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Emerging Battery Technologies To Boost The Clean Energy Transition
Emerging Battery Technologies To Boost The Clean Energy Transition
Emerging Battery
Technologies
to Boost the Clean
Energy Transition
Cost, Sustainability, and Performance
Analysis
The Materials Research Society Series
The Materials Research Society Series covers the multidisciplinary field of materials
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Stefano Passerini • Linda Barelli
Manuel Baumann • Jens F. Peters • Marcel Weil
Editors
Emerging Battery
Technologies to Boost
the Clean Energy Transition
Cost, Sustainability, and Performance
Analysis
Editors
Stefano Passerini Linda Barelli
Sapienza University of Rome University of Perugia
Rome, Italy Perugia, Italy
Marcel Weil
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Karlsruhe, Germany
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2024. This is an open access publication.
Open Access This book is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Inter-
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Batteries are a crucial element for the world’s future energy systems built upon
renewable energy sources of strongly intermittent nature such as solar and wind.
While the market for lithium-ion batteries, the currently dominating technology,
keeps growing at stunning pace and technological boundaries are being pushed
further, also concerns about the corresponding demand for raw materials and
associated environmental and societal impacts are becoming stronger. This has led
to an increase of research activities in the field of recycling, material demand and
sustainability of lithium-ion batteries, but also to the search and development of new
battery technologies based on more abundant, less toxic and broadly available
materials. To this regard, technologies based on materials such as sodium, magne-
sium or aluminium could play a crucial role since they are expected to offer
advantages in terms of performance, costs and sustainability. However, these sys-
tems are still in an early stage of development, while many sustainability problems
do not arise until a technology is broadly implemented and creates market forces
strong enough to trigger changes in the industrial landscape, global resource and
material streams and corresponding mining and waste handling activities. Here, the
principal challenge is to identify promising technologies in an early research stage,
extrapolate their possible future deployment at the large scale and thereby assess
potential sustainability hotspots in a prospective, foresight-oriented view, anticipat-
ing recycling and circular economy challenges. This requires a combination of
different perspectives including electrochemistry and material science, energy sys-
tem modelling, market projections and material flow analysis, system analysis and
environmental assessments, as well as societal expectations regarding technology
and sustainability.
The present book analyses the most relevant technological developments in the
field of batteries, taking a prospective and interdisciplinary view with a broad
sustainability angle, including environmental, societal and economic aspects. By
assuming a broad introduction of the considered emerging technologies in the
markets, potential environmental, societal and economic implications are anticipated
from a system and technology assessment perspective, providing a glimpse on the
v
vi Editors’ Foreword
energy storage demand answered by future batteries systems. As such, the book will
be relevant to all scholars working on or interested in the development or the
assessment of new battery technologies or other energy storage technologies and
their integration in the power system or in on-board applications.
Rechargeable batteries are everywhere, from our mobile phone and its wireless
earphones, our cars, trucks, and buses up to large battery installations replacing
conventional power plants for guaranteeing stability of the electricity grid. However,
the sustainability of this booming market is repeatedly being questioned, with the
energy-intensive cell manufacturing, resource demand and shortages, or limited
recyclability just being some of the keywords frequently heard in this context.
Moreover, also limitations of current technologies are remarked in addressing
seasonal energy storage needs. New battery technologies are being developed
aiming at solving at least some of these issues by using earth-abundant materials,
applying design-for-recycling principles, or pushing performance and economic
boundaries far beyond the current state of the art of current lithium-ion batteries.
But can these expectations be ever fulfilled? This book tries to give a first answer on
this critical question by combining the perspectives of technology developers with
those of system analysts, presenting emerging battery technologies that could con-
tribute to short- and long-term storage in different application areas. Moreover,
prospective analyses of the potential sustainability challenges and opportunities of
these emerging technologies in a future decarbonized economy are provided. In this
way, the reader has the opportunity to gather knowledge not only at the technology
level, but also on a systemic scale, analyzing the whole sector from both a micro- and
a macro-scale perspective.
vii
Acknowledgments
The editors want to thank all the authors that supported this project from the very
beginning with their expertise and their valuable time. In addition, the editors
acknowledge the financial support from the Institute of Technology Assessment
(ITAS) of the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, in particular the Helmholtz Pro-
gram Energy System Design and Materials and Technologies for the Energy Tran-
sition, the EU-Project Storage Research Infrastructure Eco-System1 and the
European Energy Research Alliance Joint Programme for Energy Storage.2
1
https://www.storiesproject.eu/
2
https://www.eera-energystorage.eu/
ix
Contents
xi
xii Contents
Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 335
Contributors
xiii
xiv Contributors
Preface
Accelerated global warming evidences the need for a drastic change of our present
society towards a world economy operating within the planetary boundaries. This
implies, among others, a rapid and profound decarbonization with all activities
ultimately based on renewable energies. To overcome the intrinsic variable nature
of renewable energy sources, the integration of energy storage devices, particularly
batteries, is considered as a key enabler, allowing to store electricity for use on
demand in areas that have traditionally been run on fossil energy. These include a
wide set of grid-connected and mobility services and, possibly, new fields such as
drones and robotics.
This chapter prepares the ground for the subsequent chapters of the book by
introducing the general concepts and challenges related with these transitions.
Specifically, Chapter 1 picks the mobility sector as one of the sectors that is
undergoing fundamental changes and elaborates on the specific trends to be expected
in near future and the role that batteries play for these. This includes not only
electrification of vehicles but also aspects of intelligent vehicles, interconnections,
and charging infrastructure. Chapter 2 then takes a circular economy perspective by
introducing the key challenges and opportunities related with the transition toward a
closed loop economy. It tackles the limitations of the present linear economy model
and introduces the “R”-imperatives of the circular economy and then applies these to
the emerging battery recycling sector to highlight the most important bottlenecks for
a circular battery economy.
Chapter 1
Mobility and Future Trends
Contents
1.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
1.2 Toward the Electrification of Mobility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
1.3 E-Mobility and Future Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
1.4 Electromobility Charging Infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
1.5 5G Application in Mobility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
1.6 Future Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
1.1 Introduction
The world is rapidly changing, and the transportation and mobility industry is no
exception. Mobility, a paramount part of modern society, helps people to access
jobs, education, healthcare, and other destinations. There has been a significant shift
in thinking about mobility, with a growing emphasis on sustainability and the need
to reduce the environmental consequence of transportation. Mobility is an essential
aspect of modern society, encompassing everything from personal transportation to
public transit, logistics, and infrastructure. With the rapid advancements in technol-
ogy, mobility is undergoing a significant transformation, with new technologies and
services emerging that have the potential to revolutionize the way we move [1–
3]. Mobility has seen a surge in development over the past few decades, and it is
worthwhile to follow the latest trends in recent years.
One of the most significant development and trends in mobility is the transition
toward electric vehicles (EVs) from internal combustion engine vehicles. Electric
vehicles are powered by batteries rather than fossil fuels, and they produce zero
emissions while in operation [1, 4, 5]. Thus, EVs are more sustainable options
compared to traditional fuel-powered vehicles. Additionally, the cost reduction of
batteries and advancements in charging infrastructure make EVs a more reasonable
choice for all people.
Furthermore, another trend in mobility is the rise of ride-sharing services like
Uber and Lyft, which allow individuals to hail a ride from their smartphones and pay
for it through the app, making transportation more accessible and convenient for
many people, especially in urban areas where public transport may not be as well-
developed [1, 6]. However, the convenience of ride-sharing comes with a cost, as
these services have been criticized for exacerbating traffic congestion and air
pollution. Also, the rise of ride-sharing has led to a decrease in public transportation
and personal car ownership, which can negatively impact the environment and the
economy [7]. Additionally, the employment status of ride-sharing drivers has also
been a topic of debate, as some argue that they should be classified as employees
rather than independent contractors. Despite these challenges, ride-sharing continues
to grow in popularity and is expected to impact the future of transportation
significantly.
The remainder of this chapter is organized as follows: toward the electrification of
mobility is presented in Sect. 1.2. Section 1.3 presents the e-mobility and future
trends. Electromobility charging infrastructure is given in Sect. 1.4. Section 1.5
discusses the importance of 5G technology in mobility and its applications. Finally,
the future trends in mobility are presented in Sect. 1.6.
Electrification will play an essential role in the modification of the transportation and
mobility industry and has offered major opportunities in recent years, including the
environmental impacts and CO2 emission reductions of transportation [1, 4]. In
general, mobility electrification refers to the use of electric power for transportation,
such as electric vehicles, electric bikes, and electric scooters. The shift to e-mobility
has been increasing in recent years; however, several factors, as presented in
Fig. 1.1, enhance such a transition.
Several factors reinforce mobility electrification as follows [7–9]:
Government policies and incentives: Many countries have implemented poli-
cies and incentives to encourage the adoption of electric vehicles, such as tax breaks,
grants, and subsidies.
Advancements in technology: The new development and improvements in
battery technology have directed to cost reduction of batteries. Also, the introduction
of new modules of fast and ultrafast charging has surpassed the so-called “range
1 Mobility and Future Trends 5
anxiety” issue of new e-mobility customers. Thus, electric vehicles are a more
reasonable and affordable option for a wider range of customers.
Growing consumer demand: The transportation sector is one of the main
responsible actors for climate emissions. As the concerns about climate change
have grown, more people have become aware of the negative environmental impact
of transportation as well. Therefore, more consumers have been choosing e-mobility,
particularly electric vehicles, which are considered a sustainable alternative com-
pared to traditional ones.
Increase in charging infrastructure: Governments and private companies are
investing in the development and expansion of charging stations, both in residential
and public spots, to sustain the growth of e-mobility. These investments resulted in
finding more charging stations in cities and on roads in many countries.
Government and industry entities will persist in working together to promote
further mobility electrifications in various areas. The availability of charging infra-
structures requires to be expanded to provide more convenience for consumers to
charge their EVs outside their homes as well. The improvement in the range and
performance of electric vehicles reduces consumer concerns about long-distance
travel with electric vehicles. The development of a thorough strategy for end-of-life
battery management minimizes the environmental impact of EV batteries. Finally,
customers’ concerns regarding the cost, recent advances in electric vehicle perfor-
mance, and sustainability of e-mobility need to be constantly updated.
energy to electric grids, houses, buildings, or any other energy consumption desti-
nations [12, 13]. Finally, thanks to advanced artificial intelligence, autonomous
electric vehicles will not only increase the efficiency of mobility but also reduce
greenhouse gas emissions.
The future of e-mobility includes using electric vehicles and steady technological
advancements to support them. As the demand for electric vehicles grows, the
development of charging infrastructure will become increasingly important. In the
future, it is expected to see more convenient and efficient charging options such as
wireless charging, ultrafast charging stations, and even faster home charging sys-
tems. Furthermore, electric vehicles will be integrated with autonomous and
connected vehicle technologies, allowing for more seamless integration into smart
cities and a more efficient transportation system with zero carbon emissions.
The charging infrastructure for e-mobility is defined as the charging stations and
equipment required to charge electric vehicles, including both home charging and
public charging stations. The accessibility and availability of charging infrastructure
are the key factors in speeding up the transition to e-mobility. Table 1.1 presents the
different current types of charging infrastructure [4, 14, 15]. Level 1 charging is the
slowest and safest type of charging, usually used for overnight charging at home.
Level 2 charging charges an EV in several hours and is widely operated in public
charging stations. Finally, DC fast charging harnesses high power in order to
recharge an electric vehicle (EV) in a few minutes. This type requires a specific
protection system for monitoring and communication between EV charging equip-
ment and the vehicle.
There are several challenges and limitations associated with the expansion of
charging infrastructure:
• High costs: The installation and maintenance of charging stations can be expen-
sive, and governments and private companies may solely be keen to invest in
them if they guarantee adequate demand. Therefore, identification of best
locations for charging stations and choosing the best charging infrastructure type
are necessary to address this concern.
• Limited accessibility: In some locations, mainly remote regions or rural, it can be
challenging to install charging stations due to a lack of available electricity or
other infrastructure.
• Charging station compatibility: There is no universal standard for EV charging;
for example, the EV plug-in type or charging connector differs across geogra-
phies and models. Thus, not all charging stations are compatible with all EVs in
operation, which can cause inconveniences and confusion for customers.
Governmental and industrial organizations have strong cooperation to overcome
these challenges by developing comprehensive solutions and actions. For instance,
many countries focus on standardizing charging equipment to ensure compatibility
with all EVs. Also, many funds are offered to research and development divisions so
as to improve charging station technology and reduce the costs of creation, instal-
lation, and maintenance.
5G, the fifth and newest generation of mobile technology, has the potential to
significantly impact various aspects of society, particularly in terms of mobility
[16–20]. Some of the key applications of 5G in mobility include the following:
• Connected vehicles: 5G networks offer faster and more reliable connectivity
compared to previous versions, making it possible for vehicles to communicate
with each other and with infrastructure in real time. Consequently, it can improve
traffic flow, reduce congestion, and make it possible for vehicles to drive
themselves.
• Remote driving: 5G networks have low latency, high bandwidth, and ultra-
reliability, which enables the remote control of vehicles and equipment in real
time; thus, using 5G enables remote driving and operation of vehicles in danger-
ous or difficult environments.
• Intelligent transportation systems: 5G networks can enable the real-time collec-
tion and analysis of data from traffic cameras, sensors, and other sources,
allowing for the optimization of traffic flow and the reduction of congestion.
• Automated transportation: The high-speed, low-latency connectivity of 5G net-
works can support the communication and connectivity needed to operate auto-
mated transportation systems, such as drones, self-driving cars, and autonomous
buses.
• Enhanced safety: 5G networks can enable communication between vehicles,
infrastructure, and passengers to improve the overall safety of transportation by
allowing real-time data exchange and providing faster response times and more
accurate information necessary for safety issues.
1 Mobility and Future Trends 9
It is likely to see the continued development and expansion of electric vehicles and
ride-sharing services in the future. Besides, various other trends are expected to
shape the future of mobility, which are listed below.
• Autonomous vehicles: Self-driving vehicles have the great potential to diminish
traffic congestion and accident while additionally making transportation more
reliable and accessible to people who are incapable of driving, such as the
disabled or elderly. Many scientists and companies are actively working on
developing autonomous vehicles, such as Tesla, Uber, and Waymo.
• Connected vehicles: The advances on the Internet of things and communication
technologies, such as 5G, connect vehicles through their sensors and communi-
cation devices [16]. The connected vehicles communicate with other vehicles and
infrastructures, including traffic lights and road signs, to relieve traffic congestion
and enhance the mobility flow.
• Micromobility: Micromobilities, lightweight vehicles such as electric scooters
and bikes, are created for short trips and are becoming increasingly widespread in
urban areas to save time and traffic. Furthermore, they are convenient options that
not only reduce traffic congestion but also minimize the negative environmental
impact of traditional transportation.
• MaaS (mobility as a service): MaaS is an emerging concept that enables the
provisioning of transport services with a single access point for all different types
of mobility, including public transportation, bike- and car-sharing, taxis, ride-
hailing, and more [21, 22]. Many mobility companies leverage joint digital
channels or applications, enabling people to plan and book rides to discourage
private vehicle ownership. One of the interesting ideas of MaaS is that users pay a
monthly fee to access transportation services rather than pay for each means of
mobility separately. Implementing the MaaS concept or eMaaS reduces traffic
congestion and lowers pollution.
• Hyperloop: Hyperloop is a high-speed ground transportation system that uses
magnetic levitation technology to move passengers and cargo at speeds up to
10 S. M. Miraftabzadeh et al.
1130 km per hour. This system includes connected mobility hubs worldwide
through a network of tubes that pods can move in a vacuum at ultrahigh speeds.
This concept still needs to be developed because of the limitation of nowadays
technology and safety issues. Hyperloop can solve the problem of long-distance
travel.
The future of mobility is likely characterized by a shift toward more sustainable
and efficient forms of transportation, such as electric vehicles, and micromobility
options, such as bicycles and e-scooters. Integrating autonomous vehicles and
connected vehicle technologies is also expected to play a key role in shaping the
future of mobility. The concept of mobility as a service (MaaS) is also gaining
popularity, where transportation is seen as a service and not just a product, allowing
for a more seamless, integrated, and convenient user experience. Hyperloop tech-
nology, which uses high-speed trains in vacuum-sealed tubes, is also being
researched and developed as a new transportation mode. The 5G networks will
also play a vital role in the future of mobility by enabling new services such as
automated transportation and in-vehicle connectivity. On the other hand, as ride-
sharing services become more prevalent, they are likely to significantly impact the
way we move around cities, reducing the need for personal car ownership and
changing the way we think about transportation. These technological and transpor-
tation advancements will significantly help reduce traffic congestion and air pollu-
tion and increase accessibility.
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1 Mobility and Future Trends 11
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Chapter 2
Principles of a Circular Economy
for Batteries
Contents
2.1 Definition of Circular Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
2.2 R-Imperatives of the Circular Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
2.3 Battery Material Flows . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
2.4 Battery Design for Circularity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
2.5 Circular Economy in the EU Battery Regulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
2.6 Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
The rapidly growing market for batteries in mobility and stationary applications
leads to increasing amounts of battery material demand and returned waste batteries
[45]. Battery materials like cathodes, anodes, the separator and electrolyte, connec-
tors, casing and housing, safety equipment, and the battery management system
cause environmental impacts in their supply chain, in the mining, processing, and
fabrication stage [32]. These environmental impacts cause concern, not only because
of the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions related to resource extraction and processing
[22] but also exposure to toxic substances, air pollution, water depletion, and land
use [12]. One strategy to reduce these material-related impacts is to use products
longer and use more recycled materials in their production—subsumed under the
label of circular economy measures [42]. Other strategies include improving
batteries’ energy and power density, extending their cycle stability, reducing fabri-
cation waste, and reducing battery production’s energy and carbon intensity. Such
strategies, however, are not the focus of this chapter.
The circular economy is a concept to keep materials in the loop. It is an alternative
to a conventional, linear economy in which resources are used in production and
consumption to provide utility to people and society. In contrast, the circular
economy generates less to no waste, minimizing the need for final disposal and
raw material extraction from the lithosphere [2]. In the circular economy, materials
are still used in production and consumption, but their wastes are used again for the
same or different purposes. This cycling, or at least cascading, minimizes the amount
of material extracted from the lithosphere. Ideally, mining and quarrying would be
limited to what is required to expand in-use stocks and replace unavoidable irrevers-
ible material losses [39]. The expansion of in-use stocks has been the norm for most
material systems in the past century [25], and it is likewise crucial for modern
technologies, like batteries [45], that have not yet reached some level of demand
saturation [44].
Cyclical ecosystems formed by the circular economy are considered more sus-
tainable than linear ecosystems because they reduce resource consumption and
environmental impacts and provide an economic benefit. The reduction of primary
material requirements comes from the increased use of materials recovered from
waste, replacing materials mined or quarried from the lithosphere. Recycling gen-
erally reduces energy requirements, carbon footprints, and other environmental
impacts. Of course, there is a risk for a circular economy rebound, nullifying the
environmental savings [47]. For very high recycling rates, high energy requirements
for collection, sorting, and processing can also reduce secondary production’s
environmental and cost benefits [41]. Implementing a circular economy reduces
the negative environmental impacts of material extraction and expansion and
increases raw mYaterial supply security. Therefore, the circular economy addresses
resource scarcity concerns and reduces environmental impacts. In addition, it is also
expected to provide economic benefits due to the value generation of material
recovery, savings from extraction reduction, and avoidance of disposal [28].
Various definitions for the circular economy exist [24]. The interdisciplinary
nature of the challenge can partially explain this. Closing the material loops is not
just about understanding the material flows in society or developing recycling
processes and long-living products designed for recycling. It also includes policy
aspects of providing the proper legislative framework to foster the use of materials
recovered from waste, installing take-back schemes, and many other material effi-
ciency measures. Sociological aspects of understanding how behavior changes
contribute to the use of fewer products, the use of more sustainable products, and
the most efficient use of waste management systems also play their role in
establishing a circular economy. An actual circular economy can be implemented
by combining the micro-, meso-, and macro-systems perspectives [24].
The overall status of the implementation of the circular economy can be measured
with two simple metrics: first, a perfect circularity would be achieved if recovered
end-of-life material outputs met all material demand, and second, in an ideal circular
2 Principles of a Circular Economy for Batteries 15
economy, this would be happening without material quality losses, meaning that no
extra energy would be required to recover materials [6]. Of course, this ideal is not
practically achievable because of numerous material, metallurgical, and product
design challenges [39]. Every loop in the circle creates dissipation and entropy,
attributed to losses in quality (mixing, downgrading) and quantity (material losses,
by-products) [20], making a fully closed loop impossible. Nevertheless, for the
various reasons outlined above, it is desirable to close the loop as far as possible
[6]. In addition, the technical, economic, and sociological challenges to closing
material cycles of different materials, like base metals, specialty metals, plastics,
pulp and paper, or construction minerals, are fundamentally different.
Batteries are an exciting sector for establishing a circular economy because they
represent a rapidly growing market, with significant material demand, in parts, even
Critical Raw Materials [19]. The battery sector is currently subject to technological
changes, and the realization of circular economy benefits within this technological
change would foster the transition to low-carbon technologies.
Many measures to install a circular economy are subsumed under so-called R-imper-
atives. Starting with short lists of just three “3Rs” like “reduce, reuse, recycle” and
“recycle, remanufacture, reuse,” the lists have gotten longer [24]. One list even
consists of ten R-imperatives: refuse, reduce, resell/reuse, repair, refurbish, reman-
ufacture, repurpose, recycle materials, recover energy, and re-mine [38]. Probably,
talented wordsmiths will be able to extend these lists almost indefinitely. According
to Walter R. Stahel, the R-imperatives in the concept of circular economy replace
production with sufficiency: “reuse what you can, recycle what cannot be reused,
repair what is broken, remanufacture what cannot be repaired” ([42], p. 435). In the
Waste Hierarchy, a concept from the Waste Framework Directive of the European
Union, waste prevention comes before preparation for reuse, recycling, recovery,
and disposal [11]. Therefore, the R-imperatives can be hierarchical. Each R-imper-
ative’s potential for the circular economy depends on the maturity of a technology,
its industrial sector, and inherent material properties.
Even the longer lists of R-imperatives follow three basic ideas to change the
material cycles, corresponding to the three Rs of reducing, reusing, and recycling:
1. Narrowing material cycles (use less material overall).
2. Slowing material cycles (keep materials in use for longer).
3. Closing material cycles (keep materials in the loop).
Distinguishing between R-imperatives at different stages of material cycles
ensures that various actors are addressed. Material cycles can be narrowed, slowed,
and closed by bringing together consumers, producers, legislation, and the waste
management sector. Figure 2.1 shows a product’s different life cycle stages, from
16 C. Helbig and M. Hillenbrand
Fig. 2.1 Schematic visualization of the ten R-imperatives, refuse, rethink, reduce, reuse, repair,
refurbish, remanufacture, repurpose, recycle, and recover, and their corresponding impact on
narrowing, slowing, and closing the material cycles
Annual growth rates of the battery industry were about 30% in the past decade and
are expected to be about 20% in the next two decades [36]. Until 2010, most global
electrochemical storage capacity was in lead-acid batteries (LAB), with about
300 GWh of new electrochemical energy storage installed yearly, used chiefly as
vehicle starter batteries [36]. LABs are positive examples of the circular economy
being a mature market with established take-back schemes and recycling facilities.
LABs are the main reason lead achieves relatively high circularity values compared
to other base metals [21].
Since 2010, however, the focus has shifted to lithium-ion batteries (LIBs).
Initially, LIBs were chiefly used in portable electronic devices; now, LIBs for
electric vehicles dominate the market [36]. With this rapid market growth, concerns
about resource availability and the environmental impact of LIB production have
become increasingly important in recent years [19, 32].
For LIBs, the challenge of installing a functional circular economy is more
prominent than for LABs. LIBs have vastly different sizes, shapes, types, and
material compositions, affecting waste separability and the metallurgy of the
recycling process. Battery cells for LIB consist of aluminum and copper foil current
collectors, cathode and anode active materials, carbon binders, the electrolyte, and a
porous separator. The cell, housing cover, and connection interface form the battery
module. On the pack level, you can add a management controller, cooling system,
frame and crash structure, and a battery pack housing cover [26, 33].
Technologically, there have been an extensive debate and a lot of development in
terms of the cathode active materials, with the most prominent options for battery
electric vehicles being nickel-cobalt-aluminum, nickel-manganese-cobalt (with var-
ious stoichiometric combinations of transition metals, from NMC111 to NMC811)
[27], and iron-phosphate active materials. LIBs can also contain various critical
materials, for which the establishment of material cycles is even more important and
challenging [3, 26, 46].
18 C. Helbig and M. Hillenbrand
Fig. 2.2 Minimum and maximum estimations for the material demand of Li, Ni, Co, Mn, Cu, and
graphite for batteries for 2020 and 2040 in scenarios of Xu et al. [45], Marscheider-Weidemann
et al. (DERA 2021), and Dunn et al. [7] in kilotons (kt). The base year for material demand in
Marscheider-Weidemann et al. [30] is 2018, not 2020, as no 2020 values were provided in the
source. Furthermore, only one data point is specified for 2020
In the future, new battery technologies are expected to make additional raw
materials and materials necessary, for example, sodium, calcium, or aluminum
[1]. Some of these developments are explicitly undertaken to reduce the dependence
on Critical Raw Materials, like cobalt, or other expensive metals, like nickel. It is
crucial to close material loops to meet future material demands and reduce the
environmental impact of battery production, especially for expensive, scarce, or
environmentally harmful materials [32].
In the meantime, material demand and end-of-life material flow for lithium,
cobalt, and nickel are expected to continue to increase [45]. Figure 2.2 shows the
range of estimations of current and future material demand for lithium, nickel,
cobalt, manganese, copper, and graphite in recent battery material flow studies.
This ever-increasing material demand causes an issue in implementing the circular
economy. The International Energy Agency estimates that by 2040, recycled copper,
lithium, nickel, and cobalt from spent batteries could reduce the combined primary
supply requirements for these minerals by around 10% [23]. The main reason is that
you can only recycle what you have used in the past because of the time lag of the
product’s lifetime. From a resource savings perspective, product lifetimes should be
extended to reduce the demand for new batteries, but the market has grown signif-
icantly when a battery becomes waste. Therefore, even with high end-of-life
recycling rates for battery materials, the recycled content in batteries will remain
low until some saturation level has been achieved and the in-use stock is not
multiplying anymore. Such saturation is not expected to happen before the
2 Principles of a Circular Economy for Batteries 19
In the broad definition of the circular economy, more sustainable material cycles for
batteries are not only a question of recycling. The goal is a holistic implementation of
circular economy measures to reduce overall resource requirements and material-
related environmental impacts. So how can the material cycles for batteries be
narrowed, slowed, and closed comprehensively?
Narrowing material cycles in a rapidly growing market is a challenging task.
However, significant efforts have already been made to reduce, for example, the
required housing. Cell-to-pack technologies, for example, for LFP, have eliminated
the module component and increased the battery’s energy density, effectively
reducing the amount of steel, aluminum, or plastic packaging that is not an active
material in the battery. At its core, this is a “reduce” strategy, although here, it is
chiefly used to increase the capacity of the vehicle battery. Circular economy
strategies narrowing the material cycles are chiefly used for their Critical Raw
Materials content, particularly for the partial or complete substitution of cobalt in
batteries due to its high cost and conflict potential [3].
Battery material cycles can be slowed by prolonging battery life by designing
cells that last for a long time and many charging cycles. Significant improvements
have been made in terms of the aging stability of batteries, so it is now conceivable
that an electric vehicle can drive on the same battery for 20 years and one million
miles [16]. At the same time, electrolytes have been developed to allow faster
charging without compromising cycle stability [29]. Batteries can also be leased to
vehicle owners and afterward be used in less demanding applications, a strategy
which can be identified as reuse, remanufacture, or repurpose strategy, depending on
the amount of processing required and nature of the alternative use [3].
Battery material cycles can be closed by recycling the battery components
[10]. Generally, one can distinguish many pyrometallurgical and hydrometallurgical
processes and direct recycling routes [26]. The recoverability of contained Co, Ni,
Li, Mn, Al, Cu, C, Fe, electrolytes, and plastics depends on the chosen process. Pack,
module, and cell design also significantly impact battery dismantling and repair,
remanufacture, and recycling options [43].
In general, the pyrometallurgical processes are more versatile regarding the
battery chemistries and geometries. They have a high recycling capacity, require
no sorting or pretreatment, and enable high recovery of valuable metals (Co, Ni, Cu).
They are established and well-understood processes with industrial know-how
[17]. On the downside, certain materials (graphite, plastics, and electrolyte) are
burned and thus lost. The obtained products are often low purity and downcycled
(e.g., Li and Al) or need further hydrometallurgical refinement. The
20 C. Helbig and M. Hillenbrand
The European Commission adopted a new Battery Regulation with severe implica-
tions for the circular economy of batteries [31]. Among other things, the regulation
also addresses various issues concerning the material cycles of batteries.
The Battery Regulation is meant to narrow material cycles if successful. It enables
and guides the rise of batteries in electric vehicles and stationary applications, where
2 Principles of a Circular Economy for Batteries 21
Fig. 2.3 Summary of pyrometallurgical, hydrometallurgical, and direct recycling routes for battery
materials and their respective main advantages and disadvantages. (Adapted from Latini et al. [26]
and Harper et al. [17])
they serve as electrochemical energy storage enabling the reliable use of renewable
energy and thus replacing, at least in part, fossil fuels, which are by design not
circular. Several articles of the regulation are relevant to the circular economy. The
previously mentioned slowing and closing of material cycles are taken up, but the
narrowing of material cycles is not considered.
Articles 9 to 11, 73, and 74 have an impact on slowing the material cycles.
Articles 9 and 10 describe performance and durability requirements for batteries.
Article 11 mandates the removability and replaceability of portable batteries in
appliances, ensuring that the appliance stays in use in case batteries have a shorter
lifetime than the appliance itself. Article 73 supports the repurposing and
remanufacturing of batteries. Article 74 mandates producers to provide information
on the dismantling and removal of batteries to support repair, remanufacture,
preparation for reuse, treatment, and recycling.
Articles 8, 59, 69, and 71 close the material cycles. Article 8 mandates that the
cobalt, lead, lithium, and nickel present in new EV batteries fulfill the requirements
for minimum shares of material recovered from waste for each of the metals present.
22 C. Helbig and M. Hillenbrand
As proposed, these minimum shares will be implemented in 2030 and raised in 2035.
Article 59 sets targets for producers and article 69 for member states for minimum
collection targets for waste of portable batteries. The proposed targets are gradually
raised until 2030 when a 73% minimum collection rate shall be reached. Article
71, in combination with Annex XII, sets targets for recycling processes regarding
their minimum recycling efficiencies based on the average weight of batteries, and
levels of materials recovery, for cobalt, copper, lead, lithium, and nickel, respec-
tively. By 2030, according to the proposal, an 80% recycling efficiency for lead-acid
batteries and 70% for lithium-ion batteries shall be reached, enabling by 2031
a recovery of 95% for cobalt, copper, lead, and nickel and 80% for lithium.
The regulation is supported by various initiatives, such as the European Battery
Alliance, and financial aid packages to support research and innovation along the
entire battery value chain. But those benefits also come with risks, such as higher
compliance costs, hindering innovation, technology adaptation, and
competitiveness [31].
If implemented as the battery regulation proposal foresees, the contribution of
recycling to meeting the raw material demand of battery production in Europe could
be more than 40% for cobalt and more than 15% for lithium, nickel, and copper by
2040. Those numbers are based on a recycling volume of 150 to 300 kilotons of
lithium-ion batteries and battery components per year in 2030 and 600 to 2500
kilotons in 2040 [34].
The Battery Regulation also proposes a battery passport with information on
repair, disassembly, and, importantly, the carbon footprint of the battery from raw
material extraction to the end-of-life phase, without the use phase. Such a mandatory
carbon footprint, and in the future also carbon footprint classes and a threshold for
marketing batteries in the European Union, supports the goal to reduce the overall
environmental footprint of battery production. Therefore, the overall goal of the
circular economy, avoiding unintended harmful environmental impact, is just as
much tackled with the battery regulation proposal as the various mentioned
R-imperative actions.
2.6 Outlook
In a way, batteries are already a contribution to the circular economy because they
allow using reversible electrochemical processes for energy storage and, thereby,
replacing single-use fossil fuels. However, the circular economy of batteries will be
incomplete unless batteries are recycled after their product lifetime. Linear material
flows for fossil fuels would only be replaced by take-make-waste processes for
lithium, nickel, cobalt, natural graphite, and other battery materials. The battery
regulation proposal is a cornerstone to prevent such linear material flows.
One should never forget that recycling alone cannot meet the material demand for
building up the in-use stock in a growing market. Securing Critical Raw Materials
supply is equally important to allow batteries to fulfill their purpose in the required
2 Principles of a Circular Economy for Batteries 23
transitions in the energy sector for global net zero carbon emissions. The R-strategies
and recycling technologies mentioned above are necessary to reduce the total
material demand for batteries, but they will not eliminate the demand. They are
necessary but not a silver bullet. Therefore, the circular economy of batteries needs
to be accompanied with material research and embedded in a more general sustain-
ability strategy.
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Part II
System Perspective for a Clean Energy
Transition
Preface
This chapter provides an overview on the key role of batteries for the clean energy
transition. First, recent projections for the development of global and European
demand for battery storage out to 2050 are presented and discussed in Chapter 3,
with separate insights for the power system and the mobility sector.
The impact of the projected rise in battery production is analyzed also with
reference to the battery cost reduction's trend and, on the other hand, to the
consequent strong increase in demand for critical minerals. Increasing the supply
of these critical minerals in lockstep with demand is essential in order for battery
costs to continue to decline.
Chapter 4 then provides a review of energy storage technologies, going beyond
batteries. It compares and discusses the most relevant storage technologies, such as
power-to-x or pumped hydro, and highlights their main features and performance
characteristics, including their ecological footprint. Chapter 5 picks up on this and
highlights the specific advantages of batteries, whose specific performance and
technical characteristics make them a specifically promising technology for a wide
set of applications. Focus is placed on applications related to both grid-connected
and mobility services. For the former, this includes bulk energy services, transmis-
sion, and distribution network support and capacity firming coupled to highly
variable RES plants. With regard to transport applications, electric mobility, and
perspectives relative to electric vehicles (EVs), interaction with the electric infra-
structure is presented and discussed.
Chapter 3
Projected Global Demand for Energy
Storage
Contents
3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
3.2 Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
3.3 Development of Demand for Battery Energy Storage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
3.4 Drivers of Demand for Battery Energy Storage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
3.5 Resource Demand for Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
3.6 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
3.1 Introduction
28, 30]). The integration of these rising volumes of variable electricity requires key
enabling technologies such as battery storage to grow as well.
This chapter provides a detailed look at recent projections for the development of
global and European demand for battery storage out to 2050 and analyzes the
underlying drivers. It draws primarily on the International Energy Agency (IEA)‘s
World Energy Outlook (WEO) 2022 [26], to which the three authors contributed.
The WEO 2022s long-term projections of the development of the global energy
system foresee a dramatic increase in the relevance of battery storage for the energy
system. As a result of falling costs and supportive policies, electric vehicles become
the dominant technology in the light-duty vehicle segment in all scenarios in 2050,
contributing to a massive increase in the demand for automotive batteries. In the
electricity sector, battery energy storage systems emerge as one of the key solutions
to provide flexibility to a power system that sees sharply rising flexibility needs,
driven by the fast-rising share of variable renewables in the electricity mix. Batteries
are also increasingly tapped to provide firm capacity as traditional generators, such
as coal- or gas-fired plants, are retired.
As a result of the growing demand for batteries, the demand for critical minerals
used in battery production, such as lithium, cobalt, nickel, graphite, copper, or
manganese, is expected to increase substantially as well.
3.2 Methodology
The projections and findings on the prospects for and drivers of growth of battery
energy storage technologies presented below are primarily the results of analyses
performed for the IEA WEO 2022 [26] and related IEA publications.
The IEA WEO 2022 explores the potential development of global energy demand
and supply until 2050 using a scenario-based approach. It does so through three
scenarios. It should be noted that these scenarios do not represent predictions but
rather analyze in detail possible versions of how the energy system might develop
given different policy targets and assumptions on their implementation ([26],
p. 105).
The first two scenarios, the Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS) and the Announced
Pledges Scenario (APS), are descriptive. The third scenario, the Net Zero Emissions
by 2050 Scenario (NZE Scenario), is prescriptive:
• STEPS describes the development of the energy system considering only the
current policy setting, based on a country- and sector-specific appraisal of policies
that are in place or have been announced as of late 2022.
• APS assumes that all climate commitments, including nationally determined
contributions (NDCs) and country-level net zero targets that have been
announced as of late 2022, are achieved in full and on time (even though
supporting policies may not yet have been put into place), representing a more
aggressive emission-reduction pathway than STEPS.
3 Projected Global Demand for Energy Storage 31
• The NZE Scenario describes a cost-effective pathway for the global energy
system to reach net zero emissions by 2050, maintaining at least a 50% proba-
bility of keeping the global temperature rise below 1.5 degrees Celsius until 2050
while achieving universal access to modern energy services (primarily electricity
and clean cooking) by 2030 ([15], p. 48, [26], p. 463).
The scenario projections are derived using a bottom-up, partial-optimization
model of the global energy system, called the Global Energy and Climate Model
(GEC-M), modeling energy demand, transformation, and supply in high detail for
26 regions (11 countries and 15 country groupings). A comprehensive description of
the model, the key assumptions, and data sources used can be found in the docu-
mentation [21]. Of particular relevance to the representation of battery energy
storage in the model are the power and transport sector modules of the GEC-M.
The technology-rich power sector module combines an investment model with a
high-resolution dispatch model to simulate the evolution of the regional power
systems, ensuring that there is sufficient generating capacity to cover peak demand
plus a reserve margin, as well as sufficient production to meet the annual demand of
all end uses, including grid losses ([21], p. 45). The transport sector module consists
of dedicated, regional bottom-up models for aviation, maritime, rail, and road
transport. The road transport model projects the evolution of the regional vehicle
fleets and their fuel consumption based on, among other things, activity drivers such
as historical trends, GDP and population, vehicle scrappage functions, and cost-
competitiveness assessments of different drivetrain technologies ([21], p. 32).
The electricity1 and transport sectors are the key users of battery energy storage
systems. In both sectors, demand for battery energy storage systems surges in all
three scenarios of the IEA WEO 2022. In the electricity sector, batteries play an
increasingly important role as behind-the-meter and utility-scale energy storage
systems that are easy to scale, site, and contribute to system reliability and flexibility.
In the transport sector, the increasing electrification of road transport through plug-in
hybrids and, most importantly, battery electric vehicles leads to a massive rise in
battery demand.
1
In the context of this chapter, we define “electricity sector” as encompassing the production and all
stationary end uses of electricity.
32 M. Schönfisch et al.
Fig. 3.1 Storage technologies and potential power system applications based on discharge
times. Note: T and D deferral = transmission and distribution investment deferral. (Source: IEA
[22], p. 64)
system and more cost-effectively match demand and supply, they provide important
flexibility services to the system. They can be tapped to provide operating reserves
and important ancillary services such as frequency control or helping with the
restoration of grid operations after a blackout. Due to their scalability and modular-
ity, they are also promising solutions for the provision of localized flexibility in
distribution or transmission systems, helping to address bottlenecks and reducing the
need for costly investments into new transmission and distribution infrastructure
[5, 24]. Furthermore, there are more and more cases of batteries being colocated with
variable renewables in order to “firm up” the latter’s electricity production, for
example, in Germany or India, where pairing renewables with storage is rewarded
through dedicated support mechanisms. Also, where eligible, batteries are increas-
ingly tapped to provide firm capacity in capacity markets ([25], p. 55).
Behind-the-meter battery energy storage systems are connected to the distribution
grid behind the utility meter of an individual electricity consumer, typically a
household or a small business. Behind-the-meter battery energy storage systems
are usually paired with a distributed energy resource, in most cases rooftop solar
PV. Behind-the-meter batteries enable consumers to lower electricity bills by max-
imizing the consumption of self-generated electricity and enabling them to engage in
energy arbitrage, i.e., shifting consumption from high to low price periods. The
overall magnitude of savings is highly dependent on the level and structure of
electricity tariffs and the remuneration consumers receive for feeding electricity
into the grid. Variable or time-of-use electricity and feed-in tariffs offer greater
potentials for savings using behind-the-meter battery energy storage systems than
fixed rates. Another common motivation for the installation of behind-the-meter
battery energy storage systems is to improve resilience against interruptions in the
power supply from the grid, where behind-the-meter battery storage systems coupled
with a distributed energy resource increasingly compete with traditional solutions
such as diesel generators [6].
Across all scenarios in the WEO 2022, utility-scale systems account for the
majority of battery storage deployment, though the development of both utility-
scale and behind-the-meter storage are heavily dependent on the prevailing regula-
tions. In many jurisdictions, net metering2 regulations that underpin the growth of
rooftop solar ([14], p. 36) are holding back investments into behind-the-meter
electricity storage. Stronger growth in behind-the-meter systems can be expected
should regulation change in ways that encourage self-consumption, such as time-of-
use tariffs, and introduce a time-dependent, market-based remuneration for electric-
ity fed into the grid by small-scale generators. However, that growth would not
necessarily come on top of the projected growth of utility-scale systems, since
(aggregated) behind-the-meter storage can, with the right regulation and the appro-
priate control technology, provide some of the flexibility to the system that would
otherwise be provided by utility-scale batteries.
2
Net metering is a billing mechanism that allows consumers to credit self-generated against
consumed electricity irrespective of when that electricity was generated.
34 M. Schönfisch et al.
In recent years, the pace of installations of battery storage systems has picked up
significantly. In 2021 alone, more than 9 GW were installed globally, a nearly 90%
increase on 2020. At the end of the year 2022, total global installed stationary battery
storage capacity stood at more than 27 GW ([26], p. 311). The speed of the increase
has been substantial: just 10 years ago, the global installed battery energy storage
was less than 1 GW in total.
Moving forward, battery storage capacity is projected to grow massively in all
three scenarios (see Fig. 3.2). In the STEPS, installed global, grid-connected battery
storage capacity increases tenfold until 2030, rising from 27 GW in 2021 to 270 GW.
Deployments accelerate further after 2030, with the global installed capacity
reaching nearly 1300 GW in 2050. Accounting for all announced pledges and
policies leads battery storage capacity to grow to 425 GW in 2030 and close to
2300 GW in 2050, a near doubling compared to the STEPS. The pace of deploy-
ments is even faster in the NZE Scenario, where installed capacity reaches about
780 GW in 2030 and nearly 3900 GW by 2050, as the electricity sector is the first to
be fully decarbonized, by 2035 in advanced economies and by 2040 in emerging
market and developing economies.
In the European Union, total installed battery storage capacity rises from nearly
5 GW today to 14 GW in 2030 and almost 120 GW in 2050 in the STEPS, which
achieves the agreed objectives, including reaching 32% of renewable energy by
2030, and fulfills all the National Energy and Climate Plans and major policies as of
late 2022. In the APS, which reflects discussions on higher ambitions for renewable
energy, including the goal to reach a 40% share in gross energy consumption by
2030 within the Fit for 55 package [11] and the G7 commitment to achieve
predominantly decarbonized electricity by 2035 [8], battery storage capacity
increases to 50 GW by 2030 and more than 200 GW in 2050. In the NZE Scenario,
which requires similar emissions reductions by 2030 and 2035, higher energy
efficiency and a more responsive demand side require slightly less battery capacity
deployments, with installed capacity reaching 180 GW in 2050 [26].
Despite the massive growth projected in all scenarios of the WEO 2022, stationary
battery energy storage capacity in the electricity sector is—depending on the
scenario—only equivalent to 7–10% of the combined storage capacity of electric
vehicle batteries. This makes the transport sector the by far biggest user of batteries.
3
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
Projected Global Demand for Energy Storage
In the sector, the vast majority of batteries are used in electric and plug-in hybrid
electric vehicles.
Electric vehicles are projected to make up increasing shares of newly registered
vehicles across all types of road vehicles (passenger/commercial light-duty vehicles,
medium and heavy-duty vehicles, buses and two-/three-wheelers) in all three
scenarios.
In 2021, demand for automotive lithium-ion batteries was 340 GWh per year,
doubling from 2020 ([26], p. 167), with global electric vehicle sales reaching a
record-breaking 6.6 million ([20], p. 4), bringing the global electric vehicle fleet
(excluding two-/three-wheelers) to 18 million ([20], p. 99). Nearly 9% of all new
passenger vehicles sold were fully electric. China led the world in sales, followed by
Europe and the USA [23].
In the STEPS, which considers only policies already in force as of late 2022, the
global electric vehicle fleet (excluding two-/three-wheelers) grows to 200 million
vehicles by 2030, representing over 20% of all road vehicle sales ([20], p. 99). In the
APS, which assumes that all existing targets are met in full and on time, electric
vehicle adoption is more rapid, with their share in total sales growing to over 35% in
2030 and total stock reaching 270 million vehicles in the same year ([20], p. 99). In
the NZE Scenario, electric vehicle uptake proceeds even faster, and globally, 60% of
all new vehicles sold in 2030 are fully electric, with the number of electric vehicles
growing to 350 million ([20], p. 99).
The bulk of the growth comes from the light-duty vehicle segment, most notably
passenger electric vehicles. In 2021, electric light-duty vehicles accounted for 95%
of the global electric vehicle fleet (excluding two-/three-wheelers), and they con-
tinue to maintain this share through 2030 in the STEPS. Electric light-duty vehicle
sales grow more rapidly in the APS, reaching a share of 35% of total light-duty
vehicle sales by 2030. In the NZE Scenario, more than 60% of all light-duty vehicles
sold in the same year are electric ([20], pp. 99–100). The rapid expansion of electric
vehicle sales is projected to continue after 2030. In the APS, electric vehicles reach a
two-thirds share in total new light-duty vehicle sales by 2040. Slow turnover in the
vehicle stock means, however, that even in this scenario, the share of electric
vehicles in the global light-duty vehicle fleet will exceed two-thirds only by 2050
([26], p. 275).
Electrification is projected to proceed more slowly in the medium and heavy-duty
vehicle segment. While electric trucks are well suited for roles like urban delivery,
with relatively short driving distances and the possibility of overnight charging,
larger batteries and a high-power charging infrastructure are required to enable long-
distance electric trucking. In the STEPS, electric trucks reach a sales share of under
10% in 2030, while in the APS and NZE Scenario, they account for 10% and 25% of
sales, respectively ([20], pp. 100–101).
Electric buses are the second most common type of electric vehicle in use today
(excluding two-/three-wheelers). Their share in the bus stock is projected to
3 Projected Global Demand for Energy Storage 37
increase to 11% by 2030 in the STEPS, 15% in the APS, and 25% in the NZE
Scenario ([20], p. 100).
Although excluded from the total number of electric vehicles presented above,
electric two-/three-wheelers are the most common type of electric vehicle today and
are projected to remain so through 2030. In many regions, they are already cost-
competitive with internal combustion engine two-/three-wheelers on a total cost of
ownership basis and projected to see strong growth in Asia in particular. Electric
two-/three-wheelers account for over 25% of the stock in 2030 in the STEPS, up
from around 6% in 2021. In the APS, 35% of the total stock is electric, while in the
NZE Scenario, that share is even higher ([20], p. 101).
