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Energy Murphy
Energy Murphy
Review
Energy Return on Investment of Major Energy Carriers: Review
and Harmonization
David J. Murphy 1, *, Marco Raugei 2,3 , Michael Carbajales-Dale 4 and Brenda Rubio Estrada 1
1 Environmental Studies Department, St. Lawrence University, Canton, NY 13617, USA; [email protected]
2 School of Engineering, Computing and Mathematics, Oxford Brookes University, Wheatley,
Oxford OX33 1HX, UK; [email protected]
3 Center for Life Cycle Assessment, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA
4 Environmental Engineering & Earth Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, SC 29634, USA;
[email protected]
* Correspondence: [email protected]
Abstract: Net energy, that is, the energy remaining after accounting for the energy “cost” of extraction
and processing, is the “profit” energy used to support modern society. Energy Return on Investment
(EROI) is a popular metric to assess the profitability of energy extraction processes, with EROI > 1 indi-
cating that more energy is delivered to society than is used in the extraction process. Over the past
decade, EROI analysis in particular has grown in popularity, resulting in an increase in publications
in recent years. The lack of methodological consistency, however, among these papers has led to a
situation where inappropriate comparisons are being made across technologies. In this paper we
provide both a literature review and harmonization of EROI values to provide accurate comparisons
of EROIs across both thermal fuels and electricity producing technologies. Most importantly, the
authors advocate for the use of point-of-use EROIs rather than point-of-extraction EROIs as the
energy “cost” of the processes to get most thermal fuels from extraction to point of use drastically
Citation: Murphy, D.J.; Raugei, M.; lowers their EROI. The main results indicate that PV, wind and hydropower have EROIs at or above
Carbajales-Dale, M.; Rubio Estrada, B. ten while the EROIs for thermal fuels vary significantly, with that for petroleum oil notably below ten.
Energy Return on Investment of
Major Energy Carriers: Review and Keywords: energy return on investment; EROI; net energy; fossil fuels; electricity; renewable energy;
Harmonization. Sustainability 2022, harmonization
14, 7098. https://doi.org/10.3390/
su14127098
have low profitability (i.e., low EROI resources) tend to be constrained in their growth
potential, among other things.
The debate about whether renewable energy can provide enough net energy to society
to replace fossil fuels is beset with controversy. For instance, many papers indicate that
solar photovoltaic (PV) electricity has a similar or higher EROI than natural gas electric-
ity [6,7]; yet, there are others saying the opposite, i.e., that the EROI of PV electricity is
much lower [8,9]. The same occurs for other renewable energy technologies, too. The
contributions that EROI can make to the framing of the energy transition are thus limited
by the seeming inability to form consensus in the literature.
This controversy is not new, and a number of authors and even the International
Energy Agency have called for stricter guidelines on how EROI is calculated [10,11]. More
specifically, the argument has been made for EROI practitioners to adopt the more formal
methodological framework established by the life cycle assessment (LCA) community [12].
Despite these calls for more methodological rigor in EROI analyses, more consistent EROI
assessments still seem elusive.
This paper arises from this academic landscape: one in which the EROIs of most
major technologies are still debated and one in which the methods are often inconsistent.
Therefore, its goals are threefold: first, to perform a review of the literature to provide an
overview of the most recent estimates of the EROI ranges for various energy technologies
and energy carriers. Second, to harmonize those values so that they are comparable
across technologies. Third, to provide the data and recommendations to enable other net
energy researchers to harmonize future work in hopes to avoid spurious comparisons in
the literature.
Eout,i
EROIi = (2)
Min,i EIi
where Min,i is the amount of money invested in global energy sector i, and EIi is the average
energy intensity of energy sector i, in exajoules per 1 USD. However, not only is this a much
more descriptive formulation than that provided by Equation (1), it is also a fundamentally
different calculation that opens the door to potential distortions, such as those which arise
due to the elasticity of the money-to-energy relationship or the fact that this value is really
a measure of the power flow, i.e., energy per unit time.
However, even foregoing the use of all economic calculations and sticking to strictly
physical units only as implied by Equation (1), the literature is still replete with incon-
sistent EROI estimates and mismatched comparisons which, over time, risk leading to
a devaluation of the very concept of EROI in general. Specifically, when reviewing the
literature, two main types of methodological inconsistencies emerge, as discussed in the
following sections.
