Poll Topline

************CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT DOCUMENT************
DO NOT CIRCULATE
University of Texas / Texas Politics Project Poll
Texas Statewide Survey
University of Texas / Texas Politics Project – Texas Statewide Survey, October 2023
Page 1 of 46
University of Texas / Texas Politics Project Poll
Texas Statewide Survey
Field Dates: October 5-17, 2023

N=1200 Registered Voters
Margin of error: +/- 2.83% (3.30% adjusted for weighting) unless otherwise noted1
Interest and Engagement

Q1. Are you registered to vote in the state of Texas?
Q1 Percent
Yes, registered 100
Q2. Generally speaking, would you say that you are extremely interested in politics and public
affairs, somewhat interested, not very interested, or not at all interested?
Q2 Percent
Extremely interested 42
Somewhat interested 44
Not very interested 10
Not at all interested 4
Don't know 0
Q3. There are many elections in the state of Texas. Furthermore, many people intend to vote in
a given election, but sometimes personal and professional circumstances keep them from the
polls. Thinking back over the past two or three years, would you say that you voted in all
elections, almost all, about half, one or two, or none at all?
Q3 Percent
Every election 39
Almost every election 35
About half 13
One or two 8
None 5
Don't know 1
Q3A. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting in the 2024 election?
Extremely Very Somewhat Not too Not at all Don't know/No

enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion
Oct. 2023 39 22 17 14 7 2
Oct. 2019 50 20 17 7 5 1
1In calculating the margin of error (MOE) for the survey, we provide two calculations, one that
compensates for the relative standard deviation of the weights and one that does not. Without
taking the variance of the weights into account, the margin of error for the full sample is 2.83%.
To compensate for the additional uncertainty from weighting, we apply a multiplier derived from
the coefficient of variation of the weights: sqrt(1+CV^2), where CV=sd(weights)/mean(weights).
For this weight sensitive calculation, the MOE for the full sample is 3.3%.
Page 2 of 46
Most Important Problem
Q4. What would you say is the most important problem facing this country today? [Randomize]
Q4 Percent
Inflation/rising prices 15
Political corruption/leadership 12
The economy 10
Border security 8
Immigration 8
Environment/climate change 6
Gun control/gun violence 5
Federal spending/national debt 3
Health care 3
Moral decline 3
Partisan gridlock 3
Income inequality 2
Abortion 2
Crime 2
Race relations 1
Electoral fraud 1
Middle East instability 1
Education 1
National security/terrorism 1
Voting rights 1
Taxes 1
Russia 1
Social welfare programs 1
The media 1
Unemployment/jobs 1
Opioid/drug abuse 1
Gas prices 1
North Korea 0
Homelessness 0
Coronavirus/COVID-19 0
Redistricting 0
Sexual harassment 0
Energy 0
China 0
Foreign trade 0
Housing 0
Police misconduct 0
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Q5. What would you say is the most important problem facing the State of Texas today?
[Randomize]
Q5 Percent
Border security 20
Immigration 15
Inflation/rising prices 11
Political corruption/leadership 10
The economy 6
Gun control/gun violence 5
Health care 3
Crime 3
Environment/climate change 3
Unemployment/jobs 2
Education 2
Energy/The grid 2
Moral decline 2
Abortion 2
Housing 2
Water supply 1
Electoral fraud 1
Gas prices 1
Homelessness 1
Opioid/drug abuse 1
Race relations 1
Redistricting 1
State budget cuts 1
Taxes 1
Voting rights 1
Utility rates 1
Transportation/roads/traffic 1
Social welfare programs 0
State government spending 0
Property rights 0
The media 0
Coronavirus/COVID-19 0
Oil prices 0
Page 4 of 46
Retrospective Assessments
Q6. How would you rate the job Joe Biden is doing as president? Would you say that you…
Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

strongly somewhat approve nor somewhat strongly know APPROVE DISAPPROVE
disapprove
Oct. 2023 14 23 10 10 43 1 37 53
Aug. 2023 17 21 8 9 43 1 38 52
June 2023 16 22 11 7 43 1 38 50
Apr. 2023 17 23 9 7 42 2 40 49
Feb. 2023 18 23 8 8 42 2 41 50
Dec. 2022 18 24 7 7 43 1 42 50
Oct. 2022 17 22 8 8 44 2 39 52
Aug. 2022 18 22 8 8 44 1 40 52
June 2022 15 20 10 8 47 1 35 55
Apr. 2022 17 20 8 9 45 1 37 54
Feb. 2022 15 21 10 9 43 1 36 52
Oct. 2021 16 19 9 7 48 2 35 55
Aug. 2021 20 20 8 5 46 1 40 51
June 2021 24 19 8 5 42 2 43 47
Apr. 2021 27 17 10 5 41 1 44 46
Mar. 2021 26 18 11 5 39 1 44 44
Q7. How would you rate the job the U.S. Congress is doing? Would you say that you…

disapprove
Oct. 2023 3 16 18 24 36 2 19 60
Aug. 2023 4 17 20 26 30 3 21 56
June 2023 5 19 22 26 26 3 24 52
Apr. 2023 5 20 20 27 25 4 25 52
Feb. 2023 4 18 23 23 27 4 22 50
Dec. 2022 5 24 17 19 31 3 29 50
Oct. 2022 5 19 18 21 34 3 24 55
Aug. 2022 7 19 17 18 37 2 26 55
June 2022 3 15 17 22 40 3 18 62
Apr. 2022 3 17 20 19 37 3 20 56
Feb. 2022 4 17 18 21 37 4 21 58
Oct. 2021 3 16 17 19 42 4 19 61
Aug. 2021 4 17 17 19 40 4 21 59
June 2021 3 14 18 20 41 3 17 61
Apr. 2021 4 20 17 18 37 3 24 55
Mar. 2021 7 22 19 13 36 3 29 49
Feb. 2021 7 15 17 14 43 4 22 57
Oct. 2020 5 15 17 23 37 3 20 60
June 2020 4 15 16 26 36 3 19 62
Apr. 2020 6 17 18 24 32 3 23 56
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Feb. 2020 5 13 16 19 42 4 18 61
Oct. 2019 7 14 18 23 35 4 21 58
June 2019 4 14 19 21 39 3 18 60
Feb. 2019 4 14 18 26 35 3 18 61
Oct. 2018 4 22 16 19 38 2 26 57
June 2018 3 15 18 21 38 4 18 59
Feb. 2018 2 17 16 22 39 3 19 61
Oct. 2017 2 10 15 24 45 3 12 69
June 2017 2 13 15 24 43 4 15 67
Feb. 2017 5 21 20 18 32 5 26 50
Oct. 2016 2 8 18 27 41 4 10 68
June 2016 2 8 16 24 45 5 10 69
Feb. 2016 2 10 17 24 43 4 12 67
Oct. 2015 2 8 17 25 46 3 10 71
June 2015 2 13 21 26 36 2 15 62
Feb. 2015 3 17 19 24 34 3 20 58
Oct. 2014 2 12 13 30 41 2 14 71
June 2014 3 8 15 24 48 3 11 72
Feb. 2014 3 8 15 23 49 2 11 72
Oct. 2013 2 6 12 21 56 3 8 77
June 2013 2 10 16 23 46 2 12 69
Feb. 2013 3 11 12 23 48 3 14 71
Oct. 2012 1 10 18 26 43 3 11 69
May 2012 1 9 16 23 48 3 10 71
Feb. 2012 1 10 14 26 47 2 11 73
Oct. 2011 2 9 10 26 51 2 11 77
May 2011 1 15 19 27 35 3 16 62
Feb. 2011 1 17 19 26 32 4 18 58
Oct. 2009 2 12 11 22 49 4 14 71
June 2009 2 18 22 22 36 0 20 58
Mar. 2009 4 22 22 15 37 0 26 52
Q7A. How would you rate the job the U.S. Supreme Court is doing? Would you say that you…

