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Essential Statistics in Business and Economics 3rd Edition Doane Solutions Manual
Essential Statistics in Business and Economics 3rd Edition Doane Solutions Manual
Chapter 7
Continuous Distributions
Calculations are done on Excel except where noted that Appendix Tables are used.
Probabilities are rounded to four decimals. Z scores are typically rounded to two
decimals when using Appendix tables and to no more than four decimals when using
Excel.
7.3 In order to be a valid PDF, total area under f(x) must equal 1.
a. Area = .25(1) = .25 therefore this is not a PDF.
b. This is a valid PDF. Area = 4(.25) = 1.
c. Area = ½(2)(2) = 2 therefore this is not a PDF.
Learning Objective: 07-1
7.4 For a continuous PDF, we use the area under the curve to measure the probability. The area
above a single point is defined to be zero so if we summed up all the point probabilities
we would have a sum equal to zero. In addition, by definition there are an infinite
number of points in the interval over which a continuous random variable is defined.
This is why we take an integral, rather than summing.
Learning Objective: 07-1
(10 − 0)2
7.5 a. = (0+10)/2 =5 = = 2.8868
12
(200 − 100) 2
b. = (200+100)/2 = 150 = = 28.8675
12
(99 − 1)2
c. = (1+99)/2= 50 = = 28.2902
12
Learning Objective: 07-2
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118
ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
x−a
7.6 a. Use the CDF: P(X ≤ x) = . P(X < 10) for U(0,50) = (10-0)/(50-0) = 0.2
b−a
b− x
b. Use P(X > x) = . P(X > 500) for U(0,1000) = (1000-500)/(1000-0) = 0.5
b−a
d −c
c. Use P(c ≤ X ≤ d) = . (25 < X < 45) for U(15,65) = (45-25)/(65-15) = .4
b−a
7.7 P(X=25) = 0 and P(X=45) = 0 for a continuous uniform distribution. Therefore using a <
or ≤ yields the same result.
Learning Objective: 07-2
a+b
7.8 a. The equation is: . = (2500+4500)/2 = 3500
2
(b − a)2 (4500 − 2500)2
b. The equation is: . = = 577.3503
12 12
c. P(X < 3000) = (3000-2500)/(4500-2500) =0.25.
d. P(X > 4000) = (4500-4000)/(4500-2500) = 0.25.
e. P(3000< X < 4000) = (4000-3000)/(4500-2500) =0.50.
Learning Objective: 07-2
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119
ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
7.9 a. Define X to be the time at which the bus arrives within the five minute window starting
at 10:18:00. Let a = 0 and b = 5. μ = (0+5)/2 = 2.5 minutes from the lower limit.
μ = 10:20:30.
2 (5−0)2
b. σ = √ = 1.4434
12
c. P(bus is early) = P(X < 2 min) = (2-0)/(5-0) = .4
d. P(bus arrives between 10:19 and 10:21) = P(1 < X < 3) = 2/5 = .4
Learning Objective: 07-2
7.10 a. Define X to be Jill’s resting heart rate. Let a = 74 and b = 77. μ = (74+77)/2 = 75.5 bpm.
μ = 10:20:30.
2 (77−74)2
b. σ = √ = 0.866
12
c. P(X < 75.5 bpm) = (75.5-74)/(77-74) = .5
d. P(X > 76.3) = (77-76.3)/(77-74) = .2333
Learning Objective: 07-2
7.11 The Empirical means and standard deviations differ (X axis scales are different) and so do
f(x) heights.
Learning Objective: 07-3
7.12 a. The maximum height of a normal distribution is the mean. In this case, the maximum
height is at x = 75.
b. No, f(x) does not touch the X axis at any point. The distribution is asymptotic to the X
axis.
Learning Objective: 07-3
7.13 The Empirical Rule states that for data from a normal distribution we expect
about 68.26% will lie within ± 1
about 95.44% will lie within ± 2
about 99.73% will lie within ± 3
Learning Objective: 07-3
7.14 a. Yes. Most sizes tend toward the same value with equal percentages above and below this
value.
b. No, distribution could be skewed. Most likely the distribution is skewed right. Most 30
year old women have a high school degree with some women having several years of
higher education and a few women having advanced degrees which might be six or
more years of higher education.
c. No, distribution could be skewed right. Most bill payments will be delivered within a
week but there may be a few that take much longer.
d. No, distribution could be skewed right. Most insurance claims can be settled in about the
same amount of time but some will take much longer.