Sustainability 2022, 14, 7098 3 of 20
Inv 1 Inv 2
Primary
energy
resource,
renewable
Preparation
Primary Energy
Extraction &
energy Distribution carrier
Primary energy
resource, non-
renewable
POINT OF EXTRACTION
POINT OF USE
Figure 1. Streamlined energy systems diagram of the exploitation of a primary energy resource
(PES) for the production of a useful energy carrier (EC). Inv1 = energy investment for resource
extraction (E); Inv2 = energy investment for resource processing and delivery (P&D). S = energy sink
(thermodynamic losses). Energy system diagram following the symbolic conventions introduced by
Odum [18].
Much of the early EROI literature has traditionally focused on the analysis of energy
resources at point of extraction [17,19], implicitly assuming that such initial stage of the
supply chain would always dominate the final EROI ranking of the various types of
energy that are ultimately delivered to society. However, more recently the careful analysis
of a number of fossil fuel supply chains has shown that in the real world the energy
investments for processing the extracted raw resources into usable energy carriers and for
their subsequent transportation to the end user (i.e., Inv2 in Figure 1) are often larger than
the initial energy investment for resource extraction (i.e., Inv1 in Figure 1) [15,20–25].
As the energy inputs to the EROI equation derive more and more from post-extraction
processes, the comparison of “crude oil at the well head” with any downstream energy
carrier, such as electricity, becomes increasingly misleading. What has become increasingly
important in the recent literature is the value of energy at the point of use, after accounting
for all of the energy processing inputs, since these are the energy carriers delivered to the
end user to perform actual work in society.
Sustainability 2022, 14, 7098 4 of 20
Table 1. Calculation of EROI “at point of extraction” vs. EROI “at point of use” for three fictional
primary energy resources, highlighting the strong non-linearity in the relation between the two.
EROI
EROI
Energy “at Point of
Inv1 PE Inv2 EC “at Point of Use”
Resource Extraction”
= EC/(Inv1 + Inv2 )
= PE/Inv1
PES1 1 100 100 9 100 10
PES2 2 100 50 9 100 9.1
PES3 4 100 25 9 100 7.7
Resource Harmonization
PES 1 None
POU
PES 2 None
POU
PES 3 None
POU
0.5 0.7 1 1.5 2 3 4 5 7 10 15 20 30 40 50 70 100 150 200 300
EROI
Figure 2. EROI “at point of extraction” vs. EROI “at point of use” for three fictional primary energy
resources, highlighting the strong non-linearity in the relation between the two.
Two clear take-home messages emerge from this simple exercise: (1) comparing EROI
values calculated at different stages of the supply chain (i.e., EROI “at point of extraction”
vs. EROI “at point of use”) is methodologically unsound and results in inconsistent “apples-
to-oranges” comparisons that are devoid of any real significance; and (2) possibly even
more importantly, potentially large differences in EROI values calculated “at point of
extraction” can often be misleading, as necessary investments to convert the raw resources
into usable energy carriers at point of use often negate large EROI differences at the “point
of extraction”.
Conversely, some authors have calculated “EROI” values using a different methodology,
using the energy inputs and outputs for an energy system for one year. The two calculation
approaches produce only marginally different results for those energy systems where the
energy investment (i.e., the denominator of the EROI ratio) is almost synchronous with the
energy return (i.e., the numerator). For instance, the exploitation of fossil fuel resources
requires energy investments for extraction, refining and delivery of the fuels throughout
the entire life of the resources. Conversely, most major renewable energy technologies, such
as PV and wind, mostly only require energy investments in construction, and then entail
very low to negligible additional energy investments throughout the remaining stages of
the life of the technology. In this latter case, the two calculation approaches lead to very
different EROI results. For instance, an “EROI” ratio calculated for the first year of PV or
wind will often be very low, which can be misleading if inconsistently compared to other
EROIs calculated using the more conventional integrative approach. Of course, the “EROI”
of a PV system calculated as the ratio of the electricity produced during the second year of
operation to the sole maintenance energy investment taking place in that same year would
then be extremely large, and likewise misleading, but for some reason this latter type of
calculation is rarely, if ever, encountered in the literature.
In order to avoid the ambiguity that may arise from the use of the same acronym
“EROI” for what are essentially two different metrics calculated using different temporal
boundaries, many authors have argued, as we do here, that when “EROI” is calculated
relative to only one year of operation, it should more accurately be referred to as Power
Return On Investment (PROI), because it in fact measures the ratio of two power flows (i.e.,
flows of energy per year) [12,13,27]. Despite such attempts at more rigorous definitions,
however, a number of recent influential works still conflate EROI with PROI (Brockway
et al. [28] and Court and Fizaine [2]).