The electrification of road transport is proceeding at different speeds across the
world. In terms of the distribution of sales, advanced economies and China act as
trailblazers, with battery electric vehicles accounting for more than 50% of the cars
sold by 2030 in China, the European Union and the USA ([26], p. 274). In Europe,
supportive policies ensure that it remains one of the key electric vehicle markets: in
the STEPS, light-duty electric vehicles account for 35% of all light-duty vehicle
sales in 2030. In the APS, assuming additional policy pledges are implemented, this
share rises to over 50%. The 2030 sales shares are 50% for buses and 7% for trucks
in 2030 in the STEPS and 55% for buses and 20% for trucks in the APS ([20],
p. 104).
The impact on the demand for automotive batteries is substantial. In the NZE
Scenario, which sees the strongest growth of electric vehicles to 2030, demand
grows 16-fold, from 340 GWh per year in 2021 to more than 5500 GWh per year
in 2030 ([26], p. 167).
3
It should be noted that the faster scale-up projected for the APS and NZE Scenario (compared to
the STEPS) will require policy and regulatory frameworks to evolve in a manner that reflects the
contribution that battery energy storage systems are able to make to the system.
38 M. Schönfisch et al.
scale, which in turn accelerates deployment, although raw materials costs are likely
to play an increasingly significant role ([25], p. 55).
In the electricity sector, clean energy transitions change the nature of power sys-
tems. Maintaining capacity adequacy—the ability to match demand and supply at all
times with a high degree of reliability—is central to energy security, calling for
contributions without adding to overall emissions. Rising flexibility needs, linked
primarily to the fast-rising share of variable renewables in the electricity mix, bolster
the value of dispatchable technologies, particularly low emissions options. Growing
demand for solutions that provide power system flexibility and capacity adequacy is
the main driver underpinning the rapid increase in battery energy storage capacity
projected in the WEO 2022, as falling costs for battery storage improve their
economics compared with competing sources of flexibility and adequacy.
50%
Share of batteries in total
India STEPS
dispatchable capacity
2050
40%
2030
United 2021
30%
States
20% APS
European Union 2050
10% 2030
China
2021
Fig. 3.3 Share of batteries in total dispatchable capacity and share of variable renewables in total
electricity generation for the European Union, China, India, and the USA, 2021–2050. (Source: IEA
[26], p. 311)
The rising contribution by variable wind and PV increases the variability of the
net load.4 In the STEPS, the share in the global electricity mix of wind and solar PV
together doubles from 10% in 2021 to 20% in 2030 and rises above 40% until 2050.
In the APS, it increases to 30% by 2030 and reaches nearly 60% in 2050. In the NZE
Scenario, it increases to nearly 70% by 2050. As a result, global flexibility needs5
triple until 2050 in the STEPS, rise more than 3.5-fold in the APS, and quadruple in
the NZE Scenario. However, there is significant regional variation: systems which
today have relatively small shares of wind and solar PV see a much stronger relative
increase in flexibility demand. In India, for example, flexibility requirements rise
sixfold until 2050 in the APS, whereas in the European Union—where the combined
share of wind and solar PV in the electricity mix was already 18% in 2021—they
double over the same time period ([26], pp. 214, 299).
The relationship between the rising share of variable renewables in the electricity
mix (and thus increasing flexibility demand in the electricity system) and the
increase of stationary battery energy storage capacity (as a share of total dispatchable
capacity) is illustrated in Fig. 3.3. It shows that across the four regions displayed,
battery capacity rises in tandem with the share of variable renewables in the
electricity mix. There are, however, differences between regions and scenarios. In
the APS, battery storage capacity rises faster relative to the share of renewables in the
system than in the STEPS, since renewables are deployed faster and alternative
sources of flexibility, such as coal-fired power plants, retired earlier. Regional
4
The net load is the load that remains after deducting the production of wind and solar PV from
electricity demand.
5
In the WEO 2022, flexibility needs are measured by the hour-to-hour ramping requirements after
removing hourly wind and solar PV production from hourly electricity demand, divided by the
average hourly demand for the year ([26], p. 308).
40 M. Schönfisch et al.
differences are also the result of the relative share of solar PV and wind in the
respective electricity system, as solar in particular is increasingly paired with
batteries. Battery deployment thus tends to be larger in places with high proportions
of solar PV compared to wind power, like the USA or India, than in regions where
wind power predominates, like China or the European Union ([26], p. 312).
costs in the APS and NZE Scenario slightly below. This makes renewables, in
particular solar PV, combined with utility-scale battery energy storage one of the
most cost-competitive solutions to provide dispatchable capacity in many markets in
2050, with the levelized cost of electricity falling below that of new combined-cycle
gas turbines ([26], p. 406).
It should be noted, however, that as innovation and learning make batteries
cheaper and cheaper to produce, the relative contribution of mineral resource prices
to the cost of battery packs increases. In 2022, sharp increases in the prices of key
minerals like lithium, cobalt, nickel, graphite, copper, or manganese contributed to a
7% increase in the average price of lithium-ion battery packs, despite an ongoing
shift to lower cost chemistries that require lower volumes of certain critical minerals
[4]. The projected future cost declines presented above are thus contingent on prices
of important minerals returning closer to their historical averages.
However, while batteries are certain to continue to grow, to get on track for the high
levels of deployment seen in the APS and the NZE Scenario, the two more ambitious
scenarios of the World Energy Outlook 2022, policies and regulatory frameworks
need to evolve.
In the electricity sector, governments should consider energy storage, alongside
other flexibility options such as demand response, power plant retrofits, or smart
grids, as part of their long-term strategic plans, aligned with wind and solar PV
capacity as well as grid capacity expansion plans. Business cases for grid-scale
storage can be complex and may not be viable under legacy market and regulatory
conditions. In liberalized electricity markets, measures to increase incentives for the
deployment of flexibility that is able to rapidly respond to fluctuations in supply and
demand could help improve the business case for grid-scale storage. These include
decreasing the settlement period and bringing market gate closure closer to real time,
as well as updating market rules and specifications to make it easier for storage to
provide ancillary services. The business case for storage improves greatly with value
stacking, i.e., allowing it to maximize revenue by bidding into different markets.
Regulatory frameworks should continue to be updated to level the playing field for
different flexibility options, which would help to build a stronger economic case for
energy storage in many markets. Transmission and distribution investment deferral
(using storage to improve the utilization of, and manage bottlenecks in, the power
grid), for example, is another potential high-value application for storage, since it
can reduce the need for costly grid upgrades. To capture the greatest benefit, storage
should be considered, along with other non-wire alternatives, in the transmission and
distribution planning process. A key issue is ownership: in many markets, storage is
considered a generation asset, and system operators (transmission as well as distri-
bution) are not allowed to own storage assets. One solution is to allow them to
procure storage services from third parties. However, regulatory frameworks need to
42 M. Schönfisch et al.
Falling costs, most importantly for the battery packs, driven by ongoing innovation
and improving economies of scale, ensure that electric vehicles become the cost-
effective choice for most types of road transport after 2030 in all scenarios, espe-
cially in the light-duty vehicle segment. In many emerging market and developing
economies, electric two-/three-wheelers are, depending on use, already cheaper
than internal combustion engine alternatives on a total cost of ownership basis, and
this is projected to become the case for most models by 2025 ([17], p. 76; [18],
p. 122). The rising attractiveness of electric vehicles to consumers is reflected in the
model range. In 2021, around 450 different models of electric vehicles were avail-
able on the market, 5 times more than in 2015 ([20], p. 4).
Countries are increasingly looking to boost the uptake of electric vehicles to address
concerns around CO2 emissions and local air pollution. Building on the improving
competitiveness of electric vehicles, governments across the world are seeking to
accelerate the adoption of electric vehicles through subsidies. Direct per vehicle
subsidies like cash bonuses or tax rebates lower the cost of electric vehicles, making
them more attractive compared to internal combustion engine vehicles.
Other ways to subsidize electric vehicles include exemptions from tolls and
charges, as well as the provision of free or subsidized public charging. Increasing
investments in charging infrastructure is necessary to make electric vehicle use more
3 Projected Global Demand for Energy Storage 43
practical and alleviate the problem of range anxiety among current and future electric
vehicle users, as well as to make electric long-distance trucking more practical ([23],
pp. 275). Furthermore, initial public investments in charging infrastructure are
essential to overcome the “chicken-and-egg problem” of providing enough chargers
to make electric vehicles more attractive and practical to use while at the same time
sustaining an infrastructure that is unlikely to be profitable initially due to the low
number of users.
Total expenditures by governments in support of electric vehicles almost doubled
in 2021. Some countries, including in the European Union, India, and Japan, have
introduced or expanded subsidies, while some markets, such as China, Korea, and
the UK, have used the opportunity provided by falling electric vehicle costs to
reduce per vehicle subsidies, recognizing the narrowing cost gap between electric
and conventional internal combustion engine-powered vehicles ([20], p. 59).
Standards and targets are projected to play a major role accelerating the adoption of
electric vehicles. As of mid-2022, 36 countries and several US states have commit-
ted to ending sales of internal combustion engine-powered cars and, in some cases,
light trucks, by a certain year ([26], p. 273). With the “Fit for 55” package, the
European Union has pledged to ensure that all new cars and vans registered in the
block will have to be zero emission by 2035. In an intermediate step, new vehicles
will have to comply with CO2 standards that will require emissions drop by 55%
until 2030 for cars and 50% for vans (from a limit of 95 g/km for cars and 147 g/km
for vans in 2021) [10]. Globally, 25% of the present light-duty vehicle market is
covered by pledges or targets to bring the share of zero emission vehicles to 100% by
2035 ([20], p. 57) (Table 3.1).
Table 3.1 Selected targets to end sales of new internal combustion engine-powered vehicles, by
country or state
Year Country/state Type of vehicle
2025 Norway LDVs
2030 Austria, Slovenia, Washington (USA) LDVs
Denmark, Iceland, Ireland, Netherlands, Singapore Passenger cars
2035 European Union, Cape Verde, Canada, Chile, UK LDVs
California, Massachusetts, and New York (USA) Passenger cars
2050 Costa Rica, New Zealand, Connecticut, Maryland Passenger cars
New Jersey, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont (USA)
Source: IEA ([26], p. 273)
Notes: LDVs, light-duty vehicles (passenger cars and light trucks). This table covers countries and
states with legislation, a target, or stated ambition in place to phase out the sales of internal
combustion engine light-duty vehicles
44 M. Schönfisch et al.
Clean energy technologies, including batteries, require far larger volumes of critical
minerals than fossil fuel-based technologies. Copper is a key component of most
technologies that produce or consume electricity; silver and silicon are needed for
solar PV; rare earth elements are an important component of most wind turbine
motors and electric motors, while lithium, nickel, cobalt, manganese, and graphite
are crucial minerals for the production of lithium-ion batteries ([16], p. 5), the
dominant battery chemistry for electric vehicles and utility-scale energy storage
applications, both today and under the projections of the World Energy Outlook
2022 ([26], p. 217).
The energy sector is becoming a substantial consumer of critical minerals as the
accelerating transition to a clean energy system is expected to significantly raise
demand. For the majority of minerals, the energy industry only made up a minor
portion of total demand until the middle of the 2010s.
The energy sector’s share is projected to increase significantly over the next two
decades: electric vehicles and stationary battery energy storage systems have already
outclassed consumer electronics as the largest consumer of lithium and are projected
to overtake stainless steel production as the largest consumer of nickel by 2040 ([16],
p. 5).
Lithium-ion batteries have emerged as the dominant battery technology in both
electric vehicles and stationary battery energy storage applications. They are far
more energy dense than competing solutions such as lead acid or nickel cadmium
batteries. The production of lithium-ion batteries is mineral-intensive. A battery pack
is made up of modules which are composed of individual cells. Cells account for
around 70–85% of the weight of the total weight of a battery pack. They contain
several minerals, mainly lithium, nickel, cobalt, and manganese (in the cathode),
graphite (in the anode), copper (in the current collector), as well aluminum, steel, and
microelectronics (for other components of the modules and pack) ([16], p. 90).
3 Projected Global Demand for Energy Storage 45
Lithium-ion batteries are often categorized and commonly referred to by the chem-
istry of their cathodes. The choice of chemistry determines a battery’s energy density
and longevity, which varies significantly between chemistries, and is a key deter-
mining factor for the type and amount of minerals required. The most commonly
used cathode chemistries for lithium-ion batteries are lithium cobalt oxide (LCO),
lithium manganese oxide (LMO), lithium iron phosphate (LFP), lithium nickel
cobalt aluminum oxide (NCA), and lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide (NMC)
([16, 32], p. 90; [29]).
Of the types mentioned above, LCO batteries have the greatest energy density and
a relatively high specific energy (150–190 Wh/kg). The primary choice for consumer
electronics is a mature technology, with the disadvantage, however, of a comparably
short life cycle (500–1000 full cycles). This, coupled with an inherent thermal
instability, means they are generally not employed in electric vehicles or as station-
ary electricity storage solutions ([16], p. 90).
The LMO battery has a high specific power, a longer life cycle (1000–-
1500 cycles), and much better thermal stability than LCO. Being cobalt-free is
often considered as a key advantage of this chemistry. However, it has a notably
lower energy density, in the range of 100–140 Wh/kg. Presently, it finds use in the
production of electric bikes and some commercial vehicles ([16], p. 90).
LFP batteries offer high thermal stability and a longer life cycle (more than 2000
full cycles) ([16], pp. 90). Its lower energy density and specific energy (90–140 Wh/
kg) mean that the technology has been thus far favored for large-scale stationary
energy storage applications and heavy-duty vehicles, where the size and weight of a
battery are secondary considerations over safety and durability, rather than passenger
electric vehicles or behind-the-meter home storage systems [24]. Nevertheless,
owing to several social, geopolitical, and resource constraint concerns, LFP batte-
ries, which do not require nickel, manganese, or cobalt, are today witnessing a
massive resurgence in R&D spending to improve their energy density and make
them suitable for passenger EVs. These efforts were spearheaded by automakers in
China, where in the past year, both domestic and international OEMs like Tesla
Motors and Volkswagen have focused on producing LFP-based entry-level EV
models.
The NCA battery has the highest specific energy range (200–250 Wh/kg) in the
current class of technologies as well as high specific power, combined with a lifetime
of 1000 to 1500 full cycles. NCA is the technology preferred by manufacturers like
Tesla and has immense potential for use in power systems in backup and load
shifting applications. However, they are more expensive than other chemistries
([16], p. 91).
NMC batteries have longer life cycle (1000–2000 cycles) compared to NCA, but
a lower energy density (140–200 Wh/kg). They have dominated the BEV and PHEV
markets since its commercialization in the early 2000s. While NCA batteries have
46 M. Schönfisch et al.
higher specific energy to their name, NMC batteries possess longer lifetimes, which
makes them the favored choice for PHEVs. Manufacturers producing both BEVs
and PHEVs, such as General Motors, are known to use NMC variants of lithium-ion
batteries ([16], p. 91).
Advancement in lithium-ion battery technology involves more than just the
challenge of improving energy density, durability, safety, and cost. It also includes
the effort to do so while minimizing the environmental, social, and political costs of
acquiring their constituent materials. Owing to price spikes and concerns over ethical
mining practices in the 2010s, EV producers have been working to reduce the
amount of cobalt in batteries over the past several years—this implies, in many
cases, an increase in the quantity of nickel. NCA batteries transitioned to NCA+, a
nickel-rich variant of NCA, and NMC 111 batteries have moved increasingly toward
NMC 532, NMC 622, and NMC 811 and could move to even more nickel-rich
chemistries. This trend of moving away from cobalt could therefore have major
implications for the requirement for nickel, which also has a highly concentrated
supply chain today ([16], p. 91).
Anodes must complement cathode chemistries. Anode materials are selected for
their charge collection capability. Graphite is currently the dominant choice for the
anode in most lithium-ion batteries, although certain manufacturers also use lithium
titanate instead of graphite. Efforts to replace some or most atoms of carbon in the
graphite anode with silicon atoms are underway (e.g., Tesla, Porsche) and are
expected to drastically improve the energy density of the cells. However, silicon
anodes swell during charging, causing its surface to crack and performance to drop.
Another alternative to the graphite anode is pure lithium metal, which also has far
greater charge collection capability than graphite. But this anode cannot be used with
liquid electrolyte batteries due to undesirable chemical interactions between the
electrolyte and the metal anode, which drastically reduces the lifetime of the cell.
The use of a lithium metal anode may increase significantly with the advent of
all-solid state batteries (ASSBs) ([16], p. 92).
The future technology mix will have a significant impact on the amount of
specific mineral resources required for the production of batteries. As shown in
Fig. 3.4, different battery chemistries require different minerals in varying quantities.
Different assumptions about the evolution of the technology mix can thus have a
substantial effect on the amounts of certain minerals consumed for battery
production.
Nickel manganese cobalt oxide (NMC) batteries, for instance, usually require
roughly eight times more cobalt but only half as much nickel than nickel cobalt
aluminum oxide (NCA) batteries. While nickel, cobalt, and manganese are needed
for lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, approximately 50% more copper is
required compared to NMC batteries ([16], p. 88).
Further uncertainty is introduced by the potential for disruptive leaps in battery
technology. As we reach the physical limits of density and life cycle improvements
with current technology and materials, notable cost reductions can only be achieved
by the disruption of the current technology—for example, in the form of ASSBs with
3 Projected Global Demand for Energy Storage 47
NCA
Copper
NCA+
Lithium
NMC 333
Nickel
NMC 532
LFP Graphite
LMO
kg
Fig. 3.4 Critical minerals required for the production of a 75-kWh automotive lithium-ion battery
using selected cathode chemistries. (Source: Adapted from Ref. [16], p. 89), based on Refs. [1–3,
13, 31]
lithium anodes or through the increased used of silicon in graphite anodes for
existing liquid electrolyte chemistries, or through all together new chemistries
such as sodium-ion batteries. Therefore, a continued cost decline at the pace
observed during the past decade cannot be taken for granted without a further
acceleration in technology innovation, and this will be accompanied by changes in
mineral demand projections.
While mineral resource requirements for battery production were not quantified for
the STEPS, APS, or the NZE Scenario presented in the WEO 2022, the IEA
published detailed minerals demand projections in a preceding report. They are
based on the IEA Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS) which describes a global
pathway for the energy system that achieves the goal of the Paris Agreement, in
addition to meeting the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals.
In the SDS, the transport sector sees battery demand from EVs grow by nearly
40 times between 2020 (160 GWh) and 2040 (6200 GWh). The base case chemistry
assumptions project a shift away from cobalt-rich chemistries. This is achieved in
both NCA batteries and NMC variants, where the ratio of nickel and manganese is
increased in the transition from NMC 111 to NMC 532, NMC 622, and ultimately
NMC 811 ([16], p. 97). While most heavy trucks are reliant on LFP batteries in the
medium term, the base case also sees growth in the market share of LFP for cars due
to its increasing use in China. The base case also sees ASSBs becoming commer-
cially available by around 2030 and requiring another 5 years for manufacturing
48 M. Schönfisch et al.
capacity to build up. Even in 2040, ASSBs remain more expensive than liquid
electrolyte lithium-ion batteries and are therefore limited to premium vehicles and
advanced economies. In the longer term, heavy trucks operating long haul are likely
to use ASSBs as soon as they become available because of the great benefits of
energy density improvement in these applications. They would enable increased
payload, greater operating range, and shorter charging times ([16], p. 96).
For the anode, natural graphite is expected to continue to account for the majority
of market share. Even as artificial graphite starts to replace natural graphite for
reasons of improved purity and hence energy density, a small number of manufac-
turers choose lithium titanate (LTO) instead of graphite for heavier vehicles due to its
fast-charging advantages. The dominance of graphite declines very slightly over the
years to make way for nanocomposite graphite doped with silicon and for lithium
metal that emerges with the advent of ASSBs ([16], p. 96).
Overall annual demand for minerals under the base case chemistry assumptions
grows by 30 times between 2020 and 2040, from 400 kt to 11,800 kt. Nickel demand
grows by 41 times to 3300 kt, while cobalt increases by only 21 times, as cathode
chemistries shift away from NMC 111 toward lower-cobalt chemistries (NMC
622 and NMC 811). Lithium demand grows by 43 times, while copper grows
28 times. Graphite demand grows 25 times from 140 kt in 2020 to over 3500 kt in
2040. Silicon registers the largest relative growth, up over 460 times, as graphite
anodes doped with silicon grow from a 1% share in 2020 to 15% in 2040 ([16],
p. 97).
In the electricity sector, battery storage grows by 11 times between 2020
(37 GWh) and 2040 (420 GWh). In the base case chemistry assumptions, safe and
cheap LFP batteries for utility-scale storage are expected to dominate the overall
battery storage market. The remaining demand is covered by the more expensive, but
energy dense, NMC 111 and NMC 532 used predominantly for home energy
storage. The NMC variants transition toward NMC 622 and NMC 811 in a similar
way to the market for EV batteries, albeit with a delay owing to the time needed for
transfer of technology and sufficient reduction in prices. Vanadium flow batteries
(VFBs) first become commercially suitable in 2030 with a small share, growing
modestly to capture a wider market for storage applications in large renewables
projects.
Overall demand for minerals in the base case grows by 33 times between 2020
and 2040, from 26 kt to nearly 850 kt. Overall mineral demand outpaces battery
demand growth, as the market share for LFP batteries is displaced by more mineral-
intensive NMC chemistries. The largest relative growth is seen in nickel, which
grows more than 140 times from 0.4 kt in 2020 to 57 kt in 2040. Cobalt demand
increases by 70 times while manganese demand increases by 58 times.
The base case projections are founded on a set of assumptions, which, when
altered due to reasons of technology advancements, could result in scenarios that
produce very different results.
The base case for electric vehicle batteries, for example, assumes an ongoing shift
away from cobalt toward nickel-rich cathode chemistries. Growing concerns around
nickel supplies, for example, due to price spikes triggered by delays to and cost
3 Projected Global Demand for Energy Storage 49
overruns at planned nickel mining projects, could conceivably slow the shift toward
nickel-rich chemistries. The impact on minerals volumes could be substantial:
compared to the base case, a delayed shift could result in a nearly 50% higher
demand for cobalt and manganese for electric vehicle batteries by 2040. Similarly, a
much more rapid shift toward ASSBs could result in higher lithium demand than in
the base case but would also reduce the demand for graphite and silicon ([16], p. 99).
The base case for energy storage systems is built on the assumption that utility-
scale storage forms a major proportion of the demand, wherein cost (and not space)
is the primary concern for the technology selection. However, several alternative
scenarios could change the base case projections. For instance, more rapid adoption
of wall-mounted home energy storage would make size and thus energy density a
prime concern, thereby pushing up the market share of NMC batteries such as those
already used by the Tesla Powerwall. Conversely, if the technology for flow
batteries, which have the advantage of virtually unlimited energy capacity and
very long lifetimes, reaches a stage of widespread commercialization earlier than
expected, then utility-scale storage technology could shift away from LFP batteries
toward VFBs ([16], p. 105).
The mineral demand projections presented in this section show that the prolifer-
ation of batteries in the electricity and transport sectors will lead to a significant
increase in the demand for various critical minerals essential for battery production.
Scaling up the production of these minerals in a sustainable manner is critical to
achieving the deployment rates and cost reductions projected in the scenarios
presented above. Today already, raw material prices account for 50–70% of total
battery costs. A doubling of lithium or nickel prices, for example, would lead to 6%
increase in battery costs ([16], p. 107). It is important to note that in addition to
primary production (mining), battery recycling has the potential to be a significant
source of secondary supply of the critical minerals needed for future battery demand.
IEA analysis suggests that the recycling and reuse of batteries from electric vehicles
and stationary storage could reduce primary mineral supply requirements by more
than 10% by 2040 ([16], p. 187). Targeted policies, including minimum recycled
content requirements, tradable recycling credits, and virgin material taxes, all have
potential to incentivize recycling and drive growth of secondary supplies. Interna-
tional coordination will be crucial because of the global nature of the battery and
critical minerals markets [24].
3.6 Conclusion
The IEA WEO 2022 projects electric vehicles to become the dominant technol-
ogy in the light-duty vehicle segment in all scenarios in 2050, contributing to a
massive increase in the demand for batteries. In the electricity sector, battery energy
storage systems emerge as one of the key solutions to provide flexibility to a power
system that sees sharply rising flexibility needs, driven by the fast-rising share of
variable renewables in the electricity mix. Batteries are also increasingly tapped to
provide firm capacity as traditional generators, such as coal- or gas-fired plants, are
retired.
The ongoing decline in the cost of battery packs is crucial to this. It enables
electric vehicles to compete on cost with their internal combustion engine counter-
parts in more and more use cases. Policies and targets play an important role as well.
Zero emission vehicle sales targets, such as the European Union’s commitment to
100% zero emission vehicles in sales by 2035, provide guidance to carmakers, many
of whom are responding by expanding the model range and setting their own
fleetwide electrification targets. Direct and indirect electric vehicle subsidies, as
well as investments into charging infrastructure, are boosting the competitiveness
of electric vehicles and their practicality of use.
On the stationary battery energy storage side, falling costs, driven mainly by the
battery pack, which benefits from spillover effects from the EV industry, but also
ongoing learning and economies of scale on the rest of the balance of system, are
increasingly making battery energy storage a cost-competitive choice for the provi-
sion of flexibility and secure capacity.
The projected rise in battery production leads to a strong increase in demand for
critical minerals like lithium, cobalt, nickel, graphite, copper, or manganese. Increas-
ing the supply of these critical minerals in lockstep with demand is essential in order
for battery costs to continue to decline.
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3 Projected Global Demand for Energy Storage 51
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing,
adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate
credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and
indicate if changes were made.
The images or other third party material in this chapter are included in the chapter’s Creative
Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not
included in the chapter’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by
statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from
the copyright holder.
Chapter 4
Overview of Energy Storage Technologies
Besides Batteries
Contents
4.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
4.2 Mechanical Energy Storage: Pumped Hydroelectric Storage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
4.3 Mechanical Energy Storage: Compressed Air Energy Storage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57
4.4 Mechanical Energy Storage: Flywheel Storage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
4.5 Electrochemical Energy Storage: Redox-Flow Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
4.6 Thermal Energy Storage: Power-to-Heat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62
4.7 Chemical Energy Storage: Power-to-Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
4.8 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
4.1 Introduction
Energy storage systems are grouped by their types of energy storage media into
mechanical, electrical, electrochemical, chemical, and thermal energy storage sys-
tems. Mechanical storage systems consist mainly of pumped hydro storage, air
energy storage, and flywheel storage systems.
Fig. 4.1 Overview over different types of energy storage system sorted by storage capacity and
discharge time
4 Overview of Energy Storage Technologies Besides Batteries 55
Fig. 4.2 Overview of power-to-power energy storage applications sorted by the corresponding
segment of the energy system
56 E. Schischke et al.
disposing of the materials and recycling, including the energy consumption and
emissions required for this [14]. Especially the emissions of the respective process
chains as a whole are crucially dependent on the emissions of the upstream energy
system (fossil or renewable) and the round-trip efficiency of the energy storage
system. With a primarily emission-free energy mix, technical aspects such as service
life, capacity, and efficiency become the decisive influencing factors [22].
Table 4.1 Worldwide installed rated power and rated capacity of pumped hydro storage systems
[8]
Year Installed rated power in MW Installed rated capacity in MWh
2020 181.041 601.684
2010 133.348 448.477
2000 106.841 396.301
1990 84.989 330.191
4 Overview of Energy Storage Technologies Besides Batteries 57
Of all energy storage systems, pumped hydro storage systems have the longest
service life of 50–150 years [2]. Due to their design, they show neither a degradation
of the high round-trip efficiency nor the capacity. Because of their low volumetric
energy density, however, pumped storage power plants require large areas for
storage lakes and a sufficiently high gradient between the upper and lower reservoirs.
In practical terms, this means that PHES are primarily implemented in areas with
natural height differences.
The main materials in the construction of PHES are concrete1 and steel. Although
these materials have significant CO2 emissions during production, these are put into
perspective by their long service life. The required materials are available world-
wide, so they do not have any criticality worth mentioning. The operation and
commissioning, which mainly consists of damming rivers or connecting existing
lakes, can lead to many negative consequences for the local ecosystems. In partic-
ular, the constantly changing water levels can be negative for flora and fauna, but
also for possible tourist use. Even if pumps, pipes, or turbines are hardly visible in
modern designs such as cavern power plants, the intervention in nature is often
viewed with skepticism or completely rejected by those affected. Therefore, “since
the 1970s, especially in European countries, this has led to a continuously decreasing
acceptance of these energy storage devices among the population” [1].
Decommissioning, dismantling, and recycling play a subordinate role with PHES
because of the particularly long service life. At the same time, hardly any materials
that are critical for disposal are installed here.
Compressed air energy storage is based on the compression of air and storage in
geological underground voids (e.g., salt caverns) at pressures of around 100 bar.
When discharging, the compressed air is released and expanded to drive a gas
turbine to generate electricity. As air cools down during expansion, it has to be
heated while releasing. Here, a distinction is made between diabatic and adiabatic
compressed air energy storage.
When discharging a diabatic compressed air energy storage (D-CAES), the
released air is heated via combustion using natural gas or fuel. Therefore, a
1
The production of steel requires sand as raw material, which has become a scarce resource.
However, it is not part of the 2020 EU Critical Raw Materials List, which has been the basis for
the evaluation of critical materials in this chapter.
58 E. Schischke et al.
Table 4.2 Worldwide installed rated power and rated capacity of compressed air energy storage
systems [8]
Installed rated Installed rated
Year power in MW capacity in MWh
2020 1.614 40.087
2010 400 2.860
2000 400 2.860
1990 (While [8] doesn’t mention any installed CAES 290 560
before 1990. The CAES plant in Huntorf, Germany, was
built in 1978 and is included in this table, based on data
from Ref. [30])
D-CAES system is a hybrid system composed of a natural gas fired open cycle
turbine and an electrical storage system.
In an adiabatic compressed air energy storage (A-CAES), the heat produced
during the compression cycle is stored using thermal energy storage (TES). During
discharging, the stored thermal energy is used to heat the released air. The compres-
sor discharge temperature can reach more than 600 °C. The hot air is sent to a TES
which is designed for the applied internal pressure and which is sufficiently insulated
to minimize heat losses. The TES can be made of ceramic, concrete, or natural rock
materials. In this setup, no additional combustion cycle is required.
Two large-scale D-CAES were installed in 1978 and 1991 in Huntorf, Germany,
and McIntosh, USA, respectively. They were used for energy time-shift and spin-
ning reserve for a generally conventional energy system. Since diabatic storage
systems still depend on fossil fuels, research has been focusing on A-CAES since
then. First commercial A-CAES have been commissioned in 2020 in China and the
USA, to support the increased integration of renewable generation in these systems.
Table 4.2 provides an overview of the worldwide installed rated power and capacity
of compressed air energy storage systems.
CAES have the second highest service life of 30–50 years for the machines and even
longer for the cavern. Also, they show neither degradation of the medium nor the
capacity. Because of their low volumetric energy density, however, compressed air
storage power plants require large, pressure-resistant, mostly underground volumes
for storing the compressed air. These caverns are mostly salt caverns that are
specifically created by leaching. Other types of storage volumes have not yet been
implemented for cost reasons. Therefore, only areas where salt caverns exist or can
be created have been considered for CAES.
4 Overview of Energy Storage Technologies Besides Batteries 59
The use of materials (steel, concrete) is significantly lower for CAES compared to
PHES and focuses primarily on the machine house with the compressors and
turbines.2 In contrast to PHES, the CO2 emissions in the production of the compo-
nents for a CAES are rather low. However, it must be noted that when the salt cavern
is drained, extremely high salt loads have to be disposed of by rinsing with warm
water. This can cause further emissions during construction through long pipelines
or affect flora and fauna through discharge into rivers.
During operation, the CO2 emissions that result from the additional firing of
natural gas for D-CAES systems are dominant. It can be assumed that approx. 98 %
of the total CO2 emissions occur during operation [24]. Modern concepts with heat
storage (A-CAES) do not require additional natural gas and are therefore signifi-
cantly more attractive from an emissions point of view. Both types of construction
require little space, as most of the system is underground. For this reason, CAES are
hardly viewed with skepticism or rejected by those affected, except during in the
leaching and construction phase.
Decommissioning, dismantling, and recycling play a subordinate role with CAES
due to the particularly long service life. At the same time, hardly any materials that
are critical for disposal are used.
Flywheels store electrical energy in the form of rotational energy. The flywheel is set
in motion, or its speed is increased with the aid of an electric motor, thus storing
energy. The amount of energy that can be stored depends on the rotational speed,
since this is proportional to the mass moment of inertia and the square of the angular
velocity. If required, the kinetic energy is converted back into electrical energy via a
generator. Since the speed of the wheel changes both when energy is stored and
when it is discharged, a frequency converter is required to adapt the voltage
generated to the grid frequency [20, 26].
Under optimum operating conditions, flywheels can achieve an efficiency of up to
95 %. To keep the relatively high rest losses (approx. 20 % per hour), which are
mainly caused by friction on the bearings and on the flywheel itself, as low as
possible, the flywheels usually run in vacuum chambers. Furthermore, magnetic
bearings with superconductors are used, which significantly reduce losses compared
to roller bearings or plain bearings [11].
Flywheels show fast discharge times (within seconds) with high power densities
of up to 10,000 W/kg [20].
2
For PHES, the use of materials for the machine house is small in comparison with the required
materials for building the reservoirs.
60 E. Schischke et al.
Table 4.3 Worldwide installed rated power and rated capacity of flywheel energy storage systems
[8]
Year Installed rated power in MW Installed rated capacity in MWh
2020 972 97
2010 865 0.2
2000 0 0
Flywheel energy storage systems are mainly used for short-term storage applica-
tion lasting from milliseconds up to minutes such as power quality services [1]. This
can also be seen in Table 4.3, where the installed rated power of flywheel energy
storage systems is significantly higher than the installed rated capacity.
Compared to battery storage systems, flywheel storage systems have a long service
life of more than 20 years in most cases. Also, due to their design, they show neither
a degradation in round-trip efficiency nor in capacity. However, self-discharge,
which mainly results from air and bearing friction, must be considered in the
emissions balance.
Since flywheels—in contrast to PHES and CAES—do not store the energy in the
medium of water or air, but in a rotating mass, the use of materials is relevant. The
materials used are primarily fiber-reinforced composite materials (e.g., CFRP) or
steel. The materials are to be classified as not very critical in terms of procurement,
but steel production brings increased CO2 emissions into the balance, whereas
recycling of composite materials is very difficult if not impossible. In terms of
safety, flywheels must be secured against bursting, since the usually very fast
rotating masses have a high-risk potential. This is often taken into account by
building a containment for the flywheel or sinking the flywheels in the ground.
Therefore, acceptance problems with this technology are not to be expected [1].
During operation, fundamental losses occur due to self-discharge. With slowly
rotating steel flywheels, these tend to be higher than with composite flywheels, but
even there they are not negligible compared to other storage technologies. Therefore,
the mode of operation (average storage period) is of great relevance, i.e., the losses
are higher with longer storage periods, so that in this case the CO2 emissions—
assuming a fossil energy mix—are much higher during operation than during
production [24].
Decommissioning, dismantling, and recycling play less of a role with flywheels
than with battery storage due to their long service life. At the same time, hardly any
materials that are critical for disposal are installed. With composite flywheels, the
materials still are a challenge to dispose of, and, unlike steel, they cannot yet be
recycled.
4 Overview of Energy Storage Technologies Besides Batteries 61
Flow batteries are rechargeable batteries which use two different electrolytes—one
with a positive charge and one with a negative charge—as storage medium. The
most used electrolyte systems are vanadium-vanadium or the iron-chromium. One of
the biggest advantages of this technology is the decoupling between power and
energy ratings, as tank volume and stack size (active surface area) can be scaled
independently.
The electrolytes are stored in external tanks and only pumped through the battery
cell for charging and discharging in two separate hydraulic circuits. When operating,
oxidation and reduction processes take place at the anode and cathode, which
convert the electrical energy into chemical energy during charging and back into
electrical energy during discharging. The two half-cells are separated by an
ion-selective membrane. As the anolyte and catholyte are stored in separate tanks,
the self-discharge rate of flow batteries is nearly zero. Additionally, as the battery
electrodes do not actively participate in the chemical reactions, flow batteries are
deep discharge proof [12].
Redox-flow batteries have been continually under development and have become
more commonly used since 2010 as can be seen in Table 4.4. Applications range
from small scale behind-the-meter applications in private households to providing
bulk energy and ancillary services. The most common type of redox-flow battery is
vanadium redox-flow batteries [1].
The advantage of redox-flow batteries in comparison with Li-Ion batteries is the
separation of storage power and storage capacity, which can therefore be chosen
individually to fit the application.
Table 4.4 Worldwide installed rated power and rated capacity of redox-flow battery storage
systems [8]
Year Installed rated power in MW Installed rated capacity in MWh
2020 319 1.236
2010 9 19
2000 3 0.8
62 E. Schischke et al.
contain no risk materials. The service life of heat pumps is in the range of
10–15 years.
When looking at the materials used, the focus is primarily on heat pumps, as they
often have critical refrigerants—the other materials are to be regarded uncritical
(standard metals). The refrigerants primarily used to date are fluorinated or partially
halogenated refrigerants, the use of which is restricted by the EU regulation (EU 517/
2014, F-Gas Regulation) [1]. At the same time, these PFAS (perfluorinated alkyl
substances) are very much part of the ecological debate because they are considered
persistent and potentially toxic. Therefore, the development goes in the direction of
natural refrigerants such as propane. Here, however, the potential flammability and
explosiveness of the refrigerant must be considered. This is probably the only aspect
that can lead to a slightly reduced acceptance of the power-to-heat technology.
During operation, there are practically no losses. The thermal storage—
depending on the storage period—has a low level of self-discharge through heat
losses to the outside. Due to their high efficiency, heat pumps have significantly
reduced CO2 emissions compared to natural gas and even electric boilers. Also, no
degradation in conversion efficiency or storage efficiency or capacity is to be
expected.
Decommissioning, dismantling, and recycling play only a minor role in power-to-
heat systems, especially in the storage tanks, due to their long service life. Only the
refrigerants of the heat pumps must be disposed of safely.
water steam is used instead of liquid water due to the high operating
temperatures [29].
Via co-electrolysis, syngas (hydrogen, carbon monoxide) can be produced from
the reactants water and carbon dioxide [4]. The electric arc process produces ethyne
and hydrogen from methane [17]. Microwave plasma activation decomposes carbon
dioxide to carbon monoxide and oxygen [25]. Electrosynthesis can be used to
produce alkenes, especially ethene, from carbon dioxide and water [34]. In addition
to these direct power-to-gas products, further indirectly electricity-based gaseous
products can be synthesized. Via the hydrogen path, methane is, for example,
obtained as an indirect power-to-gas product by means of chemical or biological
methanation [13]. The electric arc process and the chemical methanation operate at
high technology readiness level (TRL), the co-electrolysis and the biological metha-
nation at medium TRL and the electrosynthesis and the microwave plasma activation
at low TRL.
The gases produced by power-to-gas processes contribute to sector coupling,
since they can be used in a material or energetic way in different sectors, and their
storability enables sector-specific requirements to be decoupled from electricity
production over time. The power-to-gas products hydrogen and methane are partic-
ularly important for the energy storage system, as they can be converted back into
electricity in combined heat and power (CHP) systems or fuel cells and thus used
energetically.
Up to now, the service life of electrolysers has been in the single-digit range,
depending on the type of electrolysers (AEL or PEM) and operating parameters.
And—comparable to battery storage—there is a degradation in efficiency.
The materials used (membranes, catalysts) are expensive and some (catalysts) can
be recovered, but membranes cannot. Since some catalyst materials are particularly
rare (e. g., iridium), the development of a recycling industry parallel to the devel-
opment of electrolysers production is necessary [19].
In electrolysis mode, the CO2 emissions can be reduced by around 90 %—
compared to the natural gas reforming that is common today [31]. Since the
electrolysis process has so far only had an efficiency of approx. 60–70 %, it is
obvious that a high proportion of fossil energies in electrolysis would lead to more
CO2 being emitted in extreme cases than if hydrogen would be from natural gas. In
addition, it must be considered that—if hydrogen is stored under high pressure
(300–700 bar)—additional energy expenditure is required for the compression.
Decommissioning, dismantling, and recycling play an important role in
electrolysers because of the rare and expensive catalysts, but also because of the
shorter service life [1].
66 E. Schischke et al.
4.8 Conclusion
This overview of energy storage and conversion technologies shows the wide range
of possibilities of storing energy as well as providing services to other sectors. It also
shows that no single technology alone can provide all the necessary services for a
successful energy transition. From short-term storage needed for power applications
to medium term storage for balancing applications to long-term storage for seasonal
balancing, the different types of energy storage systems offer individual benefits to
the energy system. However, they also come with their individual drawbacks, from
the use of critical materials to costs and overall efficiency to the issue of recycling.
Which of the various energy storage technologies will become the key technologies
for a successful energy transition depends on the—changing—boundary conditions
such as costs and recycling but also the availability of critical materials. However, it
is already certain that energy storage itself is a key technology to enable the energy
transition.
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the copyright holder.
Chapter 5
Batteries: Advantages and Importance
in the Energy Transition
Contents
5.1 Battery Energy Storage Systems Composition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
5.2 BESS Application as Grid Integration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72
5.3 BESS Integration in Transport Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74
5.4 Electric Vehicle and Infrastructure Interaction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75
5.5 BESS Lifetime . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77
5.6 BESS Dismission and Second Life . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80
Wind and photovoltaic generation systems are expected to become some of the main
driving technologies toward the decarbonization target [1–3]. Globally operating
power grid systems struggle to handle the large-scale interaction of such variable
energy sources which could lead to all kinds of disruptions, compromising service
continuity. Electricity storage systems can help reduce some of the inefficiencies and
gaps in the system, helping to increase its reliability, helping to facilitate the
integration of renewables, and effectively managing energy production. Further-
more, through the reasoned use of electric energy storage systems, it is possible to
facilitate the regulation between supply and demand of electric energy, through a
decoupling of electricity production from the load or from the user. Finally, the use
innovative technology and are still being studied and improved today. There are
currently new flow batteries in development, but also more mature technologies such
as vanadium redox flow batteries (VRFB). In this case for high capacity to power
ratio, the cost per stored kWh is lower than for lithium-ion batteries [14]. The
batteries are then integrated with other systems, with which they create a more
complex architecture defined as battery energy storage system (BESS), which can
work with a centralized or distributed architecture. Conventional centralized archi-
tectures consist of the following:
• The battery pack: the electrochemical storage system, which transforms electrical
energy into chemical energy during the charge phase, while the opposite occurs
during the discharge phase. The energy released during discharging can be used
by the user for the various purposes previously described.
• The battery management system (BMS): The BMS takes care of the correct and
safe functioning of the battery. Since each battery has preferential operating
conditions, the BMS ensures that these conditions are met. Furthermore, the
BMS takes care of monitoring the residual energy inside the battery and its
state of health (SOH), so as to optimize performance.
• The power conversion system (PCS): The PCS is the interface with the grid and
allows the DC terminal of the battery to communicate with the AC terminal of the
grid. Since the AC current has a certain mains frequency, an electronic circuit
called phase-lock-loop (PLL) is used to synchronize the current leaving the
battery with that of the mains.
• The energy management system (EMS): The EMS control unit is the equivalent
of the BMS applied not to the battery but to the entire BESS. EMS links all
elements of the BESS together and optimizes the performance of the entire
system.
• The safety system: It is generally structured on several levels, each responsible for
a specific task.
Subsequently, it should be remembered that each type of BESS has certain
technical specifications that characterize the efficiency of the system [15]. It is
clear that the first characteristic parameter is the storage capacity, i.e., the amount
of electric charge that the battery can accumulate and that the BESS can make
available. Another parameter of primary importance is the nominal power, a char-
acteristic that specifies the amount of power that the BESS can transmit. The round-
trip efficiency represents the ratio between the energy emitted during the discharge
phase and the energy supplied during the battery charge phase. The depth of
discharge (DoD) represents the percentage of energy discharged with respect to
the maximum capacity. Battery lifetime is also a relevant parameter for choosing the
storage system and is calculated through the number of battery charge and discharge
periods; otherwise, it can be expressed as the total amount of energy that a battery
can supply during its life. Finally, the safety parameter is important in determining
the suitability of the battery for a particular use.
72 C. G. Colombo et al.
the loads would be filled by the accumulation system. For the supplier, however, this
procedure means a leveling of demand (load leveling), improving efficiency in the
power generation and transmission phases, avoiding construction costs linked to
infrastructural upgrades.
Furthermore, as previously mentioned, the network may be subjected to instabil-
ity. Among these instabilities are voltage dips. Voltage dip is defined as the tempo-
rary reduction of voltage below 90% of the declared voltage for a period greater than
or equal to 10 milliseconds and not greater than 1 minute, where the conditions for
interruption do not exist (definition taken from standard CEI EN 50160); the
unipolar voltage dip is a voltage dip that affects only one phase [19]. These insta-
bilities generally originate from faults in the public network or in network systems,
sometimes linked to overloads of starting transients of large motors or to the
insertion of significant loads. These holes are unpredictable, and their annual
frequency is variable and is not attributable to the network operator or local
distributor. In addition, data processing and control equipment can experience data
loss and require time-consuming maintenance in the event of a significant voltage
sag. In addition to this, voltage sags lead to economic losses. If previously diesel
generators such as UPS (uninterrupted power supply) were used to compensate for
the existence of voltage dips, today the use of electrochemical storage systems would
facilitate the management of voltage dips, thanks to BMS systems [4]. Similarly, it
has been studied that when there are fluctuations in the network frequency, due, for
example, to the variation of the rotation speed of synchronous generators, the use of
batteries considerably facilitates frequency regulation [20–22]. Therefore, to con-
dense the various uses applied to the network, it is possible to state the FTM
applications to which the BESSs should be applied:
• Bulk energy services: mass energy service process, which increases the capacity
that can be supplied by the electricity system, thanks to the accumulation of
massive quantities of energy to meet the peaks. At the same time, it is possible to
accumulate electricity in the time slots in which it has a low cost, to sell it at a time
in which the demand is higher and the cost of energy is higher.
• Ancillary services: e.g., all those systems that support the transmission of energy
from the production site to the user and that help to maintain the usability of the
system. Ancillary services can be generators or connected service providers
capable of rapidly increasing the output of potential reserves, regulation, and
flexibility (e.g., frequency regulation, voltage regulation, black start).
• Transmission and distribution network support: Expansion of the transmission
network to avoid unwanted congestion can be expensive, and installing a BESS
can be more cost-effective. Furthermore, with the growing contribution of renew-
ables to the local distribution system, the power fluctuations in their output can
create voltage fluctuations and damage the equipment connected to the system. A
BESS can take part in voltage regulation, stabilizing the system.
• Integration of renewables: The integration of batteries into variable renewable
energy production systems helps to give greater stability to the electricity grid.
Capacity firming is widely used, for example, with the production of wind and
74 C. G. Colombo et al.
solar energy and has advantages such as the optimization of the generation
profile, supply, and exchange of reactive power in support of renewables and
balancing of load currents [23].
With the increase in technological availability and sensors in the field of mobility, it
is correct to say that the entire sector, by imitating the distributed generation of
dispatching, has evolved from a bidirectional perspective. If previously, the vehicle
had a one-way interaction with the infrastructure, this is no longer the case. In fact,
previously four charging methods have always been considered, which differ in
power and protections, which transferred electric power from the charging infra-
structure to the vehicle, stationed in a dedicated space. The traditional one-way
charging procedure was then renamed as V1G, which means intelligent charging.