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ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
d. P(−1.65 < Z < 1.65) = P(Z < 1.65) − P(Z < −1.65) = .9505 − .0485 = .902
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.20 The proportion of students scoring higher than Bob is the area under the standard normal to
the right of 2.17 or P(Z > 2.17). Using the table in Appendix C-2 : P(Z > 2.17) = 1 −
P(Z < 2.17) = 1 − .9850 = .0150. 1.5% of the 200 students, or .015×200 = 3 students,
scored higher than Bob.
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.21 If Joan ran 1.75 standard deviations faster than the other women in her age group then she
was 1.75 standard deviations below the average time. The proportion of women who
ran faster than Joan is the area under the standard normal curve to the left of 1.75 or
P(Z < −1.75). Using the table in Appendix C-2: P(Z < −1.75) = .0401 or 4.01%.
.0401×405 = 16.24. About 16 women ran faster than Joan.
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.22 a. If we use Appendix C-2 to find the z-score associated with a given area we want to look
inside the body of the table first instead of the far left column. To find the z-score
associated with the highest 10%: the table gives areas less than z so we use .90 as our
probability. The value closest to .90 in table C-2 is .8997. Reading to the left and up we
find z = 1.28. The exact value from Excel can be found using =NORM.S.INV(.90) =
1.2816.
b. Search for the area .50 in the body of the table in Appendix C-2. The z-score associated
with this area is 0. This makes sense because we know the standardized normal
distribution has mean = 0 and it is symmetric so half is above zero and half is below
zero.
c. The highest 7% is the same as the lowest 93%. Using Appendix C-2, search for the
value closest to .93. The value closest is .9306 and its z-score is 1.48. The exact value
from Excel using =NORM.S.INV(.93) is 1.4758.
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.24 a. We are looking for z-scores associated with the middle 50%. Because the curve is
symmetric this translates into an area of .25 below and .25 above. We want the z-scores
associated with the lower .25 tail and the upper .25 tail. From Appendix C-2, the
approximate z- score associated with a lower tail of .25 is −.67. The corresponding z-
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122
ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
score for the upper .25 tail is +.67. From Excel using =NORM.S.INV(.25), z = −.6745.
To find the upper z-score use =NORM.S.INV(.75) = .6745.
b. The z-score associated with a lower tail area of .05 is −1.645. Using Excel:
=NORM.S.INV(.05) = −1.6449.
c. The middle 90% means the lower tail area is .05 and the upper tail area is .05. From part
c and using the symmetry of the normal curve, the z-scores are −1.645 and +1.645.
Using Excel: =NORM.S.INV(.05) = −1.6449 and =NORM.S.INV(.95) = 1.6449.
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.26 The z score associated with the highest 20 percent is found using =NORM.S.INV(.80) =
0.8416. The students who score in the top 20 percent score approximately 0.84 standard
deviations above the mean score.
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.27 The z score associated with the fastest 10 percent is found using =NORM.S.INV(.10) =
−1.28. The runners must finish 1.28 standard deviations below the mean to win a gift
certificate.
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.28 a. =NORM.DIST(52.3,56,4,1)
b. =1−NORM.DIST(58,56,4,1)
c. = NORM.DIST(63.7,56,4,1) – NORM.DIST(50,56,4,1)
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.29 a. =1−NORM.DIST(592,600,5,1)
b. =NORM.DIST(603,600,5,1)
c. = NORM.DIST(603,600,5,1) – NORM.DIST(592,600,5,1)
Learning Objective: 07-4
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ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
7.32 a. Using the Empirical Rule we know that approximately 95% of all observations will be
within 2 standard deviations of the mean. The approximate range is 3.3 ± 2×0.13 or
(3.04, 3.56).
b. P ( X 3.5) = 1 − P ( X 3.5) . 1–NORMDIST(3.5,3.3,.13,TRUE) = 1–.9380 = 0.062.
3.5 − 3.3
We can also use the standardized z-score: z = = 1.54 . P ( Z 1.54) = .9382.
.13
P(Z > 1.54) = 1–.9382 = .0618.
Learning Objective: 07-4
24 − 19.2
7.33 If solving using a hand held calculator and Appendix C-2: P(X > 24) = P(Z > ) =
2.5
P(Z > 1.92) = 1 − P(Z < 1.92) = 1 − .9726 = .0274.
When using Excel: P(X > 24) =1-NORM.DIST(24,19.2,2.5,1) = .0274.
