Narrative by Numbers How To Tell Powerful and Purposeful Stories With Data
Narrative by Numbers How To Tell Powerful and Purposeful Stories With Data
As jobs become increasingly similar, there are two skills that everyone needs
if they’re going to thrive. ese are the ability to interrogate and make sense
of data, and the ability to use insights extracted from data to persuade others
to act. Analytics + storytelling = influence.
Humans are hardwired to respond to stories and story structure. Stories
are how we make sense of and navigate the world. We respond best to
stories that are based on evidence. But storytellers need to use data as the
foundation of stories, not as the actual stories themselves. To be truly
impactful, rational facts need to be presented with a veneer of emotion.
e Big Data revolution means more data is available than ever. e
trouble is, most people aren’t very numerate or good at statistics. Many find
it hard to look at data and extract insights. Meanwhile, those for whom
numbers hold no fear don’t always make the best storytellers. ey
mistakenly believe they need to prove their point by showing their
workings.
ere are some simple and effective rules of data-driven storytelling that
help everyone tell more compelling, evidence-based stories, whoever they
need to convince. Narrative by Numbers shows you how.
Numbers aren’t the enemy of narrative – quite the opposite. Relevant data should
be the foundation stones of stories with impact. is approa is clearly relevant for
the resear and insights business, but also today for every kind of organisation:
public, private, and third sector. Sam Knowles makes the case for storytelling by
numbers powerfully and persuasively, while at the same time offering a clear how-
to guide. To be recommended.
Lord Cooper of Windrush, Founder, Populus
We live in a world of uncertainty. What and who can we trust – and how will we
know? Sam Knowles helps to unravel today’s biggest question. His thesis – that
data is a trusted friend whi provides life’s “True North” and the certainty we
yearn for – is compelling.
Miael Greenlees, “Godfather of London advertising”, Founder, Chairman & CEO of Gold
Greenlees Tro
John Naisbi, author of Megatrends, said: “We are drowning in information but
starved for knowledge.” Today, we are drowning in data and starving for wisdom.
In this book, Sam Knowles teaes us skills that are practical and easily applied to
make sense of data that every marketer needs.
Bharat Avalani, Former Unilever marketer; storyteller and memory collector
People who are good with words are seldom good with numbers and vice versa – or
so conventional wisdom has it. Sam Knowles appears to be very good at both. His
book is a persuasive case for why combining narrative and numbers is essential in
an age of big data and short messages. I will be recommending it to my students.
Professor Trevor Morris, Rimond University
Sam’s book is the perfect embodiment of the principles he uncovers and outlines.
He looks at and makes sense of the data, and weaves it into a story that is both
convincing and inspiring. He ably demonstrates his central premise: analytics plus
storytelling equals influence. And with this book: QED. Essential reading for
anyone in the insight industry, or anyone who has wrien or sat through an
interminable presentation of loosely related data points and cried out for some
story to make sense of it all.
Jem Fawcus, Founder & Group CEO, Firefish
Over the last several years many books have been wrien to help organizations
make sense of marketing data. Unfortunately for those marketers and
communicators on the front lines, many of those books were wrien with the
analyst in mind. at angle, while valuable for the analysts, dismisses the people
who need to use data the most. e good news for that audience is that Sam
Knowles has been in their shoes many times before and brings that perspective to
Narrative by Numbers. Sam presents an excellent overview and guide for how
marketers can utilize data to tell beer stories within their organizations. e
framework that Sam presents will allow you to understand marketing performance,
grow your budget and expand your influence within the organization. It is a must
read.
Chu Hemann, Author
e thesis of this book is spot on. Storytelling has been a defining part of humanity
since we came down from the trees, sat in front of the fire, and painted caves. With
the abundance of data that surrounds us all today, our stories have the potential to
be that mu more relevant and powerful.
Miael Karg, Group CEO, Ebiquity
is book is the 101 for anyone who wants their insights to shine. Sam guides the
reader on an engaging journey, from data to impactful delivery, by explaining the
methods to cra a data driven story.
Tim Ward, Head of Analytics, Square Enix West
e separate worlds of art and science merge in the masterful hands of Sam
Knowles as he expertly guides us into understanding how to find the art in the
science. is hugely important book is essential reading for communicators,
scientists, academics, and anyone who needs to understand how to find stories in
the numbers.
Tim Johns, Business Coa and former Head of Communications for Sainsbury’s, BT, and
Unilever
e Big Data revolution has confused the world’s communicators for too long.
What really maers is the relatively small and self-contained neigh-bourhood of
relevant data. Sam’s book shows organisations what to look for, what to avoid, and
how to exploit the power of data to tell engaging and impactful stories.
Neville Hobson, Social Media Strategist at the Internet Society
For as long as we can remember, data merants and storytellers have been quite
content to plough their separate fields – the storytellers wanted no tru with
numbers while the data merants remained blissfully ignorant of the power of the
narrative. With Narrative by Numbers, Sam Knowles has shaered this cosy co-
existence and produced a timely synergy of hard data and storyline. Like an
ingenious alemist, he’s succeeded in fusing together two elements that once
occupied very separate worlds. In the process he’s created a new and explosive
compound, the reverberations of whi we’re going to hear for many years to come.
Dr Peter Colle, Psyologist and Body Language Expert, University of Oxford, UK
Narrative by Numbers
SAM KNOWLES
First published 2018
by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN
and by Routledge
711 ird Avenue, New York, NY 10017
e right of Sam Knowles to be identified as author of this work has been asserted by
him in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act
1988.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in
any form or by any electronic, meanical, or other means, now known or hereaer
invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or
retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.
2 Keep it simple
6 Talk human
Epilogue
Where to find out more
Index
Anowledgements and Inspirations
Narrative by Numbers may have one author, but it has many interested
cousins, some of them several times removed.
e idea for a book came up during my first coaing session – as a
coaing guinea pig – with the splendid Tim Johns. Tim has been a client,
will always be a mentor, and morphed into a coa when he decided to train
as one. I had six brilliant sessions for the price of none as he learned his
coaing trade. He became progressively less directive over our year
working together, just aer I’d set up my corporate and brand storytelling
business, Insight Agents. But at the end of our first session, he said: “If you
want to become Mr Data-Driven Storyteller, if you want to give a TED talk,
it’s simple. You have to write the book. Get to it.” So here it is. We’ll see
about the TED …
My wife, life, and business partner Saskia, with whom I’ve already spent
more than half my life (we got together on the first day of the second term
of our first year at university). I’ve been saying I’m going to write a book –
on comedy, on my father, on insight – since almost the first day we met.
Saskia’s sense of reality, tinged with a very helpful dose of scepticism, has
always kept me honest. So here it is at last, my darling.
Dr Beth Miller, my writing coa. OK, I don’t pay her (all the time) to
help with my writing, but she’s been a true inspiration. First for geing her
novels (and non-fiction, including the excellent Arers and Shakespeare
handbooks) published and selling. Second, for the unforgeable course “Get
Going On Your Book Before Christmas” in autumn 2014. ird, for telling
me that the only way to write a book is to write a book – no excuses. And
fourth, for suggesting that I set up a Writing Group with other writers, to
share and critique work and frustrations between us.
Derek Allen, Annie Maey, and Lulah Ellender, the other members of
my Writing Group. We meet every now and again, usually over the
legendary jerk ien (for me at least) at the Lewes Arms, and together we
make a great mutual support network. Your stories of the Jews in Denmark
during World War II, self-discovery in the Australian outba against a
badrop of parental madness, and finding yourself and your mother via
your grandmother’s lists are all inspirational. And it’s all down to you three
– especially Lulah – that I’ve wrien Narrative by Numbers first and as the
prequel to How to Be Insightful, whi I’ve been working on since 2014 and
will follow soon. Promise.
Stuart Lotherington, Senior Partner at SBR Consulting. One of the most
inspiring and impactful trainers I’ve ever come across. Aer aending a
consultative sales training course with SBR in 2012 that fundamentally
anged my outlook on how to do business, I occasionally aend their free
taster sessions in Covent Garden’s Connaught Rooms. In early January 2016,
Stuart ran a workshop on goal seing, and his ten-point, goal-seing
framework is what finally gave me the stimulus to write this thing.
And lastly to my son and shareholder in the family business, Max, whose
love of puns, and playing with language, and storytelling since he could
speak, are just three of a thousand things about him that make me laugh and
love and smile every day. His edit of an early dra of Chapter 1 was brutal,
but spot on.
To you all, thanks for the inspiration. e mistakes – as ever – are the
sub-editor’s.
Preface: Analytics + Storytelling = Influence
e two core skills required to thrive in the knowledge economy are
analytics and storytelling. I wrote this book to explain how important and
yet straightforward it is to combine these two skills. And to show how
impactful and influential you can be if you can successfully weave
narratives that are data-driven by design.
It is my intention that Narrative by Numbers should be instructive,
entertaining, and at the same time intensely practical. While the rules and
guidance contained in these pages could never hope to be definitive and
would never pretend to be so, my aspiration is that those arged with being
data-driven storytellers are likely to exceed their peers’ and bosses’
expectations if they follow the advice set out here.
Ea topic apter includes an example of a data-driven story from the
public eye over the past decade or so, stories that have moved individuals to
action and in some cases mobilised millions. And ea topic apter also
concludes with a practical exercise designed to reinforce the lessons learned
and rules extracted, ea one tried and tested in the training sessions I run.
For there’s lile point of theory without practice, just as, for me, there’s lile
point of stories without data, woven into a narrative.
To support this book and its mission to help the world’s data-driven
storytellers become more impactful yet, we’ve created a website called
www.narrativebynumbers.com. Swing by, pull up a virtual air, and
become part of the community. It’ll be great to have you along and hear the
tales you have to tell.
I trust you find this book and its site helpful.
1
e Two Skills Everyone Needs Today
[Nobel laureate] Lord Rutherford used to tell his staff at the Cavendish Laboratory
that if they couldn’t explain their physics to a barmaid, it was bad physics.
Steve Girsky, Chairman of General Motors, Harvard Business Review (August 2014)
More is Very Rarely More
Rhetoric is defined as “the art of effective or persuasive speaking or writing”,
eoing Dan Pink’s contention that we’re all in the “moving business”. In
Classical Greek and Roman times, as well as in Georgian and Victorian
England, rhetoric was taught to prospective politicians and leaders. e focus
of instruction for these elites oen focused on form over content, and the use
of compositional teniques including figures of spee, from anaphora to
zeugma. Rhetoric was helpful in making the words of the privileged few
sound elegant to their peers and impressive to those they governed on the
rare occasions they came into contact with the masses. But as a skillset, it
didn’t have mu to do with how to use data and statistics to make a beer
case.
e mediation of public and business life through the press, radio, and TV
– and more recently through interactive social and digital media annels –
has anged the game for organisational storytellers. ey need to be
prepared to both sound good and deliver the killer evidence that persuades
their audience to follow them, or vote for them, or buy their new product.
Increasingly, they need to be able to do this live and in real time, responding
to new developments or initiatives as they happen. To sound convincing, they
have to be in complete control of their material. ough it’s not just what
you say but how you say it. As I’ll explore in Chapter 4, to drive engagement,
they need to deliver arguments rooted in data and statistics with energy,
emotion, and empathy.
When organisational storytellers learn of the potential impact of the data-
driven approa, many find it tempting to try to blind their audience with
science. Whether you’re a scientist, a Government spokesperson, or the head
of R&D at a cosmetics manufacturer, it’s hard to resist troing out a roll call
of evidence that supports your argument.
It’s simple
It’s big
Most people don’t have a concept of what it would be like to have a figure
this large at their personal disposal. Several times bigger than even the
biggest Euromillions Loery win in history – itself an almost unimaginable
amount of money – it’s clearly the kind of sum that a government could do a
lot with. Government is big and spending on citizens costs money at scale, so
£350m – and that amount ea week – could clearly aieve something.
What’s more, for those liable to be opposed to spending on the EU, it
becomes an instant rallying cry against the body because it’s perceived to be
su a waste.
Wherever possible, numbers and statistics that summarise stories should pull
together many different elements of calculation into a single value, again
without showing the working out. It’s fine to reference the fact that several
different elements or line items were included in the calculation, but there’s
no need to walk the audience through what those calculations actually were.
Voters in the EU Referendum were aware that member state funding is a
complex equation. Remainers would point to a system of rebates whi
meant that net contributions were very mu less than the headline
membership figure: that the EU invested a huge amount in projects across the
U.K. whi made the actual cost of membership very mu less than the
dues. Brexiteers could have taken the same approa and shown a balance
sheet of spend versus return, and perhaps moed the projects that saw a
return because they were pointless or wouldn’t have been necessary if the
money had been targeted at the problem without having to be filtered via the
EU. But instead, they ose to simplify all of the inputs and outputs into a
single figure of almost unimaginable proportions, and a figure that represents
weekly, not annual, contribution.