Combining Equation (3) with Equation (1), one obtains that the mathematical relation
between EROI and net energy is:
1
Net Energy = Gross Energy Output 1 − (4)
EROI
Net Energy 1
NTG = = 1− (5)
Gross Energy Output EROI
Using Equation (5), the net-to-gross energy ratio (NTG) can be plotted against EROI,
resulting in the “net energy cliff” [29]—see Figure 3. Many authors have acknowledged the
importance of analyzing EROIs with respect to the net energy cliff by providing figures
that position EROI values on the cliff itself [15,22,28,29].
The relation of EROI and net energy is highly non-linear: an energy acquisition process
that has an EROI of 1 delivers 0% net energy, while one with an EROI of 2 already delivers
50% net energy, and so forth. At the other end of the scale, a technology that extracts energy
with an EROI of 10 will deliver 90% of its energy as net energy to society, and beyond that
any further increases in EROI will only produce comparatively marginal improvements in
the amount of net energy. In practical terms, what this means is that one needs to spend
much less time worrying about whether an EROI is 20, 30, 40 or even higher, but rather
simply assess whether or not it meets a given minimum acceptable EROI threshold.
There is considerable debate, of course, about what the threshold for “minimum
acceptable EROI” actually is. Authors have tried estimating the minimum EROI that will
provide enough net energy to sustain a modern society [1–3]. Not surprisingly, given the
nature of the net energy cliff, the “minimum EROIs” postulated in the literature generally
Sustainability 2022, 14, 7098 6 of 20
range from 3–10; in other words, the minimum EROI values are located along the portion
of the net energy cliff curve where the net energy delivered increases rapidly with EROI.
However, it should be acknowledged that setting any specific benchmark value for such
‘minimum’ EROI is intrinsically fraught with difficulties.
1.0
None None
POU None
0.9 POU
POU
0.8
0.7
0.6
Net Energy
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2 Resource
PES 1
PES 2
0.1
PES 3
0.0
1 1.5 2 3 4 5 7 10 15 20 30 40 50 70 100 150 200 300
EROI
Figure 3. Net Energy Cliff diagram relating EROI and net energy expressed as proportion of the
Gross Energy Output that is delivered to society. Arrows shows how the estimates of EROI and net
energy change when extending from point-of-extraction to point-of-use.
Firstly, from a methodological point of view, the devil is in the details, and it has been
convincingly argued that the definitions of net energy given by Equations (3) and (4) are
only rigorously applicable if both the gross energy output and the energy investments are
measured by the same standard [30]. In other words, since the energy investments are
typically accounted for in terms of primary energy (i.e., in units of “oil equivalent”), the
gross energy output should also be measured in units of equivalent primary energy, if the
former are to be subtracted from the latter. For clarity, one can use the subscript “PE-eq” to
specify when this is done, i.e., (Gross Energy Output)PE-eq .
The most rigorous way to quantify such “primary energy equivalency” is to adopt the
replacement logic that is prevalent in LCA, whereby each unit of the output energy carrier
is assumed to be equivalent to X units of primary energy, where (1/X) is the overall energy
efficiency of the “average” supply chain of the energy carrier in question [11,31].
Such distinction was rarely made in the early EROI literature, which tended to focus
primarily on fossil fuels. Admittedly, for thermal fuel products like crude oil or coal, and
even refined oil fuels and gases, the (1/X) ratio is often sufficiently close to 1 to render
the numerical distinction between (Gross Energy Output) and (Gross Energy Output)PE-eq
inconsequential, in light of the inevitable uncertainties that these life-cycle calculations
entail. In fact, the global average value of (1/X) for all fossil fuels combined (oil + coal + gas)
can be estimated to be 0.96, by using the information in the latest IEA World balance Sankey
diagram [32].
Sustainability 2022, 14, 7098 7 of 20
Given the negligible effect that such methodologically rigorous “primary energy equiv-
alency” calculations would have on the numerical estimate of the EROI values for thermal
fuels at point of use (including also for all biofuels, which are functionally equivalent to
the corresponding refined fossil fuels that they are intended to replace), in the remainder
of this article all such EROI values are simply calculated as the straight ratio of the gross
energy output in the fuel itself to the energy investments (i.e., as per Equation (1)).
