Dss Final
Dss Final
Dss Final
An integrated set of programs for risk analysis and decision making under uncertainty - runs in Microsoft Excel. The Decision Tools Suite is used to analyze risk and uncertainty in a wide variety of industries. From the financial to the scientific, anyone who faces uncertainty in their quantitative analyses can benefit from The Decision Tools Suite.
FEATURES
Map out decisions with decision trees and influence diagrams Works in Excel Sensitivity or What-If Analysis Distribution viewing and fitting Full integration between programs Linear Programming solving methods Parallel processing Bundle pricing
BENEFITS
Identify and illustrate the best alternative No need to learn new applications Accurate description of uncertainty Easily explain results and recommendations to others Solve linear problems both large and small quickly and accurately Save money compared to buying products separately
SAMPLE APPLICATION
Retirement planning, Discounted Cash Flow analysis,
Manufacturing
Loss reserves estimation Premium pricing Six Sigma and quality analysis , Plant shutdown ,Product life cycle analysis Resource allocation Welfare and budgetary projections Endangered species preservation Pollution cleanup and projections
Environment
Choose your distribution from a graphical gallery, or define distributions using historical data for a given input.
HOW CAN YOU USE IT Set Up Your Model Define Uncertainty with Ease Share Your Model with Others (Share specific distribution functions with others using the @RISK Library, or swap out @RISK functions for colleagues who dont have @RISK.) Run the Simulation. Understand Your Risks
FEATURES
100% Excel calculations for simulation Seamless integration into Microsoft Excel Intuitive toolbars and right-click menus Over 40 built-in distribution functions Integration with Microsoft Project Simulation of Time-series forecasts Multi-CPU Support One-click Quick Reports
BENEFITS
Highest level of accuracy, and maximum use of multi-core processors for speed Easy navigationmultiple ways to reform common tasks Represent virtually any uncertain factor for accurate modeling Understand the risks in values that change over time Split up large simulations to run on multiple CPUs or cores and reduce simulation run time See summary of charts and graphs pre-formatted for one page
SAMPLE APPLICATION Retirement planning, Discounted Cash Flow analysis, Loss reserves estimation Premium pricing Six Sigma and quality analysis , New product analysis, Plant shutdown , Resource allocation War games Welfare and budgetary projections Endangered species preservation Pollution cleanup and projections
Manufacturing
Government And Defense Environment
This helps you identify and calculate the value of all possible alternatives, so you can choose the best option with confidence.
FEATURES
Decision trees Risk profile reports
APPLICATIONS:
INDUSTRY Defense Engineering SAMPLE APPLICATION War And Engagement Modeling Earthquake And Disaster Planning Structural Planning And Integration Resource Management Preservation Programs Portfolio Selection Real Options Analysis
TOP- RANKS
Define any output or bottom line cell or cells, and Top Rank will automatically find and vary all input cells which affect your output. You can also control exactly which cells youd like to analyze.
The end result is easy-to-understand tornado charts, spider graphs, and other reports which clearly identify and rank which affect your bottom line the most.
Click the Run What-if button and Top Rank tries different values for each variable cell, changing values over ranges such as -10% and +10%.
Each time a new value is tried, the spreadsheet is recalculated and new results are generated.
Upon completion, TopRank ranks the variable cells according to the effect they have on your selected outputs.
You can also select exactly which cells you wish to vary, and by how much, for a more customized analysis
FEATURES
Automated what-if analysis Seamless integration into Microsoft Excel
BENEFITS
Quickly focus your analysis Saves time
Neural Tools
NeuralTools gives Microsoft Excel - the industry-standard data analysis and modeling tool
Data sharing is easier-saves as excel file Use standard Excel capabilities to read in data from Microsoft SQL Server, Oracle, Microsoft Access, or any other ODBC compliant database. Load data from text files or other applications if you can read it into Excel, you can use it with NeuralTools!
Define any number of datasets, each with the variables you want to analyze, directly from your data in excel. NeuralTools intelligently assesses your blocks of data, suggesting variable names and types as well as data locations.
Your datasets and variables can reside in different workbooks and worksheets, allowing you to organize your data as you see fit. Then, you train neural networks that refer to your variables, instead of re- selecting your data over and over again in excel. Neuraltools' variables aren't limited in size to a single column of data in an excel worksheet you can use the same column across up to 255 worksheets for a single variable!
Live updating when input data changes Intelligent data management Capacity for large data sets; support for Excel 2010 worksheet size Excel-based reporting and charting Save results in Excel workbooks
Applications
Sales forecasting, Retirement planning
Manufacturing quality control, Customer service improvement Improving quality of care, Research Six Sigma and quality analysis, Product life cycle analysis, Demand forecasting
Evolver
Evolver uses innovative genetic algorithm (GA), Opt Quest, and linear programming technology to quickly solve problems in finance,
Features of evolver
Genetic algorithm optimization Opt Quest solving engine 100% Excel calculations INTERFACE: Seamless integration into Microsoft Excel Streamlined interface MODEL DEFINITION: Ranges for adjustable cells and constraints Six solving methods Discrete adjustable cells
Benefits of Evolver
Find the best global solution to complex, real-life problems.
MANUFACTURING
FINANCE
RISK Optimizer
Program optimization or software optimization - the process of modifying a software system to make some aspect of it work more efficiently or use fewer resources. It is done so that it executes more rapidly, or is capable of operating with less memory storage or other resources, or draw less power.
Traditional optimization methods ignore this uncertainty, a very risky approach. Risk optimizer tells you not only the best combination of inputs to use, but the risk associated with each strategy.
Seek out strategies which help to minimize your risks while achieving your goals.
Combines the Monte Carlo simulation technology of @RISK, palisades risk analysis add-in- to allow the optimization of excel spreadsheet models that contain uncertain values Take any optimization problem and replace uncertain values with @RISK probability distribution functions that represent a range of possible values.
For each trial solution risk optimizer tries during optimization, it runs a Monte Carlo simulation, finding the combination of adjustable cells that provides the best simulation results.
With RISK Optimizer, those uncertain factors are represented with probability distribution functions (like Normal, Triangle, etc.) so that a Monte Carlo simulation can be run for each trial allocation of manufacturing volume. In this way, you can maximize the mean of the simulated output say profits an account for risk during optimization.
FEATURES
Optimization under uncertainty Six solving methods
Solve problems with more accuracy then ever. Always have the best method for different types of problems Analyze your solutions with all @RISK graphs, reports, and features. With Opt Quest models, RISK Optimizer will not attempt solutions that fail constraints, make optimizations faster. Nonlinear constraints are also fast. Highest level of computation accuracy
BENEFITS