disapprove
Oct. 2023 9 30 20 15 24 3 39 39
Aug. 2023 10 28 18 14 28 3 38 42
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Q8A. How would you rate the job Greg Abbott is doing as Governor? Would you say that you…

disapprove
Oct. 2023 22 27 9 9 31 1 49 40
Aug. 2023 21 24 8 9 36 2 45 45
June 2023 19 28 10 8 34 2 47 42
Apr. 2023 22 24 10 8 33 2 46 41
Feb. 2023 21 25 10 8 35 2 46 43
Dec. 2022 24 25 9 7 34 1 49 41
Oct. 2022 23 24 7 9 35 2 47 44
Aug. 2022 22 24 8 8 36 2 46 44
June 2022 18 25 11 9 37 1 43 46
Apr. 2022 22 25 11 7 34 2 47 41
Feb. 2022 17 27 12 10 32 3 44 42
Oct. 2021 19 24 8 10 38 2 43 48
Aug. 2021 19 22 7 9 41 2 41 50
June 2021 24 20 10 8 36 1 44 44
Apr. 2021 19 24 11 13 32 2 43 45
Mar. 2021 22 23 10 9 34 1 45 43
Feb. 2021 21 25 12 12 27 3 46 39
Oct. 2020 20 27 12 16 24 2 47 40
June 2020 29 20 10 13 26 3 49 39
Apr. 2020 31 25 9 14 18 4 56 32
Feb. 2020 30 18 11 10 24 7 48 34
Oct. 2019 30 22 15 9 19 6 52 28
June 2019 29 22 13 11 20 5 51 31
Feb. 2019 33 18 12 11 21 5 51 32
Oct. 2018 36 16 12 9 23 5 52 32
June 2018 27 20 13 12 24 5 47 36
Feb. 2018 28 18 18 8 23 5 46 31
Oct. 2017 27 21 14 11 22 5 48 33
June 2017 27 18 12 9 29 4 45 38
Feb. 2017 27 18 17 9 24 5 45 33
Oct. 2016 21 21 17 10 23 8 42 33
June 2016 20 22 19 10 21 8 42 31
Feb. 2016 18 23 24 9 20 6 41 29
Oct. 2015 20 22 21 10 19 7 42 29
June 2015 22 24 19 8 20 7 46 28
Oct. 2014 22 24 13 11 27 3 46 38
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Q8B. How would you rate the job Dan Patrick is doing as Lieutenant Governor? Would you say
that you…

disapprove
Oct. 2023 14 26 18 7 28 7 40 35
Aug. 2023 14 21 18 8 32 8 35 40
June 2023 15 23 18 6 29 9 38 35
Apr. 2023 18 24 14 7 29 9 42 36
Feb. 2023 15 23 14 7 32 8 38 39
Dec. 2022 19 24 14 5 31 7 43 36
Oct. 2022 19 18 14 7 32 10 37 39
Aug. 2022 17 21 16 5 32 9 38 37
June 2022 16 19 16 6 34 9 35 40
Apr. 2022 17 20 16 6 30 10 37 36
Feb. 2022 14 19 20 7 27 12 33 34
Oct. 2021 17 18 15 6 33 10 35 39
Aug. 2021 17 16 13 7 35 11 33 42
June 2021 19 17 16 6 31 11 36 37
Apr. 2021 19 16 15 6 33 11 35 39
Mar. 2021 22 15 17 6 31 10 37 37
Feb. 2021 20 17 15 5 31 12 37 36
Oct. 2020 18 19 13 6 31 12 37 37
June 2020 22 17 12 6 32 11 39 38
Apr. 2020 20 20 13 7 29 11 40 36
Feb. 2020 21 18 13 7 28 12 39 35
Oct. 2019 22 17 15 9 23 14 39 32
June 2019 22 19 18 6 25 11 41 31
Feb. 2019 24 18 16 6 25 10 42 31
Oct. 2018 27 17 14 5 26 11 44 31
June 2018 18 18 18 8 26 12 36 34
Feb. 2018 19 17 21 8 25 10 36 33
Oct. 2017 16 20 19 7 24 13 36 31
June 2017 15 19 18 8 28 11 34 36
Feb. 2017 16 16 24 8 23 14 32 31
Oct. 2016 12 19 20 9 22 18 31 31
June 2016 12 19 24 8 22 15 31 30
Feb. 2016 8 19 30 7 20 16 27 27
Oct. 2015 10 19 28 9 17 16 29 26
June 2015 13 19 28 8 16 15 32 24
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Q8C. How would you rate the job Dade Phelan is doing as Speaker of the Texas House of
Representatives? Would you say that you...

disapprove
Oct. 2023 5 17 25 11 20 21 22 31
Aug. 2023 5 15 27 11 20 22 20 31
June 2023 6 16 27 11 18 23 22 29
Apr. 2023 8 18 22 8 16 26 26 24
Feb. 2023 6 15 25 9 16 28 21 25
Dec. 2022 7 17 25 8 16 26 24 24
Oct. 2022 7 14 23 9 18 29 21 27
Aug. 2021 8 15 21 9 23 24 23 32
June 2021 5 15 25 8 19 28 20 27
Apr. 2021 6 14 26 8 14 31 20 22
Mar. 2021 6 13 29 8 13 31 19 21
Feb. 2021 7 15 30 6 12 30 22 18
Q8D. How would you rate the job Ken Paxton is doing as Attorney General? Would you say that
you…

disapprove
Oct. 2023 15 18 16 8 34 9 33 42
Aug. 2023 12 15 18 9 37 10 27 46
June 2023 12 18 18 8 33 10 30 41
Apr. 2023 17 22 15 7 28 11 39 35
Feb. 2023 14 21 15 6 32 11 35 38
Dec. 2022 19 22 13 6 31 8 41 37
Oct. 2022 17 19 13 9 30 13 36 39
Aug. 2022 18 19 15 7 31 10 37 38
June 2022 16 18 17 5 34 10 34 39
Apr. 2022 17 17 19 7 29 11 34 36
Feb. 2022 16 16 20 8 27 13 32 35
Oct. 2021 19 16 13 7 30 15 35 37
Aug. 2021 19 16 16 6 32 12 35 38
June 2021 17 16 19 6 30 13 33 36
Apr. 2021 17 15 16 6 30 15 32 36
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[RANDOMIZE Q9A-Q9B]
Q9A. How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. Senator? Would you say that you…

disapprove
Oct. 2023 23 22 10 7 35 3 45 42
Aug. 2023 22 20 10 7 38 3 42 45
June 2023 23 22 11 6 36 3 45 42
Apr. 2023 23 22 10 7 34 4 45 41
Feb. 2023 21 19 9 7 39 4 40 46
Dec. 2022 25 19 8 8 36 3 44 44
Oct. 2022 24 19 9 7 37 4 43 44
Aug. 2022 22 20 10 7 37 3 42 44
June 2022 22 19 10 5 40 3 41 45
Apr. 2022 24 19 10 6 37 3 43 43
Feb. 2022 21 18 13 8 35 5 39 43
Oct. 2021 30 15 7 6 38 5 45 44
Aug. 2021 28 14 8 5 41 3 42 46
June 2021 31 12 8 6 40 3 43 46
Apr. 2021 31 12 6 8 40 3 43 48
Mar. 2021 28 15 8 5 41 4 43 46
Feb. 2021 33 12 8 5 38 4 45 43
Oct. 2020 31 15 8 6 36 4 46 42
June 2020 30 16 9 9 33 4 46 42
Apr. 2020 29 16 9 7 32 6 45 39
Feb. 2020 29 13 7 8 36 7 42 44
Oct. 2019 28 18 8 9 30 7 46 39
June 2019 27 20 10 8 31 4 47 39
Feb. 2019 31 15 9 7 34 4 46 41
Oct. 2018 34 13 8 5 37 3 47 42
June 2018 21 18 13 8 33 7 39 41
Feb. 2018 22 18 12 9 32 7 40 41
Oct. 2017 19 19 13 12 31 5 38 43
June 2017 21 17 12 9 35 6 38 44
Feb. 2017 20 18 14 10 29 9 38 39
Oct. 2016 16 19 13 11 34 7 35 45
June 2016 18 17 13 12 31 9 35 43
Feb. 2016 18 19 15 10 32 6 37 42
Oct. 2015 27 17 11 9 28 9 44 37
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Q9B. How would you rate the job John Cornyn is doing as U.S. Senator? Would you say that
you…

