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 Chapter Six Study Questions

1. What is the purpose of tracking player statistics in team sports?

Solution: We can see which teams win and lose. Statistics are tracked to see which players are

responsible for this outcome. So statistics are tracked to separate the player from the player’s

teammates.

2. When did the first baseball box score appear? Who developed batting average, and when

was this introduced?

Solution: The first box score appeared in 1845. Batting average was developed by H. A.

Dobson in 1872.

3. According to Pete Palmer, what is the first objective of a hitter?

Solution: The first objective is to not make an out.

4. According to the Asher Blass model, what is the relative value of a single, double, triple,

and home run in baseball?

Solution: A double is slightly more valuable than a single (not nearly twice as valuable). A

triple is about twice as valuable as a single, while a home run is nearly three times as valuable

(not four times as valuable).

5. Which is the “better” measure of a pitcher’s production: ERA or K/BB (and what are

they)? Answer this question by referring to the work of Anthony Krautmann, Andrew Zimbalist,

and J. C. Bradbury.

Solution: Krautmann and Zimbalist argued that earned run average (ERA) does better than

strikeout-to-walk ratio (K/BB) at explaining runs. But Bradbury noted that ERA is not a very
good measure of a pitcher’s performance because it depends on the defensive players around the

pitcher. This was illustrated by noting the relative inconsistency of ERA. Bradbury argued that

a better measure is K/BB because this measure is more about the pitcher’s skill.

6. Relative to baseball players and hockey goalies, how consistent are basketball players

from season to season? What explains this consistency?

Solution: Basketball players are much more consistent than baseball players or hockey goalies.

This goes back to the “short supply of tall people.” Because the population of potential

basketball players is small, the differences in athletes are relatively large and more consistent

across time.

7. According to Bill Gerrard, what is a “complex invasion sport”? What are examples of

this kind of sport?

Solution: Gerrard argued that a complex invasion sport is one where group of players cooperate

to move an object to a location defended by opponents. Examples include soccer, hockey,

basketball, and American football.

8. Why is it difficult to statistically model a complex invasion sport? What happens if you

ignore the nature of complex invasion sports and simply attempt to estimate the impact of every

player statistic in a single equation?

Solution: Complex invasion sports have a hierarchal nature, where higher-level actions (i.e.,

scoring) depend on lower-level actions (turnovers, passing, etc.). If your model already notes the

higher-level action (i.e., scoring), then the lower-level actions will generally appear to be

statistically insignificant because the impact of the lower-level actions is already captured by the

higher-level action. Hence you need multiple equations to capture the impact of both higher- and

lower-level actions.
9. Do NBA players really “create” shots? Explain.

Solution: Players do not seem to “create” shots. The number of shots taken by a team is not

impacted by the loss of a player who takes many shots (e.g., Allen Iverson or Carmelo Anthony).

What we see in the data is that scorers actually just take shots from their teammates.

10. What is Gerald Scully’s method for measuring MRP?

Solution: Scully argued that you need to estimate two models. One of these connects the player

statistics to wins. This allows one to measure how many wins a player creates. A second model

connects team revenue to team wins. This allows one to measure the dollar value of an

additional win created.

11. How do fixed revenues (define) impact our ability to measure the MRP of athletes in

basketball and football?

Solution: Fixed revenues are revenues that do not change with outcomes. An example is

broadcasting revenue, which a team receives whether it wins or loses. Players are clearly paid

more when broadcasting revenue rises. But according to the Scully approach, the player’s MRP

cannot rise with more broadcasting revenue because wins do not impact broadcasting revenue.

So when fixed revenues are large, it will appear that players are generally overpaid.

12. What is a simpler approach to addressing the issue of whether players are overpaid or

underpaid? What does the simpler approach tell us about athletes being overpaid or underpaid

across time? What does this reveal about athletes around the world today?

Solution: One can just look at the percentage of revenue paid to players. Taking this approach, it

appears that athletes were underpaid before the introduction of free agency. It also indicates that

athletes in Europe, where labor restrictions are less common, are paid much better than North

American athletes.
13. Explain how Anthony Krautmann measured the MRP of a professional baseball player.

What did he assume about the market for baseball free agents?

Solution: Krautmann regressed free-agent salaries on the free agent’s statistics. This gave him a

measure of how the market valued these actions. He then used this model to forecast the salaries

of nonfree agents. Krautmann assumed that the free-agent labor market was efficient.

14. Krautmann’s approach was applied to baseball, football, and basketball in Krautmann,

von Allmen, and Berri (2009). Were athletes in these sports found to be overpaid or underpaid?

Solution: In each of these sports, players without the ability to sell their services in a free-agent

market were found to be underpaid relative to free agents.

15. Karl Marx argued in the 19th century that capitalism exploits workers; J. B. Clark argued

in the 19th century that workers are paid what they are worth in a capitalist system. How does

the study of sports allow us to address the arguments of Marx and Clark?

Solution: The study of sports suggests that Marx is right that workers are exploited when they

lack bargaining power. When workers have bargaining power in sports, though, the results are

more consistent with Clark’s argument. So the study of sports allows us to see when Marx and

Clark are more likely to be correct.

16. Imagine you are hired by an NHL team. How much money would you suggest your team invest

in a goalie?

Solution: The textbook argues that goalies are not very different from each other. So a team should not

invest much money in this position, since goalies appear to be relatively the same.

17. Imagine you are hired by an NHL team. How would you measure the marginal product of a

skater center or forward?

Solution: Hockey is a complex invasion sport, so one needs to first estimate the link between outcomes

(team standing points) and goals scored and goals against. Then one needs to link goals scored to shot
attempts and shooting efficiency. After this, one needs to determine how a skater impacts shot attempts

and shooting efficiency. Another model is also needed to determine the impact that centers and forwards

might have on team defense.

18. In 2016–17, Andrew Wiggins attempted 1,570 field goals for the Minnesota Timberwolves, a

mark that led the team. His effective field goal percentage, though, was only 48.4%. This mark was

below the league average and the average for the Timberwolves. So if Wiggins were removed from this

team, what would likely happen to this team’s offense?

Solution: We learned in the chapter that a player’s shots are mostly taken from teammates, so shot

attempts would not likely change if Wiggins were lost. If he were replaced by an average shooter,

though, team efficiency would improve. Team offense would likely get better.
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