Through intelligent recharging, the vehicle is able to change the recharging timing
dynamically, since in addition to power, the vehicle and the infrastructure exchange
information, which allows recharging to be regulated, helping to minimize its costs.
Among the advantages of V1G, in addition to charging monitoring and timing
optimization, there are also the infrastructure localization tool and the possibility
of charging the vehicle at certain times of the day, so as to have greener and at the
same time cheaper energy [30]. If sensoring and artificial intelligence (AI) have been
fundamental in the development of intelligent recharging, the integration of a
bidirectional power inverter connected to the car battery and to the grid represents
76 C. G. Colombo et al.
the heart of V2G technology. The improvement that V2G brings to V1G is the
possibility of having a vehicle that is not only able to draw power from the grid to
recharge the battery but is also able to return power to the grid at times of the day
when it is most stressed. These energy flows are obviously managed by a control
unit, which ascertains the needs of both the network manager and the user. Follow-
ing the description of the increase in electricity demand, the need to dampen peaks,
the need to level the load, and the value that electrochemical storage systems will
have to meet all the needs of the network, the V2G technology, which exploits the
power that could be supplied by vehicles that remain parked and unused for most of
the day, is perfectly combined with the demands of the network. In doing so, from an
electrical point of view, the vehicles are seen by the network as many distributed
accumulation systems from which it is possible to draw power to level the load curve
[31, 32]. If this technology is seen from the point of view of a broad distribution
network, in the various bibliographic studies, its applicability at the local level has
not been overlooked. When the V2G technology is applied locally, and therefore on
a building or at home, it takes the name of vehicle-to-building (V2B) or vehicle-to-
home (V2H), respectively. The operating principle of V2B and V2H is the same and
very similar to that of V2G but limited to a single building: with the integration of
renewables and their variability, the generated power becomes fluctuating, some-
times creating power excesses or imbalances; therefore, vehicles are used as real
batteries to receive or deliver energy according to the demand curve. In that case, the
power transmitted by the vehicle can be applied to prevent service interruptions and
blackouts locally [33]. Finally, to complete the description of the interactions
between the vehicle and the surrounding world, vehicle-to-everything (V2X) should
be mentioned. The V2X is based on the interaction of the vehicle with any object that
surrounds it—vehicles, infrastructures, people, and traffic—in order to improve the
driving experience. This technology is also strictly dependent on the high level of
sensing. What prompted private companies to invest in V2X technology was the
better management of roads and traffic, which are supported by AI through various
algorithms and predictive models, but at the same time it encourages safer driving,
thanks to continuous communication of data with the surrounding vehicles and
infrastructure and energy savings. Today with V2X, we mean the possibility that
the vehicle has to interact, in a bidirectional way, with any object that surrounds it
[34]. It is clear that, with the increase in the diffusion of renewables and the
electrification of the transport sector, the possibility of having energy storage
systems available in a distributed manner represents an important push toward
decarbonization, since they would help to combat the variability of the production
and demand. At the moment, however, a remuneration policy has not yet been
clearly defined for those who decide to join the sharing of energy toward the grid.
Remuneration to those who subscribe to the V2G service is important, not only
because users are actively supplying energy to the grid rather than recharging but
also because users are subjecting their vehicle to continuous charge and discharge
cycles in the process, potentially contributing to battery aging [35].
5 Batteries: Advantages and Importance in the Energy Transition 77
Downstream of the knowledge of how the useful life of the batteries works and is
interpreted, it is useful to describe how these storage systems are decommissioned.
When it comes to decarbonization and reducing the environmental impact through
electrification, it is often mentioned that the disposal of batteries is a complicated and
not always green process. In addition, despite the lowering of battery costs relative to
capacity, batteries still have a significant cost, for example, for an electric vehicle the
battery can be worth 50% of the total cost. Therefore, to respond to these two needs,
various stakeholders have undertaken various studies on the second life of batteries.
Second life has the purpose of ensuring a recovery of the functionality of the
batteries at the end of the life cycle, converting them into stationary accumulation
systems. For example, the useful life of a lithium-ion battery applied to electric
vehicles has a duration in charge and discharge cycles equivalent to 8–10 years.
After this time, the battery is removed from the vehicle even if it still has some
remaining capacity, as this is not sufficient to meet the standards for electric vehicles.
However, the battery can still be useful for other energy storage purposes, such as,
for example, the inclusion of storage systems in the charging infrastructure for
electric vehicles, which help to sustain the grid. The three main benefits that can
be generated to the smart grid by reusing batteries after their first life are as follows:
• Defer and limit expenses related to the production and sale of new batteries.
• Provide energy reserves that allow continuity of service, especially in industrial
processes powered by other energy sources.
• Use the available energy previously accumulated in times of absence or high cost
of raw materials.
Typically, end of life (EOL) is considered to occur when actual capacity reaches
80% of rated capacity. Similarly, the end of the second life is considered to occur
when the actual capacity reaches 30% of the nominal capacity. For this reason, half
the nominal effective capacity is considered for stationary applications where batte-
ries are used during their second life, since it is considered the middle ground
between 80% maximum nominal capacity and 30% minimum rated capacity. The
theoretical value 50% of the nominal capacity is considered for practical purposes,
since it is approximately possible to have a desired capacity value with a number of
second life batteries equal to twice the number of first-life batteries that would be
needed to have the same capacity [40].
Among the BTM areas of application with the greatest interest in the second life
of batteries are the fast-charging systems (DC fast-charging stations) with which it is
possible to reduce charging times. Using batteries during their second life to assist
recharging stations, it is possible to guarantee high peak currents, accelerating
recharging times, avoiding oversizing of the network. This solution also represents
an opportunity for savings or income for car manufacturers, which have resalable
batteries in proportion to the range of vehicles they put on the market. Instead, the
FTM applications that best lend themselves to a second life are those related to
5 Batteries: Advantages and Importance in the Energy Transition 79
transmission services and energy shifting, a practice that aims to distribute energy
production throughout the day. These applications present marginal installation
space problems; in fact, it should be remembered that second life batteries occupy
twice as much space as first-life ones.
On the basis of these considerations, therefore, it is possible to deduce that some
BESSs are particularly suitable for use as storage systems during their second life,
such as those based on lithium ions. Among the applications that these storage
systems can perform during their second life are as follows:
• Peak shaving: process of damping power demand peaks through the activation of
local energy sources or using an accumulation system.
• Power upgrade deferral: Through the BESS, it is possible to provide additional
capacity, and with low growth rate loads, it is possible to postpone infrastructural
interventions.
• Time-of-use energy cost management: BESSs can help end users reduce the cost
of the service by smoothing demand into preset daily peaks.
• Self-production optimization: A BESS can assist standby generators by extending
uninterrupted service time, reducing inefficient start-ups, and reducing fuel
requirements for diesel powered UPS systems.
• Integration of renewables: Renewable energy sources are fluctuating by nature
and depend on several variable parameters. These variations cause frequency and
voltage fluctuations, causing grid instability. A BESS system even in its second
life can help compensate for grid imbalances.
• Energy independence applications: Batteries during their second life can be
integrated into microgrids, useful for powering users, which can range from
buildings to neighborhoods. Microgrids are often powered by renewables; there-
fore, BESSs prevent grid imbalances.
• Support for fast-charge recharges: The possibility of integrating BESSs during
their second life into high-power infrastructures helps to reduce energy costs and
avoid grid peaks. The station could also move toward net-zero energy consump-
tion with the assistance of a BESS.
Despite the existence of different applications for batteries during their second
life, there are applications where high-power density and instantaneous service with
a high C-rate are required, which do not make second life batteries suitable for the
task. Among the high-performance applications, there are those of backup or support
to the network to increase the power quality. Therefore, even reactive power
compensation operations require too high performance and significant stress levels
for batteries during their second life [41–43].
80 C. G. Colombo et al.
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Part III
Battery Markets
Preface
The market for batteries, in particular lithium-ion batteries that constitute the pres-
ently dominating technology, keeps growing at stunning pace, and technological
boundaries are being pushed further. There are several markets for stationary,
mobile, and portable applications, which are all characterized by different require-
ments and that are subject to high dynamics in line of the ongoing energy transition.
For example, new policy regulations, the pandemic, and the ongoing war in Ukraine
have triggered several developments that lead to an increased demand of batteries for
stationary and mobile applications. One of the most striking developments is the fast
growth of electric mobility which is gaining a high momentum triggered by China
and the USA. At the same time, batteries are gaining more and more attention for
stationary applications, starting from residential on a kWh size to bulk storage with
multiple MWh capacities. The first section, i.e., Chapter 6, analyzes in detail the
battery market fragmentation, upcoming requirements, main drivers, and challenges
of stationary, mobile, and portable applications. In the following Chapter 7, fore-
seeable developments in battery technologies, markets, key performance indicators,
and demand scenarios are discussed along with most relevant battery use cases. In
addition, new research trends for future market developments are assessed and
broken down to lithium, new cell materials, cell and manufacturing design,
recycling, and the use of raw materials.
Chapter 6
Battery Market Segmentation
Contents
6.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85
6.2 Stationary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86
6.3 Mobile . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91
6.4 Portable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100
6.1 Introduction
Batteries are used in a large number of different applications. The spectrum ranges
from grid-connected stationary battery storage in the megawatt-hour range to
extremely small batteries in the microwatt-hour range that can be integrated into
electronic systems. Each use case places different demands on the battery. Accord-
ingly, there are major differences between the battery technologies used, both at the
level of the cells and at the battery systems level. In many applications at the system
design phase, engineers select the battery technology in a tradeoff between cost and
application requirements. The sweet spot in this tradeoff is different from one
application to another. Scientific literature provides a set of KPIs to describe battery
characteristics that allow to compare them with each other. In many cases these
S. Wolf (✉)
VDI/VDE Innovation + Technik GmbH, Berlin, Germany
e-mail: [email protected]
J. Olarte
CIC energiGUNE, Parque Tecnológico de Álava, Albert Einstein, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Álava, Spain
Fig. 6.1 Most valuable characteristics or KPIs for battery technology comparison [25]
KPIs serve as a first orientation for which battery technology is is best suited
for which application as shown in Fig. 6.1.
However, when the application requirements are analyzed in more detail, other
aspects appear as relevant in the decision-making process, namely, cost, safety,
environmental, and social, among others.
The battery market is therefore fragmented into many market segments that differ
considerably not only in terms of the technology used but also in terms of market
volume. The most important market segment by market size is batteries for road
vehicles. Nevertheless, different market segments are described below and classified
in terms of their specific requirements. These market segments are grouped into the
classes stationary, mobile, and portable.
6.2 Stationary
Stationary battery storage systems are usually connected to an electricity grid. They
provide services that serve the grid operation and decouple the generation and
consumption of electricity over time. This facilitates the integration of volatile
renewable power generation. In addition, they can be used to dampen peak loads
and thus facilitate the integration of new consumers such as electric vehicles and heat
pumps. Thus, stationary battery storage represents a key technology for the energy
6 Battery Market Segmentation 87
Fig. 6.2 Stationary energy storage systems and their use cases [3]
transition in the electricity grid. Figure 6.2 provides an overview of different storage
technologies and their areas of application in the electricity grid.
Home Storage Home battery storage is mostly used “behind the meter” to optimize
self-consumption via time-shifting of locally generated renewable energy. The most
common combination is a battery home storage system with a rooftop photovoltaic
system. Energy is stored during the midday hours. In the morning and evening hours,
it is fed into the home grid to supply electrical appliances. The optimal storage size
depends on electricity and system costs, load and generation profiles, energy con-
sumption, and the size of the installed photovoltaic system. In addition, battery home
storage systems can also be used to bridge interruptions in the power supply. The
typical usable battery capacity of such storage systems is in the range of 2–15 kWh
[27]. In contrast to other applications, the esthetics of the battery storage unit is also a
purchase-relevant decision criterion here.
The demand for home battery storage will continue to increase in the coming
years. The driving forces for market development are listed below:
88 S. Wolf and J. Olarte
Utility Storage Grid-integrated battery storage can provide various ancillary ser-
vices listed in Fig. 6.2. The integration of battery storage systems is possible in the
distribution grid as well as in the transmission grid. In the distribution grid, station-
ary battery storage systems primarily serve to stabilize the grid in the event of short-
term fluctuations. The feed-in of fluctuating renewable energies and new consumers
such as electric vehicles or heat pumps leads to an increased strain on the distribution
grids. This can lead to voltage fluctuations. However, maintaining certain voltage
bands (+/- 10%) is a crucial prerequisite for the reliable operation of electrical
devices [16]. Grid-integrated battery storage systems can stabilize the grid voltage
by feeding in or consuming active power. Via the inverter, battery systems can also
provide reactive power, which also affects grid voltage. In addition, battery storage
systems can have a dampening effect on voltage gradients and thus improve the
voltage quality. In time-shifting and peakshaving operation, battery storage systems
reduce grid load. In this way, the need for grid expansion can be reduced or delayed.
In the event of a grid collapse, grid-integrated battery storage can maintain the power
supply in smaller grid areas for a short time. If the grid does collapse completely,
such storage systems can also be used for black-starting the grid.
When used in the transmission grid, the main focus is on providing control power.
There must be a constant balance between generation and consumption in the
electricity grid. If this balance is disturbed, balancing measures take effect, which
are classified according to their time of provision as instantaneous reserve, primary
control reserve, secondary control reserve, minute reserve, and reserve by the
balancing group manager. The instantaneous reserve is the immediate compensation
of power imbalances. In conventional power plants, it is provided from the energy of
the rotating masses in turbines and generators. Therefore, it is also called spinning
reserve. Primary control power must be activated within seconds and held for a
period of minutes. In Germany, activation time is 15 s and power must be held for up
to 15 min [9]. The following activation times are valid for power balancing in
Germany, but there are comparable requirements in other electricity markets
[24]. These requirements are similar in different electricity markets. Secondary
control power must be capable of being fully activated within 5 min. The minute
reserve must be fully activated within 15 min and be provided for at least 15 min.
However, the provision period can also be up to several hours. If these measures are
not sufficient, the balancing group manager activates further reserve capacities.
90 S. Wolf and J. Olarte
Battery storage systems are able to provide all these balancing measures positively
(energy injection) or negatively (energy absorption).
The demand for grid-integrated utility scale battery storage is much related to the
chosen power generation mix. The continuing global trend toward the expansion of
weather-dependent renewable energies indicates that the market will expand much
further. However, the extent of market growth is difficult to estimate. The main
influencing factors are listed below:
• Grid relief: The integration of weather-dependent renewable energies and new
electricity consumers creates major challenges, especially at distribution grid
level. Grid-integrated battery storage can relieve the load on the electricity grid.
In this way, grid operators can save costs and gain time for grid expansion or
make it unnecessary.
• Cost reduction: In control devices, power electronics, and battery technology,
there is still great potential to further reduce the total cost of ownership. With
regard to battery technology, cost reductions can be achieved through new cell
chemistries such as sodium-ion batteries and possibly also second life batteries.
• Demand side integration: It is uncertain to what extent the consumer side can be
integrated into grid operation and to what extent consumers behind the meter will
make their own optimizations. For example, electric vehicles have a huge storage
capacity in total. However, it is uncertain to what extent the vehicle electronics,
the cycle stability of vehicle batteries, and the charging infrastructure will enable
the grid integration of electric vehicles.
water is drained from the basin and passed over a turbine, which then generates
electricity again. Due to its very fast reactivity, PHS is suitable for peakshaving
and arbitrage trading but also for longer term energy storage.
• Flywheel energy storage (FES) stores electricity in rotational energy. For this
purpose, a heavy cylinder is rotated or decelerated by an electric motor. The
energy that can be stored is comparatively limited. That is why there are only a
few applications for this type of storage.
6.3 Mobile
Batteries are increasingly being used to power vehicles of all kinds—a domain
previously primarily occupied by petrochemical fuels and internal combustion
engines. However, fuels of fossil origin are not compatible with mitigating climate
change. Therefore, governments around the world have taken steps to phase out
internal combustion engines in the transport sector. In the European Union, for
example, with a few exemptions, only zero-emission vehicles can be newly regis-
tered from 2035 [13]. Japan and China are aiming for full electrification of new car
sales by 2035 [17]. Battery-electric vehicles are the most advanced technology to
meet these requirements. However, the trend toward electrification is not limited to
road transport. Electrification with the use of battery technology is also advancing in
other areas such as micromobility, commercial vehicles, shipping, rail transport or
aviation. As different as these application areas are, the suitable battery technologies
are also very different. Each battery technology has its characteristic properties, just
as each mobility application has its characteristic requirements. Table 6.1 shows a
utility value analysis of which battery technology is suitable for which
application [6].
Micromobility Micromobility includes e-bikes, electric scooters, and other small
electric means of transport. They are mainly used for shorter distances in urban
environments. Electric scooters in particular are offered as mobility as a service
products by various providers in cities. Batteries are usually integrated into the
product or can be removed and replaced completely in form of an encased battery
pack. The design and size of the product is decisive for the degree of integration of
the battery. Typical battery sizes range from a few 100 Wh to a few kWh [4]. Impor-
tant criteria for the selection of suitable battery technologies in this market segment
are cost, energy density, and charging rate.
Micromobility devices became possible due to low-cost batteries, compact and
powerful electric motors, and advances in power electronics and control compo-
nents. Due to the great success of e-bikes, powered scooters, powered self-balancing
boards, powered skate boards, and many other devices, market diffusion is already
more advanced compared to other mobile battery applications. Yet significant
growth potential remains in the micromobility market, even if year-on-year growth
rates are declining to single-digit percentages. The key growth drivers are listed
below:
92 S. Wolf and J. Olarte
LCO / Graphite
LFP / Graphite
Lithium Sulfur
Solid State
Micromobility ○ ○ ○ ○ + – – + + –
Motorcycle ○ ○ – – –– ○ + –– – ○
Sedan – – ○ – ○ –– –– ○ – ––
Sports Car + + ○ ○ – –– ○ –– –– –
SUV ○ ○ ○ ○ – –– – –– – ––
Pickup Truck – – – –– –– –– ○ –– ○ +
Planes ○ –– –– –– –– –– ○ –– + +
Passenger Vehicles This class of mobile applications represents the largest market
segment in terms of market volume. Therefore, the class of passenger vehicles
deserves further subdivision into motorbikes, cars, buses, and trucks.
6 Battery Market Segmentation 93
For the application of batteries in motorcycles, the charging rate and the volu-
metric and gravimetric energy density are primarily relevant decision variables. The
reasons for this are the limited construction space available and the narrow limits in
the tolerable vehicle weight. Typical battery sizes are in the range of 5–20 KWh
[4]. For less heavily motorized mopeds and scooters used in urban traffic, exchange-
able batteries may also be an option. In those cases, priorities shift toward gravimet-
ric energy density and cost. Such vehicles are typically equipped with batteries of
1–5 kilowatt-hours [4].
Battery-electric cars represent the single largest market segment. Depending on
the size and weight of the vehicle as well as the intended use, different requirements
for the battery technology apply (compare Table 6.1). Battery-electric cars are
typically equipped with batteries from 30 to 110 KWh [14] with a growth trend.
NMC cell chemistries are widely used. In cheaper vehicles with a shorter range, LFP
is also used. For small vehicles with low range, the use of sodium-ion batteries may
also be conceivable. For the selection of battery technologies for electric cars, the
most important priorities are cost, volumetric energy density, and life cycle. Batte-
ries are usually permanently installed in the vehicle in the form of a battery pack
although some vehicle manufacturers also offer interchangeability of battery packs.
These batteries are usually equipped with a conditioning system that can cool or heat
the battery. Cooling is particularly necessary for fast charging. While charging, heat
is generated due to the internal resistance of battery cells that must be managed in
order not to endanger the thermal stability of cells. Moreover, the battery can be
preheated in cold ambient temperatures to prepare it for charging and enable a higher
charging rate. With regard to the integration of batteries into the vehicle, there are
two opposing trends. Manufacturers like Tesla and BYD work on making the battery
pack a structural part of the vehicle [28]. This saves weight and reduces the
necessary installation space. Other manufacturers, above all nio, are opting for
battery swap systems. This allows for greater flexibility and gentler charging.
However, this greater flexibility comes at the price of disadvantages due to the
standardized form factor of the battery pack and the more difficult thermal manage-
ment. In addition, the construction and operation of the swapping infrastructure is
associated with comparatively high costs. Therefore, vehicle-integrated battery
systems are likely to be sufficient for most applications. Cars with swappable
batteries primarily address the customer segment of businesspersons and travelling
salespersons, since a costly battery-swapping infrastructure must be built and oper-
ated. Due to the cost premium, it is to be expected that cars with swappable batteries
will initially be offered in the premium segment and purchased by people with high
mobility needs and a high willingness to pay.
For buses, there are two different use cases. Most buses are used in urban public
transport. This use case is characterized by frequent starts and stops as well as fixed
routes. Longer stops, e.g., at terminus stations, allow for recharging of the batteries.
Recharging can be done in different ways. However, automated pantograph systems
are becoming increasingly popular. Depending on the route and charging opportu-
nities, city buses are equipped with 200–500 kWh batteries [1, 7]. Due to frequent
starting and stopping, there is a great potential for recuperation. For maximum
94 S. Wolf and J. Olarte
Fig. 6.3 Use cases for battery-electric heavy duty transport [8]
Aviation Aviation is one of those industries where avoiding greenhouse gas emis-
sions is particularly difficult. One obstacle to the electrification of aviation is the very
tight weight limits. Consequently, propulsion systems must provide a high energy
density and, for takeoffs, also a high-power density. In addition, very strict safety
requirements apply, because problems during flight can have devastating conse-
quences. This combination of requirements poses a major challenge for new climate-
friendly propulsion systems. Despite this, the use of battery-electric propulsion
systems is being considered in aviation. Prototypes and demonstrators from various
manufacturers have already proven the technical feasibility of battery-powered
aircraft. This concerns small short-haul aircraft or vertical takeoff and landing
(VTOL) devices. If batteries are to play a relevant role in aviation, however, battery
technologies with significantly higher energy densities must be developed. Studies
assume that at least 400 Wh/kg to 750 Wh/kg are necessary for regional air traffic. If
traditional narrow-body aircraft designs are to be equipped with battery-electric
propulsion systems, at least 600 Wh/kg to 820 Wh/kg will be required for commer-
cial operation on regional routes [2]. Current lithium-ion technology cannot meet
these requirements. Lithium sulfur batteries could theoretically achieve the required
energy densities but are still under development. Key challenges would be higher
6 Battery Market Segmentation 97
discharge rates and a longer life cycle. Greater hope lies in the use of solid state
batteries. Here, too, many challenges still need to be solved, especially to improve
manufacturability. If solid state batteries with high energy density and good safety
characteristics become available by the end of the 2020s, aviation will be one of the
most interesting market segments for their commercial application. But the challenge
of battery-electric flying is bigger than just changing the propulsion system. New
aircraft designs are necessary to exploit all efficiency potentials. Decades of further
development are necessary to enable widespread adaptation of battery-electric
aviation in passenger transport. The first applications of this technology will be
small short-haul aircraft for only a few passengers.
Aviation is a market segment in which battery-electric propulsion systems may
play a role in the future. The prerequisite for this, however, is significant technolog-
ical progress. Therefore, this market segment is prone to become a test field for novel
high-performance batteries. Whether battery-electric designs will play a larger role
in regional air traffic also depends on the progress made in the development of
alternative drive technologies and synthetic fuels. The key market drivers are listed
below:
• New aviation concepts: VTOLs enable flight connections over short distances
that were previously restricted to other modes of transport. Especially in densely
populated areas, low noise and pollutant emissions as well as high safety stan-
dards are mandatory acceptance criteria for this technology. Electric propulsion
systems with multiple rotors can meet these requirements. Various companies are
developing and testing such concepts already. Another rapidly growing market
segment is unmanned drones, which are being used in various fields of applica-
tion. Military applications are a strong technology and market driver in this area.
• Environmental regulations: Aviation is also experiencing increasingly stricter
regulation of pollutant and greenhouse gas emissions. To some extent, it is
already included in emissions trading systems. Regulatory requirements and
rising costs associated with fossil fuels may improve the economic viability of
battery-electric propulsion systems in aviation in the future.
Rail Rail transport can be subdivided into light urban and tram transport, regional
and long-distance passenger transport, and heavy freight transport. Overall, rail
transport is already a very efficient and climate-friendly mode of transport. Never-
theless, there are use cases in the different areas where batteries should be consid-
ered. Urban rail passenger transport is already electrified to a large extent. Here,
batteries can be used to make optimal use of the energy recovery potential of
regenerative braking. Depending on the topology of the terrain and the dimensioning
of the catenary network, the amount of energy that can be fed back into catenaries
may be limited. Small batteries sometimes in combination with ultracapacitors can
act as buffer storage and help to stabilize the voltage quality in the overhead contact
line network. This can save up to 30% energy [15]. In addition, the construction of
tram lines and catenaries in dense urban areas can lead to spatial conflicts with other
98 S. Wolf and J. Olarte
infrastructures. With small batteries, trams can bridge shorter distances without
catenary. This can simplify the traffic planning of intersections, for example.
Long-distance passenger transport is usually equipped with overhead lines, as
long-distance routes are often at high capacity. In regional transport, the share of
electrified routes is significantly lower. Here, battery-electric trains are an alternative
to diesel-powered trains. This is especially true if parts of the route are electrified
with catenaries. The trains’ batteries can then be recharged in these sections of the
route. The first battery-electric trains are already in operation. Due to the good
integration into the existing infrastructure, battery-electric regional trains are an
interesting market segment. Depending on the route length, batteries with more
than 300 kWh capacity are used. Due to the high total weight and the large transport
capacity, the energy consumption of battery-electric trains is 3–8 kWh/km. Where
there is no catenary infrastructure at all, battery-electric trains will eventually have to
compete with other propulsion technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells and syn-
thetic fuels.
In heavy freight transport, the comparatively low energy density of batteries
becomes a problem especially over long distances. However, the use of battery-
electric power trains would also be technically feasible here. More realistic, how-
ever, is the use of battery-electric freight locomotives in shunting operations, on
factory premises, and on short regional routes.
Batteries for rail transport require a high energy density. This is particularly
important when longer distances are to be covered. In addition, a high-power density
is necessary to exploit the full potential of regenerative braking and quick acceler-
ation. Another important aspect is the requirement for a very long life cycle. Trains
are in continuous operation and cover several million kilometers over their lifetime.
Accordingly, the battery must be able to withstand many charging cycles. In
addition, there are high demands on safety and reliability. Particularly in freight
transport, hazardous goods are also transported. Fire risks must therefore be avoided.
Furthermore, in the event of a defect, a train may block a section of the track. This
can lead to high consequential costs.
Rail transport is an interesting market segment for a relatively small number of
large battery systems. Whereas in the past it was mainly hydrogen drives that were
seen as a future technology here, interest is increasingly moving in the direction of
battery-electric trains. The main market forces are listed below:
• Environmental regulation: Stricter climate and environmental legislation also
affects rail transport. Moreover, many railway companies around the world are
partly or fully state-owned. Therefore, politics can exert more direct influence on
investment decisions and accelerate the switch to more climate-friendly
technologies.
• Energy costs: Electric trains can recover energy when braking. With battery-
powered trains, this is becoming possible even in areas without catenaries.
Energy costs can be reduced through increased energy efficiency. The magnitude
of this effect, of course, depends on the difference between electricity and fuel
prices.
6 Battery Market Segmentation 99
6.4 Portable
Portable batteries have been the largest market segment in the past. This market
segment covers a wide range of applications. These include consumer electronics,
power tools, medical devices, and numerous other applications. The typical battery
capacity is in the range of a few watt-hours. Batteries with a capacity of up to
1 kilowatt-hour are used in power tools. Portable batteries are usually directly
integrated into the product. Depending on the size, energy requirements, and usage
characteristics of the product, there are very different requirements for the battery
technology. Accordingly, this market segment offers many small niches for manu-
facturers of special batteries. The various niche applications also offer interesting
market entry opportunities for the first-time commercialization of new battery
technologies. Due to the great diversity of battery applications, with relatively
small market volumes, the individual applications are only briefly described
below [4].
• Telecommunications: The market segment is very established and the products
are mature. The market is saturated and the number of smartphones sold has been
declining slightly since 2017. Lithium-ion battery cells in laminated cell formats
with form factors specially adapted to the product are used to a large extent. The
capacity of these batteries is in the range of 4–20 Wh. This market segment is
very cost-sensitive.
• Laptops and tablets: The market for laptop and tablet batteries is saturated.
Laptops reached peak demand in 2011 and tablets in 2014. Since then, sales
figures have stagnated. In the past, 18,650 format round cells were more common,
but in the competition for thinner and lighter laptops, many manufacturers are
increasingly switching to specially designed pouch formats. Nearly all batteries
used are lithium-ion.
• Power tools: The market for power tools continues to grow dynamically. More
than one million units are sold annually. The market covers a broad spectrum
from low-end solutions for occasional users (6 V, 10 Wh) to powerful profes-
sional tools (36 V, > 50 Wh). Increasingly, Li-Ion batteries are prevailing over
NiCd batteries. The power-tool manufacturers expect from batteries above all low
prices, fast charging, and high energy density. For professional tools, an
improved life cycle of more than 500 cycles is also important.
100 S. Wolf and J. Olarte
• Medical devices: Batteries are used in medical devices such as implants, defibril-
lators, hearing aids, and prostheses. Particularly in the case of implants and
hearing aids, extreme requirements are placed on batteries due to the small
packaging space. As these requirements can be very specific, various cell chem-
istries are used in special cell formats. The market for medical battery applications
is growing dynamically. On the one hand, this is due to the constant expansion of
the product range, but also to an aging population in wealthy industrial countries.
• Household devices: Batteries are increasingly being used in household appliances
such as shavers, toothbrushes, or vacuum cleaners. The market is growing
dynamically, even if there are major differences between the individual product
categories. Lithium-ion batteries have replaced other cell chemistries in many
product categories. The market segment is very price-sensitive. In addition, short
charging times and low self-discharge are expected.
Besides the market segments mentioned, there are numerous others, such as toys,
mobile video game consoles, sports equipment, smartwatches, or wearable electron-
ics, which will not be discussed in detail. However, the large number of applications
shows the great potential for smaller manufacturers of special batteries. The special
requirements create the necessary conditions for the introduction of new battery
technologies. For this reason, the small-scale consumer battery market cannot be
neglected.
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Chapter 7
Future Battery Market
Contents
7.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103
7.2 Market Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104
7.3 Market Entry of New Battery Technologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108
7.4 Overview of Target KPIs for Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109
7.5 KPI Trends in Relation to Both Battery Market Segments and Technologies . . . . . . . . . 109
7.6 Current Research Trends and Conclusions for Future Market Developments . . . . . . . . . 112
7.7 Lithium-Ion Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112
7.8 Innovative Cell Chemistries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
7.9 Cell Design and Manufacturing Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114
7.10 Battery Systems and End Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115
7.11 Raw Materials, Recycling, and Sustainability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115
7.12 Conclusions for Future Market Developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117
7.1 Introduction
The global battery market has been growing very dynamically since the beginning of
the 2010s, with annual growth rates of more than 30%. According to data from
Avicenne Pillot (2022), the market volume of the entire battery market in 2020 was
S. Wolf
VDI/VDE Innovation + Technik GmbH, Berlin, Germany
M. Lüken (✉)
New Vision University (NVU), School of Politics and Diplomacy, Climate and Sustainability
Governance Research, Tbilisi, Georgia
e-mail: [email protected]
USD 93 billion. Lead-acid batteries accounted for USD 37 billion of this, of which
414 GWh were produced in 2020. The production volume of Li-ion batteries was
just over half that at 250 GWh. However, the market volume of Li-ion batteries was
already USD 39 billion in 2020.
Table 7.1 Evaluated market reports projecting the future development of the battery market
from 2030 to 2040. This will start a market consolidation phase which many of the
new companies will not survive. The unsuccessful companies will be bought up by
the better performing ones. Therefore, an aggressive growth strategy is necessary to
survive in the mass market. In the second half of the 2020s, companies will need to
secure significant market share and strategic alliances with automakers to survive in
the long term. This conflicts with the limited experience of European and North
American start-ups in particular. It will be a matter of not only scaling quickly but
also learning more efficiently and faster than established companies that have been
active in the market for years. Another possible strategy is specialization. By
building up know-how and serving the needs of a smaller market segment, a
technological advantage over competing companies can be achieved. This approach
can enable survival with lower revenues compared to the mass market, but possibly
more attractive margins.
The Li-ion battery market projection in Fig. 7.1 shows an assessment of 25 market
development scenarios from 18 market reports. The market projections are classified
into maximum, minimum, and realistic development paths depending on the
assumptions on which they are based. The maximum scenarios are mostly based
on the expansion targets announced by battery manufacturers. However, it can be
assumed that not all of the announced battery production capacities will actually be
106 S. Wolf and M. Lüken
created. Some of the players on the market today will not be able to survive and will
withdraw their announcements. The minimum scenarios are mostly based on regu-
latory requirements. Particularly in the vehicle sector, many countries have already
passed resolutions to phase out the internal combustion engine. One example of this
is the CO2 fleet limits for passenger cars and light commercial vehicles that apply in
the European Union [6, 7]. The minimum scenarios use these regulatory require-
ments as a basic assumption for estimating the expected market diffusion. The
realistic scenarios are based on the historically observable market diffusion of
battery technology.
Battery-electric passenger cars will be by far the most important market segment.
Other, much smaller, market segments are commercial vehicles, stationary power
storage, consumer electronics, power tools, and similar. Projections for the marine,
aviation, and stationary power storage market segments are subject to the greatest
uncertainties. Stationary power storage in particular has less limiting requirements
for KPIs such as energy or power density neither gravimetric nor volumetric. This
allows significantly more freedom in the choice of cell chemistry. One example of
new battery chemistries with disruptive potential is sodium ion batteries. It is likely
that this battery technology will capture a significant portion of the market volume
outlined in Fig. 7.1. The properties of sodium ion batteries make them suitable for
use cases that do not necessarily require high energy densities. However, manufac-
turers are also considering putting sodium ion batteries in vehicles with a range of up
to 400 km in the future [3]. Breakthroughs in the industrialization of such cheaper
batteries for stationary electricity storage can lead to significantly accelerated market
diffusion. Nevertheless, even in this case, passenger cars would be expected to form
the largest market segment.
The actual development of the battery market is difficult to estimate because it
depends on a variety of influencing factors. The most probable path indicated in
Fig. 7.1 reflects the mean value of the realistic scenarios. Realistic scenarios are
considered to be those that make probable assumptions for the future impact of key
influencing factors while weighing up various options. The consistent scenario
descriptions resulting from this approach allow a projection for the future develop-
ment of the battery market based on the state of knowledge in 2022. The real
development of the battery market can deviate considerably from the most probable
path. The following developments can lead to a positive deviation [14]:
• Realization of all announced projects: The construction, commissioning, and
ramp-up of battery factories are a complex task that poses considerable chal-
lenges, especially for start-up companies. The supply of raw materials, active
materials, and components must also be ensured. It is therefore to be expected that
not all announced production capacities will actually be built, commissioned, and
fully utilized. Time delays also have a negative impact on the availability of
production capacities. If these assumptions are not correct and the production
capacities are actually realized as announced, the market development will shift
into the area of maximum scenarios.
7 Future Battery Market 107
• Accelerated demand growth: The realistic scenarios are based on the established
regulatory framework. In the past, it was observed that the speed of market
diffusion of new technologies has been increasing. Accordingly, it is possible
that the market for batteries, especially in the automotive segment, could grow
much faster than previously assumed.
• Faster battery cost degression: With every battery produced, the knowledge about
possible cost savings increases. Accordingly, the realistic scenarios extrapolate
the future development of battery costs in line with the observed learning curve.
New technical developments, for example, in production technology or through
the introduction of cheaper battery cell chemistries, can accelerate the cost
degression. Accordingly, a new market equilibrium would be expected to emerge
resulting in a larger battery market volume.
• Political support measures: Political measures can have a significant impact on
the development of the battery market. The realistic scenarios are based on a
business as usual assumption derived from the current and expected political
framework conditions. More ambitious policies and actual compliance with the
1.5 °C target of the Paris climate agreement would shift the market development
into the range of the maximum scenarios.
However, there are also a number of factors that can have a negative impact on the
development of the battery market:
• Upstream supply bottlenecks: The rapid growth of battery production capacities
requires an equally rapid growth of upstream supply chains. Capacities along the
entire supply chain must be ramped up in parallel. However, especially in the
commodity sector, scaling up capacities is much more time-consuming
(5–10 years) than building battery factories (2–4 years). Therefore, realistic
scenarios assume that not all announced battery production capacities will actu-
ally be built. If significantly greater challenges arise in the development of
upstream supply chains than expected today, this will have a negative impact
on the development of the battery market. Influencing factors that are difficult to
assess are the actions of governments in local protests against mining projects and
the discovery of new raw material deposits.
• (Trade) conflicts: International trade went into crisis as early as the 2010s,
triggered by trade disputes between the USA and China. Russia’s invasion of
Ukraine and the subsequent sanctions also have an impact on the battery industry,
since Russia is a major nickel supplier with a global market share of slightly less
than 10%. Such conflicts can therefore have a significant impact on the develop-
ment of the battery industry. However, they are difficult to predict. Even more
difficult to assess are their consequences. New conflicts and a further acceleration
of the economic decoupling between the USA, Europe, and China can lead to
problems along the supply chains with negative effects on the development of the
battery market.
• Shortage of skilled labor: Many thousands of skilled workers are needed to build
up the battery industry and its supplier industries. These workers must be trained
and educated. This is a major task that requires the cooperation of the
108 S. Wolf and M. Lüken
The fundamental challenge of the future battery market lies in the mutual
interdependence of market demands and technological advances. The advancement
of battery application in various sectors (especially in aviation and medical devices)
requires a market maturity of high-performance battery solutions, while in turn
technological development progress is—at least partially—determined by market
potential. This section hence provides an outlook on foreseeable developments in
battery technologies (not limited to cell chemistry but including management sys-
tems and further components) and how their market introduction might interact with
demand scenarios in various segments.
KPIs play a crucial role in bridging the gap between market assessments and
technological outlooks by defining the most important characteristics of a battery
system with respect to their applicability. They serve as a measure of “how a battery
can be used” (for market scenarios) as well as a guideline for “what a battery can
provide” (in technology roadmaps). Our analysis will hence focus on current
definitions of and trends in KPIs.
This section is structured as follows: we will first give a short overview of KPI
target values for batteries on an international level. We will then discuss KPI trends
in relation to both battery market segments and technologies. Finally, we derive
conclusions for future market developments on the background of current research
trends.
7 Future Battery Market 109
The set of KPIs for a particular battery application defines the main properties of
battery performance in the respective application. It typically encompasses a wide
range of technical parameters as well as cost parameters. For the sake of our analysis,
we will mainly focus on the KPIs used in the most recent battery Strategic Research
and Innovation Agenda (SRIA) [2]:
• Gravimetric and volumetric energy density at cell level (Wh per kg and Wh/l,
resp.)
• Power density at cell level (W per kg and W/l, resp.)
• Cycle life (for high-capacity and high voltage applications, resp.)
• Cost at pack level (€ per kWh).
Besides of upcoming improvements of lithium-ion-based cell chemistry, SRIA
provides KPI estimates for so-called “beyond lithium” approaches based on natrium
ion and metal-air concepts. Another stream of innovation is the concept of solid-state
batteries (SSBs) with polymer electrolytes. KPI estimates are taken from a recent
report by the Fraunhofer ISI [12].
With the advancement and market introduction of new cell technologies, signif-
icant improvements in all KPIs can be expected (see Table 7.2), although the
respective year of market availability bears uncertainty. For example, assuming the
availability of systems with a lifetime of more than 6000 cycles in the year 2030 and
over 15,000 cycles in the years after is well reasonable. The reader should keep in
mind though that these numbers represent goals related to ongoing or foreseeable
developments until the year 2030 rather than safe forecasts. However, a recent
overview [15] of manufacturers announcements indicates an earlier market
upscaling of sodium ion batteries than expected by SRIA.
The next step in the analysis is to summarize current expectations for particular KPI
levels from the demand/application perspective and compare them to the above
results. For the purpose of our analysis, we aggregate market subsegments up to a
reasonable degree and omit niche applications with relatively small market sizes.
The results of the comparison are summarized in Table 7.3.
A differentiated picture emerges in the comparison of KPI requirements in
different market sectors with current KPI projections of various battery technologies.
For large market segments, esp. light- to heavy-duty vehicles, the needs on
the demand side and the projections for generation 4–5 lithium-ion batteries on the
supply side are in fair agreement. However, further research is needed to satisfy the
needs of smaller segments such as airborne transport.
110 S. Wolf and M. Lüken
Table 7.2 Objectives and outcomes of advanced material development, based on the Batteries
European Partnership Association [2] and Schmaltz et al. [12]
Time
KPI goals: technological KPI goal: cost at pack to
Technology/application parameters level market
Generation 3 50–400 Wh/kg, < 100 €/kWh 2025+
Li-ion batteries for mobility 750–1.000 Wh/l
applications 700 W/kg, 1500+ W/l
3000+ cycles (high-
capacity applications)/
2000+ cycles (high voltage
applications)
Generation 4 400+ - 500+ Wh/kg, < 75 €/kWh 2030+
Li-ion batteries for mobility 800+ - 1.000+ Wh/l
applications Up to 3000 cycles
Generation 5 500+ Wh/kg, 1.000 Wh/l < 75 €/kWh 2030+
Li-ion batteries for mobility At least 800 cycles at 80%
applications DoD
Li-ion batteries for stationary 500+ Wh/l < 75 €/kWh 2030
storage applications (commer- 6000+ cycles
cial high-power applications)
(a longer lifetime of 10,000+
cycles is defined for utility-scale
applications)
“Beyond lithium” Na-ion systems: <0.05 €/kWh/cycle 2030+
180 Wh/kg, 500 Wh/l corresponds to 100 €/
15.000+ cycles kWh for 2.000 cycles,
Metal-air systems: e.g.
200+ Wh/kg, 800+ Wh/l
2.000–5.000 cycles
Solid-state battery (SSB) with 440 Wh/kg, 900 Wh/l n.a. 2030
polymer electrolyte
“+” denotes “or more than”/“or later.” Li: lithium. Na: sodium
Light-duty battery-electric vehicles for passengers are the largest market segment
within the mobility sector. However, the KPI requirements of this segment can-
not fully be met by generation 3 Li-ion batteries (1000 W/kg/2.200 W/l of power
density in 2030). The same holds for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles. While their
future market share is significantly smaller than for BEVs, they still constitute a
demand of over 100 GWh [2] of battery capacity in the year 2030. Market maturity
of generation 4 and 5 solutions improves the situation, while the power density
remains a challenge.
Sodium (Na) ion-based systems are an option to satisfy the cycle life needs of
medium to heavy-duty BEV applications (up to 6000 cycles) in the near future. The
market introduction of these systems, expected to allow for a lifetime of over
15,000 cycles, is highly desirable to support a large-scale electrification of road
freight transport. Likewise, expectations for cycle lifetime in stationary applications
can—according to current projections—only be met by Na-ion systems. The power
7 Future Battery Market 111
Table 7.3 Comparing KPI goals on the demand side (market segments/applications) to KPI
projections on the supply side (technology-specific)
Colors: goals are met (+, green), application goals are not met (-, red), ambiguous (o, yellow)
because the KPI goals on the supply side are not clearly defined or specified. “n.a.”: KPI estimate is
not available in the considered literature
density projections for Na-ion systems (500 Wh/l) do not satisfy the requirements of
stationary applications yet.
Off-road mobile machinery (up to 30 GWh per year in the year 2030), often
characterized by continuous operation and robustness, requires large battery systems
of up to 1000 kWh in size, optimized for a high energy (rather than power) density
and outstanding lifetime requirements of up to 6000 cycles. Similarly, most water-
borne transport applications (approx. 4 GWh/a in 2030) require even larger scales
(up to several hundreds of MWh) and lifetimes (over 10,000 cycles). The latter
requirement can neither be met with generation 3–5 battery concepts for mobility
112 S. Wolf and M. Lüken
applications nor with metal-air systems. Li-ion batteries for stationary storage
applications but also Na-ion systems would meet the cycle lifetime requirements
but not the energy density demands. Improved solid-state batteries with polymer
electrolytes might provide the power density required in these market segments by
2030 [12].
To conclude, while the technological development of batteries achieved remark-
able results, solutions beyond current Li-ion batteries are needed to enable large-
scale mobility and stationary applications. Particularly, power density levels beyond
those of the coming Li-ion battery generations for road vehicle applications and
improved cycle lifetimes for marine/aviation mobility and stationary applications are
desirable. While sodium ion battery technologies are a promising option to allow for
the high cycle lifetimes needed in most airborne and waterborne transport applica-
tions, energy density needs to improve to fully match the requirements of current
aircrafts and long-distance vessels for a full electric operation. A mature market
battery solution for the electrification of maritime and particularly airborne trans-
portation might have a high symbolic value, beyond its limited market size and
relatively modest contribution to current greenhouse gas emissions.
Current challenges in battery research and development span over the whole range of
the battery ecosystem. The European Battery Partnership defines in its recent
Strategic Research and Innovation Report six focus areas to support the development
and market introduction of future battery technologies along the value chain: Raw
Materials and Recycling, Advanced Materials and Manufacturing, Battery End Uses
and Operations, Crosscutting Topic Safety, Crosscutting Topic Sustainability, and
Coordination [2]. The report outlines strategic actions and a timeline of Technology
Readiness Level (TRL) estimates in each area. The main trends and TRL projections
in the areas of materials and manufacturing are summarized in Fig. 7.2.
Innovative cell chemistries are catching up, but the current Li-ion battery will most
probably remain the dominating battery type until 2030 due to successful market
uptake and an established industrial value chain. The Li-ion battery concept is
subject to continuous improvement and still bears potential for optimization. Current
research focuses on improving the energy density while delivering on the other
application relevant KPIs [1].
7 Future Battery Market 113
Fig. 7.2 Timeline of selected future battery developments, based on Batteries European Partner-
ship Association [2], pp. 56 and 61, complemented by estimates on SSB development based on
Schmaltz et al. [12] (pp. 92–93). The numbers indicate TRL estimates
• Intensive research is being carried out into nickel-rich NMC materials on the
cathode side. Increasing the nickel content increases the specific capacity while
reducing the cobalt content. Suitable composites are required to assure a high
cycle stability. Nickel-rich 811-NMC cathodes are close to market launch.
• On the anode side, research aims at increasing the silicon content of graphite
electrodes (up to 10% Si/SiOx in generation 3) and thus the specific capacity
without large loss of cycle stability.
• Research on electrolytes focuses on compatibility with the electrode by develop-
ing additives for organic liquid electrolytes and on solid electrolytes, to improve
battery safety and render the use of metallic lithium anodes possible.
• Coated separator membranes improve lifetime, temperature tolerance, and safety
properties of batteries, e.g., through hydrogen fluoride absorbing ceramic parti-
cles. Extra costs for coating need to be compensated for by optimizing the
manufacturing process.
