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Environmental Processes (2022) 9: 29

https://doi.org/10.1007/s40710-022-00577-9

REVIEW ARTICLE

Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review

Charalampos Nikolaos Roukounis1 · Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis1

Received: 2 February 2022 / Accepted: 4 April 2022 /Published online: 3 May 2022
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2022

Abstract
The objective of this paper is to identify and analyze relevant research of index-based
methods for the evaluation of climate change vulnerability and resilience of coastal areas.
We searched, retrieved, classified and reviewed papers on climate-change hazards, impacts,
vulnerability and resilience of coastal water systems and relevant infrastructure. For this,
Scopus, Science Direct, Thompson-Reuters Web of Science, Google Scholar, PubMed and
other relevant databases were used. The analysis of the state-of-the-art presented in this
paper acknowledges that using vulnerability and resilience indices in climate vulnerabil-
ity research is effective, providing a solid, efficient and user-friendly framework. However,
selection of index variables should be part of a holistic as well as dynamic approach to
identify not only areas in danger, but also the level of social vulnerability.

Keywords Climate change · Sea-level rise · Vulnerability Assessment · Vulnerability


index · Coastal infrastructure resilience

1 Introduction

Climate change (CC), alongside with rapid population growth and natural and manmade
disasters, require modern approaches to be addressed; forward-looking design can have
a profound impact on safety and prosperity of individuals and communities as a whole
(Rus et al. 2018). In everyday life, the term “vulnerability” is widely used. Comte et al.
(2019) claim that a consistent definition of vulnerability is not available. It is difficult for
a definition to include every assessment context, as it is used in different policies and sys-
tems exposed to diverse hazards (Nguyen et al. 2016). However, related to CC, the Inter-
governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC 2014) definition of vulnerability has been
acknowledged by researchers (e.g., Li et al. 2019; Gargiulo et al. 2020). It is defined as
“the propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. Vulnerability encompasses a

* Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis
[email protected]; [email protected]
Charalampos Nikolaos Roukounis
[email protected]
1
Centre for the Assessment of Natural Hazards and Proactive Planning & Laboratory
of Reclamation Works and Water Resources Management, School of Rural, Surveying
and Geoinformatics Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 9 Heroon Polytechniou
Str., 15780 Zographou, Athens, Greece

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29 Page 2 of 25 C. N. Roukounis, V. A. Tsihrintzis

variety of concepts and elements including sensitivity or susceptibility to harm and lack of
capacity to cope and adapt”.
According to Gargiulo et al. (2020), coastal vulnerability can be considered as the inte-
gration of sensitivity and social vulnerability of coastal areas. For this purpose, physical,
socio-environmental and socio-economic aspects of coastal areas are taken into consid-
eration. The analysis of vulnerability is occasionally carried out using complex indices
(Gargiulo et al. 2020). Vulnerability is also strictly linked with adaptation, as the adaptive
capacity is described as the ability of systems, institutions, humans and other organisms to
adjust and respond to potential damage, for example due to weather extremes (IPCC 2001,
2014).
In terms of social vulnerability, characteristics of communities as well as inequities
indicate an important factor in the ability of groups to respond to natural hazards and cli-
mate challenges (Cutter et al. 2003). Especially in coastal areas, social inequities, income,
race, ethnicity, and demographic data are key factors in people’s vulnerability to environ-
mental hazards (Li and Li 2011). Economic losses might be direct, affecting buildings,
crucial infrastructure and their operations (Asariotis et al. 2017), or indirect, affecting local
economy, causing issues in the supply chain, unemployment, investment decisions. The
use of susceptibility functions (or damage functions) is the most frequently applied method
(Meyer et al. 2013) to assess the direct costs related to natural hazards (e.g., Pistrika et al.
2014). Also, to assess indirect costs, economic models at local, regional or national level
are used (Meyer et al. 2013). Financial costs vary from one place to another, as developed
countries have higher property values and disaster insurance is affordable (Christian Aid
2021). However, it is rather difficult to define disaster cost, as it highly depends on the
purpose of the assessment and the consequential uncertainties regarding the indirect cost
(Hallegate and Przyluski 2010).
One question that needs to be addressed is “Why to use index-based approaches?” Indi-
ces are “measurable, observable quantities that serve as proxies for an aspect of a system
that cannot itself be directly adequately measured” (McIntosh and Becker 2017). Abstract
concepts like vulnerability and resilience can be visualized in spatial scales, using observa-
ble variables (McIntosh and Becker 2019). Within this approach, vague factors like “social
factors” could be specified, and thus, quantified using multiple variables (e.g., age, educa-
tion, unemployment) (Malone and Engle 2011).
In this study, a systematic review of assorted approaches applied globally is presented.
In Sect. 2, the methodology followed in the literature review is analyzed. Section 3 dis-
cusses climate change vulnerability and resilience indices for coastal areas found in the
literature. Section 4 briefly presents aggregation tools for the evaluation of the abovemen-
tioned indices. Finally, Sect. 5 presents the main conclusions and highlights gaps in the
literature.

2 Review Methodology

The goal of the review was to identify and analyze relevant research of index-based
methods for the evaluation of climate change vulnerability and resilience of coastal
areas. Understanding and quantifying the risk is the main challenge that occurs, and is
the first step in the development of an effective framework to address real-world cases.
The PRISMA 2020 methodology by Page et al. (2021) was followed, as it includes both
systematic reviews and meta-analyses. We searched, retrieved, classified and reviewed

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Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review Page 3 of 25 29

papers on climate-change vulnerability and resilience indices related to coastal water


systems and relevant infrastructure. For this, Scopus, Thompson-Reuters Web of Sci-
ence, PubMed, ScienceDirect, Google Scholar and other relevant databases were used.
The search strategy included free text terms such as “climate change vulnerability
index”, “coastal vulnerability indices”, “resilience of coastal areas to climate change”,
“climate change resilience index”, “climate change and socio-economic indicators”,
“coastal flood vulnerability”, “climate change and coastal flooding”. A summary of
1397 titles was revealed and screened by a single reviewer. The majority of the literature
was in English. One hundred thirty-six (136) records were assessed for eligibility to be
included in the study and 46 were finally included. The PRISMA flowchart is presented
in Fig. 1.

