong relationship between two pairs if
r is greater than 0.5 in absolute terms (i.e. bigger
than 0.5 or less than –0.5). Currencies are said to
be highly correlated if the absolute value of their
correlation coefficient is equal to or bigger than
0,8. You can visualize these concepts with the help
of the interactive correlation simulator. (Please
note: This calculator requires that you have Flash
installed and Javascript enabled in your browser)
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same time (e.g. on the break of a trendline which
usually is simply a mirror image of the trendline
visible on the other pair's chart - e.g. set "Target
Correlation" to -0,9 on the correlation simulator
and notice how similar are the imaginary
trendlines for A and B) amounts roughly to selling
2 lots of EUR/USD or buying 2 lots of USD/CHF
individually - with no reduction in risk whatsoever.
126
USD/JPY) without having to worry that price
developments in USD/JPY might "spill over" into
GBP/CHF (or the other way round) and by doing so
spoil your whole trading setup. As the next best
alternative, you can reduce the risk by opening
opposing trades in the positively correlated pairs
or same direction trades in the negatively
correlated pairs - by using a different system for
each of the pairs, as is described below. Yet
another way you can use correlation is to select
among highly correlated pairs that pair which
offers the highest reward potential under the
current market conditions and trade only it.
127
[n*(n-1)]/2. You can start with one currency pair
and gradually increase to a maximum of four pairs
(with 6 correlations to monitor) as your experience
grows.
128
0,7 Mbs and it requires that you have Flash
installed and Javascript enabled in your browser).
In practice, it is extremely hard to find perfectly
negatively correlated systems. Nevertheless, even
if systems traded are only mildly negatively
correlated the trader can expect to benefit from
the risk reduction offered by the diversification.
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have limited control over the market situation. The
only control you have is when to enter the market,
where to exit, and how-to-handle different market
dynamics. The rest of the stuff is unknown and
complex. Ask any professional trader for advice on
forex trading success, and they will all say that to
survive and develop a successful trading career,
you must have immense mental fortitude. It is
important to have a solid mentality, so you can
overcome the various challenges in the market,
and deal with problems when they arrive. If you
have a breakdown or get flustered or frustrated
while trading, you have already lost.
130
The key thing is going to be creating a mental
routine and sticking to it religiously. The main
difference between a professional trader and a
newbie is their trading mentality. This is one of the
truths of life because the only divide between
someone struggling in any field and successful
people is the mentality. To be completely blunt, if
you want to achieve success in trading, you must
develop the right mindset. Here is how you can go
about developing the right mental tools for forex
trading success:
131
Learn to Love Your Losses
If your trading plan results in a loss and it was your
own strategy, then don’t get disheartened. It
doesn’t matter what the outcome was, what does
count is long-term discipline and not missing out
on profit or suffering a single loss. The forex
market is extremely competitive, and you will be
competing against traders with more experience,
more capital, and more knowledge of the market.
Therefore, you must be prepared to accept your
losses, since no one wins all their trades in the
market. So, how do you compete with them?
132
your targets before you enter the market and take
them according to your plan. Be happy and
content with what you have banked, and don’t
think about what you could have gotten. You
must leave the ego outside because you must
concentrate on reading the current market
situation. There is no point in letting ego take over
and try over trading to show off, compensating for
previous losses, greed, or revenge trading.
133
important tools for forex trading success, but
apart from that you must constantly fix and
improve your trading strategy. Don’t be content
with your strategy, because you need to
constantly want to improve and develop new skills
so that you can plan better trading strategies. This
requires long-term and short-term mental
preparations, but it will result in more focus and
adaptability when you are faced with unexpected
challenges.
134
team, group, or community where your trading
values are its foundation.
135
Secret #15: Create your own powerful
Trading Strategy that combines ALL the
assets you have... so that you can
quickly make money on any opportunity
that market gives you!
136
and straightforward rules that will allow you to
follow trends and few simple mental hacks for you
to stay focused!
137
they doesn’t require more than one hour per day
and all you have to do is to follow their rules! You
will know exactly which markets to trade; when to
buy and sell; how much should your risk per trade;
when to cover your losses and when to take your
profits. Only thing you will have to do is to follow
the rules, stay focused and wait for your money to
flow! Here is detailed information!
138