Manufacturing is not the end of the process to ensure a large-scale market uptake of
novel battery technologies in mobility and stationary applications. Improvements to
the level of battery systems and end use are important to ensure high performance
and safety. Current trends focus on improved safety (e.g., Battery4Europe defines
the action item to introduce safe-by-design solutions by 2028) [2]; optimized battery
management systems allow for accurate and robust determination and active control
of cell states (e.g., current of individual cells), improved balancing schemes, and
error diagnostics [9].
Recent supply chain disruptions raised concerns on the availability and costs of raw
materials in battery production. A recent report by the IEA provides an overview of
current trends and challenges in battery supply chains [8]. The stability of the supply
chain depends on a reliable supply of scarce materials. Many of them, most prom-
inently lithium, are limited to a few production sites and suppliers. On this back-
ground, measures to improve the resilience of the supply chain are highly desirable:
• Regional diversification of material sources and suppliers.
• Improving social sustainability standards of material suppliers, not only as an
ethical necessity but also as an essential contribution to supply chain resilience.
• Improved recycling processes and additional measures for supply chain effi-
ciency, such as tracing and labeling procedures. For example, the Battery4Europe
network defines the action item to develop a tracing and labeling scheme over the
full life cycle by 2028 [2]. Also, the concept of a “digital battery passport”
receives growing attention [5].
Recycling plays a crucial role in reducing material scarcity and the ecological
footprint of batteries. With growing battery production, a massive increase in
recycling volume can be foreseen. Recent estimates of the volume of lithium-ion
batteries components in Europe amount to 230 kilotons per year in 2030 and about
1500 kilotons per year in 2040 [11].
Current recycling approaches suffer from the fact that production processes do
not take end of life treatment into account, so that huge efforts are required for the
separation of materials. Besides direct mechanical separation, pyrometallurgical and
hydrometallurgical methods are currently applied. Pyrometallurgical methods
require substantial energy and material input for chemical calcination and combus-
tion. Hydrometallurgical approaches are more complex and require less energy but
use large amounts of toxic substances and require water purification. Both result in
116 S. Wolf and M. Lüken
high costs and a low material recovery rate. The savings achieved by using recycled
material compared to never used material is currently in the range - 5 to +20%
[13]. A ready-for-recycling approach in cell design and battery pack assembly is
hence the most effective action in this field.
More generally, the environmental sustainability of batteries receives growing
awareness. For example, water use of mining is a serious concern in lithium mining
regions such as Chile [4]. Due to current uncertainty in energy costs, substantial
progress in material recycling and efficient production processes is of vital interest
for the battery industry and not only an environmental concern anymore. The
development and introduction of sustainability standards and regulations clearly
contributes to improved material supply security and the resilience of manufacturing
and distribution processes. The widespread implementation of circular designs in
industry can be expected in the second half of this decade.
The overview of current research and development trends leads to the following
conclusions for future market developments:
1. Significant improvements in Li-ion batteries can be expected by 2030. According
to the above analysis of KPI needs in various applications, post-generation
3 systems can contribute to future market maturity of light- and medium to
heavy-duty vehicles in road transportation.
2. Stationary applications and air/marine mobility would benefit from further efforts
to improve cycle lifetimes of Li-ion batteries, production ramp-up of Na-ion
batteries, and market introduction of improved solid-state batteries.
3. The main application of Na-ion, metal air, and redox flow batteries is currently
expected in stationary applications due to their relatively low energy density. As
discussed above, their high cycle lifetime might be beneficial in some mobility
applications, too. With growing demand for electricity storage, the market share
of these innovative concepts will increase substantially, bearing the potential for
cost decreases from economies of scale.
4. Improvements in cell design and manufacturing processes as well as advanced
material recycling concepts bear a large potential to improve the efficiency of the
overall battery supply chain. Substantial cost reductions can be expected,
although there is hardly any reliable estimate for the total reduction potential.
5. Growing awareness of risks for supply chain resilience and environmental foot-
print initiates a trend toward a more circular, diversified, and sustainable approach
of the battery supply chain. From a market perspective, this trend translates into
improvements of supply and cost stability.
6. Enforced technological research and development are inevitable to secure the
accelerating market growth for batteries and the expectations for future cost
decreases. Collaboration within the battery industry, public funding, and a strin-
gent strategic research agenda are essential to achieve this goal.
7 Future Battery Market 117
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Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not
included in the chapter’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by
statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from
the copyright holder.
Part IV
Economics and Materials of Present
Batteries
Preface
To date, lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) are unrivaled in terms of energy density and
performance, making them the technology of choice for virtually all mobility
applications but also stationary storage systems. However, they are not the only
energy storage option and compete with numerous other technologies in terms of
cost and performance but also (to an increasing extent) in terms of sustainability such
as material intensity or criticality. This chapter gives an overview of the present state
of the art in batteries under these aspects. As such, it is mainly focused on lithium-ion
technology, treating the main drivers for their success, but also the problems that
might arise from the high material intensity of the battery sector and the
corresponding limitations that might arise from them in the future. Specifically,
Chap. 8 treats the challenges posed by the different energy storage applications and
how electrochemical storage systems are typically tailored to match these in terms of
performance and costs. From there, Chap. 9 establishes the link to the circular
economy principles as introduced in Chapter 2, treating the presently prevailing
and near-future recycling processes and the potential (but also limitations) of them to
close the material circles. Finally, a spot is also put on safety aspects, which have
important implications especially for end-of-life handling and logistics and thus also
the efficiencies and corresponding impacts of battery recycling.
Chapter 8
Performance and Cost
Contents
8.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121
8.2 Lead-Acid Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122
8.3 Li-Ion Technology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124
8.4 Post-Li-Ion Battery Technologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 126
8.5 Nickel-Based Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131
8.6 Sodium-Based Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135
8.7 Redox Flow Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136
8.8 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140
8.1 Introduction
Over the past few decades, a wide variety of electrochemical storage systems have
been developed and made commercially available. Today’s prominent electrochem-
ical storage systems encompass technologies like lead-acid, nickel-cadmium, and
nickel-metal hydride alkaline batteries, sodium-nickel chloride and sodium-sulfur
high-temperature batteries, and lithium-ion technology.
Each of these unique electrochemical storage systems possesses specific features.
Product variants, adjusted to meet the requirements of individual applications, are
offered with tailored performance characteristics [20]. These tailored performance
characteristics primarily encompass energy and power density, life cycle, design life,
and the operating temperature range.
Lead-acid batteries accounted for the largest share of the global battery market, at
around 90%, until 2010. From then on, the market share of lithium-ion batteries has
been growing steadily, and in 2021, the market share of lithium-ion batteries was
already slightly higher than the market share of lead-acid batteries, due to the
upcoming demand for electromobility.
For the automotive and industrial market, the lead battery has been the predom-
inant energy storage system for over 100 years.
The lead-acid batteries are on the market in two major different construction
designs. On the one side, there is the flooded or “vented” construction design,
requiring maintenance. On the other side, there is the maintenance-free valve-
regulated (VRLA) batteries [1].
Today, the share of maintenance-free lead-acid batteries has increased to about
80% of the total lead market. There are two types of VRLA batteries, which differ in
the way the electrolyte (sulfuric acid) is fixed. In one type, the electrolyte is fixed in a
silica gel; in the other, it is in an AGM (absorbent glass mat) material.
Lead-acid batteries with AGM technology have become the most important
technology in the field of automotive and industrial applications [3]. The share of
AGM types, which are more efficient than gel types, is 85% of the VRLA market.
The lead-acid battery innovation has historically been market driven, primarily by
the end-user applications. This explains the very wide range of specific battery
products, sizes, and construction designs.
The positive electrodes in lead-acid batteries can have either a tubular, flat grid
plate design or plante design, while the negative electrodes are always constructed as
a flat grid plate design.
8 Performance and Cost 123
Table 8.1 Main performance and cost parameters of the most important positive electrode designs
used with the lead-acid technology
Electrode
design Cost Performance
Performance HP (high HE (high
classification Cycle-life power) energy)
Planté Very high High power < 100 +++ +
Grid Low Low to high > 100– ++ +++
1.000
Tubular Medium Medium > 1.600 + ++
Bipolar Low High > 1000 +++ +++
(target) (target)
Total range 50–250 €/ Up to <700 W/kg <60 Wh/kg
kWh >1600
(+) is good
(+++) very good
Table 8.1 shows the most important positive electrode designs and their main
performance characteristics and cost. It is evident that there are significant differ-
ences between the various types of electrodes and their properties. For instance, the
plante electrode exhibits high-power density but comes with a higher price tag and a
lower life cycle. In contrast, the tabular electrode has a lower power density. The grid
electrode, currently employed in VRLA batteries, offers lower costs and a higher
power density compared to the tabular electrode. Additionally, ongoing develop-
ment is focused on the bipolar electrode, as outlined in the “Further Development”
section. This electrode aims to combine high performance, extended cycle-life, and a
lower price.
The main application fields for lead-acid batteries are as follows:
• Automotive mobility applications (grid electrode)
• Material handling and logistics applications (tabular electrode)
• Stationary energy storage applications (grid, tabular, and plante electrode)
Advantages
• High-power densities
• Very robust and abuse tolerant (safe without an additional battery management
system (BMS)
• Cost-effective with low maintenance cost
• Application approved
• High recyclability
Disadvantages
• Low gravimetric energy density
• Mandatory ventilation for flooded lead-acid batteries
• Water loss that requires maintenance in flooded cells
• Contains lead.
124 J. Büngeler and B. Riegel
Further Development
In recent years, the lead-acid battery has undergone many relevant improvements in
terms of lifetime and performance.
These include material innovations such as the addition of novel carbon additives
and expanders to the anode to avoid negative electrode sulfation and the use of
innovative separator materials and the development of more resistant alloys for high-
temperature environments. The outstanding feature in this process is that these
improvements have been tailored to the specific application. These novel designs
are referred to as “advanced lead-acid batteries,” which include bipolar, lead-carbon,
and pure lead thin plate technologies [2].
Bipolar Lead-Acid Batteries
While bipolar and monopolar designs share the same lead-based chemistry, they
differ in that in bipolar batteries, the cells are stacked in a sandwich construction so
that the negative plate of one cell becomes the positive plate of the next cell.
Stacking these cells next to one another allows the potential of the battery to be
built up in 2 V increments. Since the cell wall becomes the connection element
between cells, bipolar plates have a shorter current path and a larger surface area
compared to connections in conventional cells. This construction reduces the power
loss that is normally caused by the internal resistance of the cells. At each end of the
stack, single plates act as the final anode and cathode. This construction leads to
reduced weight since there are fewer plates and bus bars are not needed to connect
cells together. The net result is a battery design with higher power than conventional
monopolar lead-based batteries.
Until recently, the main problem limiting the commercialization of bipolar lead-
acid batteries was the availability of a lightweight, inexpensive, and corrosion
resistant material for the bipolar plate and the technology to properly seal each cell
against electrolyte leakage.
Architectural advantages are as follows:
• Lower inner resistance, i.e., higher power density
• Increased energy density up to 63 Wh/kg
The lead-acid battery technology has a well-established circular economy. At the
end of their life, lead-based batteries are collected for recycling. Within the EU,
almost 100% of lead-based batteries are returned and recycled in a closed loop with a
high efficiency of over 80% [20]. The market for lead-based batteries in the EU is
mainly served by recycled material, and the demand for primary lead reserves is low.
As lithium shows the most negative normal potential of 3.05 V against hydrogen,
Li-Ion batteries achieve higher gravimetric and volumetric energy densities com-
pared to other widely used technologies like lead-acid or nickel-based systems.
8 Performance and Cost 125
In the past few decades, lithium-ion batteries have replaced the NiMH batteries in
the field of portable and mobility applications due to their higher energy densities
(80 Wh/kg vs. up to about 300 Wh/kg).
Currently, the expected market growth for Li-Ion batteries will be more than
3 TWh by 2030 and will largely serve with up to 85–90% the e-mobility and the
energy storage markets [20].
The high market growth will most likely result in lower cost per kilowatt-hour
due to standardization and mass production.
Due to the variety of possible combinations of cathode and anode materials, the
resulting Li-ion batteries show specific and individual performance characteristics
suitable for different kinds of applications. The development of Li-ion technologies
suitable for industrial and automotive applications is still a challenge in terms of
material research process, production, development, recycling, safety, and
transportation [4].
Typical cathode active materials are as follows:
• LCO—lithium cobalt oxide (LiCoO2).
• LMO—lithium manganese oxide spinel (LiMn2O4).
• LFP—lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4).
• NCA—lithium-nickel-cobalt-aluminum oxide (LiNiCoAlO2).
• NMC—lithium-nickel-cobalt-manganese oxides (Li(NiCoMn)O2).
The most relevant cathode material for the e-mobility is the NMC material, which
is currently further developed to meet the major requirement for higher energy
densities to achieve an increased driving range. This results in modifications of
nickel-cobalt-manganese oxide (NMC) materials, from NMC 111 to NMC 811, with
increased nickel and reduced cobalt content. Typically, these NMC materials are
combined with anode materials of high capacity (Fig. 8.1).
Gravimetric Energy Density in Wh/kg
800
Li-Air
600
LiS
400 SSB
Gen3b
Na-Ion RT
Gen3a
200 Gen2b
Gen2a
0
0 200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200
Volumetric Energy Density in Wh/l
Fig. 8.1 Gravimetric and volumetric energy densities of most relevant Li-Ion and post-lithium
battery technologies
126 J. Büngeler and B. Riegel
Table 8.2 Cost and performance data of most relevant anode/cathode combinations for NMC
batteries
Generation 2a 2b 3a 3b
Cathode NMC NMC 523– NMC 622 NMC 811
111 622
Anode 100% C 100% C C + Si Si/C
(5–10%) composite
Gravimetric energy density in 100–170 150–250 180–270 300–350
Wh/kg
Volumetric energy density in 420–700 520–800 700–970 850–1000
Wh/l
Cost in €/kWh 100–110 90–100 85–95 65–95
Table 8.2 and Fig. 8.1 show the performance and cost parameters of the most
relevant anode/cathode combinations.
The electrolyte composition is usually LiPF6 in organic solvents with additional
additives in order to improve certain properties. Field of developments is electrolytes
that can withstand higher voltages and consequently higher energy densities.
Depending on the active material combinations, some advantages and disadvan-
tages become less or more apparent.
Advantages
• Very high energy densities.
• High cell voltages: up to 3.7 V nominal.
• Can be optimized for specific application performance requirements.
• Tolerate to high discharge currents (discharged rate > 40 C).
• Fast charging possible.
• Batteries can be almost completely discharged without affecting cycle durability,
lifetime, or high current output.
• Very low self-discharge rate (3–5%/month).
Disadvantages
• Sensitivity to deep discharge, overcharge, and excessive temperatures requires
active battery management and monitoring.
• Relatively high sensitivity to high or low temperatures.
To address these challenges, studies are concentrating on materials that are more
abundant and environmentally friendly compared to traditional lithium sources.
The exploration of post-lithium battery technologies, based on alternative mate-
rials, presents both challenges and unique opportunities.
Table 8.3 Cost and performance data of most relevant post-Li-Ion and sodium-ion battery
technologies
Sodium-
Li-SSB Lithium-air LiS ion RTa
Gravimetric energy 280–500 500–800 180–270 90–160
density in Wh/kg (200)
Volumetric energy 500–1150 700–850 300–450 215–280
density in Wh/l
Cost in €/kWh Not commer- Not commer- Not commer- 40–65
cially available cially available cially available
a
Adelhelm [17]
128 J. Büngeler and B. Riegel
NMC
200
NaNiCl
LFP
100
NaS NiMh
Lead NiCd
VRFB
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Volumetric Energy Density in /l
Wh
Fig. 8.2 Gravimetric and volumetric energy densities of different battery technologies
Electrolyte
With solid-state batteries, there is the possibility that part of the solid electrolyte can
be incorporated into the electrodes. The main advantages of future solid-state
batteries are that the energy density of the cells would increase significantly in the
future and the risk of fire would also decrease due to the less pronounced flamma-
bility of the electrolyte.
Compared with Li-ion cells, high-power densities cannot be achieved with the
solid-state technology. The reason for this is usually the high Li+ contact resistance
at the phase boundary between the cathode and the solid electrolyte.
Solid-state cells are being developed with both polymeric and inorganic solid
electrolytes. Inorganic electrolytes can be distinguished between sulfide and oxide
solid electrolytes.
The specific energy/energy density of solid-state cells can be increased by the
following:
• Lower electrolyte/separator thickness
• Use of Li anodes
• Use of nonporous active materials
• Increase in cell voltage due to the higher electrochemical stability (electrochem-
ical window) of the electrolyte
Advantages of solid-state batteries compared to liquid electrolyte Li-Ion batteries
are as follows:
• Higher energy density than Li-ion
• Safety—instead of flammable organic liquid electrolyte, use of a solid-state
electrolyte (ceramic, polymer)
• No electrolyte leakage
• Can fit easier casing shapes
8 Performance and Cost 129
• Solid-polymer Li-ion cells can be made as thin as 0.1 mm or about one-tenth the
thickness of the thinnest prismatic liquid Li-ion cells
• Potentially lower manufacturing costs
Disadvantages of solid-state cells compared to liquid electrolyte cells are as
follows:
• Power limited by low ionic conductivity of electrolyte
• High interfacial resistance
• Poor interface contacts
In addition, due to the non-combustibility (at least of the ceramic electrolyte) and
the higher temperature resistance of the electrolyte, safety-relevant components can
be reduced in the module/pack, thus achieving a volume/mass reduction for the
battery system.
Lithium-sulfur batteries represent a new type of battery that promises high gravi-
metric energy densities at a moderate cost (see Table 8.3 and Fig. 8.2).
Design
Li-S batteries usually have a cathode consisting of sulfur and carbon and an anode of
lithium metal to take advantage of the high specific capacity of the sulfur cathode [6].
Currently, there are also approaches of using a liquid polysulfide solution instead
of a solid-state sulfur electrode. This idea is not new and was published as early
as 1975.
Challenges and Opportunities
The cathode material of common lithium-ion cells is the most expensive component
of a battery (more than 20% of the cell cost). It contains cobalt and nickel. Both are
rare raw materials whose costs tend to rise rather than fall when batteries are mass-
produced. In lithium-sulfur batteries, this cost item is eliminated, potentially saving
more than 20% of the cost, because sulfur is very inexpensive and available in large
quantities. Dry electrode manufacturing processes can also reduce production costs.
The theoretical gravimetric energy density of around 2500 Wh/kg is almost ten
times that of conventional lithium-ion batteries.
However, the Li-S battery has disadvantages in terms of volumetric energy
density. Future applications could be for situations in which the low weight of the
battery is more important than its size, such as quadcopters, aircrafts, and ships.
These appear to be more realistic applications for Li-S batteries.
The cycle stability, i.e., the lifetime of Li-S batteries, is currently still very low
(limited to less than 200 cycles). Cells from pre-commercial production achieve only
about 100 cycles at an energy density of 350 Wh/kg. However, cells with a
130 J. Büngeler and B. Riegel
significantly longer service life of several thousand cycles have already been
achieved on a laboratory scale.
Advantages
• Main advantage of Li-S batteries is the potentially high gravimetric energy
density, estimated up to 600 Wh/kg in perfect systems.
• Hope for low cost: Compared to LIB, it is hoped that the low cost of sulfur will
result in significantly lower prices for energy storage. However, this is partially
offset by the higher cost of metallic lithium (compared to graphite).
• The usage of pure materials allows higher recyclability.
Disadvantages
• Volumetric energy density lower than lithium-ion batteries (currently about
50%). Even in fully developed cells, at most the level of today’s lithium-ion
batteries can be achieved.
• Achievable performance lower than in commercial lithium-ion batteries.
• Current prototypes can only be operated at currents of approx. C/2.
The low cost and high abundance of sulfur (i.e., the active cathode material) make
LiSB more appealing than Li-ion batteries, given the fact that the latter use critical
materials, such as cobalt and nickel, in the manufacturing of the cathodes. LiSB are
promising because of the high energy density, low cost, and natural abundance of
sulfur.
Lithium-air batteries possess a great potential for efficient energy storage applica-
tions in order to resolve future energy and environmental issues. The extremely high
theoretical energy density is attractive, but there are still various technical limitations
to overcome. The performance of lithium-air batteries is governed mainly by
electrochemical reactions that occur on the surface of the cathode [7]. Widespread
interest in various carbons and their applicability as cathode materials in lithium-air
batteries are a result of their highly specific surface area and porosity, their light-
weight, and their low production cost.
Among the group of metal-air batteries, intensive research is being carried out in
particular on the development of lithium-air batteries. Since lithium has the highest
electrochemical potential of all metals, these batteries offer the highest energy
density by far of all metal-air systems that can theoretically be achieved [8, 18]. Com-
pared with the state-of-the-art, it is hoped that energy densities can be achieved that
are about ten times higher in practice, in order to make the ranges of electric vehicles
based on such batteries competitive with today’s gasoline-powered cars.
However, it may result in the need for a lot of additional technology and
electronics (e.g., to clean the air), so that the weight and space this takes up reduces
the theoretical energy density to such an extent that the batteries hardly have any
8 Performance and Cost 131
advantages over more advanced lithium-ion batteries. For example, the theoretical
material energy density of a lithium-air system is up to 3450 Wh/kg, but if the entire
periphery is taken into account, the possible energy density is reduced to about
1000 Wh/kg. Currently available primary cells achieve energy densities of around
800 Wh/kg.1.
Major challenges currently lie in achieving an acceptable number of charge cycles
and reducing voltage losses during charging and discharging.
Alkaline batteries that use nickel hydroxide as a cathodic material belong to the
mainstream battery systems.
The most important representatives of this technology are the nickel-cadmium
(NiCd), nickel-metal hydride (NiMh), as well as nickel-zinc (NiZn) and Ni-iron
(NiFe) systems. In past decades, only NiCd and NiMH technology has played an
132 J. Büngeler and B. Riegel
Nickel-cadmium batteries played a major role in the past, competing with lead-acid
batteries in certain applications.
The general advantages of the very reliable NiCd battery system is the higher
energy density, the robustness, and a high deep discharge cycle-life—even at low
temperatures when compared with lead-acid batteries.
The electrodes for NiCd systems are classified into five electrode types: pocket
electrodes, sintered electrodes, plastic-bonded electrodes, nickel foam electrodes,
and fiber electrodes [9].
Table 8.4 presents the key properties and costs of these electrodes. The pocket
plate electrode, characterized by its relatively thick electrode, is primarily used in
applications that require low to medium performance. It has been the dominant
choice for standby applications like uninterruptible power supplies (UPS) and
emergency power supply systems for railway rolling stock. On the other hand,
sintered electrodes are designed for high-power cells that can deliver significant
power output. However, the sintered structure undergoes mechanical stress during
charge and discharge cycles, which can potentially affect the overall durability and
longevity of the system. Moreover, this technology is associated with higher costs
compared to other alternatives. Despite these limitations, this energy storage system
Table 8.4 Cost and performance data of most relevant NiCd electrode designs
Electrode
design Cost Performance
Performance Cycle- HP HE
classification life (high power) (high energy)
Pocket plate Low Low < 1.000 - +
Sintered High High > 2.500 +++ +++
Fiber Medium to Medium to high > 3.500 ++ ++
high
Foam Medium to High > 2.500 ++ +++
high
Total range 300–450 Up to 200–500 W/kg 25–60 Wh/kg
€/kWh >3500
(+) is good
(+++) very good
8 Performance and Cost 133
Disadvantages
• Poor environmental compatibility: Cadmium is a toxic heavy metal
• High self-discharge rate
• Low cell voltage of 1.2 V/cell
Since the 1990s, NiCd batteries in the consumer markets for portable devices have
been displaced by NiMH batteries. The reason for this was the higher energy storage
capability achievable with NiMH and the general concern about cadmium as an
environmentally hazardous material. Beneficial for an easy substitution of the NiCd
technology by NiMh is the similar cell voltage of 1.2 V/cell [10].
The NiMH system was developed in the 1980s for electronic devices with high
energy demand. During the 1990s, NiMH was the dominating electrochemical
storage system for portable devices, which was replaced by Li-ion battery system
in the middle of the 1990s. The Li-ion technology has shown even higher gravimet-
ric and volumetric energy densities, which are essential for advanced portable
devices. Another major application where NiMH played a very important role was
the introduction of the first hybrid electrical vehicles at the beginning of the twenty-
first century. In particular, the high-power performance of the NiMH battery systems
was the greatest attraction for automotive applications.
The basic technologies for the electrodes as well as for other components used in
NiMH cells are very similar to what has been developed for NiCd cells in a variety of
applications.
The preferred electrode types of NiMH are the sinter-type and the foam-type
electrode.
Two major designs for NiMH batteries are realized, the cylindrical and prismatic
types.
Advantages
• High energy and power density
• Robust, but not as robust as NiCd for deep discharge and overcharge
• Temperature operation range from -15 °C to 40 °C
• Fast rechargeability
• Environmentally friendlier compared to NiCd (no heavy metals)
• Good recyclability
Disadvantages
• Need for battery management system
• High self-discharge rate.
• Low cell voltage of 1.2 V/cell
8 Performance and Cost 135
The cells consist of an anode made of molten sodium and a cathode made of graphite
fabric soaked with liquid sulfur to achieve electrical conductivity, as sulfur is an
insulator. As in the case of the NaNiCl battery, the solid electrolyte β-aluminum
136 J. Büngeler and B. Riegel
oxide is used as the electrolyte, which becomes conductive for Na + ions above a
temperature of approx. 300 °C. The optimum temperature range is between 300 °C
and 340 °C. During the discharge process, positively charged sodium ions enter the
solid electrolyte from the liquid sodium, releasing electrons. The sodium ions
migrate through the electrolyte to the positive electrode, where they form sodium
polysulfides. The cell voltage is 2 V. This process is reversed during charging.
A major advantage of the sodium-sulfur battery is that the internal resistance of
the cell is almost independent of the state-of-charge. It only rises sharply toward the
end of the charge because there is a decrease in sodium ions in the electrolyte. The
required operating temperature is maintained in normal operation by the power
dissipation of the cells themselves; in standby operation, it is achieved by an
additional electric heater, which increases the battery’s own consumption.
One advantage of this battery is a long calendar life of over 15 years [13]. The
technology has been commercialized since 2002, mainly for large-scale storage with
more than 1 MWh of energy [14].
Redox flow batteries have been under development since the 1970s. The vanadium
redox flow battery, developed in the 1980s, is considered the best-studied redox flow
battery system.
Research efforts are currently focused primarily on reducing equipment and
maintenance costs and searching for new electrolyte systems for higher energy
densities, electrode optimization for higher performance, membrane development
for lower maintenance costs, and electrical system development.
In redox flow batteries, the electrolytes are stored in two circuits in external tanks,
while the electrochemical reaction takes place in a “power stack” (reversed fuel cell).
Unlike other battery technologies, redox flow batteries thus allow independent
scaling of power and energy capacity, making them suitable for a wide range of
stationary applications [8, 18].
RF batteries are suitable as stationary energy storage mainly for industrial
applications (backup power, load management), at distribution grid level (MW and
MWh range, grid management), and for off-grid applications and minigrids (kW and
kWh range, long-term storage).
A characteristic of this type of battery is that the power (size of the reactor) can be
scaled independently of the capacity (electrolyte volume), because the electro-active
materials (electrolytes) can be stored in external tanks [19].
Lifetime.
A lifetime of 20 years is generally expected for VRFB (vanadium redox flow
batteries), where temperature control (against precipitation) and regular internal
re-initialization of the electrolyte (which is state-of-the-art) are established.
8 Performance and Cost 137
The electrolyte, which represents a significant part of the capital cost of the
vanadium redox flow battery, has an unlimited lifetime due to the possibility of
reprocessing.
Vanadium redox flow batteries are considered to have an unlimited lifetime, since
there are no classical aging mechanisms as in typical battery systems.
Up until now, more than 50 different RFB systems have been described in the
literature, of which only a small number have been commercialized or are in the
commercialization phase.
The most relevant systems currently are as follows:
• Iron/chromium (Fe2+/Fe3+; Cr2+/Cr3+)
• Bromine/polysulfide (Br-/Br3-; S22-/S42-)
• All-vanadium (V2+/V3+; V4+/V5+)
• Vanadium/bromine.
Advantages
• Good energy efficiency: 60–85%
• Very long service life (> 20 years)
• Electrolyte recyclable and reusable
• Cycle stability (> 10,000 cycles)
• Good response time (some micro- to milliseconds)
• Scalable, modular design
• Independent scaling of power and capacity
• Due to separation of energy storage and converter
• Overcharge and deep discharge tolerance
• Low maintenance
• Almost no self-discharge
Disadvantages
• Low energy densities
• Investment costs
8.8 Conclusion
Table 8.5 Main performance and cost parameters of the most important battery technologies
Li-ion
Performance and Cost
References
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Chapter 9
Raw Materials and Recycling
of Lithium-Ion Batteries
Contents
9.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143
9.2 Battery Contents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144
9.3 Battery Cathode Materials and the Associated Supply Risks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146
9.4 Lithium-Ion Battery Recycling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
9.5 Current Safety Concerns of End-of-Life Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161
9.6 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 166
9.1 Introduction
To understand the supply and safety risks associated with the materials used in LIBs,
it is important to consider the various active cathode chemistries of the numerous
LIBs currently available. LIBs currently on the market use a variety of lithium metal
oxides as the cathode and graphite as the anode [29].
Most existing LIBs use aluminum for the mixed-metal oxide cathode and copper
for the graphite anode, with the exception of lithium titanate (Li4Ti5, LTO) which
9 Raw Materials and Recycling of Lithium-Ion Batteries 145
uses aluminum for both [23]. The cathode materials are typically abbreviated to three
letters, which then become the descriptors of the battery itself. For example, lithium
cobalt oxide (LiCO2) becomes LCO, which was presented in 1991 as the first major
commercially available LIB technology [50]. Due to the high-cobalt content, and
soaring cobalt costs, LCO batteries have become very expensive to manufacture.
Problems also lie in LCO’s lack of thermal stability and quickly fading capacity.
Despite this, they are heavily used in mobile devices [46].
The next LIB emerged in 1996 with a cathode made of lithium manganese oxide
(LiMn2O4, LMO) [23]. Replacing cobalt in the cathode with nickel and manganese
does make LMO cheaper than LCO but has resulted in a lack of cycling stability at
high temperatures [46].
Most commonly used in medium- and high-range electric vehicles (EVs), due to
their high energy density and low power consumption [45], is the lithium nickel
manganese cobalt battery (LiNixMnyCo1 - x - yO2, NMC). The NMC battery is a
so-called “family” as any combination of the three metals is possible, giving rise to a
variety of cathode chemistries within one family. The four chemistries which are
most common are NMC-111, NMC-532, NMC-622, and NMC-811, with the num-
bers referring to the ratio of nickel-manganese-cobalt in the active cathode material.
First commercialized in 2004, the NMC battery family boasts very good specific
power, life span, cost, safety, and specific energy [31].
Similar to NMC is the lithium nickel cobalt aluminum oxide cathode
(LiNi0.8Co0.15Al0.05O2, NCA). NCA also has a high specific energy, power, and
life span, but it is more expensive than NMC [31].
The final example is the lithium iron phosphate battery (LiFePO4, LFP), widely
used in medium- and low-range EVs, which has sacrificed energy density for safety,
improved environmental performance, and low production costs, coming from the
lack of cobalt in the cathode [45]. The market share of LFP batteries has grown
substantially in recent years, from 10% of the global EV market share in 2018 to
approximately 40% in 2022 [9]. One reason for this is the popularity of LFP batteries
in the Chinese market, with Tesla recently announcing they will use LFP batteries in
their Model 3 for the Chinese market [13]. The drive towards the electrification of
public transport has also played a part in this. This is due to factors such as the
absence of cobalt in the cathode reducing the production costs, the use of phosphate
to increase stability, enhanced electrode stability against overcharging, and a higher
tolerance to heat. All of which has lead to LFPs being commonly used in buses [44].
Most of the focus from recyclers is extracting the valuable metals such as copper,
nickel, and cobalt [40] contained within the active cathode material. Despite this, the
active cathode material only makes up a maximum of 35% of a LIBs’ relative
weight, as seen in Fig. 9.1. Pouch cells can weigh between 75 and 225 g, depending
on the battery cathode chemistry.
146 S. H. Davies et al.
100%
90%
% Mass of Component
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
NMC(111) NMC(622) NMC(811) LCO NCA LMO LFP
Cathode Chemistry
Lithium-ion cells come in three principal shapes and sizes: cylindrical, pouch,
and prismatic. All three “form factors” are employed in the larger applications of
LIBs including EVs and battery energy storage systems (BESS). In an EV pack, the
cells are arranged in series, parallel, or mixed configurations to form a module.
Each module will also have its own electrical and thermal control components
[38]. The modules are then connected in series, parallel, or a combination of the two,
to form a battery pack. The modules can be mechanically locked into place or
welded or glued together, which is a considerable disadvantage in their manufactur-
ing, as it makes them particularly difficult to disassemble. The packs themselves are
housed in a plastic or metal container, also containing a whole pack battery and
thermal management systems.
Table 9.1 Typical raw mate- Type Lithium Cobalt Nickel Manganese
rial requirements (Li, Co, Ni
LCO 0.11 0.96 0.00 0.00
and Mn) for three battery
cathodes in kg/kWh [20] NCA 0.10 0.13 0.67 0.00
NMC 111 0.15 0.40 0.40 0.37
622 0.13 0.19 0.61 0.20
811 0.11 0.09 0.75 0.09
The majority of materials that are constrained by resource limitations are those
contained within the cathode, as well as the electrolyte due to its lithium content
[35]. The majority of LIBs on the market today have cathodes which include lithium,
cobalt, nickel, and manganese due to their high energy densities. Table 9.1 shows an
estimate of the amount of these metals, in kilogram required per kilowatt-hour for
five popular cathode materials.
Batteries with lithium cobalt oxide (LCO) cathodes typically require approxi-
mately 0.11 kg/kWh of lithium and 0.96 kg/kWh of cobalt (Table 9.1). Nickel cobalt
aluminum (NCA) batteries, however, typically require significantly less cobalt,
approximately only 0.13 kg/kWh, as they contain mostly nickel at approximately
0.67 kg/kWh. Nickel manganese cobalt (NMC) batteries vary on their raw material
requirements depending on which member of the battery family is being used. For
example, the NMC-111 contains approximately 0.40 kg/kWh of nickel, manganese,
and cobalt, whereas NMC-811 requires 0.75 kg/kWh of nickel and only 0.19 and
0.20 kg/kWh of cobalt and manganese respectively. In practice, this means a Tesla
Model S, which uses a 100kWh NCA battery [25], would require 10 kg of lithium,
13 kg of cobalt, and 67 kg of nickel.
The following section describes the supply chains associated with the elements
used in the manufacturing of LIBs, particularly those contained in the cathode.
It is projected that, just for EV batteries and energy storage, the EU will need
18 times more lithium and 5 times more cobalt in 2030, with this increasing another
three-fold by 2050, compared to the current supply to the whole EU economy
[1]. This will inevitably lead to supply issues not just in the EU, but globally, and
has resulted in both materials being added to the EU’s Critical Raw Materials
(CRMs) list [14].
The significant increase in demand for cobalt, lithium, and nickel is demonstrated
in Fig. 9.2, where it is easy to see that the adoption of LIBs with cathode chemistries
with very low or even no cobalt is appealing. In both scenarios modeled in Xu et al.
[49], the known global reserves for cobalt could be depleted by 2050. Cobalt
reserves also have the added challenge of being very geographically concentrated,
partly in areas with political and social conflict [49]. The Democratic Republic of the
Congo (DRC) in particular plays a dominant role in current and future cobalt supply,
148 S. H. Davies et al.
4,500,000
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
Tonnes
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
2025 2030 2035 2040
Fig. 9.3 Cobalt price volatility from February 2010 to August 2023 [43]
accounting for 60–75% of global mine production [2]. Cobalt mining also has the
disadvantage of being reliant on the nickel and copper markets, as cobalt is primarily
mined as a by-product of the two [2300], so the expansion of new cobalt mines will
only occur if the nickel and copper markets are strong [2].
Due to this, cobalt markets are volatile, rising from $31,000 per ton in 2012 to
$93,000 per ton in 2018, with another peak in 2022 [2300, 28]. The volatility is well
demonstrated in Fig. 9.3. This increase resulted in a 5–64% increase in cathode
material costs per technology, proving the high dependence on raw materials in the
industry [46]. Moreover, the supply risk score of cobalt has risen sharply from 49 in
9 Raw Materials and Recycling of Lithium-Ion Batteries 149
2007, meaning the element was uncritical, up to 60 in 2017, making it the most
critical element contained within battery cathodes [46].
Cobalt plays an important role within the battery chemistries, providing high
energy densities and stable batteries, and so it is unlikely that cobalt will be
eliminated from LIB cathodes in the near future [2]. This benefits the recycling
industry as cobalt is the main driver of the revenue produced from pyrometallurgical
and hydrometallurgical recycling. With appropriate recycling facilities and further
development, the industry can move away from mined cobalt and begin to use
recycled cobalt from spent LIBs.
Lithium has much the same supply issues as cobalt. By 2025, it is possible that
lithium demand could outgrow current production capacities [49], with one of the
scenarios in Xu et al. [49] concluding that known reserves of lithium could be
depleted before 2050.
Battery manufacturers are attempting to decrease their reliance on cobalt, but not
lithium; this is perhaps due to lithium reserves being less concentrated in conflict
areas. Despite this, in the year 2012–2013, lithium’s supply risk score jumped
considerably, from 52 to 57 [46]. The issue with lithium is that the industry does
not appear to be trying to relieve their reliance on it at this present time. This further
solidifies how efficient, cost-effective recycling is necessary to recover lithium from
spent LIBs and ensures the recovered lithium is of a high enough quality to be used
in future LIB manufacturing.
Lithium and cobalt also have a variety of other uses, outside of LIBs. For
example, cobalt is magnetic and so when alloyed with aluminum and nickel, it can
be used to produce particularly powerful magnets. Cobalt’s high-temperature
strength also makes it particularly important in the development of jet turbine
generators. More superficially, for centuries cobalt has been used to produce blue
paint. While lithium is a very light metal, it is often alloyed with others to make light-
wear armor plating, and aluminum-lithium alloys are used in aircraft and high-speed
trains. Interestingly, lithium carbonate can be given to people suffering with severe
depression as a mood stabilizer, but the full effect of the drug on the brain is not fully
understood.
Although not as critical as lithium and cobalt, nickel reserves are still a concern,
with the prediction that by 2040 EVs alone could require as much nickel as the
global primary nickel production in 2019 [49]. As with lithium, one scenario in Xu
et al. [49] predicts known reserves for nickel to be depleted by 2050. This is mostly
corroborated by Wentker et al. [46] which predicts that with the current rates of
extraction, nickel reserves will be depleted in 35 years. This is concerning when it is
widely accepted that the adoption of battery chemistries with high-nickel and
low-cobalt content has been faster than expected and could lead to a 60-times
increase in nickel demand for the EU alone from 2017 to 2060 [2].
The industry’s move from high lithium content batteries just shifts the burden
onto nickel reserves. This is depicted well by the projected dramatic increase in
nickel demand compared to cobalt demand displayed in Fig. 9.4. Although LIBs
with high-nickel chemistries have a higher energy density and therefore reach the
desired range for EVs, there is some concerns over the stability of these batteries
150 S. H. Davies et al.
500
Ni and Co flows (kt/yr)
429
400
325
300
247
200 172
100 59
20 24 28 31
2 1 11 2 8 15
0
2017 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Year
Fig. 9.4 Cobalt and nickel demand for European EVs for high adoption of high-Ni cathodes [2]
particularly the lithium nickel oxide battery which, after two decades of intensive
research, still are not commercially ready [2]. However, the revenue generated from
recovered nickel is much lower than that of cobalt which, due to the move toward
high-nickel low-cobalt battery chemistries, may impact economic viability of
recycling, as it will depend more on the volatile price of nickel [2].
9.3.2 Manganese
The supply of manganese comes from the mining of ore and scrap, with the ore
including both manganese and iron ore [42]. The majority of mined manganese
comes from South Africa and Australia, with shares of 26% and 17%, respectively,
with China dominating processing and consumption [42]. Helbig et al. [23] find that
the supply risk score for manganese, 52 points, is particularly average for all the raw
materials used in LIBs. The most notable supply risk indicators for manganese come
from the static reach reserves and the substitutability. The static reach reserves are
only 34 years, the third lowest out of the raw materials, and the substitutability has a
score of 4 which is second lowest [23]. This means that the current easy-to-access
manganese reserves will be depleted in only 34 years and manganese as a component
of LIBs has very limited materials that could replace it while maintaining the battery
capacity and life span. Both of these factors mean it is imperative that the purity of
recycled manganese is adequate to be reused in LIBs, taking away the reliance on
reserves.
9 Raw Materials and Recycling of Lithium-Ion Batteries 151
Copper, steel, aluminum, and graphite are also materials found in the spent LIBs. Xu
et al. [49] predict that for copper, aluminum, and graphite, all known reserves exceed
demand from EV manufacturing until at least 2050. However, there is a slight
concern about natural graphite, as in 2019 64% of it was produced in China,
which may lead to low supply reliability through political conflicts among global
powers [49]. As much as this would not be ideal, it is true that synthetic graphite has
begun to dominate the LIB anode market, with a 56% share in 2018, due to both its
increased performance and decreased cost [49].
However, the shift toward silicon-based anodes, as appears to be the trend, would
alleviate these concerns, with 25.8% abundance of silicon in the Earth’s crust
[26]. Silicon-based anodes also provide good chemical stability in the electrolyte,
improving safety of the battery, and the abundance of silicon in the Earth’s crust
reduces the overall cost.
As much as these materials are necessary to the manufacturing, and therefore the
recycling, of LIBs, their lack of criticality in comparison with the other materials
makes them of low concern. However, to achieve increasing recycling efficiencies
according to the new regulatory framework for batteries in, for example the EU,
USA, and China, it is vital to recover these fractions, no matter how small.
Due to the value of the materials contained within LIBs, it is vital that they are safely
and effectively recycled. All recycling is either open-loop or closed-loop. Open-loop
recycling is the most common form, in which materials recovered from the recycling
process have to undergo a series of refining processes before they can be used again
[37]. Closed-loop recycling, considered the best case scenario, is when the materials
recovered from the recycling process are in the correct chemical form and sufficient
purity levels to be reused directly in the products they were recycled from [37].
There are a growing number of recycling facilities across the globe, as depicted in
Fig. 9.5. Each company achieves different recycling yields, due to having their own
unique take on one of the three available recycling processes or employing a
combination of two.
Three main recycling processes for spent LIBs are commonly used: pyrometal-
lurgical, hydrometallurgical, and direct cathode recycling (which will be referred to
as direct recycling). Pyro- and hydrometallurgical processes are both employed to
effectively recover metals from e-waste. The recoverable materials from each of
these processes are listed in Table 9.2. None of the recycling processes listed are
152 S. H. Davies et al.
Fig. 9.5 Locations of recycling facilities globally, with the size of the red dot representing the
recycling capacity in tons/year
perfect, and work is being done to improve the processes in some way. Most of the
improvements are based around increasing yield or purity, reducing the use of raw
materials or energy, and reducing waste [18].
Pyrometallurgical Recycling Process
Pyrometallurgical recycling is one of the most ubiquitous metal recycling technol-
ogies used today. Pyrometallurgical processes use high temperatures to extract and
purify raw materials. Fig. 9.6 depicts the process flow of a generic pyrometallurgical
recycling process, in which spent LIBs, either shredded or intact, are sent to a smelter
which burns off electrolyte and plastics in the battery to supply heat and the gas
produced through the smelting process is treated.
9 Raw Materials and Recycling of Lithium-Ion Batteries 153
Graphite/carbon and aluminum in the LIBs act as reductants for the metals and
are oxidized, while cobalt, nickel, copper, and iron in the LIBs make up the matte.
The rest of the materials, including oxidized aluminum and lithium, end up in the
slag. It is important to note that the slag may be used as aggregate for pavement or as
supplementary material for cement production and there is ongoing research into the
lithium recovery process from the slag [40].
The matte undergoes an acid leaching process and then precipitation to produce
iron and copper compounds. Following this, the matte can be further processed to
produce cobalt and nickel compounds; the processes used are solvent extraction
followed by precipitation. These compounds can also be separated fully through
hydrometallurgy.
The facilities which currently utilize pyrometallurgical recycling are Accurec and
Umicore [40]. In Umicore’s facility in Hoboken, Belgium, only modules or packs
larger than a shoebox require disassembly prior to the recycling process [40]. See
Table 9.2 for a list of recoverable materials through pyrometallurgical recycling.
154 S. H. Davies et al.
Fig. 9.7 Left: calcination resp. drying of spent LIB and subsequent generic hydrometallurgical
recycling process. Right: the hydrometallurgical process used by TES
Direct Recycling
Figure 9.8 depicts the process flow of a generic direct recycling process. Direct
recycling describes the process by which the battery components are recycled
without breaking down their chemical structure. For this, spent LIBs must first be
discharged and disassembled before they can be perforated.
To recycle the electrolyte solvent and salts, they then undergo supercritical CO2
extraction. The rest of the LIBs can then be shredded before going through several
physical separation processes, density separation, and froth flotation, which recover
plastics, metals, anode material, and cathode material, respectively [11]. The final
step sees the recovered cathode material relithiated, which is the process by which
they restore lithium stoichiometry of the cathode by bathing it in a heated lithium
solution, to produce rejuvenated cathode powder.
156 S. H. Davies et al.
Fig. 9.9 Generalized recycling loop. Processes are in purple and intermediate products in blue.
(Based on Sommerville et al. [40])
Direct recycling is not currently used anywhere in industry, but it is the preferred
method as the active material is reused without it having to be returned to the
constituent raw materials as compounds or salts [40].
The primary advantage of LIB closed-loop recycling is that it can save raw materials.
When materials such as lithium, cobalt, and nickel are so critical to the operation of
LIBs but are relatively scarce, it is vital to develop recycling processes which will
alleviate some of the pressure on natural reserves. It is estimated that recycling can
save up to 51% of the extracted raw materials, in addition to the reduction in the use
of fossil fuels and nuclear energy in both the extraction and reduction processes [8].
One benefit of a LIB compared to a primary battery is that they can be repurposed
and given a second life. A LIB in an EV is classed as EOL once the warranty, usually
8–10 years, has been exceeded; however, both manufacturers and developers agree
that LIBs still retain 70–80% of their initial capacity after this time [39]. Some
changes to the LIB may be necessary before it can be repurposed, such as replacing
damaged cells or reconfiguring the pack for non-EV use [5], but it is estimated that
LIBs which are repurposed in stationary energy storage applications have a second
life span of an additional 10 years before they reach their absolute EOL [39]. Another
benefit of second life LIBs is both environmentally and economically valuable, as
they can reduce direct energy consumption from the electricity grid [39].
The idea of a second life for LIBs from small devices such as mobile phones has
been trialed in the developing world, mostly in isolated areas that are not connected
to the national grid. The second life LIBs can be connected to solar panels and
allowed to charge and then used to power LED-based systems [8]. This is a safe,
reliable, and sustainable way to light homes, aiding in the replacement of candles and
kerosene lamps. Costa et al. [8] find that a LIB that was used in the standard life of a
mobile phone, 2 years, still contains 1250 cycles. This means a 12 V, 3.1A battery
will be able to power a 5 W LED lamp for 4 hours every night for 3 years and the unit
158 S. H. Davies et al.
itself will cost only $35 whereas kerosene lamps cost an average of $54 per year of
use [8].