Learning Objective: 07-4
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ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
7.34 I want to know the probability of getting a business traveler that is taller than 5' 9". To
make it easier we can convert everything to inches and use a mean of 70 inches and use
69 inches instead of 5'9". P( X 69) = 1 − P( X 69) = 1–NORM.DIST(69,70,2.7, 1)
69 − 70
= .6444. We can also use the standardized z-score: z = = −.37 . P ( Z −.37) =
2.7
.3557. P(Z > −.37) = 1–.3557 = .6443.
Learning Objective: 07-4
.5 − .48
7.35 Find P(X >.5) = P(Z > ) = P(Z > 2.5) =1 − P(Z < 2.5) =1-NORM.S.DIST(2.5,1) =
.008
.0062. 6.2% of BigBash bats will exceed the new standard.
Alternatively one could use the Excel function =1-NORM.DIST(.5,.48,.008,1) = .0062.
Learning Objective: 07-4
4200 − 3456
7.36 Find P(X < $4200) = P(Z < ) = P(Z < 1.56) =NORM.S.DIST(1.56,1) = .9406.
478
94% of merit scholarship students will not receive enough to cover their full tuition.
Alternatively one could use the Excel function =1-NORM.DIST(4200,3456,478,1) =
.9402. (The difference is due to the rounding of the z score to 1.56.)
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.37 a. =NORM.INV(.8,56,4)
b. Xupper =NORM.INV(.8,56,4), Xlower =NORM.INV(.2,56,4)
c. =NORM.INV(.3,56,4)
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.38 a. =NORM.INV(.6,600,5)
b. Xupper =NORM.INV(.7,600,5), Xlower =NORM.INV(.3,600,5)
c. =NORM.INV(.2,600,5)
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.39 Use Excel’s NORM.INV(probability, µ,σ) function to find the X value associated with the
cumulative probability.
a. P(X > x) = .1. Highest 10% is the lowest 90%:, x =NORM.INV(.9,10,3) =13.84 min.
b. P(xL < X < xU) = .50. Middle 50% means 25% below the shortest time and 25% above
the longest time. Shortest time: =NORM.INV(.25,10,3) = 7.98 min. Longest time:
=NORM.INV(.75,10,3) = 12.02 min.
c. P(X > x) = .80. Highest 80% is the lowest 20%: x =NORM.INV(.2,10,3) = 7.48 min.
d. P(X < x) = .10. Lowest 10%: x =NORM.INV(.1,10,3) = 6.16 min.
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.40 Use Excel’s NORM.INV(probability, µ,σ) function to find the X value associated with the
cumulative probability.
a. P(X > x) = .05. Highest 5% is the lowest 95%., x =NORM.INV(.95,12,2) = 15.29 min.
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ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
7.42 Use Excel’s NORM.INV(probability, µ,σ) function to get the X value associated with the
cumulative probability. We can also obtain X values using the standardized z-score
formula and Appendix C, as illustrated in parts a, c, and d.
a. P(X > x) = .10. Highest 10% is also the lowest 90%: x =NORM.INV(.9,360,9) =
371.53g. We can also find the z-score associated with an area of .90 which is 1.282
x − 360
(Appendix C). Use the z-score formula to solve for x: 1.282 = , x = 371.54 g.
9
b. P(xL < X < xU) = .50. Middle 50% means 25% below the lightest weight and 25%
above the heaviest weight. Lightest weight: =NORM.INV(.25,360,9) = 353.93 g.
Heaviest weight: =NORM.INV(.75,360,9) = 366.07 g.
c. P(X > x) = .80. Highest 80% is the lowest 20%: x =NORM.INV(.20,360,9) = 352.43 g.
We can also find the z-score associated with an area of .2 which is -.845. Use the z-
x − 360
score formula to solve for x: −.845 = , x = 352.40 g.
9
d. P(X < x) = .10. Lowest 10%: x =NORM.INV(.1,360,9) = 348.47 g. The z-score
associated with an area of .1 is −1.282 (Table 7.7). Use the z-score formula to solve for
x − 360
x: −1.282 = , x = 348.46 g.
9
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.43 a. P(X > 8) =1−NORM.DIST(8,6.9,1.2,1) = 0.17966. This probability indicates that the
event is not common but not unlikely. One could also say that an 8 pound baby is at
approximately the 80th percentile which also indicates a pretty high weight.
b. 90th percentile or P(X < x) = .90. NORM.INV(.9,6.9,1.2) = 8.44 pounds
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ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
7.44 a. We are looking for the top 5% which is the same as the bottom 95%. Because our Excel
functions give us cumulative values and because our table is the area less than z, we
want to use the lower 95%. NORM.INV(.95,600,100) = 764.49. We can also use the
standardized z-score formula. Using Appendix C, we know that an area of .95 is
associated with a z-score of 1.645. Use the z-score formula to solve for x:
x − 600
1.645 = , x = 764.5 .