Fig. 1  PRISMA flowchart – Study methodology of excluded and included articles

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29 Page 4 of 25 C. N. Roukounis, V. A. Tsihrintzis

3 Addressing Vulnerability and Resilience in a Changing Climate

It is widely believed that coastal zones are exposed to diverse natural hazards under a
changing climate. Coastal areas and infrastructure should be designed to address these
challenges (Malliouri et al. 2017). The exposure level is affected by the land use of coastal
areas, the population and social factors, the shoreline type and the existing (and planned)
infrastructure. Current and future socio-environmental and socio-economic data are used
to develop different scenarios (Fig. 2). Also, there is a significant variety of presumed
socio-economic impacts of climate change among key coastal sectors. The environment
is described with hydrologic, atmospheric and geologic variables. As a result, vulnerabil-
ity components could be identified in spatial scale (Bevacqua et al. 2019). Using differ-
ent projections for future scenarios could also add a temporal scale to the vulnerability
assessment.
Important components affecting coastal areas are the astronomical tide, the storm surge,
the wave run-up, the weather extremes and the sea-level rise. CC affects the frequency of
storm surge events and the magnitude of wave heights, having crucial impact on coastal
and port infrastructure (Tsoukala et al. 2016; Afentoulis et al. 2017). The main impacts of

Fig. 2  Flowchart for the definition of exposure and socio-environmental scenarios (Modified from Toimil
et al. 2017)

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Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review Page 5 of 25 29

these phenomena are coastal erosion and coastal flooding. The majority of the literature
analyzes risk caused by SLR and storm surges, while wave data have only been used by a
few researchers (e.g., Gornitz et al. 1994; Dawson et al. 2009; Toimil et al. 2017). The use
of historical weather data, as well as climate projections downscaled at the regional level
have been used extensively in the literature to model the impacts of CC in various case
studies (Fig. 3). However, climate projections and bias correction methods still have sig-
nificant uncertainties (Kourtis and Tsihrintzis 2021).
Social variables include population, nationality, economic status, age, gender, house-
hold type, housing quality, and health. Coastal areas are particularly exposed to climate
change and extreme weather events, and the dependence of many regions on touristic and
recreation activities intensifies the vulnerability level (Bevacqua et al. 2019). This also cre-
ates an uncertain environment for touristic activities (Uyarra et al. 2005).

3.1 Tools for Aggregation/Evaluation of Variables

The majority of the approaches in the literature promote a static understanding of


human–environment interactions. Ford et al. (2018) raised similar concerns. The recent
crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic is an example of the importance of dynamic
approaches when social indicators are used. Hinkel (2011) also supported that, as useful as
they can get, vulnerability and resilience indices solely cannot direct decision makers and
stakeholders to raise public awareness, propose adaptation measures and monitor adapta-
tion policy and funds.
A holistic approach is necessary to overcome the abovementioned concerns. This cre-
ates the urge to aggregate the divergent aspects of geophysical and social vulnerability

Fig. 3  Flowchart for the creation of hazard maps (Modified from Toimil et al. 2017)

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29 Page 6 of 25 C. N. Roukounis, V. A. Tsihrintzis

into a sole index, or a limited group of indices. Integrating data from diverse sources is
frequently necessary to understand potential relationships among them (Preston and Jones
2008). Aggregating variables reduces the amount of complexity, and the indices, often
described as a “vulnerability score,” visualize the climate change vulnerability (Nguyen
et al. 2016).
Flood risk management and defense projects interact with various sectors (socio-eco-
nomic, environmental, etc.) of an area wider than the affected one. Different stakeholder
groups are involved and expected to have diverse opinions about the projects’ magnitude
and the alternatives which seem viable. Therefore, policy and decision-making on coastal
flood defense and risk management at strategic level depend on many criteria and stake-
holders (Maragoudaki and Tsakiris 2005).
Weighting and ranking methods are used to express the relative importance of differ-
ent individual variables in a system. With Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA), it is
rather possible to overwhelm many of the disadvantages of conventional evaluation meth-
ods. It allows for factors that cannot easily be expressed in monetary terms or quantified,
but nevertheless play a decisive role in shaping policies, such as environmental, spatial and
social impacts of a project, social justice etc., which should always be taken into considera-
tion (Roukounis et al. 2020; Roukouni 2016).
Especially the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) by Saaty (1987) is frequently met in
the literature. Ellen et al. (2016) suggested that in climate planning, multi-criteria analysis
has the ability to perform more efficiently than cost–benefit analysis and working group
approaches during the decision-making process, as they are more comprehensive and
scenario-driven.
GIS can be used to produce different kinds of hazard and vulnerability maps, as
researchers integrate indicators regarding various aspects of vulnerability. To locate ‘hot
spots’ of vulnerability, measures of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity are com-
bined and mapped. On the other hand, uncertainties in the model could also be identified
(Malone and Engle 2011).