However, when instead the Gross Energy Output is provided in the form of a highly
processed energy carrier for which the average supply chain entails significant thermo-
dynamic losses (such as is the case for electricity, when the average grid mix comprises
thermal power plants, as it almost invariably does), (1/X) may be significantly lower than 1
(e.g., it is often close to 0.3 for grid mixes dominated by coal and gas electricity).
For the specific case of electricity, therefore, in the recent literature an alternative
definition of EROI has emerged (Equation (6)), which makes the distinction between (Gross
Energy Output) and (Gross Energy Output)PE-eq explicit [10,11]:
Estimates for perovskite PVs were excluded since these technologies are not yet commer-
cially viable and much uncertainty remains on their durability.
One paper provided an EROI estimate for concentrating solar power (CSP) [35].
Ten studies made estimates of the EROI of wind power, both from conventional on-
shore and off-shore wind turbines [46,49,50,64,66,68–72]. Smaller (<1 MW) micro-wind
turbines were not analyzed.
the sole consequence of the multiple unavoidable energy investments that are required
post-extraction, along the supply chain, to convert the “raw” fossil resources (e.g., crude
oil) into usable fuels at point of use (e.g., petrol or diesel at the pump, or heavy fuel oil at
point of delivery). While these findings may be surprising and perhaps counterintuitive to
some, they are actually in perfect alignment with a recent high-level study that used IEA
data and extended multi-regional input–output tables to estimate EROI at point of use for
all fossil fuels produced globally [28].
Primary
energy
resource,
renewable
Extraction Preparation Transmission Refining Purification Distribution
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Primary energy
resource, non-
renewable
POINT OF EXTRACTION
POINT OF USE
Figure 4. Process chain for thermal fuels from extraction (1) to point-of-use (6).
Table 2. For each stage (i) of the supply chain for each thermal fuel beyond extraction, the following
values are reported: energy investment required at that stage (Invi ), cumulative investment in the
upstream chain up to that stage, excluding the investment for extraction (∑2i Inv j ), and maximum
EROI at that stage (EROIi,MAX ), disregarding the investment for extraction (i.e., assuming infinite
EROI at point of extraction). Data taken from Ecoinvent v3.7 and v3.8 [73]. All investments are
expressed as % relative to the final energy “return” (i.e., the net available energy in the output fuel at
point of use). A value of 0 means that that specific supply chain stage does not apply to that fuel.
Supply
(2) Preparation (3) Transmission (4) Refining (5) Purification (6) Distribution
Chain Stage
2 3 4 5 6
Fuel Inv2 ∑2 Invj EROI2,MAX Inv3 ∑2 Invj EROI3,MAX Inv4 ∑2 Invj EROI4,MAX Inv5 ∑2 Invj EROI5,MAX Inv6 ∑2 Invj EROI6,MAX
Oil 0 0 ∞ 1.5% 1.5% 67 8.9% 10.4% 9.6 0 0 9.6 1.1% 11.5% 8.7
Gas 0 0 ∞ 7.7% 7.7% 13 0 7.7% 13 0 7.7% 13 10.2% 17.9% 5.6
Coal 4.2% 4.2% 24 5.6% 9.8% 10 0 9.8% 10 0 9.8% 10 0 9.8% 10
Bioethanol
0 0 ∞ 0 0 ∞ 61% 61% 1.7 2.2% 62.6% 1.6 1.5% 64.1% 1.6
(Maize)
Bioethanol
0 0 ∞ 0 0 ∞ 2.5% 2.5% 39 2.2% 4.7% 21 0 4.7% 21
(Sugarcane)
Bioethanol 0 0 ∞ 0 0 ∞ 33.6% 33.6% 3.0 2.2% 35.8% 2.8 0 35.8% 2.8
Biogas 0 0 ∞ 0.2% 0.2% 420 0 0.2% 420 15.3% 15.5% 6.4 0.4% 15.9% 6.3
Biodiesel 3.3% 3.3% 31 1.7% 4.9% 20 5.4% 10.3% 10 0 10.3% 10 0 10.3% 10
Wood Pellets 51% 51% 2.0 0 51% 2.0 0 51% 2.0 0 51% 2.0 11.7% 63% 1.6
(i) all “straight” EROI ratios were consistently multiplied by the same fixed 1/ηG value,
thereby calculating the corresponding EROIPE-eq , as per Equation (6). Given the critical
sensitivity associated to ηG (as discussed in Section 2.3), a sensitivity analysis was
carried out by repeating such calculation twice, first by setting ηG = 0.3 (representative
of deployment in most grid mixes dominated by conventional thermal generators),
and then by setting ηG = 0.7 (representative of deployment in a typical “decarbonized”
grid mix with a significant penetration of renewable energies [7]).