It’s understandable
Indeed, the focus on £350m a week does a mu more powerful job than
aggregating the figure up to an annual total. £350m * 52 = £18bn (rounded
down, naturally). Imagine the arguments in the Vote Leave camp. “We sent
£18bn a year to the EU – that’s an unimaginably large number – we should
shout that from the rooops, spaer that on our bale buses. Whaddayasay,
Boris?” But the sheer size of the £18bn number makes it unusable or at least
mu less effective as a number on whi to base a data-driven campaign.
Not to mention – as we’ll see below – that, at best, this figure represents
gross, not net, contributions.
When numbers get too big, they lose meaning. While a million of anything
is hard to understand, a billion of anything is mu harder to grasp. e fact
that total U.K. government expenditure3 was almost £750bn in 2014–15 is
hard to grasp. What that figure ends up meaning is lile more than “it costs
£750bn to run the U.K. ea year”. It’s a number so far outside most people’s
grasp or comprehension that it just becomes a circular definition.
Peter Mandelson and Tony Blair made the Labour Party electable for the first
time in nearly two decades in 1997 through a number of highly effective
strategies. ey dragged the party to the right (or the centre, depending on
your starting point). is involved them repositioning the party as “new
Labour”, mitigating Middle Englanders’ concerns that a Labour government
would mean industrial action paralysing public services and the PM huddling
with the TUC over beer and sandwies at Number 10. ey also successfully
reassured the British public that new Labour could be trusted running the
economy. One of the most effective arrows in their quiver was incredibly
simple, direct, and of course data-driven.
Figure 2.1 e 1997 new Labour election pledge card, Scoish Labour version
What Peter and Tony also did incredibly effectively ahead of the 1997
election campaign was agree on the six core areas where new Labour would
make a difference. ese were captured in a simple, straightforward pledge
card. e pledge cards were wallet-sized and issued to all party members and
campaign activists. ey represented the summary of new Labour’s costed
pledges for what it planned to do when it got into office. Ea one of the
pledges had numbers and statistics and targets aaed to them – something
that came ba to haunt the party when in office.
All activists – whether on the doorstep or appearing on BBC TV’s
Question Time – were expected and required to focus on the six areas. All
were required to learn, know, and follow-up ea pledge with the data and
statistics that supported them, particularly as prospective voters or TV
interviews showed some interest or allenge for any specific pledge. What
the pledge card did was serve as a summary and a bridge and a jumping-off
point for debate on the issues where new Labour felt safe and confident its
policies would make a significant difference.
What new Labour created in the pledge card was a classic executive
summary of a data-driven storytelling campaign, and the party foot soldiers
deployed this weapon as intended and directed. It meant that the campaign
stayed very mu on-message. As an analogue piece of card in the wallet, it
was less sinister and apparently controlling than pagers sharing soundbites
and slogans, an early use of political te that was used as a sti to beat new
Labour once it took power. What the card ensured was that new Labour
talked with one voice, dominated the debate on its terms, and won the first of
two landslides, the first of three elections. e stuff of the Corbynistas’
wildest dreams.
e 1997 pledge card made new Labour’s pledges become a close-knit set
of earworms. A general election is rarely about a single issue – whatever
eresa May’s declared motivation in calling the 2017 snap election – and
this contrasts with referenda. While referenda in general – and the EU
Referendum in particular – are about more than single issues, they do require
voters to vote on a single question. Where the Brexiteers were so successful
with their relentless focus on the “£350m a week” killer statistic is that they
repeated it, ad nauseam, until it, too, became an earworm. e defining
earworm and statistic of the campaign. When Remainers looked to rubbish or
discredit it, they referenced it. It became shorthand for cost and value of EU
membership. It was created and owned and ampioned by the winning side,
even if they disowned and dropped it less than four hours aer the result was
confirmed. But that didn’t maer. By then, it had done its job.
It avoids the inconvenient truth of context
Since its first, extensive outing during the EU Referendum campaign, £350m a
week has taken on the status of a zombie statistic, one that refuses to die no
maer how many credible, authoritative commentators try to kill it off.
Independent analysts – including Government statisticians – have pawed
over the statistic and its data sources and sought to discredit it. ree major
points of contention have been its total la of context, the fact that it ignores
rebates and subsidies, and whether the carefully worded slogan on Boris’
bale bus implied a post-Brexit selement would ever use the money “saved”
to go directly to the NHS.
And just when it was thought that the victorious Brexit camp had wrung
all that they could from it, Foreign Secretary Johnson gave it new life by
repeating the number and again suggesting it be earmarked for the NHS. In a
4,000-word extended manifesto designed to undermine a major spee from
PM eresa May to European Leaders, he said in the Daily Telegraph4 on 15
September 2017:
And yes – once we have settled our accounts, we will take back control of roughly
£350 million per week. It would be a fine thing, as many of us have pointed out, if a
lot of that money went on the NHS, provided we use that cash injection to modernise
and make the most of new technology.
is led Sir David Norgrove, Head of the U.K. Statistics Authority, to rebuke
Johnson for confusing gross and net contributions and in so doing wilfully
misleading the British public for a second time. A proper telling off and rap
over the knules. ough I doubt it’s the last time BoJo will wheel out his
favourite pet zombie.
Figure 2.3 Leer from Sir David Norgrove to Boris Johnson
ere are other criteria you can use to make sure you oose the perfect killer
statistic. Data that can show trends – particularly trends that can project
reliably into the future – are helpful. Done right and in a way that does, in
the end, accurately predict the future, predictive analytics can be incredibly
powerful.
e trouble here is that those in the prediction business generally have a
very poor tra record in accurately and reliably predicting the future,
whether they’re sto market analysts, bookmakers, weather forecasters, or
astrologers. ey might get on a luy roll and predict winners or weather
right four or five times in a row. But the roll won’t carry on forever. e
statistical law of regression to the mean will interfere and bring outcomes
ba to the average of what might be expected, and future-gazers’ models
will be found laing because they haven’t considered enough input variables
in building their model. ey’ll rely too heavily on cognitive heuristics or
shortcuts that enable them to cope with huge volumes of data quily but not
necessarily effectively, making their incorrect predictions predictably
incorrect. Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking, Fast and Slow explains how and why
in detail, and for the truly commied, it’s worth going ba to Kahneman
and Tversky’s original papers.
And so, in summary, for its simplicity, its bigness (but not too-bigness), the
omission of workings-out, the fact that it brought several data points together
and was understandable, its earworm qualities, and the judicious decision not
to set it in context … for all these reasons, Vote Leave’s “£350m to the NHS”
truly was an inspired example of data-driven storytelling, however flawed or
dishonest or downright wrong it was and I and the rest of the 48% may know
it to have been. Remoaners, eh? Su sore losers.
Be Simplest of all in Your Language
So far in this apter, we have considered the different criteria you should use
when oosing the right data and the best statistics to tell your story. At the
heart of what we’ve covered so far is the need to be simple, clear, and
understandable. While complex mathematical and statistical teniques and
processes need to be applied to numbers to build a rigorous, evidence-based
story, these need to be stripped ba and hidden away when it comes actually
to telling the story. Just as important as the numbers osen to make your
point are the words you use to tell the story.
When physicist Riard Feynman was awarded the Nobel Prize for
Physics, he was asked if he could explain in just three minutes why he’d won
the prize. In a rare misstep, Feynman is reputed to have answered: “If I could
explain it in three minutes, it wouldn’t have won the Nobel Prize.” With all
due respect, Dr Feynman, you’re wrong. Anything can be explained top line
– in an elevator pit – in three minutes. It should be possible to explain it in
a sentence and ideally in a phrase. e = mc2, anyone?
It’s always possible to make difficult concepts easier to understand by
using simpler and more straightforward language. Note: this is not about
dumbing down. It’s about talking human, a theme we will return to in
Chapter 6. e words osen by businesses and other organ-isations are very
oen far too complex and difficult to understand. Sometimes that’s to do
with jargon (and we’ll come ba to that, too). But more oen it comes down
to an overly complex writing style. As soon as they’re given the scope to
write on behalf of or in the voice of an organisation, normally fluent
communicators default to an obscure, fuzzy, pretentious form of words that’s
never come out of any human’s mouth.
One of the most straightforward ways in whi organisational storytellers
can use data to make their storytelling more compelling is in writing in a
simple and straightforward way. Fortunately, there are a several different
diagnostic tools that you can use to e whether your language is telling
your story simply, clearly, and effectively. And suitably enough for a book
about telling stories with data and statistics, all of these produce – erm – data
and statistics about the words you use.
e Gunning Fog Formula analyses text and generates a score that’s a
sool grade. is equates to the number of years of formal education a
reader would need to have passed through to be able to understand the text
with ease at first reading. e SMOG Index does something similar, though
it also benefits from associations with London’s peasouper smogs (“smoke” +
“fog”), worst in the so-called Big Smoke of 1952. For five days in December,
pollution plus weather made it hard to see your hand in front of your face.
e analogy with smoggy, unclear writing is almost too appealing. What’s
more, SMOG is an acronym for Simple Measure of Gobbledygook. It, too,
creates a sool grade score. Other tests include the Automated Readability
Index, the Fry Readability Formula, and the Coleman–Liau Index. ere’s
a world of text analysis to whi most people are entirely oblivious. (Note:
this paragraph scores 10.3 on the Gunning Fog, but 12.4 on the SMOG Index,
as calculated using http://readable.io).
Perhaps the simplest, most widely used, and most useful of all the tools
available is the Fles–Kincaid ‘reading ease’ score. e FK score is based
simply on the number of words per sentence and the number of syllables per
word. e shorter your sentences, and the fewer long words you use, the
higher your score.
Figure 2.4 Fles–Kincaid scores for authors from @shanesnow
Part of the reason for the campaign’s impact and success has been its use
of real women, not airbrushed celebrities, in its films – real women who have
overcome the anxieties that are holding ba many millions of their peers
across the country. By using emotive imagery and film, the campaign was
able to address very real, very specific concerns that have been holding
women ba from active participation in sport, including the unjustified
misconception that geing sweaty and red in the face is just not feminine.
is misconception was held by almost half of the women surveyed by Sport
England. It was overtly addressed by the two of the campaign taglines,
“Sweating like a pig. Feeling like a fox” and “Damn right I look hot”. And
perhaps most memorably of all, at a time when women’s football in the U.K.
is finally coming of age, “I ki balls. Deal with it”.
At every step of the creative and executional process, the campaign used
data and statistics as the rational underpinning to unlo the insights that
made the campaign so powerful and effective. As a result of the campaign,
1.6m more women took part in sport regularly than before it aired. What’s
more, the rate of ange – the rate at whi women are taking up sport
compared with men – is now to women’s advantage.
e second is Girl Can campaign broke in early 2017, focusing on older
women participating in sport. Early results already suggest that it is likely to
be just as impactful.
Key takeaway: Data and statistics can be used as the foundations of
incredibly powerful public education campaigns that actively and
sustainably ange behaviour.
Notes
1 www.youtube.com/wat?v=GGgiGtJk7MA
2 Storytelling with Data (Wiley), pp. 177–8.
3 www.gov.uk/government/statistics/public-expenditure-statistical-analyses-2015
4 hp://bit.ly/2y8KgUa
5 hps://shanesnow.contently.com
6 hp://bit.ly/1L9M5P5
3
Find and Use Only Relevant Data
When we know why we do what we do, everything else falls into place.
News data and analysis – What are people saying about you and
your competitors and peers in the (increasingly online) news media?
What kind of language do journalists use when they’re talking about
your category? Are they routinely more positive when they talk about
you or your competitors? Are your people or your competitors’
spokespeople more likely to be sought out for a point of view? What
is the sentiment of the articles wrien? Is it positive, neutral, or
negative? What methodology is used to ascribe sentiment? Is it done
by computer algorithm, using – say – automated natural language
processing (whi oen isn’t mu beer than ance)? Or is it
manually coded by real human analysts? Is all of the content scored
for sentiment, or just a sample? Is that sample representative? Where
in the country or the world is there more or less interest in your
organisation? Who are the most influential journalists writing in the
area you’re involved in?
Social media data and analytics – Similar to news media data
(though usually mu shorter form in terms of original content).
What are people saying about you and your competitors and peers on
social media platforms and in blogs? What pictures are they posting?
What type of language do they use when they’re talking about you?
What’s the sentiment? Who are the most influential individuals in
social media as measured by how many other people they rea
(number of followers etc.), how many people they stimulate to share
their content (their resonance), and how mu they talk about you
rather than competitors or peers (their relevance)? Last time I
eed, there were several hundred different social media analytics
platforms, so it’s hard to know where to start in terms of
recommendations. Because they’re generally agreed to be one of the
best, because they’re sons and daughters of Sussex born out of my
second alma mater the University of Sussex, and because they’re
generous with helpful content, I’d recommend starting with
Brandwat1 to harvest and analyse both news and social media
content, though of course this comes at a cost.