3.2 Different Approaches to Coastal Vulnerability and Resilience Indexation

In order to establish new approaches in vulnerability and risk analysis, the development of
solidly identified and quantified variables could be effective (Brooks 2003). Index-based
methods offer a simple way for the classification of alternative options during decision
making procedures (Giannakidou et al. 2020).
One major challenge in climate vulnerability research is to define the subject of interest.
Initially, research was focused on the physical profile of climate change vulnerability (e.g.,
Gornitz 1991; Thieler and Hammar-Klose 1999), developing robust indices that estimate
the exposure of coastal areas. However, the understanding that climate change is a concern
of humankind globally (UN 2015) had raised the question “who is vulnerable” rather than
“what”. The assumption that people lacking wealth and resources are more susceptible to
be damaged by climate change impacts has been common among researchers (Malone and
Engle 2011). Indeed, Islam and Winkel (2017) illustrated how social inequality affects the
ability of disadvantaged groups to respond to climate change hazards.
In order to address the abovementioned challenges, indicators should be consistent and
coherent, based on robust data, using multiple criteria in the selection process. A holistic
approach is crucial in order to assess coastal vulnerability, as excluding features may lead
to unrealistic results (Li and Li 2011). Furthermore, high spatial resolution is crucial for

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Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review Page 7 of 25 29

the effectiveness of vulnerability indices (Gargiulo et al. 2020), taking into consideration
factors that cannot be evaluated at large scales (Torresan et al. 2008).
The index-based approaches have been the most widely accepted methods to assess vul-
nerability (Debortoli et al. 2019; Blasiak et al. 2017; Nguyen et al. 2016; Balica 2012;
Jun et al. 2011; Baker 2009). In complex human and other natural systems, more than one
factors are present. The exposure and vulnerability of these environments is estimated by
integrating multiple factors of every part of the system. As a result, these approaches are
adopted more frequently than single-factor methodologies (Giri et al. 2020). In the present
research various vulnerability indices were identified. The literature review showed that the
majority of vulnerability indices were developed considering the geomorphological and
socio-economic factors as main features.
In order to evaluate the geophysical characteristics of coastal areas and to allocate the
future impacts of climate change among divergent coastal sections, the Coastal Vulner-
ability Index (CVI) was developed (Gornitz 1991). Different versions of the CVI were
applied first on the coasts of the USA, Canada and Mexico (Gornitz et al. 1994; Thieler
and Hammar-Klose 1999). This index was also applied, after modifications matching local
preferences and data limitations in various other locations (Shaw et al. 1998; Doukakis
2005; Abuodha and Woodroffe 2006; Mendoza and Jiménez 2009; Gaki-Papanastassiou
et al. 2010; Karymbalis et al. 2012; Yin et al. 2012; Kokkinos et al. 2014; Satta et al. 2015;
Pantusa et al. 2018; Tragaki et al. 2018; Hawchar et al. 2020).
Pendleton et al. (2004) developed a weighted CVI method, based on Multi-Criteria
Analysis, and more specifically, the AHP. Similar approaches to the CVI include those by:
Bagdanavičiute et al. (2015); Devoy (2008); Mani Murali et al. (2013); Pendleton et al.
(2004); Rao et al. (2008); Tibbetts and van Proosdij (2013); Addo (2013); Mani Murali
et al. (2013); Bonetti et al. (2013). A summary of the studies implementing indices with
geophysical characteristics is presented in Table 1.
A variety of physical characteristics have been included to these indices, in order to
evaluate vulnerability levels of coastal areas to different climate change-related hazards.
Geomorphological (slope, elevation, shoreline type, rock type, solid and drift geology,
coastal erosion/accretion rate), sea (SLR, tidal range, storm surge), wave (wave height,
wave run-up) and weather data, alongside with information regarding land cover, existing
coastal flood protection measures and other environmental agents are used for this purpose.
A summary of the physical variables used in the literature is presented in Table 2.
Climate change and socio-economic development are profoundly connected, as human
activities have been the main driver of environmental harm. Socio-economic variables are
used to determine the impacts of climate change on the society. These variables broaden
physical indices to an inherent cultural bias (McLaughlin and Cooper 2010). About 10% of
people who reside at low elevation coastal zones, located up to 10 m elevation of present-
day mean sea level (MSL) (Wahl et al. 2018), face a great threat due to sea level rise (SLR)
(McGranahan et al. 2007). Thus, identifying social vulnerability of coastal communities
is crucial for planning resilience strategies (Tragaki et al. 2018). Social vulnerability may
include characteristics of the communities and the built environment, such as the urbani-
zation level, the growth rates, and the economic stability and development (Cutter et al.
2003). As it is believed that vulnerability depends on the sensitivity of both the natural
and social components of a system (Heinz Center 2002), social inequities are key factors
in natural hazard vulnerability assessment (Li and Li 2011). Characteristics of communi-
ties as well as social inequalities have also been taken into consideration. Socio-economic
parameters such as demographic data, education level, population density and land use are
constantly used in the literature to estimate social vulnerability. Cutter et al. (2003) used

13
Table 1  Geophysical Coastal Vulnerability Indices found in the literature
No Index Authors Case Study Area Variables

13
1 CVI (Coastal Vulnerability Index) Gornitz (1991) Canada Relief, Geomorphology, Rock Type, Vertical Sea movement,
29 Page 8 of 25