disapprove
Oct. 2023 9 21 20 14 25 10 30 39
Aug. 2023 8 20 19 15 27 11 28 42
June 2023 10 23 18 15 24 10 33 39
Apr. 2023 11 22 18 13 25 11 33 38
Feb. 2023 10 20 16 15 28 11 30 43
Dec. 2022 13 22 16 15 25 9 35 40
Oct. 2022 11 21 15 16 26 12 32 42
Aug. 2022 8 21 19 15 27 10 29 42
June 2022 7 17 16 18 32 10 24 50
Apr. 2022 10 22 19 13 26 10 32 39
Feb. 2022 9 22 22 11 24 12 31 35
Oct. 2021 10 19 16 16 28 11 29 44
Aug. 2021 10 18 17 13 31 10 28 44
June 2021 13 21 16 12 29 8 34 41
Apr. 2021 12 19 15 13 30 10 31 43
Mar. 2021 12 21 16 14 28 9 33 42
Feb. 2021 12 20 18 13 29 8 32 42
Oct. 2020 18 21 12 11 28 10 39 39
June 2020 15 21 13 13 27 11 36 40
Apr. 2020 15 23 13 10 26 13 38 36
Feb. 2020 16 20 13 9 30 12 36 39
Oct. 2019 15 20 16 10 24 15 35 34
June 2019 14 23 17 11 23 12 37 34
Feb. 2019 15 21 18 13 22 11 36 35
Oct. 2018 17 22 15 9 25 13 39 34
June 2018 8 19 21 14 24 13 27 38
Feb. 2018 10 19 23 15 23 10 29 38
Oct. 2017 7 21 18 15 27 12 28 42
June 2017 9 19 18 14 27 12 28 41
Feb. 2017 11 19 22 12 22 14 30 34
Oct. 2016 8 20 22 14 22 15 28 36
June 2016 7 17 24 14 21 17 24 35
Feb. 2016 7 20 26 14 18 15 27 32
Oct. 2015 7 20 22 16 18 16 27 34
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[RANDOMIZE Q9C-Q9E]
Q9C. How would you rate the job Kevin McCarthy has done as Speaker of the U.S. House of
Representatives? Would you say that you...

disapprove
Oct. 2023 6 18 19 16 31 10 24 47
June 2023 10 23 18 15 24 10 33 39
Q9D. How would you rate the job Mitch McConnell is doing as Senate Minority Leader? Would
you say that you...

disapprove
Oct. 2023 3 14 20 17 39 6 17 56
Feb. 2020 15 18 11 7 39 10 33 46
Oct. 2019 8 18 20 9 32 11 26 41
Q9E. How would you rate the job Chuck Schumer is doing as Senate Majority Leader? Would
you say that you...
Q9E Percent
Approve strongly 11
Approve somewhat 19
Neither approve nor disapprove 18
Disapprove somewhat 8
Disapprove strongly 33
Don't know 11
Q9F. How would you rate the job Hakeem Jeffries is doing as House Minority Leader? Would
you say that you...
Q9F Percent
Approve strongly 12
Approve somewhat 16
Neither approve nor disapprove 21
Disapprove somewhat 7
Disapprove strongly 23
Don't know 20
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Q10. Thinking about the country, do you think that things are headed in the right direction, or do
you think that things are headed off on the wrong track?
Right direction Wrong track Don't know

Oct. 2023 20 71 9
Aug. 2023 22 68 10
June 2023 22 70 9
Apr. 2023 21 68 11
Feb. 2023 25 65 10
Dec. 2022 23 65 12
Oct. 2022 21 69 10
Aug. 2022 21 69 10
June 2022 16 76 8
Apr. 2022 23 66 11
Feb. 2022 23 66 10
Oct. 2021 20 70 10
Aug. 2021 25 64 11
June 2021 31 57 12
Apr. 2021 32 57 12
Mar. 2021 32 56 12
Feb. 2021 31 56 12
Oct. 2020 29 62 9
June 2020 30 62 9
Apr. 2020 39 52 9
Feb. 2020 40 49 11
Oct. 2019 37 54 9
June 2019 40 50 10
Feb. 2019 39 53 9
Oct. 2018 42 49 9
June 2018 41 47 11
Feb. 2018 39 50 11
Oct. 2017 29 61 10
June 2017 34 54 12
Feb. 2017 39 49 12
Oct. 2016 22 67 11
June 2016 18 70 12
Feb. 2016 22 66 12
Oct. 2015 22 68 10
June 2015 23 64 14
Feb. 2015 26 59 15
Oct. 2014 25 65 10
June 2014 23 65 13
Feb. 2014 25 63 12
Oct. 2013 20 69 11
June 2013 28 60 11
Feb. 2013 29 62 9
Oct. 2012 31 58 11
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May 2012 25 61 14
Feb. 2012 28 61 11
Oct. 2011 14 75 11
May 2011 24 63 14
Feb. 2011 26 59 15
Oct. 2010 25 64 11
May 2010 26 62 11
Feb. 2010 31 56 13
Oct. 2009 32 59 10
Q11. Compared to a year ago, would you say that the national economy is a lot better off,
somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?
A lot better Somewhat About the Somewhat A lot worse Don't know TOTAL TOTAL
off better off same worse off off BETTER WORSE
Oct. 2023 6 17 20 22 33 2 23 55
Aug. 2023 7 18 19 23 31 1 25 54
June 2023 6 17 22 23 31 1 23 54
Apr. 2023 5 18 19 24 31 3 23 55
Feb. 2023 6 18 19 22 31 3 24 53
Dec. 2022 5 15 18 23 36 3 20 59
Oct. 2022 4 13 17 22 40 4 17 62
Aug. 2022 5 15 17 21 39 3 20 60
June 2022 4 10 11 25 48 2 14 73
Apr. 2022 6 15 15 21 42 2 21 63
Feb. 2022 7 17 19 21 32 3 24 53
Oct. 2021 5 19 18 19 36 4 24 55
Aug. 2021 8 22 19 19 28 4 30 47
June 2021 11 23 19 19 24 0 34 43
Apr. 2021 8 23 22 20 23 0 31 43
Feb. 2021 4 11 20 26 35 4 15 61
Oct. 2020 8 9 13 29 38 2 17 67
June 2020 6 11 10 29 41 3 17 70
Apr. 2020 10 11 11 19 45 4 21 64
Feb. 2020 26 22 25 16 8 3 48 24
Oct. 2019 24 21 24 16 8 6 45 24
June 2019 26 21 23 18 8 3 47 26
Feb. 2019 27 22 23 15 9 3 49 24
Oct. 2018 32 19 26 12 7 4 51 19
June 2018 26 25 23 14 8 4 51 22
Feb. 2018 25 28 26 13 6 2 53 19
Oct. 2017 18 25 33 16 6 3 43 22
June 2017 14 28 30 18 7 3 42 25
Feb. 2017 12 28 36 11 9 4 40 20
Oct. 2016 8 20 29 25 15 4 28 40
June 2016 6 20 29 23 17 5 26 40
Feb. 2016 8 22 27 25 15 3 30 40
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Oct. 2015 7 25 28 23 14 3 32 37
June 2015 7 24 33 21 13 3 31 34
Feb. 2015 11 25 33 18 11 3 36 29
Oct. 2014 6 25 30 23 14 2 31 37
June 2014 7 24 26 25 16 2 31 41
Feb. 2014 5 24 28 23 17 2 29 40
Oct. 2013 5 20 25 25 24 1 25 49
June 2013 7 28 31 18 15 1 35 33
Oct. 2012 7 25 25 19 23 1 32 42
May 2012 4 24 29 20 19 4 28 39
Feb. 2012 4 25 30 19 20 2 29 39
Oct. 2011 2 12 25 28 31 2 14 59
May 2011 2 20 25 24 25 3 22 49
Feb. 2011 3 24 30 24 17 2 27 41
Oct. 2010 3 19 20 23 33 2 22 56
May 2010 5 23 24 15 32 1 28 47
Feb. 2010 3 25 19 23 29 1 28 52
Oct. 2009 5 19 16 23 36 1 24 59
Mar. 2009 2 4 13 33 48 0 6 81
Oct. 2008 1 3 10 34 52 0 4 86
Q12. Thinking about the State of Texas, do you think that things are headed in the right
direction, or do you think that things are headed off on the wrong track?
Right direction Wrong track Don't know