Sales data – What have you sold in whi locations over the relevant
period? How do your sales compare between online and offline?
What’s a typical customer journey?
Market resear and polling data – What do people think about
your category, your company, and its products? How do their
aitudes compare with what they think about your competitors? Or
about peers, or businesses you respect or aim to emulate?
Employee data – How do your people feel about working for you?
Do they live to work or work to live? Do they understand and can
they repeat your corporate purpose and philosophy? Do they even
know you have a purpose? Are they genuinely engaged? Are they
coming on the same journey as you’re intending to lead? How long
do they stay with you? Are you experiencing excessive, industry-
standard, or below-average urn?
Reputation data – What do people – from specific interest groups to
the general public – think about your organisation? Do you have a
good reputation? How could it be improved? How are you doing
compared with your competitors, peers, or benmark companies?
What are the drivers of your reputation, good or bad? Are some more
readily anged than others? What do people think of the quality of
leadership and vision in your organisation?
Market data – What’s the dynamic of the marketplace in whi you
operate? Are you a monopoly supplier, are there several competitors,
and where do you rank? Are there new entrants or allengers
entering your market? What are the opportunities for you to expand
into new or adjacent markets? Is digital tenology disrupting your
market and are some new entrants threatening to “do an AirBnB or
an Uber?”
Analyst reports – What do financial analysts think and say about
your performance? Are you seen as progressive or sti-in-the-mud?
How do you compare with competitors and peers?
In addition to your own data, other data sets are also increasingly being
made available. ese data sets are usually free to download and can be
incredibly useful for organisations looking to build a story based on
sociodemographic trends. ey include:
So, not only are there vast quantities of data available inside most organ-
isations, there is also a mass of publicly available data. Taken together, these
data sets can make it difficult to know where to start and whi data sets to
use as the foundation of your narrative. Because of the seemingly endless
availability of different types of data, it’s also incredibly easy – and even
more tempting – to throw everything into the mix and go on what
statisticians calling a fishing expedition.
Fishing expeditions are dangerous, because if you start with no idea of
what you want to get out of your data analysis and you’re just leing the
data do the storytelling, two things are likely to happen. First, you’ll get an
answer of some sort. And second, the answer is likely to be aractive – “Why
didn’t I think of that? How couldn’t I see that?” But third, it’s also most likely
to be wrong.
When looking for relationships between data sets – between specific
variables, say social media sentiment and sales – the standard tools available
to the inquisitive, stats-literate storyteller are correlation and, building on
that tenique, regression analysis. Don’t get me wrong. is isn’t a stats
textbook. ere are many excellent stats textbooks available, including
almost anything wrien by one of my former stats teaers at the University
of Sussex, Andy Field.5 But bear with me on this line of thought for just three
short paragraphs more. Or skip past them if they make you break out in a
cold sweat.
Correlation looks at sets of numbers and asks these sets of numbers if
there’s a relationship of any sort between them. In the case of social media
sentiment and sales, for instance, do sales go up when people say more nice
things about us, do sales go down when people say more nasty things about
us, or is there no direct, obvious relationship. Relationships can be linear
(direct) and positive (one goes up while the other goes up) or negative (one
goes up while the other goes down). Relationships can also be cubic or
quadratic – there are twists in the tale. In our example, it might be that sales
go up when people say nice things about us, but when the sentiment gets too
sily sweet, people cease believing that the comments are authentic and
suspect them to be astroturfing (fake posts engineered behind the scenes by
the company), and sales go down (a cubic relationship).
Life isn’t usually that simple, however. One thing doesn’t usually cause
another in the absence of any other factors. As we considered in the
introduction, as cognitive creatures, we are aracted to single-factor
solutions. We find multiple factors, interacting with ea other, difficult to
grasp. Or at least we find it difficult to hold all these factors in mind
simultaneously: “is if that and that but not the other”. So, while some
might want to put Leicester City’s 2015/16 Premiership success down to
Claudio Ranieri’s management – and the club’s owners certainly thought he
was the single cause of failure, when they saed him just eight months later
– there were likely many other, interacting factors behind that extraordinary
5,000–1 success.
So, because life is more complicated than single-factor solutions,
statisticians have developed more complex statistical tests that we can use to
look at relationships between multiple different factors. We can see what the
relationship is like between multiple predictor variables (variables that
predict an outcome) and an outcome variable (the impact of the inputs).
ere are different teniques – including regression analysis and analysis of
variance (ANOVA), cluster analysis, and factor analysis – but they all, at their
heart, use correlations between variables to work out their answers.
(FAO statistophobes – it’s safe to come back now). For the organisational
storyteller, correlating different variables together can be a dangerous thing.
Going ba to our example of social media and sales, this is likely to be too
simple a model, as we’ll explore shortly. But before we get there, it may well
be that su a simple model fails to consider the impact of a hidden third
cause.
Imagine you’re the brand manager of a new ice cream sandwi brand.
You notice an increase in the number of social media mentions – and in the
number of positive mentions – for your product. is follows investment in a
dynamic campaign with a hot new social media agency, and it’s really
bearing fruit. Over the same period, you tra an increase in your sales and
also in the number of new vendors looking to sto your product.
You conclude that positive social media comment has driven sales and
distribution, report this to the marketing director, and ask for more budget
for the social media agency. And then feel incredibly deflated when she
points out that the period in question was spring into summer, and you’ve
failed to account for the hidden third cause: the weather. Her greater
experience immediately tells her that people tweet more about ice cream
brands – more positively – because they are more present in the lives of
consumers when it gets hoer. Rather than causing the increase in sales, the
increase in positive social media mentions were most likely the result of more
people buying and eating the product because May, June, and July are
warmer than February, Mar, and April.
Before you dismiss this analysis as fanciful and naive, a word of warning.
I’ve seen exactly these kinds of conclusions drawn time and again because
organisations tried to draw too-simple, one-factor models of the world and
ignored perhaps the most obvious cause, a hidden third factor, whi has an
obvious impact on both the other variables in the correlation. It was tempting
for our brand manager to look at social media sentiment and sales, because
he wanted to justify his investment decision and get more budget for his
favoured agency. He would have been beer off looking at a thermometer
and a calendar. How analogue!
Fishing expeditions can also be dangerous because they represent an
incomplete model of the world that doesn’t take in all the relevant variables.
Even if you build a regression analysis with what you believe – and history
has shown – to be the five most important predictors of sales, you may well
be leaving out the most important factor. Like the advertising spend of an
aggressive new competitor in the market whi, while you don’t control it,
turns out to be the decisive factor in your shrinking market share. Not your
middle managers’ average waistline, the price of stamps, or the impact of
new Government legislation.
Finally, fishing expeditions are a classic example of what I first heard Andy
Field describe as GIGO: Garbage In, Garbage Out. ere is so mu data
available to all sorts of organisations today – companies, brands, arities,
NGOs, Government departments, academics, journalists, bloggers, politicians,
religious leaders … frankly, to everyone. e tools to undertake even
rudimentary data analysis are also ubiquitous. I’m not talking expensive
applications like Tableau, great as they are. I’m talking applications on every
Mac and PC I’ve ever seen, Numbers and Excel. So, the data and the tools are
at everyone’s disposal. But there isn’t necessarily the critical faculty or the
training to judge whether the correlation you’re running is likely to produce
meaningful – let alone true – results.
Spurious Correlations
Tyler Vigen is a student at Harvard Law Sool. He became so obsessed with
the spurious correlations he saw appearing across news and social media –
and a lile distracted from his law studies – that he started downloading a
wealth of different, publicly available data sets. He then ran endless
correlations to make the point – in a very funny, quasi-academic way – that
just because you can correlate two sets of data with one another it doesn’t
mean that you should. More importantly, it doesn’t necessarily reveal
anything meaningful. He’s brought together hundreds of data sets and
produced literally tens of thousands of arts that show very strong
relationships – tenically very strong correlation coefficients or r values –
between the most unlikely of variables.
Some of the most memorable are collected in a book, Spurious
Correlations, that you should buy. My favourites include:
And this one, below: the number of people who drowned by falling into a
pool and films Nicolas Cage appeared in (r = 0.67). A comparatively weak
correlation, but WHAT a story! Oh …
On his open-access website – and I allenge you not to get lost for hours
at tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations – Vigen says of himself:
I love to wonder about how variables work together. The charts on this site aren’t
meant to imply causation nor are they meant to create a distrust for research or even
correlative data. Rather, I hope this project fosters interest in statistics and numerical
research.
What the book says loud and clear – and it’s a statistical lesson even the least
numerate appear to have heard – is that …
… a lesson that even the more numerate are sometimes too qui to forget
when they’ve been on a fishing expedition and found something apparently
interesting.
e satirical online publication The Onion regularly plays with data-driven
storytelling, has a fondness for the spurious correlation, and a
particular penant for drawing precisely the opposite conclusion from the
“resear findings” they present to build bogus news stories. One recent gem
reported:6 “Study finds exposure to violent ildren causes increased
aggression in video game aracters”. ite so.
In the end, it all comes down to what you want to find out, what story
you’re looking to tell, and whi data and statistics you can best use to help
tell that story. When looking to select the right data to be the underpinning
of your story, you need to start with a meaningful hypothesis you wish to
test with the data. And not – as is too oen the case, particularly on fishing
expeditions – start with the data and see what it says. Worse yet, start with a
conclusion in mind and see if you can’t bend the data to support the case
you’re trying to make.
is is not the approa that (proper) scientists take with data when they
use data to test hypotheses. Tempting as it may be – particularly if it’s
building on a body of existing work – scientists don’t look to prove their
hypotheses, they look to test them. ey look to see if, by experimental
manipulation – say giving drug x – they can rule out everything apart from
the dosage of the drug as being the cause of the outcome they record – say
beer memory for faces. e intelligent use of statistics to rule everything
out – and conclude that it’s likely to be the impact of your experimental
manipulation that’s had the effect – is known as null-hypothesis significance
testing. e null hypothesis is the devil’s advocate position, assuming what
you were testing didn’t happen. Organisational storytellers would be well
advised to take this approa, too, when looking to build an evidence-based
story. Or otherwise you’ll make the philosopher Karl Popper, the father of the
scientific method, spin in his grave.
Detecting the Signal from the Noise
Nate Silver is one of the gods of predictive analytics. He and his 538 team
have a near-legendary reputation for predicting the outcomes of elections
and sporting fixtures. Together, they make deep and deeply intelligent use of
data and statistics to show what’s likely to happen next. eir skills need
Silver star contracts with first the New York Times as the home for the 538
blog, focused on political forecasting, and then at ESPN.
In the 2008 and 2012 U.S. presidential elections, Silver correctly predicted
the right result in almost every congressional district for the two Obama
presidential victories. And while the polling and predictive analytics business
was thrown two curve balls by both the EU Referendum and the 2016 U.S.
presidential race, it’s fair to say that on both those elections Silver and his
team were among the least wrong.
Silver leapt from specialist to generalist interest with the publication of his
2013 book, The Signal and the Noise. e title neatly captures what
organisational leaders are looking to distil and to discard when oosing the
right data and using the right statistics to analyse that data to tell beer,
data-driven stories. All the different categories of organisational and publicly
available data listed above (pp. 49–52) offer the opportunity, if treated right,
to detect meaningful signals. Signals that form the foundations and the
underpinning of more impactful, evidence-based storytelling. But approaed
with insufficient caution, they are more likely to generate meaningless noise.
Many organisational leaders have been poorly served during the Big Data
revolution. Data has been disunited, when an integrated view would tell a
more complete story. Casual observations are slapped onto apparent trends
too early and with insufficient caution. Hypotheses aren’t tested; the data is
manipulated to prove a point. Small “p” politics wins out over statistical
rigour. And the lure of the all-singing, all-dancing data visualisation
dashboard has spawned an industry but afflicted organisations with too
many prey ways of making no sense of nothing.
Taken together, disunited data sets, casual observations, hypothesis
hijaing, and Dashboard Syndrome are unhelpful at best, counter-
productive at worst. e prescription of beer data-driven storytelling starts
with knowing where to look, what to look for, and who to have on the team.
Pierre Emmanuel Maire is the advertising planner responsible for the
compelling “Dirt Is Good” insight that helped Unilever take global leadership
from Procter & Gamble in the laundry category. Ever since the invention and
mass production of washing powder – including the development of the soap
opera as an advertising vehicle for P&G’s products in the 1920s – advertisers
had done lile more than make mums feel guilty. e “whiter than white”
advertising shti had been the category norm for decades, implying only
just beneath the surface that a mum was a bad mum if her kids’ clothes
weren’t always spotless. As if dads had any role in doing the washing …
“Dirt Is Good” turns this idea on its head – as well as empowering parents
to allow their kids to express themselves, enabling kids to be kids and get
outside and play. Yes, Unilever’s laundry products like Persil and Skip will get
the kids’ clothes clean – of course it will, that’s why the product exists. But
rather than constrain ildren’s growing and learning opportunities found
rolling and romping around in the mud, eating a pe of dirt, “Dirt Is Good”
as a message enables parents (not just mums!) to forget about the clothes-
cleaning part, because that’s already taken care of.