Pyrometallurgical recycling has been proven to be economically feasible and
conducive for large-scale operations [30]. Hydrometallurgical recycling has a num-
ber of environmental benefits, such as a low operating temperature and lower CO2
emissions compared to the pyrometallurgical process [5]. Economically, hydromet-
allurgical recycling is preferable due to the increase in recoverable materials and
their increased quality. The hydrometallurgical process allows most of the metals
contained within EOL batteries to be recovered after extraction and separation
through using strong inorganic acids to leach the metals into solvents. Inorganic
acids such as hydrochloric, sulfuric, and nitric can be used to achieve 99% solubi-
lization of lithium and cobalt [30].
The primary limitation of LIB recycling is that closed-loop recycling does not exist;
the materials cannot be used in like-for-like products and instead have to be down-
cycled. This is due to the waste treatments, namely, shredding, involving some
degree of material intermixing and small-scale dispersion of metals into those
recovered in bulk, such as aluminum and steel, reducing their quality. Although
recycling cobalt from LIBs can be used in samarium-cobalt magnets for sensors and
electric motors [34], the majority of recycled materials go on to be used in products
with lower material quality requirements. To compensate for this, primary and
secondary materials are often mixed to match material requirements in other
products.
The pyrometallurgical recycling process may have generated relatively successful
business models up until now, but this is likely to change. Despite the fact that the
process is simple and mature and requires no sorting prior to recycling, there are a
number of disadvantages [5]. Pyrometallurgical recycling requires a significant
amount of energy to treat waste gases before they are safe to release into the
environment [47]. This is in addition to the process itself requiring very high
temperatures, making it very energy intensive [30]. Moreover, metals such as
lithium, aluminum, and manganese cannot be recovered at such high temperatures,
and the growing trend toward manufacturing LIBs with lower cobalt content means
the revenue generated from this process will decrease. This is due to recovered cobalt
generating 50–70% revenue for pyrometallurgical recycling, so lower cobalt leads to
lower revenue and a lack of profit. Unfortunately, recent trends suggest that batteries
with higher nickel and lower cobalt content, such as the NMC-811 batteries, are
becoming more popular due to increased energy density, environmental sustainabil-
ity, and reduced manufacturing cost [48].
9 Raw Materials and Recycling of Lithium-Ion Batteries 159
With battery recycling comes battery recycling legislation. Current legislation across
all three major markets, China, the EU, and the USA, focuses on the protection of
local environment and human health [32].
While the EU’s original battery directive was published in 2006, the new Battery
Regulation, published in 2023, will build upon and replace the 2006 EU Battery
Directive, with a direct focus on the challenges that have come with rapid develop-
ment of the industry [16]. Melin et al. [32] divide the new Regulation into four key
elements, all of which are imperative to improving the sustainability of LIBs:
The first is the Regulation aims to increase both transparency and traceability across
the battery life cycle; second, it mandates carbon footprint declaration throughout the
life cycle and establishing maximum thresholds, addressing climate impact of the
batteries; third is an emphasis on circularity through increased collection and
recycling efficiencies and mandating the use of recycled materials, particularly in
batteries above 2kWh; and finally, fourth are including waste processors to the
Battery Management System (BMS), verifying the battery’s state of health in real
time, and determining if the battery has the potential to be reused or repurposed
before it is recycled.
While the EU has a number of directives to support in research and innovation
across the entire battery chain, it has failed to secure key elements of the supply
chain, such as raw material extraction, refining, and battery manufacturing
[32]. Much is the same in the USA who, through Tesla, have been at the forefront
of manufacturing but rely on global markets for refinement, production, and
recycling of battery raw materials [2300].
The market is dominated by China, who occupy more than two-thirds of it
[32]. This has been possible through a booming EV battery sector and strong
government support in the form of subsidies and investment stimulus [32]. China
also implemented the Interim Measures for the Administration of the Recycling and
Utilization of Power Batteries for New Energy Vehicles from 2018 [32]. These cover
minimum standards for the reclassification of batteries for second life applications,
the recycling efficiency of plants treating EOL batteries, and requirements necessary
to qualify for subsidies. When these measures were tightened further in 2019, they
were made stricter than the regulations the EU plan to enforce a decade from
now [16].
While in the USA, the Biden administration has declared the electrification of
transport a top priority and produced an investment proposal of up to $174 billion,
they still lag behind both the EU and China in mandating EPR or promoting circular
economy principles. The stringent measures imposed on Chinese companies, who
already dominate in material refining, battery production, and mature recycling
infrastructure, have allowed them to easily comply with EU regulations. This
imbalance between new and mature markets has led to a variety of unintended
consequences. For example, such stringent measures can lead to distorted innovation
through increased compliance costs, hindering competitiveness. Moreover,
9 Raw Materials and Recycling of Lithium-Ion Batteries 161
At present, there are very few LIB recycling facilities in the UK and Europe, despite
the crucial role the industry has in the decarbonization of the planet. However, there
are almost daily reports of fires caused by LIBs in both bin lorries and recycling
162 S. H. Davies et al.
facilities [33]. In the USA, the cost is even greater, and not just financially, they have
seen injuries and even deaths. This had led to material recovery facilities in the USA
being increasingly reluctant to admit LIB related fires due to insurance concerns.
A report from Eunomia found that there are approximately 201 waste fires each
year caused directly by LIBs [4]. While the fires do vary significantly in terms of
severity and duration, it is estimated that the fires cost the UK £158 million annually
[4]. The majority of these costs are found to be incurred by waste site operators;
however, the cost to society, the environment, and the fire service is approximated to
be £16 million. The report also breaks the waste fires into four categories, with
1 being the most severe and 4 being the least, finding that it is fires of severity level
3 which occur most frequently and therefore have the highest cost implications at
over £128 million annually [4].
In the USA, the situation is even more bleak with a Fire Rover report estimating
the cost of LIB waste fires to be $1.2 billion annually [17]. Even with the report’s
author believing fires are underreported, there is still an alarming year-on-year
increase in waste fires. Although they have not all been directly linked to LIBs,
LIBs are listed as 1 of the 4 causes of the increasing number of facility fires which
have resulted in 49 injuries and 2 deaths, an increase in injuries of 158% from Fire
Rover’s 2018 report [17].
At present, these fires are caused by small LIBs from or in small rechargeable
devices such as mobile phones. However, the battery industry is ever-changing and,
most importantly, ever-growing, with an onslaught of EOL LIBs from EVs and
9 Raw Materials and Recycling of Lithium-Ion Batteries 163
second life applications coming very soon. This will diversify the waste stream
recycling facilities have to manage, and it may be that the global drive to replace
fossil fuels could mean the fiery epidemic in recycling facilities is the calm before the
storm [33].
LIBs can store large amounts of energy, but this energy must be released in a safe,
controlled fashion. If this energy is released through abuse of the batteries, toxic,
flammable, and potentially explosive gases, as well as fine particles of heavy metals,
are released; this process is known as thermal runaway. This can easily be caused by
crushing and penetration of the batteries, which are common practices in recycling
facilities. When the batteries are crushed, the separator may be pierced, which in turn
allows the anode and cathode to come into contact and a short circuit to develop.
When this occurs, the heat generated causes pyrolysis of the organic solvent and
other exothermic reactions which generate a mixture of gases that includes hydrogen
(up to 50%), carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, small organic molecules such as
ethane and ethene, hydrofluoric and hydrochloric acid, and hydrogen cyanide. When
these vent from the cells, via safety caps on cylindrical and prismatic cells, or pouch
cells bursting, the gases take with them small droplets of the remaining organic
solvent producing a thick, white vapor cloud [6]. Thermal runaway produces very
large volumes of vapor cloud, e.g., up to c.a. 6000 L/kWh [21], and hence when this
is vented, it does so at high pressure: immediate ignition of the cloud thus results in
flares that can be several meters long. Delayed ignition can, and has, resulted in
unconfined vapor cloud explosions (UVCE) [10], and such large volumes of vapor
cloud have also led to UVCEs from small LIBs including e-scooters and e-bikes.
One common practice is the storage of road traffic collision (RTC) vehicles in
vertical piles and moving them with magnetic claws and forklifts. This cannot be the
case for EVs due to the risks posed by potentially damaged battery packs, which
have been known to ignite hours, days, or even weeks after the initial incident
[41]. Thus, it has been generally accepted that RTC EVs should be stored with a
10–20 m exclusion zone.
Although the biggest concern does lie with damaged or abused LIBs, it has been
known for EVs to apparently spontaneously ignite, and, while the cause is still
unclear, BMS failure, defects in design and/or manufacture, or some contamination
during manufacturing are the most common postulations [7].
The lack of understanding of the risks and hazards of LIBs is concerning; while
there seems to be some in governments, the public appears to be wholly unaware: an
example is the incidents of fires due to members of the public assembling spare
e-bike batteries bought online and doing so by soldering. Companies are currently
able to sell secondhand EV battery packs, even batteries that are damaged or missing
their BMS, to the public, with no safety warning. While this may not be illegal at
present, it is wildly irresponsible. Without the appreciation for the complexity of the
protection systems or the hazards of abused batteries, the risk of personal and
municipal harm cannot be understated [7]. It is evident that abuse of batteries,
such as rapid charging, does destabilize them and can reduce the onset of thermal
runaway to room temperature [27], and damaged EV batteries have an increased risk
of explosion. LIBs are safe and stable to use under specified limits of temperature
and charge, but where does liability lie when misuse leads to injury or death?
164 S. H. Davies et al.
The most obvious way to reduce waste fires caused by LIBs is to ensure the batteries
do not end up in the residual and mixed recycling waste streams in the first place.
There are two easy to implement, short term measures which may help with this.
Firstly, separate kerbside battery and small waste electronic and electrical equipment
(WEEE) collection from households, and, secondly, increase the number of retail
collection points for batteries and small WEEE [4].
However, the responsibility cannot be placed only on the consumer; instead, there
must be supporting policy mechanisms that would fund systemic change in the
collection of spent LIBs. The most effective way to do this is to financially
incentivize or deter consumers from incorrectly disposing of batteries, alongside
an improved collection system. These policies may include the banning of batteries
from residual and mixed recycling waste streams, fining those who do not comply;
enforcing enhanced extended producer responsibility (EPR) for batteries and small
WEEE to pay for and coordinating, improving collection, and reflecting the cost of
fires; creating a deposit return scheme (DRS), or other incentivization method, to
encourage consumers to return spent LIBs and small WEEE for recycling; and
introducing fee modulation within WEEE EPR system that allows producers to
pay lower fees for design features that facilitate easier battery removal by
consumers [4].
Moreover, there is evidently a problem in the WEEE management stream, with
the increase in fires being an indicator of the need for change. The GRINNER project
aims to rectify this. Funded through the European Union’s (EU) Horizon Europe
program, the GRINNER project will focus on the reduction of fires caused by LIBs
in the WEEE management chain [12]. The plan is to develop an AI-powered battery
detection system utilizing data from X-ray detectors and pick-and-place robots. The
system will use X-ray detectors to analyze X-ray data and detect waste containing
batteries that can then be removed by a vision-based pick-and-place robot [12]. The
robots will be commercially available and easily incorporated into existing WEEE
and other recycling environments, to extract batteries and other e-waste safely and
effectively before they are damaged by machines that crush and consolidate waste.
Batteries themselves do contain several methods to improve their thermal stabil-
ity. For example, each battery contains a BMS which controls and prevents condi-
tions which could lead to failure, such as overcharging and overdischarging
[19]. The BMS also operates the battery for the best application performance and a
long life span. In addition to BMS, all batteries contain a thermal management
system (TMS) which maintains the optimum operating temperature of between
20 and 40 °C and keeps temperature changes between the modules to a minimum
[19]. As a whole, the battery compartment is also built with fire prevention in mind,
being designed to survive structurally and containing a vent to let out any pressure
buildup [19].
9 Raw Materials and Recycling of Lithium-Ion Batteries 165
9.6 Conclusions
It is evident that the EV revolution is well underway, with a vast number of raw
material requirements and battery waste being created.
With such a diverse product market, there is a great amount of choice for battery
manufacturers, from the low cost LFP batteries to the high capacity NCA batteries.
The diversity of this market does not come without its problems, with many of the
materials used to produce the battery cathodes coming with considerable material
criticality issues, particularly lithium and cobalt. While the market does appear to be
moving away from batteries with a high-cobalt content, the use of lithium is here to
stay, due to its stabilizing properties. Moreover, this move away from cobalt has led
to the development of batteries with a higher nickel content, simply shifting the
burden onto nickel reserves.
Made up from a variety of toxic and rare materials, stockpiling and landfilling
spent LIBs is not an option, so the waste streams generated from them need
sustainable, cost-effective, high-yield management systems, such as recycling. The
recycling market has already undergone change: pyrometallurgical recycling began
as the most popular recycling method; however, there is no lithium recovery under
this method. This has led to the growing popularity of hydrometallurgical recycling
which produces high material yields, for low environmental cost. As direct recycling
is still in its relative infancy, it is not yet available for commercial use; however, this
method of recycling is the industry’s best chance at achieving closed-loop recycling.
There are some very clear advantages of recycling LIBs, with the main one being
the alleviation of pressure on reserves of the raw materials. It is important, however,
to consider second life applications of LIBs that have reached their EOL in their first
application. For example, LIBs in EVs reach their EOL in an EV after only
8–10 years, but they retain 70–80% capacity. These batteries can go on to have a
second life in stationary energy storage, storing renewable energies such as solar to
be released in times of high demand, alleviating pressure on the national grid.
Smaller LIBs from small electronic devices can also be used in such a way to
power individual electronic devices.
As closed-loop recycling, the method by which recycled products are used in like-
for-like products, has not yet been achieved, the recycled products must be down-
cycled. Mostly, the recovered materials are mixed with other raw materials to
contain the correct mix to be used in products with lower material quality require-
ments. This is only one of the limitations of LIB recycling; the others include the
hazardous waste produced from the recycling processes and the fact that LIB
recycling is still not economical, with government grants needed to fill the gap.
Safety in recycling plants has already proven to be a real concern, and that is
without the addition of a very large number of very large EV batteries entering the
waste stream. To date, fires caused by LIBs have cost the UK and US economy
billions and will continue to do so without sufficient policy intervention which
prevents spent LIBs from finding their way into conventional waste streams. Due
to the high chance of thermal runaway, spent LIBs cannot be handled in the way
166 S. H. Davies et al.
lead-acid batteries are; long gone are the days of scrap vehicles being stored in piles
20 meters high.
This chapter has presented the cathode chemistries and the supply risks that come
with the most important raw materials for each cathode. There is a discussion to
move away from high-cobalt chemistries, the impacts on nickel reserves, as well as
the low substitutability of other materials such as manganese. The different recycling
processes, with a simple explanation of each, accompanied by a flow diagram were
presented. The yield of each process was discussed followed by the opportunities
and problems we are presented with when recycling LIBs, namely, the environmen-
tal benefits and down-cycling of products. This chapter covers battery recycling
legislation, including DBPs and how they aim to aid in the adoption of a circular
economy. We finish with an overview of the safety issues which come throughout
the life cycle of a LIB, with a particular focus on how the LIB waste stream is
incredibly high risk.
Acknowledgments This work was supported by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research
Council (grant number EP/S024069/1) and by TES. The work was conducted within the Centre for
Doctoral Training in Sustainable Electric Propulsion.
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Part V
Emerging Battery Chemistries
Preface
Batteries are playing a central role within the European Green Deal roadmap that
targets climate neutrality by 2050. Indeed, rechargeable batteries of high energy
density and round-trip efficiency and designed by a sustainable approach represent
the key technology for many applications, from sustainable and smart mobility,
clean, affordable, and secure energy from intermittent renewable sources, smart
environments, and communications. However, the search for battery chemistries
offering even higher energy and/or power density in combination with enhanced
sustainability is still open. This chapter takes a technology perspective and intro-
duces the fundamental technical and electrochemical concepts and working princi-
ples of the most relevant battery chemistries. As such, it is fundamental for
understanding the general principles of battery energy storage. Within this,
Chapter 10 focuses on “classic” closed systems, with the most prominent represen-
tative being lithium-ion batteries, but tackles also other emerging systems such as
sodium-ion or solid-state technologies. Chapter 11 then deals with open systems,
mainly redox-flow batteries, where energy and power can be scaled independently.
Chapter 10
Closed Battery Systems
Contents
10.1 Lithium Metal Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173
10.2 All-Solid-State Lithium Metal Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179
10.3 Sodium and Sodium Ion Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186
10.4 Battery Technologies Based on Alkaline Earth Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193
10.5 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201
and this reaction unavoidably creates pitting holes over the lithium metal through the
release of solvated Li+ ions in the electrolyte, simultaneously generating the unstable
radical solvent• - anion in a doublet state [6]. This radical molecule easily undergoes
further reactions with other solvent molecules:
10 Closed Battery Systems 175
to form a short-chain radical polymer (solvent–solvent)• -. The radical can also react
with the salt anion (e.g., LiPF6) to form insoluble lithium salts like lithium fluoride:
the bulk of the electrode. Unavoidably, these isolated lithium dendrites cannot
undergo further electrochemical reactions leading to the loss of active material [11].
In general, the n-SEI grown on lithium metal before and upon cycling should
meet several requirements to mitigate the dendrite growth, enhance the reversibility
of plating/stripping, and suppress the formation of dead lithium as schematically
summarized in Fig. 10.1.
Unfortunately, the n-SEI layer formed in typical LIB electrolytes is unable to
fulfill these demands, and, as already mentioned, different strategies have been
considered to tackle this challenge, in particular forming artificial SEI layers or
altering the nature of the n-SEI. Another radical approach is to replace liquid
electrolytes moving to solid-state (electrolyte) batteries.
The formation of the SEI can be modulated by electrolyte additives that can alter the
degradation mechanism to form more homogeneous and stable passivation films
over the surface of the lithium metal electrodes. These sacrificial chemical species
initially consume some metallic lithium of the electrode, but this consumption is
generally limited and will end once the lithium electrode surface is passivated in situ
by a modified solid electrolyte interphase (m-SEI). These electrolyte additives
belong to two main groups depending on their main effect, i.e., reduction-type and
reaction-type additives [13].
Reduction-type additives have a relatively high redox potential and are reduced
upon lithium deposition prior to any unfavorable effect on the electrolyte [14]. Their
decomposition products form an insoluble film, protecting the electrode/electrolyte
interface, with enhanced transport properties compared to the n-SEI formed sponta-
neously without the additive. Reduction-type additives are divided into two sub-
groups. The first subgroup consists of reactive compounds containing unsaturated
10 Closed Battery Systems 177
bonds like vinylene carbonate (VC) or fluoroethylene carbonate (FEC) and promotes
the accumulation of polymerized organic species over the surface of the lithium
metal electrodes. The second subgroup includes reductive agents aiding the SEI
formation. This class of reductive additives is electrochemically reduced before the
electrolyte decomposition by-products precipitate onto the lithium surface. These
additives can also react with radical species generated during the initial solvent
reduction process, thus terminating the radical chain reaction that leads to the
uncontrolled n-SEI formation. The most common chemical species that belong to
this class are sulfur-containing chemical like sulfolane, ethylene sulfite, or dialkyl-
sulfone [15]. Their degradation ends with the formation of insoluble lithium sulfites
or alkyl lithium sulfites.
Reaction-type additives are typically molecules with scavenging abilities. These
species can react with intermediates of the natural degradation radical chain reaction
of the electrolyte in contact with lithium surfaces, altering the final composition of
the SEI by promoting the accumulation of electrochemically inert species with
favorable transport properties. (Trimethylsilyl)isothiocyanate can easily scavenge
PF5 as well as phosphite-containing compounds, thanks to their strong nucleophilic
character [16].
Besides reaction-type and reduction-type additives, it is important to mention the
possible use of co-salts of multivalent cations (e.g., Mg2+, Ca2+, Zn2+ Fe2+, In3+, and
Ga3+). Many of these cations can alloy with lithium upon reduction worsening the
ionic transport properties across the entire electrode surface. This effect leads to a
smaller ionic conductivity but mitigates the uncontrolled growth of lithium
dendrites [17].
Aeration is a chemical deposition method from the gas phase, in which the
lithium metal surface reacts with almost permanent gaseous species like N2 or O2
to form homogeneous nitride or oxide layers. Since Li3N is an electrochemically
stable and fast ion conductive chemical species, the precipitation of a continuous and
homogeneous thin film of lithium nitride over the surface of lithium metal acts to
prevent side reactions between lithium metal and the electrolyte without hindering
the lithium ion mobility [21].
The a-SEI, starting from selected liquid precursor solutions, can be obtained by
using the so-called dip-coating or drop-casting method. A suitable chemical com-
position of the precursor solutions promotes the formation of a-SEI with controlled
compositions and surface moieties. In fact, the constituent species of the precursor
solution degrades due to the direct chemical reaction with the metallic lithium
forming a preliminary passivation film [22]. This a-SEI can mitigate the unavoidable
reactivity of the metallic lithium surface with the electrolyte upon cycling. The
composition of the precursor solutions can modulate the composition of the resulting
a-SEI allowing the control of the transport and mechanical properties of the a-SEI.
An almost innumerable number of precursor solutions have been proposed in the
literature, all leading to an improvement in the overall reversibility of the lithium
plating/stripping. Among the many possibilities, one that should be mentioned is the
use of polyphosphoric acid solution in organic solvents like dimethyl sulfoxide that
promotes the formation of a Li3PO4-rich a-SEI, with excellent chemical stability,
high Young’s modulus (10–11 GPa), and high lithium ion conductivity [23].
The third possible approach is to modify the morphology of the surface where Li is
plated (either Li metal or directly the current collector) by an engineering at the
nanoscale. Mechanically robust and chemically inert three-dimensional scaffolds or
generic frameworks are used to facilitate homogeneous deposition of lithium metal,
thus indirectly limiting the degradation of the electrolyte over fresh lithium surface
[24]. The coating of lithium metal electrodes with very thin amorphous carbon-based
hollow nanostructures can modulate the Li+ ion transport pathways toward the metal
surface, leading to the nucleation and growth of the lithium deposits either over Li or
the current collector. Furthermore, lithium metal can deposit within the hollow
nanostructures with a minimal contact with the electrolyte, thus mitigating any
further degradation. Also, the use of two-dimensional materials like graphene or
hexagonal boron layer can modulate the lithium stripping/deposition reaction by
inducing specific growth morphologies and the formation of a tailored a-SEI [25].
The use of open nickel foams as a current collector and support for the lithium
deposition is also an effective strategy to accommodate the huge volumetric changes
experienced by conventional host-less flat electrodes to lead homogeneous lithium
deposition. In fact, the 3D open foam can be infused with molten lithium by capillary
force forming a composite scaffold with a minimized interfacial resistance and
empty spaces to buffer volumetric changes upon stripping and deposition [26].
10 Closed Battery Systems 179
Solid-state electrolytes can be either inorganic solid electrolytes (ISEs), solid poly-
mer electrolytes (SPEs), or their composites. The former electrolyte can further be
divided into oxide types, sulfide types, and others including hydride, borate, and
180 A. Tsurumaki et al.
phosphate types. The oxide-type ISEs have good chemical and electrochemical
stability. The design of a material with a good air stability and low toxicity is
possible. They exhibit a fast ionic conductivity in bulk, up to 10-3 S cm-1 at
room temperature; however, to achieve this ionic conductivity, a sintering procedure
at high temperatures, conventionally at around 1000 °C, is necessary to reduce grain
boundary resistance between electrolyte particles. In contrast to this, sulfide-type
ISEs have a low oxidation stability and high reactivity in the presence of moisture
but exhibit a high ionic conductivity merely by pressing the materials at room
temperature (so-called low-temperature sintering). This is because of a larger size
S2- which broadens ion conduction pathways in the electrolyte structure and the
higher polarizability of S2- which weakens the interaction with Li+. On the other
hand, SPEs have several advantages in manufacturing processes, such as simple
production of large-area films, easy formation of a seamless interface with the
electrodes, and possible handling of SPE in ambient air. However, it is not easy to
find a suitable combination of a polymer matrix and additive salt that can exhibit
ionic conductivity higher than that of ISEs, except for the combinations forming gel
polymer electrolytes.
The diffusion of ions in crystalline solids is significantly affected by both ion valence
and ionic radius of the migrating species because these influence electrostatic
interactions between mobile ions and cations forming the structural skeleton
[31]. In addition to this, the natures of the ligands and metals composing the skeleton
of the host framework have large impacts on the performance of ISEs because they
determine the channel size for ion migration. In the case of Li+ diffusion, since
controlling the bottleneck size for the ion diffusion has been successful in enhancing
Li+ conductivity and reducing the activation energy, structural tuning by cation
substitutions within a given structural framework has been intensively studied.
Among those investigated, the most attractive Li+ conductors, based on oxides
such as natrium super ionic conductor (NASICON) type, garnet type, and perovskite
type, as well as sulfides such as lithium super ionic conductor based on sulfides (thio-
LISICON) type, Li10MP2S12 (LGPS) type, argyrodite type, and Li7P3S11 type, are
summarized in this section and Table 10.1.
NASICON-Type (e.g., LATP/LAGP) NASICON-type Li+ conductors are
represented by the general formula of AM2(PO4)3, in which A = Li and M = Ge,
Ti, Zr, etc., forming a three-dimensional framework of MO6 octahedra alternatively
connected with PO4 tetrahedra by sharing their vertices [31]. Lithium ions occupy
two different sites in the structure, so-called A1 and A2 sites, and their migration
occurs via ion hopping between these sites. The limitation for the ion motion comes
from triangular oxygen windows, which separate the A1 and A2 sites, known as the
bottleneck [38]. Therefore, optimization of the bottleneck size effectively improves
the ionic conductivity and reduces its activation energy.
The first strategy for this issue is the use of larger M ion in AM2(PO4) structure
[33]. For example, the ionic conductivity of LiGe2(PO4)3 is only 6.62 × 10-9 S cm-1
[32]. In the case of LiTi2(PO4)3 and LiZr2(PO4)3, where Ge4+ is replaced with larger
ions, their ionic conductivities improve to 2 × 10-6 S cm-1 and 3.8 × 10-5 S cm-1 at
room temperature, respectively. The second strategy is the aliovalent substitution,
resulting in A1 + xM′xM2–x(PO4)3, in which M′ = Al, Ga, La, etc. This increases the
Li+ concentration and also its mobility [33]. The concentration of M3+ needs to be
limited to 15% (x = 0.3) to avoid the formation of a secondary phase due to an
ionic radius mismatch [31]. Al-doped NASICON-type materials, such as
Li1 + xAlxTi2 - x(PO4)3 (LATP) and Li1 + xAlxGe2–x(PO4) (LAGP), are known to
exhibit ionic conductivities of ~3 × 10-3 S cm-1 (when x = 0.3) [31] and 1.0 × 10-
3
S cm-1 (when x = 0.5), respectively [33]. Both LATP and LAGP are stable at
relatively high potentials and in air, while they are unstable at low potentials because
Ti4+ is easily reduced. The formation of a protective layer based on polymers,
LiPON, or other ISEs allows the use of this kind of materials with lithium metal
anodes [39].
Garnet-Type (e.g., LLZO) The general formula of garnet-type materials is
A3B2(XO4)3, in which A = Ca, Mg, Y, La, etc., B = Al, Fe, Ga, Ge, Mn, Ni, V,
etc., and X = Si, Ge, Al, etc., forming eightfold, sixfold, and fourfold coordinated
182 A. Tsurumaki et al.
In the case of Li7 series garnet-type materials, including LLZO, the material can
possess a cubic phase featuring a disordered lithium arrangement in addition to a
tetragonal phase featuring a fully ordered lithium occupancy [32, 35]. The formation
of a cubic structure is critical to achieve a high level of ionic conductivity. Alumi-
num doping is known to stabilize the cubic phase of LLZO and enhance Li+
conductivity in one to two orders of magnitude compared to undoped tetragonal
LLZO [35]. Furthermore, the ionic conductivity can be increased to 1.32 × 10-
3
S cm-1 by doping Ga3+ [35]. Regarding the electrochemical stability, garnet-type
electrolytes are favorable in terms of showing a stability against lithium metal. In the
case of LLZO, however, the material is lithiophobic [41], resulting in a formation of
the interphase with a high charge transfer resistance. Softening of the lithium at
170–175 °C (about 5–10 °C below Li melting temperature) [1] and the formation of
lithiophilic coating such as those based on ionic liquids or polymers [42, 43] are
known to be an effective solution for this problem. Instability at the interface with
cathode has also been reported. The coating formation is effective also in this case in
preventing oxidations of the electrolyte.
Perovskite-Type (e.g., LLTO) Perovskite structures are described as follows:
ABO3, in which the A-site ions (typically divalent alkaline earth metal ions) locate
at the corners of a cube structure, B ion (typically transition metal ions, such as Ti4+)
at the center, and oxygen atoms at the face-centered positions. Based on this
framework, 12-fold coordination is formed around A sites and sixfold coordination
(BO6) around B sites by a sharing corner with each other [31]. A Li+ conductor can
be obtained by replacing the divalent alkaline earth metal ions at A sites with the
trivalent rare-earth element such as La3+ and monovalent Li+. Just like the other
ISEs, the bottleneck size for the ion conduction needs to be controlled to improve
ionic conductivity, and this has been done by introducing large rare-earth or alkaline
earth metal ions in the A site [31]. The presence of vacancy in the material, more
specifically Li3xLa2/3–x□1/3–2xTiO3 (LLTO, 0 < x < 0.167, □ represents vacancy),
for example, also allows for the enhanced bulk conductivity of 10-3 S cm-1 at
room temperature. In such materials, La-rich and La-poor (i.e., Li-rich) layers are
formed and alternately stacked. Within this structure, Li+ transport is restricted to the
Li-rich layers, and minimal transport occurs between these layers, which limits Li+
transport to be two-dimensional. In polycrystalline structures, Li-rich layers in each
grain are misaligned, and this reduces the ionic conductivity of the materials one to
two orders of magnitude lower than that of the bulk [44]. As observed in other
materials containing Ti4+ with less resistance to reduction, LLTO is not stable in a
low-potential region, making it incompatible with the lithium metal anodes. There-
fore, the partial or complete substitution of Ti4+ with Sn4+, Zr4+, Mn4+, and Ge4+ has
been reported. These modifications need to be carried out so as not to form a
secondary phase and not to decrease the Li+ concentration in the materials [45].
Thio-LISICON-Type and LGPS-Type Thio-LISICON-type electrolytes can be
obtained by substituting O2- by S2- in a LISICON structure, specifically from
LixM1–yM′yO4 to form LixM1–yM′yS4 (M = Si or Ge; M′ = P, Al, Zn, Ga, etc.)
[29]. The thio-LISICON-type electrolytes exhibit higher ionic conductivity
184 A. Tsurumaki et al.
compared with the LISICON electrolytes [31]. This is because of a larger size and
higher polarizability of sulfide ions as discussed before for the classification of SEs.
Depending on the valence of the cations, lithium vacancies in the structure can be
controlled which affect Li+ conduction significantly [46]. The maximum conductiv-
ity of the thio-LISICON family can be as high as 2.2 × 10-3 S cm-1 in the case of
Li3.25Ge0.25P0.75S4 [36]. Thio-LISICON-type electrolytes tend to be unstable faced
with lithium metal. However, their high ionic conductivity established this class of
electrolytes as potential ISEs for the future of ASS batteries.
Li10MP2S12 (M = Si, Ge, or Sn) and Li11Si2PS12 are frequently considered as one
of the thio-LISICON-type electrolytes [31]. However, thio-LISICON-type and these
electrolytes have different crystalline structure, specifically based on orthorhombic
and tetragonal crystal systems, respectively [47], and therefore can be regarded as
different class of materials, namely, LGPS type. The electrolyte consists of (Ge/P)S4
tetrahedra alternating with LiS6 octahedra, forming a one-dimensional chain along
the c-axis by sharing a common edge. These linear chains are connected to each
other by PS4 tetrahedra by sharing a vertex with LiS6 octahedra [36], forming a
backbone structure. Lithium ions locate in the empty space of the backbone structure
by forming LiS4 tetrahedra and create a one-dimensional LiS4 chain along the c-axis,
which is available for Li+ conduction. In addition to this conductive channel, Li+
diffusion is possible between neighboring conduction paths through the LiS6 tetra-
hedra. Aliovalent doping enhances ionic conductivity, and, in particular,
Li9.54Si1.74P1.44S11.7Cl0.3 exhibits ionic conductivity of 2.5 × 10-2 S cm-1 [32].
Argyrodite Type Lithium argyrodite, Li6PS5X (with X = Cl, Br, or I), is also one of
the sulfide-based Li+ conductors, having a face-centered cubic lattice of X-, in
which PS4 tetrahedra locate as if isolated by the anions [31]. Li+ ions form Li6S
octahedra and distribute over the remaining tetrahedral interstices [31]. In the case of
Li6PS5Cl and Li6PS5Br, the halide ions can partially occupy the place of S2- in the
Li6S octahedra due to an X-/S2- site disorder, which promote Li+ mobility signif-
icantly. As a result, annealed Li6PS5Cl and Li6PS5Br exhibit high ionic conductiv-
ities of 1.9 × 10-3 S cm-1 and 6.8 × 10-3 S cm-1, respectively [36]. In contrast to
these, the site disorder does not occur in the case of Li6PS5I due to a large size of I-,
and annealed Li6PS5I shows the low ionic conductivity of 4.6 × 10-7 S cm-1 [36].
Li7P3S11 Type Li7P3S11 is glass-ceramic-type sulfide-based electrolytes, which can
be obtained through the crystallization of glassy electrolytes formed by a binary
mixture of Li2S–P2S5. Binary mixtures of Li2S–MSn, such as Li2S–P2S5, Li2S–B2S3,
and Li2S–SiS2, mixed by a mechanical milling technique exhibit glassy phase with
conductivities of 10-5–10-4 S cm-1 at room temperature. The conductivity can be
improved in the order of 10-3–10-2 S cm-1 by heat treatments because the glassy
electrolyte softens and reduces the grain boundary resistance during the crystalliza-
tion process [36]. Particularly, Li7P3S11, obtained in 70% Li2S–30% P2S5 in molar
ratio, exhibits the ionic conductivity of 1.7 × 10-2 S cm-1 [37]. Li7P3S11 consists
of P2S74- di-tetrahedra and slightly distorted PS4 tetrahedra. An inherent flexibility
of readily fluctuating P2S74- polyhedra enables the fast Li+ migration in the material
[48]. The ionic conductivity of Li7P3S11 phase is higher than those of highly
conductive thio-LISICONs, which mainly contain PS43- [45].
10 Closed Battery Systems 185
Non-swollen dry polymer solid electrolytes, so-called SPEs, with suitable physico-
chemical and mechanical properties can be easily processed into thin separators. The
advantages of SPEs as compared to the ISEs are easy fabrication, better scalability,
high levels of safety, and flexible shapes. Some polymers with a high polarity, such
as poly(ethylene oxide) (PEO) and poly(ethylene carbonate) (PEC), dissolve a large
variety of lithium salts, such as lithium triflate (LiCF3SO3), lithium bis
(fluorosulfonyl)imide (LiFSI), and lithium bis(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide
(LiTFSI). The cations and anions dissociated in the polymer matrices are both
mobile, and therefore SPEs act as a dual-ion conductor. Since the ion motion in
the polymer matrices is assisted by the segmental motion of polymer chains, it
mostly occurs within the amorphous fraction of the polymer matrix above its glass
transition temperature (Tg). In this temperature range, the SPEs exhibit an ionic
conductivity of around 10-3–10-4 S cm-1. To reduce Tg, but to still retain the solid
state, copolymerization, insertion of a branch structure, and cross-linking have been
undertaken [49]. In addition, the use of inorganic additives such as Al2O3-, ZrO2-,
TiO2-, SiO2-, and Li+-conductive ceramic fillers (i.e., ISEs) has been confirmed to
improve ionic conductivity and, mainly, enhance the mechanical strength of the
resulting polymer membranes [50].
Despite these promising features, many drawbacks hinder the application of SPEs
in LMB such as:
1. Small tLi+, generally lower than 0.5
2. Occurrence of lithium dendrite growth and dead lithium formation, leading to
poor efficiency and limited reversibility upon cycling
3. Low electrochemical anodic limit, around 4–4.1 V vs. Li+/Li, that limits the
choice of cathode.
Many efforts are presently devoted to tackle these issues. The fixation of an anion
structure such as carboxylate, sulfonate, sulfonylimide, etc., onto a polymer back-
bone allows the SPEs to have the tLi+ of unity. In this case, the effective dissociation
of the immobilized anions and Li+ is essential for the ion conduction. Recently,
fixation of sulfonylimide on SPEs is dominating the material development because a
186 A. Tsurumaki et al.
delocalized negative charge of the anion is favorable for the ion dissociations [51]. In
addition, since an enlarged conjugation structure adjacent to the anion structure can
reduce the ionic interactions, several polystyrene derivatives with functional struc-
tures at the para position have been designed as Li+-conductive SPEs [51].
Besides PEO, also PEC has been proposed and demonstrated as a potential
polymer matrix having the favorable combination of good physicochemical proper-
ties and satisfactory conductivity even at low temperatures. PECs show also a better
anodic stability compared to PEO, thus allowing the use of high-voltage cathode
such as layered oxides. On the other hand, the mechanical properties of PECs
counterbalance the benefits, and relevant dendrite growth occurs at the lithium
metal side [52]. In such cases, the use of dual or multiple polymer layers, having
different functions, may help the homogeneous lithium metal plating/stripping, thus
suppressing the dendrite growth.
Fig. 10.2 Schematic view of the most common Na battery concepts, (a) Na ion battery, (b) solid-
state Na metal battery, (c) Na/O2, and (d) Na/S [55] (License n. 5,396,641,494,902)
Research on active materials for cathodes in NIBs can take advantages from all
similar previous studies for LIBs. Table 10.2 visually summarizes the relative merits
of many of the most promising cathodes for NIBs, namely, O3-NaMO2 and
P3-NaxMO2, Prussian blue analogs (PBA), sodium vanadate phosphates (NVP),
and sodium vanadate fluorophosphates (NVPF), belonging to layered oxides
(O3-NaMO2 and P3-NaxMO2), hybrid materials (PBA), and polyanionic phases
(NVP and NVPF) [55, 58–61].
188 A. Tsurumaki et al.
Table 10.2 Comparison of performance for the most promising NIB’s cathodes. The
different colors of the symbols represent high (green), average (orange), and poor (red)
performance. Acronyms of the compounds are described in the main text [55] (License
n. 5,396,641,494,902)
A visual comparison among the promising materials for negative electrodes in NIBs
is summarized in Table 10.3. Materials can be grouped depending on the reaction
mechanism upon Na+ incorporation/de-incorporation: insertion (HC, graphite, TiO2,
NaxTiO3), alloying (Sn/C, P/C, Sb/C), conversion (MoS2/C), and mixed alloy
conversion (Sb2O3/C).
Insertion Materials The most promising insertion-based materials are the so-called
hard carbons (HCs) having their specific capacities in the range of 300–350 mAh g-
1
, with a Coulombic efficiency in the first cycle as high as 80% [71] and a working
potential below 1 V vs. Na+/Na. On the other hand, soft carbons (SCs) show a much
smaller capacity compared to HCs, i.e., 200–250 mAh g-1, but at lower working
potential 0.5–0.6 V vs. Na+/Na. Overall, despite the capacity retention in prolonged
Table 10.3 Comparison of performance for the most promising NIB’s anodes. The different colors
of the symbols represent high (green), average (orange), and poor (red) performance [55] (License
n. 5,396,641,494,902)
190 A. Tsurumaki et al.
cycling being better for SCs compared to HCs, the latter phases (i.e., HCs) are the
most promising active materials due to the much smaller accumulation of irrevers-
ible capacity compared to SCs, both in the first cycle and cycle-by-cycle, thus
minimizing the waste of charge and the sacrificial positive electrode masses in a
full NIB configuration. To improve the performance of HC, two main strategies are
presently explored [72]. One is the optimization of the HC microstructure and
surface composition to enhance the specific capacity through pseudo-capacitive
and pseudo-plating sodium incorporation mechanisms [73, 74], whereas the second
one is the incorporation of additional and different sp2 carbon structures (like SCs or
graphene) in HC-based carbon electrodes [75]. Both strategies can increase the
capacity unfortunately at the expense of the Coulombic efficiency [75]. Beyond
the improvement of performance, keeping sustainability and low environmental
impact of these kinds of materials is important because these are critical character-
istics. With this respect, it is also crucial to choose the correct precursors for these
materials to keep the low costs and the sustainable philosophy of HC [76].
Alloying Materials This type of anode material shows a higher specific capacity
compared to HC and operates at low voltages [77]. The alloy-forming materials gain
attention due to the ability to incorporate/de-incorporate more than one Na atom per
redox atom, but as a trade-off, they suffered from huge volumetric changes upon
cycling. Different strategies have been proposed to address this issue, such as
minimization of active material particles into a nanometric scale to reduce the
mechanical strain per one particle, the formation of core–shell materials to physically
restrict the volume change, and the utilization of carbon-based additives as a buffer
space [78]. At the same time, however, it is necessary to evaluate whether these
improvements are essential from different perspectives. For instance, carbon-based
additives are added as stabilizing components for alloy-forming materials, but it also
commits as “dead weight” and affects practical capacity of total electrode mass.
The alloy-forming materials are classified into group 4 elements (Si, Ge, Sn),
group 5 elements (P, As, Sb, Bi), and their binary or ternary alloys. Among the group
4 elements, Si and Sn are attractive materials because of their abundance. Despite the
successes of Si in LIBs, Si has not been that successful in NIBs. In the case of Sn,
there are a number of similarities between the Sn in NIBs and LIBs. Among group
5 elements, P is the element with highest theoretical capacity 2596 mAh g-1 arising
from the formation of Na3P [79], but due to its high flammability, its practical
applications have been hindered [80]. Most of developments are centered on P/car-
bon composites due to large volume changes during cycling as well as low electric
conductivity. P/graphene composites are known to show outstanding performances
[81], as well as Sb/carbon composite which can reversibly deliver up to 3 Na per
atom and reach a specific capacity of 610 mAh g-1 with 95% of capacity retention
over 100 cycles [82]. Unfortunately, however, due to the high cost, toxicity, and low
sustainability of the latter material, its practical application is not recommended.
Metal Oxides Like in the case of LIBs, a variety of metal oxides have been
investigated as anode materials for NIBs, and they are known to show distinctive
mechanisms of anode functionality. Among these materials, the most representative
10 Closed Battery Systems 191
one is titanium oxide, which operates through an insertion mechanism changing its
structure from crystalline to amorphous [83]. Despite the high operating voltage and
the low Coulombic efficiency, this material is very promising because of the low
cost, low toxicity, and availability [83]. Since the conductivity of titanium oxide is
low, the use of dopant has been proposed to increase its electronic conductivity. To
this end, the materials such as TiO2 nanosheets/graphene oxide composites have
been developed and demonstrated to show a capacity above 175 mAh g-1 at 1C for
200 cycles and 90 mAh g-1 at 20C for 10,000 cycles [84].
Conversion Materials The reaction of this type of materials with Na is known to
form a new phase which is structurally very different from the starting one, specif-
ically MaXb + (bc)Na ⇄ aM + bNacX, in which M is a metal (Cu, Fe, Sn, etc.) and X
is an anion (O, S, P, etc.). Despite their high theoretical capacity, there are different
issues related to the conversion materials, such as a low first cycle Coulombic
efficiency, an insulating property, a voltage hysteresis, and a large volumetric
expansion upon cycling together with consequent electrode degradation in long
term due to the deep structural transformation. The electrode composition design
and the right choice of the electrolyte are two investigated strategies to improve and
solve the issues listed above. MoS2 represents a typical conversion-type material
with a theoretical capacity of about 670 mAh g-1 [85]. The electrochemical perfor-
mance and its stability can be improved by engineering the materials such as the
formation of different heterostructures or the combination of MoS2 layers with
different carbon-containing species [86]. Yet, due to the complexity to scale up a
controlled synthesis of MoS2, the large-scale application of this material has not
been successful.
New emerging candidates are the metal phosphides [87] because they sustain the
conversion reaction of the phosphorus within a metal atom network which provides
electric conductivity. Moreover, in these materials, the volumetric expansion and
long-term degradation are mitigated [88].
In the case of LIBs, there are various standard electrolytes, which are also commer-
cially available. In contrast to this, the optimal electrolyte of NIBs is still under
development [89]. Like the electrolytes for LIBs, the performance of electrolytes for
NIBs is strongly dependent on the electrode chemistry and electrode combination,
making the optimization of an electrolyte composition complex. Especially in the
case of NIBs, the ability of electrolyte to form SEI at the anode side is crucial
because the SEI based on sodium salts has a higher solubility compared to that based
on lithium salts; thus, the SEI undergoes continuous creation and destruction [90].
The main salts used in literature are sodium perchlorate (NaClO4), sodium
hexafluorophosphate (NaPF6), sodium triflate (NaCF3SO3), and sodium bis
(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide (NaTFSI), which are combined with ether or
192 A. Tsurumaki et al.
carbonate solvents [89]. NaClO4 was chosen in the early stage of NIB research, but it
is not ideal because of its explosive nature. As an alternative salt, NaPF6 has been
employed most frequently, although its performances are strongly affected by the
presence of impurities [91].
The main solvents used together with these salts are the same for LIB technology,
such as propylene carbonate (PC), ethylene carbonate (EC), and dimethyl carbonate
(DMC), or their mixtures, which are known to form a stable SEI in the case of LIBs
[91]. Since, in the case of NIBs, there is a problem in the stability of SEI as
mentioned before, the use of additives has been recommended to form a compact,
uniform, and more stable SEI, such as FEC and VC [92], which is the same additive
used to create m-SEI in LIBs. In addition to these, sodium difluoro(oxalato)borate
(NaDFOB), succinonitrile (SN), and 1,3-propane sultone (PS) have been reported as
potential additives. It should be noted that in the case of NIBs, also ether-based
electrolytes show very good performances for different active materials [93] includ-
ing high surface carbons [94]. The use of ether-based electrolytes allows the
co-intercalation of solvated Na+ into graphite and enables the formation of stable
SEI with enhanced Na plating/stripping efficiency.
Several ionic liquids and aqueous-based electrolytes are also proposed as more
sustainable and stable electrolytes [89, 95]. The use of ionic liquids has positive
effect on the stability of SEI. Because of this, very promising results have been
obtained, for example, when ionic liquids are combined with TiO2 anode material
[96]. Due to the high cost of this class of electrolytes, practical application is not yet
realized. In contrast to this, aqueous electrolytes have advantages in terms of their
low cost, good sustainability, and safety [60]. However, the structural stability of the
electrodes in water and the possible side reactions need to be assessed carefully
[60]. Recently, the concept of the “water-in-salt” (WiS) electrolytes has been
proposed. This class of electrolytes is defined as the concentrated aqueous solution
of salt, in which the number of water molecule per ion is far below the solvation
number [60]. These electrolytes consist of contact ion pairs (CIPs) and aggregated
cation–anion pairs, which decrease the availability of water and improve its electro-
chemical stability. By employing the WiS electrolyte, symmetric NIBs based on a
dual V3+/Ti4+ NASICON-structured Na2VTi(PO4)3@C bifunctional electrode were
successfully investigated, showing a stable performance over 2500 cycles at 10C
[97]. This result demonstrated that the fluorine-rich SEI can suppress the electrode
dissolution [97]. Important results of the advances in electrolyte/electrode optimiza-
tion, related to formulation of advanced electrolyte system, are well summarized in
the review of Chen and co-workers [98].