(ii) All “weighted” EROI ratios were first divided by whatever weighting factor had
originally been assumed by the authors, thereby essentially undoing any such weight-
ing and reverting to the corresponding “straight” EROIs where the numerator is
simply the electricity output. Then, the same procedure as for (i) was applied, so as
to once again arrive at two sets of EROIPE-eq values, respectively based on assumed
ηG = 0.3 and ηG = 0.7 life-cycle primary-to-electricity conversion factors.
Additionally, EROI values for electricity from combustion of coal, natural gas, biogas,
and biomass (wood chips) were also estimated, by leveraging the EROI values “at point of
use” for the respective thermal fuels that were obtained from the previous harmonization
process described in Section 2.6.1, and then multiplying those values by the respective
Ecoinvent-sourced power plant heat rates (i.e., 0.34 for coal, 0.47 for gas combined cycles,
0.35 for biogas, and 0.24 for biomass). Finally, the resulting EROI values were multiplied
by the same fixed 1/ηG values of 0.3 or 0.7, respectively, as described at point (i) above, to
convert them to “primary energy equivalent” (EROIPE-eq ). It is noted that, technically, this
process fails to account for the additional energy investment for power plant construction
and maintenance, but the data has shown that the latter is negligible for large thermal power
plants when such investment is spread out over their long service life. For the specific
case of gas-fired electricity, the more modern and efficient combined-cycle operation was
assumed; additionally, the energy investment for gas distribution (stage 6 in Table 2)
was omitted.
3. Results
The main results of our literature search and harmonization analysis are (in no partic-
ular order, and with detailed explanations in the following sections):
- A total of 113 papers were found reporting EROI values, but, after screening them, the
harmonization used only 31 papers.
- Most thermal fuels, including biofuel, oil, and natural gas have EROIs well below
10 after accounting for the entire production chain to the point-of-use.
- EROIs from electricity production from hydro, wind, and PV are all at or above 10,
once they are consistently expressed as “primary energy equivalent” (EROIPE-eq ).
Table 3. Number of papers returned by the literature search, per resource type. The total number of
papers in this table is more than that reported in Table 2 because some papers estimated EROI values
for more than one technology or resource. BECCS = bioenergy with carbon capture and sequestration;
CSG = coal seam gas; CTL = coal to liquids; LNG = liquefied natural gas.
Gas
Reed Canary Grass None
POU
Shale gas None
POU
Sorghum None
POU
Diesel African Palm None
POU
Bovine Fat None
POU
Pinion None
POU
Porcine Fat None
POU
Ethanol Maize None
POU
Liquid
Sugarcane None
POU
Wood None
POU
Gasoline CTL None
POU
LNG None
POU
Oil None
POU
Oil sands None
POU
Coal Coal None
Solid
POU
Woodchips Wood None
POU
0.5 1 2 5 10 20 50 100 200
EROI
Figure 5. EROI values for thermal fuels, respectively, as originally published (Harmonization = “None”)
and post-harmonization at point of use (Harmonization = “POU”). CSG = coal seam gas; CTL = coal
to liquids; LNG = liquified natural gas. Note use of logarithmic scale on horizontal axis, for a more
meaningful representation of the significance of the relative differences in terms of net energy (cf.
Section 2.4). * = gaseouas fuel; o = liquid fuel; = solid fuel.
1.0
0.9
0.8
Fuel
0.7 Gas
Liquid
Solid
0.6 Resource
Net Energy
African Palm
Bovine Fat
0.5 Coal
CSG
CTL
0.4 LNG
Maize
Nat. gas
Oil
0.3 Oil sands
Pinion
Porcine Fat
0.2 Reed Canary Grass
Shale gas
Sorghum
0.1 Sugarcane
Wood
0.0
1 1.5 2 3 4 5 7 10 15 20 30 40 50 70 100 150 200 300
EROI
Figure 6. Harmonized EROI values for thermal fuels at point of use, plotted against their correspond-
ing net-to-gross energy output ratios (“net energy cliff”). CSG = coal seam gas; CTL = coal to liquids;
LNG = liquified natural gas. Note use of logarithmic scale on horizontal axis, for a more meaningful
representation of the significance of the relative differences in terms of net energy (cf. Section 2.4).