Maire distilled the insight from resear he led at ad agency Ammirati
Puris Lintas. In an interview with me conducted in September 2015, he
described finding the right nuggets of data like prospecting for oil.
“Unearthing genuine insights is like finding oil. First, you zone in the right
area. Next, you mine in the right place. en, you extract something
relatively crude. And finally, you refine it until you have something
powerful.”
Summing Up
e Bigness of Big Data can be intimidating.
Use your resources to identify the corner of lile big data that holds the
answers to the questions you want to ask.
Tools and teniques – from Boolean logic to big data analytics – are
important. But it’s not, first and foremost, a tenology problem. It’s a more
problem of purpose – of identifying and articulating your purpose or your
“Why?”, as Simon Sinek shows so elegantly in his 2009 TED Talk.
To ask the right questions that will deliver the right data and statistics, you
need to work boom up, not top down.
is is true for social media analytics, for market resear, for any means
you may oose to identify and isolate the right data and statistics.
Done right, social media analytics can represent the most natural and
unfiltered form of market resear available.
ere’s a huge amount of data available to all organisations – data inside
the organisation, and also massive, publicly available data sets. You should
embrace the wealth of available data, but always be on the lookout for the
false positive.
Statistical fishing expeditions involve seing off into the great unknown of
available data and seeing what you can find. Not to be recommended.
Outcomes very rarely have single causes, particularly in complex markets
or environments. e problem with building statistical models of the world –
particularly when looking for cause and effect – is that you leave out or
ignore relevant data sources.
Correlation very definitely does not equal causation. While spurious
correlations are oen hilarious, they’re very rarely helpful. Except when you
want to talk about how unhelpful they are.
When looking to test (not prove) hypotheses, use the scientific method and
deploy null-hypothesis significance testing. With this approa, you’re
looking to rule out every possible cause of the outcome you’ve observed
before accepting it was something you did to try to ange things.
Detecting the signal from the noise is a holy grail, but many leaders have
been let down by disunited data sets, casual observations, and the debilitating
affliction known as Dashboard Syndrome.
To get a head start in data-driven storytelling, take leaf out of the oil
discovery business. Zone in the right area, mine in the right place, extract
something relatively crude, and then refine it until you have something
powerful.
Give it a Go: What Makes the News?
Take two newspapers, one more upmarket (in the U.K., perhaps the Daily
Telegraph; in the U.S., maybe the New York Times), one more downmarket
(in the U.K., perhaps the Daily Mail; in the U.S., maybe USA Today). You
could use the online versions – whi carry more stories – but there’s
something incredibly satisfying about doing this exercise with a newspaper
(while they still last) and scissors.
Scan every story for data-driven stories. e City and financial pages are
always full of annual or quarterly results, news of mergers and acquisitions,
and financial performance metrics. at’s a relatively easy place to start. But
keep on reading, starting wherever you want, and you’ll be amazed to find
quite how important data and statistics are to news. Government figures, the
results of new resear, the impact of Big Data, the potential of Blo-ain
or its new allenger Hashgraph, the number of passes completed by the star
of your favourite football team … anything you oose to mention.
Cut out all articles that are data-driven, and make a tally of the proportion
of stories that depend on data to make their points. Advanced players of this
game should focus on a data-driven story in an area with whi they’re
incredibly familiar, and here a web sear will likely prove more fruitful.
Find a story about your organisation or its category but not generated by it;
oose one generated by or about a competitor or peer. And then really work
at the data and statistics, and assess how true or accurate you believe the
story to be.
Data-Driven Stories
Producers As Heroes
On returning from summer holidays in 2010, the most intriguing email trail I
found in my inbox connected me to Tesco’s then ad agency, Red Bri Road.
Now this is long before retailing’s tallest poppy hit the buffers, ewed
through CEOs, made some of the biggest losses in British corporate history,
and got mired in accounting scandals. e recession had started to ange the
dynamics of food shopping – Aldi and Lidl were making waves, Waitrose
had launed an Essentials range, and everyone was parking tanks on their
competitors’ lawns.
Tesco, I learned from the emails, was starting to talk about quality. ey’d
developed some farm gate to store stories and begun advertising about the
quality of food not just in its Finest* range. But it wasn’t cuing through in
earned media; in news, broadcast, and social. Expecting journalists, bloggers,
and punters to suddenly start talking and writing about the quality of Tesco’s
products just wasn’t a realistic aspiration, at least not with the strategy they
were pursuing.
With colleagues, I took what proved to be the first of many trains for the
next two years to Cheshunt, met the food marketing supremos and category
heads, and headed ba to the office with a bag full of briefing materials.
Least promising of all was a fat spreadsheet full of competition entries from
Tesco customers (always customers; never consumers or clients). e
competition theme? “What’s your favourite quality Tesco product?”
Tiebreaker? “[PRODUCT X] is my favourite, quality Tesco product because
…”. Tens of thousands had taken the time to enter, but the marketers didn’t
know what to do with all their comments and nominations.
at night – and it did take all night – I subjected the spreadsheet to
intensive linguistic analysis, cruning frequencies of words and looking at
how customers talked about their favourite quality Tesco products. And the
new day began, I had a sense that this unpromising spreadsheet might hold
the key to unloing the brief of geing journalists and social media
commentators – yes, even in 2010 – to talk about the quality of Tesco’s food,
allenging misconceptions and building an already shaky reputation. e
linguistic analysis revealed four important traits underpinning customers’
opinions about what set their favourite Tesco’s food apart: Britishness,
freshness, produced on farms, and taste. But the traits felt more like
indicators than insight; like filtered data than a central idea on whi to base
a campaign about quality.
Stu, I took a timeout. Timeout is one of the most important and
underestimated tools in idea creation and insight generation. Deliberately
taking time away from the problem you’re trying to solve allows the
subconscious mind to do that brilliant thing it does all the time without you
even noticing: recombination. Vilfredo Pareto may be best known for his
80/20 rule. But his second most famous maxim is: “An idea is nothing more
or less than a combination of old elements”. How right he is.
e subconscious glues together already-acquired information (read here
data and statistics) and puts them together in new and interesting ways.
Many, it will reject. But some it will promote and when they pop through
into consciousness that, for me, is the very essence of the eureka moment.
(I’ll talk mu more about this in my next book, How to Be Insightful).
So, stu, I went to meet a collaborator at the Rude Britannia exhibition at
Tate Britain. is celebration of Anglo-Saxon smut, from saucy seaside
postcards to the Carry On franise, was a romp through what tiled
Britain’s rude funny bone from the World War II onwards. And it was while
taking this timeout, wandering between the giant blow-ups of pages of Viz
Comic, that I realised I’d worked it out. I had my eureka moment. ree
metres tall, giant blow-ups of two Viz aracters – Farmer Palmer
(catphrase “Get off moi land!”) and 8 Ace (alcoholic superhero) – towered
over me. And suddenly, the idle it-at with my collaborator stopped.
Combining the traits from the linguistic analysis with these two aracters, I
had my insight.
To tell the Tesco quality story – about tasty, fresh, British food that Tesco
customers loved so mu – we needed to tell the story through the eyes of
the farmers who supplied produce for the supermarket. Not Farmer Palmer,
but Tesco farmers. Yes, the products were sold at Tesco, but the true heroes
were the farmers and growers and producers who made su good quality
produce. Tesco was the enabler, the facilitator, and not just to quality food
products on the shelves today, but also to growing thousands of other
businesses across the country whose quality food products they distribute
and sell.
And so was born Producers As Heroes, an award-winning campaign that
lasted 18 months and helped to reposition Tesco and allenge three
misperceptions it had struggled to throw off.
Key takeaway: Sometimes, the data and statistics you need to tell
powerful stories are siing right underneath your nose. Turning data
into insights and insights into compelling stories requires both
analytical skills and storytelling nous.
Notes
1 A good example of their generosity in content marketing – and an excellent resource
for analysing Twier content – is their 2016 blog The Top 10 Free Twitter Analytics
Tools, linked here hp://bit.ly/2q23EPf
1. ey are usually only absolute and not relative, and there’s no
sense about what is a good engagement score and what is not so
good.
2. ese measurement systems are measures of potential
communications output, not outcomes. ey don’t report on what’s
been aieved by the tweet or blog post, just how far it’s travelled
and, potentially, how many people could have seen it.
3. Many of the most-used social media platforms – including
Facebook, Instagram, Snapat, and Google+ – operate as “walled
gardens”, and no-one has access to even output data apart from the
platforms owners themselves.
Several times in 2016 and 2017, Facebook has been forced to admit that it has
overestimated how many people were exposed to ads and videos on its
platform, and for how long. It has also been compelled to revise down
potential audience rea because it has declared figures for – say – teens in
the U.K. and U.S. that are higher than the total populations provided in
census data.
e Power of English
When looking to prepare powerful, data-driven stories that are likely to
drive engagement in a target audience, it is important to ensure that the
content organisations prepare and distribute is fit for purpose. English is
su a ri language with gloriously diverse ways of saying the same thing.
In one form or another, English has been around for more than a
millennium. In that time, many other languages – of conquerors and the
conquered, of allies and foes – have le their trace. at’s why we have
rusks and biscuits, craers and cookies eek-by-jowl in the same
supermarket aisle.
You see, English – unlike rather too many of its native speakers on its
home island these days – is an incredibly welcoming entity, willing to admit
as many ambers as it does verandas, as happy with Sadenfreude as the
Kindergarten. Mercifully there is no Academie Anglaise, and our linguistic
open borders policy allows us to build narratives – tell tales – fabricate
fables from the riest palate available to storytellers anywhere.
One benefit of this tolerance for tautology is that the able English speaker
can deploy more forms of spee than those less linguistically well-
endowed. And one of the simplest and most pleasing to the ear is
alliteration: starting successive words with the same leer or sound, creating
a rhythmic cadence to phrasing to make it more memorable. It’s not a bad
starting point.
What’s more, resear from the pre-digital age – particularly from the
laboratories of Paul Ekman at the University of California at San Francisco,
where he created a universal Atlas of Emotions – mean that we know that
people pay more aention to information that tis the following three
boxes.
Dear Person
“Dear person who made a playlist called: ‘One Night Stand With Jeb Bush Like
He’s a Bond Girl in a European Casino.’ We have so many questions.”
[The pyramid-shaped teabag] tends to naturally float on the surface of the water,
allowing the water to flow more freely in and out of the tea bag. It is this extra
movement of tea leaves which helps the brewing process.
(FK 44.1)
I’ve got a bit of a reputation for poking fun at storytelling that’s not clear or
simple or straightforward to understand, and particularly data-driven
storytelling like this. “What does it maer?” victims or fellow sufferers
retort. “We’re a business to business business, experts selling to other
experts. Why shouldn’t we talk in the language we talk in day in, day out?”
My simple response is that – of course – “I understand you’re experts and
brilliant at what you do. at’s why other businesses seek you out. You have
expertise that they don’t and that they need. But because you’re the expert
and your customers inevitably know less than you, you are doing yourself
an active disservice by writing so opaquely. By arrogantly and
unempathetically forgeing that everyone doesn’t know as mu about –
and certainly isn’t as interested in – your specialist area as you are. You owe
it to them to explain it simply and clearly. Simple and clear doesn’t mean
dumbed down or patronisingly. Shrouding yourself in jargon, being
deliberately opaque, and falling foul of the Curse of Knowledge means you
are actually limiting the potential you have to grow and succeed as a
business.”
I really mean that. Poor communication confuses people and they turn off
and go and look for a competitor who can explain what they do quier and
simpler. Having words like those pied out above on your home page
hamstrings a business. When I make that connection, I’ve seen hard-nosed
sales directors and bolshie heads of R&D go quiet. I oen wonder whether
the Chief Financial Officer mightn’t be a beer route to market for a
corporate and brand storyteller than the Chief Marketing Officer. I know
that econometric modellers find a sympathetic ear from the CFO, because
they show the CMO and her marketing teams whi half of their advertising
budget is wasted. CFOs give that kind of intelligence two thumbs up.
We’ve already talked a lot about the role of purpose in business. My
purpose in running a corporate and brand storytelling business is simple. It’s
to help companies and brands communicate beer, more authentically, more
simply. To cut out the jargon, to avoid the Curse of Knowledge, to find and
express their purpose, to plan and cra their communication more
empathetically. Ultimately – and we’ll come to this in Chapter 6 – to talk
that rarest of business dialects: Human. My purpose is a simple purpose, but
it’s one that can have real impact on organisational performance – for-profit
or not-for-profit; private or public sector; business, NGO, or arity.
