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  • 4 The Snowball Reloaded

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    Alex Reacher
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    This document describes a betting strategy called "The Snowball Reloaded" that aims to exploit slow starts to the second half of soccer matches. It involves backing the Under 2.5 Goals market at the start of the second half, then laying off portions of the stake in increments as the market ticks up. The ideal scenarios are matches that are level at half time or where one team has a narrow lead. The goal is to cash out the position before the 60th minute if no goals are scored or the action heats up. There is an expected loss of 1 in 20 trades due to early second half goals.

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    4-The-Snowball-Reloaded

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    This document describes a betting strategy called "The Snowball Reloaded" that aims to exploit slow starts to the second half of soccer matches. It involves backing the Under 2.5 Goals market at the start of the second half, then laying off portions of the stake in increments as the market ticks up. The ideal scenarios are matches that are level at half time or where one team has a narrow lead. The goal is to cash out the position before the 60th minute if no goals are scored or the action heats up. There is an expected loss of 1 in 20 trades due to early second half goals.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as pdf or txt
    186 views19 pages

    4 The Snowball Reloaded

    Uploaded by

    Alex Reacher
    This document describes a betting strategy called "The Snowball Reloaded" that aims to exploit slow starts to the second half of soccer matches. It involves backing the Under 2.5 Goals market at the start of the second half, then laying off portions of the stake in increments as the market ticks up. The ideal scenarios are matches that are level at half time or where one team has a narrow lead. The goal is to cash out the position before the 60th minute if no goals are scored or the action heats up. There is an expected loss of 1 in 20 trades due to early second half goals.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 19

    THE SNOWBALL

    RELOADED
    Exploiting a nice opportunity at
    the start of the second half!
    THE SNOWBALL
    METHOD
     COLD Strategy
     Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 Goals Market
     Medium Frequency
     Liquidity Dependent
    SCENARIO

     A match where we are expecting


    the second half to start slow.
    Ideal matches
     The Unders market to be priced between
    2.02 and 2.98
     A match that is level at half-time
     1-0 to a favourite who is in control
     The more goals in the first-half, the
    better….
    Entry Points
     Ideally, only on matches you can
    watch live!
     At second half kick off, back Under
    2.5 Goals with 100% of your stake…
    Exit Points
    Put orders in the market
    to lay back your stake
    every 10 ticks and 25%
    at a time.
    Exit Points
    For example…
    Back Under 2.5 with £100 @ 2.20
    Lay Under 2.5 with £25 @ 2.1
    Lay Under 2.5 with £25 @ 2.0
    Lay Under 2.5 with £25 @ 1.90
    Cash out for equal profits @ 1.80
    Exit Points

    Cash out for an expected loss if a goal


    is scored at anytime
    Cash out immediately if
    • 2nd half begins with a high tempo
    • There is a significant attacking play
    • The market moves too slow
    • The 60th minute arrives
    The 15 Minute Rule
     We want a quick swing trade.
     We want to be out of the trade by the
    60th minute at the latest.
    Best Case Scenario

    All parts matched with


    no goal and we cash out!
    Worst Case Scenario

    Goal before any parts


    matched. (Very Early)
    What To Expect
     Similar to the original snowball method….
     There will be goals scored whilst your trade is
    open.
     Getting the full profit will not happen every
    trade.
     Expect the worse case scenario 1 in every 20
    trades
    Newbie Mistakes

     Using this method blindly!


    THE SNOWBALL
    RELOADED
     A second half we feel might start slow.
     Back Under 2.5 goals then drip lay our
    stake back 25% at a time every 10 ticks.
     Cash out if a goal is scored or if the action
    starts to warm up!
    THE SNOWBALL
    RELOADED

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