100
b. We are looking for the lower 25%. NORM.INV(.25,600,100) = 532.5510. We know
that an area of .25 is associated with a z-score of −.675 (Appendix C). Use the z-score
x − 600
formula to solve for x: −.675 = , x = 532.5.
100
c. The middle 80% means 20% is outside our range and that is split between the upper and
lower tails. Therefore, we want the values associated with a lower tail of .10 and an
upper tail of .10. NORM.INV(.1,600,100) = 471.84, NORM.INV(.9,600,100) =
728.16. We know that an area of .1 is associated with a z-score of -1.282 (Appendix C
x − 600
or Table 7.7). Use the z-score formula to solve for x: −1.282 = , x = 471.80.
100
The area .9 is associated with a z-score of 1.282 and using the z-score formula we can
x − 600
solve for x: 1.282 = , x = 728.20.
100
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.45 P(X < xL) = .25 and P(X > xU) = .25. Solve for xL using =NORM.INV(.25,19.2,2.5) = 18
and and xU = NORM.INV(.75,19.2,2.5) = 21. The middle 50% of occupied beds falls
between 18 and 21.
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.46 Use the standardized z-score formula to solve for µ. P ( X $13.16) = .20 , and σ = $3. The
z-score associated with an upper tail of .20 is the same as looking for a z-score for the
lower area of .80. Using Excel: =NORM.S.INV(.8) = 0.84162. Solve for µ: 0.84162 =
13.16 −
, µ = $10.64.
3
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.47 Given that P(X < $171) = .70, use z =NORM.S.INV(.7) = 0.5244 . Solve the following for
:: 0.5244 = ($171 − $157)/ = $26.70.
When using Appendix C: z ≈ .52 and = $
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.49 a. P(80 < X < 110) = P(X < 110) – P(X < 80) =NORM.DIST(110,100,15,1)-
NORM.DIST(80,100,15,1) = .6563
b. P(1.50 < X < 2.00) = P(X < 2.00) – P(X < 1.50) =NORM.DIST(2,0,1,1)-
NORM.DIST(1.5,0,1,1) = .0441
c. P(4500 < X < 7000) = P(X < 7000) – P(X < 4500) =NORM.DIST(7000,6000,1000,1)-
NORM.DIST(4500,6000,1000,1) = .7745
d. P(225 < X < 450) = P(X < 450) – P(X < 225) =NORM.DIST(450,600,100,1)-
NORM.DIST(225,600,100,1) = .0667
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.51 a. P(wait more than an hour) = P(X > 60 min) = 1 – P(X < 60 min) =1-
NORM.DIST(60,40,28,1) = 0.2375
b. P(X < 20 min) =NORM.DIST(20,40,28,1) = 0.2375
c. P(X ≥ 10 min) = 1 – P(X < 10 min) =1-NORMDIST(10,40,28,1) = 0.8580
Learning Objective: 07-4
n 10 and n(1-) 10 (800×.03 = 24, 800×.97 = 776) so we can use the normal
approximation.
a. = n = ()() = 24 , = n (1 − ) = (24)(.97) = 4.8249
19.5 − 24
b. P(X ≥ 20) ≈ P(X ≥ 19.5) = P(Z > ) = P(Z > −.93) = 1 − P(Z < −.93) = 1−.1762 =
4.8249
.8238.