Magnesium ion batteries (MIBs) have attracted intensive attention due to their high
capacity, high security, and low-cost properties. However, the performance of MIBs
is seriously hindered by the intense polarization and slow diffusion kinetics of Mg2+
ions. To solve these issues, numerous efforts based on both experimental and
theoretical studies have been proposed [104, 105]. In this section, the latest advance-
ment in anode and cathode materials as well as electrolytes for MIBs is summarized
and discussed.
2.37 V vs. SHE), makes Mg metal an ideal anode. Despite these merits, recently
some authors pointed out the potential hazards related with a formation of dendritic
forms or needlelike structures due to uneven deposits on magnesium metal [109–
111]. Moreover, surface side reactions are known to occur on the anode side
resulting in the accumulation of passivation films during the initial cycles of
batteries. Unlike the formation of the SEI on the lithium metal, many reports assume
that the passivation layers on the metallic magnesium have low ionic conductivity
for magnesium cations [112]. Related to the formation and passivation properties of
the interphase, the Coulombic efficiency of magnesium stripping and plating is the
most critical parameter, and this is strongly affected by the electrolyte, its chemical
properties, purity, and concentration of salt(s). Early generation of nucleophilic
electrolytes [113, 114] in ether-based solvents is known to keep magnesium surface
at least partially active (non-passivated). Acting on the metal anode itself, Liang
et al. synthesized ultrasmall Mg particles with a diameter of 2.5 nm [115]. The
ultrasmall nanoparticles reduced the thickness of the passivation film, which
improved the deposition of Mg. Chemical modification is another feasible way to
control the reactivity of Mg metal. Lv et al. used a SnCl2–dimethoxyethane (DME)
solution to treat Mg foil and obtained a modified Mg anode with a tin-based artificial
layer [116]. The Mg anode can maintain stable plating/stripping for more than
4000 cycles at a high current density of 6 mA cm-2. In the same manner, by adding
GeCl4 into Mg(TFSI)2–DME electrolyte, the Ge-based artificial layer was also
formed on the Mg surface, showing a self-repairing process [117].
Alloying Anodes Some elements from block p are known to electrochemically react
with magnesium ions to form an alloy. Alloying materials, such as bismuth (Bi), tin
(Sn), and phosphorus (P), are promising alternatives to Mg metal anode [118]. Alloy
materials may have synergistic effects in MIBs, bringing new properties that single
Mg metal does not have. Bi anode (theoretical volumetric capacity is 3783 mAh cm-
3
) [119] can rapidly insert and extract Mg2+, with the ion dynamics being related to
defect chemistry. In general, gravimetric and volumetric capacities related to the
electrochemical alloying are very high (theoretically up to 900 mAh g-1(Sn) and
6570 mAh cm-3(Sn) for the formation of Mg2Sn). Synergistic effects have been
expected by combining multiple elements such as Bi–Sb (solid solution), Bi–Sn
(composite), or intermetallic compositions of InBi, SnSb, or InSb [120–122]. Like
the alloying-type electrode materials in LIBs, the volumetric changes due to the
alloying and de-alloying process hamper the long-term cycling of the electrode.
However, with a good electrode formulation, high reversible cycling has been
demonstrated especially with Bi-based electrodes (Fig. 10.3) [123]. It is also impor-
tant to consider that alloy electrodes might be easier to produce than magnesium
metal electrode foils. Indeed, alloys can be synthetized in the form of powder by
ball-milling or high-temperature reactions, which can be easily integrated in the
battery industry. Moreover, alloys are certainly less surface sensitive than magne-
sium metal and might be of interest for protecting the Mg surface from the dendritic
growth.
10 Closed Battery Systems 195
Chevrel Phase Mo6S8 Research on the cathode materials for Mg insertion was
accelerated by the seminal work of Aurbach et al. with a prototype full Mg cell based
on the Chevrel phase Mo6S8 [114] and opened a large avenue of research on
chalcogenides. These structures are very promising due to the weak electrostatic
interactions between Mg2+ ions and the sulfide/selenide-based anion framework.
The low operating voltage (~1.1 V vs. Mg2+/Mg) and low specific capacity (~100
mAh g-1) of Mo6S8, related to an incomplete de-insertion of Mg ions due to the
trapping of partial charges at room temperature, are limiting factors for commercial
application of the given technology. Substituting sulfur by selenium allows for a
100% capacity usage [131] but at the expense of the specific capacity value.
Although the voltage and capacity values are too modest to obtain energy densities
competitive with Li ion batteries, Chevrel structures remain the benchmark elec-
trodes for Mg batteries as they offer remarkable insertion/de-insertion kinetics and
good reversibility.
Layered Cathode Materials Layer materials possess two-dimensional transmission
channels, which enable rapid Mg2+ migration. The reported layered cathode mate-
rials for MIBs include both transition metal oxides and transition metal sulfides, such
as V2O5, MnO2, MoS2, and TiS2 [132]. As a representative, V2O5 has attracted great
attention due to its high theoretical capacity (295 mAh g-1 for MgV2O5) and
working voltage (2.35 V vs. Mg2+/Mg). Compared with transition metal oxides,
the relatively low ionization degree of S in transition metal sulfide weakens the
electrostatic interaction between Mg2+ and negative charge, which is favorable for
the migration of Mg. Yang et al. studied the diffusion kinetics of Mg2+ in MoS2
(theoretical capacity of 223.2 mAh g-1) [133].
Polyanionic Cathode Materials Polyanionic compounds have been widely used in
MIBs because of their versatile variety, stable structure, and strong inductive effect
[134]. In MgMSiO4 (M = Mn, Co, Fe, etc.), Mg2+ diffuses from the octahedral
(O) site to the tetrahedral (T) site [135], with an energy barrier of 740÷770 meV
[136]. Despite olivine FePO4 performing well in LIBs, its capacity in MIBs is only
13 mAh g-1 at 20 mA cm-2 [137], which can be attributed to the amorphous phase
produced on the material surface during the discharge process, preventing Mg2+
from entering the bulk phase of FePO4.
Organic Cathode Materials Although inorganic materials have widely dominated
the field of rechargeable batteries, a great amount of attention has been recently
placed on organic materials because they possess many crucial advantages, like
safety, sustainability, green, low cost, and high theoretical capacity [138]. Carbonyl
conjugates are a large group possessing many C=O functionalities, essentially
determining properties such as diversity, fast reaction kinetics, and high specific
volume. Therefore, compared to other types of organic cathode materials, carbonyl-
conjugated compounds are expected to develop as the next generation of cathode
materials for Mg batteries. Quinone-based monomers are particularly suitable as an
active storage unit, and most of recent reports [139] provided highly attractive
10 Closed Battery Systems 197
properties in terms of energy and power density as well as cyclability. Other reports
showed applicability of imides and radical organic compounds [140], which in
theory are less attractive in terms of energy density. As well known, electrochemical
characteristics depend also on type of electrolyte, where both salts and solvents play
important roles [141]. It has been demonstrated that the use of Mg(TFSI)2 salt can
increase the capacity utilization of organic electrodes, while the use of AlCl3 can
upshift the potential of redox active compounds [142]. Although redox active
organics in the form of different polymers show the best properties in terms of
cycling and rate capability, there are still some important challenges that need to be
addressed before their potential commercialization.
specific capacity normalized by the sum of both positive and negative electrode
materials) [159]. The CIBs constituted by CaMn2O4 and Si can disclose a theoretical
energy density of about 520 Wh kg-1, being superior to the benchmark LIB
(mentioned above) and approaching the desirable figures of the LiMn1.5Ni0.5O4/Si
and LiFePO4/Li configurations [159]. Both sulfur battery chemistries, i.e., Ca–S
and Li–S, have a comparable theoretical performance (approximately
1800–2000 Wh kg-1) that is, in both cases, exceeded by the Ca–O2 and Li–O2
ones (~2400 and ~ 3500 Wh kg-1, respectively).
Overall, calcium-based battery chemistries can theoretically achieve performance
of interest, not far from those of lithium-based ones, but research in the field is still in
its infancy. To date, the serious exploitation of cathode materials for CIBs just
started because of the pioneering work of Ponrouch et al., demonstrating the
successful Ca plating/stripping using conventional organic solvents in 2016
[148]. However, the field being in its early stage, the number of reports on positive
electrode materials in the literature is still limited [159–165].
The operating principle of typical calcium batteries is depicted in Fig. 10.4, using
inorganic framework as cathode and metallic Ca as anode. In this process, a series of
limiting steps occurs [166]. Firstly, the slow diffusion of Ca2+ in the positive
Fig. 10.4 The diffusion, migration process of Ca2+ in a typical calcium battery [166] (License
n. 5,487,100,248,324)
200 A. Tsurumaki et al.
electrode is inevitable. Although the charge density of Ca2+ is small (52 C mm-3, the
same as Li+), its diffusion rate is significantly affected by its large ion radius (0.99 Å,
compared to 0.76 Å for Li+), which is a dominant limiting factor. Secondly, Ca2+
forms solvated calcium in the electrolyte. In some cases, the formed solvated group
is relatively large, making it difficult to migrate in the electrolyte. Moreover, when
the solvated cluster moves to the electrodes, it needs to be de-solvated. A higher
voltage beyond the reorganization energy is needed to break the interatomic bonds in
the solvation cluster. This voltage needs to be within the electrochemical stability
window of the electrolytes; otherwise, it is easy to decompose the electrolyte.
Thirdly, the shuttle of de-solvated calcium ions in SEI is also a matter to be
discussed. SEI is a thin film with a thickness of several nanometers between the
electrolyte and the anode. This layer can protect the anode from continuous damage
and the electrolyte from side reaction with the anode. Ideally, the SEI film is a good
ion conductor but needs to be an electronic insulator. As for CIBs, the main
components of SEI are CaCl2, Ca(OH)2, CaCO3, CaF2, CaH2, etc. [167]. These
substances undergo structural changes during the calcium ion diffusion process. Due
to the strong interatomic bond, many components are thought to be unable to
transmit Ca2+ (such as CaCl2, Ca(OH)2, CaCO3, etc.). Also, continuous insertion/
de-insertion of Ca2+ induces a large volume change of SEI, which may rupture the
thin film. Once Ca2+ passes the SEI and arrives at the anode, the intercalation,
nucleation, or plating of Ca happens [168]. Owing to these complex steps, it is
extremely challenging for calcium to deposit.
The main issues and their current state, to be carefully addressed to allow the
calcium technology being widely applicable, are summarized as follows:
– The Ca2+ ion hosting materials that must be stable enough during the Ca2+
diffusion and insertion/de-insertion: Prussian blue analogs, transition metal com-
pounds, and organic compounds are known as potential materials for this require-
ment [169, 170].
– The reversible stripping/plating of Ca metal at moderate temperature: the proof-
of-concept batteries, as of today, showed an average Columbic efficiency of 96%
for 50 cycles, which is not sufficient for the practical application [160, 171].
– The efficient solvation/de-solvation process of Ca2+-based electrolytes: different
from Li+-based electrolytes, which can form Li+-conducting SEI, the reactions
between electrolytes and calcium tend to generate Ca2+-blocking phases when
contacting with organic electrolytes [172].
Overall, although great efforts have been made to change the electrolyte and
modify the anode–electrolyte interface, the reversible plating/stripping of Ca metal is
still tricky and complicated matter. The complexity of working directly with a Ca
metal anode drives the search for alternative anodes, which can be categorized into
three types based on the calcium ion storage mechanism, including alloying anodes,
intercalation anodes, and organic anodes [166, 173], showing the direction
toward CIBs.
10 Closed Battery Systems 201
10.5 Conclusions
Among the emerging battery technologies, Na ion batteries as well as alkali metal
batteries, probably solid state, are those expected to become commercially available
in the near- (2–5 years) to mid-term (5–10 years) future. Na ion batteries are already
being developed by several industries following the CATL announcement made at
the end of 2021. Polyvalent metal-based battery chemistries appear to be in the early
stage of development with a few hurdles to be addressed in the next few years.
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Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing,
adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate
credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and
indicate if changes were made.
The images or other third party material in this chapter are included in the chapter’s Creative
Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not
included in the chapter’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by
statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from
the copyright holder.
Chapter 11
Open Battery Systems
Contents
11.1 Redox Flow Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213
11.2 Metal–Air Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217
11.3 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220
In RFBs, the electroactive species are dissolved in solutions (anolyte and catholyte)
that are stored in tanks external to the cell and that are flown in the cell core that is
made by the anode and cathode current collectors, intercepting the anolyte and
catholyte flows, respectively, and separated by the separator (Fig. 11.1a).
E. S. Diéz
Centre for Cooperative Research on Alternative Energies (CIC EnergiGUNE), Basque Research
and Technology Alliance (BRTA), Alava Technology Park, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain
F. Poli · F. Soavi (✉)
Department of Chemistry “Giacomo Ciamician”, Alma Mater Studiorum Universitá di Bologna,
Bologna, Italy
ENERCube, Centro Ricerche Energia, Ambiente e Mare, Centro Interdipartimentale per la
Ricerca Industriale Fonti Rinnovabili, Ambiente, Mare ed Energia (CIRI -FRAME), – Alma
Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Marina di Ravenna, RA, Italy
BETTERY Srl, Massafra, Italy
National Reference Center for Electrochemical Energy Storage (GISEL) – INSTM, Florence,
Italy
e-mail: [email protected]
Fig. 11.1 Schemes of open battery systems: (a) redox flow battery (RFB) and (b) air-breathing
metal–air battery (MAB)
ð11:1Þ
ð11:2Þ
The stability of organic materials is still under debate, and comparison of different
systems is not straightforward even if the capacity fade over time has been taken as a
more reliable parameter [11]. Cycling conditions, capacity utilization, and concen-
tration of active materials among other factors may impact the electrolyte stability.
In a lower extent, polymer redox active materials have been employed as
a measure to mitigate crossover [12], and organics have also been combined with
a metal anode to boost energy density [13]. However, those trends remain as a
secondary option after weighing pros and cons.
11 Open Battery Systems 217
The use of nonaqueous organic redox flow batteries (NARFBs) has been also
explored. This full organic electrolyte could theoretically mitigate the energy density
problems of RFB as the cell voltage can be increased over 3 V and the solubility of
the active materials is significantly higher in organic solvents. However, this ideal
scenario is hurdled by the poor conductivity of the electrolytes, the high viscosity of
high concentrated solutions, and the low chemical compatibility of the membranes
and the organic solvents. Thus, high concentrations >2 M cannot be exceeded
without compromising diffusion properties [14]. NARFBs are generally operated
at low current densities (< 40 mAcm-2) [15] or at low concentrations [16].
Metal–air (oxygen) batteries (MABs) have the advantage of using the lightest
cathode material available in nature: oxygen. Furthermore, O2 is not stored inside
the cell, but it is continuously supplied from air or tanks outside the cell. Therefore,
cell capacity is not limited by cathode active material depleting. In addition, in
conventional (not-flow) MABs, the anode is a thin metal foil with an extremely high
density. Combining a metal anode and an O2 cathode enables to use most of the
system volume for the anode material, and this results in a battery with an extremely
high energy density.
Several MAB chemistries have been proposed, including those based on alkali,
transition, and multivalent metals [17–19]. Table 11.2 summarizes the cell reactions,
the metal and discharge product densities, the nominal cell voltage, and the theoret-
ical specific capacity and specific energy and energy density of different MABs.
Table 11.2 Cell reactions, metal and discharge product densities, nominal cell voltage, theoretical
specific capacity and specific energy and energy density of different MABs. The energy density
values have been calculated referring to the metal (first value) and the discharge product (second
value) densities
Theor.
energy
Discharge Theor. Theor. density
Metal product Cell specific specific (kWh L-1
density density voltage capacity energy metal
Cell reaction (kg L-1) (kg L-1) (V) (Ah L-1) (kWh kg-1) product)
2Li + O2 ⇆ Li2O2 0.534 2.3 2.96 1.17 3.5 1.9–8.0
2Na + O2 ⇆ Na2O2 0.968 2.8 2.33 0.69 1.6 1.6–4.5
K + O2 ⇆ KO2 0.890 2.3 2.48 0.37 0.9 0.8–2.2
Mg + 1/2O2 + H2O 1.738 2.3 3.09 0.92 2.8 4.9–6.6
⇆ Mg(OH)2
4Al + 3O2 + 6H2O 2.700 2.4 2.71 1.03 2.8 7.5–6.8
⇆ 4Al(OH)3
Zn + ½ O2 ⇆ ZnO 7.140 5.6 1.65 0.66 1.1 7.7–6.1
3Fe+2O2 ⇆ Fe3O4 7.874 5.2 1.28 0.46 0.6 4.6–3.1
218 E. S. Diéz et al.
Li, Na, K, Mg, and Al-MABs feature cell voltages higher than 2 V and therefore
require the use of nonaqueous electrolytes. In the case of Li and Na, which are not
stable in water, organic/inorganic hybrid electrolytes have been proposed. In these
systems, the metal is in contact with an organic electrolyte, and the cathode operates
with an aqueous electrolyte. Anode and cathode are alienated by a solid ionic
conductor separator. Zn- and Fe-MABs featuring cell voltages lower than 2 V can
operate with aqueous electrolytes, and they typically make use of alkaline solutions.
The specific capacity evaluated based on both metal and oxygen contents depends
on the number of electrons exchanged for mole of reactants and mainly on the atomic
mass of the metal. It spans from 0.46 Ah kg-1 of the Fe–O2 cells (four-electron
process) to 1.17 Ah kg-1of the Li–O2 (two-electron process), which features the
lightest metal, i.e., lithium.
All the MABs listed in Table 11.2 feature high theoretical specific energy
densities that are about two- to tenfold higher than that of today’s lithium-ion
batteries. Among the nonaqueous MABs, the Li–O2 cells exhibit the highest value
that in theory can be as high as 3.5 kW kg-1. Among the aqueous MABs, Zn–O2
holds the best promises with 1.1 kW kg-1.
In MABs, at the anode, metal stripping/deposition occurs. At the cathode, the
sluggish kinetics of the oxygen reduction and evolution reactions (ORR/OER) are
promoted by catalysts (or mediators) that are supported on the electrode surface,
typically a porous carbon with high surface area. Like in fuel cells, in static MABs,
the optimization of the cathode three-phase boundary (catalyst–electrolyte–gas) is of
paramount importance to achieve a high conversion efficiency and fast cell response
under high-current regimes. Today, typical discharge currents are lower than
0.5 mAcm-2 for nonaqueous Li-MABs and 500 mAcm-2 for aqueous
Zn-MABs. In air-breathing cells, the slow natural diffusion of O2 to the cathode is
one of the processes that cause not negligible cell overvoltages during discharge at
high currents. Furthermore, during the discharge, insoluble by-products are depos-
ited on the surface of the metal anode and air cathode, therefore passivating the
electrodes, clogging cathode pores, and further limiting the diffusion of oxygen.
These passivating products limit the discharge capacity of MABs to values that can
be 50% lower than the theoretical ones. They also cause high recharge overvoltages
and, consequently, low recharge energy efficiency that is typically lower than 70%.
As it concerns the metal anode, stripping/deposition inherently induces changes
in the metal surface morphology, dendrite growth, and metal fragmentation into
particles with subsequent loss of electric contact and of material. Here, the electro-
lyte can play a role by forming a suitable solid electrolyte interphase that protects the
anode and controls the uniform metal deposition.
answer. FMAB cell commonly consists of a metal anode (tin foil or a flowable
anolyte), a separator soaked in the electrolyte, and a flowable air (oxygen) cathode.
At the anode, the metal stripping/deposition occurs. At the cathode side, an electro-
lyte enriched with oxygen is flowed across a porous current collector where the
oxygen reduction and evolution reactions (ORR/OER) occur. As in their static
counterparts, to overcome the sluggish kinetics of the ORR/OER, the surface of
the porous electrodes is decorated with catalysts or mediators.
The exploitation of a flowable cathode (catholyte) is a smart strategy to overcome
some of MAB’s intrinsic challenges, such as the slow oxygen diffusion at the
cathode and the passivation of electrodes by deposition of insoluble by-products
[1]. The convective transport of the catholyte allows for overcoming the mass
transport limitations due to the oxygen diffusion [20, 21]. To reduce the current
collector passivation, driven by the deposition of the insoluble discharge products
(such as metal oxides), a valuable strategy is the exploitation of slurries rather than
solutions, in which the suspended particles act as nucleation centers [1, 22]. More-
over, to alleviate the dendrite formation, while increasing the current density at the
anode, a possible solution is the exploitation of anolyte slurries [23]. The main
drawback is the nontrivial design of the flow frame, which strongly depends on the
cell chemistry and the rheological properties of the electrolyte.
Nowadays, zinc, aluminum, and lithium are the main metallic anodes on which
the research activity in MAFBs has been focused. According to the metal reactivity,
both aqueous and nonaqueous electrolyte media have been explored [24, 25].
Zn-MAFBs are the most mature technology. Indeed, the company “Zinc 8” is
currently manufacturing 100 kW, targeting 1 MW installation, forecasting a price
below 100 € kW-1. Li-MAFBs, for their exceptionally high theoretical energy
density, are holding great promises for energy storage.
By using the abundant, readily available seawater as catholyte, the seawater battery
(SWB) arises as an attractive option for low-cost, large-scale energy storage [26–
28]. During its charge, at the cathode, the electrolysis (oxidation) of seawater occurs,
contemporary with the reduction of Na+ ions, extracted from seawater on the anode side.
Indeed, seawater features a salinity of ≈3.5% (35 g L-1) in which Na+ and Cl- ions
account for most of the dissolved salts. The metallic sodium requires an anhydrous
anolyte, aprotic solvent solutions with sodium-based organic salts, e.g., 1 M sodium
trifluoromethanesulfonate (NaCF3SO3) in tetraethylene glycol dimethyl ether
(TEGDME) or 0.1 M sodium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide (NaFSI) in ionic liquid solutions
[27]. The anolyte chamber must be physically separated from the aqueous catholyte
while being in ionic contact. Therefore, Na-ion conducting, solid electrolytes (e.g.,
NASICON) that separate the anhydrous anodic chamber and the aqueous cathodic
chamber are adopted [26–28]. To improve the kinetics of the ORR and OER, Pt/C- and
Ir/Ru-based catalysts could be exploited [29]. However, in SWB, the presence of Cl- in
the catholyte requires the use of a proper current collector to control its oxidation
reactions during charge, and this represents an additional problem.
SWB features a theoretically high cell voltage ≈3.48 V, with reported practical
voltage of 2.2 V. Although extremely promising, today, this technology is still in
R&D phase, and efforts are required to decrease the cost of the components to
efficiently scale up [26].
220 E. S. Diéz et al.
11.3 Conclusions
The open batteries might change the paradigm of storing, using, and distributing
energy. Besides their inherently higher safety, especially when compared to LIBs,
they feature great flexibility, and a variety of materials and cell design are under
exploitation. RFBs and MABs are interesting open systems that may play an
important role in stationary energy storage application. In RFBs, the electrolyte is
identified as the most critical component of those batteries, and there is an ongoing
search for the most stable, cost-effective, safe, and abundant active materials. Thus,
systems relying on safe aqueous electrolytes comprising organic active materials are
gradually closing the gap with vanadium and have the potential to compete or
coexist with lithium to fulfil the global demand.
MABs, even based on abundant metals, hold the promise of extremely high
volumetric energy density because light and multivalent metals can be exploited.
However, in MABs, low cycling stability and power are still the main limitations that
could be overcome by exploiting the RFB architecture in the emerging flow and
semisolid flow MABs.
Acknowledgments F.P. and F.S. acknowledge the following grants: HyFlow Project (European
Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement No. 963550),
CO2CARBON – Upscaling carbon nanomaterial production from CO2 emissions (KAVA Call 8,
01.01.2022 – 31.12.2023); SMART – Sustainable MAterials for Redox-flow Technology (EIT Raw
Materials Booster Call, Project Agreement N. 15099-SCLC-2021-5, 07/2021 – 12/2021); Contest
M. Startup (2019); EIT Raw Materials Battery Challenge 2019; H2020-SMEInst-2018-2020-1
(Grant Agreement n. 837091, Nessox. 01/01/2019 – 30/06/2019); Climate-KIC; MOST – Sustain-
able Mobility Center and received funding from the European Union Next Generation EU (PIANO
NAZIONALE DI RIPRESA E RESILIENZA (PNNR) Missione 4 Componente 2, Investimento 1.4
D.D. 1033 17/06/2022, CN00000023). E.S. acknowledges European Union (BEST project, Grant
agreement No. 101069676) and Basque Government (GV-ELKARTEK2022 KK-2022/00043) for
the financial support.
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Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing,
adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate
credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and
indicate if changes were made.
The images or other third party material in this chapter are included in the chapter’s Creative
Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not
included in the chapter’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by
statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from
the copyright holder.
Part VI
Prospective Assessments of Emerging
Batteries
Preface
There are several challenges related to current lithium-ion battery (LIB) technology,
including safety, the need for scarce resources, environmental impacts, resource
availability, cost, or social implications. Such doubts are addressed in new regula-
tions and frameworks such as the EU Battery Regulation and Critical Raw Materials
Act, as well as in a wider way in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The
development of new battery technologies is considered as a way to overcome some
of the named challenges related to LIB. However, requirements towards more
sustainability make it necessary to also adequately provide corresponding prospec-
tive assessments that cover economic, environmental, and social dimensions over
the entire life cycle of new battery types. Prominent methods for this purpose are,
among others, environmental and social life cycle assessments and techno-economic
and acceptance studies. Typically, these generate complex, multidimensional results
that are difficult to communicate and where trade-offs have to be made. This requires
the involvement of relevant stakeholders, e.g., via the use of integrated methods as
multi-criteria decision-making methods to aid decision-making towards sustainabil-
ity and the most appropriate battery technology for a given application. All the
named methods face several challenges which have to be addressed carefully. After
discussing general challenges of prospective assessments in Chapter 12, an overview
of the most relevant methods to assess the environmental (Chapter 13), the techno-
economic (Chapters 14 and 15) and the social (Chapters 16 and 17) impact of battery
systems is provided in the following. Finally, multicriteria decision analysis methods
for battery sustainability assessment are presented in Chapter 18.
Chapter 12
Methodological Challenges of Prospective
Assessments
Contents
12.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225
12.2 Data Availability and Quality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227
12.3 Scaling Issues and Modelling Choices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229
12.4 Uncertainty Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 232
12.5 Comparability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 234
12.6 Conclusion and Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 237
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 237
12.1 Introduction
Environmental and social impact assessments have been developed from an envi-
ronmental accounting perspective to identify the impacts and hotspots of a present or
past technology retrospectively [33]. The increased use of those assessment meth-
odologies as an engineering tool calls for alternative assessment methods that enable
guiding innovations towards sustainability. This is the case for emerging technolo-
gies that are at an early stage of the development process [2]. Emerging technologies
include both innovative products and processes that are not yet on the market, such
as novel battery technologies, as well as novel advances to products and technolo-
gies that already exist on the market [4]. To evaluate the impacts of these technol-
ogies, predictions of future markets or future production technologies must be made
that account for changes in economic, environmental, and social conditions over
time [18].
Prospective assessment is a future-oriented method that can be used to assess
environmental, economic, and social impacts of emerging technologies as well as
mature technologies that are predicted to change significantly in the future [6]. Pro-
spective assessment is also sometimes referred to as ex ante, future-oriented, early-
stage, anticipatory, explorative, and scenario-based assessment, although the defini-
tions of these methods, and whether they refer to the same method or slight
variations of a method, are inconsistently reported across literature [4, 6, 9]. For
this section, the definition of prospective assessment is taken as the systematic
assessment of a future point in time, considering developments in society, technol-
ogy, economy, and policy, that potentially influences the technology, its societal
conditions, and its environmentally relevant flows [2, 18, 48].
A key benefit of prospective assessment is that decisions can be made proactively,
at an early stage of the development process, to minimise or even prevent future
potential adverse environmental, economic, and social impacts of the technology
being assessed [22, 31, 50]. Prospective assessments, like retrospective assessments,
provide guidance to decision-makers, including technology developers,
policymakers, and manufacturers. The results of prospective assessments can be
used in multiple ways depending on the goal and scope of the study. For example,
results can inform technology developers of valuable changes that can be
implemented at an early stage of development, support stakeholders in terms of
investment opportunities that can enable further research and technological devel-
opment, inform policymakers of recommendations based on assessed policy imple-
mentation scenarios, and guide manufacturers towards assessed applications of a
technology that are considered relatively more sustainable [7, 9]. Therefore, the
future potential and future challenges of the innovative technology are defined prior
to the technology being implemented at larger production scales [50].
Prospective assessment is therefore valuable for assessing emerging battery
technologies that have not yet penetrated the market and are still in the development
phase. By assessing these technologies at an early stage, mitigation measures can be
implemented more readily and influence the production technology as it is upscaled
to industrial production. A standard method for conducting a prospective assessment
of emerging battery technologies, or for other technologies, presently does not exist.
This leads to challenges when using the results in a decision-making context
[4, 17]. Although such challenges also exist for retrospective assessments,
Hetherington et al. argue that challenges in prospective assessment are more prom-
inent due to the time sensitivity to apply the results within the technology
12 Methodological Challenges of Prospective Assessments 227
development timeframe [19]. These challenges are largely related to data availabil-
ity, scaling issues, uncertainty, and comparability of results [19].
This section focuses on the challenges for applying prospective assessment to
emerging battery technologies. Within the following sections, four key challenges of
prospective assessments are defined and discussed. These challenges include data
availability and quality (Sect. 12.2), scaling issues (Sect. 12.3), uncertainty manage-
ment (Sect. 12.4), and comparability (Sect. 12.5). Section 12.6 concludes with an
outlook on research and development in prospective assessment of emerging battery
technologies.
The availability of data is limited and often of lower quality than preferred to meet
the goal of prospective assessments [9]. Primary data, or measured raw data, are
often scarce and/or confidential. While this is also a known challenge for retrospec-
tive LCA, key difference for prospective assessments is that data is simply not yet
available or based on a laboratory scale [33]. Material input and energy consumption
data are difficult to collect at this scale since production conditions are not yet
optimised and the production processes themselves are still under investigation for
their feasibility. Measurements on laboratory scale typically lead to energy con-
sumptions that are not representative of production conditions at larger scales and
material consumptions that suffer from high input quantities and poor product yields
[11, 15].
The availability and quality of data is therefore largely related to the technology
readiness level (TRL) and manufacturing readiness level (MRL) of the technology
being assessed. The TRL indicates the level from 1 (concept development) to
9 (small-scale production) that addresses the maturity and functional readiness of a
technology, whereas the MRL indicates the manufacturing maturity level of the
technology’s components and subsystems [15]. For emerging technologies, the TRL
ranges from 2 (concept feasible) to 5 (laboratory-scale production validated), with
corresponding MRLs from 2 (new manufacturing concepts identified) to 5 (prototype
production simulated) [31]. Gavankar et al. found that the environmental burden per
unit output is likely to reduce significantly with increased technology and
manufacturing maturity levels [15].
In terms of battery technologies, Greenwood et al. [16] have criticised the TRL
for being too generalised for consistent application to batteries. They have taken
inspiration from the TRL, MRL, and other readiness levels, to develop the Battery
Component Readiness Level (BC-RL) framework. In the BC-RL, three types of
technologies are defined depending on the extent to which the technology can use
existing production and cell assembly processes, and nine stages are identified, from
laboratory production (stage 1) to commercialisation (stage 9).
As highlighted in Table 12.1, on each BC-RL stage, different data sources can be
used for assessments of battery components and cells. For example, in the theoretical
228 F. Cerdas et al.
Table 12.1 Battery Component Readiness Levels by Greenwood et al. [16] and examples of
assessments for battery components and cells
Battery Component Readiness Level Assessment example
1. Theoretical concept development Environmental screening of nanomaterials for
batteries [13]
2. Determination of fundamental component Estimation of material cost for fictive dual-
properties graphite cells [37]
3. Determination of electrochemical properties LCA based on lab-scale coin cell with a sul-
for small-format full cells – system-level phide solid electrolyte [55]
proof of concept
4. Determination of electrochemical properties LCA based on a lab-produced pouch cells with
for commercial-scale cells – system-level a Sn0.9Mn0.1O2 anode powering a remote-
prototype controlled vehicle [5]
5. Development of proof of concept for scalable Combination of pilot and lab-scale data to
component production predict the environmental impact of processing
battery-grade cobalt sulphate [38]
6. Development of industrial-scale component Cost and energy estimates of industrial pro-
production processes duction of LiPF6 based on process modelling
[43]
7. Development of proof of concept for scalable LCA for a cell based on a pilot-scale produc-
cell production tion line [11]
8. Development of industrial-scale cell produc- Gate-to-gate GHG emissions of a 7 GWh cell
tion processes production line based on calculations [10]
9. Establishment of commercial plants for Top-down LCA of an automotive lithium-ion
component and cell production battery pack produced in an existing 30 GWh
factory [42]
electricity mixes must also be included in the background data used for the assess-
ments in order to more accurately capture the future impacts of battery electric
vehicles [8].
The available data and quality determine the extent to which results can be
applied for comparative assertion or hotspot assessments [56]. The goal of the
study needs to be transparent and adapted to the data quality. It is furthermore
essential to consider both the quality level and the time required for assessment, as
well as the timing of the results needed to impact effectively the design and
development stage.
Additional modelling choices are made for prospective assessments to determine the
expected impacts of an emerging product system, including defining the functional
unit, system boundary, allocation methods, and scaling factors. These challenges are
not unique to prospective assessments, but due to data gaps and several unknowns
such as the future application of the product system and how the production
processes will be implemented at larger scales, these challenges become more
prominent in prospective assessment [19].
The reliance on laboratory-scale data to perform prospective LCAs presents a
significant challenge. It requires the upscaling of foreground inventory data. In a
typical scaled-up process, the process is first optimised in the lab, followed by
several steps to upscale the technology before building a large-scale facility
[45]. This includes preliminary validation of lab-scale process and constructing a
mini-plant, followed by a pilot plant to validate processes and finally simulate
industrial-scale production. Due to the time-intensive nature of actual upscaling,
prospective assessments utilise various data projection techniques to predict the
future implementation of technology on an industrial scale [47]. In the case of
emerging batteries, there are different methods for scaling products, and the scales
defined for this context are at the level of electrodes, cells, or packs.
Upscaling at the product level includes the tasks of determining the material
composition of the product to which other material and energy flows are related.
For incremental innovations that build on existing technology, for example, an
increase of the electrode thickness, the already existing cell design needs to be
adapted. Performance-mass models are the most used tools to calculate the effects
of the changed cell design to the material composition. Those types of models are
typically spreadsheet based and are available for a variety of different cell chemis-
tries and cell formats as they are often used within cost assessments. Prominent
230 F. Cerdas et al.
examples for conventional Li-ion technology are the BatPaC model [32], the CellEst
model [52], or the mass model developed by Schünemann [39].
Prospective assessments on new technology for batteries are typically based on
lab-produced prototype cells (e.g. coin cells or small pouch) used for experimental
purposes. However, prototype cells produced on a lab scale are not always compa-
rable with those used in industry [27] and using these as a base of assessments might
result in under- or overestimations of impacts. For example, lab-scale-produced
solid-state cells typically contain a relatively thick solid electrolyte (typically
80–200 μm for solid polymer and composite polymer and up to 1 mm for inorganic
electrolytes) but need to be reduced to below 25 μm to realise high energy densities
[58]. Zhang et al. [55] illustrate how such thick inorganic solid electrolyte (1 mm) in
a lab-produced coin cell is responsible for 97.1% of the total manufacturing energy
consumption and has roughly double the global warming potential impact compared
to a conventional LIB cell.
Different methods can be applied to upscale novel battery technologies from
lab-scale or theoretical conceptual cells in prospective assessments on new technol-
ogy. These include the use of basic calculation project cells produced in a lab
environment, adapted spreadsheet-type models, and more advanced electrochemical
models. The first approach uses basic (linear) calculations to estimate how the
lab-produced prototype cells might scale in the future. For example, Zhang et al.
[55] linearly scale the 1-mm-thick solid electrolyte used in a coin cell down to
thickness of 20 μm to quantify the environmental benefits. Similarly, Wolff et al.
[53] use a set of linear equations to scale a lithium-sulphur lab-produced coin cell to
represent a 50 kWh automotive battery. While such simple scaling is useful for
approximations, they typically neglect the technical complexity of batteries. To
include such technical complexity, more advanced models are used to simulate
specific cell designs used as an input to the inventory data. Due to the structural
similarity of different battery types, existing spreadsheet-based models can be
adapted for new cell chemistries. Peters et al. [34], for example, use a modified
BatPaC model to obtain the inventory data and related life cycle environmental
impacts of different sodium-ion battery types based on the electrochemical param-
eters of different sodium-ion active materials.
The two discussed types of models are important to develop the LCI for the raw
materials, the production, and the end-of-life life cycle stage. For a holistic analysis
as is foreseen in LCA, the use phase of the battery needs to be understood. This task
requires more advanced electrochemical models to understand the aging mecha-
nisms and the performance of the battery over its life cycle. Electrochemical models
have been linked to LCA to enable a more systematic evaluation of battery design
parameters (e.g. electrode thickness, porosity, and ambient temperature) and oper-
ating conditions on energy density and life cycle and related environmental impacts
of lithium-ion batteries [24, 25]. Such coupling between detailed electrochemical
models and system analysis models such as LCA or cost assessments has only
recently been proposed and is presently not widely adopted or available.
12 Methodological Challenges of Prospective Assessments 231
In the context of the production life cycle stage, an upscaling method for the unit
process level can be defined as the procedure to project how a new process presently
available at a low MRL might function at a higher MRL [47]. The goal of this
upscaling process is to generate the potential material and energy flows of the unit
process as well as potential emissions and waste flows. Following Parvatker and
Eckelman [33] and van der Giesen et al. [48], a range of general LCI generation
methods can be identified (see Fig. 12.1). The choice of method is largely dependent
on the data and time available for the assessment and the MRL of the assessed
technology. Scaling up the data from lower TRLs and MRLs to commercial scale
also impacts the accuracy and introduces uncertainty into the results (discussed in
more detail in Sect. 12.4).
When inventory data cannot be directly obtained from a commercial plant or LCI
database, the first LCI generation method choice is the use of process simulation.
Process simulation refers to steady-state and dynamic simulation models using
process simulation software (e.g. Aspen Plus, CHEMCAD, or HSC Sim) and is
commonly used in chemical and process engineering to analyse, design, and
improve production processes. As such models typically require detailed process
operational parameters, the manufacturing readiness level of the process has to be
relatively high. Following process simulation, the second method is manual calcu-
lation [47] which includes advanced process calculations, basic process calculations,
and calculation based on stoichiometric relations. As opposed to basic process
calculations, advanced process calculations include more details such as production
scale, equipment efficiencies, equipment sizing, and calculation of the energy
Fig. 12.1 Methods to generate life cycle inventory data with respect to uncertainty, accuracy, data
availability, and manufacturing readiness level (MRL). (Adapted from van der Giesen et al. [48] and
Parvatker and Eckelman [33])
232 F. Cerdas et al.
developments. The absence of empirical data, combined with the high degree of
uncertainty in the future scenarios being evaluated, can lead to uncertainties in the
results between studies performing a prospective LCA [48]. This can make it
challenging for decision-makers to use the results of the assessment in a meaningful
way. Due to such challenges, the management of uncertainty becomes a critical
aspect in the prospective LCA of emerging technologies.
To address these challenges, it is important to have robust and transparent
methods for uncertainty management in prospective LCA of emerging technologies.
This will ensure that the results of the assessment are reliable and that decision-
makers can have confidence in the results. Several methods have been proposed for
uncertainty management in prospective LCA, including sensitivity analysis, scenario
analysis, and Monte Carlo simulation [45]. These methods can be used to identify
the key sources of uncertainty in the results and to assess their impact on the results
of the assessment. In addition, several types of uncertainties exist, including param-
eter uncertainty, scenario uncertainty, and model uncertainty [23]. This section
focuses on parameter and scenario uncertainty, which are the most found ones in
prospective LCAs of emerging technologies.
Parameter uncertainty refers to the variability and unreliability of the input data
used in an LCA study [29]. This type of uncertainty is prevalent in every type of
product assessed using an LCA, but it is especially pronounced at emerging tech-
nologies. Input data can be uncertain due to a lack of information or due to variability
in the data collected. There are several factors that can cause variability in the input
data. Some of the most common sources of variability include data collection, data
quality, model uncertainty, and measurement uncertainty. For example, data on
energy consumption, emissions, or material use can be subject to measurement
error, variability in production processes, or changes in the market energy mixes.
To account for parameter uncertainty, LCA practitioners often use sensitivity ana-
lyses to examine how changes in input parameters affect the overall results of an
LCA. The Monte Carlo method is another commonly used approach to account for
parameter uncertainty, where the input data is modelled using probability distribu-
tions and then simulated multiple times to account for variability.
The uncertainty in LCA scenarios arises from the choices made in the modelling
process, such as the assumptions made in the goal and scope phase or the upscaling
calculations [45]. This type of uncertainty is especially prevalent in prospective
LCAs of emerging technologies, where information is limited and there is a high
degree of uncertainty about the future development of the technology [23]. For
instance, when making assumptions about the development of the electricity grid in
the background datasets, the results of the LCA can be highly uncertain due to the
selection made. To mitigate scenario uncertainty, researchers frequently employ
sensitivity analyses to investigate how changes in key assumptions or boundary
conditions impact the overall results of the LCA [26]. Additionally, prospective
LCAs can be used to explore extreme-case scenarios (or anticipatory LCAs) or to
assess the robustness of the results under different boundary conditions [51].
Several studies have been conducted to address uncertainty in prospective LCAs,
including Cooper and Gutowski’s approach for selecting probability distributions
234 F. Cerdas et al.
[7], Lacirignola et al.’s procedure for examining the robustness of global sensitivity
analysis results [23], Marini and Blanc’s method for identifying parameters that
contribute to uncertainty using the Sobol indices [26], Ravikumar et al.’s statistical
test for significant differences in LCA results (Ravikumar et. al. 2018), and Wender
et al.’s development of anticipatory LCAs [51].
In conclusion, uncertainty management is a critical aspect of prospective LCA of
emerging technologies. Applying the existing methods to document the uncertainties
in the results of LCA will aid in wider acceptance of the results. Regardless of the
choice of method used to mitigate uncertainty, considering uncertainty is essential to
ensure the reliability and credibility of the results of a prospective LCA study.
Failing to consider uncertainty can result in unreliable and misleading results,
making it difficult to make informed decisions about the sustainability of emerging
technologies.
12.5 Comparability
LCA has become a widely used method for evaluating the environmental impact of
emerging technologies. However, comparability of results between studies can be
challenging due to several factors, and they can be related to the aim of the LCA
study, the functionality of the LCA, system boundaries, and specified life cycle
impact assessment methodologies [45].
In prospective life cycle assessments, the aim of the study plays a crucial role in
determining the comparability of results. The aim of the study can be generally
categorised into (i) comparisons of technologies or (ii) identifications of hotspots,
both of which are predominantly used in retrospective assessments. Unlike retro-
spective assessments, prospective assessments require differentiation between com-
parisons at different technology readiness levels (TRLs), such as laboratory-scale
compared to industrial-scale production, or comparisons at a similar TRL but
different maturity readiness level (MRL), such as laboratory-produced Li-ion battery
cells compared to laboratory-produced solid-state battery cells. Assessing technolo-
gies at different TRLs can prove to be the most challenging task and often result in
less accurate comparisons. To improve the comparability and interpretability of
results, it is essential to communicate the readiness levels and production scale of
the technology as part of the prospective assessment and clearly state them in the
study [15]. The use of various upscaling methods, as discussed in Sect. 12.2, can also
aid in comparing technologies with different TRLs.
The aim of the LCA study also plays a crucial factor in determining the compa-
rability of results between studies. For example, a study that aims to compare the
12 Methodological Challenges of Prospective Assessments 235
12.5.2 Functionality
The system boundary is a critical factor in the comparability of results between LCA
studies. The system boundary determines the extent of the life cycle to be included in
the study, and the choice of system boundary can have a significant impact on the
results of the study. For example, a study with a narrow system boundary may not
include all environmental impacts associated with a technology or product, while a
study with a broad system boundary may include environmental impacts that are not
related to the technology or product [6].
The choice of system boundary can also impact the level of detail and accuracy of
the results. For example, a narrow system boundary might provide a detailed
analysis of specific processes within the technology but may not fully capture the
overall environmental impact of the technology. On the other hand, a broad system
boundary might provide a comprehensive view of the technology but may not
provide the level of detail necessary to evaluate specific processes or impacts.
Therefore, it is essential to indicate the extent of inclusion or exclusion of the
processes in the system boundary. Studies comparing similar systems should attempt
to include the necessary processes required for a fair comparison and evaluation with
existing technologies.
The choice of life cycle impact assessment methodology is another key factor in the
comparability of results between LCA studies. Different methodologies have differ-
ent strengths and weaknesses, and the choice of methodology can have a significant
impact on the results of the study. For example, some methodologies may be more
suitable for assessing the impact of emerging technologies, while others may be
better suited for comparing the impact of different production processes [45].
In the impact assessment phase, the methodologies used to calculate the impacts
can also vary, leading to different results. Some methodologies have additional
regionalised impact categories, while others use global impact categories, which
can result in significant differences in the results. Therefore, an appropriate choice of
methodology representing the impacts for the system is necessary [33]. In addition,
to improve comparability with previous and upcoming studies, it would be beneficial
to include as many impact categories and methodologies as possible.
Using outdated LCIA methods can lead to incorrect conclusions as emerging
technologies can cause unknown impacts in the future that are not captured by
existing LCIA categories. Additionally, different characterisation factors are avail-
able for various impact categories, and it is suggested to perform the LCA with
different characterisation factors [20].
Data availability is often limited in early-design-stage assessments, making it
difficult to determine all impact categories [11]. Moreover, the potential
12 Methodological Challenges of Prospective Assessments 237
This section discussed the definition of prospective assessment as well as the use of
its results to inform technology developers, policymakers, and manufacturers. The
section also highlighted that there is presently no standard method for conducting a
prospective assessment. Several challenges related to data availability, scaling
issues, uncertainty, and comparability were identified and discussed. These chal-
lenges are highly interconnected and largely linked to the availability of data and
choice of upscaling methods, leading to increased uncertainties and difficulty to
compare results with existing technologies.
The use of prospective assessments for emerging technologies, such as electric
vehicle batteries, poses significant challenges that must be transparently reported and
understood by all stakeholders. The lack of transparency in LCA results, especially
in a prospective context, requires clear descriptions and justifications of all assump-
tions made during the assessment process. The results of prospective assessments
can provide valuable insights in identifying the environmental impacts of emerging
technologies, and results can be used to envisage mitigation strategies.
However, it is important to note that prospective LCAs do not predict the future
but rather explore a range of possible scenarios that define the space in which the
technology may operate. This allows for a fair comparison of emerging technologies
with incumbent technologies and the verification of design options that could steer
the technology towards a preferred future state.
In conclusion, the use of prospective LCA in evaluating emerging technologies
has the potential to provide valuable insights into the future development of these
technologies. By exploring various scenarios and implementing systematic uncer-
tainty management, prospective LCA can support decision-makers in steering the
technology towards a preferred future state. It is crucial that the results of these
assessments are transparently reported and understood by all stakeholders, including
technology developers, policymakers, industry decision-makers, and society, to
ensure their effective use in decision-making.