Oct. 2023 37 50 13
Aug. 2023 33 55 12
June 2023 38 49 13
Apr. 2023 37 50 13
Feb. 2023 35 51 14
Dec. 2022 39 46 14
Oct. 2022 37 50 13
Aug. 2022 36 52 12
June 2022 31 59 10
Apr. 2022 39 51 11
Feb. 2022 40 46 14
Oct. 2021 40 48 12
Aug. 2021 35 52 13
June 2021 41 43 16
Apr. 2021 42 42 16
Mar. 2021 41 46 14
Feb. 2021 39 41 20
Oct. 2020 41 44 15
June 2020 41 47 13
Apr. 2020 43 43 15
Feb. 2020 48 37 16
Page 15 of 46
Oct. 2019 47 35 17
June 2019 49 34 17
Feb. 2019 49 35 16
Oct. 2018 50 35 16
June 2018 46 37 16
Feb. 2018 48 36 15
Oct. 2017 43 40 16
June 2017 43 40 17
Feb. 2017 46 36 18
Oct. 2016 42 40 17
June 2016 41 38 22
Feb. 2016 42 37 21
Oct. 2015 45 36 19
June 2015 50 32 18
Feb. 2015 50 30 20
Oct. 2014 48 35 18
June 2014 49 33 17
Feb. 2014 45 35 20
Oct. 2013 42 39 19
June 2013 50 32 18
Feb. 2013 45 39 16
Oct. 2012 43 34 23
May 2012 38 42 21
Feb. 2012 43 38 19
Oct. 2011 39 43 17
May 2011 36 46 18
Feb. 2011 41 41 18
Oct. 2010 45 37 18
May 2010 45 38 17
Feb. 2010 43 37 20
Oct. 2009 38 39 23
Page 16 of 46
Q13. Compared to a year ago, would you say that you and your family are economically a lot
better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?
Oct. 2023 4 15 32 31 16 1 19 47
Aug. 2023 5 13 35 27 18 2 18 45
June 2023 4 15 36 28 14 1 19 42
Apr. 2023 5 16 33 29 15 3 21 44
Feb. 2023 3 13 35 29 17 2 16 46
Dec. 2022 4 12 36 30 16 3 16 46
Oct. 2022 4 9 35 32 17 2 13 49
Aug. 2022 5 12 38 26 16 3 17 42
June 2022 4 10 32 32 21 1 14 53
Apr. 2022 3 14 37 27 16 2 17 43
Feb. 2022 5 16 39 25 13 2 21 38
Oct. 2021 5 15 43 24 11 2 20 35
Aug. 2021 5 15 46 19 12 3 20 31
June 2021 5 18 49 18 7 4 23 25
Apr. 2021 5 16 53 16 7 3 21 23
Mar. 2021 5 17 49 20 8 2 22 28
Feb. 2021 5 13 49 19 10 5 18 29
Oct. 2020 9 14 44 20 11 2 23 31
June 2020 6 18 43 20 11 2 24 31
Apr. 2020 9 19 34 21 14 3 28 35
Feb. 2020 15 26 38 13 6 3 41 19
Oct. 2019 15 25 38 13 5 3 40 18
June 2019 15 25 37 14 5 3 40 19
Feb. 2019 12 28 39 13 6 2 40 19
Oct. 2018 12 27 39 13 6 3 39 19
June 2018 10 27 42 14 6 2 37 20
Feb. 2018 11 27 42 13 5 1 38 18
Oct. 2017 9 22 47 16 5 1 31 21
June 2017 5 20 52 15 5 1 25 20
Feb. 2017 6 21 50 16 7 1 27 23
Oct. 2016 5 22 44 19 8 2 27 27
June 2016 5 18 44 20 9 3 23 29
Feb. 2016 5 20 45 19 9 2 25 28
Oct. 2015 5 18 45 23 7 1 23 30
June 2015 5 21 48 17 7 2 26 24
Feb. 2015 6 21 44 21 7 2 27 28
Oct. 2014 5 22 42 23 7 1 27 30
June 2014 6 21 42 21 8 2 27 29
Feb. 2014 5 20 43 22 9 1 25 31
Oct. 2013 5 17 41 23 12 2 22 35
June 2013 6 19 44 23 7 1 25 30
Oct. 2012 6 17 43 23 11 1 23 34
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May 2012 4 15 48 19 13 2 19 32
Feb. 2012 4 16 45 23 11 1 20 34
Oct. 2011 3 13 40 27 15 1 16 42
May 2011 2 16 40 25 16 2 18 41
Feb. 2011 3 17 45 24 11 1 20 35
Oct. 2010 3 16 38 27 14 2 19 41
May 2010 4 16 41 25 13 1 20 38
Feb. 2010 3 14 40 29 12 1 17 41
Oct. 2009 3 14 39 27 16 1 17 43
Mar. 2009 3 14 42 27 14 0 17 41
Oct. 2008 4 16 38 29 14 0 20 43
Q14. Compared to a year ago, would you say that the Texas economy is a lot better off,
somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?
Oct. 2023 3 16 36 27 12 5 19 39
Aug. 2023 4 15 34 28 13 5 19 41
June 2023 6 15 40 24 11 4 21 35
Apr. 2023 5 16 37 24 13 6 21 37
Feb. 2023 4 15 37 26 12 6 19 38
Dec. 2022 3 13 36 30 12 6 16 42
Oct. 2022 3 12 32 32 15 6 15 47
Aug. 2022 5 12 33 31 13 6 17 44
June 2022 3 10 24 37 21 5 13 58
Apr. 2022 4 16 30 29 14 6 20 43
Feb. 2022 4 19 34 26 11 6 23 37
Oct. 2021 5 16 34 29 9 8 21 38
Aug. 2021 4 21 34 24 10 7 25 34
June 2021 6 25 32 22 6 9 31 28
Apr. 2021 5 18 37 26 7 7 23 33
Mar. 2021 5 11 36 30 12 6 16 42
Feb. 2021 3 10 31 32 17 7 13 49
Oct. 2020 5 10 24 34 22 4 15 56
June 2020 5 11 21 36 21 6 16 57
Apr. 2020 7 15 19 26 28 6 22 54
Feb. 2020 20 23 36 11 4 6 43 15
Oct. 2019 17 25 35 13 3 8 42 16
June 2019 16 27 35 12 5 6 43 17
Feb. 2019 17 28 35 10 5 5 45 15
Oct. 2018 20 29 31 10 4 5 49 14
June 2018 13 30 34 12 4 7 43 16
Feb. 2018 13 30 38 13 3 3 43 16
Oct. 2017 8 27 41 16 3 5 35 19
June 2017 6 28 39 17 4 6 34 21
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Feb. 2017 6 22 49 11 5 6 28 16
Oct. 2016 3 22 45 19 5 5 25 24
June 2016 4 22 41 19 6 8 26 25
Feb. 2016 4 22 41 23 5 4 26 28
Oct. 2015 4 25 41 20 5 5 29 25
June 2015 5 28 44 14 4 4 33 18
Feb. 2015 6 26 47 14 3 4 32 17
Oct. 2014 9 32 40 12 4 3 41 16
[RANDOMIZE Q15A-Q15B]
Q15A. How well is democracy working in Texas today?
Extremely Very well Somewhat Somewhat Very Extremely Don't TOTAL TOTAL
well well poorly poorly poorly know/No WELL POORLY
opinion
Oct. 6 17 26 18 11 14 7 49 43
2023
Feb. 6 16 27 16 10 15 9 49 41
2022
Aug. 6 17 31 20 10 10 7 54 40
2021
Q15B. How well is democracy working in the U.S. today?
Extremely Very well Somewhat Somewhat Very Extremely Don't TOTAL TOTAL
well well poorly poorly poorly know/No WELL POORLY
opinion
Oct. 3 10 21 24 16 18 7 34 58
2023
Feb. 4 9 23 26 14 15 8 36 55
2022
Aug. 3 14 24 23 15 14 6 41 52
2021
Page 19 of 46
Political Figures and Elections
Q16. If the 2024 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Joe
Biden, probably vote to re-elect Joe Biden, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for
someone else?
Q16 Percent
Definitely vote to re-elect Joe Biden 23
Probably vote to re-elect Joe Biden 14
Probably vote for someone else 12
Definitely vote for someone else 51
Q17. If the 2024 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in
[RANDOMIZE ‘the Republican primary’, ‘the Democratic primary’] the Republican primary,
the Democratic primary, or wouldn’t you vote in either primary? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]
Q17 Percent
Republican primary 47
Democratic primary 35
Wouldn't vote in either primary 10
Don't know 8
Q18A. [ASK IF Q17 == 1] If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held
today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]
(N=568, margin of error is +/- 4.11%)
Q18A Percent
Donald Trump 62
Ron DeSantis 13
Nikki Haley 7
Mike Pence 3
Vivek Ramaswamy 3
Asa Hutchinson 1
Chris Christie 1
Tim Scott 1
Will Hurd 1
Doug Burgum 0
Someone else 1
Anyone/Any of them 1
No one/None of them 0
Page 20 of 46
Q18B. [ASK IF Q18A == 1-10] Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your
second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion? [REMOVE
CHOICE FROM Q18A. RANDOMIZE ALL BUT “Haven’t thought enough about it to have
an opinion”]
Q18B Percent
Ron DeSantis 32
Nikki Haley 12
Vivek Ramaswamy 12
Mike Pence 8
Tim Scott 7
Donald Trump 6
Chris Christie 3
Asa Hutchinson 1
Doug Burgum 1
Will Hurd 1
Haven't thought about it enough to have an 17
opinion
*Will Hurd dropped out of the Republican presidential nomination contest during survey fielding.
Q18C. [ASK IF Q17 == 1] Are there any of these candidates for the Republican nomination for
president whom you would definitely not support? [REMOVE CHOICE FROM Q18A AND
Q18B. RANDOMIZE REMAINING CHOICES] [GRID AND SELECT ALL THAT APPLY]
Would Not Support