Sustainability 2022, 14, 7098 14 of 20
PES Harmonization
BECCS None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
Biogas None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
Biomass (woodchips) None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
Coal None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
CSP None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
Geothermal None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
Hydro None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
Nat Gas (CC) None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
Nuclear None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
Oceanic None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
PV None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
Wind None
PE eta=0.3
PE eta=0.7
0.5 1 2 5 10 20 50 100 200
EROI
Figure 7. EROI values for electricity, respectively, as originally published (Harmonization = “None”),
and post-harmonization in terms of equivalent primary energy output, respectively assuming deploy-
ment in a thermal-dominated electricity grid mix (Harmonization = “PE eta = 0.3”), and deployment
in a de-carbonized electricity grid mix (Harmonization = “PE eta = 0.7”). BECCS = bioenergy with
carbon capture and sequestration; CSP = concentrating solar power; PV = photovoltaics. Note use of
logarithmic scale on horizontal axis, for a more meaningful representation of the significance of the
relative differences in terms of net energy (cf. Section 2.4).
In more general terms, the systematically lower EROIPE-eq values for all technologies,
when calculated using ηG = 0.7 should not surprise nor be a reason for concern. This is
simply the consequence of assuming deployment in a grid mix that is itself on average
significantly more efficient at converting primary energy into electricity over its whole
life cycle. As discussed in Section 2.4, while the individual EROIPE-eq for all technologies
would be reduced in such conditions, at the same time it is reasonable to expect that, in the
future, the same widespread deployment of low-cost renewable energies that will lead to a
higher ηG = 0.7 in the first place will also enable a higher degree of electrification across
multiple sectors and end uses, thereby essentially lowering the “minimum EROI” threshold
to above that which a healthy societal energy metabolism may be sustained.
At present, the EROIPE-eq values obtained by setting ηG = 0.3 may still be considered
the more representative ones, as the use of thermal technologies to generate electricity
is still prevalent globally. These values were therefore selected to be reported vs. the
corresponding NTG ratios (i.e., superimposed on the “net energy cliff”) in Figure 8. This
latter figure allows a clearer visualization of which electricity generation technologies can be
expected to generate sufficient net energy over their life cycles. Once again, the results show
that most renewable technologies actually lead to NTG > 0.9, meaning that over 90% of the
equivalent primary energy returned by them remains available for societal uses other than
Sustainability 2022, 14, 7098 16 of 20
supporting the energy sector itself. Overall, this is a reassuring result that should put to
rest many often-voiced concerns about the net energy viability of non-conventional and
renewable electricity.
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
Net Energy
0.5
PES
BECCS
0.4
Biogas
Biomass (woodchips)
Coal
0.3 CSP
Geothermal
Hydro
0.2 Nat Gas (CC)
Nuclear
Oceanic
PV
0.1
Wind
0.0
1 1.5 2 3 4 5 7 10 15 20 30 40 50 70 100 150 200 300
-0.1111
EROI -0.1111
It is clear from these results that EROI estimates at the point of extraction can be wildly
misleading. As a case in point, even if crude oil were measured to have an EROI of 1000 or
more at the point of extraction, the corresponding EROI at the point of use, using global
average data for the energy “cost” of the process chain, would still only be a maximum
of 8.7. Furthermore, as the quality of oil, gas and coal continue to decline in the future, the
energy “cost” of the associated process chains will increase, further reducing the EROIs.
On the other hand, as the technologies used to harness renewable energy improve, the
corresponding EROIs will continue to increase in the future.
Finally, it is also important to observe that, in the future, a significant increase in
the penetration of renewable technologies into the electricity grid mixes will have to be
accompanied by a concomitant deployment of electrical storage, to compensate for the
intrinsic intermittency or renewable energy availability and ensure the continued real-time
matching of the supply and demand curves. However, detailed scenario analyses of the net
energy performance of even highly decarbonized grid mixes relying heavily on PVs, based
on high temporal resolution grid balancing algorithms rather than blunt assumptions,
indicate that the additional energy investment for electrochemical energy storage does not
significantly affect the overall EROIPE-eq of the resulting electricity mix [7,11].
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