30.5 − 24
c. P(X > 30) ≈ P(X ≥ 30.5) = P(Z > ) = P(Z > −1.35) = 1 − P(Z < −1.35) = 1−.9115
4.8249
= .0885
Learning Objective: 07-6
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130
ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
7.66 a. .9 = 1− e−t. Solve for t using = 1/5: .9 = 1− e−(1/5)t , .1 = e−(1/5)t, ln(.1) = ln[e−(1/5)t ],
−2.3026 = −(1/5)t, t = −2.3026/-0.2 = 11.51 minutes
b. .9 = 1− e−t. Solve for using t = 10 minutes: .9 = 1− e−(λ)10 , .1 = e−(λ)10, ln(.1) =
ln[e−(λ)10], −2.3026 = −(λ)10, λ = −2.3026/-10 = .23 responses per minute or 4.35
minutes on average
Learning Objective: 07-8
7.68 a. P(X < t) = .50 so P(X > t) = .50 = e−t. Solve for t using λ = 0.5: .5 = e−(0.5)t ,
ln(.5) = ln[e−(0.5)t ], −0.6931 = −(0.5)t, t = −0.6931/−0.5 =1.3862 minutes
b. P(X < t) = .25 so P(X > t) = .75 = e−t. Solve for t using λ = 0.5: .75 = e−(0.5)t ,
ln(.75) = ln[e−(0.5)t ], −0.2877 = −(0.5)t, t = −0.2877/−0.5 = 0.5754 minutes
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ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
c. P(X < t) = .30 so P(X > t) = .70 = e−t. Solve for t using λ = 0.5: .7 = e−(0.5)t ,
ln(.7) = ln[e−(0.5)t ], −0.3567 = −(0.5)t, t = −0.3567/−0.5 =0.7134 minutes
Learning Objective: 07-8
7.69 a. P(X > t) = .5. Use = 1/20 = .05. To solve for t: .5 = e−(0.5)t ,
ln(.5) = ln[e−(0.5)t ], −0.6931 = −(0.05)t, t = −0.6931/−0.05 =13.862 minutes
b. The distribution on time is skewed to the right therefore the median < mean.
c. P(X > t) = .25. Use = 1/20 = .05. To solve for t: .25 = e−(0.5)t ,
ln(.25) = ln[e−(0.5)t ], −1.3863 = −(0.05)t, t = −1.3863/−0.05 = 27.726 minutes
Learning Objective: 07-8
7.70 a. P(X < t) = .1 so P(X > t) = .90 = e−t. Solve for t using λ = 1/8 = .125: .9 = e−(0.125)t ,
ln(.9) = ln[e−(0.125)t ], −0.1054 = −(0.125)t, t = −0.1054/−0.125 = 0.8432 years
b. P(X < t) = .2 so P(X > t) = .80 = e−t. Solve for t using λ = 1/8 = .125: .8 = e−(0.125)t ,
ln(.8) = ln[e−(0.125)t ], −0.2231 = −(0.125)t, t = −0.2231/−0.125 = 1.7848 years
Learning Objective: 07-8
5 + 50 55
7.74 a. = = = 27.5 inches per second.
2 2
(50 − 5) 2
b. = = 12.99 inches per second
12
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ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
Q1 − 5
c. Use the CDF to solve for the quartiles. P(X ≤ Q1 ) = .25. = .25 , Q1 = 16.25
50 − 5
Q3 − 5
inches per second. P(X ≤ Q3 ) = .75. = .75 , Q3 = 38.75 inches per second.
50 − 5
d. P(re-swiping) = 1− P(10 < X < 40) = 1 − .6667 = .3333. 33.33% must re-swipe.
Learning Objective: 07-2
.74 + .98
7.78 a. = = .86 ppm.
2
(.98 − .74) 2
b. = = .0693 ppm.
12
c. We want P(X > .80) so use either 1 – P(X < .80) = 1 – (.80–.74)/(.98–.74) = 1 – .25 = .75
OR P(.80 x .98) = (.98–.80)/(.98–.74) = .75
d. P(X < 85) =(.85–.74)/(.98–.74) = .4583
e. P(.8 < X <.9) = (.9–.8)/(.98–.74) = .4167
Learning Objective: 07-2
7.79 a. P(X > x) = .50 = P(X < x) = .50. x =NORM.INV(.5,450,80) = 450 bags
b. P(X < x) = .25 =NORM.INV(.25,450,80) = 396.04 bags
c. P(xL < X < xU) = .80, xL =NORM.INV(.1, 450,80) = 347.48 bags and xU
=NORM.INV(.9, 450,80) = 552.52 bags
d. 5th percentile: P(X < x) = .05. x =NORM.INV(.05,450,80) = 318.42 bags
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.81 a. The first quartile is associated with the lowest 25%. P(X < Q1) = .25,
Q − 7.00
z =NORM.S.INV(.25) = − .67, −0.67 = 1 , Q1 = $6.77
0.35
b. The second quartile is associated with the lowest 50%. P(X < Q2) = .5,
Q − 7.00
z =NORM.S.INV(.5) = 0, 0 = 2 , Q2 = $7.00
0.35
c. The 90th percentile is
x − 7.00
z =NORM.S.INV(.90) = 1.2816, 1.2816 = , x = $7.45
0.35
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.82 a. The likelihood of a value greater than the mean is .50 because the whole area under the
curve is 1 and the mean is the midway point.
b. This corresponds to P(Z > 1) or 1 – P ( Z 1) = 1 − .8413 = .1587 (Use Appendix C-2 to
get P ( Z 1) )
c. This corresponds to P(Z > 2) or 1 − P ( Z 2) = 1− .9772 = 0.0228 (Use Appendix C-2 to
get P ( Z 2) )
d. This corresponds to P(–2 < Z <2) = P( Z 2) − P( Z −2) = .9772 − .0228 = .9544 (Use
Appendix C-2)
Learning Objective: 07-4
579 − 579
7.84 a. P(X < 579) = P( Z ) = P( Z 0) = .5 .