Chris Christie 46
Mike Pence 42
Donald Trump 38
Vivek Ramaswamy 23
Ron DeSantis 22
Asa Hutchinson 21
Nikki Haley 20
Will Hurd 18
Doug Burgum 15
Tim Scott 9
*Will Hurd dropped out of the Republican presidential nomination contest during survey fielding.
Page 21 of 46
Q19A. [ASK IF Q17 == 2] Which of the following potential 2024 Democratic U.S. Senate
primary candidates have you heard of? [RANDOMIZE 1-14] [SELECT ALL THAT APPLY]
Have heard of Have NOT heard of

Colin Allred 41 59
Roland Gutierrez 30 70
Mark A. Gonzalez 16 84
Steve Keough 13 87
Sherri Taylor 10 90
Aaron Arguijo 9 91
Teresa Naranjo 9 91
Meri Gomez 8 92
Tracy Andrus 7 93
John Love III 7 93
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman 7 93
Thierry Tchenko 7 93
Carl Sherman 7 93
Victor D. Dunn 6 94
Q19B. [ASK IF Q17 == 2] If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held
today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]
Q19B Percent
Colin Allred 21
Roland Gutierrez 10
Sherri Taylor 3
Meri Gomez 2
Steve Keough 2
Tracy Andrus 2
Thierry Tchenko 2
Mark A. Gonzalez 2
Carl Sherman 2
Teresa Naranjo 2
Aaron Arguijo 1
Someone else 1
John Love III 1
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman 1
Victor D. Dunn 0
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion 34
Don't know 12
Page 22 of 46
[RANDOMIZE Q20A-Q20F]
Q20A. If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE
ORDER “Joe Biden”, “Donald Trump”] Joe Biden and Donald Trump, who would you vote
for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?
Q20A Percent
Joe Biden 37
Donald Trump 45
Someone else 13
Q20B. If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE
ORDER “Joe Biden”, “Ron DeSantis”] Joe Biden and Ron DeSantis, who would you vote for,
or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?
Q20B Percent
Joe Biden 38
Ron DeSantis 39
Someone else 16
Q20C. If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE
ORDER “Joe Biden”, “Vivek Ramaswamy”] Joe Biden and Vivek Ramaswamy, who would
you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?
Q20C Percent
Joe Biden 36
Vivek Ramaswamy 33
Someone else 20
Q20D. If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE
ORDER “Joe Biden”, “Nikki Haley”] Joe Biden and Nikki Haley, who would you vote for, or
haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?
Q20D Percent
Joe Biden 34
Nikki Haley 32
Someone else 23
Page 23 of 46
Q20E. If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE
ORDER “Joe Biden”, “Tim Scott”] Joe Biden and Tim Scott, who would you vote for, or
Q20E Percent
Joe Biden 34
Tim Scott 33
Someone else 19
Q20F. If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE
ORDER “Joe Biden”, “Mike Pence”] Joe Biden and Mike Pence, who would you vote for, or
Q20F Percent
Joe Biden 36
Mike Pence 29
Someone else 29
Q21. If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for
the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to
have an opinion?
Q21 Percent
The Republican candidate 47
The Democratic candidate 38
Someone else 6
Don't know/No opinion 9
Page 24 of 46
Q22A. Regardless of how you intend to vote in the 2024 election, do you feel like the
Republican Party is welcoming to people like you?
Yes No Don't know/No opinion

Oct. 2023 48 41 11
Oct. 2022 49 42 9
Oct. 2020 47 44 9
Oct. 2019 47 42 12
Oct. 2018 47 44 8
Oct. 2017 41 44 15
Oct. 2016 32 53 15
Q22B. Regardless of how you intend to vote in the 2024 election, do you feel like the
Democratic Party is welcoming to people like you?

