Measles in The 21st Century
Measles in The 21st Century
SUPPLEMENT ARTICLE
The global measles vaccination program has been extraordinarily successful in reducing measles-related disease and deaths worldwide.
Eradication of measles is feasible because of several key attributes, including humans as the only reservoir for the virus, broad access
to diagnostic tools that can rapidly detect measles-infectious persons, and availability of highly safe and effective measles-containing
vaccines (MCVs). All 6 World Health Organization (WHO) regions have established measles elimination goals. Globally, during 2000–
2018, measles incidence decreased by 66% (from 145 to 49 cases per million population) and deaths decreased by 73% (from 535 600
to 142 300), drastically reducing global disease burden. Routine immunization with MCV has been the cornerstone for the control and
prevention of measles. Two doses of MCV are 97% effective in preventing measles, qualifying MCV as one of the most effective vaccines
ever developed. Mild adverse events occur in <20% of recipients and serious adverse events are extremely rare. The economic benefits
of measles vaccination are highlighted by an overall return on investment of 58 times the cost of the vaccine, supply chains, and vacci-
nation. Because measles is one of the most contagious human diseases, maintenance of high (≥95%) 2-dose MCV coverage is crucial
for controlling the spread of measles and successfully reaching measles elimination; however, the plateauing of global MCV coverage
for nearly a decade and the global measles resurgence during 2018–2019 demonstrate that much work remains. Global commitments
to increase community access to and demand for immunizations, strengthen national and regional partnerships for building public
health infrastructure, and implement innovations that can overcome access barriers and enhance vaccine confidence, are essential to
achieve a world free of measles.
Keywords. measles; measles; mumps; rubella vaccine; MMR; elimination; eradication.
Measles is a febrile rash illness that can lead to serious compli- profiles, global trends in vaccination coverage, the economic
cations and death and one of the world’s most contagious viral benefits of investing in measles vaccination, the various setbacks
diseases. The basic reproduction number (or average number of encountered in measles control in recent years, and key challenges
secondary cases generated by an infectious person in a fully sus- that must be overcome to achieve a world free of measles.
ceptible population) for measles is estimated to be 12–18, higher
than that of many other common childhood illness (eg, influenza, MEASLES DISEASE BURDEN AND IMPACT OF
MEASLES VACCINATION
pertussis). Under the assumption of a homogenously mixing
population, such high transmissibility means that significantly Before the introduction of measles vaccination, measles caused
high population immunity levels of >92%–94% are needed to substantial human disease and death worldwide, infecting
impede sustained measles virus transmission. Measles vaccines nearly everyone by 15 years of age. Measles was common in all
have been enormously successful in controlling measles globally, parts of the world and caused an estimated 135 million cases
demonstrating the feasibility of reaching a measles eradication and more than 6 million deaths globally each year [1]. In the
goal (ie, reduction of measles cases globally to zero). In the cur- United States alone, an estimated 3–4 million people acquired
rent article, we review the significant impact measles vaccination measles every year (roughly equivalent to a birth cohort), of
uptake has had on reducing measles disease burden worldwide, which approximately 500 000 cases and nearly 500 deaths were
the origin of measles vaccines and their safety and effectiveness reported annually [2].
Although most persons fully recover from measles
without sequelae, the disease entails significant morbidity
Correspondence: Paul A. Gastañaduy, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 and mortality risks. Common complications of measles in-
Clifton Rd NE, MS H24-5, Atlanta, GA 30333 ([email protected]).
clude otitis media and diarrhea, but more serious complica-
The Journal of Infectious Diseases® 2021;224(S4):S420–8
© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society tions can also occur and include pneumonia, encephalitis,
of America. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons and subacute sclerosing panencephalitis, a slowly progres-
Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted
reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
sive neurologic sequela of measles that is universally fatal
DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiaa793 (estimated risk, 1 subacute sclerosing panencephalitis case
A
1989 - 1991
600 000 30 000 Resurgence
1963
Vaccine licensed 25 000
5000
300 000 0
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
200 000
1989 2000
100 000 2nd Dose Elimination declared
recommended
0
1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017
B 4 500 000
4 000 000
3 500 000
3 000 000
Cases, No.
2 500 000
2 000 000
1 500 000
1 000 000
500 000
0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Figure 1. Number of reported measles cases in the United States from 1962 to 2019 (A) and worldwide from 1980 to 2019 (B). Data from US Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report; global data available at http://apps.who.int/immunization_monitoring/globalsummary/timeseries/tsincidencemeasles.
html.
Coverage, %
90
80
95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19
19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
B MCV1 MCV2
100
Coverage, %
50
0
80 82 84 86 88 990 992 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 010 012 014 016 18
19 19 19 19 19 1 1 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 2 2 2 2 20
Figure 2. A, Estimated measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccination coverage among children aged 19–35 months or 13–17 years. (Data from National Immunization
Surveys, United States, 1995–2019; available at https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/imz-managers/coverage/childvaxview/data-reports/mmr/trend/index.html and https://
www.cdc.gov/vaccines/imz-managers/coverage/teenvaxview/data-reports/mmr/trend/index.html). B, Estimated measles-containing-vaccine (MCV) first dose (MCV1) and
MCV second dose (MCV2) coverage (worldwide data from World Health Organization, 1980–2019; available at http://www.who.int/immunization/monitoring_surveillance/
data/en). A, B, Horizontal dashed lines represent 90% vaccination coverage.
ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF MEASLES VACCINATION economic benefits, the overall societal return on investment for
The economic benefits of investing in vaccines, particularly 10 vaccines is 44 (range, 27–67) times the cost of the vaccines,
measles vaccines, are well established [60–64]. Even in coun- supply chains, and vaccine delivery [60]; the measles vaccine
tries with low disease incidence, periodic measles outbreaks has the highest return on investment, 58 (28–105) times the
continue to occur, causing costly disruptions to society and cost [60]. In the United States, it has been estimated that routine
requiring resource-intensive outbreak response activities [65]. measles vaccination of the 2009 birth cohort prevented 3.8 mil-
A review of cost estimates of 11 measles outbreaks during the lion measles illnesses and >3000 measles-related deaths, a net
postelimination era in the United States, found that measles savings of more than >$3 billion in direct costs and $8 billion
costs public health and healthcare institutions a median of ap- in societal costs [67]. Achieving an eventual measles eradica-
proximately $33 000 (US dollars) per case, and $4000 per day tion goal would have massive economic implications and could
of investigation [66]. Furthermore, after accounting for broad save current ongoing annual costs of >$2 billion in measles