14
590 − 579
b. P(X > 590) = 1– P ( X 590) = 1 − P( Z ) = 1 − P( Z .79) = 1− .7852 =
14
.2148. (From App C-2)
From Excel: P(X > 590) =1-NORM.DIST(590,579,14,1) = .21602
600 − 579
c. P(X < 600) = P( Z ) = P( Z 1.5) = .9332
14
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.85 a. The TPMS will trigger a warning when the tire pressure is below 22.5 psi. .75(30) = 22.5
b. P(X<22.5) =NORM.DIST(22.5,30,2,1) = 8.84E-05
c. P(28<X<32) =NORM.DIST(32,30,2,1)-NORM.DIST(28,30,2,1) = .8413 − .1587 =
.6826
Learning Objective: 07-4
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134
ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
120 − 140
7.86 a. P(X > 120 seconds) = 1–P(X<120) = 1 − P( Z ) = 1 − P( Z −.80) = 1− .2119
25
= .7881
180 − 140
b. P(X > 180 seconds) = 1– P(X<180) = 1 − P( Z ) = 1 = P( Z 1.6) = 1 – .9452 =
25
.0548
c. Using Appendix C-2, the z-score associated with a probability of .95 is 1.645. Use the z-
x − 140
score to solve for x. 1.645 = , x = 181.125
25
Using Excel: NORM.INV(.95, 140,25) =181.121
d. Using Appendix C-2, the z-score associated with a probability of .99 is 2.325. Use the z-
x − 140
score to solve for x. 2.325 = , x = 198.125.
25
Using Excel: NORM.INV(.99,140,25) = 198.159.
Learning Objective: 07-4
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.87 P(a tennis ball fails to meet the specifications) = 1−P(1.975 < X < 2.095) =1-
(NORM.DIST(2.095,2.035,.03,1)-NORM.DIST(1.975,2.035,.03,1)) =1 – (.9773 −
.0228) = .0455.
Learning Objective: 07-4
99 + 107
7.88 a. = = 103 degrees
2
(107 − 99) 2
b. = = 2.3094 degrees
12
Q3 − 99
c. Use the CDF to find the third quartile. P(X < Q3) = = .75. Q3 = 105 degrees.
107 − 99
Learning Objective: 07-2
230 − 207
7.89 Using Appendix C-2: P(X ≥ 230) = P(Z ≥ ) = P(Z ≥ 1.64) = 1− P(Z ≥ 1.64)
14
.0505.
Learning Objective: 07-4
30 − 22
7.90 a. P(X > 30) = 1– P( X 30) = 1 − P( Z ) = 1 = P( Z 2.67) = 1 – .9962 = .0038.
3
b. Assuming finishing times are independent: P(all three men finish in time) = (1–.0038)3 =
.9886.
Learning Objective: 07-4
453 − 470
7.92 P ( X 453) = P( Z ) = P( Z −3.4) = .00034. It is very unlikely that a box will
5
contain less than 453 grams.
Learning Objective: 07-4
5200 − 4905
7.93 Using App C-2: P(X>5200) = P(Z > ) = P(Z > .83) = 1 − P(Z < .83) = .2033.
355
Using Excel: 1−NORM.DIST(5200,4905,355,1)=.2030
Learning Objective: 07-4
135 − 145
7.94 a. P(X< 135) = P( Z ) = P( Z −.5) = .3085.
20
175 − 145
b. P(X > 175) = 1 − P ( X 175) = 1 − P( Z ) = 1 = P( Z 1.5) = 1 – .9332 = .0668.
20
165 − 145 125 − 145
c. P(125 < X < 165) = P( X 165) − P( X 125) = P( Z ) − P( Z )=
20 20
P(Z < 1) – P(Z < −1) = .8413 − .1587 = .6826.
d. With variability, physicians run the risk of not treating a patient with dangerous blood
pressure or treating a patient with healthy blood pressure. Understanding variability
allows physicians to minimize the chances of making these two types of errors.