shoreline displacement, tidal range, wave height


2 SI (Sensitivity Index) Shaw et al. (1998) Canada Relief, Geomorphology, Rock Type, sea level tendency,
shoreline displacement rate, mean tidal range, mean annual
maximum significant wave height
3 CVI (Coastal Vulnerability Index) Thieler and Hammar-Klose (1999) Mexico Geomorphology, coastal slope, relative SLR rate, shoreline ero-
sion/acceleration rate, mean tidal range, mean wave height
4 Coastal Vulnerability Index Pendleton et al. (2004) USA Geomorphology, coastal slope, relative SLR rate, shoreline ero-
sion/acceleration rate, mean tidal range, mean wave height
5 Coastal Vulnerability Index Doukakis (2005) Greece Geomorphology, coastal slope, relative SLR rate, shoreline ero-
sion/acceleration rate, mean tidal range, mean wave height
6 CVI (Coastal Vulnerability Index) Abuodha and Woodroffe (2006) Australia Elevation, barrier types, beach types, shoreline erosion/accel-
eration rate, SLR, mean tidal range, mean wave height
8 Coastal Vulnerability Index Rao et al. (2008) India Coastal geomorphology, coastal slope, shoreline change, mean
spring tide range, mean significant wave height
9 Flood/Erosion Vulnerability Index (FVI—EVI) Mendoza and Jiménez (2009) Spain Storms, maximum elevation of flood water, storm surge wave
run-up, shoreline type
coastal erosion, sediment grain size, wave height, hinterland
properties
10 Coastal Vulnerability Index Gaki-Papanastassiou et al. (2010) Greece Geomorphology, coastal slope, relative SLR rate, shoreline
erosion/acceleration rate, mean tidal range, mean significant
wave height
11 CSI (Coastal Sensitivity Index) Karymbalis et al. (2012) Greece Geomorphology, coastal slope, relative SLR rate, shoreline
erosion/acceleration rate, mean tidal range, mean significant
wave height
12 Coastal Vulnerability Index Yin et al. (2012) China SLR, geomorphology, coastal elevation, coastal slope, shoreline
erosion, coastal land use, mean tidal range, mean wave height
13 Coastal Vulnerability Index Tibbetts and van Proosdij (2013) Canada Freeboard, relative coastline exposure, width of foreshore,
coastal slope, observed erodibility, presence of vegetation,
presence of anthropogenic or natural protection, morphologi-
C. N. Roukounis, V. A. Tsihrintzis

cal resilience
Table 1  (continued)
No Index Authors Case Study Area Variables

14 Coastal Vulnerability Index Bonetti et al. (2013) Brazil Backshore landforms, backshore altitude, shoreline displace-
ment, shoreline exposure to wave incidence, population and
buildings at risk
15 Coastal Vulnerability Index Addo (2013) Ghana Mean elevation, mean shoreline displacement, local subsidence
trend, mean tidal range, maximum significant wave height
16 Flood/Erosion Vulnerability Index (FVI—EVI) Kokkinos et al. (2014) Greece Storms, maximum elevation of flood water, storm surge wave
run-up, shoreline type
coastal erosion, sediment grain size, wave height, hinterland
properties
17 Coastal Vulnerability Index Bagdanavičiute et al. (2015) Lithuania Historical shoreline change rate, beach width, beach height,
beach sediments, mean significant wave height
18 Coastal Vulnerability Index Pantusa et al. (2018) Italy Geomorphology, coastal slope, coastal erosion, emerged beach
width, dune width, relative SLR, mean significant wave
height, mean tidal range, width of vegetation behind the
Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review

beach, presence of Posidonia Oceanica


19 Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) Tragaki et al. (2018) Greece Geomorphology, shoreline shifting rate, coastal slope, relative
SLR rise rate, mean wave height, mean tidal range
20 Geospatial Risk Index for Critical Infrastructure Hawchar et al. (2020) Ireland SLR, coastal erosion rate, heavy rainfall, long periods of
precipitation, high river flow, high wind speed, temperature,
landslides, infrastructure importance
21 Coastal Sensitivity Index (CSI) Zampazas et al. (2022) Greece Geomorphology, geology, shoreline erosion/accretion rate, rela-
tive SLR change rate, mean wave height, mean tidal range
Page 9 of 25 29

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29 Page 10 of 25 C. N. Roukounis, V. A. Tsihrintzis

Table 2  Geophysical Variables used in the literature


Variables Authors

Geomorphology (slope, elevation, shoreline Gornitz (1991), Shaw et al. (1998), Thieler and Hammar-
type, rock type, beach type, solid and drift Klose (1999), Pendleton et al. (2004), Doukakis
geology) (2005), Boruff et al. (2005), Abuodha and Woodroffe
(2006), Rao et al. (2008), Mendoza and Jiménez
(2009), Gaki-Papanastassiou et al. (2010), McLaugh-
lin and Cooper (2010), Karymbalis et al. (2012),
Balica et al. (2012), Yin et al. (2012), Tibbetts and
van Proosdij (2013), Addo (2013), Mani Murali et al.
(2013), Alexandrakis et al. (2014), Kokkinos et al.
(2014), Ahsan and Warner (2014), Satta (2014), Satta
et al. (2015), Bagdanavičiute et al. (2015), Zanetti et al.
(2016), Tragaki et al. (2018), Gargiulo et al. (2020),
El-Zein et al. (2021), Zampazas et al. (2022)
Sea-level rise Shaw et al. (1998), Pendleton et al. (2004), Doukakis
(2005), Abuodha and Woodroffe (2006), Gaki-
Papanastassiou et al. (2010), Karymbalis et al. (2012),
Yin et al. (2012), Mani Murali et al. (2013), Ahsan
and Warner (2014), Alexandrakis et al. (2014), Satta
(2014), Satta et al. (2015), Kantamaneni (2016),
Zanetti et al. (2016), Toimil et al. (2017), Tragaki et al.
(2018), Pantusa et al. (2018), Hawchar et al. (2020),
Zampazas et al. (2022)
Erosion and shoreline change Gornitz (1991), Shaw et al. (1998), Thieler and Hammar-
Klose (1999), Pendleton et al. (2004), Boruff et al.
(2005), Abuodha and Woodroffe (2006), Mendoza and
Jiménez (2009), Gaki-Papanastassiou et al. (2010),
Karymbalis et al. (2012), Tibbetts and van Proosdij
(2013), Addo (2013), Mani Murali et al. (2013),
Alexandrakis et al. (2014), Kokkinos et al. (2014),
Satta (2014), Satta et al. (2015), Bagdanavičiute et al.
(2015), Zanetti et al. (2016), Tragaki et al. (2018),
Pantusa et al. (2018), Zampazas et al. (2022)
Tidal range Gornitz (1991), Shaw et al. (1998), Thieler and Hammar-
Klose (1999), Pendleton et al. (2004), Doukakis
(2005), Boruff et al. (2005), Abuodha and Woodroffe
(2006), Rao et al. (2008), Gaki-Papanastassiou et al.
(2010), McLaughlin and Cooper (2010), Karymbalis
et al. (2012), Yin et al. (2012), Mani Murali et al.
(2013), Tibbetts and van Proosdij (2013), Addo (2013),
Alexandrakis et al. (2014), Zanetti et al. (2016), Toimil
et al. (2017), Tragaki et al. (2018), Pantusa et al.
(2018), Zampazas et al. (2022)
Wave height Gornitz (1991), Shaw et al. (1998), Thieler and Hammar-
Klose (1999), Pendleton et al. (2004), Doukakis
(2005), Boruff et al. (2005), Abuodha and Woodroffe
(2006), Rao et al. (2008), Gaki-Papanastassiou et al.
(2010), McLaughlin and Cooper (2010), Li and Li
(2011), Karymbalis et al. (2012), Mani Murali et al.
(2013), Tibbetts and van Proosdij (2013), Yin et al.
(2012), Alexandrakis et al. (2014), Addo (2013),
Bagdanavičiute et al. (2015), Calil et al. (2017),
Tragaki et al. (2018), Pantusa et al. (2018), Zampazas
et al. (2022)