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Chapter 13
Life Cycle Assessment of Emerging Battery
Systems
Contents
13.1 Closed Battery Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 244
13.2 Open Battery Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 250
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255
The scale of battery capacity that may need to be produced and subsequently
managed to enable compliance with regional clean energy use and emissions
reductions goals highlights the importance of minimizing the life cycle environmen-
tal impact of battery technologies. Here, the life cycle of a battery technology
encompasses the material and energy inputs and outputs associated with materials
extraction, manufacturing, use, and end-of-life handling processes. Each battery
technology requires different processes for each of these stages. In addition,
improvements and changes in these processes are continually being developed and
implemented. Accounting for the material and energy inputs and outputs associated
with a product’s life cycle and translating the results to material resource require-
ments and environmental impacts are encompassed in life cycle assessment (LCA).
Conducting an LCA of a given product requires data that tracks the required
materials and energy inputs and outputs associated with the production, use, and
end-of-life management processes for that product. These data consist of both direct
inputs to and outputs from processes directly involving the product itself, as well as
inputs and outputs associated with the systems that provide those inputs. These
datasets are developed from multiple data sources including but not limited to
material supplier data, manufacturer data, trade data, academic literature, and
regional government databases. Datasets for a particular product can be updated as
supply chains and product designs are changed, but due to the lengthy time require-
ment and institutional barriers (i.e., manufacturers protecting their proprietary data)
required to produce LCA data, these may not always keep up with emerging
developments.
Certain battery technologies have relatively mature LCA datasets and subse-
quently a robust literature of LCAs that characterize them. For example, batteries
that have been deployed at a commercial scale for a long time, such as lead-acid,
nickel-metal hydride, and variations on lithium-ion batteries, have been the subject
of many LCA studies due to their ubiquity in consumer electronics and, more
recently, electric vehicles and electric grid-tied energy storage [6, 14, 17, 35, 41,
43]. Improvements are continually being made in terms of reducing the environ-
mental impacts of their product supply chain, in-use performance, and end-of-life
handling procedures for some of these chemistries. Additionally, technological
improvements in battery performance are being assessed and reflected in updated
LCAs that build on the results of previous studies.
Newer battery technologies, as discussed in Parts V, do not yet enjoy the benefit
of a robust literature on their environmental impacts due to their relative immaturity
and/or lack of scale of deployment, combined with the time and effort required to
compose datasets for these technologies that are sufficient to perform informative
LCAs. However, prospective LCAs for some of these battery technologies have
been conducted, whether for full battery packs or installations or for materials and
components that are essential to these systems (i.e., anode materials). This section
will summarize the literature of prospective LCAs for presently emerging battery
technologies and comment on the needs for the scope of future assessments to
improve our understanding of these technologies such that these can be compared
on a consistent basis with incumbent battery technologies.
A closed battery system in this discussion refers to a system where all the funda-
mental components of the battery – the anode, cathode, and electrolyte – are
contained within the same physical space and no outflow of matter occurs. This
contrasts with an open system, which will be the focus of Sect. 13.2. For closed
systems, emerging battery technologies of interest for improving performance char-
acteristics (e.g., higher energy density) over incumbent technologies consist of new
battery chemistries based on novel lithium chemistries enabled using metal anodes
or solid electrolytes or chemistries based on different anode materials such as
sodium, magnesium, aluminum, potassium, and calcium.
13 Life Cycle Assessment of Emerging Battery Systems 245
electric vehicles due to higher energy density that reduced energy consumption
during vehicle operation. Cell chemistry variations had a significant effect on
production phase impacts.
Overall, present literature on LCAs of solid-state battery technology shows that
there is still much uncertainty regarding the existence or extent of environmental
benefits from using solid-state batteries compared to conventional lithium-ion bat-
teries. The environmental impacts of these systems are generally found to be similar
to that of conventional lithium-ion batteries but, depending on the scope of the
assessment and the specific chemistries used, can be higher or lower than conven-
tional batteries. In designing future solid-state battery systems, care must be taken to
identify and avoid unintended consequences that contribute to high environmental
impacts.
Another emerging development for batteries based on lithium is the use of lithium
metal anodes instead of traditional graphite-based anodes. Lithium metal anodes
potentially provide the benefit of increased energy and power densities compared to
batteries with conventional anodes but are presently subject to multiple material
stability issues during use [37]. Nonetheless, prospective LCAs of battery systems or
components containing lithium metal anodes have been conducted. Berg and
Zackrisson [8] conducted a cradle-to-grave LCA of metal anodes for lithium battery
packs used in electric vehicles using computer simulations of the battery cells as
opposed to physical fabrication, focusing on greenhouse gas emissions from a life
cycle perspective. They showed that lithium iron phosphate (LFP) and nickel
manganese cobalt (NMC) batteries based on lithium metal anodes exhibit lower
life cycle greenhouse gas emissions compared to their conventional counterparts
used in Nissan Leaf and Tesla Model S vehicles. Emissions reductions for the Nissan
Leaf ranged from 50% to 58% of the original pack, while that for the Tesla Model S
ranged from 20% to 39% of that of the original pack. This study shows the potential
environmental benefits of batteries with lithium metal anodes, but these results
require validation by assessment of physically produced cells.
Vandepaer et al. [34] performed a cradle-to-grave LCA of LFP batteries compar-
ing the use of lithium metal anodes (lithium metal polymer or LMP) versus tradi-
tional graphite anodes in a stationary grid-connected application, differentiating
between systems deployed at the distributed vs. centralized scale. This study showed
that LMP batteries exhibited lower contributions to detrimental human health
impacts (~18% reduction) and climate change (~23% reduction) but similar contri-
butions to ecosystem damage and resource use compared to conventional graphite
anode batteries, for both the centralized and distributed systems. These results are
strongly driven by the assumptions for the sourcing and production of battery
materials – aluminum from China produced using coal power in the graphite anodes
versus aluminum sourced from Canada using hydropower in the metal anodes.
13 Life Cycle Assessment of Emerging Battery Systems 247
Therefore, the study highlights the key factor of emissions generated from metal
production and their sensitivity to the energy source used for production.
Wu and Kong [40] also performed a comparative cradle-to-gate LCA of lithium-
ion battery production with three different anode materials: lithium metal, silicon
nanowire, and traditional graphite anodes, all used in batteries with a common
chemistry (NCM). When focusing on the production of a given mass of anode
material alone, this study found that the conventional anode material exhibited the
lowest contributions toward six of eight midpoint environmental indicators exam-
ined, with lithium metal anodes exhibiting the lowest contributions toward metal
depletion potential and marine eutrophication potential. The silicon nanowire anode
exhibited the highest impacts across all categories. In translating these results to the
production of full battery systems of the same energy capacity (1 kWh), however, the
batteries made with lithium metal anodes exhibited the lowest contributions toward
all eight environmental impact indicators considered in the study, with the most
significant benefits occurring for marine eutrophication potential. This results from
differences in the specific energy of the different anodes: anodes with higher specific
energy will require a lower mass of anode to be produced to enable a battery with a
given energy capacity. Lithium metal anodes have specific capacities of roughly ten
times that of conventional graphite anodes but do not have ten times the environ-
mental impacts; therefore, full battery systems produced with lithium metal anodes
exhibited the lowest environmental impacts. The study demonstrated, however, that
these benefits occur when the cycle life of the lithium metal-based battery is similar
to that of batteries with conventional anodes; lower cycle life will reduce or eliminate
the cradle-to-gate environmental benefits of lithium metal batteries.
Padashbarmchi et al. [23] performed a comparative, cradle-to-grave LCA of the
lithium-ion batteries produced using three different metal oxide nanoparticles as the
anode active material, iron oxide, cobalt oxide, and copper oxide, and compared
these against a battery with a traditional graphite anode. The study presented
environmental impacts using an aggregated metric of Eco-indicator points from
the Eco-indicator99 framework. Based on this metric, batteries produced with two
of the metal oxide-based anode materials (iron oxide and cobalt oxide) exhibited
lower environmental impact scores than batteries with traditional graphite anodes,
with batteries based on copper oxide obtaining higher environmental impact scores.
For individual endpoint indicators, all three metal oxide anodes showed lower
resource depletion impacts than the traditional graphite anode, while copper oxide
exhibited a very high contribution to human health impacts that drove its total
indicator score. This study shows that metal anodes have the potential to have a
lower impact than conventional anode materials depending on the materials chosen.
The present literature on LCAs of metal anode technology for lithium-ion batte-
ries shows that wider use of this technology have the potential to reduce environ-
mental impacts compared to conventional anode batteries in both mobile and
stationary applications.
248 B. Tarroja et al.
Concerns regarding the criticality and geopolitics of access to lithium resources have
also driven interest in developing and scaling battery chemistries that depend on
elements other than lithium for their active anode element. Specifically, other alkali
metals (sodium, potassium), alkaline earth metals (magnesium, calcium), and metals
such as aluminum are of interest for lithium alternatives, described in Part V, as well
as organic materials.
Peters et al. [24] performed the first-of-its-kind LCA of the production (cradle-to-
gate) of a sodium-ion battery pack and compared its impacts using six midpoint
environmental indicators with those for different lithium-ion battery packs. They
also explored the sensitivity of these impacts to cycle life, round-trip efficiency, and
material substitution of anode hard carbon precursors. They found that with a cycle
life of 2000 cycles, sodium-ion environmental impacts were lower than lithium-ion
batteries on two indicators (freshwater eutrophication and human toxicity), within
the range of lithium-ion batteries for three indicators (global warming, fossil deple-
tion, and terrestrial acidification), and higher impacts than lithium-ion batteries for
marine eutrophication potential. Battery cycle life was found to be a major factor in
comparing sodium-ion battery environmental impacts versus lithium-ion batteries: a
drop to a cycle life of 1000 caused sodium-ion batteries to generally perform worse
than lithium-ion across indicators, while increases to 3000 or higher led to lower
impacts than most lithium-ion battery types. This study also highlights the potential
for improvement in these impacts from material selection for the anode and cathode
as well as its precursors and production method.
Jasper et al. [16] included a sodium-ion battery in a comparative, cradle-to-grave
life cycle assessment of a home battery system operated to increase the use of
otherwise curtailed solar electricity generation, where it was compared against
three lithium-ion chemistries based on a functional unit of 1 kWh of electricity
delivered. A sodium nickel magnesium manganese titanium oxide cathode and a
hard carbon anode were selected to represent the sodium-ion battery. For the full life
cycle of these systems, sodium-ion batteries were found to have higher contributions
to global warming potential, resource depletion, and freshwater toxicity than the
three lithium-ion battery systems. These results were driven by the relatively lower
energy density of the sodium-ion battery compared to the lithium-ion batteries at the
time of publishing, which requires a larger material mass to be produced to deliver
1 kWh of electricity. Since this larger material mass increases the scale of all life
cycle processes, their emissions also increased. It is important to note that between
the time of the study [16] and that of the initial study by Peters et al. [24], the energy
density of lithium-ion battery technology has improved, which explains the differ-
ence between the results of these studies. Another recent study by Carvalho et al.
[10] that conducted a comparative cradle-to-gate LCA of lithium-ion and sodium-ion
batteries also found that producing a sodium-ion battery contributed more to climate
change and resource use than lithium-ion batteries on a per-unit energy capacity
basis, also due to its lower energy density.
13 Life Cycle Assessment of Emerging Battery Systems 249
environmental impact profile, with designs that optimize the cell separator thickness
and pouch housing reducing contributions to global warming potential and fossil
fuel depletion to be similar to or lower than that of the lithium-ion batteries. The
optimized cell design for the MgS battery did exhibit higher material depletion and
ozone depletion potential than the initial design, but these impacts fell within the
range of values spanned by lithium-ion batteries. This study highlights the impor-
tance of fundamental cell design in driving larger-scale environmental impacts and
competitiveness of the MgS battery. This work was expanded in a study by Bautista
et al. [7], which takes the optimized cell design from Montenegro et al. [22] and
expands the scope of the LCA to a full modeled battery pack, including the use phase
of different battery applications on the electric grid, and compares the results against
three lithium-ion battery chemistries. This study found that the modeled MgS battery
still contributed environmental impacts that were similar to or lower than the range
spanned by lithium-ion batteries across all of the environmental impact indicators
included and across the different grid applications. The environmental impacts of the
MgS battery were found to be most sensitive to the assumption for the round-trip
efficiency of the system in all applications.
The literature on magnesium-based batteries shows promise for this technology in
competing against lithium-ion batteries from an environmental impact standpoint,
but this potential needs to be verified by LCAs based on physically produced packs
and tracked as production methods for this technology scales up to maturity.
Organic alternatives for battery materials are also of interest due to their potential
benefits for reduced environmental impact and resource depletion potential. A study
by Zhang et al. [46] performed a cradle-to-gate LCA of a fully organic closed system
battery based on organic polymers. This study did not perform a direct comparison to
other battery technologies but rather focused on identifying hotspots and major
contributors to environmental impacts to inform future needs for changes in pro-
duction processes and material selection. This study found that the dominant con-
tributor to environmental impacts was the production of the organic cathode
backbone due to the large number of steps involved requiring significant quantities
of solvents. For future improvements, optimizing the cathode backbone production
processes to reduce or eliminate the need for solvents will be important for reducing
the environmental impacts of this battery at scale.
An open battery system refers to one where the fundamental components of the
battery are not physically contained within the same space and the flow of matter
(e.g., electrolyte and oxidant) occurs between them. Open systems have the potential
to exhibit high energy density (i.e., in metal-air batteries) or ease of
decommissioning due to the partially deconstructed configuration of these systems.
For open systems, emerging battery technologies of interest for improved
13 Life Cycle Assessment of Emerging Battery Systems 251
Many flow battery chemistries exist at different stages of technological and com-
mercial maturity; therefore, relatively few of them have been the subject of LCA
studies. The earliest flow battery to reach commercial scale and presently the most
mature is the vanadium redox flow battery (VRFB), which has been the subject of
multiple LCAs. The first LCA including a vanadium redox flow battery was
conducted by Rydh [27] in 1999, which compared the life cycle environmental
impact of the VRFB with a lead-acid battery and found that the VRFB exhibited
lower environmental impact (using an aggregated environmental impact score) than
lead-acid batteries.
A more recent LCA was conducted by Weber et al. [38], which conducted a
cradle-to-cradle LCA of a VRFB based on a more detailed, up-to-date dataset of this
technology compared to the original inventory from Rydh [27] that was used in
multiple studies and compared the results to a lithium titanate-based LFP battery.
This study demonstrated that for the VRFB, components related to the electrolyte
were the strongest drivers of multiple environmental impacts including contributions
to global warming potential, due to the large weight fraction of the electrolyte and
related components and the environmental impact of vanadium production. When
compared to the lithium-ion battery, the VRFB exhibited lower or similar environ-
mental impacts for three of the four environmental impact indicators (global
warming, human toxicity, abiotic depletion) when electricity inputs to battery life
cycle processes were assumed to come from clean sources such as wind and solar.
When electricity inputs are fossil-based, VRFB impacts are higher than lithium-ion
due to its lower round-trip efficiency, requiring more fossil-based generation (and
subsequent environmental impacts) for each unit of electricity delivered by the
battery.
Additional LCA studies have also focused on or included the VRFB. A study by
AlShafi and Bicer [4] conducted a comparative LCA between the VRFB, com-
pressed air energy storage, and molten salt thermal storage based on per kWh of
electricity delivered from solar energy. Of these systems, the VRFB was found to
contribute the most toward all five of the environmental impact indicators consid-
ered, driven by the dominance of copper in the system and the environmental
impacts of solar PV. A study by da Silva Lima et al. [30] conducted a comparative,
cradle-to-grave LCA of a VRFB and an NMC-based lithium-ion battery on a per
kWh of renewable electricity delivered basis. Across their whole life cycle, the
environmental impacts of the VRFB were found to be similar or lower than that of
the lithium-ion battery when both were constructed with virgin materials but gener-
ally lower than that of lithium-ion batteries when 50% of the VRFB electrolyte is
recycled. This study also highlights the prominence of the VRFB electrolyte in
252 B. Tarroja et al.
driving environmental impacts due to its large mass fraction in the overall system
and energy-intensive production processes.
Recent LCAs have also started to assess new flow battery chemistries that have
only recently reached commercial scale. A study by He et al. [13] conducted a
comparative cradle-to-gate LCA of three flow battery chemistries: the VRFB, the
zinc-bromide flow battery (ZBFB), and the iron flow battery (IFB), based on up-to-
date manufacturer data for commercial systems. This was the first study to conduct
LCAs of the ZBFB and IFB systems, despite these systems already being deployed
at a small commercial scale. This study found that of these three systems, the IFB
generally exhibited the lowest environmental impacts in six of eight midpoint impact
indicators due to its use of relatively benign materials, the exception being freshwa-
ter ecotoxicity and ozone depletion potential due to materials used in the cell
membranes. The ZBFB generally exhibited the second largest contribution to
environmental impacts but contributed the most to abiotic resource depletion. The
VRFB exhibited the highest environmental impacts on seven of the eight impact
indicators included in the study, strongly driven in five of those impact categories by
the production of the VRFB electrolyte based on vanadium pentoxide. The VRFB
results, however, were shown to be highly sensitive to the assumed production
process of the vanadium pentoxide electrolyte, with lower emissions processes
potentially reducing environmental impacts in four of the eight categories to be
competitive with the IFB. This study highlights the importance of not only material
selection but also reducing the emissions intensity of production processes for key
materials that are required for flow battery operation. The results of this study were
used in a further study by Tian et al. [31] that assessed how the emissions saved from
the deployment of the three different flow batteries on a renewable electric grid scale
versus the emissions contributed from producing these batteries as the installed
capacity of these batteries on the grid increases. Extending the themes from the
study by He et al. [13], the IFB enabled the largest capacity of batteries to be
installed while ensuring that the emissions benefit outweighed battery production
emissions due to the low greenhouse gas emissions intensity of IFB production.
Conversely, the VRFB had a much lower ceiling on how much capacity can be
installed before battery production emissions overtook the emissions saved on the
grid. Selecting lower emissions intensity production methods for vanadium pentox-
ide increased this capacity ceiling, however.
Flow battery systems with organic electrolytes are also an emerging technology with
the possibility to reduce the potential environmental impacts and resource depletion
effects associated with inorganic electrolytes [9, 39]. Organic flow batteries are
relatively new and as of this writing (mid-2022) are just starting to be commercial-
ized. Therefore, LCAs of this class of technologies are relatively sparse in the
13 Life Cycle Assessment of Emerging Battery Systems 253
research literature, but one very recent (published 2022) study focused on
performing LCAs of flow batteries with organic electrolytes.
A study by Di Florio et al. [11] performed a comparative, cradle-to-gate LCA of a
semi-organic flow battery using anthraquinone disulfonic acid and hydrobromic acid
as electrolyte materials and compared the impact results against a VRFB on a per
1 MWh of electricity delivered basis for renewable energy shifting. This study found
that the semi-organic flow battery exhibited lower environmental impacts on 8 of the
11 categories of environmental impacts considered. The three exceptions were
stratospheric ozone depletion, mineral resource scarcity, and cumulative energy
demand; however, the semi-organic flow battery and the VRFB exhibited similar
contributions in these cases, and their differences were found to be within the band of
uncertainty for the analysis. These results were largely driven by the lower contri-
butions to environmental impacts from electrolyte production, highlighting the
benefit of the semi-organic electrolyte. However, the semi-organic electrolyte was
assessed for two different production pathways, air oxidation and dichromate oxi-
dation, and the beneficial results apply to the air oxidation pathway, with the
dichromate oxidation pathway exhibiting higher environmental impacts for the
electrolyte production.
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Chapter 14
Techno-economics Analysis on Sodium-Ion
Batteries: Overview and Prospective
Contents
14.1 Sodium-Ion Battery Basic Raw Materials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259
14.2 Sodium-Ion Battery Cost Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265
The total global battery demand is expected to reach nearly 1000 GWh per year by
2025 and exceed 2600 GWh by 2030 [1]. The expandability of lithium-ion batteries
(LIBs) is one of the options; however, with the increasing shortage of lithium
minerals and their uneven distribution around the world [2], the long-term develop-
ment of LIBs could be constrained. In fact, the raw material demand driven by
battery applications is estimated to experience unprecedented growth in the coming
years. In detail, four battery metals are impacted the most by this growth towards
2030: lithium by a factor of 6, cobalt by a factor of 2, class 1 nickel by a factor of
24, and manganese by 1.2 [1].
In this context, sodium-ion battery (SIB) might become an important alternative
considering its abundant resources, high cost-effectiveness, and high safety.
The early SIB development took place in parallel with the LIB development in the
1970s/1980s. Subsequently, their development slowed down considerably due to the
higher energy density lithium-ion chemistry in the 1990s/2000s [3].
On the other hand, due to availability and price issues of Li-ion basic raw
materials, related to the fast increase of demand from mobility, mobile electronics,
and stationary applications confronted with limited availability of the supply side
[4, 5], recently, the studies of sodium-ion batteries have rapidly become highly
topical, as evidenced by the sharp increase in the number of research papers.
SIBs have the most similarities with LIBs in terms of working principle, typical
electrode materials, and electrolyte formulations. Moreover, SIBs in principle can
use the same technologies of LIB manufacturing lines, reducing development costs
and timescales [6]. SIBs have the same working principle as LIBs, with the differ-
ence that the charge transfer relies on sodium ions instead of lithium ions and
electrode RedOx reactions involve Na instead of Li. Both electrodes are deposited
on metallic current collectors, immersed in a liquid electrolyte allowing for mobility
of ions between electrodes, and separated by electrically non-conductive, porous
(to allow ion mobility) layer preventing internal short circuit [3].
Moreover, sodium-ion chemistry allows to use aluminium, which is inactive in
terms of reacting with sodium, for both anode and cathode current collectors,
substituting in this way copper otherwise used as anode current collector in LIBs
[2]. Therefore, changing the current collector from copper to aluminium cannot only
greatly reduce the cost of the cell but also addresses the over-discharge issue,
especially in organic solutions, and decreases the battery weight. According to [7],
the cost shares of the current collector foils are 11.6% for copper and 2.7% for
aluminium in terms of the total cost of a lithium-ion cell. Replacing the copper foil
with an aluminium foil in a SIB would result in a cell material cost reduction of about
9%, with a corresponding battery cost reduction of about 3%. The exchange would
consequently result in a 55% mass reduction but also a 50% volume increase relative
to the exchanged foil.
On the other hand, since commercial graphite cannot be directly used as anode for
SIBs, due to intercalation problems and a lack of stable Na–C compounds [8], SIBs
might show a significant increase of the anode contribution to the total price. The
commonly proposed alternative anode for SIBs is hard carbon, although it re-acts
less with sodium than the lithium in graphite per unit mass and volume. In fact, hard
carbon shows lower specific density than graphite, and thus thicker laminates are
needed, and as the irreversible capacity is also larger, more active material is
required, which could increase the costs [9].
Although different works investigated the use of hard carbon as anode for SIBs,
in order to make it more practical [10–12], commercial hard carbon prices kg-1 are
not available. But it has been reported that higher price comes from the high-cost
precursors [10, 11]. However, in order to reduce SIB cost and increase its perfor-
mances, there are different studies that focus on low-cost/high-yield synthesis of
hard carbon using cheaper precursors (e.g. cellulose, corn stalks, phenolic resin)
[10, 12]. Vaalma et al. used $15 kg-1 as a price of hard carbon; however, it can be
lowered up to $8 kg-1, considering the efforts are being done to enhance the
properties of the hard carbon [7, 10].
For the electrolyte, the differences are comparably small: the amount of lithium in
the electrolyte is very low (0.5% for a 1 M LiPF6 solution in organic solvent), and
14 Techno-economics Analysis on Sodium-Ion Batteries: Overview and Prospective 261
While there are several works available in the literature on the costs of lithium-ion
battery materials [14], cells, and packs, there is relatively little available analysis of
these for sodium ion [15]. Moreover, most of the works focus on costs of material
preparation and the electrodes/electrolytes taken in isolation, without considering the
costs of the whole cell or battery system [16]. However, the cost percentage for
active components (cathodes, anodes, and electrolytes) in cells is generally lower
than 50% [7], while the costs of the inactive components (current collectors, binders,
separators, etc.) are even higher than for those electrode materials. Therefore, the
lack of a cost analysis makes it hard to evaluate the long-term feasibility of this
storage technology.
For realistic cost predictions, calculations must be done for a certain battery cell
with defined kWh. As sodium has a higher molecular weight and a larger size than
that of lithium, the theoretical energy density may decrease, and the cost at the cell
level can increase [5, 10].
A detailed cost analysis using the Argonne National Lab’s BatPaC model
(a commonly applied battery cost model, with specifications for many common
cathode chemistries, including SIB technology) has been undertaken by Faradion
and suggests that material costs at a manufacturing scale will be less than
$150 kWh-1 [17]. This makes sodium technology cost competitive with the most
inexpensive lithium technologies. The cost breakdown for the components for a
Faradion 12 Ah pouch cell is as follows: anode active material = 26%, cathode
active material = 28%, electrolyte = 12%, separator = 3%, current collectors =
13%, and miscellaneous components to a fabricate pouch cell-type battery = 18%.
Hirsh et al. [18] investigated the use of Na-ion batteries for grid energy storage,
included a cost analysis of Na-ion cells for various sodium cathode chemistries, and
included a comparison with the cost ($ per kWh) of LiCoO2. The calculated values
compare very favourably with those calculated by Faradion showing that cobalt-free
Na ion to be between 40% and 60% lower cost in $ per kWh than LiCoO2/graphite
(which they calculate to be at 99 $ per kWh). The authors attribute this significant
decrease in cost to the transition metal elements, particularly Co and Ni, which in
262 M. Ferraro and G. Tumminia
Table 14.1 Cost comparison of model sodium-ion and lithium-ion batteries, considering as
assumption an 11.5 kWh, 7 kW battery [7]
LMO– NCM622– NCM622– NMO– ASC– FSC–
sG nG SiC sHC PHC aPHC
Cell material cost ($) 1022 878 841 1164 943 781
Positive active material 31 40 43 20 37 37
(%)
Negative active material 16 13 10 24 12 9
(%)
Carbon and binders (%) 4 3 3 5 4 4
Positive current collector 3 2 3 3 3 4
(%)
Negative current collec- 12 10 11 3 4 4
tor (%)
Separator (%) 20 18 19 23 25 27
Electrolyte (%) 15 13 11 22 15 16
Battery pack ($) 2981 2760 2689 3300 2920 2704
Mass (kg) 89.5 68.1 57.9 111.6 78.4 69.4
Volume (l) 51.3 41.3 34.9 73.9 49.3 43.9
Specific energy density 128.5 169.0 198.5 103.1 146.8 165.8
(Wh/kg)
Price per energy ($/Wh) 1022 878 841 1164 943 781
the cost of the conductive carbon and binder and, especially, the cost of the
electrolyte.
With regard to the entire battery pack, the NMO–sHC battery shows different
disadvantages with respect to the LIBs such as increased volume, mass, and cost. On
the other hand, the FSC–aPHC cell chemistry would be competitive with NCM
(622)–SiC in terms of cost, and although it has a higher mass and volume, these
parameters may be less crucial for stationary applications.
However, as stated by the authors, the lifetime, energy efficiency, and safety
influence on the cost of the final batteries were not considered in the analysis. These
parameters strongly influence the costs of a storage system. In fact, for example, a
NCM–graphite battery with a cost of about $3,000 and a cycle life of about 5,000
cycles would have a cost per kilowatt hour ($0.060 kWh-1) that is more than twice
that of a LFP–LTO battery with a cost of about $5,000 and a cycle life of 20,000
cycles ($0.025 kWh-1).
Another similar study was conducted by [13] modifying BatPaC from a prismatic
cell model to a cylindrical 18,650 cell model. In detail, the authors compared layered
oxide SIB cells with two different LIB cell chemistries: lithium–nickel–manganese–
cobalt–oxide cathodes and lithium–iron–phosphate cathodes. The study results show
that the lithium–iron–phosphate battery shows the highest price per kWh of storage
capacity (229 €/kWh), followed by the SIB at 223.4 €/kWh. On the other hand, the
lithium–nickel–manganese–cobalt–oxide battery is the cheapest (168.5 €/kWh), due
to its high energy density. When looking at the contribution of the battery materials
264 M. Ferraro and G. Tumminia
to the final cell costs (per single 18,650 cell), the benefits of the SIB on a material
level become clearer. Here, the SIB shows the lowest costs per single cell (0.50 €/
cell), whereas the materials for the NMC-type cells are the most expensive (0.72 €/
cell). However, these are costs per single cell and do not consider the storage
capacity.
Moreover, since fluctuations in raw material prices are a major factor of concern
for battery manufacturers [20], the authors perform a sensitivity analysis varying raw
material prices. The results show a high sensitivity to fluctuations in the graphite/
hard carbon prices. This is more severe for the SIB, where the share of anode active
material is higher. Regarding the cathode materials, the highest fluctuations can be
observed for cobalt and nickel. Lithium and copper, despite the variations in their
price, which have a stronger impact on the final cell price, are comparably stable
metals that did not fluctuate heavily over the past 10 years. However, recent
increases in the price of lithium have been significant and might be triggered by an
increasing demand for batteries, leading to potentially stronger impacts in LIB prices
than previously noted. Thus, the high dependency of the actual NMC price on
current nickel market prices, and cobalt market prices to a great degree, produces
significant uncertainty for future price predictions. Since this situation also affects
the SIB due to the high nickel content in the cathode, alternative nickel-free, SIB
cathode chemistries could be an interesting option in this regard.
At this time, a direct comparison of the cost-effectiveness of LIBs and SIBs is not
possible because SIBs have not been produced on a comparable scale to LIBs. In
fact, although the commercialisation and production of these systems are still at a
very infant stage as compared to LIBs, presently, there are few companies worldwide
developing commercial Na-ion batteries for some niche applications:
• Faradion Limited, established in 2011, was the first nonaqueous Na-ion battery
company in the world. It is an owner of >20 patent families (2019) covering a
range of materials, technologies, and system designs. Its main product uses high-
energy-density oxide cathode with hard carbon anode and liquid electrolyte. Its
pouch cells have demonstrated 140–150 Wh/kg at cell level with good rate
performance up to 3 C and cycle life of 300 (100% DoD) to 1000 (80% DoD)
[17]. It demonstrated viability of its solution for e-bike and e-scooter applications.
• Tiamat was founded in 2017 in France. Its solution is a 18,650 cell based on
polyanionic materials, with energy density of 100–120 Wh/kg at cell level
[21]. The company targets fast charging applications for both mobility and
stationary storage use. Durability of more than 4000 cycles and rate capability
of >80% retention for a 10 C rate have been recorded. The company has
demonstrated working prototypes of e-bikes, e-scooters, Start&Stop 12 V and
48 V batteries.
• Novasis Energies, Inc., originated from University of Texas at Austin, further
developed at the Sharp Laboratories of America. Based on Prussian blue ana-
logue as the cathode and hard carbon as the anode, its battery delivered 100–130
Wh/kg with cyclic stability of 500 cycles and rate capability up to 10 C.
14 Techno-economics Analysis on Sodium-Ion Batteries: Overview and Prospective 265
• HiNa Battery Technology Co., Ltd., a spin-off from the Institute of Physics,
Chinese Academy of Sciences (IOP-CAS), was established in 2017. Its batteries
are based on Na–Fe–Mn–Cu oxide cathodes and anthracite carbon anode and can
deliver 120 Wh/kg. In 2019, it was reported that HiNa installed a 30 kW/100 kWh
Na-ion battery in East China. Its NIB pouch cells with a cycle life of 2000 cycles
have been developed and demonstrated in e-bike, mini electric vehicle, and
household energy storage system applications.
• Altris AB:301 is a spin-off company from the Ångström Advanced Battery
Centre with links to Uppsala University and EIT InnoEnergy. The company is
selling Fennac®, an iron-based Prussian blue analogue for the positive electrode
in nonaqueous sodium-ion batteries. Batteries containing Fennac® utilise hard
carbon as the anode.
• Natron Energy, a spin-off from Stanford University, is another newly founded
company that uses Prussian blue analogues for both the cathode and anode but in
this case utilises an aqueous electrolyte. At the expense of lower energy density
values than those of organic-based batteries, this cell configuration allows run
times as short as 30 s achieving power values of 775 W kg-1 (or 1550 W L-1).
The cells are able to run over 25,000 cycles at 12 C rate accessing about 70% of
the total capacity and with only 6% degradation measured over the duration of the
test (6 months).
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Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing,
adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate
credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and
indicate if changes were made.
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Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not
included in the chapter’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by
statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from
the copyright holder.
Chapter 15
Techno-economics of Open Battery Systems
Christine Minke
Contents
15.1 Bottom-Up Approach in Techno-economics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
15.2 Data Basis and Quality in Techno-economics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271
15.3 Target Figures in Techno-economics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274
15.4 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 276
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 277
C. Minke (✉)
Chair of Circular Economy Systems, Clausthal University of Technology, Clausthal-Zellerfeld,
Germany
e-mail: [email protected]
Fig. 15.1 Interlinkage of levels in techno-economic modeling of flow batteries. (Source: Christine
Minke)
The achievable power P in a FB can be calculated with the number of cells N and the
power of a single cell, which is given by the cell voltage Ucell, the applied current
density I, and the cell area Acell:
The cell voltage can then be easily calculated on the basis of the open cell voltage
U0 and losses Rcell:
U cell = U 0 - Rcell i
P = N ðU 0 - Rcell iÞ i Acell
The energy content E of the battery is the product of the power P and the charge/
discharge time t:
E=P t
With Faraday’s law, one can calculate the required molar flow rate n_ R of the
redox-active species in the electrolyte with the elementary charge e, the number of
transferred electrons z, and the Avogadro number NA:
P
n_ R =
U cell e z N A
The volumes of the positive electrolyte PE and the negative electrolyte NE are
then obtained with
n_ R t
V PE = V NE =
cR DOD
Here, cR is the concentration of the redox-active species, and DOD is the depth of
discharge, which is the difference between the minimum and maximum SOC of the
battery.
Finally, the pumping power Ppump can be estimated with the electrolyte flow rate
through the cells V_ and the corresponding pressure drop Δp:
n_
Ppump = V_ Δp = f R Δp
cR
Pdischarge - Ppump
ηE = = ηC ηV
- Pcharge
Here, the coulombic efficiency ηC and the voltage efficiency ηV of the cell are
defined as the ratio of discharge and charge voltage, respectively. The coulombic
efficiency is mainly affected by side reactions and crossover processes and usually
has values above 95%. On the other hand, the voltage efficiency is determined by the
current density-dependent losses with typical values in the range of 80% for properly
chosen current densities.
270 C. Minke
The key components of FBs are the electrolyte containing the redox-active species
and the core elements of the stack, i.e., membrane, bipolar plates (BPPs), and
electrodes.
Detailed techno-economics of membranes have been provided in previous work
[13]. It has been shown that for cation exchange membranes with relatively high
price, i.e., NafionTM, the membrane has a significant impact on total costs. More-
over, given the complex production process and the costly raw materials, it is
unlikely that these prices will fall significantly. Alternatives are cost-effective
membranes based on sulfonated poly ether ether ketone (SPEEK) or other
low-cost materials [3] or even more cost-effective nanoporous separators. However,
the enhanced convective flow compared to dense membranes would require an
effective control of the pressure difference between the two half-cells [20].
BPPs show the second highest impact on costs as demonstrated in techno-
economics of carbon-polymer BPPs [10]. In particular, the choice of graphite raw
materials determines the processability of the compound, the production costs, and
the electrochemical performance. A remaining challenge is the manufacturing of
large-area BPPs. For square meter size, standard methods, i.e., injection molding, are
no longer applicable, and appropriate extrusion techniques have yet to be developed
for commercial applications [12].
Considering that two electrodes are required per unit cell, the electrode costs for
the carbon electrodes can be set at about the same level as the costs for BPPs.
However, considerable differences might occur depending on the raw materials used
for the carbon electrode production [11].
Last but not least, the electrolyte shows very high significance for the overall FB
costs. A detailed analysis for the most advanced all-vanadium flow battery (VFB)
system has shown that depending on the E/P ratio of the battery, up to 50% of the
overall costs can be attributed to the vanadium raw material [14]. Huge problems in
this context are the strongly fluctuating vanadium prices and the uncertain future
prospects for the price development. In spite of the possible development of more
cost-effective electrolyte production processes based on vanadium pentoxide [5, 8],
the raw material costs for VFB will remain high.
For this reason, the development of FB technologies based on (potentially) more
inexpensive redox-active components has been recently intensified. One prominent
example is the all-iron FB with very low electrolyte costs [19]. Other researchers
have proposed organic redox-active components such as quinones [7]. However, in
contrast to inorganic energy carriers with practically unlimited lifetime, these
organic substances are prone to chemical and electrochemical degradation. Thus,
the stability of these materials is a key parameter for their cost-effectiveness [2, 6].
The calculation of the required quantity of key components is straightforward for
a FB with given nominal power P and energy content E [12]:
• The number of membranes is equal to the number of cells N.
• The number of BPPs is equal to the sum of cells and stacks (N + Nstack).
15 Techno-economics of Open Battery Systems 271
The quality of input data is crucial for any quantitative assessment. Input data consist
of technical and economic data. Data quality covers the nature and origin of data
(primary, secondary, estimate) combined with aspects of uncertainty (accuracy,
validity, time dependency).
Input data is required in terms of technical and economic figures. Technical data
should at least include the following key figures:
• Nominal power P in kW
• Energy-to-power ratio E/P in h
• System efficiency η
In a preferably more detailed technical description, the list of key figures is
completed with:
• Depth of discharge DOD
• Current density i in mA cm-2
• Single cell area Acell in m2
• Number of cells N and stacks Nstack in a system
• Active material concentration in electrolyte cR in mol l-1
272 C. Minke
FB
Power control
Electrolyte Tanks Stacks Pumps
system
Heat
Water Bipolar plates Assembly
exchangers
Current
Additives Assembly
collectors
Manufacturing
End plates
of electrolyte
Cell frames
Gaskets
Stack frames
Bolts
Assembly
Fig. 15.2 Detailed technical system definition of a flow battery. (Source: Christine Minke)
15 Techno-economics of Open Battery Systems 273
Input data may be derived from primary or secondary sources. Primary data is a type
of data that is procured directly from main sources, i.e., specific manufacturing
processes or specific batteries at operation sites. It is rarely possible to collect all
data as primary data. Therefore, secondary or generic data are widely used. These
include data from literature, databases, or handbooks. In case of any data gaps,
estimates and analogies may be used and carefully documented. By their very nature,
estimates have the lowest data quality. To conclude, data quality is closely linked to
data availability.
A reasonable exception of this data quality ranking is price data. Price data may
be highly volatile over time due to complex market and socioeconomic develop-
ments. Thus, discrete primary data in the form of specific price information from a
vendor might be less reliable. In this perspective, generic data derived from a
database with reasonable technical, geographic, and temporal assessment limits are
preferable.
Aspects of uncertainty cover accuracy, validity, and time dependency of data.
Accuracy addresses reliability and completeness of data. Additionally, a balance in
accuracy for all system components is preferable in order to prevent asymmetries
within the model. Validity and time dependency refer to the applicability and
temporal correlation of data to the date of study. It is not uncommon for input data
to be recited while the design of the battery is being adjusted, e.g., a scale-up from
kilowatt to megawatt scale. Temporal correlations are especially important in pro-
spective techno-economics aiming on the prediction of future developments. These
are generally subject to uncertainties which have to be appropriately reflected by
means of sensitivity analyses.
274 C. Minke
In this section, economic modeling approaches for five widely used economic target
figures in techno-economics of open battery systems are presented. These are
production costs C, capital and operational expenditures CAPEX and OPEX, and
derived total cost of storage as well as levelized cost of storage LCOS.
C = P cP,sub þ E cE,sub
with cost rates of power and energy subsystem cP,sub in EUR/kW and cE,sub in
EUR/(kWh), respectively. The individual summands of cP,sub and cE,sub are costs of
components listed in Fig. 15.2.
In another approach, fixed costs Cfix are added to the equation following the idea
that not everything can be allocated to the energy and power subsystems:
The informative value of these figures is limited and must always be considered in
the context of the E/P ratio. An illustrative example is the application to VFB in a
power range of 10 to 1000 kW providing energy for E/P = 2 to 10 h:
CAPEX þ OPEX
LCOS =
E N cycle
Referring to the nature of an extended capital value method, the full mathematical
equation including time dependency of monetary values is formulated as follows:
Additional cost items for the calculation of CAPEX are interest rates and other
costs incurred in connection with borrowing of funds and asset management as well
as freight and installation costs for FB components and systems.
OPEX usually include operating and maintenance rates as well as costs of energy
that is fed into the battery. These have to be divided by the system efficiency in order
to calculate the amount of energy that can be discharged from the system. Resulting
energy losses are considered in techno-economics when it comes to profitability
assessments, where CAPEX and OPEX are compared to revenues over lifetime.
Some examples for economic parameters used in techno-economics of FBs [18] are
listed below:
• Freight cost in USD/mile
• Effective income tax rate in %
• Cost of capital in %
• Annual taxes and insurance premiums as fraction of capital investment in %
• Fixed charge rate in %
• Capital recovery factor in %
• Rate of general inflation in %
• Escalation rate for capital costs and operating and maintenance costs in %
This key figure is very complex, so some sample figures for VFB are given below
for reference. In analogy to the considerations in the previous section on capital
costs, for an E/P ratio between 2 and 10 h, LCOS = 0.05 to 0.30 EUR/(kWh) are
calculated, decreasing with increasing E/P [17]. Two comparable studies consider
VFBs with E/P = 4 h [9, 18]. These three independent studies show a consensus on a
probable range of LCOS = 0.10 to 0.25 EUR/(kWh). However, when considering
maintenance costs in order to increase the service life of VFB, higher LCOS in a
range of 0.15 to 0.35 EUR/(kWh) are assumed, increasing with increasing mainte-
nance efforts [9].
15.4 Conclusion
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cycle costs of vanadium redox flow batteries. J Energy Storage 21:571–580
10. Minke C, Hickmann T, dos Santos AR, Kunz U, Turek T (2016) Cost and performance
prospects for composite bipolar plates in fuel cells and redox flow batteries. J Power Sour
305:182–190
11. Minke C, Kunz U, Turek T (2017a) Carbon felt and carbon fiber – a techno-economic
assessment of felt electrodes for redox flow battery applications. J Power Sour 342:116–124
12. Minke C, Kunz U, Turek T (2017b) Techno-economic assessment of novel vanadium redox
flow batteries with large-area cells. J Power Sour 361:105–114
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286:247–257
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economic assessment of all-vanadium redox flow batteries – a review. J Power Sour 376:66–81
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vanadium redox flow battery. J Electroanal Chem 703:29–37
17. Skyllas-Kazacos M (2019) (Invited) performance improvements and cost considerations of the
vanadium redox flow battery. ECS Trans 89(1):29–45
18. Viswanathan V, Crawford A, Stephenson D, Kim S, Wang W, Li B, Coffey G, Thomsen E,
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278 C. Minke
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing,
adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate
credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and
indicate if changes were made.
The images or other third party material in this chapter are included in the chapter’s Creative
Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not
included in the chapter’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by
statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from
the copyright holder.
Chapter 16
Social Implications
Contents
16.1 Battery Industry Vulnerabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279
16.2 Acceptance Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282
16.3 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 286
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287
Professor Stanley Whittingham, the Nobel Prize laureate, states in his article [1], ‘our
efforts have emphasized better and better batteries, higher energy, higher power,
longer life, and lower cost. We have neglected to investigate the afterlife of batteries
and the devices they are in’. In the meanwhile, these and similar thoughts have
leaked into strategic documents, such as the Vision for a Sustainable Battery
Value Chain by the World Economic Forum and Global and Battery Alliance [2].
Based on the Paris Agreement target 2 °C scenario, ‘a circular battery value
chain’ should create 10 million safe, fair and good-quality jobs globally by 2030. In
addition, the battery industry should envisage safeguarding human rights, foster just
energy transition and economic development and be in line with the UN Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs). Last, but not least, the battery industry is estimated to
provide 600 million people with access to electricity, reducing the gap of households
without electricity by 70% before 2030.
Energy storage represents key enabling technology in the energy transition,
especially with batteries being promising technology for the zero pollution ambi-
tions of the European Green Deal. The Strategic Action Plan on Batteries was
adopted in 2018 and is a comprehensive set of measures to develop an innovative,
sustainable and competitive battery ‘ecosystem’ in Europe. Batteries are considered
key components in mobile and stationary energy storage systems. They enable the
transition to smart energy systems by compensating for the variability of supply and
demand.
Although there are relevant energy and environmental benefits in the battery
operation phase, the exploitation of critical raw materials, such as cobalt, lithium,
manganese, nickel and graphite, needed to produce batteries, involves not negligible
impacts. Recently, the European Commission put forth a new battery regulation that
includes compulsory sustainability requirements, requiring supply chain due dili-
gence for minerals utilised in batteries.
Battery-driven low-carbon transition bears impacts and risks in several directions.
What the authors call ‘decarbonisation divide’, the battery industry vulnerabilities
might be divided into (i) environmental risks, (ii) gender discrimination, (iii) child
labour and (iv) geopolitics and ethnics [3].
The environmental and public health risks concern the resource depletion,
human toxicity and ecotoxicity, mainly associated with copper, cobalt, nickel,
thallium and silver, with partial results for lithium and aluminium [4]. As an
example, raw material mining is connected with environmental pollution, but serious
health impacts could be identified along the whole battery supply chains and life
cycles [5].
Gender discrimination and the marginalisation of women relate to the
diversity-specific issues. Some examples of gender-specific acceptance research
include lab-on-skin or telemedicine platforms for wearable biosensors [6, 7]. Another
research study found significant differences in attitudes, perceptions and values
regarding BEVs between males and females, which could be potentially useful for
designing more effective policy measures [8]. The integration of gender analysis into
materials research and engineering is crucial to address the gender-related implica-
tions of wearable electronics with bio-related applications. Yet another gender
perspective offered by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) and
the International Labour Organization (ILO) is that women account for only 32% of
the overall renewable energy workforce [9].
It is often the case that no existing labour regulations restricting child labour and
exploitation are present in the originating countries [10]. An estimated 23% of
children in the Democratic Republic of Congo, many of whom are orphans, work
within cobalt mining where they are exposed to physical, physiological and sexual
abuse in order to provide food for themselves and their families. Despite moving
towards less cobalt content in batteries, Fig. 16.1 shows cobalt content of the
NMC811 cathode battery (6.6 kg for 75 kWh battery pack), assuming production
16 Social Implications 281
Fig. 16.1 The consequences of a cobalt-containing cathode production. (Used with permission of
Royal Society of Chemistry from [11]; permission conveyed through Copyright Clearance Center,
Inc.)
of 26 million BEVs by 2030, which will result in 25,000 children working 10 hours
per day [11].
Subjugation of ethnic groups and geographical issues point out the situation of
dominance and control of raw material (cobalt) mining and e-waste treatment
leading to lock-in of ethnic group inequalities, ethnic discrimination and refugees/
migratory workers. The vulnerabilities are highly geographically concentrated with a
lot of focus on China, which claims most of the energy sector employment growth,
predicted to target in total 122 million in 2050 under the 1.5 °C pathway, compared
to 114 million under present policies [9]. Speaking of the geographical spread,
several countries, such as the USA, Japan or the Netherlands, were more successful
in BEV adoption than others, e.g. South Korea or China [12].