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.95 a. =NORM.S.DIST(-1.62,1) = .0526. John scored better than only 5.26% of the others.
b. =NORM.S.DIST(.50,1) = .6915. Mary scored above average, better than approximately
69.15% of others.
c. =NORM.S.DIST(1.79,1) = .9633. Zak scored better than 96.33% of others.
d. =NORM.S.DIST(2.48,1) = .9934. Frieda scored better than 99.34% of others.
Learning Objective: 07-3
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.96 a. False, the normal distribution is asymptotic. Thus, a value outside the given interval is
possible.
b. False, the standardized values do allow for meaningful comparison. Z scores are unit
free.
c. False, the normal distribution is a “family” of distributions, each having the same shape,
but different means and standard deviations.
Learning Objective: 07-3
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ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
7.98 a. Under filling the bottle means putting less than 500 ml in the bottle. Find the value of
for which P(X > 500) = .95. This corresponds to a z = −1.645. Use the z-score formula
500 −
to solve for − 1.645 = µ = 508.225 ml.
5
500 −
b. To ensure that 99% contain at least 500 ml, solve − 2.326 = for µ, µ = 511.63.
5
500 −
c. To ensure that 99.9% contain at least 500 ml, solve − 3.09 = for µ, µ = 515.45.
5
Learning Objective: 07-5
7.99 Find the value for X such that P(X > x) = .80. This corresponds to a z = −.842. Use the z-
x − 12.5
score formula to solve for x. −.842 = x = 11.49 inches.
1.2
Learning Objective: 07-5
28 − 28
7.100 a. For method A: P(X<28) = P( Z ) = P( Z 0) = .5. For method B: P(X<28) =
4
28 − 32
P( Z ) = P( Z −2) = .0228. Method A is preferred because there is a greater
2
chance of completion within 28 minutes.
38 − 28
b. For method A: P(X<38) = P( Z ) = P( Z 2.5) = .9938. For method B:
4
38 − 32
P(X<38)= P( Z ) = P( Z 3) = .9987. Method B is preferred because there is
2
a greater chance of completion within 38 minutes.
36 − 28
c. For method A: P(X<36) = P( Z ) = P( Z 2) = .9772. For method B: P(X<36) =
4
36 − 32
P( Z ) = P( Z 2) = .9772. Either method is acceptable because they both give
4
the same probability.
Learning Objective: 07-4
7.101 a. P(X > μ) = .5 (property of the normal distribution). Assuming independence, the
probability that both exceed the mean is: .5×.5 =.25.
b. P(X < μ) = .5 (property of the normal distribution). Assuming independence, the
probability that both are less than the mean is: .5×.5 =.25.
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137
ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
7.102 Use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution because we clearly meet the
requirement that n 10 and n(1–) 10. (2000)(.02) = 40 , (2000)(1 − .02) = 1,960 .
The normal parameters are: = (2000)(.02) = 40, = (40)(.98) = 6.26 . Using
appendix C-2:
49.5 − 40
a. P(X ≥ 50) ≈ P(X ≥ 49.5) and the continuity corrected Z-value is z = = 1.52 .
6.26
P(Z > 1.52) = 1− .9357 = .0643. There is a 6.43% chance of at least 50 twin births.
Using Excel: P(X ≥ 49.5) =1-NORM.DIST(49.5,40,6.26,1) = .0646
34.5 − 40
b. P(X < 35) ≈ P(X ≤ 34.5) and the continuity corrected Z-value is z = = −.88 .
6.26
P(Z < − .88) = .1894. There is an 18.94% chance of fewer than 35 twin births.
Using Excel: P(X ≤ 34.5) =NORM.DIST(34.5,40,6.26,1) = .1898
Learning Objective: 07-6
7.103 Use µ = 100(.25) = 25 and σ = 100(.25)(.75) =4.33. P(X < 20) ≈ P(X ≤ 19.5)
=NORM.DIST(19.5,25,4.33,1) = .1020
Learning Objective: 07-6
7.104 Use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution because we clearly meet the
requirement that n 10 and n(1-) 10. The parameters are:
= (1, 000)(.06) = 60, = (60)(.94) = 7.51 . Use the NORM.INV function in Excel
with probability of .25 for the first quartile, .75 for the third quartile, = 60 and =
7.51. Q1 =NORM.INV(.25,60,7.51) = 54.93 cars, Q3 =NORM.INV(.75,60,7.51) =
65.07 cars. Alternatively, use the z-score equation where z = −.675 for Q1 and z = .675
Q − 60 Q − 60
for Q3 −.675 = 1 , Q1 = 54.93 . .675 = 3 , Q3 = 65.07.