13
Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review Page 11 of 25 29

Table 2  (continued)
Variables Authors

Storm surge Mendoza and Jiménez (2009), Balica et al. (2012),


Kokkinos et al. (2014), Calil et al. (2017), Toimil et al.
(2017)
Number of extreme events Balica et al. (2012), Tibbetts and van Proosdij (2013),
Zanetti et al. (2016), Calil et al. (2017), Hawchar et al.
(2020)
Coastline (km) Balica et al. (2012)
Distance from shoreline Tibbetts and van Proosdij (2013), Satta (2014), Satta
et al. (2015), Zanetti et al. (2016), Gargiulo et al.
(2020)
Elevation Abuodha and Woodroffe (2006), Mendoza and Jiménez
(2009), McLaughlin and Cooper (2010), Yin et al.
(2012), Kokkinos et al. (2014), Satta (2014), Satta
et al. (2015)
Land cover Mani Murali et al. (2013), Balica et al. (2012), Satta
(2014), Satta et al. (2015), Calil et al. (2017)
Hazard maps Kleinosky et al. (2007), Tate et al. (2010), Balica et al.
(2012), Satta (2014), Guillard-Goncąlves et al. (2015),
Bagdanavičiute et al. (2015), Hawchar et al. (2020)
Coastal flood protection Li and Li (2011), Balica et al. (2012), Satta (2014)
Groundwater level Satta (2014)
Vegetation-Posidonia oceanica Tibbetts and van Proosdij (2013), Satta (2014), Pantusa
et al. (2018)

qualitative and quantitative data related to 42 variables (that were then reduced to 11 inde-
pendent factors) to estimate the level of social vulnerability within American metropoli-
tan coastal areas, creating the Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI). This index has been the
baseline for the vast majority of the indices in the literature that take social factors into
consideration. Alexandrakis et al. (2014) used the term socCVI, in an effort to combine the
physical parameters of CVI with socio-economic factors. Guillard-Goncąlves et al. (2015)
readapted SoVI to suit the social context of their case study in Lisbon, Portugal. Kleinosky
et al. (2007) used a variety of socio-economic parameters within scenarios of sea-level rise
to assess storm-surge flooding vulnerability level. In the approach of Tate et al. (2010),
frequent hazards define a higher level of risk, as monetary losses are depicted via crucial
infrastructure damage. A summary of the social coastal vulnerability indices used in the
literature is presented in Table 3.
Composite indices composed of various index types, such as geophysical, social, eco-
nomic (i.e., socio-economic, socio-enviromental) are also frequently used. From simpler
(Wu et al. 2002; Boruff et al. 2005; Chakraborty et al. 2005; Kantamaneni 2016) to more
complex indices (Li and Li 2011; Satta 2014; Zanetti et al. 2016), recent researches tend
to consider multiple factors. More and more variables describing climate data, wave and
wind, geomorphology, land use/land cover, education, unemployment, and crucial infra-
structure in coastal areas are used, with the proper adjustments for each case study (Brigug-
lio and Galea 2003; McLaughlin and Cooper 2010; Mackey and Russell 2011; Balica et al.
2012; Mani Murali et al. 2013; Satta 2014; Ahsan and Warner 2014; Kantamaneni 2016;
Zanetti et al. 2016; Calil et al. 2017; Toimil et al. 2017; Debortoli et al. 2019; Gargiulo

13
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29 Page 12 of 25

Table 3  Social Coastal Vulnerability Indices found in the literature


No Index Authors Case Study Area Variables

1 SoVI (Social Vulnerability Index) Cutter et al. (2003) USA Socio-economic status, gender, race and ethnicity, age, commercial and
industrial development, employment loss, rural/urban, residential property,
infrastructure and lifelines, renters, occupation, family structure, education,
population growth, medical services, social dependence, special needs
populations
2 No named-Social Vulnerability Index Kleinosky et al. (2007) USA Flood risk maps, poverty, immigrants, old age/disabilities
3 No named-Social Vulnerability Index Tate et al. (2010) USA Flood hazard maps, socio-economic status, age, race and ethnicity, gender,
total population, population distribution
4 SoVI (Social Vulnerability Index) Guillard-Goncąlves et al. (2015) Portugal Flood hazard maps, socio-economic status, gender, race and ethnicity, age,
employment loss, rural/urban, renters, occupation, family structure, educa-
tion level, population growth, medical services and access, social depend-
ency, special needs population
5 Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) Tragaki et al. (2018) Greece Population density, share of persons above 65 years in total population, share
of children below 5 years in total population, share of foreign-born in total
population, share of women in total population, share of low educated in
total population
C. N. Roukounis, V. A. Tsihrintzis
Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review Page 13 of 25 29

