Human Resource Planning
Human Resource Planning
PLANNING
MEANING AND DEFINITION
In simple words, HRP is understood as the process of
forecasting an organization's future demand for, and supply of,
the right type of people in the right number.
After this only the HRM department can initiate the
recruitment and selection process
Its called by manpower planning, personal planning or
employment planning
DEFINITION OF HRP
• It includes the estimation of how many qualified people are
necessary to carry out the assigned activities, how many people
will be available, and
• Basically it’s the process by which an organization ensures that
it has the right number & kind of people, at the right place, at
the right time, capable of effectively & efficiently completeing
those tasks that will help the organisation achieve its overall
objectives.
Definition
According to Beach:- “Human Resource Planning is the
process of determining & assuming that the organization will
have an adequate number of qualified persons available at the
proper lines, performing jobs which meet the needs of the
enterprise & which provide satisfaction for the individuals
involved.
According to Stainer:- “Human Resource Planning is the
strategy for the acquisition movement & preservation of an
organiation’s Human Resource.
Objectives of Human Resource Planning
To ensure optimum use of Human Resources currently
employed;
To assess or forecast future skill requirements of the
organisation‘s overall objectives;
To provide control measure to ensure availability of
necessary resources when required;
To control the cost aspect of Human Resources;
To formulate transfer and promotion policies.
IMPORTANCE OF HRP
1. FUTURE PERSONNEL NEEDS
• Surplus or deficiency in staff strength
2. COPING WITH CHANGE
• Enables an enterprise to cope with changes in
competitive forces, markets, technology, products &
government regulations
3. CREATING HIGHLY TALENTED PERSONNEL
• HR manager must use his/her ingenuity to attract &
retain qualified & skilled personnel
• Succession planning
. 4. INTERNATIONAL STRATEGIES
• Fill key jobs with foreign nationals and re-assignment of
employees from within or across national borders
IMPORTANCE OF HRP
5. FOUNDATION FOR PERSONNEL FUNCTIONS
• Provides information for designing & implementing
recruiting, selection, personnel movement(transfers,
promotions, layoffs) & training & development
6. Protection of weaker section of society
7.Resistance to change
FACTORS AFFECTING HRP
I. ORGANIZATIONAL GROWTH CYCLES &
PLANNING
• Embryonic stage – No personnel planning
• Growth stage – HR forecasting is essential
• Maturity stage – Planning more formalized & less
flexible
• Declining stage – Planning for layoff, retrenchment &
retirement
II. ENVIRONMENTAL UNCERTAINITIES
• Political, social & economic changes
FACTORS AFFECTING HRP
III. TIME HORIZONS
• Short-term & Long-term plans
IV. TYPE & QUALITY OF FORECASTING
INFORMATION
• Type of information which should be used in making
forecasts
ENVIRONMENT
ORGANISATIONAL
OBJECTIVES AND POLICIES
HR PROGRAMMING
HRP IMPLEMENTATATION
CONTROL AND
EVALUATION OF PROGRAMME
SURPLUS SHORTAGE
RESTRICTED HIRING RECRUITMENT
REDUCED HOURS AND SELECTION
VRS, LAY OFF, etc
Regression Analysis
Projects the future demand based on the past relationship
with the work force level and the basic factor on whom the
demand is assumed to depend.
Qualitative Techniques for Forecasting Human Resource
Demand
Delphi Method
Delphi method process involves a panel of experts using their judgments to
make estimates of short-term future demands.
Experts use a variety of factors to make their judgements, including
economical, demographical, technological, legal, and social conditions
outside of the organization,
During the process, experts are not permitted to engage in direct face-to-face
contact or communication.
First, experts must be identified to participate in this task. Second, each
expert is asked to submit Human Resource demand forecasts, including
specification of sources of information and assumptions used to estimate
demand.
Next stage , each submission is gathered by Human Resource Planning and
Development Page 11 Human Resource planning group, which then
summarizes the results. T
he aggregated results are sent back to the experts, who are given an
opportunity to adjust their forecasts based on the information provided in
Nominal Group Technique
This process involves multiple experts (usually line and
department managers) meeting face to face to discuss
independently formulated positions of an organizational
issue, with the ultimate aim of securing an accurate
assessment of a given situation.
It can be used to help forecast Human Resource
demand for an organization or can be used to solve other
organizational issues.
Scenario Analysis
Scenario analysis provides multiple estimates of future
Human Resource demand, contingent on a unique set of
assumptions and circumstances for each scenario.
This method involves recognizing uncertainties about the
future.
An organization can create Human resource estimates
accordingly, one for a constant economic situation (e.g., zero
growth),
a second for some anticipated economic growth (e.g., five
percent growth),
and a third for the possibility of economic decline (e.g., five
percent reduction).
Forecasting Human Resource Supply
The objective of identifying future Human Resource supply
requirements is to determine the number of employees in each
job and their knowledge, skills, abilities, and other
characteristics .
In addition, forecasting Human Resource supply is essential in
determining the characteristics of hiring sources within the
predetermined planning horizon in order to establish whether
future Human Resource supply is sufficient to match future
Human Resource demands.
Forecasting External Human Resource
Supply
Information that will help to develop an understanding
of external Human Resource supply includes:
Supply and demand of jobs or skills
Educational attainment levels within a region
Compensation patterns based on experience,
education, or occupation
Immigration and emigration patterns within an area
Forecasts of economic growth or decline
Competition for talent
Industry or occupational expected growth levels.
Wastage analysis
Manpower wastage is an element of labour turnover.
It includes voluntary retirement, normal retirement
resignations, deaths and dismissals.
Marginal recruitment decisions without wastage
analysis may lead to inaccuracies in HRP.
Different Methods
Labour Turnover Index
Stability Index
Skills Inventories
Labour Turnover Index
Indicates number of leavers as percentage to average number
of employees.
Average number of employees employed in a given time
Stability Index
Indicates stable work force percentage for a given period
Stability Index =No. with more than 1 year service now * 100