One of the reasons that Simon Sinek’s Start with Why is the second most-
wated TED talk of all time is that he’s su a good speaker. It’s also
because what he says rings so true, and because his message is so simply
and elegantly delivered. His thesis is that people don’t buy what you do,
they buy why you do it. Advice he gives six times in 18 minutes, and it’s
advice that networking solutions business Zeea Networks should have
considered before they wrote this6 in the appealing-titled tab on their
website called “Our story”:
(FK 22.3)
e safest driver
Top tips: Establish the absolute priority of the request for copy, comment, or
content as soon as you receive it. Give in to the tyranny of the urgent over
the important until you’ve dealt with what really matters.
Top tips: Realise that, however tech-rich and data-driven, all organisations
are populated by people and that people make the decisions. They may be
guided by data and statistics, but no decision will be made without the
guiding hand of purpose and motivation. So, use arguments that appeal to
people – human-to-human – balancing evidence with emotion and
empathy. Algorithms matter, but not as much as humanity.
Talk about what those you want to impress, to influence – to become your
friends and advocates – are interested in. Or else run the risk of being the
bore talking to themselves in the corner at the end of the evening.
e Cotail Party Rule applies every bit as mu to a 1950s-cotail party
as it does to organisational storytelling in the late twenty-teens. It has
particular resonance for how you oose to use data and statistics as a core
foundation of your storytelling, but not as the story itself. Imagine how
quily your audience at a cotail party would scule away like
coroaes if you started to list off a reel of statistics to try to make your
point; if you used no emotion in your language; if you didn’t follow the
three-act structure in your anecdotes.
Being empathetic, talking human, and making judicious use of data and
statistics to build your story are all driven by knowing your audience. When
you sit down to write – a spee, a tweet, a blog, or a white paper – try to
imagine the individuals in your target audience around you as if you were at
a cotail party, Don Draper and Bey Olson on the fringes of your group.
And see if you can’t keep them hanging on your every word, rather than
slipping quietly away to engage with someone less boring instead. Hear the
Cotail Party Rule as you plan and write. Maybe even print it out and sti
it on your office wall. “If you want to be boring …”
One final point. e Cotail Party Rule is one of the reasons that
organisations creating content about issues not themselves – so-called
content marketing – has grown to be so popular and so successful; why
white papers about industry issues are downloaded so mu more
frequently than corporate broures or product information sheets. Once
they’re aware of who you are and what you do, potential customers and
collaborators have no doubt that there are things you could do for them. But
rather than hear how wonderful you are or how many offices you have or
what your revenue in their sector was last year, they’d mu rather know
what you think about the issues that are plaguing their sector today.
When you talk about the issues that maer to those who are listening,
you’ll soon draw a surprisingly big and engaged crowd. All because of the
power of the Cotail Party Rule.
What Talking Human Sounds Like
It makes sense to round out this apter – and the theory and advice section
of the book – with some examples of what talking human sounds like.
However so, calm, and conversational HAL 9000 was in Stanley Kubrik’s
film of Arthur C. Clarke’s 2001: A Space Odyssey, he – it – was still a H
euristically programmed AL gorithmic computer, totally reliant on code.
However convincing the pioneering ELIZA was at asking low-level
psyiatric questions, she was still an early natural language processing
program developed in the 1960s at MIT, totally reliant on analytics. And
however depressed Marvin the Paranoid Android was in Douglas Adams’
five-part Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy trilogy, he was totally reliant on
circuits that fizzed with humanoid-made algorithms.
e advances in language processing and comprehension have made great
strides in recent years. IBM’s Watson is an extraordinary corpus of
programming that can do truly amazing things with language. Its
comparative analysis of Trump and Obama’s inauguration speees run by
IBMer Jeremy Waite just hours aer @POTUS45’s was delivered was
remarkable for many reasons – its speed, its length, and its counter-intuitive
insights and conclusions. For all of those reasons, it was also remarkable for
the tens of thousands of likes and shares it received. If you’ve not read it yet,
put this book aside for the 40 minutes it’ll take you to digest his blog. Sear
for “Waite Trump Obama”, cli on one of the many links, and enjoy.
Where language processing falls down and will doubtless continue to do
so is in original content generation. Yes, it’s true that algorithms have been
wrien to scour news wire sources and compose articles for online
publications; articles that human readers cannot detect as being wrien by
non-humans. I know news journalists who are quaking in their shoes at this
tenology. But those algorithms and no algorithms yet conceived can come
close to being brilliant organisational storytellers. e context, the nuance,
the history, the purpose, the direction, the audience, the “news just in”, all of
these factors make me confident that craing organ-isational stories in the
language of humans will remain the preserve of people for the foreseeable
future.
So, here are some examples of data-driven stories, from public and private
sectors, that I truly believe read and sound human. As with the examples in
Chapter 5, I’ve scored these on the Fles–Kincaid reading ease scale too. I
wanted to make the point one last time that simple, clear sentences with
fewer, shorter words are so mu more impactful.
Here’s a great example of human aer from the U.K. Home Office’s Fire
Kills campaign:2
Test your smoke alarms monthly. Last year over 200 people died in fires in the
home. You’re at least 4 times more likely to die in a fire in the home if there’s no
working smoke alarm. When you test your smoke alarms, you could test the smoke
alarms of an older family member, neighbour or friend who needs help. It only takes
a moment to test and gives your family and people you care about a better chance of
surviving a fire.
(FK 54.3)
And finally, here are three, great examples of simple, clear, data-driven
storytelling. e first one comes from those pioneers of brand storytelling,
Innocent Drinks:4
We started innocent in 1999 after selling our smoothies at a music festival. We put
up a big sign asking people if they thought we should give up our jobs to make
smoothies, and put a bin saying “Yes” and a bin saying “No” in front of the stall.
Then we got people to vote with their empties. At the end of the weekend, the “Yes”
bin was full, so we resigned from our jobs the next day and got cracking. Since then
we’ve started making coconut water, juice and kids’ stuff, in our quest to make
natural, delicious, healthy drinks that help people live well and die old.
(FK 77.6)
(FK 62.5)
And last of all, not sounding like a business at all, we have new wave
cosmetics business, Lush.6 e language combines a positive tone of voice
with a straightforward line in storytelling. Focusing on the idea behind the
brand makes it easy for the reader to forget they’re being sold a product at
all.
Here at Lush we have never liked to call ourselves an Ethical Company. We find the
term rather a difficult concept, because it seems to us that it is used to describe
companies who try not to damage people or planet with their trade practices – when
surely this should not be regarded as “ethical” but as normal business-as-usual. All
business should be ethical and all trade should be fair.
Individual companies should not stand out simply by not being damaging or
unfair. No company should be trading from an unethical position and society has a
right to expect as the norm fairness and resource stewardship from the companies
that supply them. We always wish to conduct our business so that all people who
have contact with us, from our ingredients suppliers through to our staff and
customers, benefit from their contact with Lush and have their lives enriched by it.
No company is perfect and we strive daily to get closer to the ideal vision that all
Lush people share. We will always want and demand more from Lush, so that our
business practices match our own expectations, our staff and customer expectations
and the needs of the planet.
(FK 55.5)
Summing Up
Dan Pink is right. We’re all in sales, whether we represent a business, a
arity, or the public sector, whether we’re a doctor looking to convince her
patient to complete a course of medication or a teaer requiring students to
complete homework tasks.
Organisations are abstract entities, but they’re made up – primarily – of
people. So, their language should be human, too.
But when they’re put in the spotlight, many people produce words and
content quite unlike normal human spee and communication.
Organisational storytellers oen produce complex, difficult, confusing
words for the following reasons: psyology, time pressure, projected norms,
organisational structure, fear of geing it wrong, poor planning, jargon, and
the language of statistics.
B2C businesses are generally good at talking clearly and simply to their
customers, as well as to other external stakeholder groups. B2C talks human.
B2B businesses lag behind B2C in their ability and willingness to talk
human. e justification (or excuse) is that they’re talking about more
complex, specialist issues. Not so.
TED talker Bryan Kramer says there is no B2B or B2C. It’s now human-
to-human or #H2H.
Use your storytelling to stimulate a response. Mu beer to get an
outright rejection than a bland “Meh?” or a look of total incomprehension.
To tell a good story, you have to know your audience. Know how you
should addresses them, what language you should use, and what your
stories should be about.
Knowing your audience is all about empathy – the ability to put yourself
in your audience’s shoes using an organisational theory of mind.
Empathy is a – the – fundamental human quality, and corporate and
brand storytellers should always have their empathy radar swited on.
Being empathetic in organisational storytelling is all about observing the
principles of the Cotail Party Rule.
e Cotail Party Rule states that: “If you want to be boring, talk about
yourself. If you want to be interesting, talk about what maers to those who
are listening.”
ink before you enter a room – before you open your mouth – before
you put fingers to keyboard about who your audience is and what they want
to get out of interacting with you. As well as what you want to get out of
interacting with them.
Algorithms might be able to write the news. But they’re very unlikely for
the foreseeable future to take over an empathy-driven, data-driven,
organisational storytelling role.
Give It a Go: What’s Our “Why?”
Have you ever considered what your organisation’s real purpose is? I don’t
mean “to make money” or “to be the best”. I mean its purpose. Its “Why?”
First, wat Simon Sinek’s TEDx talk from Puget Sound 2009, “How great
leaders inspire action”.7 Even if – like me – you’ve wated it dozens of
times before, along with 35 million others. Next, get together a small and
diverse team of different individuals in your organisation. Get them to
wat it. And then go into a room with no phones or laptops or distractions
of any sort and work out why it is your organisation exists.
Be ruthless and pressure-test the answer. If it’s too bland or indistinctive,
work at it some more. And when you’ve got something compelling and
distinctive, get agreement from the organisation to get everyone in the
enterprise to build on and share in and communicate your purpose. It will be
truly transformative and the yardsti by whi you judge future action.
Data-Driven Stories
So mu has been wrien about Dove’s Campaign for Real Beauty that – if
this book didn’t have the very clear purpose of demonstrating the power and
impact of data-driven storytelling – it would be difficult to know where to
start to write something new about it.
For years, Dove had been slowly losing market share to both non-branded
competitors and, in its flagship market of North America in particular, to
Nivea. Something had to be done to reverse the decline. In the early 2000s,
lead advertising agency Ogilvy made a number of promising starts at
looking to position Dove as the anti-beauty industry beauty industry brand
ampion. But the creative expression of the disruptive idea wasn’t quite
stiing.
en Dove formed a strategic partnership with Joah Santos, the
advertising creative reputed to have developed an approa to advertising
known as “mission marketing”. Santos led a multi-market resear campaign
working with leading academics around the world. From the wealth of data
Dove generated from its resear, the single most important nugget of data
that provided the insight to create the Campaign for Real Beauty was this
haunting statistic: in every market Dove asked the question, only 2% or
fewer of all women described themselves as beautiful.
Dove set out on a mission to celebrate real beauty – the real, everyday
beauty that lives inside every woman, and had a mantra to celebrate: “real
types not stereotypes”. is positioning set the brand in opposition to the
overwhelming majority of the established beauty industry. From 2004
onwards, Dove launed wave aer wave of films that taled the issues of
beauty industry, fashion industry, and fashion media aitudes to what
defined beauty. e brands looked to help redefine beauty and women’s
aitudes to their own beauty, thereby enhancing their self-confidence.
e films Dove made – including Evolution (2006) and Onslaught (2008)
and the most recent, Real Beauty Sketches (2013); you’ll find them all on
YouTube – hardly needed to be advertised. ey contained su powerful
messages that they quily went viral. Billboard campaigns featuring non-
traditional (for the beauty industry) images of women with ti boxes asked
the public to consider whether they were: for an older woman “withered or
wonderful?”, for a redhead with freles “flawed or flawless?”, for another
older woman with a mane of grey hair “grey or gorgeous?”, and for two
fuller-figured women “fat or fit?” and “extra-large or extra-sexy?” In the
infancy and then early ildhood of social media, people happily and
spontaneously shared the billboards as well as the films, giving them vastly
more exposure than had been paid for. Dove had started a movement.
e movement included the creation of an organisation called the Dove
Self-Esteem Fund, whi set out on its own mission – whi it easily
surpassed – to have millions of conversations with tweenage and teenage
girls about what beauty meant to them and how they shouldn’t be
browbeaten into accepting stereotypical perceptions of beauty. All girls and
women are beautiful, the campaign contended, still smarting from the
original, killer statistic – still using that as the underpinning and justification
for the campaign – and they should all celebrate that fact.
