Introduction To Derivatives: 17th August, 2010
Introduction To Derivatives: 17th August, 2010
Derivatives
17th August, 2010
Background to Derivatives
• In recent decades, financial markets have been marked by
excessive volatility. As foreign exchange rates, interest rates and
commodity prices continue to experience sharp and unexpected
movements ,it has become increasingly important that corporations
exposed to these risks be equipped to manage them effectively.
Price fluctuations make it hard for businesses to estimate their
future production costs and revenues. Derivative securities provide
them a valuable set of tools for managing this risk. Risk
management process is used to control such price volatility. It is
here that derivative instruments are of utmost utility.
Derivatives
What is a derivative?
A Derivative is a financial instrument which derives its
value from its underlying asset (it does not have any
value of its own). The underlying asset can be Futures,
Equities, Index and Currency.
General characteristics of Derivatives
Forward contracts.
Futures contracts.
Options.
Forward Contract
• Equity
• Commodity
• Index
• Foreign Currency
Characteristics:
• Standardisation
• Pricing
• Margin
• Always traded on an Exchange
• Settlement
Standardisation
• The contract usually specifies the
following:
i. The underlying instrument
ii. Whether the settlement would be in cash or physical
Calculation :
Current Margin 60,000.00
Less : Notional loss 30,000.00 (570,000 – 540,000)
30,000.00 < 45,000
Required margin 90,000.00
Variation Margin required (60,000.00) margin call
Who trades futures?
• Hedgers : those who are interested in the underlying
and want to hedge out their risk of price changes. For
eg. farmers who sell future contracts for the crops that
guarantee a certain price. Also, hedging against an
existing equity position with a view to earn on short term
fluctuation while keeping the original position as intact.
• Speculators : those who seek to make profit by
predicting market movements and have no interest in the
underlying equity / commodity.
• Strategist / Traders: With the help of cash and
derivative products, large number of strategies are being
formulated and traded.
What is an option ?
• An option contract is a standardised
contract traded on an exchange,
offering the right, but not the
obligation, to buy or sell a certain
underlying instrument at a pre-set
price called the strike price
An option is the right, but not the
obligation, to buy or sell underlying
asset (futures, commodity, currency,
index) and other financial instrument
at an agreed price, on or before a
given expiry date.
Kinds of options
European Options: These are exercised
only on the maturity date. On the expiry
date, the option buyer's right to exercise
the option (and the seller's obligation to
perform) ends.
A Put option gives the buyer the right, but not the
obligation, to sell the underlying asset at the
strike price, before or on the date of expiry.
Option features
Buyer (Holder) Seller (Writer)
20
15
10
Profit/Loss
5
Buyer
0
Writer
-5 90 95 100 105 110 115 120
-10
-15
-20
Price
Position of Put option buyer
Buyer’s rights- Sell underlying, at strike price
Buyer’s obligations- Pay Premium
Margin requirements - No
Risk profile - Limited, to the extent of the premium
paid
Profit potential – To the extent of the Strike Price
Breakeven price = Strike price - Premium
Payoff profile of Put options
Strike 100 Premium 5
15
10
P rofit/L oss
0 Buyer
85 90 95 100 105 110 115 Writer
-5
-10
-15
Price
Value of option- Premium
35 40 45 $50 55 60 65
35 40 45 $50 55 60 65
• Time to expiry
• Market volatility
• Market expectations
Example – Time value
Again taking the same example of IBM, we may choose
Call option from among the different maturities
(assuming same strike price for simplicity sake) say 1-
month, 3-month, 6-month and 9-month.
If the stock is trading at $50, which is also the strike
price, the uncertainties associated with the stock to gain
intrinsic value is the maximum on a longer time frame,
than on a shorter time-frame.
Hence, the time value premium for a longer term
maturity is higher than that of the near term maturity.
Time decay
As the expiry of the option draws closer and the opportunities for
the option to become profitable declines, the time value
declines.
This erosion of option values is called as time decay.
Benefits of Option Trading
• Leverage.
• Limited risk.
• No margin, only premium.
Risk Neutral valuation
• In economics , risk neutral behavior is in between risk aversion and
risk seeking . If offered either €50 or a 50% chance of €100, a risk
averse person will take the €50, a risk seeking person will take the
50% chance of €100, and a risk neutral person would have no
preference between the two options.
• In finance , when pricing an asset, a common technique is to figure
out the probability of a future cash flow, then to discount that cash
flow at the risk free rate. For example, if the probability of receiving
$1 one instant from now is 50%, the value is $0.50. This is called
'expected value', using real world probabilities. Risk neutral
demonstrates that when pricing some assets, the real world
probabilities assigned to future cash flows are irrelevant.
• The fundamental assumption behind risk-neutral valuation is to use
a replicating portfolio of assets with known prices to remove any risk
Risk Neutral valuation
• The risk neutral formula does not refer to the volatility of the
underlying – p as solved, relates to the risk-neutral measure as
opposed to the actual probability distribution of prices. Nevertheless,
both arbitrage free pricing and risk neutral valuation deliver identical
results.
• Futures
• n a futures contract, for no arbitrage to be possible, the price paid on
delivery (the forward price) must be the same as the cost (including
interest) of buying and storing the asset. In other words, the rational
forward price represents the expected future value of the underlying
discounted at the risk free rate (the "asset with a known future-price").
Thus, for a simple, non-dividend paying asset, the value of the
future/forward,F(t) will be found by accumulating the present value S
(t) at time t to maturity T by the rate of risk-free return r
• F (t) = S(t) X (1+r ) (T-t).
• This relationship may be modified for storage costs, dividends, dividend
yields, and convenience yields; see futures contract pricing.
• Any deviation from this equality allows for arbitrage as follows.
Risk Neutral valuation
• In the case where the forward price is higher:
• The arbitrageur sells the futures contract and buys the underlying today (on
the spot market) with borrowed money.
• On the delivery date, the arbitrageur hands over the underlying, and
receives the agreed forward price.
• He then repays the lender the borrowed amount plus interest.
• The difference between the two amounts is the arbitrage profit.
• In the case where the forward price is lower:
• The arbitrageur buys the futures contract and sells the underlying today (on
the spot market); he invests the proceeds.
• On the delivery date, he cashes in the matured investment, which has
appreciated at the risk free rate.
• He then receives the underlying and pays the agreed forward price using
the matured investment. [If he was short the underlying, he returns it now.]
• The difference between the two amounts is the arbitrage profit.