Oct. 2023 43 47 11
Oct. 2022 43 45 12
Oct. 2020 43 47 11
Oct. 2019 43 46 11
Oct. 2018 43 49 9
Oct. 2017 41 45 14
Oct. 2016 39 49 13
Page 25 of 46
Q23A. Do you think Joe Biden…[GRID WITH RESPONSE OPTIONS “Yes”, “No”, “Don’t
know”] [RANDOMIZE A-G]
Yes No Don't know

has the temperament to serve effectively as president? 41 54 5
is honest and trustworthy? 36 55 9
is competent? 35 57 7
cares about people like you? 38 56 6
is a strong leader? 31 64 5
is knowledgeable? 44 51 5
is too old to be president in 2025? 69 22 9
Q23B. Do you think Donald Trump…[GRID WITH RESPONSE OPTIONS “Yes”, “No”, “Don’t
know”] [RANDOMIZE A-G]
Yes No Don't know

has the temperament to serve effectively as president? 42 53 6
is honest and trustworthy? 36 55 9
is competent? 51 45 3
cares about people like you? 42 51 7
is a strong leader? 56 41 3
is knowledgeable? 52 44 4
is too old to be president in 2025? 37 54 9
Page 26 of 46
Q24. How much have you heard in the news about each of the following: [GRID WITH
RESPONSE OPTIONS: “A lot”, “Some”, “Not very much”, “Nothing at all”] [RANDOMIZE
A-H]
A lot Not very much Nothing at all Some

The legal problems of former president
65 7 2 26
Donald Trump
The U.S. House of Representatives’
vote to remove Kevin McCarthy as 52 10 6 31
Speaker
The legal problems of Hunter Biden 48 10 4 38
Texas’s placement of buoys and barbed
wire at the Rio Grande River to deter 44 11 8 37
migration
The impeachment and Senate trial of
39 14 8 40
Attorney General Ken Paxton
U.S. House impeachment investigation
28 18 8 45
of Joe Biden
The special session of the Texas
Legislature called by Governor Greg 19 26 17 37
Abbott
The November 2023 Constitutional
10 32 26 32
Amendment Election in Texas
Q27. Based on what you know, do you think that Congress is justified in conducting
impeachment investigations into Joe Biden?
Q27 Percent
Yes 49
No 33
Unsure 12
Q28. Based on what you know, do you think that Joe Biden has taken actions that justify his
removal from office before the end of his term?
Q28 Percent
Yes 42
No 37
Unsure 14
Page 27 of 46
[RANDOMIZE Q29-Q30]
Q29. Please tell us whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, neither favorable
nor unfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of the FBI.
Very favorable Somewhat Neither Somewhat Very Don't TOTAL TOTAL

favorable favorable nor unfavorable unfavorable know/No FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE
unfavorable opinion
Oct. 2023 11 27 20 16 22 3 38 38
Aug. 2022 15 23 20 13 26 4 38 39
Oct. 2018 11 27 24 21 10 6 38 31
June 2018 15 26 22 16 13 8 41 29
Feb. 2018 17 25 22 18 12 4 42 30
June 2017 11 34 24 17 9 5 45 26
Q30. Please tell us whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, neither favorable
nor unfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Russia.
Very favorable Somewhat Neither Somewhat Very Don't TOTAL TOTAL

favorable favorable nor unfavorable unfavorable know/No FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE
unfavorable opinion
Oct. 2023 3 8 18 15 54 3 11 69
Dec. 2022 2 5 11 12 65 4 7 77
June 2017 4 7 27 22 34 6 11 56
Q31. Do you approve or disapprove of the way each of the following has handled the
impeachment and trial of Attorney General Ken Paxton? [GRID WITH RESPONSE OPTIONS
“Approve strongly”, “Approve somewhat”, “Neither approve nor disapprove”,
“Disapprove somewhat”, “Disapprove strongly”, “Don’t know”] [RANDOMIZE A-E]

strongly somewhat approve somewhat strongly know APPROVE DISAPPROVE
nor
disapprove
The Texas House
of Representatives 10 22 21 10 19 18 32 29
The Texas Senate 10 23 19 10 21 17 33 31
Lieutenant
Governor Dan 9 20 21 8 23 19 29 31
Patrick
Speaker of the the
Texas House Dade 7 17 22 9 20 24 24 29
Phelan
Governor Greg
Abbott 15 20 17 8 25 16 35 33
Page 28 of 46
Q32. Based on what you know, do you think that the Texas House of Representatives was
justified in impeaching Attorney General Ken Paxton?
Yes, justified No, not justified Don't know/No opinion

Oct. 2023 47 26 27
Aug. 2023 50 17 33
June 2023 50 17 33
Q33. Based on what you know, do you think that Ken Paxton took actions while Attorney
General that justify removing him from elected office?

Oct. 2023 46 27 27
Aug. 2023 47 18 35
Page 29 of 46
Policy Questions
Q34. Below is a list of potential priorities for the legislature to address in the K-12 public
education system in Texas. How important do you think it is for the Texas Legislature to address
each of the following? [GRID WITH RESPONSE OPTION “Extremely important”, “Very
important”, “Somewhat important”, “Not very important”, “Not important”, “Don’t
know/No opinion”] [RANDOMIZE A-H]
Extremely Very Somewhat Not very Not Don't know/No

important important important important important opinion
School safety 60 23 12 2 2 2
Curriculum content (i.e.
45 28 14 6 4 3
what students are taught)
Teacher pay / teacher
44 27 18 5 4 3
retention
Parental rights 44 27 15 7 4 3
Public school financing 39 32 18 5 3 4
Facilities and school
infrastructure additions or 31 31 25 7 4 4
improvements
Vouchers, educational
savings accounts (ESAs),
25 25 19 10 15 6
or other “school choice”
legislation
Q34A. And which of the following public education priorities do you think is the MOST
IMPORTANT for the Texas Legislature to address? [RANDOMIZE 1-7]
Q34A Percent
School safety 30
Teacher pay / teacher retention 19
Curriculum content (i.e. what students are taught) 14
Parental rights 12
Public school financing 9
Vouchers, educational savings accounts (ESAs), or other “school choice" legislation 7
Facilities and school infrastructure additions or improvements 6
Page 30 of 46
Q35. Do you think that Texas state government spends too much, too little, or about the right
amount on K-12 public education?
Too much About the right Too little Don't know/No

amount opinion
Oct. 2023 12 28 45 30
Aug. 2023 11 22 51 32
Feb. 2023 12 28 48 24
Feb. 2021 13 26 50 20
Feb. 2020 12 21 50 34
June 2019 11 23 53 0
Feb. 2019 9 18 55 18
Oct. 2012 11 23 52 14
Q36. How much have you heard in the news about efforts by state officials to establish a
voucher, educational savings account (ESA), or other “school choice” program in Texas?
Q36 Percent
A lot 18
Some 39
Not very much 28
Nothing at all 15
Q37. Based on what you’ve heard, do you support or oppose establishing a voucher,
educational savings account (ESA), or other “school choice” program in Texas?
Q37 Percent
Strongly support 24
Somewhat support 27
Somewhat oppose 10
Strongly oppose 20
Page 31 of 46
Q38. Regardless of whether you support or oppose the state of Texas establishing a voucher,
educational savings account (ESA), or other “school choice” program, do you think it would
have a positive impact, negative impact, or no impact on each of the following...[GRID WITH
RESPONSE OPTIONS “Large positive impact”, “Small positive impact”, “No impact”,
“Small negative impact”, “Large negative impact”, “Don’t know/No opinion”]
[RANDOMIZE A-C]
Large Small No Small Large Don't TOTAL TOTAL

positive positive impact negative negative know/No POSITIVE NEGATIVE
impact impact impact impact opinion IMPACT IMPACT
The quality of the 28 21 11 7 20 12 49 27
public school system in
Texas
Public school funding 23 18 14 9 23 13 41 32
Student learning 32 23 12 6 14 12 55 20
outcomes
Q39. Regardless of whether you support or oppose the state of Texas establishing a voucher,
educational savings account (ESA), or other “school choice” program, do you think it would
have a positive impact, negative impact, or no impact on each of the following...[GRID WITH
RESPONSE OPTIONS “Large positive impact”, “Small positive impact”, “No impact”,
“Small negative impact”, “Large negative impact”, “Don’t know/No opinion”]
[RANDOMIZE A-C]
Large Small No Small Large Don't TOTAL TOTAL

positive positive impact negative negative know/No POSITIVE NEGATIVE
impact impact impact impact opinion IMPACT IMPACT
Urban public schools 21 22 16 11 15 15 43 26
Suburban public 21 22 16 11 15 15 43 26
schools
Rural public schools 19 22 18 8 18 15 41 26
Q40. Do you think the U.S. is doing too much, too little, or about the right amount in response to
the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
Too much Too little Right amount Don't know/No

opinion
Oct. 2023 37 19 31 13
Aug. 2023 36 21 30 13
June 2023 35 22 30 14
Apr. 2023 32 21 32 15
Feb. 2023 30 21 32 17
Dec. 2022 29 22 34 15
June 2022 28 27 25 21
Apr. 2022 15 39 29 17
Page 32 of 46
Q41. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Protesters who entered the United
States Capitol January 6th, 2021 were attempting to overturn the results of the 2020 election.
Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Don't TOTAL TOTAL

agree agree disagree disagree know/No AGREE DISAGRE
opinion E
Oct. 2023 38 16 11 25 10 54 36
Aug. 2023 39 15 10 25 10 54 35
June 2022 41 13 11 25 9 54 36
Feb. 2022 36 15 11 24 14 51 35
Q42. Regardless of whom you supported, do you think Joe Biden legitimately won the 2020
presidential election? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]
Yes No Not sure