It took a lile time for the campaign to translate into sales performance
for Dove. When it really started to take off was when Unilever developed a
new wave of products specifically designed for peri- and post-menopausal
women, its Pro-Age range. From the very earliest days of the campaign,
Dove had celebrated the beauty of older women. By creating a sub-brand
tailored for this oen-overlooked demographic and at the same time turning
its name into a campaigning slogan (“At Dove we are Pro-Age”), the
campaign was made to align with the product proposition. For there would
have been no point in running a stunning, viral, socially responsible
campaign that generated unprecedented levels of free publicity and yet
didn’t sell another tub of face cream.
e campaign was galvanic in recruitment and retention of staff within
Unilever, and the allenge Dove faced was threefold: (a) no staff wanting to
leave, (b) enormous numbers of staff wanting to transfer onto Dove from
other Unilever brands, and (c) sa loads of unsolicited CVs and servers full
of emails from marketers outside of Unilever wanting to join the cause. Real
Beauty won all of the advertising world’s top awards, including numerous
Lions at Cannes. It was also named by U.S. trade publication Ad Age as one
of the five best campaigns of the century.
Unilever’s founding father, William Hesketh Lever, was the Victorian
philanthropic businessman who built the model town of Port Sunlight on
the Wirral for the workers at his Lever Brothers soap factories. Regular
handwashing with soap was known in Victorian times to reduce siness
and even prevent death, even if the meanism of bacterial infection was not
properly understood. Lever was on a mission to make soap widely available
to the masses, but like other Victorian businessmen in rapidly industrialising
Britain – men like the Colmans of Norwi and the Cadburys and
Bournevilles of Birmingham – he also believed successful businesses had
both the opportunity and the responsibility to create sustainable and
affordable housing for his workers near their places of work. Enlightened
self-interest, of course. But real business on a mission or, as we’ve said time
and again in this book, with a purpose.
Dove’s conversion to mission marketing came at a pivotal time for
Unilever. e company acquired Ben & Jerry’s ice cream in 2000, a social
enterprise from its foundation. Aer a couple of well-documented false
starts, the company found meaningful roles for founders Cohen and his
partner, Jerry Greenfield.
ey brought mission-led marketing to all Unilever’s brands and
ultimately to its corporate brand. e success of Real Beauty and Unilever’s
conversion to purpose-led marketing enabled CEO Paul Polman to embed
sustainability at the heart of the company’s growth strategy. And it all
started with the data-driven storytelling campaign, based on resear about
the world’s women and real beauty.
Keen to share her findings with the military authorities and even een
Victoria herself, Nightingale realised she needed to develop a new and visual
way to present her findings that wouldn’t have non-specialist, non-
statisticians glazing over with boredom. She was on a mission to ange field
hospital policy across the army in order to give otherwise healthy, fit, and
strong men the best possible ance of survival aer injury. She couldn’t bear
the fact that many – without her types of intervention – died needlessly
through la of sanitation and poor field hospital design.
So rather than present her findings in tedious tables of data or standard bar
arts, she devised novel ways of representing and visualising the data that
enabled her to tell her story at a glance. Julie Rehmeyer explains1
Nightingale’s revolutionary coxcomb visualisation in a 2008 edition of
Science News:
Each month is represented as a twelfth of a circle. Months with more deaths are
shown with longer wedges, so that the area of each wedge represents the number of
deaths in that month from wounds, disease or other causes. For months during the
first part of the war, the blue wedges, representing disease, are far larger than either
the red ones (for wounds) or the black ones (for other causes). For months after
March 1855, when the Sanitary Commission arrived, the blue wedges start becoming
dramatically smaller.
Nightingale said her coxcomb graph was designed “to affect through the
eyes what we fail to convey to the public through their word-proof ears”.
While I’d never accept that it’s impossible to use words and words alone to
build and make a convincing, data-driven argument, sometimes a killer art
works alongside a killer statistic or analysis. Nightingale’s data visualisation
was certainly impactful. Her coxcomb led to fundamental anges in how
both field hospitals and fixed, domestic hospitals are designed and operate.
All through a lile bit of effective, data-driven storytelling, sprinkled with
the emotion of saving young men’s lives.
Dr John Snow
Our second deity is another Victorian, this time the physician Dr John Snow,
one of the founding members of the Epidemiological Society of London.
In the middle of the nineteenth century, there was a devastating olera
outbreak in Soho. Hard though it is to imagine today, the provision of mains
water plumbing and clean and safe water was still under development and
roll-out. Even 175 years ago, the Industrial Revolution was still to have its
effect, even in significant parts of central London. People had to collect their
water from water pumps.
Figure 7.2 John Snow
What’s more, the infographic was printed on the double-page, centre spread
of the Berliner-sized paper. As well as making an aractive poster, its life-
sized version easily enabled closer scrutiny when stu to the wall. You could
get the big picture from the overall illustration, and then drill down on
particular departments you were interested in.
e visualisation is et McCandless who, despite his ro-star status,
remains humble and accessible – in person at his talks, and via his presence
on Reddit, here hp://bit.ly/2ov5K8w.
Summing Up
e words aributed by the makers of the movie Saving Mr Banks to Walt
Disney summarise precisely what the best data-driven storytellers aieve
with their visualisations: “instilling hope again and again and again”.
For a godless man like me, data-driven storytelling deities come in
different forms, from different places, and from different eras. Tenology is
relevant, but not necessary, and it can oen prove to be a distraction.
Florence Nightingale, John Snow, and Edward Tue’s favourite, Minard,
drew everything by hand, but that doesn’t make their data-driven
storytelling any less accurate, impactful, or clear. Yes, tenology allows you
to do more in a shorter time, both in terms of data analysis and visualisation.
Big Data tools and tenologies take the drudgery of data analysis, improve
the speed exponentially from slow human hands and eyes to gigaflops of
processing speed. ey also remove the opportunity for human error.
But when you’re looking to tell stories with data and statistics, tenology
should never be your starting point. As discussed in Chapter 3, data-driven
storytelling is never, initially, a tenology problem. It’s a problem of
purpose, a allenge to identify and articulate your purpose in the data-
driven story you’re looking to tell. Finding your inner “Why?”
If you know why you want to make a particular case – if you know whom
you want to move to do what – you’ll soon discover what you want to say.
How you’re going to say it – what data sets, whi statistical test, what
analytics tools, whi data visualisation platforms and paages you use – all
that will fall into place. e more oen you do it, the more quily you’ll
discover your favourites. And remember Steve Jobs’ founding purpose for
Apple that we toued on in Chapter 3: “to remove the barrier of having to
learn to use a computer”. Keep that in mind, and make tenology your slave,
not your master – whi just happens to be another of Apple’s declared
purposes over time.
en you come to your other, and perhaps the most important, “how”.
What’s the story going to be like? Is it a three-act structure, a hero’s journey?
What role do data and statistics play in supporting your core narrative?
What’s the killer statistic and the money-shot art? How do you resist the
temptation of throwing more and more facts – more and more data – at the
audience? How do you talk as a human, about human issues, in human
language? What role does emotion play (probably a mu bigger one that
you ever imagined)? And is your empathy radar turned up to 11 to make sure
you’re thinking every bit as mu as a receiver as you are a transmier of
information.
If you take this approa to data-driven storytelling, I’ll warrant you’ll
become a master of the “moving business”, persuading more people to see the
world from your point of view. Standing on the shoulder of the giants we’ve
met briefly in this apter, you might just aain demi-god status within your
own organisation. It’s got to be worth a shot.
Notes
1 hp://bit.ly/1ldD73v
2 hp://bit.ly/2pcwgBT
3 hp://bit.ly/2oYyYee
8
Why Facts Matter More an Ever
Either write something worth reading or do something worth writing about.
e 2016 victories of both Vote Leave and Donald Trump were unexpected,
to say the least. ey were, in Benjamin Franklin’s words, most definitely
worth writing about, even if the media – and particularly the social media –
content produced by both campaigns are less likely to stand the test of time.
Brexit–Trump were behind in the opinion polls in the weeks leading up to
both votes – sometimes a long way behind.
e polling industry, political pundits, most of the media, and most
strikingly of all the bookmakers were predicting Remain–Hillary, not
Brexit–Trump. Even aer Brexit, and even aer Trump declared just ahead
of polling day that the 2016 Presidential election would be “Brexit Plus Plus
Plus”. It was.
Sure, the polls tightened as the election got closer. e polls always do
that. Pollsters get more nervous as their reputations get put to the test.
Well, in these two elections, the pollsters almost all got it spectacularly
wrong. Even Nate Silver – right in 49 out of 50 congressional districts in
2008 and all 50 in 2012 – didn’t call for Trump. Admiedly, he and his 538
crew were among the least wrong. But in the polling business, being “least
wrong” is a bit like being “half pregnant”. Or buying a ocolate teapot.
Brexit–Trump has caused an existential crisis in the polling industry,
indeed in mu of the resear business where political punditry has its
home. e smart folks that help brands know whi ads are likely to work
best, what consumers want out of their next car, and whi trends will
shape the next season/year/decade are all scrabbling around to reinvent
themselves and their methodologies. Mu of that scrabbling feels like
moving the deairs on the Titanic.
Yet I sense that some of this panic may be excessive, if understandable.
Organisations will continue to need resear and understanding and insight.
ey just might need a few more reassurances from their vendors – and
they might treat them a lile meaner than they have historically – until
confidence is restored.
But there’s no denying that Brexit–Trump was seismic, and the
aershos will continue to reverberate around the world long aer no one
can remember who Nigel Farage was. And they’ll also eo way beyond the
polling and market resear industry.
Post-Truth, Fake News
One of the defining aspects of Brexit–Trump was the fall and fall of facts
and the growing la of importance placed by candidates on evidence and
data and, well, the truth. As we observed in Chapter 2, Miael Gove
contended during the EU Referendum campaign that “people in this country
have had enough of experts”. Facts, we were told, did not maer. ey
maered so lile that, when the Vote Leave campaign ose to use their
own – like the purported £350m weekly contribution from U.K. plc to EU
Inc. whi the Leavers pledged to redirect to fund the NHS – they turned
out to be not so mu truths as untruths. Gross, not net figures. Or – to be
candid – lies.
Time and again during Trump on the stump, when facts were used, they
turned out to be as reliable as those pedalled by the Brexiteers. Ever since,
forensic examination of the supporters and consultants and tenologies
underpinning both campaigns – and supporting the dissemination of these
true lies – have been found to be the same businesses. Conspiracy theories
rage all around.
As a result, ever since Brexit–Trump, there’s been a concern – in mu of
the media, not just the liberal wing; in academia; in the polling industry; and
in the broad resear community – that, if elections can be won by either no
facts or lies, we must have entered a post-truth society. It didn’t seem like
the world was heading in this direction, and then all of a sudden, the rules
of engagement have been turned upside down and what applied before
doesn’t apply any more. Whereas people tuned into the BBC and CNN to
get their news in previous elections, apparently they’re now happy to get
their fake news regurgitated via Facebook and Google. Has the world gone
dumb?
e well-established oracle of the twenty-teens Wikipedia describes
“Post-truth politics (also called post-factual politics)” as “a political
culture in whi debate is largely framed by appeals to emotion
disconnected from details of policy, and the repeated assertion of talking
points to whi factual rebuals are ignored”. As we’ve already observed,
“post-truth” was the Oxford English Dictionary’s “word” of the year for
2016.
As someone seing out his stall as a data-driven storyteller, you might
think I’d be worried. roughout this book, I’ve talked repeatedly about the
importance of using data and statistics to form the foundations and
underpinning for organisational storytelling. Surely (you might be tempted
to argue) if people don’t want and don’t care for facts in elections – whi,
in theory, determine the shape, colour, and direction of their country of
residence for at least the next four years – they won’t give a fig for the facts
any organisation might care to share with them.
In fact, I couldn’t disagree more strongly. We live at a time when facts
have never maered more. But as I’ve said time and again throughout this
book, arguments are not won by facts and facts alone. On our journey, we
talked a lile about rhetoric and the skills of the orator. In fourth century BC
Athens and first century BC Rome, Demosthenes and Cicero were the
leading figures in the “moving business”; professional orators, politicians,
and their societies’ leading legal eagles.
Facts maered very mu to the cases that they were making, but form
maered just as mu as content. As anyone who’s ever read (a translation
of) The Philippics or Against Cataline will know, it’s not one damn fact aer
another that sways and wins the day. ere’s a huge amount of emotion
involved, too. And it’s these twin barrels of rationality and emotionality that
hold the key to the most effective form of storytelling. For politicians and for
organisations of all stripes.