et al. 2020; Edmonds et al. 2020; El-Zein et al. 2021). Especially in urban coastal environ-
ments (e.g., Zanetti et al. 2016; Gargiulo et al. 2020), the combination of different variable
types seems to provide a more dynamic approach to human–environment interactions. As
index-based methods are believed by some authors (e.g., Ford et al. 2018) to consist a static
approach, the use of combined indices is a step to fill this gap, since human–environment
interactions in coastal urban environments are highly dynamic. Especially in coastal cities,
natural systems are distorted by human actions and co-exist with the built environment
(Malvarez et al. 2021) in a complex definition of resilience (Masselink and Lazarus 2019).
However, some authors suggest that one single complex index is not representative and
prefer the use of multiple single indices instead (e.g., Tragaki et al. 2018). A summary of
composite indices found in the literature is presented in Table 4, and the socio-economic
variables used for social and composite indices are presented in Table 5.
Questionnaire surveys have also been used to evaluate vulnerability and resilience, as
in the case of the Port Resilience Index (Morris and Sempier 2016). Global indices such
as the World Risk Index (World Risk Report 2019), the Index for Risk Management
(INFORM; Messina et al. 2019), the Climate Risk Index (CRI; Eckstein et al. 2020) and
the University of Notre Dame’s Global Adaptation Index (ND-GAIN; Chen et al. 2015)
have also been frequently used in order to validate custom indices, as they are designed to
improve the common data basis for risk management so that the majority of governments
and policy makers and other stakeholders can work consistently (Poljansek et al. 2020).
The CVI (Gornitz 1991) has been the ground for many indices with a geophysical
approach developed later in the literature, and the SoVI (Cutter et al. 2003) for indices with
a socio-economic approach. Past researches included simpler indices and variables were
one-dimensional. As years advanced, more and more papers combining physical and socio-
economic approaches have been published. Despite having similarities in variable selec-
tion, it was not possible to find consistency between different approaches, especially for
complex indices. Also, even though the majority of the variables are quantitative, the eval-
uation process highly depends on the personal opinion of the researchers. Variable ranking
and categorization may differ, taking into consideration specific aspects of each study area.
There are even different approaches for the same variable. For example, some research-
ers suggest that low values for the variable “tidal range” indicate high vulnerability (e.g.,
Tragaki et al. 2018; Zampazas et al. 2022), while others suggest the opposite (e.g., Pan-
tusa et al. 2018). Furthermore, vulnerability assessment using indices seems to be a static
approach while human–environment interactions are highly dynamic. The approaches
of Zanetti et al. (2016), Toimil et al. (2017) and Gargiulo et al. (2020) tried to fill this
gap with indices matching diverse socio-economic issues; however, there is still room for
improvement in this direction. The MHCRI by Satta (2014) included diverse variables that
are implemented in both urban and rural environments.

4 Summary and Conclusions

A total of 46 studies that generate a vulnerability index for climate change related hazards
in coastal areas has been reviewed. There are studies that focus on physical variables and
others that focus on both physical and social factors. An interesting fact is the diversity of
the approaches that have been developed. Authors have used different scales of analysis,
criteria for variable selection and natural phenomena as main hazards for their research.
Especially among social indicators, it is possible that limitations in data availability have

13
Table 4  Composite Coastal Vulnerability Indices found in the literature
No Index Authors Case Study Area Variables

13
1 No-named Socio-Environmental Vulnerability Index Wu et al. (2002) USA Total population, Total housing units, Number of
29 Page 14 of 25

females, Number of non-white residents, Number


of people U18, Number of people O60, Number of
female-headed single parent households, Number of
renter-occupied housing units, Median House Value,
Flooding Risk Zones
2 Composite Vulnerability Index Briguglio and Galea (2003) Malta, Singapore Economic Openness, dependence on narrow range
imports, dependence strategic imports, peripheral-
ity, economic vulnerability and resilience
3 PVI (Place Vulnerability Index) Boruff et al. (2005) USA Geomorphology, coastal slope, relative SLR rate,
shoreline erosion/acceleration rate, mean tidal
range, mean wave height, socio-economic status,
gender, race and ethnicity, age, commercial and
industrial development, employment loss, rural/
urban, residential property, infrastructure and
lifelines, renters, occupation, family structure, edu-
cation, population growth, medical services, social
dependence, special needs populations
4 No-named Socio-Environmental Vulnerability Index Chakraborty et al. (2005) USA Flooding Risk, Population and structure, Differential
access to resources, Population with special evacu-
ation needs
5 CVI (Coastal Vulnerability Index) McLaughlin and Cooper Ireland Shoreline type, rivers, solid geology drift geology,
(2010) elevation, orientation, inland buffer, landform,
coastal elevation, inland buffer, significant wave
height, tidal range, difference in modal and storm
waves, frequency of onshore storms, storm prob-
ability, morpho-dynamic state, settlement, cultural
heritage, roads, railways, land use, conservation
designation
C. N. Roukounis, V. A. Tsihrintzis
Table 4  (continued)
No Index Authors Case Study Area Variables