The successful achievement of the renewable energy sources (RES) targets and
other energy-related ambitions amplifies therefore the importance of questions
related to the social aspects of the energy technology transitions [3]. Nevertheless,
the energy transitions seem to suffer from a vicious cycle syndrome – consumers are
not interested in less developed technologies, which are then priced higher, and
investors are less interested to invest in a product with low demand. The clean energy
transition technologies, including battery electric vehicles (BEVs), are still seen
as somewhat innovative and therefore might be perceived as immature or risky [13].
As demand for the critical resources, such as metals, minerals, land and water,
continues to lever up, just transitions, and specifically just energy transition, span
throughout different disciplines including critical resource geography, a subfield of
human-environment geography transitions [14]. According to [15], the emerging
landscapes of energy storage consider site-specific environmental justice concerns,
such as mineral mining, extraction and toxicity during production and disposal of
devices. Moreover, increased use of key strategic minerals and metals imposes
spatial consequences and political and justice dilemmas. As a consequence, concepts
such as resource nexus thinking [16] and social engineering of extraction [17] are
being brought into discussions.
In the context of environmental, social and governance (ESG) development of
sustainable energy materials, priority has been recently given to nickel-rich cathode
materials, and efforts continue for the development of organic/green batteries
282 V. Pechancová et al.
[18]. To sum up, the key sustainability challenges of the battery sector might be
summarised as follows:
1. Battery production has non-negligible GHG emissions.
2. The battery value chain bears also significant social risks.
3. The viability of battery-supported applications is uncertain [9].
Balance needs to be found between the needs of modern society, social aspects
and environmental conservation [5]. Advanced battery technologies need to be
assessed via a combination of techno-economic simulation tools, cost-benefit anal-
ysis and business model innovation, including the social and socio-economic
impacts on workers, local community and the society.
The following Sect. 16.2 addresses these issues with the technology acceptance
lenses concentrating on battery applications in e-mobility, grid storage and in the
context of social innovations. The same issues are addressed also in the next
Chap. 17 focused on the social impact assessment method s-LCA, which gained a
lot of attention with scholars recently due to the need for more sustainable battery life
cycle from ‘cradle to grave’. Both approaches, type I s-LCA and type II s-LCA, are
explained and compared in Chap. 17.
The technology adoption and diffusion are associated not only with the performance
and cost, but there are social factors entering the adoption process as well. Several
theories might be useful to explain these inter-relations; however, the theory of
social acceptance and diffusion of new technologies play a central role. The
technology acceptance studies on users’ adoption of specific technologies and
products are built, among others, on the technology acceptance model, which
emphasises the primary role of the perceived usefulness and the perceived ease of
technology use as predictors of an individual’s attitude towards using and
behavioural intention to use a technology [19].
In broad terms, acceptance refers to the passive or active approval of socio-
political and community stakeholders towards large-scale energy technologies or
related policy strategies, encompassing their willingness to embrace or support such
initiatives [20]. According to the seminal work introduced by [21], there are three
dimensions of social acceptance in the field of renewable energy innovations:
socio-political, market and community acceptance (Fig. 16.2). The socio-political
acceptance relates to the governmental decision-making processes and adoption of
energy policies. NIMBY (not in my backyard) effects and people’s motives are
attributed to the second dimension – community acceptance. Finally, the market
dimension, being a consequence of market adoption of technologies, is helping to
overcome barriers to larger diffusion.
When speaking about the social acceptance of energy storage technologies
specifically, the clustering across applications and sectors is helpful. These clusters
16 Social Implications 283
Socio-political acceptance
Fig. 16.2 The triangle of social acceptance of renewable energy innovation. (Reprinted from
Wüstenhagen et al. [21], with permission from Elsevier)
The IRENA and ILO (2021) indicated that about 11% of GHGs were generated
globally by the road transportation sector, with 5.8 Gt CO2eq in total. Furthermore,
sales predictions suggest that more than 50% of new passenger cars sold by 2035
will be electric [22]. BEVs are thus considered to be important element in the clean
energy transition, whereby battery represents key technology affecting technical
performance and cost factors.
Despite the urgent need for the transportation sector decarbonisation, several
studies have indicated barriers to the EV diffusion. The BEV cost, limitations in the
battery capacity and vehicle weight represent just a few of the obstacles to full BEV
commercialisation [23, 24]. On the other hand, higher driving range, more frequent
charging infrastructure, lower prices and pro-environmental attitudes represent fac-
tors facilitating the BEV adoption based on the scientific studies (see Fig. 16.3).
Although the environmental perspective is crucial with respect to the low-carbon
transport systems, the social perspective started to gain attention among scholars as
284 V. Pechancová et al.
Fig. 16.3 Electric mobility’s benefits and barriers [25], distributed under the terms and conditions
of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license
well. Consequently, hand in hand with the technical improvements, the users’
experience (satisfaction, usefulness and attitude) has attracted scholarly interest
including the phenomenon of range anxiety [25]. In addition to that, there are
determinants of acceptance identified, such as contextual (charging availability),
cost (purchase, operation), attitudinal and behavioural (travel habits), BEV experi-
ence (familiarity), sociodemographic (income, education) and social (norms).
The charging limitations (both the infrastructure network and charging time) are
the main barriers of electric mobility nowadays. Based on some studies, the con-
sumers are willing to wait more than 6 hours when the BEV is charged at home,
while charging outside should be done in less than 30 minutes. Furthermore, based
on a Flemish acceptance study of various charging infrastructure systems, con-
sumers expressed interest in inductive charging as long as the cost of the system
does not exceed that of conventional charging methods [26].
Nevertheless, certain studies have revealed that the negative association between
battery electric vehicle (BEV) acceptance and cost-related drawbacks, such as high
purchasing costs or limited driving range, is influenced by social identity variables,
which carry significant weight [27, 28]. These findings emphasise the need to
consider factors beyond individual cost/benefit considerations and focus on social
identity elements like social norms and collective efficacy [29].
To conclude, most consumers concerned about the driving range have had no user
experience with BEVs. One of the solutions could be the smart charging systems for
BEVs, once technical reliability is improved and access to smart charging from other
devices is provided, as well as improvements of technical performance of BEV are
done [30].
16 Social Implications 285
Although energy mix is shifting towards intermittent renewables across most mar-
kets, the power sector accounted still for considerable 23% of global GHG emissions
in 2017 totalling 11.9 Gt CO2eq [9].
The definition of social acceptance of energy infrastructure elucidates what
factors contribute to the social acceptance of the three types of infrastructure (wind,
transmission lines and pump hydro-storage as examples), i.e. ‘social acceptance of
new infrastructure occurs when the welfare decreasing aspects of the project are
balanced by welfare increasing aspects of the project to leave each agent at worst
welfare neutral and indifferent to the completion of the project, or better off and
supportive of the project’ [31].
[32] works with four factors in their assessment: general vs. local acceptance,
public concerns, trust in stakeholders and attitudes towards financial support/
funding. Although social acceptance of RES has been assessed as relatively high
across Europe, differences exist between general social acceptance and local social
acceptance. The factors include trust in public authorities, distribution of quality
information, public involvement and economic benefits [33]. In the latter case, the
challenge is that the cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of smart batteries overlooks usually
nonfinancial drivers. Some consumers are dissatisfied with the technology even with
a favourable CBA [34].
In nations where there is generally high public acceptance of various energy
technologies, the lack of local community acceptance, particularly in areas directly
affected by the construction of renewable energy plants, can lead to the failure of
otherwise promising renewable energy projects. This highlights the importance of
considering local community attitudes as both drivers and barriers to acceptance in
the successful implementation of renewable energy initiatives [35, 36].
Although research results on the acceptance of grid-scale stationary battery
storage systems, which are likely to play an increased role in smoothing the
supply-demand curves, are scarce, the majority of respondents point to the overall
positive attitudes [37–39]. Some examples of battery storage local barriers to
acceptance include some landscapes, loss of living space, the risk of fire and
explosion as safety concerns [39].
Another perspective to the social role of grid-level storage has its background in a
price suppressing effect, decreasing the probability of remaining in the high price
regime during peak hours and the probability increase of remaining in the standard
regime during off-peak hours [40]. Yet a different social perspective is represented
by the so-called platformisation, enabling new ways of energy provisioning and
consumption [41]. The worldwide increase in using digital platforms for energy
exchange raises, namely, new questions such as how the interactions of people with
energy infrastructures will look like in the future.
286 V. Pechancová et al.
16.3 Conclusions
The discussion on grid storage underscores the need to strike a balance between
general and local acceptance, considering the impact of renewable energy projects
on communities. Smart battery solutions, local collaboration and responsible
research and innovation are potential pathways to enhance social acceptance and
advance energy justice. Overall, the pursuit of advanced battery technologies should
go hand in hand with a thorough assessment of their social and socio-economic
impacts. Efforts must be made to align the needs of modern society with environ-
mental conservation, enabling a sustainable and equitable energy future. By foster-
ing an inclusive approach and embracing social innovation, the battery industry can
become a powerful driver of positive change, leading us towards a greener, more
resilient and socially responsible energy landscape.
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16 Social Implications 289
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Chapter 17
Social Life Cycle Assessment of Batteries
Contents
17.1 Guidelines for Social Life Cycle Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291
17.2 Experiences in the s-LCA of Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 296
17.3 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 303
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 304
Managing social issues requires the implementation of specific evaluation tools. Life
cycle methodologies have gained great consensus among academics and practi-
tioners for the assessment of the impacts of the whole life cycle of a product or
service. Among them, social life cycle assessment (s-LCA) is the latest methodology
developed, specifically devoted to the evaluation of potential positive and negative
social impacts of a product or service, taking into account all activities that are
related to the extraction and processing of raw materials, manufacturing, distribu-
tion, use, maintenance, recycling and final disposal. The life cycle approach can
M. Cellura (✉)
University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
e-mail: [email protected]
A. I. De Luca · N. Iofrida
Department of Agriculture, University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria, Reggio Calabria, Italy
M. Mistretta
Department of Information, Infrastructure and Sustainable Energy, University Mediterranea of
Reggio Calabria, Reggio Calabria, Italy
prevent the shifting of burdens between geographical areas, supply chain steps or life
cycle phases when evaluating impacts, as well as highlighting possible hotspots.
S-LCA methodology is similar to the environmental LCA methodology, as both
methods are based on the ISO 14040 framework. However, while the procedures of
goal and scope definition, inventory analysis, impact assessment and interpretation
are common, s-LCA differs in the data that is collected. S-LCA highlights the social
consequences of the activities and assesses their organisational and societal context
in the supply chain.
Social impacts are considered as the effects on the different typologies of
stakeholders involved, such as workers, local communities, value chain actors,
consumers, societies and children [1]. S-LCA seeks to improve the product’s supply
chain by providing information on social aspects for decision-makers. Its specific
objective is to assess social impacts in the same way environmental LCA does it for
environmental ones. But, while LCA is regulated by specific ISO standards (14040-
44:2021, in the updated version), about s-LCA there is not still a standardised
methodology, and the most diverse methodologies have been proposed in the
literature. The s-LCA guidelines from UNEP [1] are based on social and socio-
economic impact categories (e.g. human rights, working conditions, health and
safety, etc.) with 40 subcategories and five stakeholder groups (society, worker,
consumer, value chain actors and local community) and on context-dependent
inventory indicators. The UNEP guidelines do not provide an agreed and
standardised framework for social indicators that reflect and measure the social
impacts of technologies and processes along product life cycles and supply chains.
However, they represent the present landmark in the field.
Presently, a specific ISO standard, the 14075 ‘Principles and framework for social
life cycle assessment’, is under development (in the preparatory phase), and recently
UNEP (2020) updated the Guidelines for s-LCA and the Methodological Sheets for
subcategories in s-LCA [2], providing a methodological overview for practitioners
about possible evaluation procedures. According to them, there are two main impact
assessment approaches, and each of them responds to different practical
research aims: the reference scale approach (type I) and the impact pathway
approach (type II). The Methodological Sheets provide a list of possible stakeholder
groups to be considered in the evaluation processes, namely, workers, local com-
munities, value chain actors, consumers, society and children; for each of them,
subcategories of assessment are suggested (40 in total).
term) and not in the accounting of the links between the activity and long-term
impacts. Therefore, the characterisation process is mainly based on interpretation.
Results are expressed in performance reference points (PRPs), which are ‘thresholds,
targets, or objectives that set different levels of social performance or social risk’
[1]. PRPs consent estimating the magnitude and significance of potential social
impacts associated with organisations in the product system, but they are context-
dependent, often based on international standards, local legislation or industry best
practices and, therefore, not generalisable.
Type I s-LCA methodology suffers many issues because it comprises a multi-
plicity of qualitative approaches in terms of data collected and their significance,
the use of the functional unit (FU) to scale inventory input is very often optional and
the characterisation step consists in an implicit or explicit value judgement on the
collected data [3, 4]. Furthermore, studies framed within this typology often disre-
gard the main typical elements of life cycle studies such as the system boundaries,
the time boundaries, the cutoff criteria and the evaluation of each single life cycle
phases. They provide a qualitative assessment of the social performance of behav-
iours and activities linked to a product or service system [5], by means of value
judgements made on collected data and result characterisation made with different
relative weights [3, 4]. The most used characterisation methods applied within type I
s-LCA found in literature are based on comparisons to norms and best practices,
socio-economic contexts, stakeholders’ judgements on companies’ compliance,
experts’ evaluations or comparison of alternatives [5]. Moreover, weighting is
mainly conducted to give a relative importance judgement to specific categories of
impact or stakeholder group, sometimes by means of multicriteria methods or other
participative approaches.
Some specific databases are available for type I s-LCA, such as PSILCA (Product
Social Impact Life Cycle Assessment), which provides information on social aspects
of products over their life cycles, for almost 15,000 industry sectors and commod-
ities and for 69 qualitative and quantitative indicators, considering global supply
chains and services, and to detect social hotspots. Similarly, the Social Hotspots
Database (SHDB) consists of a multiregional economic input-output data which
provides local and global supply chains and links these to a broad range of social
metrics aligned per sector and per country. It is a tool to help companies
and organisations to manage their social responsibility; it enables quick identifica-
tion and prioritisation of social risks in supply chains through data classified by
country and sector, as well as a methodology for quantifying social impact. They are
effective to identify social impacts at the country level but only by means of
aggregated data showing averages across different technologies and geographical
areas; therefore, these databases are of limited value in distinguishing between
alternative operations and locations for products and services [6].
294 M. Cellura et al.
Type II s-LCA is aimed at predicting the consequences of the product system, and it
evaluates actual or potential social impacts through causal or correlation/regression-
based relationships (the impact pathways) between the product or service life cycle
and social impacts in the short or long term. The characterisation process is based on
an analytical and quantifiable identification of the consequences of the life cycle.
According to [7] and [1], type II s-LCA is epistemologically and methodologi-
cally in line with environmental LCA, where inventory inputs are quantitatively
linked with environmental impacts. To harmonise all the life cycle approaches (life
cycle assessment and life cycle costing), a type II s-LCA methodology could be
more suitable, because it allows:
– an objective assessment of potential impacts aligned with ISO norms 14040-44:
2021.
– Connecting quantitatively inventory input to possible impacts.
– A rational use of elements such as the functional unit, the setting of system
boundaries and the rational choice of cutoff criteria, which are often blurred and
confused in type I s-LCA approaches.
– Generalising the insights to similar productive sectors.
Many methods have been proposed within this group. [8] reviewed 28 studies and
highlighted three main paths to include impact pathways in s-LCA:
(i) applying more variables composing impact pathways, or frameworks gathering
several pathways.
(ii) Using and testing already existing pathways empirically (mainly linking
income data with health impacts at a macroscale).
(iii) Applying known and already quantified characterisation models or factors from
other research works to case studies.
Examples of impact pathways can be found in the work [9], which proposed the
Preston pathway to assess the social impacts of banana industry in terms of relations
between the increased economic activity and the growth in income, which leads to
improvements in the health of a country’s population.
[10] proposed the Wilkinson pathway to assess the anticipated change in the
infant mortality rate caused by a change in income distribution in the population of a
country, itself generated by an important change in a life cycle.
Recently, the psychosocial risk factor (PRF) impact pathway [11] has been
proposed to assess the social impacts of a product life cycle by quantifying the
risk of psychosocial impacts on different typologies of stakeholders, according to the
duration of exposure to certain living and working conditions that can lead to health
issues. According to the definition by [12], PRFs are the aspects and characteristics
of work planning and management that can potentially lead to physical or psycho-
logical damage. The psychosocial risks are measured in odds ratios (ORs), a
statistical measure of the intensity of association between two variables, e.g. as the
17 Social Life Cycle Assessment of Batteries 295
ratio between the odds of exposure for people with a disease and the odds of
exposure for healthy people [13]. Measuring the psychosocial risks with the ORs
is a retrospective analysis of a phenomenon, expressed with a nondimensional value,
and it can assume values between 0 and + 1. A value of 1 indicates that there is no
association between disease and exposure, while values >1 indicate a positive
association (the risk factor can provoke the disease/disorder); higher values show a
stronger association between exposure and disease [14].
Data are retrieved from previous scientific studies that analysed the relationships
between specific living and working conditions and diseases (or disorders), for
example, the association between low income and myocardial infarction (OR:
3.53) and stroke (OR: 3.73) [15] or long working hours and metabolic syndrome
(OR: 1.66) [16].
All possible stakeholder groups can be potentially covered: workers (from entre-
preneurs to labourers), consumers, local communities’ members, citizens, value
chain actors and children.
Operatively, s-LCA is divided into four steps, the same as indicated in the ISO
norms 14040-44 [17, 18]:
1. Goal and scope: definition of the system boundaries, categories of impact,
functional unit, cutoff criteria, foreground and background processes, taking
into account all possible phases of the system under study.
2. Inventory analysis: data collection can be conducted both using primary sources
(surveys, interviews, participatory approaches) and secondary sources (scientific
and grey literature). All required data should be properly allocated to their life
cycle phases (e.g. planning, manufacturing, transport, use and disposal).
3. Impact assessment: it consists in choosing the most appropriate impact assess-
ment method, according to the objective of the study. Qualitative and quantitative
methods are available. As mentioned in the previous paragraphs, it is possible to
pay attention to the companies’ behaviour as well as to the functioning of the
product’ or service’s life cycle.
4. Interpretation of results obtained, retrieving insights useful for stakeholders
(private or public ones), practitioners and academics.
This methodological diversity in s-LCA studies is due to the specific character-
istics of social sciences, which are multiparadigmatic, and many worldviews can
be held: indeed, many scientific methods are available for the assessment of social
phenomena, such as quantitative, qualitative and mixed methods [7]. Therefore, up
to now, both interpretivist and post-positivist epistemological positions have been
applied in the s-LCA scientific literature [7]. Most of the studies published have been
evaluating in a qualitative or normative way a wide range of impact categories
mostly linked to companies’ behaviour (e.g. child labour, corruption, fair wages,
safety, etc.), rather than to the life cycle functioning; few studies can be found in
literature quantifying cause-effect relationships between life cycle functioning and
areas of protection (AoP) in an objective and generalisable way [7].
296 M. Cellura et al.
and consumption
of lithium
Sansa Batteries Proposing a new Environmental Experts, involved to Employees, The design option
et al. model for the selec- LCA (ELCA), eco- confirm results consumers, PDO1 (lithium iron
[23] tion of sustainable nomic LCA managers, phosphate, 2 volts,
design options, able (EcLCA), s-LCA governors durability of
to deal with the and the fuzzy ana- 1000–2000 cycles
uncertainties and the lytic network and specific energy
imprecisions due to process of 90–120 Wh/kg)
the technological is considered the
choices and their most suitable for
potential impacts the design of the
since early design product since it
phase of the product generates the mini-
mum impacts
through all the life
cycle phases
297
(continued)
Table 17.1 (continued)
298
(continued)
Table 17.1 (continued)
300
(continued)
Table 17.1 (continued)
302
17.3 Conclusions
Results from the literature review on the batteries or electric vehicle supply chain
showed that, while the environmental impacts are mainly and regularly investigated
by scholars, the social repercussions of this production process are very poorly
considered or are limited to social acceptance. Probably this is due to the difficulty
with the different s-LCA methodologies, not yet standardised in one unique
approach, the complexity of the indicators’ choice and the obstacles to obtaining
data from the specific production sector and for all life cycle phases. This is
especially for raw material extraction and processing which seems to be the riskiest
stage in terms of impacts but also the production of intermediates, the production of
battery cells, the assembly of the battery pack as final product and the disposal or
recycling. It is interesting to note that although social is little applied to the sector
analysed, most existing studies prefer to conduct integrated analyses with other
impact assessment methodologies, in the light of a multiperspective approach, by
confirming the need to conduct analyses to assess the sustainability of production
304 M. Cellura et al.
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Chapter 18
Multicriteria Decision Analysis
for Sustainability Assessment for Emerging
Batteries
Laura Mesa Estrada, Martina Haase, Manuel Baumann, and Tim Müller
Contents
18.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307
18.2 MCDA for Sustainability Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308
18.3 Properties of MCDA Methods for Sustainability Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313
18.4 MCDA Software . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314
18.5 MCDA for Sustainability Assessment in the Field of Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 316
18.6 Use Case MCDA Sustainability Assessment for Early-Stage Cathode Materials
for Sodium Ion Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 316
18.7 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 328
18.8 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 330
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 330
18.1 Introduction
The origin of the concept of sustainability is commonly associated with the defini-
tion of sustainable development given by the Brundtland Report and the Rio
Conference “Environment and Development” in 1992: “Sustainable development
meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future genera-
tions to meet their own needs.” From this, different concepts emerged to give better
understanding to sustainability such as the triple bottom-line model [3], the Sustain-
able Development Goals (SDGs) [54], the Integrative Concept of Sustainable
Development (ICoS) [32], etc.
However, defining and assessing sustainability in a specific context is a challeng-
ing task. Considering different dimensions and perspectives results in conflicting
goals when trying to select the best solution. In the context of batteries, the
development and implementation of sustainable technologies is especially chal-
lenged by aspects such as materials availability (resources and geographical loca-
tion), economic feasibility, and technology readiness levels.
Going beyond techno-economic factors, these challenges require methodologies
that comprehensively analyze the sustainability issues and allow discussion and
interaction among relevant stakeholders, e.g., researchers, technology developers,
and policymakers. Multicriteria decision analysis methods are an adequate tool to
assess sustainability in different contexts given their flexibility and capability to
integrate stakeholders in decision-making processes. The process of conducting
MCDA sustainability assessment has important implications regarding the identifi-
cation of sustainability criteria and indicators, selection of MCDA methods, and
identification of stakeholders and their involvement in the assessment. The aim of
this chapter is to provide an overview of the MCDA methodology and how this can
be applied in the context of sustainability assessment of emerging batteries. First, the
definition of important concepts in MCDA sustainability assessment is given. This is
followed by a review of MCDA studies in the field of battery storage. Then, a use
case for cathode material selection for sodium ion batteries is presented as example
for the use of PROMETHEE II. Discussion on the results with a focus on the
methodology and their meaning is presented. The chapter ends with conclusion
and outlook for MCDA sustainability assessment for emerging storage technologies.
This subchapter is divided into two sections. First, a general description of MCDA
methods is presented, including more detailed information about three selected
methods to illustrate their capacities and differences. Second, the presentation and
description of the requirements of the MCDA methods to conduct sustainability
assessment and a brief comparison of how those three methods perform on these
requirements.
18.2.5 WSM
The WSM (weighted sum method) is a way to combine criterion values according to
their preferences into a ranking value for each alternative. Its main advantage lies in
its simplicity, allowing stakeholders without background knowledge to understand
how the ranking is achieved. WSM requires unitless criterion values of comparable
scale and therefore usually operates on normalized criterion values, weighting them
by normalized preference values and summing them up:
Rj = wi ∙ N i ðC i Þ for i
where Rj is the ranking value for alternative j, wi the normalized weight for criterion
i, and Ci the normalized criterion value for criterion i. The normalized criterion
values must be profit oriented, i.e., higher values are better than lower ones. If this is
not the case as for, e.g., costs, this can be achieved by an according normalization.
WSM is frequently chosen because it feels obvious and comes to stakeholders
naturally.
18.2.6 TOPSIS
The Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) starts
with the normalization and weighting of the input data [10]. With the normalized and
weighted input data, the different alternatives can be interpreted as points depending
on the chosen criteria. Besides, two theoretical points are calculated: a point that
corresponds to the best values in each category over all considered alternatives
(theoretical best alternative) and a point which corresponds to the worst value over
all alternatives (theoretical worst alternative). With TOPSIS, the best alternative is
calculated based on the shortest and farthest Euclidean distances from the theoretical
best and the theoretical worst alternative, respectively (cf. Hwang and Yoon [28] and
18 Multicriteria Decision-Making for Sustainability Assessment. . . 311
Pi = Si - =ðSi þ þ Si - Þ
where Si- is the distance to the theoretical worst alternative and Si+ is the distance to
the theoretical best alternative. TOPSIS requires a limited subjective input compared
to other approaches, e.g., PROMETHEE. Its logic is rational and understandable,
and the computation processes are straightforward [18].
18.2.7 PROMETHEE
Table 18.2 MCDA method performance with respect to the desired properties for sustainability
assessment [12, 14]
MADM methods
Elementary Single synthesizing
methods criteria Outranking methods
Properties/charac- WSM TOPSIS PROMETHEE II
teristics for sustain-
ability assessment
Handle qualitative Quantitative Quantitative Quantitative, qualitative
and quantitative
data
Weights as impor- Trade-offs Trade-offs Relative importance
tance coefficients coefficients
Threshold values No No Preference, indifference
Partial/null com- Full Full Null, partial
pensation between
criteria
Handling Yes Yes Yes
uncertainty
Ease of use High High Medium
Software support Definite [30], Triptych, PyTOPS Visual PROMETHEE [39],
and graphical MCDA KIT Tool [59], MCDA KIT D-Sight [27], MCDA KIT
representation [43], diviz [41] Tool [43], diviz [41] Tool [43], diviz [41]
The MCDA KIT tool is a standalone java desktop application with the goals to teach
and demonstrate multiple available MCDA methods as well as to apply MCDA in an
operational environment. The former manifests in a flexible design which allows for
easy and fast integration of new methods resulting in an already comprehensive
collection. The latter leads to a clear and user-friendly graphical interface, displaying
analyses and results in various ways. The MCDA KIT tool provides many interac-
tive possibilities to edit and analyze an MCDA task. Figure 18.1 shows some of the
more common interactions beginning from top left rank bar chart, normalization,
report, stability analysis, values, and direct weighting.
The tool is designed in a modular and most generic way to allow combination and
comparison of the different methods of the MCDA process. Many different algo-
rithms have been implemented for the various tasks. Weights can be determined by
the use of direct weighting, SMART, SWING, and AHP (analytical hierarchy
process). Normalization is possible by many methods, starting with simple linear
min-max functions up to nonlinear methods like Softmax or piecewise linear. So far,
the method for aggregation can be chosen from WSM (weighted sum), WPM
(weighted product), some voting methods, VIKOR, TOPSIS, or PROMETHEE.
By design, other algorithms can be added easily, expanding the collection of
methods over the course of time.
The software is also capable to address uncertainties, both in weights and values,
by evaluation of ensembles. Uncertainties can be defined as histogram distributions,
naturally supporting stakeholder surveys, or probability distributions with the need
to specify the distributions and their parameters. Furthermore, the software features
the generation of documents which textual outline the input conditions, the applied
MCDA methods and parameters, and the results as well as analyses like stability
estimates and potential correlations. Several import and export methods allow to
connect to other tools like MS Excel. A plug-in interface allows third parties to easily
add functionality. The tool is also translated in several languages and provides
different modes to address color blindness.
There are several MCDA studies available in the field of batteries, aiming at different
technologies (different Li-based chemistries, redox-flow, or high-temperature batte-
ries), as well as different applications reaching from stationary to mobile applica-
tions. Depending on the specific scope, corresponding methods and criteria are
selected for the assessment of batteries as indicated in Table 18.3. This is not
intended to be an exhaustive review but to provide some example of applications
and perhaps identify common practices. A wide range of MCDA methods are
applied in the selected studies, including mostly compensatory approaches. Criteria
selected include mostly LCA indicators. In addition to that, some studies include a
wide set of stakeholders, while others do not include any in their assessments. A
major factor that should also be kept in mind is that technologies that are being
compared might have different technology readiness levels. This can be challenging
as some technologies already experienced a large learning curve, while others are
just being presently developed. Having this heterogeneity in mind makes it difficult
to directly compare the results of different studies. Consequently, it is not possible to
determine the best technology via a single study.
In this chapter, the MCDA process (problem definition, selection of criteria, defini-
tion of alternatives, and preference modeling) for sustainability assessment is illus-
trated based on an example of early-stage cathode material screening for sodium ion
batteries. The assumptions and calculations here presented correspond to the ones
made by the authors in the original publication [6], except for the application of the
MCDA method for which PROMETHEE II is used instead of WSM. More details on
the made assumptions, considered chemistries, and used data can be found in
Baumann et al. [6].
18
Table 18.3 Overview of selected MCDA studies in the field of battery storage with different chemistries, applications, criteria, and stakeholder involvement
Number and
categories of
MCDA methods stakeholders involved
Technologies / (w = weighting, (participant/category
Source alternatives Application Criteria a = aggregation) description) Results
Haase et al. Battery electric vehi- Electric vehicles Environmental (LCA) TOPSIS (a) None Under given
[24] cle (BEV), fuel cell Economic (total assumptions, the
electric vehicle costs) BEV with wind
(FCEV), internal Social (domestic power was assessed
combustion engine value added) as most sustainable
vehicle (ICEV) option in 2020 as
well as in 2050
Domingues, BEV, FCEV, ICEV, Electric vehicles Life cycle impact ELECTRE TRI None BEV and PHEV are
Marques, plug-in hybrid assessment (a) the only vehicles that
Garcia, (PHEV) can achieve the top
Freire, and class
Dias [16]
Baumann, Lithium–iron–phos- Utility scale Environmental (dam- AHP (w), 72 people/civil soci- LIBs seem to be the
Peters, and phate (LFP), lithium– Battery storage tech- age to ecosystem DE, TOPSIS (a) ety, regulation, most
Weil [7] iron–phosphate/lith- nologies: Primary damage to human policymakers, Recommendable
ium titanate (LFP– regulation, energy health DHH, damage researchers (univer- technology among
Multicriteria Decision-Making for Sustainability Assessment. . .
LTO), lithium–man- time shifting, wind of resources avail- sity), municipal util- the evaluated BESS
ganese oxide (LMO), energy support, ability DRA) ity, network operator, for most application
nickel–cobalt–alumi- decentralized grid Economic (life cycle utility company, RES areas (with exception
num oxide (NCA), costs LCC) production/retail, of the LIB–LTO,
and nickel–cobalt– Social (socioeco- automotive sector, which is only suit-
manganese oxide nomic values, accep- battery manufacturer, able for low E/P
(NMC) tance, regulation, and energy storage ratios)
frame) business
Technological (matu-
rity, technology per-
317
formance, tech.
flexibility)
(continued)
Table 18.3 (continued)
318
Number and
categories of
MCDA methods stakeholders involved
Technologies / (w = weighting, (participant/category
Source alternatives Application Criteria a = aggregation) description) Results
Ma et al. Nas battery, lead-acid Electrochemical Environmental (CO2 Bayesian BMW Five people/experts LIB is the optimal
[36] (LA) battery, NiMH energy storage for intensity) (w), TOPSIS (a) solution
battery, and Li-ion renewable energy- Economic (capital
battery (LIB) based power genera- intensity and opera-
tion stations tion cost)
Social (social accep-
tance and electric
power system reserve
capacity reduction)
Technological (cycle
life, energy effi-
ciency, and self-
discharge rate)
Albawab, LA batteries, LIBs, Not given Environment (area Extended Three people/experts Ranking: (1) thermal
Ghenai, super-capacitors, and material intensi- SWARA (w)/ from engineering, energy
Bettayeb, hydrogen storage, ties, energy, CO2, and ARAS (a) energy storage, sus- storage, (2) com-
and Janajreh compressed air capital intensities of tainability, energy and pressed air, (3) LIBs,
[1] energy storage, the construction, life climate change, (4) pumped hydro,
pumped hydro, and cycle greenhouse gas renewable energy (5) LA batteries,
thermal energy emissions) (6) hydrogen storage
storage Economic (operating (onboard), and
cost, current installed (7) supercapacitors
capacity, growth rate)
Social indicators
(health and safety
issues)
L. M. Estrada et al.
18
Technological: cycle
lifetime, cycle effi-
ciency, discharge time
at rated power, and
adaptability for
mobile systems
Resource (specific
energy, specific
power, energy
density)
Salameh PV-BES based on PV/battery technol- SDG 7: Affordable TOPSIS, WSM, None The PV-LIB at 50%
et al. [49] nickel–iron (Ni–Fe), ogy microgrid system and clean energy NEW (a) DOD was the best
LIB, and LA battery for a desalination (round-trip efficiency, option among all
technologies at differ- plant energy density, num- cases
ent depths of dis- ber of life cycles,
charges (DOD) lifetime years, storage
duration)
SDG 8: Decent work
and economic growth
SDG 15: Life on land
(environmental
impact)
Multicriteria Decision-Making for Sustainability Assessment. . .
Economic (annual
levelized cost,
levelized cost of
energy)
Size: NPV, NBAT
(continued)
319
Table 18.3 (continued)
320
Number and
categories of
MCDA methods stakeholders involved
Technologies / (w = weighting, (participant/category
Source alternatives Application Criteria a = aggregation) description) Results
Murrant and Power to gas, a dis- Energy storage Environmental MAVT (w,a) 18 people/local and Top-ranking project:
Radcliffe tributed battery sys- projects co-benefits national businesses, Battery storage inte-
[46] tem, battery storage Economic growth academia, community grated with solar PV
integrated with solar (innovation), eco- energy groups, and and demand from an
PV and demand from nomic viability, CC airport
an airport, liquid air increasing self-
energy storage, bat- consumption, eco-
tery storage integrated nomic co-benefits
with wave energy, Deferral of grid
and thermal energy upgrades, technology
storage at a new resi- viability
dential development
L. M. Estrada et al.
18 Multicriteria Decision-Making for Sustainability Assessment. . . 321
Material researchers from KIT were selected as relevant stakeholders given the
scope of the analysis (screening of early-stage cathode materials). Their integration
includes the stages of problem definition, selection of criteria, and alternatives and
excludes weighting of criteria. In the following subchapters, these will be referred as
stakeholders.
The alternatives consist of 49 CAMs selected using literature screening and from
workshops conducted with stakeholders. An overview of the used SIB CAMs and
their properties as well as results for the three different criteria is provided in
Table 18.5. Here, each SIB CAM chemistry is benchmarked to eight selected LIB
CAMs (Nos. 1 to 7 and No. 30 in Table 18.4). From this, lithium–nickel–
manganese–cobalt (No. 5) and lithium–iron–phosphate (No. 30) are among the
most prominent CAMs. All CAMs are separated into oxidic and polyanionic cathode
types for a more differentiated comparison.
322 L. M. Estrada et al.
18.6.6 Weighting
CF
Theoretic Reversible Reversible specific energy Cost (€/ Criticality (kg CO2eq.-
No. CAM name capacity (mAh/g) capacity (mAh/g) without anode (Wh/kg) kWh) (SREU/kWh) kWh)
Layered oxide materials
1 LiCoO2 274 150 585 39.45 2.77 72.19
2 LiNi0.8Co0.15Al0.05O2 279 188 696 20.06 0.86 27.39
(NCA)
3 LiNi0.5Mn0.5O2 280 150 585 15.98 0.90 16.51
4 LiNi0.33Mn0.33Co0.33O2 278 160 592 23.62 1.51 34.92
(NMC111)
5 LiNi0.6Mn0.2Co0.2O2 276 170 629 21.25 1.12 29.40
(NMC622)
6 LiMn2O4 (LMO) 148 110 472 8.01 1.29 5.04
7 LiNi0.5Mn1.5O4 (LNMO) 147 140 644 10.33 0.67 10.62
8 P2-Na0.67CoO2 168 115 369 44.06 3.76 99.05
9 a-NaMnO2 244 185 509 1.97 0.88 2.16
10 ß-NaMnO2 244 190 523 1.92 1.14 2.77
11 Na0.44MnO2 122 120 336 3.22 1.52 2.86
12 P2-Na0.67MnO2 175 175 490 2.14 0.99 2.08
Multicriteria Decision-Making for Sustainability Assessment. . .
CF
Theoretic Reversible Reversible specific energy Cost (€/ Criticality (kg CO2eq.-
No. CAM name capacity (mAh/g) capacity (mAh/g) without anode (Wh/kg) kWh) (SREU/kWh) kWh)
19 P2-Na0.83Li0.07 214 140 490 6.60 0.80 9.40
Ni0.31Mn0.62O2
20 P2-Na0.83Li0.25 Mn0.75 O2 237 185 500 4.35 0.85 3.54
21 O3-NaFe0.5Co0.5O2 238 160 502 15.61 1.55 35.18
22 O3-NaNi0.33Co0.33 238 165 487 15.12 1.24 31.68
Fe0.33O2
23 O3-NaNi0.5Mn0.5O2 240 125 377 10.13 0.93 16.28
24 Na[Mn0.4Fe0.5Ti0.1]O2 244 110 308 2.38 1.18 6.30
25 NaMn0.33Fe0.33Ni0.33O2 240 100 481 5.51 0.66 9.00
26 Na0.6Fe0.11Mn0.66Ni0.22O2 159 120 324 7.25 1.29 10.50
27 NaMn0.3Fe0.4Ni0.3O2 241 130 390 6.19 0.80 10.16
28 P2-Na0.6Fe0.2 158 200 620 2.97 0.67 4.16
Mn0.65Ni0.15O2
29 Na0.6Ni0.22Al0.11Mn0.66O2 164 225 675 3.63 0.62 5.33
Polyanionic materials
30 LiFePO4 (LFP) 170 165 569 5.70 0.81 5.08
31 Na3V2(PO4)3 118 110 381 15.33 1.59 34.99
32 Na4MnV(PO4)3 111 110 380 a) 8.01 1.30 18.79
33 Na3MnTi(PO4)3* 117 114 410a 1.87 1.14 5.55
34 Na3MnTi(PO4)3** 176 172 506b 1.51 0.93 4.50
35 Na3MnZr(PO4)3 107 110 402b 1.41 1.12 3.23
36 NaFePO4 154 152 410 0.57 0.87 3.06
37 Na1.702Fe3(PO4)3 87 140 406 0.55 0.93 2.95
38 Na4Fe3(PO4)P2O7** 152 129 406 0.62 0.87 3.27
L. M. Estrada et al.
18
Table 18.6 Preference function and parameters selected for use case
Criteria Cost (€/kWh) Criticality (SREU/kWh) CF (kg CO2eq.-kWh)
Preference function Linear Linear Linear
Maximum value 44.06 3.76 99.05
Minimum value 0.40 0.44 0.87
Q 0 0 0
P 0.89 0.07 2
In this example, we use the type V-shape with indifference function (linear prefer-
ence function) for each of the three criteria since they all have a continuous
numerical scale, and while comparing them, very small differences can be neglected.
P and Q are defined as suggested in Haralambopoulos and Polatidis [25], P being
equal to the difference between the maximum and the minimum value for each
criterion divided by n (49 CAMs) and Q being equal to zero (Table 18.6).
18.6.8 Results
In this section, the results of using the MCDA method PROMETHEE II for the
aggregation of criteria and ranking of materials are presented. Additionally, sensi-
tivity analyses of weights are carried out. All calculations are carried out using the
MCDA KIT tool (see Sect. 18.2.4).
In Fig. 18.2, the resulting net flows of materials using the method PROMETHEE II
are displayed for equal weighting of the three considered criteria. The higher the
resulting net flow, the better the alternatives perform from a sustainability point of
view. In Fig. 18.2a, alternatives are sorted from left to right according to their CAM
number (see Table 18.5), whereas, in Fig. 18.2b, alternatives are sorted from left to
right according to their net flows, i.e., ranking. Some trends can be observed in the
ranking. First ranks are achieved by polyanionic SIB CAMs (Nos. 49, 46, 45, 47),
from which Nos. 45 and 46 correspond to Prussian blue analogues (PBAs), and Nos.
49 and 47 to Si- and S-containing SIBs. Most LIB layered oxide materials (CAM
Nos. 1–7) show negative net flows (ranks 32 and higher). Only LIB CAM LFP
(CAM No. 30) has a positive net flow. CAMs containing cobalt or vanadium
perform lower in the rank, whereas those that contain Mn show preferable rankings.
A detailed overview on the results can be found in Baumann et al. [6]. It is important
to notice that varying the energy densities can have a high impact on the results.
Also, the performance on a cell level can be very different and has thus to be
analyzed in detail for further assessments.
18 Multicriteria Decision-Making for Sustainability Assessment. . . 327
A
Layered oxide materials Polyanionic materials
Co
Vanadium
Mn
B
LIB - LFP
SIB
Fig. 18.2 Resulting net flows and rankings of CAMs using PROMETHEE with equal weighting of
criteria, sorted according to material numbers (a) and rankings (b)
Table 18.7 presents the rankings with different importance coefficients (weights) up
to the 15th place for the cases of (i) equal weights for all criteria, (ii) higher
importance to costs (25% criticality and 25% CF), (ii) higher importance to critical-
ity (25% costs and 25%CF), and (iii) higher importance to CF (25% criticality and
25% costs). There is low variation in the ranking when considering different
importance coefficients for the criteria.
328 L. M. Estrada et al.
18.7 Discussion
The results presented provide insights into the process of CAM selection for SIBs
according to MCDA-assisted sustainability assessment. The ranking of CAMs can
be understood only as indicative for research and development trends on the material
level and cannot be extrapolated into the cell level. Having this in mind, it can be said
that the ranking suggests that considering the criteria CF, criticality, and costs, the
most promising CAMs for SIBs could be Prussian blue analogs and Si- and
18 Multicriteria Decision-Making for Sustainability Assessment. . . 329
Mn-based chemistries. Some of these CAMs perform even better than commercial
LIB CAMs used as benchmark here.
18.8 Conclusion
In this chapter, we have presented the general requirements for MCDA sustainability
assessment and an overview of their application in the field of batteries. Some recent
applications of MCDA in the field of batteries show diverse approaches with a trend
for deterministic, compensatory MCDA methods and inclusion of stakeholders.
Available data from a use case of early-stage cathode material screening for sodium
ion batteries was selected to illustrate and analyze the suitability of MCDA for
assessing emerging battery technologies. In this type of decision problems, identi-
fying the sustainability criteria is not as challenging as evaluating the performance of
the alternatives. The lack and/or the high uncertainty of the performance data, e.g.,
laboratory data, calculations based on literature values, makes it difficult not only to
evaluate but to derive concrete conclusions after conducting MCDA. However, the
results obtained can be used as indicative to identify promising materials/technolo-
gies that could potentially be taken forward in their TRL.
Further development or improvement of the presented model would include
exploring different alternatives to address uncertainty in weights and values, such
as evaluation of ensembles, probability distributions, or using suitable stochastic
MCDA methods (e.g., SMAA- and fuzzy PROMETHEE). Expanding the categories
of stakeholders and its participation on the MCDA sustainability assessment is
needed to improve the task of preference modeling.
In the context of sustainability assessment, it is very important to understand
MCDA as an iterative process in which information, priorities, and stakeholders
(categories) are constantly changing. The use of systematic approaches and special-
ized MCDA software is very important to keep pace with this task.
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Index
I N
Indicators, 38, 131, 150, 164, 245, 247–255, New technologies, 3, 107, 230
292, 293, 296, 302, 303, 308, 309, 316, Non-battery technologies, 90–91
318, 321, 322
Influencing factors, 56, 90, 104, 106, 107
Inventory data, 229–232 P
Performance, 5, 21, 46, 71, 77, 79, 94, 99, 109,
114, 115, 121–139, 145, 151, 164, 173,
J 179, 181, 186, 188–193, 195, 198, 199,
Just transition, 281 214, 216, 218, 230, 232, 235, 244, 249,
250, 260–262, 264, 267, 268, 270, 273,
282–284, 286, 292, 293, 298, 300, 303,
K 311, 313, 314, 317, 326, 329, 330
KPIs, 86, 106, 108–114, 116 Portable, 17, 21, 22, 86, 99–100, 125, 132–134,
283, 286
Post-lithium batteries, 125, 127
L Power system flexibility, 30, 33, 37–41, 50
Legislation, 15, 43, 89, 98, 144, 160, 161, Power-to-X, 54, 55
166, 293 Price, 6, 33, 41, 46, 48, 49, 72, 88, 93, 98, 99,
Life cycle assessment (LCA), 227, 228, 230, 123, 130, 144, 148, 150, 219, 260,
232–237, 243–255, 291–299, 316, 317, 262–264, 270, 273, 275, 283, 285,
322, 329 301, 329
Lithium-ion, 70, 79, 96, 99, 109, 121, 129,
131, 146
Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs), 17, 20, 22, 36, 40, R
41, 44–48, 62, 70, 99, 100, 112–113, Recycling, 14, 15, 17–23, 49, 56, 57, 59, 60, 62,
115, 126, 127, 129–131, 138, 143–147, 64–66, 112, 115, 116, 122, 124, 125,
149–166, 176, 179, 186–188, 190–192, 133, 143–166, 291, 296, 299, 303, 322
194–196, 198, 199, 218, 220, 228, 230, Redox flow batteries (RFBs), 114, 116, 136,
244–251, 253, 254, 259–264, 298, 137, 213–217, 220, 251
317–319, 321, 326, 329 Remanufacturing, 16, 21
Lithium metal anode, 46, 127, 173, 181–183, Resources, 13, 14, 16–19, 33, 40, 41, 44–49,
246, 247 72, 147, 243, 246–248, 250, 252, 253,
255, 259, 280, 281, 286, 298, 299, 302,
308, 309, 317, 319, 322, 329
M Reuse, 15, 16, 19, 21, 49, 144
Market outlook, 104–108
Market segments, 86, 91–94, 96–100, 105, 106,
108–112 S
Materials, 13, 38, 54, 70, 106, 122, 143, 173, Safety, 8, 10, 13, 20, 45, 46, 60, 62, 71, 86,
214, 227, 243, 259, 270, 280, 291, 308 96–98, 112, 113, 115, 122, 125, 128,
Metal–O2 (air) batteries, 114, 130, 214, 131, 137, 144, 145, 151, 161, 163, 165,
217–219, 250, 251, 253–255 166, 179, 185, 192, 196, 220, 251, 259,
Mobile, 8, 86, 91–100, 111, 133, 145, 157, 162, 263, 285, 292, 295, 299, 302–304, 318
180, 181, 185, 247, 249, 260, 280, 286, Second life batteries, 78, 79, 90
316, 319 Social acceptance, 282, 283, 285–287, 296,
Mobility, 3–10, 13, 17, 19, 54, 74, 75, 91–94, 298, 303, 318, 329
110–112, 114–116, 123, 125, 138, 178, Social impacts, 126, 161, 225, 226, 282,
181, 184, 260 291–294, 296, 304, 329
Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA), Social life cycle assessment (Social LCA), 282,
308–330 291–304
Index 337