7.51 7.51
Learning Objective: 07-6
7.105 Use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution because we clearly meet the
requirement that n 10 and n(1-) 10. n = () = n(1-) = 100(.75) = 75.
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138
ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
a. Find the value of x such that P(X ≥ x) = .05 or P(X < x) = .95.
=NORM.INV(.95,25,4.33) = 32.12. Set passing at 33 correct answers. Less than 5% of
the time a guesser will correctly guess the answer 33 out of 100 questions.
b. Find the value of X such that P(X ≥ x) = .01 or P(X < x) = .99.
=NORM.INV(.99,25,4.33) = 35.07. Set passing at 36 correct answers. Less than 1% of
the time a guesser will correctly guess the answer 36 out of 100 questions.
c. Use the NORM.S.INV function in Excel to find the z-scores for the quartiles. For the
first quartile use =NORM.S.INV(.25) = −0.675, for the third quartile use
=NORM.S.INV(.75) = 0.675.
Q − 25 Q − 25
−.675 = 1 , Q1 = 22.08. .675 = 3 , Q3 = 27.92.
4.33 4.33
Learning Objective: 07-6
7.106 Use the normal approximation of the binomial distribution because we clearly meet the
requirement that n 10 and n(1-) 10. The parameters are: =
n = ()() = = (160)(.2) = 5.6569 .
149.5 − 160
a. P(X < 150) ≈ P(X ≤ 149.5). The continuity-corrected z-score is z = = −1.86
5.6569
. Using Appendix C-2: P ( Z −1.86) = .0314
Using Excel P(X ≤ 149.5) =NORM.DIST(149.5,160,5.6569,1) = .0317
b. P(X ≥ 150) ≈ P(X ≥ 149.5) = 1 − .0314 = .9686. Or 1 − .0317 = .9683
Learning Objective: 07-6
7.107 Use the normal approximation of the binomial distribution because we clearly meet the
requirement that n 10 and n(1-) 10. The parameters are: =
n = ()() = = (30)(.98) = 5.422 .
24.5 − 30
a. P(X ≥ 25) ≈ P(X ≥ 24.5). The continuity-corrected z-score is z = = −1.01 .
5.422
Using Appendix C-2: P ( Z −1.01) = 1−.1562 = .8438
Using Excel P(X ≥ 24.5) =1-NORM.DIST(24.5,30,5.422,1) = .8448
40.5 − 30
b. P(X > 40) ≈ P(X ≥ 40.5). The continuity-corrected z-score is z = = 1.94 .
5.422
Using Appendix C-2: P ( Z 1.94) = 1−.9738 = .0262
Using Excel: P(X ≥ 40.5) =1-NORM.DIST(40.5,30,5.422,1) = .0264
Learning Objective: 07-6
7.108 Converting the rate from days to years, = () = 73. Let = = 73 and = =
8.544. It is appropriate to use the normal approximation given that 20. P(X < 60) ≈
59.5 − 73
P(X ≤ 59.5). z = = −1.58 . From Appendix C-2: P(Z < −1.58) = .0571. Using
8.544
Excel: P(X ≤ 59.5) =NORM.DIST(59.5,73,8.544,1) = .0571
Learning Objective: 07-6
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139
ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
7.110 a. P(X>6) = e−(.1)(6) = .5488. 54.88% chance they will wait at least 6 months until the next
claim.
b. P(X>12) = e−(.1)(12) = .3012. 30.12% chance they will wait at least a year until the next
claim.
c. P(X>24) = e−(.1)(24) = .0907. 9.07% chance they will wait at least 2 years until the next
claim.
d. P(6 < X < 12) = P(X < 12) − P(X < 6) = (1 − .3012) − (1 − .5488) = .2476. 24.76%
chance they will wait between 6 months to a year.
Learning Objective: 07-7
7.114 a. The z scores were, respectively, 5.75, 4.55, 5.55, and 5.45.
195 − 80
z= = 5.75
20
171 − 80
z= = 4.55
20
191 − 80
z= = 5.55
20
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140
ESBE 3e Solutions for Instructors
189 − 80
z= = 5.45
20
b. If the exams scores had an historical mean and standard deviation of 80 and 20 with a
normal distribution then the exam scores reported by the four officers were highly
unlikely. All scores were outliers because they were higher than 80 + 3 = 80 +
(3)(20) = 140.
Learning Objective: 07-3
Learning Objective: 07-4
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Education.
141