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LAB 8 - Introduction To Impact Evaluation
LAB 8 - Introduction To Impact Evaluation
INTRODUCTION TO
IMPACT EVALUATION
Teaching Assistant
Microeconometrics 2022
bit.ly/mitrik2023-lab8
MAIN TOPIC
03. evaluations,
Based on results
or on
from
estimates
other
of
behavioral models, predict
impacts of proposed policies and
the
06. government
Generate political support for the
programs
Causal Inference
The basic impact evaluation question
essentially constitutes a causal inference
WHAT IS problem.
CAUSAL
“Assesing the impact of program
on a series of outcomes”
is equivalent with,
relationship:
score?
trainees income?
The answer to the basic impact evaluation question:
α = (Y | P= 1) – (Y | P= 0)
α : Causal impact
Y : Outcome
(P= 1) : With program
(P= 0) : Without program/represent counterfactual
THE PROBLEM OF
IMPACT EVALUATION
The main problem of Impact Evaluation is:
"What their outcomes would have been if they had not
participated."
For a student who has been Even the performance of her twin
wearing eyeglasses for a long sister is not a very good
time, we don’t know what her counterfactual, because even
academic performance in the identical twins might experience
state in which she never wears different learning environments
eyeglasses
Counterfactual talk about:
“What would happened without the program?"
Randomized Evaluations
Use random assignment of the program to • Pre-post
create a comparison group which mimics the • Simple difference
counterfactual. • Difference in difference
• Statistic maching
Also known as: • Intrupted time series
• Random Assignment Studies • Multivariate regression
• Randomised Field Trials • Instrumental variable
• Social Experiments • Regression discontinuity
• Randomised Controlled Trials (RCTs)
• Randomised Controlled Experiments
RANDOM ASSIGNMENT TO THE TREATMENT
Comparison
Population
Evaluation
sample
Treatment