Oct. 2023 54 35 12
Aug. 2023 56 35 9
Apr. 2023 56 34 10
Feb. 2023 56 35 9
Dec. 2022 57 32 11
Oct. 2022 53 35 12
Aug. 2022 52 36 12
June 2022 54 35 11
Feb. 2022 53 36 11
Page 33 of 46
Political Knowledge
[Randomize INFO1-INFO3]
INFO1. Who is the current Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts? [RANDOMIZE 1-4]
INFO1 Percent
Glenn Hegar 22
Sid Miller 8
Christi Craddick 6
George P. Bush 8
Don't know 57
INFO2. What majority of both houses of the U.S. Congress is needed to override a presidential
veto?
INFO2 Percent
More than two-thirds 71
More than three-fourths 9
More than one-half 7
Don't know 13
INFO3. Which political party holds the majority in the U.S. House of Representatives?
[RANDOMIZE 1-3]
INFO3 Percent
Republican Party 67
Democratic Party 19
Neither 2
Don't know 11
Page 34 of 46
Political Orientation
We’re almost done. Now we just have a few basic questions for statistical purposes.
LIBCON. On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4

is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself? [Wording on scale: (1) “Extremely
liberal,” (4) “In the middle,” (7) “Extremely conservative”]
LIBCON7 Percent
Extremely lib. 9
Somewhat lib. 14
Lean lib. 8
Moderate 29
Lean con. 9
Somewhat con. 17
Extremely con. 15
PID3. Generally speaking, would you say that you usually think of yourself as a…
PID3 Percent
Democrats 40
Independents 11
Republicans 49
PID7. (Uses the four PID3 follow-up questions)
PID7 Percent
StrDem 18
WeakDem 10
LeanDem 12
Ind 11
LeanRep 16
WeakRep 13
StrRep 21
Page 35 of 46
REPCON. [ASK IF PID7 >= 5] Overall, do you think that Republican elected officials in Texas
are conservative enough, too conservative, or not conservative enough?
REPCON Percent
Conservative enough 38
Too conservative 14
Not conservative enough 36
DEMLIB. [ASK IF PID7 <= 3] Overall, do you think that Democratic elected officials in Texas
are liberal enough, too liberal, or not liberal enough?
DEMLIB Percent
Liberal enough 34
Too liberal 12
Not liberal enough 40
Page 36 of 46
Demographics
AGE. Please indicate your age group.
AGEG Percent
18-29 18
30-44 25
45-64 35
65+ 23
LOCATE. Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?
LOCATE Percent
Urban 34
Suburban 49
Rural 18
METRO. Do you live in the Houston, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio, or Austin metropolitan
areas?
METRO Percent
Yes, I live in the Houston area 24
Yes, I live the Dallas-Fort Worth area 25
Yes, I live in the San Antonio area 11
Yes, I live in the Austin area 9
No, I live in another part of Texas 31
CHILD. How many children are currently living with you?
CHILD Percent
One 17
Two 14
Three 6
Four or more 2
None 61
SCHOOL. Do you have any children currently enrolled in school in Texas? (check all that
apply)
Percent
Yes, I have a child/children under 18 enrolled in public school in Texas. 19
Yes, I have a child/children under 18 enrolled in private school in Texas. 5
Yes, I have a child/children under 18 who are being home schooled in Texas. 2
No, I do not have any children under 18 in school in Texas. 74
Page 37 of 46
INCOME. In which category would you place your household income last year?
INCOME Percent
Less than $10,000 4
$10,000 - $19,999 5
$20,000 - $29,999 8
$30,000 - $39,999 8
$40,000 - $49,999 7
$50,000 - $59,999 8
$60,000 - $69,999 7
$70,000 - $79,999 7
$80,000 - $99,999 8
$100,000 - $119,999 8
$120,000 - $149,999 7
More than $150,000 10
Prefer not to say 12
AB. Generally speaking, do you consider yourself to be pro-life, pro-choice, or neither?
AB Percent
Pro-life 42
Pro-choice 43
Neither 11
Don't know 4
EDU. What is the highest level of education that you received?
EDU Percent
Less than high school 3
High school degree 25
Some college 20
Two-year college degree 12
Four-year college degree 27
Post-graduate degree 13
Page 38 of 46
RELIG. What is your primary religious affiliation, if any? [No open response on “other”]
RELIG Percent
Agnostic 3
Assembly of God 1
Atheist 3
Baptist 11
Born again 2
Buddhist 1
Catholic 24
Christian Scientist 0
Church of Christ 3
Church of God 1
Disciples of Christ 0
Don't know 1
Episcopal / Anglican 2
Evangelical 2
Hindu 0
Jehovah's Witnesses 0
Jewish 1
Lutheran 1
Methodist 5
Mormon 1
Muslim / Islam 1
No religious affiliation / none 8
Nondenominational Christian 8
Orthodox / Eastern Orthodox 0
Other 5
Pentecostal / charismatic / spirit-filled 3
Presbyterian 1
Protestant (non-specific) 3
Reformed 0
Religious but not spiritual 0
Spiritual but not religious 6
Unitarian / Universalist 1
Page 39 of 46
LITERAL. Which of these statements comes closest to describing your feelings about the Bible?
LITERAL Percent
The Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word. 31
The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for 43
word.
The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God. 20
Don't know. 6
IMPORT. How important is religion in your life?
IMPORT Percent
Extremely important 42
Somewhat important 29
Not very important 13
Not at all important 15
ATTEND. Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services or
participate in religious activities?
ATTEND Percent
More than once a week 15
Once a week 21
A few times a month 11
Once or twice a year 22
Never 32
RACE1. What race do you consider yourself to be?
race Percent
White / Blanco 55
Black 13
Hispanic 26
Asian 2
Native American 0
Mixed 1
Other 1
RACE2. [Ask if RACE ~= “Hispanic or Latino”] Do you happen to have a Hispanic-Latino