6 No-named Socio-Environmental Vulnerability Index Li and Li (2011) China Total population, population density, age, educational
level, road density, road grade, industrial output
value, agricultural output value, per-capita output
value, residential land area, ratio of urban residential
land, farming land area, aquaculture land area, ratio
of low-lying arable land, beaches and wetlands area,
ratio of beaches, mangroves area, rivers density,
harbors and wharfs, tide-prevention engineering,
ratio of coastal highways, coastal building density,
seawalls completion rate, ratio of seawalls, ratio of
labor population, gross income
7 No-named Vulnerability index Mackey and Russell (2011) China SLR, extreme weather events, storm surge, inunda-
tion, salinity, population, population density, aver-
age family size, number of households, population
at working age, average natural population growth
Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review

rate, annual average income per capita, number of


poor households, percentage of poor households,
number of teachers, number of doctors, agricultural
land per person, percentage of ethnic households,
number of rural households, number of livelihood
streams, streams employing > 10,000 or produc-
ing > 250billion VND, average annual GDP per
household, rice crop land per person, households
reliant on industry, average annual GDP per house-
hold contributed by industry, households connected
to national grid, length of high/medium voltage
powerlines, number of power plants, percentage
of off-farm income, number of factories, number
of different industries, urban population, urban
households, urban area, sewer/septic tank, water
supply, major waterways, major roads, district
roads, transport hubs
Page 15 of 25 29

13
Table 4  (continued)
No Index Authors Case Study Area Variables

13
8 CCFVI (Coastal City Flood Vulnerability Index) Balica et al. (2012) Cities worldwide SLR, storm surge, number of cyclones, river dis-
charge, foreshore slope, soil subsidence, coastline
29 Page 16 of 25

length, percentile of disabled people, shelters,


cultural heritage, awareness/preparedness, length
of drainage, growing coastal population, recovery
time, uncontrolled planning zones, flood hazard
maps, institutional organizations, flood protection
measures
9 Coastal Vulnerability Index Mani Murali et al. (2013) India SLR, geomorphology, regional elevation, shoreline
change, sea level changes, significant wave height,
tidal range, population, land use, land cover, road
network, cultural heritage
10 Social Coastal Vulnerability Index (SocCVI) Alexandrakis et al. (2014) Greece Geomorphology, coastal slope, relative SLR rate,
shoreline erosion/accretion rate, mean tidal range,
mean wave height, presence of settlements, sites
of cultural heritage, transport network, land use,
economic activities in the coast
11 MHCRI (Multi-Hazard Risk Index) Satta (2014) Meditteranean SLR, storms, urban development, tourist develop-
ment, coastal erosion, artificial frontage, coastal
slope, elevation, distance from the shoreline, river
flow regulation, groundwater occurrence, aquifer
thickness, hydraulic conductivity, height of ground-
water level, groundwater consumption, distance
from the shoreline, impact of existing status of riv-
erflow regulation, ecosystems health, hazard maps,
coastal protection structures, drainage density,
freshwater barrier wells, water management, educa-
tion level, age, awareness/preparedness, people and
livelihoods, infrastructures, land use, socio-cultural
assets, livestock density index, tourism structures
density, presence of aquifers
C. N. Roukounis, V. A. Tsihrintzis
Table 4  (continued)
No Index Authors Case Study Area Variables

12 Socio-Economic Vulnerability Index Ahsan and Warner (2014) Bangladesh Population density, age, gender, population growth
rate, percentage of migrated households, percentage
of illiterate households, percentage of house-
holds not having brick-built house, percentage of
households participated in the last local-election,
percentage of households contributed free-labor to
embankment construction or similar activity, per-
centage of households depending on natural source
for their income, percentage of unemployed house-
holds, percentage of households below poverty line,
percentage of households lost land in last 5 years
due to disasters, percentage of households not get-
ting electricity, percentage of households not getting
sanitary latrine, percentage of households using
pond, river and well water for drinking and cooking,
Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review

percentage of households with family member with


chronic illness, percentage of not-paved roads, per-
centage of households not willing to go to cyclone
shelter, percentage of households not having shelter
in cyclone shelter, percentage of households do not
understand National Warning System, provision of
local early warning system, number of cyclones in
the last 5 years, number of floods in the last 5 years
13 MS-CRI (Multi-Scale Coastal Risk Index) Satta et al. (2015) Mediterranean SLR, storms, drought, landform, coastal elevation,
population over 65 years, education level, popula-
tion growth, tourist arrivals, land cover, population
density
Page 17 of 25 29

13
Table 4  (continued)
No Index Authors Case Study Area Variables

13
14 CIVI (Coastal Infrastructure Vulnerability Index) Kantamaneni (2016) Wales Population in coastal vulnerability zones, infrastruc-
ture, land use, rainfall, flood/storm impact, fiscal
29 Page 18 of 25

value of the place, coastal erosion, high growth


of population alongside coasts, drainage system,
warning system, marine industry growth, politics
and policies
15 Socio-Environmental Vulnerability Index for Zanetti et al. (2016) Brazil Geomorphology, SLR, tide height, relief, distance
Coastal Areas (SEVICA) from the coast, coastal slope, number of extreme
events, water body proximity, geotechnical classifi-
cation of soil, education level, income, population
density, age
16 CCRI (Comparative Coastal Risk Index) Calil et al. (2017) Latin America-Caribbean Wave energy, storm surge, El Nino, significant wave
height, cumulated tropical cyclone winds, urban
coverage percentage, crop coverage percentage,
beach area, coastal forests area, wetlands area, GDP
per capita, Gini coefficient, child malnutrition rate,
child mortality rate, population
17 No named socio-economic index Toimil et al. (2017) Spain Wave height, storm surge, SLR, astronomical tide,
land use, assets (housing, industry), population,
assets (capital stock), activity flows
18 Climate Change Vulnerability Index for aviation and Debortoli et al. (2019) Canada (Arctic) SLR, rain, snow, winter-summer temperatures, airport
marine sectors sensitivity, marine sensitivity, disaster search and
rescue rates, emergency volunteers, education,
housing conditions, local language knowledge,
immigration ratio, population growth
19 CORI (Coastal Resilience Index) Gargiulo et al. (2020) USA, Netherlands, Denmark Coastal slope, water body proximity, distance from
coastline, urban permeable surface, raised build-
ings, conservation of buildings, transport network
proximity, ground floor activities, presence of public
facilities
C. N. Roukounis, V. A. Tsihrintzis
Table 4  (continued)
No Index Authors Case Study Area Variables