David McCandless, one of our five gods of data visualisation, learned
some of his trade while at the Guardian’s late, lamented Data Blog. at
blog carried the strapline “Facts are sacred”. In that, they were right. Just as
Sense About Science is right in its mission to promote respect for scientific
evidence and good science. But as the New Scientist observed in its hair-
shirted editorial in the immediate aermath of Brexit, “For reason to
triumph, scientists need to learn to engage with emotion”. Cognitive
psyology shows us that the more we try to convince people that we’re
right and they’re wrong with fact aer fact aer fact, the more they’ll dig in
their heels and look for evidence that reinforces their own position to enable
them to reject ours.
e heady mixture of fact and emotion – evidence-based persuasion – is
what was behind April 2017’s Mar for Science
(hps://satellites.marforscience.com). In the first three months of the
Trump presidency, @POTUS45: started to dismantle Obama’s Clean Power
Plan; abolished a rule requiring large federal agencies to consider how large
federal projects affect climate ange; made swingeing cuts to the
Environmental Protection Agency (among other bodies) from an annual
“$8.1bn to $5.7bn, eliminating a quarter of the agency’s 15,000 jobs”;1 failed
to appoint a special scientific adviser; and appointed to head of the EPA one
Sco Prui, who had stated publicly before his appointment that he doesn’t
accept that CO2 emissions are a primary cause of climate ange.
roughout his presidential campaign, Trump repeatedly called climate
ange a hoax.
ree months into the new administration, the U.S. (and global) scientific
community had had enough. ere were hundreds of rallies around the
world under the banner of the Mar for Science. When scientists take to the
streets in an out-of-aracter, emotional outpouring, data-driven storytellers
can reflect that the community most closely associated with evidence-based
narrative have got the message. President of the Union of Concerned
Scientists, Kenneth Kimmell, wrote in the Observer that the Mar for
Science represented a significant fightba against Trump’s “unprecedented
aa on science, scientists and evidence-based policy making [that is]
underway in the U.S. federal Government”.2 e worm has turned, and it’s
learned – unlike the Remain campaigners – to present rationality with a
veneer or sugar-coating of emotionality.
e reasoned yet emotional, academic fightba against fake news is
captured nowhere beer than in a new course at the University of
Washington entitled Calling Bullshit In the Age of Big Data (see
hp://callingbullshit.org). e course is run across two sools by Carl T.
Bergstrom and Jervin West from the Information Sool and the Department
of Biology. e course aims to redress the balance in academia and public
life where – as they say, “politicians are unconstrained by facts and science
is conducted by press release (not journals)”.
is new course – whi operates as a MOOC and so is available to any
citizen of the world with a Wi-Fi connection – is designed to equip the next
generation of graduates with the critical faculties they need to call bullshit
on the misuse of data and statistics in public discourse. It should be
compulsory viewing for every student of anything everywhere.
In the first lecture of the course – and they’re all available on YouTube –
Bergstrom and Jervin use a 1710 quote from the satirist and essayist
Jonathan Swi to discuss the Pizzagate debacle from the 2016 presidential
elections: “Falsehood flies, and the Truth comes limping aer it”. Fake news
(falsehoods) travel faster than truths.
To refresh your memories on Pizzagate: Comet Ping Pong, a pizzeria in
Washington D.C., was said to be harbouring a paedophile ring with
connections to Hillary Clinton. e accusations led a “concerned citizen” to
run into the restaurant and start shooting. Even though no one was injured,
that’s hardly the point. And even though this bizarre conspiracy theory has
been completely refuted and rejected – including by those who were helping
to spread it – concerned U.S. citizens repeatedly turn up at the White House
wearing t-shirts showing they believe that Pizza-gate is true and they want
to take action against it.
To repeat Swi’s maxim: “Falsehood flies, and the Truth comes limping
aer it”. Bergstrom and Jervin are to be applauded for using deliberately
emotional language (and content) to stimulate interest and take up in their
data-driven storytelling course. ey also make a very good point about the
permanence of stories and images online, and that the sten of fake news
lingers longer than idle gossip did in a pre-mediated, pre-digital age.
Fighting Ba Against Fake News
e bale against fake news is not insignificant, and it’s my hope (not a
strategy, I know) that Narrative by Numbers can do a lile bit to help in this
bale. Producing evidence-based narrative in a veneer of emotional
wrapping is my prescription for using the twin skills of analytics plus
storytelling to have lasting influence. But I’m not arrogant enough to think
I’ll succeed alone.
e mainstream media – until Trump’s constant sneering and sniping, the
trusted brands and toustones of truth – have a significant role to play in
countering fake news. To be clear, Trump has rather a narrow definition of
fake news. He tends to mean any reporting that is of others’ agendas and not
his own, reporting that paints his idiosyncratic decision-making and
approa to governance in anything other than a glowing light (i.e. not the
alt.right). And while Trump is the trumpet voluntary of fake news, he and
his supporters are not the only players in the game. It’s just that – as the
journalist Christiane Amanpour said3 in a recent interview with TED’s
Chris Anderson – when the single most powerful individual in the free
world cuts so fast and loose with the truth, that legitimises other less
reputable leaders to adopt similar or lower standards. Her nightmare vision
is of a race to the boom. I’m not so pessimistic.
Separately, the apparent creation of hundreds of bogus social media
profiles by Russian agents – with the express purpose of promulgating and
sharing fake news in order to highja the legitimate functioning of Western
democracies – needs addressing by the social platforms themselves. Post
Trump’s election, some governments – most notably Emmanuel Macron’s in
France – have taken a stand and been vigilant enough to root out some
elements of the fake news underbelly.
For many years, Facebook, Twier, and Google – including Google-
owned YouTube – have deliberately described themselves as annels and
means of distribution, rather than publishers. at protest is starting to wear
thin when both independent and external investigations have revealed the
extent of Russian and alt.right influence in using their platforms to share
fake news. is argument is wearing particularly thin, given that these same
platforms have clearly been shown to benefit financially from the ads served
on fake news sites and profiles they carry and enable.
But the media worm is also starting to turn in the bale against fake
news, and the establishment news outlets have a significant role to play in
countering it. ey can do this by re-establishing their status as tou-stones
of free and independent thinking, devoid of politiing and partisanship.
However Trump may sneer in news conferences at the BBC, the New York
Times, CNN, and the Guardian, these institutions have a role and a
responsibility to point out what is fake and what is not, and they’re rising to
this allenge and in so doing re-establishing their role in both news and in
truth vs lies.
For instance, the speed with whi bogus reports about the Vegas mass
murderer Stephen Paddo were debunked – reports in corners of the
alt.right dark web that said Paddo was a Democrat and making an anti-
Trump statement by shooting more than 500 people at a country music
festival – was dizzying. And deeply encouraging. It took less than 12 hours
for the first reporting against the fake news to appear, and aer 24 hours,
most of the offending – and wrong – content was no longer online.
e Role of Established News Brands – Old, and
New
And more than just rapid rebual, news organisations are becoming part of
the anti-fake news mainery. One very good and very strong example is the
permanent Reality Che team established by then head of BBC News,
James Harding, in January 2017. e purpose of the dozens-strong unit is to
fact-e and debunk deliberately misleading content that masquerades as
news.
Harding said at the time of laun:
The BBC can’t edit the internet, but we won’t stand aside either. We will fact check
the most popular outliers on Facebook, Instagram and other social media … Where
we see deliberately misleading stories masquerading as news, we’ll publish a Reality
Check that says so. And we want Reality Check to be more than a public service, we
want it to be hugely popular. We will aim to use styles and formats – online, on TV
and on radio – that ensure the facts are more fascinating and grabby than the
falsehoods.
Facebook and other platforms that have been used to share fake news are
also starting to take their responsibilities seriously. is is in part seen in the
internal investigations they are running to assess how they were haed by
Russia in the 2016 presidential election. But it is also seen in the initiatives
they are taking to help its users spot and understand what is fake and what
is genuine, and to report and act against clearly fake content. Time will tell
whether this self-regulatory approa is strong enough to deal with the fake
news phenomenon. e only shame is that it took Facebook so long to take
part (and so – even tangentially – admit its role), and that they insist on
their own definition of the problem as “false news”.
What this all Means for Narrative by Numbers
More generally, though, the communications business appears to have been
ahead of even tenology platforms and the scientific community. From the
Mad Men era of David Ogilvy and Bill Bernba onwards, it’s long been
known that for campaigns to succeed they need to balance and blend the
rational and the emotional. For Remain–Hillary, perhaps, the world view
was just far too rational, while the opposition to these rational arguments
was emotion all the way.
For Brexit–Trump, the orestrators revved emotion to the max, as
emotion (excuse me) trumped rationality. Yes, Brexit–Trump used facts, even
if they were, ultimately, lies. But Brexit–Trump’s empathy radar was more
finely auned to their electorates than Remain–Hillary’s, whi was mind-
blind by comparison. ey thought more about their audience and their
opponents’ audience and most particularly the audience of floating voters in
the middle for whom emotions overpowered evidence.
e world has anged and lured to the right, but facts and data and
statistics and analytics haven’t suddenly become redundant, just as voters
haven’t suddenly become idiots.
e need for everyone in the “moving business” to understand this and
learn how to more finely calibrate emotion and facts is upon us.
And provided our empathy radar is on and we’re thinking about everyone
we’re communicating with, then, do you know what, I’m prey sure
everything’s going to be alright.
“Once upon a time there was a bold and courageous statistician …”
Notes
1 hp://nyti.ms/2onrPpA
2 hp://bit.ly/2oziw4e
3
www.ted.com/talks/ristiane_amanpour_how_to_seek_truth_in_the_era_of_fake_
news
Epilogue
On a fresh but grey aernoon in early Mar 2017, I was siing for the first
time in the Meeting House of the University of Sussex. is was surprising for
three reasons.
Surprise number one – is was the first time I’d set foot in this
stunning building, and, dull as the day was outside, it was alive with
light dancing through a rainbow of single-colour stained glass
windows. At that moment, I’d lived in Sussex for nearly 20 years.
What’s more, I spent most of the first four years of the early
Noughties studying and researing at the University, first for a
master’s and then for a doctorate in Experimental Psyology.
During my studies, day aer day – as I used more and more data to tell
beer and beer stories about the effects of alcohol and memory – I’d walk or
ride or scule past this intriguing, circular building. But I never went in,
curious at its aritecture but put off by its religious associations. Aritecture
can do that to a godless man. My revelation at the building’s beauty on my
first visit made me curse my narrowmindedness. I should have remembered
that the gods tend to get the best buildings, from the Parthenon to Pantheon,
Stonehenge to L’Église Saint-Eustae.
Because I’d come to Sussex with one aim in mind – to add scientific rigour
and understanding to a mind that had taken a different path at sool and
university; I was a Classicist first time around – I had osen Sussex for
reasons about me, not reasons about the institution.
Retraining aer a decade in the workplace following graduation, I had
determined with the help of an excellent organisation called Career
Psyology to pursue, erm, a career in psyology. Perhaps sometimes I can
be a bit literal. I ose Sussex because it had one of the best three master’s
courses in psyology in the country, because they offered me a place aer I
taught myself the first-year course and sat an exam, and because it was four
miles up the road from new centre of our universe in Lewes. I ose Sussex
for a combination of academic and practical reasons, not because what it
espoused as an educational philosophy: the mantra (for want of a beer word)
of interdisciplinarity.
When Briggs was given the task of creating the academic infrastructure of
Sussex, he coined the phrase “redrawing the map of learning”. One of the
crucial elements of his approa was to ensure that students of any subject
didn’t just study narrowly in that one subject area. As in the best of North
American universities, students would major in one area and minor in
another. Briggs was passionate about what thinking about one subject could
do in helping to draw connections and make breakthroughs in others. He was,
among other things, the Professor of Mash-up, and his long shadow ensures
this principle lives loud at the University today, 55 years aer foundation.
I didn’t know that when I ose Sussex. I wanted an environment in whi
I could move from my narrow classical baground and become
psyological. Nor did I know that while I was studying and researing
there. But during Briggs’ memorial service in the Meeting House, the theme
came up time and time again. Colleagues, students, collaborators – all sang
his praises as the ampion of interdisciplinarity. Of the man who made them
see the value of considering problems of social history through the lens of
poetry, mathematics via apiculture, Fren literature via genetics.
An unhelpful recruitment consultant once described my CV as aotic,
labelling me “unplaceable”. is was the mid-1990s, when moving from a PR
firm to a trade association made small-minded recruiters find it hard to
understand su giant leaps. It was as if – in Steven Berkoff’s memorable
description of poorly applied make-up – my CV had been typed by “a
drunken epileptic on a rollercoaster”.
When I heard the praise for Briggs in the Sussex Meeting House that dull
spring day, my own oices to blend classics with hardcore biology and
statistics made perfect sense. I understood why I’d done it. And I understood
perfectly what I could do with it, and share with others. All the tools and
teniques I’d pied up along the way – from reading Aristotle to analysis of
variance, from Tacitus to t-tests – are ways of making sense of the world, of
using evidence to tell stories. ey’re all just languages and codes for cleverer,
clearer communication with real impact and emotion.