grandparent?
RACE2 Percent
Yes 1
No 97
Don't know 2
Page 40 of 46
NATIVE1. [Ask if RACE = “Hispanic or Latino”] Were you born in the United States or Puerto
Rico, or in another country?
NATIVE1 Percent
Born in the United States or Puerto Rico 82
Born in another country 17
Don't know 1
NATIVE2. [Ask NATIVE2 if answer 1 on NATIVE1] Were your parents born in the United
States or Puerto Rico, or another country?
NATIVE2 Percent
Both of my parents were born in the United 63
States or Puerto Rico
One of my parents was born in another country 20
Both of my parents were both in another country17
MOVE. Did you move to Texas from some other state?
MOVE Percent
Yes 38
No 62
Page 41 of 46
STATE. [ASK IF MOVE=1] Which state did you move from (most recently)? [DROPDOWN
LIST OF STATES]
STATE Percent
Alabama 1
Alaska 1
Arizona 3
Arkansas 2
California 13
Colorado 4
Connecticut 1
Delaware 0
Florida 7
Georgia 2
Guam 0
Hawaii 1
Idaho 0
Illinois 8
Indiana 2
Iowa 1
Kansas 1
Kentucky 1
Louisiana 6
Maryland 2
Massachusetts 0
Michigan 2
Minnesota 0
Mississippi 0
Missouri 2
Montana 1
Nebraska 1
Nevada 2
New Hampshire 0
New Jersey 2
New Mexico 4
New York 6
North Carolina 2
North Dakota 0
Not in the U.S. or Canada 2
Ohio 5
Oklahoma 3
Oregon 0
Pennsylvania 3
Puerto Rico 0
South Carolina 1
Utah 1
Virginia 2
Page 42 of 46
Washington 1
Wisconsin 1
VETERAN. Which of the following best describes your current situation? Please check all that
apply:
Percent
Active-duty military 1
Military veteran 13
Active-duty military in my immediate family 5
Military veteran in my immediate family 17
None of the above 69
HOME. Do you own or rent your home?
HOME Percent
Own 73
Rent 27
MARITAL. What is your marital status?
MARITAL Percent
Married 52
Separated 1
Divorced 9
Widowed 5
Single 28
Domestic Partnership 4
GENDER. What is your gender?
gender Percent
Male 47
Female 53
P20. In the 2020 presidential election, who did you vote for?
presvote20post Percent
Did not vote for President 9
Donald Trump 48
Howie Hawkins 0
Jo Jorgensen 1
Joe Biden 41
Sampling and Weighting Methodology for the October 2023 Texas
Page 43 of 46
Statewide Study
For the survey, YouGov interviewed 1,252 Texas registered voters between
October 5th – 17th, 2023 who were then matched down to a sample of 1,200
to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling
frame on gender, age, race, and education.1 The frame was constructed by
using different subsets of a politically representative "modelled frame" of US
adults, based upon the American Community Survey (ACS) public use
microdata file, public voter file records, the 2020 Current Population Survey
(CPS) Voting and Registration supplements, the 2020 National Election Pool
(NEP) exit poll, and the 2020 CES surveys, including demographics and 2020
presidential vote.
The matched cases were weighted to the sampling frame using propensity
scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic
regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score
function included age, gender, race/ethnicity and years of education. The
propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity
score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles. The weights
were then post-stratified on 2020 Presidential vote choice, and a four-way
stratification of gender, age (4-categories), race (4-categories), and
education (4-categories), to produce the final weight.
The margin of error for the entire sample of registered voters is +/-2.83%,
and 3.3% accounting for the weighted data.
Survey Panel Data
The YouGov panel, a proprietary opt-in survey panel, is comprised of 1.5

million U.S. residents who have agreed to participate in YouGov Web
surveys. At any given time, YouGov maintains a minimum of five
recruitment campaigns based on salient current events.
Panel members are recruited by a number of methods and on a variety of

topics to help ensure diversity in the panel population. Recruiting methods
include Web advertising campaigns (public surveys), permission-based email
campaigns, partner sponsored solicitations, telephone-to-Web recruitment
(RDD based sampling), and mail-to-Web recruitment (Voter Registration
Based Sampling).
The primary method of recruitment for the YouGov Panel is Web advertising
campaigns that appear based on keyword searches. In practice, a search in
Google may prompt an active YouGov advertisement soliciting opinion on the
search topic. At the conclusion of the short survey respondents are invited
to join the YouGov panel in order to receive and participate in additional
surveys. After a double opt-in procedure, where respondents must confirm
Page 44 of 46
their consent by responding to an email, the database checks to ensure the
newly recruited panelist is in fact new and that the address information
provided is valid.
The YouGov panel currently has over 20,000 active panelists who are
residents of Texas. These panelists cover a wide range of demographic
characteristics.
Sampling and Sample Matching
Sample matching is a methodology for selection of “representative” samples

from non-randomly selected pools of respondents. It is ideally suited for Web
access panels, but could also be used for other types of surveys, such as
phone surveys. Sample matching starts with an enumeration of the target
population. For general population studies, the target population is all
adults, and can be enumerated through the use of the decennial Census or a
high-quality survey, such as the American Community Survey. In other
contexts, this is known as the sampling frame, though, unlike conventional
sampling, the sample is not drawn from the frame. Traditional sampling,
then, selects individuals from the sampling frame at random for participation
in the study. This may not be feasible or economical as the contact
information, especially email addresses, is not available for all individuals in
the frame and refusals to participate increase the costs of sampling in this
way.
Sample selection using the matching methodology is a two-stage process.

First, a random sample is drawn from the target population. We call this
sample the target sample. Details on how the target sample is drawn are
provided below, but the essential idea is that this sample is a true probability
sample and thus representative of the frame from which it was drawn.
Second, for each member of the target sample, we select one or more
matching members from our pool of opt-in respondents. This is called the
matched sample. Matching is accomplished using a large set of variables
that are available in consumer and voter databases for both the target
population and the opt-in panel.
The purpose of matching is to find an available respondent who is as similar

as possible to the selected member of the target sample. The result is a
sample of respondents who have the same measured characteristics as the
target sample. Under certain conditions, described below, the matched
sample will have similar properties to a true random sample. That is, the
matched sample mimics the characteristics of the target sample.
When choosing the matched sample, it is necessary to find the closest
Page 45 of 46
matching respondent in the panel of opt-ins to each member of the target
sample. YouGov employs the proximity matching method to find the closest
matching respondent. For each variable used for matching, we define a
distance function, d(x,y), which describes how “close” the values x and y are
on a particular attribute. The overall distance between a member of the
target sample and a member of the panel is a weighted sum of the individual
distance functions on each attribute. The weights can be adjusted for each
study based upon which variables are thought to be important for that study,
though, for the most part, we have not found the matching procedure to be
sensitive to small adjustments of the weights. A large weight, on the other
hand, forces the algorithm toward an exact match on that dimension.
Page 46 of 46

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************CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT DOCUMENT************

Field Dates: October 5-17, 2023

Interest and Engagement

Extremely Very Somewhat Not too Not at all Don't know/No

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Right direction Wrong track Don't know

Right direction Wrong track Don't know

Q15B. How well is democracy working in the U.S. today?

(N=568, margin of error is +/- 4.11%)

(N=568, margin of error is +/- 4.11%)

(N=568, margin of error is +/- 4.11%)

Would Not Support

(N=409, margin of error is +/- 4.84%)

Have heard of Have NOT heard of

(N=409, margin of error is +/- 4.84%)

Yes No Don't know/No opinion

Yes No Don't know/No opinion

Yes No Don't know

Yes No Don't know

A lot Not very much Nothing at all Some

Very favorable Somewhat Neither Somewhat Very Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Very favorable Somewhat Neither Somewhat Very Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Approve Approve Neither Disapprove Disapprove Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Yes, justified No, not justified Don't know/No opinion

Yes No Don't know/No opinion

Extremely Very Somewhat Not very Not Don't know/No

Too much About the right Too little Don't know/No

Large Small No Small Large Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Large Small No Small Large Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Too much Too little Right amount Don't know/No

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Don't TOTAL TOTAL

Yes No Not sure

LIBCON. On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4

PID7. (Uses the four PID3 follow-up questions)

AGE. Please indicate your age group.

CHILD. How many children are currently living with you?

AB. Generally speaking, do you consider yourself to be pro-life, pro-choice, or neither?

EDU. What is the highest level of education that you received?

IMPORT. How important is religion in your life?

RACE1. What race do you consider yourself to be?

RACE2. [Ask if RACE ~= “Hispanic or Latino”] Do you happen to have a Hispanic-Latino

MOVE. Did you move to Texas from some other state?

HOME. Do you own or rent your home?

MARITAL. What is your marital status?

GENDER. What is your gender?

Sampling and Weighting Methodology for the October 2023 Texas

Survey Panel Data

The YouGov panel, a proprietary opt-in survey panel, is comprised of 1.5

Panel members are recruited by a number of methods and on a variety of

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT DOCUMENT