20 Composite Climate Change Vulnerability Index Edmonds et al. (2020) Australia Ecosystem services, food, human habitat, health,
(CCCVI) infrastructure, water
21 Flood-Social Vulnerability Index El-Zein et al. (2021) Australia Extent of flooding, average maximum flood depth,
average maximum velocity, average flood duration,
household structure, English proficiency and school-
ing, immigration status and income, property rental/
ownership, unemployment, age, education
Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review
Page 19 of 25 29

13
29 Page 20 of 25 C. N. Roukounis, V. A. Tsihrintzis

Table 5  Socio-Economic Variables used in the literature


Variables Authors

Age of inhabitants Cutter et al. (2003), Boruff et al. (2005), Kleinosky et al. (2007),
Tate et al. (2010), Li and Li (2011), Satta (2014), Guillard-
Goncąlves et al. (2015), Zanetti et al. (2016), Tragaki et al. (2018),
Gargiulo et al. (2020), El-Zein et al. (2021)
Income (inhabitants’ annual income) Cutter et al. (2003), Boruff et al. (2005), Mackey and Russell (2011),
Ahsan and Warner (2014), Zanetti et al. (2016), El-Zein et al.
(2021)
Employment Cutter et al. (2003), Boruff et al. (2005), Guillard-Goncąlves et al.
(2015), Gargiulo et al. (2020), El-Zein et al. (2021)
Population (total numbers and popu- Wu et al. (2002), Cutter et al. (2003), Boruff et al. (2005),
lation density) Chakraborty et al. (2005), Tate et al. (2010), McLaughlin and
Cooper (2010), Li and Li (2011), Mackey and Russell (2011),
Balica et al. (2012), Mani Murali et al. (2013), Satta (2014), Satta
et al. (2015), Guillard-Goncąlves et al. (2015), Kantamaneni
(2016), Zanetti et al. (2016), Calil et al. (2017), Toimil et al.
(2017), Tragaki et al. (2018)
Housing units Wu et al. (2002), Cutter et al. (2003), Toimil et al. (2017)
Conservation of buildings Gargiulo et al. (2020)
Race Cutter et al. (2003), Boruff et al. (2005), Tate et al. (2010), Guillard-
Goncąlves et al. (2015)
Access to resources Cutter et al. (2003), Boruff et al. (2005), Chakraborty et al. (2005),
Guillard-Goncąlves et al. (2015)
Land use Li and Li (2011), McLaughlin and Cooper (2010), Mani Murali
et al. (2013), Alexandrakis et al. (2014), Satta (2014), Zanetti
et al. (2016), Gargiulo et al. (2020), Toimil et al. (2017), Yin et al.
(2012), El-Zein et al. (2021)
Cultural heritage McLaughlin and Cooper (2010), Li and Li (2011), Balica et al.
(2012), Mani Murali et al. (2013), Alexandrakis et al. (2014), Satta
(2014)
Infrastructure dependence Cutter et al. (2003), Boruff et al. (2005), Mani Murali et al. (2013),
Alexandrakis et al. (2014), Satta (2014), Hawchar et al. (2020),
Debortoli et al. (2019)
Tourism Satta (2014), Satta et al. (2015)
Awareness Balica et al. (2012), Satta (2014)
Economic openness/dependence Cutter et al. (2003), Boruff et al. (2005), Li and Li (2011), Briguglio
and Galea (2003), Alexandrakis et al. (2014), Ahsan and Warner
(2014)

led to many different approaches worldwide. Furthermore, the lack of consistency in the
selection of variables and indicators (especially socio-economic) is observed, whereas the
selection of geophysical indicators is rather standardized. Outcomes of models based on
geophysical approaches seem to be more consistent as well. This research demonstrates
that a broad range of variables have been used in this context, considering different types of
time and space scales for coastal process operation, categorizing into different intervals and
ranking each variable result in a large spectrum of vulnerability levels. However, in terms
of suitability for vulnerability classification, variable ranking is often controversial, as the
evaluation process highly depends on the personal opinion of the researchers.
The objective of this review paper was to provide a valid description of the key dimen-
sions of heterogeneity within research on climate change vulnerability. Through this

13
Indices of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review Page 21 of 25 29

review, researchers and policy-makers can determine the gaps in knowledge on climate
change vulnerability of coastal areas, and the challenges that need to be addressed in future
research.
The absence of a specific framework for the selection of indicators was identified,
especially regarding social vulnerability. In most of the case studies, indicators have been
selected taking into consideration data availability and researchers’ aspirations. Moreo-
ver, researchers do not acknowledge concerns regarding static understanding of the human
environment in index-based vulnerability research. A holistic approach in the selection of
variables would be able to overcome these concerns, in order to identify not only areas in
danger, but also the level of vulnerability of people and communities at local scales, as
damage on crucial infrastructure will affect directly their livelihood.

Acknowledgements A graduate scholarship to C.N. Roukounis by the Research Committee of the National
Technical University of Athens is greatly appreciated.

Authors contribution CNR: Conceptualization, Investigation, Methodology, Writing—original draft; VAT:


Conceptualization, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing—
Review & Editing. Both authors approved the final paper.

Declarations
Competing interest There is no conflict of interest with regard to this work.

Availability of data and materials Not applicable.

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