I was drawn to Briggs’ memorial service for a number of reasons. He’d
known my father at Oxford in the 1950s. Aer a first degree in Mods & Greats
(Latin and Greek to anyone outside of Oxford) in the 1930s, my father
returned to that university in the late 1940s to set up and run the Institute of
Economics and Statistics. Of course he did. e natural next step for a curious
Renaissance man like Kenneth Knowles, who also saw both beauty and story
structure in numbers.
When I was starting secondary sool, my father was retired from Oxford,
spending his time engraving ur windows and inventing Gothic typefaces.
Whenever I stumbled across a subject I couldn’t quite understand and I’d
exhausted the extensive library at home, I’d ask my father what I should do.
Remember, this was many years before the domestic internet.
“Call Geoffrey!” my father would say, writing his number of a scrap of
paper. Geoffrey was a friend who knew something about the subject –
perhaps slavery in Sparta – and he could help me out. I’d call Geoffrey and
introduce myself as my father’s son, and without exception, I’d be welcomed
into a conversation of what felt like peers. I’d scribble notes and cra the
question and thank Geoffrey and put the phone down. en I’d report ba to
my father that Geoffrey had, indeed, been very helpful. And as I turned to go
and write my essay on slavery in Sparta, I’d ask my father, “And who is
Geoffrey?” He’d look up from his crossword and reply, “Oh, I think he’s now
the Emeritus Professor of Greek History at Oxford. Geoffrey de Ste Croix.”
I quily came to learn not to ask the job title of those my father suggested
I call before I called them. And I remember very clearly the industrial
revolution quandary I was in when my father said, “Call Asa!” and gave me a
number that began with a Sussex prefix.
When we moved to Sussex, to Lewes, ten years aer my father died, I was
impressed by an imposing house at the foot of a steep hill and at the boom
of our road. I was even more impressed by the collection of Maoist statues in
the window. And it didn’t take more than four or five years before I found out
that the inhabitant was one Lord Briggs of Lewes. What serendipity! We
corresponded warmly, and though we never met, I felt secure and happy in
the knowledge that he lived at the end of my road. Every time I passed it, I
heard my long-dead father’s encouragement to “Call Asa!”
So, I was drawn to the memorial service by family and personal
connections, by my time at Sussex, by respect. I didn’t know more than a
handful of faces in the crowd, but it felt good and right to be there. And I was
delighted to have this breakthrough insight during the service that gave
meaning to my educational and career oices, all annelled through Asa.
Storytelling plus data analysis equals data-driven storytelling. It’s a classic
example of interdisciplinarity in microcosm.
Surprise number three – It is possible for a godless man to have a
quasi-religious experience in a ur. As the light came through the
windows of the meeting house, I was like “Joliet” Jake Blues in The
Blues Brothers when he understands why they simply have to put the
band ba together.
For mu of my career, I’ve been drawn to and involved in storytelling. I’ve
always read and looked for paerns and learnings from experience. And I’ve
always wrien. I’ve wrien a lot. e diversion ba to university, retraining
as an experimental psyologist, gave me the ability to look at a set of
numbers – including table aer table of Big Data spreadsheets – and then do
the “Where’s Wally?” bit and find the nuggets of insight that unlo the story.
To mine data sets to find the evidence base to tell a more convincing, more
compelling, evidence-based story. One that moves people to do something in
response because it’s grounded in truth born of facts.
As I trust I’ve shown throughout this book, I truly do believe that these
skills are among the most important for business today, and will prove to be
even more critical in the years ahead. My personal journey may have been
aotic and unpredictable – at least for conservative recruitment consultants
of the 1990s. But what that moment in the Sussex University Meeting House
showed me is that it’s all been for a purpose. And it is to help those arged
with telling evidence-based stories do a beer job with the persuasiveness of
their stories – and their use of data in meeting this objective – that I’ve
wrien this book.
ank you for your consideration.
Where to Find Out More
Books
Anderson, Chris (2016) TED Talks: The Official TED Guide to Public
Speaking. Headline.
Baker, Tom (1998) Who on Earth Is Tom Baker? An Autobiography.
HarperCollins.
Baron-Cohen, Simon (2003) The Essential Difference: Men, Women and the
Extreme Male Brain. Penguin.
Blamore, Susan (1999) The Meme Machine. Oxford University Press.
Campbell, Joseph (1949) The Hero with a Thousand Faces. New World
Library.
Carnegie, Dale (1915/2017) The Art of Public Speaking. Dover Publications.
Dubner, Stephen, & Steven Levi (2014) Think Like a Freak: How to Think
Smarter About Almost Everything. Allen Lane.
Field, Andy (2016) An Adventure in Statistics: The Reality Enigma. Sage
Publications.
Greenfield, Susan (2015) Mind Change: How Digital Technologies Are
Leaving Their Mark on Our Brains. Rider.
Heath, Chip, & Dan Heath (2008) Made to Stick: Why Some Ideas Take Hold
and Others Come Unstuck. Arrow.
Kahneman, Daniel (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow. Penguin.
Mayer-Sönberger, Viktor, & Kenneth Cukier (2013) Big Data: A Revolution
That Will Transform How We Live, Work, and Think. John Murray.
McCandless, David (2009) Information Is Beautiful. HarperCollins.
McCandless, David (2014) Knowledge Is Beautiful. HarperCollins.
McKee, Robert (1999) Story: Substance, Structure, Style, and the Principles of
Screen-writing. Methuen.
Nussbaumer-Knaflic, Cole (2015) Storytelling with Data: A Data
Visualization Guide for Business Professionals. John Wiley & Sons.
Pink, Daniel H. (2011) Drive. Cannongate Books.
Pink, Daniel H. (2014) To Sell Is Human. Cannongate Books.
Pinker, Steven (1999) How the Mind Works. Penguin.
Pinker, Steven (2014) A Sense of Style: The Thinking Person’s Guide to
Writing in the 21st Century. Allen Lane.
Ronson, Jon (2011) The Psychopath Test: A Journey Through the Madness
Industry. Picador.
Silver, Nate (2013) The Signal & the Noise. Penguin.
Simmons, John (2000) We, Me, Them, and It. Urbane Publications.
Simmons, John (2003) The Invisible Grail. Texere Publishing.
Simmons, John (2004) Dark Angels. Urbane Publications.
Sinek, Simon (2009) Start with Why: How Great Leaders Inspire Everyone to
Take Action. Penguin.
Snow, C.P. (1959) The Two Cultures and the Scientific Revolution: The Rede
Lecture 1959. Cambridge University Press.
Tasgal, Anthony (2015) The Storytelling Book. LID Publishing.
Tue, Edward (2001) The Visual Display of Quantitative Information.
Graphics Press.
Tue, Edward (2006) The Cognitive Style of PowerPoint: Pitching Out
Corrupts within. Graphics Press.
Vigen, Tyler (2015) Spurious Correlations. Haee Books.
Ted Talks
Amanpour, Christiane, in Conversation with TED’s Chris Anderson (2017)
How to seek truth in the era of fake news. hp://bit.ly/2i6AoUV
Chalabi, Mona (2017) 3 ways to spot a bad statistic. hp://bit.ly/2mLt96d
McCandless, David (2010) The beauty of data visualization.
hp://bit.ly/1p1Njxv
Palmer, Amanda (2013) The art of asking. hp://bit.ly/1lk3MBX
Rosling, Hans (2006) The best stats you’ve ever seen. hp://bit.ly/1rP9yP8
Sinek’s, Simon (2009) How great leaders inspire action (aka “start with
‘why?’”). hp://bit.ly/1fQ1qY0
Treasure, Julian (2013) How to speak so that people want to listen.
hp://bit.ly/2g4RpYY
Wellington, Ben (2015) Making data mean more through storytelling at
TEDxBroadway. hp://bit.ly/1XzrMAd
And finally … Marillion keyboard player Mark Kelly on how the progressive
ro dinosaurs from Aylesbury I grew up with only went and invented
crowd-funding last millennium. A great story, compelling told, data-driven,
and from a most unlikely source hp://huff.to/2gKIhwo
Index
academic data 52
Ad Age 124
Adams, Douglas 117
adjectives 75–6
Against Cataline 144
Amanpour, Christiane 146
Amazon 14
analysis of variance (ANOVA) 54
analyst reports 50
Anderson, Chris 146
Apple 7
Aristotle 9, 16, 113
Art of Public Speaking, The 67, 74
asking the right questions 47–8
Atlas of Emotions 70
audience, knowing the 113–15, 121
Automated Readability Index 34
AVIVA 98–101, 113
Baker, Tom 83
BBC 45, 86, 143, 147
Benn, Tony 83
Bergstrom, Carl T. 145, 146
Bernba, Bill 148
Bieber, Justin 68
Big Data: asking the right questions about 47–8; avoiding false positives in 48–55;
avoiding too mu 22–3; Boolean language for managing 44; easyJet use of 18–20;
intimidation with bigness of 43–4; rise of 6–8, 15; sources 49–52; starting with
“why?” in using 45–6; storytelling using 10–12, 17–20; see also data analytics
Bills of Marketing (BOMs) 95
Blamore, Susan 24
Blair, Tony 26–7
Bloomberg, Miael 51
Boolean language 44
Bootleg Beatles, the 136
brain functioning 5–6, 71
Brandwat 8
Brewster, Kingman 94
Brexit 23, 25–6, 28–31, 32; and cost of EU membership aer rebates as function of all
U.K. government spending in 2015 29–31; post-truth and fake news and 141–6, 148–
9; predictions about 59
Briggs, Asa 152–5
business-to-business (B2B) communications 109–13, 121
business-to-consumer (B2C) communications 109–13, 121
Business Week 134
easyJet 17–20
education 2–4
Ekman, Paul 70
emotion 70–2, 78
empathy 73–4, 78, 148–9; avoiding the Curse of Knowledge with 88
employee data 50
energy 72, 78
engagement 67–9, 74
English: expression of energy in 72; nonsense words in 103–4; power of 69–70
EU referendum see Brexit
Euromillions Loery 24
Haman, Gene 43
Haji-Ioasnnou, Stelios 17–18
Hanks, Tom 127
Harding, James 147–8
Harvard Business Review 21
health data 51
Health Employees Superannuation Trust of Australia 81
Heath, Chip 23
Heath, Dan 23
hero’s journey 9, 18, 113, 139
Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy 117
Hobson, Neville 8
Hopkins, Katie 68
How the Mind Works 6
Kahneman, Daniel 4, 33
Kimmell, Kenneth 145
Klotz-Guest, Kathy 93
Klout score 69
knowing the audience 113–15
Knowledge, Curse of 87–91, 96–7
knowledge economy, the: job skills for 1–2, 15, 81; storytelling with data and statistics
in 12
Knowledge Is Beautiful 137
Kramer, Bryan 113, 121
Kubrik, Stanley 117
Lagnado, Silvia 46
language: fear of unintended consequences and oice of 106–7; jargon use in 91–4, 97,
107–8; nonsense in corporate 103–4; nouns, verbs, and adjectives in 75–6; poor
planning in oice of 107; power of English 69–70; projected norms in 105–6;
psyology of corporate 104; simplicity in 33–6, 38–9; of statistics 108–9; talking
human 117–20; time pressure and 104–5
Lever, William Hesketh 124–5
Levi, Steve 10
Lewis, Dave 65, 110
LinkedIn 95
Lush Cosmetics 119–20
Radio 4 9, 86
Ranieri, Claudio 4, 5, 53
Readability Formulas 38
Reality Che 147–8
Red Bri Road 63
Regen SW 88–9
regression analysis 54
Remain campaign 25, 28, 31, 71, 148–9
reputation data 50
Reymeyer, Julie 130
rhetoric 21
Ronson, Jon 115
Ronson, Marc 136
Rosling, Hans 51, 132–4
rounding out of numbers 24–5
Tableau 8, 55
talking human 117–20
Tasgal, Anthony 13
teabag tenology 83–7
Tech Times 79
TED Talks 46, 51–2, 90, 121
Tesco 47–8, 62–5, 110, 113
Thinking, Fast and Slow 4, 33
Think Like a Freak 10
is Girl Can campaign 39–42, 47, 113
Tide detergent 43
time pressure 104–5
Today Programme 86
Tomorrow’s World 86
To Sell Is Human 1, 103
Trump, Donald 68, 117, 141–7, 148–9
Tue, Edward 134–6, 138
Tversky, Amos 4, 33
Twain, Mark 22, 105
Twier 111, 147
2001: A Space Odyssey 117
“Two Cultures, e” 3
Unilever 46, 59–60, 84; Campaign for Real Beauty 46, 47, 122–5
Union of Concerned Scientists 145
United Airlines 111
United Kingdom, the: Brexit and 23, 25–6, 28–31, 32, 59, 141–2; cost of EU membership
aer rebates as function of all government spending in 29–31; new Labour party in
26–8, 128; Remain campaign 25, 28, 31, 71, 148–9; Vote Leave campaign 23, 29, 71,
141
University of Sussex 151–6
USA Today 61